9-23-12

[poopoo333]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

BIG AL Roadkill

San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness 29 club play
SD Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

Big Al

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Chargers minus the points over Atlanta. For the last few years, San Diego has been tipped for the Super Bowl, only to get off to slow starts. This year, for the first time in a while, nobody was talking about the Chargers competing for a title, and they sit at 2-0, with their first chance to go 3-0 in a decade! We played on the Chargers last week, and they blew out Tennessee 38-10, and we'll come right back with them here, as they fall into a 61-30 ATS 'momentum' system of mine, as well as a 63% ATS angle. Let's take a look at our 63% situation. What we want to do is play on a single-digit home favorite off a 21-point home win, if it's matched up against a foe off a 6-point (or better) SU/ATS Win. Also, San Diego is a solid 19-11 ATS as home faves off back to back ATS wins, while Atlanta is an awful 19-43 ATS off a home win vs. a foe off a SU win (including 0-5 ATS since 2011). Take the Chargers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Baltimore, as New England falls into a super 58-22 ATS System of mine off its upset loss at home to Arizona last week (as a 13-point favorite). What we want to do is play on any .583 (or worse) team, as an underdog of 6 points or less, if it's off a home loss as a favorite by more than 6 points, and is now matched up against a .453 (or better) foe. New England has dominated the Ravens over the years (including last season's AFC Championship) with wins in eight of the last nine meetings. They've only been an underdog -- as they are here -- once in those nine games, and they won 20-3 as a 2.5-point underdog. And that follows form, as the Patriots are 52-28 ATS as an underdog since 1995, including 13-0 ATS their last 13 off a loss when playing non-division foes. Take New England. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Altanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies 'under' the total. This is the best pitching match-up of the day as Atlanta and righthander Tim Hudson face off against the Phillies and lefthander Cliff Lee this afternoon in Philadelphia. Atlanta jumped all over Philadelphia early and often on Saturday, but quite frankly it's been a forgettable season for Roy Halladay and he is no longer the #1 man in the rotation it would seem. That title belongs to one of the two southpaws Lee or Cole Hamels, and after seemingly not being able to get a victory in the first half no matter what he did, Lee can't seem to lose lately. Lee has won four of his last five starts (the Phils have gone 5-0 during that span) and he's only allowed four earned runs during that time covering 35 1/3 innings. Hudson hasn't been as good as Lee lately, but he's still been pretty sharp and back on July 6 he shut out the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park over seven innings. The under is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings and 36-17-1 in the Braves' last 54 overall. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

[Mr. IWS]

Big al
3 tennessee

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 10* NFL Week 3 Goin' Over Total (27-15 since 2010)
My 10* NFL Week 3 Goin' Over Total is on Det/Ten Over at 1:00 ET.

Second-year Tennessee head coach Mike Munchak turned his offense over to Jake Locker for the start of the 2012, believing he gave the team its best chance at winning the AFC South. Locker, the eighth pick of the 2011 draft, threw for 542 yards with four TDs and no interceptions coming off the bench in five games as a rookie. He then beat out Matt Hasselbeck, during an impressive preseason. The Titans were hoping to bridge that success into the regular season but that hasn’t been the case. The Titans have averaged just 248.0 YPG (31st) through two games (34-13 Week 1 loss to the Pats and 38-10 Week 2 loss to the Chargers) and the club’s 11.5 PPG average ranks dead-last among the NFL’s 32 teams. Locker has hardly played well (61.3% just 403 yards with two TDs and two INTs for a 77.6 QB rating) but his job could have been made much easier if RB Chris Johnson had been able to rebound from the worst season of his career. After missing almost all of last year’s preseason in a holdout (before signing an extension), he ran for a career-low 1,047 yards in 2011 (4.0 YPC). Johnson had topped 1,200 yards in each of his first three NFL seasons (had 2,006 in his second), averaging 5.0 YPC in that three-year span. Johnson insisted reaching 2,000 yards for the second time was a goal and was quoted as saying, "I'm ready to get ready for New England." Well, after two games, Johnson’s run 19 times for 21 yards (1.1 YPC). Then we have the Tennessee defense, which has allowed 36.0 PPG (better than only KC and New Orleans which are allowing 37.5 PPG) and 403.0 YPG. Coming to town this Sunday is the 1-1 Lions, who are lucky to have a win. Stafford threw three INTs in Week 1 vs the Rams but did rally his team late, completing a five-yard TD pass with just 10 seconds remaining for a 27-23 victory. Last Sunday night in San Francisco, Detroit couldn’t finish off a drive, as Jason Hanson kicked four FGs and the Lions lone TD came with just 1:29 left in the game (Detroit lost 27-19). Stafford finished 19 for 32 with 230 yards (one TD & one INT), missing a chance to become the first player in NFL history to throw for 350 yards in five straight games. In a 2011 season in which both Brees and Brady broke Dam Marino's single-season passing yards record (and Rodgers was the league’s MVP by setting a single-season QB rating mark of 122.5 with 4,643 yards plus 45 TDs against only six INTs), Matthew Stafford ‘quietly’ threw for 5,038 yards with 41 TDs and a modest 16 INTs. Stafford joined Dan Marino and Drew Brees as the only players to pass for more than 5,000 yards plus throw 40 TDs in the same season. The Lions averaged 29.6 PPG (4th-best in the NFL) and this week RB Mikel Leshoure is eligible to return after serving his two-game suspension for violating the league's substance-abuse policy. Leshoure, who missed his rookie season after tearing his Achilles' tendon, can only help Detroit's ailing ground game (82.5 YPG / ranks 25th) and make Stafford even more dangerous against a struggling Tennessee defense (allowing 36.0 PPG, remember?). Scoring shouldn’t be an issue for the Lions but a big concern has to be their short-handed secondary. Detroit claimed cornerback Jerome Murphy off waivers from New Orleans on Wednesday after Drayton Florence suffered a broken arm in last week's loss. Chris Houston (ankle), Louis Delmas (knee) and Bill Bentley (concussion) sat out against San Francisco, but Houston and Bentley returned to practice this week. The Titans should be buoyed by the fact that Tennessee owns a 19-5 record against NFC foes over the past six seasons, with only New England's 22-3 mark being better among AFC teams. I’m NOT expecting Johnson to have a breakout game and that’s not bad news, as Locker should do well vs Detroit’s shaky secondary. In Detroit’s road games last year (including a wild card loss at New Orleans), those nine contests averaged 58.6 PPG, or 11 1/2 points higher than the opening total on this contest (47). Go O-V-E-R!

[Mr. IWS]

Wayne Root
Billionaire Bengals
ROI Cardinals
Upset Broncos