9-23-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 3
By JASON LOGAN

Each week, we break down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 3:

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 49.5)

Patriots’ focused defense vs. Ravens’ confused offense

New England pumped up its defense this offseason and so far it’s shown. The Patriots are ranked second in yards allowed and will be extra motivated following the loss to Arizona – which wasn’t the defense's fault. New England is 34-16-1 ATS in its last 51 games coming off a loss.

Baltimore’s no-huddle offense was the talk of the offseason but when the going got tough, the Ravens would still lean on RB Ray Rice. That wasn’t the case versus the Eagles last week. Baltimore passed on six third-and-short and fourth-and-short situations, failing to pick up the first down every time. It finished 4 for 14 on third-down conversions.

Houston Texans at Denver Broncos (+1, 46.5)

Texans’ anti-Peyton defense vs. Rusty Peyton Manning

Want to know why Houston is the solid defensive unit it is today? The Texans were custom made to stop Peyton Manning, who used to be the biggest thorn in their side when he was under center for the division rival Colts. The Texans are tops in defense through two weeks, collecting six sacks and three interceptions.

Manning’s disastrous first quarter versus the Falcons Monday night was the difference. Many believe the former MVP has lost a step following multiple neck surgeries, while Manning himself chalks up those three interceptions to poor decision making. Now, Manning stares down the one defense that knows him better than any in the league.

Detroit Lions at Tennessee Titans (+3.5, 47)

Jim Schwartz’s ego vs. Titans’ front office

The term “No hard feelings” doesn’t really apply to Lions head coach Jim Schwartz. The emotional sideline leader was once the Titans defensive coordinator under Jeff Fisher, but only after Fisher went to bat against some front office types that weren’t all that crazy about Schwartz. While he’ll never admit it, Schwartz is too big of an ego to let stuff like that slide.

Enter the Titans, who could be the worst team in the NFL right now. Tennessee’s defense is in shambles, its QB is hurting and its franchise player is putting the blame for his poor start on everyone but himself. If there ever was a chance to kick a team when they’re down, Week 3 is it.

San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings (+7, 43)

Niners’ revamped passing game vs. Vikings’ terrible Tampa-2

The Niners are the clear favorites to win the Super Bowl, thanks in part to their new-look down-field attack featuring weapons like Michael Crabtree, Vernon Davis, Randy Moss and Mario Manningham. San Francisco has been relatively conservative given the potency in the pass game, sitting 25th in yards through the air, but Week 3’s matchup may be the best opportunity to kick the tires on that side of the playbook.

Minnesota’s Tampa-2 defense is ranked 12th against the pass, allowing an average of only 221.5 yards through the first two games. Those stats, however, we compiled against second-year QB Blaine Gabbert and rookie Andrew Luck, who exposed the Tampa-2 for big strikes last weekend. The Vikings secondary buckled with the clock ticking down, giving up a 30-yard TD to end the half and allowing Luck to move the chains for a game-winning field goal in the final 23 seconds.

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NFL odds: Week 3 opening line report

Here’s a glance at some of the opening spreads for some of Week 3’s biggest games:

Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints (-9, 54.5)

The Saints have been fade bait since the Bounty Gate scandal broke in the offseason. New Orleans is 0-2 after embarrassing losses to Washington and Carolina, but books are confident it will right in the ship in Week 3.

“They’re definitely under-performing, but if there is a team that is going to break out this week, it’s the Saints,” says Korner. “This is a game between two 0-2 teams, but it is more of a must-win for the Saints.”

The Sports Club sent out a suggested line of New Orleans -11.5 but most books opened low, with the Saints as 9-point favorites. Korner says if he were a book, he’d much rather be cheering for New Orleans to win than a Chiefs team that looks to be in total disarray.

Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals (+4, 44)

Only five teams are undefeated heading into the Monday nighter, and this is a battle between two of them. Arizona, surprisingly is among those 2-0 starts and is coming off a huge road win over the New England Patriots in Week 2.

“I actually came with Arizona as the favorite,” says Korner. “As a handicapper, this game would have to raise eyebrows. Philadelphia, even though they’re 2-0, haven’t looked good. Arizona, well, you can’t look any better than coming off a win over the Patriots.”

“I think this should be closer to a pick. You don’t want to go much higher than Eagles -4,” he adds. “All the sharp money is going to be on the home underdog.”

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 48.5)

This rematch of the AFC Championship Game has the hard number of Ravens -3 and books should see two-way action on this game. Korner says the injury to Patriots TE Aaron Hernandez won’t have an impact on the spread because Tom Brady has so many other weapons in the passing game.

“I don’t think there is going to be a big rush of New England money,” he says. “We’ll get to see the guts of the Patriots, coming off that loss to Arizona.”

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SPORTS WAGERS - NFL

BALTIMORE -3 +110 over New England
The talk this week is the unthinkable happening in the Patriots home-loss to Arizona as a 13½-point choice. This is a team that almost always bounces back from such defeats but we’re not so sure they have it in them this season. You might be a bit surprised to learn that the Ravens have lost only once in the last two years at home and with no defeats occurring last season.
Tom Brady passed for a combined 950 yards and seven TD’s in the team’s first two games a season ago. This year, he’s passed for half that with just three scores. The Pats defense really hasn’t been tested with games against Tennessee and Arizona. They will be tested here and will likely be exposed as ordinary. We’ll find out this week if the Patriots are more fluff than stuff. This host won’t be short of motivation either, as the Ravens seek to avenge last year’s dramatic playoff loss to these foes in a game they were clearly the better team in. Pats rarely a dog but this line could end up being flattering.

JACKSONVILLE +3 +101 over Indianapolis
It’s one thing to be a home underdog to the second-rate Vikings, especially when it’s your first chance to showcase your franchise quarterback of the future. It’s a whole other matter for Andrew Luck and the Colts to be favored against this division rival. The Colts were run over by the Vikings offensive line last week and only miscues prevented the Vikes from victory. Let’s also not ignore that Indy could not hold a late 20-6 lead. The victory looks nice on paper but it was anything but.
At this point in time, the Colts have more promise but the Jaguars have to be considered the better team. This one figures to stay tight as both teams will try to establish a superior run game. Should that happen, we like our chances with MJD over the limited skills of Donald Brown. Colts aren’t ready to be lined up in this price range just yet and last week’s misleading win has them overvalued here. Jags outright but with money and points being offered, we’ll gladly accept.

OAKLAND +4 -105 over Pittsburgh
Are the Steelers morphing into the Seahawks? Pittsburgh has been near unstoppable at home (8-1 past 9) but road games have produced a miserable 2-9 mark vs. the spread recently. This popular betting team is usually overpriced and we find another example of that here.
The Raiders can’t seem to get it right but the winless start is not quite as bad as it seems. Carson Palmer threw for nearly 400 yards in a losing cause to Miami last week. RB Darren McFadden is a threat whenever he touches the pigskin. Oakland’s defensive line is a big and balanced unit that is capable of harassing Ben Roethlisberger throughout the afternoon. Pittsburgh’s infirmary remains full. Expect a battle here in a game the Raiders can not only cover but can win outright.

CLEVELAND +124 over Buffalo
The Bills have been road kill for a while now. Buffalo hasn’t won an away game since its opener last year in Kansas City. Since then, they’ve lost eight straight road contests, covering just once. In their past six road trips, the Bills have been outscored 241-98. In addition, this is only the second time in three years that the Bills are road chalk. Most bettors remember last week. To us, a beat down on K.C. is barely notable but getting whacked by a Jets offense in Week One is. The Bills, with their pedestrian and predictable offense and suspect defense do not warrant this billing.
The Browns might be 0-2 but they’ve shown promise in both defeats. Cleveland’s defense has yet to allow a ground touchdown this season after facing two very capable offenses in Philly and Cinci. RB Trent Richardson, if he’s not already, is a stud in waiting and Buffalo’s defense couldn’t stop a nose bleed. The Brownies play hard. They’re certainly on the verge of a win and there’s little reason to think that they can’t get it here. Keep the points, we're going for the straight up win and some ching ching in our pockets.

DENVER +111 over Houston
After a home opener thrashing of the Dolphins and then laying a beating on the punchless Jaguars, the Texans must now step into the deep end. In many cases that can be as startling as playing in the high altitude of the Rocky Mountains.
The Broncos, and particularly QB Peyton Manning, were humiliated in a nationally televised Monday nighter against the Falcons. That showing likely reduced the price for this one, allowing us to take a comfortable position on the undervalued host. Peyton Manning has been a Texans killer for years. He has a talented cast surrounding him here in Denver. Unlike most pro athletes that spend their days on Twitter and playing video games, Peyton Manning will spend 12 hours a day in the film room going over Monday’s miscues, which were an anomaly that get corrected on this day.

Survivor Pick – Week 3
CHICAGO over St. Louis
Hopefully, you heeded our advice last week and avoided the Patriots, who went down as a 14-pt choice and took approximately 50% of all survivor poolies with them. We’re mentioning that not as an ‘I told you so’ but because of our philosophy of not choosing the most obvious team each week. If you advance, it is with the masses. If you choose another and the big team goes down, you’re way ahead of the game.
This week, we have a number of options to choose from. The Saints, Cowboys and 49ers are likely to get the majority of the play but we’re suggesting that one of those three teams could lose. One of our Survivor rules is to never play a road team so that rules out the 49ers.
The Bears are coming off an embarrassing prime time loss at Green Bay in a game they never stood a chance in. Last season we saw a very similar situation for Chicago when they were sacked nine times in a Monday Night featured game. The very next week they were a slim 1-point choice in Minnesota. The result was a 39-10 clobbering of the Vikes. This week, the Bears catch the Rams arriving off of two solid games. St. Louis nearly took down the Lions in Detroit in its opener and rallied last week to defeat the ‘Skins. Those two efforts have them overvalued here, while the Bears effort from a week ago has them undervalued. No doubt the Rams are improved and playing with more confidence under Jeff Fisher. However, they’re still a below average team that is likely to get whacked a few times this season. After consecutive intense games, playing at a tough Soldier Field, against a team that was embarrassed and is on 10 days rest, the Rams are really up against it this week. No upset here.

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POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Jets

3* Houst, Ariz, Detr

2* San Fran, Cincy, NO, GB

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Colin Cowherds

Blazing 5

Last week won all NFL bets against the number.

Arizona Cardinals = +3
Dallas Cowboys = -8
Minnesota Vikings = +7
Cincinnati Bengals = +3
New York Jets = -2.5 (His favorite bet of the 5)

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DCI NFL

Week
Straight Up: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS Vary Units: 11-0 (1.000)
Over/Under: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-6 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 19-12 (.613)
ATS: 16-16 (.500)
ATS Vary Units: 82-129 (.389)
Over/Under: 18-13 (.581)
Over/Under Vary Units: 75-74 (.503)

Sunday, September 23, 2012
CHICAGO 26, St. Louis 14
CLEVELAND 22, Buffalo 18
DALLAS 29, Tampa Bay 20
MIAMI 24, N.Y. Jets 20
San Francisco 31, MINNESOTA 16
NEW ORLEANS 31, Kansas City 16
Cincinnati 25, WASHINGTON 24
Detroit 29, TENNESSEE 23
INDIANAPOLIS 21, Jacksonville 18
ARIZONA 20, Philadelphia 19
SAN DIEGO 31, Atlanta 22
Houston 22, DENVER 19
Pittsburgh 22, OAKLAND 17
BALTIMORE 24, New England 22

Monday, September 24, 2012
Green Bay 25, SEATTLE 23

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Norm Hitzges

DOUBLE PLAY:

· Houston -1 1/2 Denver


SINGLE PLAYS:

New Orleans -9 Kansas City
Cincy +3 Washington
Chicago -7 1/2 St. Louis
Philly--Arizona Under 44
Detroit-Tenn Over 46 1/2

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Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 4-6 –7.8%

401 3% ST LOUIS +7
412 3% MIAMI +1.5

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Preferred Picks/Marc Lawrence

Cincinnati (GOM)

Tennessee
San Diego

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GOLDSHEET

KEY RELEASES

ST. LOUIS by 2 over Chicago
HOUSTON by 11 over Denver
OVER THE TOTAL in the Cincinnati-Washington game

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CKO

10 DETROIT over *Tennessee
Late Score Forecast: DETROIT 31 - *Tennessee 17

Home dogs were 5-1 in Week Two action. However, Tennessee QB Jake Locker (0-2 SU and vs. the spread as a starter, with losses by 21 & 28) has quite a ways to go before he can trade points with the top QBs of the league, such as Matt Stafford. While Locker’s athletic ability is impressive, his timing and accuracy currently leave a lot to be desired. Worse yet, his OL isn’t offering much help and has been unable to spring RB Chris Johnson (only 21 YR in 2012!). Matthew Stafford and the versatile Detroit offense are way ahead, and Calvin Johnson is looking for a big day after having to deal with the 49ers last week. This is a big game for Lion HC Jim Schwartz and several Detroit defenders facing their old team. Suh & Company keep Jake on the run all day.

NINE-RATED GAMES:
NEW YORK JETS (-21⁄2) at Miami— Can’t resist small wager on Ryan defense vs. rookie QB and on Tony Sparano vs. his old team, even though N.Y. hurting somewhat.

TOTALS:
UNDER (48) in the New England-Baltimore Game—Familiarity and ferocity help suppress score; Pats’ OL leakage slowing their spread attac

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Marco D'Angelo Memphis Radio Friday Morning

NFL
Dallas - 8 1/2
Houston +1 1/2
New England +3
Jets -2 1/2

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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Time Posted: 10:00 p.m. EST (9/19)


Game 401-402: St. Louis at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 125.082; Chicago 136.005
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 11; 41
Vegas Line: Chicago by 7 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Under


Game 403-404: Tampa Bay at Dallas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 126.692; Dallas 137.533
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 11; 43
Vegas Line: Dallas by 7; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-7); Under


Game 405-406: San Francisco at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 137.086; Minnesota 129.681
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 7 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6 1/2); Over


Game 407-408: Detroit at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 130.154; Tennessee 132.776
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3 1/2); Over


Game 409-410: Cincinnati at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 130.845; Washington 130.226
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Under


Game 411-412: NY Jets at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 129.543; Miami 126.404
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 3; 43
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1; 40
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1); Over


Game 413-414: Kansas City at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 122.585; New Orleans 141.744
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 19; 49
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 8 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-8 1/2); Under


Game 415-416: Buffalo at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 126.467; Cleveland 131.651
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under


Game 417-418: Jacksonville at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.230; Indianapolis 126.282
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3); Over


Game 419-420: Philadelphia at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.416; Arizona 135.310
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3 1/2); Over


Game 421-422: Atlanta at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 136.442; San Diego 136.176
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Under


Game 423-424: Houston at Denver (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.005; Denver 135.670
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2 1/2); Over


Game 425-426: Pittsburgh at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 132.289; Oakland 127.414
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 44
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4); Under


Game 427-428: New England at Baltimore (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 142.057; Baltimore 138.997
Dunkel Line: New England by 3; 46
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Under

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Chiefs at Saints: What bettors need to know

Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints (-9, 53)

Whether it's the loss of head coach Sean Payton, a hangover from the ongoing bounty investigation or just an atrocious defense, the 0-2 New Orleans Saints host the Kansas City Chiefs desperate for their first win of the season. Kansas City seems to be just the right remedy. While New Orleans has been upset by the Washington Redskins and Carolina Panthers, the Chiefs haven't even been competitive in losses to the Atlanta Falcons and Buffalo Bills.

Playing from behind, both the Saints' and the Chiefs' offenses have put up big numbers in their first two games, but they are tied for last in the NFL in scoring defense, having allowed 75 points apiece on the season. Saints quarterback Drew Brees threw for 325 yards last week in rebounding from Week 1 when he completed just 46 percent of his passes.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Saints -9, O/U 53.

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (0-2): Oddly enough, led by Matt Cassel, the Chiefs have won eight of their last 10 games against the NFC. Cassel is 10-5 against NFC teams and Jamaal Charles has also had good success rushing for an average of over seven yards a carry against out-of-conference foes. But Kansas City has struggled offensively to start the season once again, raising questions about Romeo Crennel’s credibility as a head coach. Charles (probable) is off to a dreadful start with just 90 yards on the ground in his first two outings and he injured his surgically repaired left knee last week. Tight end Kevin Boss is questionable with a head injury.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (0-2): Brees has thrown for an NFL-record 300 yards in nine straight games. New Orleans, however, has lost the last three of them. The Saints appear distracted by the aftermath of the NFL's investigation into the team’s alleged bounty system that cost Payton his job for the season. The defense is still reeling from the loss of several key members, including linebacker Jonathan Vilma, and has surrendered nearly 400 yards rushing in their first two games. New Orleans couldn't contain the athletic Cam Newton in last week's loss or rookie Robert Griffin III in the opener. Newton ran for a career-high 71 yards. It could have more success against the far less-mobile Cassel.

TRENDS:
* Over is 7-0 in Saints’ last seven games overall.
* Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five September games.
* Saints are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Chiefs’ last six September games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Saints are 0-2 for the first time since 2007.

2. The Saints won the last meeting 30-20 back in 2008.

3. Kansas City began last season 0-3.

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Patriots at Ravens: What bettors need to know

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (-1.5, 49.5)

The Baltimore Ravens have some bad memories of the last time they faced the New England Patriots - a last-second loss in the AFC Championship Game. The Ravens will get home field advantage in Sunday night’s rematch and have the more confident kicker this time around. The Patriots’ Stephen Gostkowski missed badly on a 42-yarder in the final seconds last weekend, dooming the team to a rare home loss. Billy Cundiff, who missed a last-second 32-yard attempt in the title game last January, has been replaced by rookie Justin Tucker, who is 6-for-6 so far. Both teams looked strong in Week 1 but will be trying to avoid dipping below .500 after disappointing showings in Week 2.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Ravens -1.5, O/U 49.5. Most sportsbooks opened the Ravens as -3 favorites, but that line has since been bet down to -1.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s and clear skies at M&T Bank Stadium. Wind won’t be a factor.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (1-1): The record-setting offense from past years did not show up against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 2, with Tom Brady not throwing a touchdown pass until late in the fourth quarter. That unit could be in trouble again on Sunday without tight end Aaron Hernandez, who suffered an ankle sprain against the Cardinals and will miss 4-to-6 weeks. New England signed free agent Kellen Winslow and brought back wide receiver Deion Branch during the week. Wes Welker, who led the NFL in receptions last season and has been one of the most prolific receivers in the game since joining the Patriots, was replaced in the starting lineup by Julian Edelman last week as new offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels continues to tinker with the offense. The bright spot has been a much-improved defense, especially rookie DE Chandler Jones.

ABOUT THE RAVENS (1-1): Baltimore will catch a break without Hernandez on the field but will still have to account for Rob Gronkowski. The Ravens had trouble containing Philadelphia Eagles tight end Brent Celek in a 24-23 loss last Sunday. Baltimore’s defense is under the direction of new coordinator Dean Pees, who spent the previous few seasons with the Patriots, and is ranked just 27th through the first two weeks. The offense looked strong enough to overcome those deficiencies in the Week 1 thrashing of Cincinnati, but quarterback Joe Flacco was just 22 of 42 against the Eagles and the Ravens converted only 4 of 14 third downs. Flacco actually outperformed Tom Brady in last January’s meeting but was let down when his sure touchdown pass was knocked out of the hands of Lee Evans right before Cundiff’s missed kick.

TRENDS:
* Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 6-0 in Ravens’ last six September games.
* Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Patriots’ last five road games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Baltimore S Bernard Pollard, who knocked out Brady for the 2008 eason with a low hit in the opening weekend and was responsible for Gronkowski’s ankle injury in last season’s meeting, is questionable for Sunday with a rib contusion.

2. Patriots rookie Jones will be playing for the first time against his brother, Ravens DE Arthur Jones.

3. New England is 7-1 against Baltimore, including the playoffs.

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NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 3

Want to handicap Sunday's NFL action but don't have time to research every game? Check out our NFL poolies cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs. We give you quick-hitting notes on all of Week 3's action.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (-9, 46.5)

Cowboys QB Tony Romo loves playing against the Bucs. Romo has passer ratings of 148.9, 140.6 and 133.9 in three career games against Tampa Bay with 11 TD passes. The Bucs defense was shredded by Eli Manning last week, giving up 512 yards through the air. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.

St. Louis Rams at Chicago Bears (-9, 43.5)

Bears QB Jay Cutler was sacked seven times against Green Bay last week, causing him to lash out at left tackle J’Marcus Webb. To make matters worse, Cutler may not have RB Matt Forte (ankle) at his disposal on Sunday. Three-time Pro Bowl RB Steven Jackson (groin) is “day-to-day,” according to Rams coach Jeff Fisher and will be a game-time decision. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings (6.5, 43)

San Francisco effectively shut down 2011 NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers in Week 1, then Matthew Stafford and the high-powered Lions in Week 2. The Niners can go 3-0 to begin a season or the first time since 1998 if they can find a way to contain RB Adrian Peterson, who has failed to reach the 100-yard plateau in each of his last seven games, one shy of a career high. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

Detroit Lions at Tennessee Titans (3.5, 47)

The Titans have been outscored 72-23 in dropping their first two games. RB Chris Johnson, who rushed for over 2,000 yards in 2009 has only 21 yards on 19 carries. The Lions could get a boost at RB on Sunday with the return of Mikel Leshoure. The 2011 second-round draft pick was suspended for the first two games of the season after violating the NFL’s substance-abuse policy. The over is 3-0-1 in Detroit’s last four games overall.

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Redskins (-3, 48.5)

Washington QB Robert Griffin III has impressed in his two games, throwing for 526 yards and picking up five TDs. Washington dropped its final six home games last season, but has won five straight home openers. The Cincinnati defense has allowed an average of 434.5 yards to rank 30th in the league - a far cry from the 316.3 per game it surrendered last season. The Bengals are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five road games.

Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints (-9, 53)

The Saints' 75 points allowed are tied - with Kansas City - for the highest total through two weeks. New Orleans is last in the league in overall defense at 461.0 yards per game and rushing defense. The Saints have played over the total in seven games dating back to last season and now host the Chiefs, who boast the fifth best rushing attack in the league (151 yards per game).

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (1, 40)

Dolphins RB Reggie Bush has averaged 126.7 rushing yards in his last six games - the most of any player since Week 13 of 2011. Miami has won two straight and five of its last six home games heading into its contest Sunday against New York. Jets QB Mark Sanchez has averaged 219.5 passing yards with nine TDs and four interceptions while going 2-4 versus Miami in his career. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns (3, 44.5)

Bills RB C.J. Spiller leads the NFL with 292 rushing yards and 364 yards from scrimmage after running for 123 and two scores Sunday against the Chiefs. Buffalo has gone over the total in six straight September games and faces a Cleveland squad that’s 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games overall.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-3, 41.5)

Jaguars QB Blaine Gabbert just plain stunk last week against Houston, finishing with 53 yards passing - his fewest as a starter. Gabbert suffered a glute injury in the contest, but he’s expected to suit up in Week 3. That's good news for the Colts, who have played under the total in their last six home games.

Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals (3.5, 43)

The Cardinals defense is a major reason why they’re 2-0 and pulled off a major upset over the Patriots last week. The unit has only allowed two touchdowns and 3.4 yards per carry so far this season. The Eagles are the first team in NFL history to begin with a pair of one-point victories despite committing nine turnovers, which is three more than any other team. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

Atlanta Falcons at San Diego Chargers (-3, 47.5)

Falcons QB Matt Ryan is the league's top-rated passer with a rating of 117.6, and he's completed 70.1 percent of his passes for 518 yards and five touchdowns. San Diego’s offense is also rolling with 60 points scored and just one turnover after two games and the defense is allowing a league-low 41.5 rushing yards per game under new defensive coordinator John Pagano. The under is 10-1 in San Diego’s last 11 games as a home favorite.

Houston Texans at Denver Broncos (1, 44.5)

Broncos QB Peyton Manning tossed three interceptions in the first eight minutes of Denver’s Week 2 loss to the Falcons, but was 16-2 against Houston during his time in Indianapolis. His 110.6 QB rating against the Texans is his best against any team he's played more than four times. Houston is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games overall.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders (3.5, 44.5)

Steelers RB Rashard Mendenhall (ACL) is on the mend and back at practice. His return could boost a running game that ranks 30th in the league in yardage while averaging just 2.6 per carry. The Raiders are also having trouble on the ground. Oakland is gaining an NFL-worst 2.0 yards per carry and RB Darren McFadden had just 22 yards on 11 attempts in last Sunday's loss at Miami. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 49.5)

New England lost tight end Aaron Hernandez to an ankle injury Sunday against the Cardinals. The Patriots signed former Cleveland and Tampa Bay tight end Kellen Winslow on Wednesday to fill in and complement Rob Gronkowski. QB Tom Brady has a 69.1 passer rating in six career games against Baltimore including the postseason - his worst against any opponent. New England is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Baltimore.

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Sunday Night Baseball: Dodgers at Reds
By STEVE MERRIL

The Reds and Dodgers square off in an intriguing NL contest on Sunday Night Baseball.

HOMER HAPPY

Homer Bailey has been a streaky pitcher for the Reds this season. The righty has a respectable 12-9 record with a 3.82 ERA overall and has allowed just five earned runs over his last four starts. Bailey had surrendered 22 runs over a five-start span prior to his recent hot streak.

HARANG MEET YOUR FORMER TEAM

Former Cincinnati hurler Aaron Harang gets the ball for the Dodgers. He’s 9-10 with a 3.80 ERA but has suffered from control issues lately. The right-hander has walked more batters than he’s struck out in three of his last four starts. However, he has an uncanny ability to wiggle out of jams, holding opponents to three runs or less in eight straight games.

INJURY REPORT

The Dodgers’ playoff hopes may rest on the availability of staff ace Clayton Kershaw down the stretch. The lefty’s injured hip is adding to the strain already put on a depleted rotation by injuries. Ted Lilly and Chad Billingsley were in the mix, but both are done for the season with shoulder and elbow ailments. The Reds’ injury list is much shorter, but there is some concern about closer Aroldis Chapman’s fatigued throwing shoulder. The Cincinnati bullpen is already thin without the services of Nick Masset (shoulder) and Ryan Madson (elbow).

TRENDS

*Dodgers are 0-4 in Harang’s last four Sunday starts.
*The Reds have played over the total in Bailey’s last four starts vs. NL West opponents.
*Cincinnati is 25-10 in its last 35 Sunday games.

HITTERS TO WATCH

Ryan Ludwick is 14-for-36 vs. Harang.
Scott Rolen is 5-for-31 vs. Harang.
Adrian Gonzalez is 6-for-12 vs. Bailey.
Matt Kemp is 4-for-11 vs. Bailey.

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SB Professor Original NFL Picks 9/23

1 PM EST
417. Jacksonville Jaguars +3*

4:15 PM EST
421. Atlanta Falcons +3*

Rest of Games:
402. Chicago Bears -7
409. Cincinnati Bengals +3

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Playbook:

5 No by 20 over KC

4 Cincy by 10 over Washy

3 Minny by 3 over SF

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Sports Reporter:

Det by 16-Best

NYJ by 17-Best

Pitt by 14

Zona by 9

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Winning Points:

Cincy by 17

NYJ by 20

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REDSHEET:

Det 37 over Tenny 20 Rating 88

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PointWise:

San Franny over Minny Rating 2

Sandy Eggo over Hot Lanta Rating 3

Oaky over Pitty Rating 4

Det over Tenny Rating 4

Clever over Buffy Rating 5

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Totals 4 You Selections for Early Sunday, September 23rd

2012 AFC East Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
NY Jets/Miami under 41 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Patriots @ Ravens Free of Charge!!!

Early NFL Bets Bets
St Louis/Chicago over 43
San Francisco/Minnesota under 43
Detroit/Tennessee under 47 1/2
Jacksonville/Indianapolis under 43

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Sunday, September 23rd

September's Sunday Night Football Super Total of the Month!!!!!
New England/Baltimore under 50

Late NFL Best Bets
Philadelphia/Arizona over 42
Atlanta/San Diego under 47 1/2
Houston/Denver over 44 1/2
Pittsburgh/Oakland under 45 1/2

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From Platinum Plays.

500K NFL Upset/Month

the St Louis Rams +7 over
the Chicago Bears

Best Bets


the San Francisco 49ers +6½ over
the Minnesota Vikings

the Cleveland Browns +3 over
the Buffalo Bills

the Jacksonville/Indianapolis Game UNDER
the Total Of 43 Points

the Cincinnati/Washington Game OVER
the Totals Of 49½ Points


500K NBC Totals Lock


the New England/Baltimore Game OVER
the Total Of 50 Points


Best Bets

the Baltimore Ravens -2 over
the New England Patriots

the San Diego Chargers -3 over
the Atlanta Falcons

the Arizona Cardinals +3½ over
the Philadelphia Phillies

the Pittsburgh/Oakland Game OVER
the Total Of 45 Points

Premier Picks


the NY Jets -1½ over
the Miami Dolphins

the Houston Texans -1½ over
the Denver Broncos

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NFL Predictions

Kevin

4 UNIT = Cincinnati Bengals @ Washington Redskins - REDSKINS -3 (-107) *4 Unit Play*
(Note: I'm risking 4.28 units to win 4.00 units)

The Bengals head to Washington with a 1-1 record. In Week 1 the Bengals were beat 44-13 in the first Monday Night game of the season against the Ravens. The Bengals entered as 7 point underdogs, but were blown out as they couldn't do anything on defense. Cincinnati's defensive struggles continued on Sunday, although they escaped with a 34-27 win over the Browns in their home opener. Browns rookie quarterback, who looked bad in Week 1, completed 26 of 37 pass attempts for 322 yards and 2 TDs against the Bengals. Trent Richardson who also didn't do much at all in Week 1 gained 109 yards on 19 carries and added a touchdown. The Bengals rank 30th on defense allowing 434 yards against per game, and they've giving up an average of 35.5 points against over their two games. Their passing defense is ranked 29th on the season while their rushing defense is 18th allowing 126 yards against per game. The good news for the Bengals defense is that they are expecting DE Carlos Dunlap and CB Jason Allen back in the line up. Offensively the Bengals have been average at best, ranking 18th in the NFL with 348 yards per game and 16th with 23.5 points per game. QB Andy Dalton had a rough game in Week 1 throwing for just 221 yards and 1 INT, but he did bounce back well against a bad Cleveland defense at home. Note that Dalton has been sacked 10 times through 2 games.

The Redskins will look to start the season 2-1 with a win in their home opener on Sunday. The Redskins stunned the league with a 40-32 victory in Week 1 over the Saints in New Orleans, with QB Robert Griffin III throwing for 320 yards and 2 Touchdowns (adding 42 yards on the ground) in his rookie debut. The Redskins then went into St Louis as 3 point favorites, and lead 21-16 at half before going on to lose 31-29. Washington had a chance to tie it up late and force overtime, but a dumb play by WR Joshua Morgan that cost them 15 yards put them out of field goal range. Again the defense was shaky letting Sam Bradford throw for 310 yards and 3 TDs, while giving up 141 yards on the ground. The defense ranks 28th allowing 405 yards against per game, and 27th allowing 31.5 points against per game. With that said, the Washington offense is 4th in the NFL averaging 416 yards per game through Week 2 and they are 1st in the league averaging 34 points per game. The Redskins lost two starters on defense in LB Brian Orakpo and DE Adam Carriker, and will need to rely on their offense to continue to play well. RG3 is 4th in the league with a 111.6 QB rating, compared to Bengals QB Andy Dalton who is 14th with a 93.9 QB Rating. One positive about the Redskins defense is they have done a good job forcing turnovers early in the season, with 6 forced turnovers in just two games.

Take a look at the Bengals since the start of the 2011 season and you will notice that they have yet to beat a 2011 playoff team, including their first two weeks of this season. The Redskins weren't a playoff team last year, but in my opinion the Bengals are slightly overrated. The Bengals were 5-4 on the road last season, but those wins last year came against the following teams: St Louis, Tennessee, Seattle, Jacksonville, and Cleveland. Nothing too impressive there and we add in the other teams Cincinnati beat at home (Arizona, Cleveland Indianapolis, and Buffalo) and you can see that most of their wins came against weaker 2011 teams. The Bengals are just 1-7-3 against the spread in their last 11 games overall and 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 road games. I'm not really looking back at the Redskins play last season as this is a new look team, but take note that the Redskins were 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss. Both teams have given up a lot defensively, but Sunday we should see the Redskins high powered offense take over the game. Washington isn't an easy place to play when the crowd is into it, and they no doubt will be with RG3 making his home debut. The Redskins win and cover.

2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Tennessee Titans - LIONS -3 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2.00 units)

The Detroit Lions probably have not opened up the 2012 season like they had hoped to. Detroit needed a last second touchdown to win at home in Week 1 versus the Rams, and then went into San Francisco on Sunday Night to lose to a very tough 49ers team 27-19. With that said, I wouldn't panic if I were a Lions fan as they pretty much dominated most of their Week 1 meeting with the Rams (a few mistakes by Stafford kept St Louis in it) and they showed up and competed Sunday against a team that many have picked to win Super Bowl. The Lions are ranked 14th on offense with 362 yards per game, and are 17th with 23 points per game. Defensively the Lions have been solid, ranking 10th allowing 299 yards against per game. Detroit is 18th giving up 25 points against per game, but a lot of that was on the offense in Week 1 with Stafford throwing 3 INTs. QB Matthew Stafford is ranked 27th in the league with a 73.2 QB Rating as he has throw 4 INTs and just 2 TDs through the first two weeks, but I expect him to have a great week here in Week 3 against the Titans defense that ranks 20th against the pass. Stafford has been sacked just 3 times so far this year, as the offensive line has done a good job protecting him. The Lions rely on their passing game, with their rushing offense ranking just 25th in the league, but I expect them to find some holes in the Titans defense that ranks 30th against the rush so far early in the season.

The Tennessee Titans have faced a tough schedule to start the year and are 0-2 after losses to New England and San Diego. The Titans were just 4.5 point underdogs hosting New England in Week 1 but lost that game 34-13 as Brady threw for 236 yards and 2 TDs and RB Stevan Ridley had no troubles rushing for 125 yards on 21 carries adding a TD. In Week 2 the Chargers hosted the Titans as 6.5 point favorites and went on to win 38-10 with Phillip Rivers throwing for 284 yards with 3 TDS and an INT. Without Ryan Matthews the Chargers don't have much of a run game right now, but they did manage to add 148 yards on the ground. Rookie QB Jake Locker has looked like a rookie through two weeks throwing for 403 yards with 2 TDs and 2 INTs for a 77.6 QB Rating.. Overall the Titans offense is 31st in the NFL averaging 248 yards per game, but Locker can't be blamed for that. Tennessee has rushed for just 29 yards per game, ranking them last (32nd) in the league. Like mentioned earlier, the Titans defense hasn't done much good to date, ranking 25th overall allowing 403 yards against per game.

The Lions excelled last season versus below average teams, and I can see them doing so again on Sunday. The Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. Note that the Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Titans have shown no signs on improving from an average season last year, with no running game (even with one of the best rushers in the league) and a very shaky start defensively. Detroit is a tough team to beat and their improvements on defense will help them go on the road this season and take care of teams like the Titans. I like the Lions laying just 3 points against the Titans here.

2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys - BUCCANEERS +8.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 2.18 units to win 2.00 units)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had a disasterous collapse in the second half of their Week 2 game against the Giants to fall to 1-1 on the season. After returning an Eli Manning INT for a touchdown to end the half the Bucs lead 24-13 heading into the locker room. Tampa Bay even lead 27-16 heading into the 4th quarter, before allowing the Giants to score 25 points in the final quarter to win 41-34. The collapse was good for us backing the Buccaneers this week though, as they've played 7 quality quarters of football to start the season. The Bucs hosted the Panthers in Week 1 as 2.5 point underdogs and went on to win 16-10. QB Josh Freeman has been fairly effective through the first two weeks completing just under 60% of his passes for 381 yards with 3 TDs and 2 INTs for a 85.5 QB Rating. Overall the offense is ranked just 29th with 282 yards per game, but as a team they've managed 25 points per game so far. Defensively the Bucs rank near the bottom of the league overall, but most of that was from a 4th quarter meltdown last week. The Buccaneers rushing defense is ranked 3rd overall allowing just 52 yards against per game. Another positive about the Bucs defense is that they've forced 5 INTs over 2 games. For what it's worth, Tampa Bay was averaging under 4 points against per quarter heading into the final quarter last week.

Dallas opened the season with a big confidence boosting 24-17 win over the defending Super Bowl champions, but then went into Seattle as 3.5 point favorites and lost 27-7 doing very little offensively. QB Tony Romo completed 23 of 40 pass attempts for 251 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT, while the rushing game was pretty much non existent with Murray rushing for just 44 yards on 12 attempts. The Cowboys couldn't stop the run last week allowing Marshawn Lynch to rush for 122 yards, which lead to Russell Wilson being effective completing 15 of 20 attempts for 151 yards and 1 touchdown. Ultimately it was some special team mistakes that cost the Cowboys. Dallas has been good on defense ranking 9th allowing 292 yards against per game, but their offense dropped to (a still respectable) 10th in the league with 364 yards per game. Romo is 8th in the league with a 97.4 QB Rating, and has looked good to start the season. His numbers could be better if it weren't for a handful of dropped passes last week.

Take note that the Cowboys are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs NFC opponents To me this 8.5 line looks like a bit of an over reaction to last week's meltdown by Tampa Bay, and I think they are a better team than most people think. Defensively Tampa Bay has been very solid for the most part of their two games to open the season, and I think the offense should be able to keep up with Dallas as the Cowboys will be dealing with a number of injuries on the defensive side of the ball. The Cowboys won just 4 of their 16 games last year by 7+ points, and I think this 8.5 point spread is too much - I'll take the points with the Bucs.

2 UNIT = Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns - BILLS -2.5 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.30 units to win 2.00 units)

Buffalo rebounded from a 48-28 Week 1 loss in New York against the Jets by beating Kansas City last week 35-17 as 3 point favorites. With RB Fred Jackson out with an injury C.J. Spiller continued his tear, rushing for 123 yards on 15 attempts and adding two touchdowns. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was efficient when called upon, as he threw for 178 yards completing 10 of 19 attempts with 2 touchdowns. The Bills held Matt Cassel and the Chiefs to just 3 points through the first 3 quarters before giving up a pair of late touchdowns as they led 35-3. The Bills are 7th in the league with 384 yards per game offensively and are 4th with 31.5 points per game. Buffalo is 1st in the league in rushing with an average of 198 yards per game, mostly thanks to C.J. Spiller who has been stellar leading the league by 51 yards (with 292). The Browns rank 28th against the run and will have a lot of troubles containing Spiller. With 1 rough game defensively the Bills are ranked 25th in the league on defense, but I expect them to move up on that list after Week 3.

Like many had expected the Cleveland Browns have started the season 0-2. In Week 1 they almost pulled off a big upset losing 17-16 to the Eagles as 9 point underdogs. The Eagles put up over 400 yards of offense on the day but 4 Michael Vick INTs and 1 fumble almost led to a Browns upset win. In Week 2 Cleveland went into Cincinnati as 7 point underdogs and although the offense kept pace, the Browns defense couldn't slow down the Bengals who scored 34 points in a 34-27 victory. Cleveland ranks 29th overall in defense allowing 415 yards against per game. After a good game last week the offense moved up to 22nd in the league with 324 yards per game, but that was against a Bengals defense who hasn't looked good through two weeks. QB Brandon Weeden ranks 32nd in the league for QBs with a 57.6 QB Rating as he has completed 52.8% of his passes for 440 yards with 2 TDs and 4 INTs. Weeden looked good last week, but I expect him to have similar struggles to Week 1 against a good Bills defense.

Although the Bills are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games I think there is a bit of a mismatch here and the Bills should be able to win by 3+ points against one of the leagues worst teams in my opinion. Note that the Browns are just 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 home games. Buffalo has been lethal on the ground and going against the Browns 28th ranked rush defense I don't see Cleveland being able to slow them down. Buffalo should be able to do enough on the ground to allow Fitzpatrick to be efficient again this week, while Weeden will have his problems. Take Buffalo -2.5.

2 UNIT = New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins - DOLPHINS +2.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units)

The New York Jets surprised everyone putting up 48 points in their home opener in Week 1 beating the Bills 48-28, but then went on to put up just 10 points against a Steelers defense that was missing two key defensive stars. QB Mark Sanchez has completed 53.7% of his passes for 404 yards with 4 TDs and just 1 INT, which is good for a 95.0 QB Rating. Last week though Sanchez struggled to find open receivers, and his second half struggles led to a 27-10 loss in Pittsburgh. Overall the Jets rank 26th offensively with 301 yards per game. The Jets are middle of the pack defensively at 15th averaging 230 yards against per game. RB Shonn Greene has been less than impressive averaging just 58.5 yards per game over their first two weeks, which isn't good news going up against a good Miami run defense.

The Miami Dolphins had a tough Week 1 game against an AFC powerhouse in the Houston Texans, as they fell 30-10 as 13 point underdogs, but overall I felt they played pretty well that game behind a rookie quarterback. The Dolphins then hosted the Oakland Raiders looking to avoid an 0-2 start. Miami was a 2 point underdog but went on to crush the Raiders 35-13 behind a solid game from Reggie Bush who rushed for 172 yards and 2 TDs and a good game from rookie QB Ryan Tannehill who threw for 200 yards with 1 touchdown. Reggie Bush now ranked 2nd in the league with 120 yards per game, while the Dolphins overall are 2nd in rushing with 171 yards per game. Overall the Dolphins are 12th in the league averaging 363 yards per game. Despite giving up 30 points in Week 1 the Dolphins rank 19th overall in Defense giving up 366 yards against per game.

I think this game will come down to who can run the ball more effectively. The Dolphins rank 4th in the NFL allowing just 53 yards against per game on the ground after facing two elite RBs in Arian Foster and Darren McFadden, and shouldn't have much problems stopping Shonn Greene here at home. Meanwhile the Dolphins rank 2nd in rushing and will face the leagues 22nd ranked rush defense. Reggie Bush should have another good game against the Jets which will give Ryan Tannehill some space, while Mark Sanchez should be forced into some mistakes by a good Miami defense. This Dolphins team isn't getting enough credit yet and I don't think they should be underdogs here at home vs the Jets. Take Miami to cover.

2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Steelers @ Oakland Raiders - RAIDERS +3.5 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)

After the Steelers defense couldn't stop Peyton Manning and the Broncos offense in a 31-19 loss in Week 1, they bounced back allowing just 10 points against in a 27-10 victory in their home opener. Pittsburgh was without James Harrison and Troy Polamalu last week, and they are both ruled out for Week 3. Although Ben Roethlisberger has been solid completing 64.8% of his passes with 4 TDs and just 1 INT, the Steelers offense overall is ranked just 25th with 307 yards per game. The Steelers troubles have come in the run game, where they rank 30th in the league averaging just 70.5 yards per game and an awful 2.6 yards per attempt. The Steelers are 7th in the league defensively allowing just 267 yards against per game, but they did struggle in their road game vs the Broncos.

Not many would have predicted the Raiders being blown out in Miami last week after a 8 point home loss in Week 1. In their season and home opener against the Chargers the Raiders were 1 point favorites. Offensive struggles and a few special team mistakes led to a 22-14 loss. Oakland then went into Miami as 2 point favorites and were blown out 35-13 as Reggie Bush led the way for the Dolphins. The Raiders are in need of a win in Week 3 to prevent an 0-3 start that would make things very tough for the Raiders for the remainder of the year. Oakland is 15th overall in defensive allowing an average of 355 yards against per game after a good Week 1 game at home. The Raiders rush defense is 29th overall, but shouldn't be much of a problem against the Steelers who have had virtually no running game. Their pass defense is 8th with a solid 207 yards against per game through the air. Offensively the Raiders rank 15th in the NFL averaging 358 yards per game, but failing to turn those yards into points has them 31st in the league with just 13.5 points per game.

Take note that the Steelers were 5-3 on the road last season, but those road wins came against Cleveland, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Arizona, and Indianapolis - with the victories over Cleveland, KC, and Indy all being 4 points or less. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Although the Raiders are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing 30+ points in their previous game. This pick comes down to the Steelers offensive line struggling to produce a running game and struggling to protect Big Ben, and the defense missing some key components. Oakland is a tough place to play and with this game almost being a must win I think we see a good tough game from Oakland. Take the Raiders getting 3.5.

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS NFL - Sunday, Sept. 23rd

HYDRA (5 UNITS)
TEXANS -1.5 at broncos (1:25pm)

TOP (3 UNITS)
49'ERS -6.5 at vikings (10am)
RAMS +7 at bears (10am)
SAINTS -8.5 vs chiefs (10am)
FALCONS +3at chargers (1pm)
RAVENS -PK (-140) vs patriots (SNF)
PACKERS -3 (-120) at seahawks (MNF)
http://www.cappersmall.com/smi/mosh.gif

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 3-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Bailey is 2-0, 1.55 in his last four starts.
-- Gallardo is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Lohse is 1-1, 2.33 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 3-0, 1.98 in his last four starts.
-- Stults is 3-1, 2.37 in his last five starts. Lincecum is 3-0, 2.52 in his last four outings.
-- Lee is 4-0, 1.27 in his last five starts.

-- Griffin is 3-1, 2.52 in his last four starts.
-- Scherzer is 5-0, 1.20 in his last seven starts, but left his last outing in third inning with a tired shoulder.
-- Tillman is 2-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 2-1, 2.33 in his last three starts.
-- Dempster is 5-1, 3.47 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Young is 1-2, 4.66 in his last five starts.
-- Harang is 0-3, 4.97 in his last five starts.
-- Wang is 1-3, 6.62 in four starts this season.
-- Lyles is 1-1, 5.49 in his last four starts. Burnett is 0-4, 5.22 in his last five.
-- Germano is 0-6, 8.79 in his last six starts.
-- Francis is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
-- Hudson is 2-2, 4.94 in his last four starts.

-- Kuroda is 2-2, 4.67 in his last five starts.
-- Walters is 0-3, 12.86 in his last four starts. Diamond is 1-3, 7.33 in his last four starts. Smyly has a 5.82 RA in his last four starts, last fo which was on August 25.
-- Doubrant is 1-4, 7.22 in his last six starts.
-- Cobb is 1-1, 4.84 in his last four starts. Jenkins has allowed 10 runs in 18.1 IP in big leagues this year; he was 5-9, 4.96 in 20 starts at AA this summer.
-- Huff allowed three runs in 4.1 IP in his first '12 start.
-- Kansas City's big pitching prospect Odorizzi was 15-5, 3.03 in minors this year, mostly in AA.
-- Floyd has a 5.51 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Vargas is 1-2, 5.18 in his last four starts.


Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games.
-- Brewers won 24 of their last 31 games.
-- Phillies won 20 of their last 27 games. Atlanta won six of its last eight.
-- Reds won five of their last six games.
-- Astros are actually 8-7 in their last fifteen games.
-- Arizona won five of its last six games.
-- Giants won 18 of their last 24 games.


-- Bronx won nine of its last ten games.
-- Tigers won seven of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay won its last four games, scoring 43 runs.
-- Orioles won their last six games, scoring 39 runs.
-- Royals won last four games, allowing nine runs.
-- Angels won 17 of their last 24 games.
-- Rangers are 12-1 in game following their last 13 losses.


Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost six of their last eight games.
-- Washington lost five of its last eight games.
-- Mets lost ten of their last thirteen games. Miami lost eight of last 11.
-- Dodgers lost eleven of their last sixteen games.
-- Pirates lost 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Rockies lost 15 of their last 17 games.
-- San Diego lost four of its last five games.


-- Oakland lost five of its last six games.
-- Twins lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost 18 of their last 24 games.
-- Blue Jays lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Indians lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- White Sox lost last four games, scoring seven runs.
-- Mariners lost six of their last nine games.


Totals
-- Seven of last ten St Louis games stayed under total.
-- 15 of last 22 Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Atlanta games.
-- Under is 20-11-1 in Mets' last 32 games.
-- Ten of last thirteen Cincinnati games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Pittsburgh games.
-- 11 of last 13 Colorado games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven San Francisco games went over total.


-- Seven of last eleven Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over (after a 19-2-2 under run).
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Last five Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-2-2 in White Sox' last sixteen road games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Texas road games.

Umpires
-- Mil-Wsh-- Underdogs are 9-4 in last thirteen TBarrett games.
-- Mia-NY-- Last seven Schrieber games went over the total.
-- StL-Chi-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Bucknor games; underdogs won six of his last seven games behind the plate.
-- Atl-Phil-- Visiting team won five of last six Barry games.
-- Pitt-Hst-- Over is 6-0 in Timmons games if total is 9.5 or higher; 6-17 if the total is 9 or lower.
-- LA-Cin-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Holbrook games.
-- Az-Col-- Underdogs won last five Nelson games.
-- SD-SF-- 15 of 16 Baker games stayed under the total.

-- Blt-Bos-- Eight of last eleven Porter games went over total.
-- Min-Det-- Four of last five Hallion games stayed under. Eight of last nine O'Nora games also stayed under.
-- Tex-Sea-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Danley games.
-- A's-NY-- Six of last seven Estabrook games stayed under.
-- Tor-TB-- Bob Davidson has no discernable trends as an umpire, besides fact that he calls too many balks.
-- Cle-KC-- Home side won seven of last nine Ripperger games.
-- Chi-LA-- Home side won last eight Hickox games, with four of his last five games going over the total.

[poopoo333]

Today's NFL Picks

New England at Baltimore

The Patriots look to bounce back from last week's loss to Arizona and build on their 10-4 ATS record following an ATS loss. New England is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: New England (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Time Posted: 10:00 p.m. EST (9/19)


Game 401-402: St. Louis at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 125.082; Chicago 136.005
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 11; 41
Vegas Line: Chicago by 7 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Under


Game 403-404: Tampa Bay at Dallas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 126.692; Dallas 137.533
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 11; 43
Vegas Line: Dallas by 7; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-7); Under


Game 405-406: San Francisco at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 137.086; Minnesota 129.681
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 7 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6 1/2); Over


Game 407-408: Detroit at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 130.154; Tennessee 132.776
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3 1/2); Over


Game 409-410: Cincinnati at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 130.845; Washington 130.226
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Under


Game 411-412: NY Jets at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 129.543; Miami 126.404
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 3; 43
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1; 40
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1); Over


Game 413-414: Kansas City at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 122.585; New Orleans 141.744
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 19; 49
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 8 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-8 1/2); Under


Game 415-416: Buffalo at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 126.467; Cleveland 131.651
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under


Game 417-418: Jacksonville at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.230; Indianapolis 126.282
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3); Over


Game 419-420: Philadelphia at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.416; Arizona 135.310
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3 1/2); Over


Game 421-422: Atlanta at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 136.442; San Diego 136.176
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Under


Game 423-424: Houston at Denver (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.005; Denver 135.670
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2 1/2); Over


Game 425-426: Pittsburgh at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 132.289; Oakland 127.414
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 44
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4); Under


Game 427-428: New England at Baltimore (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 142.057; Baltimore 138.997
Dunkel Line: New England by 3; 46
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Under

[poopoo333]

Today's MLB Picks

Texas at Seattle

The Mariners look to build on their 6-1 record in Jason Vargas' last 7 starts against AL West teams. Seattle is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 23
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 14.412; NY Mets (Young) 14.831
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Under


Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Cincinnati (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Harang) 13.841; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.970
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.856; Washington (Wang) 15.516
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Under


Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 13.322; Houston (Lyles) 14.887
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120); Over


Game 959-960: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.087; Cubs (Germano) 14.138
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-175); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-175); N/A


Game 961-962: Arizona at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.190; Colorado (Francis) 14.653
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over


Game 963-964: San Diego at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 15.098; San Francisco (Petit) 17.200
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 965-966: Atlanta at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 16.439; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.707
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+135); Over


Game 967-968: Oakland at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 15.782; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.205
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+135); Under


Game 969-970: Minnesota at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 13.468; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.774
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under


Game 971-972: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.560; Boston (Doubront) 15.055
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Over


Game 973-974: Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Jenkins) 13.910; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.003
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-220); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-220); Under


Game 975-976: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 14.791; Kansas City (Odorizzi) 14.397
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over


Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.223; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.459
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-200); Underr


Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Dempster) 14.996; Seattle (Vargas) 15.895
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over


Game 981-982: Minnesota at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Walters) 14.609; Detroit (Smyly) 15.732
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under

[poopoo333]

Hondo

The Fish failed to scale the odds against Bill Maher’s Mets yesterday, but ND covered the numeral against Michigan last night so Hondo’s debt held steady at 1,535 staubachs.

Today, Mr. Aitch will take a break from his sparkling work in the diamond district and get down and dirty with his NFL Best Bets -- 10 units apiece on the Jets, Chargers and Ravens.

[poopoo333]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 914-671 (57 %) over the last 4 years PLUS !

Free play Sun: Ariz Cards + 4

[poopoo333]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Falcons +3

[poopoo333]

Underground Sports Connection

Underground Original - Minnesota Vikings

Reece Roberts - Milwaukee Brewers

[poopoo333]

Gold Sheet LTS

SOLID GOLD ALERT 2* N.Orleans
TOP CHOICE 1 1/2* Arizona
1* SanFran
1* Pitt
1* Seattle

[poopoo333]

Cappers Access

Bears -7
Titans +4
Cardinals +3
Ravens -2

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: Detroit at Tennessee (Sunday 9/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tennessee +3.5 (-105)

The Detroit Lions won 10 games a year ago and made the playoffs. All is good right? Let's look a bit deeper. This team started out 5-0 in 2011 and looked to really be poised to have one of those special seasons, but they went just 5-7 from that point. The revealing part is that among their 10 wins, not one team they beat made the playoffs. When they got in the playoffs they promptly exited with a 17-point loss. So while many feel this team will get even better, the jury is more than out. They barely got by St. Louis at home 27-23 then lost once again to a good team at San Francisco. Tennessee has been blown out by a pair of really good teams in San Diego and New England, so most see Detroit as the third good team and another blowout. Well Detroit isn't there yet, and I look for Tennessee to come up big at home staring an 0-3 start in the face. They will have some extra motivation to take down Detroit head coach Jim Schwartz who was their defensive coordinator for eight seasons before taking the Detroit job. The Lions are still fighting to find their way on the road where they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six. The Titans have come up big after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game at 19-7 ATS in their last 26. Play on Tennessee.

[Mr. IWS]

Docs Sports
5 Unit Play. (#107/#411) Take New York Jets -2.5 over Miami Dolphins
(Sunday, 9/23, 1 pm CBS) Top NFL Play of the Weekend

New York

The Jets come into this game at 1-1 on the season after beating the Buffalo Bills at home and then getting pounding by the Pittsburgh Steelers last Sunday. The Jets should get help on defense with Darrelle Revis back in the lineup after he sat out last week with a concussion. The road team has been the play in this matchup recently, covering four of the last five games in this series. The Jets have a more experienced quarterback in Mark Sanchez and we expect their defense to put pressure on rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill.

Miami

The Dolphins are coming off an impressive performance in their home opener after getting blown out in Week 1 at Houston. In that game, Miami failed to score an offensive touchdown and it would not surprise me if that was the case today as well. The fact remains that Miami does not have many playmakers on offense with the exception of Reggie Bush. Their wide receivers are terrible and expect the Jets to put pressure on them for 60 minutes. Miami is just 22-49 ATS (1 push) in their last 72 home games.

Final Comment

This is a divisional game so you can bet both teams are very familiar with one another. Miami does not have a home field advantage whatsoever, so expect the Jets to come in a control tempo for 60 minutes. This is an important game for the Jets and a must-win if they have visions of making the playoffs this season. Miami is still in full rebuild mode and is just trying to improve since they have been inept for over a decade.

New York by 13

4 Unit Play. (#113/#407) Take Detroit Lions -3.5 over Tennessee Titans
(Sunday, 9/23, 1 pm Fox)

Detroit

The Lions have yet to get going this season and are lucky to have won one of their first two games. Expect things to get back on track Sunday in Nashville, as the Titans do not have the weapons to threaten this suspect Lions defense. Detroit has one of the best passing games in the league with QB Matthew Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson. The Lions are 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record.

Tennessee

The Titans have been one of the worst teams in the league to start 2012. They have been blown out twice in two games, giving up an average of 36 points per game defensively. RB Chris Johnson has looked terrible thus far and he is starting to call out his offensive lineman. Tennessee has covered just one of their last five home games.

Final Comment

Expect the Titans to play better than they have in their first two games of the season, but the fact remains that they just do not have much talent. The Lions need this victory, as they do not want to drop below the .500 mark. Expect them to put forth an offensive display that Tennessee will have no answer for. The Titans just have too many question marks and are in for a long season.

Detroit by 13

3 Unit Play. (#127/#429) Take Green Bay Packers -3 over Seattle Seahawks
(Monday, 9/24, 8:45 pm ESPN)

Green Bay

The Packers should enter this game healthy, as they have a mini bye since they have not played a game since Sept. 13. Green Bay got back on track last week, pounding the Bears, and they now sit atop the division in a four-way tie. QB Aaron Rogers will not be intimidated by playing in Seattle since his numbers were better on the road last season than they were at home. Green Bay has covered 23 of their last 33 games.

Seattle

The Seahawks have a pair of quarterbacks with Wisconsin ties in Russell Wilson and Matt Flynn. They could be 2-0 on the season, but like the Packers they are just 1-1. I just do not believe that the Seahawks have the weapons to threaten this suspect Packer defense and, thus, they will not be able to keep pace with the high-scoring offense of Aaron Rogers and company. The Hawks have not handled prosperity well, going 9-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 31 games following a victory in their previous game.

Final Comment

This is a game that features two teams that have visions of making the playoffs come January. That being said, the Seahawks are not on the same level as the Packers and this is an important game for Green Bay as they do not want to drop to 1-2 on the season. Someway, somehow, Green Bay will get the job done, as this is a game they need more than Seattle.

Green Bay by 8

Strong Opinion Plays
#82/#308 Take ULM Warhawks +7.5 over Baylor Bears (Friday 8 pm ESPN)
#72/#312 Take Under 57 in Clemson Tigers @ Florida State Seminoles (Saturday 8 pm ABC)
#41/#347 Take Arizona Wildcats +23.5 over Oregon Ducks (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN)

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Informer
NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

2 Unit Play. #413 Take Over 53 Kansas City at New Orleans (1:00p.m., Sunday, Sept 23)
Defense will be nowhere in this game as the Chiefs and Saints defenses are giving up an average of 37.5ppg. Yes this is correct both teams have given up 75 points in 2-games! New Orleans wins this game and I see them throwing up over 40 points and yes this game flies over Sunday afternoon. Kansas City is 5-1 O/U in the month of September and the Saints are a perfect 7-0 O/U in their last 7 home games.

6 Unit Play. #418 Take Indianapolis -3 over Jacksonville (1:00p.m., Sunday, Sept 23)
(AFC Division Game of the Month) Andrew Luck got his first 'W' of his young NFL career and Jacksonville is 1 of 6 NFL teams still looking for a winner. Sunday afternoon in Indianapolis I see the Jaguars still winless and the Colts with their new rookie QB get their 2nd victory of the season. Andrew Luck has been impressive so far for the Colts and the more games he plays the more comfortable he will get in the pocket. Jacksonville could be one of the worse teams in the league and the Jags will struggle again on the road. This game also has a revenge factor attached to it as last year Jacksonville swept the 2-game series winning 19-13 in Indianapolis and by double-digits in Jacksonville. Revenge will be sweat and I see the Colts returning the favor and win this game by a touchdown or more. Sorry Jacksonville but again you are winless heading into Week #4! The favorite in this series is 4-1 ATS and the Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings against AFC teams.

3 Unit Play. #422 Take San Diego -3 over Atlanta (4:05p.m., Sunday, Sept 23)
San Diego is coming off a huge home win over the Broncos on Monday night but this week the Falcons have a short week and have to travel to Southern California. Chargers QB Phillip Rivers had an outstanding game against the Titans and if the Falcons defense can get to Rivers and put pressure on him we could see another great throwing game from San Diego. San Diego wins this game in a hard fought game and San Diego takes control of this game in the 2nd half and wins this game by 6-points. Atlanta is 1-5 ATS when playing a team with a losing record and San Diego is a perfect 6-0 ATS when playing on grass. This outside game will also slow down the Falcons offense!

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Point Sports
5-Unit Play. Take #424 Denver (+2) over Houston (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
Note: this is our NFL Game of the Week.

I love Denver in this spot. I have had a solid read on this club over the first two weeks of the season as we won with the Broncos in Week 1 versus Pittsburgh and we took Atlanta last week.

The Broncos are coming home after a tough Monday Night loss in which they almost came all the way back to win on the road after being down 20-0. Peyton Manning struggled mightily in the Monday Night contest and yet they still almost beat one of the best teams in the NFC, Atlanta, on the road. Manning looked much better in front of his home crowd and I see him bouncing back in a big way this Sunday. Houston has looked solid, but they have played two teams that are considerably below Denver's talent level in Miami and Jacksonville. This Denver squad can match Houston's output on both sides of the football and playing in front of their home fans should do just enough for the Broncos to win this battle outright. Many of the trends favor the Texans here but if you take a closer look they aren't the dominant road team that people think they are. When Houston played difficult teams on the road they didn't find much success. They lost at Baltimore twice, they lost at New Orleans, and barely won at Cincinnati (20-19). This Denver team is similar to last season's Baltimore team and they should find the same success versus the Texans that the Ravens did. Take the home dog in this one.

3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 53 Kansas City at New Orleans (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

New Orleans bounces back in a big way this weekend. With turmoil and poor play surrounding this team, nothing helps more than a visit from a Kansas City Chiefs team that just won't be able to keep pace. With that being said, by keep pace I mean the Chiefs will struggle to stay within a touchdown. I am more focused on both teams hitting for close to 30 points however. New Orleans should easily hit paydirt for 35+ points while Kansas City should score at least three touchdowns. The Chiefs have given up 40 and 35 points to the Bills and Falcons while the Saints have given up 35 and 40 to the Panthers and the Redskins. Drew Brees and company should have little difficulty moving the ball versus the Chiefs defense and vice versa when the Chiefs have the ball. The 'over' is 4-1 in the Chiefs last five games on field turf and 5-0 in the last five Saints games on the fast stuff. New Orleans is also 6-0 versus the total in their last six games versus teams with losing records, and 7-0 in the Saints last seven games overall.

3-Unit Play. Take #427 New England (+3) over Baltimore (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

I was one of the many that were burned by New England last weekend, but I am not ready to jump ship just yet. I think this Patriots team jumps right back on to everyone's radar by beating the Ravens in Baltimore Sunday Night. Baltimore is one of the most difficult places to play in the entire NFL, but Brady and the Pats are fortunate with this line as the underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings. The Pats are a great team to back following a loss. Even though Belichick is an egotistical maniac he gets his teams ready to play, especially following a loss, as the Pats are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after losing their previous contest. New England is 50-24-3 ATS in their last 77 road games and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games versus the AFC. I was not all that impressed with Baltimore in Week 1 when the destroyed Cincinnati. Regardless of the final score the Bengals were moving the ball at will for half of that game. After a few consecutive possessions in which the Bengals turned the ball over it became a blow out. The Pats will make the necessary adjustments following their loss last week and the will win this game outright.

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe
Sunday September 23rd 2012-

6 Unit Play Take #404 Dallas -7.5 over Tampa Bay (1:00pm est):

One big mistakes NFL handicappers make this time of the year is getting way too excited over what they seen in the first two weeks of the season, especially with a team that was bad last year and hasn't made enough major changes to their roster. We are seeing a prime example of that here with the Tampa Bay Bucs. Sure this team is playing inspired football under their new head coach as that is expected from all teams at the start with a new haead man running the show but this team still lacks badly in the talent department. The Bucs come into Dallas to play a very upset Dallas Cowboys team here in this one.

The Cowboys may have looked as good as any team in the NFL in their week one road win at New York over the defending Super Bowl champions Giants. With that win the Cowboys proved they are a team to be reckoned with this season in the NFL as they looked to have plugged some big holes this team had last season. They were then asked to go back on the road last week and to play what was a desperate 0-1 Seattle team and were soundly beat in that one. This is the Cowboys home opener here and despite having played their first two games on the road this season, they own the biggest yards per play differential in the NFL right now.


Take Dallas here.


4 Unit Play Take #424 Denver +2 over Houston (4:25pm est):

The Houston Texans hype here early in the season rivals only the hype the San Francisco 49ers are getting right now at this time. Before anyone starts printing Super Bowl t-shirts they may want to look at the schedule the Texans have played thus far. Houston opened up at home and against a rookie quarterback as they hammered the Miami Dolphins by a 30-10 score. They then went on the road last week and played another one of the "awful's" (the lowest tier of teams in the NFL). No doubt the Texans have done what they were suppose to have so far this year but let's not get too excited considering the fact these wins came against what are the also-rans of the NFL.

On the other side of the coin we have the Denver Broncos here in this one. The Broncos played a solid game in week one beating a very strong Pittsburgh Steelers team. They got off to a horrendous start against the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night football, only to come fighting back and lose by just six points. If not for all the turnover's (minus four) in the game, the Broncos may have pulled off a big upset at one of the toughest places to win in all of the NFL. This is still a very good football team and in no way should be an underdog here in this game.

Play Denver here.

3 Unit Play Take #422 San Diego -3 over Atlanta (4:05pm est):

Short week off a Monday night showing and now the Flacons are being asked to travel acorss country here for this one. Not the easiest of spot for a team that may in a little bit of a downer spot also after what was an emotional Monday night win. The Falcons can't be ripped for what was a nice win at home against a decent Denver team but all things considered that game was pretty much handed to them on a silver platter by the Broncos. Combine this victory with their week one win over what was now looks like a very bad football team (Kansas City) and you have to wonder if all the Falcons hype is legit right now.

The San Diego Chargers are usually the team with the overrated label being placed on them but that isn't the case these days as for the first time in years the Chargers look to be on the other side of the talk and may actually be undervalued right now. Quietly this team is 6-1 against the spread their last seven games.

Usually every NFL team has usually a clunker or two in them during the season and we may see that here from a Falcons team who is in a terrible spot. Take San Diego here in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo
SUNDAY NFL PREDICTIONS

3.5-Unit Play. Take #407 Detroit (-3.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #424 Denver (+2) over Houston (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #411 N.Y. Jets (-2.5) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #421 Atlanta (+3) over San Diego (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #409 Cincinnati (+3.5) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

1-Unit Play. Take #417 Jacksonville (+3) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

1-Unit Play. Take #427 New England (+3) over Baltimore (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

This Week's Totals:

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 42.5 Philadelphia at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 45.0 Pittsburgh at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #416 Cleveland (+10) over Buffalo (1 p.m.) AND Take #420 Arizona (+10.5) over Philadelphia (4 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #424 Denver (+9) over Houston (4 p.m.) AND Take #421 Atlanta (+10) over San Diego (4 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #417 Jacksonville (+3) over Indianapolis (1 p.m.) AND Take #414 New Orleans (-2) over Kansas City (1 p.m.)

MONDAY NFL PREDICTIONS

1.5-Unit Play. Take #429 Green Bay (-3) over Seattle (8:30 p.m., Monday, Sept. 24)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.5 Green Bay at Seattle (8:30 p.m., Monday, Sept. 24)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. #422. Take San Diego Chargers -3 over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 4:05pm est).

4-Unit Play. #420. Take Under 42.5 Philadelphia vs. Arizona (Sunday @ 4:05pm est).

4-Unit Play. #495. Take Toronto +4 over Montreal (Sunday @ 1:05pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastman

2.5-Unit Play. Take #401 St. Louis (+7.5) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

The Bears have a lot of things going on in the locker room right now. Players are not happy with quarterback Jay Cutler and this season of promise could be unraveling early in the year. St. Louis is 2-0 ATS and has played well. They should have beaten Detroit on the road in the opener and I think that they will go toe-to-toe with the Bears. Chicago is without Matt Forte and last year the offense was not the same without him. The Bears are coming off a game against rival Green Bay and next week they have a trip to Dallas on Monday Night Football. I don't think that they are focused on this game here against St. Louis. I like the Rams to make this one very interesting.

5-Unit Play. Take #407 Detroit (-3.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

The Lions lost badly to San Francisco last week. I think that they bounce back with a win here. Jake Locker is banged up but will play. He has really struggled early in the year and he is not as good as Matt Stafford. That Lions offense was shut down by the Niners last week but I don't think that will be the case here. The Titans have given up over 30 points in each of their first two games and Detroit is one of the best offenses that they will face all season. The books moved this one off of -3.0 and you know that they don't want to come off that key number. That tells me some big money has come in on the Lions.

7-Unit Play. Take #422 San Diego (-3) over Atlanta (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

This is my NFL Game of the Month and from my NFL 411 System

I really like this Chargers team. This team is 2-0 and they looked great last week in a blowout winner over Tennessee for my Game of the week win. Atlanta is not in a good situation. They won on Monday Night Football but now they have to travel across the country and play on a short week of rest. This Falcons team also has to deal with the distraction of running back Michael Turner. The former Charger got a DUI earlier this week after the MNF game. Turner has not been playing well and now this. That will leave the team thin at running back. I don't think they can win a shootout with the Chargers. San Diego is a very motivated team. Everyone from the coach to the general manager to a lot of the veteran players know that they need to have a great season or there will be a lot of changes. They are rested and at home and they have a really big advantage by playing this tired, distracted Atlanta club off a win. All of these are reasons I like. But the numbers in the 411 System picked San Diego out even before the Turner situation. I will follow the system and look for a big winner in this game.

4-Unit Play. Take #423 Houston (-1.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

This play is from my NFL 411 System

This Houston team is one of the best in the NFL. This team has not even played its best game yet and has two blowout victories. Defensively this team is in the Top 5 in the NFL. I think they have a better defense than the Atlanta group that really confused and frustrated Peyton Manning. Manning still has a lot of rust from missing a full season and then changing teams. Denver did not look good on Monday Night Football. Now this team has to travel home and turn around on a short week against one of the AFC's favorites. Houston was originally installed as a two-point underdog. But the sharps pounded them before the line was made available to the public. When it came out it came out with the Texans favored. That is a big swing. This team is 12-2 ATS on grass and 12-3 ATS in conference games. Denver is just 15-34-2 ATS at home and they do not have as strong of a home field edge as people think. The Broncos are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on Sunday following a MNF game. Lay the points.

2-Unit Play. Take #427 New England (+3) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

Too many people are writing this Patriots team off. They lost last week. But Bill Belichick is at his best when he is coming off a loss. New England is 34-16-1 ATS after losing a game. They are 50-24-3 ATS in their last 77 road games and I think that this team will be very focused. They do not want to fall to 1-2. I just don't think that you can go wrong taking Tom Brady and the points. I will take them.

3-Unit Play. Take #418 Indianapolis (-3) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

The Colts beat Minnesota last week in a very similar situation. They were two-point underdogs so the books have adjusted this one five full points. That sounds right to me. Andrew Luck looked good in that game and the kid has a lot of confidence. The Colts have revenge after being swept by the Jaguars last week. And Jacksonville has a lot less confidence in its quarterback after another terrible game by Blaine Gabbert last week. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings and the Colts are now 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. Lets get lucky with Luck!

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan 30* Goy
Jax Jags

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

75 Dime selection on the Detroit Lions against the Tennessee Titans. As I release this play at 9:45 pm Pacific on Saturday night in Vegas, the line on Detroit is currently -3.5 in Vegas and offshore

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Budin - CEO



The Baltimore Crew has a 50 DIME play on the Houston Texans as the slight road favorite against Denver. As this play goes live on the site at 10 PM Eastern on Saturday night, the Texans are anywhsre from -1' to pick-em in Vegas and offshore

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

30 Dime pick on Baltimore minus the points at M&T Bank Stadium against the New England Patriots. As I release this selecttion at 7:00 PM Pacific Saturday night, the Ravens are a -2 favorite in Las Vegas and offshore at the majorsty of books I've checked with prices as low as -1. Obviously shop for the best price. No need to buy insurance UNLESS Baltimore goes up to -3 or -3 1/2, which I would then instruct you to buy the hook down on the Ravens. (Buying a half-point up or down when the line crosses 3, 4, 7 and sometimes 10 has made me more money and saved me more money than anything else has over the past 25 years. If I'm willing to make a bet of this magnitude, you better believe I'm willing to pay an extra 20 cents on the dollar for a little insurance if this line goes up to -3 or -3 1/2, which I do NOT expect)

[Mr. IWS]

Derek Mancini

60 Dime release on the Miami Dolphins plus the points agavnst the N.Y. Jets. As I release this selecttion at 1 am Eastern, Miami is currsntly listed as a between a +1 to +2 1/2 point pup depending on where shop in Vegas and offshore. Go ahead and buy the 1/2 point insurance on the Dolphins at anywhere from +1 to +3 1/2.

[Mr. IWS]

NFL Predictions

Kevin

4 UNIT = Cincinnati Bengals @ Washington Redskins - REDSKINS -3 (-107) *4 Unit Play*
(Note: I'm risking 4.28 units to win 4.00 units)


2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Tennessee Titans - LIONS -3 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2.00 units)



2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys - BUCCANEERS +8.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 2.18 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns - BILLS -2.5 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.30 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins - DOLPHINS +2.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Steelers @ Oakland Raiders - RAIDERS +3.5 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Iskoe's

Matchup: Buffalo at Cleveland
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Cleveland (+3 -120)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

Buffalo rebounded nicely from their ugly loss at the Jets with a dominant effort against Kansas City. Cleveland played well in defeat at Cincinnati as rookie QB Brandon Weedon. This is one of the few winnable games on Cleveland’s schedule and with road games on deck at Baltimore and the Giants a loss here almost certainly signals an 0-5 start to their season. Buffalo still must prove its worthiness for being a road favorite against even the NFL’s weakest teams. And Cleveland did show great improvement from week one to week two despite losing both games.

Matchup: Kansas City at New Orleans
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Over (52.5 -110)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

Both teams are 0-2 and desperate for their first win of the season. Both defenses have been torched in their first two games. The Chiefs and Saints have each allowed the same 75 points to their opening pair of foes. Both teams have offenses capable of making the big play and in the pristine conditions of the SuperDome both offenses should have success. It’s a high Total but sometimes the obvious play makes sense. And both teams also have shown the ability to score late in their first two games even though trailing by more than one score.

Matchup: N.Y. Jets at Miami
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: N.Y. Jets (-1 -120)
Line Source: The Greek
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

After feasting on Buffalo in week one the Jets faced a highly motivated Steelers team eager to atone for their opening game loss in Denver. Now the Jets face a less formidable foe and are favored by less than had Miami not routed Oakland 35-13 last week. The Dolphins are still a team seeking an identity whereas the Jets are a much more veteran team with a defense capable of confusing and frustrating Miami rookie QB Ryan Tannehill. Add in that Tony Sparano, fired midway through last season as Dolphins' head coach, is now the Jets offensive coordinator and the Jets have added edges. Not just Sparano wanting to get back at his former team but also his familiarity with much of Miami's personnel and their strengths and limitations.

Matchup: Houston at Denver
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Denver (+2 -107)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229)
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

The Broncos return home after a 27-21 loss in Atlanta that nearly saw them overcome 4 first quarter turnovers (including 3 Manning INTs) and a 27-7 deficit. Houston has won each of its first two games by 20 points. But in doing so they faced a pair of pedestrian offenses in those of Miami and Jacksonville. Now the defense steps up both in class and altitude to take on a Manning motivated to make amends for Monday night. Both teams have Division games on deck with Denver having the more difficult schedule over the next month. Denver has played a pair of Playoff caliber teams to start the season, Pittsburgh and Atlanta, and outgained both. Houston deserves to be thought of as the better team. But there is more upside for Denver to improve in coming weeks as Manning develop timing with his receivers. This is a favorable spot for the Broncos.

Matchup: New England at Baltimore
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Baltimore (-1.5 -115)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

The public may well play the Pats off of a loss and getting points but Baltimore has some unfinished business from last season’’s Playoffs. The Ravens are also off of a loss to Philadelphia in which they feel they may have not been afforded equal treatment from the replacement officials. Baltimore is not intimidated by New England and the Pats no longer have the swagger they’ve had in the past. The Giants took care of that, once again, in last season’s Super Bowl, providing a blueprint for opposing defenses to frustrate New England QB Brady. Despite 9 straight seasons of double digit wins, the Pats appear to be on the verge of declining. Baltimore is the only team to have made the Playoffs in each of the past 4 seasons and has won at least one Playoff game in each of those seasons. The up tempo pace of their offense and a defense that is still fundamentally sound gives many reason to believe that, overall, the Ravens are the better team. They get a chance to prove it this week.

Matchup: Detroit at Tennessee
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Tennessee (+4 -101)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229)
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

After opening against New England and San Diego the Titans arguably step down in class against a good Detroit team but one that still plays undisciplined football. The Lions commit penalties at key points in games that often shifts momentum. As such it’s hard to justify Detroit as a road favorite. Despite their rise to make the Playoffs for the first time in more than a decade in going 10-6 SU last season, Detroit was just 3-5 ATS on the road. The 0-2 Titans nearly made the Playoffs last season, going 9-7 but losing out on tiebreakers. They’ve really struggled in running the football, and area that is also not a strength for the Lions. Detroit does have the much better passing offense although it was held in check last week in San Francisco. The Titans are not nearly as good defensively as the 49ers but they will have picked up some things on film, including how the Rams picked of 3 Stafford passes in week 1. This is Tennessee’s best chance for a win in the next 4 weeks and this is the NFL.

Matchup: Pittsburgh at Oakland
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Oakland (+4 -110)
Line Source: William Hill
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

The Steelers rebounded as expected with a solid win over the Jets, shutting them out in the second half of their 27-10 win. Oakland failed miserably as a road favorite, losing 35-13 in Miami, their third straight double digit loss to the Fish in three seasons and are 0-2. Both teams have not been able to run the football in their first two games. Both teams have defended the pass well but Oakland’s “D” was torched for 263 rushing yards by the Dolphins. It’s an old adage in the NFL that a team is never as good or as bad as it looked in an extremely good or bad effort. Oakland had been a popular choice in each of their first two games but disappointed their backers in each putting them now out of favor with the vast majority of bettors. When the public is selling, that’s the time to buy. The line does seem short considering Pittsburgh has a Bye next week while Oakland travels to arch rival Denver. Upset!

[poopoo333]

Andy Iskoe's

Matchup: Buffalo at Cleveland
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Cleveland (+3 -120)
Line Source: BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).ag
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

Buffalo rebounded nicely from their ugly loss at the Jets with a dominant effort against Kansas City. Cleveland played well in defeat at Cincinnati as rookie QB Brandon Weedon. This is one of the few winnable games on Cleveland’s schedule and with road games on deck at Baltimore and the Giants a loss here almost certainly signals an 0-5 start to their season. Buffalo still must prove its worthiness for being a road favorite against even the NFL’s weakest teams. And Cleveland did show great improvement from week one to week two despite losing both games.

Matchup: Kansas City at New Orleans
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Over (52.5 -110)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

Both teams are 0-2 and desperate for their first win of the season. Both defenses have been torched in their first two games. The Chiefs and Saints have each allowed the same 75 points to their opening pair of foes. Both teams have offenses capable of making the big play and in the pristine conditions of the SuperDome both offenses should have success. It’s a high Total but sometimes the obvious play makes sense. And both teams also have shown the ability to score late in their first two games even though trailing by more than one score.

Matchup: N.Y. Jets at Miami
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: N.Y. Jets (-1 -120)
Line Source: The Greek
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

After feasting on Buffalo in week one the Jets faced a highly motivated Steelers team eager to atone for their opening game loss in Denver. Now the Jets face a less formidable foe and are favored by less than had Miami not routed Oakland 35-13 last week. The Dolphins are still a team seeking an identity whereas the Jets are a much more veteran team with a defense capable of confusing and frustrating Miami rookie QB Ryan Tannehill. Add in that Tony Sparano, fired midway through last season as Dolphins' head coach, is now the Jets offensive coordinator and the Jets have added edges. Not just Sparano wanting to get back at his former team but also his familiarity with much of Miami's personnel and their strengths and limitations.

Matchup: Houston at Denver
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Denver (+2 -107)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

The Broncos return home after a 27-21 loss in Atlanta that nearly saw them overcome 4 first quarter turnovers (including 3 Manning INTs) and a 27-7 deficit. Houston has won each of its first two games by 20 points. But in doing so they faced a pair of pedestrian offenses in those of Miami and Jacksonville. Now the defense steps up both in class and altitude to take on a Manning motivated to make amends for Monday night. Both teams have Division games on deck with Denver having the more difficult schedule over the next month. Denver has played a pair of Playoff caliber teams to start the season, Pittsburgh and Atlanta, and outgained both. Houston deserves to be thought of as the better team. But there is more upside for Denver to improve in coming weeks as Manning develop timing with his receivers. This is a favorable spot for the Broncos.

Matchup: New England at Baltimore
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Baltimore (-1.5 -115)
Line Source: BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).ag
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

The public may well play the Pats off of a loss and getting points but Baltimore has some unfinished business from last season’’s Playoffs. The Ravens are also off of a loss to Philadelphia in which they feel they may have not been afforded equal treatment from the replacement officials. Baltimore is not intimidated by New England and the Pats no longer have the swagger they’ve had in the past. The Giants took care of that, once again, in last season’s Super Bowl, providing a blueprint for opposing defenses to frustrate New England QB Brady. Despite 9 straight seasons of double digit wins, the Pats appear to be on the verge of declining. Baltimore is the only team to have made the Playoffs in each of the past 4 seasons and has won at least one Playoff game in each of those seasons. The up tempo pace of their offense and a defense that is still fundamentally sound gives many reason to believe that, overall, the Ravens are the better team. They get a chance to prove it this week.

Matchup: Detroit at Tennessee
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Tennessee (+4 -101)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

After opening against New England and San Diego the Titans arguably step down in class against a good Detroit team but one that still plays undisciplined football. The Lions commit penalties at key points in games that often shifts momentum. As such it’s hard to justify Detroit as a road favorite. Despite their rise to make the Playoffs for the first time in more than a decade in going 10-6 SU last season, Detroit was just 3-5 ATS on the road. The 0-2 Titans nearly made the Playoffs last season, going 9-7 but losing out on tiebreakers. They’ve really struggled in running the football, and area that is also not a strength for the Lions. Detroit does have the much better passing offense although it was held in check last week in San Francisco. The Titans are not nearly as good defensively as the 49ers but they will have picked up some things on film, including how the Rams picked of 3 Stafford passes in week 1. This is Tennessee’s best chance for a win in the next 4 weeks and this is the NFL.

Matchup: Pittsburgh at Oakland
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Oakland (+4 -110)
Line Source: William Hill
Posted on: September 23, 2012 @ 4:10:08 AM EDT

The Steelers rebounded as expected with a solid win over the Jets, shutting them out in the second half of their 27-10 win. Oakland failed miserably as a road favorite, losing 35-13 in Miami, their third straight double digit loss to the Fish in three seasons and are 0-2. Both teams have not been able to run the football in their first two games. Both teams have defended the pass well but Oakland’s “D” was torched for 263 rushing yards by the Dolphins. It’s an old adage in the NFL that a team is never as good or as bad as it looked in an extremely good or bad effort. Oakland had been a popular choice in each of their first two games but disappointed their backers in each putting them now out of favor with the vast majority of bettors. When the public is selling, that’s the time to buy. The line does seem short considering Pittsburgh has a Bye next week while Oakland travels to arch rival Denver. Upset!

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* 49ers -7

50* Bengals +3

[Mr. IWS]

HI-Rollers Sports Picks

DIAMOND CLUB

49ers-7 (SUNDAY NFL)

Other plays

3* Indianapolis -3.... oddsmakers basically telling us that this is an even game at a neutral site. In part, I agree as both teams are in "rebuilding" mode with new coaches and young players at key positions. However, I think the Colts have the advantage in two very important areas: QB and coaching. I wasn't Luck's biggest fan while he was at Stanford, but he's shown me a lot through the preseason and the first two regular season games. I believe this kid is the real deal and he will do great things in this league before it's all said and done. He is decidedly better than QB Gabbard for the Jaguars, who in his 2nd year, still looks like a deer in the headlights. New Colts HC Pagano is a rising star in the coaching ranks and he surrounded himself with great assistants, namely Bruce Arians who ran the Steelers offense the last several years. The Colts will air it out on Sunday and test the struggling Jags defense. HC Pagano will dial up some blitzes and confuse QB Gabbard and force him into some mistakes. Colts by a TD.

1* Kansas City +9.... both these teams are in shambles right now. But I think KC has enough to stay close. My read on this game tells me that OC Daboll is going to pound the ball with Charles and Hillis and test the struggling Saints D and keep the Saints offense off the field. Chiefs D is a solid unit and HC Romeo Crennell will have something cooked up to slow the NO offense down.

1* Cincinnati +3.... shootout in the nation's capital. Both offenses are very effective and both defenses are struggling. There should be a ton of points scored in this one, but I think the Bengals have the talent edge and should pull through with a hard fought win.

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

For Sunday in the NFL, Raise the Bar 1500♦ NFL Winner #8 of 10 is the Baltimore Ravens as the home favvrite agtainst the visiting undersog New England Patriots. At the time I release my selection at 6:30 am eastern, the Ravens are the 2-point favorite versus the Patriots.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Sunday

100* Play La Angels -180 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 3:30 PM EST

Jered Weaver has won 24 of the last 29 games as a home favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 29 of the last 37 home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less. Jered Weaver has won 23 of the last 30 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he is 10-2 at home this season with an ERA of 2.33.

50* Play Milwaukee -130 over Washington (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play St. Louis -175 Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

Your winner is: 500,000♦the visiving Cincinnati Bengals to combine with the host Washington Redskins on an OVER at FedEx Field this Sunday aftternoon. At the time I release this selectson on Sunday morning, the total in Vegas and the offshore books is 49 1/2 total points.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

60 Dime winner going out for Sunday footbvll on the road underdtog St. Louis Rams agasnst the Chicago Bears. At the time I release this selection at 7:00 am eastern, the Rams are +7 points both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

50* San Francisco 49ers
25* Baltimore Ravens
10* Arizona Cardinals
5* Under 50 Bengals/Redskins

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien

The 60 DIME WINNER for Sunday in the NFL is going to be on the BALTIMORE RAVENS, in their Sunday Night Football showdown with the New England Patriots, at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore in a 5:30 p.m. (PT) kickoff. Now make note, as I release this game at 5 a.m. (PT), the line I am seesng at most Las Vegas and Offshore Sports Books is BALTIMORE -2.

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID BANKS

New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens

Two great teams should both be in ornery moods coming off of losses when the New England Patriots (1-1, 1-1 ATS) visit the Baltimore Ravens (1-1, 2-0 ATS) in this week's Sunday Night Football contest from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Patriots should be in the foulest mood after getting shocked at home by the Arizona Cardinals 20-18 as 13-point favorites. The Ravens covered the spread in a narrow 24-23 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles on the road, but the proud Baltimore defense was awful in the defeat.

New England struggled with offensive line play during preseason and it was believed that would hold them back early on with Tom Brady taking some unnecessary hits, but the line held up well in a 34-13 rout of the Tennessee Titans in the road opening week with Brady sacked only once. However, that may have had more to do with a bad Tennessee defensive line, as the Cardinals put great pressure on Brady last week, sacking him four times for 19 yards worth of losses and forcing numerous hurried passes. Given all that, Brady still completed 28-of-46 passes for 316 yards with one touchdown and one interception, and the Patriots even got 71 rushing yards on 18 carries from Stevan Ridley. In fact, New England outgained Arizona by 142 total yards in the contest and it would have won the game if one of the best kickers in the NFL in Stephen Gostkowski did not miss what for him is a relatively chippie 42-yard field goal in the final seconds, especially after he connected on a 51-yarder earlier on. The Patriots very rarely lose back-to-back games and the manner in which they lost to a team with far less talent no doubt had Coach Bill Belichick in the players' ears in practice all week.

Baltimore has had one of the premier defenses in the NFL for over a decade now with relatively little to show for it since winning the Super Bowl way back in 2000, so the Ravens decided to change their philosophy this year and go to a no huddle offense in an attempt to score more points, and they looked like legitimate Super Bowl contenders with this approach in Week 1 by demolishing Cincinnati 44-13 here at home. They were not as successful on offense last week with Joe Flacco completing only 22 of his 42 passes for 232 yards, and the Ravens committed their first two turnovers of the year including a Flacco interception. Still, Baltimore did get 154 all-purpose yards from Ray Rice and they did score enough points to win. Unfortunately, the defense allowed an unbelievable 486 total yards including 371 passing yards by Michael Vick. So will Brady tear the Baltimore secondary to pieces here as he has done so many times to so many teams, or did the Ravens just have a bad day, meaning the defense will come out breathing fire this week?

Well, based on Brady's track record coming off of a loss, the favored Ravens could be in trouble. As a starter, Brady is now 24-12 ATS when coming off of a loss including 5-0 both ATS and straight up as an underdog in that situation. In fact, Brady is also 15-7 ATS as an underdog in all situations. Finally, the 'over' is 8-1 the last nine times that Baltimore was coming off of a loss.

Pick: OVER 49.5

[Mr. IWS]

Gold Medal Club Selections

#404 Dallas -7.5
#411 Ny Jets -1
#422 San Diego -3

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo's 10* NFL DARK HORSE DANDY

Bengals

[RITZ]

HAMMERIN HANK ESPN
Arizona
baltimore
bears
saints
dallas

ytd 7-6
lw 4-2

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis


50 Dime Play this Sunday is a 2-Team Teaser on both the Kansas City Chiefs as the undvrdog against New Orleans, and the Dallas Cowboys as the favtortie against the Tampa Bay Bucs. As of 8:30 am eastern, the lines I am seeing in Vegas and the offshore books are Kansas City +8 1/2-points and Dallas -8 points. So in the tradisional 2 Team Teaser in which you are getting 6-points, I want you to take Kansas City teased up to +14 1/2 points, and Dallas teased down to -2 points.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK

7 Arizona +3.5 ov Philadelphia 4:05pm
6 Cleveland +3 ov Buffalo 1:00pm
5 Pittsburgh -3.5 ov Oakland 4:25pm
5 Miami +2 ov NY Jets 1:00pm

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Jacobs Sunday, September 23, 2012

10k Dime

Vikings +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Lee Earnest

Take New Orlean Saints -8 over Kansas City Cheifs. 2 Unit 1:00pm EST


This is a must win game for each team as they have dropped their first 2 games. With all of the offseason controversy surrounding the Saints there were two ways that this season was going to play out, either the Saints were going to fold under the spotlight or they were going to rise up and show that they are still a very dangerous team. Over the first two weeks it appears that they were unfortunately going to fold this season but this week is the week that I feel they break out. The Saints only lost 3 total games last season. They are still a very potent offensive juggernaut who have the ability to move the ball up and down the field with ease. They have the offense but it has been their defense that has let them down. In their defense the Saints were put in a tough spot playing against two young, mobile quarterbacks in RG III and Cam Newton. Both of those quarterbacks add a different element to confuse defensive lines and cornerbacks. They are able to extend the plays with their legs and allow receivers to get open. Today the Saints should have an easier time containing Matt Cassell. Cassell is a prototypical quarterback and mediocre at best. Cassell has some impressive numbers through the first two games but that is mainly due to the fact that they have been playing from huge deficits and forced to abandon their game-plan and simply try to throw the ball downfield. I would expect that they find themselves in the hole again this afternoon. The Saints are extremely motivated and understand that they can not lose this game if they want to save their season. In years past, playing the Saints on the fast track in New Orleans has never been an easy feat. The Saints are one of, if not the best team when playing at home. Expect an all out effort from Drew Brees and the Saints today as they roll through Kansas City. This game is a turning point for the Saints. The Saints win this one by double-digits.


Take New York Jets -2 over Miami Dolphins 2 Unit 1:00pm EST

This game is a calssic example of reading into too much into what had happened last week. Let me take you back. In Week 1 the Jets came out and blew out Buffalo, meanwhile Miami got blown out by the Texans. Fast forward to Week to and the had a poor showing against Pittsburgh while Miami completely dominated Oakland. Oakland is not a great team. Their defense allowed Reggie Bush to accumulate almost 200 all purpose yards. They also allowed rookie Ryan Tannehill to pass for 200 yards and a score. The Jets defense is not any way shape or form comparable to Oaklands. I would expect Rex Ryan to come up with a plan to contain Bush and put pressure of Tannehill and force him into some bad throws. The Jets also get Darelle Revis back in the line up this afternoon which should take away their best receivers down the field. Lets not forget that the Jets offensive coordinator is former Miami head coach Tony Sparano. Sparano is the one responsible for acquiring 20+ of the starters on that team, he is also the one who implemented the offensive style that they use today. Knowing offensively what Miami is going to try and do is only going to help Rex Ryan come up with a defensive plan to stop it. It should be a long day for Miami this afternoon and they should struggle against this defense. The Jets also need this win today as they have a date with the 49ers and Texans coming up. They can't afford to lose this game. Had Miami not beat Oakland last week this line would be a whole lot higher and I'm going to take advantage.


Take Atlanta Falcons +3 over San Diego Chargers. 1 Unit 4:05pm EST

I am still not completely sold on the Chargers this season. I find myself constantly waiting for the time of the year when things blow up for the Chargers as it seems to happen every year. The Chargers are also in a position to start 3-0 for the first time in about 10 years and while they may do it, the Falcons are not going to make it easy. Atlanta is already 2-0 both SU and ATS against the AFC West and have the potential to come into San Diego and make it 3. The Falcons offense has undergone some changes in the offseason. The implementation of the no-huddle has been able to knock both KC and Denver's defense for a loop. Also their new "Amoeba" defense has been able to confuse offense as seen by their 3 interceptions against Peyton Manning last week. On paper the Falcons are the better team. If they do happen to lose this game ( which I don't think they should ) it won't be by more than a field goal.

[Mr. IWS]

Anderw Lange

NFL

20* jags+3
10* dolphins under 41.5
10* bills -3

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies Sports

500* Vikings +7
500* Jaguars +3
500* Falcons / Chargers Under 48
30* Falcons +3
20* Saints -8

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond 200 dime

Chargers -3

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Texas Rangers -138
5* Minnesota Vikings +7.5
4* Tampa Bay Bucs +8
4* Atlanta Falcons +3
3* New England Patriots +3

[Mr. IWS]

JACK JONES

25*PACKERS -3.5
15*r'skins -3.5
15*steelers -4.5
15*pats +3
f/p colts -3

[Mr. IWS]

OC Dooley:
“1 UNIT” LATE AFTERNOON NFL INTANGIBLE SIDE (Cardinals +3 at home versus Eagles in a 4:05 eastern kickoff): Most reading this analysis will remember when Kevin Kolb for a very brief time grabbed the starting quarterback job in Philadelphia before an injury ultimately forced him to give way to one Michael Vick. Of course the Eagles eventually traded Kolb to Arizona where the Cardinals inked him to a lucrative long term five-year contract. After being outplayed in the preseason, he lost for a second time since arriving in the desert the starting position to John Skelton. But in a twist of irony an ankle injury that forced Skelton to the sidelines in week-one gave Kolb as second chance of grabbing a regular NFL starting position behind center. Kolb was effective enough to help Arizona pull off a stunning outright upset at New England last week, but the big story is the Cardinals defense which so far has yielded only two touchdowns while harassing opposing quarterbacks with SEVEN SACKS. With the Philadelphia offensive line recently shuffled due to injury, today is another opportunity for that Arizona stop-unit to shine. The Eagles enter today with a 2-0 record even though committing 9 turnovers. They are actually the first team in the history of the NFL with a pair of “one point” outright triumphs despite turning the football over 9 times. Getting back to the host Cardinals who are also 2-0, one of the shocking statistics of last week’s mamouth upset at New England was that they thrived even though star wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald had only ONE reception. The following may come as a shock but dating back to last season Arizona is on a 9-2 SU roll, but seemingly the oddsmakers have yet to catch up with them

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

100 det
100 cin
200 jags
100 teaser sf and no
100 hou
100 az under

wash bases

[Mr. IWS]

greg roberts



4* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH
SAN DIEGO -3
3* CLEVELAND +3

[Mr. IWS]

North coast

3.5. Jets
3 Cleve
3 SD

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso
100* detroit

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Moore

5* Denver +2

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Michaels 100 Dime Teaser
Dallas -2
San Francisco -1

[Mr. IWS]

Executive:
400 Buffalo
300 Jacksonville
300 Philadelphia

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection

Thank you for your purchase
The information you paid for is below:
*Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday September 23, 2012
$25.00*NFL Guaranteed Selection #1
If the below play loses, you will receive the next guaranteed selection free.
Dallas -7 -130 1PM Eastern
Line from Heritage
*Line as of 435AM Eastern 9/23/12

Thank you for your purchase
The information you paid for is below:
*Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday September 23, 2012
$25.00*NFL Guaranteed Selection #2
If the below play loses, you will receive the next guaranteed selection free.
6PT Teaser
SF -.5 with New Orleans -2 1PM Eastern
Lines from Heritage
*Line as of 435AM Eastern 9/23/12