8-16-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Pirates -135

50* Reds -145

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

2 UNIT = Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers - PHILLIES TO WIN (-118)
Listed Pitchers: Lee vs Estrada
(Note: I'm risking 2.36 units to win 2.00 units)

These two teams have similar and disappointing records this season with the Phillies at 54-63 and 28-30 on the road, while the Brewers are 52-64 and 33-26 at home. They've met three times this year in Philadelphia with the Phillies winning all three by the exact same 7-6 score (in some crazy games). Philadelphia lost 9-2 yesterday with Halladay on the mound, but have won 3 of their last 4 games overall. Milwaukee blew their lead in the bottom of the 9th yesterday to lose 7-6 against Colorado who swept away the Brewers, who have now lost 5 of their last 6 games. Cliff Lee is just 2-7 on the season but he has good numbers with a 3.85 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and .264 opponents batting average. He is 2-2 on the road with a 3.21 ERA. Marco Estrada is 0-5 with a 4.36 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and .258 opponents batting average. The Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a favorite, 5-2 in their last 7 as a road favorite, 7-1 in their last 8 vs a team with a losing record, and 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Phillies are 12-3 in Lee's last 15 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take note that the Brewers are just 6-18 in their last 24 games as an underdog, 4-12 in their last 16 games following a loss, and 1-5 in Estrada's last 6 starts. The Phillies are 23-9 in these two teams last 32 meetings overall, and 7-1 in their last 8 meetings in Milwaukee. Take the Phillies to win.

1 UNIT = Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies - OVER 10.5 RUNS (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Nolasco vs White
(Note: I'm risking 1.15 units to win 1.00 unit)

After being shutout three straight games the Marlins got their bats going in a 9-2 win yesterday. The Rockies have had no problems scoring runs as they swept the Brewers in three games scoring an average of 8 runs per game. The Rockies have scored 6+ runs in 4 straight games. These two teams have played three games against each other in Miami this year with totals of 12, 13, and 11. Dating back to last season the OVER has hit in 7 straight meetings, and their last 3 game series in Colorado resulted in totals of 17, 11, and 11. Ricky Nolasco is 9-11 with a high 4.90 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, and .293 opponents batting average. Alex White is 2-6 with a 5.82 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, and .292 opponents batting average. Note that the OVER is 9-1-1 in the Marlins last 11 games vs a team with a winning % below .400 and 11-3-1 in their last 15 road games with a total set between 9 and 10.5. The OVER is also 6-1 in Nolasco's last 7 vs with a total set between 9 and 10.5. The OVER is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5, 34-16-3 in their last 53 home games, and 39-19-2 in their last 60 after scoring 5+ runs in their previous game. Take the OVER for a unit.

NFL Betting Picks / Kevin

Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons - OVER 38 POINTS (+100)

You aren't going to see anywhere close to the full write ups I provide during the NFL regular season, but I will try and get some write ups going for any preseason picks I release. The Bengals are 1-0 in preseason play with a 17-6 home win against the New York Jets. LIke a lot of the Week 1 games we saw a low scoring game with both offenses trying to get on the same page. Andy Dalton went 4 for 9 for 54 yards, while Bruce Gradkowski went 5 for 10 for 86 yards and Zac Robinson completed 4 of his 5 attempts but for just 10 yards. Here in week 2 Andy Dalton and the first team offense should get a lot more than the 2 possessions they got in Week 1. After a three and out in their first possession the Bengals started to get some rhythm going on a 15 play drive that went 76 yards for a field goal. In 11 of their 16 games last season the Bengals scored 20 or more points, which included all but one of their road games. Atlanta also scored 17 points in their Week 1 meeting against the Ravens but lost 31-17. Matt Ryan looked great going 9 for 13 for 155 yards (1 TD, 1 INT), while 4th year pro John Parker Wilson also looked good going 8 for 13 for 69 yards and I expect him to get the most playing time tonight for the Falcon's backup QBs. Look for Julio Jones to have another good game tonight at home to follow up on his 6 catches for 109 yards in one quarter last week. With the first team offense in for what should be the first half tonight we can expect the Falcons to put up some better numbers offensively. The Falcons scored 23 or more points in 7 of their 8 home games last season. That included 4 games of scoring 35+ points. Although Cincinnati's defense played well against the Jets tonight will be a different test in Atlanta. Both offenses should get some good first half work in and help drive this total OVER 38 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Easy Baseball Betting

Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+120)

Dodgers (+119)

Angels (+103)

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Thursday

100* Play Atlanta (-180) over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Kris Medlen has won 12 of the last 13 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 9 consecutive games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Kris Medlen has won 14 consecutive night games and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.62.

50* Play Pittsburgh (-130) over LA Dodgers (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Philadelphia (-125) over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers

40 Dime
RUN LINE WINNER

St. Louis Cardinals (RL -1.5) +140 (Cahill vs Lohse)

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Reports

4* St. Louis (Lohse) -140 over Arizona (Cahill)
Range: -120 to -160

3* OVER 8.5 - Chicago White Sox (Liriano)/Toronto (Laffey)
Range: 8 to 9

NFLx
3* Green Bay -3 over Cleveland
Range: -1.5 to -5

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella

Triple-Dime Reds -145

[Mr. IWS]

5Lines

Total Line for 08/16/2012
(Lost last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - New York Yankees : u10
Cost: -115

Run Line for 08/16/2012
(Won last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Atlanta Braves : -1.5
Cost: -110

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Tampa Bay Rays -115

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Los Angeles vs. PITTSBURGH
Los Angeles +118 over PITTSBURGH
4:05 PM EST. A.J. Burnett could certainly be considered the biggest surprise in the majors this season. With his performance so far, at the age of 35, Burnett is turning the clock back to his days in South Florida and his early years in Toronto. He’s 14-4 with a 3.32 ERA. He’s walked just 42 while whiffing 119 in 138 innings. However, gambling on a 35-year-old pitcher with a poor history down the stretch doesn’t come without risk. Burnett has allowed four runs or more in three of his last eight starts. He’s faced a slew of weak hitting opponents over the past six weeks that include the Astros twice, the Padres, the Giants, the Cubbies at Wrigley and the Marlins. He’ll now a Dodgers lineup that has 27 hits in 94 career AB’s against him for a BA of .287.
The Dodgers are heating up again. They’ve won the first two games of this series and have won four in a row and six of seven. Moves made at the deadline to boost their offense is paying dividends, as they’ve scored five runs or more in four straight for a total of 30 runs scored over their past four games.
Joe Blanton’s bad luck continued in his last start in Miami in which he allowed four runs in five innings. He’s maintained an ERA over 4.50 for most of the year but his solid skills don’t support that. Blanton’s 54% strand rate vs. righties is the worst among NL starters. His overall 66% strand rate is extremely low. Blanton has struck out 123 batters while walking just 21 in 144 innings for one of the best K/BB ratios in the league. He has a groundball bias profile and pitching for the red-hot Dodgers, he remains one of the best buy low targets down the stretch.

N.Y. YANKEES vs. Texas
N.Y. YANKEES -117 over Texas
1:05 PM EST. Cheap price on the Yankees here against a team and pitcher they absolutely own at Yankees Stadium. The price is small due to Ivan Nova’s 6.16 ERA at home but we’re not buying into that poor ERA for a second.
Over parts of the previous two seasons, Nova established himself in the Yankee rotation as a groundball pitcher with a power arm that didn't quite translate to eye-popping skills. Nova showed modest progress overall last season but he has flashed a far more imposing arsenal thus far in 2012 minus the surface stats. He has 134 K’s with just 44 walks in 146 innings. He has a solid groundball rate of 46% and stands to offer even more upside if his fortunes take a positive turn. His xERA over his last two starts was 1.85. His xERA over his last five starts was 3.22 and his overall xERA is 3.55. Nova is primed for a strong stretch run and offers up more value than any other Yankee pitcher because he’s viewed as average but truth be told, the guy can throw.
Then there’s Derek Holland. Holland will try to stop the bleeding for the Rangers. That won’t be easy considering that the Yanks have won seven straight over Texas at this park. In seven regular-season games with six starts against the Yankees, Holland is 0-5 with a 9.26 ERA while allowing the Yankees to hit .340. Holland has been hammered by this team and he figures to be a bit anxious about this start. Combining their popularity with the best record in the AL, the Yankees are rarely underpriced but when they are, they are more than worthy of our endorsement.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

WNBA Thursday: 656 Seattle Storm -7

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

White Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Razor Sharp

White Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* NFLX *BEST BET* (8-3 Hot Streak)!

Cleveland Browns +3

4* 27-0 Thursday MLB SMASH!

St. Louis Cardinals ML -145

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

WNBA Seattle Storm -7

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

30 Dimes A's

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd


50 Dime Nfl Winner #2

Browns

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien

25 Dime Winner #5 out of 8
Rockies

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

400,000 Run Line Massacre of the Month

Atlanta Braves

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

600 Winner #8 out of 9

NY Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

50 Dime Winner 8 out of 9

Pittsburgh Pirates

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

30 Dime Winner # 2

Browns

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Informer

3 Unit St Louis -140

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Laverty

2 * New York Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Point Sports

3 Unit Atlanta Run Line -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sport's

3 units

Play the Los Angeles Dodgers plus the money line versus Pittsburgh. The Dodgers (65-53) will start Blanton, who is 2-0 with a 2.94 ERA in five starts versus Pittsburgh. He gave up three runs and struck out eight in seven innings of an 8-3 win over the Pirates on June 25 with the Phillies. The Pirates (64-53), (oh no here we go again), will start A.J. Burnett (14-4, 3.32 ERA) who tries again to become the first Pittsburgh pitcher to win 15 games in a season since Todd Ritchie in 1999, is 3-3 with a 3.38 ERA in eight starts against the Dodgers. This is a non chase play.