9-12-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - MLB

ARIZONA -1½ +162 over Los Angeles
Both the price and the pitching matchup have caught our attention here. The Dodgers sent out Clayton Kershaw in the first game of this two-game set last night and lost 1-0. The Dodgers couldn’t be happier to wrap things up here. If the Dodgers don’t make the playoffs, they can attribute much of it to the D-Backs. L.A. has been outscored 74-47 and lost 11 of 17 games against Arizona this season.
Aaron Harang has two disastrous starts in three tries vs. the Snakes this year. Couple that with a 5.19 xERA over his last five starts and he's one that could get lit up at this hitter’s yard. He allows hard contact, as evidenced by his 37%/23%/40% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile. Harang is also a starter who weakens as the game goes along. He looks like a rotation anchor the first time through lineups and then he falls apart after that with some of the worst numbers in the majors the second and third time through opposing lineups.
Trevor Cahill’s surface stats (3.99 ERA) say “same guy”. He’s not. In August, Cahill had the highest groundball rate (63%) of any starter with at least three starts in the majors. A 64% strand rate has masked just how good he’s been. Cahill’s strikeout rate is increasing, giving him and the Diamondbacks a solid chance to run away with this one.
NOTE: With just one major-league game posted today, there will be no late pick.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

St Louis/ San Diego Over 7.5

LA ANGELS -125 over Oakland

Arizona/ LA Dodgers Under 9

Detroit -137 over CHICAGO

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

PHILADELPHIA -158 over Miami

BALTIMORE +115 over Tampa Bay

1 UNIT PLAYS

TEXAS -1.5 (-130) over Cleveland

NY Mets/ Washington Over 8

2 POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (47-25 +14.82 UNITS)

Since 2006 the Rays are 2-22 when their line is within 20 cents of a pick and they are off a multiple-run loss in which they left fewer than 10 men on base individually.
Play on Baltimore +115 over Tampa Bay

Since 2010 the Royals are 1-17 in road night games after a night game in which they scored 6+ runs.
Play on Minnesota +104 over Kansas City.

[Mr. IWS]

Easy Baseball Betting

Orioles (+106)
Red Sox (+130)
White Sox (+122)
Twins (+102)
Athletics (+116)
Astros (+115)

[Mr. IWS]

SportsCapper Baseball Plays
WEDNESDAY

10* Play Texas -230 over Cleveland (TOP MLB PLAY)
8:10 PM EST
Cleveland has lost 42 of the last 61 road games as an underdog of +100 or higher and they have lost 44 of the last 64 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. Cleveland has lost 24 of the last 32 games after having lost 15 or more of the last 20 games and they have lost 42 of the last 60 games when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games.
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5* Play Philadelphia -155 over Miami (BONUS MLB PLAY)
5* Play Pittsburgh +120 over Cincinnati (BONUS MLB PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Baltimore Orioles +100

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

40 Dime Al GOM

LA Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

40 Dime Al Mismatch

LA Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Michaels

25 Dime Release

Nationals

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

200,000 AL Total of Month

Detroit under

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

10 Dime Winner 6 out of 8

SD Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

20 Dime Run Line Wipeout

Texas Rangers rl

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco


10 Dimer #6 of 8
Winning Day # 24 of 35

Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros - CUBS TO WIN (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Wood vs Abad
(Note: I'm risking 2.30 units to win 2.00 units)

The Cubs enter tonight's game with 10 more wins than the Astros at 55-87 and just 21-53 on the road, while the Astros are 45-97 and 29-41 at home. The Cubs enjoyed a rare road sweep in Pittsburgh this weekend and followed that up with a 4-1 win against Houston in the first game before dropping last night's meeting 1-0. The Astros actually surprised us all with a series win this weekend themselves in Cincinnati, taking 2 of 3 and are now 3-2 over their last 5. Over their last 5 the Astros have scored 13 runs, while the Cubs have scored 24 runs over their past 5. Chicago will send Travis Wood to the rubber today who is 5-11 with a 4.42 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and .237 opponents batting average. Wood is better on the road with a 3-6 record and 3.92 ERA. In his last outing he went 6 innings giving up just 1 hit and 0 earned runs, and has allowed just 2 earned runs against in his last 11.2 innings of work. Fernando Abad will start for Houston tonight and he is 0-3 on the year with a 5.30 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, and .326 opponents batting average which includes 33 appearances. He has 3 starts (all recent) and has gone 0-3 in those starts with a 8.03 ERA, 2.27 WHIP, and .380 opponents batting average. All three starts were 4.1 innings or shorter, and he has given up 19 hits and 11 earned runs against over those 12.1 innigs of work. He has also walked 9 batters compared to 6 strike outs in the starts. Not too many good things can be said about the Cubs but they are 4-1 over their lsat 5 games, and I think Wood is a solid pitcher when he is on. The Astros are just 13-54 in their last 67 games overall, and 5-21 in their last 26 home games. They are also 0-6 in their last 6 vs a left handed starter. The Cubs have won 6 of their last 8 meetings head to head and I like them to get things done again tonight. Take the Cubs to win.

[Mr. IWS]

5Lines

Total Line for 09/12/2012 (Lost last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Miami Marlins : o7
Cost: -115


Run Line for 09/12/2012(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Cleveland Indians : +1.5
Cost: +105

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Point Sports MLB Game of the Week

Milwaukee -135

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

4* 11-5 MLB Tear 19-0 MLB *Mound Mismatch*
Milwaukee Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

20* Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

200 NL Central Line Mistake

Cincinnati Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O Brien

NL Central GOM

Reds

[Mr. IWS]

401k Sports Tuesday recap 2-1 +0.60 units

2** NYY -120(L)

2** Wash Even(W)

1* Philly RL -110(W)

Shooting for the 8th straight positive day. Let's see what today brings

401k Sports Wednesday Plays

NY Yankees -150 over Boston(7pm)
Chic Cubs -120 over Houston(8pm)
Detroit/White sox under 9(-115)(8pm)
Milwaukee -140 over Atlanta(8pm)
Milwaukee -1.5 runs +160 over Atl
San Francisco -125 over Colorado(8:30pm)
SF -1.5 runs +130 over Colorado

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella

2* TB Rays

[Mr. IWS]

Legit Picks

6* Marlins Over

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

500* Blue Jays -130

100* Angels -125

50* Rays -115

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

An unexpectedly big series with huge playoff ramifications continues on
Wednesday night when the Tampa Bay Rays (77-63) visit the Baltimore Orioles
(78-62) at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD at 7:05 ET in a game being carried on
ESPN2. The Orioles were projected to finish in last place in the American
League East before the season began, but they entered this series opener on
Tuesday in second place just one game behind the New York Yankees, and
Baltimore also held the final wild card spot in the American League by one game
over these Rays, so it is conceivable that these clubs could be tied by the
time this first pitch is thrown.

The Orioles actually tied the Yankees for first place twice while the teams
split a four-game series this past weekend, but the Bronx Bombers reclaimed
sole possession of first with an emphatic 13-3 win in the series finale on
Sunday. Baltimore now looks to start a winning streak with the promising
rookie Miguel Gonzalez on the bump. Gonzalez made his first Major League start
on July 6th, and he is 6-4 with a nice 3.62 ERA and 1.23 WHIP while allowing
three runs or less in seven of his 11 starts including surrendering two
runs or less in six of those outings. He was not as sharp in his last start vs.
the Toronto Blue Jays, allowing five runs on seven hits in 6.1 innings, but
he was not as bad as that final stat line either as he did not walk a
single batter and he departed with the game tied 2-2 after loading the bases, but
the bullpen then allowed all three of his baserunners to score. Miguel was
masterful the last time he faced the Rays in Tampa Bay, tossing seven
scoreless innings and allowing only four hits, and he is facing a Rays' lineup
that ranks just 27th out of 30 Major League teams with a 239 team batting
average.

With that putrid attack, it is obvious that the Rays are where they are
because of pitching, and they in fact lead the majors with a 3.22 team ERA.
However, Wednesday starter Alex Cobb has been a weak link going just 9-8 with a
4.28 ERA overall, although he has been better lately. In fact, he has
allowed three earned runs or less in nine of his last 10 starts, but only six of
them were official Quality Starts because he failed to go the required six
innings in the other three outings. Cobb does have an advantage here in that
this will be his first career appearance vs. the Orioles, and he is facing a
Baltimore lineup that is batting only .239 vs. right-handed pitchers over
the entire season. Because Cobb usually does not work deeply into games, the
Tampa Bay bullpen will almost certainly be brought into play here, but that
is actually to the Rays' advantage as they lead the American League in
bullpen ERA at 2.78, ranking second in the Major Leagues behind only the
Cincinnati Reds (2.67) in that category.

Something has to give here as the Orioles are 15-6 in their last 21 home
games and the Rays are 13-6 in their last 19 road games, with both of those
records pending Tuesday's result. These teams have a history of playing low
scoring affairs, as the 'under' is 7-2 in the last nine meetings this season
and 35-14-2 in the last 51 encounters overall.


Tampa Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

7* Cubs -120

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 9/12

103 Rutgers +8 @ 7:30p

901 Marlins +145 @ 4:05p
903 Cards -122 @ 6:35p
918 Jays -128 @ 7:05p
919 Rays -120 @ 7:05p
905 Pirates +128 @ 7:10p
907 Nationals -102 @ 7:10p
911 Braves +126 @ 8:10p
925 Tigers -136 @ 8:10p
913 Giants -121 @ 8:40p
915 Dodgers +115 @ 9:40p
930 Angels -129 @ 10:05p

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D Angelo

Betting first look

Braves-Brewers Over 8