10-26-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.


Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

10* Louisville

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard CFB SideFri, 10/26/12 - 8:00 PM

Triple-Dime Bet
107 Cincinnati 3.5 (-110) Justbet vs 108 LouisvilleAnalysis: 107 Cincinnati at LouisvilleThe Bearcats are coming off their first loss on the season last week at Toledo but the final score was not indicative as to how the game was played. Toledo scored 29 points but their only two touchdowns were on special teams and interception scores. Cincinnati dominated in yardage and lost with a negative turnover differential. Because of that outcome we have an extremely motivated underdog here who has won the last four meetings in this rivalry.
The Bearcats came out of their bye with a solid victory over Virginia Tech before blowing out in-state rival Miami Ohio. They then crushed Fordham before possibly looking past the Rockets last week. With only Syracuse and Temple on the horizon this is the game the Bearcats have circled, especially since the Cardinals enter play undefeated.
Louisville has beaten just a single team with a winning record, North Carolina, and they almost blew a huge lead in that contest. Louisville is 7-0 on the season but even in victory they have been less than impressive. A 28-21 win at Florida International when the Panthers QB didn't play the entire game, a 21-17 win at Southern Miss who has been a disaster this season, and last week they needed a late rally to beat South Florida 27-25, a Bulls team that had gone 3-12-1 ATS in conference the previous 16 Big East games. Louisville hasn't had a winning spread record at Papa John's Stadium in any year since 2006 and they lost by exactly eight points each of the last two times hosting Cincinnati. The wrong team is favored here.
PLAY CINCINNATI

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Tuley

Cincinnat

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard

CFB SideFri, 10/26/12 - 8:00 PM †
triple-dime bet
107 Cincinnati 3.5 (-110) Justbet vs 108 LouisvilleAnalysis: 107 Cincinnati at LouisvilleThe Bearcats are coming off their first loss on the season last week at Toledo but the final score was not indicative as to how the game was played. Toledo scored 29 points but their only two touchdowns were on special teams and interception scores. Cincinnati dominated in yardage and lost with a negative turnover differential. Because of that outcome we have an extremely motivated underdog here who has won the last four meetings in this rivalry.
The Bearcats came out of their bye with a solid victory over Virginia Tech before blowing out in-state rival Miami Ohio. They then crushed Fordham before possibly looking past the Rockets last week. With only Syracuse and Temple on the horizon this is the game the Bearcats have circled, especially since the Cardinals enter play undefeated.
Louisville has beaten just a single team with a winning record, North Carolina, and they almost blew a huge lead in that contest. Louisville is 7-0 on the season but even in victory they have been less than impressive. A 28-21 win at Florida International when the Panthers QB didn't play the entire game, a 21-17 win at Southern Miss who has been a disaster this season, and last week they needed a late rally to beat South Florida 27-25, a Bulls team that had gone 3-12-1 ATS in conference the previous 16 Big East games. Louisville hasn't had a winning spread record at Papa John's Stadium in any year since 2006 and they lost by exactly eight points each of the last two times hosting Cincinnati. The wrong team is favored here.
PLAY CINCINNATI

[Mr. IWS]

Neil Larson

10* Cincinnati +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

CFB Total Fri, 10/26/12 - 8:00 PM

double-dime bet 107 Cincinnati / 108 Louisville Under 52.5 BetOnline
Analysis: The UNDER 52.5 between Louisville and Cincinnati is a DOUBLE STAR CFB PLAY for Friday, October 26th!

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Cincinnati +3.5 over LOUISVILLE: The Bearcats are 6-1 on the year and have done it with a better than expected offense that has put up 34.7 ppg, after returning just 4 starters from last year, and a defense that has been very good this year, allowing just 18.8 ppg. Cincinnati hasn't played a killer schedule, but the did crush Pitt in their opener and took out Va Tech on a neutral, so they can play against decent competition and I feel that even at 7-0 Louisville is just decent competition. The Cardinals come in perfect on the year, but only be 1 team with a winning record and that was North Carolina, in a game that they nearly blew after jumping out to a huge lead. The Cardinal offense has been very good, putting up 32.7 ppg, but the defense has been a problem in the defense seems to be having problems of late as they have allowed 30 ppg in their last 2 games, which were both vs the Big East. Prior to those games the Cards only played one other team with a good offense and that was Carolina and they allowed 34 points in that one. This is not a great defense and I feel the Bearcats have a solid edge on that side of the ball, while the offenses are pretty even. I look for Louisville to taste defeat for the first time this year as their defense just won't come up with enough stops to win this one.

7 POINT TEASER --- Louisville/ Cincinnati Over 45.5 & Nevada +4

2 UNIT PLAY

Nevada -3 Over AIR FORCE

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Cincinnati Bearcats at Louisville Cardinals

The Louisville Cardinals (7-0, 3-4 ATS) are undefeated and ranked 16th on the BCS Standings, but the may be vulnerable to the running game of the Cincinnati Bearcats (5-1, 3-2 ATS) from Papa Johns Cardinal Stadium in Louisville, KY Friday at 8:00 ET on ESPN. The Cardinals barely stayed undefeated by nipping South Florida 27-25 here at home last Saturday while the Bearcats may have been caught looking ahead to this contest when they lost their first game of the year in a non-conference game 29-23 on the road at Toledo.

Cincinnati still rushed for 251 yards in defeat on an amazing 7.2 yards per carry, and the Bearcats rank 16th in the country in rushing offense with 225.7 yards per game while being tied for fifth in rushing average at 5.9 yards per rush. Furthermore Cincinnati spreads the rushing wealth between running backs Ralph Abernathy IV and George Winn, and even their quarterback Munchie Legaux, who has rushed for 264 yards on a nice 6.0 yards per carry. That makes the Cats difficult to defend and the Louisville run defense may have been exposed by South Florida as the Bulls rushed for 197 yards in the near-upset. Furthermore, although Legaux had a poor passing game in Toledo that cost the Bearcats the game, he is normally not that inept as a passer as he has passed for 1435 yards on a good 8.0 yards per pass attempt this season with 12 touchdowns passes against five interceptions. That balanced offense is a key reason why the Bearcats average 34.5 points per game, and if Cincinnati establishes the run early as it usually does, then Legaux will have a chance to succeed vs. a 47th ranks Cardinals' passing defense.

Now the Cardinals obviously deserve credit for not losing a game on the field yet to this point, but they have not really been blowing teams away as indicated by their 3-4 ATS mark, and truth be told, they have not played a difficult schedule as its SOS ranks just 105th in the country according to the Sagarin Ratings. In fact, Sagarin has Louisville ranked just 48th while ranking Cincinnati 43rd despite the Cardinals being the team ranked on the BCS Standings. Louisville ranks 32nd in the country in total defense, although that suspect schedule has to be taken into consideration, and its 61st ranked total offense is a legitimate concern given that the Cards will probably need to score a lot to keep pace with a Cincinnati offense that looks better than that of the teams that Louisville has been facing so far in 2012. Also, while the Louisville defense is getting most of the attention in this game, the Cincinnati defense is holding its own while ranking 38th in total defense and allowing only 3.8 yards per rush and 6.2 yards per pass attempt.

The road teams have performed well in this head-to-head series going 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Louisville is surprisingly 6-13 ATS in its last 19 home games while Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall.

Pick: Over 52.5