8-14-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

500* Rays / Mariners Over 6.5

100* Giants -115

50* Arizona D Backs +110

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Chicago White Sox (Quintana) -135 over Toronto (Alvarez) Range: -115 to -155
3* L.A. Dodgers (Billingsley) -110 over Pittsburgh (Correia) Range: +115 to -125
3* Washington (Zimmermann) / San Francisco (Bumgarner) UNDER 6.5 Range: 7 to 6

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

BALTIMORE/Boston over 8.5 -113

The Red Sox are falling apart here in August, where they are just 3-8 so far. Josh Beckett has been coming undone for two years now but this total fails to reflect that. To add to his woes, Beckett has been bothered by back soreness lately. He missed close to three weeks on the DL with shoulder inflammation in June and has struggled with control since his return. Beckett has just one win in his last 11 starts, accompanied by a 7.39 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 31.2 IP since July 1. The Red Sox are just hoping to get a few more innings or games out of him, as they have nobody else to turn to.

The BoSox are third in the majors in runs scored just behind the Yankees and Rangers. Against lefties they’re hitting .270 and overall they’re second in the majors in slugging % and OPS. They’ll face a lefty here in Wei-Yin Chen, a pitcher they’ve already seen twice this season.

Chen has a fly-ball bias profile. His groundball/fly-ball split is 38%/42%. His fastball barely tops off at 89 MPH but a low 22% hit rate has masked his pedestrian skills. Chen has also been aided by facing a slew of poor hitting clubs recently. Over his last nine starts, he’s faced Oakland twice, Tampa Bay twice, Cleveland, Minnesota and Seattle at Safeco.

Camden Yards plays as the fifth highest scoring park in the majors behind Coors Field, Texas, Yankee Stadium and U.S. Cellular Field. A check on the conditions today project winds blowing out to center at 6 MPH. This low total does not reflect any of the favorable factors today.


Arizona +101 over ST. LOUIS

The Diamondbacks have cooled off in the win column but their bats remain very warm with 35 runs scored in their past six games. The Cardinals have cooled off too with just two wins in their past six but unlike the Snakes, their bats have quieted with just 17 runs scored over that same span.

Joe Kelly was called up to fill a hole in the Cardinals rotation despite having thrown just 59 innings above A-ball prior to this season. Despite underwhelming skills, he had some early success but the book is out on him now and he’s been absolutely torched in his last two starts. He’s allowed 19 hits in his last two starts covering 10.1 innings. He has a poor BB/K ratio of 21/39 in 62 frames. A demotion is likely in store for the young Joe Kelly and this outing may solidify that.

Ian Kennedy is so much better than his 4.34 ERA suggests. He has 126 K’s and just 30 walks in 145 innings. He has been hurt by an unusually low 69% strand rate. From a skills perspective, nothing has changed from his breakout season a year ago in which he won 21 games, lost four and posted an ERA of 2.88. Kennedy is poised for a strong stretch run and he certainly offers up good value against a pitcher that doesn’t come close to his skill level.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play LA Angels (-190) over Cleveland (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST

Zack Greinke has won 24 of the last 25 home games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 24 of the last 25 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Zack Greinke has won 17 consecutive home games at night and he has an ERA of 2.56 in home games this season.

50* Play Atlanta (-170) over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cincinnati (-180) over New York Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* 13-0 MLB *Mound Mismatch*
Miami Marlins

4* 14-0 MLB *Crunch Time Bailout*
Tampa Bay Rays

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Los Angeles Angels - INDIANS TO WIN (+185)
Listed Pitchers: Jimenez vs Grienke
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.70 units)

Cleveland won the first of this series last night with a 6-2 victory as +175 dogs, and have now won 4 of their last 6 games after an awful stretch. The Angels are just 3-9 over their last 12 games and are now out of a playoff spot. These two teams have faced each other 7 times this season with Cleveland winning 5 of the 7 games including the last three. Ubaldo Jimenez will go for Cleveland and he is 9-11 on the season with a 5.25 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and .266 opponents batting average. Jimenez won for the first time in over a month in his last time out going 6 innings allowing 3 earned runs against while striking out 10. Despite his high ERA the Indians are still 11-12 in games that he has started. Zack Greinke will make his fourth start for his new team, and he is 9-4 on the season with a 3.74 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and .261 opponents batting average. With Los Angeles Greinke is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA, and the team is 0-3 when he has started. He had a stellar first start but has since allowed 10 earned runs against in 12 innings of work in his last two starts with LA. Take note that the Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 vs AL West opponents, and 4-1 in Jimenez's last 5 vs AL West opponents. The Angels are just 4-9 in their last 13 vs AL Central opponents, 1-5 in their last 6 home games, and 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Greinke hasn't had much control in his last two outings and if that continues there is a good chance that the slumping Angels can drop another game here tonight. I like the value on Cleveland to win tonight and will take it for 2 units.

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
4-9, -325.5 in August

40 Dime
RUN LINE MONSTER

[Mr. IWS]

MTI Sports


Pirates
Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

20*Giants -119
15*A's -110
15*Rangers +110
Free Orioles -106

[Mr. IWS]

DHayes

2** Rays -158

1* Braves -1.5 +120.

1* Dodgers -119

[Mr. IWS]

401k Sports Tuesday Plays
2** Chicago white sox -125 over Toronto(7pm)
1* Atlanta RL +125 over SD(7pm)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Junkie

(1* MLB PLAY)

1* MLB: Toronto ML +115 (Bovada) vs White Sox (7:05 pm est.)

[Mr. IWS]

First Look with Marco D'Angelo

San Diego/Atlanta Over 8

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3* Diamondbacks, Over Marlins, Over Angels, Reds (runline)
2* Yankees, Over Rays
1* Cubs (runline), Pirates

2 Power Angle Plays
Cubs, Over Royals