10-8-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #435 Houston (-8) over N.Y. Jets (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 8)

I know that everyone has spent the week banging on the Jets. And the idea is that they are going to step up and they are going to put forward a gutty underdog effort on Monday Night Football and pull out a stunning upset. Well, it's not going to happen. This Jets team sucks. There is just not beating around the bush. They have horrible talent, bad schemes, and they are playing without some of their best players on both sides of the ball. People forget that even when they were going to AFC Championship Games, they were doing so as big underdogs making crazy late season runs. This team was never among the elite in football. And now that a lot of the veteran talent and toughness has moved on from this roster what is left is a debacle from the top down. Their blowout win over bumbling Buffalo was a fluke. They got hammered by 17 at Pittsburgh, they were down 10-0 before fluking out an OT win over a feeble Miami team, and they were crushed by 37 by San Fran. Well, Houston does everything that San Francisco does. And some things they do better. So if the Jets had a hard time staying within six touchdowns of the Niners at home they are going to have a tough time staying within 20 points of the Texans. If Houston gets up by a couple touchdowns in this game the crowd is going to go ballistic. The Tebow chants are going to start and this entire thing may turn into a circus. The Jets very well may have an inspired effort on MNF. But that will wear off. And their glaring lack of talent, poise, quality quarterback play, defensive front seven pressure, attention to detail, and (again) talent is going to catch up with them. Houston wins 30-10.

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine

PP Houston -8 57.4%

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

Houston -8 NY JETS 41.5

Houston would qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 510-328-23 if they are favored by seven or less points. Numbers favor Houston by 10.5 points and project about 41 points. The Jets are struggling and are extremely banged up at the receiver position and, of course, are playing without Revis at cornerback. If this line were to come down to -7 or lower I would make Houston a best bet. As it is, I will just lean their way. Houston has a much better defense and offense in this game. HOUSTON 26 NY JETS 13

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
2-Unit Play. #495. Take Winnipeg +13.5 over Montreal (Monday @ 1pm est).

This is a revenge game for Winnipeg and we're going to take it easy on this play. Winnipeg has consistently done well as a double-digit underdog. When Winnipeg faced lost 26-36 to Montreal earlier this year, this is a revenge opportunity for them. Winnipeg also comes off a very disappointing contest against Toronto losing 10-29 in a game they were favored by 3 points. Sure, Montreal lost to Hamilton but I just don't see them getting up for Winnipeg here at home and consequently, I like Winnipeg to step-up with revenge as Montreal likely looks ahead to another upcoming game. The Blue Bombers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games coming off an ATS loss and the Alouettes of Montreal are 2-5 ATS when they face a team with a losing record.

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

436 NYJ 9.0(-125) vs. 435 HOU triple-dime

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL

TOP (3 UNITS)

TEXANS -7 (-130) at jets

[Mr. IWS]

David Chan

Monday SUPER ASSASSIN *****10*****
"FIRST HALF ASSASSIN" on the New York Jets.

[Mr. IWS]

R.a.w. Football

2* = houston

[Mr. IWS]

CRAIG DAVIS

Monday night's free play is the Texans-Jets Over the total.

2* HOUSTON-N.Y. JETS OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover's Pick Pack

NFL Monday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Houston at N.Y. Jets
Time: 8:35 PM EDT (Mon)
Play: Houston (-8 -110)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: October 5, 2012 @ 2:46:48 AM EDT

Through the first month of the season, the Texans have been the best team in football. The Texans are 4-0 for the first time in their 11-year history. They have been a pointspread covering machine going 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games.

They are anxious to show the country on national television, especially in the media center of the nation, just how good they are.

The Jets were a very flawed team before losing Darrelle Revis, their best defensive player, and Santonio Holmes, their lone playmaker on offense. Now they are a team in deep trouble devoid of their weapons and swagger.

The Texans aren't the kind of team that beats themselves. They have a balanced offense with the top running back in the league in Arian Foster. Matt Schaub is an accurate game-manager with receiving weapons Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels.

Wade Phillips, with the addition of J.J. Watt, has built Houston into a dominant defense. The Jets are going to have problems scoring and their defense is far from elite minus Revis.

Look for the Texans to grind out a double-digit victory.

[Mr. IWS]

Ed Meyer's Pick Pack

NFL Guaranteed Pick

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: Houston at N.Y. Jets
Time: 8:35 PM EDT (Mon)
Play: N.Y. Jets (+9 -120)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 8, 2012 @ 6:43:27 AM EDT

The 49ers were in a fantastic spot last week and the Jets had no chance. Here it is the Texans who are in a terrible spot, so we’ll grab the ample points.
TD-plus road favorites are 0-12-1 ATS when they are off a game as a TD-plus home favorite when their opponent has won more than 1/3 of their games. The SDQL text is:
A and line<=-7 and p:H and p:line<=-7 and o:WP>33.4 and 20041201<=date
Since 2010, there have been three active games and the big favorite lost straight up every time. The Saints lost to the Seahawks as a 10-point favorite in the 2010 playoffs, the Bills upset the Patriots 27-24 getting 7’ last season and the Packers lost to the Chiefs 19-14 laying 12 in Kansas City. The last time this was active on Monday Night (week 13, 2007), the Pats were laying 20 points to an injured Ravens’ squad. The Pats needed late heroics from Tom Brady – just to get the lead -- and then their defense had to stop the Ravens on the 2-yard line after a long completion as time expired to eke out a 27-24 victory. Also, the League is 0-13 ATS as a TD-plus road favorite – not off their bye -- when they are were favored in each of their last two games and recorded at least three sacks in each. Check it out with this SDQL text:
A and line<=-7 and 3<=tp:sacks and 3<=tpp:sacks and p:F and pp:F and 20051101<=date and NB
The Jets have been very tough in their second straight home game, going 9-0 ATS (8.0 ppg) in their second home game in as many weeks. They upset the Patriots 28-14 in this spot in 2010. The SDQL is:
team=Jets and H and p:H and NB and 20060101<=date
As for Houston, they are 0-9 ATS in franchise history when they are off a win in which they committed fewer than four penalties and had a time-of-possession of less than 35 minutes. The SDQL text is:
p:W and phttp://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/tongue.gifenalties<=3 and team=Texans and p:TOP<2100
There’s no denying that the Jets were dominated by the 49ers last week. However, NY is 11-0 ATS when they are off a game in which they had fewer than 28 minutes of possession time and trailed by double-digits after the third quarter, as long as they managed at least 40 rushing yards. Check it out with this SDQL:
p:M3<=-10 and p:TOP<1680 and team=Jets and p:RY>=40 and 20051201<=date
A wounded, cornered dog can be dangerous vs an overconfident team. Grab the points.
MTi’s FORECAST: NY JETS 17 Houston 20

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Washington +101 ver ST. LOUIS
Losing a playoff game is one thing but losing in the fashion that the Cardinals lost last night is going to be difficult to rebound from. Up 2-1 in the bottom of the seventh, St. Louis loaded the bases with none out with its 4-5-6 hitters due up. They failed to score, Washington scored twice in the eighth and it was game over.

As we’ve seen with both Detroit and Cincinnati, the game one winner has a big psychological edge heading into game two, knowing they’re coming home for three games with at least one win.

From May 26th to September 15th, the Cardinals lost seven of Jaime Garcia’s eight starts. For most of the year, he had been the weakest link in the Cardinals rotation has been the rotation with a 4.41 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 44%/25% quality start/disaster start split. Garcia’s skills have dropped from stellar rookie season with less strikeouts. He’s also been hit hard by lefties.

Jordan Zimmerman has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the game with full skills support. He has outstanding control, a good K rate and a groundball bias profile. He almost always gives the Nats a better chance of winning than losing. With game 1 in the bag, the Nationals really have a chance to put a stranglehold on this series. All year they’ve answered the bell and this one should be no different.

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

3* NY Jets +9

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

3* NY JETS+9

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play NY Yankees -135 over Baltimore (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Andy Pettitte has won 15 of the last 18 games coming off a team win and he has won 10 of the last 15 road games. Andy Pettitte is 22-6 vs. Baltimore over his career with an ERA of 3.53 and he has an ERA of 1.62 over the last three starts.

50* Play Washington -105 over St. Louis (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

BOB BALFE

St. Louis Cardinals -109, 7.5
10/08/2012 4:30 PM

SELECTION: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -109
Garcia/Zimmermann
This is a pivotal game historically in series. Most teams that win game 2 usually advance. The Cardinals have been down this road before while this is all new to Washington. The Nationals are lucky this game is in the afternoon, but the pressure will remain the same. Until they prove they are a playoff team by putting a strangle hold on the Cardinals you have to take the more experienced team. Take St. Louis.

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles - YANKEES TO WIN (-132)
Listed Pitchers: Pettitte vs Chen
(note: I'm risking 2.64 units to win 2.00 units)

As I mentioned the Yankees took a 1-0 lead in the series last night winning 7-2 with a big 9th inning. The Yankees will send the a;;-time leader in playoff victories, Andy Pettitte, to the mound tonight. Since returning from an ank;e injury in September Pettitte went 2-1 with a 1.62 ERA over three starts. On the year he is 5-4 with a 2.87 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .232 opponents batting average. He hasn't faced Baltimore this year. Orioles have Wei-Yin Chen pitching, who has 12-11 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and .250 opponents batting average in his rookie season. In September he went 0-3 over 5 starts with a 5.90 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and .284 opponents batting average, but he did finish off with a quality start in Tampa Bay to end the season. New York has gotten to Chen this season, as he has faced them 4 times going 1-2 with a 5.25 ERA. Note that the Yankees are 8-2 in Pettitte's last 10 starts as a road favorite between -110 to -150, 37-14 in his last 51 starts overall, and 11-5 in his last 16 road starts. Also note that the Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs a lefty starter, while the Orioles are just 1-4 in their last 5 vs a left handed starter. The Yankees are 23-9 in their last 32 meetings in Baltimore, and 19-7 in Pettitte's last 26 starts vs the Orioles. The Orioles aren't going to rollover for the Yankees, but I like the veteran to out pitch the rookie tonight as the Yankees continue their success against Chen. Take New York to go up 2-0.

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd
(NFL) NY Jets +8

None

(MLB) St Louis Cardinals ML -111

[Mr. IWS]

Hollywood Sports

Houston Texans at New York Jets
Prediction: New York Jets

The Jets (2-2) are probably facing their lowest point of the season right now after their 34-0 loss to San Francisco last week. The future looks even bleaker given the season-ending injuries to cornerback Derrelle Revis and wide receiver Santonio Holmes. Given all that, it may be very tempting for some to take Houston (4-0) as the road favorite given that many consider them the best team in football. Please go right ahead if that is your sentiment -- but I consider that Fool's Gold to lay more than a touchdown on a road team getting all this love from the media right now against a desperate team that everyone seems to be counting out. New York managed only a mere 145 yards of offense last week against the 49ers defense -- but they have then covered the point spread in 11 of their last 16 games after failing to generate at least 250 total yards in their last game. Additionally, the Texans are a mere 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games played in the month of October. They look vulnerable to a flat performance in this one. Team trends are valuable in spots like this since they help expose the particularly personality of a group players. Under head coach Rex Ryan, the Jets tend to respond to adversity. The Jets plus the points is the smart play in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Johnny Serronne

Jets +9 (4 UNITS)
NYJ/Hou OVER 40.5 (4 UNITS)
NYY/Bal OVER 8 (4 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

marquee under 40

2* Jets +9

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Michaels

Monday's Play

100 Dime Play on Houston as the road favorite against New York. As I release this play at 12:30 AM here in Vegas on Monday morning, the Texans are -9 in this Monday night Metlife Stadium contest.

I like to choose my spots, being very selective, and today's one of those days as I've got my 100 Dime NFL Winner # 23 of 29 on the Texans-Jets, my Monday Night LIne Error Lock of the Year.


Craig Davis

Monday's Action...


50 Dime Play tonight in the NFL is on the New York Jets as the home ungrdog against the visitjing Houston Texans. As of 7:30 am eastern time, the Jets are listed as the +9 point underdog agninst the Texans both in Vegas and the offshore books.


50 DIME - NEW YORK JETS --- Yep, I'm siding with the New York Jets. I know, I know... I must be crazy for backing the Jets, huh? No Darrelle Revis, no Santonio Holmes, no running game, and apparently no passing game either.





Matt Rivers

Monday's Selection ...

For Monday in the NFL, 250,000♦ Winner #7 of 10 on the visgting Houston Texans as the road favjorite against the host New York Jets. At the time I release this selecnion your way, the Texans are the -9 point favorite both in Vegas and offshore.



Jeff Benton

Monday's Action

30 Dime winner going out in the NFL on the visitgng Texans of Houston as the 9-point favjorite (at the time I release this one) both in Vegas and offshore agannst the Jets.

Big road favorite to come through in a 12-point win and cover.




Chris Jordan

Monday's winner...

My 200♦ Teaser Winner for tonight is going to be the HOUSTON TEXANS and UNDER, against the New York Jets at the Meadowlands. I am releasing this game at 6:30 a.m. Pacific, and I currently see the line at a majority of Las Vegas and/or Offshore Sports Books at Houston -8 and 40.


That makes this teaser Houston -2 and Under 46.



Scott Delaney

Monday's winner...

My 25-Dime Winner for today is on the Houston Texans, who are visiting the New York Jets at the Meadowlands in New Jersey in an 8:30 p.m. eastern kickoff. As I release this game at 10 a.m. eastern, the line I am seeing at a majority of Las Vegas and Offshore sports books is Houston -8.



Anthony Redd

Monday's Play

30 Dime selgction on the New York Jets against the Houston Texans. As I rejlease this play at 7:45 am Pacific in Vegas, the line on New York is averaging +9 in Vegas and offshnre.




Chuck O'Brien

Monday's Winner...

I love my 30 Dime Wgnner tonight, as I'm siding with the New York Yankees, as I think they're going to go up 2-0 on the Baltimore Orioles in their American League Playoff in Baltimore, Maryland. As I reljase this game at 8:20 a.m. pacific, I see on this game is New York -135, in sports books here in Las Vegas and also Offshnre.



Al DeMarco - GM

Monday's Play

15 Dime Play on Houston as the road favorite against New York. The visiting Texans are a -9 point favorite in Vegas and offshore as of 11:25 AM Pacific time.

[Mr. IWS]

4-STAR Washington over ST LOUIS - There was a reason St. Louis needed to get the first game of the series (and they couldn't). Now their backs are against the wall here, facing a pitcher in Jordan Zimmermann who has been very good of late - stepping in as a de facto ace for the team since Stephen Strasburg has been shutdown. Look for another such performance from him tonight.


Washington won yesterday's series opener, 3-2. They only allowed St. Louis three hits in the game. The Nationals are 19-3 since April 07, 2012 on the road after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $1768. Also, the Nationals are 7-0 since April 07, 2012 on the road after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits in a day game for a net profit of $770.
The Nats had eight hits and left 22 on base individually. The Nationals are 12-1 since May 05, 2012 after a win in which they left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1145. On the opposite side, the Cardinals are 7-16 since April 13, 2012 after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1248 when playing against.
St. Louis struck out eight times in that game and in general is susceptible to strikeouts. The Nationals are 9-2 since April 25, 2012 when Jordan Zimmermann starts on the road vs a team that has averaged 7+ strikeouts per game for a net profit of $783
Garcia was good in his last start as well, an important win over Cincinnati where he allowed two runs, and no homers, in 6.2 innings. The Cardinals are 1-6 since April 23, 2012 when Jaime Garcia starts after going at least 6 innings and giving up no home runs at home for a net profit of $610 when playing against.
It was an efficient start, needing just 90 pitches to face 26 batters. The Cardinals are 2-8 since April 23, 2012 when Jaime Garcia starts when he is off a start in which he needed fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter for a net profit of $730 when playing against. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Washington 4, ST LOUIS 2

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy 4 UNIT play on the NY YANKEES -135

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* NY Jets +8

3* St Louis Cardinals -111

[Mr. IWS]

Charlie Sports


500* Jets +9
500* Houston/Jets Over 41
500* Yanks/Balty Over 8


Balty +125

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY

NY Jets/ Houston Over 40: Surprise!!! And Your Welcome Scotti ( I Hope LOL). anyway I see this game as going over. The Jets have been having major problems scoring and that Houston defense is one of the best in the league, yet the OU Line is still at 40 and it opened at 42. Hmmm makes ya think. Why is the OU line so high, when only on team can score? Well I see the NY offense breaking out a bit and putting some points on the board in this one. Mark Sanchez has struggled this year, but with all the talk in NY about them putting Tebow in I expect him to have a decent showing. Even if he doesn't then Ryan will most certainly insert Tebow and that will give this NY offense a jolt. Tebow is a completely different type of QB than Sanchez and having him in there my confuse this Houston defense just enough to get a at least a couple TD's. NY has offensive injuries, especially will Holmes out for the year, but they also have plenty of defensive injuries and that should allow this Houston offense that has averaged 31.5 ppg on the year. Houston is mostly about the run and the Jets allow 172 ypg on the ground, which once the run is established then the Texans will have some easy throwing lanes vs the depleted NY secondary. The obvious here is to take the Under, but the Jets will find a way to score, while the Houston offense will take aim at a weak defense and put points of their own on the board. Look for 45+ in this one.
POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play the Over in any game where the OU line is between 35.2 and 42 points an a team (Houston) outscores their opponents by 7+ points ppg and they are off a 21+ point win and facing a team that has been outscored by 3 to 7 ppg on the year. This play is 30-7 since 1983.

OTHER PLAY

2 UNIT PLAY

6 POINT TEASER --- NY Jets +15 & Over 34

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

NY Yanks -135 over BALTIMORE: Andy Pettite is excellent in the post season (19 wins) and he has simply owns this team, going 27-6 with a 3.52 ERA in 42 appearances (40 Starts) vs the O's and he has allowed 2 ER's or less in 7 of his last 8 starts vs them. Amazing numbers indeed. Andy has a solid start to his year, but was then injured. Well he came back just as strong, going 2-1 with a 1.62 ERA since his return from the DL. On the other side Wei-Yin Chen has not been hot of late, going 0-4 with a 5.04 ERA in his last 6 starts, plus he was just 1-2 with a 5.25 ERA in 4 starts vs the Yanks this year. The NY offense is hot right now, averaging 6.9 rpg in their last 10 games, while also posting 7.6 rpg in their last 5 games in this park. NY has the experience on post season ball on their side, that have a huge edge on the mound and their offense is playing very well right now. NY should head home with a 2-0 lead.

OTHER PLAY

2 UNIT PLAY

Washington/ St Louis Over 7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Andrew Lange MNF

10* 1st Half jets/texans over 20

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard MLB Money Line Mon, 10/08/12 - 4:37 PM

double-dime bet 918 STL (-108) vs 917 WAS
Analysis: St. Louis v. Washington

The St. Louis Cardinals lost Game 1 in tough fashion, but they should bounce back in Game 2. The Cardinals lost just two or more consecutive home games just seven times this season, as they posted a 50-31 record at home. With their backs against the wall and a very veteran ballclub, they certainly know the importance of this game. Jaime Garcia, the Cardinals starter, will be making his sixth career postseason start while Nationals starter Jordan Zimmermann will be taking the ball in the playoffs for the first time in his career.

The current Cardinals lineup is 26-for-76 (.342) against Zimmermann with an .898 OPS. In this case, with the Cardinals in more of a must-win situation, with the more veteran ballclub, and the crowd behind them, the advantage goes to the Cardinals.

PLAY: ST. LOUIS

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers
10* Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
Monday Night:
50 Jets
50 Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

Godfather locks
Jets +9

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Jets