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Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 09:53 PM
::handshake::

Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 09:58 PM
Mark Mayer (Editor) @ Gaming Today

BYU -2½ vs. San Diego St.: The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven, including a win at Boise State.
Wrong team is favored. SAN DIEGO ST.

Richard Saber @ Gaming Today

Thursday

Poinsettia (at San Diego)

BYU -3 vs. San Diego St. (49):
The Aztecs ended the season with seven straight wins and six covers plus the advantage of playing their home games at Qualcomm.
The wins over Nevada and Boise stick out. SAN DIEGO ST.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 09:59 PM
CFB

Poinsettia Bowl (San Diego)
Home game for San Diego State, which won this game 35-14 in '10, then lost New Orleans Bowl LY; Aztecs won last seven games after 2-3 start, winning SU as underdogs at Nevada/Boise St. State is 3-1 as an underdog this year. BYU lost four of six road games this year, with only wins vs Ga Tech/New Mexico State; they won their last four games with former MWC rival Aztecs by average score of 38-22. Cougars are 6-0 if they score 30+ points, 1-5 if they don't; they're 3-4 as favorites this season. Aztecs held five of last seven foes under 20 points. BYU won last three bowls, scoring 40 ppg. MWC underdogs are 16-5 vs spread this season, 3-0 at home. BYU coach Mendenhall is 5-2 in bowls, San Diego State's Long 2-4. Underdogs covered four of last five Poinsettia Bowls, with Aztecs only one of the five favorites to cover. San Diego State is only team to beat Boise/Nevada in same season, since they've been I-A teams.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 10:00 PM
NCAA Football Game Picks

BYU vs. San Diego State

The Aztecs look to take advantage of a BYU team that is coming off a 50-14 win over New Mexico State and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU victory. San Diego State is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Aztecs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+3). Here are all of this year's bowl games.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20
Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (12/12)


Game 205-206: BYU vs. San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 92.020; San Diego State 92.764
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 1; 52
Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+3); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 10:02 PM
DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 17 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1043-344 (.752)
ATS: 416-391 (.515)
ATS Vary Units: 2442-2278 (.517)
Over/Under: 373-358 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1228-877 (.583)

Thursday, December 20, 2012
SDCCU Poinsettia Bowl
at Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
SAN DIEGO STATE 28, Byu 23

Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 10:27 PM
BYU Cougars vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Point Spread - Pick

BYU Cougars (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS)
Poinsettia Bowl
Date/Time: December 20, 2012. 8:00 p.m. EST.
Where: Qualcomm Stadium
TV: ESPN
by Wilson, Football Handicapper

Point Spread: Brigham Young University -2.5/SD ST +2.5
Over/Under Total: 49

The BYU Cougars finished their regular season by demolishing the New Mexico State Aggies 50-14. It was a career day for two BYU offensive players: WR Cody Hoffman and QB James Lark. All Coffman did was pull in 12 catches for 182 yards and he 5 of the 12 grabs were touchdown receptions. Coffman's regular season numbers were impressive as he had 1,134 yards receiving and 11 touchdowns. Senior Cougar QB James Lark got his first career start and made one heck of a go of it-he threw for 384 yards, completed 34 of 50 passing, and tossed 6 TDs. Granted, the Aggies finished their season with a 1-10 record, but even so, the Cougars offense looked very smooth and executed the offense well.

The San Diego State Aztecs racked up 9 wins this season to finish out the regular season with an overall 9-3 record and 7-1 in conference play. The Aztecs are heading into the Poinsettia Bowl on a 7-game winning streak. They've outscored their last two opponents 70-37 and hope to bring that type of fire power to their home turf against the Cougars of BYU. The Aztecs football program has had some success throughout the years as they boast 19 conference championships including this season as they earned a share of the Mountain West Conference championship. One of their signature wins was at Boise State 21-19 which all but clinched their piece of the conference title-their first since 1998.

Offensively, the Aztecs average 35.1 points per game while their opponents averaged 24.5 per contest. San Diego St. has a slightly better output as a running team as they averaged 229 yards per game with 178.6 in passing yardage. However, the Aztecs gave up a fair amount of passing yards to the opposition-235 yards per game. But they held their opponents to 140 yards on the ground. Either way, the Aztecs outscored their opponents by 127 points over the course of the season thus the 9 wins. RB Adam Muema rushed for 255 yards and 4 TDs in the Aztecs last regular season game and sophomore QB Adam Dingwell tossed 2 TDs in the 42-28 route at Wyoming.

BYU's defense will definitely have their hands full in this bowl game with the Aztecs averaging 35 points per game the Cougars will need all 11 defenders to slow down San Diego State's offense. The Cougar's defense has been solid all year especially since they've had to offset a wishy-washy offense at times. The Cougars defense has a stellar core on the line as well as the linebacker positions and secondary. Notable games for BYU this season are the 47-0 shutout of Hawaii which isn't really saying a lot considering Hawaii was terrible but the Cougars lost close battles on the road with now No.1 Notre Dame 17-14 and No. 19 Boise State 7-6. This BYU team is capable of playing with the best teams in the country which will serve them well against a tough Aztecs team who have home field advantage.

The Cougars have the edge in yards gained, 409 per game, yards allowed, 266 per game, and penalties at 6.4 per game for an average of 40 yards lost per contest. San Diego State puts more points on the board per game with 35.1 and they are more effective in the red zone as well as the kicking game.

BYU QB Riley Nelson was injured on November 17 in a loss to San Jose State but he is expected to return in time for the bowl game. If Riley doesn't start the Poinsettia Bowl he will likely enter the game at some point assuming he is healthy enough to play. The Aztecs might be better off if Nelson stays on the sidelines as he will certainly look to have the game of his life as an outgoing senior. Before Nelson was suffered the rib injury he tallied up 13 TDs and threw for 2011 yards and 12 INTs.

The Cougar's defense will hold steady and slowdown the Aztecs but it won't be enough.

Wilson's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take San Diego St. to upset BYU in the Poinsettia Bowl 31-21. Luck to ya.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 10:28 PM
DR BOB

Opinion
SAN DIEGO ST. (+3.5) 22 BYU 21

Can'tPickAWinner
12-19-2012, 10:32 PM
Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on Cincinnati (-8) Wednesday.

Thursday it’s BYU. The deficit is 1328 sirignanos.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 07:35 AM
DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/20/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1231-365 (.771)
ATS: 481-501 (.490)
ATS Vary Units: 1770-1959 (.475)
Over/Under: 144-125 (.535)
Over/Under Vary Units: 192-191 (.501)

Tulane Classic
Final Round at New Orleans, LA
Alabama State 64, Texas-Pan American 63
TULANE 63, Pepperdine 58

World Vision Challenge
Round Robin at Logan, UT
Southern Illinois 73, UC Davis 64
UTAH STATE 81, Nicholls State 60

Big Sky Conference
PORTLAND STATE 76, Idaho State 64
Weber State 81, EASTERN WASHINGTON 75

Non-Conference
ARKANSAS 74, Robert Morris 72
Boise State 75, Idaho 65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 73, Texas State 68
DUKE 89, Elon 57
HAMPTON 70, Northern Kentucky 58
KENT STATE 78, Saint Francis (Pa.) 57
LA SALLE 82, Iona 75
Lehigh 76, NORTH TEXAS 68
MEMPHIS 85, Lipscomb 64
MICHIGAN 69, Eastern Michigan 41
PRINCETON 67, Rider 60
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 74, Grambling State 39
UAB 77, Ulm 58
USC 64, UC Irvine 57
VALPARAISO 76, Iupui 58
WASHINGTON 77, Cal Poly 61
WICHITA STATE 83, Charleston Southern 62

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 07:37 AM
DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/20/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 248-115 (.683)
ATS: 185-184 (.501)
ATS Vary Units: 617-536 (.535)
Over/Under: 196-174 (.530)
Over/Under Vary Units: 350-287 (.549)

Oklahoma City 106, MINNESOTA 99
Miami 101, DALLAS 97
Denver 105, PORTLAND 101

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 07:39 AM
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 953 - 708 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner Thurs Texas St + 4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 07:40 AM
Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Texas State +4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 08:11 AM
NCAA Basketball Picks

Iona at LaSalle

The Gaels look to build on their 6-4 ATS record in their last 10 games as an underdog. Iona is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has LaSalle favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Iona (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 507-508: Texas State at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.020; Central Michigan 54.133
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 4
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-4)


Game 509-510: UL-Monroe at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 41.022; UAB 58.892
Dunkel Line: UAB by 18
Vegas Line: UAB by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+20 1/2)


Game 511-512: Pepperdine at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.314; Tulane 59.154
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 9
Vegas Line: Tulane by 7
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-7)


Game 513-514: Eastern Michigan at Michigan (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 48.075; Michigan 75.806
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 27 1/2; 111
Vegas Line: Michigan by 24 1/2; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-24 1/2); Under


Game 515-516: Cal Poly at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.217; Washington 63.993
Dunkel Line: Washington by 12
Vegas Line: Washington by 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-10)


Game 517-518: Idaho at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 53.101; Boise State 67.589
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-12)


Game 519-520: UC-Irvine at USC (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.250; USC 62.393
Dunkel Line: USC by 11
Vegas Line: USC by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-8 1/2)


Game 521-522: UC Davis vs. Southern Illinois (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.715; Southern Illinois 54.539
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 9
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-6 1/2)


Game 523-524: Nicholls State at Utah State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 42.506; Utah State 58.846
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 18
Dunkel Pick: Nicholls State (+18)


Game 525-526: Elon at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 52.839; Duke 83.262
Dunkel Line: Duke by 30 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-23 1/2)


Game 527-528: Iona at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 56.842; LaSalle 59.575
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+5 1/2)


Game 529-530: Rider at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.842; Princeton 56.621
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 4
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+6 1/2)


Game 531-532: IUPUI at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 42.727; Valparaiso 57.994
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 18
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+18)


Game 533-534: Weber State at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 56.001; Eastern Washington 52.939
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 3
Vegas Line: Weber State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+7)


Game 535-536: Idaho State at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 40.759; Portland State 51.769
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 11
Vegas Line: Portland State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-8)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 08:22 AM
Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Dallas

The Heat look to build on their 7-2-1 ATS record in their last 10 games in Dallas. Miami is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5). Here are all of today's picks.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 501-502: Oklahoma City at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.965; Minnesota 121.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3 1/2); Over


Game 503-504: Miami at Dallas (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 122.467; Dallas 114.667
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5); Under


Game 505-506: Denver at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.829; Portland 114.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 08:23 AM
Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Thursday, December 20th

2012 Poinsettia Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Brigham Young/San Diego State under 48

You Win or we'll email you Friday's Report 100% Free of Charge!!!

NBA Best Bets
Oklahoma City/Minnesota under 198
Miami/Dallas over 203
Denver/Portland under 202

Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 08:23 AM
From Platinum Plays.

500K Bowl Shocker

the San Diego St Aztecs +3½ over
the BYU Cougars

Best Bets



the Miami Heat -5 over
the Dallas Mavericks

the Denver Nuggets -1½ over
the Portland Trailblazers

the USC Trojans -8½ over
the UC-Irvine Anteaters

the LaSalle Explorers -5½ over
the Iona Gaels



PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK



the BYU/San Diego St UNDER
the Total Of 48 Points

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 08:24 AM
Northcoast Bowl Power Sweep

2* BYU

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 08:25 AM
Football Crusher
San Diego State +3.5 over BYU
(System Record: 42-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 42-44-4

Basketball Crusher
to come
(System Record: 28-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 28-22-0



Soccer Crusher
Rayo Vallecano + Levante OVER 2
This match is happening in Spain
(System Record: 330-14, won last game)
Overall Record: 330-291-39

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 09:17 AM
Poinsettia Bowl: What Bettors Need to Know

Poinsettia Bowl: BYU Cougars vs. San Diego State Aztecs (+3, 48.5)

POINSETTIA BOWL STORYLINES

1. Two former conference foes renew a rivalry that is much more important to San Diego State. The Aztecs are seeking their first 10-win season since 1977 and playing in a third consecutive bowl game for the initial time in program history. Brigham Young attempts to add on to its dominating 27-7-1 edge in the all-time series and is 5-2 in bowl games under eight-year coach Bronco Mendenhall.

2. Mendenhall has an interesting decision to make at quarterback between Riley Nelson and one-game sensation James Lark. Nelson has been maddeningly inconsistent and his absence because of injured ribs presented Lark with the opportunity to pass for 384 yards and six touchdowns in the regular-season finale against porous New Mexico State.

3. Mountain West Coach of the Year Rocky Long of San Diego State and Mendenhall are highly familiar with one another. Mendenhall was defensive coordinator under Long for five seasons (1998-2002) at New Mexico and considers him a mentor. The Aztecs’ atypical 3-3-5 defensive alignment doesn’t prompt an uncomfortable adjustment period for Mendenhall and the BYU staff, who have previously coached against it on several occasions.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: BYU opened between a 2.5 and 3.5-point favorite while the total has moved from 49 to as low as 48 before settling in between.

WEATHER: The forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 50s. Winds are expected to blow NNW at 2 mph.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Diego State.
* Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (7-5, 6-6 ATS): No matter who starts at quarterback, junior receiver Cody Hoffman is a big-time threat with 90 catches for 1,134 yards and 11 touchdowns. Hoffman caught a school-record five touchdowns in the season finale. Freshman Jamaal Williams rushed for a team-best 744 yards for an offense that averages 29.2 points. The Cougars shine on defense, led by junior Kyle Van Noy. The dominating linebacker has 11.5 sacks and five forced fumbles for a unit that ranks third in total defense (266.3 yards per game) and fifth in scoring defense (14.7). BYU’s stout rushing defense (84.3) ranks second nationally as it goes up against a strong San Diego State rushing attack. The Cougars often land an edge in field position with senior Riley Stephenson, who ranks second nationally in punting at 47.3 with a 42.2 net average.

ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (9-3, 7-1 Mountain West, 8-4 ATS): The Aztecs have won seven straight games and haven’t lost since September. San Diego State has set a school-record with 2,750 rushing yards – the old mark of 2,476 was set during Marshall Faulk’s freshman campaign in 1991 – with sophomore Adam Muema leading the way with 1,355 yards and 16 rushing scores. San Diego State will be without senior Walter Kazee (822 yards), who injured his knee in the regular season finale. The strong running game has aided sophomore quarterback Adam Dingwell (eight touchdowns, four interceptions) after he became the starter for the final four regular season games because of a season-ending injury to Ryan Katz. Senior cornerback Leon McFadden (three interceptions) will be called on to help slow Hoffman, while junior safety Nat Berhe (team-best 87 tackles) and sophomore middle linebacker Jake Fely (86 stops, team-high seven sacks) are top-notch defenders.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 09:17 AM
StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB IUPUI at VALPARAISO

Play On - Any team (VALPARAISO) an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less.
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

CBB TEXAS ST at C MICHIGAN

Play Against - Any team (TEXAS ST) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last season.
901-581 since 1997. ( 60.8% 151.1 units )
18-7 this year. ( 72.0% 5.5 units )

CBB ELON at DUKE

Play Against - Favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (DUKE) an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games.
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% 33.7 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 09:18 AM
StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at MINNESOTA

Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at MINNESOTA

Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) after 1 or more consecutive losses, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days.
193-60 since 1997. ( 76.3% 68.8 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.0 units )

NBA OKLAHOMA CITY at MINNESOTA

Play Against - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record.
58-26 since 1997. ( 69.0% 29.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 09:18 AM
Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

10:30PM Idaho State vs Portland State
[536] Portland State -8 -110

JIMMY

9:00PM Idaho vs Boise State
[518] Boise State -12.5 -110

MARC

7:05PM Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves
[501] UNDER 198.5 -110

PERRY

SPAIN

DEP LA CORUNA/RCD ESPANYOL BARCELONA UNDER 2.5 -120 (4PM)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 10:29 AM
CAPPERS ACCESS

San Diego St
Mavericks

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 10:29 AM
JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Thursday ... In College Hoops take IUPUI +19 over Valparaiso

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 10:29 AM
Paul Leiner
1000* San Diego St +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 10:30 AM
Jack Jones
20* BYU -2.5(released a few days ago)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 10:31 AM
ROOT

MILLIONAIRES>>>>>>>>>>Take San Diego St


The San Diego State Aztecs get set to host the BYU Cougars in the Poinsettia Bowl. The San Diego State Aztecs finished their regular season with a solid record of 9-3, while going 7-1 in the Mountain West Conference. The Aztecs have one of the better ground attacks in the nation, averaging an impressive 229 yards per game. SDSU is also scoring a solid 35 points per game on average this season. San Diego State is also converting right at 50 percent of their third downs this season as the Aztecs are able to stay ahead of the chains and keep third downs manageable with that ground attack. The BYU Cougars finished their regular season with a record of 7-5. Unlike the Aztecs, the Cougars aren't lighting many teams up on the scoreboard. The Cougars defense has the ability to stop the Aztecs but it all really just comes down to motivation. And the $84 dollar question is who will be motivated more. San Diego St. It is year after year after year that BYU plays in what used to be called the Holiday Bowl and now the Poinsetta Bowl. Same city everytime. The home team will play hard for their fans. Additionally, the defense can only get tired to finish the season as the Aztecs just run, run and run some more. It's very hard to get up for that type of game.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 10:39 AM
Accuscore -- 0-1 so far on Bowls

Written by Rohit Ghosh

Poinsettia Bowl Preview – SDSU vs BYU

This year’s Poinsettia Bowl features a great match-up between the BYU Cougars (7-5) and San Diego State Aztecs (9-3). Until recent realignment, these two teams were quite familiar with one another due to a Mountain West conference rivalry. Now BYU is independent, and SDSU is headed for the Big East (for now). Don’t let the records fool you; these two teams are evenly matched and Thursday’s bowl game could be one that goes down to the final whistle.

AccuScore has the Cougars as slight 50.5 percent favorites with the average score projected to be 27.3-26.6. BYU is favored by 3.5 points but has just a 42.2 percent chance of covering that spread. There is a 59.5 percent chance that the total goes OVER 58.5 points. Based on AccuScore’s data, the safest bet would be to take SDSU and the points.

After posting an impressive 10-3 record last year, BYU seemed to disappoint more often than not this season. Bronco Mendenhall’s team lost five times, four by six points or fewer. The trend of losing close games has been primarily blamed on inconsistent quarterback play. Riley Nelson has been in and out of the lineup this season due to injuries and has been substantially more erratic than he was last year. In 2011 he threw for 8.5 yards per pass attempt and finished the year with 19 TDs and 7 INTs. This year, Nelson's interceptions went up, and his touchdowns went down. Also, his yards per pass attempt were down and he was sacked more often. This season he threw for 2,011 yards (59.2 percent completion rate) and a passer rating of 120.1. He has thrown for 13 TDs and 12 INTs. AccuScore projects 252 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, and a passer rating of 133.5 for Nelson against the Aztecs. Quarterback James Lark has been receiving snaps in practice, but at this time Nelson is still projected to start.

BYU’s rush attack isn’t anything extra special either. The Cougars get approximately 4.75 yards per carry (which is actually a yard more than SDSU). Running back Jamaal Williams has rushed for 744 yards (4.9 ypc) and 11 TDs this season. He is projected to carry it 13 times for 65 yards and has a high probability of seeing the end-zone. Michael Alisa and Nelson are projected to carry it ten times each as well; Alisa is projected to rush for 43 yards and Nelson, 22. "Wide receiver Cody Hoffman, who caught for 1,134 yards and 11 TDs, is projected to catch it 6 times for 74 yards."

Simply put, BYU’s offensive numbers are not impressive. Their defense, however, is a different story. BYU led the nation in red zone efficiency defense, limiting touchdowns by forcing turnovers and field goals week after week. They are among the nation's leaders in rush defense, total defense and points allowed. The defense is projected to get 2+ sacks, and has a very high probability of forcing 2 turnovers (an interception and a fumble).

The Aztecs, offensively, are much more ground-driven than the Cougars. They are led by quarterback Adam Dingwell and running back Adam Muema. Muema has carried it 211 times this season for 1,355 yards (6.4 ypc) and 16 TDs. His longest run was for 83 yards. Sophomore QB Dingwell has thrown for 795 yards (6.91 ypa) with 8 TDs and 4 INTs.

Muema is projected to carry it 16+ times for 89 yards and a TD. Dingwell is projected to throw for 208 yards, 1-2 TDs, and 1 INT, with a passer rating of 133.8. The other main Aztec back, Walter Kazee, is projected to carry it 12 times for 56 yards. Wide receiver Gavin Escobar is projected to catch it three times for 37 yards.

SDSU’s defense has held five of their last seven opponents under 19 points. After starting the season giving up big plays, the defense improved as the season progressed and ended the regular season very well. BYU coach Mendenhall is familiar with SDSU head coach Rocky Long as Mendenhall was Long’s defensive coordinator when they were both at New Mexico. The SDSU defense is projected to also get 2+ sacks along with forcing two turnovers (an INT and a fumble).

These two teams are familiar with each other and the projection data clearly shows that. Neither team has much of an advantage in any aspect of the game; we should expect a close one throughout. I’ll go with AccuScore and say BYU wins by 3.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 10:40 AM
5Lines


Total Line for 12/20/2012
(Lost last 2 games and 1 Cancelled)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Miami Heat : o202.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 12/20/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Miami Heat : -5
Cost: -110

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 11:20 AM
Jimmy Boyd

5* NBA Best Bet
Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5
5* Poinsettia Bowl
BYU -3
3* NCAAB Smash
Nicholls State +18

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 11:48 AM
NBA Basketball Play of the Day December 20, 2012 6:26 AM by GT Staff

Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks (Total 202) at 6:35 p.m. PT TNT

This game won’t be over till its over and that is just the way we are going to bet this one as it has gone over the last four times these two have met and add to that the putrid defense that the Mavs have been playing, one of the worst in the league as they are giving up over a 100 points per game.

Heat/Mavericks OVER 202

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 11:49 AM
GamingToday’s Consensus Picks December 20, 2012 6:30 AM by GT Staff

College Football Bowl Game

San Diego State +3½

NBA Basketball

Minnesota Timberwolves +4

Miami Heat/Dallas Mavericks OVER 202

NCAA Basketball

Pepperdine +4½ (NL)

Eastern Michigan +25

La Salle -5

Eastern Washington +6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 11:50 AM
RAS UC Davis, +7

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 11:50 AM
Paul Leiner
1000* San Diego St +3.5
100* Michigan / E. Michigan Over 116
100* Washington -10
50* Heat / Mavs Over 200.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 12:41 PM
Bankroll sports 2-3 yesterday----10* winner on indy pacers -3.5---2-2 last 4 ten *'s

todays card

10* sd st aztecs +3.5 cfb
5* minny t-wolves +4.5 nba
5* mich wolverines - 24.5 cbb
3* boise st -12.5 cbb
2* cal irvine +9 cbb
1* tex st bobcats +4 cbb

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 12:43 PM
Trace Adams


1500♦
Thursday Lead Pipe Lock
Winner #46 of 72


San Diego State Aztecs +3.5



Note: Since there is plenty of line movement in these bowl games, here is what I am instructing all clients to do, if your price is anywhere from +2 1/2 points to +3 1/2 points, I want you to buy the half point up on the Aztecs.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 12:43 PM
Scott Sprietzer

triple-dime bet 205 BYU -3.0 (-115) BetOnline vs 206 San Diego St.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 12:44 PM
TEDDY COVERS

20* CBB Idaho
10* NBA Minnesota Timberwolves Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 12:46 PM
EAGLE EYE SPORTS---DAVE MARSHALL
San Diego State +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 01:37 PM
Docs CBB

**On a 11-0 run**


4 Unit Play. #509 ULM +20 over UAB (8 pm)

We used the Warhawks on Monday for an easy cash at Florida State and will ride them yet again tonight playing a so-so UAB team that has a new head coach this season. The Blazers are giving up over 75 points per game and have held just 2 teams under 70 points (Navy & Troy) meaning the offensively challenged Warhawks should get some good looks in this game. UAB will likely have to score in the nineties to cover this big number and I do not see that happening. ULM is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. UAB is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. I see this being around a 15 point game, as ULM played well on Monday and will enter this game with confidence.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 01:51 PM
ATS Lock

BYU -3 & Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 02:16 PM
SMOOTH 44


BTOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

Minnesota vs. Oklahoma City
(PICK: MINNESOTA +4)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 02:17 PM
Northcoast

3* BYU -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 02:46 PM
CHRIS JORDAN 400*

6.5 pt teaser, BYU +3.5, over 40.5

(Lost 800 Oregon last night)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 02:58 PM
Intpicks 12/20


2--BYU @ San Diego St +3.5

1--BYU @ San Diego St UNDER 48
UC Davis @ S Illinois -6
Texas St @ Central Michigan -5

--Freebie Denver @ Portland UNDER 200

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 02:59 PM
Andy Iskoe

San Diego St.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 02:59 PM
Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #510. Take UAB -20 over Louisiana Monroe (Thursday @ @ 8pm est).

3-Unit Play. #515. Cal Poly Slo +10.5 over Washington (Thursday @ 9pm est).

3-Unit Play. #519. UC Irvine +9.5 over Southern Cal (Thursday @ 11pm est).

UAB comes off a tough road contest against Rutgers. They played well against the top 100 team losing by 8 points on the road. Remember, this is a team that beat South Alabama at home by 14 points who is a top 200 team which goes to show you their ability to score as they put up 92 points in that game. Jerod Haase is s team that likes to get out and run and the first year coach is led by two seniors and three juniors as this used to be Mike Davis' team (the same coach that took Indiana to the NCAA Championship many years ago). Louisiana Monroe played above their heads against FSU who was without their key wingman due to disciplinary issues. This wasn't announced by Leonard Hamilton until gametime which is part of the reason why Louisiana Monroe had a better showing. UAB will be focused today coming off that loss and I can see them winning this contest by 25+ today as they have a great deal of offense which Louisiana Monroe's top 350 offense will likely struggle against. Cal Poly just comes off an 8 point loss to Santa Clara who is a top 120 team and they have played sound basketball all year. Joe Callero's team is 5th in the country in turnover percentage which is one of the reasons why they lost to Nevada by 7 on the road and beat a short handed UCLA team. THis is one of the later games on the board and the public is on the more well known school in Washington here. Cal Poly is led by two juniors and a senior and I see them hanging within single digits today given the level of competition they have faced. UC Irvine will be up for this game. They come off a tough loss to LSU at home and this is a team that beat Fresno State on the road and lost to UCLA in overtime on the road as well. USC comes off a monumental win over UC Riverside holding them to 26 points winning 70-26. They will likely be in for a let down here against a much better Irvine team than the one they faced against Riverside. USC had come off 5 straight losses so they took their anger out on a team outside the top 300 and in what is a relatively low scoring game, I can see Irvine hanging within single digits here.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 02:59 PM
HM SPORTS HANDICAPPING

Event Date: 12/20/2012
Event Time: 08:00 PM EST
Poinsettia Bowl @ San Diego
This is a home game for SD State. They have turned it on after a 2-3 start this season winning on the road at Nevada and Boise St as underdogs. They are 3-1 ATS as a dog this year. BYU is 2-4 on the road this season and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 after a SU win. Dogs have covered 4 of last 5 Poinsettia bowls (only fav to cover was home team SD state). The wrong team is favored in this game
7.5* SD State +3.5
Result: Pending

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 03:00 PM
EXPERT PICKS
THURSDAY

• Play San Diego State +3.5 over BYU (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

BYU has lost 25 of the last 31 games against the spread coming off a
two game road trip and they have also lost 6 consecutive games against
the spread coming off a win. BYU has lost 4 of the last 5 games
against the spread when playing as a road favorite of seven points or
less and they have also lost 5 consecutive games against the spread
coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 03:00 PM
Robert Ferringo CBB

3 * Southern Illinois -6
1 * Louisiana Monroe +20.5
1 * Tulane -7.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 03:01 PM
Scott Delaney

25 Dime Oklahoma City -4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 03:02 PM
Northcoast Marquee
un 47.5 BYU

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 03:02 PM
Bookie Buster Daily Pick
December 20, 2012

NBA -- Oklahoma City / Minnesota
-- Oklahoma City -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 03:45 PM
NBA

Hot Teams
-- Thunder won its last 12 games (6-2 as AF).
-- Miami won four of its last five games (2-5 as AF).
-- Portland won its last three games, allowing 86 ppg (3-1 as HU). Nuggets won four of last five games (4-4 as AF, 3-1 in last four).

Cold Teams
-- Minnesota lost last two games, by 10-11 points; favorites are 8-1-1 vs spread in its home games (0-2 as home dog).
-- Mavericks lost three of last four games (two losses in OT; they're 8-3 SU at home, 1-1 as home dogs).

Totals
-- Six of last eight Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Portland games stayed under total; three of last four Denver games went over.

Back-to-backs
-- Thunder is 3-2 vs spread if they played night before.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 03:45 PM
CBB

-- Central Michigan is 4-4 vs D-I teams, winning its two games against teams not in top 200 by 2-3 points. Texas State lost seven of last nine games, with wins over teams ranked #341/329; Bobcats play at #3 pace in country- three of their last four games went over total. WAC single digit road dogs are 11-10. MAC single digit home favorites are 9-7.
-- Pepperdine won seven of last nine games; they're 2-1 vs teams in top 150, but lost three games to teams ranked lower- they turn ball over 24% of time, not good. Tulane has played 3rd-easiest schedule in country but they've also won seven of last nine games. WCC single digit road dogs are 1-6 vs spread; C-USA single digit home favorites are 7-5.
-- 11-0 Michigan just beat West Virginia in NYC; they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 37-32-28 points; Wolverines shoot 57.5% inside arc. Eastern Michigan upset Purdue at home, lost at Syracuse by 36 in its two games vs top 100 teams- they're shooting 39% inside arc. MAC road underdogs of 18+ points are 2-6 against the spread.
-- Cal Poly is 2-5 vs D-I teams but won at UCLA, its only win in five road games, with losses by 7-18-13-8 points; Mustangs play #343 pace in country (5th-slowest). Washington is just 4-3 at home, with losses to Albany/Nevada, so they're not reliable favorite. Big West road dogs are 24-20 vs spread. Pac-12 home favorites are 30-18 vs spread.


-- Boise State won four of last five games vs Idaho, winning last two by three points each; Broncos are much improved team at 7-2- they're the #9 3-point shooting team in country. Idaho is 1-3 on road, losing by 15-9-4 points, winning in OT at Eastern Washington. MWC double digit home favorites are 11-7 vs spread; WAC double digit dogs are 8-6.
-- Cal-Irvine lost six of last seven games vs D-I teams; they've lost four games by 4 or less points- they shoot 29.7% behind arc. USC lost five of last six games, but they're 3-1 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 14-18-44 points. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 13-6 vs spread. Big West single digit road dogs are 11-10 vs spread.
-- Southern Illinois is 5-2 vs D-I teams despite turning ball over 23% of time; Salukis are 2nd-shortest team in country. Cal-Davis lost six of first eight games, with only wins vs teams ranked #245/282; they're 0-4 vs teams in top 200, losing by 1-7-8-23 points. MVC favorites are 5-7-1 vs spread away from home. Big West single digit underdogs are 12-12.
-- Duke hammered Cornell by 41 last night, has another ESPNU thriller here vs Elon squad that is 5-4 vs D-I teams, losing by 15 at Butler, by 5 in OT at UMass, its two games vs top 100 teams. Duke is 4-0 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 19-21-38-41 points. SoCon road underdogs of 16+ points are 15-4 against the spread so far this season.
-- Erratic Iona lost by hoop at St Peter's, won at Georgia by 3 in OT in its two road games; 5-4 Gaels play #18 pace in country- they lost by 8 to Rutgers, beat Denver by 7 in their games vs top 100 teams. LaSalle had 5-game win streak snapped at #45 Bucknell Saturday; they lost to Central Connecticut, beat Villanova, tough team to figure.

-- First game in 11 days for Rider squad that lost in OT to Princeton at home (72-71) LY; Broncs are 2-3 vs teams in top 150, with losses by 8-11-13 points. Princeton lot six of last eight games, losing two of three vs teams not in top 200. Tigers are turning ball over 22% of time. MAAC single digit road underdogs are 4-16. Ivy home favorites are 1-8.
-- Valparaiso is 7-4 after losing at Oakland of Summit League by a hoop Monday; Crusaders are turning ball over 25.2% of time. IUPUI lost its last eight games vs D-I teams (two non-D-I wins) with last five losses all by 14+ points; Jaguars beat Valpo by 9 LY. Horizon double digit home favorites are 3-4; Summit League double digit road dogs are 9-15.
-- Weber State won eight of last nine games vs Eastern Washington, with four straight wins here, by 7-12-28-8 points. Wildcats won by point at #69 Dayton, after losing at San Jose State/Utah State, their only games on road this year. EWU is 2-8, 1-2 at home, losing to Seattle by 6, by a hoop in OT to Idaho. Teams shoot just 23.5% behind arc vs Weber.
-- Idaho State is 0-7 vs D-I teams, turning ball over 23.5% of time; they are making 27.2% behind arc; Bengals lost five of last their six visits to Portland, with losses by 12-35-27--23-7 points. Portland State is 0-5 vs D-I teams, turning ball over 23.0% of time, making 28.6% behind arc. Favorites covered three of first four Big Sky conference games.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 04:18 PM
XpertPicks


THURSDAY


• Play San Diego State +3.5 over BYU (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST


BYU has lost 25 of the last 31 games against the spread coming off a
two game road trip and they have also lost 6 consecutive games against
the spread coming off a win. BYU has lost 4 of the last 5 games
against the spread when playing as a road favorite of seven points or
less and they have also lost 5 consecutive games against the spread
coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FRIDAY


• Play Ball State +7 over Central Florida (NCAA BOWL GAME OF
YEAR)---60% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 7:30 PM EST


Ball State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 games and they
have also covered the spread in 7 consecutive games coming off a
conference win by seven points or less. Ball State has covered the
spread in 4 of the last 5 games as an underdog and they are averaging
over 39 points a game on offense over the last three games.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SATURDAY


• Play Lafayette -4.5 over East Carolina (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL
PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 12:00 PM EST


Lafayette has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games and
they have also covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games coming
off two or more conference games. Lafayette has covered the spread in
8 of the last 10 games after allowing an average of 6.75 or more yards
a play in their last game and they are averaging over 39 points a game
on offense over the last three games.




• Play Boise State -5 over Washington (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---30%
OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 3:30 PM EST


Boise State has won 10 of the last 11 games and they have also covered
the spread in 8 of the last 9 games when playing on a neutral field.
Boise State has covered the spread in 12 of the last 14 games coming
off a conference win by seven points or less and they are only
allowing an average of 14 points a game on defense this season.




• Play Atlanta -4 over Detroit (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST


Detroit has lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread when the
total posted is greater than 49.5 points and they have also lost 7 of
the last 8 games against the spread coming off a loss against the
spread in their last game. Detroit has lost 11 of the last 14 games
against the spread when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they
are allowing an average of 27 points a game on defense this season.


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SUNDAY


• Play Cincinnati +4 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST


Cincinnati has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games and they
have also covered the spread in 6 consecutive games after scoring 30
points or more in their last game. Cincinnati has covered the spread
in 7 consecutive games coming off a win against the spread in their
last game and they are averaging over 26 points a game on offense in
road games this season.




• Play New Orleans +3 over Dallas (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST


New Orleans has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games after
allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game and they have
also covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games coming off a home
win. New Orleans has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 games
when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they are averaging over
27 points a game on offense this season.




• Play Baltimore +2.5 over New York Giants (TOP NFL FOOTBALL
PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 4:30 PM EST


Baltimore has won 21 of the last 24 home games and they have also won
18 of the last 25 games coming off an OVER the total. Baltimore has
won 8 of the last 10 games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in
their last game and they have also won 4 consecutive games when
playing in the last two weeks of the regular season.




• Play Seattle +1 over San Francisco (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST


Seattle has covered the spread in 7 consecutive games when playing in
the month of December and they have also covered the spread in 15 of
the last 20 games as an underdog. Seattle has covered the spread in 6
consecutive home games and they are only allowing an average of 11
points a game on defense at home this season.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONDAY


• Play Fresno State -13 over SMU (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---40% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST


Fresno State has covered the spread in 11 of the last 12 games and
they have also covered the spread in 9 consecutive games when playing
as a favorite. Fresno State has covered the spread in 6 consecutive
games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they are
averaging over 40 points a game on offense this season.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 04:19 PM
Chase Diamond

50 Dimes Idaho St

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 04:20 PM
ATS Insider:
3* OKC
3* BYU over 48

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 04:21 PM
WePickTheWinner - Thunder

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 04:23 PM
Rocky's Winners Circle

DECEMBER 20 FREE PLAY (152-76-1)

IONA +6 over La Salle

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 05:35 PM
Erin Rynning

20 nba g.o.m. minn t wolves

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 05:35 PM
Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Thursday, December 20th

2012 Poinsettia Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Brigham Young/San Diego State under 48

You Win or we'll email you Friday's Report 100% Free of Charge!!!

NBA Best Bets
Oklahoma City/Minnesota under 198
Miami/Dallas over 203
Denver/Portland under 200

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 05:36 PM
From Platinum Plays.




500K Bowl Shocker

the San Diego St Aztecs +3½ over
the BYU Cougars

Best Bets





the Miami Heat -5 over
the Dallas Mavericks

the Denver Nuggets -1½ over
the Portland Trailblazers

the USC Trojans -8½ over
the UC-Irvine Anteaters

the LaSalle Explorers -5½ over
the Iona Gaels



PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK




the BYU/San Diego St UNDER
the Total Of 48 Points

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 05:36 PM
R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Thursday Bowl

2* = BYU

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 05:41 PM
Scott Ferrall

San Diego State +3

Sd State/BYU Over 48.5

San Diego State +120

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:38 PM
Total pleasure
Over michigan

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:39 PM
SMOOTH 44 ADDED GAMES
uc DAVIes plus 7
BYU-3

Under 48
all 5 units play

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:40 PM
Goodfella
3* SD st. +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:40 PM
Ryan’s Bowl 25* Poinsettia Bowl Titan; 69% last 82


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM


25* graded play on the BYU COugars as they take on the San Diego State Aztecs in the San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl set to start 8:00 PM ET. This game will be on ESPN and ESPN3D for your viewing enjoyment. The simulator shows a high probability that BYU will win this game by six or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-13 ATS record for 76% winners since 2002. Play against all dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off two straight wins facing conference rivals and now facing an opponent off a double digit road win. 50% of all the games played based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by seven or more points and underscores my strong belief that this will be a 10+ point BYU win. For money line players, here is a system that has gone 92-36 for 72% winners since 2006. Play on a road team using the money line that is a quick starting offensive team scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after a win by 35 or more points. I am expecting BYU to get off to a fast start and then their significant size and physicality advantages on both sides of the ball will steadily wear down the Aztecs. The Aztec defense plays well, but are undersized against the BYU OL. They must take leveraged angles and maintain gap discipline, both of which they are vastly inconsistent at executing. Moreover, the Aztec third level are for the most part poor tacklers and will be vulnerable to the many different screen passes that BYU runs. BYU has a luxury in two solid QB in their stable only discovered by the injury of Senior starter Riley Nelson that gave fellow Senior James Lark at shot at starting for the first time in his career. Lark delivered in that first start throwing for 6 TD. Lark is excellent at getting the ball out quickly and has the WR corp that get enough separation for Lark to easily complete underneath passes. he also leads them well for after the catch yardage. Riley has a much more accurate arm in middle and long distance throws, but also can execute underneath routes nearly as equal. Since they are both Seniors playing in their last game, it only stands to reason that the coaching staff will elect to use both of them in this bowl game and in my opinion, it makes the Cougars that much more dangerous and even more difficult for the Aztecs to prepare for. BYU ranks fourth best in the FBS allowing just 14.8 PPG and second in both opponent yards per rush at 2.7 and opponents rushes per game at 30 attempts. Aztecs are a run dominated offensive team and their inability to establish the run is going to make it extremely difficult for them to compete for four quarters with the Cougars. Take BYU.


Prediction: BYU




Burns' *10* POINSETTIA BOWL BEST BET! *WON L2 YRS!


st. diego


Hollywood Sports 25* THURSDAY BOWL SPECIAL FEATURE


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Brigham Young Cougars (205) minus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (206) in the Poinsettia Bowl. BYU (7-5) brings in a veteran team with 29 seniors into their bowl game to conclude their season on a high note after a disappointing 7-5 campaign that includes three net close losses of eight points or less which included a frustrating 3-point loss at Notre Dame, a 2-point loss at in-state rival Utah and a 1-point loss at Boise State. In all, the Cougars played six bowl teams this season who they outgained by +29.7 PPG (28th best of all bowl teams). This team was also a little snakebit with the bouncing ball as they suffered a -0.42 net turnover margin per game (85th in the FBS). BYU enters this game coming off their 50-14 win at New Mexico State as a 28-point favorite -- and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games after a point spread victory. Head coach Bronco Mendenhall still does not know who his starting quarterback will be given the rib injury to senior Riley Nelson. But fellow senior James Lark proved himself capable against the Aggies by completing 34 of 50 passes for 384 yards and six touchdown passes. With the extra time to prepare for this bowl game, we are comfortable with either senior. Mendenhall has an advantage in this one since he coached with the Aztecs' Rocky Long when they both were on the coaching staff at New Mexico -- so he will be very aware of the intricacies of San Diego State's 3-3-5 defensive scheme. What makes the Cougars click is their defense that was 3rd in the nation in total defense (266.3 total YPG) and 5th in the nation in points allowed (14.7 PPG). And with redshirt freshman Jamaal Williams at running back who gained 744 yards while averaging almost 5.0 YPC since taking over at midseason, they retain a dangerous offense that scored 29.2 PPG while gaining over 400 YPG. BYU has covered the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, they have covered the spread in 4 straight games played on a neutral field. And they have now covered the spread in 4 straight games played in the month of December. Furthermore, the Cougars have covered 5 of their last 7 bowl appearances -- including three straight bowl contests under Mendenhall.


San Diego State (9-3) closed out the season winning their last seven games after their 42-28 win at Wyoming as a 7-point favorite. But the Aztecs have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. And while they gained a whopping 400 yards on the ground in that game, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Led by running back Adam Muema, San Diego State has a strong rushing attack that averages 229.2 rushing YPG (16th in the FBS). But a weakness for this team is their passing attack behind sophomore QB Adam Dingwell who has won all four of his games since taking after Ryan Katz was injured. Dingwell is mostly a game-manager -- and the Aztecs average only 178.6 passing YPG this season (102nd in the FBS) which is a dangerous sign when facing such a stout defense. San Diego State may enjoy the home field advantage in this one -- but there are few reasons to suspect that they are not quite as good as their record indicates. The Aztecs faced six bowl teams as well -- but they were outgained by -77.2 net YPG in these games (59th in the FBS). Additionally, San Diego State benefited from two net close wins of eight points or less while also enjoying a +0.25 net turnover margin per game (48th in the FBS). The Aztecs have lost nine of their last ten games against BYU -- while being a mere 7-27-1 in program history against the Cougars. Furthermore, San Diego State has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games outside the Mountain West Conference. Together, these team trends produce our specific 49-13 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Aztecs fall into an empirical letdown angle that has been 76% effective over the last ten seasons. Underdogs in the 3.5-10 point range who have won at least two straight games against conference opponents now facing a team coming off a double-digit win on the road have then failed to cover the point spread in 40 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. 25* CFB Poinsettia Bowl Special Feature with the Brigham Young Cougars (205) minus the points versus the San Diego State Aztecs (206). Best of luck for us -- Frank.


Prediction: BYU


Bet Type: SPREAD




Marc's 10-0 ATS Perfect Angle Poinsettia Bowl Play


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
Play On: San Diego State (Game 206) Note: Yes, the Aztecs are very familiar with tonight’s setting as they play their home games in Qualcomm Stadium. And bowl home dogs off a SU win are a solid 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS. In fact, the only time that the Aztecs played in the Poinsettia Bowl (2010 against Navy), they walked away with a 35-14 win as three-point favorites. And speaking of familiar, this clash is a renewal of former MWC foes. Certainly, the Cougars have held the upper hand dating back to 1980 (23-5-1 SU, 17-9 ATS) but Independent bowlers are 1-9 ATS versus a foe off a SU win of seven or more points. Granted, it’s no surprise to find Bronco’s boys holding a big stat edge in games against fellow bowlers this season (BYU is +30 net YPG while San Diego State is -77 net YPG) as the Aztecs are 2-10 ‘ITS’ versus bowlers the past two seasons. However, SDSU is 3-1 SU and ATS versus winning opposition this season while BYU is just 1-3 SU and ATS and the Aztecs arrive off a third straight eight-plus win season – the first time they‘ve accomplished that since 1977. The clincher comes from our powerful database as it tells us to: 'Play On' and bowl home dog or favorite of less than 7 points off a win who allows less than 24 PPG on the season versus and opponent with a 3.5 or less Yards Per Rush average on the season. That's because these home teams are 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS in this role since 1980. We recommend a 3-unit play on San Diego State. Thank you and good luck as always. Don't make a move on Saturday night's NFL showdown between the Falcons and Lions until you learn of an amazing winning angle inside the the game that has bagged the cash 100% of the time in all games since 1980. Best of all its yours - if you act now!


Prediction: San Diego St.


Bet Type: SPREAD




Fargo's 10* POINSETTIA BOWL SIDE (PERFECT 8-0 RUN)


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
San Diego St. claimed a share of the MWC title thanks to a seven-game winning streak to end the season and it caught a very good break in its bowl game as it is playing very close to home. This means great fan support and limited distractions even though the players are not staying in their normal digs as they are shacking up in a hotel similar to BYU. Playing on their home field is more good than bad but the Aztecs have some disadvantages that go beyond that. BYU enters this game with a 7.5 record but it easily could have been better. Losses to Utah, Boise St. and Notre Dame were by a combined seven points and all of those came on the road so the Cougars are arguably a lot better than their record shows. They win with defense as BYU brings in the nation's third best defense, allowing only 266.3 ypg. The Aztecs have scored a lot but the total offense is ranked only 57th in the nation so they could have some issues against the Cougars stop unit. The big mystery here is the quarterback situation for BYU. Head coach Bronco Mendenhall said there's no change to the status of senior quarterback Riley Nelson, who has been the Cougars starter this season, but who's also nursing a rib injury. With Nelson still questionable for Thursday's game, backup James Lark has gotten more reps in practice. Lark started in Nelson's place in the Cougar's final game against New Mexico, and threw for 384 yards and six touchdowns in the win. While we may not know who is starting just yet, the Aztecs are getting as well which makes their preparation a little more difficult. Mendenhall said he will make a decision on his starter on game day so San Diego St. has to prepare for two different quarterbacks who are pretty different in their quarterbacking styles. The Aztecs defense has been spotty all season as they are 43rd overall and 44th in scoring and BYU caught fire near the end of the season, scoring 41, 52 and 50 points in three of its last four games. BYU has a great situation on its side as we play on teams away from home in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1992. Additionally, BYU is 8-0 ATS against teams allowing 58 percent completions or more while the Aztecs are 9-21 ATS against teams allowing 3.25 or less ypc. 10* (205) BYU Cougars


Prediction: BYU


Bet Type: SPREAD




Larry's Weekly Wipeout Winner (7-2 CFB s/Nov 30)


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM


My 9* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on San Diego St at 8:00 ET.


BYU and San Diego St are hardly strangers, as they faced each other for 13 consecutive seasons when both were members of the MWC. The Cougars dominated the Aztecs winning 11 of 13 (9-4 ATS). However, the programs were in a much different state back then, as in that span BYU went bowling in 10 of those years, while the Aztecs made it into postseason play just twice. They'll meet for the first time since the Cougars won 24-21 in 2010, improving to 27-7-1 in the all-time series. BYU is now an Independent and comes in 7-5 while San Diego St finished 9-3 and in a three-way tie with Boise St and Fresno St (7-1) for the MWC title. There was a time when the Cougars were known for their explosive passing attack but the 2012 edition was led by the team’s defense. BYU enters this game allowing just 266.3 YPG (3rd) and 14.7 PPG (5th). BYU was only NOT in one game this year, a 42-24 home loss to Oregon St. Its other four loses all came on the road and by just three points at Utah, one point at Boise St, three points at Notre Dame and six points at San Jose St. San Diego State opened 2-3 but ended the regular season on a seven-game winning streak. The Aztecs couldn’t have been happy when Brady Hoke left, after just two seasons. He struggled to a 4-8 first year at SDSU but in 2010, led the Aztecs to a 9-4 record, which included a dominating 35-14 win over Navy in this very bowl game. Hoke took the Michigan job shortly after that and the Aztecs were thrilled to get Rocky Long, who spent 10 seasons as New Mexico’s head coach. He led the Lobos to FIVE bowl appearances, all coming in his final seven seasons at Albuquerque. He’s now 2-for-2 in leading the Aztecs to bowl games, as last year’s team finished 8-5 after a 32-30 New Orleans Bowl loss to UL-Lafayette and of course, he has a chance here, to lead SDSU to its first eight-game winnings streak since 1975. Former Oregon St QB Ryan Katz opened the season at QB for the Aztecs but he was lost for the year (ankle) during a 39-38 OT win at Nevada back on Oct 20. Sophomore Adam Dingwell came off the bench to spark that win at Nevada (three TD passes) and then led the Aztecs to victories in all four of his starts, including a 21-19 upset at then-No. 19 Boise State on Nov 3. No one expected that the Aztecs were going to be able to replace RB Hillman but another sophomore, Adam Muema, has rushed for 1,355 yards on 6.4 YPC with 16 TDs. He has six, 100-yard games this season, including efforts of 202 and 255 yards (four TDs), in the Aztecs' most recent game, a 42-28 win at Wyoming on Nov 24. BYU’s In fact, SDSU ranks 15h in the nation in rushing yards (229.2 YPG on 5.1 YPC with 30 TDs), having already broken the school record for rushing yards in a season (Hillman, who?). The QB of choice for BYU would be Riley Nelson but he’s been hurt on-and-off all season. Nelson sat out BYU’s season-ender at New Mexico St, with senior James Lark completing 34 of 50 passes for 384 yards and six touchdowns in his first-ever collegiate start. Nelson’s ribs continue to keep his status in doubt for this one but Lark's performance against the Aggies has potentially created a tough decision for coach Bronco Mendenhall. However, whichever QB gets the call, he’ll be tested by a San Diego St pass D allowing an average of just 164.0 passing YPG in its last four games. I believe the gap which existed between these schools when both played in the MWC, no longer exists. This is a HOME game for the Aztecs and it makes little sense for BYU to be road favorite. the pointspread says “close game” but I’m saying “W-I-P-E-O-U-T!”


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: San Diego St.


Bet Type: SPREAD


SCOTT SPREITZER'S POINSETTIA PUNISHER! *25-2 ATS!


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM


I'm laying the points with BYU on Thursday night. These teams are familiar with each other after being a part of the Mountain West conference before BYU became independent. The coaching staffs are also familiar with each other having worked together in the past. And that's part of the reason I like BYU in this spot. SDSU and coach Rocky Long employ a 3-3-5 defense that does take time to get used to when you don't see or face it all season. BYU has not only had extra time to prepare for it, but HC Bronco Mendenhall knows it inside and out. SDSU has won seven straight games heading into the bowl game, but I'm not sold on the offense. They want to run the football first and foremost. QB Adam Dingwell took over for Ryan Katz after the starting QB was lost for the season due to an ankle injury. But Dingwell is a game manager - he's not normally going to win games for his team. Facing a defense like BYU's means the QB is going to have to make plays from time-to-time throughout the game. BYU is 2nd in the nation allowing just 84 yards rushing per game. And San Diego State is on a 2-10 ATS slide against teams that allow no more than 90 yards rushing per game, losing by an average score of 33-12. BYU, by the way, is on a 7-0 ATS run with Mendenhall as coach, when they're on the road against teams that rush for at least 4.75 yards per carry. The problem for Dingwell is that they're also "nasty" defending the pass, holding opponents to 182.1 yards passing per game (13th in NCAA). The Cougars are 3rd in the nation in total yards allowed per game, and have held thir opponents to less than 15 ppg. There's been some question as to which QB is going to start and play for BYU. Riley Nelson is probable (ribs), but it looks like James Lark is going to start. It doesn't matter to me. In fact, I won't be surprised to see both signal callers. Lark has played well since Nelson's injury. Lark has an 8-0 TD-INT mark and he's completed over 67% of his passes. And the BYU offense, while not putting up huge numbers, can run or pass effectively, something SDSU's simply has not done this season. While this is a bowl game, it is being played on San Diego State's home field. And BYU is on an 8-0 ATS run on the road against teams that allow a completion rate of at least 58%. BYU's 8-0 and 7-0 spread spots combine with the 10-2 ATS play-against SDSU spot, for 25-2 combined situations. I'm laying the points with BYU on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: BYU


Bet Type: SPREAD


IRON HORSE 10* POINSETTIA BOWL ***TOTAL***


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM


BYU (7-5) earned their Bowl bid behind a stingy defense that allowed just 14.7 points per game this season while holding 7 of their 12 opponents to 17 points or less despite playing a tough schedule that included #1 ranked Notre Dame, offensive powerhouse Boise State and a bunch of PAC 12 squads like Oregon State. The BYU defense dominates the line of scrimmage, holding foes to just 84 rushing yards per game on 2.7 yards per rush, forcing teams to pass the football- A strategy that held 7 of their 12 opponents to 65 rushing yards or less this year. That's especially bad news for San Diego State (9-3), as they averaged MORE rushing yards (229 yards per game) than passing yards (179 yards per game) per game this season. BYU has gone "Under" in 20 of 25 games against opponents averaging 4.75 yards per rush or more. We're looking "Under" on Thursday knowing that BYU's defensive strategy almost upset #1 ranked Notre Dame's undefeated season, losing just 14-17 to the Irish.
10* Play On UNDER (BYU/San Diego State)


Prediction: under


Bet Type: TOTAL






Rickenbach TOP *10* CFB *DOMINATOR*! 4-0 RUN!


BYU at San Diego St. Dec 20 2012 8:00PM


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *10* (TOP Play) BYU over San Diego State @ 8 ET - The BYU Cougars meet up with the San Diego State Aztecs on Thursday night in the Poinsettia Bowl. BYU is 7-5 SU overall this year while San Diego State comes in with a 9-3 SU overall record this season. BYU has a very good defense as they are allowing only 266.3 total yards per game overall this year. BYU is allowing only 14.7 points per game overall this year and 16.5 points per game on the road this season. BYU is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS last 3 years when playing with two weeks or more rest. BYU is 14-3 SU last 17 games overall vs San Diego State. BYU is 7-0 ATS last 7 games against the Mountain West conference. BYU is 13-6 ATS last 19 games overall. San Diego State is 1-5 ATS last 6 games after scoring 40 or more points. BYU is 10-4 ATS last 14 meetings overall. San Diego State quarterback Ryan Katz is out for this game. BYU gets it done here tonight. Play BYU over San Diego State as a *10* TOP Play selection Thursday.


Prediction: BYU


Bet Type: SPREAD

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:40 PM
Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side - Thursday, Dec 20 2012 8:00PM
205 BYU -3.0(-110) Hilton (http://www.pregame.com/en/main/sports-betting-lines-odds/) vs 206 San Diego St. double-dime bet

Analysis:
PLAY: BYU
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

When you look at San Diego St you see a team that has won 7 in a row and is playing at home so why not jump on them. Well outside of the big upset of Boise St on the road who has San Diego St beaten? BYU had to finish the season by playing 4 of their last 5 games on the road. It must also be noted that BYU really didn't have any incentive in the final 2 games because they had already accepted this bowl bid. Look at the 3 games they played before accepting this Bowl Bid. They went to Notre Dame and took undefeated Notre Dame to the limit as they lost 17-14 as a 12 point underdog. The following week they went to Georgia ¦ Tech and won 41-17. Came home for their Home Finale and steamrolled Idaho 52-13. BYU has held 8 of their last 9 opponents to 20 points or less. I know San Diego St has home field advantage but how excited can you be for a Bowl game when you don't get to leave home. BYU wanted this bowl as they accepted it with 2 games left. I'm backing BYU as my numbers have them winning 27-20.

TAKE BYU as MARCO'S THURSDAY BOWL BIG BET

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:40 PM
Seabass Report for Thursday:
100 Cal Irvine
100 TWolves

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:41 PM
SCOTT SPREITZER'S TNT TOTAL BEATDOWN GOM! 18-7 Run


Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves Dec 20 2012 7:05PM


I'm playing the Over between the Thunder & T-Wolves on Thursday night. The opening total for this matchup was 198 marking the first time in a long time that a Thunder - Timberwolves clash came with a total under 201. In fact, the average total in their last 10 meetings was 209.4, all 10 totals opened 201 or higher, and the teams finished Over the posted total seven times. Durant and Westbrook, averaging a combined 48.8 ppg on the season, have averaged 38 ppg and 36 ppg, repectively, in their last three games against Minnesota. This season's OKC Thunder are tops in the league, averaging 105.6 ppg, and they're 2nd in the NBA in both FG percentage and 3-point accuracy. Minnesota has played to the Over in four of their last five games, allowing 103.6 ppg. They're on a 13-2 Over run against division foes, averaging a combined 217.2 ppg! And finally, the Thunder are on a 32-19 Over run against teams than "can" at least six 3-pointers per contest...Minnesota fits the bill. I'm playing the Over between the Thunder & T-Wolves on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL






TOMS 10* NBA "THREE PACK" THURSDAY (#1 NBA CAPPER)


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers Dec 20 2012 10:05PM


Tom Freese plays are rated 10 UNIT, 15 UNIT, and 20 UNITS (#505) DENVER NUGGETS @ (#506) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 10:05 PM EST The 11-12 Trailblazers are at Home in Portland to battle the 14-12 Nuggets from Denver on THURSDAY. Portland has a scoring average of 97.1 Points per game while allowing an average of 99.9 Points per game to their opponents. On the other side of the Hardwood, Denver has a scoring average of 102.0 points per game while giving up an average of 100.8 Points per game to their opponents. The Trailblazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Portland COVERS Easily Tonight! PLAY ON THE (#506) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS (+) PTS FOR 10 UNITS TONIGHT!


Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers




Burns 10* TNT BLUE CHIP! ~ OFF 3-0 SWEEP, 9-2 L11!


Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks Dec 20 2012 9:35PM


I'm playing on Miami and Dallas to finish OVER the total. The Heat are off four consecutive games which fell below the total. However, I expect that streak to come to an end tonight. The Heat have still scored more than 100 points in each of their last two games and four of their last five. Their recent games have come against teams that were either offensively-challenged and/or strong defensively. Tonight's opponent doesn't really fall into either of those categories. When possible, this year's Mavericks like to get out and run. Five of their last six games have topped the total and ALL five of those finished with greater than 205 points. In fact, they had combined scores of 207, 220, 232, 215 and 225. For the season, the Mavs are averaging a healthy 105 ppg here at Dallas. They should be able to score points against a Miami team which allows 100 per game on the road. The Mavs have seen the OVER go 8-3 this season at home, 2-0 when the O/U line ranged from 200 to 204.5. The OVER is now 10-4-1 the L15 times that they played a home game with an O/U line in the 200 to 204.5 range. During that stretch, they've also seen the OVER go 4-0 the last four times that they were listed as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range. Both las season's meetings finished above the total. I feel this one has an excellent shot at doing the same. *10 Blue Chip


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL




Fargo's 10* NBA STAR ATTRACTION (PERFECT 2-0 RUN)


Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves Dec 20 2012 7:05PM


Oklahoma City won again last night, defeating Atlanta by eight points to make it 12 straight victories for the Thunder. They own the best record in the NBA and while winning like this is very impressive, they have had a very easy schedule along the way. Currently, Oklahoma City has played the easiest slate in the NBA and part of that is due to having 16 of their first 25 games taking place at home. The win over the Hawks last night was their first road game in over two weeks and just their third road game over their last 11 games. Of the seven road wins, two came against New Orleans which is 5-20 while the other five came by an average of 5.8 ppg including one in overtime. The Thunder dominate opponents at home but not on the road. Minnesota had won four straight games before getting swept in its two-game Florida trip but it is back home where it has won four straight and is 7-3 on the season. The Timberwolves have Ricky Rubio back in the mix as he saw action in his first two games before taking the game against Miami off so he is more rested for this one. Defense could play a role in this as Minnesota has concentrated more in that area as it has allowed opponents 94.4 ppg this season, tied for seventh in the NBA. While the Thunder have won 12 straight overall, they have also won 12 straight meetings against Minnesota so we have two contrarian angles we are going after. However, the games have been close as the last six meetings have been decided by single digits. Minnesota is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games against teams outscoring opponents by three or more ppg and it steps up once again here. 10* (502) Minnesota Timberwolves


Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves


Bet Type: SPREAD




Burns 10* TNT BEST BET! *36-20 L12 Days, 9-2 L11!*


Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves Dec 20 2012 7:05PM


I'm playing on MINNESOTA. I like how this one sets up for the home team. The T-Wolves had last night off while the Thunder played a fairly hard fought game at Atlanta. Granted, the athletic Thunder aren't usually too bothered by playing the second of back to games. However, on an extended winning streak and playing the final game before Christmas, I feel that they could get potentially caught looking ahead to the break a little here. While they're off back to back road losses, the T-Wolves have been playing very well here at Minnesota. In fact, they're a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS here this month. For the season, the T-Wolves are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS here. They allow just 91.4 points per game on this floor, while scoring 96.5 themselves. It should be noted that the T-Wolves fought hard against the Heat and that losing (103-92) on the road against the defending champs is nothing to be ashamed of. In fact, they outrebounded the Heat by 28 in that game. Coach Rick Adelman noted: "I like the way our guys battled. We just have to respond.' Adelman has been been excellent at getting his team to "respond" from a double-digit loss, as the T-Wolves are already a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS in that situation this season. Off a double-digit loss at Toronto on 11/4, the T-Wolves won by double-digits (as 7.5 point underdogs) at Brooklyn the next night. Off a double-digit loss at Golden State, they won outright at Sacramento in their next game. Most recently, off a 10-point loss at Boston, the T-Wolves returned home and won by 18. The T-Wolves have covered three straight home meetings in this series and five of the last six. I expect AT LEAST another cover here. *10 Best Bet


Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:41 PM
Prediction machine NBA 12/20
Minnesota +4
Portland +5.5
Dallas +5.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:42 PM
Rainman

byu & under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:42 PM
charlie sports
500* sd st +3
500* BYU / SD ST under 48
500* heat over 201

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:42 PM
Bryan Leonard - SDSt/BYU UNDER 48

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:42 PM
Dr Bob

Opinions only. No official releases

Eastern Michigan +25


USC - 9 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:43 PM
Kelso
25*--byu

25 port. st

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:57 PM
BEN BURNS

December 20, 2012 - 7:00 PM NBA Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota Burns' *10* TNT BEST BET! ~ 36-20 (+$12,297) L12 Days ~ 9-2 L11 NBA betonline @ 4.5 -110 Minnesota

December 20, 2012 - 8:00 PM NCAAF Brigham Young vs. San Diego State Burns' *10* 2012 POINSETTIA BOWL BEST BET! *WON HUGE IN 2010 + 2011! bookmaker @ 3 -105 San Diego State

December 20, 2012 - 9:30 PM NBA Miami vs. Dallas Burns' *10* TNT BLUE CHIP! ~ OFF 3-0 SWEEP, 9-2 L11 NBA, 14-5 L19! 5dimes @ Over 200.5 -110

December 20, 2012 - 11:00 PM NCAAB UC Irvine vs. Southern California *BLOWOUT ALERT* Burns' Fan Appreciation PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ OFF SWEEP! bookmaker @ -8.5 -110 Southern California

Can'tPickAWinner
12-20-2012, 06:58 PM
KB Hoops

7 units BYU -3 **POD**
3 units BYU UNder 46.5