11-18-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Green Sheet


************************************************** ***************
NFL KEY SELECTIONS
RATING 5 NEW ENGLAND (-9½) over Indianapolis
RATING 4 CAROLINA (+1½) over Tampa Bay
RATING 3 OAKLAND (+4½) over New Orleans
RATING 2 NY JETS (+3½) over St. Louis
RATING 1 ARIZONA (+10) over Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc

Week 11

( Hot Games To Bet On = Atlanta -9.5, New England -9.5 and San Diego +8.5 )

Miami +1 - 5% Of Bankroll

Atlanta -9.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Jacksonville +15 - 5% Of Bankroll

Oakland +4.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

New England -9.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Carolina +1 - 5% Of Bankroll

N.Y. Jets +3.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

San Diego +8.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Pittsburgh +3.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Total Winning % Before Week 11 = +107.5%

GRAND TOTAL For Week 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 = + 107.5%
WEEK 10 ( 7-3 )
WEEK 9 ( 2-4 )
WEEK 8 ( 8-1 )
WEEK 7 ( 4-4 )
WEEK 6 ( 4-0 )
WEEK 5 ( 3-5 )
WEEK 4 ( 5-2 )
WEEK 3 ( 3-3 )
Grand Total ( 36 - 22 )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wildcat (NY POST)
15-5

last week 1-1

Packers - 3 1/2
Colts +9 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steele Trap
1-1 last week
12-8 for the yr

Pats - 9 1/2
Panthers + 1 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MS. Charleen
19-11 63%

Bills--winner Thursday Night
Lions + 3 1/2
Tampa - 1 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Blezow
2-8 Locks of the year-Saints -5

10-19 3 bb-saints/packers/bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 11
by Jason Logan

Each week, we break down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 11:

Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5, 44)

Cardinals’ blitz-happy defense vs. Falcons’ WR one-on-one dominance

Arizona defensive coordinator Ray Horton loves to unleash hell, blitzing nearly 40 percent of the time this season. It’s worked out pretty well for the Cardinals' stop unit, which ranks ninth in yards allowed. That chaotic brand of defense has forced nine interceptions, seven fumbles and sacked opposing QBs 27 times – third most in the NFC.

Bringing the pressure may bite Arizona in the butt versus the Falcons, though. They don’t call Atlanta’s QB “Matty Ice” because he sported a Rob Van Winkle flat-top as a kid. Ryan is has some of the best one-on-one options in the game in Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez and Julio Jones, who is expected to play Sunday, as well as a deadly dump-off in RB Jacquizz Rodgers. Cue the Hall & Oates.

Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5, 43.5)

Browns’ takeaways vs. Cowboys’ giveaways

After gift wrapping turnovers like a bakery at Christmas through the first eight weeks of the season, Dallas has toned down the giveaways in its last two games. The Cowboys, who lead the NFC with 13 interceptions and have fumbled away the ball six times, have not committed a turnover in the past two games. As long as Dallas isn’t choking itself out with these mistakes, it can be one of the better teams in the league.

However, the Cowboys might not want to relax against the Browns Sunday. Cleveland doesn’t do many things well, but it does have a nose for the football on defense, picking off 10 passes – tied for second in the AFC – and scooping up six fumbles this season. Corner Joe Haden is expected to play and will be assigned to Cowboys WR Dez Bryant. The Browns have five interceptions and two recovered fumbles (four forced) versus NFC East foes Philadelphia and New York already this season.

New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (+4.5, 54.5)

Dennis Allen’s familiarity vs. Joe Vitt’s inexperience

Raiders head coach Dennis Allen knows a little something about the Saints, serving as the team’s defensive backs coach from 2008 to 2010, including the Super Bowl run in 2009, under now-suspended Sean Payton. New Orleans had nothing but great things to say about Allen this week, tabbing the Oakland coach as a “sharp individual”.

If Allen is as sharp as they say – and he is – expect him to use all his inside info about the Saints’ schemes to help his team. Vitt, New Orleans interim head coach, has his squad on a roll after handing Atlanta its first loss of the year last weekend. However, Vitt isn’t reinventing the wheel in New Orleans and is likely using similar signs and calls when it comes to Peyton’s game plans. Expect Allen to pick up on a few familiar things before this one is over.

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-4, 39)

Bears’ returner Devin Hester vs. Niners’ poor kick coverage

Who needs a starting QB when you have Devin Hester returning kicks? Granted, the Bears' dynamic return man hasn’t been leaving would-be tacklers in the dust, slowed by injury this season, but we’re talking about the greatest returner in NFL history. And, we’re talking about Monday Night Football. Hester shines in the national spotlight, saving his biggest runs for the biggest stage.

San Francisco is drum tight on defense, ranking among the Top 10 in all major statistical categories. The one spot in which the Niners leak is on kick and punt returns. The 49ers are allowing foes to average 28.8 yards per kickoff return (second worst in the NFL) and 9.6 yards per punt return including a TD in Week 1. On top of those dismal numbers, San Francisco was psyched out by two fake punts against St. Louis last week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Prop Shop: Week 11's Best Prop Plays
by Sean Murphy

After a disappointing 1-3 showing last week, we're now 23-17 inside the Prop Shop this season. Time to get some of that back in Week 11. Here are four picks to click Sunday.

Most passing yards

Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) vs. Matthew Stafford (Detroit Lions)

Even with a depleted receiving corps, we'll see Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense shine coming out of the bye week.

Of course, that's not a stretch when you consider how banged-up the Lions are in the secondary. Just last week, they allowed a struggling Christian Ponder to throw for 221 yards and two touchdowns in a double-digit loss to the Vikings.

Matt Stafford has been piling up the passing yardage, but the Lions will have to do something to keep the Packers offense off the field Sunday. That means a healthy dose of their ground game.

Take: Rodgers

Mark Sanchez (New York Jets) vs. Sam Bradford (St. Louis Rams)

Mark Sanchez continues to take a lot of heat from the growing number of Jets critics. He hasn't responded well to adversity in the past and he's admittedly in a tough spot with an extremely weak supporting cast around him. This doesn't look like an ideal bounce-back spot against an aggressive and underrated Rams defense.

Sam Bradford has thrown for over 200 yards in four straight games and has his favorite target back in the fold in Danny Amendola. There's little reason to expect a slowdown from Bradford against a struggling Jets secondary.

Take: Bradford

Most rushing yards

LeSean McCoy (Philadelphia Eagles) vs. Alfred Morris (Washington Redskins)

With Michael Vick sidelined, you have to think that Andy Reid will finally give in and hand Shady McCoy a heavier workload. The explosive back is in excellent form, having gained 201 yards on only 35 carries over the last two weeks.

Redskins rookie RB Alfred Morris has been terrific at times this season but has sputtered lately, gaining only 135 yards on the ground over his last two games. The Eagles defense should come to play this week and I'm confident in their ability to bottle up Morris.

Take: McCoy

Most pass receptions

A.J. Green (Cincinnati Bengals) vs. Dwayne Bowe (Kansas City Chiefs)

The Chiefs offense is stuck in neutral and that has a lot to do with the ineffectiveness of QB Matt Cassel.

Dwayne Bowe has suffered as a result, catching four passes or less in three of his last four games. To make matters worse, he's been limited in practice due to a thigh injury, so I'm not counting on a breakout performance Sunday.

A.J. Green continues to be a steady contributor in the Bengals offense, hauling in at least seven catches in six of nine games this season. He has 27 catches in four road games and should continue his assault at Arrowhead Stadium this week.

Take: Green

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 11

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 11's action.

Philadelphia at Washington (-3.5, 43.5)

Philadelphia suffered its fifth straight defeat with Sunday's 38-23 loss to Dallas and now limps into Washington on Sunday without the services of QB Michael Vick (concussion), according to multiple reports. Nick Foles will get the nod after completing 22 of 32 pass attempts for 219 yards with a touchdown and an interception in relief of Vick last week. Redskins feature back Alfred Morris, who is seventh in the league with 793 rushing yards, will look to exploit an Eagles defense which is allowing 4.5 yards per carry during the team's losing skid. Philadelphia has played under the total in its last six road games.

Green Bay at Detroit (3.5, 51.5)

The Packers look for their fifth consecutive win when they visit Detroit on Sunday. Green Bay has owned Detroit, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings. Aaron Rodgers has caught fire, throwing for 15 touchdowns and just one interception over the last four games. But the Pack will be without team sack leader Clay Matthews, who has been ruled out with a hamstring injury. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in Detroit.

Arizona at Atlanta (-9.5, 44)

Atlanta was the last NFL team clinging to perfection until a 31-27 loss at New Orleans last week while the Cardinals are coming off a much-needed bye week after losing five straight. Five of Arizona's nine games (three wins, two losses) have been decided by seven points or fewer, while the Falcons are 5-1 in such games. John Skelton is expected to make another start at QB for the Cards as Kevin Kolb will miss his fourth straight game with rib and shoulder injuries. The Arizona defense ranks second in the league against the pass, which should give the Cardinals a fighting chance against the Falcons' high-flying offense. These teams have played over the total in their last four meetings.

Tampa Bay at Carolina (1, 49)

The Buccaneers have won four of their past five games to surge back into the NFC playoff picture. Tampa Bay's unexpectedly explosive offense has put up 28 or more points in five straight games, thanks to the emergence of RB Doug Martin. The rookie is the only player in the NFL with over 800 rushing yards and 200 receiving yards. Tampa Bay's first four games were decided by a touchdown or less, but its past five have featured an average margin of 14.8 points. The Bucs have played over the total in their last six overall.

Cleveland at Dallas (-9.5, 43.5)

The Cowboys haven't registered back-to-back victories since a four-game winning streak in November 2011, but they have a golden chance against the Browns, who are trying to avoid a franchise-record 12th consecutive road loss. Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray (foot) is expected to miss his fifth straight game, putting Felix Jones in line for another start. Browns CB Joe Haden (oblique) missed practice Thursday and is a game-time decision for Sunday’s contest. Dallas is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games.

New York Jets at St. Louis (-3.5, 38.5)

New York is averaging fewer than 200 passing yards and has been held to 10 points or fewer in four of its six losses. Mark Sanchez has thrown nearly as many interceptions (nine) as touchdowns (10) and went just 9-of-22 for 124 yards and a pick in the 28-7 loss at Seattle last week. Steven Jackson, who rushed over 100 yards last week in San Francisco, could have a big day against a New York defense that ranks 30th against the run. These teams have played over the total in four of their last five meetings.

Jacksonville at Houston (-15, 40.5)

The Texans have rebounded from their only loss of the season with a vengeance, winning three straight while allowing just one touchdown and outscoring their opponents 77-28. Since defeating the Indianapolis Colts in Week 3, Jacksonville has given its fans little to cheer about, going 0-6 while scoring more than 15 points only once. Houston prevailed 27-7 in Week 2 against the Jags, who gained a franchise-low 117 yards in the loss. But surprisingly, Jacksonville is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games.

Cincinnati at Kansas City (3.5, 43.5)

The quarterback carrousel continues for the Chiefs, who are forced to play Matt Cassel for a third straight game while Brady Quinn recovers from a concussion. The Chiefs can’t score regardless of who is under center (16.2 ppg – 30th) and compound the issue by having the worst turnover differential in the league (-20). The only good news from Monday's loss to the Steelers was that Kansas City held a lead in regulation for the first time – ending the league’s longest streak of futility since 1929. The Bengals are coming off a big victory against the defending Super Bowl-champion New York Giants last week but have a few injury issues on defense. Standout rookie free agent LB Vontaze Burfict, who is second on the team with 62 tackles, is questionable due to an elbow injury. CB Nate Clements (knee) and S Reggie Nelson (hamstring) are also questionable.

New Orleans at Oakland (4.5, 54.5)

The Saints’ offense could be in for another big day Sunday when it visits Oakland. Drew Brees has owned the Raiders, passing for 1,248 yards, 13 TDs and no interceptions in his last six games against Oakland – all wins. The Raiders’ stop unit has surrendered 97 points over the last two weeks and is now allowing a league-worst 31.6 points per game. Running backs Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson are both dealing with high ankle sprains and are questionable. The Saints have won 13 straight November games and have covered in five of their last six overall.

San Diego at Denver (-8.5, 48.5)

The Broncos posted one of the greatest comebacks in NFL history when they rallied from a 24-point halftime deficit to defeat the Chargers 35-24 at San Diego earlier in the season. The Chargers turned the ball over six times in the game, five of those coming in the second half. With Peyton Manning back in Pro Bowl form, Denver has won four straight and could put a stranglehold on the division title if it makes it five in row on Sunday. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

Indianapolis at New England (-9.5, 54.5)

The Colts are 5-1 since head coach Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia as his situation has galvanized the team. However, Indianapolis does have a few key injuries to deal with this week. Linebacker Dwight Freeney has been less than 100 percent for most of the season and the Colts placed CB Jerraud Powers on IR earlier in this week. While the Patriots continue to score with ease, leading the NFL in scoring average at 33.2 points, the defense ranks 29th against the pass and 25th overall. The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, while the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (3.5, 40)

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger was knocked out of Monday’s overtime win against Kansas City with a shoulder injury and has been ruled out against the Ravens. Veteran signal-caller Byron Leftwich, who hasn’t started a game since 2009, has been named Big Ben's replacement. While Roethlisberger’s absence will help the Ravens’ defense, Joe Flacco will still have to go up against the best secondary in the league. Baltimore dominated the Raiders last Sunday in a 55-20 victory, scoring three touchdowns in the passing game, two in the running game and two on special teams. The under is 7-0 in Pittsburgh’s last seven home games.

Chicago at San Francisco (OFF)

Off-field news has dominated the headlines leading up to this Monday night clash. Quarterbacks Alex Smith and Jay Cutler were each knocked out of their respective games last week with concussions and on Thursday news broke that 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh was undergoing a minor procedure for an irregular heartbeat. Sportsbooks have been keeping their lines off the board, waiting for an update on the extent of the injuries to both starting QBs before making a decision. Cutler was officially ruled out of action by the team Friday afternoon, which means Jason Campbell will be under center. San Francisco and Chicago rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed with 14.1 and 14.8, respectively. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks

Toronto at Montreal

The Argonauts look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Toronto is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+5 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (11/17)


Game 491-492: Toronto at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 114.464; Montreal 114.449
Dunkel Line: Even; 60
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+5 1/2); Over


Game 493-494: Calgary at BC (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 118.746; BC 125.650
Dunkel Line: BC by 7; 47
Vegas Line: BC by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 11 Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS: 0-1 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-1 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 83-55 (.601)
ATS: 64-80 (.444)
ATS Vary Units: 292-463 (.387)
Over/Under: 77-66 (.538)
Over/Under Vary Units: 309-232 (.571)

Sunday, November 18, 2012
ATLANTA 26, Arizona 12
DALLAS 24, Cleveland 14
Green Bay 30, DETROIT 29
Cincinnati 23, KANSAS CITY 17
ST. LOUIS 21, N.Y. Jets 19
WASHINGTON 25, Philadelphia 22
Tampa Bay 30, CAROLINA 25
HOUSTON 34, Jacksonville 6
New Orleans 41, OAKLAND 30
DENVER 34, San Diego 18
NEW ENGLAND 30, Indianapolis 20
PITTSBURGH 21, Baltimore 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 21

Sunday, November 18

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TORONTO (10 - 9) at MONTREAL (11 - 7) - 11/18/2012, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (13 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (13 - 5) - 11/18/2012, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-5 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-4 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Write-Up

Week 21

Conference finals, CFL playoffs
Keep in mind the two home teams here had a bye last weekend.......

Toronto (10-9) @ Montreal (11-7)-- Toronto scored 31-43-42 points in winning last three games to get here; Argonauts lost two of three vs Montreal this year, upsetting Als 23-20 (+4) here in Week 5, then losing 31-10 (+3.5) in Week 13, 27-12 (+2.5) at home three weeks after that. Argos covered six of their last seven road games; they are 6-2 in last eight games as an underdog. Montreal is 7-2 at home this year, 4-5 vs spread as a home favorite- they got upset here in first playoff game LY- they're 0-6 this year when scoring less than 27 points. Last four Toronto games went over the total; six of last eight Alouette games stayed under.

Calgary (13-6) @ British Columbia (13-5)-- Stampeders won last five games- they're 5-2 in last seven road games, 5-1 vs spread as underdog- they lost two of three against BC this year, losing 34-8 (-2.5) at home in Week 5, 27-22 (+4.5) here in Week 15, then they pounded Lions 41-20 (-3.5) at home three weeks ago. Defending champion Lions won last six home games, covering five; BC is only team left in playoffs that won game in LY's playoffs, but Stamps are playing best ball of season now. Obviously it helps Montreal/BC to have had last week off to regroup. Seven of last eight Calgary games went over the total; under is 4-2-1 in last seven Lion games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 21

Trend Report

1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Toronto is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:30 PM
CALGARY vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hilton Contest Picks
Stl 308

gb 276

tb 231

pit 224

cle 209

no 194

cin 192

sf 187

car 139

ind 160

sd 130

oak 119

ne 117

ari 116

bal 116

was 116

den 110

det 104

phi 88

jax 86

dal 79

kc 61

buf 60

atl 52

chi 50

nyj 48

hou 41

mia 37

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hilton Contest Picks by the Leaders

KURLY - W33 L15 T2 LW 4-1
Week 11 Picks: GB CLE JAX OAK DEN

THERE WILL BE BLOOD - W33 L16 T1 LW 2-3
Week 11 Picks: GB TB DAL NO PIT

CARDIFF GIANT - W33 L16 T1 LW 3-2
Week 11 Picks: PHI CAR CLE JAX SD

MALU MAN - W32 L17 T1 LW 4-1
Week 11 Picks: GB ARI CIN NO SF

SULLY SPORTS - W32 L17 T1 LW 4-1
Week 11 Picks: DET ARI CLE OAK SD

MIKE BOYD #1 - W32 L17 T1 LW 2-3
Week 11 Picks: GB CLE NE OAK SF

JAY STONES - W32 L17 T1 LW 3-2
Week 11 Picks: DET CLE CIN PIT SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Weather Watch: Chance of Rain in Oakland

Find out if weather will impact your wagers in Week 10 of the NFL season:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (1, 48)

Site: Bank of America Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the NNE at 11 mph.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (3.5, 43.5)

Site: Arrowhead Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 13 mph.

New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (4.5, 54.5)

Site: O.co Coliseum

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with a 40 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 6 mph.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Canadian Bacon: Stamps' Tate out for season

And then there were four. The battle for football supremacy north of the border rages on this Sunday as the Montreal Alouettes host the Toronto Argonauts in the Eastern Final, while the Calgary Stampeders travel to B.C. for a date with the Lions in the West finale.

Toronto at Montreal (-5, 55)

The Argonauts posted 31 second-quarter points to jump out to an early lead and cruise past Edmonton last week for the right to square off with the Alouettes. Quarterback Ricky Ray had lost twice to his former club during the regular season before connecting on 23 of his 30 passes for 239 yards and a pair of touchdowns. The veteran QB has guided the Argos to a 4-0 record O/U in their last four contests overall.

Montreal took two of three from Toronto during the regular season, although Ray was absent for the majority of the second meeting and the entire third contest due to injury. Als QB Anthony Calvillo is shooting for his fourth Grey Cup title and logged his second consecutive 5,000-yard passing campaign and seventh of his legendary career. Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last five division final games, while Toronto is 0-4 ATS in its last five Eastern Final games.

Calgary at B.C. (-6.5, 51)

The Stampeders needed some late-game heroics from QB Drew Tate to sneak by the Roughriders last Sunday and earn a date with the CFL-best Lions. Drew Tate threw for 363 yards and two touchdowns, including a 68-yard strike to Romby Bryant late in the fourth quarter to put the nail in the coffin. But the victory came at a cost. Tate took several huge hits throughout the contest and it was later revealed he played with a fractured right arm. The Iowa product is done for the season, but the Stamps have a more than capable backup. Kevin Glenn, who was benched for last week's game in favor of Tate despite having played in 15 games this season, has 12 years of CFL experience and will answer the bell. Calgary is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five playoff games, but has covered in eight of its last nine trips to B.C.

The Lions are the defending Grey Cup champs and have had a week to lick their wounds and get ready for Calgary. B.C. took two of three regular season meetings from the Stamps, but Calgary came away with a 41-21 victory in the most recent clash in late October. Lions QB Travis Lulay doesn’t have a ton of playoff experience, but he’s been effective in limited action. The pivot has eight TD’s (six passing, two rushing) and 1,080 yards in his three playoff appearances. The over is 5-0 in the Lions' last five playoff games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Colts at Patriots: What Bettors Need to Know

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-9.5, 54.5)

Winners of four straight, the Indianapolis Colts take a step up in competition when they visit Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in a marquee matchup on Sunday. Led by rookie Andrew Luck and inspired by their coach Chuck Pagano, who is battling leukemia, the Colts have surprisingly become a legitimate playoff contender.

The Patriots continue to roll on offense. Tom Brady has thrown at least one touchdown pass in his last 41 games and New England has added a potent ground game ranked fourth in the NFL. But the Patriots continue to struggle on defense, leaving the door open for some anxious moments late in games.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Patriots -9.5, O/U 54.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s under sunny skies. Wind won’t be a factor.

ABOUT THE COLTS (6-3): All four of Indianapolis’ victories in its current winning streak have come against teams who currently sport sub-.500 records. The Colts are 5-1 since Pagano was diagnosed with leukemia as his situation has galvanized the team. The players and even a cheerleader have shaved their heads in support of the coach. Luck has rushed for five scores and thrown 10 TD passes for the NFL’s fifth-ranked offense. The favorite for NFL Rookie of the Year admits to being a longtime fan of Brady and is eager for his chance in one of the league’s top rivalries. Indianapolis does have several injuries. Linebacker Dwight Freeney has been less than 100 percent for most of the season and the Colts placed CB Jerraud Powers on IR earlier in the week.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (6-3): New England has won the past two games in the series but it is going to have to straighten out things on defense. While the Patriots continue to score with ease, leading the NFL in scoring by averaging 33.2 points., the defense ranks 29th against the pass and 25th overall. Last week, lowly Buffalo scored 31 points and had the ball in the final minute looking to pull off the upset before Devin McCourty picked off a pass by Ryan Fitzpatrick in the end zone. Still, New England has won three straight overall and is in firm control of first place in the AFC East Division.

TRENDS:

* Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Colts’ last four games overall.
* Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in New England.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brady needs two TD passes to reach 20 for the 10th time in his career.

2. Pats tight end Aaron Hernandez was scratched from last week’s game and is questionable with a nagging ankle injury.

3. DB Robert Mathis is expected to play after missing the past two games for the Colts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Packers at Lions: What Bettors Need to Know

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (3, 52)

The Green Bay Packers entered their bye as one of the league's hottest teams and came out of it having inched closer to the NFC North-leading Chicago Bears. The Packers will look to ride the momentum as they seek their fifth consecutive win against the host Detroit Lions on Sunday. Aaron Rodgers set an absurdly high standard in piloting Green Bay to a 15-1 mark in 2011-12, but his stellar play during the winning streak has mirrored that of his MVP season. A loss could deliver a fatal blow to the postseason hopes of the Lions, who are in the cellar of the only division that features three teams at least two games over .500. The Packers have also owned Detroit, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Packers -3, O/U 52.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (6-3): Rodgers has thrown for 15 touchdowns and one interception in the last four games despite missing his favorite two targets in the latter two. James Jones and second-year standout Randall Cobb have elevated their games in the absences of injured wideouts Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings, who combined for 24 scores last season. Jones is tied for second in the league with eight TD receptions and Cobb has five scores in the last three games. Cobb also contributed to a rushing attack that produced a season-high 176 yards in a 31-17 win over Arizona prior to the bye. Linebacker Clay Matthews, who leads the team with nine sacks, has been ruled out with a hamstring injury.

ABOUT THE LIONS (4-5): Detroit continued a troubling season-long trend of falling behind early and having to play catch-up in last week's 34-24 loss in Minnesota that halted a two-game winning streak. Matthew Stafford threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, but each score came after the Lions fell into a 16-3 hole early in the third quarter. Calvin Johnson, who has been bothered by a sore knee, came to life with 11 receptions for 207 yards and a touchdown but has only found the end zone twice after finishing second in the NFL with 16 TD receptions last season. A string of early deficits has contributed to the dramatic inconsistency in the running game, which managed a meager 60 yards against the Vikings after amassing 149 yards and four TDs the previous week.

TRENDS:

* Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. NFC North.
* Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Packers’ last six games overall.
* Over is 8-2-1 in Lions’ last 11 games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Rodgers is the first quarterback in league history to throw 25 TD passes in the first nine games in back-to-back seasons.

2. Johnson had a career-high 244 yards and a TD on 11 catches in a 45-41 loss at Green Bay on Jan. 1, a game Rodgers sat out.

3. The Lions play five of their last seven at home but they have to face conference leaders Houston (8-1) and Atlanta (8-1) along with Chicago (7-2). They also play at Green Bay next month.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ford EcoBoost 400 Picks to Win

Race: Ford EcoBoost 400
Date: Sunday November 18, 2012
Track: Homestead-Miami Speedway
Time: 2 pm ET
TV: ESPN
by Virginia Vroom, NASCAR Handicapper

If you are not a fan of NASCAR and you just happened to flip to the race this past Sunday, you may have thought that the programming had been interrupted for WWE coverage. Talk about a brawl! That was probably the best race that I have ever seen. Between the on and off-track issues between Jeff Gordon and Clint Bowyer to the end of the race where NASCAR didn't throw a caution despite a third of the track being covered in oil, the race sure didn't disappoint. Now, if you are paying attention to the points at all, then you very well know that Jimmie Johnson lost the lead once again to Brad Keselowski. Johnson suffered a huge loss when he had a tire go down and hit the wall, putting him back to 33rd position and giving Keselowski one heck of a cushion. The only other competitor was Clint Bowyer, who happened to be 3rd in points coming into the race. There has been some bad blood in the past between Jeff Gordon and Bowyer, but rarely has there ever been an instance where Gordon decides to retaliate. Apparently, he thought that killing any shimmer of a championship hope that Bowyer had was the way to go about it by wrecking himself, Bowyer, Logano and a couple of other drivers towards the end of the race. Heavy penalties and fines ensued, but I am honestly surprised that they didn't park Gordon for Homestead.

Speaking of Miami, that is where we are headed this weekend! This is going to be one heck of a race. Despite the fact that Johnson is going to need a miracle, his only shot is to go for a win, so you better believe that he's going to pull every hat trick that he knows. Homestead-Miami is a good track for him to do that at, but he's going to have to keep his eyes on Keselowksi because these intermediate tracks are nothing to sneeze at for our points leader either. He's got a good record at these 1.5-mile tracks. Homestead is a true over, with 18-20 degree variable banking through the turns and 4 degrees on the straights. The front and backstretch both boast 1760 feet.

This track is one where track position means a lot. These guys really aren't going to have too many demons other than themselves though. Being that this is the last race of the season, every single driver on that track is going to go for the win. Whether that means pushing people out of the way, using some ridiculous pit strategy that no one's ever seen, or by risking fuel mileage remains to be seen, but I can almost guarantee that we are going to see some craziness on the track.

When we take a look at the past winners here, we can see that this is very much a Ford track, much to the Chevy-driving and Dodge-driving chagrin of Johnson and Keselowski, respectively. With the exception of Tony Stewart, the last 6 races have been won by a Ford car including drivers Carl Edwards, Matt Kenseth, and Greg Biffle. Tony Stewart is your defending champion here. This weekend, I think that we are going to see a Chevy or Dodge in victory lane, though. I really think that Keselowski or Johnson is going to take the win. Neither driver has a win, but with so much at stake, these guys are definitely going to give it their everything. In my opinion, I think that we are going to see Johnson in victory lane. I do not think that he will be champion as Keselowski should still have a strong run, but Johnson's experience is going to overrun Keselowski this time. Here's the rundown of your potential winners this weekend:

Winner: Jimmie Johnson

Middle of the Road Pick: Kurt Busch

Dark Horse Pick: Marcos Ambrose

Kurt Busch has proven that he's got the skills to take a mediocre car to the front. Should he manage to stay out of trouble, then he's bound to be in contention by pure skill. Marcos Ambrose is also one to watch. He consistently gets his nose in the top 10 week in and week out, but just needs to stay there towards the end. Look for him to end the season on a strong note.

As I previously stated, I really don't think that Johnson will win the championship. I guess stranger things have happened, but he truly needs a miracle. That being said, here's a look at your current top 12 as they stand as we head into the final race of 2012:

1. Brad Keselowski
2. Jimmie Johnson
3. Kasey Kahne
4. Clint Bowyer
5. Denny Hamlin
6. Matt Kenseth
7. Greg Biffle
8. Kevin Harvick
9. Tony Stewart
10. Martin Truex Jr.
11. Jeff Gordon
12. Dale Earnhardt Jr.

It is with great sadness that I bid this season farewell. I can't believe that we will have to wait over 100 days for the Daytona 500. Hang tough, NASCAR fans! I'm glad you joined us for the season, and I can't wait for another awesome year of racing in 2013!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/18/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 330-100 (.767)
ATS: 121-122 (.498)
ATS Vary Units: 481-573 (.456)
Over/Under: 27-24 (.529)
Over/Under Vary Units: 46-32 (.590)

2012 CvC Classic
Subregional Round at Oakland City IN
Western Illinois 56, Yale 55

2K Sports Classic
Subregional Round at Hempstead, NY
Marshall 74, HOFSTRA 69

Subregional Round at Niagara Falls, NY
New Mexico State 83, NIAGARA 71

Barclays Center Classic
Round Robin at Morehead, KY
MOREHEAD STATE 73, Lafayette 63

Battle 4 Atlantis
Opening Round at Durham, NC
DUKE 85, Florida Gulf Coast 64

CBE Hall of Fame Classic
Subregional Round at Chattanooga, TN
Louisiana Tech 78, Troy 69
Southeast Missouri 73, CHATTANOOGA 70

Charleston Classic
at TD Arena, Charleston, SC
College of Charleston 68, Boston College 67
Baylor 77, St. John's 67
Dayton 65, AUBURN 64

Championship
Colorado vs. Murray State: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Comfort Suites Invitational
Round Robin at Richmond, KY
EASTERN KENTUCKY 71, Radford 63
Towson 68, Kennesaw State 62

Continental Tire Las Vegas Invitational
at campus sites
ARIZONA STATE 74, Florida A&M 60
ARKANSAS 92, Longwood 69
CREIGHTON 80, Presbyterian 56
WISCONSIN 73, Cornell 46

EA SPORTS Maui Invitational
Regional Round at Elon, NC
Colgate 75, Coppin State 74
ELON 75, Florida Atlantic 69

Florida Global Sports Tournament
Round Robin at Orlando, FL
UCF 64, Savannah State 52

Round Robin at Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa, FL
Florida 74, Middle Tennessee 61

George Gervin "Ice Man" Classic
Round Robin at Ypsilanti, MI
EASTERN MICHIGAN 66, Texas-Pan American 48
Fort Wayne 69, Eastern Illinois 64

Global Sports Classic
at campus sites
CINCINNATI 84, North Carolina A&T 48
IOWA STATE 88, Campbell 62

Joe Cipriano Nebraska Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
NEBRASKA 79, Omaha 53
TULANE 76, Chicago State 57
Valparaiso vs. KENT STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame Tipoff
Final Round at Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
Loyola (Md.) 69, Albany 63
Norfolk State 73, Kansas City 63
Ohio State 77, Washington 68
Seton Hall 72, Rhode Island 64

Nation of Coaches Classic
Round Robin at Athens, OH
OHIO 74, Wofford 54

NUCDF Basketball Challenge
Round Robin at San Diego, CA
Cal State Northridge 83, Northern Kentucky 65
SAN DIEGO 66, Siena 62

Puerto Rico Tip-Off
at Coliseo de Puerto Rico, San Juan, PR
Akron 66, Penn State 64
Massachusetts 74, Tennessee 73
Providence 75, UNC Asheville 73

Championship
NC State 75, Oklahoma State 65

South Padre Invitational
at campus sites
ILLINOIS STATE 82, Delaware State 59
NORTHWESTERN 86, Fairleigh Dickinson 55
TCU 79, Prairie View A&M 60
UAB 69, Navy 47

Spartan Showcase
Round Robin at campus sites
BOISE STATE 75, UL Lafayette 64
MICHIGAN STATE 79, Texas Southern 44

U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam
Championship Semifinals at UVI Sports & Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, USVI
Connecticut 75, Quinnipiac 62
New Mexico 71, George Mason 60

USF Tournament
Round Robin at Tampa, FL
Loyola (Chicago) 66, Umes 52
SOUTH FLORIDA 67, Western Michigan 49

World Vision Classic
Round Robin at Reno, NV
Green Bay vs. Cal State Fullerton: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NEVADA 78, Southern Utah 63

Non-Conference
GONZAGA 92, South Dakota 62
KANSAS STATE 78, North Florida 58
LA SALLE 79, Central Connecticut State 64
LOUISVILLE 74, Miami (Ohio) 46
MINNESOTA 72, Richmond 59
MONTANA STATE 73, Portland 70
Njit 74, SOUTH CAROLINA STATE 69
SAINT MARY'S 88, Eastern Washington 64
Saint Peter's 63, BINGHAMTON 55
STANFORD 77, Belmont 71
STONY BROOK 72, Sacred Heart 56
SYRACUSE 81, Wagner 54
UC DAVIS 75, Northern Arizona 65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/18/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 87-46 (.654)
ATS: 59-73 (.447)
ATS Vary Units: 220-224 (.495)
Over/Under: 72-62 (.537)
Over/Under Vary Units: 153-121 (.558)

NEW YORK 100, Indiana 91
TORONTO 93, Orlando 91
PHILADELPHIA 100, Cleveland 85
SACRAMENTO 103, Brooklyn 100
OKLAHOMA CITY 110, Golden State 96
Boston 93, DETROIT 88
Chicago 95, PORTLAND 92
L.A. LAKERS 103, Houston 97

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with USC Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Patriots. The deficit is 1423 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 939-695 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free play Sun Over 43 Phil/Wash NFL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Knicks -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ Free Play

Portland +1 over Chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Glodberg (ESPN)

Chargers
Steelers
Packers
Patriots
TB Bucs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NFL CINCINNATI at KANSAS CITY

Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, after the first month of the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

NFL PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON

Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) off an upset loss as a home favorite, in the second half of the season
89-86 since 1997. ( 50.9% 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

NFL INDIANAPOLIS at NEW ENGLAND

Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (INDIANAPOLIS) after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB OKLAHOMA ST at NC STATE

Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NC STATE) good foul drawing team - attempting >=25 free throws/game, excellent defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=35% on the season
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

CBB ST JOHNS at BAYLOR

Play Against - Any team (ST JOHNS) excellent defensive team (<=40%) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
309-370 over the last 5 seasons. ( 45.5% 25.8 units )

CBB W MICHIGAN at S FLORIDA

Play On - Road underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (W MICHIGAN) excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at OKLAHOMA CITY

Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, first half of the season
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

NBA CLEVELAND at PHILADELPHIA

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential)
232-55 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.8% 85.0 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% 0.4 units )

NBA CLEVELAND at PHILADELPHIA

Play On - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (PHILADELPHIA) after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
93-48 since 1997. ( 66.0% 40.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Over 192.5 Nets/Kings

100* Over 55 Saints/Raiders

50* Texans -16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLPredictions
Kevin

8-1 last 2 weeks in the NFL

2 UNIT 6-Point Teaser = DOLPHINS +7.5 and BRONCOS -1.5 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2.00 units)


--Notes: I bet this at Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308).eu (you click on the dropdown menu that says "straight" and select teaser). At 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229).eu teasers can be found along the left hand side and because of how 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) has this shaded you will need to most likely click 6.5 point teaser "ties win" and not "ties reduce". If you don't understand just email me with any questions.


Because this is a Thursday night game I will give out the Miami write up right now, and then the Broncos write up with the other write ups tomorrow or Friday. The Dolphins enter Thursday's game with a 4-5 record and 2-3 record on the road. They've lost two straight after winning three straight, with their latest a brutal 37-3 loss to the Titans. Their last game wasn't who the Dolphins have been this year, as neither their offense or defense showed up. The Dolphins had allowed 24 or fewer points against in all 8 games before Sunday. Buffalo enters the game 3-6 and 1-2 at home. They've lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games. Although they covered the spread in New England, the Bills have been playing poor football, allowing 21+ points against in 5 of their last 6 and 35+ points against in 4 of those games. Offensively the Bills rank higher than the Dolphins, but Buffalo is 31st in the league defensively allowing 410 yards against per game and last in the NFL allowing 31.7 points against per game (11 more papg than Miami is allowing). The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs divisional opponents and beat the Bills both times they met last season. The Dolphins are also 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. Buffalo is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs divisional opponents. Over the last few years the Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in these two teams last 8 meetings. Thursday should be a close game, and the Dolphins have a good shot at pulling off an upset. Take them in the first leg of the teaser getting 7.5.


2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons - FALCONS -9.5 (-101)
(Note: I'm risking 2.02 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys - BROWNS +8 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans - TEXANS -15 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)


2 UNIT = New Orleans Saints @ Oakland Raiders - SAINTS -4.5 (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.12 units to win 2.00 units)

2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons - FALCONS -9.5 (-101)
(Note: I'm risking 2.02 units to win 2.00 units)
The Arizona Cardinals are coming off a bye, but had lost 5 straight games heading into their bye week. They are 4-5 overall and just1-3 on the road. Over their last 5 games the Cardinals have scored just 53 points(10.6 points per game). The Falcons are 8-1 and coming off their first loss of the season, a 31-27 loss in New Orleans. Atlanta is perfect at home, with wins over Denver, Carolina, Oakland and Dallas. They are 6-3 ATS overall and 2-2 ATS at home. Although the Cardinals have a much higher ranked defensive in yards against, they are side by side allowing 19.2 and 19.3 points against per game. Their offenses are on different levels though, as the Falcons are ranked 6th overall and are scoring 27.4 points per game. The Cardinals are ranked 31st overall and are scoring just 16 points per game. QB John Skelton will get another start for the Cardinals and he is 33rd in the league with a 65.8 QB Rating, as he has thrown just 2 TDs and 5 INTs. Falcons QB Matt Ryan has been one of the most effective in the league completing 68.4% of his passes with 20 TDs , 7 INTs, and a 102.6 QB Rating. Note that the Cardinals are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons rebound from a loss well going 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss. They are also 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 vs a team with a losing record. Head to head the Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Arizona struggles on the road going 3-9 over the past two seasons away from home, and they have a very tough task this week. Given that they can't put together much offensively I don't see the Cardinals keeping this one close. The play is on Atlanta here.

2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Dallas Cowboys - BROWNS +8 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units)
Cleveland goes into Dallas after a bye week looking to improve on their 2-7 record. Dallas is coming off a big win in Philadelphia and improved to 4-5 on the year. They are just 1-2 at home this season, while the Browns are winless on the road. All of a sudden it seems as if the Cowboys are getting a bunch of respect even though they were 1-4 over their last 5 games heading into Philadelphia, and knocked off a team that had won 3 games all season by a combined 4 points. The Cowboys rank much higher defensively than the Browns, but are giving up less than 1 point fewer per game. The Cowboys also rank a lot higher offensively but are averaging just 20.9 ppg compared to the Browns at 18.8 ppg. Advantage at the QB spot clearly goes to Tony Romo, although he has thrown just 12 TDs compared to 13 INTs this season. We are making this play because of the position the Cowboys are in. This is a good spot for a let down game after they went into Philadelphia and beat one of their division rvials, and now come home to host a 2-7 AFC team. Dallas also has a Thursday Thanksgiving home game just 4 days after this one against the Redskins that will be in the back of their minds. Cleveland also had an extra week of prep time with the bye week. Note that Dallas is just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a losing record, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Browns are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 8-2-1 ATS in their lat 11 games following a straight up loss. Yes the Cowboys are the better team and are at home, but they haven't had much of a home field advantage and this is a tough spot for them. I like the Browns to come into Dallas Sunday and keep it close.

2 UNIT = Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans - TEXANS -15 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
I will rarely play any spread over 2 touchdowns, but I think we have a good spot to take Houston this week. The Texans enter this game 8-1 (4-1 at home) while the Jaguars are 1-8 on the year (1-3 on the road). Jacksonville has lost 6 straight games in which they have scored more than 15 points just once. Included in those games was last week's Thursday Night'er where they lost 27-10 at home, and looked absolutely awful. The Houston Texans beat Chicago last Sunday night 13-6 as 1 point underdogs, and have now won three straight. Houston has the league's 2nd ranked defense, and they are avering jsut 15.9 points against per game. Jacksonville's D is ranked 27th and are allowing 27.3 points against per game. Houston is ranked 14th offensively, but they are near the top of the league scoring 27.8 ppg. The Jaguars are 32nd in the NFL offensively and are scoring a league worse 14.1 ppg. Their only hope on offense is Maurice Jones-Drew, but he will miss his 4th straight game on Sunday. Note that the Jags are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a winning record. The Texans are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 19-7-2 in their last 29 games overall. Take note that 4 of Houston's 8 victories have come by at least 15 points, while 5 of Jacksonville's 8 losses have been by atleast 15 points. These two teams met in Jacksonville in Week 2 with the Texans winning by 20 points. I think Jacksonville will be lucky to score 10 points on Sunday, and the Texans will cover this big spread.

2 UNIT = New Orleans Saints @ Oakland Raiders - SAINTS -4.5 (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.12 units to win 2.00 units)
I'm big on New Orleans right now and for good reasons. The Saints have won their last two games over Atlanta and Philadelphia, and have won 4 of 5 overall to improve to 4-5 on the season. The Raiders have dropped two straight, including last week's 55-20 loss in Baltimore. Oakland is just 3-6 this year and 2-2 at home, with two of their three victories coming against Kansas City and Jacksonville (both 1 win teams). This one looks to be a high scoring game, as New Orleans' defense is ranked 32nd while the Raiders are ranked 23rd defensively. The Saints are allowing less points against per game at 28.4 compared to the Raiders who are giving up a league worst 31.6 papg. New Orleans' offense is ranked 4th and are averaging 27.7 ppg, while the Raiders are 12th and averaging 21.2 ppg. QB Drew Brees has thrown 25 TDs and 9 INTs this season for a 97.3 QB Rating, while Carson Palmer has thrown 15 TDs, 9 INTs and has a 86.8 QB Rating. Although Drew Brees prefers playing in a dome, he should be fine in a warm weather outdoor stadium. The saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a losing record. The Raiders are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Saints have a ton of momentum heading into this one after knocking off the 8-0 Falcons last week, and they still have playoffs on their minds. The Raiders always play tough at home, but this team doesn't have enough to keep up with the Saints. I like New Orleans to win by a touchdown.
Let's keep it going, Kevin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks November 18, 2012 6:00 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Philadelphia Eagles +3½

Detroit Lions +3½

Arizona Cardinals +10

Carolina Panthers +1½

Indianapolis Colts +9½

Jacksonville Jaguars +15

Oakland Raiders +5

Denver Broncos -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Weekend wagers with Weekend Warrior November 18, 2012 6:00 AM by GT Staff

NCAA Basketball

Gonzaga -32

Connecticut -10

Louisville -23½

NFL Football

Cleveland Browns +7½

Pittsburgh Steelers +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Play of the Day November 18, 2012 6:00 AM by GT Staff

South Dakota +32 at Gonzaga

The Zags are looking awesome early and hardly ever lose at home. South Dakota won’t enjoy the trip to Spokane.

GONZAGA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe

Sunday, Nov. 18

Eagles (+1½) at Redskins (NT):- Rookie QB Nick Foles is expected to get his first start as Michael Vick was concussed in Philly’s loss to Dallas. Both teams have struggled on defense but Washington has a huge edge on offense in the rushing game. The Redskins are fresher, healthier and facing an Eagles team that is just 1-7-1 ATS. REDSKINS.

Packers -3½ at Lions (51½): The Packers still have some injury concerns on offense but QB Aaron Rodgers is not among them. They have overcome a sluggish start to the season and over the past month have looked like the team that went 15-1 last season. PACKERS.

Cards +10 at Falcons (45): The Cardinals have been competitive defensively, but it’s been the lack of offense that’s led to the 5 straight losses, averaging under 11 points per game in this stretch. Atlanta has won all 4 of its home games, but the largest margin of victory has been by just 6 points. CARDINALS.

Bucs -1½ at Panthers (48): Carolina is just 2-7 but 5 of the losses have been by a TD or less. Their defense has played much better over the past month, holding 4 of the last 5 foes to less than 100 rushing yards while also holding 4 of the 5 foes to below 230 passing yards. Yet they’ve gone from a 3-point road favorite to a home underdog in just two months? PANTHERS.

Browns +7½ at Cowboys (43½): At 4-5 the Cowboys enter a favorable part of their schedule, which features 5 of the next 6 games at home. Dallas has more talent and will face a challenged Cleveland offense that has topped 17 points just 3 times. The defense has kept the Browns competitive by forcing turnovers, a facet of the game that has plagued the Dallas offense. UNDER.

Jets +3 at Rams (38):St. Louis is 3-1 both SU and ATS at home. However, this will be the first time they’ve been favored in any game this season. Still, they are playing hard for first year coach Jeff Fisher whereas the level of intensity for the Jets has to be questioned. RAMS.

Colts +9½ at Patriots (53½): New England coach Bill Belichick has had success devising game plans against rookie QB’s and gets the chance to so against Indy’s Andrew Luck. The Pats’ 3 losses have been by a combined 4 points. The Colts have won 4 in a row, but all have been against losing teams with a combined record of 11-26. PATRIOTS.

Jaguars +16 at Texans (42½): Houston is a perfect 3-0 laying doubles with all 3 games at home. Jacksonville’s impotent offense has failed to rush for 70 yards in 6 straight games. Five of their 8 losses have been by at least 17 points although each of those came at home. Their three road losses were by 3, 3, and 9 points. JAGUARS.

Bengals +3½ at Chiefs (44): Kansas City played at Pittsburgh on Monday night and 6 of their 7 losses had been by double digits. The Bengals have the edge at QB and at 4-5 still are capable of making a run and repeat last season’s playoff appearance. They’ve already won twice on the road this season. BENGALS.

Saints -4½ at Raiders (54½): New Orleans has won 4 of 5 to get back into position to make a run at a Wild Card. Their defense is a concern but they made strides in recent weeks. The Raiders’ defense will be challenged by a Saints’ offense that is gaining over 300 passing yards per game. OVER.

Chargers +7½ at Broncos (49½): In their earlier meeting the Broncos overcame a 24-0 halftime deficit to win 35-24. The Chargers are a mess but they still have plenty of talent. They will be motivated to make amends for blowing that earlier lead and can certainly keep this close. CHARGERS.

Ravens +3½ at Steelers (46): Both offenses have shown an inclination to play at an up tempo pace. With both defenses less than 100 percent healthy there could be plenty of big plays and lots of points scored as a result. OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today

NFL

Jets +3 at Rams: Make or break game for St. Louis off a tie at San Francisco. Jets in disarray. RAMS.

Colts +9½ at Patriots: New England has this bad habit of blowing double digit leads. Andrew Luck getting better each week. COLTS.

Bengals -3½ at Chiefs: KC off Monday niter with Steelers. Bengals can gain a game against either Pittsburgh or Baltimore. BENGALS.

Chargers +7 at Broncos: Peyton and Denver put the final stake in San Diego’s heart and the Norv era. BRONCOS.

Packers -3½ at Lions: Have to wonder if a coaching change is needed in Detroit. GB off a bye and ready to pounce. PACKERS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denny the Dog

Sunday, Nov. 18

Eagles +1½ at Skins: It’s against my nature to back a team that’s lost five in a row and four straight ATS. I truly feel sorry for Reid, especially after what happened to his son. But I just can’t back this team right now. Reid has a chance to start Nick Foles now that Vick has suffered a concussion. I like Shanahan with an extra week to prepare the game plan. Poor Andy has another seven weeks to plan his death march into the owner’s office. SKINS.

Packers -3 at Lions: The Pack was rolling before their bye. They’re on a four-game winning streak. If the Lions were going to make any noise this season I think they would have taken control of the Vikings last Sunday. I don’t think Calvin Johnson and Matt Stafford can carry the entire load themselves. I don’t see much help coming in other areas. PACKERS.

Cards +9½ at Falcons: Atlanta hasn’t covered over 7 this season at home. They’re overdue for a blowout at home and I think the Cards offer a great opportunity, coming into Atlanta on a four-game losing streak. The Falcons should be on high alert after suffering their first loss of the season to the Saints. FALCONS.

Bucs -1½ at Panthers: I thought the Panthers were ready to go on a little roll, but Cam Newton went right back to turning the ball over. It’s not all on Cam with the Panthers not being able to muster anything close to resembling a rushing attack. The Bucs definitely have a new mojo with Greg Schiano calling the shots. Josh Freeman has recorded 13 TD passes and only one pick over his last five games. The Bucs have three straight wins and four of five. BUCS.

Browns +8 at Cowboys: Looks like a blow out at first glance. After further review, the Cowboys have only covered 8 points once this entire season – last Sunday at Philly. As bad as the Browns have been, they usually play competitively. I have a hunch they will be tough after their bye week with jobs on the line. BROWNS.

Jets +3 at Rams: If the Jets were going to make a move it would have started last Sunday at Seattle. Even though Rex is backing Sanchez, I believe he would like to make a move but just doesn’t have enough confidence in Tim Tebow. Rex just doesn’t have the ammunition. His players just aren’t good enough to get the job done. Rams coming off a great effort in San Francisco. Did you see those fake punts? RAMS.

Colts +9½ at Patriots: If you’ve been betting against Indy you must be getting sick of getting your head beat in. I respect what this team has done, especially on their recent four-game winning streak (all covers). The Pats have shown plenty of holes in their defense this season and it’s hard to believe Luck won’t find enough to keep this game extremely close. COLTS.

Jaguars +16 at Texans: Houston pounded the Jags 27-7 earlier in the season on the road. This week they get the Jags at home after an impressive beatdown of Chicago. Houston is a much better team since the Jags last saw them while the Jax hasn’t improved a lick. TEXANS.

Bengals -3½ at Chiefs: The Chiefs have one win all season. What they’re doing to the Kansas City fans is criminal. Speaking of criminals, if the Chiefs were one of those murderers they would be guilty as sin with blood on their hands – a tough case to defend. BENGALS.

Saints -5½ at Raiders: It’s difficult to back a team that’s given up 97 points in the last two games. Saints have won four of five and are back in the wild card race. They will put up plenty of points. The question is will they be able to stop the Raiders. Based on Oakland’s offensive performance the last two weeks and the questionable status of McFadden, I would have to say yes. SAINTS.

Chargers +7 at Broncos: You can’t find two clubs going in more opposite directions. Denver is on a four-game winning streak while the Bolts have lost four of five. Sometimes you can look good even while losing, but with the Chargers that’s not the case. I wouldn’t want to play Denver right now, even if I’m Houston. BRONCOS.

Ravens +4 at Steelers: Steelers have won three consecutive games. Ravens have won five of seven. This nationally televised Sunday night game should be as good as advertised. It’s a great rivalry that’s usually decided in the last few minutes. RAVENS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Richard Saber @ Gaming Today

NFL

Colts +9 ½ at Patriots: The Indianapolis players love Luck and are playing with a togetherness you don’t see often in the NFL. COLTS.

Ravens +3½ at Steelers: When these two teams get together it is fireworks and usually ends with a field goal. Take the +3½ as one of them will kick the late 3-pointer for the win. RAVENS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Knicks won six of first seven games (2-0 as HF).
-- Nets won their last four games (1-0 as AF).
-- Warriors won three of five road games (2-1-1 as AU). Thunder won six of their last seven games (3-3 as HF).
-- Celtics won four of last five games (1-1 as AF).
-- Lakers won three of last four games (this is supposed to be first game as coach for D'Antoni-- they're 4-1 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost five of their last seven games (1-3 as AU).
-- Magic lost five of last six games (2-1-1 as AU). Toronto lost five of its last six games (1-1 as HF).
-- Cavaliers lost seven of last eight games, covered one of last four as a road underdog. 76ers lost three of last four at home (1-3 as HF).
-- Kings lost last four games, are 0-7-1 vs spread in last eight.
-- Detroit lost nine of its first ten games (1-0 as HU).
-- Portland lost three of last four home games (1-1 as HU). Bulls covered once in last seven games (2-0 as AF).
-- Rockets lost five of last seven games (2-1-1 as AU).

Totals
-- Eight of ten Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Orlando games.
-- Six of last eight Cleveland games went over total.
-- Both Brooklyn road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-4 in Oklahoma City games this year.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Boston games.
-- Under is 5-3 in last eight Portland games.
-- Last three Houston games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- Florida won its first two games, beating Wisconsin by 18 last game; Gators are shooting 61% inside arc so far- only problem was holding on to the ball. Middle Tennessee beat couple of stiff teams, but they beat UCLA/Ole Miss LY. Sun Belt road underdogs are 2-10 vs spread.
-- Richmond is 3-0, allowing 52.7 ppg; they beat UNCW by 43. Spiders are shooting 41% behind arc, but now hit road, move up in class, facing Minnesota squad that beat three stiffs by 36-26-29 points. Gophers are facing Duke in next game Thursday. A-16 road underdogs are 2-5.
-- Akron is 2-2, losing pair of OT games; Zips are shooting just 38.1% inside arc, 37.8% outside; go figure. Penn State is 2-1 after winning awful OT game with Providence Friday (trailed 16-14 at half). A-16 underdogs are 2-5 against spread. MAC single digit favorites are 1-5.
-- Oklahoma State is 3-0 with OT win over Akron; Cowboys have held opponents to 33.6% inside arc, but are moving up in class vs NC State team that won first three games by 37-17-18 games; Wolfpack is #4 in country in eFG% (63.2%), making 45% behind arc, 61% inside it.

-- Tennessee won two of first three games, losing to Oklahoma State by 17 Friday; Vols are fouling too much early on. UMass won its first two games by total of 5 points, then lost by 18 to NC State. Minutemen are playing at face pace, but are still young, with one senior in rotation.
-- Charleston lost first two games of tourney on its home court by 11 to St John's, 4 to Auburn, scoring just 53 ppg; they're turning ball over on 25.8% of possessions, which is poor. Boston College lost to Baylor by 16, Dayton by 10. ACC teams are 10-3 vs spread away from home.
-- Washington was up 16 at half yesterday, needed 13-2 run in OT in an odd win over Seton Hall team that hit 12-23 behind arc; Huskies are an offense-based team. Ohio State held off gritty URI by 11 Saturday; they made 51% of 3's in wins over teams ranked #221/#259.
-- Rhode Island coach Hurley played at Seton Hall; his Rams play very hard, but lack talent; they're scoring 54.3 ppg, shooting 26% behind arc in 0-3 start. Three Rams played 36+ minutes Saturday. Seton Hall was down 16 at half, made 12-23 from arc but lost to Washington in OT.
-- Auburn lost to Murray State by 20 but won at Charleston by 4; they are shooting 28.9% outside arc, 38.8% inside it, scoring 58.3 ppg in 2-1 start. Dayton is shooting 41% behind arc but isn't getting to line much. Atlantic 16 single digit favorites are 5-6 against the spread.

-- St John's led Murray State most of way Friday but lost by 5; they're shooting 23.9% behind arc, not forcing many turnovers, but are blocking 18% of opponents' shots. Baylor is shooting 61% inside arc- they beat BC by by 10, before Colorado avenged LY's NCAA loss by a hoop.
-- Murray State held first three foes to 16.7% behind arc, but now they are playing well-coached Colorado squad that has one senior in rotation. Young Buffs beat Baylor by hoop Friday, avenging loss in LY's NCAA tourney- they're making 40% of treys. Pac-12 road teams are 5-3.
-- New Mexico won its first two games by 7-5 points, rallying from 16 down to beat Davidson in opener; Lobos don't use bench much, but had Saturday off. George Mason scored just 57 ppg in 2-1 start, making 52.1% of foul shots, with all three games decided by 4 or less points.
-- Stanford is off to 3-0 start, with 13-point win over Fullerton, pretty good team; Pac-12 home favorites of less than 15 points are 7-1 against spread. Belmont starts two juniors, three seniors; they've played couple stiff teams so far, but they're very well-coached. We'll see 'em in March.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sweep

4* NE 36-17
3* GB 31-20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4_SEASONS Power Play of the Day YTD record 9-4
NONE TODAY, he will be back tomorrow with 5 Power Plays of the day in CBB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks
Oklahoma State vs. NC State

The Wolfpack look to build on their 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 non-conference games. NC State is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: NC State (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 717-718: Valparaiso at Kent State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 58.902; Kent State 56.159
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 1
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-1)

Game 719-720: Marshall at Hofstra (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 58.418; Hofstra 53.224
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 5
Vegas Line: Marshall by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+6 1/2)

Game 721-722: Miami (OH) at Louisville (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 51.156; Louisville 73.345
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 22
Vegas Line: Louisville by 24
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+24)

Game 723-724: UL-Lafayette at Boise State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 49.039; Boise State 59.733
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 12
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+12)

Game 725-726: Middle Tennessee State vs. Florida (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 63.401; Florida 75.660
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 10
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-10)

Game 727-728: Cornell at Wisconsin (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 53.210; Wisconsin 70.250
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 17
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+19 1/2)

Game 729-730: Richmond at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.252; Minnesota 73.863
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-9 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: NC-Asheville vs. Providence (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 50.370; Providence 56.317
Dunkel Line: Providence by 6
Vegas Line: Providence by 4
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-4)

Game 733-734: Akron vs. Penn State (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 59.591; Penn State 57.446
Dunkel Line: Akron by 2; 135
Vegas Line: Akron by 6; 130
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+6); Over

Game 735-736: Massachusetts vs. Tennessee (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 60.163; Tennessee 62.445
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1); Under

Game 737-738: Oklahoma State vs. NC State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 63.284; NC State 73.059
Dunkel Line: NC State by 10; 134
Vegas Line: NC State by 8 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 739-740: Norfolk State vs. UMKC (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 45.950; UMKC 45.741
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Norfolk State by 2
Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+2)

Game 741-742: Albany vs. Loyola-MD (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 50.105; Loyola-MD 56.024
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 6
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-4 1/2)

Game 743-744: Washington vs. Ohio State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 65.900; Ohio State 76.419
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-8 1/2)

Game 745-746: Rhode Island vs. Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 53.615; Seton Hall 62.021
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 10
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+10)

Game 747-748: Boston College at College of Charleston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 51.216; College of Charleston 51.715
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+3)

Game 749-750: Auburn vs. Dayton (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 56.750; Dayton 62.067
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+6 1/2)

Game 751-752: St. John's vs. Baylor (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 62.625; Baylor 65.383
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 3; 148
Vegas Line: Baylor by 6 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+6 1/2); Over

Game 753-754: Murray State vs. Colorado (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 65.351; Colorado 65.503
Dunkel Line: Even; 136
Vegas Line: Colorado by 2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+2); Over

Game 755-756: MD-Eastern Shore vs. Loyola-Chicago (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Eastern Shore 35.664; Loyola-Chicago 51.169
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 13
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (-13)

Game 757-758: Western Michigan vs. South Florida (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 52.222; South Florida 60.998
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 9
Vegas Line: South Florida by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+10 1/2)

Game 759-760: Western Illinois vs. Yale (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 53.795; Yale 48.915
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 5
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-3)

Game 761-762: SE Missouri State vs. Chattanooga (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 50.067; Chattanooga 47.294
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 3
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-1 1/2)

Game 763-764: Louisiana Tech vs. Troy (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 58.713; Troy 48.701
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 10
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-8 1/2)

Game 765-766: WI-Green Bay vs. CS-Fullerton (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 56.769; CS-Fullerton 52.985
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 4
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-2)

Game 767-768: Southern Utah at Nevada (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 44.239; Nevada 57.868
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+15 1/2)

Game 769-770: Siena vs. San Diego (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.928; San Diego 50.760
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+3)

Game 771-772: Northern Kentucky vs. CS-Northridge (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Kentucky 45.512; CS-Northridge 52.897
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Kentucky (+9 1/2)

Game 773-774: George Mason vs. New Mexico (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 61.779; New Mexico 64.636
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 3; 139
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 6 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+6 1/2); Over

Game 775-776: Quinnipiac vs. Connecticut (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 52.943; Connecticut 66.794
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 14; 127
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 10; 132
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-10); Under

Game 777-778: Nebraska-Omaha at Nebraska (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska-Omaha 42.809; Nebraska 55.564
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 13
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 15
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska-Omaha (+15)

Game 779-780: Portland at Montana State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 45.642; Montana State 47.842
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+3)

Game 781-782: IPFW at Eastern Illinois (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 44.580; Eastern Illinois 44.343
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: IPFW by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+6 1/2)

Game 783-784: New Mexico State at Niagara (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 56.685; Niagara 59.600
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 3
Vegas Line: Niagara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-2 1/2)

Game 785-786: South Dakota at Gonzaga (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 45.190; Gonzaga 79.350
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 34
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 32
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-32)

Game 787-788: Northern Arizona at UC-Davis (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 38.578; UC-Davis 45.838
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-6 1/2)

Game 789-790: Wofford at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 49.656; Ohio 66.698
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 17
Vegas Line: Ohio by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+18 1/2)

Game 791-792: Eastern Washington at St. Mary's (CA) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 46.046; St. Mary's (CA) 66.212
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 20
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+22 1/2)

Game 793-794: Belmont at Stanford (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 66.129; Stanford 69.484
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (+6 1/2)

Game 801-802: Florida Gulf Coast at Duke (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 54.366; Duke 73.423
Dunkel Line: Duke by 19
Vegas Line: Duke by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (+20 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks
Houston at LA Lakers

The Rockets look to take advantage of an LA team that is coming off a 114-102 win over Phoenix and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Houston is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7). Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Indiana at New York (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.910; New York 123.949
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7; 188
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7); Over

Game 703-704: Orlando at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 111.722; Toronto 116.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 187
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4); Under

Game 705-706: Cleveland at Philadelphia (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.509; Philadelphia 117358
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Brooklyn at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.253; Sacramento 113.754
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+3); Under

Game 709-710: Golden State at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 115.879; Oklahoma City 127.725
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 199
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-10); Under

Game 711-712: Boston at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 120.634; Detroit 114.139
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Chicago at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.016; Portland 116.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago; Under

Game 715-716: Houston at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.157; LA Lakers 120.051
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

DEN
BAL
SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik
418 CARO +1.5 1 weight
432 SD/DEN UNDER 49.5 5 weight
434 Pit 1h +3 1 weight
PARLAY 434 pit 1h +3 with UN 20 1 weight. (Still can find 20.5, but 20 ok)
PARLAY 434 PIt 3.5 with UN 40.5 1 weight (OK to play at 40)
434 PITT +3.5 4 weight.
417 Tb/CAR OVER 48 2 weight
2 team teaser 418 CARO +7.5/432 DEN -1.5 2 weight
422 RAMS -3-125 4 weight. 2 weight at -3'
414 DET +3.5 2 weight
430 OAK +5 3 weight
415 Az +10 1 weight

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sweep

4* NE Patriots
3* Green Bay Packers
2* Carolina Panthers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS - NBA

Indiana +7 -104 over NEW YORK
Indiana has gotten off to a horrible start. They were projected to be a tough out every game but some awful shooting and poor defense had them sitting at 3-6 prior their to 20-point win over Dallas on Friday night. The Pacers exploded in the second half of that contest with great shooting and excellent defense. A big weight was lifted of their shoulders in the process. They come into this one feeling so much better and they catch the Knicks at a good time.
New York comes home from a three-game trip through Orlando, San Antonio and Memphis. The latter two were especially physical and while the Knicks went 1-1, they were down by 12 in San Antonio in the fourth quarter before rallying to win and were down by 22 in Memphis before ultimately losing by just 10. That takes a toll and now they’ll play a noon game upon returning and it’s just not a favorable spot. Give the Knicks a ton of credit. They’re playing hard, they’re playing great defense and they’re playing with a passion not seen since the Jeff Van Gundy era. However, this is too much weight to be spotting a talented Pacers team coming off their best game of the year. Overlay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS - NFL (all 2u plays)

San Diego +8 -110 over DENVER
The Broncos are on a four-game winning streak and all three of their home wins have been by double digits. We often mention that NFL teams don’t get blown out week after week. The opposite holds true as well. You simply can’t keep beating pro teams by crooked scores.
The Chargers have enough talent to upset anyone. Philip Rivers already passed for 241 yards and two scores in the last meeting with the Broncos and has a new weapon this time around in Danario Alexander. Most teams would be looking to exact revenge after blowing a 24-0 lead to Denver before losing 35-24. Most teams aren’t the Chargers. The Bolts find unique ways to lose games but with Denver’s stock at its height and San Diego’s appeal at its customary low level, oddsmakers have overcompensated with this prohibitive spread.

Cleveland +8 -110 over DALLAS
Dallas is far too desperate to take anyone lightly and need to win games like this to solidify its playoff chances. How many times have we heard that over the years? Dallas spotting more than a full touchdown is fool’s gold. When Dallas is supposed to win they usually don’t. They are a sloppy, undisciplined, self-destructive and one of the great underachieving teams of our time. They have just four covers in past 17 when giving points and they are offering them to one of the league’s best point takers.
Cleveland has stayed within this range in three of its four road games. The only one they lost by more than eight was at G-Men when they built a 14-0 lead, took 91 yards in penalties and turned it over three times. That sounds more like a Dallas box score. The Brownies are rested and catch Dallas at the perfect time with the ‘Boys waiting to host Washington on this upcoming Thanksgiving Thursday.


KANSAS CITY +4 -105 over Cincinnati
Now that the Chiefs have actually led in regulation, there are no limitations for what could be next. Something like winning a game, maybe? This could be the opportunity to do so. The Bengals have shown time and time again that they are not mature enough to handle the rigours of the NFL. Granted, Cincinnati had a solid win over the Giants last week but based on their recent play, the G-Men may have been running on fumes. Cincy heads to the road for the first time in five weeks. They lost their last road game in Cleveland. In addition, the Bengals have covered just three of past 17 when favored.

Kansas City showed that they haven’t given up and perhaps Monday’s effort carries into this one. They were robbed by the zebras on Pittsburgh’s final drive last week by several phantom calls and that can’t be sitting well with them. The Chiefs have yet to win at home this season and need to show the supporting fan base that last week was no fluke. Another big effort would not be a surprise.


Philadelphia +3½ -102 over WASHINGTON
People say Andy Reid will find a job within minutes of being fired. That may be true but he tied his team’s fortunes to an aging, running quarterback fresh out of prison, that can’t read a defense and sported a horrible career completion percentage rate. Philly backers should be glad to see Nick Foles, the Eagles starter now that Mike Vick is ‘injured’. Of course, despite the ineptness, some of the blame must fall on the abysmal offensive line that Philly employs. That weak unit is not about to get better any time soon.
It’s difficult to get behind the Eagles with their 1-7 record against the spread. However, this may be the first game they’re priced properly. The Redskins have their own issues, allowing nearly 28 points a game and more than 300 yards passing. Washington has lost all three games straight up when favored this year, they’ve lost three in a row to run its record to 3-6 and once again they’re going to watch the playoffs from the rail. Mike Shanahan is another coach that seems to be surviving on the fumes of his reputation. Washington’s home record under Shanahan is an inexcusable 5-15. Shanahan has already stated that the rest of the year would be used for evaluation purposes. That’s not what you want to hear when spotting points. Upset alert is on.


CAROLINA +102 over Tampa Bay
The tone for Carolina’s poor season was set in the opener when these Buccaneers pulled off the 16-10 upset as a 3-pt underdog in Tampa. Much has gone wrong for the Panthers ever since but not enough to warrant the Bucs being favored here. Despite their woes, the Black Cats are a couple of breaks and mental lapses away from a different season. Carolina has been at the short end of all five games decided by a touchdown or less.
Tampa has crossed over the .500 mark with three straight wins but this could be the week that Cam Newton finds his truant passing game. The Bucs rank dead last in the league, giving up 321 yards per game through the air, nearly 20 more per game than both Buffalo and New Orleans. That should not be ignored and neither should the fact that the Bucs have Atlanta on deck next week at home. Tampa has been winning games with a poor defense and in this league, that’s unsustainable.


PITTSBURGH +4 +100 over Baltimore
If only things were as easy as they often appear in the NFL. If that were the case, we’d be all over the Ravens as they just throttled the Raiders by a 55-20 count while the Steelers struggled at home with the lowly Chiefs, eking out a 16-13 overtime win. In the process, Pittsburgh lost its leader as QB Ben Roethlisberger is out with a shoulder injury. None of this is secret and many will back Baltimore in what looks like a slam dunk win. We’re not so sure. Yes, Big Ben is important but prior to Monday’s game, the Steelers were listed as the 3½-point favorite for this one. Now, Baltimore is 4? Ridiculous.
Lost in all of this is that the Raiders put up more yards than Baltimore last week. They also had more third down conversions. Prior to that game, the Ravens barely squeaked by Cleveland, they were throttled in Houston, were extremely lucky to beat the Cowboys and they won in Kansas City by three points, scoring just nine. This Ravens team is simply not as good as their record indicates. Pittsburgh’s defense, allowing a league low 265 yards per game is more than capable of keeping this rival game in check. They will also dig down deeper with their #1 QB out in support of Byron Leftwich. We’re calling the upset but will gladly take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe free play

Baltimore

You can break this down anyway you want, but the Steelers are in trouble without Big Ben and a unhealthy Mendenhall. The Steelers will be missing their right tackle and their speedster Brown. This team is just not a NFL level offense with these players out. I know the Ravens Defense is not what it once was, but their offense is capable of putting up a lot of points. The Steelers are without key players on both sides of the ball and in a division game like this the Ravens have to take advantage. Take Baltimore.