10-28-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.


Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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THE GOLDSHEET

KEY RELEASES

*GREEN BAY by 27 over Jacksonville*

GREEN BAY 37 - Jacksonville 10—Although we’re a bit intrigued with
covers by all the road teams in the first six Jacksonville games, believe the Jags
(3-0 vs. line away!) will have hard times this week even if MJD and QB Blaine
Gabbert (both KO’d last week at Oakland) are able to play at Lambeau. Green
Bay’s impressive back-to-back DD road wins at Houston & St. Louis
demonstrate that Aaron Rodgers (nine TD passes in the two games) is back on
his MVP beam. It’s not likely that the Jaguars, with only 5 sacks all season,
knock him off kilter. Moreover, the youthful Packer defense is starting to make
more plays. Time to roll with the MVP vs. the low-output Jags


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
*OVER THE TOTAL in the N.Y. Giants-Dallas game*

NY Giants 31 - DALLAS 27—Tony Romo (3 TDP)
and DeMarco Murray (131 YR) surprised the Super Bowl champs on the
Thursday night 2012 season opener. However, the Cowboys are surprisingly
only 2-9 vs. the spread their last 11 at the Jerry Jones Dome, while the G-Men
are among the league’s top road warriors, going 7-1 SU and 8-0 vs. the spread
their last eight away (one game was on their own field with the Jets’ hosting).
Murray (foot injury) might not make it back for this game, while the N.Y.
receiving corps is finally getting healthier. Eli worked his renowned fourth-Q
magic again last week. Last three meetings in Dallas all “over.”

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Gold Medal Club NFL Selections 28/10/2012

#228 Philadelphia -2.5
#230 Detroit -1
#231 Miami +1.5
#238 Kansas City -1
#242 Denver -6
GL

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NFL BETTING PICKS - KEVIN


Week 8 Plays:


2 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans - TITANS -3 (-123)
(Note: I'm risking 2.46 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = San Diego Chargers @ Cleveland Browns - CHARGERS -2.5 (-118)
(Note: I'm risking 2.36 units to win 2.00 units)

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Teddy Covers

15* Redskins

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Winning Points

Best Bets
NE Patriots
NY Giants

Preferred
Atlanta Falcons
Miami Dolphins

Sports Reporter

Best Bets
NO Saints
SF 49ers

Recommended
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys


Red Sheet

Top Plays Rated 89/88

88 NY Giants


Power Sweep

4* NY Jets
3* Philadelphia Eagles
2* NY Giants

Pointwise

3* Philadelphia Eagles
3* Tampa Bay Buccanners
4* NY Jets
5* St. Louis Rams

4* Arizona Cardinals (MNF)


Playbook / Marc Lawrence

3* Indianapolis Colts
5* Philadelphia Eagles
4* Dallas Cowboys


Nelly's

5* Tennessee Titans
4* Miami Dolphins
3* Philadelphia Eagles
2* Pittsburgh Steelers
1* Cleveland Browns
Wise Guys Contest = Seattle Seahawks


Gold Sheet

Key Releases
Tampa Bay Bucs
Green Bay Packers
NY/Dallas OVER


CKO

10* St. Louis Rams


Power Plays

3* Chicago Bears
1* Washington/Pittsburgh OVER
3* Oakland Raiders
2* Ten Titans
4* NY Giants
4* GB Packers
2* Atlanta/Philadelphia UNDER

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NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 8

Each week, we break down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 8:

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (+1, 47.5)

Tony Romo’s playmaking vs. Giants defense

Romo is one of the rare quarterbacks who makes his best plays when rolling out of the pocket. That’s been the case versus the rival Giants in recent meetings.

According to ESPN, Romo has thrown for six TDs outside of the pocket versus New York over the past two seasons. The Giants defense has allowed all other opposing QBs to connect for just one TD outside the pocket in the same time span.

Romo passed for 307 yards and three TDs in Dallas’ 24-17 win over New York in Week 1. Two of those scores – and plenty of big passes - came with Romo on the run.

Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (-1, 43.5)

Lions’ red-zone futility vs. Seahawks’ red-zone defense

A backdoor cover saved Lions fans from jumping off a bridge Monday night, with Detroit going just 1 for 4 in the red zone during a 13-7 loss to the Chicago Bears.

The Lions coughed the ball up three times inside Chicago’s 20-yard line and have scored TDs on just over 36 percent of their red-zone trips in the past three games. Detroit is averaging 15.3 points per game in that span.

Seattle’s defense has been extra stingy when backed up against the end zone this season. The Seahawks rank second in the NFL, allowing foes to score a TD in just 30 percent of their trips inside the red zone. Last Thursday, Seattle held the San Francisco 49ers to 1 for 4 inside the 20-yard line. The only other team with a better red-zone defense than the Seahawks – funny enough – is the Lions.

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 45.5)

Falcons’ failing run defense vs. Eagles’ speed

The Falcons may be perfect in the standings, at 6-0 heading into Week 8, but there are plenty of flaws in their game. The most notable chink the armor is Atlanta’s banged–up run defense, which has given up massive yardage and ranks 28th in the league (143.8 yards against per game).

The Falcons dodged a few big-yardage bullets from Raiders RB Darren McFadden thanks to penalties wiping out huge gains last week. They gave up 115 yards to Washington Redskins RB Alfred Morris in Week 5 and watched Denver Broncos RB Willis McGahee go for 113 yards and two TDs back in Week 2.

Philadelphia has one of the fastest rushing attacks in the NFL with RB LeSean McCoy and dual-threat QB Mike Vick tearing up the turf. The Eagles have been reluctant to run the ball, despite Vick’s passing woes, but expect Andy Reid to attack the Falcons' sore spot with a bye week to prepare for Atlanta.

Washington Redskins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5, 47.5)

RG3’s missing security blanket vs. Steelers’ pass defense

Every rookie quarterback's best friend is his tight end. When there are no options down field and the pass rush is closing in, no one makes the first-year passing look better than the check-down tight end.

Robert Griffin III has been superb through the first seven weeks of his NFL career but heads into Sunday’s game versus Pittsburgh without his favorite target, TE Fred Davis. Davis, who leads the Redskins in receptions and yardage, is out for the season after tearing his Achilles' last week.

The team pulled former TE Chris Cooley off the couch for the remainder of the year, but his lack of fitness and chemistry with a new QB could damn Washington when plays break down. The Steelers thrive on pressure and have limited opposing passers to just 184.8 yards per game – second lowest in the NFL.

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Red_Line system plays for Sunday 10/28/12

5* Tenn. -3

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Colin Cowherd blazing five (24-11)
1. Atlanta +3
2. Giants -2
3. Cleveland +3
4. Seattle +2.5
5. Miami +2.5

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Sports Betting Made Simple

Sunday - NY Jets

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Tuley's Take:
Year-to-date: 37-19 (66.1 percent) ATS


Week 8 selections:
Patriots -7
Jaguars +14.5
Seahawks
Panthers
Redskins +4.5
Raiders
Saints
Cardinals +7

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Football Jesus NFL text: Broncos minus the pts

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Bryan Leonard - NFC Game of the Month (12-6 NFL Run


Bryan Leonard | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 233 CAR 7.5 (-110) Hilton vs 234 CHI
Analysis: 233 Carolina at Chicago
The Carolina Panthers are like a virus right now that nobody wants any part of. That's exactly why there is a great deal of value on this team. ESPN is blowing up the whole bad attitude of Cam Newton story, while in truth the kid just wants to win and he's never been in this situation before. With Carolina at 1-5 on the season and with their backs to the wall we know what type of effoƒrt we will get from this club on Sunday. Keep in mind that only once all season have they lost by more than 6 points and that was the nationally televised game against the Giants in which New York had four key players ruled out before the game. Carolina is a young team that came into that contest overconfident and it bit them badly as the veteran Giants rallied around the fallen teammates. Now it's Carolina in the rallying role as Newton has taken a major media hit.
Chicago is 5-1 on the season and has won four straight games by a combined margin of 111-34. They are off a satisfying Monday Night Football win over division rival Detroit with Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football games on deck in the next few weeks. Chicago beat Carolina each of the last two seasons and they are likely to treat this game as a foregone conclusion. While Carolina is getting criticized by the media this week the signal caller for the Bears has long been in the same boat. Do we really expect Cutler and the Bears to outgrow their well known personality of team infighting? Sure Chicago is living the high life right now but we all know what's right around the corner. There is no way the Bears have the same intensity here as the Panthers, and these two teams are far closer in talent than the line indicates.
PLAY CAROLINA



Dave Essler - NFL TRIPLE (3*) G.O.W -ALL ACCESS


Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 230 DET 1.0 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 229 SEA


Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 226 CLE 3.0 (-110) SportsInteraction (http://www.sportsinteraction.com/) vs 225 SDC 7

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Johnny Detroit - JD'S SUNDAY ALL ACCESS NFL


Johnny Detroit | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 221 IND 3.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 222 TEN


Johnny Detroit | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
dime bet 230 DET -2.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 229 SEA
Lions win this one by at least a TD.

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Neil Larson

50* Saints

10* Cowboys

10* Jaguars

10* Eagles

+174 Dimes 64% in NFL this season

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Handicapping Kings

JIMMY
(KINGS RANSOM 2 UNIT PLAY)- NYJ -1 -120 MIAMI (1PM)
INDIANAPOLIS/TENNESSEE UNDER 47 -103 (1PM)

MARC
(LIGHTS OUT- 2 UNIT PLAY) SD/CLEVELAND OVER 44 -102 (1PM)
WASHINGTON/PITTSBURGH OVER 47.5 -110 (1PM)
NYG/DALLAS OVER 47.5 -108 (415PM)

GOODFELLAS
(CIGAR PLAY 2 UNIT PLAY) PHILADELPHIA -1 -133 ATLANTA (1PM)
OAKLAND/KC UNDER 42.5 -105 (4PM)

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Soulhat Sports

Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 -1.18
NFL
12:00 PM CT
4 units

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Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc

Picks For Sunday October 28th, 2012

Week 8

Hot Games To Bet On - Miami +1 and Denver -6

Jacksonville Jaguars+16 - 5% Of Bankroll

San Diego Chargers-2.5 -5% Of Bankroll

New England Patriots-7 -5% Of Bankroll

Carolina Panthers+9 - 5% Of Bankroll

Pittsburgh Steelers-4.5 -5% Of Bankroll

N.Y. Giants -1 - 5% Of Bankroll

Miami Dolphins+1 -5% Of Bankroll

Indianapolis Colts+3.5 -5% Of Bankroll

Denver Broncos-6 - 5% Of Bankroll

Total Winning % Before Week 8 = +66.5%

GRAND TOTAL For Week 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 = +66.5%

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Ms.Charleen
15-5


Jets -2
Philly -2
49ers monday - 6 1/2

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Dave Blezow

1-11 last week
locks 1-6 this week NO

42-58

Cowboys
Miami
Pats
Titans
Pack
Browns
Philly
Det
Bears
Pitt
Raiders
Saints

49ers

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Hondo

Jets
Falcons
Lions

7-14 on these plays

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Lee Sterling -On His Radio Show

Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
Washington Redskins

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NFL Mid-Week Line Moves: Brits remember Pats' dominance

Check out a few of the number fluctuations as we head toward the mid-point of the NFL season, with the help of Aron Black of bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/) and Vegas handicapper extraordinaire Teddy Covers.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers

Consensus open: Packers -16
Move: None

We’re right back where we started from, for the most part. A few outliers had the line pretty thin at opening (12.5 at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).ag), but now everyone is pretty much on board at 15.5 or 16.

“It’s not unusual to see books shave a few points off on lines 14 or above,” notes Teddy, who himself figured the line for 18.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

Consensus open: Cowboys -1.5
Move: Giants -2

At bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/), heavy New York money has flipped the numbers.

“Dallas,” says Black, “is being swerved bi time. Amazing how things have changed for these teams since Week 1 (Cowboys got 3.5 and won outright.)”

New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos

Consensus open: Broncos -5.5
Move: Broncos -6

“Denver has taken in some money,” says Teddy, “but nothing massive. Wouldn’t be shocked to see a move toward New Orleans as we get closer to kickoff.”

New England Patriots vs. St. Louis Rams (London)

Consensus open: Patriots -6.5
Move: Patriots -7

Black reports heavy interest among British bettors in this game. The Patriots made the trip over the ocean a few years ago and crushed Tampa Bay, so bettors on the island may remember that and the number was driven up that important extra half-point.

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PREDICTION MACHINE

235 1:00 PM WAS @ PIT +5 - -0.5 - 60.2% PP

230 1:00 PM @DET SEA -2.5 - 6.0 - 58.9% PP

221 1:00 PM IND @ TEN +3.5 - 0.7 - 58.6% PP

242 8:20 PM @DEN NO -6 - 9.1 - 58.3%

237 4:05 PM OAK @ KC +2 - 1.7 - 58.0%

224 1:00 PM @GB JAC -13 - 15.4 - 57.8%

228 1:00 PM @PHI ATL -2.5 - 5.6 - 57.8%

226 1:00 PM SD @ CLE44 - 38.8 Under - 59.0%

234 1:00 PM CAR @ CHI43 - 38.4 Under - 58.1%

238 4:05 PM OAK @ KC41.5 - 46.0 Over - 57.5%

Monday Night
244 8:30 PM @ARI SF +7 - -4.4 - 57.9% PP

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Teddy Covers

Big Ticket NFL Shocker!
Washington Redskins

Teddy's Power Play: Sunday Afternoon NFL Smackdown
Philadelphia Eagles

Teddy's Saints - Broncos Sunday Night TV Moneymaker!
New Orleans Saints

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SB Professor Reloaded NFL Picks

236. Pittsburgh Steelers* (best available -4*)

Rest of Games:
221. Tennessee Titans* (best available -3)

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DCI NFL

Week 8 Predictions

ATS: 0-1 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-7 (.000)
Over/Under: 1-0 (1.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 7-0 (1.000)

Season
Straight Up: 57-44 (.564)
ATS: 43-59 (.422)
ATS Vary Units: 201-369 (.353)
Over/Under: 58-44 (.569)
Over/Under Vary Units: 244-176 (.581)

Thursday, October 25, 2012
MINNESOTA 31, Tampa Bay 19

Sunday, October 28, 2012
CHICAGO 30, Carolina 12
San Diego 25, CLEVELAND 19
Seattle vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
GREEN BAY 34, Jacksonville 14
TENNESSEE 28, Indianapolis 20
New England 27, ST. LOUIS 17
N.Y. JETS 23, Miami 18
Atlanta 22, PHILADELPHIA 21
PITTSBURGH 26, Washington 19
Oakland vs. KANSAS CITY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. Giants 28, DALLAS 17
DENVER 35, New Orleans 31

Monday, October 29, 2012
San Francisco 20, ARIZONA 12

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WUNDERDOG
NFL 24-15 Last 39 picks +$1350
Game: New Orleans at Denver (Sunday 10/28 8:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: New Orleans Saints +6 (-110)

The bad news for the New Orleans Saints is the fact that their defense has allowed 24 or more points in eight straight games going back to last year. The good news is that they have scored 24 or more points in 11 straight games and in 15 of their last 16. The Saints are now in playoffs mode (must win) after starting the season a dreadful 0-4. The defense is inexcusably bad, but like Green Bay last year who couldn't defend, they have an offense behind Drew Brees that is elite enough to win games. That offense has helped the Saints go 16 straight games without suffering a loss by more than 8 points. They have not been involved in any game over a season's worth of games where they were more than one possession on the short end. So getting points with this team that can score on anyone provides value. Peyton Manning was supposed to be the savior in Denver. While he has executed very well at times, the Broncos are still 3-3. What is bothersome is the fact that the Broncos, like New Orleans, can't seem to defend. All three of the Broncos' losses have come to teams that score 28.5 points per game or more, and the Saints are racking-up 29.3 ppg. The Broncos are 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 30+ in their previous game. Manning is no exemption as he is 0-2 ATS here in Denver in that situation. The Saints are now 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when following an ATS win. John Fox coached teams have always struggled as a home favorite. His teams are just 8-20 ATS as home chalk of 3.5 to 7 points. This is too many points. Take the Saints.

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Canadian Bacon: CFL's Week 18 Betting Preview

With only two games remaining on the regular season schedule, the drive to the postseason continues for CFL teams in Week 18.

Edmonton Eskimos at Montreal Alouettes (-4.5, 52.5)

The Montreal Alouettes have already locked up top spot in the Eastern Division after their 34-28 victory over Saskatchewan last week and will host the division finals game on Nov. 18. The Als may go into cruise control in the final two weeks but that doesn’t mean they will rest their veteran QB Anthony Calvillo. “I don’t want to have the players looking at me saying ‘Oh, he is taking a day off because he is 40 years old,’” Calvillo said Thursday.

The Eskimos hold a tie-breaker over Saskatchewan and have to win at least one of their last two games on the schedule in order to secure a cross-over spot in the playoffs. Edmonton also has a chance to sneak into the postseason if Hamilton and Winnipeg both split their final two games. Montreal won the only prior meeting this season back on Aug. 17 by a score of 38-25, as Calvillo threw for 327 yards and four TDs. The Als have taken five in a row from Edmonton, which failed to cover the spread in all five of those losses.

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Andy Iskoe Opinions posted Gaming Today

SUNDAY

Rams +7 vs. Pats (47): London is the site for the NFL’s annual trek across the pond. The Patriots lead NFL in total offense and points scored, but the defense, though not as statistically weak as last season, remains a concern. The Rams are clearly getting better under HC Jeff Fisher with a much improved defense. As such the offense does not take many chances. We could well see a sloppily played game, especially if weather becomes a factor. UNDER.

Colts +3½ at Titans (46½): The Titans may have Jake Locker back at QB although veteran Matt Hasselbeck has filled in nicely. Indy rookie QB Andrew Luck continues to learn the ropes and quickly is becoming the team leader. It’s always dangerous laying points with weak teams, especially one that ranks last in points allowed. The Titans are allowing 34 per game. COLTS.

Jaguars +12½ at Packers (NT): Key injuries to Jacksonville RB Maurice Jones-Drew and QB Blaine Gabbert. Packers return home following a three game road trip that saw them win the last two as the offense regained its rhythm. The Packers need to make up ground in the very contentious NFC North and the 1-5 Jaguars are not a team capable of slowing down the Green Bay offense or trading points. PACKERS.

Chargers -3 at Browns (44½): The Chargers are off of their Bye and had the extra time to stew about blowing that 24-0 halftime lead at home to Denver the prior Monday night. The team, and the organization, was embarrassed by that effort. Cleveland is still a team seeking an identity with an already limited offense still plagued by injuries. CHARGERS.

Falcons +2 at Eagles (46½): The Eagles are off of their Bye during which their defensive coordinator was axed. But defense is not the problem! The Falcons are a much better team at home than they are on the road. This game is critical to Philly’s fortunes the rest of the way. A loss here and they can all but write off their playoff chances. EAGLES.

Seahawks + 3 at Lions (43): Seattle is the much better defensive team. Although they’ve historically struggled on the road, Seattle did win at Carolina and was competitive in their other 3 road games, all of which were at their division foes. SEAHAWKS.

Dolphins +2½ at Jets (40½): Miami is rested following a Bye and seek to avenge an earlier home overtime loss to the Jets. Interestingly, the Jets are favored at home by the same amount by which they were in Miami a month earlier. In the interim, the Jets have played by far the much tougher opposition. JETS.

Panthers +7½ at Bears (44½): The Bears are the much better defensive team, especially against the run. They led the league in fewest points allowed but, most impressively, have forced more than 3 turnovers per game. BEARS.

Redskins + 5 at Steelers (47½): The Steelers had their best rushing game of the season in Sunday’s win at Cincy. Pittsburgh has become more of a pass oriented team this season which augers well against a porous Washington defense. The Redskins are averaging over 400 ypg on offense which suggests this game could become a shootout. OVER.

Raiders +1½ at Chiefs (42½): The Chiefs are off a Bye and likely to have backup QB Brady Quinn start. Despite their shortcomings, KC does have an outstanding ground game and are statistically the better team. Their problem has been turnovers, an issue addressed during the Bye week. At the price, the Chiefs provide value laying less than a field goal. CHIEFS.

Giants (PK at Dallas (47½): History has shown it’s dangerous to go against the Giants on the road in an important game. At the same time this is a favorable spot for Dallas as this is a single home game sandwiched between a pair of back to back road games. All three games these teams have played at the new Cowboys Stadium have produced at least 64 total points. OVER.

Saints +6 at Broncos (54½): The Saints still have major issues on defense and that plays into the strength of Denver’s offense directed by Peyton Manning. Denver’s problems have stemmed from a largely impotent offense in the first half of games, only to be explosive in the fourth quarter. This is a favorable spot for the Broncos who played back to back road games prior to the Bye and have back to back road games on deck. BRONCOS

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Denny the Dog @ Gaming Today

Sunday, Oct. 28

Patriots +7 at Rams: Show me the money! That’s exactly what both have shown their loyal backers so far. Both sides have only failed to cover the point spread twice. The Rams have a little more desperation for a win to stay in the NFC West race. The Patriots can relax now that they’re in sole possession of first place in the AFC East. RAMS.

Colts +3½ at Titans: It looks like Chris Johnson has decided to keep his mouth shut – at least for the time being – and start earning his paycheck. Colts haven’t won the money on the road yet this season and I don’t see their backers cashing any tickets here. TITANS.

Jaguars +12 at Packers: It’s difficult to bet against Aaron Rodgers right now. He’s not missing any open receivers and not many that aren’t open. Rodgers is connecting and I’m going with the hot hand to run up the score on the weaker Jags. Unsure of the status of Jones-Drew or Gabbert at press time. PACKERS.

Chargers -3 at Browns: I have zero confidence in this home dog, even if they do have a dawg pound at their stadium. Browns totally out of any divisional race – that is if you believe they were ever in one. Bolts are in desperation mode after blowing 24-zip halftime lead to the Broncos. Both coaches are on the hot seat. CHARGERS.

Falcons +2½ at Eagles: It’s the most interesting matchup of the weekend. Andy Reid vowed to blow the team up over the bye week and totally refocus the once proud Dream Team. This will be the Eagles first game with their new defensive coordinator. The Falcons have been surviving the last few weeks by the skin of their teeth. EAGLES.

Seahawks +3 at Lions: Seahawks have covered five of seven games. Seattle can give you a solid effort on both sides of the ball plus win money with lucky ball. That means having the referee signal TD in the end-zone with no time left on the clock, when your QB has actually throw an interception. And it’s also when the opposing coach declines a penalty to negate a safety and save a spread loss. SEAHAWKS.

Dolphins +2½ at Jets: I’m not sure how the Jets will react this Sunday after having their hearts ripped out at New England. I believe Rex Ryan will figure out a way to win this “must” game to remain in contention. The Jets nibbled the Fish for a narrow 3-point victory in Week 3 at Miami. I see a similar result on home turf. JETS.

Panthers +7½ at Bears: Cam Newton sounded like a hopeless QB searching for answers after the Cowboy loss. Instead of offering to bring a suggestion box to the next press conference and asking reporters for suggestions to turn things around, he should be taking responsibility. Hey Cam, get busy preparing for the next game and quit showing weakness on and off the field. BEARS.

Skins +4 at Steelers: You have to give Shanahan credit where credit is due. He has tailored a game plan for RG III to be effective nearly every single game. The Skins are in every game in the fourth quarter. They’re too dangerous to bet against. SKINS.

Raiders +1½ at Chiefs: I feel like I’m getting the better team plus the points. I know I have the better QB in Carson Palmer. RAIDERS.

Giants -1 at Cowboys: Dallas needs this game like Romney needs Florida. It’s desperation time in Dallas and I don’t see the W in the crystal ball for Sunday. The G-men have proven they’re the better team right now. I can’t bet against a team that crushed the 49ers on the road. And I can’t bet on a team that struggles to put teams away like the Panthers. GIANTS.

Saints +6½ at Broncos: I like Denver to win this game, but Drew Brees is too capable of putting up 28 to 34 points, in which case it would be difficult for the Broncos to cover. SAINTS.

BEST BETS: GIANTS, EAGLES, SKINS.

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Some peculiar NFL lines this week, look at Packers vs. Jaguars October 26, 2012 7:12 PM by Bob Christ



There are some peculiar lines this week, which usually are well-set traps.

For instance, what’s with the Packers being only a 14½-point pick against Jacksonville? Is it possible that the travel-weary, banged up Jaguars, a team with as bad an offense as the league has seen the past seven years, can keep up with defending quarterback Aaron Rodgers?

And then there’s that game in Philadelphia between the Eagles and unbeaten Falcons. That the Eagles are favored probably has a lot to do with the fact HC Andy Reid has never lost a regular-season game after a bye week. But this year he’s facing a team that has the best record in the league and also is on a bye.

Hmmm, just something to mull over. Also, here’s the weekly heads up about bye teams.

Last year teams were 4-2 ATS coming off a Week 7 breather and facing an opponent that played the week before. But in the nine years previous, rested teams were only 9-17 in Week 8 games, by far the worst mark for any bye week.

Thus, keep that in mind when considering Denver, Kansas City, Miami and San Diego.

Here’s a closer look at this week’s games:



PRO FOOTBALL SUNDAY, OCT. 28

New England Patriots (4-3) vs. St. Louis Rams (3-4)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT (game in London)

Line: Patriots -7 (47)

Facts: The Rams are following the overseas itinerary Tampa Bay used last year by arriving in London early in the week. The Bucs, 4-2 at the time, then lost to Chicago 24-18, triggering a 10-game losing streak. • The Patriots, who beat Miami 27-17 in London in 2009, arrived Friday. • In Super Bowl 36, NE beat St. Louis 20-17 in the Superdome as a 14-point underdog. • Rams WR Danny Amendola (questionable, shoulder) hopes to return. He was the league’s top receiver when hurt Oct. 4.

Analysis: The Patriots’ experience in global travel should play dividends against a team that likely spent too much time checking out Big Ben (the clock) and Buckingham Palace. St. Louis has shown vast improvement, but were somewhat exposed last week by Green Bay QB Rodgers in a 30-20 loss. Now comes Tom Brady. Plus, no team is better than getting QBs to fumble than the Patriots, so there’s a good chance Sam Bradford will have extra happy feet in the pocket.

Forecast: Patriots 28, Rams 14



Indianapolis Colts (3-3) at Tennessee Titans (3-4)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Titans -3½ (47)

Facts: In their Week 15 meeting last year, the Colts staggered the visiting Titans 27-13 as a 6½-point underdog, crippling Tennessee’s playoff hopes. Indianapolis had 205 rushing yards, second most the Titans yielded in a game last year. • Tennessee RB Chris Johnson had 195 rushing yards in a 35-34 win in Buffalo last week. That’s a significant upgrade for a team that totaled a league-low 117 through the first three weeks. • Titans QB Matt Hasselbeck keeps his job another week.

Analysis: Indianapolis RB Donald Brown (questionable, knee), who missed the past two games, was a full-go in practice Thursday and expects to return. In that upset victory last year, he had a career-best 161 yards on 16 carries. Also, the Titans were fortunate to escape Buffalo with the win, scoring on a fourth-down pass in the final minutes. The Titans also benefited from three short fields, a rarity considering they had none the previous four games. This week Tennessee will have to work harder for its points.

Forecast: Colts 23, Titans 20



Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) at Green Bay Packers (4-3)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Packers -14½ (45½)

Facts: The Packers are the heaviest favorites since the Ravens were a 16-point pick against Indy in Week 14 of 2011, winning 24-10. • In the Jags’ only game at Lambeau in 2004, they beat division-winning GB 28-25 as a 3½-point underdog. • Green Bay was 4-1 ATS last season as a home double-digit choice. • Jacksonville converted only one of 15 third-down tries last week in a 26-23 OT loss in Oakland. That was the worst performance by anyone since the Jags were 0-for-9 in Week 2 vs. Houston.

Analysis: It can’t get much worse for the Jags, who will be without last year’s rushing champ, Maurice Jones-Drew (out, foot), and have an ailing QB in Blaine Gabbert (questionable, shoulder). After all, even when healthy this offense was on pace to be the most anemic in the league since 2005. And then all the travel the past two weeks. Sheesh! Surely the Pack will be able to withstand the likely absence of WR Jordy Nelson (questionable, hamstring) and standout CB Charles Woodson (out, collarbone).

Forecast: Packers 30, Jaguars 9



San Diego Chargers (3-3) at Cleveland Browns (1-6)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Chargers -2½ (44)

Facts: The Chargers are in their first “jet lag” game. Since 2007, SD is 1-7 in the early Sunday time slot in the east. From 2003-06, though, the Chargers were 11-3 in this spot under old boss Marty Schottenheimer. • Browns RB Trent Richardson (questionable, ribs) was ineffective and benched in last week’s 17-13 loss at Indy. • San Diego is coming off back-to-back losses after blowing double-digit leads, including the Week 6 meltdown vs. Denver in which the Chargers squandered a 24-0 halftime edge.

Analysis: The Chargers aren’t what they were two years ago, when ranked No. 1 on the offensive and defensive charts, yet still didn’t make the postseason. Now those rankings are 24/13, but the team still is No. 1 in at least one category – fewest rushing yards allowed per game (71.2). If Richardson can’t/won’t carry the offensive load for Cleveland, the Browns could turn one-dimensional behind rookie QB Brandon Weeden.

Forecast: Chargers 24, Browns 10



Atlanta Falcons (6-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-3)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Eagles -2.5 (46)

Facts: When these teams met in Atlanta in Week 2 of 2011, it was the only game the past three years in which both teams squandered double-digit leads. Atlanta won, 35-31. FYI: Philly QB Michael Vick threw an INT and fumbled three times. • Both teams are off a bye, just like in 2008, when the host Eagles beat the Falcons and then-rookie QB Matt Ryan 27-14. • Andy Reid’s Eagles are indeed unbeaten after bye weeks in the regular season since 1999, but that doesn’t count a 24-21 loss to NE in Super Bowl 39.

Analysis: Atlanta’s pass defense has been sensational this season, holding the league’s second and third-ranked QBs (Peyton Manning, Robert Griffin III) to their worst passer ratings of the year. The same for Philip Rivers. So, what does that mean for Vick, the league’s No. 27 thrower? On defense, the Eagles no doubt will bring added energy under new coordinator Todd Bowles, who was 2-1 as interim head coach in Miami last season. But it won’t be enough to rattle an Atlanta team that doesn’t make mistakes.

Forecast: Falcons 27, Eagles 23



Seattle Seahawks (4-3) at Detroit Lions (2-4)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Lions -2 (43½)

Facts: Both teams are feeling the scheduling pinch: The Lions, coming off a 13-7 Monday Night Football loss in Chicago, are 1-4 ATS on short rest under HC Jim Schwartz the past three years. Seattle will be in its first jet-lag game of the season. • All of the Seahawks’ losses have been by 7 or fewer. In their division-winning season in 2010, each of their 10 defeats were by at least 10 points. • The Lions have had only one first-half offensive TD, fewest in the league.

Analysis: Although Seattle’s Russell Wilson is the only one of the five rookie starting QBs with a winning record, he’s been largely miserable in road games with a passer rating of 55.6, including last week’s 38.7 rating in San Francisco. How bad is that? He’d have been better off statistically throwing all this passes into the upper deck. As for Detroit, that 13-7 loss was misleading. The Lions reached Chicago’s 13, 3 and 1-yard lines before self-destructing.

Forecast: Lions 20, Seahawks 10



Miami Dolphins (3-3) at New York Jets (3-4)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Jets -2 (41)

Facts: For the fourth time in the past three years, the Jets are facing Miami after meeting the Patriots. After last year’s trip to New England, New York returned home to drum the Dolphins 24-6 as a 7-point pick. • In its Week 3 meeting in Miami, the longest game of the year (4 hours), the Dolphins rushed for 185 yards on 43 carries in a 23-20 OT loss. Other teams with 40-plus rushes this season are 11-2 SU, 12-1 ATS. • Teams coming off a bye and playing on the road this year (such as Miami here) are 5-0 ATS.

Analysis: Just about everything that could go wrong for Miami did in that Week 3 meeting. They blew a 10-point second-half lead thanks largely to two missed FG tries inside the 50 and a pick-6 thrown by Ryan Tannehill in his third game. Plus, Miami’s average starting field position was the 18, matching its worst launch point of the past 6 seasons. With a little better fortune, Miami should roll, especially if converting on 10 third-down tries again.

Forecast: Dolphins 24, Jets 20



Carolina Panthers(1-5) at Chicago Bears (5-1)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Bears -7½ (43)

Facts: The Bears beat the Lions on Monday Night Football 13-7, but didn’t cover despite a plus-4 turnover margin.• Chicago had 224 rushing yards in its 34-29 home win vs. Carolina last year (Matt Forte 205). On the other hand, Carolina had 543 yards of total offense in that game against a Bears defense that didn’t give up 400 in any other outing. • Panthers WR Steve Smith, a longtime Bears nemesis, had 181 yards on eight catches last year. In 2005, he had 12 for 218 and TD’s in a 29-21 playoff victory.

Analysis: Despite the Panthers’ awful start and QB Cam Newton & Co.. losing three stalwarts to injury– LB Jon Beason, CB Chris Gamble and center Ryan Kalil – Carolina should enter this game with a dose of confidence after watching tape of how it moved at will against the Bears last season. And now that Carolina’s GM has been fired, no one’s job should be considered secure. For this week, the Panthers overachieve against a Bears team with a beat-up QB (Jay Cutler, probable/ribs) on a short work week.

Forecast: Panthers 19, Bears 17



Washington Redskins(3-4) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-3)

Time: 10 a.m. PDT

Line: Steelers -4½ (47½)

Facts: It looks like third-teamer Jonathan Dwyer will be carrying the rushing load again for Pittsburgh with Rashard Mendenhall doubtful (Achilles) and Isaac Redman questionable (ankle). Dwyer had 122 yards in a 24-17 win over Cincinnati last week. Pittsburgh’s longest run of the season was 19 until his 32-yarder. • The Redskins and rookie QB Robert Griffin III are 3-1 ATS on the road this year. • Pittsburgh was 10-for-16 on third-down conversions last week to improve its NFL-leading success rate to 53.8%.

Analysis: The Steelers famously have made life miserable for rookie QB’s especially the past two years, going 6-0, allowing an average of 9.8 points a game and totaling 9 INTs. To make matters worse for RG 3, he’ll be facing a 3-4 defensive scheme for the first time in the pros. And he’ll be doing so at Heinz Field, where wind currents and fan noise can make for a lousy day.

Forecast: Steelers 23, Redskins 14



Oakland Raiders (2-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-5)

Time: 1:05 p.m. PDT

Line: Chiefs -1½ (41½)

Facts: Oakland is the only team not to cause an enemy QB to fumble. • Last season there were five games in which officials marched off 24-plus penalties. Two involved the Raiders and Chiefs. • There could be a Peyton Hillis (probable, ankle) sighting this week in the Chiefs’ backfield, which would complement RB Jamaal Charles. • KC is holding steady with the league’s worst turnover differential at -15. In 1983, the Raiders were -13 and won the Super Bowl.

Analysis: The Raiders have won five in a row in Kansas City since 2007, but otherwise have gone 11-29 in road games, so it’s hard to identify these guys as road warriors. Especially with workhorse running back Darren McFadden averaging only 3.1 yards a carry, a serious drop from his 5.4 average in 2011. Meanwhile, Brady Quinn will make his home debut as KC’s starting QB and he had to be salivating while watching Jacksonville score 23 points against Oakland’s defense last week.

Forecast: Chiefs 34, Raiders 24



New York Giants (5-2) at Dallas Cowboys (3-3)

Time: 1:25 p.m. PDT

Line: Giants -2½ (47½)

Facts: Dallas opened the year with a 24-17 win in the Meadowlands as a 3½-point underdog, with DeMarco Murray running for 131 yards behind a line spearheaded by center Phil Costa. Neither is expected to play Sunday. • Giants WR Hakeem Nicks (probable, foot/knee) missed the opener. In Dallas last season, he had 8 catches for 163 yards in a 37-34 win. • Dallas ’ Tony Romo has 8 TD throws and 9 INTs. The last Super Bowl-winning QB with a negative margin was NYG’s Phil Simms in 1986 (21/22).

Analysis: Dallas not only will be missing Murray and Costa (doubtful, ankle), but leading tackler Sean Lee as well. And it’s not like backup RB Felix Jones is sturdy enough to last through stretching. New York meanwhile, plays its best ball on the road and is unbeaten in the JerryDome, winning slugfests of 33-31, 41-35 and 37-34, which sort of makes that O/U total look low. The Cowboys shouldn’t expect to reach 30 this time around, though, if backup center Ryan Cook can’t hold his own.

Forecast: Giants 38, Cowboys 19



New Orleans Saints (2-4) at Denver Broncos (3-3)

Time: 5:30 a.m. PDT

Line: Broncos by 6 (55½)

Facts: Saints first-string interim coach Joe Vitt, his suspension over, takes over from Aaron Kromer, who is on a two-game winning streak. • QB Peyton Manning has led Denver on 14 second-half TD drives this season, compared with four in the first half of games. • This is the highest O/U since the Lions and Saints were at 59 in last year’s wild-card round. New Orleans won 45-28. • NO’s 347 first-half yards at Tampa Bay last week were the most in the first two quarters of a game this year.

Analysis: It’s a matchup that might be unfair. The Saints, who are on pace to have the worst defense statistically in league annals, will be going against a QB who might be the best student of the game in history. And, he’s had an extra week to prepare. As they say, what a waste of a good bye week. New Orleans, which gave up 513 yards to Tampa Bay last week, might never make Denver punt.

Forecast: Broncos 49, Saints 28



PRO FOOTBALL MONDAY, Oct. 29

San Francisco 49ers (5-2) at Arizona Cardinals (4-3)

Time: 5:40 a.m. PDT

Line: 49ers by 6½ (37½)

Facts: Last year when Arizona hosted SF, the Cardinals won 21-19 despite a -3 turnover differential. Over the past two seasons, all other teams have a cumulative 1-30 mark with such a margin. • Arizona has yielded 29 sacks its past four games, three more than any other team has given up all year. • On Arizona’s last 10 short fields, it has only 1 TD and 3 FGs. • In SF’s 13-6 win over Seattle last Thursday, the Seahawks’ average starting field position was their 15. That’s the worst starting point for any team since the Steelers’ norm was their 15 at San Fran in 2011.

Analysis: Did the sprained finger on 49ers QB Alex Smith’s passing hand heal sufficiently over the team’s extended break? He’s not listed on the injury report, but his production has suffered the past two weeks as he’s dropped from No. 1 to No. 8 on the passer charts. Now he’ll be going against a unit that has the league’s second best defensive passer rating and will have the prime-time home edge. Considering the Cardinals held the Vikings to 43 net air yards last week, Smith could be in more trouble. But probably not enough to cost SF a victory.

Forecast: 49ers 16, Cardinals 14



Last week: 7-5-1 ATS, 9-4 SU

Season total: 47-54-3 (.465) ATS; 53-51 (.504) SU.

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Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today

NFL

Jaguars +12½ at Packers: Jags blew it late at Oakland and now face the lethal Rodgers to Jordy Nelson connection at Lambeau. Discount double check it. PACKERS.

Dolphins +2½ at Jets: The New England game was by far the best the Jets and Sanchez looked all year. Huge game for both sides in AFC East. JETS.

Redskins +4 at Steelers: Turnovers cost the Redskins a victory against the Giants. Big Ben finds way to win, but we believe in RG III. REDSKINS.

Saints +6½ at Broncos: Normally don’t like to play totals, but when you have Brees vs. Manning, we’ll sit back and root for TD’s. OVER.

Giants -1 at Cowboys: G-Men have had this one circled after losing to the Boys in season opener. Plus they love playing the underdog road warrior role. GIANTS.

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Accuscore

Four Star Plays

Patriots/Rams Over 47

Colts/Titans Under 47

Chargers/Browns Over 43.5

Three Star Plays

New York Giants -1

Saints/Broncos Over 55

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NFL Trends & Angles - Week 8


After a perfect 8-0 ATS in Week 6, our NFL Trends & Angles came back to earth in Week 7, going just 3-4 ATS on an individual game basis. We expect better results this week as three angles that did not apply last week are added into the mix, and they are replacing three angles that had no qualifying plays in Week 8.

As those of you that have followed us in the past know, the vast majority of our angles will be contrarian in nature, and many of them will point you to live underdogs and live 'unders' when we have total angles. So it should not surprise that the three fresh angles this week point to either underdogs or teams coming off of blowout losses.

All of our season-long trends go back to 2005, as that gives us a large enough sampling without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal.

Also, you will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams, such as in our fresh leading angle. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.

Here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 8, with all records being for the last seven seasons since 2005 plus the first seven weeks of this season.

Play on any Bad Team on the road that was an underdog in each of its last four games (96-63-2, 60.4% ATS): Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent winning percentage over a nice sampling. It turns out that this week's qualifier is not so "dreggy" after all.
Qualifier: Redskins +4½.

Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (89-55-4, 61.8% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value.
Qualifier: Kansas City -1.

Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (129-71-5, 64.5% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308)s started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs, and this angle also adds in the motivation off wanting to bounce back after a loss. This angle went a scorching 4-0 the last time it turned up in Week 6!
Qualifiers: Jacksonville +16, Seattle +1 and Washington +4½.

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (163-105-5, 60.8% ATS): The logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe and what to expect on defense. This angle won its only play in Week 7 with Detroit. Qualifier: Seattle +1.

Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (79-41-4, 65.8% ATS): NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off oftentimes has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. This angle did the splits in Week 7 going 1-1. Qualifiers: Denver -6, Kansas City -1, Philadelphia -1 and San Diego -1.

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Falcons at Eagles: What Bettors Need to Know

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 43.5)

The Philadelphia Eagles had the bye week to get acquainted with a new defensive coordinator. Todd Bowles’ first test comes on Sunday afternoon, when the Eagles host the last unbeaten team in the NFL, the Atlanta Falcons. Philadelphia’s defense has not gotten much help from the offense and quarterback Michael Vick, who has committed 13 turnovers through the first six games and has had to fight off calls for his removal from the starting lineup. The Falcons rank fourth in the NFL with 17 takeaways and are strong against the pass. Quarterback Matt Ryan had a rough start before the bye against Oakland but is completing nearly 68 percent of his passes while guiding the sixth-ranked scoring offense in the NFL.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Eagles -3, O/U: 43.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s and a 95 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the north at 15 mph.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (3-3): Head coach Andy Reid is 13-0 after a bye week, the longest winning streak since bye weeks were introduced. But this time he has had to oversee a change on the defensive side of the ball after firing Juan Castillo and promoting Bowles from the secondary. The breakdowns on defense through the first six games were usually of the crushing variety, as Philadelphia squandered fourth-quarter leads in each of its last two setbacks. Castillo’s dismissal has helped deflect attention away from the offense during the bye. The Eagles rank 30th in the NFL in scoring offense despite sitting in the middle of the pack in yardage. Turnovers are the difference. Philadelphia’s minus-9 differential is at the bottom of the pack. Vick has been a big part of that and will be facing Atlanta for the third time since being released by the team following his arrest on dogfighting charges. The former face of the Falcons was knocked out with a concussion in the third quarter of last season’s meeting, a 35-31 loss on Sept. 18.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (6-0): Atlanta has benefited from a forgiving schedule and has had to eke out victories at home over Denver, Carolina and Oakland. Ryan threw all six of his interceptions in the three games before the bye but has done enough late in games to keep his team perfect in the win column. Ryan’s complement of targets will be a difficult test for Bowles and the Philadelphia secondary. Tony Gonzalez, Roddy White and Julio Jones each have four touchdown catches. The Falcons’ weak spot is one the Eagles have the capability to exploit - rushing defense. Atlanta has surrendered an average of 143.8 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground and will likely again be without tackle Corey Peters, who was removed from the reserve/non-football injury list but has not been activated.

TRENDS:
* Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games in Philadelphia.
* Over is 4-1-1 in Eagles’ last six home games.
* Under is 4-1 in Falcons’ last five games overall.
* Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. With a victory on Sunday, Atlanta coach Mike Smith would pass Dan Reeves (49) for the most wins in team history.

2. The Falcons overcame a 10-point deficit in the fourth quarter of last season’s meeting as Ryan threw four TD passes.

3. Eagles RB LeSean McCoy has one TD. He led the NFL with 17 rushing scores in 2011

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Giants at Cowboys: What Bettors Need to Know

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (1, 48)

The Dallas Cowboys seemed to make a statement with a season-opening win over the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants. Since then, it has been the Giants making the statements on the field. New York enters the rematch in first place in the NFC East and riding a three-game winning streak. Eli Manning pulled off his 24th career fourth-quarter comeback in a win over the Washington Redskins last Sunday but will be taking on a Cowboys secondary that is the strength of the defense.

That unit is coming off a strong performance against the Carolina Panthers but could be under more strain with linebacker Sean Lee’s absence weakening the front seven. Lee, the team’s leading tackler, was placed on injured reserve after undergoing surgery on his toe. Dallas will be trying to beat the Giants at home for the first time since opening its new stadium.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Giants -1, O/U 48

ABOUT THE GIANTS (5-2): New York has taken three straight at Cowboys Stadium and Manning is 5-2 in his last seven starts against the Cowboys. But one of those two setbacks came in the season opener, when the Giants were held to 269 total yards and the defense was burned for a pair of long touchdown passes by Tony Romo. Manning tried for some fourth-quarter magic and managed to cut it to 24-17 with a touchdown pass but could not get the ball back in the final 2:36. That would have been plenty of time for the Super Bowl MVP, who needed only two plays to hit Victor Cruz with the 77-yard game-winning touchdown last weekend. Manning threw for 400 yards at Dallas in 2011, leading a pair of touchdown drives in the final 3:41 to pull out the 37-34 triumph. The New York defense had some trouble with Robert Griffin III last Sunday and has struggled to keep Romo in the pocket in the past.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (3-3): A win on Sunday would clinch the head-to-head tiebreaker in Dallas’ favor and give the team a much-needed momentum boost with back-to-back road games at Atlanta and Philadelphia looming over the next two weeks. If the Cowboys survive this stretch, they will have five of the final seven games at home to pad their playoff resume. The thought of a playoff berth was far from reality in Weeks 4 and 6, when Dallas sandwiched its bye week by allowing a combined 65 points to the Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens. The Cowboys managed to tighten things up and get back to .500 against Cam Newton and the Panthers last Sunday, forcing a pair of turnovers and relying on Dan Bailey’s leg to win it. The loss of Lee could be crushing for the defense, which will shift Dan Connor into the starting lineup. Dallas could also be without starting running back DeMarco Murray, who has missed practice this week with a sprained foot.

TRENDS:
* Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 7-1 in Cowboys’ last eight vs. NFC opponents.
* Under is 5-0 in Giants’ last five road games.
* Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Manning needs three touchdown passes to break Phil Simms’ franchise record of 199.

2. Felix Jones will start in place of Murray. Phillip Tanner and Lance Dunbar could also see carries for the Cowboys.

3. Romo has posted a passer rating over 100 in each of his last five games against New York.

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Sunday Night Football: Saints at Broncos

New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos (-6, 54.5)

There will be more footballs than oxygen in the thin air of Denver when the Broncos host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday night. New Orleans, led by quarterback Drew Brees, has the No. 1 passing offense in the NFL, while Denver and Peyton Manning are fourth. The Saints have won two straight after an 0-4 start and welcome back interim coach Joe Vitt, who finished serving a suspension for his role in Bountygate. The Broncos enjoyed their bye week following a 35-24 comeback victory at San Diego on Oct. 15 and will try to take advantage of the Saints' NFL-worst defense which has allowed 2,793 yards through six games, the most in NFL history since at least 1950.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Broncos -6, O/U 54.5

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the west.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (2-4): Brees threw four touchdown passes in New Orleans' 35-28 victory at Tampa Bay last week. The Saints are trying to become the second team since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970 to reach the playoffs after starting 0-4, but they'll have to become more balanced on offense. New Orleans is last in the league at 76.2 rushing yards per game. Remarkably, though, its one-dimensional attack hasn't led to Brees getting pummeled by opposing defenses. He has been sacked 12 times, tied for the eighth-lowest total in the NFL. Linebacker Jonathan Vilma, who is appealing his Bountygate suspension, played his first game last week after recovering from a knee injury and broke up a pass and had a knockdown.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-3): Manning, who has 14 touchdowns and four interceptions - three in the first quarter against Atlanta - has a passer rating of 105.0, well above his 95.2 career number. While Manning is the key to Denver making the playoffs, the secondary will likely determine whether the Broncos win Sunday. While 11-time Pro Bowl cornerback Champ Bailey continues to play at the highest level, he will need plenty of help to slow down Brees and Co. Cornerback Tracy Porter, though, missed the San Diego game after experiencing light-headedness and a rapid heartbeat - symptoms he also felt prior to a seizure in August. Porter, who played four seasons with New Orleans (2008-11), has yet to receive clearance to play Sunday.

TRENDS:
* Over is 5-0 in Saints’ last five road games.
* Over is 10-1 in Saints’ last 11 games overall.
* Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five Week 8 games.
* Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a win.
* Over is 4-1 in Broncos’ last five games following a win.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brees and Manning last met in Super Bowl XLIV on Feb. 7, 2010, when New Orleans defeated Indianapolis 31-17.

2. Aaron Kromer, who served as Saints interim coach with Vitt gone and suspended coach Sean Peyton sitting out the season, returns to his role as offensive line coach.

3. Denver leads the series 7-2 and has won three straight, including a 34-32 victory in the last meeting in 2008 when Brees was 39-of-48 for 421 yards and a touchdown.

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NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 8

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Here are our quick-hitting notes on all of Week 8's action.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers (-14.5, 45.5)

Both the Green Bay Packers and Jacksonville Jaguars will be without a key player when they meet at Lambeau Field. Green Bay will be without S Charles Woodson. The former NFL Defensive Player of the Year suffered a broken left clavicle in last week's 30-20 triumph at St. Louis and is expected to miss at least six weeks. The Jaguars, who have lost three in a row, will not have Maurice Jones-Drew in the lineup after the running back sprained his left foot on the first play of last Sunday's 26-23 overtime loss at Oakland and is out indefinitely. The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-1, 39)

The Dolphins suffered an overtime loss at home to the Jets last month after carrying a seven-point lead into the fourth quarter and missed a pair of field goals, including the game-winner in the extra session. Miami's last four games have all been decided by four points or fewer, including wins at Cincinnati (17-13) and against St. Louis (17-14) entering its bye. The Jets have been hit-or-miss at home, scoring one offensive TD in back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Houston while rolling up a combined 83 points in wins over Buffalo and Indianapolis. The Dolphins have played under the total in their last seven October games.

San Diego Chargers at Cleveland Browns (3, 43.5)

The Chargers were accused of using Stickum - a banned substance - during their 35-24 loss to Denver on Oct. 15 and continue to be investigated by the NFL. San Diego also had extra time to think about how they blew a 24-0 halftime lead against the Broncos. Browns RB Trent Richardson had eight yards on eight carries last week against the Colts before being benched at halftime as he tried to play with a rib cartilage injury. Richardson said he intends to be ready for Sunday. The under is 7-1 in Cleveland’s last eight home games.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-3.5, 47)

The Titans have been a sieve on defense, allowing a league-worst 238 points, but they eked out a 35-34 victory over the Buffalo Bills last week on Matt Hasselbeck's fourth-down touchdown pass with 63 seconds to play. Chris Johnson broke out of his season-long funk, rushing for 195 yards and two touchdowns in the victory over Buffalo. Johnson had been held to 24 yards or fewer in four of the team's first five games. The Colts have won six of the last seven meetings with Tennessee, but all but one of those victories came with Peyton Manning under center. The Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a win.

New England Patriots at St. Louis Rams (7, 47)

The Rams lost a little zip in their offensive attack when receiver Danny Amendola went down with a collarbone injury in Week 5. Since then, QB Sam Bradford has just one TD pass and the Rams have lost two straight. Four teams have logged season highs in yards gained against New England, which has allowed an average of 338 yards through the air in its last five games. Remember, this game is being played at Wembley Stadium in London, England taking away home advantage for either team. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.

Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 43.5)

The Philadelphia Eagles had the bye week to get acquainted with a new defensive coordinator. Todd Bowles’ first test comes when the Eagles host the last unbeaten team in the NFL, the Atlanta Falcons. Head coach Andy Reid is 13-0 after a bye week, the longest winning streak since bye weeks were introduced. But this time he has had to oversee a change on the defensive side of the ball after firing Juan Castillo and promoting Bowles from the secondary.

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (-9, 43)

Chicago tops the NFL with a plus-13 turnover margin and has allowed a league-best 13 points per game, which doesn't bode well for Carolina and second-year QB Cam Newton. The Panthers have lost four straight and have been plagued by turnovers all season - their minus-6 turnover margin ranks 26th in the league. The bad news keeps coming for Carolina, which placed CB Chris Gamble (torn labrum) and LB Jon Beason (knee, shoulder) on injured reserve this week. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five October games.

Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (-1, 43)

The Seahawks pulled off an upset of the New England Patriots in Week 6 but fell flat at San Francisco last Sunday, scoring a season-low six points. Quarterback Russell Wilson has two touchdowns, seven interceptions and a 58.9 completion percentage in four road games this season. Detroit turned the ball over three times in the red zone in Monday’s 13-7 loss at Chicago and did not find the end zone until late in the fourth quarter. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

Washington Redskins at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4, 46.5)

Pittsburgh, which is coming off its first road win, has won eight straight inter-conference games and Ben Roethlisberger is 14-1 at home against NFC opponents. And rookie QBs are 1-14 against Dick LeBeau’s intricate zone-blitz schemes since the 75-year-old returned to Pittsburgh in 2004. Redskins TE Fred Davis, who leads the team with 24 receptions, tore his Achilles' tendon in last week’s loss to the Giants. The Redskins filled the void Monday by re-signing eight-year veteran TE Chris Cooley, who was released in the offseason. The teams have played under the total in their last four meetings.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-1, 42.5)

Brady Quinn will make his second straight start at QB - and first since coach Romeo Crennel appointed him the primary option for the foreseeable future – when the Chiefs seek to end a three-game losing streak against the visiting Oakland Raiders. The Raiders, 0-3 on the road this season, overcame three turnovers and a 20-6 deficit to beat Jacksonville last week. Oakland is 31st in the league in rushing (76.8 ypg) despite having one of the most electrifying tailbacks in the league in Darren McFadden. Run DMC is only averaging 2.6 yards per carry over the last three games. The teams have played under the total in 12 of their last 14 meetings.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (1, 48)

Eli Manning pulled off his 24th career fourth-quarter comeback in a win over Washington last Sunday but will be taking on a Cowboys secondary that is the strength of the defense. Dallas knocked off New York in the season opener, 24-17, but may without starting RB DeMarco Murray, who has missed practice this week with a sprained foot. Felix Jones will start if Murray can't suit up. Phillip Tanner and Lance Dunbar could also see carries for the Cowboys. Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last five home games.

New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos (-6, 54.5)

The Saints have won two straight after an 0-4 start and welcome back interim coach Joe Vitt, who finished serving a suspension for his role in Bountygate. The Broncos enjoyed their bye week following a 35-24 comeback victory at San Diego on Oct. 15 and will try to take advantage of the Saints' NFL-worst defense which has allowed 2,793 yards through six games, the most in NFL history since at least 1950. Denver CB Tracy Porter, who played four seasons in New Orleans (2008-11), missed the San Diego game after experiencing light-headedness and a rapid heartbeat - symptoms he felt prior to a seizure in August - but could be cleared to play Sunday. The over is 10-1 in the Saints’ last 11 games overall.

[poopoo333]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NFL SEATTLE at DETROIT

Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SEATTLE) off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, after the first month of the season.
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NFL OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY

Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (KANSAS CITY) a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=27 PPG), after a loss by 10 or more points.
27-17 since 1997. ( 61.4% 0.0 units )

NFL WASHINGTON at PITTSBURGH

Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (WASHINGTON) excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 64% or better, after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

[poopoo333]

JOE WIZ

Over 41 Kansas City and Oakland

[poopoo333]

Football Crusher
Washington Redskins +4 over Pittsburgh Steelers
(System Record: 21-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 21-26-4

[poopoo333]

Soccer Crusher
River Plate + Boca Juniors UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 313-11, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 313-264-34

[poopoo333]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Sunday, October 28th

2012 National Football League "Under" Total of the Year!!!!!
Indianapolis/Tennessee under 47

You Win or we'll email you Tonight's Saints @ Broncos Winner Free of Charge!!!

Early NFL Bets Bets
New England/St Louis under 47
Atlanta/Philadelphia over 43 1/2
Seattle/Detroit over 42 1/2
Carolina/Chicago over 43

[poopoo333]

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Sunday, October 28th

2012 Sunday Night NFL Super Total of the Year!!!!!
New Orleans/Denver under 54 1/2

Late NFL Best Bets
Oakland/Kansas City under 42
NY Giants/Dallas under 48

[poopoo333]

From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030). 500K AFC Lock/Month
the San Diego Chargers -3 over
the Cleveland Browns
Best Bets
the Pittsburgh Steelers -4 over
the Washington Redskins
the Indianapolis Colts +3½ over
the Tennessee Titans
the Atlanta Falcons +3 over
the Philadelphia Eagles
the Green Bay/Jacksonville Game UNDER
the Total of 45½ Points

[poopoo333]

From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030).


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Seattle Seahawks +2½ over
the Detroit Lions

[poopoo333]

Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030). 500K NBC Total/Year
the New Orleans/Denver Game OVER
the Total Of 54½ Points
Best Bets
the Denver Broncos -6 over
the New Orleans Saints
the NY Giants -2½ over
the Dallas Cowboys
the NY Giants/Dallas Game UNDER
the Total Of 48 Points
the Detroit Tigers w/Scherzer -110 over
the San Francisco Giants

[poopoo333]

From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030).


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Oakland Raiders +1 over
the Kansas City Chiefs

[poopoo333]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL - Sunday, October 28th - COMP PLAY

TOP (3 UNITS)
REDSKINS +4 at steelers (10am)
http://www.therxforum.com/images/smilies/suomi.gif
*Lines at LV Hilton 10-28-12, 1:30am
**All times Pacific

[poopoo333]

"Mr Chalk" 2012 MLB Post Season

2012 MLB Post Season

Ben lee lost on Saturday with the Tigers -$148/Giants.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$128/Giants.

"Mr Chalk" is 8-11 -$609 for the 2012 MLB Post Season.

[poopoo333]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL - Sunday, October 28th

HYDRA (5 UNITS)
GIANTS -PK (-135) (ML) at cowboys (4:25pm)

TOP (3 UNITS)
DOLPHINS +3 (-130) at jets (10am)
COLTS +3.5 at titans (10am)
FALCONS +3 at eagles (10am)
LIONS -PK (-135) vs seahawks (10am)
REDSKINS +4 at steelers (10am)
CHIEFS -PK (-120) vs raiders (1pm)
SAINTS / BRONCOS OVER 55 (SNF)
CARDINALS +7 vs 49'ers (MNF)

[poopoo333]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Lions
Chiefs
Bronc

[poopoo333]

Today's NFL Picks

NY Giants at Dallas

The Cowboys look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games in Week 8 of the season. Dallas is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (10/24)


Game 219-220: New England vs. St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.907; St. Louis 131.430
Dunkel Line: New England by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: New England by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-6 1/2); Under


Game 221-222: Indianapolis at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 122.028; Tennessee 128.474
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Under


Game 223-224: Jacksonville at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 123.543; Green Bay 135.092
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 11 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 16; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+16); Over


Game 225-226: San Diego at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 129.684; Cleveland 131.828
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 40
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under


Game 227-228: Atlanta at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 136.787; Philadelphia 134.160
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2 1/2); Over


Game 229-230: Seattle at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 133.857; Detroit 130.469
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+2 1/2); Over


Game 231-232: Miami at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 130.013; NY Jets 134.712
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1); Under


Game 233-234: Carolina at Chicago (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 129.590; Chicago 135.891
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Chicago by 9; 43
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+9); Over


Game 235-236: Washington at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 129.055; Pittsburgh 135.576
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4 1/2); Under


Game 237-238: Oakland at Kansas City (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 126.784; Kansas City 125.210
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+2); Over


Game 239-240: NY Giants at Dallas (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 134.977; Dallas 136.373
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Under


Game 241-242: New Orleans at Denver (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 129.150; Denver 138.804
Dunkel Line: Denver by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Denver by 6; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6); Over

[poopoo333]

Today's CFL Picks

Edmonton at Montreal

The Alouettes look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games. Montreal is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (10/24)


Game 297-298: Edmonton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 111.300; Montreal 117.692
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2); Under

[poopoo333]

Hondo

Hondo started slowly with South Carolina yesterday but surged beautifully last night with Ohio State and the Giants to slash the deficit to 1,275 samples.

Today, Mr. Aitch will plunge for paydirt with the Jets, Falcons and Lions — 10 units apiece. Also, he expects Cain to raise a chunk of cash for the cause by finishing off the overmatched Tigers — 10 units on San Fran.

[poopoo333]

Int Picks
3* Redskins
2* Jets, Lions, Titans, Giants, Saints
1* Under Colts, Eagles & Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 931-686 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free play SUN: Chargers -2

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Info plays

7* philadelphia eagles -3

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Greg Shaker

NFL Total Sun

triple-dime bet OAK / KAN Over 41.0

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Fargo's 10* NFL SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (AWESOME 22-6) MASSIVE BLOWOUT!

Eagles

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Nelly's Sunday NFL 3* Top Play - Oct. 28 (3* MIA)

10/28/12 Nelly's 3* #231 Miami Dolphins +2.5 over New York Jets 12:00 PM CT
These teams met a month ago in Miami with the Jets winning 23-20 in overtime in a game that was pretty even statistically and Miami could have won if not for a couple of missed kicks. Line value is gone on the Dolphins as this line is similar despite the venue change to New York. The Jets are 2-2 at home this season with convincing wins over the Bills and the Colts but the Jets lost badly to the 49ers and Texans at home. New York also enters this game coming off one of the biggest games of the season, a narrow overtime loss against the Patriots. The Jets are also heading into the bye week next week and this season NFL teams have done very poorly heading into the bye week, understandable as players are making plans and arrangements for their time off and minimal practice under the new collective bargaining arrangements. Miami is coming off the bye week and this is a team with serious momentum. The Dolphins won but failed to cover in its last game and
there is plenty to work on as the Dolphins were severely out-gained and frankly lucky to win against the Rams. Miami has won the last two games and the Dolphins are 3-2 in the last five games, with both losses coming in overtime. Miami has one of the best run defenses in the NFL with just 78 yards per game allowed and the Jets have lost three straight games in which they have been out-rushed. Historically the Jets have owned this series but Miami has actually covered in five of the last eight including winning outright in three of the last four trips to New York. These teams have very similar defensive numbers overall but Miami has been the far more productive offensive team. The Dolphins pass for 224 yards per game as Ryan Tannehill has looked like a future star and the Dolphins present great balance. Miami’s defense can be vulnerable against the pass but the Jets have a limited aerial attack with shaky QB play and a young inexperienced receiving
corps. While this is not a great value play, the situation sets up well for Miami and the Dolphins simply look like the superior team talent wise given the current state of the Jets with all the injuries and Joe Philbin has quickly set a great tone for this team. The road team has covered in eight of the last 12 meetings between these AFC East rivals and Miami can make a case as a playoff contender with this win.



Maximum Football - Sunday 2/3 - Oct. 28

5* #222 Tennessee Titans -3.5 over Indianapolis Colts 12:00 PM CT
5* #225 San Diego Chargers -3 over Cleveland Browns 12:00 PM CT
3* #228 Philadelphia Eagles -2 over Atlanta Falcons 12:00 PM CT



BEST Football - Sunday 15* NFL Game of the Month - Oct. 28

15* #239 NY Giants -2.5 over Dallas Cowboys 3:15 PM CT


BEST Football - Sunday Bonus Biggie - Oct. 28

10* #229/230 UNDER 43 Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions 12:00 PM CT


Maximum Football - Sunday Night - Oct. 28

3* #241/242 'OVER 55' New Orleans Saints at Denver Broncos 7:30 PM CT

[poopoo333]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = MIAMI
3* = INDIANAPOLIS
2* = GREEN BAY
2* = PHILADELPHIA
2* = DENVER

[poopoo333]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Rutgers (-13 1/2) Saturday

Sunday it's the Dolphins. The deficit is 1148 sirignanos.

[poopoo333]

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit Cleveland +3 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-20)

5 unit
10 unit over 43.5 ATL/PHI

Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)

25 unit NY Giants -1.5
25 unit Denver -6

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Oakland +1

Baseball Guru
(1-10)
5 unit Detroit Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

5* Miami Dolphins +2.5 over Jets

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS

6-Unit NFL Game of the Month

Detroit Lions -2

Other Plays

NY Jets -2

Arizona Cardinals +7

[Mr. IWS]

goodfella 3*--miami

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

6 unit Lions -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler - NFL TRIPLE (3*) G.O.W -ALL ACCESS


Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 230 DET 1.0 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) vs 229 SEA


Dave Essler | NFL Side Sun, 10/28/12 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 226 CLE 3.0 (-110) SportsInteraction vs 225 SDC 7

[Mr. IWS]

LPW Sports Forecast

NFL Total Game of Year



100 Unit Elite Access New Orleans/Denver Over 55

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
1500* NFL Lions -2.5
100* NFL Eagles -3
50* NFL Chiefs -1

[Mr. IWS]

Richard Witt's Top 5* Sunday!
5* Carolina Panthers +7 1/2 over CHICAGO BEARS 1 PM EDT

Make no mistake, the Chicagoans are very, very good, and that defense figures to carry them a long way. But it doesn't mean they're going to cover fat numbers with extreme ease. We were all over Detroit last Monday night (covering, after having every chance to win the game, outright), and will continue our Bear fade act here. Cam Newton's enduring more than a bit of a sophomore slump, right now, but expect improved focus from Newton and his mates . . . while the Bears look to notch "W"s while taking care not to peak too early. January and February's when you want to do that! Just like Monday . . . another competitive game, meaning that +7 1/2 should serve as sufficient elbow room for dog fanciers. 5*, Carolina +7 1/2 . . . thanks, good luck . . . and look for more, later today!

[Mr. IWS]

Red Dog Sports ***10*** NFL Game Of The Week
NY Giants at Dallas
4:25pm
10* NY Giants -1

Take the NY Giants as they look for revenge after an opening week loss at home to the Cowboys. Eli Manning and the Giants seem to play better on the road and so do the Cowboys, who will be at home. Tony Romo seems to struggle at home and the Dallas team is just 122-122 in their last 144 games.

NY should be able to run and slow down the attack of the Cowboys as Dallas has a few injuries.

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole

Sunday's 5*** NFL GAME of the MONTH from King Creole is flying OVER the TOTAL!


1:00pm ET / #225-226 / SAN DIEGO CHARGERS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS
5***** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL

*Follow the current OU line move in this game throughout the weekend. When you see the line reach its low point... then POUNCE on the 'Over'. For now, your optimum line is 43.5 or LESS points.

Who is the NFL's best 'OVER' team when playing on the road over the last seven seasons? That would be the SAN DIEGO CHARGERS! Since the 2006 season, the Chargers have gone a remarkable 32-14-2 O/U. That's 70% of ALL road games that have gone Over. That includes 19-6 O/U (75%) versus all NON-division opponents when the OU line is 48 < points. And the numbers are even STRONGER as of late: 10-1 O/U since 2008... and a PERFECT 4-0 O/U In the last 3 seasons. The total amount of points in these games has been VERY consistent. In our NFL Totals Tipsheet newsletter, you can see for yourself. San Diego TOTAL points in road games by the year: 49.3 ppg THIS year... 51.8 ppg in 2011... 49.7 ppg in 2010... 47.2 ppg in 2009... and 49.3 ppg in 2008. Overall in 5+ seasons: 49.5.

We have two of the WORST passing defenses taking on each other in this game. Cleveland comes in allowing 410.6 total YPG... and 276.9 via the air. San Diego comes in allowing 268.2 total passing YPG. As most sharps know, when two BAD pass defenses take on each other... an OVER is very likely. In fact, so far this season: When 2 teams play each other and each one has allowed 250 > passing YPG up until then... the result has been a 13-2 O/U record.

42 to 44 points is a great range to play an OVER. So far this season, almost one quarter of ALL NFL games have ended up finishing in between 46 and 52 points. And 62% of ALL games have finished at 46 or MORE points.

The Chargers enter this game of their Bye Week... and off a SU favorite loss (vs the Broncos).
12-2 O/U L8Y: All conference teams playing with REST... and off a SU favorite loss (CHARGERS).
5-0 O/U since 1998: All AFC .500 or less road favorites (CHARGERS) playing with REST.

San Diego also comes in on a 3-game stretch in which ALL games went OVER the Total (and by a margin of +9.3 total PPG!). Meanwhile, the Brownies went UNDER in their game vs Indy last week.
8-0 O/U since 2008: All non-division road favs playing off 3+ OVERS in a row (CHARGERS) vs any opponent off an UNDER (CLEVE).

That last game for San Diego was a MONDAY night division game.
9-0-2 O/U since 2005: All NFL teams playing off a SU home favorite DIVISION loss on a MONDAY night (CHARGERS).

I'm licking my chops about the 'Time Zone' aspect of this game. A Western time zone team (San Diego) travels east and plays a game at 1:00pm ET on a Sunday (10:00am for San Diego 'body clock' time). Usually, weird and wacky things happen in these games. Like an occasional 'Freak Score' (a return TD or two).
17-2 O/U last 5 years: ALL AFC Western Time Zone team (CHARGERS) on the road at 1:00pm ET versus an Eastern Time Zone opponent (BROWNS)... when the OU line is 49 < points.

In these 'West to East' games, we note that the Chargers have gone a PERFECT 8-0 O/U in the last 4 years... with an average of 56.0 total PPG!

Home underdogs in the AFC taking on a fellow conference opponent (like the Brownies) have gone OVER the Total at a high percentage. Of course, these high-scoring tendencies are dependent on the pointspread and OU line.
20-5 O/U last 3 years: All AFC Conference 'short' home underdogs of < 5 points (BROWNS) versus any fellow AFC opponent (CHARGERS). These games have gone 15-2 O/U in GAME FOUR or greater... and a PERFECT 14-0 O/U when the OU line sis < 49 points.

After scoring 34 points at home against the Bengals two weeks ago (the OEER hit by +16 pts!)... Cleveland could only muster up 13 points last week versus the Indianapolis Colts.
5-0 O/U last 3 years: All NFL home underdogs who scored 13 < points... and 34 > Points in their last two games (BROWNS).

[Mr. IWS]

RICH SPORT'S


Cleveland + 3 3 Units
Play Cleveland plus the points versus San Diego. The Chargers have been a turn over machine of late and I can only expect that to continue today as the weather may be wet and cold. Surprisingly the Browns are averaging more passing yards than the Chargers this year. The Chargers are 0 – 4 ATS in their last 4 October games. The Browns are 7 – 0 ATS the game after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

Twitter Play Washington + 4

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Denver Broncos -6
4* Miami Dolphins +2.5
3* Indianapolis Colts +3.5
3* Seattle Seahawks +2.5
3* Washington Redskins +5
3* San Francisco 49ers -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

50 skins
15 saints
10 eagles
10 giants.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe Sports

October 28th, 2012

Sunday NFL Picks

Colts +3.5 over Titans
The Indianapolis Colts are starting to find themselves as a football team and Andrew Luck has shown he is the real deal. The Titans still have not proved they can stop anybody on defense. At the end of the day Matt Hasselbeck is the oldest starter in the NFL and even though Chris Johnson has two decent games in a row it does not by any means make him an elite running back like he was two years ago. The Colts match up very well size wise on offense and should bully this weak offensive line. Look for Andrew Luck to have a huge day leading his team to victory. Take the Colts.

Chargers -3 over Browns
San Diego has a big size advantage in this game. I like Weeden and I like what Richardson has done, but this team is young and I don’t think they can beat a team like San Diego yet. I think the Browns will have a decent offensive day, but when its said and done their defense has major holes on the defensive line and at linebacker. San Diego has a lot of size and talented and should put up enough points to pull away in this game. Take the Chargers.

Falcons +3 over Eagles
Andy Reid is 13-0 after a bye week. Tell me what that has to do with today? The Falcons are also coming off a bye and at 6-0 are the best team in football however they have not won with ease and know they had a lot to improve on. The Eagles simply turn the ball over too much. I don’t trust this defense and I do not trust the Eagles play calling. This team is 3-3 on the year because they do not know how to manage games. Atlanta has too much fire power on offense and should get the road win. Take Atlanta.

Seattle +2.5 over Lions
The Lions are a one dimensional team and I don’t think the offensive line is going to be able to keep their quarterback upright today. Seattle has a great front four and very big cornerbacks that can hang around with a Calvin Johnson. Detroit is really hurting with injuries on defense and I think Seattle will steal the show on the road today. Look for Russell Wilson and the offense to be a step quicker today. Take the Seahawks.

Giants -2.5 over Cowboys
Eli Manning steps up in big games. The Giants own the Cowboys on the road and Dallas is really hurting with injuries on defense and will miss Shawn Lee in the lineup. The Giants had the Super Bowl hangover in the first week of the season as Dallas stuck it to them in New York. Its payback time and I just do not see the Cowboys hanging around in this game. Dallas will be without their starting center and the offensive line will have a tough time keeping Romo upright. The Giants are built to play in these big type of games. This is a huge division game that the Giants must win. Take the Gmen.

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams


Sunday's Selection ...


For Sunday afternoon, 1500♦ Raise the Bar Home Chalk Lock is the Chicago Bears as the favgrite against the visitqing Carolina Panthers. As of 6:00 am eastern time on Sunday morning, the Bears are the 7 1/2 point favorite agaynst the Panthers.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers


Sunday's Selection ...


Your winner is: 500,000♦ Max Wager Dog Game of My Life on the visgting Washington Redskins as the underdog agaqinst the Pittsburgh Steelers. At the time I release my selecyion, the Redskins are +4 1/2 point dogs both in Vegas and at the offshore books.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino


75 Dime NFL Winner # 4 of 5 ...


75 DIME NFL relegse on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over the LA Raiders. At the time I publish this seleqction at 11 pm Eastern Saturday, the consynsus odds have Kansas City a between a pick'em and a -1 point favorite depending on where you shop in Vegas and overseas.

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd


Sunday's Play


100 Dime selgction on the Philadelphia Eagles against the Atlanta Falcons. As I reqlease this play at 3:30am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on Philadelphia is -3 in Vegas and offshyre.

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis


Sunday's Action...




50 Dime Play for Sunday in the NFL is the Saints-Broncos contgst to hold Under the postqed total. At 6:30 am eastern the total on this selyction is 55 points both in Vegas and the offshore books.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton


Sunday's Action


40 Dime winner going out in the NFL on the Detroit Lions at home against the visitgng Seattle Seahawks. At the time I releqase this selection to you, the Lions are -2 1/2 point favyrites both in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien


Sunday's Winner...


I love my 40 Dime Wgnner tonight, as I'm siding with the OAKLAND RAIDERS in their AFC West clash against the Kansas City Chiefs, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. As I relqase this game at 6 a.m. pacific, I see the number on this game is Oakland +1, in sports books here in Las Vegas and also Offshyre.

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Budin - CEO


Sunday's Pick


The Baltimore Crew has a 25 dime play on San Diego as the road favorite against Cleveland. The Chargers are -3 everywhere I've checked as of 9:05 AM Eastern this morning. This is a case I would urge you to purchase insurance, putting the power of money (that this crew alone has won for you over the past five years) to work, buying the half-point on San Diego if your price is anywhere between -3 and -4.

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco - GM


Sunday's Pick


15 dime play on the Chicago Bears as the home chalk versus Carolina. As I release this play at 6:25 AM Pacific, Chicago is -7 1/2 at the majority of books here in Vegas and offshore, with a few -8's out there as well. I would be hypocritical after blasting some of the other guys at this site to not buy the half-point in this game since I believe in doing so when a line crosses 3, 4, 7 and sometimes 10. Just because I believe Chicago will win by double-digit is of no importance. I instead will simply buy down the half-point at -7 1/2.

[Mr. IWS]

Mile Lineback
Teaser Bears/Cowboys
SD Under
Eagles

[Mr. IWS]

Royal Sports
Philly,Chicago,Detroit, and Under-Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast late phones

4 Jets
3 Eagles
3 Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

401 K SPORTS

Playoffs 16-9-3 +14.85 units

Sat recap 1-0 +2 units
2**San Fran/Detroit under 7(even)(win)
with the big storm Sandy approaching, according to just about all weather predictors, most of the northeast is likely to lose power. If that is the case don't be surprised if I am dark for mon and tues. Weather.com says that Mass is going to be spared the brunt of the storm, but still get the outer bands bringing lower winds but high rain totals. I am hoping for the best.

Sun play

There is still the chance that Verlander goes on 3 days rest here. Some books are not putting up lines on the game until this becomes more clear. I will go with the assumption of a Cain/Scherzer matchup for this play. If there is a switch to Verlander, I still like the Giants here to finish this series. .



SF Giants +135 over Detroit (8pm)

[Mr. IWS]

Howard Eskin- stone cold mortal lock

Eagles

[Mr. IWS]

The Bagman

4000 units- Eagles -3 over Falcons
Not many coaches are better than Andy Reid off of a bye. Eagles can't let the Giants disappear in to the sunset and this would be a good victory for an Eagles team that doesn't do anything the easy way. I think the Eagles win this one going away against a Falcons team that has looked like a 500 team rather than an undefeated team the last few weeks. Eagles by 10 for one of the few easy victories in the NFL this year.


2000 units- Steelers -4 over Redskins
Steelers are a different team at home. Although Troy's still on the sideline's I think the Steelers defense comes up big against RGIII.

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian's Sunday:
100 Teaser Miami and UNDER
100 Carolina-he says to buy it to 10 whatever that means.
100 OVER Pittsburgh
300 Philadelphia
300 UNDER KC
300 New Orleans buy to 7.

100 San Francisco in baseball(he has a 200 unit on Detroit for the series

[Mr. IWS]

Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Cleveland Browns+3

[Mr. IWS]

ust Cover, Baby

*Always buy the ½ pt. to 3

5* San Francisco -7 (Mon.)
4* Green Bay -15½
4* Oakland +1
3* Atlanta +1
3* NY Jets -1
3* Dallas +3
3* Denver -6½
2* Chicago -9
2* Indianapolis +3½
2* Washington +4½
1* Cleveland +3
1* Detroit -2½
1* St. Louis +7

[Mr. IWS]

JrTips Premium Picks For Sunday, Oct 28th, 2012

NFL Early Card
5,000,000- CLEVELAND+3
5,000,000*- DALLAS-1

Sunday Night Football
VIP PARLAY- Take DENVER-6 to OVER 55*
Also play as straight bets

[Mr. IWS]

PRIMETIME SPORTS PICKS
4 Unit N.Y. Jets -1 over Miami (NFL)
3 Unit New Orleans/Denver OVER 55.5 (NFL)

[Mr. IWS]

MR SHARP

Tigers -ML (-146) *Win 7U* TOP SHARP PLAY!

NFL WEEK #8

NE Patriots -4 (1st Half) (-110) *Win 3U*

GB Packers -13.5 :Buy 1/2 Point: (-120) *Win 5U*

Falcons +4 :Buy 1 Point: (-130) *Win 3U*

Browns / Chargers Over 41 (-110) *Win 3U*

Redskins / Steelers Over 44 (-110) *Win 5U*

NY Giants -ML (-135) *Win 10U*

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks (not BB)

Saints/Broncos over 55

[Mr. IWS]

NSA
20* NFL Eagles -2(NFC GOY)
20* NFL Green Bay -14
20* NFL San Diego -2.5
10* NFL Washington +4.5
10* NFL Seattle +1
10* NFL NY Jets -1

[Mr. IWS]

Valley Sports
NY Giants(-2.5 or better)Over Dallas --5 Stars
Philadelphia(-2 or better)Over Atlanta --4 Stars
Tennessee(-3.5 or better)Over Indianapolis --3 Stars
NY Jets(-2.5 or better)Over Miami --2 Stars
New Orleans(+6 or better)Over Denver --2 Stars
Oakland/Kansas City(Under 41 or better) --3 Stars
New Orleans/Denver(Over 55.5 or better) --3 Stars

[Mr. IWS]

DOC'S Picks (not DOC enterprises)
2% JACKSONVILLE +14 OVER GREEN BAY (NFL)
2% CAROLINA +9 OVER CHICAGO (NFL)
2% PITTSBURGH -4.5 OVER WASHINGTON (NFL)

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAYS

POWER ANGLE PLAY

PHILADELPHIA -3 over Atlanta: This is a really good spot for them to get back on track. I feel the change on defense will energize this group a bit. Philly hasn’t been too bad defensively but they have blown some 4th quarter leads and that is the main reason for the change. Atlanta can’t run the ball (28th) and that should allow this very talented Eagle secondary to clamp down on a very good Atlanta passing game. Really the Falcons havn’t faced a good defense this year and I expect them to have a tough time moving the ball on this Eagles defense that has had a week to get used to the schemes that Todd Bowles will employ. Another advantage there is that the Eagles knowq what they will run, but Atlanta has no clue what’s coming. On offense the Eagles should be able to move the ball and I feel that after the Bye they will start to cut down on their mistakes. The Atlanta defense has been poor vs the run (143 ypg, 5.2 ypc) and that should allow Vick and McCoy do some damage, which will then open up the throwing lanes for this talent WR corps to get some big plays downfield. Andy Reid has worked some magic after a Bye and I feel he will do so again hrere. Atlanta loses first game of the year in this one. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any home favorite if both teams are off a Bye week. Teams in this spot are 15-3 ATS since 2001 and have outscored their opponents by 13 ppg.

7 POINT TEASER--- New England Pk & Eagles/ Atlanta Under 50

3 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia/ Atlanta Under 43: This game should be mess with a hurricane just off the coast. Lots of wind and rain and that should keep the scoring down. Also keeping the scoring is the fact that there is two pretty good defenses on the field. The Atlanta defense is 22 overall but they allow just 18.8 ppg, which is 6th in the league. The Falcons struggle vs the run (28th) and with high winds and a turnover prone QB you can bet that Reid will look run the ball at that soft run defense of the Falcons and that will eat plenty of clock. The Falcons on offense need to throw the ball, because they can't run the ball (29th in the league), but in the conditions that are expected Matt Ryan will have a problem connecting for some big plays. Atlanta will have to try and run the ball and that will also chew up some clock. This game will struggle to hit the mid 30's.

PITTSBURGH -4 over Washington: The Steelers played very good defense vs the the Cincinnati and I feel they can do it again in this one. There could be potential for bad weather in this game with high winds and that could very well slow down the Washington pass game. The Skins are the top rushing team in the league, but they are about to face the 9th ranked rushing defense of the Steelers so that run game should struggle as well. The Steelers also rank 2nd vs the pass so this Washington offense could be in for a long day. On the other side the Pittsburgh offense has been decent this year but the do struggle to run the ball (26th). They will get back Mendenhall for this one and that will help. Once the running game gets going then Big Ben should have some easy throws vs the worst ranked pass defense in the league. The Pittsburgh defense will will not allow Washington to put enough points on the board to keep this one close.

Detroit/ Seattle Under 42.5: This Detroit offense can be explosive, but this year something seems off. In the last 5 weeks the Lions have scored less than 20 points 3 times, while overall they are averaging just 22.2 ppg, which is a full TD less than they averaged last year. Now they take on a Seattle defense that is 5th in the league (287.3 ypg) overall and 3rd in scoring (15.1 ppg). This defense has played very tough this year and I feel this inconsistent Lions offense will have problems moving the ball on them. As good as the Seattle defense has been, the offense has been bad. Seattle is 31st in total offense, passing and scoring and those ranking may not get that much better as the Lions are ranked 8th in total defense. The Lions do struggle a little vs the run and that is a strength of the Seattle offense as they are 8th in the league in running the ball. This should be a low scoring tight ball as both defenses are playing better than the offenses right now.

7 POINT TEASER--- Indianapolis +7.5 & Green Bay -8

2 UNIT PLAYS

New England -7 over St Louis

Miami/ NY Jets Under 38

7 POINT TEASER--- San Diego +4 & Dallas/ Giants Over 41

1 UNIT PLAYS

San Diego -3 over CLEVELAND

GREEN BAY -14.5 over Jacksonville

[Mr. IWS]

fantasy (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fpartners.fanduel.com%2Fproc essing%2Fclickthrgh.asp%3Fbtag%3Da_889b_156) Sports Gametime

Baseball Sunday

100* Play San Francisco +135 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

San Francisco has won 10 of the last 13 games and they have won 5 of the last 6 games vs. Detroit. San Francisco has won 36 of the last 52 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game and they have also won 40 of the last 63 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game.

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies Sports
500* Cleveland+3
500* Dallas+3
500* Miami @ Jets Under 39
30* Jets-1
20* Jacksonville+15
10* Tennessee+3½ (Free Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Bruce Marshall

Saints / Broncos Over

[Mr. IWS]

Joe Nelson's Pick Pack

NFL Sunday Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: San Diego at Cleveland
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Under (44.5 -110)
Line Source: Caesars/Harrah's
Posted on: October 26, 2012 @ 3:16:42 PM EDT

The Chargers have had two weeks to think about the epic Monday night meltdown, blowing a 24-0 halftime lead against the rival Broncos to fall to 3-3. Denver had just 366 yards in the game despite posting 35 points as the Broncos had two defensive touchdowns. Teams coming off the bye week generally step up defensively and San Diego’s defense is allowing less than 340 yards per game despite allowing 66 points the last two weeks, facing explosive offenses in New Orleans and Denver. These are two of the weaker offensive teams in the NFL as San Diego averages just 330 yards per game and Cleveland averages just 324 yards per game despite these teams facing schedules that rank 28th and 30th respectively in difficulty. Cleveland has some of the worst numbers in the league defensively but they have had to play some of the better offensive teams in the league and at home the Browns have done a much better job, allowing only 21 points per game. San Diego has been out-passed in five of six games this season as this is not the prolific passing attack under Philip Rivers of a few years ago. The offense lacks elite talent at receiver and the running game has been inconsistent. Cleveland’s defense has played well the last two weeks, allowing just 24 points against Cincinnati and last week holding a good Colts offense to just 17 points. San Diego’s rush defense has been outstanding and while the Browns will likely pass more in this game if Trent Richardson is out of action, Cleveland will keep a safe game plan in order to avoid turnovers with the young offense. Neither team is posting great passing numbers so the weak pass defenses in this game won’t likely be heavily exposed. Both teams have also been turnover prone which could cancel out a few scoring opportunities. The is will be one of the higher totals in a Browns game all season and this number is inflated a bit based on high scoring results and three straight ‘over’ games for the Chargers but they have faced elite offensive teams in each of the last four weeks. Both defenses are better than the numbers indicate and value will be on the ‘under’ as San Diego heads to chilly weather in the Midwest.

Matchup: Seattle at Detroit
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Seattle (+2.5 -104)
Line Source: Catalina
Posted on: October 26, 2012 @ 3:16:42 PM EDT

This is not an ideal scheduling spot for the Seahawks facing a fourth road game in five weeks but the extra time off after playing the Thursday game last week should help to calm those worries. Seattle is a solid 4-3 team and while the Seahawks have only one road win on the season they have covered in the last two road games and were within five points in both road ATS losses, actually out-gaining the opponent in those narrow misses. Defensively Seattle is an elite team, allowing just 297 yards per game and incredibly just 15 points per game and Detroit faces a short week after failing in Monday’s rivalry game in Chicago. Detroit should have been shutout in the game as the only points came with 30 seconds to go and the Lions could easily be a winless team this season as they were lucky in both comeback wins this season, beating the Rams in the final seconds at home and catching breaks in an improbable comeback against the Eagles two weeks ago. Seattle’s offense is limited but the edge on the ground for the Seahawks should be substantial, posting 132 yards per game on the ground this season. Seattle has posted the elite defensive numbers and sound rushing statistics through a schedule that ranks as the 3rd toughest in the league. Detroit is posting 406 yards of offense per game but the Lions won’t get close to that mark in this game and much of that yardage has come late in games as the Lions have struggled to do much before the 4th quarter regardless of the score in the game. Detroit has been a heavily penalized team and a team that has struggled with turnovers which has caused the inefficiency in the statistics. Matthew Stafford has also been known to make poor decisions if he is struggling to find opportunities and against the best secondary in the NFL that could create some big plays for the Seahawks. This is a letdown spot for the Lions at home after a huge divisional Monday night game and Seattle is the superior team.

Member Plays
Matchup: Carolina at Chicago
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Carolina (+9 -120)
Line Source: bovada.lv
Posted on: October 26, 2012 @ 3:16:42 PM EDT

Carolina has faced a ton of heat all week and while the Panthers are 1-5 they have only lost by more than six points once. The losses have all come against respectable opponents and the last three losses have come by a combined total of 11 points, all against winning teams. Carolina is 0-2 on the road this season but the losses have come by just eight points combined. Chicago is rolling at 5-1 but the Bears have just one win against a winning team, beating 4-3 Dallas. Chicago has played a weaker schedule and the Bears have been great beneficiaries of turnovers, including five defensive touchdowns this season. The offensive statistics for these teams are almost identical with Carolina gaining 335 yards per game and Chicago gaining 337 yards per game. Chicago’s defense is allowing 228 yards per game in the air so the Panthers should have opportunities in the passing game and Chicago had a lot of trouble against Cam Newton last season. Chicago won 34-29 at home when these teams met last October but Carolina had 543 yards of offense compared with just 317 yards for the Bears. The Panthers missed two field goals in the game and Newton passed for 374 yards and rushed for two touchdowns while the Bears had just 93 net passing yards. This could be a classic flat spot for the Bears coming off a huge Monday night divisional game and this is a do-or-die game for the Panthers. Carolina has deserved criticism but this is a team that deserved to beat 6-0 Atlanta in its last road game and could expose the Bears for their weak early schedule.

Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Miami at N.Y. Jets
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Miami (+3 -110)
Line Source: SportsInteraction
Posted on: October 26, 2012 @ 3:16:42 PM EDT

These teams met a month ago in Miami with the Jets winning 23-20 in overtime in a game that was pretty even statistically and Miami could have won if not for a couple of missed kicks. Line value is gone on the Dolphins as this line is similar despite the venue change to New York. The Jets are 2-2 at home this season with convincing wins over the Bills and the Colts but the Jets lost badly to the 49ers and Texans at home. New York also enters this game coming off one of the biggest games of the season, a narrow overtime loss against the Patriots. The Jets are also heading into the bye week next week and this season NFL teams have done very poorly heading into the bye week, understandable as players are making plans and arrangements for their time off and minimal practice under the new collective bargaining arrangements. Miami is coming off the bye week and this is a team with serious momentum. The Dolphins won but failed to cover in its last game and there is plenty to work on as the Dolphins were severely out-gained and frankly lucky to win against the Rams. Miami has won the last two games and the Dolphins are 3-2 in the last five games, with both losses coming in overtime. Miami has one of the best run defenses in the NFL with just 78 yards per game allowed and the Jets have lost three straight games in which they have been out-rushed. Historically the Jets have owned this series but Miami has actually covered in five of the last eight including winning outright in three of the last four trips to New York. These teams have very similar defensive numbers overall but Miami has been the far more productive offensive team. The Dolphins pass for 224 yards per game as Ryan Tannehill has looked like a future star and the Dolphins present great balance. Miami’s defense can be vulnerable against the pass but the Jets have a limited aerial attack with shaky QB play and a young inexperienced receiving corps. While this is not a great value play, the situation sets up well for Miami and the Dolphins simply look like the superior team talent wise given the current state of the Jets with all the injuries and Joe Philbin has quickly set a great tone for this team. The road team has covered in eight of the last 12 meetings between these AFC East rivals and Miami can make a case as a playoff contender with this win.

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report
4* Philadelphia -1 over Atlanta (NFL) Range: +1.5 to -3.5
3* New England -7 over St. Louis (NFL) Range: -5.5 to -9.5
3* N.Y. Giants -1 over Dallas (NFL) Range: +1.5 to -3
3* Detroit (Scherzer) -140 over San Francisco (Cain) Range: -125 to -165

[Mr. IWS]

National Sports Service
4* GREEN BAY -14 OVER JACKSONVILLE (NFL)
3* CHICAGO -9 OVER CAROLINA (NFL)
3* WASHINGTON +4.5 OVER PITTSBURGH (NFL)

[Mr. IWS]

TONY DONATO 100* NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
Carolina +7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Purelock - Eagles

[Mr. IWS]

ATS
5 ATL
3 GB
3 Chicago

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday October 28, 2012
$25.00*NFL Guaranteed Selection #1

#231 Philadelphia -3 +100 1PM Eastern

Line from CRIS

*Lines as of 305AM Eastern 10/28/12

[Mr. IWS]

SportsBook Breakers 5 Star Total of the Month

5-STAR Seattle and Detroit Over 42.5 - Much of the total in this games comes down to who you like and who you think can control the tempo of this game. In our case, we think its Detroit who is victorious. To do so, that means their passing game is going to get going here. Look for that to happen and for this one to head over.
Each offense here struggled in their last game as neither scored more than six points in their last game. Games are 21-7 OU since 1998 when both teams scored no more than 10 points last game and the total is at least 41 (points<=10 and opoints<=10 and total>=41 and H and season>=1998).

Seattle was a big dog last week as well, losing to San Francisco last week, 13-6. The Seahawks are 15-0 OU (9.1 ppg) since December 12, 1993 when not a 11+ point dog, after a divisional game where they were at least TD dogs (pIV and 7<=p:line and line<11 and team=Seahawks and 19931212<=date).

They covered that game with the late line of 7.5. The Seahawks are 14-0-2 OU (9.8 ppg) in database history in at least week 5 of the season after a non-Sunday game where they covered (p:ats margin>0 and p:day!=Sunday and week>=5 and team=Seahawks).

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: DETROIT 31, Seattle 20

[Mr. IWS]

red suit
lions/hawks over 42-

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence lts:
4* Philly-2.5
3* Arizona+7

[Mr. IWS]

VR 3* Max Bomb Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

David Chan
Kansas City, Over Denver

[Mr. IWS]

The Swami Site- The Source

7* Over Denver/ San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

VR

2* mia/nyj over 39

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday October 28, 2012
$25.00 NFL Guaranteed Selection #2

#231 Miami +2 1PM Eastern

Line from CRIS

Lines as of 305AM Eastern 10/28/12

[Mr. IWS]

Sports bank
500 denver

[Mr. IWS]

Millionaires club
jets
philadelphia