9-13-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Rutgers/ South Florida Under 46: I like the Under in this one. The Rutgers offense has been poor so far as they have scored just 2 offenses TD’s in their first 2 games. They are having problems throwing the ball coming in averaging just 144 ypg through the air so far. This is a team that really plays ball control offense with their run game (179 ypg on the ground) and then relies on their defense to win games. Defense has been a staple of this Rutgers team as they have allowed 19 ppg or less in 3 of their last 4 years, and this year is starting out in the same fashion. Rutgers comes in allowing just 205 ypg and 3.3 yards per play so for o the year, while allowing just 12 total points in their 1st two games. I know it’s vs Tulane and Howard, but still dating back to last year they have now allowed less than 20 points in 8 of their last 11 games. USF had their problems on defense last week vs Nevada, but this Rutgers offense is no where even close to the offense the Bulls saw last week. The Bulls defense has 7 starters back from last year and should bounce back with a good showing in this one. The Bulls offense is solid, but they are not going up against weak defenses like they have the last two weeks and I don’t just see them going up and down the field in this one. Rutgers will make them take time consuming drives, while they will go on their own time consuming drives as well. I look for this one to be in the mid 30’s at best.

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin NFLBettingPicks

4 UNIT = Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers - OVER 50.5 (-110) *Thursday Night Game*
(Note: I'm risking 4.40 units to win 4.00 units)

The Chicago Bears come into this game 1-0 after a 20 point victory over the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon. The Bears put up 41 points in a 41-21 victory and looked impressive offensively. Jay Cutler threw for 333 yards completing 21 of his 35 pass attempts with 2 TDs and 1 INT. Matt Forte looked great with 80 yards on the ground in just 16 attempts and adding 40 yards on 3 catches. Michael Bush proved that the Bears will have a solid duo in the backfield as he added 42 yards on 12 carries with 2 TDs. Newly acquired receiver Brandon Marshall looked great as he caught 9 passes for 119 yards.

If Green Bay wants to match their 15-1 record from last season they are going to have to win out, as they dropped their opening game versus San Francisco. A solid threat in the NFC this year, the 49ers came into Green Bay and established an early lead and entered halftime 16-7 before eventually going on to win 30-22 in what turned into a bit of a shootout near the end of the game. Aaron Rodgers went 30 for 44 for 303 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT. The Packers failed to establish any kind of a ground game as Cedric Benson rushed just 9 times for 18 yards. Rodgers looked sharp against one of the leagues best defenses though, as he spread the ball between 5 of his receivers who all caught 4+ balls. Jennings is dealing with an injury this week, but that shouldn't factor into our OVER play.

After watching both games neither defense really impressed me in Week 1. The Bears gave up 356 yards and 21 points (one TD came from a Cutler pick) against the Colts who are led by a rookie QB in Luck. Chicago's defense did manage to get 3 INTs, which included one in the endzone - meaning we could have seen another 7 points on the board against Chicago's defense. The Bears are known for having a good defense, but last year they were ranked 17th in giving up 350 yards against per game and 14th giving up 21.3 points against per game. The Packers gave up 377 yards and 30 points against at home in Week 1 against an offense that I have ranked close with Chicago's. Poor defense isn't anything new for Green Bay as they ranked last (32nd) in the NFL last season giving up 411 yards against per game, and 19th allowing 22.4 points against per game. The 2011 Chicago Bears ranked 24th in the NFL offensively averaging 314 yards per game, but they were without Jay Cutler for 6 starts. They were 17th in the league averaging 22.1 points per game offensively. Green Bay were amongst the leaders in almost all categories on offense as they scored 35 points per game on average (1st) and averaged 405 yards per game. Also note that the Packers averaged 40.1 points per game at home last season, and although they scored just 22 points in Week 1 they were facing a tougher defense than they will see Thursday.

Dating back to last season the OVER is 7-3 in the Bears last 10 games overall, and 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. The OVER is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 overall, and 19-7 in their last 26 home games. I think both of these offenses will be able to put up points, and we may even see some special teams points with a couple of good kick returners back there. The Packers who averaged 35 points per game last year and 40.1 points per game at home should be able to put up 30+ on their own and I think the Bears will keep pace in what will be a high scoring and entertaining shootout. Take the OVER for 4 units on Thursday.

[Mr. IWS]

Double Dragon

STRONG (2)
BEARS +5.5 at packers
BEARS / PACKERS Over 51.5

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Thursday

100* Play Texas -220 over Cleveland (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Cleveland has lost 45 of the last 65 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they have also lost 43 of the last 61 games when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games. Cleveland has lost 32 of the last 46 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have lost 34 of the last 47 games as a road underdog of +175 to +250.

50* Play NY Yankees -140 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Seattle -140 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Easy Baseball Betting:

"Premium":
Dodgers [-125] versus Cardinals (1.0 Units) - The Dodgers aren't playing well. They are averaging 1.4 runs a game L5. 2.4 runs a game L10. But today's game falls into their bread and butter. These Dodgers are -15 units in divisional rival games so it makes sense they were playing poorly. They are 40-25, +16 units in non divisional rival games. They are also coming back home from a road swing.

Free Picks:
Our systems say to go for:
Blue Jays (+130)
Red Sox (+136)
White Sox (+122)
Royals (-101)
Athletics (+136)

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 You Selections

2012 NFC Primetime Rivalry Total of the Year!!!!!
Chicago/Green Bay Under 51.5

You Win or we'll email you Friday's Report Free of Charge!!!


College Best Bets
Rutgers/South Florida over 44.5

2012 AL West Daytime Dominator of the Year!!!!!
Oakland/Los Angeles under 7

MLB Best Bets
St Louis/Los Angeles over 7.5
Seattle/Toronto under 7.5
New York/Boston over 10
Detroit/Chicago under 7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook - NFL Thursday Best Bet!

2* Green Bay -5

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

20* Packers -5

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 9/12

103 Rutgers +8 @ 7:30p

[Mr. IWS]

Richard Saber @ Gaming TodayThursday, Sept. 13Rutgers +10 at USF: Nice comeback win for South Florida last week in Nevada, but the trends in this game all point to the Scarlett Knights. Rutgers is 9-0 ATS as dogs when coming off a double digit. They won last week 26-0 albeit against Howard, but they have also gone 5-0 ATS on weekdays when playing an opponent coming off a straight up ATS win. Rutgers.

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
NFL 6-Point Teaser
20-DimeNFL WINNER #11 OF 17
Packers / Under

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney
80 Dime COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WINNER #10 OF 12
USF

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

400 MLB WINNER #8 OF 10
A.L. Central Game of the Year
White Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

2nd Biggest Play of the Year
400,000
Winner #8 of 12
- #19 of 28 Overall
Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

10 Dime Winner # 7 OF 9
Teaser
USF / Bears

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino

40 Dime
NFL Winner # 2 In A Row
Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis


50 Dime Winner #13 of 17
- #17 of 23 Overall -
Bears / Packers Under

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

50 Dime Winner # 2 in a Row
Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

60 Dime
NFL Winner # 3 in a Row
Bears

[Mr. IWS]

Mark Lawrence

3 units Green Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* NYY(HUGHES)

3* GB/ CHI. OVER 51

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor Original & Reloaed Football Picks 9/13
First, the NFL - the Bears @ Packers game does not fit either system so no play.

In college, there is also one game and it fits both systems.

103 Rutgers* (best available line is +8*)

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Laverty

MLB Plays

- Oakland/LA Angels Under 7.5 -123 (2.5 Units)

- LA Dodgers -125 (1.5 Units)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

50 Dime

GB Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Power Play Wins

Today's Power Play of The Day

Sport: NFL

Green Bay Packers(-5.5)

Game time: 5:30:00 PM (PST)

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

3-unit Play Oakland A's (+130)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Rutgers +7.5 over SOUTH FLORIDA
It’s offense versus defense here. South Florida has racked up some crazy numbers in its two games this season but it came at the expense of Chattanooga and Nevada. Last week against Nevada, USF needed a furious rally to overcome a 15-point deficit in the fourth quarter. That takes its toll and it also suggests how vulnerable the Bulls are. They will now take a huge step up in class against the defense of the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers has given USF QB B.J. Daniels all kinds of trouble. In three games, Daniels is 1-2 with the win coming by a single point. He has completed fewer than half his passes, thrown for just three touchdowns while averaging just 176 yards of offense.
Rutgers has also played two cupcakes in Tulane and Howard. They’ve only allowed 12 points total in the two games but the offense has struggled and is certainly a work in progress. Still, the Knights defense was heralded before the season began and they’ve lived up to expectations.
Lastly, South Florida has a horrible record on these Thursday night ESPN prime timers. They are 0-7 in these games, including last year’s 44-17 loss to Pitt in the season’s opener. The Big East is wide open this season with five or six teams capable of winning the conference. These two are among them and frankly, this is a motivating and insulting number for every player on the Knights roster. In a game that could go either way, we’ll gladly fade the overvalued Bulls.

Chicago +6 over GREEN BAY
It’s early but the Bears can really put the Packers in a hole here after Green Bay dropped its home opener while the Bears were expected easy winners over the Colts. The Packers remain at home after allowing the 49ers to visit with a defense that was actually bigger than the Packers offense.
The same could hold true here.
Chicago ’s offense has lacked chemistry for years but reacquainting WR Brandon Marshall with QB Jay Cutler seems to have aligned the entire unit. Cutler looked very sharp against the Colts and while the Packers are certainly superior over Indy, their secondary may not be. That does not bode well for a Packers team that has glaring defensive issues. This series has been dominated by Green Bay for the last while but the Bears just may be the better team now. Combine that with a bunch of points being offered and this choice becomes a rather simple one.

Survivor Pick – Week 2
CINCINNATI over Cleveland
Of course we could play it very safe and play the New England Patriots this week but 50% or more of your poolies will be on them and if the unthinkable happens, you’ll go down with them all. Remember, the Patriots have an early showdown with Ravens on deck and while they’re not likely to lose here, we always try to avoid playing the top consensus play as part of our ‘not going down with rest of ship’ philosophy.
That brings us to the Bengals. Cinci was embarrassed in the front end of the double-header on Monday Night. That hasn’t been sitting well with them and while the score was ugly, the play of the Bengals was not. They moved the ball against a very good defense. They trailed 17-3 and came back to make it 17-13. The defense gave up lots of yards and points but Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense had the game of their lives with Flacco hitting every receiver right between the numbers. The Bengals will now face a rookie QB playing his first road game.
Brandon Weeden's first game as an NFL starter ended with only 12 of 35 completions for 118 yards and four interceptions. His 5.1 QB rating represented the worst by any rookie starting in week one over the past 50 years. The Brownies nearly pulled the upset last week over Philly, who turned the ball over four times. The beauty of this game is that Browns’ cornerback extraordinaire Joe Haden has been suspended for four games because of violating the drug policy. That means A.J. Green all over the field. Additionally Andy Dalton and his Bengals don’t figure to be as sloppy, leading to a comfortable win.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

BOSTON +133 over N.Y. Yankees
The Yanks tied the series up 1-1 last night with a 5-4 win over Aaron Cook. The Red Sox had lost nine of Cook’s previous 10 starts by scores of 10-9, 20-2, 7-3, 9-2 and 7-5 among others. It’s rather disturbing that New York couldn’t do some serious damage against Cook, as they held on for a one-run win.
The Yanks continue to struggle and will now have to rely on Phil Hughes. Fenway Park has been a house of horrors for Hughes, where in nine career appearances, he’s 2-4 with a 8.26 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in 28.1 IP. Throw in an overall 32%/49% groundball/fly-ball rate and some downright awful numbers against righties and it’s no mystery as to why Hughes is so beatable and so risky when laying odds at this venue.
Felix Doubront is also a risk, not because of his skills but because he’s already exceeded his previous career high in innings pitched of 128 he set back in 2008. The major differences between Doubront's inspired first-half (3.65 xERA) and forgetful second-half (4.40 xERA) has been an increase in his walks plus a drop in strand % from 72% to 66%. On the whole, Doubront has displayed skills worth watching next season including 136 K’s in 135 innings to go along with a groundball bias profile. While others ignore Doubront and his ugly 5.21 ERA, we’ll fade a much uglier Hughes and his awful record at this park against this motivated host.

[Mr. IWS]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL

2* Green Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D Angelo

2 GB Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Chip Chirimbes

Rutgers +8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Rutgers +8

100* Tigers -135

50* Mariners -140

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

Official Play: Chicago Bears +5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

1500*-Chicago Bears/Green Bay Packers Over

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket

Chicago +6 -110

[Mr. IWS]

EM Sports

8-unit Rutgers

[Mr. IWS]

Allegheny Analysis

6 unit Chicago Bears

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian

Football:
100 Green Bay Over
200 Rutgers

Baseball:
50 Yankees