10-21-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.


Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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THE GOLDSHEET

KEYS

OVER the total BUFFALO 33- Tennessee 24—Both of these sides
have been a bit bipolar, so perhaps we should consult Dr. Phil before
proceeding. But the Buffalo road map is easier to read. If the Bills can establish
their infantry, as C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson did last week at Arizona (165
YR), life becomes a lot easier for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, whose penchant for
picks grows exponentially when Buffalo becomes one-dimensional. And if the
ballyhooed but erratic Bills DL comes to play, the oft-disappearing act of
Tennessee RB Chris Johnson is likely to recur. Titans have lost by 21 or more
in four of six; Bills “over” 15-8 last 23.

NEW ENGLAND 37 - NY Jets 16—New England loves to beat its New
York rival, particularly in Foxborough, where the Patriots have won & covered
the last three regular-season meetings. So expect N.E.’s best vs. boastful Rex
Ryan, especially with the Jets diminished (no CB Revis, no WR Holmes). Key
Patriot TE/H-back Aaron Hernandez (6 recs. in Seattle) returned last week, but
N.E. rushed for only 87 yards. Look for something closer in this one to the 247
& 251 YR the Pats pounded out the previous two games. And the Belichick
defense (16 takeaways) is unlikely to make the same mistakes this week vs.
N.Y. as it did in last Sunday’s late loss in Seattle. The Pats saw Tim Tebow
twice LY (once in the playoffs) when Tebow was with the Broncos.

CHICAGO 34 - Detroit 19—Chicago has proven in its last three games
(9 ppg allowed, 10 sacks, 8 ints.) that it is no picnic for teams to play against the
Bear defense when all its key players are healthy. And, now, offensive
coordinator Mike Tice, QB Jay Cutler, WR Brandon Marshall, and LT J’Marcus
Webb all seem to be on the same page. Plus, RB Matt Forte has enjoyed
needed time to rest his gimpy ankle, and power backup Michael Bush (206 YR,
3 TDR) is well integrated into the attack. The Bears, eager to unseat the hated
Packers in the NFC North, can take another step in that direction vs. the
inconsistent, sometimes-underachieving Lions. Chicago is 9-1 vs. spread in
Cutler’s last 10 starts (the L was its Game Two fiasco this year at Lambeau)!
CABLE TV—ESPN

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Colin Cowherd's blazing five (20-10)
1. Washington +6
2. Pittsburgh +1.5
3. Dallas -2.5
4. Tennesee +3.5
5.Arizona +6.5

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Wunderdog Sports

Game: Baltimore at Houston (Sunday 10/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore +7 (-120)

The Houston Texans were exposed big-time last week at home by a top level QB in Aaron Rodgers. The Texans were 5-0 and looking "Super" as in Super Bowl bound, but fell flat and hard. Their defense, considered one of the best in the league, fell apart with the surgical precision of Rodgers. Many were surprised by how easy he made it look, but there was a precursor to what happened. The Texans had only played against one top level QB and that was Peyton Manning who carved-up their secondary for 25 points, 330 yards, and two TDs. That means that the two top-level QBs have burned the Texans for eight touchdowns and 668 yards in two games for a total of 73 points! In fact, since last season when Houston's defense "turned the corner," the Texans are 0-6 ATS vs. great offensive teams (those like Baltimore that average 6+ yards per play). Enter Joe Flacco and his top 10 QB rating on the season, and a Ravens’ offense that has put up nearly 27 points per game and we are going to have a game here. Layered on top of that is the fact that the pundits have declared the "sky falling" on the Rvaens defense that just lost Ray Lewis. They are being told they can't be dominant without him. This is when teams seem to rise to the occasion and others pick-up the pieces. I expect to see that in this one. Teams with five wins that suffer their first loss tend to letdown, and are just 3-6 ATS as a favorite in their next game. Under John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 13-4 ATS following an ATS loss. Baltimore shows up here. Take them with the points.

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Neil Larson

10* New Orleans

10* Dallas

+94 Dimes 59% in NFL this Season

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Ms.Charleen
12-5-1 69.4%

Cowboys-2
Saints-2
Pitt - 1 1/2

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Rico
12-6 66.7%

Cards +6
Pack - 5 1/2
Cowboys -2

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Hondo
7-11
Rams
Raiders
Bears

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Dave Blezow
1-5 fade away on his locks

Giants

5-12 for his 3 best bets

Giants
Bills
Raiders

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Steele Trap (phil Steele)
1-1 last week
7-5 year

Cowboys-2
Texans - 6 1/2

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Wildcat (ny post)
2-0 last week
9-3 season
Lions monday

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Accuscore
Written by Jon Lee

Free Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +4 at Oakland Raiders

The Jags were obliterated by the Bears in their last game being outgained by more than 300 yards. So why in the world would I be taking them on the road? Well, Jacksonville has oddly played its two best games on the road this year losing in overtime to Minnesota and beating Indianapolis. Each of their three home games ended in losses by at least 17 points.

Jacksonville is a terrible team, but they are unlikely to play so poorly against the Oakland defense as it did against the tough Chicago defense. The Bears did get two interceptions returned for two touchdowns which made that game look even worse on the scoreboard. The Jags are coming off a bye, and teams tend to play much better with that off week. The Raiders are probably the better team, but I’m not sure they should be giving more than a field goal to anybody at this point.

Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans OVER 46 Points
Both the Bills and Titans have poor offenses, but that can be remedied in this game because both teams have bad defenses. Buffalo has the worst rush defense in the league while Tennessee ranks 24th against the run and 29th against the pass. Matt Hasselbeck gets another start for the Titans so I think that might actually help just because he will make the correct decisions and avoid unnecessary bad plays that Jake Locker might be more susceptible to. AccuScore projects this game to go over by just a hair, but the computer is a combined 10-1 picking the totals in games involving these two teams this season.

Washington Redskins +6.5 at New York Giants
AccuScore has gone 4-0 picking the Giants against the spread so it has a good handle on the defending Super Bowl champions. The computer has probably underrated Washington this season however going 2-4 ATS in their games as Robert Griffin has outplayed all expectations of him. The Giants are coming off a gigantic win at San Francisco, and might be flying a bit high in the NFC East. The Redskins are covering the spread 55.7% of the time, and at this point I am trending towards the underdogs in most NFL games where the line is more than a field goal.

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Football Lines That Make You Go Hmmm...
by Jason Logan

Will someone please check the pulse of the Dallas Cowboys?

There’s no way they’re still alive and kicking after having their hearts ripped out of their chests multiple times during Sunday’s 31-29 loss to the Baltimore Ravens.

It was like that scene in Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom, when Mola Ram rips out that guy’s ticker and lights it on fire – except on repeat with the volume cranked all the way to 11.

Dallas took bettors on a roller-coaster ride in Week 6, covering as a 3-point road underdog thanks to a last-minute drive that brought the Cowboys to within two points. They nearly won the game outright after a successful onside kick, but poor clock management by the Dallas sideline led to a missed field goal as time ticked down.

It was a tough loss to swallow and one the Cowboys need to shake off before traveling to Carolina to face the Panthers as 1-point road favorites in Week 7. And it’s that spread that has America’s Team leading off our “Football lines that make you go hmmm…” for the second straight week.

This spread opened as high as -2.5 in favor of Dallas but is sitting -1 at plenty of online books. Breaking the odds down by betting basics, are we to believe that 1-4 Carolina – which has lost three straight before a bye in Week 6 – is just four points worse than 5-1 Baltimore?

While there are plenty of flaws with that logic, it’s safe to say the Panthers are just where they need to be in terms of the spread. Carolina may have only one win to its name (35-27 over New Orleans) but it’s played an uphill schedule, featuring an underrated Buccaneers team, the Saints, Giants, Falcons and Seahawks.

Dallas limps into Sunday, with starting running back Demarco Murray out with a sprained foot after such a dominant first half versus the Ravens. The Cowboys, normally a pass-heavy team, broke character and took to the ground, finishing the day with 227 yards rushing.

Without Murray, Dallas is left to wonder what kind of team it really is heading into Week 7. And, by the looks of the Cowboys’ recent spreads, oddsmakers are also having a tough time determining just what Big D is all about.

Here are some other spreads making football bettors go “hmmm…” heading into the weekend:

NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (+1, 46)

In the same vein as the Dallas-Carolina line, oddsmakers have set the Steelers as 1-point faves on the road in Week 7.

Pittsburgh is coming off a shocking loss to Tennessee, dragging behind it a handful of scrapes and bruises as well as an unflattering 2-3 record – all of those losses coming away from home.

More importantly, the Steelers have managed to cover in only one game this season and have been favorites in four of those five contests.

Cincinnati, on the other hand, has lost two in a row SU and ATS after a strong start including last weekend’s 34-24 defeat at the hands of state rival Cleveland as a 1-point road chalk.

Pittsburgh has dominated this AFC North grudge match, in terms of the pointspread, going 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these teams and 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 travels to Paul Brown Stadium.

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NFL NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY

Play Under - Any team against the total in a game involving two poor teams (outgained by 40-100 YPG), after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% 37.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NFL DALLAS at CAROLINA

Play On - Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (DALLAS) in conference games, off a road loss.
63-34 over the last 10 seasons. ( 64.9% 0.0 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

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PREDICTION MACHINE

434 4:25 PM @OAK JAC -4 8.2 61.3% PP

432 4:25 PM @NE NYJ -10.5 13.4 59.4% PP

417 1:00 PM ARI @ MIN 6 -3.2 57.8% PP

436 8:20 PM @CIN PIT 2.5 0.9 57.3%

424 1:00 PM @STL GB 5.5 -2.8 57.2%

No O/U plays over 57%

437 8:30 PM DET @ CHI 5.5 -2.3 58.4% PP
438 8:30 PM DET @ CHI 47.5 42.6 Under 58.2%

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SB Professor Soccer Picks

Sunday 21st October
League: Italian Serie A
Match: Cagliari v Bologna
Kick Off: 06:30 EST – 11:30 UK TIME
Bet: Back Cagliari
Current Best Odds: 2.05

League: French Ligue Un
Match: Ajaccio v Bastia
Kick Off: 08:00 EST – 13:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Ajaccio
Current Best Odds: 2.50

League: English Premier League
Match: Sunderland v Newcastle
Kick Off: 08:30 EST – 13:30 UK TIME
Bet: Back Sunderland
Current Best Odds: 2.62

League: Italian Serie A
Match: Atalanta v Siena
Kick Off: 09:00 EST – 14:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Atalanta
Current Best Odds: 2.10

League: Italian Serie A
Match: Chievo v Fiorentina
Kick Off: 09:00 EST – 14:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Chievo
Current Best Odds: 3.37

League: Italian Serie A
Match: Palermo v Torino
Kick Off: 09:00 EST – 14:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Palermo
Current Best Odds: 2.25

League: Italian Serie A
Match: Parma v Sampdoria
Kick Off: 09:00 EST – 14:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Parma
Current Best Odds: 2.20

League: Italian Serie A
Match: Genoa v Roma
Kick Off: 09:00 EST – 14:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Genoa
Current Best Odds: 3.40

League: Spanish La Liga
Match: Espanyol v Rayo Vallecano
Kick Off: 10:00 EST – 15:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Espanyol
Current Best Odds: 2.00

League: English Premier League
Match: QPR v Everton
Kick Off: 11:00 EST – 16:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back QPR
Current Best Odds: 3.42

League: Spanish La Liga
Match: Granada v Zaragoza
Kick Off: 12:00 EST – 17:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Granada
Current Best Odds: 2.00

League: Spanish La Liga
Match: Osasuna v Betis
Kick Off: 13:45 EST – 18:45 UK TIME
Bet: Back Osasuna
Current Best Odds: 2.10

League: French Ligue Un
Match: Troyes v Marseille
Kick Off: 15:00 EST – 20:00 UK TIME
Bet: Back Troyes
Current Best Odds: 5.82

League: Spanish La Liga
Match: Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid
Kick Off: 15:30 EST – 20:30 UK TIME
Bet: Back Real Sociedad
Current Best Odds: 3.62

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NFL Trends & Angles - Week 7
October 19, 2012

Well, you cannot do better than perfect and our NFL Trends & Angles went 8-0 ATS on an individual game basis in Week 6, highlighted by outright upsets by Detroit, Buffalo and Green Bay and a near shocker by Oakland, who easily covered the spread!

As those of you that have followed us in the past know, the vast majority of our angles will be contrarian in nature, and many of them will point you to live underdogs and live 'unders' when we have total angles. So it should not surprise you that seven of those eight ATS covers were by underdogs. The eight was a blowout win by a favorite coming off a bye in Tampa Bay.

Unfortunately, the angle that did the best last week going 4-0 that says to take road underdogs coming off of a road loss does not turn up this week, so you have to wait until future weeks for that 64.5 percent long-term gem.

All of our season-long trends go back to 2005, as that gives us a large enough sampling without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal.

Also, you will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.

We kick things off this week with one of those Good Team/Bad Team angles that did not show up in Week 6, and follow that up by last week's angles with updated records and this week's qualifiers. Here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 7, with all records being for the last seven seasons since 2005 plus the first six weeks of this season.

Play against any road favorite playing a Bad Team after it played a Good Team the previous week
(56-39-2, 58.9% ATS): Road favorites are usually up against it regardless of the circumstances, and when you add in the Letdown Theory that this angle implies, you have the makings of a very strong angle. This angle won the last time it turned up in Week 5 when the Colts upset the Packers outright.
Qualifiers: Carolina +1 vs. Dallas and St. Louis +5 vs. Green Bay.

Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (69-46-5, 60.0% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. It has not made much difference whether or not the team is now home (30-21-4 ATS) or away (39-25-1 ATS). This angle won its only play again in Week 6 when the Detroit Lions upset the Eagles outright.
Qualifier: Baltimore +6½.

Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (78-40-4, 66.1% ATS): NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off oftentimes has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. This angle won its only play in Week 6 with Tampa Bay.
Qualifiers: New Orleans -2½ and Chicago -6 (Monday).

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (162-105-5, 60.7% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308)s started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. They have apparently over-adjusted, especially when the team coming off of the road game in now facing a familiar conference foe, which lessens the travel effect since the team usually know how to attack the foe and what to expect on defense. This angle won its only play in Week 6 with Denver.
Qualifier: Detroit +6 (Monday), which clashes with a previous angle.

Play on any team that failed to cover the spread by 25 points or more in its last game
(75-49-3, 60.5% ATS): The reason why this angle has worked so well over the years is a combination of professional teams not liking to be embarrassed and usually bouncing back strong, and the fact that bettors usually shy away from teams that just lost to the spread so badly, thus giving them inherent value the following week. This angle won its only play in Week 6 when Buffalo won outright.
Qualifier: Jacksonville +4.

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NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 7

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form.
Here are our quick-hitting notes on all of Week 7's action.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-5.5, 50.5)

Rookies Albert Morris and Robert Griffin III have Washington ranked No. 2 in the NFL in rushing, averaging 166.0 yards. However, The Redskins rank last in the league in pass defense, allowing an average of 328.3 yards per game through the air. The stop unit has yet to hold an opponent under 22 points and may be without S Jordan Pugh (concussion) this week. The Giants defense came up huge in the 26-3 upset over San Francisco last week, intercepting Alex Smith three times, while sacking the QB six times. New York is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games overall.

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (-6, 40)

John Skelton returns to his role as starting QB this week after Kevin Kolb sustained a rib injury in Arizona's 19-16 overtime loss to Buffalo last week. The Vikings were allowing only 15.5 points per game before getting thrashed 38-26 by the Redskins in Week 7. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers (1, 45.5)

Dallas is looking to rebound from a 31-29 loss at Baltimore in which Dan Bailey missed a 51-yard field goal with two seconds left. The Cowboys also lost RB DeMarco Murray to a foot injury last week. Felix Jones could get the majority of the carries, with Murray missing practice on both Wednesday and Thursday. The Panthers are coming off a bye week and have dropped eight consecutive meetings with Dallas. Carolina is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a losing record.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1, 49.5)

The Saints could get a big boost on defense with the return of LB Jonathan Vilma, who is getting a one-week reprieve from the bounty scandal before the commissioner rules on the appeal of his suspension. The news isn’t as good on offense as tight end Jimmy Graham is questionable with an ankle injury. Quarterback Josh Freeman and the Bucs set season highs with 145 yards rushing and 318 yards passing in last week’s win 38-10 over Kansas City. Freeman has flourished after a dismal start, completing 60 percent of his passes for 627 yards with four TDs and two picks in his last two games. The teams have played under the total in seven consecutive meetings.

Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams (5, 45.5)

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers made a loud statement last week to those predicting the team's demise, dominating the previously unbeaten Houston Texans behind six touchdown passes from the league's reigning MVP. The Rams are coming off a three-point loss in Miami but they have already surpassed last season's victory total behind a defense that has surrendered only 33 points in the last three weeks. The Packers beat the Rams 24-3 last season and have won the last three meetings by a combined 93-34 margin. The favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (-6.5, 48)

Baltimore begins life without LB Ray Lewis (triceps) and CB Lardarius Webb (ACL), but reports are surfacing that reigning Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs (Achilles) has an outside chance at suiting up Sunday. The Texans’ sixth-ranked rushing attack was stuck in neutral and their defense was gashed for six touchdowns by Aaron Rodgers in a 42-24 loss to Green Bay last Sunday night. Arian Foster, the league’s second-leading rusher (561 yards), was held to 29 yards on 17 carries with a pair of 1-yard touchdown runs. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (-1, 45)

Cleveland stopped a franchise record-tying 11-game skid with a 34-24 victory over Cincinnati last week as rookie QB Brandon Weeden threw a pair of touchdown passes and CB Sheldon Brown returned an interception 19 yards for a score. The win was the first since Nov. 20 for the Browns, who enter Week 7 having lost 10 straight road games. Indianapolis showed little fight in a 35-9 loss at New York. The Colts allowed a season-high 252 rushing yards and lost defensive end Cory Redding with a right knee injury. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 46)

Buffalo went into Arizona and surprised the Cardinals in overtime last week, rebounding from back-to-back maulings in which the team was outscored 97-31. The Titans also bounced back from a pair of lopsided defeats in beating the Steelers. Tennessee has won four straight and seven of eight meetings with the Bills, including a 23-17 victory at Buffalo last December. The Titans and Bills rank 1-2 in the league in most points allowed with 204 and 192, respectively. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo’s last four games overall.

New York Jets at New England (-10, 47)

The Jets ended a two-game skid by returning to their “Ground-and-Pound” ways against the overmatched Colts last week, as Shonn Greene ran for a career-best 161 yards and three touchdowns on 32 carries in a 35-9 win. Tom Brady and company are fuming mad after blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead in a stunning 24-23 defeat to Seattle – a loss that sent them to their worst start in seven years. The over is 5-0-1 in their last six meetings.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders (-4, 43.5)

Jacksonville has the worst offense in the NFL at 13.0 points per game and is averaging 241.2 yards. Quarterback Blaine Gabbert leads the league's worst passing offense (142.8 yards) and his completion percentage of 54.8 is 31st. While Oakland's rushing attack is 29th in the NFL at 78.4 yards per game, a healthy Darren McFadden against Jacksonville's suspect defense could improve those numbers. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (1, 45.5)

The last thing the Pittsburgh Steelers need is another injury, but they got one when QB Ben Roethlisberger turned his right ankle in practice Thursday. Roethlisberger, though, will play when the Steelers try for their fifth straight victory over the Bengals on Sunday. The Bengals have hurt themselves with a minus-7 turnover margin, including minus-4 in the last two games. Cincinnati has salvaged just two wins in its last 11 meetings with Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Cincinnati.

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DAVID BANKS

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts, Sunday, Oct. 21, 1:00 ET (CBS)
The Browns are coming off of their first win of the season 34-24 over the Cincinnati Bengals, although their spirits were dampened somewhat when running back Trent Richardson left the game with a rib injury. Montario Hardesty did rush for 56 yards on 15 carries in relief though, and more importantly, Richardson's injury was not deemed to be serious after the game. The Colts just allowed 161 yards to Shonn Greene of the Jets after he had been averaging less than 3.0 yards per carry entering last week's game. Cleveland can run the ball here vs. a Colts rushing defense allowing 5.0 yards per carry, while the Browns' defense can now defend Andrew Luck better with shutdown cornerback Joe Haden back in the lineup after serving a four-week suspension. The road teams are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings.
LEAN: INDIANAPOLIS

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Ravens, Sunday, Oct. 21, 1:00 ET (CBS)
The Texans suffered their first loss of the season to the Green Bay Packers Sunday night, and the main reason was their great running game was rendered moot when Green Bay opened up a big lead. Baltimore was probably taking notes as the Ravens have gone to a no-huddle offense this year that is capable of scoring in bunches. The Ravens rank ninth in the NFL in scoring at 26.8 points per game and also ninth in total offense at 385.0 yards per contest. More importantly they have achieved balance with Ray Rice rushing for 482 yards on 5.0 yards per carry. As for the Texans, it is important that they establish Arian Foster and the running game early, although the Baltimore run defense is allowing only 3.9 yards per carry. The road teams are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
LEAN: OVER

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Oct. 21, 1:00 ET (FOX)
The Cowboys gave it their all coming out of their bye week in Baltimore last Sunday, but they came up just short in a 31-29 defeat to the Ravens, failing on a two-point conversion after scoring a touchdown with 32 seconds remaining. That drops Dallas to 2-3 on the season, and the Cowboys can ill afford to fall to 2-4 if they want to have any hope of catching the red-hot New York Giants. They now get a chance to exploit a 23rd ranked Carolina total defense that is allowing 377.0 total yards per game. The Panthers are 1-4 as they come off their bye, and Cam Newton has regressed in his second season, throwing five interceptions and just four touchdown passes, and even with two weeks to prepare, he does not figure to have much success vs. the great Dallas cornerback tandem of Morris Claiborne and Brandon Carr. Newton completed only 12-of-29 passes for 141 yards vs. Seattle last game, and Carolina is just 1-4 ATS the last five times they passed for less than 150 yards in the previous game.
LEAN: DALLAS

New York Jets at New England Patriots, Sunday, Oct. 21, 4:25 ET (CBS)
The Patriots unexpectedly fell to 3-3 when they blew a late lead in a 24-23 loss to the Seattle Seahawks last week, thus wasting a 395-yards passing performance by Tom Brady vs. a Seahawk team that still ranks fourth in the NFL in total defense. After that performance in one of the loudest venues in the league, Brady must be looking forward to taking out his frustrations vs. a Jets' defense that is not nearly as formidable as it once was with Darrelle Revis out for the year. The Jets are coming off of a rare 35-9 laugher over the Colts, who seemed emotionally drained after an upset win over the Packers the previous week after learning that Head Coach Chuck Pagano has leukemia. Do not expect running back Shonn Greene to duplicate his 161-yard rushing performance here. Tom Brady is 18-8 ATS when coming off a loss in the last 26 occasions.
LEAN: NEW ENGLAND

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders, Sunday, Oct. 21, 4:25 ET (CBS)
The Raiders nearly shocked the world last week by knocking off the undefeated Atlanta Falcons, but falling just short 23-20 on a 55-yard Matt Bryant field goal with one second remaining has to be deflating. The loss drops Oakland to 1-4, and the Raiders may have a tough time getting back up for the perceived weaker opponent. And make no mistake, the Jaguars are a week opponent that is also 1-4 and is coming off of a 41-3 loss to the Chicago Bears. That was two weeks ago, so perhaps the bye week last week gave Jacksonville time to prepare a game plan to figure out how to best use stud running back Maurice Jones-Drew vs. a Raiders team that ranks 24th in total defense. Almost unbelievably, the Raiders are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. teams with losing records.
LEAN: OVER

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Norm Hitzges

DOUBLE PLAYS:

Dallas -2 Carolina

New England -10 1/2 NY Jets

Houston -6 1/2 Baltimore

SINGLE PLAYS:

Oakland -4 Jacksonville

Buffalo---Tennessee OVER 46 1/2

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GMC-NFL Selections 21/10/12

#421 Baltimore +7
#423 Green Bay -5
#427 Washington +6
#435 Pittsburgh -1
#437 Detroit +7
GL

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Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at San Francisco

The Giants are coming off a 5-0 win on Friday and look to build on their 10-2 record in Ryan Vogelsong's last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (10/20)


Game 923-924: St. Louis at San Francisco (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.225; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.735
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under

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Dave Essler - NFL TRIPLE (3*) G.O.M -ALL ACCESS


Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 430 TAM 3.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 429 NOS

Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 424 STL 11.5 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 423 GBP
Analysis: Two team, six point (-110) teaser. Just taking the six points gets us above the numbers we want. Plus, if the Rams co‹ver early, we have some hedge options available if we should so choose. Thanks as always for being with us.


St. Louis Rams +11.5 to Cincinnati Bengals +7.5


Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 420 IND -3.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 419 CLE




WEEK 7 NFL 3* EARLY STEAM BOMB !! - vegas-runner

vegas-runner | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 430 TAM 3.0 (-120) bodog (http://sports.bovada.lv/) vs 429 NOS
Analysis:


*** NFL 3* EARLY TRUE STEAM ***


BUCCS +3 (-120)....(3*)


TRUE-LINE = NOS -1





Bottom line, the Saints went into their bye off the 1st win of the season and bettors got a chance to watch it on a national stage which is why we've got an inflated line to work with. In fact, before the season started Cantor Gaming offered this game at NOS -4, which reflects a very slight adjustment since then.


With that said, there is NO way that any data supports the Saints are the same team we thought back in August that they may be (1-4)..and more importantly, the Buccs are actually better than my rating showed prior to the season.


So we have ourselves a simple case of an "over-valued" team that bettors have gotten so used to being one of the top teams in the NFL, against an "under-valued" team they've concluded as the opposite. The problem with that reasoning is that it's 2012, and this season both teams are not as the market "perceives" so let's get out ahead of it before the wiseguys do and extract most of the value.




3* Signature NFL BLOW OUT - JR ODonnell

JR ODonnell | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 430 TAM 3.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 429 NOS

[poopoo333]

Jr's 3* NFL Game O Week - JR ODonnell

JR ODonnell | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 422 HOU -6.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 421 BAL
Analysis: At one PM EST two teams who see themselves as Super Bowl hopefuls meet, as the Baltimore Ravens (5-1 & 2-4 ATS) visit the Houston Texans (5-1 & 4-2 ATS). Ravens are not the Ravens of old, who for the last "nine" years have been a top ten defensive team, and a top "6" team eight times. This year they allow 397 yds/g and are ranked at #26. Two .500 teams Dallas and Philadelphia had 480+ yards against them. They will definitely have two of their better defenders (Ray Lewis & LaDarius Webb) out and possibly more, and even though last year's Defensive Player of the Year (Terrell Suggs) has been cleared to begin practice, it is unlikely that with a bye next week they will play him Sunday. Ravens do have an excellent runner in Ray Rice (482 yds & 5/c) but the Texans counter with Arian Foster (561 yds & almost 4 yds/c). Joe Flacco has been a little been more consistent this year, but still throws for 70+ yards less on the road than at home and has a 1 TD to 2 INT ratio away. Texan QB Matt Schaub has a #7 QBR 99.2 with 63% completion rate, and a bevy of good receivers. The big thing for the Texans is their defense that is #7 against the pass and #7 against th run, making them a top "3" defense overall. Led by JJ Watt they have "17" sacks and "7" INT, while the Houston OL has allowed only "1" sack in four games if you factor out the three GB got. Last year in the playoffs vs. the Texans, Flacco threw inconsistently and the Ravens only had 11 first downs and BALT punted "9" times. Texans have not allowed over 375 yards in any game and average 276 yds. Lastly Texans are 6-1-1 ATS vs. AFC, and 12-4-2 ATS in their last "18", while BALT is 0-4 ATS in their last four, while the Texans are 5-2 ATS after a loss.

[poopoo333]

SportsBettingProfessor

Original System NFL Picks


1 PM EST
427. Washington Redskins +6*

4:25 PM EST
433. Jacksonville Jaguars +6*

8:20 PM EST
435. Pittsburgh Steelers -1*

Rest of Games:
422. Houston Texans -7

Thanks,
Rich

[poopoo333]

NFL Betting Picks / Kevin

2 UNIT = Jacksonville Jaguars @ Oakland Raiders - JAGUARS +4 (-102)
(Note: I'm risking 2.04 units to win 2.00 units)


The Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a bye week after starting the season 1-4, including 0-3 at home. The Jaguars have lost to Minnesota, Houston, Cincinnati, and Chicago and beaten Indianapolis 22-17. Against the spread the Jags are 2-3, with both of those wins coming on the road. In Week 1 the Jaguars lost 26-23 in overtime to Minnesota as 3.5 point underdogs, and in Week 3 they beat the Colts 22-17 as 3 point underdogs. The Oakland Raiders are also 1-4 on the year, and 1-1 at home. They've lost to San Diego, Miami, Denver and Atlanta last week, and they beat Pittsburgh 34-31 as 3.5 point underdogs. The Raiders are 2-3 ATS, and 0-2 ATS as favorites. Last year the Raiders were 2-3 ATS as favorites, and 3-4-1 ATS at home. Oakland almost upset the Falcons last week as 9.5 point underdogs, as they forced Matt Ryan to throw three interceptions. This game features two struggling offenses as the Jaguars are dead last in the league with 241 yards per game, while Oakland is 19th with 349 yards per game. Oakland is averaging just 17.4 points per game (29th) while Jacksonville is averaging 13 PPG (32nd). Outside of the game vs Pittsburgh where Oakland scored 34 points they've scored just 53 points or 13.25 per game. Defensively both teams are struggling as well with Oakland ranked 24th giving up 386 yards against per game and Jacksonville 29th giving up 424 yards per game. The Raiders are giving up two more points against per game than the Jaguars at 29.6 per game (28th in the NFL). Take note that the Jaguars are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Raiders are just 17-38-1 ATS vs a team with a losing record, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing record. Last year the Jaguars won just 5 games, but one of those was a 17-3 win in Indianapolis after their bye week. With the extra time to prepare I think we see a productive game from Blaine Gabbert and a good game on the ground from Maurice Jones-Drew. After last weeks game in Atlanta the public will probably be all over Oakland at home this weekend against a Jaguars team that hasn't looked good, but I think Jacksonville matches up well with Oakland and will benefit from the bye week. Take Jags +4.


2 UNIT = Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers - PANTHERS +3 (-130)
(Note: I'm risking 2.60 units to win 2.00 units)


Dallas is 2-3 on the season with wins coming against the New York Giants and the Buccaneers at home, and losses coming @Seattle, vs Chicago, and @Baltimore. Although their win in New York to kick off the season was impressive the Cowboys haven't done much good since, including losing by 20 and 16 points as 3 point favorites. The Cowboys are 2-3 ATS this year and 0-3 ATS as favorites. Not covering as favorites isn't anything new for Dallas as last season they were 3-8-1 ATS when giving points. The Panthers have opened the season just 1-4 and have failed to meet expectations to date. Losses have come @Tampa Bay, vs NYG, @Atlanta, and vs Seattle, with their lone win coming at home vs New Orleans in Week 2. The Panthers are 2-3 ATS this year, but a perfect 2-0 ATS in games that they've been labeled the underdog. They were 3 point underdogs at home vs New Orleans winning 35-27, and they were 7 point underdogs in Atlanta losing by just 2 points and nearly winning the game outright. The Panthers are 3-1 ATS as home underdogs with Cam Newton as their QB. Despite Dallas giving up a lot fewer yards against per game they are side by side in points against per game with Dallas ranking 20th with 23.8 points against per game and the Panthers 21st with 25. The same thing can be said offensively as the Cowboys have out gained Carolina in yards by a wide margin, but the Cowboys are averaging just 18.8 PPG (24th) and the Panthers are averaging 18.4 PPG (25th). Tony Romo and Cam Newton are both having rough starts to the season, with Romo throwing 7 TDs but 9 INTs with a 82.1 QB Rating and Newton throwing just 4 TDs and 5 INTs with a 80.9 QB Rating. Take note that the Cowboys are coming off an emotional loss as they had their chances to beat a Ravens team that had a banged up defense, but a missed FG lead to a 31-29 loss. Dallas will now be playing back to back road games, while the Panthers enjoyed a Bye Week last week and had the extra time to prepare for a crucial game for themselves. The Cowboys are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs a team with a losing record, and 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 vs NFC opponents. Th Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs a team with a losing record, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games coming off an ATS loss. Not many people are looking to back the Panthers right now, but as home underdogs coming off a bye week I think they have a good chance at winning outright. 3 is the key number here so shop around for it. If you can't get +3 at -130 I still like +2.5 at -105.


2 UNIT = New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - BUCCANEERS +3 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.30 units to win 2.00 units)


The New Orleans Saints are 1-4 coming into this game, but despite the poor record they are still getting a lot of support from bettors. New Orleans opened up the season with losses vs Washington, @Carolina, vs Kansas City, and @Green Bay, before beating San Diego last Monday 31-24. The Saints enjoyed a bye week last weekend. New Orleans is 0-2 on the road, 2-3 ATS, and just 1-3 ATS as a favorite.The Buccaneers are 2-3 coming into this game, including a 2-1 home record. Wins at home have come against Carolina and Kansas City, while losses have come @NYG, @Dallas, and vs Washington. As an underdog the Buccaneers are 3-0 ATS and 1-2 straight up (with the win coming as 3 point underdogs and the losses coming as 9 point dogs). Their latest victory came last week at home vs the Chiefs as they won 38-10 as 5 point favorites coming off of a Week 5 Bye. Last week was easily their best game as Freeman threw for 3 TDs, and Doug Martin and LeGarrette Blount were productive on the ground. They also held Jamaal Charles to just 40 yards on 12 carries. The New Orleans Saints rank dead last in defense as they've given up an average of 456 yards against per game, while the Buccaneers are 25th giving up 387 yards against per game. The big difference comes with points against per game, as the Buccaneers are 12th allowing just 20.2 ppag while the Saints are 30th allowing 30.8 against. As expected the Saints are still putting up good offensive numbers with 402 yards per game (4th) and 28.2 ppg (8th). The Buccs aren't far behind in scoring averaging 24 ppg (16th). Drew Brees is 13th in QBs with a 90.7 QB Rating, while Josh Freeman is 19th with a 84.2 QB Rating. Take note that the Saints are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs a team with a losing record. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up victory of more than 14 points, and I think last week's big win over Kansas City was big for their confidence levels as a team. It is tough to win games on the road without a good defense and I think we will see that here on Sunday. Note that the Buccaneers beat New Orleans last season at home 26-20 as 6 point underdogs. I also took into consideration that facing a dome team the Buccs will have an advantage playing on grass. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Buccaneers move to 3-3 on Sunday. Take them +3.


2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals - BENGALS +3 (-125)
(Note: I'm risking 2.50 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals - OVER 45 (-112)
(Note: I'm risking 2.24 units to win 2.00 units)


Pittsburgh enters this all important division Sunday Night Prime Time match up with a 2-3 record, and they are just 0-3 on the road. The Steelers have lost @Denver, @ Oakland, and @Tennessee, with wins vs NYJ and Philadelphia. The only game the Steelers have looked good in was the home game vs the Jets in Week 2. They are just 1-4 ATS and 1-3 ATS as favorites. Last season the Steelers were 5-3 on the road, but just 2-6 ATS on the road. The Steelers last game was in Tennessee where they lost 26-23 as 5.5 point favorites. The Steelers suffered a number of injuries in that game and are banged up on the offensive line and on defense, including their star defensive player in Troy Polamalu. The Bengals are 3-3 on the year as they opened with a loss @Baltimore before going on to win three straight vs Cleveland, @Washington, and @Jacksonville. They have now lost two straight coming into Sunday Night's game vs Miami and @Cleveland last week. Andy Dalton threw 3 INTs last week which was the main cause of the loss to the then 0-5 Browns. The Bengals are 2-3-1 ATS, and 1-1 straight up at home. The Bengals were 4-3-1 ATS as underdogs last season during the regular season, and have started this year off 2-1 ATS as underdogs. Take note that the Bengals rank 10th in the NFL averaging 382 yards per game, while the Steelrs are 16th with 360 ypg. The Bengals are scoring 24.8 PPG while Pittsburgh is scoring 23.2 PPG. Despite being in the top half of the league in yards against per game, both Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are giving up quite a bit of PAPG. The Steelers are allowing 23 PAPG (17th) while the Bengals are allowing 27.2 PAPG (22nd). Both QBs have been solid this year, which should help us get OVER the posted total. Ben Roethlisberger is completing 64.6% of his passes with 10 TDs and just 2 INTs for a 99.9 QB Rating, while Andy Dalton is completing 66% of his passes with 12 TDs and 9 INTs for a 91.7 QB Rating. Take note that on the road the Steelers are giving up 30.3 points per game. Last year we saw totals of 41 and 42 between these two teams, but I think these are different teams right now. The Steelers are injured on defense and all around have been soft defensively, while Andy Dalton and A.J. Green have looked like one of the leagues top QB-WR duos. Green ranks 2nd with 6 TDs and 3rd in yards per game as a receiver with 104.7. Take note that the Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The OVER is 4-0 in the Steelers last 4 road games, 4-1 in their last 5 vs AFC opponents. The OVER is also 7-2 in the Bengals last 9 home games, 6-2 in their last 8 games overall, and 4-0 in their last 4 divisional games. Although the Steelers have had the Bengals number they haven't looked good this year and are facing a lot of injuries to some key players. Sunday night should be a high scoring and entertaining game, but I think the Bengals should be favored in this one. The line has moved since sending this out, but we got it at +3 -125 and I would recommend trying to get +3 closer to Sunday if you didn't get the wager in. Also take the OVER 45.

[poopoo333]

This guy has been hot 16-1-1 last 18 Games 20-6-1 YTD

Joe Nelson's Pick Pack

NFL Sunday Picks



Premium Plays



Matchup: Tennessee at Buffalo
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Tennessee (+3.5 -120)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: October 19, 2012 @ 4:16:21 PM EDT

The Bills rebounded from an embarrassing loss to steal a win in Arizona last week. At 3-3 the Bills are in a four-way tie in the AFC East despite being outscored by 55 points on the season. The Titans got a season-saving win last Thursday against Pittsburgh and no team in wild card position is better than 3-3, leaving the 2-4 Titans still relevant with the schedule softening up. Jake Locker is still doubtful but Matt Hasselbeck is very capable of leading this offense. The Titans do have the worst point-differential in the NFL but Kenny Britt and Nate Washington are both healthy now and even Chris Johnson has made positive contributions in recent games. Tennessee has had to play perhaps the toughest schedule in the NFL through six weeks and the Titans could be a play-on team in the weeks ahead as this is a better team than the statistics suggest. Buffalo is certainly a suspect favorite as the defense is vulnerable and the offense turnover prone. The Bulls have allowed 430 yards per game, more than the Titans and Buffalo’s strong rushing offense is misleading as the bulk of that yardage came late in lopsided games. The Bills have been out-rushed each of the last three weeks and Buffalo has been badly out-gained each of the last three games. Tennessee has won S/U in seven of the last eight meetings between these teams including last season and the Bills are 4-8 ATS the last 12 games as a home favorite. Buffalo could get caught looking ahead to the bye week and Tennessee has defeated two decent teams this season, beating Detroit and Pittsburgh, teams better than anyone Buffalo has defeated.







Matchup: Green Bay at St. Louis
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: St. Louis (+6 -115)
Line Source: Wynn
Posted on: October 19, 2012 @ 4:16:21 PM EDT

The Packers finally had a big day on offense but there were a ton of breaks that helped the cause as Houston was very careless with costly penalties. It was also a very tough scheduling spot for the Texans. The Rams fell to 3-3 last week despite dominating the yardage against the Dolphins and posting big numbers against a Miami team that has been outstanding defensively this season. Missed field goals proved costly for the Rams but the defense has looked sharp the last two weeks after a rough start to the year. The Rams are 3-0 at home this season the Packers have been very inconsistent despite looking great on national TV last week. St. Louis has covered in five of six games this season and the Rams are 3-0 at home, beating quality teams Washington, Seattle, and Arizona. Green Bay is facing a third consecutive road game coming off a big win the Packers have lost two of three road games this season. Green Bay has the far worse defense in this match-up allowing over 340 yards per game and St. Louis has been a tough team to pass against, allowing just 203 yards per game on the season. St. Louis should also own the time of possession in this game which can open up opportunities for the offense in the second half when a thin Green Bay defense will wear down. Green Bay has been impacted by injuries perhaps more than any other team in the league with an extremely long list of questionable players this week Green Bay looks like a much more average team than the current valuation.







Member Plays



Matchup: Washington at N.Y. Giants
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Washington (+6.5 -115)
Line Source: The Greek
Posted on: October 19, 2012 @ 4:16:21 PM EDT

Robert Griffin played last week and played well as the Redskins reached 3-3 with an impressive win over Minnesota. The Giants came up big in the NFC Championship rematch with the 49ers but New York is far less reliable in the home favorite role. Washington beat the Giants twice last season and these teams are tied as the highest scoring teams in the NFC through six weeks. Washington is the far better rushing team and both teams have poor defensive numbers. Everyone assumes New York has a great defense and the line does have great players but this team is allowing 363 yards per game on the season. Washington has had a far better rush defense this season allowing only 88 yards per game and both teams have struggled against the pass. The schedule for the Giants has been favorable and New York has struggled in all three home games this year, losing to the Cowboys, needing a miracle comeback against Tampa Bay and struggling to pull away against Cleveland. There is an overreaction to last week’s big win for the Giants and New York seems to play to its competition. A division game underdog can strike in this match-up as Washington has played nothing but close games. The losses have all come by seven or less and last week’s win over a good Minnesota team was impressive. Washington has also won on the road twice already this season and the Giants are 8-15-2 as a home favorite since 2009.







Guaranteed Plays



Matchup: Dallas at Carolina
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Under (46.0 -107)
Line Source: Sportbet (http://www.sportbet.com/).com
Posted on: October 19, 2012 @ 4:16:21 PM EDT

The Cowboys played well in a tough environment last week but there are no moral victories in a tough NFC East where Dallas resides in last place. These have been two of the lowest scoring teams in the NFL on the season and while Dallas has been strong defensively the Panthers have struggled. That could change this week coming out of the bye week. Look no further than last week’s results to see an impact with Detroit, Oakland, and Tampa Bay all playing extremely well defensively. Dallas did allow 31 points off the bye week but the Ravens were held to just over 300 yards. Dallas is allowing just 285 yards per game as one of the top defensive teams in the league and the scoring against the Cowboys in the last two games has been very misleading. The Dallas offense has been very inefficient however with penalties and turnovers a big factor, as despite 387 yards per game the Cowboys are scoring less than 19 points per game. Carolina is scoring just 18 points per game as well and off the bye week the focus has to be running the ball, controlling the clock and avoiding risky plays for Cam Newton. Carolina is a much better team playing with a lead than playing from behind and the Panthers know they can’t win if they continue to allow big scoring, surrendering 25 points per game on the season. This is a second straight road game with long travel for the Cowboys and this is a make-or-break game for the Panthers. With DeMarco Murray out of action the Cowboys could become more one-dimensional and Dallas has a history of playing to the level of its competition. The ‘under’ has hit in five straight Dallas games playing losing teams and Carolina should look improved on defense this week.

[poopoo333]

Stephen Nover's Pick Pack

NFL Sunday Picks



Premium Plays



Matchup: Green Bay at St. Louis
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Green Bay (-5 -110)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: October 17, 2012 @ 4:23:22 PM EDT

The Packers finally are getting it together. Aaron Rodgers is heating up.

The Rams are 3-0 SU and ATS at home this season, but they've been playing way above their heads. This isn't going to continue.

Kudos to Jeff Fisher, but the reality is the Rams may have the worst offensive line in the NFL and not one of their wide receivers is starting quality with Danny Amendola out. They aren't going to be able to keep up with Green Bay's high-powered offense, which is even better on carpet.

The Packers are 20-8-1 ATS on the road versus foes with a winning home record.






Matchup: Arizona at Minnesota
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Arizona (+7 -120)
Line Source: Heritage
Posted on: October 19, 2012 @ 3:12:51 PM EDT

Minnesota is improved, but the Vikings are not a full touchdown better than Arizona.

The line is climbing because backup John Skelton is the Cardinals' starting quarterback replacing injured Kevin Kolb.

Two things about this. First, the Cardinals win with their excellent defense. Second, Skelton is the Cardinals' most effective quarterback. He beat out Kolb during preseason, but got hurt allowing Kolb to take over the starting spot.

Skelton has better chemistry and statistics with Larry Fitzgerald, who is the Cardinals' key playmaker. It's easy to rip Skelton, but the Cardinals were 5-2 last year during his starts. Two of those victories were against the Eagles and 49ers, teams better than the Vikings.

The Cardinals are not considered a good road team, yet they are 4-3 ATS in their last seven away matchups. Earlier this season they upset the Patriots on the road holding New England to its lowest point total of the season in a 20-18 victory. Last year, the Cardinals beat the Eagles on the road and should have beaten the Ravens in Baltimore losing 30-27 after leading 24-6.

The Cardinals have covered eight of the last 10 times they've been a 'dog while the Vikings are 2-7 ATS when favored.






Matchup: Jacksonville at Oakland
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Jacksonville (+4.5 -105)
Line Source: CarbonSports
Posted on: October 19, 2012 @ 2:49:39 PM EDT

The Jaguars have had two weeks to stew and be embarrassed about a 41-3 home loss to the Bears.

The Jaguars are making the long trip to the West Coast, but that is negated by being idle last week. As bad as the Jaguars are, they have covered both of their road contests beating Indianapolis and losing to Minnesota in overtime. The close loss to the Vikings is impressive considering how improved Minnesota is.

The Raiders aren't very good either. They have been terrible as a home favorite failing to cover 16 of the last 20 times in that role. Even the Jaguars should be able to pass on the Raiders' depleted secondary, especially with extra time to put in some added wrinkles.






Member Plays



Matchup: New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: New Orleans (-2.5 -120)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: October 17, 2012 @ 4:31:58 PM EDT

I'm not impressed with the Buccaneers. They've been outgained in every game except one.

The Saints finally got their much needed first victory beating San Diego at home. The Saints have now had two weeks to rest and game plan for this matchup. Drew Brees remains in his prime and has too many weapons for the Buccaneers to handle, especially with cornerback Aquib Talib suspended.

New Orleans isn't going to have a top-notch defense, but the Saints players are starting to get more used to the schemes and new system brought in by defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. The Saints held the Chargers to 113 yards in the second half.

The Buccaneers have a below average quarterback and ground attack. The Saints just need to pay attention to Vincent Jackson. The Saints will be able to handle Tampa Bay's offense while generating plenty of points themselves taking advantage of Tampa Bay's 31st-ranked pass defense.






Guaranteed Plays



Matchup: N.Y. Jets at New England
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: New England (-10 -110)
Line Source: The Greek
Posted on: October 16, 2012 @ 12:25:37 PM EDT

This is no contest. The Patriots have retained their high-powered offense - which is now even better with Aaron Hernandez back - while improving their defense, especially against the run.

The Jets, on the other hand, have regressed. They are missing their best defensive player, Darrelle Revis, and lone playmaker on offense, Santonio Holmes.

Mark Sanchez has failed to complete 50 percent of his throws in four of the last five games. The Patriots are in a foul mood after blowing a 14-point fourth-quarter lead last week against Seattle. They are going to show no mercy to their hated division rival and their loud mouth coach, Rex Ryan.

This is the Jets' first road game in four weeks. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road matchups. The Jets are run-oriented. They can't play from behind and their defense has regressed. The Patriots beat the Jets twice last season winning by an average of 15 points. New England is just as good this year and the Jets are worse.

[poopoo333]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Sunday, October 21st

2012 Pro Football Triple Super Totals Parlay of the Year!!!!!
Cleveland/Indianapolis under 46
Baltimore/Houston under 48 1/2
Dallas/Carolina under 46

2-1 or Better or we'll email you Tonight's Steelers @ Bengals Winner Free of Charge!!!

Early NFL Bets Bets
Green Bay/St Louis under 45 1/2
New Orleans/Tampa Bay under 49 1/2

[poopoo333]

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Sunday, October 21st

October's Sunday Night AFC Super Total of the Month!!!!!
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati under 45

Late NFL Best Bets
NY Jets/New England under 47 1/2
Jacksonville/Oakland over 44

[poopoo333]

PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Dallas Cowboys -2 over
the Carolina Panthers

[poopoo333]

500K NFC South Lock/Year
the New Orleans Saints -1 over
the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Best Bets
the Indianapolis Colts -1½ over
the Cleveland Browns
the Green Bay Packers -5 over
the St Louis Rams
the Washington Redskins +6 over
the NY Giants
the Baltimore/Houston Game OVER
the Total Of 48 Points

[poopoo333]

500K NBC Lock
the Pittsburgh Steelers -1 over
the Cincinnati Bengals
Best Bets
the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati Game OVER
the Total Of 45 Points
the Oakland Raiders -6 over
the Jacksonville Jaguars
the NY Jets/New England Game OVER
the Total Of 47½ Points
the San Francisco Giants w/Vogelsong -115 over
the St Louis Cardinals

[poopoo333]

PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the New England Patriots -10½ over
the NY Jets

[poopoo333]

Andy Iskoe

SUNDAY

Titans +3 at Bills (46½): Tennessee has extra rest following last Thursday’s home upset of struggling Pittsburgh. Buffalo rebounded from back-to-back losses of 28 and 42 points with an overtime win at Arizona. After back-to-back road games this is the Bills’ lone home game in a – week stretch. And they have a bye next week. BILLS.

Cards +5½ at Vikings (40½): There are many similarities between the two. Each has a rather pedestrian offense although the Vikings do have a solid rushing attack. Both teams’ strengths are their defenses with each ranking in the top ten in total defense, passing defense and scoring defense. They also rank fourth and fifth in yards per play allowed with each under 5.0. UNDER.

Browns +3 at Colts (44½): Both teams are among the weakest in the league but each has shown signs of improvement as the season continues to unfold. The Colts have the more high profile rookie QB, Andrew Luck, but Cleveland rookie Brandon Weedon is also developing nicely. Colts rank last in the NFL with just 3 takeaways all season. The Browns have forced an average of 2.3 per game. BROWNS.

Ravens +5½ at Texans (47): In edging Dallas last week Baltimore suffered significant injuries to key defensive players including the heart and soul of the unit, Ray Lewis. The offense remains solid and the Ravens rank third by gaining 6.3 yards per play. Houston’s defense was picked apart by Green Bay, but has played well against weaker offenses. The usually stout Baltimore defense is allowing a surprisingly high 397 total yards per game. OVER.

Packers -5½ at Rams (44½): The Rams are 5-1 ATS, covering in two of their three road losses. Given the great success of underdogs this season the Rams are worth a play, especially if the line moves up as the public believes the Pack is back. RAMS.

Cowboys -2 at Panthers (45½): After winning at the Giants to open the season Dallas has lost its next two road games, at Seattle and Baltimore. The Panthers have lost three straight, but all have been to winning teams and their last two losses have been by 4 and 2 points. Carolina has had two weeks to prepare for the Cowboys. PANTHERS.

Redskins +6½ at NY Giants (49½): The Redskins defeated the Giants twice last season. Washington rookie QB Robert Griffin III’s mobility makes him less susceptible to the Giants’ pass rush than most QBs. The Giants are playing to avenge last season’s sweep but there’s plenty of room for the improved visitors to stay competitive. REDSKINS.

Saints -2½ at Bucs (49½): The Bucs have defended the run very well but have a leaky pass defense. That plays to the strength of the Saints’ offense, directed by record setting QB Drew Brees. But the Saints have defensive issues of their own, ranking last in total yardage. This has the makings of an entertaining shootout. OVER.

Jets +10½ at Patriots (47): New England has won 4 of the last 5 regular season games against the Jets with 3 of the wins by at least 17 points. There’s a bit of a rivalry between the head coaches and Pat’s coach Bill Belichick has always placed a great emphasis on Divisional games. Despite the great success of underdogs this season, double digit favorites are 3-2 ATS this season. PATRIOTS.

Jaguars +4 at Raiders (43): The Raiders’ defense has held three of five foes to under 60 yards rushing. Oakland’s defensive weakness has been against the pass. But Jacksonville has a very limited passing attack and has netted less than 150 passing yards in each of its last four games. Now they take to the road for the first time in a month. Although both teams are an identical 1-4, Oakland is the much better team. RAIDERS.

Steelers -2½ at Bengals (46): Pittsburgh has dominated this series of late, winning and covering four straight and are 9-2 both SU and ATS since 2006 with the game winner covering the line each time. The Bengals do have their bye next week. Pittsburgh has been outstanding after a loss in recent years, including 2-0 this season. STEELERS.

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HANDICAPPSTER

Ravens +6.5 (5 UNITS)
Saints -1 (5 UNITS)
Jets +11 (4 UNITS)
Cowboys -1 (3 UNITS)
Steelers -1 (3 UNITS)

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The Chicago Sports Connection

1:00 ET
OVER 45 Green Bay @ St. Louis
Green Bay is out of running backs...look for ARodg to throw, throw and throw some more.
Clock will stop a few more times than usual and we will see this game end at about 4:35 ET

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NFL NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY

Play Under - Any team against the total in a game involving two poor teams (outgained by 40-100 YPG), after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% 37.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NFL PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI

Play On - Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (PITTSBURGH) in conference games, off a road loss.
63-34 over the last 10 seasons. ( 64.9% 0.0 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

NFL WASHINGTON at NY GIANTS

Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (WASHINGTON) off an upset win as a home underdog, after the first month of the season.
102-54 since 1997. ( 65.4% 42.6 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

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Ravens at Texans: What Bettors Need to Know

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (-7, 48)

The Baltimore Ravens’ defense has carried the team for years. Now, more than ever, it’s time for Joe Flacco and the offense to lead the way. Baltimore’s already hamstrung defense will be missing emotional leader Ray Lewis and top cornerback Lardarius Webb - both out for the season - when the Ravens head to Houston to face the Texans, who are looking to rebound from their first loss. The Texans’ sixth-ranked rushing attack was stuck in neutral and their defense was gashed for six touchdowns by Aaron Rodgers in a 42-24 loss to Green Bay last Sunday night.

Baltimore may have had an even worse week, even though it ran its winning streak to four games. The Ravens allowed 481 yards, including a franchise-record 227 rushing yards, in a 31-29 win over Dallas – a game in which Lewis tore his biceps and Webb suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament. The teams faced off in the divisional playoffs last season, with the Ravens beating the Matt Schaub-less Texans 20-13 to improve to 6-0 against Houston. Webb intercepted T.J. Yates twice in that contest.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Texans -7, O/U 48

ABOUT THE RAVENS (5-1): Flacco, an impending free agent, has been pining for a new contract and now is the time to prove his worth. After going a modest 17-of-26 for 234 yards and a touchdown against the league’s top-ranked pass defense, he gets another stern test against the Texans’ seventh-ranked pass defense (213.2 ypg). It will be interesting to see how much Baltimore uses its no-huddle offense considering it forces the injury-ravaged defense to be on the field more than usual. That unit has struggled to generate a pass rush (its 11 sacks ranks 23rd) minus reigning Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs, (Achilles) and is 26th against the run (136.5). Therefore, Baltimore needs an offense that is averaging 26.8 points to continue to play well. They’ll continue to lean on RB Ray Rice, who is second in the league in yards from scrimmage (715), and play-making WR Torrey Smith, who ranks fourth in the league in yards per reception (18.8).

ABOUT THE TEXANS (5-1): Houston received a mulligan after running into a desperate and angry Green Bay team last week. The Texans' first order of business will be re-establishing their dominant rushing attack after Arian Foster, the league’s second-leading rusher (561 yards), was held to 29 yards on 17 carries with a pair of 1-yard touchdown runs. Meanwhile, the defense, which is without LB Brian Cushing (torn ACL), still leads the AFC in scoring (19.2) despite the hiccup against Green Bay. Leading Defensive Player of the Year candidate J.J Watt was the lone bright spot in the loss, racking up two more sacks to push his league-leading total to 9.5. Watt has also batted down a league-best eight passes at the line of scrimmage.

TRENDS:
* Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Texans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-1 in Texans’ last five home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The 37-year-old Lewis missed four games last season with a toe injury and the Ravens went 4-0 in his absence.

2. Suggs, who reportedly suffered the injury playing pickup basketball in the offseason, was activated from the physically unable to perform list and returned to practice Wednesday. The team anticipated a return around November, but reports have surfaced that Suggs plans to plan Sunday.

3. Foster ran for 132 yards and a touchdown in the playoff loss to Baltimore, making him the only player to rush for 100 yards against the Ravens in the postseason.

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Jets at Patriots: What Bettors Need to Know

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10.5, 47)

Despite all of the "Sky is Falling" talk, Rex Ryan's New York Jets find themselves in a four-way tie atop the AFC East as they renew their rivalry with Tom Brady and the shellshocked New England Patriots on Sunday in Foxborough. The Jets ended a two-game skid by returning to their ground-and-pound ways against the overmatched Indianapolis Colts last week as Shonn Greene ran for a career-best 161 yards and three touchdowns in a 35-9 win.

That strategy has quieted some of the Mark Sanchez-Tim Tebow controversy for the moment, but the Jets will likely have to throw the ball more than 18 times to keep up with the Patriots’ top-ranked offense. Especially since Brady and company are fuming after blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead in a stunning 24-23 defeat to Seattle – a loss that sent them to their worst start in seven years. History says Brady's bunch will bounce back against the Jets. The Patriots have won two straight and 15 of the last 20 meetings, including the last three regular-season meetings by a combined score of 112-40. Brady threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns – two to All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski - in a 37-16 romp in New Jersey last season.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Patriots -10.5, O/U 47.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the west.

ABOUT THE JETS (3-3): Ryan is trash-talking once again after the Jets bludgeoned the rebuilding Colts. He said of the Patriots: “I want them to know, and they know, that I think we’re going to beat them.” In order to back up Ryan’s words, the Jets need another big game from Greene, who had been averaging 2.7 yards over the previous four contests. And with Bilal Powell (shoulder) and Joe McKnight (high ankle sprain) both out, he’ll be the workhorse against the NFL’s sixth-ranked rush defense (82.7 ypg). Sanchez will have to throw for more than 82 yards. The embattled fourth-year quarterback has the worst completion percentage (49.7) in the league, which has led to some cameo appearances from Tebow.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (3-3): The 3,000-plus mile plane ride back from Seattle must have felt longer than the line at Starbucks after the Patriots let a 23-10 lead slip away in the final 7:31. The defense, which let Sidney Rice get behind it for the winning 46-yard touchdown, is largely to blame, but Brady was not absolved of guilt. He threw two touchdowns but was intercepted twice – once in the end zone – and also had a costly intentional-grounding penalty in the red zone at the end of the first half. Brady finished 36-of-58 (a career high in attempts) for 395 yards. He was forced to throw an inordinate amount because the Patriots, who entered third in the league averaging 165.4 rushing yards, were held to 87 yards on the ground. New England, which welcomed back TE Aaron Hernandez from a month-long absence last week, is still averaging a league-best 31.3 points and 445.3 yards.

TRENDS:
* Over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Patriots are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven Week 7 games.
* Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last four October games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Since 2009, the Patriots have lost seven games in which they led with less than five minutes remaining in regulation - tied for third most in the NFL.

2. The Jets’ defense, which is ranked 30th in third-down conversion rate (46.0), will face its toughest test since star CB Darrelle Revis (torn ACL) went down three weeks ago.

3. The Patriots announced on Twitter that the team will wear the popular throwback red uniforms, circa 1992, featuring the helmet logo of “Patriot Pat” snapping a football.

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NLCS Betting Preview: Cardinals at Giants

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants (-115, 6.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-2.

The St. Louis Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history, but they’re not thinking about that as they head west for the rest of the National League Championship Series. Instead, St. Louis is looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss in Game 5 that trimmed their series lead to 3-2 with Game 6 looming on Sunday. The San Francisco Giants proved they can win the hard way after taking three straight against Cincinnati to capture the NL Division Series, and they have Ryan Vogelsong and Matt Cain lined up to start the final two games of the NLCS. Pablo Sandoval has homered in each of his last two games, and he’s hitting .310 (13-for-42) with three home runs in 10 postseason games.

The Cardinals are seeking more offensive consistency after batting .198 through the first three games of the series and going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position in Game 5. While Matt Holliday went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Friday, Carlos Beltran had a double and a stolen base after missing Game 4 with a strained left knee. The Giants are also hoping to get more production from the heart of their order, starting with MVP candidate Buster Posey, who is 3-for-18 with three walks in the NLCS. Hunter Pence and Gregor Blanco have both struggled this postseason, but manager Bruce Bochy has been reluctant to replace either outfielder with Xavier Nady. Pence is one of the Giants' clubhouse leaders, but he's hitting just .154 (6-for-39) in the playoffs.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (1-0, 1.50)

Carpenter is looking to redeem himself after allowing five runs (two earned) over four innings against the Giants in Game 2. Pence is 5-for-28 with seven strikeouts against Carpenter, who is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco. Carpenter, who is one win shy of tying Greg Maddux and Curt Schilling for the fifth-most playoff victories in history (11), missed the first 150 games of the season with a right shoulder injury.

Vogelsong has been a pleasant surprise this postseason, posting a 1.50 ERA and allowing only seven hits in 12 innings over two starts. He gave up one run over seven frames in Game 2, and he threw seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 win at Busch Stadium on Aug. 8. Yadier Molina is 3-for-14 and Beltran is 6-for-13 with a home run against Vogelsong, who finished the regular season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts.

TRENDS:
* Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.
* Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts.
* Over is 5-0 in Cardinals’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 8-0 in Giants’ last eight playoff home games.

UMP TRENDS- Jerry Layne:
* Over is 10-2 in Layne’s last 12 games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games with Layne behind home plate.
* Road team is 15-6 in Layne’s last 21 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Giants are looking to become the seventh team to win a League Championship Series after trailing 3-1 since the best-of-seven format was adopted in 1985.

2. Carpenter has started with a chance for his team to clinch a playoff series four times in his career, with the Cardinals going 3-1. He has a 1.93 ERA in those starts over 28 innings.

3. The Giants are 4-1 when scoring four or more runs in the postseason and 1-4 when scoring three runs or fewer.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Nebraska (-6 1/2) Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Patriots. The deficit is 885 sirignanos.

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL - Sunday, October 21st - FREE PLAY

TOP (3 UNITS)
REDSKINS +7 (-135) at giants (10am)

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Today's NFL Picks

NY Jets at New England

The Patriots look to build on their 6-0-1 ATS record in their last 7 games in Week 7 of the season. New England is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/17)


Game 415-416: Tennessee at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 124.708; Buffalo 126.383
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3 1/2); Over


Game 417-418: Arizona at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 135.928; Minnesota 132.922
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 40
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+6 1/2); Over


Game 419-420: Cleveland at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.229; Indianapolis 129.479
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3); Under


Game 421-422: Baltimore at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.763; Houston 144.495
Dunkel Line: Houston by 9 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Over


Game 423-424: Green Bay at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.827; St. Louis 130.430
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 5; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-5); Under


Game 425-426: Dallas at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.827; Carolina 127.236
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Dallas by 1; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1); Under


Game 427-428: Washington at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 132.731; NY Giants 140.413
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 7 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 5 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-5 1/2); Over


Game 429-430: New Orleans at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 132.610; Tampa Bay 128.555
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 4; 46
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Under


Game 431-432: NY Jets at New England (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 130.799; New England 142.820
Dunkel Line: New England by 12; 51
Vegas Line: New England by 10 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2); Over


Game 433-434: Jacksonville at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.907; Oakland 126.831
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+4 1/2); Over


Game 435-436: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 128.756; Cincinnati 136.591
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3); Under

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DCI NFL

Week
Straight Up: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS Vary Units: 2-0 (1.000)
Over/Under: 1-0 (1.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2-0 (1.000)

Season
Straight Up: 48-40 (.545)
ATS: 39-51 (.433)
ATS Vary Units: 187-323 (.367)
Over/Under: 51-38 (.573)
Over/Under Vary Units: 203-157 (.564)

Thursday, October 18, 2012
SAN FRANCISCO 20, Seattle 15

Sunday, October 21, 2012
BUFFALO 29, Tennessee 26
Cleveland 23, INDIANAPOLIS 19
N.Y. GIANTS 36, Washington 18
New Orleans 38, TAMPA BAY 26
CAROLINA 27, Dallas 21
HOUSTON 22, Baltimore 21
Green Bay 23, ST. LOUIS 19
MINNESOTA 21, Arizona 18
NEW ENGLAND 32, N.Y. Jets 22
OAKLAND 27, Jacksonville 16
Pittsburgh 21, CINCINNATI 20

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Marc Lawrence LTS:
4* UNDERDOG GOM: Washington (+6)
3* Jax +4.5
3* Det +6.5

King Creole:
2* Cle/Indy OVER 45.5
2* Bal/Hou OVER 48
2* Dal/Car OVER 45.5
3* Jax+7

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Hondo

It was three up and three down yesterday for Hondo, who won with Rutgers, Alabama and Oregon State and lost with South Carolina, Louisville and Iowa to bump up the debt to 1,485 kapps.

Today, Mr. Aitch will pursue pigskin pecuniary possiblities with the Vikings, Rams, Saints and Raiders — 10 units apiece. Also, 10 on the SF baseball Giants to force a Game 7.

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Dallas -2

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 926-686 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free play Sun:Jacksonville + 6 1/2

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Baseball Crusher
San Francisco Giants + St Louis Cards UNDER 6.5
(System Record: 110-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 110-81
2012 Regular Season System Record: 101-3 (101-75) +43.32 units
2011 Regular Season System Record: 108-3 (108-67-1) +44.17 units

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Football Crusher
Arizona Cardinals +6.5 over Minnesota Vikings
(System Record: 20-1, won last game)
Overall Record: 20-22-3

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Soccer Crusher
Quilmes + River Plate UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 310-11, won last game)
Overall Record: 319-260-34

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Cappers Access

Titans
Raiders
Bengals

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Insider Sports Report

4* Dallas -1
3* New England -10.5
3* New Orleans -1.5
3* St, Louis (Carpenter) +110

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Joe Wiz

Has lost last 5 free picks

1st Free Play Sunday Over 43 Green Bay and St. Louis
2nd Free Play Sunday Over 43 Jacksonville and Oakland

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Bob Balfe
Giants -6 over Redskins


RG3 is going to be a stud in the NFL, but lets not forget this will be his first division game and wins in the NFC East are not easy. The Giants are clicking right now and should be able to move the ball against this injured and weak Washington Defense. The Redskins will be without Garcon today and with a rookie running back and a rookie quarterback should have a tough time on the road. The Giants are the defending champs and want payback against a Redskins team that beat them twice last year. They will not take this team lightly. The Giants are an experienced team playing with each other and should win this important division game. Take New York.

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

NFL Early Week Totals Sharp $$$

OVERS: Baltimore - Houston

Washington - NYG

UNDERS: San Fran - Seattle

Arizona -Minnesota.

The Biggest Early Week NFL Line Moves Have come in support of dogs.

Seattle

Washington

NYJ

JAX

Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

Neil Larson

10* New Orleans

10* Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 430 TAM 3.0 (-120) bodog vs 429 NOS
Analysis:


*** NFL 3* EARLY TRUE STEAM ***


BUCCS +3 (-120)....(3*)


TRUE-LINE = NOS -1

Bottom line, the Saints went into their bye off the 1st win of the season and bettors got a chance to watch it on a national stage which is why we've got an inflated line to work with. In fact, before the season started Cantor Gaming offered this game at NOS -4, which reflects a very slight adjustment since then.


With that said, there is NO way that any data supports the Saints are the same team we thought back in August that they may be (1-4)..and more importantly, the Buccs are actually better than my rating showed prior to the season.


So we have ourselves a simple case of an "over-valued" team that bettors have gotten so used to being one of the top teams in the NFL, against an "under-valued" team they've concluded as the opposite. The problem with that reasoning is that it's 2012, and this season both teams are not as the market "perceives" so let's get out ahead of it before the wiseguys do and extract most of the value.

[Mr. IWS]

JR ODonnell | NFL Side Sun, 10/21/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 430 TAM 3.0 (-110) Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308).com vs 429 NOS

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Tuley......72.3%.......34-13 yr.........6-3 last wk.

Ariz+6.5..Cle+2..Bal+7..NYG-7..N.O.-2.5...Jets+10.5....Oak-4....Cin+1.5....Det+6

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

TOP PLAYS

5 UNIT PLAY

Oakland/ Jacksonville under 44: Last year these teams put up 69 points, but I don't expect the same thing here. The Jags offense is very vanilla and conservative and they will need to use ball control to keep an Oakland offense that has some pop, on the sidelines. Jacksonville averages just 242 ypg and 3 ppg on the year and should not be able to put up much on this Raiders defense that has played pretty good at home, allowing just 345.5 ypg. The Raiders offense has been explosive at times this year, but still they come in averaging just 17.4 ppg. The Raiders have gotten away from their run game, but they should look to establish that in this one vs a Jags defense that has allowed 163 ypg on the ground this year. That will certainly eat some clock. I expect both teams to run the ball allot which should keep the clock rolling. and keep this one well under the total. KEY TREND--- Jacksonville is 16-5 to the Under after allowing 175+ rushing yards in their last game.

4 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Dallas -1 over CAROLINA: Last week the Cowboys really got their ground game going and vs a tougher defense then they will face this week. The Cowboys need the run to take the pressure off of Romo and I really look for them to pound the ball here Vs a Carolina defense that has allowed 127.4 ypg on the ground at 4.4 yards per pop.That will only open up the throwing lanes for this Dallas pass offense that has averaged 287.8 ypg through the air to put up some big yards on a Carolina defense that is 19th vs the pass, allowing 249 ypg. On Offense Carolina is 13th in rushing, but they will need to throw it here if they wanna keep pace with the Cowboys and that is not their strong suit. The panthers are just 22nd in passing and Newton has not looked that great after an impressive 1st year in the league. Today it won't get easier for him as the Cowboys have the top passing defense in the league, allowing just 181.6 ypg. Dallas is the better team here and they played a very good game last week vs Baltimore, but just came up a bit short. The Won't in this game as they have the better offense and better defense and should win by at least a TD. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any road team in a conference game if they are off a road game in which both teams scored 24 or more points. Teams in this spot are 31-9 ATS the last 40 times the situation came up.

7 POINT POWER TEASER OF THE WEEK--- New Orleans +5.5 & Washington +13

3 UNIT PLAYS

Arizona/ Minnesota Under 40.5: Both teams are having problems protecting their QB’s and that should leads to allot of running in this game. Arizona doesn’t have a great running game, but they will need to run the ball to keep these Minnesota pass rushers from teeing off on Skelton. Even with their passing game Arizona is not really an explosive offense as they average just 4.6 yards per play on the year. Minnesota has an excellent running game behind Adrian Petersen and I look for them to use that running game allot in order to keep a solid Arizona pass rush from getting to Ponder. Both teams have a rather conservative style of play and that should translate into this game staying well under the number. I look for 31 points at most here.

NEW ENGLAND -10.5 over NY Jets: Gotta like the Pats here vs a team they hate and coming off a loss. The jets have played well last week, but the Colts are not the Pats. The Jet offense was better last week, but they still have problems how to use Tebow and that will lead to inconsistencies and you cant have that vs this team. You mostly must score an every drive and the Jets haven't been close to doing that this year. New York averages just 22.2 ppg and 184 ypg passing and number like that aren't good vs the Pats. New England comes in averaging 453 ypg and 31.3 ppg on the year and the fact that they can now run the ball (153 ypg) has made them so much more difficult to defend. NY Is already thin on defense, especially in the defensive backfield and they will have big problems trying to slow down this no-huddle speed offense of the Pats. New England is angry once again and you can bet that they will take their frustrations out on their hated rivals from New York.

HOUSTON -7 over Baltimore: Last week Houston got a wakeup call vs the Packers but they will bounce back in this one. Baltimore is being hit hard by injuries on the defensive side of the ball right now and last week it really hurt them vs the run as they allowed Dallas 227 yards on the ground. Now Arian Foster gets his shot at this defense and he is an angry back after being held to just 28 yards last week vs the Packers. Once the ground game gets going then Matt Schaub should be able to get some big plays downfield vs a weakened Baltimore secondary. On offense Baltimore can put up points, but this Houston defense is one of the best in the league and will bounce back after such a bad showing last week vs Green Bay. Look for Houston to get back on track vs a Baltimore team that just doesn’t have enough defense to keep this one close.

7 POINT TEASER--- Pats/ Jets Over 40.5 & Tennessee +10

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Cleveland/ Indy Over 45.5

Washington +6 over NY GIANTS

1 UNIT PLAYS

New Orleans -1.5 over TAMPA BAY

Tennessee/ Buffalo Over 46.5

[Mr. IWS]

MARK LAWRENCE
UNDERDOG GAME OF MONTH
WASHINGTON

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

20 bengals
20 under bengals
10 parley bengals and under
15 saints
10 Vikings
10 Tennessee

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole:
2* Cle/Indy OVER 45.5
2* Bal/Hou OVER 48
2* Dal/Car OVER 45.5
3* Jax+7

[Mr. IWS]

LEE EARNEST
14-5 NFL RUN

Take Pittsburgh Steelers -1 over Cincinnati Bengals 1 Unit
I feel that Pittsburgh is being undervalued here given their slow start this season. The Steelers have been plagued with injuries to start the year and that has cost them a couple of game. However, this is still a more than capable team and even sitting at 2-3 to start the year they still have a very good chance to win their division and it is all going to start with this game. Pittsburgh has won the last 4 meeting with Cincinnati both SU and ATS and since 1992 they are an astonishing 16-5 ATS. Pittsburgh just seems to find a way to win against this team. Yes the Bengals are a much improved team over the last couple of season with the addition of Andy Dalton and AJ Green, but there are question marks on this teams defense that have arisen over their last two games seeing how they lost to both Miami and Cleveland. Pittsburgh is not a pushover team by any stretch of the imagination. They still have a stellar defensive corp ( even without Troy Polamalou ) and they have the ability to make big plays on offense. Given Cincinnati struggles on defense and with it being almost a "must win" for Pittsburgh, I'll back Pittsburgh at a virtual pick'em.

Take New Orleans Saints -2 over Tampa Bay Bucs 1 Unit
This is another game where I feel that the Saints are incredibly undervalued in this role, given their rocky start this season. Offensively this team is still the juggernaut that they were in years past, it is on the defensive side of the ball where this Saints team is falling short. Their defense is just in shambles and is bleeding profusely. They can't seem to stop anybody and they are allowing teams to run all over them with they themselves can't seem to run the ball at all. The Saints are averaging less than 80 yards per game on the ground and I think this is where people are going to mis-read this game. The Saints can't run the ball, but that doesn't matter because Tampa's defensive strength is in stopping the run. The area where they are weakest is defending the pass. the Saints can't run the ball anyway so I don't see why they would try very much when that plays into the defense's strength. Tampa is currently giving up an average of 300 yards through the air and that doesn't bode well when you have a passing surgeon such as Drew Brees in the backfield. Brees averages about 350 yards passing per game against regular competition. Against a weak secondary and pass rush he should have no problem finding his open receivers. The Saints got a taste of their first win of the season last week and I'm willing to bet that they want more. They themselves probably never figured that they would start the season 0-4 and with this being an important divisional game I'm going to look for the Saints to give the Bucs all they can handle. 2 points isn't too much to ask to cover.

Take Green Bay Packers -5 over St Louis Rams 1 Unit
For me this game comes down to the fact that St Louis doesn't have their biggest playmaker on the field in Danny Amendola. Amendola was approx 60% of St Louis' offense up until the point where he got hurt. When Bradford was in trouble he would simply loft the ball to Amendola anywhere on the field knowing that Danny gave him the best shot, Bradford doesn't have that type of security now. Amendola is a dangerous player and I don't know if a young team such as the Rams can overcome a loss like that, especially now when they have to face the pass rush of Clay Matthews.
Green Bay on the other hand will be looking to ride the momentum of their complete and total thrashing of what was supposed to be one of the best defenses in the league on their home turf, I'm talking about the Houston Texans. That Texans win was just what Green Bay needed to silence all of the doubters and critics who were whispering about how they thought the team was underachieving this year. That game showed everyone that this Green Bay can still play at the level that they were at last year. Laying the points on the road is always a tough thing to do but Green Bay is just the all around better team and should win this game by double digits. Lay the points

[Mr. IWS]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = PITTSBURGH
3* = JACKSONVILLE
2* = WASHINGTON
2* = CLEVELAND
2* = DETROIT(monday night)

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

25*Saints
20*Greenbay
15* Washington/Pittsburgh/New England

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID BANKS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals


The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3, 1-4 ATS) may be approaching desperation mode when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals (3-3, 2-3-1 ATS) in a key division battle on Sunday Night Football this week at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, OH at 8:20 ET on NBC. The Steelers are in third place in the AFC North right now behind the 5-1 Baltimore Ravens and these Bengals, and Pittsburgh can ill afford to drop to 2-4 while losing to a division foe. The Bengals blew chance to pull a game closer to the Ravens last week when they lost to the Browns 34-24, handing Cleveland its first win of the season.


The big story on the Pittsburgh side for this game is injuries, as Troy Polamalu is again out after reinjuring his calf in his first game back two weeks ago, and perhaps more importantly, running back Rashard Mendenhall was declared out yesterday with a foot injury, which essentially changes the Steelers' game plan. Pittsburgh had hoped to establish the run with Mendenhall in this game as he looked great in his only full game this season two weeks ago, but his absence probably means that Ben Roethlisberger will throw the ball close to 40 times, especially since third string running back Jonathan Dwyer will start with second-stringer Isaac Redman also out with a knee injury. With all of that being said, Roethlisberger has flourished in a gunslinger role the last couple of years with the running game down, and this season has been no different with Big Ben ranking fourth in the NFL in QB Rating at 99.9. He has passed for 1487 yards on 7.5 yards per attempt while completing 64.6 percent of his passes, with 10 touchdown passes and just two interceptions. He will also be passing against a weak Cincinnati secondary with Dre Kirkpatrick out, meaning that the overrated Terence Newman gets the start at cornerback as Nate Clements moves over to play out of position at safety. Big Ben can exploit that as long as he eludes a very good Cincinnati pass rush that is tied with Green Bay for the NFL lead with 21 sacks. Roethlisberger has made eluding rushers an art form though, as he probably has the best pocket awareness in the NFL.


The Bengals are 3-3, but are they really that good? Remember last year when they backed into the playoffs at 9-7 despite going 0-7 vs. fellow playoff teams and 9-0 vs. clubs with losing records? Well, their three wins this year have come vs. the Browns (1-5), Jaguars (1-4) and the Redskins (3-3) when Washington had five defensive starters out, and as mentioned, they even lost to the Browns in the rematch last week. Now Cincinnati ranks ninth in the NFL in total offense, but besides doing it vs. a weak schedule, the Bengals have become a pronounced passing team in Andy Dalton's second season, ranking eighth in passing but 21st in rushing while averaging just 3.9 yard per rush. The problem with that here is that Pittsburgh ranks third against the pass at 200.8 yards per game while allowing only 6,2 yards per attempt. The Steelers have been unusually vulnerable against the run allowing 4.1 yards per carry, but the overrated BenJarvus Green-Ellis is proving to be a bust as the starting running back for the Bengals.


Then there is the psychological advantage that the Steelers seem to have over Cincinnati, as Pittsburgh is 8-2 both straight up and ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings including a perfect 4-0 straight up and ATS the last two years. The Bengals are also 0-5-3 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss.

Pick: OVER 45

[Mr. IWS]

401 K SPORTS
PLAYOFF RUN 14-7-1 +15.35 units

SF Giants/Cardinals Under 7

[Mr. IWS]

JOE NELSON
21-5 NFL RUN

Tennessee +3.5 over Buffalo
St. Louis +6 over Packers
Washington +6.5 over NY Giants
Dallas at Carolina Under 46

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd
5* (NFL) Carolina Panthers +2.5



3* (NFL) Buffalo Bills -3 (-125)
3* (NFL) Steelers/Bengals OVER 45.5
3*(MLB) San Francisco Giants ML -120

[Mr. IWS]

BEST SPORTS PICKS
10-2 NFL RUN

5* Browns +1.5 over Colts
5* Bengals +1.5 over Steelers
5* Rams +4 over GB Packers

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BRADLEY
11-3 NFLRUN

Buffalo -3 over Tennessee
Vikings/Arizona Under 40

[Mr. IWS]

OCAL SPORTS
29-6 NFL/NCAAF RUN

4* Packers -5 over Rams
4* Jets +10.5 over Patriots
4* Steelers +1 over Bengals

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella

3* TB +2
3* Buff -3

[Mr. IWS]

fantasy (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fpartners.fanduel.com%2Fproc essing%2Fclickthrgh.asp%3Fbtag%3Da_889b_156) Sports Gametime

100* St. Louis +105 over San Francisco

[Mr. IWS]

Valley Sports
5* Houston -6½
4* Minnesota -6
4* Indianapolis/Cleveland Over 45
3* Washington +5½
3* Houston/Baltimore Over 48½
2* Buffalo -3
2* St Louis +5½
4* San Francisco Giants
2* San Francisco Giants /St Louis Under

[Mr. IWS]

Trev Rogers
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Oct 21 '12
1:00p Cleveland Browns vs Indianapolis Colts
Take: Cleveland Browns +2-110 in 2h

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Oct 21 '12
1:00p Arizona Cardinals vs Minnesota Vikings
Take: Arizona Cardinals +7-115 in 2h

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Oct 21 '12
1:00p Tennessee Titans vs Buffalo Bills
Take: Total 46 ov-105 in 2h

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Oct 21 '12
1:00p Green Bay Packers vs St Louis Rams
Take: St Louis Rams +6-110 in 2h
NFL Week 7 "SHOCKER" : Take the STL RAMS +6

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Oct 21 '12
1:00p Cleveland Browns vs Indianapolis Colts
Take: Total 45½ ov-110 in 2h

[Mr. IWS]

National Sports Service
4* OAKLAND -6 OVER JACKSONVILLE (NFL)
3* N.Y. GIANTS -6½ OVER WASHINGTON (NFL)
3* ST. LOUIS (CARPENTER) +110 OVER SAN FRANCISCO (VOLGELSONG)

[Mr. IWS]

EM Sports

Rams
Bucs
Browns
Bengals
Bears (Monday)

[Mr. IWS]

NSA
20* NFL New England -10
20* NFL Tennessee +4
20* NFL Arizona +7
10* NFL Dallas -1
10* NFL NY Giants -6
10* NFL Tampa Bay +1½

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd
40 Dime Arizona
40 Dime New Orleans
40 Dime Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies Sports
500* St. Louis +5½
500* Washington @ Giants Over 51½
500* Arizona @ Minnesota Under 41
30* Jets+10½
20* Tampa Bay+1
10* Indianapolis+2 (Free Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
3.5 texans -7

3 cowboys -2

3 over browns/colts 45.5


Top Opinions

NE -10.5
Pitt -1
Over 45 GB / STL
NO - 1

[Mr. IWS]

kelso

100 oakland

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner 10/21



Buffalo - 3
Washington + 6 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

JAMES JONES
3* jacksonville +7
2* baltimore +8

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams


1500♦
Raise the Bar
NFC Game of the Month



Arizona Cardinals +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Si - South Beach Sports
ZEBRA CLUB: 20* NFL Giants -6½
BIG ACTION: NFL Steelers -1
BIG ACTION: NFL Titans +4
BIG ACTION: NFL Packers under 45
HILTON: NFL Jaguars Over 44

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Sunday:
100 units teaser with OVER Buffalo and UNDER Dallas
100 Arizona
100 St. Louis(NFL)
100 OVER Washington
300 OVER Jacksonville
200 Pittsburgh

[Mr. IWS]

JR Tips
10,000,000* New England Patriots-10
5,000,000* Indianapolis Colts +1
5,000,000* St Louis Rams +5

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday October 21, 2012
$25.00 NFL Guaranteed Selection #1

#422 Houston -7 1PM Eastern

[Mr. IWS]

OVER Green Bay / St Louis
OVER Cleveland / Indy
UNDER Arizona / Minnesota
Arizona
Washington

ASA

[Mr. IWS]

JR STEVENS

NFL
(422) Houston vs. (421) Baltimore
(PICK: BALTIMORE +7)
PREDICTION: BALTIMORE 24 HOUSTON 23

(424) St. Louis vs. (423) Green Bay
(PICK: ST. LOUIS +6)
PREDICTION: ST. LOUIS 24 GREEN BAY 20

(426) Carolina vs. (425) Dallas
(PICK: DALLAS -1 ***NFL GAME OF THE WEEK***)
Certain conference road faves of 3 points or less are a PERFECT 34-0 SU and ATS if coming off a non conference SU road loss, but ATS win, in a game they outgained their opponent by more than 100 yards! Many people love Carolina today BUT NOT ME! Dallas is my NFL GAME OF THE WEEK!! PREDICTION: DALLAS 30 CAROLINA 13

(428) NY Giants VS. (427) Washington
(PICK: NY GIANTS -6)
PREDICTION: NY GIANTS 31 WASHINGTON 17

(430) Tampa Bay vs. (429) New Orleans
(PICK: TAMPA BAY +2)
PREDICTION: TAMPA BAY 23 NEW ORLEANS 17

(434) Oakland vs. (433) Jacksonville
(PICK: JACKSONVILLE +6)
PREDICTION: JACKSONVILLE 20 OAKLAND 17

[Mr. IWS]

pure
lock

baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

OC Dooley:


“1 UNIT” LATE AFTERNOON SYSTEM (Patriots -10' at home versus Jets in a 4:25 eastern kickoff which is the main doubleheader telecast on CBS): I am fully aware that the Jets gained some much needed confidence last week in a 35-9 home triumph but it was only due to a special situation. Visiting Indianapolis basically suffered an emotional letdown one week after rallying for their ailing head coach who had been diagnosed with a rare form of leukemia. For this particular contest head coach Rex Ryan has once again been very vocal even though his Jets have been outscored to the tune of 112-40 in the most recent three regular season clashes against the Patriots. Even though both sides enter today’s game with identical 3-3 records the oddsmakers are obviously aware that there is a great disparity in overall talent. Those oddsmakers are also aware that in the lone “Divisional” game played this season by New England , the Patriots ran away from the opposition in a 52-28 romp. Here is a 78-PERCENT SYSTEM (25-7 past decade) which plays ON favorites like New England with a poor pass defense which allows 225+ yards a game, after allowing 7+ pass yards per attempt in three consecutive contests. New England is on a 13-5 ATS roll when facing “divisional” opposition

[Mr. IWS]

mike neri
asa
8 gb ov

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo | NFLSide - Sunday, Oct 21 2012 1:00PM
428 NYG -6.5(-110) (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=57)Justbet (http://justbet.cx/) vs 427 WAS triple-dime bet

Analysis: PLAY: NY GIANTS
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY


The world is in love with RGIII as he has been spectacular so far this year but he has done it against some bad teams and bad defenses. RGIII can't keep making big plays with his feet and survive in the NFL. The NY Giants have been up and down all year and so everyone expects them to be flat off of the big win in San Francisco last week. Normally I would agree but here is why not. First the Giants are 4-2 and Washington is 3-3 and this is a division game. The Giants can't afford to look past Washington as Washington is right behind them in the standings. Two this line is short as all anyone has been talking about is how the dogs are covering this year. Yes they are but Vegas will be making adjustments to À the lines to correct that and that is why this line is under a TD. Under 7 is a bargain here. Finally have you seen the Washington Redskin pass defense? They have not stopped anyone thru the air this year and Eli should light them up. Once the Giants get a lead which I expect they will the Redskins and RGIII will be forced to pass and that's when things will go bad for RGIII as this pass rush from the NY Giants will cause problems and create turnovers. The Giants can't afford to look past Washington as they have a big division game next week in Dallas so Giants bring their A-Game and that spells BLOWOUT. NY Giants 35-20

TAKE NY GIANTS as MARCO'S TRIPLE DIME NFL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH


Marco D'Angelo | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 21 2012 1:00PM
419 CLE 0.0(-110) (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=57)Justbet (http://justbet.cx/) vs 420 IND double-dime bet

Analysis: PLAY: CLEVELAND
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

The Browns have been competitive in every game this year and face a Indy team that really doesn't have any playmakers for Andrew Luck to rely on. Cleveland has played the tougher schedule so far and should be able to move the ball on this Indy defense. Indy has been getting ripped on the ground the last 3 ga »mes. They have given up nearly 600 yards in 3 games at 5.8 yards per carry. Look for the Browns to Win 2 in a row today as I have them winning 27-20.

TAKE CLEVELAND as MARCO'S NFL ODDSMAKER ERROR

Marco D'Angelo | MLB ML - Sunday, Oct 21 2012 7:37PM
ML 923 STL (+113) (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=57)Justbet (http://justbet.cx/) vs 924 SFG double-dime bet

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL - Sunday, October 21st

HYDRA (5 UNITS)
TEXANS -7 vs ravens (10am)

TOP (3UNITS)
CARDINALS +7 (-125) at vikings (10am)
RAMS +5 vs packers (10am)
REDSKINS +7 (-130) at giants (10am)
PATRIOTS -10 (-120) vs jets (1:25pm)
RAIDERS -6 vs jaguars (1:25pm)
BENGALS +1 vs steelers (SNF)
LIONS +7 (-125) at bears (MNF)

[Mr. IWS]

red suit

boys/carolina over 45

[Mr. IWS]

Sports bank
400 tampa bay

[Mr. IWS]

Millionaires club
lock
carolina

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
7 GIANTS
5 cleveland