12-18-12

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::clap::

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NCAAB Top 4: Mid-major moneymakers

The Creighton Bluejays were tabbed as this year’s mid-major monster and haven’t disappointed in the first two months of the season.

The small Omaha-based school out of the Missouri Valley Conference is ranked 13th in the country, sitting at 10-1 SU. More importantly to college hoops bettors, the Bluejays have posted an 8-1 ATS record in that span.

Creighton isn’t the only mid-major program making big bucks to start the schedule. Here are four other lesser-known schools proving to be solid bets in non-conference play:

Wyoming Cowboys (10-0 SU, 6-1 ATS)

The Cowboys are contending in the Mountain West Conference and are one of just seven programs with perfect records so far. Among the other unblemished schools are powerhouses like Duke, Syracuse, Michigan and Arizona. Nice company. Wyoming has been working on improving its depth during a 10-day delay during finals. The Cowboys will look to their bench more when they face Denver Tuesday.

Charlotte 49ers (10-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)

The Atlantic 10 may be considered better than a mid-major conference among NCAAB heads but the 49ers aren't counted among the A-10’s elite. Charlotte is off and running with just one loss – to Miami – and has managed to cover in six of those games. Defense has been the focus for Alan Major’s troops. The 49ers are limiting foes to 37.3 percent shooting and give up only 60.8 points per game. It’s no wonder they’re also 0-4 over/under on the year.

Illinois-Chicago Flames (9-1 SU, 8-1 ATS)

The Flames weren’t expected to contend in the Horizon League, even with Butler jumping ship. But, UIC has ample experience and a deadly back court punch in Gary Talton and Daniel Barnes, who combine to average 26 points and almost eight assists per game. The Flames already have some resume wins over Northwestern, Mercer and Iona and nearly knocked off No. 20 New Mexico. Five of UIC’s covers have come as an underdog.

North Dakota State Bison (9-3 SU, 8-2 ATS)

The Bison are tuning up for what should be an exciting race in the Summit League. North Dakota State has great offensive balance with three players averaging double figures and another putting up 9.8 points a game. Saul Phillips has tested his team early with matchups versus Indiana and Minnesota and has scheduled the majority of the opening games away from fargo.

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The Goldsheet

★ ★ ★ ★KEY RELEASES ★ ★ ★ ★
Youngstown State (+7) by 3 over South Florida
Under (189) Pacers at Bucks
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★

Youngstown State 71 - SOUTH FLORIDA 68—Regional sources
report 5-3 USF has had some trouble fully assimilating HC Stan Heath’s new
motion offense, as well as finding someone to consistently do the “dirty work”
down low that was supplied LY by graduated 6-8 F Ron Anderson, Jr.
Meanwhile, improving YSU adhering to HC Jerry Slocum’s mantra, “EP”—every
play, every possession. You can count on emotionally-charged performances
from the Penguins’ dynamic backcourt of 6-0 G Kendrick Perry (hails from
Ocoee, FL; 16.3 pg, 4.5 apg) & 6-1 sr. G Blake Allen (Tampa native; 12.3 ppg),
both of whom are excited for this rare homecoming trip. Note that the Bulls
already endured home upset losses vs. UCF & Western Michigan in November.

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DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/18/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1151-348 (.768)
ATS: 450-479 (.484)
ATS Vary Units: 1672-1892 (.469)
Over/Under: 134-119 (.530)
Over/Under Vary Units: 185-187 (.497)

Non-Conference
AKRON 78, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 55
ARIZONA 76, Oral Roberts 59
AUBURN 66, Tennessee Tech 61
AUSTIN PEAY 76, Lipscomb 75
CALIFORNIA 75, UC Santa Barbara 65
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 69, Old Dominion 61
EAST CAROLINA 70, Gardner-Webb 60
EAST TENNESSEE STATE 72, Charleston Southern 68
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 80, Stetson 71
GEORGIA 56, Mercer 54
HAMPTON 58, American 56
IONA 85, Liberty 64
KANSAS 80, Richmond 57
KANSAS STATE 77, Texas Southern 54
Lsu 72, UC IRVINE 67
Miami (Fla.) 69, UCF 64
Michigan State 66, BOWLING GREEN 53
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 72, Tennessee State 59
Missouri State 65, ALABAMA A&M 57
NC STATE 74, Stanford 66
NEBRASKA 61, Jacksonville State 54
NORTHEASTERN 71, UNC Asheville 69
OHIO STATE 82, Winthrop 46
OKLAHOMA 62, Stephen F. Austin 54
PROVIDENCE 79, Colgate 58
PURDUE 71, Ball State 56
Robert Morris 72, UL LAFAYETTE 65
SAN FRANCISCO 72, Holy Cross 59
SOUTH FLORIDA 67, Youngstown State 53
Southern Miss 64, GEORGIA STATE 60
Stony Brook 71, SACRED HEART 62
TCU 63, Southern 53
TENNESSEE 76, Presbyterian 47
TEXAS A&M 73, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 50
UCLA 74, Long Beach State 65
Uic vs. WESTERN ILLINOIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
UTAH 58, Smu 55
VCU 74, Western Kentucky 58
WAKE FOREST 72, Furman 59
Wofford 65, JACKSONVILLE 63
WYOMING 62, Denver 52

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/18/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 231-112 (.673)
ATS: 173-175 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 578-516 (.528)
Over/Under: 184-165 (.527)
Over/Under Vary Units: 332-277 (.545)

Atlanta 96, WASHINGTON 91
CLEVELAND 97, Toronto 95
Utah vs. BROOKLYN: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MIAMI 105, Minnesota 92
CHICAGO 90, Boston 86
MILWAUKEE 95, Indiana 94
DALLAS 97, Philadelphia 92
San Antonio 107, DENVER 105
L.A. LAKERS 108, Charlotte 91
GOLDEN STATE 102, New Orleans 92

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Titans (-1 1/2) Monday.

Tuesday it’s Virginia Commonwealth. The deficit is 1378 sirignanos.

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Tuesday ... In College Hoops take Jacksonville St. +6 over Nebraska

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 953 - 707 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free TUES Calif -14

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Tuesday

Pacers +3

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Soccer Crusher
Brighton + Millwall UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 329-14, lost last game)
Overall Record: 329-290-39

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Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Milwaukee

The Bucks look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is coming off an 88-77 win over Detroit and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a SU victory of more than 10 points. Milwaukee is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, DECEMBER 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 501-502: Atlanta at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.564; Washington 115.004
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Over


Game 503-504: Toronto at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 106.904; Cleveland 116.671
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4 1/2); Under


Game 505-506: Utah at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.151; Brooklyn 122.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-4 1/2); Under


Game 507-508: Minnesota at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.998; Miami 126.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9; 198
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9); Over


Game 509-510: Boston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.435; Chicago 123.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); Over


Game 511-512: Indiana at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.057; Milwaukee 121.247
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 4; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-2 1/2); Under


Game 513-514: Philadelphia at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.264; Dallas 118.157
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 515-516: San Antonio at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.433; Denver 124.659
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2 1/2); Over


Game 517-518: New Orleans at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.878; Golden State 125.278
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 12 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 7 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-7 1/2); Under


Game 519-520: Charlotte at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 108.500; LA Lakers 118.421
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10; 211
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+12); Over

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Stanford at NC State

The Wolfpack look to follow up their 84-62 win over Norfolk State and build on their 11-2 ATS record in their last 13 games following a SU victory. NC State is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolfpack favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NC State (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


TUESDAY, DECEMBER 18
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 521-522: Ball State at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 49.364; Purdue 62.478
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 13
Vegas Line: Purdue by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+15 1/2)


Game 523-524: Michigan State at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.092; Bowling Green 54.593
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 13 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 11; 122
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-11); Under


Game 525-526: Southern Mississippi at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 59.158; Georgia State 53.124
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 6
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-3 1/2)


Game 527-528: Youngstown State at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 53.962; South Florida 59.247
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+7)


Game 529-530: Richmond at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 62.539; Kansas 75.731
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 13; 142
Vegas Line: Kansas by 15 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+15 1/2); Over


Game 531-532: Miami (FL) at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 67.412; Central Florida 59.727
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 7 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 4 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-4 1/2); Under


Game 533-534: Western Kentucky at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 57.939; VCU 72.469
Dunkel Line: VCU by 14 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: VCU by 16 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+16 1/2); Over


Game 535-536: Stanford at NC State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 63.190; NC State 71.662
Dunkel Line: NC State by 9 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: NC State by 6 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-6 1/2); Under


Game 537-538: SMU at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 54.218; Utah 61.998
Dunkel Line: Utah by 8
Vegas Line: Utah by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-7)


Game 539-540: Denver at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 61.754; Wyoming 66.004
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 8
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+8)


Game 541-542: LSU at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 57.004; UC-Irvine 57.250
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: LSU by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+1 1/2)


Game 543-544: Long Beach State at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 53.766; UCLA 68.731
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 15
Vegas Line: UCLA by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-12 1/2);


Game 545-546: UC-Santa Barbara at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.325; California 64.678
Dunkel Line: California by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 14
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+14)


Game 547-548: Furman at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 42.540; Wake Forest 56.116
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-12 1/2)


Game 549-550: Old Dominion at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 49.874; College of Charleston 56.218
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+8 1/2)


Game 551-552: Illinois-Chicago at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 61.422; Western Illinois 56.484
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 5
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-1 1/2)


Game 553-554: Tennessee State at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 52.248; Middle Tennessee State 63.993
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+14)


Game 555-556: Tennessee Tech at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 47.275; Auburn 60.140
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 13
Vegas Line: Auburn by 9
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-9)


Game 557-558: Jacksonville State at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.868; Nebraska 59.326
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 6
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-6)


Game 561-562: Winthrop at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 47.154; Ohio State 75.357
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 28; 137
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 30; 130
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+30); Over

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB MICHIGAN ST at BOWLING GREEN

Play Against - A home team (BOWLING GREEN) terrible shooting team (<=40.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

CBB TENNESSEE TECH at AUBURN

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (TENNESSEE TECH) average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games.
311-206 since 1997. ( 60.2% 90.0 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% 7.5 units )

CBB WINTHROP at OHIO ST.

Play On - Favorites of 11 or more points vs. the first half line (OHIO ST) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, on Tuesday nights.
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA INDIANA at MILWAUKEE

Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a good defensive team (88-92 PPG), after a blowout loss by 20 points or more.
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% 33.7 units )

NBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) revenging a loss vs opponent, off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival.
39-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.1% 25.5 units )

NBA BOSTON at CHICAGO

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

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NBA TOTALS

12/18 Free Play - 523 Michigan St -11

12/18 Free Play - 518 Warriors -7.5

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Celtics at Bulls: What Bettors Need to Know

Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls (-1.5, 181.5)

The Boston Celtics had seen their fortunes improve at the beginning of the month as they started to lock down at the defensive end. That defensive intensity has abandoned the team on the current road trip. The Celtics will be looking to salvage one win on the three-game trip when they finish up at the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday. The Bulls have had no problems on the defensive end. It’s scoring that can be a issue.

Chicago will be playing the second night of a back-to-back after falling at Memphis, 80-71, on Monday. The Bulls had won seven of their previous nine games but had topped 100 points just twice in that span. Boston took a 101-95 decision in Chicago on Nov. 12, marking the beginning of a four-game stretch that saw the Bulls allowing at least 100 points in each. They have surrendered 100 in just one of the 13 games since the end of that span.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Cpmcast SportsNet New England (Boston), Comcast SportsNet Chicago Plus

ABOUT THE CELTICS (12-11, 8-13-2 ATS): Boston dropped a 12-point decision at Houston on Friday and lost to San Antonio by 15 the next night while struggling on both ends. Rajon Rondo is attempting to shoulder more of the offensive load as the rest of the cast settles into their roles but has committed 14 turnovers in the first two games of the trip and is averaging 5.5 in six games this month. Rondo’s worst game of the season came in San Antonio on Saturday, when he was held to six points and nine assists while committing seven turnovers. It was only the second time this season that he had failed to reach double figures in assists. The Celtics’ biggest struggles on the defensive end have come in guarding the 3-point line. San Antonio hit 12 of 25 from beyond the arc on Saturday.

ABOUT THE BULLS (13-10, 8-14-0 ATS): Chicago knew that with Derrick Rose out for a large chunk of the season scoring could become an issue. The Bulls shot just 37.3 percent in the loss at Memphis on Monday, with Carlos Boozer’s 16 points leading four players in double figures. Luol Deng was being counted on to pick up some of the slack but has been in a shooting slump of late and is 7-for-31 in Chicago’s last two losses. What keeps the Bulls in games is the defense, which is again one of the best in the league. The Bulls slow the pace and play strong on the perimeter, holding opponents to 32 percent from 3-point range. Coach Tom Thibodeau was the designer of the Boston defense as an assistant before taking over in Chicago.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Chicago.
* Favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Celtics are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Celtics are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Chicago.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Celtics G Avery Bradley, who has been out since May following shoulder surgery, participated in contact activities in practice for the first time on Monday.

2. Chicago has taken five of the last seven in the series.

3. Rondo has averaged 12.2 points, 9.4 assists and 2.6 turnovers in 23 career games against the Bulls.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
5* Purdue -15.5
3* California -12.5
3* Minnesota Timberwolves +9

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Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Tuesday, December 18th

Tuesday Night Pro Basketball Scoreboard Scorcher!!!!!
Toronto/Cleveland over 188 1/2

NBA Best Bets
Minnesota/Miami under 198
Boston/Chicago over 183
Indiana/Milwaukee over 187
Charlotte/LA Lakers under 208

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You College Basketball Selections for Tuesday, December 18th

College Basketball Super Total of the Week!!!!!
Michigan State/Bowling Green under 122

College Basketball Best Bets
Richmond/Kansas over 135 1/2
Miami-Florida/Central Florida under 132
Western Kentucky/Virginia Commonwealth under 135
Stanford/NC State over 143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TUESDAY'S ALL IN

From Platinum Plays.




500K NBA Mismatch

the Golden St Warriors -7½ over
the New Orleans Hornets

Best Bets





the Miami Heat -9 over
the Minnesota Timberwolves

the Boston Celtics +1½ over
the Chicago Bulls

the NC State Wolf Pack -7 over
the Stanford Cardinal

the Long Beach St 49ers +12½ over
the UCLA Bruins


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK




the Miami-Fla Hurricanes -5 over
the Central Florida Golden Knights

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS

10* CBB Wyoming

10* NBA Milwaukee Bucks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams


Top-Rated
1000♦
NBA Best Bet


Utah Jazz +5

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RAS

Cal Irvine +2.5

Western Illinois +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Warriors / Hornets Over 193.5

50* Southern Miss -3.5

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Doc Sports

3 Unit Play. #536 Take NC State -7.5 over Stanford (9 pm ESPN) The Wolfpack were highly ranked entering this season but they have not performed well against top teams but I fully expect that to change starting tonight. This team cannot afford to mess around anymore, as another loss will drop them out of the top-25. The Wolfpack will have revenge on their minds after losing by 4 points to the Cardinal last year in Palo Alto. NC State is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.

5 Unit Play. #540 Take Wyoming -8.5 over Denver (9 pm) The Cowboys continue to be undervalued by the odds makers and we will attack this short line playing a Denver team that has trouble scoring points. The Cowboys own a commanding 100-49 advantage in the all-time series between the two teams. The Pioneers are just 3-5 on the season and 0-3 in true road games. There three wins are against Texas A & M - CC, Nebraska-Omaha, and Mercer. This will be a double digit victory for the home team, as the Cowboys are getting it done on both ends of the court. Denver is 16-41 ATS in their last 57 road games against teams with winning home record. The Pokes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against WAC teams.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

4 * MSU -11 (4pm)

3 * NC STATE -7 (6pm)

2 * S. MISS -3 (4pm)
2 * WYO -8 (6pm)
2 * LBSU +13.5 (8pm)

1 * USF -6 (4pm)
1 * CHARLESTON -8 (4:30pm)
1 * TEN TECH +9.5 (5pm)
1 * UIC -1 (5pm)
1 * LSU -1 (7pm)

2 * Teaser: NC STATE -2.5 & WYO -3 (6pm)

1.5 * Teaser: MSU -6 & LBSU +18.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer NBA

2 Unit Play. Take #509 Boston +1 ½ over Chicago (8:05 p.m., Tuesday, December 18)

Last night we cashed the Grizzlies over the Bulls so tonight we look for 2-straight winners against the Roseless Bulls. The Celtics have already beaten Chicago in Chicago this year and again I see the Celtics giving the Bulls a hard fought game. The big factor in this game will be Rondo and I don't see anybody on the Bulls roster to slow him down.Look for Rondo and Pierce to have big games tonight and again we fade the Bulls in back-to-back nights. Boston is 4-1 ATS following a SU loss and the Bulls are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games.

3 Unit Play. Take #514 Dallas -5 ½ over Philadelphia (8:35 p.m., Tuesday, December 18)

Sunday we faded the 76ers because Jrue Holiday was not playing and again we fading the 76ers tonight on the road. Philadelphia has dropped 3-straight games and 2 of those games were at home. The Mavs have also dropped 3 games but all 3 of those games were on the road and tonight Dallas gets back to winning. Look for OJ Mayo to carry the Mavs tonight to a much needed home 'W' and again with no Holiday in the lineup the Mavs should put this bad road team away. Philadelphia is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against Dallas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 * Youngstown st +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #527. Take Youngstown State +6 over South Florida (Wednesday @ 7pm est).


Youngstown State is coached by a great head coach in Jerry Slocum. This team has showed a lot of grit all year beating the likes of George Washington who is a top 140 team on the road by 7, beating top 130 Georgia on the road by 12 (we were on Youngstown State in that game as we have faded Georgia all year, recently taking Iona over Georgia as well), losing to top 60 North Dakota State at home by on neutral footing by 3 points in overtime and even their losses to James Madison, Duquesne and Kent State were not blowout losses and were either tight games or went into overtime. This team is led by junior Kendrick Perry and have decent veteran role players. This explains why this team is top 20 in turnover margin and top 100 in offense as they are top 90 in blocks and top 20 in steals as most Slocum teams are. South Florida is a good team that comes off a tough loss to Oklahoma State. Although they might be upset from that loss, I suspect they could be hungover from it here. Its tough to get up to play Youngstown State when you lost by almost single digits to Oklahoma State on the road. This should be a close contest all the way through in what could be a low scoring game in which I think the 6 points can be useful and significant for us.











Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball



3-Unit Play. #507. Take Minnesota Timberwolves +9 over Miami Heat (Tuesday @ 7:30pm est)>

3-Unit Play. #502. Take Washington +7 over Atlanta (Tuesday @ 7:05pm est).

3-Unit Play. #516. Take Denver -2 over San Antonio (Tuesday @ 9pm est).

3-Unit Play. #517. Take New Orleans Hornets +7.5 over Golden State Warriors (Tuesday @ 10:35pm est).


The Timberwolves were looking ahead to Miami which might have played a role into them losing against Orlando (we were on Orlando yesterday for the outright win). We were also on the Knicks which was a disaster as Melo' did not end up playing which went against 3 websites that were reporting that he was probable. Nevertheless, as per this game, with Miami coming off such a big win over Washington in a blowout fashion and the Timberwolves being one of the hottest teams in the league with Rubio back now, they have a great deal of athleticism that could give Miami trouble. With the two bigs of Love and Pekovic, Minnesota is a Memphis junior you if you will with two bigs that is a type of format that does give Miami trouble. They cannot play small ball effectively when they lose to teams with two larger bigs. This can include Pau and Randolph or Jordan and Griffin in LA. I like the Timberwolves here coming off that loss. As per Washington, they have revenge against Atlanta from an earlier season loss by 9 points. The game pushed. Now, they are getting 7 at home after they got hammered at Miami. Plus, Atlanta might be looking ahead to OKC in their next game who they have already beaten and look to sweep against. Plus, when 75% of the public is on a road chalk, it is always something to take notice. The Wizards have been playing better recently including beating the Heat, giving the Lakers some trouble at home and they are not intimidated by any means against Atlanta as they do have familiarity with them. With the public on San Antonio off a loss, it is interesting that they will take the points against Denver. San Antonio has shown the ability to lose back to back games including losing to Utah on the road by 3 points and losing to Portland the next night by 9 points on the road. They did bounce-back against Boston at home beating them by double-digits which we were on, but they fell short by 14 points to OKC last night who had revenge. Denver has been playing well lately and note that they lost on their home floor by 26 about a month ago (on November 17th) so the revenge and motivation is there this evening. I like Denver with the revenge angle here. Finally, New Orleans is a team on the rise ATS wise. We were on this team on the road against Portland in the last game on the board Sunday night and they snuck inside the 4.5 spread and we will be on them this Monday night on this west coast road trip they are on. Remember, this team lost to OKC with revenge by 4 points 88-92 so it goes to show that they can indeed do well with revenge and motivation. Plus, Golden State comes off hammering Atlanta on the road as they were coming off a loss to Orlando by 14 points and coming off such a big win, it is hard to get up for the lowly Hornets to boot. Plus, great public fade on one of the last game on the board this evening as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
15* Winthrop +29
15* jazz under 193
15* Twolves +9
20* Hornets under 193

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bio Sports Picks CBB 12/18. 8-18 on season.
NC State -7 -


(542) UC Irvine +1.5 -


(543) Long Beach State +13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gaming Today’s Consensus Picks December 18, 2012 3:01 AM by GT Staff

NBA Basketball

Toronto Raptors/Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 188½

Minnesota Timberwolves +9

Minnesota Timberwolves/Miami Heat OVER 188

Indiana Pacers/Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 187

Denver Nuggets -2½

New Orleans Hornets/Golden State Warriors OVER 193½

Charlotte Bobcats/Los Angeles Lakers OVER 208

NCAA Basketball

Richmond +15½

Miami Florida -4

NC State -7

NCAA Basketball Play of the Day December 18, 2012 3:01 AM by GT Staff

Richmond +15½ at Kansas at 4 p.m. PT ESPN2

The Jayhawks by far the better team here but have been having their problems covering the high point spreads at home going just 4-5 ATS and you can always depend on the Spiders to give a 100 percent effort, especially being on this big venue.

RICHMOND +15½

2 for Tuesday by Richard Saber

1) Richmond +15½ at Kansas (NCAA bkb)

The Spiders hit the road for a big TV game and should get the cover. The Jayhawks have gone just 4-5 in Lawrence so far this season; most unusual. RICHMOND.

2) Stanford +6½ at NC State (NCAA bkb)

In the second half of the ESPN double dip, the host Wolfpack from the ACC should have enough offense to overcome Stanford and its deliberate, patient style. NC STATE.

Richard Saber (last week ATS: 1-1; 2012 record: 52-40-6).
Records are their #'s NOT MINE

2 for Tuesday by Mark Mayer

1) Winthrop +30 at Ohio State (NCAA bkb)

It’s been cupcake city for Ohio State of late as they await big showdown in Columbus against Kansas. Winthrop did knock off Ohio U on the road 50-49. Give this dog a shot. WINTHROP.

2) Jacksonville St. +6 at Nebraska (NCAA bkb)

The Cornhuskers were blown out by Creighton and Oregon, but they just can’t be this bad. Nebraska does own wins over USC and Wake Forest. That’s good enough to lay the 6. NEBRASKA.

Mark Mayer (Last week ATS: 0-2; 2012 record: 52-45-3).
Records are their #'s NOT mine

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll sports 1-5 yesterday---first really bad day in a while--1-1 10*s last 2

todays card

10* ill chi flames +1 cbb
5* richmond/kansas over 134 cbb
4* ball st +15.5 cbb
3* boston celtics +1.5 nba
2* 76ers/mavs under 192.5 nba

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Psychic Sports Picks

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

Pass

WIZARD
(1-20)

10 unit Minnesota +8.5 (NBA)

Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)

10 unit Philadelphia +5.5 (NBA)

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Stanford +7.5 (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ryan’s CBB 25* Top Rated Upset Alert Titan; 73% RU


Old Dominion at College of Charleston Dec 18 2012 7:30PM


25* graded play on Old Dominion as they take on College of Charleston set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ODU will lose this game by seven or fewer points and does possess and opportunity to win the game. Given these projections I like playing a combination bet using a 21* amount on the line and a 4* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 103-58 mark since 1997. Play on road teams as a dog or pick and is a poor offensive team scoring between 63 and 67 PPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 PPG and after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games. COC is not an aggressive type of team and rank 50th in the nation in fewest fouls drawn at 15.6 per game. ODU is a solid 7-0 ATS when facing teams who are called for 17 or less fouls per game over the last 3 seasons. ODU has a huge advantage on the offensive boards as they are more athletic and quicker to the ball than COC. ODU ranks 10th in the nation averaging 14.8 offensive boards per game. Rebounding will be a significant part in ODU attaining a possible upset win.


Prediction: Old Dominion




BIG AL's 122-72 NCAA BASKETBALL ROADKILL WINNER!


Jacksonville State at Nebraska Dec 18 2012 9:00PM


At 9 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Jacksonville St. In their last two games, the 'Huskers were drilled by Creighton, 64-42 and Oregon, 60-38. Those back to back 22-point setbacks dropped Nebraska to 6-3 on the season. But I look for Nebraska to get back on the winning track tonight, at home, vs. Jacksonville St, which won at Presbyterian on Saturday. One of the things I like to do is play on teams off low-scoring blowout losses. Indeed, since 1990, teams off an 18-point (or worse) SU/ATS loss, in which they scored less than 40 points, are a super 92-57 ATS vs. foes off a SU win. Also, Nebraska is a solid 30-15 ATS at home off back to back losses over the past 15 seasons. Take the Cornhuskers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: Nebraska


Bet Type: SPREAD






Larry's 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner (7-0 CBB run)


Denver at Wyoming Dec 18 2012 9:00PM


My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Wyoming at 9:00 ET.


There are eight Division I schools still unbeaten but only ONE of the eight remains unranked. Standing alone in that category are the Wyoming Cowboys, who continue to ‘fly under the radar’ despite a 10-0 mark to begin the 2012-13 campaign. The Cowboys look to make in 11 wins in a row tonight, as they welcome the Denver Pioneers to Arena Auditorium in Laramie for a non-conference showdown. The Cowboys are not deep with a trio of seniors leading the way. Former USC transfer, the 6-7 Washington, has established himself as the team’s best player, leading the team in scoring (15.2) and rebounding (8.6). The senior guard duo Martinez (13.5) and Gilmore (13.1) has been steady as she goes and 6-8 sophomore Larry Nance, Jr, is having a very good second season (10.6-7.4). Sophomore guard Grabau (5.6) and freshman guard Adams (5.5) are the “best of the rest.” Wyoming’s 10-0, including 7-0 at home, where the Cowboys are outscoring opponents, 70.0-57.8 PPG. Denver ‘limps’ in just 3-5 (1-5 ATS), including 0-3 SU and ATS on the road, where the Pioneers have averaged a meager 55.3 PPG. The team features a quartet of 6-5 or 6-6 players at its core and very little else. That group includes O’Neale (15.4-5.8), Udofia (12.0-5.5-3.9), Hallam (9.8-4.4) and Olson (9.1). Wyoming hasn’t faced the toughest of schedules but Denver surely doesn’t fit in the “quality opponent” category, either. Larry Shyatt first arrived in Wyoming for the 1997-98 season, leading the Cowboys to a 19-9 record and an NIT appearance. However, he left to take the Clemson job, where he was a big flop, going 70-84 ion five seasons. He was part of Florida’s staff after that, until returning to Laramie for last season. He’s credited with changing the culture of the program last year, featuring a suffocating defense and running a deliberate offense. it resulted in a 21-12 season and a CBI berth. The defense is holding opponents to just 55.3 PPG (ranks 10th) on 38.0 percent shooting from the floor and Wyoming has been doing just about everything right on both ends of the floor. I can’t think of any reason to buck the red-hot Cowboys in this one, who have beaten better opponents than Denver in their 10-0 start. The price seems ‘cheap’ and I’m laying it!


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Wyoming


Bet Type: SPREAD








Larry's Las Vegas Insider (7-0 CBB run)


SMU at Utah Dec 18 2012 9:00PM


My 8* Las Vegas insider is on Utah at 9:00 ET.


Utah has been on a break since losing to in-state rival BYU in Provo, 61-58, back on Dec 8. The loss snapped a brief two-game win streak for the Utes, who will take their 6-3 record into tonight’s non-conference home game with 8-2 SMU. Despite not being league rivals, this marks the second meeting of the young season between the Utes and Mustangs with SMU winning 62-55 at home back on Nov 28. Kudos to Hall of Fame head coach Larry Brown who has the Mustangs off to a fast start but I like Utah to reverse last month’s loss in Dallas. The Utes almost HAVE to benefit from a “friendlier whistle” at the Huntsmen Center, after Utah was outscored from the free throw line in that first meeting, 18-2 (Utah attempted just three FTs to SMU’s 18). The 6-6 Jones (15.6-8.4) plus guards Russell (14.3-3.9) and Manuel (13.1-4.5) give SMU a formidable trio but Utah’s DuBois (14.5) and 6-6 freshman Loveridge (12.3-7.2) have proven to be a solid duo. I also like Utah’s size inside, behind the 7-0 Bachynski (8.4-7.8) and the 6-10 Washington (8.6-4.3). SMU’s last outing (12/15) was a 72-50 loss at Rhode Island (Rams are just 3-7) and Larry Brown’s team falls here to the revenge-minded Utes.


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Utah




Team Del Genio CBB Odds Mismatch (14-6-1 L5 Days!)


Western Kentucky at Virginia Commonwealth Dec 18 2012 7:00PM


Play on VCU at 7:00 ET. Please note the time change for this particular matchup. Tipoff is now 7 ET. Also note that despite WKU coming in w/ the slightly better record, VCU is the heavy favorite here and for good reason. The Rams just got done beating fmr HC Anthony Grant & Alabama Saturday, 73-54 as 6.5-point favorites, for their fourth consecutive DD win since dropping BB games on a neutral floor to Duke and Missouri, two teams that are ranked in the Top 15 (Duke is #1!). In fact, all seven of Virginia Commonwealth's victories this season have come by double digits. The three losses have come by a combined 14 points and that margin would be even smaller if not for a nine-point loss to Duke. Tonight's opponent is not near the class of the three teams VCU lost to (all ranked) as the Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky have yet to really step up significantly in class. They lost at Murray State Sunday as nine-point dog, 75-70, marking the third time in four tries so far this season that they've lost SU when priced as an underdog. With their biggest loss though only coming by eight points, this line might seem a bit curious. But why ask why? In actuality, this is a terrible matchup for WKU as anything that can do, VCU can do better. The Hilltoppers come in shooting only 26.5% from three-point range and 62.8% from the free throw line. They have gotten off to some slow starts previously on the road & also turn the ball over a bit too much, though they were good in that department vs. Murray State. But VCU is a different animal, with almost 11 steals/game. These teams met twice in a four-day span LY w/ the Rams taking both meetings, including the second by 23 pts. WKU has 22 TO's. VCU is our 8* CBB Odds Mismatch.


Prediction: Virginia Commonwealth


Bet Type: SPREAD






Team Del Genio 10* West Coast WIPEOUT (14-6-1 Run)


Louisiana State at Cal-Irvine Dec 18 2012 10:00PM


Play on Cal Irvine at 10:00 ET. This is yet another long and dangerous trip out West for a LSU team that just lost its first game of the year, at Boise State, Friday. The Tigers have yet to cover any of their three lined games in what has been a very light schedule to date, so you can basically throw their record out right away. Not only did they lose at Boise State, they fell by 19. Not a good sign here, even if laying just a minimal number, which by the way immediately had us taking notice. Cal Irvine comes in at only 5-6, but none of those losses have come at home. In fact, while LSU has been busy doing nothing, Cal Irvine has taken its act all over the country. LSU hasn't even played in any kind of tournament. Before Boise State, it was nothing but cupcakes at home. The best team they played was Seton Hall, who isn't all that good. Irvine has already played the likes of UCLA (lost by just 1) and UNLV (OK, got crushed). And the Anteaters are coming off a nice outright win over the weekend at Fresno State, winning 58-51 as 5.5-point dogs. They held the Bulldogs to 25.5% shooting - for the game! They are now holding foes to just 35% shooting for the year, which is outstanding. LSU was outrebounded 44-27 by Boise State (ouch!) and turned the ball over 20 times. Of their two best rebounders, one is only 6'5" 195lbs, the other only plays 22 minutes. As a team, the Tigers are hitting an awful 57% from the charity stripe. First year HC Johnny Jones never impressed us at North Texas and we weren't fooled at all by that 6-0 start. This is a revenge spot for the home team, who lost in Baton Rouge last year, but easily covered as 15-point dogs. UC Irvine is our 10* West Coast WIPEOUT.


Prediction: Cal-Irvine


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* CBB BIG BITE BEATDOWN (65% LIFETIME!)


UC Santa Barbara at California Dec 18 2012 11:00PM


After starting the season 6-0, California has lost three straight games, the last two coming at home. Those games were against nationally ranked UNLV and Creighton however and throw in a loss at Wisconsin and it shows the three-game skid is not overly surprising. The last loss against the Bluejays was frustrating as the Bears dominated the boards, especially on the offensive end, while committing only eight turnovers however but they could not get the shots to fall. Leading scorer Allen Crabbe was just 6-26 from the floor including 0-8 from long range where he came in shooting over 45 percent from behind the arc so we will see a big bounceback game from him. Tonight California takes a big step down in class as Santa Barbara is off to a 4-5 start and that record is even skewed due to wins over two non-Division I opponents. The Gauchos are coming off a 20-win season from last year but don't expect a repeat of that as they are in rebuilding mode following the loss of three players that averaged a combined 44.7 ppg last year. To no surprise, scoring has been hard to come by as Santa Barbara is averaging just 63 ppg on 41.3 percent shooting in seven Division I games. The Gauchos are getting killed on the boards as well while putting up a poor 0.87 assist/turnover ratio. All five of their losses this season have been by at least 14 points and have come by an average of 20 ppg. California is 25-12 ATS in its last 37 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games while the Gauchos are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Blowout time tonight. 10* (546) California Golden Bears


Prediction: California


Bet Type: SPREAD




Sam Martin's 20* CBB


Michigan State at Bowling Green Dec 18 2012 7:00PM


20* Play on Michigan State. We're not exactly why this pointspread is so low - perhaps because the Spartans did not look good in their last road game (an eight-point loss at Miami FL) or possibly because Bowling Green has some pretty good defensive numbers (allowing 52 points per game at home), but neither excuse is really valid here. We'll lay the points with Michigan State and look for the Spartans to win this game in an absolute blowout.


This is easily Bowling Green's toughest opponent by far, as their previously toughest foe on their schedule was nearly a month ago when the Falcons were a 7-point road underdog at Robert Morris (BG lost that game by 11 points). They are well over their heads in this matchup and we give the Spartans monster advantages on both ends of the court.


For starters, Bowling Green is not a very good offensive club overall and come into tonight with no momentum after shooting under 40% from the floor and scoring less than 60 points in three straight. Even worse, BG was listed as a pick 'em once and as the favorite twice in all three of those games - also played on their home floor. And now they go up against a MSU defense that only allows 56 points per game on 36% shooting. And while Bowling Green doesn't give up many points - that is mainly because of the slow pace they prefer to play. Michigan State prefers a more up-tempo game style, and they are talented enough to push that game tempo and control the flow of the game. Spartans have scored 84, 76, 73, and 92 points in their last four games, and are more than capable of blowing out an inferior BG opponent tonight! 20* Play on Michigan State.


Prediction: Michigan State


Bet Type: SPREAD




SCOTT SPREITZER'S CBB KNOCKOUT G.O.M.! *34-19 Run!


Stanford at N.C. State Dec 18 2012 9:00PM


I'm laying the points with NC State on Tuesday night as the Wolfpack attempt to exact a little revenge. The Pack lost 76-72 at Maples Pavilion last season. NC State actually led by as many as 12 points in the second half and led by 7 points with just over seven minutes to go in the game. But two Wolfpack players fouled out of the contest, including Scott Woods, who was the Pack's best shooter at the time. Two more players were called for four personal fouls, and C.J. Miles left the game during the second half with a thigh injury after scoring 14 first half points. Numerous fouls and the injury to Miles hamstrung the Pack and they didn't make a single FG over the final 7:08 of the game. It should be noted the Wolfpack were outscored 29-13 at the FT line. Stanford was afforded 34 chances to just 20 for NC State. But I expect NC State to finish the job this season. The Pack are one of the best offensive teams in the nation, averaging 78.4 ppg. They're #1 in the NCAA in FG percentage, "canning" 52.7% of their attempts - and rank 28th from area code three. Stanford has truly struggled in step-up games this season, losing at home to Belmont and in the Bahamas to Missouri and Minnesota. The Cardinal made just 60 of 173 (34.7%) of their shots in the three losses, including a horrible, 14 of 64 (21.9%) of their 3-point attempts. The Cardinal are 334th in the nation in 3-point shooting, yet 31.2% of their shots come from beyond the arc. They make an average of just 4.7 treys per game, while attempting 18.1. At the same time, the hot-shooting Wolfpack have a much better ratio with just 23% of their shots coming from beyond the arc. NC State puts four players in double-figures in scoring, averaging between 11.7 and 14.6 ppg. Two more players average over 9 ppg. Tough matchups for Stanford. NC State enters on a 12-3-1 ATS run overall, and they're 11-2 ATS off a SU win. I'm laying the points with NC State on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: N.C. State


Bet Type: SPREAD






Sam Martin's 20* CBB


Miami (FL) at Central Florida Dec 18 2012 8:00PM


20* Play on Miami FL. Not enough respect given to Miami FL by the linesmakers tonight (or, perhaps too much respect given to Central Florida), and we'll jump all over this bad line and back the Hurricanes with full confidence. After an 87-79 season-opening win, the Hurricanes have seemed to get better each time they have taken the court - especially on the defensive end - and enter this game with huge momentum with a five-game winning streak (4-0 ATS run) with big wins against both Michigan State and at UMass. They won't have to win by much to cover this small number, but we look for a comfortable win here nonetheless against a UCF squad that is rather untested save for a 13-point loss against Florida.


That loss against the Gators was one of just four lined games for UCF, and we don't think their offense will be anywhere near as good as they have been the rest of the season against much weaker foes. Miami has held five straight opponents to under 41% shooting from the floor, and while they don't give up many points per game (six straight opponents held to 63 points or less), they are still able to put up decent offensive statistics (shot 48% or better in all but one game this season). Home court advantage doesn't scare us as Central Florida's lone home contest in a lined game came as a three-point favorite against Middle Tennessee State - a game UCF lost outright by 14 points. Miami is the much better team and it shows on the scoreboard after 40 minutes! 20* Play on Miami FL.


Prediction: Miami (FL)


Bet Type: SPREAD







Burns PERSONAL FAVORITE (OFF 3-0 BB SWEEP, 8-1 L9)


Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers Dec 18 2012 7:05PM


I'm playing on CLEVELAND. The Raptors have earned a couple of wins recently and have actually covered the spread in three straight. Outworking teams can do that. Its important not to confuse hard work with talent though. This is still a lower tier team that is missing arguably its two most talented players. A closer look at the recent Toronto wins shows that they were both at the Air Canada Centre. They were also both against teams that were in difficult scheduling situations. I played on the Raptors in the first win, partly as they were catching the Mavericks in a difficult situation. In hindsight, I probably should have also taken them in Sunday's win over Houston, given that Jeremy Lin and co. were playing at MSG the following night. Either way, the Raptors aren't at home any longer. They're 1-14 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 104.2 to 92.6. This time, I don't expect the Raptors, 11-18-2 ATS (7-24 SU) the last 31 times they were off an "upset win," to outwork and/or be more focused than their opponent. This time, the Raptors will be facing a Cleveland team which is desperate to snap a losing skid and knows that, on paper, this is their most winnable game the rest of 2012. (A look at their schedule tells me that they won't be favored by this much again anytime in December.) The Cavs, who now have their star (Irving) back, lost their last game here. However, they beat the Lakers by six here in their previous home game. So, this is a team capable of defending its home floor. They're 1-0 ATS as home favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range this season (10 point win vs. Wizards) and I look for them to improve on those stats tonight. *9 Personal Favorite


Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers


Bet Type: SPREAD










Ryan’s 25* TOP RATED NBA Titan; 71% streak


Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets Dec 18 2012 7:35PM


25* graded play on the Brooklyn Nets as they take on the Utah Jazz set to start at 7:35 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Nets will win this game by 7 or more points. The sim shows a high probability that Utah will shoot between 43 and 47% from the field. In past games, Nets are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season. For those, who like playing the money line, you’ll love the following system posting a 37-4 mark for 90% winners and has made 30.1 units per one unit wagered. Play on home favorites when using the money line after scoring 85 points or less and now facing an opponent after scoring 90 points or less 2 straight games. Nets have lost six of eight games and covered just two of eight games. Generally, when a winning record NBA team shoots below 40% from the field, they respond well in the next game. In the early part of this season, the Nets have shot below 40% just one time, and in the next game they shot 55% in their 114-101 win and cover over Cleveland November 13. Utah has a solid offense ranking ninth in the NBA averaging 99.9 PPG, but it will the Brooklyn defense, that ranks fifth in the NBA allowing 93.8 PPG, that will dominate the game. Utah defense ranks 20th in the NBA allowing 99.2 PPG and although the Nets have sputtered on offense at times this season (ranking 19th averaging 96 PPG), they will eb able to execute a high level based on the respective matchups. Take the Nets.


Prediction: Brooklyn Nets


Bet Type: SPREAD








Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider (off 4-1 Monday)


San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets Dec 18 2012 9:05PM


My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Den Nuggets at 9:05 ET.


I went against the Spurs last night (at OKC) as part of my Superstar Triple Play and will do so again here, at Denver. I mentioned last night that the Spurs feed off their depth but injuries have taken some of the wind out of their sails. Jackson did return last night (after missing 14 games) but Leonard is still sidelined plus Ginobili is a question mark for tonight. He sat out last night with a bruised left quadriceps suffered in Saturday's 103-88 victory over Boston. and just may miss again, here. Parker (19.2-7.5 APG) and Duncan (17.3-10.3) are being counted on heavily in recent weeks and both sat out the fourth quarter Monday, even after San Antonio trimmed an 18-point deficit in half with less than six minutes left. The Spurs opened the season 11-2 on the road but last night’s loss at OKC makes it THREE in a row, away from home. The Nuggets come into this game just 13-12 but will be playing just their EIGHTH home game of the season tonight (no team has played fewer home games). "It's the worst stretch of travel I've been associated with," coach George Karl said after Denver shot 54.1 percent from the field in Sunday's 122-97 rout at Sacramento. However, some of the Nuggets are actually embracing this hectic schedule as a stretch of 15 of 18 at home begins on New Year's Day. The Spurs will face a very versatile and deep Denver team which features SIX, double-digit scorers. PG Lawson (14.6-7.0 APG), do-everything guard Iqoudala (13.8-5.4-4.1), Brewer (11.5) and Miller (8.8-5.2 APG) take care of the perimeter. SF Gallinari (15.6-5.7) leads in scoring with Faried (12.0-10.0), McGee (11.1-5.3) and Koufos (7.0-6.0) working hard inside. The Nuggets have rarely been at home this year but are 6-1 SU, outscoring opponents 103.1-to-94.0 PPG. The Nuggets lost 126-100 loss at San Antonio on Nov 17, committing 22 turnovers in what is their most lopsided defeat of the season. I’m betting things go MUCH differently, tonight.


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Denver Nuggets




Fargo's 10* NBA TOTALS DOMINATOR (THIS FLIES OVER)


Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets Dec 18 2012 7:35PM


After going over the total in four of five games, Utah has stayed under the number in each of its last three heading into Brooklyn tonight. The Jazz have managed just 84 and 86 points in their last two games both of which resulted in double-digits losses and they need to get the offense back in gear as they were one of just nine teams in the NBA that were averaging over 100 ppg heading into those games. The task does not get any easier against Brooklyn which has a solid defense although it has not been playing its best of late. The Nets are coming off a very low scoring game against Chicago where only 165 points were scored and that is adding value here. They came into that game allowing an average of 102.6 ppg over their previous seven games, five of which saw them allow 100 or more points. The Brooklyn offense has not been very strong either but facing the Jazz can turn that around in a hurry as Utah has given up 99 or more points in 10 of its last 13 games, allowing an average of 101.2 ppg over that stretch. The Nets have gone under in eight of 10 games on the road but are 8-5 to the over at home including four of their last five at the Barclays Center. Additionally, Brooklyn is 18-8 to the over in its last 26 home games following a loss while the Jazz are 29-15 to the over in their last 44 road games with a total between 190 and 199.5 points. 10* Over (505) Utah Jazz/(506) Brooklyn Nets


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL






Fargo's NBA SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (MASSIVE BLOWOUT)


Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks Dec 18 2012 8:05PM


After four straight wins, Milwaukee suffered a big loss on Saturday against the Clippers as the Bucks were pounded by 26 points. The game was done by halftime as Los Angeles built a huge lead and was up by as many as 29 points. Milwaukee was outscored 66-28 in the paint but should be in much better shape tonight. The Bucks have a short two-game roadtrip on deck at Memphis and at Boston which makes this game a big one in terms of staying near the top of the Central Division where they are currently just a half-game back. Indiana is also only a half-game behind the Bulls in the division following a three-game winning streak, all of which came by double-digits. The opposition was anything but strong though as two of those wins came against Detroit and Cleveland while the other was against the .500 Sixers. The Pacers have been playing a lot better after a slow start to the season as their defense has led the way. Overall ,they are allowing just 90.4 ppg which is tied for second lowest in the league but the offense is still struggling pretty bad. Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS this season following a loss while Indiana is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a double-digit win while going back further is only 16-32 ATS in its last 48 road games following consecutive double digit victories. Milwaukee won the first meeting this season at home last month and was favored by 4.5 points so we are getting a very favorable line this time around. 9* (512) Milwaukee Bucks


Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks


Bet Type: SPREAD






Sam Martin's 20* NBA BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH (19-7)!!


Atlanta Hawks at Washington Wizards Dec 18 2012 7:05PM


20* Play on Atlanta. Huge bounce-back spot for Atlanta tonight, who had won five of six prior to a blowout loss against Golden State their last time out, and we'll back the Hawks to come back with a big win tonight against an overmatched Washington team. Atlanta shot a season-low 37% in that defeat, but the last two times the Hawks shot 40% or less from the field, they bounced back with good offensive showings, scoring 101 and 111 points in their next games. Atlanta also has done well coming off of losses, going 4-0 both straight up and ATS in their last four chances.


While we expect Atlanta to come back with a strong offensive effort here, the same can't be said for Washington, who is scoring just 89 points per game on the season and come in shellshocked after suffering a 30-point loss against the Heat in their last game. The Wizards finished with 72 points on 38% shooting - the third time in their last four games Washington has failed to shoot at least 40% from the field. Atlanta is a decent road team going 6-3 SU so far, and for whatever reason they are better defensively away from home, allowing just 90 points per game. And finally, Atlanta has history on their side as they have won 17 of the last 18 games in this series outright. That type of dominance breeds lack of confidence for losing teams such as the Wizards, and with their offensive struggles we look for the Hawks to bounce back with a dominating effort tonight! 20* Play on Atlanta.


Prediction: Atlanta Hawks


Bet Type: SPREAD

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Andrew Lange

20* NBA Heat/Wolves over198.5

10* CBB California-Irvine +2.5

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ATS INSIDER
hoops:
3 Miami-Fla. (-4) over Central Florida, 8pmET
3 LSU (-1) over Cal Irvine, 10pmET

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Red Dog Sports 4* Furman

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Jim Fesit 4* Golden State

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Marco D'Angelo | NBA Sides - Tuesday, Dec 18 2012 8:35PM
513 PHI 5.5(-110) Hilton vs 514 DAL double-dime bet


Analysis:
PLAY: PHILADELPHIA
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

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BEN BURNS
December 18, 2012 - 7:00 PM NBA Toronto vs. Cleveland Burns' PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ LIMITED TIME OFFER! (OFF 3-0 BKB SWEEP, 8-1 L9 NBA) Pinnacle @ -4.5 -110 Cleveland

December 18, 2012 - 11:00 PM NCAAB UC Santa Barbara vs. California *BLOWOUT ALERT* Burns' *10 Fan Appreciation PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ OFF SWEEP Pinnacle @ -14 -106 California

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Accuscore
Written by Rohit Ghosh

Utah Jazz vs Brooklyn Nets – NBA Tuesday

Losers of six of eight in December, the Brooklyn Nets (13-10) look to get back on track as they host the Utah Jazz (13-12) tonight at the Barclays Center. Good news for Jazz fans- the Nets have defeated the Jazz just once in the last four years. Utah may be a poor road team, but Brooklyn is just 1-4 this month on the road. Could the timing be right for another Utah road victory?

AccuScore’s computer has Brooklyn as 66.4 percent favorites. After 10,000 simulations, the average score 102-97. The home team has a 34.8 percent chance at getting a big win (10 points or more). The spread was set at -5 for Brooklyn and they have a 50.8 percent chance at covering that. The total is set 194 and there is a 58.7 percent chance of going over that.

Utah is coming off a 99-86 loss to Memphis. Al Jefferson led the way with 21 points and eight rebounds, while Paul Millsap added just 12 points in the loss. Utah was up 54-44 at halftime, but got outscored 28-10 in the third quarter. Memphis also outscored Utah 50-38 in the paint. Al Jefferson has been averaging just 15.1 ppg on the road, while putting up 20.7 ppg at home.

The Nets are coming off a tough 83-82 loss to the Chicago Bulls. They beat Detroit in a double overtime game the night before that. Against Chicago, the Nets shot 38.7 percent and committed 18 turnovers. Brook Lopez had 18 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks against Chicago.

The last time these two teams met (March), the Nets lost 105-84 to the Jazz in New Jersey. Deron Williams had 17 points and 11 assists against his former team.

On the road, Utah gives up 103 points to the opposition. Add this to the projection that Utah will turn the ball over 3 more times than Brooklyn and you’ve got a recipe for a let-down. Brooklyn is also expected to grab a couple more offensive rebounds than Utah which just leads to extra possessions. Looking at the projected stats, I’d be worried that Joe Johnson has a huge game. He’s projected to shoot the ball 18 times, including 5 threes. Utah has to be careful that he doesn’t get it going early; he had 16 against the Bulls, but 28 against Detroit and 23 against Toronto.

The Nets have lost six of the past seven games vs the Jazz. In those matchups, Utah has averaged 104.6 ppg on 49.4 percent shooting. A wise man once said, "only a fool, on opinion, discounts repeated history." Brooklyn hasn’t been playing well at home and I think they’re desperate for a win. Just like taking Utah at home is the safe bet, picking against them on the road is too. Maybe I’m just a fool, but I’ll take the Nets by 6.

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JR ODONELL 3* Small School CBB GAME OF MONTH


JR ODonnell | CBB Sides Tue, 12/18/12 - 9:00 PM
triple-dime bet 557 Jacksonville St. 7.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 558 Nebraska

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Andre Gomes - NBA Tuesday Night Card


Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Tue, 12/18/12 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet 501 ATL -6.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 502 WAS
Analysis:
NBA - 501 Atlanta Hawks @ 502 Washington Wizards


Projected Line: Atlanta by 12 points


***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***


This will be the third game of the season between these two team, with the first two games being played at Atlanta. On the most recent game, Atlanta's guards were able to penetrate into the basket with ease and that's why they shot 19-26 FG at the end. The Hawks grabbed 60% of the rebounds and the game only got closer at the end, thanks to some problems on the perimeter shooting and some relax after leading the game by 18 points in the third quarter.


Unlike the past two games against the Wizards, where Atlanta was coming from nice wins prior to facing Washington and so, without great focus, this time Atlanta is coming from their worst loss of the season so far against the Warriors at home, therefore we have the Hawks in here on a bounce back spot. Atlanta quickly fell behind Golden State in the score and all they did to try to recover was settling for long-range jump shots.


“That is not acceptable, particularly when we are struggling and we need baskets,” Larry Drew said. “There was a lot of basketball to be played, particularly in the third quarter. You’ve got to make things happen in the paint. You can’t just settle for jump shots and look for the home run. You have to learn how to chip away.”


Therefore, I expect Atlanta's gameplan to be focused on pounding Washington down low. That should be an easy task for the Hawks, as in the first two games against the Wizards, Atlanta shot 20-29 FG and 19-26 FG at the rim! Washington has the second worst rim defense in the league by allowing 68.4% FG at this area, so the Hawks should be able to have a great offensive performance tonight. Washington has been playing without their starting PG A.J. Price and with Jordan Crawford on the PG position, turnovers can easily become a problem for the Wizards' offense. Washington had 19 and 21 turnovers on their last two games and Atlanta is one of the teams that forces more turnovers to their opponents.


With Nene Hilario questionable for tonight, Washington's offense should struggle. The Wizards are very dependent from the efficiency of their post up plays with Kevin Seraphin and Nene Hilario, but with Nene banged up, Washington are on a poor offensive spot for tonight. Washington is lacking a pure PG right now and the Wizards are prone to some offensive periods, where there is no organization and with all their shots being contested jumpers. On their last game against Miami, the Wizards shot just 13 times at the rim! With the versatility of the Hawks' defense, these jumpers will be contested and the Wizards will struggle tonight.


The Wizards covered the spread on the first two games against Atlanta, but now with the Hawks on a bounce back spot, I believe Atlanta is going to crush Washington and get a blowout win tonight. That's why I'll be taking Atlanta in here on a Double Dime Play!


Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 501 Atlanta Hawks (-6.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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SB Professor Original NBA Picks 12/18
7:00 PM
501. Atlanta Hawks -7 (service play)


10:30 PM
519. Charlotte Bobcats +12 (service play)

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Extreme sports picks
Nuggets
nets
cal
byu bowl game (Thursday)

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Hawks won 11 of their last 14 games (3-0 as AF).
-- Heat won three of last four games (3-4 as single digit HF). Minnesota won six of last eight games (4-0 as AU of 6+ points).
-- Bulls won five of their last seven games (1-9 as HF).
-- Milwaukee won four of last five games (3-3-1 as HF). Pacers won three in row, nine of last 13 games (3-6 as AU).
-- Nuggets won four of last six games (5-2 as HF).
-- Warriors won nine of last 11 games (4-2 as HF).
-- Lakers won last two games, by 6-13 points (6-5 as HF).


Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost five of their last six games (3-3-2 as HU).
-- Cleveland lost eight of last nine games (1-1 as HF). Raptors lost six of last seven games (3-8-1 as AU of 5+ points).
-- Brooklyn lost six of its last eight games (3-4-2 as HF). Jazz lost its last two games, scoring 84-86 points (0-7-1 as AU).
-- Celtics are 4-5 in last nine games, covered one of their last five (1-3-2 as AU).
-- 76ers lost last three games, by 7-10-13 points (3-3 as AU). Dallas lost its last three games, with two of three in OT (4-4 as HF).
-- Spurs lost three of their last four games (1-1 as AU).
-- New Orleans lost its last seven games (7-3 as AU).
-- Bobcats lost their last 11 games, covered one of last six (1-4 as AU of 7+ points).

Totals
-- Seven of nine Atlanta road games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- 13 of last 17 Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 12 Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Spurs' last four games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten New Orleans games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Charlotte games.

Back-to-backs
-- Minnesota is 1-3 vs spread playing second night in row on road.
-- Bulls are 2-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Spurs are 4-1-1 vs spread if they played the night before.

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CBB

-- Michigan State beat Bowling Green last two years by 35-14 points; Spartans lost 67-59 at Miami, in its only true road game this year- they are 6-0 vs teams not in top 100, with five of six wins by 12+ points. Falcons are 4-1 at home, beating #103 Detroit by 5, best team they've played this year. MAC home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread.
-- Southern Mississippi lost its last three road games, by 8-8-10 points; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 18-12-48. USM turns ball over 26% of time, not good. Georgia State is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Duke/BYU by 19-18 points. C-USA road favorites are 6-8 vs spread; CAA home underdogs are 1-3 against the spread.
-- Richmond is 9-2, 2-2 on road, losing only two games outside Virginia at Minnesota by 15, Ohio by 25, also only two games Spiders played vs teams ranked in top 180. Kansas hammered Colorado/Belmont by 29-36 points in its last two games; Jayhawks are blocking 24% of opponents' shots. Atlantic 16 double digit road underdogs are 7-4 vs spread.
-- 6-1 Miami split its two road games, losing at Florida Gulf Coast by 12, winning by 13 at UMass; Hurricanes are 2-0 vs top 100 teams, with home wins over Michigan State/Charlotte. Central Florida beat Miami 84-78 two years ago, in last series meeting; Knights lost by 14-13 points in its games vs top 50 teams. Miami better not look ahead to its Hawai'i trip - they play Warriors Saturday.


-- First true road game for 7-3 Stanford team that is 0-3 vs top 50 teams, losing by 8-8-3 points; Cardinal won its last three games, allowing 55.7 ppg, but they were all at home. NC State is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to Oklahoma State/Michigan, beating UConn by 4. Pac-12 road dogs are 10-11 against the spread. ACC single digit home favorites are 8-6.
-- Utah (+7) lost 62-55 at SMU Nov 28, outscored 18-2 on the foul line. SMU got hammered by 22 at Rhode Island Saturday, in its first game in two weeks; Mustangs won their other road game at Hofstra. SMU is #5 in country, making 41.2% behind arc. Utah hasn't played in 10 days since losing to rival BYU by 3- they beat Boise by 21 for its best win.
-- Denver lost last four visits to Wyoming by 8-13-32-6 points; they're 0-3 on road, losing by 7-11-13. Pioneers are 0-4 vs top 100 teams so far this year, scoring just 55.5 ppg. First game in 10 days for Cowboys, not a good thing usually but in this case, gives them time to prepare for the Princeton offense. Wyoming is 2-0 vs top 100 teams winning by 7-14.
-- 6-1 LSU lost by 19 at Boise State last game, in its first away game of season; Tigers turn ball over 24.6% of time. Cal-Irvine lost five of its last six games, beat Nevada by 14 in its only home game vs D-I team; they lost 66-59 at LSU LY. Big West teams are 11-10 vs spread in games that have spread of 5 or less. SEC teams are 10-18 in such games.
-- Long Beach State overscheduled, as usual; they're already playing 5th game vs top 25 team, losing first four by 15-22-31-34 points. 49ers are young this year, losing six of last eight D-I games. UCLA is 6-1 vs teams not in top 100, with four of six wins by 26+ points. Big West double digit road dogs are 12-8 vs spread. Pac-12 home favorites are 23-17.

-- UCSB lost by 20 at California LY; Gauchos are 1-4 on road, winning in OT at Santa Clara, but losing by 14-28-14-16 points- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 14+. UCSB turns ball over 24.6% of time. Cal Bears lost last three games, allowing 77 ppg- two of the Ls were at home. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 15-11.
-- 9-1 Ill-Chicago won last eight games, including win at Northwesterm; they beat Western Illinois by point at home LY. Flames get 37% of its scoring from outside arc (36.1%)- they allowed 47.6 ppg in last five tilts vs D-I teams. Leathernecks are 7-3, with only one win vs team ranked higher than #262- they lost by 5 at #120 Evansville, best foe to date.
-- Tennessee Tech is 6-4 against #269 schedule; they're 2-3 on road, with losses by 3-16-20 points- they turn ball over 22.6% of time. Auburn is 4-5 vs #324 schedule, another dismal start; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 11-50-14 points- they're 3-2 at home, losing to URI and DePaul. OVC single digit road underdogs are 8-8 against spread.
-- Jacksonville State is 8-2 vs #331 schedule in country; they lost by 19 at UNLV, 22 at Oregon in only two games vs teams ranked above #269. Nebraska is 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 16-13-11; they lost last two games by 22 points each (Creighton/Oregon). OVC road dogs are 19-18 vs spread. Big Dozen home favorites are 24-18 vs spread.

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Bruce Marshall

Cavaliers -4.5

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Seabass Report for Tuesday:
All 50's:
Virginia Commonwealth
California
OVER Nets

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Sin City Sports....

4* Indy under 187
2* Celtics +2
2* Philly +6
2* Love over 13 rbs, -110
1* Tor under 190

5* NC State -7
4* Irvine +2
3* Miami Fl -4
2* So Fl -5
2* Ill Chic +2
1* Mich St under 123

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Dr Bob

3 Kansas
3 Wyoming

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Never Win Sports
12-3 Last 4 days
70% in Hoop this year

10* NBA Cleveland -4.5
10* CBB Tennessee Tech +9.5
10* CBB UCLA -13

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KB Hoops $ Won Strongest NBA play of the year on Clippers last night

NBA
5 units Golden State -7 **POD**
5 units Atlanta -7
4 units Dallas -6
4 units Cleveland -4.5
4 units Charlotte +12.5

College
5 units Bowling Green +12

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Rocky's Winners Circle

DECEMBER 18
FREE PLAY (152-74-1)

HEAT - TIMBERWOLVES OVER 199

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Ray Falco

CBB

Over Kansas-Richmond

NBA

Cavs

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Basketball Crusher
Minnesota Timberwolves + Miami Heat OVER 198
(System Record: 28-2, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 28-20-0

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Sports bank
400 jacksonville state

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SPORTS UNLIMITED
4 sixers

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total pleasure
under mavs

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Paul Leiner:
500* CBB Western Kentucky +16.5
100* NBA Over 193.5 Warriors/Hornets
50* CBB Southern Miss -3.5