10-19-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.


Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

UConn/Cuse 'Never Lost' 6-0 ATS *Friday Night Feast*
4* (NCAAF) Syracuse -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Platinum Plays

400K Big East Lock

the Syracuse Orangemen -4 over
the Connecticut Huskies

Best Bets

the St Louis Cardinals w/Lynn -130 over
the San Francisco Giants

the San Francisco/St Louis Game OVER
the Total Of 7 Runs

PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK

the Connecticut/Syracuse Game UNDER
the Total Of 43½ Points

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 You

October's Friday Night College Football Total of the Month!!!!!
Connecticut/Syracuse under 43 1/2

MLB Best Bets
San Francisco/St Louis over 7

[Mr. IWS]

Freddy Wills


Syracuse +3 / U50 -130 4.5* NCAAF POD; Syracuse -4 2.2* play


Uconn has won all of the last 5 meetings between these two teams but they have been the home team for much of this series lately. The home team is actually 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games and the favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings which gives Syracuse an advantage.


Things to know:
Both teams rely on their defense. Both are in the top 20 in ypc run defense and both are in the top 10 in sack %. Uconn likes to run the ball more than pass while Syracuse has been traditionally a pass first offense led by senior Ryan Nassib.


Uconn:
Uconn is off a crushing loss to Temple and once agai the issues was with their defense. QB Chandler Whitmer has been under pressure all year leading to 10 interceptions and tonight will be no different with Syracuse being 10th in sack%, but improving drastically when they are inside the Carrier Dome with a 13.33% sack %. On defense the Huskies have benefited largely on defense from facing teams that just do not have an aerial attack. Syracuse is 16th in yards per game passing and throw the ball 61% of the time. While Uconn has been good against the pass they have done it against an average passing offense ranked 79th. They did go on the road to play Western Michigan who is 26th in passing play % and they lost 24-30. Both teams should fall to the passing game because both teams are so good at stopping the run and that advantage immediately turns to Syracuse.


Syracuse:
At home their offense has been dangerous this year, but facing Uconn should provide a stiff task. Uconn is 8th in sack %, but then again Syracuse has protected Nassib at home allowing him to get sacked just 3.03% of his drop backs. He also has two of the most prolific receivers in Syracuse history in Marcus Sales and Alec Lemon. Lemon had 9 receptions and 157 yards in last years loss. The thing that has cost Syracuse a .500 or winning record has been mistakes and turnovers as well as an inconsistent running game. However, being back at home with more experience I’m confident they have a significant enough of an advantage in this game to win and cover the spread while the total goes under. Uconn’s defensive line is banged up and they are sending LB to get to the QB which Nassib should be able to beat if he has studied tape at all.


Red Zone and 3rd Down Keys:
Syracuse is better in the red zone on offense and defense and being at home only helps that situation more. Offensively they are nothing special with 54% TD’s whiel Uconn has 4 less attempts and 50% TD percentage while just 25% in Big East play. Defensively Uconn is allowing 70% TD’s when opponents get in the red zone which fortunately does not happen often, just 10 times this year, but we mentioned the weak opponent offenses that Uconn has faced which has played a key role in that. In big east play they have been worse allowing 83% of RZ opportunities to turn into TD’s while Syracuse is much tougher allowing 42% TD’s in red zone in Big East play. 3rd downs are very similar, but Syracuse holds an edge on offense as they are 44th and they did it against some good defenses that have an average 47th third down defense while Uconn is 79th and faced an average 53rd ranked third down defense. Defensively Uconn is 12th allowing just 30.36% conversions but on average they faced a third down offense ranked 88th while Syracuse is 71st and faced an average offense ranked 73rd. At the end of the day both rushing attacks have struggled Syracuse 98th, Uconn 117th and both run defenses have been great ranked inside the top 20 so this game will immediately turn to the QB. Neither one have been really impressive. Nassib, 65% 11 TD/ 8 INT, Whitmer 58% 6TD, 10 INT. Syracuse is 123rd in TO margin Uconn is 109th which holds no significant advantage in this game. I like the under because of the importance of this game and the strengths of the defenses. Ultimately Syracuse is home and is healthier on the defensive line and should be able to give the opposing QB more troubles than Uconn can resulting in a big win.

[Mr. IWS]

PAUL LEINER

50* Cardinals RL -1.5 +140

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Connecticut Huskies vs. Syracuse Orange

Former Syracuse coach Paul Pasqualoni returns to the Carrier Dome in Syracuse, NY for the first time in eight years when he brings his Connecticut Huskies (3-4, 2-4-1) to town to take on the Syracuse Orange (2-4, 1-4-1 ATS) Friday night at 8:00 ET on ESPN. Pasqualoni was fired by the Orange in 2004 after 14 years at the Syracuse helm, so emotions could be running high here. It also helps that his Huskies have the eighth ranked pass defense in the country to combat the 14th ranked passing offense of Syracuse.

Despite throwing the ball up and down the field for 316.0 yards per game led by quarterback Ryan Nassib, the Orange have still not covered a point spread since a 42-29 loss to USC at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey back in Week 2, and in the last four games they have two non-covering wins including a lackluster 28-17 win over Stony Brook out of the FCS and two losses, the most recent of which came at Rutgers 23-15 last week. Nassib threw for 356 yards in that defeat but he also threw two interceptions while getting practically zero support from a running game that produced a measly 62 rushing yards on 32 carries (1.9 YPC). That has been the story for Syracuse all season as the Orange rank 97th in the county at 3.6 yards per rush overall, and even that low figure is enhanced by rushing for 214 yards on 45 carries (4.8 YPC) vs. Stony Brook. Teams have figured out that the Orange will not improve there running game any time soon, and that has resulted in Nassib throwing five interceptions vs. just two touchdown passes over the last three games vs. teams knowing that he has to throw. He now has 11 touchdowns vs. eight interceptions on the season, and he has a terrible one-to-one ratio vs. FBS teams once you factor out the three-touchdown, no-interception performance vs. Stony. He is now facing the stiffest pass defense he has faced yet with the Huskies allowing just 5.7 yards per pass attempt and boasting one of the premier pass-rushers in the country in Trevardo Williams, who finished fifth in the nation in sacks last season and already has 7 this year.

Do you think Pasqualoni is looking forward to shutting down the Syracuse passing attack, just about rendering the Orange offense useless? It is a good thing that he figures to be successful in that regard because the Connecticut offense has resembled something out of the Stone Age, ranking 109th in the land in total offense and 111th in scoring at 19.0 points per game. However there is a ray of hope there in that quarterback Chandler Whitmer has improved steadily over his first year as a starter, and he had his best performance yet last week, albeit in a 17-14 overtime loss to Temple, as he threw for 293 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Granted he is now facing a 27th ranked Syracuse passing defense, but the Orange still rank just 72nd at 7.2 yards per pass attempt allowed, an indication that they have been susceptible to big plays.

The Huskies generally bounce back well from adversity as they are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss, which is also evidence that good defensive teams rarely go into slumps. Syracuse is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games overall, and Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings.
Pick: UNDER 43.5

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

Top-Rated1000♦ Winner #16 of 23

Connecticut +4

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Edwards

U Conn +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. #920. Take Over 7.5 Runs San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (Friday @ 8pm est).
6-Unit Play. #606. Take Under 151 Minnesota vs. Indiana (Friday @ 8pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

CharlieSports

500* NCAAF- Uconn +4
500* NCAAF- Uconn/Syracuse Under 44
500* MLB- STL/SF Under 7

MLB - SF +150

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams


Top-Rated
1000
Winner #16 of 23


Connecticut +4

[Mr. IWS]

Handicappster

UCONN +4 (5 UNITS)
UCONN/Syr UNDER 43 (4 UNITS)
Cardinals (3 UNITS)
SF/STL OVER 7.5 (3 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks by GT Staff

College Football

Syracuse -4

Connecticut/Syracuse Under 43.5
Baseball Playoffs

St. Louis Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

St Louis/ SF Giants Over 7.5: Lance Lynn has pitched very well for the Cards this year, but he has struggled in his last 2 starts allowing 4 ER's in each and in his 3 career starts vs the Giants he has allowed at least 4 ER's in each of those. Barry Zito gets the ball for the Giants and while he has had a nice run down the stretch he has struggled with this team, posting a 5.14 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them and an 8.20 ERA in 4 career starts in this park. Barry has a 4.41 ERA on the road, with those games averaging 9.4 rpg, while Lynn has a 3.38 ERA at home with 8.4 rpg being scored in those games, The Cards average 5.1 rpg at home and will be healthier with the return of Beltran, while the Giants score 5 rpg on the road and should have a good showing knowing that they must score runs to stave off elimination. This game should reach DD.

St LOUIS -155 over San Fran: It all ends here for the Giants. The Giants have won Zito's last 12 starts, but this really isn't a good matchup for him. Current St Louis players (non-pitchers), have hit .305 vs zito with 5 HR's and 22 RBI's in 131 AB's off of him. Overall Zito is just 2-6 with a 4.89 ERA in 9 career starts vs the Cards, including a 1-3 mark with an 8.20 ERA in 4 carer starts in this park. Not good numbers and he will be facing a Cards team that is hot offensively (5.6 rpg L10 games) and should be getting back Beltran for this one. Lance Lynn went 10-3 with a 3.38 ERA at home on the year and with the help of his offense he should pick up the win and send the Cards back to the World Series.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott

3 UNIT PLAY

UConn/ Syracuse Under 44: The Big East on Friday night with a couple of teams that are playing very good defense at the moment. Doesn't get any better than this for an Under player such as myself. The Connecticut Huskies defense has been very good this year as they come in allowing just 261 ypg and 4 yards per play on the year, while also giving up just 16.3 ppg. They do face a Syracuse offense that has put up 316 ypg through the air, but UConn does allow just 161.6 ypg passing on a 49.5 completion percentage so It will not be all that easy for the Cuse to pass on this defense. On the other side we have a Syracuse defense that is playing very well right now as they come in allowing just 306.7 ypg and 17.7 ppg in their last 3 games. The Orange will be playing a UConn offense that is very conservative that averages just 320 ypg and 4.8 yards per play on the year. UConn does run the ball 8 more times a game than they throw it but they still put up just 100 ypg rushing on a mere 2.7 ypc. This is not a team with big play potential and they don't take many chances. With both defenses playing very well and a Conservative UConn offense this has all the making of a tough physical game with o more than 37 points being scored. Easy under here.

[Mr. IWS]

HANDICAPPSTER

UCONN +4 (5 UNITS)
UCONN/Syr UNDER 43 (4 UNITS)
Cardinals (3 UNITS)
SF/STL OVER 7.5 (3 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Chad Jordan

First Ever 200 Dime Must Win Play

Syracuse Orangemen -4 over UConn

UConn just does not have enough offensive firepower to hang with Syracuse tonight in the Carrier Dome. Also, UConn just does not have a good team and they have not played a good schedule at all. To this point, the best team they have played is Rutgers and they scored 3 points against them in a 16 point loss.

Syracuse has played USC, Northwestern, who is 6-1, Rutgers and Pittsburgh. Now, Northwestern, Rutgers and Pittsburgh are not among the elite but they are pretty good teams.

At home Syracuse will be tough to beat because of the way they can score points and the Orangmen have a ton of revenge on their minds having lost 5 straight meetings vs UConn,some of which in terrible fashion.

Syracuse will dominate on offense and get into the high 20s low 30s tonight while UConn will not sniff 20 points. Easy winner here.

[Mr. IWS]

401 K SPORTS

PLAYOFF RUN 13-7-1 +13.85 units

St Louis/San Francisco 1st 5 inn over 4
If you can't get the mini game I am fine with the full game over @ 7.5 but between the 2 I like the mini game better.

San Francisco +150

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Edwards's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Guaranteed Pick





Guaranteed Plays




Matchup: Connecticut at Syracuse
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Fri)
Play: Connecticut (+4.5 -110)
Line Source: Coasts
Posted on: October 19, 2012 @ 10:02:46 AM EDT

UConn has won five in a row over Syracuse both straight up and against the spread. The Huskies will be fired up to represent their head coach who spent 13 years at Syracuse before being fired in 2004. UConn has one of the country's best defenses, giving up only 16.3 points per game. UConn QB Chandler Whitmer played his best game of the season last week, throwing a pair of TD passes without being intercepted. On the flip side, Syracuse QB Ryan Nassib has just two TD passes compared to five interceptions in the last three games. I like the underdog that has an excellent shot at winning outright.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Friday Marq.
U 43

[Mr. IWS]

Ben burns full card;

u-conn *10
u-conn over 43 9*
under 8 sf mlb