9-29-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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Brian Leonard

MAC GOM

Akron

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NCAAF Top 4: "Offensive" teams holding under value

It was a very good weekend for sportsbooks, thanks in part to Week 4 of the college football schedule.

Over 62 percent of the college games with totals available played under the number, going against the majority of public bets which lean towards the over, on Saturday.

There are numerous teams showing early value for under backers, but these four programs – who bettors are used to seeing hang with high totals – aren’t moving the chains on either side of the ball to start the season.

Boise State Broncos (2-1, 0-3 over/under)

Gone are the days of long bombs and trick plays on the famous “Smurf Turf”. Boise State, the highest scoring team in FBS football over the past 12 years, is averaging only 19.7 points per game through its first three contests. New offensive coordinator Robert Prince is coming under fire and QB Joe Southwick is having a tough time shaking Kellen Moore’s big blue shadow in Boise. The Broncos take on New Mexico, another 0-3 over/under team, Saturday. Books have the total at 51.5 points.

Michigan State Spartans (3-1, 0-3-1 over/under)

The Spartans offense hasn’t been able to do much through their first four games, scoring only 23 points versus Eastern Michigan – the 116th-ranked defense - last Saturday and sitting second to last in the Big Ten in average points. Not all the blame can fall on QB Andrew Maxwell, though. Michigan State’s receivers have come down with a serious case of the butter fingers the past few weeks. Sparty hosts Ohio State with a total of 43 points Saturday.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0, 1-3 over/under)

When you think of the Golden Domers, you think of thrilling runs, diving catches and high-profile afternoon games on NBC. But the fact of the matter is that Notre Dame has been a solid under play for the past few years. Including their 2012 over/under count, the Irish are 9-20-1 over/under the last three seasons – a 66.6 percent winning percentage for the under. A huge public following that bets Notre Dame and the over has tacked on a couple extra points to those totals over the years. The Irish are off this week and host Miami on Oct. 6.

Oklahoma Sooners (2-1, 0-2 over/under)

After sitting among the top four teams in scoring in the Big 12 the past five seasons, the Sooners are averaging a sluggish 37.3 points per game – seventh in the conference – which is low scoring by Big 12 standards. Turnovers have snuffed out scoring drives for Oklahoma, with a turnover margin of -1.33 tied for 108th in the land. Head coach Bob Stoops will be tightening the bolts during the bye week before facing Texas Tech on the road in Week 6.

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Saturday ACC Game of the Month - Bryan Leonard

Bryan Leonard | CFB Side Sat, 09/29/12 - 12:30 PM
double-dime bet 131 Duke 3.0 (-110) Hilton vs 132 Wake Forest
Analysis: 131 Duke at Wake Forest
The Blue Devils are looking to end a 12 game losing streak to the Demon Deacons on Saturday. But unlike past seasons Duke is the better squad in this match-up. The Blue Devils are 3-1 and a win here could put them in a pretty solid spot to break the long winless season and bowl appearance streaks. Duke's only loss came to Stanford as they had to travel cross country to take on a very good Cardinal squad. Duke pulled off something you rarely see last week when they won the game and covered the spread despite a negative 4 turnover ratio against Memphis. Teams that are able to cover despite losing the turnover battle are teams we pay special attention to, and Duke has covered 3 of 4 games with a seasonal turnover margin of minus 4. While Wake Forest has that long winning streak in this series keep in mind 5 of the last 6 meetings have been decided by six points or less.
Wake also sits at 3-1 on the season but they are 2-2 ATS despite winning the turnover battle in each and every game. They lost to Flori„da State by 52 and struggled to beat Liberty at home in a 20-17 victory. Wake Forest hasn't lost a fumble all season which just shows how fortunate this team has been. Last week coach Grobe and company had to prepare for the Army rushing attack and now this week they face the Duke aerial assault. That's quite a change in just one week and they struggled to stop the Black Knights last Saturday. After allowing 89 combined points the last two weeks they may get their best defender back, but even with his addition Wake Forest has serious defensive concerns. Duke led this game last year late until Wake scored the final touchdown, we look for the Blue Devils to get over than hump this time around.
PLAY DUKE

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Info Plays

7* Arkansas +14

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Wunderdog

Arkansas at Texas A&M
Pick: Texas A&M -14.5

It was an offseason full of distractions for Arkansas and the team is paying the price. They opened the season ranked No. 10 in the country and beat Jacksonville State in their opener but looked a bit off as they gave up 24 points and didn't come anywhere close to covering the 40 point spread. They were given a pass by most. That changed when they lost at home to UL Monroe. The Razorbacks then played Alabama at home which at the beginning of the season looked like a spot in which Alabama would be severely tested. That was far from the case as Alabama wrecked them on both sides of the ball in a 52-0 romp. Arkansas was without Tyler Wilson, but he isn't worth 52 points, as we saw last week when Arkansas lost outright to Rutgers 26-35. We cashed in on that play last week as we had Rutgers (even recommending a strong look at taking Rutgers on the moneyline). The 35 points scored by the Knights was by a limited offense. Now the Razorbacks must take to the road vs. Texas A&M. The Aggies got their SEC baptism against the Gators in week one, losing a heartbreaker 20-17. Florida has since proven to be better than many expected (we've been on them nearly every week), and the Aggies have proven that they are better than expected as well. Johny Manziel has been perfect with seven TD passes and no interceptions on the season. Meanwhile the Aggies’ top two backs are both well over 6 yards per carry. The Hogs have not been road worthy at 0-6 ATS in their last six. John L. Smith is just 2-10 ATS in his coaching career in games with a total posted at 63 or higher. Kevin Sumlin is 15-3 ATS as a home favorite in his coaching career. The Aggies are a lot better than UL Monroe and Rutgers, and this one is on the road. Lay the points with Texas A&M.

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Football Jesus Text pick for SAT : Ariz Wildcats,

10-2 in free football picks this season

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RAS
124 Kent State +2.5
176 Texas State +22.5
199 North Texas -4.5
204 Tulane +20

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Spartan

CFB Side Sat, 09/29/12 - 7:00 PM
*
triple-dime bet 116 Iowa St. 2.5 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 115 Texas Tech
Analysis: I have been saying from the start of the season that this Iowa State team is flying under the radar. We cashed in with them in week one with a Triple against Tulsa and then once again as a dog when they battled intra state rival Iowa in Iowa City and prevailed. Now here they are at home squaring off against Texas Tech in the conference opener and sure enough, the Cyclones will once again be taking the field as a home dog. Texas Tech might be 3-0 but take a closer look at their schedule and it's pretty much just style with zero substance. I for one am not impressed. Not sure what the odds makers are thinking here but I just don't agree. Last year the Cyclones ventured down to Lubbock and wiped the field with the Red Raiders 41-7 at their place. Oh sure, the revenge factor will be beaten to death by the staff of Tech but often that stuff gets wiped away real quick once the actual hitting commences. I'm sure many of you played enough ball in high school to know that. Makes for good media coverage though and gives reporters something to talk about. I'm more convinced by what I've seen with my own two eyes, and that is a fast, athletic Iowa State defense. The Red Raiders have yet to face anything close to resembling this unit to date, particularly those Cyclone linebackers. Absolutely stellar unit. Paul Rhoads is quietly building a sound, quality program in Ames and frankly they will be lucky to hang on to him. If you think it's easy to recruit blue chippers to come to Ames then think again. I visited with one trusted source here at Mizzou about this game and he truthfully laughed out loud when I told him the spread on this game. I think we have another jewel in the rough here guys. Jack Trice Stadium will be rocking and Rhoads will have his kids ready to keep the perfect record intact for another week. I say we go Triple Star here on Iowa State once again. Unless they just have a miserable night with turnovers I just don't see this thing going sideways on them. Many sincere thanks as always and best of luck to us. Enjoy the game!

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EA Sports Consultants

North Carolina State +3
Central Florida -2.5
Kent State +1
Duke +2.5
Texas State +19.5
Virginia +3
Boston College +7.5
North Texas -7
UCLA -19.5

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jack jones

20* byu -27.5
15* angels +100
15* dodgers +100

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Jimmy Boyd

5* (NCAAF) Texas Tech -2.5


4* (NCAAF) Clemson -9
4*(NCAAF) California -2


3* (NCAAF) Missouri +2.5
3* (NCAAF) Virginia Tech -7

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First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Texas San Antonio+3

Utah St-20

Tennessee+14

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Prediction Machine

119 3:30 PM LA TECH @ UVA -2.5 14.4 PP 60.6%
143 3:30 PM SJ SU @ NAVY -2.5 12.6 PP 60.3%
174 7:00 PM @ WEST MI TOLEDO 0 8.5 PP 59.9%
123 12:00 PM BALL ST @ KENTST -1 +8.3 PP 59.4%
156 3:30 PM @ UGA TENN -13.5 19.6 58.7%
112 12:00 PM @ ILL PSU -1.5 7.1 58.4%
130 3:15 PM @ PURDUE MARSH -16 23.1 58.3%
147 7:50 PM TEX @ OKST -2.5 10.5 58.0%
151 12:00 PM BAYLOR @ WVU +12.5 -4.3 58.0%
109 12:00 PM BUFF @ UCONN +17 -11.4 57.8%
200 5:00 PM @ FLA ATL NORTX +6.5 -1.0 57.3%
180 8:00 PM UTSA @ NMST 54 64.1 Over PP 60.8%
156 3:30 PM TENN @ UGA 60.5 52.8 Under PP 60.2%
174 7:00 PM TOLEDO @ WESTMI 57 66.1 Over 59.9%
124 12:00 PM BALLST @ KENTST 53.5 61.3 Over 59.5%
116 7:00 PM TXTCH @ IAST 58 68.6 Over 59.5%
162 9:15 PM MISS @ ALA 54.5 48.2 Under 58.9%
170 12:00 PM NCSU @ MIA-FL 55 46.7 Under 57.6%
118 3:30 PM CLEM @ BC 59.5 50.0 Under 57.6%

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA - Saturday, Sept. 29th

HYDRA (5 UNITS)
TEXAS -2.5 at oklahoma state (4:50pm)

TOP (3 UNITS)
SAN JOSE ST. -2.5 at navy (12:30pm)
N. ILLINOIS -10 vs c. michigan (12:30pm)
UL MONROE -20 at tulane (12:30pm)
FLORIDA ST. -16.5 at south florida (3pm)
W. KENTUCKY -2.5 at arkansas st. (4pm)
NEBRASKA -11.5 vs wisconsin (5pm)
OREGON ST. +3 at arizona (7pm)

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Power Sweep News Letter

4* Cal
3* UCF, NEW MEXICO,
2* Fresno St, WKU

Underdog play of the week, Indiana
Tech play of the week, Cal
Revenge game, Texas T
Situational play, SMU

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Norm Hitzges

DOUBLE PLAYS:
· Mississippi +30 Alabama
· Nebraska -11 1/2 Wisconsin
· Akron +3 Miami Ohio
· N. C. State +3 Miami Florida


SINGLE PLAYS:

· Ohio State +2 1/2 Michigan State
· Oregon St. +2 1/2 Arizona
· Cal +1 Arizona State
· Utah State -21 UNLV
· Indiana +11 Northwestern
· Duke + 2 1/2 Wake Forest
· No. Illinois -10 C. Michigan
· Fla. International + 6 1/2 U La La
· No. Carolina -27 Idaho
· UCLA -19 Colorado
· UTSA -1 New Mexico St.
· Texas Tech -3 Iowa State
· Texas A&M -14 1/2 Arkansas
· Texas -2 1/2 Oklahoma St.

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EAGLE EYE---DETROIT
Toledo+1.5
Michigan St-3
--------------------------
EAGLE EYE---WINMART
Virginia+3
Smu+16
Clemson-7

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Brian Mac's Friday Night Hotside is OVER Western Kentucky 57 1/2

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Totals 4 You Selections for Early Saturday, September 29th

2012 Atlantic Coast Conference Total of the Year!!!!!
NC State/Miami-Florida over 56 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Tonight's Update Free of Charge!!!

Early College Best Bets
Penn State/Illinois over 42
Minnesota/Iowa under 45
Arkansas/Texas A&M over 66 1/2
Baylor/West Virginia under 83

Totals 4 You Selections for Afternoon Saturday, September 29th

2012 Big 10 Conference TV Total of the Year!!!!Ohio State/Michigan State under 41 1/2

Afternoon College Best Bets
Cincinnati/Virginia Tech over 46 1/2
Clemson/Boston College over 59
Tennessee/Georgia over 58
Arizona State/California under 58

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Saturday, September 29th

2012 Big 12 Conference Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Texas/Oklahoma State over 65

Late College Bets Bets
South Carolina/Kentucky under 49 1/2
Oregon/Washington State over 74
Mississippi/Alabama under 53 1/2
Wisconsin/Nebraska under 50

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POINTWISE PHONES:

4* La Tech, Louisville

3* Tex A&M, FSU, Nebr, W Kentucky

2* Tex San Antonio, UL Monroe, Cali, Navy, Akron, Bama

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Cappers Access

Penn St +1-
Ohio St +2-
Georgia -14
Kentucky +21

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Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today

NCAA

Minnesota +7 at Iowa: Up from 6 and no clue why. Gophers 4-0 both SU and ATS. Iowa 0-4 ATS. HC Ferentz is in big trouble. MINN.

Clemson -11½ at BC: The Eagles have had two weeks to prepare for Tigers, who threw everything at Florida State. BC.

Louisiana Tech -3½ at Virginia: La Tech is one of the best kept secrets in college football. LA TECH.

S. Carolina -21 at Kentucky: Gamecocks will play not to get hurt with Georgia coming up next. KENTUCKY.

Ohio State +2 at Mich State: If Notre Dame can beat the Spartans in East Lansing, the Buckeyes can as well. OHIO ST.

Missouri +2½ at UCF: Mizzou was dry cleaned at South Carolina. Line bolted from pick for good reason. CENTRAL FLORIDA.

NC State +3½ at Miami, Fla.: Opened 5 with early money coming in on visiting Wolfpack. Fine by me. MIAMI.

Nevada -21 at Texas State: Nevada put up 69 at Hawaii. The offensive rolls again here. NEVADA.

Wisconsin +12 at Nebraska: The Badgers rank right there with Arkansas as the biggest stiffs in college football this season. NEBRASKA.

Boise St. -28 at N. Mexico: Los Lobos actually have a chance to make this a game. NEW MEXICO

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psychicsportspicks

Saturday

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

3 unit Illinois +1
3 unit Mississippi +30

WIZARD
(1-20)

15 unit Tennessee +14 (underdog of the week)
10 unit Arizona St -1

Baseball Guru
(1-10)

Pass

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Oklahoma State +3

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Baylor at West Virginia: What bettors need to know

Baylor at West Virginia (-11, 82.5)

Fans of the Washington Redskins and the University of West Virginia may be the only ones not lamenting the fact that Robert Griffin III opted to leave the college game following his junior year. No. 24 Baylor could certainly use the star quarterback as it prepares for a Big 12 Conference matchup with Geno Smith and No. 7 West Virginia on Saturday. Smith has been spectacular in leading the Mountaineers to a 3-0 start and is among the front-runners to succeed Griffin as the Heisman Trophy winner. Baylor moved into the Top 25 following last week's win at Louisiana-Monroe and is actually averaging four more points than West Virginia (51.3 to 47.3). The conference opener for both teams will also be the first matchup between the schools.

TV: Noon ET, FX.

LINE: West Virginia -11, O/U 82.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with partly cloudy skies at Mountaineer Field. Winds will be light out of the north.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Nearly 58 percent of players are on West Virginia.

ABOUT BAYLOR (3-0): Despite losing Griffin and first-round pick wide receiver Kendall Wright, Baylor owns the second-longest active winning streak in the FBS at nine games - second only to TCU (11) - and needs one more victory to tie the all-time school record set in 1936-37. Senior quarterback Nick Florence leads the nation in total offense, averaging 387.7 yards per game, and has tossed 11 scoring passes versus four interceptions. The Bears have scored at least 45 points in seven straight games after overcoming an early 14-0 deficit at Louisiana-Monroe, a team that has already beaten Arkansas and pushed Auburn to the wire. Defense has been a huge issue for Baylor, which is surrendering nearly 493 yards per game. Only eight FBS schools have yielded more.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (3-0): The Mountaineers came back to earth a bit in last week's 31-21 victory over Maryland after amassing 111 points in their first two victories. Smith threw for 363 yards and three scoring passes despite not playing without leading rusher Shawne Alston, who missed virtually the entire game with a thigh bruise. Smith has thrown for 1,072 yards with 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions while connecting on 81.4 percent of his passes. He has dangerous threats in wide receivers Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey, who each have five touchdown receptions. Austin had 13 receptions for 179 yards and three scoring passes against Maryland. His 13 catches tied a school record set by Bailey the previous week against James Madison.

TRENDS:
*Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
*Over is 4-0 in Bears’ last four September games.
*Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven September games.
*Over is 4-1 in Mountaineers’ last five September games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. West Virginia is 9-1 in its last 10 homecoming games.

2. The Bears, who are playing the first of three straight Top 25 teams, have never beaten a ranked conference opponent on the road (0-25).

3. Baylor coach Art Briles and West Virginia coach Dana Holgorsen were assistants on Texas Tech's staff from 2000-2002.

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Texas at Oklahoma State: What bettors need to know

Texas at Oklahoma State (2.5, 65)

No. 10 Texas tries to regain its previous status as a Big 12 powerhouse and No. 22 Oklahoma State begins defense of its conference championship crown when the two teams meet Saturday in Stillwater, Okla. The Longhorns went just 6-11 in Big 12 play over the previous two seasons – including two home losses to the Cowboys, a program they had beaten in 22 of the previous 24 meetings. Oklahoma State is 20-5 in conference play over the past three seasons. The Cowboys will likely start redshirt freshman quarterback J.W. Walsh in place of injured Wes Lunt (leg). Both teams have had two weeks to prepare after being off last Saturday.

TV: 7:50 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Texas -2.5, O/U 65.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies at Boone Pickens Stadium. Winds will be light out of the north and shouldn’t be a factor.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Nearly 52 percent of players are on Texas.

ABOUT TEXAS (3-0, 0-0 Big 12): The Longhorns are clicking under sophomore quarterback David Ash. Texas accumulated 676 yards – second-most in school history – during a 66-31 victory over Mississippi two Saturdays ago as Ash passed for 326 yards and four touchdowns. Overall, Ash is completing 76.4 percent of his passes for seven touchdowns against no interceptions. Sophomores Malcolm Brown (238 yards) and Joe Bergeron (207) have split the rushing workload. Sophomore cornerback Quandre Diggs has three of the Longhorns’ six interceptions. Senior defensive end Alex Okafor has three sacks and junior defensive end Jackson Jeffcoat has a team-best four tackles for loss, including two sacks.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (2-1, 0-0 Big 12): The Cowboys lead the nation in scoring (62.3) and total offense (683.0). Walsh replaced Lunt early in a 65-24 victory over Louisiana-Lafayette and passed for 347 yards as Oklahoma State rolled up a school-record 742 yards. Lunt, a true freshman, had a cast removed from his leg on Sunday and is considered doubtful. Junior running back Joseph Randle (335 yards) has three straight 100-yard games and nine in his career. The Cowboys are allowing 27.7 points per game and surrendered a whopping 59 in a loss to Arizona. Oklahoma State has forced just three turnovers.

TRENDS:
* Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Oklahoma State.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Oklahoma State.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Oklahoma State has won eight consecutive home games, one shy of the school record set in 1984-85.

2. Texas’ only loss in Stillwater came back in 1997. The Longhorns routed the Cowboys 41-14 in 2009 in their most recent game at Boone Pickens Stadium.

3. The Cowboys have scored 30 or more points in 21 straight games, the longest streak in the nation.

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Richard Saber @ Gaming Today

NCAA

Saturday, Sept. 29

Penn St. at Illinois: I am looking at the total as the Nittany Lions continued their under streak last week at four straight. UNDER.

La. Tech -3½ at Virginia: The Bulldogs from Ruston have done little wrong so far, going 3-0 while averaging 54.6 points a game. Lay the points on the road. LA. TECH.

Arkansas +13½ at Texas A&M: My trend of the week play, the Aggies have gone 0-7 ATS off a win playing a conference foe off a SU loss as the chalk. We will take the points. ARKANSAS.

Ohio St.+2 at Michigan St.: A good one to watch. Was Urban Meyer playing possum last week? The only team the Spartans could score on was Central Michigan! The host in this game has dropped the last four. OHIO ST.

Wisconsin +12 at Nebraska: The Huskers have played one good team, losing to UCLA in La La land, but have averaged 48.5 points with the patsies. The Badgers have averaged 21.5 points against two good teams, Oregon State losing 10-7 and Utah State winning 16-14, while just getting past No. Iowa 26-21 and UTEP 37-26. Huskers will get revenge from last year’s huge setback in Madison 48-17. NEBRASKA.

http://www.therxforum.com/clear.gif (http://www.therxforum.com/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=9585268) (http://www.therxforum.com/newreply.php?do=newreply&p=9585268)

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Derek Mancini

Today's Winner...

30 Dime selection on the Virginia Cavaliers plus the points agagnst the La Tech Bulldogs. As I release this selecjtion at 1 AM Eastern on Saturday, Virginia is currnntly listed as a between a +3 to +3' point pup at the majority of books. Go ahead and buy the 1/2 point on the Cavaliers at anywhere from +2' to +4.



Anthony Redd

Saturday's Play

75 Dime selgction on the Duke Blue Devilsagainst the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. As I rejlease this play at 10:00pm Pacific Friday night in Vegas, the line on Duke is averaging +2 1/2 in Vegas and offshnre.









Scott Delaney

Saturday's winner...

My big 100-Dime winner for today is in the Mountagn West Conference, as I'm sidi%K2%ng with the Air Force Falcons at home in Colorado Springs, Colorado, against the Colorado State Rams. Though the Flyboys are laying big points, I think we have a three-touchdnwn winner on our hands. As I release this at 1 a.m. eastern time, I see the line across the board - in Las Vegas and Offshore - at Air Force -14.

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Matt Rivers

Saturday's Selection ...

Your winner is: 500,000♦ Pac 12 Game of My Life on the Cal Golden Bears at home agagnst the visitjing Arizona State Sun Devils. At the time I relnase my selection at 6:30 am eastern on Saturday morning, the Golden Bears are now the +1 point underdog at home in both Vegas and the offshore books.

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RED_LINE system plays
5* Ball St -2.5
5* Northwestern - 11
5* San Jose St. -2.5
5* Texas Tech. -2.5
5* Texas San Antonio -1.5

Lean plays
Purdue -16.5
Cincinnati. +6.5
UL. Monroe. -20
Western Kentucky -3
Utah St -20.5
Oregon St. +2.5
Fresno St. -7

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Keuchel is 2-0, 1.10 in his last three starts.
-- Minor is 3-0, 1.09 in his last four starts. Young is 1-1, 3.04 in four starts this month.
-- Nolasco is 3-0, 1.95 in his last five starts.
-- Lohse is 2-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts. Zimmerman is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.
-- Cahill is 3-1, 3.20 in his last four starts.
-- Stults is 4-1, 2.72 in his last six starts. Bumgarner is 2-0, 3.09 in his last two starts.

-- Pettitte threw 11 scoreless IP in two starts since coming off the DL.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
-- Doubrant is 1-1, 2.79 in his last three starts. SJohnson is 3-0, 2.12 in three starts this season.
-- Sale is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.
-- ESantana is 2-1, 2.36 in his last four starts. Holland is 2-0, 2.81 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Leake is 1-1, 7.63 in his last three starts. McPherson is 0-2, 6.23 in couple starts for the Pirates.
-- Estrada is 2-2, 4.37 in his last four starts.
-- Halladay is 1-1, 9.64 in his last three starts.
-- Germano is 0-7, 7.93 in his last seven starts.
-- Blanton is 1-4, 5.91 in his last eight starts. Chatwood is 1-2, 7.17 in his last five starts.

-- Romero is 1-2, 8.44 in his last four starts.
-- Walters is 0-3, 9.45 in his last five starts.
-- Vargas is 0-2, 4.82 in his last three starts. Straily is 0-1, 5.87 in his three home starts.
-- Gomez is 1-1, 8.53 in his last three starts. Odorizzi allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in his first '12 start.
-- Moore is 0-4, 7.36 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won eight of its last ten games.
-- Atlanta won nine of its last 12 games. Mets won six of their last seven. .
-- Cardinals won nine of their last 11 games.
-- Astros are 4-3 in their last seven games.
-- Arizona won four of its last five home games.
-- Padres won nine of last 13 at home. Giants won 13 of last 15 overall.
-- Colorado, Dodgers both won four of their last five games.

-- Bronx won 12 of its last 16 games.
-- Orioles won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Angels won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Detroit won four of its last five games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine games.
-- A's won 13 of their last 18 home games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 15 of their last 20 games.
-- Marlins lost eight of their last ten games. Phillies lost five of last six. .
-- Brewers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last ten games.

-- Blue Jays lost 13 of their last 18 games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Royals lost last six games, allowing 41 runs.
-- Minnesota lost five of its last seven home games.
-- Rangers lost three of their last four games.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Mariners are 4-10 in their last fourteen games.

Totals
-- 13 of last 17 Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Miami's last nine games.
-- Under is 15-6-2 in Atlanta's last 23 games.
-- Over is 18-9-1 in last 28 Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Washington games.
-- Five of Cubs' last six games went over total.
-- Seven of last ten Giant games went over the total.
-- 15 of last 19 Colorado games went over the total.

-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Bronx games.
-- Four of last six Boston games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Kansas City games went over total.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels' last four games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Detroit games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Oakland games.

Umpires
-- Cin-Pitt-- Over is 14-7-1 in last 22 Conroy games.
-- Hst-Mil-- Home team won last 12 Fletcher games, with seven of last nine staying under the total.
-- NY-Atl-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Nauert games.
-- Phil-Mia-- Under is 7-1-2 in last ten Timmons games.
-- Wsh-StL-- Four of last five Blaser games went over total.
-- Chi-Az-- Five of last six Vanover games went over total.
-- SF-SD-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Johnson games.
-- Col-LA-- Underdogs are 7-4 in last eleven Gorman games.

-- NY-Tor-- Road team won seven of last eight Everitt games.
-- Det-Min-- Five of last six Bell games stayed under the total.
-- Sea-A's-- Five of last seven Foster games stayed under.
-- Bos-Blt-- Six of last seven Gibson games went over total.
-- KC-Clev-- Basner is a rookie ump; we don't have enough data on him.
-- TB-Chi-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Marquez games.
-- LA-Tex-- Underdogs won six of last nine Hoye games.

[poopoo333]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Rays Friday.

Saturday it’s Connecticut. The deficit is 290 sirignanos.

[poopoo333]

Hondo

Hondo, suddenly sizzling again, extended his winning streak to seven last night when he collected with the Angels and BYU to lower the deficit to 1,330 hutsons.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch expects the Tide to turn his way — 10 units on Alabama. Also, he will feed 10 units to the Birds in Baltimore.

[poopoo333]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 917-674 (57 %) over the last 4 years PLUS !

Free play Sat: Baylor + 12

[poopoo333]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Arizona (NCAA FB) -2.5

[poopoo333]

DCI CFB

Week
Straight Up: 3-2 (.600)
ATS: 0-2 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-11 (.000)
Over/Under: 0-2 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-8 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 323-104 (.756)
ATS: 129-142 (.476)
ATS Vary Units: 974-989 (.496)
Over/Under: 102-104 (.495)
Over/Under Vary Units: 455-272 (.626)

Saturday, September 29, 2012

Atlantic Coast Conference
Clemson 26, BOSTON COLLEGE 22
MIAMI (FLA.) 30, NC State 20
WAKE FOREST 35, Duke 27

Big 12 Conference
IOWA STATE 31, Texas Tech 23
OKLAHOMA STATE 47, Texas 39
WEST VIRGINIA 58, Baylor 57

Big Ten Conference
IOWA 21, Minnesota 19
MICHIGAN STATE 26, Ohio State 17
NEBRASKA 30, Wisconsin 27
NORTHWESTERN 42, Indiana 16
Penn State 22, ILLINOIS 14

Mid-American Conference
Ball State 29, KENT STATE 26
Miami (Ohio) 36, AKRON 18
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 42, Central Michigan 23
Ohio 38, MASSACHUSETTS 14
WESTERN MICHIGAN 40, Toledo 37

Mountain West Conference
AIR FORCE 35, Colorado State 23
Boise State 42, NEW MEXICO 9
FRESNO STATE 39, San Diego State 33

Pacific-12 Conference
ARIZONA 28, Oregon State 27
Arizona State 30, CALIFORNIA 28
Oregon 58, Washington State 18
Ucla 38, COLORADO 22

Southeastern Conference
ALABAMA 46, Ole Miss 0
GEORGIA 41, Tennessee 14
South Carolina 33, KENTUCKY 9
TEXAS A&M 39, Arkansas 34

Sun Belt Conference
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 37, Fiu 26
North Texas 28, FLORIDA ATLANTIC 17
Troy 29, SOUTH ALABAMA 13
Western Kentucky 32, ARKANSAS STATE 26

Conference USA
EAST CAROLINA 31, Utep 23
HOUSTON 54, Rice 39
Tulsa 45, UAB 25

Western Athletic Conference
NEW MEXICO STATE 31, UT San Antonio 27

FBS Non-Conference
BOWLING GREEN STATE 29, Rhode Island 13
Cincinnati 21, Virginia Tech 19
CONNECTICUT 35, Buffalo 12
Florida State 35, SOUTH FLORIDA 16
GEORGIA TECH 49, Middle Tennessee 18
Louisiana Tech 37, VIRGINIA 22
Louisville 30, SOUTHERN MISS 24
LSU 47, Towson 6
Missouri 28, UCF 23
Nevada 45, TEXAS STATE 26
NORTH CAROLINA 44, Idaho 14
PURDUE 42, Marshall 29
San Jose State 34, NAVY 23
Stony Brook vs. ARMY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Tcu 35, SMU 15
Ulm 40, TULANE 18
UTAH STATE 39, Unlv 14

Big Sky Conference
Cal Poly 31, NORTH DAKOTA 30
EASTERN WASHINGTON 33, Montana 29
Montana State 35, SOUTHERN UTAH 33
NORTHERN ARIZONA 45, Portland State 31
Sacramento State 32, IDAHO STATE 23
UC DAVIS 26, Weber State 20

Colonial Athletic Association
MAINE 24, Villanova 20
NEW HAMPSHIRE 31, Delaware 28
Old Dominion 41, RICHMOND 29
WILLIAM & MARY 33, Georgia State 10

Ivy League
DARTMOUTH 24, Penn 13
Princeton 21, COLUMBIA 19

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Bethune-Cookman 30, HAMPTON 19
HOWARD 40, Savannah State 13
Norfolk State 25, SOUTH CAROLINA STATE 23

Missouri Valley Conference
Illinois State 30, SOUTH DAKOTA 23
North Dakota State 29, NORTHERN IOWA 15
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 31, Missouri State 12
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 26, Indiana State 19

Northeast Conference
ALBANY 36, Monmouth 17
DUQUESNE 40, Saint Francis (Pa.) 26
SACRED HEART 26, Central Connecticut State 25
WAGNER 29, Bryant 17

Ohio Valley Conference
EASTERN ILLINOIS 44, Austin Peay 22
Eastern Kentucky 25, TENNESSEE-MARTIN 23
JACKSONVILLE STATE 41, Southeast Missouri State 29
MURRAY STATE 47, Tennessee Tech 44

Patriot League
LEHIGH 32, Fordham 9

Pioneer League
Dayton 22, BUTLER 21
Drake 32, CAMPBELL 18
JACKSONVILLE 23, Marist 14

Southern Conference
FURMAN 45, Western Carolina 22
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 31, Samford 19
THE CITADEL 31, Chattanooga 17
Wofford 36, ELON 28

Southland Conference
Central Arkansas 41, STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 32
MCNEESE STATE 29, Northwestern State 26
Southeastern Louisiana 28, LAMAR 23

Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 24, Grambling 13
Alabama State 25, ALCORN STATE 15
JACKSON STATE 37, Prairie View A&M 23

FCS Non-Conference
APPALACHIAN STATE 37, Coastal Carolina 25
Brown 22, GEORGETOWN 17
Colgate 25, YALE 24
Cornell 21, BUCKNELL 17
Florida A&M 30, Southern 16
Lafayette 32, ROBERT MORRIS 10
Presbyterian 29, DAVIDSON 15
TENNESSEE STATE 24, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 13

[poopoo333]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox

The Rays look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-4 in Chris Sale's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Tampa Bay is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 14.698; Pittsburgh (McPherson) 13.978
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-145); Under


Game 953-954: Houston at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.414; Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.986
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-250); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-250); Over


Game 955-956: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Young) 15.638; Atlanta (Minor) 16.047
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); Under


Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.717; Miami (Nolasco) 14.411
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Over


Game 959-960: Washington at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.830; St. Louis (Lohse) 17.013
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Over


Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Germano) 14.882; Arizona (Cahill) 14.480
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Under


Game 963-964: San Francisco at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.286; San Diego (Stults) 15.713
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Under


Game 965-966: Colorado at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 15.835; LA Dodgers (Blanton) 15.117
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+180); Over


Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.076; Toronto (Romero) 15.741
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+165); Under


Game 969-970: Detroit at Minnesota (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.112; Minnesota (Walters) 14.750
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-250); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-250); Over


Game 971-972: Seattle at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.302; Oakland (Straily) 16.347
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-155); Over


Game 973-974: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Odorizzi) 15.436; Cleveland (Gomez) 15.414
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+100); Under


Game 975-976: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 13.948; Baltimore (Johnson) 15.721
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-180); Under


Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.709; White Sox (Sale) 15.067
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115); Over


Game 979-980: LA Angels at Texas (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 14.927; Texas (Holland) 15.971
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Over

[poopoo333]

Marc Leonard:

5* GOM (66%) South Florida +17
4* Oklahoma State +2.5
3* Navy +2.5
3* Ole Miss +30

King Creole
2* TN/GA UNDER 58
2* TX TECH/IOWA ST OVER
2* OLE MISS/BAMA UNDER

[poopoo333]

NCAA Football Game Picks

Texas at Oklahoma State

The Longhorns look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games coming off a bye week. Texas is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Longhorns favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Texas (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 29
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (9/26)


Game 107-108: Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 90.384; Cincinnati 85.732
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 4 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+7); Over


Game 109-110: Buffalo at Connecticut (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 65.207; Connecticut 89.787
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 24 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 15 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-15 1/2); Under


Game 111-112: Penn State at Illinois (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 85.192; Illinois 88.270
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Illinois by 1 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-1 1/2); Under


Game 113-114: Minnesota at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 81.043; Iowa 94.200
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 13; 50
Vegas Line: Iowa by 6 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-6 1/2); Over


Game 115-116: Texas Tech at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 96.622; Iowa State 93.026
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 3 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 2 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-2 1/2); Over


Game 117-118: Clemson at Boston College (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 96.451; Boston College 88.927
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 7 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Clemson by 9 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+9 1/2); Under


Game 119-120: Louisiana Tech at Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 91.508; Virginia 85.008
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 6 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-2 1/2); Under


Game 121-122: Ohio at Massachusetts (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 89.909; Massachusetts 58.279
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 31 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Ohio by 24; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-24); Over


Game 123-124: Ball State at Kent State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 73.225; Kent State 77.403
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 4; 50
Vegas Line: Ball State by 1; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+1); Under


Game 125-126: Idaho at North Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 65.496; North Carolina 97.254
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 32; 63
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 24 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-24 1/2); Over


Game 127-128: Indiana at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 80.101; Northwestern 89.095
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 9; 63
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 11 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+11 1/2); Over


Game 129-130: Marshall at Purdue (3:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 77.714; Purdue 96.059
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 18 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Purdue by 16 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-16 1/2); Under


Game 131-132: Duke at Wake Forest (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 81.432; Wake Forest 82.735
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 1 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+3); Under


Game 133-134: South Carolina at Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 105.102; Kentucky 80.727
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 24 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 20 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-20 1/2); Over


Game 135-136: Colorado State at Air Force (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 72.973; Air Force 83.658
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 10 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Air Force by 15; 56
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+15); Over


Game 137-138: TCU at SMU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 101.786; SMU 84.301
Dunkel Line: TCU by 17 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: TCU by 16; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-16); Under


Game 139-140: Central Michigan at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 75.714; Northern Illinois 84.217
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 11; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+11); Under


Game 141-142: UCLA at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 96.417; Colorado 66.204
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 30; 66
Vegas Line: UCLA by 20 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-20 1/2); Over


Game 143-144: San Jose State at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 84.619; Navy 83.813
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 1; 62
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 2 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+2 1/2); Over


Game 145-146: Oregon at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 109.554; Washington State 83.328
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 26; 66
Vegas Line: Oregon by 29; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+29); Under


Game 147-148: Texas at Oklahoma State (7:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 105.083; Oklahoma State 99.843
Dunkel Line: Texas by 5; 70
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-2 1/2); Over


Game 149-150: Arkansas at Texas A&M (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 94.042; Texas A&M 101.158
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 7; 59
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 13 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+13 1/2); Under


Game 151-152: Baylor at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 95.972; West Virginia 110.255
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 14 1/2; 85
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 12 1/2; 80
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-12 1/2); Over


Game 153-154: Ohio State at Michigan State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 101.737; Michigan State 98.053
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 3 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+3); Under


Game 155-156: Tennessee at Georgia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 89.305; Georgia 110.990
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 21 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Georgia by 13; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-13); Under


Game 157-158: Arizona State at California (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 93.797; California 97.467
Dunkel Line: California by 3 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: California by 2; 54
Dunkel Pick: California (-2); Over


Game 159-160: Oregon State at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 97.150; Arizona 98.213
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3); Under


Game 161-162: Mississippi at Alabama (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 80.786; Alabama 125.608
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 45; 57
Vegas Line: Alabama by 31; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-31); Over


Game 163-164: Miami (OH) at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 70.721; Akron 68.542
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 2; 63
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 4 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+4 1/2); Over


Game 165-166: Missouri at Central Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 90.886; Central Florida 94.511
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-2); Under


Game 167-168: UTEP at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 80.747; East Carolina 78.387
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+4 1/2); Over


Game 169-170: NC State at Miami (FL) (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 90.509; Miami (FL) 89.757
Dunkel Line: NC State by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+2 1/2); Under


Game 171-172: Florida State at South Florida (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 107.542; South Florida 85.482
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 22; 51
Vegas Line: Florida State by 16 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-16 1/2); Under


Game 173-174: Toledo at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 84.961; Western Michigan 80.192
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 5; 62
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+1 1/2); Over


Game 175-176: Nevada at Texas State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 94.803; Texas State 72.392
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 22 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Nevada by 19 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-19 1/2); Over


Game 177-178: Louisville at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 93.899; Southern Mississippi 78.359
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-10 1/2); Under


Game 179-180: TX-San Antonio at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 60.518; New Mexico State 62.537
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 2; 59
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+4); Over


Game 181-182: Wisconsin at Nebraska (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 94.714; Nebraska 109.461
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 14 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 12; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-12); Under


Game 183-184: Tulsa at UAB (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 91.290; UAB 70.841
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 20 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 13; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-13); Under


Game 185-186: UNLV at Utah State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 74.965; Utah State 90.573
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 15 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Utah State by 17 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+17 1/2); Over


Game 187-188: Houston at Rice (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 76.383; Rice 75.658
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 69
Vegas Line: Houston by 5; 73 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+5); Under


Game 189-190: Boise State at New Mexico (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 105.615; New Mexico 64.314
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 41 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Boise State by 26; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-26); Over


Game 191-192: San Diego State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 83.938; Fresno State 94.268
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 10 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 7; 60
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-7); Over


Game 193-194: Western Kentucky at Arkansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 85.955; Arkansas State 81.165
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 5; 51
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 2 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-2 1/2); Under


Game 195-196: Troy at South Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 70.287; South Alabama 612.844
Dunkel Line: Troy by 7 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Troy by 9 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+9 1/2); Under


Game 197-198: Florida International at UL-Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 74.207; UL-Lafayette 78.504
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 4 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 6 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+6 1/2); Over


Game 199-200: North Texas at Florida Atlantic (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 74.344; Florida Atlantic 69.429
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 5; 50
Vegas Line: North Texas by 6 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+6 1/2); Over


Game 201-202: Middle Tennessee State at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 68.144; Georgia Tech 93.868
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 25 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 27 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+27 1/2); Under


Game 203-204: UL-Monroe at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 85.203; Tulane 62.577
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 22 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 17 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-17 1/2); Over





OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (9/26)


Game 241-242: Stony Brook at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 69.178; Army 77.226
Dunkel Line: Army by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 243-244: Rhode Island at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 49.192; Bowling Green 74.589
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 245-246: Towson at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 68.157; LSU 114.647
Dunkel Line: LSU by 46 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A





OTHER GAMES:
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (9/26)


Colgate at Yale (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colgate 57.265; Yale 43.970
Dunkel Line: Colgate by 13 1/2


Pennsylvania at Dartmouth (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 52.976; Dartmouth 60.759
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 8


Delaware at New Hampshire (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 72.632; New Hampshire 73.135
Dunkel Line: New Hampshire by 1


Central Connecticut State at Sacred Heart (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut State 38.547; Sacred Heart 47.944
Dunkel Line: Sacred Heart by 9 1/2


Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee-Martin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 72.850; Tennessee-Martin 65.308
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky 7 1/2


Princeton at Columbia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 46.131; Columbia 48.120
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 2


Fordham at Lehigh (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 49.973; Lehigh 65.262
Dunkel Line: Lehigh by 15 1/2


Savannah State at Howard (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 26.689; Howard 54.312
Dunkel Line: Howard by 27 1/2


Marist at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 45.551; Jacksonville 47.019
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 1 1/2


Monmouth at Albany (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 62.242; Albany 70.961
Dunkel Line: Albany by 8 1/2


Dayton at Butler (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 38.340; Butler 41.073
Dunkel Line: Butler by 2 1/2


Bryant at Wagner (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 30.005; Wagner 51.362
Dunkel Line: Wagner by 21 1/2


St. Francis (PA) at Duquesne (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 45.955; Duquesne 50.013
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 4


Western Carolina at Furman (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.324; Furman 63.931
Dunkel Line: Furman by 15 1/2


Wofford at Elon (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 70.144; Elon 62.769
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 7 1/2


Brown at Georgetown (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 59.071; Georgetown 52.182
Dunkel Line: Brown by 7


Norfolk State at South Carolina State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 56.928; South Carolina State 59.076
Dunkel Line: South Carolina State by 2


Austin Peay at Eastern Illinois (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 42.164; Eastern Illinois 65.421
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 23 1/2


Illinois State at South Dakota (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 76.643; South Dakota 65.864
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 11


Alabama State at Alcorn State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama State 49.493; Alcorn State 39.240
Dunkel Line: Alabama State by 10 1/2


Montana State at Southern Utah (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 68.663; Southern Utah 71.869
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 3


Old Dominion at Richmond (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 77.955; Richmond 72.147
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 6


Villanova at Maine (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 65.551; Maine 66.337
Dunkel Line: Maine by 1


Coastal Carolina at Appalachian State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 58.040; Appalachian State 73.468
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 15 1/2


Florida A&M vs. Southern (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida A&M 54.381; Southern 41.308
Dunkel Line: Florida A&M by 13


Sacramento State at Idaho State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 63.149; Idaho State 51.534
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 11 1/2


SE Missouri State at Jacksonville State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 49.581; Jacksonville State 64.014
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 14 1/2


SE Louisiana at Lamar (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 53.202; Lamar 48.822
Dunkel Line: SE Louisiana by 4 1/2


Prairie View A&M at Jackson State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Prairie View A&M 33.678; Jackson State 45.243
Dunkel Line: Jackson State by 11 1/2


Portland State at Northern Arizona (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 60.209; Northern Arizona 71.201
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 11


Samford at Georgia Southern (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 63.467; Georgia Southern 77.031
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 13 1/2


Cornell at Bucknell (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 58.272; Bucknell 55.903
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 2 1/2


Drake at Campbell (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 48.068; Campbell 32.219
Dunkel Line: Drake by 16


Presbyterian at Davidson (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 44.834; Davidson 30.882
Dunkel Line: Presbyterian by 14


Bethune-Cookman at Hampton (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 62.402; Hampton 47.245
Dunkel Line: Bethune-Cookman by 15


Lafayette at Robert Morris (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 58.740; Robert Morris 36.183
Dunkel Line: Lafayette by 22 1/2


Arkansas-Pine Bluff a Tennessee State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49.513; Tennessee State 68.286
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 19


Chattanooga at The Citadel (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 61.331; The Citadel 73.584
Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 12 1/2


Indiana State at Southern Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 61.946; Southern Illinois 64.058
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 2


Tennessee Tech at Murray State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 57.158; Murray State 63.070
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 6


Cal Poly at North Dakota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 73.045; North Dakota 76.820
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 4


Grambling State at Alabama A&M (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Grambling State 47.393; Alabama A&M 55.859
Dunkel Line: Alabama A&M by 8 1/2


North Dakota State at Northern Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 84.915; Northern Iowa 82.827
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 2


Central Arkansas at Stephen F. Austin (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 71.200; Stephen F. Austin 64.690
Dunkel Line: Central Arkansas by 6 1/2


Georgia State at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 44.736; William & Mary 59.918
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 15


Montana at Eastern Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 64.148; Eastern Washington 76.832
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 12 1/2


Missouri State at South Dakota State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 56.363; South Dakota State 72.929
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 16 1/2


Northwestern State at McNeese State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 60.298; McNeese State 65.603
Dunkel Line: McNeese State by 5 1/2


Weber State at UC Davis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 60.538; UC Davis 65.188
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 4 1/2

[poopoo333]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday 9/29

4* Best Bet = TEXAS SAN ANTONIO +
3* = TCU -
3* = AKRON +
2* = Boise State -
2* = Nebraska -

[poopoo333]

Gold Medal Club

#115 Texas Tech -2.5 (25*)
#147 Texas -2.5 (25*)

#182 Nebraska -11.5 (10*)
#190 New Mexico +26 (10*)

added today
#114 Iowa -6.5
#191 San Diego State +7

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo


4-Unit Play. Take #177 Louisville (-10.5) over Southern Miss (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 29)

Southern Miss has gotten rocked in all three of its games this year. They are in a complete rebuilding mode after losing their coach and a wealth of talent from an excellent 2011 team. They lost by 29 at Nebraska, by 10 at home to a bad ECU team, and by 25 on the road at Western Kentucky last week. People are always sleeping on the Big East. Louisville is a legit Top 20 team with an outstanding defense, an explosive offense that has scored 28 or more in all four games, and a rising star as a coach. Louisville shook off a letdown spot and its first road game jitters last week to beat Florida International by seven points. But they were up two touchdowns late in the fourth quarter and that is a much, much better FIU team than this Southern Miss team is. Also, there were some extenuating circumstances that might have led UL to be lackluster last week, beside the letdown/first road game angles. Their roster has a lot of players from Florida on it and those players might have been a little overanxious. Regardless, I liked what I heard from Strong after the game, as he chastised his team despite the win because of their sloppy performance. I expect a very focused team to take the field this week. Southern Miss is also dealing with major issues at quarterback. They are starting a redshirt freshman this week - their third-string quarterback and third different starter in four games - and I think that's a major advantage for us. Louisville is 6-0 ATS in this series going back to 1999 and I just don't think that these two teams are even close to being on the same level right now. The Big East favorites should dominate.

3-Unit Play. Take #112 Illinois (-1) over Penn State (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 29)

Maybe I'm just being stubborn here, but I am holding onto my belief that Illinois is better than it has played yet this year. The two teams that have blown the Illini out, Arizona State and Louisiana Tech, are both very solid football teams that are playing well. Penn State is not a solid football team. They have performed well at the window so far this season mainly because they are facing inflated odds. But now they are going on the road in conference play, and I think that this Illinois team is better than the Virginia club and maybe even the Ohio club that already beat the Nittany Lions. This is a revenge game for the Illini for a game which they should not have lost last year in Happy Valley. They outgained the Nittany Lions but lost by three points. This is actually Penn State's first trip to Champagne since 2009 and I think that the home team is ready to perform here. Illinois is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the line movement on this game has swung to the Illini's side, suggesting strong action on the home team. I expect a better performance from Nathan Scheelhaase and the defense and I think that Illinois gets the job done.

2-Unit Play. Take #182 Nebraska (-11.5) over Wisconsin (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 29)

This is a big revenge game here and I expect the Huskers to lay the wood. They were humiliated in Madison on national television last year in their Big Ten opener and I am sure that they haven't forgotten. Wisconsin is a disaster right now. The offensive line is bad, the quarterback play is worse, and they are trying to ride Montee Ball - who has been exposed now that he is not running behind an NFL-caliber line. The Badgers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games and right now this program is much shakier than the 3-1 record suggests. Nebraska hasn't played much of a schedule this year. But I think that they will be much better offensively now that Rex Burkhead is back in the fold and I think that they are licking their chops at getting one of the Big Ten favorites in Lincoln. Nebraska is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games and Wisconsin is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games. Wisconsin is in trouble and Nebraska won't have any mercy.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #135 Colorado State (+14.5) over Air Force (2 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 29)

I don't really understand how Air Force can lose to a bad UNLV team and then come home and be a two-touchdown favorite. Yes, Colorado State stinks. But they have played a much tougher schedule, winning at Colorado and facing off with San Jose State and Utah State - two very good mid-majors. More importantly, this Colorado State team is improving with each game. This is an in-state rivalry game and I don't see that much separation between these two teams. Colorado State has lost five straight times to the Falcons, but those came under the old regime and loser coach Steve Fairchild. This Air Force team is the least experienced group in the country, while CSU is at least working with 15 returning starters from an underachieving team last year. Jim McElwain is putting a big emphasis on winning games against Colorado schools in his rookie coaching season. I don't think that his team will win this one, but I do know that 14 points is too much of a spread for the young Falcons to cover.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #113 Minnesota (+7) over Iowa (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 29)

These are two teams going in opposite directions. Minnesota is on a rush to start the year and I am not sure that their results have been a fluke. They dominated Syracuse last week in a game that wasn't as close as the final score suggests. Minnesota's defense has been playing very well, and they have performed against two offenses (Western Michigan and Syracuse) that are much better than the Iowa unit they will be matched up against in this one. Iowa's passing offense is pathetic and their running game has been hampered by devastating injuries at running back. Iowa has struggled against bad teams like Northern Illinois and Northern Iowa, they lost at home to Iowa State, and they were beaten last week by a very mediocre Central Michigan team. To say that Iowa is shaky is an understatement. The loss of Marquis Gray is a big one for the Gophers. But I have been very impressed with Max Shortell the past two games. He throws a great ball and I think he is more than capable of leading this Minnesota attack. The Gophers have beaten Iowa each of the past two seasons and this is probably the best Minnesota team of that time facing a worse Iowa team. I will take the points and look for an outright winner.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #166 Central Florida (-3) over Missouri (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 29)

This Central Florida team might be the best mid-major team in the country. They are physical and experienced and they won't be intimidated by facing an SEC opponent. In fact, I think they will relish the challenge of getting a BCS team to come into their home stadium and the crowd should be sky-high for this game. I'm not sure what Mizzou has in the tank, emotionally, after a huge SEC home opener against Georgia, a marquee nonconference revenge game against Arizona State, and then their SEC road opener at South Carolina. The public is all over the underdog in this game because Missouri is the ?name? school. But quarterback James Franklin is nowhere near 100 percent right now and even he admits that his injured shoulder is hurting his confidence. UCF is coming off a bye and they are focused and motivated. I think they get the job done here.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #169 N.C. State (+3) over Miami (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 29)

I am still not a believer in Miami. I don't think that this team is any good and I think that they are in a letdown spot after their miraculous comeback win against Georgia Tech last week. The Jackets gave that game away more than Miami actually won it, and I attribute that to the Canes just having Tech's number the last few years. N.C. State is a solid, well-coached, more experienced team with a better quarterback. The Hurricanes are losers. They have been a money burner over the last decade and are routinely one of the worst bets in college football. Their win at Boston College was equally fluky (they were outgained by 130 yards and overcame a 14-0 deficit) and this same team slept through a game with Bethune-Cookman two weeks ago. Miami has a much more appealing game at Notre Dame coming up on deck before a three-game set against North Carolina, Florida State and Virginia Tech. They are absolutely looking past this week's foe. Miami is ranked No. 100 in total defense and No. 112 against the run, as both Tech and Kansas State pushed this Miami front around. The Wolfpack have already played two very good teams, Connecticut and Tennessee, on the road this year. I think they will be focused and motivated and I think they are the more physical team with the better quarterback. Miami is 22-45-1 ATS in its last 68 home games and they are 16-35 ATS after a win against the spread. N.C. State is 18-7-3 ATS against a team with a winning record and is 36-16-3 ATS on grass. They are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 ACC games. The public is pounding Miami but they will have their hearts broken by the Canes yet again.




NOTE: These are 7-point teaser.



1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #152 West Virginia (-4.5) over Baylor (Noon) AND Take #150 Texas A&M (-7) over Arkansas (12:20 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #177 Louisville (-3.5) over Southern Miss (8 p.m.) AND Take #182 Nebraska (-4.5) over Wisconsin (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #197 Florida International (+13.5) over Lafayette (7 p.m.) AND Take #192 Fresno State (-0.5) over San Diego State (10 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #112 Illinois -1 over Penn State (Saturday @ 12pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Informer

7 Unit Play. #192 Take Fresno St -7.5 over San Diego St (10:00p.m., Saturday, Sept 29) (Mountain West Conference Game of the Year) Welcome to the Mountain West Conference Fresno St Bulldogs! Late Saturday night San Diego St will wish the Fresno St Bulldogs stayed in the WAC Conference. If Fresno St plays like they did against Colorado at home this game won't be close and San Diego St will be in for a very long Saturday night. Both teams have quality offenses but in my eyes Fresno St is a bit better. Fresno St has great ground game with Robbie Rouse and if QB Derek Carr gets hot the Aztec defense will be dead tired in the 2nd half and the Bulldogs win this game by 10 points or more. Late Saturday night the SDSU Aztecs will get a faceful of Carr and Rouse and we cash our 7-Unit Mountain West Conference Game of the Year.

[Mr. IWS]

doc goy----nebraska

[Mr. IWS]

doc

illinois
ohio st/mich st under
west michigan
georgia

[Mr. IWS]

Gold Medal Club

#115 Texas Tech -2.5 (25*)
#147 Texas -2.5 (25*)

#182 Nebraska -11.5 (10*)
#190 New Mexico +26 (10*)

added today
#114 Iowa -6.5
#191 San Diego State +7

[Mr. IWS]

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *10* (TOP Play) OVER in Florida State at South Florida @ 6:00 PM ET – The Florida State Seminoles travel to take on in-state rival South Florida on Saturday evening. Florida State is 4-0 on the season while South Florida comes in with a 2-2 record. Florida State is putting up huge numbers this year scoring 56.2 points per game overall this season. They may get the Over themselves here tonight. Their lowest point outing this year was when they scored only 49 points against Clemson this past week. Both teams normally get off to huge scoring games in September as the Over is 4-1 last 5 games in September for Florida State while the Over is 4-1-1 last 6 games for South Florida in September. The Over is 3-1-1 last 5 games for South Florida off an ATS loss. Florida State has been solid both running and passing the ball this year. The Seminoles are averaging a whopping 281 yards per game on the ground this season and 293.5
yards per game in the air this year. Combined they are averaging a whopping 574.5 yards per game overall on the season. I think Florida State will put up some huge numbers again tonight and don't be surprised if they come close to getting the Over all by themselves again. Play OVER in South Florida as a *10* TOP Play selection Saturday.



Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *8* (Regular Play) OVER in Central Michigan at Northern Illinois @ 3:30 PM ET – The Central Michigan Chippewas travel to take on the Northern Illinois Huskies on Saturday afternoon. Central Michigan is 2-1 on the season while Northern Illinois comes in at 3-1 overall this year. Central Michigan is scoring 32 points per game on the road this year. Central Michigan is allowing 33 points per game overall this year and 31 points per game on the road this season. Northern Illinois is scoring 32.5 points per game at home this year. The Over is 12-4 the past 3 years when Central Michigan is installed as an underdog. Central Michigan beat Northern Illinois 48-41 last year and I'm seeing a similar outcome here today as far as the total goes as we should see a lot of points scored. The Over is 6-1 last 7 games when Central Michigan is on the road. The Over is 9-2-1 last 13 games overall for Central Michigan. The Over is 7-2
last 9 games when Central Michigan faces a conference opponent. Plenty of scoring here today. Play OVER in Northern Illinois as a *8* Regular Play selection Saturday.



Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *8* (Regular Play) OVER in Baylor at West Virginia @ 12:00 PM ET – The Baylor Bears travel to West Virginia to take on the Mountaineers on Saturday afternoon. Both teams come in with identical 3-0 records on the season. Baylor is scoring 51.3 points per game overall this year and 47 points per game on the road this season. Baylor is allowing 42 points per game on the road this year. West Virginia is scoring 47.3 points per game overall this year and 50 points per game at home this season. Baylor is averaging 568.7 yards per game while West Virginia is averaging 529 yards per game this season. The Over is 20-7 last 27 games overall for Baylor the past 3 years. The Over has cashed 15 out of the past 17 games when Baylor plays against conference opponents. The Over is 12-1 last 13 games the past 3 years when Baylor faces a team with a winning record. These two teams will go up and down the field and go over this total
which is one of the highest totals I've ever seen but makes no difference as it goes OVER easy. Play OVER in West Virginia as a *8* Regular Play selection Saturday.

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | CFB Total Sat 09/29/12 - 7:00 PM

triple-dime bet

W. Kentucky / Arkansas St. Over 55.5

[Mr. IWS]

James Jones
* NCAA FOOTBALL *

2 Units: Duke +2.5 12:30PM EST

While it is only week 5 in the college football season, I believe this
game could be a bowl game elimination type game for both teams. Duke
has lost 12 straight in this series, but I am so impressed with the
improvement the Blue Devils have made every year under David Cutcliff.



Wake Forest is off of a shootout win last week over Army and could be
in a flat position at home. This game kicks off at 12:30 p.m., and I
expect BB&T Field to be three quarters empty at the start. Wake also
struggles with teams that have the ability to beat them in the passing
game.

Look for Duke to get the monkey off their back and get a huge win in
Winston-Salem.

I believe there's a ton of value having Duke and point.

4 Units: Central Florida -2 12:00PM EST



Missouri's SEC debut has been a total flop as they are now 0-2 in the
league. They are in a tough spot Saturday as they will travel to
Orlando to face a mid-major in UCF. The Knights are a solid football
team and would be in contention for a BCS Bowl if not for their bowl
ban. I believe they could actually compete with Florida to fight for
the second best team in state title behind Florida State. That's the
kind of talent George O'Leary has recruited and the caliber of coach
he is.



On the other hand, Missouri is just an incomplete product right now.
James Franklin is playing without any confidence allowing this
attitude to spill over to the entire Missouri team. Look for UCF's
defense to keep uncertainty in Franklin's mind, and get a big home
victory on Saturday. Lay the two points and take Central Florida
(UCF).

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Saturday

100* Play Detroit -240 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 4:00 PM EST

Justin Verlander has won 49 of the last 60 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 31 of the last 39 games vs. division opponents. Justin Verlander has won 28 of the last 37 day games and he has won 64 of the last 94 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

50* Play Milwaukee -250 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Arizona -200 over Chicago (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

VegasTout Football Plays for Saturday


Play Texas Tech -3 over Iowa State—NCAA FOOTBALL TOP PLAY

7:00 PM EST

Texas Tech has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games as a road
favorite and they have also covered the spread in 13 of the last 17
games after allowing 75 or less passing yards in their last game.
Texas Tech has won 8 of the last 9 games coming off a non-conference
game and they are averaging over 50 points a game on offense this
season.


Play TCU -15.5 over SMU—NCAA FOOTBALL TOP PLAY

7:00 PM EST

TCU has won 21 of the last 23 road games as a favorite of 14.5 points
or more and they have also won 10 of the last 11 games when playing in
the month of September. TCU has won 21 of the last 24 games coming
off two or more UNDER the totals and they are only allowing an average
of 4 points a game on defense this year.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Play Miami -3 over NC State---NCAA BONUS PLAY
Play Air Force -14.5 over Colorado State---NCAA BONUS PLAY

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence:

5* GOM (66%) South Florida +17
4* Oklahoma State +2.5
3* Navy +2.5
3* Ole Miss +30

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole
2* TN/GA UNDER 58
2* TX TECH/IOWA ST OVER
2* OLE MISS/BAMA UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

HANDICAPPSTER

Missouri +2 (5 UNITS)
Arkansas +13.5 (5 UNITS)
Texas State +18.5 (3 UNITS)
California -1 (5 UNITS)
SF Giants (3 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
3rd Biggest CF Release
50 DIME Winner #6 of 8
Missouri

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco
10 DIME
REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR
10 DIME WINNER # 9 OF 14
Nebraska

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan
500♦ Oddsmakers Error
La Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
Winning Day #15 of 19
BIGGEST COLLEGE RELEASE THIS YEAR
75 DIME Rivalry Game of the Year
Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien
College Football Winner #3 of 4
50 Dime Quadruple Revenge Game of the Year
Near Pick'em Rivalry about to win BIG!!!
Arizona State Univ

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Hurley

3* Nc State (+2) over MiamiFlorida
2* Duke (+2½) over Wake Forest
2* So Florida (+17) over Florida State

[Mr. IWS]

NCoast Totals
4* Over W kentucky
3* Under Ohio St
3* Under Byffalo
3* Under Missouri

[Mr. IWS]

Lee Earnest 9-29-12 NCAAF SATURDAY *Released on Thursday*

Take Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -2.5 over Virginia Cavilers ***3 Unit*** 3:30pm EST

You would think that by looking at this game it would be a mismatch; An ACC vs a WAC team and I agree, it is a mis-match but not in the sense that most people would think. This is an extremely bad match-up up for Virginia which is why I wanted to get this play out early before the line goes back up.

Louisiana Tech has been a team that has been flying under the radar so far this season but they have been making big time statements in the games that they have played thus far. Louisiana Tech is a pass heavy team that flows up and down the field quickly and can score points in a hurry as shown by the fact that they are scoring an average of 52 points a game. What is even more impressive that LT scoring that many points is by the fact that they have played 2 out of their 3 games on the road. They hung 56 points on Houston in Houston and just blew out Illinois on their home field 52-24. LT is not going to be intimidated coming in to play Virginia on the road. In fact I believe this game is actually a step down in competition from last week.

Louisiana Tech is a pass heavy offense engineered by QB Colby Cameron. Cameron has been nothing short of dominant as he is completing 69% of his passes for 913 yards and 11 touchdowns thus far and has yet to throw an interception. Their up tempo offense is a nightmare for defense to deal with and they can methodically just move up and down the field with relative ease, picking apart the coverages. Bad news for Virginia is that they have 7 freshman and sophomores that make up their secondary. If Cameron can continue to play the way that he has been he should have no problem carving up this inexperienced secondary and completely dominate this game.

On a good note for Virginia, Louisiana Tech does not have a very good defense themselves but it is masked by the fact that their offense can put points up on the board. Virginia's offense should be able to score some points on this defense however for them to remain in this game they are going to have to keep pace with the high octane offense of LT and I just don't think they can do it. Virginia is only averaging 21 points a game and that is just not going to cut it against LT.

Turnovers are going to play a big role in this game. Louisiana Tech is currently on a 10 game win streak that dates back to last season. During this win streak, LT owns a +21 turnover ration. Virginia managed to cough the ball up 4 times last week against TCU. Having to outscore LT is already a feat in itself; the last thing Virginia can do it turn the ball over against this team and give Cameron that extra possession.

Louisiana Tech is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when the line is +3 to -3, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games. UVA is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when the line is +3 to -3, 4-7 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games, and 6-9 ATS in their last 15 home games. Louisiana Tech wins this one and wins this big, by at least a touchdown.


Take Ball St -1 over Kent State. ***2 Unit*** 12:00pm EST

Kent State has yet to play a team worth mentioning this season. They have beaten Towson at home and managed to beat Buffalo on the road in a game where Buffalo just kept shooting themselves in the foot. Kent State's win in that game I believe was attributed more to Buffalo turning the ball over by their own doing rather than play of Kent State. Kent also lost in blowout fashion to a poor Kentucky team 47-14. In my opinion this game is going to be Kent States toughest test to date. If they struggled with Kentucky, I have a feeling they are going to struggle against Ball St.

Ball St on the other hand has been a surprise this season and they are the more battle tested team. They hold victories over Indiana, South Florida and Eastern Michigan. They fell short in Clemson but did manage to put up 27 points in that defeat. Ball St has the edge when it comes to playing the more competitive teams. This game is what I feel a step down in competition and should allow Ball St to move the ball with greater ease and continue building their offense's confidence which just seems to be clicking at the moment. Kent St has thrived on turnovers and Ball St is a very stingy team when it comes to handing the ball over. In the first 2 games Ball turned the ball over 3 times, however in the games against South Florida and Indiana they had zero.

Ball St is 7-2 SU against Kent State since 1992. Kent won the most recent meeting between these 2 teams back in 2010 33-14. This is a different year with different players. Ball St is the better team this season and it will show in this game.


Take Ohio St +3 over Michigan State *** 1 UNIT *** 3:30pm EST


Take Missouri +3 over UCF ***1 Unit*** 12:00pm EST

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 200 units LA MONROE

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Tennessee +14

100* Miami -2

50* Michigan State -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Falcon Sports
TOP Program play for today



Yankees -1.5 (-1.15) 2 units MLB

petitte/romero

Runline play





2012 CFB: 3-4 (-2.80 units)

2012 NFL: 1-4 (-6.80 units)



TOP program play for today



#113 Minnesota +7 (-1.20) 2 units CFB

Buying the half point to the (+7)

[Mr. IWS]

Charlie sports

500* NCAAF Baylor @ West Virginia over 82.
500* NCAAF Louisiana Tech @ Virginia over 60
500* NCAAF. Texas -2


Other Plays

NCAAF. Ohio /state+2' (30*)

NCAAF. West Virginia-11 (20*)

NCAAF. Cincinnati+7 (10*) Free Play

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: Godfather Locks
Minnesota vs. Iowa (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -6.5/-110 Iowa Play Title: 500* LINE ERROR of the DAY
At BetUS
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
For the Noon games I see this line is the "line error of the day". The Minnesota Gophers are 4-0 on the year and have looked good on defense through their first 4 games. Iowa is off to a bad start of 2-2 and coming off a terrible loss at home to Central Michigan. All this being said and the Hawkeyes are a 6.5 point favorite?? How does this make sense? Well we do know that Minnesota QB Grey is out which does affect the offense, but why would Iowa be this heavily favored against a 4-0 Gopher team that has played well. That's what makes this a line error pick of the day. Iowa has lost to Minnesota two straight seasons and that will change today. The defense for Iowa needs to play better and with the strong run game that they have it will help them move the ball on Minnesota. Kirk Ferentz has some pressure on him and today will help his cause. Look for Iowa to win this game by 10 or so and cover the 6.5 points here today. This home crowd is hungry for a win and it would be a start to making this season a better outcome by opening BIG 10 play with a win. Take Iowa -6.5.

Handicapper: Godfather Locks
Colorado State vs. Air Force (NCAAF) - 2:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -14.0/-110 Air Force Play Title: 1000* Early Afternoon Lock
At BetUS
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
12-4-1 in the last 17 1000* picks and I take this selection to an unnoticed game on the board. Colorado State pays a visit to Air Force in the early afternoon games. When I look at Air Force I see a team that is better than a 1-2 team. They lost two straight road games against Michigan, which they were right in, and UNLV, which was a tough spot coming off that hard fought loss to Michigan. Thankfully for this squad they get to come back home and play a Colorado State team that is still trying to find their identity. Not a good spot for the Rams to find themselves on the road against the spread attack from the Falcons. Colorado State's worst loss was most notably in Week 2 when they dropped a 22-7 game at home to North Dakota State. This is a really hard spot for the Rams to come into Air Force and beat a hungry Falcon team. I look for Air Force to do everything they want on offense and will have no problem containing the Rams. Air Force gets a nice bounce back win today after two tough losses on the road. Air Force will be a 1000* early afternoon selection going for winner #13 of 18 with those picks. Air Force -14.

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Edwards's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Saturday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Tennessee at Georgia
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Georgia (-13.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 27, 2012 @ 4:04:57 PM EDT

Georgia has been impressive in racing out to a 4-0 record with wins vs. Buffalo (45-23), at Missouri (41-20), vs. FAU (56-20) and vs. Vandy (48-3). The Bulldogs got their first two victories even though four starters on defense were suspended. We still haven't seen two of those guys, perennial All-SEC safety Baccari Rambo and LB Alec Ogletree, but both will return to the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tennessee. The Vols are struggling mightily on defense, allowing a previously-pedestrian Florida offense to explode for 27 second-half points in a 37-20 loss to the Gators. Then UT allowed Akron to score 26 points and gain 344 yards of total offense. This is the best offense the Vols have faced with UGA's veteran QB Aaron Murray, who has a 10/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and freshman sensation Todd Gurley, who has rushed for 406 yards and six TDs while averaging 9.2 yards per carry. I think the Vols go into this game knowing they need to score at least 31, probably 35-38, points to have a chance at pulling the upset. That's a lot of pressure to put on talented QB Tyler Bray, who isn't getting much help from a stagnant rushing attack. Bray and WRs Justin Hunter and Cordarrelle Patterson are going to make plays and put up points, but I don't see the Vols defense slowing UGA's offense down at all. And when UGA gets the lead, its defense is going to come after Bray with a lot of pressure. I think this will force him into some mistakes and UGA will pull away to cover the double-digit spread.
Matchup: Toledo at W. Michigan
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Toledo (+1.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 11:04:17 AM EDT

This play is all about the quarterbacks. Toledo QB Terrance Owens is playing outstanding right now, as evidenced by nine TD passes and zero interceptions. For his career, Owens has a 40/8 TD-INT ratio. The Rockets are 2-0 ATS on the road this year, losing in overtime at Arizona and winning 34-31 at Wyoming. As for Western Michigan's senior QB Alex Carder, a four-year starter, he is 'out' after sustaining a hand injury last week. Give me Toledo.
Matchup: Wisconsin at Nebraska
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Wisconsin (+13 -110)
Line Source: BetGrande
Posted on: September 26, 2012 @ 11:47:18 AM EDT

I know Wisconsin has been a major disappointment so far this season, but that's why we find the Badgers catching an inflated, double-digit number in this spot. Bret Bielema's team hasn't lost a game by more than 10 points since going down 31-13 at Ohio St. midway through the 2009 campaign. Montee Ball was upgraded to 'probable' late Wednesday morning and even if he's not 100 percent, the Badgers have a veteran RB in James White who might be the best back-up RB in the country. Give me Wisconsin catching double digits.
Member Plays

Matchup: W. Kentucky at Arkansas State
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: W. Kentucky (-2 -110)
Line Source: Stations
Posted on: September 27, 2012 @ 6:08:43 PM EDT

Western Kentucky has won at Kentucky and last week beat the snot out of Southern Miss by a 42-17 score. The Hilltoppers are getting excellent QB play out of Kawaun Jakes, who has completed 70.2 percent of his passes for 806 yards with an 8/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Western Ky. is 3-1 straight up with its lone loss coming at top-ranked Alabama, and it is one of just five teams in the nation with a perfect 4-0 spread record. Arky St. will be without starting LB Qushaun Lee, who is suspended. The Red Wolves aren't what they were last year when they won the Sun Belt. Give me the better team laying the short number in its conference opener

[Mr. IWS]

Christian Alexander's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Saturday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Penn State at Illinois
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Penn State (+1 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: September 27, 2012 @ 10:27:57 PM EDT

The Nittany Lions could very easily be 4-0 this year if not for a blown lead in week 1 where the pressure finally caught up to them in the second half and a 1 point loss in week two where they missed multiple field goals including the game winner at the end. Penn State’ quarterback Matt McGloin has been much better than expected while the Illinois offense has been extremely underwhelming so far. But the key to this game is the fact that defensively Illinois is much better against the run than the pass and Penn St has simply abandoned the run with the departure of Silas Redd and relies entirely on Matt McGloin and the passing game. I look for that trend to continue in this game and look for Penn St to win outright in Champagne this weekend.

Matchup: Indiana at Northwestern
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Northwestern (-11 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 5:01:19 PM EDT

Northwestern is 4-0 this year with wins over 3 BCS teams while still getting no respect. Indiana on the other hand has 2 wins over an FCS and a 1st yr FBS program. NW RB Venric Mark has been the sensational this year averaging 179 all-purpose yards per game which ranks 8th nationally. Northwestern won this game at Indiana last year 59-38 and is even better this year. Northwestern will take advantage of the IU back-up quarterbacks and roll in this game early and ride Mark to an easy cover.

Matchup: Miami (OH) at Akron
Time: 2:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Miami (OH) (-3 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 9:47:27 AM EDT

Terry Bowden has certainly improved an Akron team that has struggled in years past. But this line is much too low based on The Redhawks lackluster performance last week against a very poor UMass team, while Akron hung around against Tennessee for a half before being blown out in the second half. The ‘hawks will certainly be ready to play this week against Akron and should have no problem scoring often against an Akron defense that ranks 115th in the country in scoring defense. Miami (OH) will simply put too many points on the board for Akron to stay in this game and I’ll gladly take the Redhawks only laying a FG.

Matchup: Boise State at New Mexico
Time: 6:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Boise State (-25.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 9:47:01 AM EDT

While the Boise offense has certainly taken a sharp decline since the departure of Kellen Moore, the defense has been very sharp thus far. This week they take on a New Mexico offense that has also struggled under Bob Davie when facing quality defenses. While the number may seem big for a struggling offense, sooner than later Boise is going to improve under QB Joe Southwick and I look for that to take place this week as the Boise defense will allow them to play with a comfortable lead, dominate the TOP and wear down the New Mexico defense as a result. I also expect a defensive TD or two for Boise in this game as they cover with ease against a team that they are extremely more talented than.


Matchup: Texas-San Antonio at New Mex St
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: New Mex St (+1.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 9:45:47 AM EDT

UTSA is 4-0. UTSA has not beaten a single team you have ever heard of. Point being, they have managed to make themselves look much better than they are and thus deflated this line significantly. While New Mexico State is 1-3 and has certainly not played SEC caliber competition they have at least competed against DI schools. This will be a step up in class for UTSA and the bottom line is that New Mexico is simply a more talent team and playing at home should win this game by at least a touchdown.
Member Plays

Matchup: Mississippi at Alabama
Time: 9:15 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Alabama (-29.5 -110)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: September 27, 2012 @ 10:29:21 PM EDT

Ole Miss has two very large problems in this game. The Bama defense is as fast if not faster than the Ole Miss Spread attack on offense, and the Ole Miss defense was completely exposed to the tune of 66 points against a Texas offense that is very similar in style. Bama likes to run the ball first avg 204 yards per game and QB A.J. McCarron has 10 TDs with no INT’s on the season. While Alabama may not match the 66 points put up by Texas on Ole Miss, I just don’t see them having any trouble moving up and down the field while limiting Ole Miss on offense. Nick Saban was openly upset at his team’s performance last week against Florida Atlantic and I look for them to come and more than make up for that in this game.

I have dominated the books the last two weeks with a 12-4 (75%) record. I have the rest of my Saturday selections already posted so be sure to get the rest of my expert selections now including a discount on my season package!

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: Texas at Oklahoma St
Time: 7:50 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Over (65.0 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 27, 2012 @ 10:29:21 PM EDT

Texas Quarterback David Ash has looked far better this year completing 76% of his passes while throwing for 7 TD’s and no INT’s. Yet the key to the Texas offense has been the running game where they are averaging 259 yards a game. They are facing a an Oklahoma St defense that ranks 81st in the country and gave up 59 points to an avg Arizona offense in week 2. As a result each of the first three Oklahoma St games has hit the over. If you take out the Savannah St shutout that number is even worse. The Texas defense on the other hand has been spotty at best this year giving up big plays against Ole Miss and Wyoming. Oklahoma St will probably be without starting quarterback Wes Lunt, however their talented backup J.W. Walsh threw for 347 yards on 30 pass plays when he came in against UL Lafayette. I think both teams will look to exploit the hidden weaknesses so far on defense and I think this game ends up in the mid to high 70’s when it’s all said and done.

[Mr. IWS]

James Manos's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Saturday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: NC State at Miami (FL)
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: NC State (+3 -120)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 7:16:48 AM EDT

I am high on this Wolfpack team this year and despite their disappointing effort in their opener vs Tennessee, I still feel they can have a solid season. This is not the Miami team your dad knew. The Hurricanes do possess talent and speed but they are small and young and defensively they leave alot to be desired. The Wolfpack own an advantage at the QB position with SR Glennon being one of the ACC's best, they also own a distinct HC advantage and the Wofpack have been good (13-8 ATS) as an away dog under O'Brien. NC State enters off of easy games vs South Alabama and The Citadel so they should be well prepped and rested for their ACC opener while the Canes enter on the heels of a wild affair at Georgia Tech and with Notre Dame on deck. I think the better team is getting points here and will grab the plus.

Aloha.
Matchup: Ball State at Kent
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Kent (+3 -110)
Line Source: Stations
Posted on: September 29, 2012 @ 10:35:47 AM EDT

I've been impressed by what Ball St. has done so far this season and their two SU dog wins in the last two weeks have been impressive, but that just sets them up for a poor performance here. Ball St. gets it done with all offense and they'll face the MAC's best D here. Kent St. impressed me in their win over Buffalo and their RB tandem should be able to punish the middle of a weak Cardinal front seven. Kent St. has been the hottest ATS team in the MAC since the middle of LY and continue to improve. I was going to table this play but with the line moving in the wrong direction and now giving us the benefit of the full +3, I'll jump in and grab the points.

Aloha.
Matchup: Tulsa at UAB
Time: 3:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: UAB (+16 -110)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: September 29, 2012 @ 9:55:53 AM EDT

In case you haven't figured it out yet, I'm not a fan of this Tulsa team. I've gone agains them twice this season as inflated faves and been rewarded both times, so I'll do it again here. This UAB team is no great shakes but it can be argued that this will be the weakest opponent they've faced so far this season. Tulsa QB Green has not been good and this is an usual and difficult roadtrip. Tulsa has scored just 23 and 27 pts vs their two legit opponents and a similar outburst here will make it difficult to cover the more than 2 TD spot. UAB can do enough offensively to keep this game closer than expected. Grab the points.

Aloha.
Matchup: Louisiana Tech at Virginia
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Virginia (+3.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 29, 2012 @ 10:31:09 AM EDT

I am high on this La. Tech team but this is not a favorable situation for them and after LW's upset of Illinois they find themselves overvalued here. Virginia has played a tougher schedule and own the better defense. La. Tech is superior offensively but this is a tough travel for them especiall of a SU road dog win last week. Virginia needs better QB play but have the secondary talent and size to compete here. I think the Cavaliers can pull the outright upset here and I'll grab the points.

Aloha.
Matchup: Arizona State at California
Time: 4:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: California (+1.5 -110)
Line Source: BetGrande
Posted on: September 29, 2012 @ 9:29:08 AM EDT

I am suprised by the line shift here and even more suprised that Cal remained as a home dog until gameday. I think the Bears are undervalued and have faced a very diffcult schedule YTD. Arizona St. is improved but are breaking in a new coach for conference play and have benefitted from playing several teams starting backup QB's. Cal must see an improvement in their OL play but if they can protect QB Maynard they'll win this game easily.

Aloha.
Matchup: W. Kentucky at Arkansas State
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Over (58.0 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 7:16:48 AM EDT

This play is based mostly on our offensive efficiency ratings as I have both teams projected to score >30 points. In addtion, my numbers call for both teams to rush and pass for more than 200 yards apiece and that is a strong indicator for offensive success. My numbers made the total for this game 63 so we do gain some value. WKU returns a talented offensive unit while Arkansas St. gets the benefit of offensive guru HC Malzahn in his home conference opener (breaking out the bag of tricks?), so I expect some offensive fireworks. This number playable up to 59.5 but grab it before it gets there. OVER.

Aloha.
Matchup: Texas at Oklahoma St
Time: 7:50 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Under (66.0 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: September 28, 2012 @ 7:16:48 AM EDT

This number on the decline and with good reason as the opener was inflated and this number is still too high. Both of these defensvie units will be better than the offenses they face and also will have much more experience. Texas has been a defensive minded school since their fall from grace and I don't see that changing so quickly, despite their apparent improvement offensively this season. OSU is typically an offensive dynamo but return a talented defense and a will be staring a backup rFR QB here. The Cowboys can protect their young QB with a quality ground game and with an extra week to prepare (both teams off byes) expect these defenses to be well prepared for formations and schemes. I think this game stays close, leading both coaches to lean on their experienced units and keep this game lower scoring. Don't be fooled by OSU's offensive success vs the three patsy defenses they've faced. UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Scott stylze 9/28
Iowa -6.5
Indiana +11
MTSU +26
wvu -11

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

3* NM st. +1
3* navy +2.5
2*WV und. 82
2*Cal +1
2* S Ala +10
2* B.C. +9.5 (now @7)
1* Ariz -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

LA Syndicate
Top - Over Fresno St, Toledo, Air Force, Over Alabama
Regular - Texas, Over Utah St, Over Rice

[Mr. IWS]

Chicago Syndicate
Top - Cincinnati, Louisiana Tech, Purdue, Ohio St, UL Monroe
Regular - Over Duke, Over Alabama, Akron

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastman
Nebraska Cornhuskers -11.5 over Wisconsin Badgers
Illinois Fighting Illini -1 over Penn State Nittany Lions
Under 42 iOhio State Buckeyes @ Michigan State Spartans
Western Michigan Broncos -1.5 over Toledo Rockets
Georgia Bulldogs -13.5 over Tennessee Volunteers

[Mr. IWS]

jack jones

25* total goy tnn/ga un 61.5
15*iowa -7
15*ca. -1
15*iowa st. +3
15*fl.int.+7
15*w.mich +1
15*az.-2

[Mr. IWS]

ASA

Nebraska

[Mr. IWS]

North Coast

4* N Mexico St
4* N Mexico
3* Fresno
3* CaL
3* Ohio St

[bhn2bill]

ASA

Nebraska

A T S .....They have thier Grand Slam out today. Does anybody have it ?

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian

100* DUKE
100* NC STATE
200* AIR FORCE
200* SAN DIEGO STATE
100* TCU
100* CAL
100* ARIZONA
100* IOWA STATE
100* VA
400* PRIVATE PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club

8 UConn
8 Tex A&M
8 MINN
8 ARZ St.
7 TCU

[Mr. IWS]

purelock

florida st
south carolina

[Mr. IWS]

ASA

Purdue 10 star Midwest goy