9-9-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 1
By LARRY JOSEPHSON

St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions (-7, 45.5)

Steven Jackson vs. Lions run defense

Let’s face it - with Jackson the Rams have the semblance of an NFL offense. Without him at 100 percent it can get pretty ugly, especially since Sam Bradford completes less than 54 percent of his passes to a less-than-mediocre group of receivers. The Rams are just too limited and too inexperienced.

Detroit’s defense overall was mediocre last season (23rd overall, giving up 367 yards a game), but St. Louis is very one-dimensional.

Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (-7, 50)

Saints’ quick defense vs. Redskins QB Robert Griffin III

Tough opener here for the kid, who like Michael Vick, will succumb to the urge to flee the pocket when things get uncomfortable. The Saints will move heaven and earth to keep RG3 inside the hash marks and see how good he is at reading defenses.

One area of concern for New Orleans: Injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Middle linebacker Curtis Lofton (sprained ankle) insists he’ll be ready to go.

New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans (+6.5, 47)

Titans QB Jake Locker vs. the Patriots pass rush

That’s right. New England’s pass rush. The Pats’ defense has undergone a makeover and instead of flooding the passing lanes with up to seven DBs and giving ground like the French in WWII, they will attack more with newcomers Chandler Jones and Don’t’a Hightower going after Jake Locker.

The Titans have turned the page at QB, sitting (for now) vet Matt Hasselbeck and moving to Locker, who has thrown all of 66 career passes and completed barely half of them. Locker has never thrown a pick and NE’s Kyle Arrington led the NFL with 11 INTs last year.

Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (-11.5, 43)

Dolphins’ overall lack of talent vs. Houston’s playmakers

Will someone please take his talent to South Beach? The Dolphins are desperate for someone who can move the chains. The contrast between Houston’s mother lode of talent (Andre Johnson, Matt Schaub, Arian Foster) and Miami’s talent-free roster will be on full display.

Plus, Houston’s defense (No. 2 last season, allowing 285.7 yards per game) gets to go against a rookie QB (Ryan Tannehill).

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Monthly money: Best and worst NFL bets in September
By MARC LAWRENCE

Handicapping NFL games in September can be tricky, especially for bettors have been anxiously waiting to place wagers on football after sweating out the dog days of summer.

Nonetheless, the London Olympics are in the books and the pig is in the air, meaning the sweltering days of summer will soon be history.

Let’s take a quick look at how teams in the NFL have fared during the opening month of September since 1990.

Listed below are the GOOD and BAD ATS (Against The Spread) September performers. Teams had to beat the spread 66.7 percent or more of the time, or lose to the spread 33.3 percent or less of the time, in order to qualify for the list.

All results were extracted from the 2012 PLAYBOOK Football Preview magazine.

SEPTEMBER GOOD MONTH PERFORMERS:

Dallas • 21-9 ATS as underdogs

The Cowboys are America’s team and almost always have enough talent to compete, if not win as often as their fans or oddsmakers think. Dallas is known for big plays and that is usually why they come through when catching points early in the season.

Kansas City • 22-10 ATS vs. division opponents

The Chiefs have long been known to focus their attention on AFC West encounters, both home and away. The rivalries in this division are about as fierce and full of hate as any in football and Kansas City has always made it their business to keep it personal.

Keep an Eye On:

Denver • 13-7 ATS as underdogs

The Broncos used to enjoy a tremendous home-field advantage, but have only had one winning regular season in Denver since 2006. They have been a much better wager when catching points.

SEPTEMBER BAD MONTH PERFORMERS:

Arizona • 10-21 ATS at home, 7-15 ATS when favored

The further Kurt Warner is removed from the Arizona franchise, the lower the Cardinals continue to sink. Even when the Redbirds had pretty good teams in recent years, they were slow out the gate, even at home.

Carolina • 7-14 ATS as favorites

John Fox was a successful head coach in Charlotte for the most part, but he was more known for how his teams closed the year than how they began them. Carolina has always been a far better road underdog than a favorite.

Cincinnati • 11-25 ATS at home, 10-20 ATS when favored

Bengals fans have been apathetic towards ownership, despite the team reaching the playoffs three times in the past seven seasons. The franchise averaged just over 49,000 patrons per game last season, last in the NFL. The days of the “The Jungle” are long gone and the Bengals’ home-field edge could bankrupt football bettors.

Cleveland • 2-5 ATS as favorites

When your talent level is in the lower 20 percent of the league, winning games is a problem. Positioning teams like this as favorites can be very profitable, as long as you are betting the other side. Cleveland does not deserve to be giving points to anybody at this juncture.

St. Louis • 13-26 ATS away

This is our second Kurt Warner reference, but it’s apparent what his impact was on two franchises after he departed. The Rams have assembled mediocre players for years and are clearly not capable of taking their act on the road in the first quarter of the season.

Keep An Eye On:

Chicago • 11-20 ATS as favorites

Previously, Chicago played more home games early in the season in order to have fewer cold-weather games in the northern part of the country. The Bears were often not equipped to handle being favored.

Oakland • 11-20 ATS vs. division opponents

The days of “Commitment to Excellence” with the Raiders went out like Al Davis’ leisure suits. AFC West rivals still derive pleasure from kicking Oakland’s posterior to this day.

Pittsburgh • 9-17 ATS as underdogs

The Steelers have been notorious slow starters, often peaking late in the season and taking a few early lumps since the Chuck Noll days in Pittsburgh.

St. Louis • 12-23 as favorites

Even when the Rams were the “Greatest Show on Turf” under Dick Vermeil, the St. Louis defense allowed too many points, making them a crummy choice as a favorite.

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NFL Prop Shop: Week 1's best prop plays
By SEAN MURPHY

The NFL Prop Shop is open for business again this year, and we'll be looking to improve on last season's 31-25-6 overall mark.

I'll break down four picks to click each and every week - it's up to you to shop around and find the best lines.

Here's a look at Week 1's prop shop foursome.

Most passing yards

Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) vs. John Skelton (Arizona Cardinals)

John Skelton won the Cardinals’ starting QB job, but his hold on the position isn't all that strong.

Skelton had a less than impressive preseason, but was still a heck of a lot better than Kevin Kolb. That's not saying much. While Skelton will have the best player on the field at his disposal in Larry Fitzgerald, I'm not convinced he'll find many open passing lanes against an aggressive Seahawks defense. I really like what Seattle brings to the table in the secondary and fully expect Skelton to struggle throwing into tight coverage all day long.

Russell Wilson also won a starting QB job thanks to his play in the preseason. I still feel he's an undervalued commodity entering the new season.

Wilson won't be asked to do too much Sunday, but when the Seahawks do open things up in the passing game, I'm confident he'll be able to make some big throws to an underrated receiving corps, led by Sidney Rice.

Take: Wilson

Most rushing yards

Fred Jackson (Buffalo Bills) vs. Shonn Greene (New York Jets)

I don't think that Jets head coach Rex Ryan has ever had a lot of faith in Shonn Greene. As much as he would like to revert to the Jets ground-and-pound form of past years, I just don't see him giving Green that heavy of a workload.

Last year, Greene did run for over 1,000 yards but it took him over 250 carries to do so. His longest run over his three-year career has been for only 33 yards. The presence of Tim Tebow in the wildcat formation will likely steal away some of Greene's carries this season.

Fred Jackson was a force for the Bills before losing six games to injury last season. In only 10 games played, he managed to run for 934 yards - good for an impressive 5.5 yards per rush. With QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and the passing game less than a sure thing at this point, I expect Buffalo to lean heavily on Jackson against the Jets Sunday.

Jackson outrushed Green 82-76 in their lone matchup last season (Jackson missed the teams' second meeting due to injury).

Take: Jackson

Michael Turner (Atlanta Falcons) vs. Jamaal Charles (Kansas City Chiefs)

After enjoying a breakout season in 2010, Jamaal Charles saw his 2011 campaign come to an end due to a knee-injury in Week 2. All indications are that he feels good and is ready to step back into the spotlight here in 2012, and I'll gladly back him in Week 1.

Charles will be the feature back for the Chiefs this year. Yes, Peyton Hillis will also see plenty of action, but I see this as a statement game for Charles. He's certainly the more electric of the two backs and I won't be surprised if he's able to bust out a long run against this Falcons defense.

Michael Turner is still the man in Atlanta, although there are rumblings that his workload will be reduced with speedster Jacquizz Rodgers likely stealing some of his thunder.

Turner is always going to be a load for any defense to handle, but I'm not convinced that he's the same type of game-breaker as Charles is at this stage of his career. While Turner will pound away for four quarters, Charles has the potential to take it to the house on any given play. That's the different in this matchup.

Take: Charles

Most pass receptions

Antonio Brown (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. Eric Decker (Denver Broncos)

Give me the proven tandem of Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown over the new combo of Peyton Manning and Erick Decker Sunday night.

Brown was a breakout star in the Steelers offense a year ago and looks positioned to take another step forward in 2012. With Mike Wallace missing the entire preseason, it's tough to envision him playing a big role in Sunday's contest. Instead, look for Brown to be Big Ben's go-to guy, particularly in the short passing game.

There are high expectations on Eric Decker this season. He was a standout in his rookie year and that was with the likes of Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow throwing to him. He'll be aided by Peyton Manning's presence but I'm not expecting these two to be on the same page right out of the gate - at least not down to the letter. They made positive strides during the preseason but they'll be facing a much tougher task against a stingy Steelers defense.

Take: Brown

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Colin Cowherd's Blazing 5

Eagles (-8) at Browns
Redskins at Saints (-7)
49ers (+5) at Packers
Steelers (+1.5) at Broncos
Bills at Jets (-2.5)

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Stone Cold Lead Pipe Locks
Mike & Mike in the Morning on ESPN Radio

Mike Golic
New Orleans (-9)
San Francisco (+5)

Mike Greenburg
Houston (-12)
Green Bay (-5)

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SPORTS WAGERS/RANDALL the HANDLE - NFL

KANSAS CITY +3 -109 over Atlanta
The Chiefs won this division just two seasons ago before being decimated by injuries in 2011 in which RB Jamaal Charles was instantly lost along with TE Tony Moeaki. QB Matt Cassel missed seven games. KC’s offense couldn’t overcome such adversity and it was a season lost.
This is a fresh start. A slew of talented players return to KC’s roster, including a healthy Jamaal Charles, safety Eric Berry and TE Tony Moeaki. In addition, head coach, Romeo Crennel is there from the get go after replacing the uncompromising Todd Haley last year.
The Falcons have high expectations but they are best on fast home surface and have dropped three of past four away. They’ll also face a team that was very vanilla in the preseason and will now display its real game plans for this, a real game. The Chiefs are extremely dangerous as home underdogs with nine covers in past 11, including six straight when taking points here.

N.Y. JETS -3 +105 over Buffalo
The Jets were Super Bowl contenders not long ago but have since fallen back to the pack. A horrendous pre-season offensively (Bills weren’t much either) has really soured Jets supporters but we’re not exactly buying into it. Rex Ryan is sly enough to not show his hand just yet, especially with Tim Tebow’s non-QB athleticism at his disposal and an elite defense to keep opponents within striking distance.
The Bills are being touted by some but a poor secondary, and an offense that is void of impact players has us doubting. The Bills started last year on a very strong note with Ryan Fitzpatrick racking up multiple touchdown games but by midseason it all took a downward turn. The passing game no longer was as effective and by several accounts defenses had figured out the Bills. It certainly looked like it with the Bills 5-2 after seven games but only 1-8 the rest of the way.
The Jets have won seven of the last eight meetings. Buffalo was victorious in just one of six divisional games last year which included a pair of losses to this host. While there have been concerns voiced with New York’s offense coming into this season, we’d be more concerned with a Bills defense that is supposed to better but was torched all throughout the pre-season.

ARIZONA +125 over Seattle
Seattle fans are all amped up over rookie QB Russell Wilson after the youngster earned the starting job over recently acquired Matt Flynn. Calm down people. Wilson had tiny shoes to fill with the array of stiffs that have paraded through the northwest. We don’t see why the Seachickens should be a road favorite, in division, with a neophyte QB in his first game of regular season play.
The Cardinals have their own QB issues but they believe in John Skelton and they do have the best player on the field in WR Larry Fitzgerald. Let’s not ignore that Arizona won five of its final six games last year. Much of their late season success was attributed to a unheralded defence that started to gel and one that enters this campaign cohesively and with confidence.
Arizona went 6-2 at home a season ago and the home team in this series has won seven of the last 10 meetings and four of the last five. The Seahawks may be a team pointed in the right direction but they are being overvalued here due to a strong pre-season. Road games have long been an albatross or this franchise, which gives us a nice sell high opportunity. Cardinals straight up.

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GOODFELLA 3* NFL GOW :

BILLS +3 over jets


*released on monday

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NFLBettingPicks

2 UNIT = Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals - SEAHAWKS -1 (-122)
(Note: I'm risking 2.44 units to win 2.00 units)

The Seattle Seahawks started off the 2011 season going 1-3 with losses coming to tough teams in Pittsburgh, San Francisco, and Atlanta. After that the Seahawks managed to go 6-6 for the rest of the season, with some impressive victories against Baltimore, Philadelphia, and @Chicago. Other wins came against Arizona, St Louis x2 and Washington. The Seahawks other losses came against Cleveland, Cincinnati, Dallas, Washington, San Francisco and Arizona. Seattle had the leagues 9th best defense as far as yards against per game at 332 and were 7th in the NFL allowing just 19.7 points against per game. The offense on the other hand wasn't very good averaging 303 yards per game (28th) and 20.1 points per game (23rd). Seattle's problem was at quarterback with neither Tarvaris Jackson or Charlie Whitehurst performing to the level they needed to. The Seahawks addressed that issue by signing Matt Flynn out of Green Bay and drafting Russell Wilson in the 3rd round of this year's draft. Wilson outperformed Flynn in the preseason and was named the starting QB for the Seahawks, which was the right decision in my mind. With Wisconsin last season Wilson threw for 3175 yards with 33 TDs and just 4 INTs while adding 338 yards rushing and 6 TDs on the ground. In the deciding preseason game vs Kansas City Wilson went 13 for 19 for 185 yards and 2 TDs and added 58 yards on the ground. Running Back Marshawn Lynch is now questionable for Sunday's game, but even if he is out I still like Seattle to win on Sunday.

The Arizona Cardinals started off last season with a win versus Carolina at home, and then went on to lose 6 straight games to fall to 1-6. The Cardinals turned things around going 7-2 in their last 9 games to finish the year 8-8, but missing the playoffs. Wins came against Carolina, St Louis x2, Philadelphia, Dallas, San Francisco, Cleveland, and Seattle. While losses came against Washington, Seattle, NY Giants, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, San Francisco, Cincinnati. The Cardinals defense ranked 18th in the NFL allowing 355 yards against per game, while they ranked 16th giving up 21.8 points against per game. On offense they averaged 324 yards per game (19th) and averaged just 19.5 points per game (24th). John Skelton and Kevin Kolb split time at QB last year, but Skelton won the starting role despite a poor preseason. Skelton completed 56% of his passes this preseason for 1 TD and 2 INTs and a 50.6 QB Rating, which were better numbers than Kevin Kolb's. In 2011 Skelton completed just 54.9% of his passes for 1913 yards with 11 TDs and 14 INTs and a 68.9 QB Rating.

Seattle ranked 11th in the league in pass defense, and should make it tough on Skelton Sunday. For Arizona to have success they are going to need to have success running the ball with Beanie Wells, but that could be tough against Seattle's defense that was ranked 15th against the rush (note that the Cardinals were 24th in the league in rushing last year averaging 101 yards per game). Also take note that Arizona will be starting two offensive tackles that have never started an NFL game at those positions. These two teams split their two meetings last year (both 3 point victories by the home team), but this year I see the Seahawks much improved while the Cardinals will take a step backwards. Take Seattle to cover.

2 UNIT = Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans - TEXANS -12 (-102)
(Note: I'm risking 2.04 units to win 2.00 units)

The Miami Dolphins started the season 0-7 before turning things around and finishing off the year winning 6 of their last 9 for a 6-10 record. Losses came against New England x2, Houston, Cleveland, San Diego, NY Jets, Denver, Dallas, Philadelphia. Their victories came against Kansas City, Washington, Buffalo x2, Oakland and NY Jets. The Dolphins were 2-6 on the road last year. The Dolphins ranked 15th in total defense allowing 345 yards against per game, and allowed just 19.6 points against per game (6th). Offensively the Dolphins ranked 22nd averaging 317 yards per game and scored just 20.6 points per game (20th). QB snaps were split between Matt Moore and Chad Henne last year, but they've handed the starting role over to rookie Ryan Tannehill who was their 8th overall pick in this year's draft. With Texas A&M last year he threw for 3744 yards with 29 TDs and 15 INTs completing 61.6 % of his passes. During the preseason Ryan Tannehill failed to really impress completing 52.6% of his passes for 1 TD and 1 INT (66.9 QB Rating), but that is expected out of a young quarterback. Factor in that the Dolphins skilled positions on offense aren't very good, and it looks like the Dolphins could start the season off poorly again this year.

The Houston Texans started the year off last year 10-3 before dropping the final three games to finish 10-6. The Texans had some key injuries on offense with QB Matt Shaub missing 6 games and star receiver Andre Johnson missing 9. Back up QB T.J. Yates helped the Texans win their first playoff game in the Wildcard round 31-10 at home versus the Bengals, but his inexperience showed in Baltimore where he threw 3 INTs in a 20-13 loss. Regular season wins for the Texans came against Indianapolis, Miami, Pittsburgh, Tennessee, Jacksonville x2, Cleveland, Tampa Bay, Atlanta ,and Cincinnati.With losses coming against New Orleans, Oakland, Baltimore, Carolina, Indianapolis, and Tennessee. Houston had 6 double digit wins on the season last year. Despite missing some key players the Texans offense ranked 13th averaging 372 yards per game, and 10th in the league averaging 23.8 points per game. Their defense was even better, which makes the future of this team look very good. Houston's defense ranked #2 in the NFL allowing just 285 yards against per game and just 17.4 points against per game (4th). Shaub was one of the better QBs in the league last year before getting injured, throwing for 2479 yards and completing 61% of his passes with 15 TDs and 6 INTs - good for a 96.8 QB Rating. Running Back Arian Foster was 5th in the league with 1224 rushing yards.

Take note that the Dolphins are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Week 1 games, and 4-14-3 ATS in their last 21 games in September. The Texans are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Texans were double digit favorites twice last year and they "pushed" one of those winning by 10 against Jacksonville, and crushed Cleveland 30-12 to cover the 10.5 spread in the other. When healthy this Houston team is one of the best in the NFL, and are especially dangerous at home. Miami's offense should be below average this year, and will most likely have a lot of troubles in their first few games with a rookie quarterback seeing his first NFL action. Going against one of the league's best defenses I can't see Miami scoring many points and I like the Texans to win big in Week 1.

2 UNIT = Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Bucaneers - PANTHERS -2 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 2.18 units to win 2.00 units)

Last year was the Cam Newton show for the Panthers and fans, as he helped them improve their record to 6-10 from 2-14 the year before. The Panthers started off 2-8 despite some great offensive performances, but then went on to win 4 of their last 6 games to finish the year off well. Wins came against Jacksonville, Washington, Indianapolis, Tampa Bay x2, and Houston. Amongst their losses was a 3 point loss to the then defending Super Bowl Champion Packers as 10.5 point underdogs, and a 3 point loss to New Orleans as 6.5 point underdogs that could have been a victory if not for a bad coaching decision (calling a timeout with 0:02 left in the half to stop the clock that resulted in a New Orleans field goal). Offensively the Panthers ranked 7th in the NFL with 389 yards per game on average, and they scored 25.4 points per game on average (5th). The problems for Carolina came defensively, as they ranked 28th in the league allowing 377 yards against per game, and gave up 26.8 points against per game (27th). Cam Newton threw for 4051 yards completing 60% of his passes with 21 TDs and 17 INTs for a 84.5 QB Rating. He also added 706 yards on the ground and 14 rushing TDs, breaking all kinds of rookie QB records. Overall the Panthers were 3rd in the NFL in rushing with 150.5 yards per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers would like to forget about their 2011 season. After a promising 4-2 start the Buccs went winless in their last 10 games to end the season with a 4-12 record. Their victories came against Minnesota on the road and then Atlanta, Indianapolis, and New Orleans at home. To give the Buccs credit, they did face some tough opponents playing 8 teams that made the playoffs. With that said the Buccaneers had the 30th ranked defense giving up 394 yards against per game, and 30.9 points per game (32nd). Their passing defense was ranked 21st, but their rushing defense was dead last ranked 32nd in the league giving up 156 yards against per game. Offensively the Buccaneers were 21st in the league averaging 319 yards per game, and scored just 17.9 points per game (27th). QB Josh Freeman will have to be better if the Buccaneers want to compete this year. Last year he completed 62.8% of his passes for 3592 yards but threw just 16 TDs compared to 22 INTs for a 74.6 QB Rating. Tampa Bay has named their 31st overall pick of this year's draft, Doug Martin, their starting Running Back.

These two teams met twice last season with Carolina winning 38-19 in Tampa Bay, and then following that up with a 48-16 home victory. In the first meeting Cam Newton threw for 204 yards and a touchdown while the Panthers rushed for 163 yards, and in the second meeting Newtown threw for 171 yards and 3 TDs while they added 270 yards on the ground. This Sunday it will be tough for the leagues worst rushing defense a year ago to slow down Carolina's ground game, and I like Cam Newton and the Panthers offense to control a lot of this game. I do think the Buccs will be better than they were last season, but I still don't see enough defensive improvements for them to keep up with a good offense like the Panthers have. Note that the Panthers are 5-2 ATS in these two teams last 7 meetings. I will take Carolina to win and cover in Tampa.

4 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions - OVER 46.5 POINTS (-103)
(Note: I'm risking 4.12 units to win 4.00 units)

The St Louis Rams finished off 2011 with a 2-14 record after the team had to juggle between 3 QBs with rookie Sam Bradford starting just 10 games due to injury. The wins came at home vs New Orleans in a shocker 31-21 victory as 13.5 point underdogs, and a 13-12 win in Cleveland as 2.5 point underdogs. Not much can be said about the Rams stats offensively last year as they were 31st in the NFL with just 283 yards per game, and 12.1 points per game (32nd), but this is a new year and I think they will be much improved if Bradford can stay healthy. In this year's preseason Bradford completed 58.8% of his passes for 5 TDs and 0 INTs which was good for a 116.3 QB Rating. RB Steven Jackson rushed for 1145 yards last season (4.4 yards per carry) and should provide a balanced attack for the Rams. Defensively the Rams were 22nd in the NFL allowing 358 yards against per game, and allowed 25.4 points against per game (27th). Both of those numbers most likely would have been higher if they had kept games tighter, as offenses managed the clock more then run up the score after being up a few touchdowns.

The Detroit Lions got off to a great start last year winning their first 5 games, and finishing with a 10-6 record to make the playoffs. Regular season wins came against Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Minnesota x2, Dallas, Chicago, Denver, Carolina, Oakland, and San Diego. Unfortunately for the Lions they had a very tough meeting in New Orleans against the Saints in the Wild Card round of the playoffs and were beat 45-28 as 10.5 point underdogs. All in all a successful season for the Lions to make the playoffs and they look to head back again this year. The Lions were 5th in the NFL offensively averaging 396 yards per game, and scored 29.6 points per game on average (4th). Defensively the Lions were 23rd in the NFL averaging 367 yards per game, while allowing 24.2 points against per game (23rd). Matthew Stafford was impressive at QB last year throwing for 5038 yards completing 63.5% of his passes with 41 TDs and 16 INTs - good for a 97.2 QB Rating (leaving him behind only Rodgers, Brees, Brady, and Romo). Calvin Johnson was on the receiving end of a lot of those passes as he had 96 receptions for 1681 yards and 16 TDs.

Take note that the Lions averaged 30.4 points per game at home. Also note that in 5 of 6 of Detroit's losses they scored 19 or fewer points - if you take out those losses the Lions averaged 35.8 points per game in the other 11 games. The Detroit Lions had the 23rd ranked rush defense, while the Rams were 31st in the league. The Lions defense was 22nd against the pass, while the Rams were 7th (a number which is skewed because teams would stop throwing on them after leading by a few TDs - as is shown by the opponents 60.5% pass completion against their defense). This game features one of the best offenses in the game right now, and a St Louis offense that should be much improved from last season with Bradford healthy and a few more targets for him. We also see two sub par defenses that are ranked 23rd and 27th in points allowed per game. The OVER was 11-6 in the Lions games last season (including playoffs), and two of those games that went under the total actually had 48 points scored, which would be good enough for the OVER in this game with a total set at 46.5 (when I locked in my bet). For me everything is pointing to a high scoring game, and I will put 4 units on the OVER between the Rams and Lions this weekend for my only big 4 unit play of Week 1.

Let's Get It,*
Kevin
NFLBettingPicks

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Norm Hitzges

Double Plays

· Houston -12 vs Miami

· Green Bay -5.5 vs San Francisco


Single Plays

· Tennessee +5.5 vs New England

· Chicago -9.5 vs Indy

· Arizona +2.5 vs Seattle

· Detroit/St. Louis Over 45.5

· New Orleans -7 vs Washington

· Carolina -1 vs Tampa

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Pointwise Phones:

3* Houst, GBay, KC, Tenn

2* Chic, Detr

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Fargo Enforcer

Cardinals

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Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 0-0

3% TENNESSEE +5.5
3% HOUSTON –12
3% DETROIT –7.5
3% JACKSONVILLE/MINNESOTA UNDER 39.5
3% PITTSBURGH/DENVER OVER 44.5

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Prediction Machine
61.7% STL (PP)
59.7% NE (PP)
59.2% GB (PP)

58.8% PIT
58.5% ARI
57.6% WAS
57.4% IND

Monday
59% CIN (PP)

58.9% OAK

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THE GOLD SHEET
KEY RELEASES

N.Y. JETS by 13 over Buffalo
HOUSTON by 24 over Miami
OVER THE TOTAL in the Seattle-Arizona game

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The Bag Man


4000 Units Bears -9 over Colts - Love the way Cutler is playing and Luck won't being seeing a vanilla defense in the Regular Season. This has the makings of a route.

2000 Units Titans +6 over Patriots 6 points is too many on the road for an offense that has looked average and a defense that has difficulty stopping the run.

2000 Units Jaguars +4 over Vikings No Peterson spells trouble for the Vikes

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NFL
Write-Up


Sunday
Colts @ Bears— Indy has new coach, new QB; they’re glorified expansion team, starting fresh, so they’re trends don’t mean as much, but they did cover four of five LY as double digit underdogs. Colts lost 34-24/34-7 in last two road openers, after having won nine of previous ten. Teams with rookie QBs figure to struggle on foreign soil early on. Chicago won 29-13 at Indy in last meeting in ’08, teams’ only meeting since Colts beat Bears in Super Bowl XLI. Since ’96, underdogs are 13-3 vs spread in Chicago’s home openers, with Bears just 2-8 vs spread as favorite; they’ve won six of last seven home openers, allowing 13.3 ppg last three years. Since 2007, Chicago is just 9-15-1 as home favorites, but they did cover last two tries when laying double digits. Five of Indy’s last seven road openers stayed under total.

Eagles @ Browns— Lot of commonality between coaching staffs; been rough summer off field for Coach Reid. Philly is just 4-6 as road favorite last two years, with six of 11 road wins by 7 or less points. Since being reborn in 1999, Browns are 1-12 in home openers, 1-11-1 vs spread; they were favored/even in five of the 12 losses- they’re 0-7 vs spread in last seven home openers, with under 8-4 in their last 12. 12 of those 13 home openers came in Week 1. Cleveland is 3-6 vs spread in last nine games as home underdog; they’re 3-7-2 vs spread v NFC teams last three years. Philly are 3-0 vs new Browns, scoring 35-34-30 points; they’ve won last three road openers, scoring 31+ points in last four. Since ’88, Philly is 14-8 vs spread in road openers; 6-4 as favorite, 8-4 as dog. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four road openers. Teams met in preseason two weeks ago, but Vick didn’t play.

Bills @ Jets— How will Gang Green utilize Tebow? How will Sanchez react if he struggles early and gets pulled? Fickle home folks could turn ugly if Jets stumble early vs Buffalo squad that lost last five games to Jets by average score of 30-14, losing last two visits here, 38-7/28-24. Bills are 7-3 in last ten tries as road dogs in road openers; since 2000, they’re 3-0 as Week 1 road dog. Buffalo is 12-6 as road underdogs in divisional games last six years. Six of their last eight road openers stayed under the total. Over last 20 years, Jets are 2-8 vs spread as favorite in home opener, losing 14 of 20 (2-1 last three years). Three of their last four home openers stayed under total. Jets covered five of last six season openers; since 2007, they’re 2-9-1 vs spread as a home favorite in divisional games. Bills trading for Tarvaris Jackson raised some eyebrows.

Redskins @ Saints— Lot of unusual variables here. How will Saints function without Payton/Vitt on sidelines? Who will make key 4th down calls? Redskins using rookie QB in hostile environment; tough way to start. Washington won its last six visits to New Orleans, with last visit in ’06. Road team won six of last seven series games. New Orleans won four in row and 11 of last 14 home openers, scoring 28.3 ppg in last four; they’re 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine as favorite in home openers, with 11 of last 15 staying under total. New Orleans won last five Sunday openers. Washington lost nine of last 12 road openers, losing last four, scoring 14 ppg. 1-5 vs spread in last six as underdog. Under is 8-3-1 in Washington’s last dozen road openers. Since ’07, Redskins are 18-12-3 as road underdogs. Since ’08, Saints are 19-9-1 as a home favorite.

Patriots @ Titans— Since 1998, Super Bowl losers are 0-13 vs spread (2-11 SU) in their next season’s opener. Teams’ first meeting since Patriots waxed Tennessee 59-0 on snowy October day in Foxboro three years ago, their fourth straight series win. Tennessee covered seven of last ten home openers, four of last five that were in Week 1; they’re 7-0 vs spread last seven times they were underdog in home opener, with last non-cover 34-17 (+5) vs Steelers in ’95. Patriots won last eight season openers (4-3-1 vs spread); they’re 6-6 in last dozen road openers, 1-2 in last three; since ’92, they’re 1-11 in road openers if they score 21 or less points, 7-1 if they score 23+. Four of their last six road openers went over total. Titans’ last three home openers went over total. Pats split two visits here, losing 24-7 in ’02, winning 40-23 in ’06.

Jaguars @ Vikings— New owner/coach/QB for Jaguars, who lost last four road openers (1-3 vs spread) by average score of 25-9, losing 38-13/32-3 in Week 2 road openers last two years. In their history, are solid 7-4 vs spread as underdog in road openers. Six of their last eight road openers stayed under total. First time in five years Vikings are opening season at home; Minnesota lost three of last four home openers, with all four decided by four or less points; since ’99, they’re 3-8 vs spread as favorite in home openers. You're reading ***************.com. Vikings won three of four series games, with none of four decided by less than 11 points. Only Jaguar win was 33-3 here in ’01. Since ’88, under is 16-7-1 in Metrodome home openers.

Dolphins @ Texans— High expectations in Houston after their first playoff appearance LY; they’re 6-0 vs Dolphins, with all three wins here by 3 or less points- only one of the six wins is by more than 7 points. Rookie QB gets the nod for Miami, which lost seven of last eight road openers (1-5-1 vs spread in last seven), with only win at Buffalo in ’10. Once-proud Fish are 0-4-1 vs spread in last five games as underdog in road opener. Texans won 34-24/34-7 in last two home openers, after losing six of first eight in franchise history; they’re 2-2 as Week 1 home favorite. Five of their last seven home openers stayed under total. Houston allowed 24+ points in seven of last nine home openers. Under is 13-5 in Miami’s last 18 road openers.

Rams @ Lions— Third offense in three years for young QB Bradford; main question is can rebuilt OL keep him on his feet? Rams are 15-65 last five years, worst 5-year stretch in NFL history; they hired former Titan HC Fisher to right ship. His DC in Tennessee was current Lion HC Schwartz, so team will play similar defenses. St Louis lost last ten road openers (1-9 vs spread) by average score of 26-12, with five of last six staying under total. Last time Rams won season opener was 18-10 home win (+3.5) over Denver in 2006. Detroit is 14-6-1 vs spread in last 21 home openers, but lost three of last four (32-35/48-3 L2 years). First time in six years they’re opening season at home. Three of last four home openers went over. Rams are 3-2 in last five series games; ’09 Rams’ only win came here, 17-10. ’10 Rams lost 44-10 here.

Falcons @ Chiefs— Home side won five of last six series games, all decided by 11+ points; Falcons have never won here, losing 38-10/14-3/56-10 (’04). Atlanta whupped KC 38-14 at home in last meeting (’08). Chiefs started 0-1 five of last six years. Chiefs are 4-8 in last dozen home openers, scoring 13 or less points in five of last six. KC is 2-6-1 vs spread last nine games where they were favored in a home opener. Atlanta lost last five road openers, scoring average of 8.6 ppg; they even lost at Pittsburgh one year when Big Ben was suspended. Since ’88, they’re 0-4 as favorite in road openers. You're reading ***************.com. Seven of last eight road openers stayed under total; under is 16-2-1 in Chiefs’ last 19 home openers.

49ers @ Packers—Green Bay won five in row, 13 of last 14 games vs 49ers, with only loss in ’98 playoff game; SF lost last eight visits here, with five of eight by 10+ points. Pack won/covered last five home openers, by average score of 27-18. This will be 13th time in 16 years they’re at home in Week 1.. Niners *** four of last five road openers, covered six of last eight; they’re 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine tries as road dog in road opener. Since ’94, they’re 2-6 vs spread in Week 1 road games. Four of Pack’s last six home openers stayed under; under is 3-1-1 in 49ers’ last five road openers. Niners were +28 in turnovers in magical ’11 run; they made lot of own breaks, but you’re not +28 without few bounces going your way—will that continue?

Panthers @ Buccaneers— Curious to see how Newton does with full off-season program under his belt; teams didn’t have that last season, but he was still terrific as rookie, beating Bucs 38-19/48-16 in two meetings. Carolina lost last three road openers, allowing 28-31-28 points; they failed to cover last three as dog in road openers, after covering nine of first 10 (9-4 as dog overall in road openers). Tampa Bay lost five of last six season openers; since ’88, they’re 4-6 vs spread as dogs in home openers, 7-6-1 as favorite. Bucs are 4-6 in last ten home openers; over is 3-1-1 in last five, after 12 of previous 15 stayed under. Carolina’s last four road openers went over the total. Oddly, Carolina won seven of last nine visits here.

Seahawks @ Cardinals— Home side won four of last five series games; Seattle lost five of last six visits here, with losses by 6-3-13-11-3 points. Since ’00, Hawks are 4-8 in road openers, allowing 6-0-7-6 points in wins; they lost last five road openers (0-6 vs spread in last six) by average score of 29-14. Home team won their last five season openers. You're reading ***************.com, America's favorite website. Arizona has been better in home openers since they got the dome; winning five of last six home openers, but since ’88, are still just 3-10 vs spread as favorite in home openers, with five of last six going over total. Under is 19-5 in Arizona’s last 24 home openers, but 2-3 in last five.

Steelers @ Broncos— Denver KO’d Steelers from playoffs 29-23 with OT TD last January; now they’ve upgraded from Tebow to Manning at QB. Fox lost eight of his last nine home openers; before he got to Denver, Broncos had won 11 straight Mile High openers (8-3 vs spread). Manning won seven of last eight home openers, covering six of last 10 as favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in Denver’s last five home openers. Pittsburgh is just 4-8 in last 12 road openers, 4-3 in last seven, scoring average of just 10 ppg in last five, with four of those five staying under total- they scored 14 or less points in four of those five games. New OC Haley said to have installed more run-happy offense, which may explain why Big Ben didn’t get his shoulder fixed. Since ’88, they’re 4-5 in Week 1 openers on road. Steelers are 5-10-1 all-time in Denver, 3-4 vs Broncos in playoffs.


Monday
Bengals @ Ravens— Baltimore won last seven home openers (5-2 vs spread), with none of wins by less than seven points; since 1988, they’re 8-3 vs spread in Week 1 home games. Ravens covered four of last five home openers vs divisional opponent. Cincinnati is 4-3 in last seven road openers; they were dog in three of four wins, favored in two of three losses (underdogs covered five of their last six road openers). Since ’88, are 6-5 vs spread as Week 1 underdog. Four of Bengals’ last five road openers went over total; over is 5-1-1 in Ravens’ last seven home openers, but seven of last nine series games had totals of 37 or less. Ravens won both meetings LY, 31-24/24-16, but are still just 6-9 in last 15 series games, albeit 3-1 in last four played here.

Chargers @ Raiders—Allen is fourth head coach in five years for Oakland, but Palmer had full camp and should be better this year under center. Raiders won three of last four series games after losing 13 in row to Bolts before that. San Diego won seven of last eight visits here, with only loss 35-27 in ’10. Chargers lost four of last five road openers, allowing average of 30.6 ppg, giving up 35+ points in three of the four losses; they’re 4-9 vs spread last 13 times road opener was in Week 1. Over is 13-7-1 in San Diego’s last 21 road openers. Raiders lost last four times they opened season at home, with three losses by 15+ points- they’re 9-5 in last 14 home openers, winning last two after losing previous seven. Four of their last five home openers went over the total. Average total in last four series games is 52.

[poopoo333]

Hondo NFL top picks,

NY Giants=Loss vs Dallas Cowboys

NY Jets-2.5 vs Buffalo Bills

Pittsburg Steelers+1 @ Denver Broncos

[poopoo333]

Five rookie quarterbacks making opening-weekend starts September 07, 2012 9:28 PM by Bob Christ

Five rookie quarterbacks will be making opening-weekend starts and are worth keeping an eye on especially considering four will be starting on the road. But their tasks won’t be impossibly difficult considering Cincinnati’s Andy Dalton guided the Bengals to a 27-17 victory in Cleveland in Week 1 of 2011 as a seven-point underdog.

There also will be four making their head coaching debuts – Indianapolis’ Chuck Pagano, Miami’s Joe Philbin, Oakland’s Dennis Allen and Tampa Bay’s Greg Schiano, not to mention Saints offensive line coach Aaron Kromer, who’s the interim boss until first-string interim coach Joe Vitt serves his BountyGate suspension.

There’s a mixed bag of history surrounding coaches in season-opening debuts, so beware. From 2009-2011, they went a cumulative 4-8 ATS, but from 2002-08 were 15-10-1.

Then there’s the powerful trend of the week, which involves New England. Since 2000, Super Bowl losers have gone 0-12 ATS to open the next season. Pittsburgh was in that role last season and suffered its worst loss the past five seasons, 34-7 at Baltimore.

Now on to a closer look at this week’s games:

PRO FOOTBALL SUNDAY, SEPT. 9

Indianapolis (0-0) at Chicago (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Bears by 10 (43.5 o/u)

Facts: Celebrated No. 1 overall pick Andrew Luck will start at QB for Indy, which finished 2-14 last season. In Peyton Manning’s 1998 rookie year, after a 3-13 season, the Colts opened 0-4, with Manning throwing 11 INTs with three TD passes. … Chicago defensive anchor, LB Brian Urlacher, vows to play after recent knee surgery. … Indy allowed foes to complete 71.2 percent of throws in 2011, the worst rate for any team in history.

Analysis: A lot is expected of Luck this year. But he’s working with a rookie boss who also is implementing a new 3-4 defense. Indy also will face a team boasting the return of QB Jay Cutler, RB Matt Forte and the addition of WR Brandon Marshall. Probably the only way Chicago can screw this up is by looking ahead to Thursday’s game in Green Bay. Last year, the Bears had their two most lopsided losses the game before facing the Packers.

Forecast: Bears 31, Colts 14



Philadelphia (0-0) at Cleveland (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Eagles by 9.5 (43)

Facts: Rookie Brandon Weeden becomes the Browns’ sixth different opening-day starter at QB. … The Eagles tied for the NFL high with 50 sacks last year and had 20 in August, more than anyone else. … This is a rematch of a summer meeting in which Philly won 27-10, holding Weeden to 9-of-20 passing. … Eagles QB Michael Vick was in 12 plays this season, yet still had time to injure a thumb and ribs. … Cleveland RB Trent Richardson (knee) should have a light load.

Analysis: The Browns had the league’s tenth-ranked defense last season, but are expected to be without three starters (suspension/injury). Therefore, Cleveland probably will have difficulty containing shifty RB LeSean McCoy and Vick, providing he’s not making another run to get an MRI. Even if Vick goes down his backup, rookie Nick Foles, had an outstanding camp. He threw for two first-quarter TDs in that practice game against Cleveland.

Forecast: Eagles 31, Browns 13



Miami (0-0) at Houston (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Texans by 12 (42)

Facts: The last time Miami was this big an underdog was in 2008 when it broke out the Wildcat in a 38-13 win at New England . … In 2003, Houston won its opener in Miami 21-20 as a 14-point underdog. … Philbin is Miami’s fourth rookie boss on opening day since 2005. The last one, Tony Sparano, took a -15 team and won the AFC East at 11-5 in 2008. … Houston’s Trindon Holliday had three special teams return TDs this summer, matching the Texans’ total the past two seasons.

Analysis: Dolphins rookie QB Ryan Tannehill, who began his college career as a WR at Texas A&M, will be facing a Houston defense that was the best in the league last season when coordinator Wade Phillips wasn’t being hospitalized. And although the Texans are the heaviest favorites to win a division this season, they might struggle more than the line indicates, for RB Arian Foster tweaked a knee at midweek and LB Brian Brian Cushing has been limited in drills (ribs).

Forecast: Texans 24, Dolphins 7



Buffalo (0-0) at NY Jets (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Jets by 3 (38.5)

Facts: New York managed one TD in four exhibitions, with No. 1 QB Mark Sanchez going 0-for-15 in his drives. … Powerful RB Fred Jackson is back for Buffalo after missing the final six games last season with a broken fibula. The Bills went 1-5 down the stretch without him to finish 6-10. … The Jets are expected to break out their Wildcat package with Tim Tebow, the 28th-rated passer last season. But he also was 28th on the rushing charts (660 yards).

Analysis: Both teams have issues at QB. In Buffalo, Ryan Fitzpatrick had a league-high 23 INTs last season, but at least he’s he’s got Jackson back, although standout WR Stevie Johnson is questionable (groin). Defensively, the Bills added standout pass rushers Mario Williams and Mark Anderson and shouldn’t be buffaloed by the Wildcat. After all, one of the masterminds of the attack is on Buffalo’s staff, QB coach David Lee.

Forecast: Bills 17, Jets 14



Washington (0-0) at New Orleans (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Saints by 7.5 (50)

Facts: With the Saints’ real head coach, Sean Payton, serving a yearlong suspension, they’ll be operating early on under offensive line coach Kromer. … Washington , 5-11 in 2011, had the worst mark of any team in history that swept the world champs (Giants). … New Orleans was 9-0 ATS at home last season. … Rookie QB Robert Griffin III will start for Washington. Last year, the Saints were a league-best 4-0 (3-1 ATS) vs. first-year QBs.

Analysis: The Saints, behind QB Drew Brees, set an NFL record in 2011 with a norm of 467.1 yards a game, breaking the mark of 458.8 set by the LA Rams in 1951. But the unit might not be the same without Payton. After all, it might not have been a coincidence New Orleans had its two worst games of the season last year when he was off his feet with a broken leg.

Forecast: Saints 30, Redskins 27



New England (0-0) at Tennessee (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line: Patriots by 5.5 (47)

Facts: Not only are teams that lost in the Super Bowl 0-12 ATS in the season openers, but 2-10 SU despite being a favorite seven times. … Titans RB Chris Johnson averaged only 4.0 yards a carry after holding out for his megadeal last season, a drop from 5.6 in 2009. … New England gave up a league-high seven 90-plus-yard TD drives last season. … Tennessee begins the QB Jake Locker era. The second-year QB beat out incumbent Matt Hasselbeck this summer.

Analysis: The Patriots’ offensive line is in chaos thanks to retirement (Matt Light), injury (Logan Mankins) and a holdout (Brian Waters, where are you?). Not to mention Tom Brady will be breaking in a new deep threat in Brandon Lloyd. Considering the Titans are a sleeper team to gain a wild card in the AFC and will be playing in front of an energized Week 1 crowd, New England could be out of sorts.

Forecast: Titans 24, Patriots 21



Jacksonville (0-0) at Minnesota (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Vikings by 3.5 (39)

Facts: Minnesota was 1-5 SU as a favorite last season. … Both teams feature past rushing champs, but the Vikings’ Adrian Peterson (knee) is expected to be only a game-time decision. The Jaguars’ Maurice Jones-Drew (rust) just ended a holdout and probably will back up RB Rashad Jennings. … The Jags finished last in total offense in 2011 with a norm of 259.3 yards a game. There were 17 teams last season that didn’t have even one game that bad.

Analysis: The teams will be relying heavily on second-year QBs who had crummy rookie seasons (Vikings’ Christian Ponder was 31st on the passer chart; Jaguars’ Blaine Gabbert was 34th). But at least they’ll get to face even crummier pass defenses. Minnesota’s 107.3 defensive passer rating last year was the second worst in NFL history. Then this summer, Jacksonville had a mark of 114.6. Gabbert rates an edge at QB, and at least the Jaguars’ RBs aren’t injured.

Forecast: Jaguars 27, Vikings 21


St. Louis (0-0) at Detroit (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Lions by 7.5 (45.5)

Facts: Detroit has gone seven years without a 1,000-yard RB – the longest current streak in the league – and doesn’t appear to be in better shape this year since speedy Jahvid Best (concussion) is still unable to play... St. Louis was 3-13 ATS last season, the NFL’s worst mark. In ’07 the Ravens also were 3-13 ATS but went 14-5 against the line the next year... Lions WR Calvin Johnson had 10 catches of 40-plus yards last season, the most for anyone the past 13 years.

Analysis: St. Louis QB Sam Bradford raised eyebrows this summer by admitting his he’s not fully recovered from last year’s high ankle sprain. With Detroit’s pass rush likely to collapse the pocket routinely, that’s trouble. Plus, although Rams RB Stephen Jackson is a steamroller, he’s one carry from pulling a hamstring (see 2011). And with St. Louis having the league’s youngest team, don’t underestimate a noisy enemy crowd that helped cause Chicago to have nine false starts in a game last season.

Forecast: Lions 35, Rams 14


Atlanta (0-0) at Kansas City (0-0)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line: Falcons by 2.5 (43.5)

Facts: When these teams last met in KC, in 2004, the Chiefs had eight rushing TDs in a 56-10 victory, the most for any team since 1923. … Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles, coming off knee surgery, averaged 6.38 yards a carry in a healthy 2010, the best for any 1,000-yard running back since Jim Brown in 1963. … KC’s 41-7 home loss to Buffalo as a four-point choice in Week 1 last season was the most lopsided home favorite on opening day since the Jets beat Seattle 41-3 in 1997 as a six-point underdog.

Analysis: Last season KC was devastated by knee injuries early in the season to Charles, TE Tony Moeaki and DB Eric Berry. Those guys are back, but the Chiefs were hit again this summer with another rash of trouble and could be missing four defensive starters against Atlanta. The key absentee is LB Tamba Hali (suspension), who had 12 sacks last season. Falcons QB Matt Ryan should have time to find standout WRs Roddy White and Julio Jones, in addition to ex-Chief TE Tony Gonzalez.

Forecast: Falcons 28, Chiefs 14



San Francisco (0-0) at Green Bay (0-0)

Time: 1:25 p.m. PDT

Line: Packers by 4.5 (46.5)

Facts: In 2011, the 49ers were 9-0-1 ATS early on until going 3-5 the rest of the way, including the postseason. … San Francisco ’s +28 turnover differential last year is the second best in league history. But they were at -2 in their division-round playoff loss to the Super Giants. … The Packers gave up 411.6 yards a game last season, the worst mark in the league the past 28 seasons. They attacked that shortcoming by taking defensive players with the first six picks of the 2012 draft.

Analysis: The 49ers’ Alex Smith was the most-sacked QB in the league last season, including nine times in one game at Baltimore, so that’s likely an area the Packers will have a solid edge, with LB Clay Matthews zooming in from the edges. And, of course, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers will rate an edge at QB and this season against virtually everybody and has thundering RB Cedric Benson to count on near the goal line.

Forecast: Packers 28, 49ers 17



Carolina (0-0) at Tampa Bay (0-0)

Time: 1:25 p.m. PDT

Line: Panthers by 2.5 (47)

Facts: Former Rutgers coach Greg Schiano will be making his debut as a pro boss after rebuilding the Scarlet Knights into perennial bowl participants. … Carolina WR Steve Smith and LB Jon Beason are expected back for the opener after being slowed by injuries this summer. RB Jonathan Stewart, however, suffered an ankle injury two weeks ago and might not play. … Panthers QB Cam Newton opened his 2011 rookie season by throwing for 422 yards in the opener at Arizona, a 28-21 loss.

Analysis: The Buccaneers, who carry a 10-game losing streak over from last year, that included five straight by 16 points or more, should be much improved from last year’s 4-12 death spiral that cost Raheem Morris his job. But Schiano’s track record at Rutgers indicates he’s not an instant miracle worker, since the Knights went 3-20 his first two seasons and lost one game by 80-0. In Week 1, at least, the Panthers are the much-more polished team.

Forecast: Panthers 27, Buccaneers 13



Seattle (0-0) at Arizona (0-0)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line: Seahawks by 2.5 (40)

Facts: Seattle’s Russell Wilson, a third-round selection in the 2012 draft, is the first QB not drafted in the first or second round to start in Week 1 since Kyle Orton in 2004 for Chicago . … Arizona will be going with QB John Skelton instead of Kevin Kolb, who waged a weak competition for the starting job. Skelton was 5-2 as a starter last year. ... Wilson ’s the only rookie QB starting this week whose team is a favorite. … Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch has been wrestling with back spasms. …

Analysis: Second-year Arizona RB Ryan Williams could be the wild card in this one thanks to his incredible balance and drive, which will complement 1,000-yard-rushing teammate Beanie Wells. Sure, Skelton is good for two interceptions a game, but Wilson can’t help but struggle, too, in an enemy dome and won’t have his best RB at full strength, if at all.

Forecast: Cardinals 20, Seahawks 17



Pittsburgh (0-0) at Denver (0-0)

Time: 5:20 p.m. PDT

Line: Broncos by 1.5 (45)

Facts: Denver is 5-24-2 ATS as a home favorite the past six years, including 0-3-1 last season. During John Elway’s Super years in 1997-98, that mark was 15-4. … In last year’s wild-card round, the host Broncos beat Pittsburgh 29-23 in overtime on Tim Tebow’s 80-yard slant pass Demaryius Thomas. Of course, Tebow has since been replaced by Peyton Manning. … Pittsburgh’s defensive quarterback, safety Ryan Clark, again will sit out this game at high elevation for medical reasons.

Analysis: The Steelers have plenty of motivation to avenge last season’s loss, but without Clark in the secondary, which will cause free-lancing DB Troy Polamalu to play out of position, Pittsburgh could struggle again. And with starting RB Rashard Mendenhall (knee) likely not at 100 percent, it’s hard not to lean toward Manning’s team. Although his long-term durability remains a question, for this night at least, he should be able to shed concerns about his neck and dink-and-dunk the Steelers into submission.

Forecast: Broncos 30, Steelers 20



PRO FOOTBALL MONDAY, SEPT. 10

Cincinnati (0-0) at Baltimore (0-0)

Time: 4 p.m. PDT

Line: Ravens by 6.5 (42)

Facts: This is the Ravens’ first MNF home game since 2007. Over the past four seasons, teams are 8-1 ATS when hosting such a game after a four-year drought. … As a rookie last season, Cincinnati QB Andy Dalton guided the Bengals to a season-best 483 yards total offense in a 31-24 loss in Baltimore, but threw three INTs. … Baltimore had a league-high three games last season rushing fewer than 15 times in a game, going 0-3. It went 12-1 in all others. So, guess what? This summer the Ravens threw more passes per game (47.3) than any other team.

Analysis: The Bengals were a playoff team last season, but capitalized off the bottom feeders, for they went 0-7 in the regular season against playoff teams. Plus, the Ravens not only will have the adrenaline flowing thanks to the MNF home crowd but also probably will dedicate their efforts to beloved former owner Art Modell, who died this week. LB Ray Lewis, in particular, will no doubt be playing out of his skull.

Forecast: Ravens 28, Bengals 13



San Diego (0-0) at Oakland (0-0)

Time: 7:15 p.m. PDT

Line: Chargers by 1

Facts: The Chargers’ rushing game got its tans knocked off this summer, gaining a league-low 68 yards a game. It didn’t help that RB Ryan Mathews (doubtful) broke his clavicle in early August. … Oakland’s Carson Palmer threw for 417 yards in the season finale at home against San Diego last season with the AFC division crown at stake, but the Chargers prevailed 38-26. … In addition to having a new coach, Allen, this will be the Raiders’ first opener since the death of owner Al Davis.

Analysis: Palmer probably isn’t the answer that ex-coach Hue Jackson thought he was when Jackson mortgaged the Raiders’ future to acquire the retired QB from Cincinnati, but he’ll be good enough on this night against a team that is missing vital pieces – Mathews and Vincent Jackson, who’s now catching passes in Tampa Bay. And with hard-charging Darren McFadden at RB for Oakland, the Raiders have a solid edge there.

Forecast: Raiders 31, Chargers 24

[poopoo333]

Dennis Ball @ Gaming Today

Sunday, Sept. 9

Colts +10 at Bears: Jay Cutler is back under center. So da Bears’ fans should have plenty to cheer about as long as he stays healthy. He has a few new weapons, the most high-powered being Brandon Marshall. But I think Andrew Luck has shown enough moxie to at least grab a back door cover in his first NFL start. Luck’s performance against the blitz happy Steelers in preseason was enough to scare me away from laying this double digit line. COLTS.

Eagles -8½ at Browns: Philly fans can be breathe easy now that Vick is wearing a protective vest some say could withstand the impact of a roadside bomb in Afghanistan. Don’t worry Michael, none of the Browns hit that hard. They do however, hit hard enough to cover this spread, especially if Trent Richardson is ready to go. BROWNS.

Bills +3 at Jets: With all the negative press the Jets have suffered, I’m shocked they’re even the favorite in this game. Buffalo will try to get off to the same fast 5-2 start they did last season. This year they acquired a little more muscle on defense with the addition of Mario Williams. Jets have to prove to me they’ve solved their offensive line issues. BILLS.

Redskins +9 at Saints: The Saints are No. 1 in distractions. From the bounty scandal to the tropical storm which forced them to move their practice schedule to Cincinnati, the Saints have seen it all. But you can overcome tremendous challenges when you have the leadership of Drew Brees. He tossed 46 TDs for 5,476 yards last season. I know RG III is good. But right now, I’m betting he’s a tad over-hyped. SAINTS.

Patriots -6½ at Titans: Call me crazy but I think the Titans have a real chance to win this game. The Pats went all in on defense in the latest draft. But it takes a while to coordinate all that new talent. I look for Chris Johnson to have a big day. I don’t see the rushing threat on the other side of the field. Maybe Brady doesn’t need one. But based on the offensive line’s protection of Brady lately I think he does. TITANS.

Jags +4 ½ at Vikings: An extremely strong Jags’ defense should keep this game within 3. JAGS.

Dolphins +10 at Texans: Tannehill can’t possibly be ready to start in this league with the lack of talent he has surrounding him. Complicating his first NFL start is the absence of Jake Long on the offensive line. TEXANS.

Rams +9 at Lions: Don’t look for the same old Rams to show up for this game. Jeff Fisher will have them playing faster and nastier on defense. Sam Bradford continues to mature and improve. It’s hard to coax me into laying 9 points when I look back and see the Lions gave up close to 30 points a game in 3 out of their last 4 regular season games last season. RAMS.

Falcons -2 at Chiefs: Slight edge to the Falcons here with Matt Ryan (if he’s protected better than he was last year) over Matt Cassel. FALCONS.

49ers +5½ at Packers: The Packers needed defense and went after it heavy in the draft. But the Niners already have the meanest, nastiest defense in the NFL. They pile up turnovers like our country piles up debt. They might not get many this Sunday but they’ll find a way to disrupt Aaron Rodgers and cover this spread. NINERS.

Panthers -2 ½ at Bucs: Who knows if Josh Freeman will rebound this season? I’m going to wait and see what the first week looks like before I even offer a comment. Cam Newton showed me enough last season to know he’s not going to regress. PANTHERS.

Seahawks -3 at Cards: This will be one of the more intriguing matchups of Week 1. Pete Carroll’s decision to start Russell Wilson over Matt Flynn remains one of the big shockers of the preseason. Cards finally named Skelton the starter. Shame on the Cards if they can’t figure out how to beat the rookie QB at home. CARDS.

Steelers PK at Broncos: I’m not sure Peyton Manning is back to his old form. But I’m not sure he has to be to win the money here. If the Broncos can beat the Steelers with Tebow under center, shouldn’t they be able to do the same with Peyton Manning calling the plays? BRONCOS.

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Info Plays

7* NY Jets -2½

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Sunday Night Football: Steelers at Broncos

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (-1, 46)

Peyton Manning moving to the Denver Broncos and his recovery from multiple neck surgeries was one of the big stories of the offseason. On Sunday night, Manning and the Broncos will get a real look at just how far the four-time NFL MVP has come in his recovery when they host the Pittsburgh Steelers. This version of Denver, with Manning instead of Tim Tebow under center, is very different from the team that knocked the Steelers out of the playoffs last winter - at least offensively. The defense, which sacked Ben Roethlisberger five times and picked him off once, remains largely intact. The Steelers will throw a defense at Manning that led the NFL last season while surrendering only 171.9 passing yards per game.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Broncos -1. O/U: 44.5

ABOUT THE STEELERS (2011: 12-4): Pittsburgh finished 21st in scoring at 20.3 points in 2011 and let offensive coordinator Bruce Arians leave in the offseason, replacing him with former Kansas City Chiefs head coach Todd Haley. The first order of business for Haley will be protecting Roethlisberger and his running backs, who have been operating behind a line with several holes. Roethlisberger has been sacked 122 times in the last seasons. Haley has installed sets with two tight ends and a fullback to help with protection and provide extra weapons beyond wide receivers Antonio Brown and Mike Wallace. The defense returns intact and a year older, though starting free safety Ryan Clark will miss the opener due to a sickle-cell trait that is aggravated at high altitude.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2011: 8-8): Tebow provided plenty of excitement for Denver fans in 2011, but Manning brings the prospect of consistent production from the passing game. Wide receivers Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas give Manning a strong set of targets while Willis McGahee and Lance Ball headline the running game. Thomas provided the picture that the Steelers saw all offseason, breaking for an 80-yard touchdown in overtime in the playoffs. The less-talked about addition to the Broncos was former Jacksonville Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio, who takes over as defensive coordinator. Del Rio has a pair of ends in Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil that combined for 21 sacks last season. Each pulled down Roethlisberger once in the playoff win.

TRENDS
* Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Under is 6-1 in Steelers last seven games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Broncos defense will not have LB D.J. Williams, who has been suspended six games for violating the league’s substance abuse policy.

2. Manning is 2-1 with six touchdowns and four interceptions in three career regular-season games against Pittsburgh.

3. Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is 4-1 in season openers.

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49ers at Packers: What bettors need to know

San Francisco at Green Bay (-5, 46.5)

Two teams coming off postseason disappointment face off in one of the premier games of the NFL's opening weekend when the San Francisco 49ers travel to Green Bay to face Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Green Bay is bent on redemption after squandering a 15-1 regular season by bowing out in its first playoff game, while the 49ers will try to make the next step this season after a 20-17 overtime loss to the Super Bowl champion New York Giants in the NFC title game.

It's also a matchup of contrasting quarterbacks, though both were effective in their own right in 2011. Rodgers had one of the best seasons in NFL history with 4,643 passing yards, 45 touchdowns against only six interceptions and a league-record 122.5 rating. San Francisco's Alex Smith also blossomed, but he did so by becoming an effective game manager, passing for 3,144 yards with 17 touchdowns and five interceptions. The Packers lead the all-time series between the traditional NFL powers 30-25-1 and have won the past nine meetings, including all three under coach Mike McCarthy.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Packers -5. O/U: 47.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (2011: 13-3): San Francisco upgraded Smith's receiving corps by adding Randy Moss, Mario Manningham and rookie A.J. Jenkins and added some depth in the backfield by signing Brandon Jacobs and drafting LaMichael James. The 49ers also return virtually everyone from a defense that ranked second in points allowed and fourth in total yards allowed last season.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2011: 15-1): Green Bay didn't do much in the offseason, and it didn't need to. The Packers were dominant in 2011 until the playoffs, and they have the pieces in place to make a deeper playoff run this year. The Packers' biggest change was letting running back Ryan Grant go to free agency and replacing him with Cedric Benson, who is coming off his third consecutive 1,000-yard season.

TRENDS
* Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in Week 1.
* Over is 4-0 in Packers’ last four games vs. NFC opponents.
* 49ers are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* San Francisco is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games in Green Bay.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Packers have 52 wins on kickoff weekend, tied with Chicago for the most ever.

2. Smith has won 14 of his past 17 starts, and the 49ers are 10-0 when he has a rating of 100.0 or better.

3. The 49ers led the NFL with a plus-28 turnover margin last year, the second-best mark in the NFL since 1970.

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Sunday Night Baseball: Dodgers at Giants
By STEVE MERRIL

A pair of southpaws and former Cy Young award winners meet Sunday Night as the Giants host the Dodgers in a key NL West battle.

ZITO'S STREAKING

Barry Zito won the Cy Young award in 2002 with the Oakland Athletics, but has a mediocre 10-8 record with a 4.51 ERA this season. The Giants have won his past six starts, but he’s only factored in the decision twice during that stretch. The lefty has allowed four runs or more in three of his last five outings and has gone 5 1/3 innings or less in four of his last five starts.

Zito has already faced the Dodgers three times this season, allowing seven runs and 18 hits in 18 1/3 innings. He pitched well in his first two starts against the Dodgers, allowing just three runs in 13 innings, but struggled on July 28th, surrendering four runs and seven hits in just 5 1/3 innings.

ACE'S WILD

Clayton Kershaw has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the league the past few seasons and is the defending Cy Young Award winner in the National League. The left-hander is having another strong season with a 12-8 record and an excellent 2.79 ERA with 201 strikeouts.

Kershaw will be facing the Giants for the fifth time this season, pitching solid in each of those outings. He has allowed two runs or less in all four starts versus San Francisco and has squandered only six runs in 31 innings versus the Giants. The Dodgers have gone just 1-3 straight-up in those four games despite his impressive numbers. Kershaw has received little run support, as Los Angeles has scored one run or less in each loss.

INJURY REPORT

The Dodgers have been bitten by the injury bug. Pitchers Kenley Jansen and Chad Billingsley are currently on the DL. Jensen is dealing with a heart ailment and Billingsley is suffering from right elbow pain. Dee Gordon is also on the DL with a thumb problem.

The Giants are missing pitchers Brian Wilson (Tommy John) and Clay Hensley (groin). We also must mention the suspended Melky Cabrera, who will be out for the rest of the regular season and the first five games of the postseason, if San Francisco qualifies.

TRENDS
*Dodgers are 19-7 in Kershaw's last 26 Sunday starts.
*Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 during game three of a series.
*Giants are 8-17 in their last 25 during game three of a series.
*Giants are 8-2 in Zito's last 10 starts with five days’ rest.

HITTERS TO WATCH
Hunter Pence is 1-for-21 vs. Kershaw.
Buster Posey is 6-for-31 vs. Kershaw.
Adrian Gonzalez is 13-for-41 vs. Zito.
Matt Kemp is 24-for-52 vs. Zito.

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Sunday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

STREAKING

Zach Britton, Baltimore Orioles (5-1, 4.15)

Britton threw seven shutout innings to earn the win over Toronto on Tuesday. The lefty has racked up four consecutive quality starts and is 4-0 with a miniscule 0.94 ERA during that stretch. He takes the hill at Camden Yards in a key matchup versus the Yankees on Sunday.

James Shields, Tampa Bay Rays (13-8, 3.88)

Shields surrendered three runs and five hits in a victory over the Yankees on Monday. The righty has now allowed three runs or less in each of his last seven starts and takes the mound at the Trop against the high-powered Rangers next.

SLUMPING

Carlos Villanueva, Toronto Blue Jays (7-5, 3.42)

Villanueva allowed a season-high six runs across 6 2/3 innings as Toronto fell 12-0 to Baltimore on Tuesday. The right-hander has served up nine of his 13 home runs allowed this season over his past nine appearances, going 3-5 with a 4.09 ERA. He toes the rubber at Fenway Park against the Red Sox on Sunday afternoon.

Tommy Hanson, Atlanta Braves (12-8, 4.40)

Hanson gave up two runs in 5 2/3 innings as Atlanta was beaten by Colorado on Tuesday. “Big Red” is 0-3 with a 5.23 ERA in four starts since returning from the DL due to a back strain. He hurls at Citi Field against the Mets next.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with USC Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Dolphins. The deficit is 179 sirignanos.

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Hondo

It was very nippy last night for Hondo, who lost narrowly with both the Marlins and Pirates to boost the debt back up to 2,060 snells.

Today, Mr. Aitch will buckle up the chinstrap and try to hit paydirt with a 10-unit play on the no-circus, all-business Jetsons over the Bills. Also, 10 on Zito and the Giants to conquer the odds against the Dodgers

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Broncos -2

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Mike Hook -NFL CHEAP All Access!

Mike Hook | NFL Side Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 458 NYJ -2.5 (-120) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 457 BUF

Mike Hook | NFL Side Sun, 09/09/12 - 4:25 PM
double-dime bet 476 ARI 3.0 (-115) bodog (http://sports.bovada.lv/) vs 475 SEA

Mike Hook | NFL Money Line Sun, 09/09/12 - 8:25 PM
triple-dime bet 478 DEN (-125) BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) vs 477 PIT

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Marc Lawrence

Super System Super Play - Tennessee

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Tony George - Tony's Sunday NFL 4 Play Card

Tony George | NFL Total Sun, 09/09/12 - 4:25 PM
dime bet 475 SEA / 476 ARI Over 40.5 Justbet (http://justbet.cx/)

Tony George | NFL Side Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM
dime bet 458 NYJ -2.5 (-110) Justbet (http://justbet.cx/) vs 457 BUF

Tony George | NFL Side Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM
dime bet 469 ATL -2.5 (-110) Justbet (http://justbet.cx/) vs 470 KAN

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From Platinum Plays.

500K Week 1 Parlay

the NY Jets -3 over
the Buffalo Bills


the Atlanta Falcons -2½ over
the Kansas City Chiefs

Best Bets


the Cleveland Browns +9 over
the Philadelphia Eagles

the New Orleans Saints -7½ over
the Washington Redskins

the Atlanta/Kansas City Game UNDER
the Total Of 43½ Points


500K NFC Lock/Month


the Green Bay Packers -5 over
the San Francisco 49ers


Best Bets


the Seattle Seahawks -2½ over
the Arizona Cardinals

the Carolina Panthers -2½ over
the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

the San Francisco/Green Bay Game OVER
the Total Of 46½ Points

the Seattle/Arizona Game OVER
the Total Of 40½ Points


Premier Picks

the Detroit Lions -8 over
the St Louis Rams

the Denver Broncos -1½ over
the Pittsburgh Steelers

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Totals 4 You Selections for Early Sunday, September 9th

2012 National Football League Sunday Kickoff Total of the Year!!!!!
Buffalo/NY Jets under 38 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Steelers @ Broncos Free of Charge!!!

Early NFL Bets Bets
Indianapolis/Chicago over 43 1/2
Philadelphia/Cleveland under 43
New England/Tennessee over 47
St Louis/Detroit under 45 1/2

Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Sunday, September 9th

2012 NFL Sunday Night Football Kickoff Total of the Year!!!!!
Pittsburgh/Denver over 45 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Monday's Report Free of Charge!!!

Late NFL Best Bets
San Francisco/Green Bay over 46 1/2
Carolina/Tampa Bay under 47
Seattle/Arizona under 40 1/2

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KB Hoops

7 units Chiefs +3 -120 ***POD***
5 units Falcons/Chiefs OVer 42
5 units Eagles -9
4 units Lions -8.5
4 units Packers -5
3 units Saints -8
3 units Titans +5
3 units Jets -2.5
3 units Jaguars +4
3 units Panthers/Bucs OVer 46.5

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DCI NFL

Season
Straight Up: 0-1 (.000)
ATS: 0-1 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-22 (.000)
Over/Under: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-0 (-----)

Wednesday, September 5, 2012
N.Y. GIANTS 36, Dallas 10

Sunday, September 9, 2012
CHICAGO 26, Indianapolis 12
Philadelphia 20, CLEVELAND 12
New England 28, TENNESSEE 19
KANSAS CITY 18, Atlanta 15
MINNESOTA 24, Jacksonville 19
NEW ORLEANS 41, Washington 15
N.Y. JETS 31, Buffalo 20
DETROIT 34, St. Louis 13
HOUSTON 20, Miami 18
GREEN BAY 27, San Francisco 24
ARIZONA 21, Seattle 18
Carolina 36, TAMPA BAY 25
Pittsburgh 20, DENVER 16

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Today's NFL Picks

Pittsburgh at Denver

The Broncos look to take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 road games. Denver is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 9
Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (9/3)


Game 453-454: Indianapolis at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 125.338; Chicago 136.387
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 11; 46
Vegas Line: Chicago by 9; 42
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-9); Over


Game 455-456: Philadelphia at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 135.307; Cleveland 129.423
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6; 45
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 9; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+9); Over


Game 457-458: Buffalo at NY Jets (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.000; NY Jets 128.394
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3); Under


Game 459-460: Washington at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.226; New Orleans 136.744
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9 1/2); Under


Game 461-462: New England at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 138.120; Tennessee 134.776
Dunkel Line: New England by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: New England by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+6 1/2); Over


Game 463-464: Jacksonville at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.523; Minnesota 128.384
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3; 35
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+4 1/2); Under


Game 465-466: Miami at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 129.483; Houston 143.005
Dunkel Line: Houston by 13 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Houston by 10 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-10 1/2); Over


Game 467-468: St. Louis at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 120.837; Detroit 134.336
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 13 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Detroit by 8; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-8); Over


Game 469-470: Atlanta at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.107; Kansas City 130.099
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 46
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2 1/2); Over


Game 471-472: San Francisco at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 138.100; Green Bay 138.121
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 5 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+5 1/2); Over


Game 473-474: Carolina at Tampa Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 125.515; Tampa Bay 126.430
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Under


Game 475-476: Seattle at Arizona (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 133.680; Arizona 128.587
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 5; 36
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-2 1/2); Under


Game 477-478: Pittsburgh at Denver (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 131.635; Denver 134.522
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Denver (-1); 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1); Over

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EAGLE EYE--WINMART
Minn Vikings-3.5
Texans-14.5
Bronco's $ Steelers Over 46
--------------------------
EAGLE EYE--ALBERT SCHIPANI
Arizona+2.5
--------------------------
EAGLE EYE---JASON WEEDS
Panthers-1
Colts+11

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Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at San Francisco

The Giants look to build on their 7-0 record in their last 7 games as an underdog. San Francisco is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+155). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 9
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Atlanta at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 16.395; NY Mets (Young) 14.560
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-125); Under


Game 953-954: Houston at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Gonzalez) 14.575; Cincinnati (Cueto) 13.615
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-305); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+275); Over


Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Rusin) 14.365; Pittsburgh (Locke) 13.753
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+150); Over


Game 957-958: Miami at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 15.294; Washington (Jackson) 15.816
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Under


Game 959-960: Colorado at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 16.683; Philadelphia (Cloyd) 15.275
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-230); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+190); Over


Game 961-962: Milwaukee at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.764; St. Louis (Kelly) 15.249
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Under


Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.660; San Francisco (Zito) 15.658
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+155); Over


Game 965-966: Arizona at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 15.249; San Diego (Werner) 16.635
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Under


Game 967-968: Toronto at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Villanueva) 16.438; Boston (Buchholz) 14.414
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Over


Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 15.127; Baltimore (Britton) 15.690
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-130); Under


Game 971-972: Texas at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Oswalt) 15.806; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.426
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Over


Game 973-974: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.134; White Sox (Santiago) 16.014
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Under


Game 975-976: Cleveland at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 13.914; Minnesota (Vasquez) 14.818
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-105); Over


Game 977-978: Oakland at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.409; Seattle (Vargas) 13.968
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Under


Game 979-980: Detroit at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 15.300; LA Angels (Greinke) 17.961
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-155); Under


Game 981-982: Colorado at Philadelphia (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Pomeranz) 16.948; Philadelphia (Cloyd) 16.010
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+145); Over

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Bears
Titans
49er's
Broncos

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 905-667 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS !

Free play SUN: N E Pats - 4 1/2 4-1 run

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ParlayJoe

Kansas City +3

KC is a beast at home and with Jamal Charles back I think this is a perfect situation to grab points at home and pull off the upset. KC is 4-1 ATS at home it's last 5 games and the trend should continue today.

New Orleans Saints -8.5

Saints are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 home games and thats enough to be all over the Saints.

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MLB

Sunday, September 9

Hot pitchers
-- Cueto is 3-1, 2.57 in his last five starts. EGonzalez allowed one run in 5.1 IP in winning his only '12 start.
-- Nolasco is 2-0, 2.43 in his last three starts. Jackson is 2-1, 3.05 in his last three home starts.
-- Hamels is 3-0, 2.15 in his last five starts. Cloyd has a 2.77 RA in his two starts this season.
-- JKelly is 3-1, 3.71 in his last five outings.
-- Werner allowed two runs in six IP in all three of his starts.
-- Kershaw has a 2.17 RA in his last four starts.

-- Britton is 4-0, 0.94 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 4-1, 2.89 in his last six starts.
-- Guthrie is 4-0, 2.72 in his last six starts. Santiago allowed one run in five IP in winning his first '12 start.
-- Greinke is 3-0, 1.66 in his last three starts. ASanchez is 1-1, 2.29 in his last three outings.
-- Milone is 2-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hanson is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts. Young is 1-2, 5.81 in his last five outings.
-- Locke gave up five runs in five IP in losing his only '12 start. Rusin allowed six runs in six IP in losing both starts this season.
-- Pomeramz is 0-2, 5.73 in his last five starts. Chatwood is 1-2, 8.40 in his last four starts.
-- Marcum is 0-1, 5.24 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-1, 5.71 in his last three starts.
-- Zito has a 6.20 RA in his last five starts.

-- Villanueva is 1-3, 4.38 in his last four starts. Buchholz is 0-2, 6.98 in his last three starts.
-- FGarcia is 0-1, 7.54 in his last three starts.
-- Harrison allowed 12 runs in 10 IP in losing his last two starts.
-- Kluber is 1-3, 6.56 in seven starts this season. Vasquez allowed five runs in 5.2 IP in his first '12 start.
-- Vargas is 1-1, 6.04 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Nationals won six of their last seven games.
-- Phillies won six of their last eight games.
-- Atlanta won six of its last seven games.
-- Brewers won 15 of their last 19 games.
-- Padres won 13 of their last 18 games. Arizona won nine of its last thirteen road games.

-- Orioles won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Toronto won its last three games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Tampa Bay/Texas both won five of their last seven games.
-- Angels won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Oakland won 11 of its last 14 games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Cubs/Pirates both lost six of their last eight games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Colorado lost four of its last five games.
-- Cincinnati is 4-6 in its last ten home games. Astros lost 17 of their last 21 games overall.
-- Cardinals lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- San Francisco lost five of its last seven home games. Dodgers lost 11 of their last 18 games overall.

-- Bronx lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Boston lost 10 of its last 11 games.
-- Minnesota lost 17 of its last 24 games. Cleveland lost 10 of 13 on road.
-- White Sox/Royals both lost six of their last nine games.
-- Detroit lost 13 of its last 18 road games.
-- Mariners are 3-5 in their last eight home games.

Totals
-- 10 of last 12 Washington games went over the total.
-- Five of Cubs' last seven games went over the total.
-- 15 of last 19 Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-2 in last seven Cincinnati games.
-- 14 of Mets' last 20 games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Milwaukee games went over.
-- Last six Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3-2 in Giants' last fourteen games. Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers' last nine games.

-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Bronx games.
-- Five of last six Toronto games went over total.
-- Under is 5-2-2 in last nine Tampa Bay games.
-- Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-0-2 in Kansas City's last eight games.
-- Under is 14-2-1 in last 17 Detroit games,
-- Over is 8-1-1 in Oakland's last ten games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Randazzo games.
-- Atl-NY-- Last four Gibson games went over the total.
-- LA-SF-- Five of last six O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Col-Phil-- Seven of last ten Holbrook games stayed under. Muchlinski's last three games went over total.
-- Chi-Pitt-- Under is 13-1-1 in Baker games this season.
-- Hst-Cin-- 13 of last 14 Culbreth games stayed under the total.
-- Mil-StL-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Cousins games.
-- Az-SD-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Diaz games.

-- KC-Chi-- Visiting team won last six Hernandez games.
-- NY-Balt-- Nine of last eleven Meals games stayed under total.
-- Tor-Bos-- Rookie ump Fagan has worked two games; both went over.
-- Cle-Min-- Under is 5-1-2 in Rackley games this season.
-- Tex-TB-- Six of last eight Vanover games went over total.
-- Det-LA-- Five of last six Carapazza games stayed under.
-- A's-Sea-- Six of last eight Reynolds games stayed under.

[poopoo333]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO

Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (ARIZONA) average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL
58-39 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.8% 32.9 units )
5-6 this year. ( 45.5% -0.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets

MLB NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 25-15 (+16.2 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.1) , OPPONENT (4.4)

[poopoo333]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

WNBA MINNESOTA at SAN ANTONIO

Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games.
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
5-5 this year. ( 50.0% -0.5 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at NEW YORK

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (NEW YORK) in non-conference games, off a home loss.
262-175 since 1997. ( 60.0% 0.0 units )
10-8 this year. ( 55.6% 0.0 units )

WNBA MINNESOTA at SAN ANTONIO

Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 after a combined score of 155 points or more in 2 straight games.
196-116 since 1997. ( 62.8% 68.4 units )
27-14 this year. ( 65.9% 11.6 units )

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo
Enforcer

Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine
61.7% STL (PP)
59.7% NE (PP)
59.2% GB (PP)

58.8% PIT
58.5% ARI
57.6% WAS
57.4% IND

Monday
59% CIN (PP)

58.9% OAK

[Mr. IWS]

The Bag Man


4000 Units Bears -9 over Colts - Love the way Cutler is playing and Luck won't being seeing a vanilla defense in the Regular Season. This has the makings of a route.

2000 Units Titans +6 over Patriots 6 points is too many on the road for an offense that has looked average and a defense that has difficulty stopping the run.

2000 Units Jaguars +4 over Vikings No Peterson spells trouble for the Vikes

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

HOUSTON -12.5 over Miami: The Miami Dolphins have new schemes on offense and a rookie QB to run them. They also have very little talent at wide receiver and an OL that is pretty weak. The Dolphins put up just 10.8 ppg in the preseason and they just may end up as the lowest scoring team in the NFL. Now their game 1 task is to take on a Houston defense that 2nd in the league last year, allowing just 283 ypg and 17 ppg. Houston did trade Demeco Ryans in the off season, but still have plenty of depth and talent to finish in the top 5 defensively again. Miami had a decent second half on defense, but they did very little to improve that side of the ball and they have new defensive schemes as well. Houston got some good news as it looks as if Arian Foster will play. The Texans also have a healthy Matt Schaub and WR Andre Johnson and should have no problems putting up points on the average Miami defense. The Dolphins will struggle all year and I just don’t see this sorry offense coming up with enough points to keep this one close.

3 UNIT PLAYS
Minnesota/ Jacksonville Under 38: This will be a game of running the ball and defense and with the QB’s that these two teams have that is the only way for them to go. The Viking defense was 28th in the league vs the pass, but that’s ok cause the Jags were the worst passing offense in the league, averaging just 136 ypg through the air. The Jags do like to run and will have Jones-Drew back in the fold for this one. He will not be a big part of the offense in game 1, but still that will not change the Jags game plan. The Vikings have weak QB play as well in Ponder and will also rely on their running game to get things done in this one. Last year the Jags were 9th vs the run and 8th vs the pass and that will make it hard for this Minnesota offense to put points on the board. Allot of running means the clock will run and run and that should go a long way to keeping this one UNDER the total. KEY TREND--- The Under is 2-8 when the Jags are rod dogs of 4 or less.

Chicago/ Indianapolis Over 43: Last year the Colts averaged just 15 pg, but with the presence of Luck and more imaginative play calling they were able to put up 24.5 ppg in the preseason. I know it's just preseason, but this offense is improved and should be able to put up solid numbers vs a Chicago defense that really struggled in the preseason, allowing 24.8 ppg and 30+ points twice. Last year the Bears put up 22 ppg, but this year they look much better and are healthier as well. Jay Cutler had a very nice year last year and his weapons have been greatly upgraded with the addition of Brandon Marshall and 2nd round draft pick Alshon Jeffrey (Boise State). This WR corps along with RB Matt Forte makes the Bears offense very dangerous. The Colts last year struggled on defense, allowing 27 ppg and I haven't seen much of an improvement this year as they allowed 24 ppg in their last 3 games of the preseason. This unit had some big holes on defense, but still used their 1st 5 picks on offense. This unit will struggle again. This should be a fun game. Luck will be turned loose and Cutler and his outstanding WR corp will also make a lot of big plays which should give us around 50 points in this game.

DETROIT -9 over St Louis: 2 years ago a weak Detroit team pasted a weak St Louis team by a 44-6 count, ad that was with out Stafford. Now this Detroit team is a much better group and will be a playoff team, while St Louis has headed the other way. The Rams were just awful on the road last year, losing 6 of their 8 away games by 12 or more points and in their last 3 road games they were outscored 83-13. Ouch. This year in the preseason they did do ok at Dallas losing by just 1 point, but in their opener on the road they lost to Indy by 35 points. Detroit will be an explosive offense once again this year, with Stafford throwing the ball all over the place to his bevy of WR's and will be taking aim at a St Louis defense that is average at best vs the pass. Last year St Louis averaged just 12 ppg and did very little in the off season to upgrade their offense. Sam Bradford is a decent QB and Jackson is a solid RB, but when your playing at Detroit, where the Lions averaged 30+ ppg last year, you need to be able to put a lot of points on the board and the Rams just don't have that kind of offense. Detroit's defense keeps improving and their offense could be unstoppable in this one. I expect the Lions to win by 17+ here. KEY TREND--- The Rams are 1-10 ATS as dogs of more than 5 points during the first 4 weeks of the season.

[Mr. IWS]

Gold Medal Club

#453 Indianapolis +10
#459 N.Y. Jets - 2.5
#463 Jacksonville +3.5
#474 Tampa Bay ML +118

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence Powerful NFL Opening Week Super System Super Play!

Tennessee

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks 9/9

Miami +13

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS NFL SEPT. 9th

TOP (3)
PACKERS -4.5 vs 49'ers (1:30pm)
BRONCOS -1.5 vs steelers SNF-(5:30pm)

STRONG (2)
BILLS +3 at jets (10am)
TEXANS -13 vs dolphins (10am)
CHIEFS +3 vs falcons (10am)
JAGS +4 at vikings (10am)
BENGALS +7 at ravens MNF-(4pm)
http://www.cappersmall.com/smi/mosh.gif
* All lines at Wynn Casino as of 9-9-12 4am Pacific
** All times Pacific

[Mr. IWS]

From Platinum Plays.

500K Week 1 Parlay

the NY Jets -3 over
the Buffalo Bills


the Atlanta Falcons -2½ over
the Kansas City Chiefs

Best Bets


the Cleveland Browns +9 over
the Philadelphia Eagles

the New Orleans Saints -7½ over
the Washington Redskins

the Atlanta/Kansas City Game UNDER
the Total Of 43½ Points


500K NFC Lock/Month


the Green Bay Packers -5 over
the San Francisco 49ers


Best Bets


the Seattle Seahawks -2½ over
the Arizona Cardinals

the Carolina Panthers -2½ over
the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

the San Francisco/Green Bay Game OVER
the Total Of 46½ Points

the Seattle/Arizona Game OVER
the Total Of 40½ Points


Premier Picks

the Detroit Lions -8 over
the St Louis Rams

the Denver Broncos -1½ over
the Pittsburgh Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Sunday, September 9th

2012 National Football League Sunday Kickoff Total of the Year!!!!!
Buffalo/NY Jets under 38 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Steelers @ Broncos Free of Charge!!!

Early NFL Bets Bets
Indianapolis/Chicago over 43 1/2
Philadelphia/Cleveland under 43
New England/Tennessee over 47
St Louis/Detroit under 45 1/2

Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Sunday, September 9th

2012 NFL Sunday Night Football Kickoff Total of the Year!!!!!
Pittsburgh/Denver over 45 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Monday's Report Free of Charge!!!

Late NFL Best Bets
San Francisco/Green Bay over 46 1/2
Carolina/Tampa Bay under 47
Seattle/Arizona under 40 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

KB Hoops

7 units Chiefs +3 -120 ***POD***
5 units Falcons/Chiefs OVer 42
5 units Eagles -9
4 units Lions -8.5
4 units Packers -5
3 units Saints -8
3 units Titans +5
3 units Jets -2.5
3 units Jaguars +4
3 units Panthers/Bucs OVer 46.5

[Mr. IWS]

Tony George - Tony's Sunday NFL 4 Play Card

Tony George | NFL Total Sun, 09/09/12 - 4:25 PM
dime bet 475 SEA / 476 ARI Over 40.5 Justbet

Tony George | NFL Side Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM
dime bet 458 NYJ -2.5 (-110) Justbet vs 457 BUF

Tony George | NFL Side Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM
dime bet 469 ATL -2.5 (-110) Justbet vs 470 KAN

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

NFL

50 San Fran
15 Denver
10 saints
5 eagles

[Mr. IWS]

robert ferringo

NFL Game of the Year.

7-Unit Play. Take #469 Atlanta (-3) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 9)

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

Take #469 Atlanta (-3) over Kansas City

Take #460 New Orleans (-7) over Washington
Take #466 Houston (-12) over Miami
Take #461 New England (-5.5) over Tennessee
Take #463 Jacksonville (+4) over Minnesota
Take #467 St. Louis (+7.5) over Detroit
Take #475 Seattle (-2.5) over Arizona
Take #477 Pittsburgh (+1.5) over Denver

Take 'Under' 39.0 Buffalo at N.Y. Jets
Take 'Over' 47.0 New England at Tennessee

TEASER: Take #454 Chicago (-3) over Indianapolis
AND Take #455 Philadelphia (-2) over Cleveland

TEASER:
Take #466 Houston (-5) over Miami
AND Take #463 Jacksonville (+11) over Minnesota

TEASER:
Take #467 St. Louis (+14.5) over Detroit
AND Take #455 Philadelphia (-2) over Cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

BENTON

40 Dime- St Louis / Detroit OVER

[Mr. IWS]

SuperSportsGroup **NFL** 9/9

Miami v. Houston 1pm
PICK: Miami +12.5 Game
PICK: OVER 42.5 Game

New England v. Tennessee 1pm
PICK: Tennessee +5.5 Game
PICK: OVER 47 Game
PICK: OVER 24 1H

Seattle v. Arizona 4pm
PICK: Arizona +3 Game

[Mr. IWS]

Budin(50) JETS
Benton(40) STL-DET OVER
Valentino(40) BUCS
DeMarco(15) SAINTS
Adams(1500) TEXANS
Rivers(400,000) SAINTS
Davis(30) DOLPHINS
Redd(60) REDSKINS
O'Brien(20) JAGUARS

[Mr. IWS]

Spartan 9/9
San Francisco +5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4* Tennessee Titans +5.5 over New England Patriots (Sunday 9/9 1:00PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

chris jordan texans
sean michaels teaser bears lions
scott delaney eagles

[Mr. IWS]

3G Sports
10* NFL Gameof the Week:
TEXAS -13

The Miami Dolphins have new schemes on offense, a new coach and a rookie QB to run them. They also have very little talent at wide receiver and an OL that is pretty weak. The Dolphins put up just 10.8 ppg in the preseason and they just may end up as the lowest scoring team in the NFL this year. Now their game 1 task is to take on a Houston defense that 2nd in the league last year, allowing just 283 ypg and 17 ppg. The Texans also have a healthy Matt Schaub and WR Andre Johnson and should have no problems putting up points on the average Miami defense. The Dolphins will struggle all year and I just don’t see this sorry ass offense coming up with enough points to keep this one close and I like the Texans to score a bunch and pull away.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Best Bet -Den
NFL - J'vlle, Det, GB, Den Un
MLB - Atl, TB, LAA

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 9/9
5* New England Patriots -6
5* Pittsburgh Steelers +1

4* Atlanta Falcons -1

3* Detroit Lions -7

[Mr. IWS]

marc lawrence

4 arizona
3 tenn
3 bills
3 greenbay
3 pit

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Power (Shocker) 10 units Cleveland Browns + 9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 9/9
454 Bears -10 @ 1p
456 Browns +10 @ 1p
458 Jets -3 @ 1p
459 Redskins +8 @ 1p
462 Titans +6 @ 1p
463 Jaguars +3.5 @ 1p
465 Dolphins +13 @ 1p
467 Rams +9 @ 1p
469 Falcons -3 @ 1p
472 Packers -5 @ 4:25p
474 Bucs +3 @ 4:25p
475 Seahawks -3 @ 4:25p
477 Steelers +2 @ 8:25p

951 Braves -125 @ 1:10p
958 Nationals -175 @ 1:35p
968 Red Sox -145 @ 1:35p
971 Rangers +125 @ 1:40p
973 Royals +107 @ 2:10p
961 Brewers +110 @ 2:15p
979 Tigers +140 @ 3:35p
966 Padres -130 @ 4:05p
977 A's -125 @ 4:10p

[Mr. IWS]

STEVE BUDIN
BALTIMORE CREW
50 Dime Winner # 12 out of 16
Opening Game of the Year
JETS

BOB VALENTINO
One and Only
40 DIME
NFL Dog of the Month
The Best Pup on the Board Sunday, Period.
TB BUCS

AL DEMARCO
15 Dime
Opening Game of the Year
N.O. SAINTS

TRACE ADAMS
Raise the Bar
1500♦ NFL Winner #4 of 5
Chalk-Eater Special
TEXANS

MATT RIVERS
400,000♦ Winner #8 of 11
- #19 of 27 Overall -
N.O. SAINTS

CRAIG DAVIS
30 DIME
Winner #5 of 7
Dog Shocker
DOLPHINS

ANTHONY REDD
60 Dime NFL Winner # 2 in a Row
Underdog Shocker of the Month
REDSKINS

CHUCK O'BRIEN
NFL Opening Weekend
20 DIME NFL Winner #10 of 15
JAGUARS

SEAN MICHAELS
100 DIME
NFL WINNER 18 OF 22
Teaser Winner #21 of 29
BEARS & LIONS

SCOTT DELANEY
25 DIME NFL
BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK
Single-digit chalk, Double-digit winner!!!
TWO-TOUCHDOWN WINNER!!
EAGLES

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Sunday

100* Play Toronto +145 over Boston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 1:30 PM EST

Boston has lost 9 of the last 10 games and they have also lost 15 of the last 23 games when playing as a home favorite of -150 or higher. Boston has lost 29 of the last 49 games vs. division opponents and they have lost 25 of the last 33 games in the month of September.

50* Play Tampa Bay -135 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Washington -175 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS TO WIN (+148)
Listed Pitchers: Kershaw vs Zito
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.48 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook
NYJ -2.5 -120
ARI +3 -115
DEN -125 ML

[Mr. IWS]

Tony George
SEA / 476 ARI Over 40.5
NYJ -2.5 (-110) vs 457 BUF
ATL -2.5 (-110) vs 470 KAN

[Mr. IWS]

ALLEN EASTMAN/ACE-ACE

5-Unit Game of the Week

Eagles -8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Lions -9

50* Eagles -9.5

100* Rays -140

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Chiefs +3

3* Bills / Jets Under

3* Patriots / Titans Over

3* Texans -12.5

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4* Tennessee Titans +5.5 over New England Patriots (Sunday 9/9 1:00PM EST)

CFL:
3* Winnipeg +3.5 over Saskatchewan (1:00PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes NFL Side

dime bet 469 ATL -2.5 (-110) vs 470 KAN

Analysis
NFL Week 1 - 469 Atlanta Falcons @ 470 Kansas City Chiefs

Projected line: Atlanta by 6 points

Kansas City was a team plagued by injuries last season and they'll try to bounce back this season with their injured players returning. However, this debut should be a very tough game for them, as Atlanta offers them a very hard matchup. QB Matt Cassel was solid but unimpressive in the preseason, as he was very conservative and even though he avoided turnovers, he just couldn't make a big play to help his team's passing game. Atlanta has an improved secondary this season with ProBowler CB Asante Samuel and I don't believe the Chiefs will scare them with their poor passing game. Kansas City will in fact bet it all on their running game with RB Jamaal Charles leading the way, helped by Peyton Hills. Charles is coming from a season ending knee injury last season and I don't believe he will handle a heavy load of carries with ease against a good run defense from Atlanta (who averaged less than 100 rushing yards per game allowed last season). I'm not saying the Chiefs won't have a couple of good runs that eventually leads them to some points scored, however with a noneffective passing game and while facing a good offensive team, I don't think that will be enough for the Chiefs to get even very close to win this game.

Atlanta has a well-balanced offense, with a good passing game led by QB Matt Ryan, who has good receivers like WR Julio Jones, WR Roddy White and TE Tony Gonzalez on his side. The running game is also quite dangerous with RB Michael Turner, helped by an Offensive Line that is quite decent and that should handle the Chiefs' DL with some comfort today. Kansas City is a good defensive team at 100%, but that won't be the case today: LB Tamba Hali is suspended, NT Anthony Toribio is doubtful (ankle), S Kendrick Lewis is doubtful as well (shoulder), CB Brandon Flowers is questionable (heel) and CB Jalil Brown is also questionable (groin). This makes the Chiefs' defense quite banged up for today, something that Atlanta should take advantage with their well-balanced offense with a lot of quality in both the passing and the running game.

I believe Atlanta will be able to make a decent defensive job today, while they will also have too much firepower for a banged up Chiefs defense to handle. Therefore, I'll be taking the Falcons on the short spread today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 469 Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) @ -110 / 1.91

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

LA Dodgers -158 over SAN FRANCISCO

Philadelphia/ Colorado Over 7.5 (Game 1)

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

St Louis/ Milwaukee Over 8.5

LA ANGELS -154 over Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
3.5 * jets -2.5
3 * pats -4.5
3* packers -5

[Mr. IWS]

teddy covers
20* mismatch gom jets

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

NFL:
50 UNDER Jacksonville
100 Denver
100 Chicago
100 teaser Jets and Philladelphia
100 Arizona
200 Tampa Bay

MLB:
200 SD Padres

[Mr. IWS]

marco deangelo

TAKE NY JETS as MARCO'S TRIPLE DIME NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | NFL Side Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM ϥ
double-dime bet 458 NYJ -3.0 (+100) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 457 BUF
Analysis: ¶

** NFL 2* BOOKIE BET **

JETS -3 (+100)....(2*)

TRUE LINE = NYJ -5.5


Vegas-runner | NFL Total Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM ϥ
double-dime bet 463 JAC / 464 MIN Under 38.0 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Analysis:

** NFL 2* BOOKIE BET **

UNDER 38 JAX/MIN....(2*)

TRU¶E-LINE = 36



triple-dime bet 457 BUF / 458 NYJ Over 39.0 BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)
Analysis: ´

**** NFL 3* TTUE STEAM TOTAL OF THE WEEK ****

OVER 39 BUF/NYJ....(3*)

TRUE LINE = 43


vegas-runner | NFL Money Line Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM ϥ
double-dime bet 468 DET (-125) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 467 STL
Analysis: ´

** NFL 2* PREMIUM 2-TEAM TEASER PLAY ** (7 POINT)

DETROIT -2 with CHICAGO -2.5....(2*)


vegas-runner | NFL Money Line Sun, 09/09/12 - 1:00 PM ϥ
triple-dime bet 455 PHI (-125) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 456 CLE
Analysis:

*** NFL 3* PRE´MIUM 2-TEAM TEASER PLAY OF THE WEEK *** (7 POINT)

PHILADELPHIA -2.5 with NEW ORLEANS -1....(3*)

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies Sports
500* Philadelphia @ Cleveland Under 43
500* St.Louis @ Detroit Over 45
500* Colts+10
30* Tampa Bay+2½
20* Eagles-9
10* Seattle-3 Free Play

[Mr. IWS]

GOODFELLA


SUN NFL FULL CARD




3* bills + 3


2* seahwaks + 1


2* broncos ML -125


2* texans -4.5 & bucs + 10 ( 7pt two team teaser )

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 100U

Houston