9-10-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 0-0

3% BALTIMORE –6.5


BALTIMORE –6.5 Cincinnati 41.5

Cincinnati surprised everyone last year on their way to a 9-7 record before losing their playoff game against the Texans, 10-31. They were about average on offense, averaging 5.0yppl against 5.1yppl and were about average on defense, allowing 5.1yppl against 5.1yppl. The Ravens were also average on offense, gaining 5.2yppl against 5.2yppl but very solid on defense, allowing just 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.4yps against 6.1yps and 4.6yppl against 5.2yppl.

Cincinnati lost G Bobbie Williams to these Ravens and tried to replace him with Travelle Wharton who is now out with an injury. They also lost their starting center, Kyle Cook, who was replaced last week with the signing of Jeff Faine. Carlos Dunlap is questionable for this game and he is one of their best defensive ends. They also don’t have rookie cb Dre Fitzpatrick. The Bengal’s also need to find a second receiver. Jermaine Gresham is a nice fit at TE for Cincinnati to go along with A.J. Green but they need that second receiver. RB Cedric Benson is also gone and replaced by Green-Ellis from NE.

Baltimore lost a few key people during the off-season in G Ben Grubbs, LB Jarret Johnson and DE Cory Redding. They also lost DE Terrell Suggs who is likely out for the year. Those defensive losses add up to about ½ their sacks last year. Baltimore is also looking to go more hurry up on offense this year which should help Joe Flacco and their offense continues to mature with WR Torrey Smith. They’ve also added Jacoby Jones to spice up their return game.

Baltimore qualifies in great week one situation, which is 46-13-1. I make the line seven in favor of Baltimore and a predicted total of about 42 points. Cincinnati built their wins last year against bad teams as they were 0-8 vs playoff teams. Against good teams on the road they lost by seven at Baltimore, 28 at Pittsburgh and 21 in the playoffs at Houston. They also lost by six at Baltimore in 2010 and by eight last year at home to these Ravens. Meanwhile, the Ravens were 7-1 vs playoff teams last year with the only loss by three points at NE in the playoffs. The Ravens were very good at home against good teams defeating Pittsburgh by 28, the Jets by 17, Houston by 15 and 7, Cincinnati by 7 and SF by 10. BALTIMORE 27 CINCINNATI 14



OAKLAND –1 San Diego 46.5

Both teams threw the ball well last year as SD averaged 7.2yps against 6.5yps and Oakland averaged the same 7.2yps against 6.5yps. But, both defenses were poor as SD allowed 7.0yps against 6.3yps and Oakland allowed 5.0ypr against 4.3ypr.

Oakland begins the year with plenty of new faces, mostly at the upper management level. Reggie McKenzie comes over from GB to serve as the General Manger. He brought in Dennis Allen to coach the team and two new coordinators as Greg Knapp is back in Oakland to install the west coast offense. Jason Tarver heads up the defense, along with Allen, who is a defensive minded coach himself. San Diego tried to address their pass rushing ability through the draft but did not address the secondary and that continues to be a problem for SD, as well as their defensive line.

Oakland qualifies in a week one situation, which is 76-45-5 but they don’t qualify in the best part of that situation. My numbers make this game a pick ‘em and predict about 51 points. Oakland is just 1-4 SU the last five games played here against SD but has defeated SD in three of their last four games (in SD and Oakland) as they have defeated SD each of the last two years in SD. The last five years here in Oakland have seen at least 44 points being scored in each game, including 64 last year between these two in the final week of the season. Both teams have issues in the secondary and have receivers that can take advantage of their weakness. Oakland won at SD last year because of problems at LT for SD. If rookie Mike Harris can’t protect Phillip Rivers in this game, Oakland will probably win again. OAKLAND 27 SAN DIEGO 24

[Mr. IWS]

Spartan - NFL MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC!

spartan | NFL Side Mon, 09/10/12 - 10:15 PM
double-dime bet 482 OAK -1.0 (-110) Hilton vs 481 SDC
Analysis: There are few certainties in life guys. I'd have to say de‹ath and taxes still top the list but another apparent item has been creeping up the pole, that is the stubborn fact that Norv Turner's Chargers are slow starters. It's a scene that has been repeating itself and I am not bucking the trend here as they venture into Oakland. Oakland has knocked off the Chargers the last four times they have squared off and I predict they will make it five. Oh, and they are 5-1 against the number the last six times so they have had the Chargers number of late. Maybe Phillip Rivers will find himself monday night but he has not looked like the Rivers of old lately. I look for McFadden, (YES, HE's HEALTHY) to have a big night and if he can stay upright to have that season we've all been waiting for. Anyway, not going to beat this thing to death. You can clearly see where I'm going. I say let's go Double Star on the Raiders to send the home crowd away in a festive mood. Take the silver and black to make Turner squirm some more. Many sincere thanks guys and best of luck to us. Enjoy the game!

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers Pass NFL
MLB

Detroit -104 over CHICAGO
This series could very well go a long way in determining who will win the AL Central. The White Sox hold a slim two-game lead over the Tigers but the Sox are not in very good form right now with just three wins in their past 10 after losing a home series to the Royals this past weekend. They’ve also lost seven straight to these Tigers.

Rich Porcello has taken the loss in each of his last five starts but much of it was bad luck, as Porcello deserved much better. On the surface (4.58 ERA), Porcello appears to be an ineffective hurler but there's more to like here than you may realize. His base skills feature elite command and a continued groundball tilt that is up to 54% on the year. In August, Porcello’s groundball rate was an effective 58%. Porcello’s uncovered talents put him on the list of the most undervalued pitchers in the game.

José Quintana has a 7.01 ERA over his last five starts but unlike Porcello, he’s deserving of it. Quintana’s xERA over that span is 5.72. He has plus control but he relies heavily on his defense because he does not strike out enough batters. Quintana's upside remains as a back of the rotation/middle relief type in the long run and it’s doubtful he’ll be the one to snap the South Side’s ugly losing streak against this rival.
Our PickDetroit -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line Mon, 09/10/12 - 8:10 PM
triple-dime bet 916 CWS (-105) Hilton vs 915 DET
Analysis: Chicago White Sox v. Detroit

Jose Quintana heads to the hill for the White Sox in this critical AL Central matchup. The Tigers are batting just .247 against left handed pitchers this season, a drastic difference from the .277 they've hit off right handers. They have yet to face Quintana this season, and there's always an adjustment period for hitters when facing a guy that they have never seen before. Quintana will get to face a Tiger lineup that is slumping of late, having scored just 16 runs in its last six games, and batting below .200 in the process. Now, they'll be forced to fly in late from the west coast for a strangely-scheduled trip to Anaheim surrounded by playing at home and then playing in Chicago. It's definitely a potential flat spot for the Tigers, who are eight games under .500 on the road.

Rick Porcello will be making the start for the Tigers. Porcello has struggled against the White Sox in 10 career outings with a 4.95 ERA. Porcello has been the losing pitcher in each of his last five starts. Opposing hitters have batted .313 against Porcello for the season. The White Sox are averaging 5.4 runs of offense per game at home this season. With the Tigers possibly feeling some jet lag and a lot of hitters putting the ball in play against Porcello and his awful defense, the White Sox should be in a good spot in the series opener. The White Sox will also put some extra emphasis on this game as they face Doug Fister, Max Scherzer, and Justin Verlander in the final three games of the series.

PLAY: CHICAGO WHITE SOX

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 You Selections for Monday, September 10th

2012 Monday Night Football Totals Parlay of the Year!!!!!
Cincinnati/Baltimore under 41 1/2
San Diego/Oakland under 46 1/2

2-0 NFL or we'll email you Tuesday's Report Free of Charge!!!


MLB Best Bets
Miami/Philadelphia under 8 1/2
Atlanta/Milwaukee over 8 1/2
Cleveland/Minnesota under 9

[Mr. IWS]

From Platinum Plays

500K MNF Totals Lock

the Cincinnati/Baltimore Game OVER
the Total Of 41½ Points

Best Bets


the Cincinnati Bengals +7 over
the Baltimore Ravens

the San Diego/Oakland Game UNDER
the Total Of 47 Points

the LA Angels w/Haren -160 over
the Oakland Athletics

the Cincinnati Reds w/Latos -175 over
the Pittsburgh Pirates


Premier Picks

the Oakland Raiders -1 over
the San Diego Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play Washington -140 over NY Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Washington has won 27 of the last 42 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have won 10 of the last 12 road games when playing in the month of September. Washington has won 34 of the last 49 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have won 59 of the last 95 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers.

50* Play Philadelphia -150 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cincinnati -160 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* San Francisco Giants -132

4* Baltimore Ravens -5.5

4* San Diego Chargers -1

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Braves

3* Tigers

3* Bengals / Ravens Over 41

[Mr. IWS]

5Lines

Total Line for 09/10/2012
(Won last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Miami Marlins : o8.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 09/10/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - New York Mets : +1.5
Cost: -135

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso
15 Phillies
10 Raiders
5 Braves

[Mr. IWS]

401k Sports Monday plays
Washington -150 over NY Mets(7pm)
Wash -1.5 runs +110 over NY Mets
San Francisco/Colorado over 10.5(-110)(10pm)

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks 9/10
480 Baltimore Ravens -7*

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
75 DIME
NFL Winner #5 in a Row
Raiders

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
20 Dime
Raiders

Sean Michaels
50 DIME
NFL WINNER #4 OF 5
Raiders

Jeff Benton
40 DIME
AFC North
Game of the Month
Bengals

Anthony Redd
25 DIME WINNER # 3 IN A ROW
MLB Underdog Shocker of the Month
Pirates

Craig Davis
75 DIME
NFL Winner #5 in a Row
Raiders

Matt Rivers
300,000♦
Linemakers Lament
Bengals

Chris Jordan
100♦ BANKROLL BUILDER
6-Point Football Teaser
Ravens / Chargers

Scott Delaney
10 Dime Monday Night
Line Value Winner
Ravens

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
Comp
Earlybird = la. Tech - 20.5

[Mr. IWS]

Steve budin 50-dime Raiders.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks - Chargers/Raiders

In the second game of what has become a traditional Monday night
doubleheader on the opening NFL weekend, the Oakland Raiders host the San Diego
Chargers from O.co Coliseum in Oakland, CA at 10:15 ET on ESPN in and AFC West
Division battle. Although this is only the season opener, the West figures to
have a very tight race this season with the four teams not separated by all
that much, making all division games crucial.

The Chargers have had some explosive offenses in recent seasons, but they
slipped noticeably last season and we do not think they will be any better
this year. Quarterback Philip Rivers looked lost in 2011, throwing a
career-high 20 interceptions, and he was not any better this preseason, throwing four
interceptions against just one touchdown in three games vs. vanilla
coverages. Rivers' saving grace may be Oakland's terrible secondary this year, but
he was not impressive vs. bad defenses last year either. Running back Ryan
Matthews is hurt again, meaning the veteran Ronnie Brown gets the start here
for lack of any better options. Brown has never been anything special, but
San Diego failed to add any running back depth after losing Michael Tolbert
to Carolina in the off-season. The Chargers also lost their leading receiver
of the past few years in Vincent Jackson to Tampa Bay, meaning that Malcolm
Floyd now becomes the go-to receiver with the constantly underachieving
Robert Meachem starting on the opposite side. Tight end Antonio Gates better
stay healthy, something he has been unable to do for a full season in quite a
while, as San Diego now needs his production badly if Rivers can get him the
ball. Even that may not be a given in this game considering the Chargers
have three injured offensive linemen, although two of them should return Monday
night with only tackle Jared Gaither probably still out with a back injury.

The Raiders lost a ton of players from last year's defense, so their best
defense may be a good offense. They do have on of the premier running backs
in football in Darren McFadden, again assuming he can stay healthy for a
change, and they have a pair of good speedy receivers in Darrius Heyward-Bey and
Denarius Moore. Any success that Oakland has this season though, aside from
McFadden remaining in one piece, falls squarely on the shoulders of
quarterback Carson Palmer. Palmer never really had a chance to be successful last
year, coming out or retirement to join Oakland in mid-season. He should
obviously know the offense much better now and he has had more time to work with
the aforementioned receivers, but the question remains whether or not he has
the arm strength that he used to have back in his younger days with the
Cincinnati Bengals. The Raiders have to score points to have a chance this
season, because the defense is a mess. The overhaul was needed on that side of
the ball after it allowed over 4000 passing yards and over 2000 rushing yards
last year, but it is definitely a work-in-progress right now, and in the
infant stages at that.

This head-to-head series has been dominated by the underdogs, as they are
6-0 both straight up and ATS in the last six matchups! Also, the 'over' is
5-0 in the last five meetings here in Oakland, including a 38-26 San Diego win
as a 2-point underdog in the regular season finale last year that knocked
the Raiders out of the playoffs, allowing Tim Tebow and the Broncos to back
in.

Over 46.5 Raiders/Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

JACK JONES

20*Chargers +1 (4-0 yesterday,14-5 run on top play's) 20*PACKERS -5 ON THRS.
15*BRAVES
15*CARDS
f/p nat's

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

Winning Day # 23 of 33
15 Dime Release
Raiders

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy


4 Houston -110

[Mr. IWS]

Just Cover, baby

4* Oakland -1
3* Baltimore -7
1* Cincy/Balt over 41
1* SD/Oakland over 47

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions
Kevin

5 STAR = San Diego Padres

2 STAR = Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins - TWINS TO WIN (-113)
Listed Pitchers: Masterson vs Deduno
(Note: I'm risking 2.26 units to win 2.00 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

3 Chargers under 46 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

San Francisco Giants -135

[Mr. IWS]

1 unit wagers / Steven Kane

Bengals(+7.5)
Buy the 1/2 point

[Mr. IWS]

gill alexander MLB Money Line Mon, 09/10/12 - 7:10 PM

dime bet 903 WAS (-145) vs 904 NYM

Analysis: Dorky Winner Play

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

San Diego/ Oakland Under 47: Ive looked at the game real hard and feel the Under is the way to go. The Chargers offense wasn't that great in the preseason and they have problems along their OL and most likely won't have Ryan Mathews as well, which should make it tough for them to put a ton of points on the board. Putting pressure on the QB is a strength of the Raiders and that should create allot of 2nd or 3rd and longs for the Chargers or it could lead to mistakes by Rivers will will stall drives. For Oakland they are changing schemes to the West Coast offense, and that type offense is not ideally suited for Carson Palmer's drop back style of play. In the preseason he had just 1 TD drive in 17 possessions and Should struggle in game 1 vs a San Diego team that also knows how to get after the QB. A strength of the Raiders offense is their run game with McFadden, but San Diego has greatly upgraded their run defense after signing LB Jarret Johnson (56 tackles, 2.5 sacks), one of the integral parts of a Baltimore defense that annually ranks among the league's best against the run and then further bolstering the position by using the Chargers' first-round draft selection on South Carolina's Melvin Ingram. That should put the Raiders in long down situations as well. Neither defense is great, but bot are strong up front and that should keep these QB's from just sitting back their and picking apart these secondaries. Look d=for both offenses to struggle as this one fails to hit 42 points.

7 Point Teaser --- San Diego +8 & Cincinnati +14

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY

Cincinnati/ Baltimore Over 41.5

[Mr. IWS]

Marco deangelo
2* tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Ray Falco

NFL

Over 42 Cinn-Balt

[Mr. IWS]

DocSports

3 Unit Play. Take Under 46.5 in San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders

San Diego
The Chargers have underperformed the last couple of years, but somehow Norv Turner was able to keep his job. San Diego has seen their defense fall apart over this time but they made a commitment to this side of the football with their first three draft picks being on the defensive side of the football. The Chargers have gone under the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games against AFC West teams.

Oakland
The Raiders had the playoffs well within sight before falling apart at the end of last season and because of that they have a new coach in Dennis Allen. This is the first defensive-minded coach that the Raiders have hired in decades, and I expect him to make an effort to fix this side of the football. A lot of fixing is needed, but it is also important that the offense did not give the Chargers a short field in this game by turning over the football.

Final Comment
Since this is a divisional game it is very important for both teams since each has visions of winning this division. Expect a game played close to the vest and we will not worry about who wins this game and just collect with the under against this inflated total.
Play the Under

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS RUNNER 3* Raiders bookie bet

[Mr. IWS]

Kelsos 50* cinn