9-7-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Double Dragon

2- UTAH STATE +7 vs Utah

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

25* Utah -7 Rivalry GOY

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Marquee Utah/Utah St. Over 50.5

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan
200♦ A.L. LINE MISTAKE
Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
Third-Biggest MLB
Release of the Season

50 Dime
MLB Winner #4 of 5
Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd
25 Dime
Instate Rivalry of the Month
Utah St

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

30 Dime
Winner # 3 in a Row
Run Line Blowout
Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

300,000 MLB Road Warrior
Game of the Month
Texas Rangers

[Mr. IWS]

AL Demarco
BASEBALL
WINNER # 13 OF 14

5 Dime Play
Nationals RL

[Mr. IWS]

evin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-106)
Listed Pitchers: Hughes vs Chen
(Note: I'm risking 2.12 units to win 2.00 units)

Shorter write ups for today.

The Orioles took Game 1 of an all important 4 game series with the New York Yankees to move into 1st in the AL East. The Orioles have won 6 of their last 8 games, while the Yankees have lost 6 of their last 8. Tonight's pitcher for New York is Phil Hughes who is 13-12 on the season with a 4.18 ERA, but was lit up his last time out, which just happened to be against the Orioles. At Yankee Stadium the Orioles had 8 hits and 5 earned runs off Hughes in just 5 innings of work. Hughes has a 3.56 ERA at home, but it is a high 5.03 on the road where he is just 3-8. Wei-Yin Chen is pitching for Baltimore and he is 12-8 on the season with a 3.79 ERA. He went 6.2 innings giving up 4 hits and 3 earned runs against the Yankees in his last time out. Chen is a touch better at home going 6-4 with a 3.45 ERA. The Yankees are just 3-8 in their last 11 road games, 3-7 in Hughes' last 10 starts as a road underdog, and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts overall. The Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 home games, 5-2 in Chen's last 7 starts, and 7-2 in his last 9 home starts vs a team with a winning record. Take the Orioles to win again tonight.

2 UNIT = Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS TO WIN (-114)
Listed Pitchers: Beckett vs Lincecum
(Note: I'm risking 2.28 units to win 2.00 units)

Both teams enter tonight off of two straight losses. The Dodgers send Josh Beckett to the mound who is 6-12 on the season with a 5.03 ERA. In time spent with the Red Sox and Dodgers he is just 3-7 on the road with a 5.16 ERA. Although Beckett had a good start his last time out, he had a 8.59 ERA in 4 August starts and a 6.08 ERA in 5 July starts. Tim Lincecum takes the rubber for San Fran and he is 8-14 on the year with a 5.21 ERA. Although those numbers don't look good, Lincecum is 5-4 with a solid 3.26 ERA since the All Star break. He is also a better pitcher at home where his ERA is 4.01 (more than 2 points lower than the road). Take note that the Dodgers are just 5-14 in their last 19 vs NL West opponents, while the Giants are a solid 11-4 in their last 15 vs divisional opponents. The Giants are also 11-5 in their last 16 overall, and 5-0 in Lincecum's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Dodgers aren't scoring many runs lately, with just 2 5+ run games over their last 11. On the other hand the Giants have scored 5+ runs in 6 of their last 8. Giants are 6-2 in Lincecum's last 8 home starts vs the Dogers. Take the Giants to win tonight.

1 UNIT = Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies - PHILLIES -1.5 (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Francis vs Lee
(Note: I'm risking 1.05 units to win 1.00 unit)

The Colorado Rockies have scored just 7 runs in their last four games, with 6 of those runs coming in one game. With cold bats one of the last pitchers you want to see is a Cliff Lee who is pitching well. Lee has a 1.31 ERA over his last three starts, which includes 7 shutout innings in his last start in Atlanta. Rockies pitcher Jeff Francis is coming off a rough outing where he allowed 10 hits and 5 earned runs against in just 3.2 innings of work. While the Rockies bats are cold, the Phillies have scored 31 runs over their last 6 games (5.2 runs per game). The Phillies have won 5 of 7 and are 6-1 in Lee's last 7 starts as a home favorite of -201 or more. The Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs Colorado and overall are 37-18 in their last 55 meetings. I like the Phillies to win by a handful of runs tonight, and will take them on the run line.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

WNBA today: 4-Unit Play. Take Over 163.5 Phoenix vs. Connecticut (Friday @ 7:05pm est)

CFL:
3* Edmonton -2.5 over Calgary (9:00PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella Non-Conf G.O.M. 3* triple dime
371 Vanderbilt -3.0 (-110) vs 372 Northwestern

GoodFella | CFB Total


Double-Dime Bet 377 Illinois / 378 Arizona St. Under 49 2* on ILLINOIS/ASU Under 49 (48.5 fine too, line moved at some books) & I like for a 2* all the way to UNDER 48, fwiw).



Double-Dime Bet 373 Duke 15.0 (-110) vs 374 Stanford-2* on DUKE +15

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

25 Utah st
15 Detroit Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

20,000 Unit CFB Friday Night Move

Utah State Aggies +7 over Utah

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

25* Rivalry GOY UTAH -7 (28-0 SYSTEM)
13-3 run in football top play's.

15*Nationals r/l -121
15*Braves +105
Free Play St Louis -135

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

4* Utah/Utah St. NCAAF *Friday Night Feast* (ESPN2)!
Utah Utes -7

4* 43-0 MLB *Friday Night Feast*
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

401 K Sports

Toronto +125 over Boston(7pm)
Toronto/Boston over 9.5(-110)
Tampa Bay -110 over Texas(7pm)
Detroit/LA Angels under 8.5(-110)(10pm)
Milwaukee/St Louis over 7.5(-115)(8pm)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB
Texas +102 over TAMPA BAY
After an emotional series against the Yanks, things don’t get easier for the Rays against the Rangers. Texas is batting .287 with an .845 OPS over the last two weeks and over that same stretch Ranger pitching has compiled a 3.31 ERA. Derek Holland is in fine form with an elite August that saw him put together an elite month in August in terms of skills. Both his groundball and strikeout rates were higher than any month. A 57% strand rate resulted in an inflated 4.73 ERA that month. Digging deeper, he's one tweak against RH bats away from becoming a top-tier starter. With a 63% groundball rate against lefties, Holland is so close.

Tampa Bay pitching is, of course, solid, and the Rays own a sparkling 2.89 ERA at home. However, Jeremy Hellickson continues to defy the odds. Everything about this guy screams mediocrity, including his low strikeout rate and average groundball rate of 40%. His 4.46 xERA is the real story and while his luck could hold up longer, we know for sure we’re going with the best of it by taking back a small tag with the better offense and pitcher.
Our PickTexas +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)
Late pick
Colorado +196 over PHILADELPHIA
The Phillies are not used to playing meaningless games in early September. They’ll go back to that here after back-to-back meaningful series against the Braves and Reds in which they won four of those six in the spoiler role. They’ll be no motivation against the Rockies.

Jeff Francis is usually avoided in this space because of his lackluster ERA (5.73) and the inning limit Colorado places on its pitchers. However, he's quietly posted a solid couple of months with an xERA of 3.49. , His 53%groundball rate is the highest of his career. A 34% hit rate and 63% strand rate have done him in but he makes for a sneaky good play against at Philly team that is just 7-14 at home against southpaws and that hits just .238 vs. LHPs.

Cliff Lee is good and W/L records are certainly misleading but how can one ignore the four wins Lee has in 24 starts this season. Some years a pitcher can’t catch a break and Lee is this year’s victim. With a take-back like this in a decent spot, the Rockies offer up some solid value.

Our Pick Colorado +196 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.92)

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Washington (-250) over Miami

50* Philadelphia (-200) over Colorado

50* Cincinnati (-200) over Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4 Reds- Astros over 8 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

XpertPicks

NCAA Football


• * *Play Utah -7 over Utah State (TOP NCAA PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST FRIDAY

Utah has won 7 of the last 8 games when playing in the 1st month of
the season and they have also won 6 consecutive games coming off a win
by 17 points or more. *Utah has won 16 of the last 18 games vs. Utah
State and they have won 15 of the last 18 games as a favorite.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


• * *Play South Florida +1.5 over Nevada (TOP NCAA PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 3:30 PM EST SATURDAY

South Florida has won 10 of the last 12 non-conference games and they
have also won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 6 games as a
road underdog. *South Florida has won 7 of the last 9 games when
playing in the month of September and they have won 3 of the last 4
road games when the total posted is between 52.5 and 56 points.


• * *Play Florida +1 over Texas A&M (TOP NCAA PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 3:30 PM EST SATURDAY

Florida has won 9 consecutive games when playing in the month of
September and they have also won 9 of the last 11 games coming off an
UNDER the total. *Florida has won 6 of the last 9 games when the total
posted is between 49.5 and 56 points and they have covered the spread
in 7 of the last 11 road games as an underdog of seven points or less.


• * *Play Florida Atlantic +8.5 over Middle Tennessee State (TOP NCAA
PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 7:00 PM EST SATURDAY

Middle Tennessee State has lost 7 consecutive home games against the
spread and they have also lost 11 of the last 15 games against the
spread coming off a loss. *Middle Tennessee has lost 9 of the last 12
games against the spread when playing in the 1st half of the season
and they have lost 11 of the last 15 games against the spread as a
favorite.


• * *Play Missouri +2 over Georgia (TOP NCAA PLAY)---5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 7:45 PM EST SATURDAY

Georgia has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread when the
line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have lost 4 of the last 5
games against the spread when playing in the 1st two weeks of the
season. *Missouri has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games
coming off a non-conference game and they have also covered the spread
in 5 of the last 6 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in
their last game.


Play 5-Team Teaser (6-point)
Utah -1, Missouri +8, Florida +7, FAU +14.5, South Florida +7.5


Play 5-Team Round-Robin Parlay
Utah -7, Missouri +2, Florida +1, FAU +8.5, South Florida +1.5


Play 5-Team Parlay
Utah (moneyline), Missouri +3.5 (buy 1.5 points), Florida +3 (buy 2
points), South Florida +3.5 (buy 2 points), and FAU +10.5 (buy 2
points)

[Mr. IWS]

marco deangelo
2* detroit tigers

[Mr. IWS]

The Brian Laverty

MLB Plays:

- Baltimore -106 (2 Units)

- LA Dodgers/San Francisco Under 7 -103 (2 Unit)

Soccer Plays:

- Jamaica +0.5 -108 (1.5 Units)

- Canada ML +129 (1 Unit)

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Ed Meyer MLB Money Line Fri, 09/07/12 - 10:15 PM

double-dime bet 965 LOS (+110) Americasbookie.com vs 966 SFG
Analysis
The Dodgers have lost their last two and they are 4-7 their last eleven and they were the favorite in all eleven. We like them as a dog in this spot.

San Francisco struggles when favored vs a team that has been losing, as they are 8-18 as a home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. In their last four - all from this season - the Giants have lost by scores of: 6-3, 5-3, 7-3 and 8-6.
Lincecum had a nice outing against the Cubs on the 1st of the month, winning 5-2 as a road favorite. This result, however, does not make the Giants a play-on team here; quite the contrary. San Francisco is 0-8 since the start of the 2011 season as a home favorite with Lincecum when they won his last start if he struck out fewer than eight batters. The Giants have been KILLED in this spot. See for yourself with this SDQL text:

starter=Tim Lincecum and HF and s:W and s:SSO<8 and season>=2011
Note that the Giants have NEVER led in their last five games in this spot and they a 180-plus favorite in three of the five. Their average margin of defeat has been 4.4 runs and Lincecum has produced one quality start in his last five appearances in this spot.

As a team the Dodgers are a very profitable 20-11 at night in the first game of a road series and 35-19 when they lost the last time they faced their opponent's starting pitcher.
As a team the Giants are a surprising worst-in-league 26-56 (31.7%) when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they allowed 12-plus hits. The Mariners are second worst at 39.0% winners.

As a road dog, the Dodgers can relax and swing away. This is a great spot to back LA.

MTi's FORECAST: LA Dodgers 7 San Francisco 3

[Mr. IWS]

insider sports report** 9/7

4* st louis (lohse)

3*utah/utah st. Over 52.5
det. (scherzer)

[Mr. IWS]

Andrew Lange MLB

10* Tigers -115

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
MLB:
4* OVER 8.5 Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds (7:10PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

Football
100 UNDER Calgary in CFL
400-Utah

MLB
50 Dodgers
50 OVER Colorado
100 UNDER Seattle