12-7-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB N ILLINOIS at WI-MILWAUKEE

Play On - A road team (N ILLINOIS) terrible shooting team (<=40%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
98-51 since 1997. ( 65.8% 41.9 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

CBB RIDER at SIENA

Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (RIDER) off a road win, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%)
48-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.8% 31.5 units )

CBB VA COMMONWEALTH at OLD DOMINION

Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (OLD DOMINION) after 6 or more consecutive losses, on Friday nights
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA HOUSTON at SAN ANTONIO

Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
71-34 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.6% 33.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

NBA WASHINGTON at ATLANTA

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential)
235-56 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.8% 86.0 units )
9-3 this year. ( 75.0% 1.4 units )

NBA HOUSTON at SAN ANTONIO

Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% -0.3 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 12/07/2012

(Lost last 5 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Denver Nuggets : o195
Cost: -110

Run Line for 12/07/2012

(Lost last 6 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Philadelphia 76ers : +1
Cost: -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

9:00PM VA Commonwealth vs Old Dominion
[825] VA Commonwealth -14.5 -110

JIMMY

7:00PM Harvard vs Connecticut
[827] Harvard +9.5 -110

MARC

8:05PM Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Hornets
[813] OVER 183 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks 12/7

--Rider -3.5 @ Siena


--VCU -15 @ Old Dominion
Lakers @ OKC -7.5


--Canisius +6 @ Fairfield
Charlotte +7.5 @ Milwaukee


--Freebie Memphis @ New Orleans over 183

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams


1500♦
Raise the Bar
NBA Road Warrior Lock


Memphis Grizzlies -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones:



NBA Basketball Premium Picks

NBA | Dec 07 '12 (7:05p)
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Denver Nuggets
+1½-108 at 5dimes
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Denver Nuggets +1.5

Write-up coming
-= TOP PLAY =-
NBA | Dec 07 '12 (9:35p)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Total
210½ un-110 at BMaker
20* Lakers/Thunder ESPN Friday No-Brainer on UNDER 210.5

Write-up coming
NBA | Dec 07 '12 (10:05p)
Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings Sacramento Kings
-2½-109 at 5dimes
15* Magic/Kings NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Sacramento -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll sports

todays card

10* rider broncs -3 cbb
5* lakers +7.5
4* uconn -10 cbb
3* iowa st/iowa over 151 cbb
3* vcu rams -15 cbb

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd 12/7
5*(NBA) Brooklyn Nets -6

4*(CBB) Wisconsin Milwaukee -11

3*(NBA) Denver Nuggets +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover - West Coast Winner


Stephen Nover | NBA Sides Fri, 12/07/12 - 10:05 PM
double-dime bet 824 SAC -2.5 (-110) Hilton vs 823 ORL
Analysis: Orlando is deep into its lengthy road trip playing its fourth away matchup in the last six days. The Magic don't go home until they play Phoenix on the road Sunday. So Orlando could really be dragging in this game.


Sacramento has tightened up its perimeter defense. This is huge because the Magic have showed a tendency under first-year head man Jacque Vaghan to live and die by the 3-point shot. Sacramento ranks 11th in defending against the 3-point shot holding foes to 34.2 percent. The Kings also were averaging 46.1 points in the paint per game, which ranks them fourth-highest.


The Magic are going to have trouble containing DeMarcus Cousins inside. Tyreke Evans has been hot, too, for the Kings averagiŸng 20.3 points per game in his last seven game while connecting on seven of his last 15 shots from 3-point range.


Sacramento has won its last three of its last five home contests, beating the Lakers and Jazz during this span.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer - DOUBLE NBA TWO STARS FROM THE DOC!!


Dr. Ed Meyer | NBA Total Fri, 12/07/12 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet 803 BOS / 804 PHI Under 189.0 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Analysis:


Boston is off a 104-94 win over the Timberwolves in which the leading scorer had only 18 points. Each starter scored in double-digits and no big man played more than 30 minutes. This points to a defensive game here.


The Celtics are 0-16 OU when they are off a win in which their leading scorer had fewer than 20 points and the total is less than 200. The SDQL text is:


team=Celtics and p:W and max:p:points<20 and total<200 and 20100600<=date


They stayed under by 16 points in this spot last Thursday.


Also, Boston is 0-15 OU (-15.0 ppg) since 2009 as a rested road favorite off a double digit win in which they shot at least 50% from the field. The SDQL is simply:


team=Celtics and AF and 0<rest and 10<=p:margin and p:FGP>=50 and season>=2008


The player-based trends reveal that the Celtics are 5-19-1 OU in franchise history on the road with rest after a home win in which Kevin Garnett played fewer than 30 minutes.


Active for Philadelphia is the fact that they are 0-11 OU with rest vs a 500+ team when they are off a loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line, staying under by an average of 17.9 ppg. THE SDQL text is:


team=Seventysixers and 0<rest and p:L and p:FTM*1.0/p:points<0.15 and o:WP>=50 and 20110401<=date


The transition from home win to a road game has meant a turn to defense and fundamental for Boston for some time now. Take the UNDER.


MTi’s FORECAST: Boston 90 PHILADELPHIA 88






Dr. Ed Meyer | NBA Total Fri, 12/07/12 - 7:35 PM
double-dime bet 809 GSW / 810 Brooklyn Under 195.0 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Analysis:


The Nets are off a home loss to the Thunder in which Deron Williams led all scorers with 33 points on 10-of-20 shooting. Whenever a team’s point guard leads the team in scoring and shots taken, it seems to disrupt the natural flow of the offense. The Nets are 0-5 OU (-9.0 ppg) after a loss in which Deron Williams was the Nets' high scorer.


It is also worth mentioning that New Jersey is 0-9 OU (-16.7 ppg) when Kris Humphries took fewer than 10 shots the last two games and 0-6 OU (-8.6 ppg) after a loss at home in which Kris Humphries had a double-double.


The Warriors are off a win in Detroit in which they really shared the “rock” chalking up 24 assists to go along with only ten turnovers. They should be working the ball around until the shot clock gets to single digits here and that should keep the game under. Golden St is 0-7 OU with rest on the road after a road win in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two. The SDQL is:


team=Warriors and A and 0<rest and p:AW and p:turnovers*2<=tp:assists and p:poƒints>=100 and 20060101<=date


Note that the Warriors have stayed under by an average of 17.9 ppg in this spot.


Finally, Golden St is 0-6 OU (-10.1 ppg) on the road after a win on the road in which David Lee was not the Warriors' high scorer.


The Warriors should have no reason to push the pace here with a winnable road game in Washington tomorrow. Take the UNDER.


MTi’s FORECAST: NEW JERSEY 93 Golden St 91

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TEDDY COVERS

NBA: 10* Detroit Pistons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's NBA - 12/7
#803 Take Boston/Philadelphia UNDER 188.5,
#805 Take Washington/Atlanta UNDER 191.5

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Betting Line Moves NCAAB 12/7
826. old dominion +16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo CBB

2 * CANISIUS +4.5

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Vegas Sports Informer NBA

2 Unit Play. Take #801 Over 194 Denver at Indiana (7:05 p.m., Friday, December 7)
3 Unit Play. Take #824 Sacramento -2 ½ over Orlando (10:05 p.m., Friday, December 7)

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Northcoast
Friday night Marq going for 10 in a row
Montana St UNDER in coll football

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

500* Rider -4

200* Celtics -1.5

(Has won last 5 nights)

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Erin rynning
10 under 194.5 Brooklyn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Friday, December 7th

Friday Night Pro Basketball Scoreboard-Scorcher!!!!!
Memphis/New Orleans over 183

NBA Best Bets
Denver/Indiana under 195
Washington/Atlanta under 192 1/2
Golden State Brooklyn over 193
Orlando/Sacramento under 195 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays.




500K NBA Blowout/Month

the Brooklyn Nets -5½ over
the Golden St Warriors

Best Bets



the Boston Celtics -1 over
the Philadelphia 76ers

the Memphis Grizzlies -7 over
the New Orleans Hornets

the Denver Nuggets +1½ over
the Indiana Pacers

the Iowa Hawkeyes -2 over
the Iowa St Cyclones



PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK



the San Antonio Spurs -8½ over
the Houston Rockets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

20* under 210.5 lakers/thunder
15* sac -3
15* den +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

pay day sports
over indiana

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report for Friday:
50 Denver
50 Celtics
100 Brooklyn
100 Memphis
100 Rider

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS Insider

3 San Antonio (-8.5) over Houston, 8:35pmET
3 Sacramento (-2.5) over Orlando, 1005 pm
2-0 last night
0-2 night before

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4-STAR Memphis -7 over NEW ORLEANS - With Anthony Davis still out for this contest, New Orleans just doesn't have the size or strength inside to match Memphis' two post threats. New Orleans has already played three Western Conference contenders this homestand, losing by 12, 21 and 16. Look for a similar margin here.
They are getting a Memphis team off an overtime game but they've had two days of rest since that 108-98 overtime win over Phoenix. The Hornets are 0-6 ATS (-9.4 ppg) since February 04, 2005 with at most one day of rest after a home loss when their opponent is off an overtime game.

Even going to overtime, Memphis had just 13 assists in that game. That was on 40 total baskets. The Grizzlies are 8-0-1 ATS (7.8 ppg) since April 09, 2010 on the road after a game in which they had fewer than fifteen assists. Also, the Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (11.2 ppg) since April 09, 2010 on the road after a game in which less than 40% of their baskets were assisted.

Those 13 assists went along with having the ball stolen 12 times and committing 19 total turnovers. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since February 08, 2011 on the road after a game in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.

Rudy Gay was one offender with four turnovers and just two assists. The Grizzlies are 6-0-1 ATS (6.5 ppg) since May 05, 2012 after a win in which Rudy Gay had more turnovers than assists.

What saved them was a monster game from Zach Randolph with 38 points. Mike Conley chipped in with 11. The Grizzlies are 5-0-1 ATS (6.2 ppg) since May 05, 2012 on the road after a win in which Mike Conley was not the Grizzlies' high scorer.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Memphis 105, NEW ORLEANS 89

4-STAR Washington and Atlanta Under 192.5 - With plenty of rest recently, Atlanta has been played into shootouts in their past two games. With no rest tomorrow in what will be an interesting game at Memphis followed by a visit to Miami after that, we don't think they are going to want to use all that energy again here. Look for this one to have lower paced action.

Atlanta's last two games were a 113-111 loss to Cleveland last Friday and a 108-104 win over Denver Wednesday. Prior to that they had not allowed more than 100 points since the opening game of the season. The Hawks are 0-9 OU (-17.4 ppg) since February 27, 2009 when they allowed at least ten points more than their season-to-date average for two straight games.

In that Denver win, the difference came in the volume of shots as they attempted 16 more than the Nuggets while making four more. The Hawks rare 0-7 OU (-11.0 ppg) since January 15, 2001 as a favorite after a game at home in which they had at least 15 more shot attempts than their opponent.

Washington meanwhile is coming off a huge 105-101 upset win over Miami Tuesday. Of their 38 baskets in that game, 31 were assisted. The Wizards are 0-10 OU (-13.8 ppg) since January 20, 1997 as a road dog with at least one day of rest after a game in which they had at least thirty assists.

That was countered by committing only 10 turnovers as well. The Wizards are 0-9-1 OU (-9.1 ppg) since April 09, 2002 on the road with two or more days of rest after a win in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

Jordan Crawford led Washington with 22 points in that win. However, when these teams met two weeks ago in a 101-100 overtime win for Atlanta, Crawford had just nine points. The Wizards are 0-8 OU (-17.4 ppg) since February 15, 2012 on the road after losing the previous matchup in which Jordan Crawford was not the Wizards' high scorer.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: ATLANTA 95, Washington 87

4-STAR Denver +2 over INDIANA - Indiana's been able to cover up for the loss of Danny Granger the past two games with some strong performances but its eventually going to catch up to them. Against a team which likes to play at Denver's pace, when volume scoring is needed for victory, we see it posing a problem for the Pacers.

Denver enters hungry off a 108-104 loss to Atlanta. They had to fight back in that game from a bigger double digit deficit however. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS (14.5 ppg) since March 21, 2008 on the road with at least one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer on the road in which they trailed by double digits.

What killed them in that game were turnovers, as they committed 20, while attempting just 78 shots. The Nuggets are 8-0 ATS (11.9 ppg) since December 13, 2005 on the road with at least one day of rest after a road loss in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four. Also, the Nuggets are 7-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since March 08, 2003 as a dog with at least one day of rest after a road loss in which they committed at least twenty turnovers.

Indiana is coming off a 92-83 win over Portland Wednesday. It was a clean game where they committed just 12 fouls. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since January 31, 2004 after a game at home in which they were whistled for fewer than 15 personal fouls.

Plenty of players stepped up in that game, including Paul George leading the team with 22 points, but Roy Hibbert was not one of them. He had 10 points and they came on just 3-of-13 shooting. The Pacers are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since May 13, 2012 after a win at home in which Roy Hibbert was not the Pacers' high scorer. Also, the Pacers are 0-5 ATS (-11.3 ppg) since March 02, 2010 with at least a day of rest after a win in which Roy Hibbert shot worse than 33% from the field.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Denver 105, INDIANA 100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lebedev 12/07

Indiana - Denver Over
Phili - Boston Over
Brooklyn -6
Oklahoma - Lakers Over
New Orleans - Memphis Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Investment Group

NBA

Denver +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoopsgooroo 12/7

828 UConn -9.5 @ 7p
834 Marist +3.5 @ 7p
831 Iowa St. +3 @ 8p
826 Old Dominion +15.5 @ 9p

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Underdog
Orlando Magic

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' 10* Division Total G.O.M.-NBA (9-4 NBA 10*s s/Nov 16)

My 10* Southwest Division total of the Month is on Mem/NO Over at 8:05 ET.
I played the Thunder/Nets Over on Tuesday and saw it finish 117-111 (opening total was 190 and it closed at 195). A few of the key reasons were that the visiting Thunder were the league’s highest scoring team coming in and had averaged 111.3 PPG over their previous nine games. With no Brook Lopez inside for the Nets, I believed that the Thunder would dictate the flow of the game and that’s EXACTLY what happened. Fast forward to tonight’s Memphis/New Orleans game. The Hornets chose Kentucky’s Anthony Davis with the draft’s No. 1 pick and when he’s played, he’s looked like the “real deal.” However, a bad ankle has kept Davis out of all but six games. He’s averaged 16.0 PPG and 8.3 RPG in those games but his absence here vs Memphis will be ‘deadly.’ The Grizzlies have historically gotten off to poor starts in the team’s previous six seasons since arriving in Memphis but the 13-3 Grizzlies have been winning with a greatly improved offense (99.3 PPG), as well as putting forth a strong effort at the defensive end (91.3 PPG is third-best in the league). The starting frontcourt is devastating with Gay (18.6-6.0), Randolph (17.7-13.3) and Gasol (15.8-7.2). PG Conley (15.0-6.3 APG) gives Memphis four, 15 point a game scorers. SG Allen (8.0-3.5) is the team’s best perimeter defender but could be sidelined with a groin injury. That will give either Bayless (6.8) or Ellington (5.1) more minutes. The Hornets ‘limp’ in 5-12 on the season, losing for the 10th time in 12 games Wednesday, 103-87 to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Hornets are not only dealing with Davis’ ankle woes but Eric Gordon, who was the team’s major acquisition in the Paul trade (he had averaged 16,1, 16.9 and 22.3 PPG in his three years with the Clippers), played just nine games last year for the Hornets and has yet to see any action this season (a December return has been promised, but who knows?). Then there is Austin Rivers, a controversial high draft pick from Duke, who in 27 MPG is averaging just 6.1 PPG on 28.3 percent shooting. The good news comes from frontcourt players Anderson (18.3-8.0), Robin Lopez (12.0-5.5) and Aminu (9.8-7.4) and the excellent play of PG Vasquez (13.2-8.7 APG). Here’s my bottom line. Why won’t the Grizzlies easily match (or surpass) their 99.3 PPG average in this one? In fact, I see them reaching triple digits and beyond which means the Hornets won’t need to contribute too much, as this total opened 183 1/2. Go OVER!
Good luck...Larry
Larry Ness' 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner-CBB (8-4 CBB 10*s since Nov 19)

My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Iowa at 8:00 ET.
Iowa State announced that former player Fred Hoiberg would take over as head basketball coach in April of 2010., taking over for Greg McDermott, who left for Creighton. He is their 19th Men's Basketball coach. Hoiberg’s first season ended with a 16-16 record, including a sad-sack 3-13 in the Big 12. However, he led Iowa State to a 23-11 record and the program’s first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2005 last season. The season also included the team’s first ranking in the AP top-25 poll since 2005 and after winning nine more games during the 2012 conference season than in 2011, the largest season-to-season improvement in Big 12 history (from 3-13 to 12-6), he was named co-Coach of the Year in the Big 12 with Kansas’ Bill Self. The challenge for this season is replacing last year’s top-three scorers, the 6-7 White (13.4-9.3-5.0), Christopherson (12.2) and Allen (12.2). The 6-6 Ejim (11.0-9.3) is back and playing well, as is senior guard McGee, who averaged just 7.7 PPG last season but 14.3 & 4.9 so far TY. Two transfers have made big impacts. The 6-7 Clyburn (from Utah) is the team's leading scorer (14.3 PPG) and rebounder (8.4 RPG) while former Michigan St PG Lucious is averaging 9.4 PPG and 5.3 APG. Iowa St is a perfect 6-0 at home but did lose its two away games, 78-70 to No. 11 Cincy in Las Vegas and then the next night, to No. 21 UNLV 82-70 on its home court (both efforts ere respectable). Iowa coach Fran McCaffery came from Siena where he had led the Saints to three straight NCAA tourneys (2008-10) and has found the Big Ten tough ‘sledding.’ He was 11-20 in his first year and 18-17 last year. Optimism is higher this season, as his team did lose LY’s leading scorer in Gatens (15.2) but a solid nucleus returned. The two best players are 6-6 swingman Marble (14.4-4.3-3.4) and the 6-8 White (13.7-6.4) plus a pair of 6-7 juniors in Basabe (8.1-4.8) and McCabe (5.8-4.1). The Hawkeyes opened 5-0 but then lost two straight but in fairness, the losses came to 8-0 Wichita St (now ranked 24th) in a tourney in Cancun plus at 7-0 Va Tech in Blacksburg. McCaffrey shook things up after those back-to-back losses, starting three freshman (with Marble and White) the last two games and the Hawkeyes have won 85-59 and 87-63. The trio of freshman are guards Gasell (8.2-3.3 APG) and Clemmons (3.4) plus the 7-1 Woodbury (7.0-5.0). The task gets tougher here vs Iowa St but Iowa is playing with some payback from LY’s 10-point loss in Ames and Iowa has covered 11 of its last 16 games at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. The home team has won SEVEN of the last eight meetings and NOTHING changes here!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUBLE YOUR WAGER
NBA GAME OF THE YEAR


Friday, December 07, 2012
Premium Plays



Brandon Lovell


20 Star NBA
Golden State vs Brooklyn
OVER 195

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
400 new orleans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting as a Business 12/7
NBA: 12/7


Under 212 Houston / San Antonio 8:35 ET




NCAAB: 12/7




Wisconsin Milwaukee -11 / Northern Illinois 8:00 ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NBA Picks 12/7

9:00 PM
820. Utah Jazz -7 (service play)

Rest of Games
818. Milwaukee Bucks -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Hitman

Iowa -3