8-18-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* (NFL) St. Louis Rams +1

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: New York Jets vs. New York Giants (Saturday 8/18 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York Jets -1 (-110)

The Giants fell behind Jacksonville 7-0 in their opener, but the Super Bowl champs rallied for 24 straight points to take a 24-7 lead, and it looked like the rout was on. It was Jacksonville that rallied from that point on, winning a thrilling (as thrilling as it gets in the preseason) 32-31 contest. The Jaguars showed perfect balance, running and throwing the ball vs. the G-men’s second and third units, and I would expect more of the same from the Jets here in this one, as the Jets ran the ball successfully in week one. Losses don't sit well with Rex Ryan, preseason or not. His teams have responded well in the preseason after suffering one, as they have dropped two in a row just twice in the last four seasons. Those two losses were his first two games on the Jets’ sidelines, and now that the players know what to expect from him they have responded. The Jets have gone 18-7 in their last 25 preseason games after being held to 14 or fewer points and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 following a loss. Play the Jets in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

CARLO CAMPANELLA

Defending Super Bowl champion Giants will want to defend their title and win "the Battle of New York," even if Saturday's meeting is an exhibition game. The Giants lost their first preseason game last Friday, 32-31, to Jacksonville and you can be sure that HC Coughlin will want to tighten his defense after allowing 32 points to a below average offense like the Jaguars. It shouldn't be a problem against a Jets squad that's struggled to an 8-8 record last season behind an offense that broke down mentally as WR Moss pointed fingers at QB Sanchez. That Jets' troubles continued into last weekends preseason opener against the Bengals where they managed only 6 points during a 17-6 loss. With the Jets QBs, Sanchez and Tebow, combining to complete 8 of 14 passes (57%) for only 48 yards and 1 Interception, we'll back the G-Men to easily take the "Battle of New York."

7* Play On New York Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Saturday

100* Play Pittsburgh (+150) over St. Louis (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 4:10 PM EST

Pittsburgh has won 25 of the last 40 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 15 of the last 19 games when playing on a Saturday. Pittsburgh has won 26 of the last 40 day games and they have won 27 of the last 46 games vs. division opponents.

50* Play Tampa Bay (+135) over Los Angeles Angels (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Arizona (-165) over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[poopoo333]

NFL DUNKEL

SATURDAY, AUGUST 18

Game 417-418: NY Giants at NY Jets (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 119.947; NY Jets 1123.655
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: Kansas City at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.318; St. Louis 117.200
Dunkel Line: Even; 40
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 1; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1); Over

Game 421-422: Washington at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.980; Chicago 124.807
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3; 33
Vegas Line: Chicago by 1; 37
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1); Under

Game 423-424: San Francisco at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 123.489; Houston 125.557
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Over

Game 425-426: Seattle at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 124.675; Denver 123.913
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 32
Vegas Line: Denver by 1; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+1); Under

Game 427-428: Dallas at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 126.304; Dallas 122.122
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 42
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-3); Over

[poopoo333]

JOE WIZ Free Play

NFLX play Under 38 bet. San Francisco and Houston

[poopoo333]

Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (13-6, 2.91 ERA)

Two wins is hardly a streak but Hamels has been invisible over his last two starts, pitching back-to-back complete game shutouts. He’s allowed only 12 hits and struck out 11 batters in that span. He’s just the third Phillies pitcher to toss back-to-back shutouts in the past 20 years.

Alex Cobb, Tampa Bay Rays (7-8, 4.08 ERA)

Cobb is helping the Rays make a run at the postseason with his recent performances. The right-hander has won three straight starts, posting a 1.29 ERA in that stretch. In his most recent outing, Cobb gave up one run on four hits over seven innings, his fourth straight quality start.

Slumping

Carlos Villanueva, Toronto Blue Jays (6-2, 3.12 ERA)

Villanueva is 0-2 in his last three starts but isn’t pitching poorly. He has a 3.79 ERA in that span and is coming off a solid effort in which he allowed just one run on five hits over seven innings, taking a no-decision against the White Sox.

Jordan Lyles, Houston Astros (2-9, 5.47 ERA)

Lyles hasn’t earned a “W” since late June and is 0-5 in his last eight starts. The Astros young righty has been better in his previous two starts, giving up just four runs on 11 hits over 14 innings. He’s struck out 11 batters in those two starts as well.

[poopoo333]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Cueto is 6-1, 2.87 in his last seven starts. Samardzija is 3-2, 2.11 in his last six starts.
-- Stults won his last two starts, allowing one run in 13 IP.
-- Corbin is 2-1, 2.22 in his last four starts.
-- Niese is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
-- Hamels won his last two starts, both CG shutouts. Fiers is 4-1, 1.11 in his last six starts at Miller Park.
-- Chatwood is 2-0, 1.64 in his last couple starts. Eovaldi is 1-1, 2.70 in his last two starts.

-- Villanueva is 4-2, 2.76 in his last seven starts.
-- Phelps is 1-1, 2.50 in four starts (18 IP).
-- Johnson won his first start, allowing two runs in six IP.
-- Peavy is 2-1, 2.83 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 3-1, 2.39 in his last four starts.
-- Cobb is 3-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
-- Vargas is 6-1, 2.01 in his last nine starts. Diamond is 2-1, 2.67 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Raley is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts for the Cubs. Redmond is 8-9, 3.54 in his 22 AAA starts; this is his 4th year in AAA, but first MLB game.
-- Zito is 1-2, 7.06 in his last four starts.
-- Lyles is 0-5, 7.74 in his last eight starts.
-- Jackson is 2-3, 3.79 in his last six starts.
-- Harang is 1-2, 6.35 in his last three starts. Sheets is 1-2, 4.50 in last three.
-- Bedard has a 7.72 RA in his last three starts. Lynn is 1-1, 6.55 in his last four starts.

-- Oswalt has 7.01 RA in six starts, last of which was July 30.
-- Lester is 1-2, 4.05 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello is 2-2, 6.66 in his last four starts.
-- BChen is 1-4, 7.60 in his last nine starts.
-- Kluber is 0-1, 9.88 in three starts for Cleveland.
-- Wilson is 0-5, 5.54 in his last eight starts.

Hot Teams
-- Nationals won 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Braves won 18 of their last 23 games. Dodgers won six of their last nine.
-- Reds won six of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals won 10 of their last 14 home games.
-- Milwaukee won its last seven home games.
-- Arizona is 8-7 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Colorado won four of its last five games.
-- Giants won six of their last eight road games.

-- Detroit won 11 of its last 13 home games. Orioles won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Bronx both won eight of its last ten games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last 11 road games. Royals are 11-6 in their last seventeen games.
-- Tampa Bay won 14 of its last 19 games.
-- Mariners won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Miami lost 20 of its last 30 games.
-- Mets lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Phillies are 4-7 in their last 11 road games.
-- Astros lost 13 of their last 17 games overall.
-- Padres lost five of their last six games.

-- Red Sox lost eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Rangers are 6-9 in their last fifteen road games. Blue Jays lost 15 of their last 19 games.
-- Oakland is 7-9 in its last sixteen games, but won last two. Indians lost 15 of their last 19.
-- Angels lost 11 of their last 16 games.
-- Twins lost seven of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Eight of Mets' last ten games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3-2 in Cincinnati's last eleven home games
-- Over is 12-5-1 in last eightteen Dodger road games.
-- Five of last six Houston games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Milwaukee games.
-- Nine of last eleven Pirate games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-2 in last eleven games at Coors Field.
-- Five of last seven San Diego games stayed under total.

-- Under is 14-7-1 in last twenty-two Texas games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Baltimore road games.
-- Under is 21-9 in Boston's last 30 road games.
-- 11 of White Sox' last 15 road games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 Cleveland road games went over.
-- 20 of last 27 Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Under is 11-5-2 in last eighteen games at Safeco Field.

Umpires
-- Chi-Cin-- Five of last six Schrieber games stayed under total. Favorites won 11 of last 15 Everitt games.
-- SF-SD-- Under is 12-5-2 in last nineteen Marquez games.
-- Az-Hst-- Seven of last nine Nauert games went over total.
-- NY-Wsh-- Home side won 13 of last 16 Hudson games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Over is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Randazzo games.
-- LA-Atl-- Ten of last twelve Winters games stayed under.
-- Pitt-StL-- Six of last eight Reynolds games stayed under.
-- Mia-Col-- Favorites won six of last seven Layne games.

-- Tex-Tor-- Under is 13-7-1in last twenty-one Nelson games.
-- Bos-NY-- Over is 8-4 in last 12 Barry games; faves won last seven.
-- Blt-Det-- Under is 11-2-1 in Kellogg's last fourteen games.
-- Chi-KC-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Bucknor games.
-- Cle-A's-- Last five Holbrook games stayed under the total.
-- TB-LA-- Nine of last eleven Porter games went over total.
-- Min-Sea-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Reyburn games.

[poopoo333]

Hondo

Hondo connected for a Senior Circuit double last night, scoring with the Pirates and Nationals to lower the dirty digits to 2,055 sieberns.

Today, Mr. Aitch can’t pass up a chance to wager against Jon Lester, aka Jonny Lager — 10 units on Mr. Phelps and the Yanks. Tonight, he expects Jake to shake and bake in KC — 10 units on Peavy and the Chisox.

[poopoo333]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 892-658 (57 %) over the last 4 years PLUS !

Free play Sat: Seattle Seahawks + 1

[poopoo333]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Rockies -135

[poopoo333]

Today's MLB Picks

NY Mets at Washington

The Mets look to build on their 10-2 record in Jon Niese's last 12 Saturday starts. New York is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, AUGUST 18
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 13.854; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.232
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-210); Under


Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Raley) 14.791; Cincinnati (Redmond) 14.294
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over


Game 955-956: San Francisco at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 16.069; San Diego (Stults) 14.309
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Over


Game 957-958: Arizona at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 14.472; Houston (Lyles) 14.892
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+155); Under


Game 959-960: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 15.797; Washington (Jackson) 15.208
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over


Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.232; Milwaukee (Fiers) 15.079
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Under


Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Harang) 15.861; Atlanta (Sheets) 17.079
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under


Game 965-966: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Bedard) 16.161; St. Louis (Lynn) 14.607
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Over


Game 967-968: Miami at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 15.522; Colorado (Chatwood) 14.681
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over


Game 969-970: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Oswalt) 15.691; Toronto (Villanueva) 14.609
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 971-972: Boston at NY Yankees (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.102; NY Yankees (Phelps) 15.028
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+110); Under


Game 973-974: Baltimore at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 15.278; Detroit (Porcello) 15.786
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 975-976: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 16.852; Kansas City (Chen) 15.752
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); Under


Game 977-978: Cleveland at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 14.293; Oakland (Colon) 13.986
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Under


Game 979-980: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.121; LA Angels (Wilson) 14.780
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-145); Over


Game 981-982: Minnesota at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 14.928; Seattle (Vargas) 14.652
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under

[poopoo333]

Paul Leiner:
1500* NFL Chiefs -1
100* MLB Yankees -130
50* NFL Seahawks Pk

[poopoo333]

SPORTS WAGERS

Bobby Green +100 over Matt Ricehouse

This one is a battle of 155ers vying for title contention in the not-so-deep Strikeforce lightweight division. Bobby "King" Green is 25 years old and already a veteran with an 18-5 record and also the valuable experience of having held three regional level MMA titles.

Matt Ricehouse is also 25 and comes in with a 6-0 record. Looking at their careers thus far, Green has a huge edge in experience having fought much better competition and has gone many rounds against UFC and Strikeforce level fighters. This is a big step up for Ricehouse, who will also be giving up advantages in wrestling and boxing to Green. Ricehouse will need to get this fight to the mat and keep it there in order to win and that's going to be a tall order. Green should be able to keep it standing and pick Ricehouse apart on the feet enough to win by decision or KO. Ricehouse is being falsely advertised as the chalk here, providing us with good value on Green.

[poopoo333]

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Chicago White Sox (Peavy) -145 over Kansas City (Chen)
Range: -130 to -165

3* Kansas City -1 over St. Louis
Range: +2 to -3

3* Dallas/San Diego UNDER 37
Range: 39 to 35

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

Marquee - St Louis +1

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
5-12, -405.5 Dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) in August

30 DIME
LIVE DOG WINNER


Tampa Bay Rays +140 (Cobb vs Wilson)

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

1 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees - YANKEES TO WIN (-110) *AFTERNOON GAME*
Listed Pitchers: Lester vs Phelps
(Note: I'm risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 unit)

1 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Oakland Athletics - ATHLETICS TO WIN (-160)
Listed Pitchers: Kluber vs Colon
(Note: I'm risking 1.60 units to win 1.00 unit)

1 UNIT = Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers - OVER 9.5 RUNS (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Britton vs Porcello
(Note: I'm risking 1.05 units to win 1.00 unit)

1 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners - MARINERS TO WIN (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Diamond vs Vargas
(Note: I'm risking 1.20 units to win 1.00 unit)

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

3* Pitt - 3.5 or 4 (Sunday)
Marque St Louis +1 or 1.5

[Mr. IWS]

JACK JONES

25* GOY Angels -144
20* Jets p/k
15* Chiefs p/k

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: Texas at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas -130 (moneyline)

The Texas Rangers lost a tough one here last night, but this is a team that has been at their best after a loss. The Rangers sport a 46-18 mark after tasting defeat in their previous game. The Blue Jays hung in the race in the AL East for a while, but they have really dropped out of site by going 5-1 in their last 19 games. The Jays have had little bite as a dog where they are 5-13 in their last 18 games. The Rangers are winning the games they are supposed to as they are now 63-31 in their last 94 vs. a losing team. Roy Oswalt has been spotty, but is certainly capable of a gem. The Jays have really struggled against a pitcher with a WHIP of greater than 130 where they are a dismal 1-8 in their last nine. Play on Texas in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

MTi Sports

Rays +144

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Iskoe

Saturday

Giants +1 at Jets (36½): Although just an exhibition game, this one always draws hype in the nation’s top media market, heightened by the Jets and their utilization of Tim Tebow. The Giants have the more stable roster with their major concern development of running back depth. UNDER.

Chiefs +1 at Rams (35½): KC’s first and second units looked sharp in the win over Arizona. St. Louis’ offense needs more work and is likely to be the more aggressive of the two teams in that regard. Rams.

Redskins +1 at Bears (36): Washington coach Mike Shanahan continues to take these preseason games seriously and should give rookie RG III more experience at QB against a sound defense. Bears treated their opener as a scrimmage but starters should see more action here. OVER.

49ers +3 at Texans (36): Preseason Super Bowl preview? Perhaps as both teams are set at most positions and will seek to repeat last season’s trip to the Playoffs. Both teams were sharp in their openers. In this type of matchup the defense usually has the edge. UNDER.

Seahawks +2½ at Broncos (37½): Denver and QB Peyton Manning were very sharp in their win at Chicago. Seattle has a very competitive QB battle involving the trio of Matt Flynn, Tarvaris Jackson and rookie Russell Wilson. The Seahawks were very aggressive in their play-calling last week and should employ a similar approach here. Seahawks.

Cowboys NL at Chargers NT: Dallas is off a short week following Monday night’s game in Oakland and has serious offensive line issues to address especially at center. With the injury to Ryan Mathews, San Diego has to find capable replacements at RB. Offensive line play figures to be the primary focus of both teams. UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

ANDRE GOMES

WNBA - 653 New York Liberty @ 654 Connecticut Sun

Projected line: Connecticut by 4 points

The Liberty took advantage of the Olympic break to practice and especially to heal some of their injured players, especially Planette Pierson, Kia Vaughn and DeMya Walker. With their frontcourt now healed, New York scored 46 points in the paint in their game two days ago against Connecticut, their second best mark of the season. Not only they looked good on paint, as their better presence on the inside helps spreading the floor to give more space to their shooters and that's why the Liberty shot 6-16 3pts! Even without a star in the frontcourt, the Liberty have a deep unit that helps them in always being quite good down low throughout the whole games.
On the other hand, Connecticut had basically a no-show in New York. With Jones out due to injury and Charles struggling with 1-7 FG, the Sun were never in the game. They showed no aggressiveness (4-5 FT), but I'm sure they will look better today, with Charles bouncing back and with the whole team trying to be more aggressive on both ends of the floor. However, with even Connecticut playing much better today, I still believe the Liberty will be competitive tonight. Even though Connecticut has already routed the Liberty at home twice this season (92-77 & 97-55), the truth is that tonight's spread (7,5) is very similar to the lines these two games had (7 & 8), even though Connecticut had Charles and Jones on their best and with the Liberty having a banged up Pierson playing just 8 minutes and coming off the bench.
Therefore, we have good reasons to believe that this healthy version of the Liberty have conditions to make this game very competitive tonight, especially when the Sun will be playing without Jones and with Charles bouncing back but yet to be at 100% after the Olympics. So, I'll be taking New York on tonight's contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653 New York Liberty (+7,5) @ -110 / 1.91

WNBA - 655 Los Angeles Sparks @ 656 Seattle Storm

Projected line: LA Sparks by 8 points

Seattle had a very easy win over a terrible Phoenix team, however they didn't look good at all. Sue Bird struggled the whole game with a stomach flu and even though Tina Thompson returned to the court, but she was clearly limited. With Wauters and Lauren still out, the Storm' post game is basically zero right now. They didn't have problems against Phoenix, but let's face it, the Mercury frontcourt is also a disaster, however the same can't be said to the Sparks' frontcourt. Seattle attempted 23 3pts shots, went to the charity line just 7 times and grabbed only 4 offensive rebounds against Phoenix! They will now face the Sparks, and the LA team has a big defensive problem in stopping pick n rolls, as their frontcourt struggles in defending this kind of play. However, Seattle has no frontcourt for this game, just Camille Little and she isn't a threat down low and she's a mid-ranger shooter.
I believe there will be no miracles for Seattle. With Lauren back and Bird at 100%, the Storm will be a very strong team. However, on this game with Bird struggling with the flu and Lauren out, the Sparks' powerful frontcourt with Parker, Ogwumike and Milton-Jones will pound the Storm down low and get a comfortable win today. Therefore, I'll be taking the Sparks tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655 Los Angeles Sparks (-4) @ -110 / 1.91

EARLY GAME PREMIUM PLAY (1PM EST START)

MLB - 951 Chicago Cubs @ 952 Cincinnati Reds
(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs J. Cueto)

On this first game of a double header, I like both SP to have a great performance and shutdown the batters for this contest. Samardzija is coming from a great outing against Houston and the truth is that he has allowed just two runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts, while his FIP has been lower than 4.00 in five of his last six outings. With the Reds having a lineup full of RH batters, this is a good matchup for Samardzija, as he is .242 BA, .347 SLG, 2.77 FIP and 2.91 xFIP against RH batters this season! This is why he has already dominated the Reds this season by allowing them just one run and three hits in a 7.2 IP outing.
Cincinnati will start Cueto on this early game and he is my current bet to win the NL Cy Young award. He is coming from 5 days rest and in fact, he is coming from a dominant performance against this very same Cubs on the road, where he allowed no runs and just three hits in a 8.0 IP outing. He has a season ERA of 2.45 and his August numbers aren't much worse with 2.82 ERA, 3.36 FIP and 2.88 xFIP. Against a poor lineup of the Cubs today, I believe Cueto will once again dominate.
Cincinnati will be resting Ludwick and Stubbs for this game and so, they will be missing some of their offensive power in here, especially as Ludwick has been hitting .330 BA in August. With both SP having a great spot to dominate the batters on this contest, I'll see a lot of value on the Under and so, I'll take it in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951/952 Under 7.5 (w/ J. Samardzija & J. Cueto) @ -123 / 1.81

[poopoo333]

SPORTS WAGERS - MLB

Pittsburgh vs. ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh +151 over ST. LOUIS
Over the course of a season, every team will suffer through a stretch in which their bats go cold. That has yet to happen to the Cardinals but they could be on the verge of that right now. St. Louis is coming off back-to-back games of scoring a lone run. That occurred against two struggling starters in Trevor Cahill and James MacDonald. The Cardinals have also lost seven of their past 10 games while the Pirates have won two straight.
The Cards have lost Lance Lynn’s past three starts but it should have been four after the right-hander was let off the hook when the Cubs got to him for six runs in five frames. He’s now allowed 16 runs over his past 22 innings covering four starts. Lynn has had trouble getting lefties out all season (1.68 WHIP against LH) and now he’s having that same problem against righties too. Lynn is finding the stretch run of his first full season to be rather difficult. It won’t help that the Pirates have had the luxury of seeing him twice already this year.
Erik Bedard is hit and miss. He can be downright nasty one game and blow up the very next. But he’s more appealing taking back a tag like this, than he is spotting one. We know he’s capable and it’s a risk worth taking against the suddenly struggling combination of both the Cardinals and Lance Lynn.


Tampa Bay vs L.A. ANGELS
Tampa Bay +136 over L.A. ANGELS
Tampa has now won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-3. In eight games against L.A. this season, the Rays are 7-1 and have allowed just 10 runs in those eight contests. Overall, TB is 16-6 over its last 22 games.
Alex Cobb is the next Rays pitcher to get a crack at the Angels. Cobb is not as consistent as his teammates but his skills are equal and with a bit of better luck (65% strand rate on year), his ERA would be significantly lower than his current one of 4.08. Cobb has an elite groundball rate of 58%. His xERA of 3.49 is more than 1½-runs lower than his actual ERA. He has good control and his strikeout rate is increasing. Those factors keep him on our buy low radar and it sure doesn’t hurt that he’s pitching for a red-hot club.
C.J. Wilson’s transition from a late inning reliever into a 200+ inning a year workhorse has been remarkable to say the least. However, we’re seeing a deterioration of his skills, particularly his control and strikeout rate and that should be worrisome to Angel backers here given Wilson's limited track record as a starter. Wilson has walked 69 batters in 154 frames. In games in which his strand rate is normal, he allows runs in bunches. In games in which his strand rate is 80% or more, he has to pitch out of trouble time and time again. In two of his last three starts, he’s reached the 100+ pitch count in five innings and had to be removed. The toll all this is taking on Wilson is adding up and with 223 innings pitched last year, 203 the previous year and 154 this season, C.J. Wilson is a pitcher that could be suffering from fatigue, resulting in a difficult stretch run. Once again we find solid value on this very live pooch.

[poopoo333]

Dom Chambers


30 DIME
LIVE DOG WINNER


Tampa Bay Rays +140 (Cobb vs Wilson)