12-21-12

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::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Central Florida vs. Ball State Cardinals
Point Spread - Pick

Central Florida Knights (9-4 SU, 6-7 ATS) vs. Ball State Cardinals (9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS)
Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl
Date/Time: Friday, December 21st, 2012, 7:30 p.m. EST
Where: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Fla.
TV: ESPN/DirecTV 206
by Badger, Football Handicapper

Point Spread: UCF -7/BSU +7
Over/Under Total: 61.5

Two nine-win teams looking to reach that magical 10-win plateau will clash indoors in December when the Central Florida Knights meet the Ball State Cardinals in the Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl at Tropicana Field on Friday, December 21st, on ESPN.

Ball State enters the game as one of the hottest teams in the country riding a six-game win streak, turning around a 3-3 start to the season to finish one game out of the Mid-American Conference (MAC) West division behind the BCS-busting Northern Illinois Huskies. But under the surface the Cardinals three losses came against Clemson, Kent State and Northern Illinois, three teams that combined to go 33-5 this season, so Ball State is a much better team than some people are giving them credit for by just looking at the numbers.

The Cardinals will be looking to make a little history too, since they have never won a bowl game in the football program’s existence going 0-5 in their previous five post-season appearances. This will also be the first-ever bowl appearance for second-year head coach Pete Lembo, who came to the Cardinals from the ranks of FCS (Elon) and academic schools like Lehigh and Dartmouth.

Central Florida limps into the Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl as losers of two of their last three games, including a heartbreaker in the Conference USA Championship game to Tulsa in overtime, 33-27. The Knights fell apart late in the game, falling asleep on a long punt return late in the fourth quarter before losing after failing to do anything on their opening possession of OT. Ironically, both late-season loses came against Tulsa (their other two loses were to Ohio State and Missouri), so the Knights will be happy to play anybody else other than the Golden Hurricanes this bowl season.

Oddsmakers are expecting Central Florida to rebound following the title-game loss, opening the game with the Knights as 8-point favorites in their home state when the number went up on the board early in December. After a week of action, mostly on Ball State, the line has dropped the hook to minus -7.5 at a few offshore sportsbooks, while the rest of the sports book world is currently listing the number at -7.

The over/under total opened at 61.5 and has yet to move in either direction since it went up on the board.

Offensively this game will be keyed by the quarterbacks, both Knights sophomore Blake Bortles and Cardinals junior Keith Wenning. In his second year of playing, Bortles is starting to approach school records held by former Knight and NFL player Daunte Culpepper. The long layoff before the bowl game will likely help Wenning, who snapped his 33-game consecutive starts streak by missing the Cardinals finale with a broken bone in his ankle, even though he’s officially listed as questionable.

Bortles has thrown 22 touchdowns and hits on 63 percent of his passes, but his best attribute is that he spreads the ball around very well for a young QB, since the Knights have 11 players that average over 10 yards per catch and 10 different receivers who have at least one touchdown score. Running back Latavious Murray (1,035 yards, 16 TD) gives the Knights a dangerous option out of the backfield, but there’s really no single player that the Knights rely on despite scoring 35.2 points per game (27th in FBS).

Ball State has an impressive offensive line and a 1,000-yard rusher in Jahwan Edwards (1,321 yards, 14 TD) that helps to take the pressure off of Wenning, but at 471 yards a game (22nd) and 35 points per game (31st) the Cardinals offense is high-powered like most teams in the MAC. Receiver Willie Snead (1,070, yards, 7 TD) is Wenning’s top weapon on the perimeter, but Jamill Smith (6 TD) and TE Zane Fakes (5 TD) are also involved over the middle when the Cardinals need to move the chains.

The biggest difference is this game though will likely be on defense. Central Florida sports two of the best safeties in Florida in Kemal Ishmael (C-USA Defensive Player of the Year) and Clayton Geathers, and both have over 100 tackles this season to show for it and help the Knights hold teams to just 22.5 points per game. Ball State, like most teams in the MAC, take defense as an option and their 460 yards a game allowed (104th) and huge yardage allowed on the ground (206 ypg – 108th) make the Cardinals offense have to work twice as hard as they should in order to outscore teams week to week.

These two schools have met three times on the gridiron in the past, the last time coming in 2004 when the Knights were members of the MAC, but lost 21-17 to Ball State in Muncie. Ball State also won at home in 1996, but the only meeting in Florida (1998) ended in a huge Knights victory, 37-14.

Other obscure items worth noting about this game is the fact that the Knights played in the Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl in 2009, losing to Rutgers 45-24.

The bowl game will also be Central Florida head coach George O’ Leary’s 200th career game. The Knights will certainly try and make the milestone a victory, but historically Central Florida is a meager 1-5 SU versus teams from the state of Indiana. The Knights are 5-2 ATS against the MAC, but the Cardinals are also strong in non-conference play (19-7 ATS in L26), so the betting trends are sort of a wash.

Badger's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Central Florida tends to keep games close and doesn't blow very many teams out. On the flip side, I think Ball St. has a shot of winning this game straight up so I'm very happy to take the points here. This being somewhat of a home game for UCF is overrated and I don't buy into it.
Take Ball St. plus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

FRIDAY


• Play Ball State +7 over Central Florida (NCAA BOWL GAME OF
YEAR)---60% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 7:30 PM EST


Ball State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 games and they
have also covered the spread in 7 consecutive games coming off a
conference win by seven points or less. Ball State has covered the
spread in 4 of the last 5 games as an underdog and they are averaging
over 39 points a game on offense over the last three games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SBP does have a play on the Beef OBrady Bowl scheduled for Friday (12/21).
207. Ball St. +7 (service play)

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Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

BEEF "O" BRADY BOWL (BOWL #4)

7:30PM Ball State vs Central Florida
[207] (CIGAR GAME- 2 UNIT GAME) Ball State +8 -116

MARC

BEEF "O" BRADY BOWL (BOWL #4)

7:30PM Ball State vs Central Florida
[207] ( LIGHTS OUT-2 UNIT PLAY) OVER 61.5 -105

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Teddy Covers Beef O'Brady Bowl Winner: Ball St vs UCF

10* Ball St.

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Beef O'Brady's Bowl: What Bettors Need to Know

Beef O'Brady's Bowl: UCF Knights vs. Ball State Cardinals (+7, 61.5)

BEEF ‘O’ BRADY’S BOWL STORYLINES

1. Ball State began the season 3-3 and has won six straight games since, while Central Florida was victorious in two of its first four games before finishing 7-2.

2. Jahwan Edwards of Ball State and Central Florida’s Latavius Murray have each rushed for more than 1,000 yards and 14 touchdowns. The Cardinals average 214.3 yards and UCF 178.7 on the ground.

3. Ball State has won four games with scores in the last two minutes of regulation or in overtime. Central Florida is 2-3 in games decided by seven points or less.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Central Florida opened as a touchdown favorite and has remained steady. The total has also stood pat at 61.5 points.

TRENDS:

* Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. MAC.
* Cardinals are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
* Under is 7-2 in Knights' last nine vs. MAC.
* Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals' last six non-conference games.

ABOUT BALL STATE (9-3, 6-2 MAC, 9-3 ATS): The Cardinals are tied for the third most victories in the program’s history, thanks to a productive offense. Ball State’s losses are to Clemson, Northern Illinois and Kent State - who combined for a 33-5 record - and the Cardinals have averaged 31 points in those games. Quarterback Keith Wenning, who is probable with an Achilles injury which kept him out of the last regular-season game, has completed 65.5 percent of his passes and thrown for 22 touchdowns while averaging 261.2 yards. Willie Snead is the top target with 82 receptions and 1,070 yards and 135-pound Jamill Smith has 69 for 706. Edwards, who has totaled of 1,321 yards, keys a ground game that has produced more than 220 yards in four of the last five games. Linebacker Travis Freeman is the nation’s active leader in career tackles with 455. Ball State is 0-5 in bowl games and plays in its first since the 2008-09 season.

ABOUT CENTRAL FLORIDA (9-4, 7-1 C-USA, 6-7 ATS): The Knights have lost to undefeated Ohio State, bowl-bound Tulsa twice and Missouri – three of those by six points or less. Central Florida, which has won one of three games all time against Ball State, has been balanced by scoring 31 times on the ground and 25 through the air. Murray has 1,035 yards rushing in 10 games. Quarterback Blake Bortles has thrown 22 touchdown passes with only seven interceptions – three less than his counterpart. Bortles averages more than 200 yards and has completed 62.6 percent of his passes. J.J. Worton, Rannell Hall and Jeff Godfrey all have at least 31 receptions and 400 yards, combining for 11 scores. Central Florida is tied for 16th in the nation in turnover margin plus .85). The Knights are 1-3 in bowl games, winning their last against Georgia in the 2010 Liberty Bowl. They lost to Rutgers 45-24 in the 2009 Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl.

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Phil Steele

13 points: Ball State over Central Florida
Beef O' Brady's St. Petersburg Bowl (Dec. 21; St. Petersburg, Fla.)
Pick Center Matchup
We'd move this game down the list some if star quarterback Keith Wenning isn't cleared to suit up for Ball State, and we might even change sides if capable backup Kelly Page remains sidelined as well. But if Wenning is leading the troops, it's full steam ahead on this underdog despite a lack of bowl experience. Ball State is a rising MAC power coached by Pete Lembo, and this year the Cardinals have three losses to teams that combined for a 32-4 record in the regular season. Central Florida is the more talented team, but it's one that can't seem to play well on both sides of the ball in the same game, and the part of the season the Knights truly cared about ended two weeks ago with a controversial loss in the Conference USA title game.
Ball State 35, Central Florida 28

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Joe Gavazzi

Beef O’Brady Bowl: St. Petersburg, Florida
Ball State vs. Central Florida (-7) 7:30 ESPN
5* Ball State
Fully acknowledge the instate presence of UCF at this nearby site as well as the reduced line based on Ball State’s 6 game win streak and their 9-3 ATS log in which they covered by a net of 67 points. There’s little doubt that UCF has the better defense at 23/380 compared to Ball’s stop unit that averages 32/460 allowing 206 yards or more both running and passing. Yet whether it is injured QB Wenning (ankle) or his capable replacement, QB Page at the controls, favor the Cards as TD dog in this one. Ball has a veteran OL that keyed a 200 Club member attack balanced by RB Edwards. Ball averaged 214 or more yards both running and passing. Far prefer that attack unit over the Knights skill position players of QB Bortels and RB Murray. Ball was respectable 3-1 ATS as underdog, played the harder schedule, and may well have the better attitude after UCF lost the CUSA Championship at Tulsa in OT. With each offense superlative to the defense of the other, it would not surprise to see this evolve into a high scoring shootout.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with BYU (-3 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s Central Florida. The deficit is 1228 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won last four games, covered last five (2-2 as HF). Orlando won its last four games (8-3-1 as AU).
-- Hawks won five of their last six road games (4-1 vs spread on road if spread is 5 or less points).
-- Bulls won six of their last eight games (2-3 as AU). New York won 10 of its last 12 games (8-0 as HF of 7 or less points).
-- Bucks won five of their last seven games (5-3 as AU).
-- Pacers won/covered four of their last five games (favorites are 11-4 vs spread in Indiana road games). Cavaliers lost last five games (covered one of the five-- 4-7 vs spread at home).
-- Memphis won/covered last three games (by 13-9-10 points; they are 8-3 as HF).
-- Warriors won 10 of their last 13 games (4-3 as HF).
-- Clippers won their last 11 games, covered seven of last eight (8-3 as a home favorite).

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost last five games, all by 7+ points (5-9 vs spread at home).
-- Celtics lost three of their last four games (5-5-1 as HF).
-- Wizards lost last five games (4-1-1 vs spread in last six). Pistons lost their last six games (2-4 as HF).
-- Mavericks lost four of last five games (3-5 as AU of 5+ points).
-- Hornets lost their last nine games (8-4 as AU). Spurs lost four of last five games, but all four losses were on road (6-0 HF of 6+ points).
-- Charlotte lost last 13 games, covered two of last eight (4-6 as AU).
-- Kings lost five of their last six games (4-7 as road dog).

Totals
-- Six of last eight Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Philly's last six games.
-- 11 of last 13 Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- 10 of last 14 Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Washington games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games went over the total.
-- Eight of last 11 New Orleans road games went over.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Charlotte's last eleven games.
-- Five of last six Clipper games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Mavericks are 2-4 vs spread if they played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/21/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1251-369 (.772)
ATS: 489-508 (.490)
ATS Vary Units: 1796-1980 (.476)
Over/Under: 144-127 (.531)
Over/Under Vary Units: 192-196 (.495)

Cable Car Classic
1st Round at Santa Clara, CA
SANTA CLARA 78, Alcorn State 60
Wagner 60, Smu 58

World Vision Challenge
Round Robin at Logan, UT
Southern Illinois 74, Nicholls State 63
UTAH STATE 79, UC Davis 65

Big Sky Conference
Montana 73, SACRAMENTO STATE 66
NORTH DAKOTA 72, Northern Colorado 71

Non-Conference
ALBANY 72, Quinnipiac 64
BAYLOR 80, Byu 72
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 73, Northeastern 70
COLORADO 83, Northern Arizona 55
CONNECTICUT 76, Fordham 55
DELAWARE 68, Penn 60
DENVER 71, Southern Utah 56
FORT WAYNE 75, Kennesaw State 58
HIGH POINT 69, Eastern Kentucky 68
INDIANA 90, Florida Atlantic 58
MARYLAND 70, Stony Brook 58
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 71, Morehead State 60
NOTRE DAME 79, Niagara 62
RUTGERS 73, Howard 52
SOUTH FLORIDA 60, Bowling Green 47
ST. JOHN'S 77, UNC Asheville 70
Stanford vs. NORTHWESTERN: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TENNESSEE 77, Western Carolina 59
TENNESSEE STATE 69, USC Upstate 66
UT San Antonio 70, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 66
UTAH 75, Cal State Northridge 65
Vanderbilt 64, Middle Tennessee 62
VCU 96, Longwood 54
Washington State 64, Buffalo 59
WYOMING 70, UC Santa Barbara 57
Youngstown State 71, BETHUNE-COOKMAN 70

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 17 Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 0-1 (.000)
ATS: 0-1 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-8 (.000)
Over/Under: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-2 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 1043-345 (.751)
ATS: 416-392 (.515)
ATS Vary Units: 2442-2286 (.516)
Over/Under: 373-359 (.510)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1228-879 (.583)

Friday, December 21, 2012
Beef O'Brady's Bowl
at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
UCF 36, Ball State 35

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/21/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 249-117 (.680)
ATS: 186-186 (.500)
ATS Vary Units: 619-543 (.533)
Over/Under: 196-177 (.525)
Over/Under Vary Units: 350-293 (.544)

TORONTO 94, Orlando 93
Atlanta 92, PHILADELPHIA 91
BOSTON 98, Milwaukee 91
NEW YORK 95, Chicago 90
DETROIT 96, Washington 91
Indiana 98, CLEVELAND 91
MEMPHIS 101, Dallas 90
SAN ANTONIO 106, New Orleans 89
L.A. CLIPPERS 109, Sacramento 93
GOLDEN STATE 109, Charlotte 93

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 953 - 709 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner FRI: Memphis -10 NBA

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Wyoming -14

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Fargo's BEEF O BRADY'S BOWL SIDE (PERFECT 8-0 RUN)


Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM


Ball St. is one of the hotter teams in the country as it won its final six games of the regular season. The Cardinals were bowl eligible last season but were bypassed so they may be playing with a chip on their shoulder this year. Ball St. was picked by some to finish at the bottom of the MAC West but proved a lot of people wrong while playing the second toughest schedule in the MAC. The Cardinals three losses this year have come against Kent St., Northern Illinois and Clemson, which have a combined five losses. Central Florida is getting the love from the linesmakers as this is pretty close to a home game for the Knights as Tropicana Field is only 100 miles away from campus. Even with that, I don't think they deserve to be a touchdown, and in some cases more, favorite against a quality team. The close to home field did not help in 2009 when the night played here and got whacked by Rutgers 45-24. Past results do not predict future outcomes like this but it just shows location can mean little. I'd rather take the hotter team against an opponent that is coming off a devastating loss anyway. The Knights lost the C-USA Championship to Tulsa in overtime and it was a tough one to take. "It's very disappointing, to come that far, have it down in overtime, miss the field goal and have them score a touchdown," running back Latavius Murray said. Unlike the Cardinals, Central Florida played a soft schedule as it had only two wins against teams playing in a bowl game. There was talk before this week that the Cardinals would have to turn to freshman Kyle Kamman at quarterback after losing starter Keith Wenning and his backup Kelly Page as Wenning was hurt against Ohio and Page was hurt against Miami Ohio in the regular season finale. The good news though is both are now listed as probable which is big break for the Ball St. offense. The Cardinals defense is a concern for sure but the offense is loaded enough to keep up with the Knights. Ball St. had a much better record against the number, going 9-3 ATS compared to just 6-7 ATS for Central Florida. Also, the Knights are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game while Ball St. is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games away from home against teams averaging 4.75 or more rushing ypc. Additionally, Ball St. is 6-0 ATS in its last six games coming off a conference win by a touchdown or less. 9* (207) Ball St. Cardinals


Prediction: Ball St.


Bet Type: SPREAD








Marc Lawrence 100% ATS Beef O'Brady's Bowl Play!


Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM


Play On: Ball State (Game 207) Note: This tilt at the Trop is the epitome of a happy bowl dog taking on a bummed out bowl favorite. Yes, the Ballers may be one of seven bowl virgins (no bowl games the past three years) on this year’s card but that should have them raring to go as opposed to a Knights’ squad that will be making this short trip to St. Pete following their gut-wrenching, overtime Conference USA title loss to Tulsa. As it is, bowl favorites off an extra-session loss are 2-5 ATS while bowl chalk of seven or more points off a championship game defeat are a deflated 3-9 ATS. And like Arizona, UCF may fall into that 14-42-4 ATS category as a sub .750 bowl favorite of eight or more points (check line) when taking on a winning opponent. It’s just too many hurdles for a Knights’ team that is ‘leaking oil’ (lost stats in each of the last three games) to overcome. Especially against a Ball State bunch that is playing its best ball of the season. Not only have the Cardinals gone 7-1 ‘ITS’ since late September, they closed out the regular season on a 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS run. And wouldn’t you know it: bowl virgins off wins in each of their last four regular-season contests are 9-3 ATS. In addition, the moneymakers from Muncie have brought home the cash in 14 of their last 18 games, thanks, in part, to Lembo’s 6-1 SU and ATS log as a dog of less than nine points. The clincher come from our powerful database, noting that pre New Years Day bowl dogs of 7 or more points off a conference win in which they scored 30 or more points, facing a.600 or greater opponent off a loss who rushes the ball for 5.2 or less Yards Per Rush are 16-0-2 ATS since 1980. With that we recommend a 3-unit play on Ball State. Thank you and good luck as always. Check this out: there is an amazing awesome angle inside Saturday night's NFL clash between the Falcons and Lions that has never lost the money in NFL history. It comes directly from Marc's famous PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB and its yours - if you act now!


Prediction: Ball St.


Bet Type: SPREAD






SCOTT SPREITZER'S BEEF O BRADY BEATDOWN! *2-0 TY!


Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM


I'm taking the points with Ball State on Friday night. BSU QB Keith Wenning is expected to start in this one and I suspect he'll find little resistance moving the ball on UCF. The Golden Knights have problems slowing down opposing ground games, allowing over 200 yards rushing four times this season, and BSU has a good one in RB Jahwan Edwards, who has rushed for over 13-hundred yards on 6.1 yards per carry. Wenning should be able to pick apart the UCF defense that will be forced to keep an eye on Edwards. Wenning has an underrated WR corps to throw to, led by Willie Snead. As a team, Ball State is excited to be here and has the motivation factor on their side. UCF finished the season with a loss to Tulsa, (2nd time this season), which "relegated" the Knights to this bowl game, rather than the bowl game they had hoped to be in, the Liberty Bowl. UCF has a quality offensive attack and they may trade points with Ball State for a while. But that's perfectly fine with me, because we're getting a TD with the Cardinals. Ball State enters on a 5-1 ATS run in their last six games and they're 9-2 ATS following a SU win. And let's not forget that this season's three losses came against Clemson, Kent State, and Northern Illinois. All three teams are bowling and finished with a combined record of 33-5 SU. While I believe Ball State has a legitimate shot to win outright, my play is to take the points with the Cardinals. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: Ball St.






IRON HORSE 10* COLLEGE BOWL LINE ERROR OF THE YEAR


Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM


Second year Ball State (9-3) Head Coach Pete Lembo started the season with a young and inexperienced offense and defense, but gained valuable experience all season and ended on a 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS streak. They only lost 3 games this year, with ALL 3 losses coming against fellow Bowlers, 10-2 Clemson (in Chick-Fil-A Bowl), 12-1 N. Illinois (in Orange Bowl) and 11-2 Kent State (in GoDaddy Bowl), who are head into the Bowls owning a combined record of 33-5 SU. The betting public and Oddsmakers have underestimated Ball State all year, as they're a money making 4-1 ATS as Dogs this season, including a perfect 2-0 ATS as Dogs of a TD or more! In just his second year with the team, Head Coach Lembo has Ball State playing their first Bowl game in 4 years and with Ball State owning an 0-5 SU record in Bowls, you can be sure he knows just how important it is for them to win this Beef O' Brady Bowl.
10* Play On Ball State


Prediction: Ball St.


Bet Type: SPREAD




Team Del Genio *10* Bowl Total of the Week


Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM


Play Over Ball State/Central Florida at 7:30 ET. We saw plenty of points in the first two bowl games, Arizona-Nevada in particular, and once again the points should be a plenty as Ball State meets Central Florida in this year's Beef O'Bradys Bowl. UCF went Over in 10 of 13 games so far this season. Two of the three games that didn't were against BCS opponents, Ohio State and Missouri. This is not the highest total for any Knights game this season as they hung 54 points on Marshall back on October 27th, sending that game Over the number. Should be the same case here going up against a Ball State defense that allowed opponents to score 31.5 PPG and 423.5 YPG. Even worse for the Cardinals is that they were equally bad against the run as they were the pass. That said, they gave up over 200 YPG on the ground, one of only a handful of teams nationally to do so. This is disastrous when facing Central Florida, who has FIVE backs that have gone for at least 162 yds rushing this season and they have 31 rushing touchdowns on the year. The Knights offense comes in averaging over 35 PPG. Of course, the same can also be said for a Ball State team that also averages over 200 yds rushing on offense! It looks as if Cardinals QB Keith Wenning will play here, which is obviously a key. Ball State has gone over 30 pts in each of their previous six games (all wins) and seven of the last eight. Only twice all season were they held below 30 points. Four times they scored 41 or more. Closing the regular season w/ a 31-24 win over Miami (OH) is key here b/c the Cardinals are on a 6-0 Over Run after winning a MAC Game by 7 points or less. Another thing to keep in mind is that Ball State was down to their third string QB in that regular season finale due to the Wenning injury + a concussion suffered by backup Kelly Page. Look for plenty o'points in the Beef O'Bradys Bowl. Over Ball State/Central Florida is our 10* Bowl Total of the Week.


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL






Rickenbach CFB *TOTALS DOMINATOR*! 60-31 66% TY!


Ball St. at Central Florida Dec 21 2012 7:30PM


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB *8* (Regular Play) OVER in Ball State at Central Florida @ 7:30 ET - The Ball State Cardinals face the Central Florida Knights in the Beef O'Brady's Bowl on Friday night. Ball State is 9-3 SU overall this year while Central Florida is now 9-4 SU on the season. Ball State is averaging 471.3 yards per game overall this year but are allowing 459.8 yards per game overall this season. Ball State is scoring 35 points per game overall this year and 35.3 points per game on the road this season. Ball State is allowing 34.1 points per game on the road this year. Central Florida is scoring 35.2 points per game overall this year and 34.3 points per game on the road this season. The Over is 10-3 in all Central Florida games this year. The Over is 9-1 this year when Central Florida is a favorite. The Over is 9-3-1 AST last 13 games when Ball State is off a SU win. These two teams will light it up tonight. Play OVER in Central Florida as a *8* Regular Play selection Thursday.


Prediction: over


Bet Type: TOTAL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL's 44-15 ATS NCAA HOOPS ROADKILL ROUT!


Northridge St. at Utah Dec 21 2012 10:30PM


At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Northridge. After losing 74-71 at home to Sacramento St, on November 16, the Utes have ripped off 7 covers (and 1 push) over their last eight games. I look for Larry Krystkowiak's men to stretch their ATS streak to 8-0-1 ATS their last nine, as they fall into a situation that's 44-15 ATS. That angle plays on the Utes as a home favorite of -10 points or less (or PK) vs. a foe off a SU win. (Northridge does come into this game off a win vs. San Diego Christian.) Take Utah tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: Utah





Fargo's 10* CBB FRIDAY ENFORCER (PERFECT 3-0 YEST)


Buffalo at Washington St. Dec 21 2012 10:30PM


Washington St. is 7-4 on the season but that record does not give the Cougars justice. They were blown out by Kansas which can happen to any team but their other three losses came by a grand total of five points including one of those in overtime, one against Texas A&M and the other against Gonzaga so a few different bounces and Washington St. could be 9-2 or better. The trademark of the Cougars is their defense and that is the case again this season as they are allowing just 56.7 ppg on 37.4 percent shooting and those numbers are even better in their last seven games. This game is considered a home game even though it is on a neutral floor at Key Arena in Seattle so obviously the Cougars will have the fan support. This is the eighth annual Cougar Hardwood Classic and Washington St. is a perfect 7-0 in the first seven editions. Buffalo comes in riding a two-game winning streak but that means nothing now as the Bulls have not played a game in close to two weeks. With this the first game back on the road out west after a long break, it is bad enough, but playing one of the best defensive teams in the country makes it even more of a challenge. Additionally, the Bulls will be playing their first game since losing starting point game Jarod Oldham to a wrist injury suffered at practice. Oldham is averaging 10.1 ppg, the best for a guard and his 4.4 apg will be missed as the Bulls have a poor 0.85 assist/turnover ratio to begin with. The Cougars fall into a great situation too as we play against underdogs that are averaging between 63 and 67 ppg going up against teams allowing 63 ppg or less, after two straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 81-44 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (840) Washington St. Cougars


Prediction: Washington St.






SCOTT SPREITZER'S CBB TOP HAMMER GOM! *37-19 Run!!


Northridge St. at Utah Dec 21 2012 10:30PM


I'm laying the points with Utah on Friday night. Contrasting styles will be on display in Salt Lake tonight. CS-Northridge wants to run-and-gun, while the Utes play a fierce brand of defensive basketball. Utah is 24th in the nation allowing just 57.2 ppg and they're 5th in FG defense, holding opponents to 34.8% shooting. The Utes also own a +9 rebound margin per game average in six home games. CSUN takes a lot of shots...but plays no defense, especially on the road. The Matadors have dropped three straight road games, allowing 87 points twice and 82 points in the other contest, losing by an average of more than 16 ppg. While CSUN averages 81.8 ppg on the season, overall, they're scoring less than 71 ppg on the road where they allow their "hosts" to score over 81 ppg on 49.6% shooting. The Matadors have also had problems hanging onto the basketball, averaging over 17 turnovers per game on the road. Northridge is 1-5 ATS in their last six against Pac-12 opposition (0-2 this season), while the under-valued Utes are on a 14-2-1 ATS run overall, a 7-0-1 ATS run against non-conference opponents, and a 5-0 ATS run at home. I'm laying the points with Utah on Friday. Thanks! GL! - Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fargo's 10* NBA DARK HORSE DANDY (PERFECT 2-0 RUN)


Charlotte Bobcats at Golden State Warriors Dec 21 2012 10:35PM


Charlotte has been stuck on seven wins since November 24th, a span of 13 games, as it has been unable to break its season win total from all of last season. After a road win at Washington, the Bobcats lost at Oklahoma City by 45 points and it has been all downhill since then. They have been very competitive in a lot of those games though, most recently a one-point loss at the Lakers which was followed up by a blowout loss at Phoenix the next night. That sets up Charlotte very well here plus the Bobcats will be playing their fourth game in five nights at Denver on Saturday which will also be the final game of their roadtrip so any solid effort will be on display tonight. Golden St. is coming off a loss at Sacramento in its last game so it will be hungry for a win but this is a lot of points for the Warriors to be putting down in a game where the focus should not all be there. The reason for that is they host the Lakers on Saturday and they will be looking for revenge from a 24-point loss earlier in the season at Los Angeles, easily their worst loss of the season. The Warriors are one of the big surprises in basketball at 17-9 but this is the most they have been favored by and they are 0-2 ATS this season when favored by seven or more points. Charlotte also falls into a great situation where we play against favorites of 10 or more points that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against team allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 100 points or more two straight games. This situation is 55-25 (68.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (817) Charlotte Bobcats


Prediction: Charlotte Bobcats






TOM FREESE 10* NBA "THREE PACK" FRI *#1 NBA CAPPER- 61%


Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks Dec 21 2012 7:35PM


TOMS PLAYS ARE RATED 10, 15, and 20 UNITS (#805) CHICAGO BULLS @ (#806) NEW YORK KNICKS 7:35 PM EST The 19-6 Knicks are at Home in New York to Host the 14-10 Bulls from Chicago on FRIDAY! New York has a scoring average of 102.8 Points per game while allowing an average of 96.2 Points per game to their opponents. On the opposite Bench, Chicago has a scoring average of 92.8 points per game while giving up an average of 90.3 Points to their opponents. The Knicks look to increase their record to 20-6 Tonight. The Knicks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 Home games and 14-6 ATS in their Last 20 Games against NBA Central Clubs. The Bulls are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. Win and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 Games playing on 2 days rest. New York Covers in a Rout! PLAY ON THE (#806) NEW YORK KNICKS (-) PTS FOR 10 UNITS TONIGHT!


Prediction: New York Knicks






SCOTT SPREITZER'S NBA TOTAL SLAMMER! 18-8, 69% Run


Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics Dec 21 2012 7:35PM


I'm playing the Under between the Bucks & Celtics on Friday. This is the fourth meeting of the season between these two teams and the second time I'll have played the Under. All three games have finished Under the total and they all finished below tonight's posted total. Milwaukee beat Boston 91-88 in the most recent meeting, scoring 36 points in the second quarter and just 55 points in the other three quarters combined. Boston topped 21 points in just one of four quarters. I expect more of the same in this one. The series is on a 5-0 Under run and Boston is on a 40-23 Under run when playing their third game in four days. They'll look to clamp down on the defensive end tonight, which shouldn't be a problem against Milwaukee, the NBA's 26th & 27th ranked team in FG percentage and 3-point accuracy, respectively. The Bucks enter on a 6-1 Under run on the road and 10-4 Under in their last 14 games, overall. I'm playing the Under between the Bucks & Celtics on Friday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog NCAAF
Friday 12/21

Central Florida moneyline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Ball State +7 over Central Florida
(System Record: 42-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 42-45-4



Soccer Crusher
Kortrijk + Lokeren UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 331-14, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 331-291-39

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness 10* Situational G.O.M. (10-2 L12 CBB!)


BYU at Baylor Dec 21 2012 9:00PM


My 10* Situational Game of the Month is on Baylor at 9:00 ET BYU lost 88-70 vs Fla St and 76-68 to Notre Dame in neutral games and 83-62 at Iowa St. Much different team away from Provo. Sophomore guard Haws (20.3-5.5) and the 6-9 Davies (19.2-7.3) but not much else. The Cougars have been terrible as underdogs for years. They're 52-87 ATS their last 139 in the underdog role, 3-10 ATS the last two years. That's continued this season, as they're already 0-2 ATS when getting points. Baylor not the same as last couple of years (Elite 8 appearances in 2010 and 2012) but much more balanced and did win at Kentucky when Wildcats were ranked 8th. Bears won 86-83 in Provo last year. Needless to say, it’s much easier here in Waco. Baylor pulls away for a double-digit win. Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
25* Ball st +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll sports 3-3 yesterday---10* loser on aztecs +3.5-- 2-3 last 5 ten *'s

todays card

10* ball st +7.5 cfb
5* spurs -14 nba
4* baylor bears -7 cbb
3* bulls/knicks under 188.5 nba
2* w carolina catamounts +13.5 cbb

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Baylor -7

50* Wagner +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
3***NBA Charlotte Bobcats +10.5
3***NCAAF Ball St vs. Central Florida UNDER 62
3***CBB Denver University -19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS
20* NBA Big Ticket
Atlanta Hawks
10* CFB Beef O Brady Bowl Winner
Ball State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams


Raise the Bar
1500♦
Dead Mortal Lock


Ball State Cardinals



NOTE: At the time I release my selection your way, Ball State is a +7 point dog. If your line is +7 or dips to +6 1/2 points, I am instructing you to buy the half point up on the Cardinals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo CBB

6 * USF -10 (4pm PST)

3 * STANFORD -2 (6pm)

2 * WSU -7.5 (7:30pm)

1 * MTSU -5.5 (6pm)
1 * SIU -10.5 (4:30pm)
1 * SMU -2.5 (6pm)
1 * COL -17 (5:30pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs CBB (12-0 run)

4 Unit Play. #840 Take Washington State -7.5 over Buffalo (10:30 pm PAC-12 Network)

We will ride old faithful once again on Friday night, as the Bulls make a ridiculously long flight to Pullman for one game. Wazzou has not left Pullman since November 21st and they have won all but one of their games since that time (This game is in Seattle). Their lone loss came at the buzzer against Gonzaga. The Cougars have the best player on the floor in Brock Motum and I do not feel that Buffalo has a guy that can guard him one on one. Wazzou has loads of experience and that will allow them to take down this weak mid-major on Friday night at Key Arena. Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Wazzou is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Ball St
Baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

9:00PM Cal Santa Barbara vs Wyoming
[830](CIGAR PLAY- 2 UNIT) Wyoming -14 -110

9:00PM BYU vs Baylor
[832] Baylor -6.5 -110

10:35PM Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Clippers
[820] Los Angeles Clippers -13.5 -110

JIMMY

7:05PM Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors
[801] Orlando Magic +3.5 -110

10:30PM Buffalo vs Washington State
[840] Washington State -7 -110

MARC

10:35PM Charlotte Bobcats vs Golden State Warriors
[817] UNDER 204 -110

PERRY

ITALY-SERIE A

CALCIO CATANIA/PESCARA CALCIO OVER 2.5 -105 (12PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Chicago at New York

The Knicks look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is coming off a 100-89 win over Boston and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. New York is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: New York (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 21
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: Orlando at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 115.317; Toronto 120.364
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3 1/2); Over


Game 803-804: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.581; Philadelphia 114.348
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2); Under


Game 805-806: Chicago at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.256; New York 128.157
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 9; 185
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6 1/2); Under


Game 807-808: Milwaukee at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.559; Boston 120.289
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6; 192
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+6); Over


Game 809-810: Indiana at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.967; Cleveland 113.663
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 186
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2); Under


Game 811-812: Washington at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.004; Detroit 117.340
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 7 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 185
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6); Over


Game 813-814: Dallas at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 113.964; Memphis 126.467
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 12 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 10; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-10); Over


Game 815-816: New Orleans at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.649; San Antonio 130.984
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 18; 191
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 195
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-14); Under


Game 817-818: Charlotte at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 108.574; Golden State 118.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 9 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 11; 203
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+11); Over


Game 819-820: Sacramento at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.635; LA Clippers 129.494
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 18; 195
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-13 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

BYU at Baylor

The Bears look to take advantage of a BYU team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games. Baylor is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-7). Here are all of today's games.


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 21
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 821-822: Fordham at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 50.673; Connecticut 64.470
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 14
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+15 1/2)


Game 823-824: Florida Atlantic at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 46.800; Indiana 81.632
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 35; 141
Vegas Line: Indiana by 32 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-32 1/2); Under


Game 825-826: Pennsylvania at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 49.318; Delaware 53.523
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 4
Vegas Line: Delaware by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (+10 1/2)


Game 827-828: Bowling Green at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 54.063; South Florida 65.419
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 10
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-10)


Game 829-830: UC-Santa Barbara at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.367; Wyoming 70.579
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 17
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-13 1/2)


Game 831-832: BYU at Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 61.493; Baylor 69.915
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 8 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Baylor by 7; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-7); Under


Game 833-834: Stanford at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 66.337; Northwestern 64.507
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 2; 133
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3; 129
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+3); Over


Game 835-836: Vanderbilt vs. Middle Tennessee State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 58.011; Middle Tennessee State 66.718
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7; 128
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-7); Under


Game 837-838: CS-Northridge at Utah (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 52.034; Utah 62.520
Dunkel Line: Utah by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-7 1/2)


Game 839-840: Buffalo vs. Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 51.960; Washington State 62.061
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10
Vegas Line: Washington State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7)


Game 841-842: Southern Illinois vs. Nicholls State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.850; Nicholls State 40.075
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 11
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nicholls State (+13 1/2)


Game 843-844: UC Davis vs. Utah State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.070; Utah State 58.909
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14
Vegas Line: Utah State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-10)


Game 845-846: SMU vs. Wagner (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 53.696; Wagner 53.094
Dunkel Line: SMU by 1
Vegas Line: SMU by 2
Dunkel Pick: Wagner (+2)


Game 847-848: Alcorn State at Santa Clara (11:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 40.778; Santa Clara 63.484
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 21
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-21)


Game 849-850: Southern Utah at Denver (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 45.214; Denver 65.179
Dunkel Line: Denver by 20
Vegas Line: Denver by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-19 1/2)


Game 851-852: Western Carolina at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 52.097; Tennessee 63.961
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 12; 139
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+13 1/2); Over


Game 853-854: Niagara at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 53.358; Notre Dame 67.472
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14; 145
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 16 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+16 1/2); Over


Game 855-856: Morehead State at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 49.238; North Dakota State 65.297
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 16
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-13 1/2)


Game 857-858: Northern Colorado at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 45.383; North Dakota 45.686
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+2 1/2)


Game 859-860: Northern Arizona at Colorado (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 45.513; Colorado 65.907
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 18
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-18)


Game 861-862: Montana at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 52.365; Sacramento State 50.909
Dunkel Line: Montana by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 4
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharpe 12/21 cbb
Northern Colorado +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gaming Today’s Consensus Picks December 21, 2012 5:48 AM by GT Staff

College Football Bowl Game

Ball State +7

NBA Basketball

Orlando Magic +3½

Chicago Bulls +6½

Milwaukee Bucks/Boston Celtics OVER 192

Washington Wizards +6

Charlotte Bobcats/Golden State Warriors OVER 203

NCAA Basketball

Fordham +16

Wyoming -13

NCAA Football Play of the Day December 21, 2012 5:56 AM by GT Staff

The Beef O’brady Bowl At Tropicana Field-St. Petersburg, Fl

Ball State +7 vs. Central Florida at 4:30 p.m. PST ESPN

The Ball State Cardinals were on a roll to end the season winning their last six games and catch UCF off a horrible loss to Tulsa to end their season.

BALL STATE +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Premium picks from Dave Price

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brew City Sports
5-1 Bowl Games this year

Beef O Brady
2* UCF
1* Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball




3-Unit Play. #850. Take Denver -18.5 over Southern Utah (Friday @ 6pm est).

3-Unit Play. #855. Take Morehead State +13 over North Dakota State (Friday @ 8pm est).

3-Unit Play. #845. Take Southern Methodist -2.5 over Wagner (Friday @ 9pm est).

3-Unit Play. #835. Middle Tennessee State -6 over Vanderbilt (Friday @ 9pm est).

Denver has one of the most exciting offenses in all of college basketball and they have one of the best splits in the country as it relates to their offense. This is a team that has played a very difficult schedule against the likes of California, Colorado St, Southern Miss, Stanford and recently Wyoming all of which are top 100 schools and 11, 7, 11, 13 and 10. It goes to show their level of consistency against top caliber teams both away and at home. Now they face a team outside the top 300 coming off a loss and this game is similar to their Nebraska-Omaha contest in which they won 82-47. Denver is ranked top 75 in the nation in defense and they face a Southern Utah team who is one of the worst teams in America in turnover percentage outside the top 340. This makes for what could be a blowout scenario this evening. Morehead State is 5-6 but they will be up for this game against North Dakota State. Morehead State lost to this team 57-69 earlier this year and they do have revenge on their minds. I like the fact that this team probably took South Dakota lightly and did not play well as a favorite but they do play well as an underdog. For example, they lost by just 11 to Kentucky on the road, lost by 3 to Marshall a top 150 team on the road and it is very difficult to get to play a team twice, especially once you've already beaten on their home floor. I expect this to be a close contest but likely a single digit win for North Dakota State. Morehead State has 6 upperlcassman that contribute on a regular basis and in what could be a low scoring contest, getting double-digits is useful. Larry Brown's team comes off tough back to back losses against the likes of Rhode Island and Utah on the road and Wagner is likely a welcome site here. SMU is top 15 in the nation 3 pointers and after losing two difficult games, I can see them getting back to their swing of things here. Wagner is outside the top 300 both in field goal percentage and in turnover percentage to boot and their calling card is their defense. If you take their win against Princeton which was against a top 150 team at home in which both teams scored under 50 points, this team has not beat another top 200 team primary because of having a very stringent half court offense. Given SMU's ability to score with offensive ease in their set, I think they likely win this game and cover the spread as well. This is also SMU's first back to back losses with Brown and I like their ability to bounce-back here. The state of Tennessee athletics is always contentious and although Middle Tennessee State is not even considered the step-child of Tennessee after Vanderbilt, they do have a very good basketball program. Middle Tennessee State is a top 40 program this year who have only lost to top 30 Belmont, top 75 Akron and a top 5 team in my book in Florida. This team has beaten the likes of Ole Miss which gave Coach Kennedy's team their only loss of the year as the Rebels of Ole Miss are 8-1 this year. Middle Tennessee State has revenge from last year's game and this is their only chance in many ways to make their program shine more. Vanderbilt is playing better right now beating Xavier on the road, but they are 1-3 against top 100 teams this year and 0-2 against top 50 teams this year straight up. I'm not sure if Vandy can keep up with Middle Tennessee State's offense here and State also features a top 50 defense to boot. I like State by double-digits here and there is a reason why they are favored over Vanderbilt.




Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball




3-Unit Play. #801. Take Orlando Magic +3.5 over Toronto Raptors (Friday @ 7:05pm est).

3-Unit Play. #814. Take Memphis -10.5 over Dallas (Friday @ 8pm est).

The Orlando Magic have revenge from a 97-86 loss to Toronto on the road earlier this year. They took this team a bit lightly and it cost them. The Magic are playing well with their rotation of players in their prime including Nelson, Affalo, Davis. Honestly, this is a core that any GM would be pleased with and the Magic have that core along with solid role players such as Reddick, Nicholson and Ayon right now. This team is led by fresh blood with a new coaching staff and you can tell the effort is there for this squad from start to finish every game. This might explain the fact that this team is just 1 game below .500 now. The Magic have won 4 straight including beating the upstart Warriors, a good Minnesota team, Charlotte on the road and Washington. They didn't particularly play well against Washington in their last game winning by 7 so I suspect they will be more focused here with revenge against Toronto. The Raptors have been playing great basketball of late as Bargnani called out his team to a foreign newspaper saying that his team was essentially horrendous and the worst in the NBA. Bargnani is still out indefinitely to his elbow injury so he's not really helping the cause. Since that comment, the Raptors have gone on to win 4 straight including Dallas, Houston at Cleveland and Detroit. But, I do think that streak likely comes to an end here with a focused Magic team and the Raptors also have the Spurs on the horizon in their next game so they might be looking ahead as well. I wish the Mavericks had not gotten crushed on TNT last night in front of the nation but a rematch of the 2011 NBA Finals was not much of a contest. The Heat just tore them up. I'm sure the Grizzlies were watching that contest and although I do think Carlisle gets his players up with motivation for this game in the first half, I just think the Grizzlies will be too much. There is only so much Mayo can do to carry this team and I'm not sure if the Mavericks can handle both Gasol and Randolph down low along with the depth of Memphis with the development of Ellington and others. Don't be surprised if the Grizzlies look to make a statement too to let the Heat know that they too can dominate when they'd like to as the Grizzlies are one of the top 5 teams in the league that can contend for a Title this year. The Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of greater than 60% this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Banks

Ball State Cardinals vs. UCF Knights

This was a banner season for the MAC, and one of its teams will be on display in the Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl Friday when the Ball State Cardinals (9-3, 9-3 ATS) take on the UCF Knights (9-4, 6-7 ATS) at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL at 7:30 ET on ESPN. Ball State is one of six MAC teams to make it to a bowl game this year, of course highlighted by the BCS busters from Northern Illinois crashing the Orange Bowl. When we last saw UCF, they took Tulsa to overtime on the Conference USA Championship Game before falling just short 33-27.

Ball State comes in on a six game winning streak after losing its first two MAC games this season, and those two loses came to Northern Illinois and Kent State, who just happened to be the two combatants in the MAC Championship Game. The Cardinals third loss this season came out of conference on the road at Clemson, so Ball State does not have a bad loss all year. The Cardinals ranked 22nd in the country in total offense and they averaged 214.2 rushing yards per game. That is significant here because rushing defense probably cost UCF the Conference USA championship as the Knights allowed 290 rushing yards to Tulsa in that title game and they finished 64th in rushing defense for the season allowing 162.4 yards per game. Now the quarterbacking for Ball State in this game was a concern for a while as the starter Keith Wenning strained his Achilles in the second to last game of the season and his backup Kelly Page suffered a concussion in the season finale. Both quarterbacks are now listed as probable though, meaning that Wenning, who had a spiffy 143.8 passer rating while starting the first five games of Ball State's winning streak, will probably take the start.

UCF averaged 35.2 points and 400.8 yards per game this season, but Conference USA was not very strong, resulting in the Knights having a schedule that ranked only 115th in SOS according to the Sagarin Ratings. Granted this is almost a home game with St. Petersburg being only about 100 miles from the UCF campus, but Ball State was 5-2 in true road games this year so this semi-road game probably will not bother the Cardinals much. Also, if the UCF run defense does not improve, and there is no reason to believe it will, Ball State could control the clock in this contest to silence the UCF faithful that made the short trip. When the Knights do get the ball, quarterback Blake Bortles has not been sharp lately while completing less than half of his passes in two of his last three games. He completed only 14-of-32 passes for 194 yards vs. Tulsa in the C-USA Championship.

Ball State is a sizzling 19-7 ATS in its last 26 non-conference games, as well as 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after gaining more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game. Conversely, UCF is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games after allowing more than 200 rushing yards in its previous game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN 200*

Wyoming -14

(0-2 last two nights for -1360)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappster Game of the Day‏

Washington State -7 1/2 over Buffalo

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFB

-- 8-2 UConn's only two losses are both to top 30 teams, New Mexico/ NC State; Huskies are 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 6-8-34 points. Fordham is 2-8, losing to Pitt by 35, St John's by 11; their only wins are vs Ivy League teams, by 2-3 points. Big East double digit home favorites are 15-17. Atlantic 16 double digit road underdogs are 7-4.
-- Penn lost seven of last eight games, with only win vs Binghamton of America East (#341); Quakers beat Delaware by 9 LY, but lost 84-69 to the Blue Hens Nov 12- Delaware had 15 offensive boards, scored 1.08 ppp. CAA home favorites are 5-8 against spread. Ivy League road dogs are 9-17 vs spread. Delaware also lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Bowling Green played its heart out in 11-point home loss to Michigan State Tuesday; 5-5 Falcons lost by 11 at Robert Morris in only road tilt so far this year. South Florida won four of last five games; they're 6-2 vs teams not in top 100-- one of losses was to MAC's Western Michigan. MAC double digit road underdogs are 10-13 against the spread.
-- 11-0 Wyoming went to Cal-Santa Barbara Nov 28, crushed Gauchos 68-40, outscoring UCSB 23-2 on foul line, holding them to 31% from floor; Cowboys are 6-0 vs teams ranked #175 or lower, but four of six wins were by 14 or less points. UCSB is 2-6 vs D-I teams, with five of six losses by 24+ points. MWC double digit home faves are 10-8.

-- 7-3 Baylor is erratic, losing at home to Charleston/Northwestern, with a win at Kentucky in between; Bears are 3-2 vs top 100 teams, but are 0-3 in games decided by less than nine points. Baylor won 86-83 LY at BYU. Cougars are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 18-10-21 points. Big 12 single digit home favorites are 5-3 against spread.
-- 7-4 Stanford lost its first road game of year Tuesday, at NC State by 9; Cardinal is 2-4 vs top 100 teams, with only wins vs Denver/No Iowa- their losses are by 8-8-3-9 points. Stanford is shooting just 26% from the arc. Northwestern is without its best player Crawford for rest of year, big blow; they're 2-3 in last five games, with wins by 4-6 points.
-- 8-3 Middle Tennessee is 2nd-most experienced team in country; they are 3-3 away from home, with all three losses to teams in top 60. MTSU lost last four years to Vanderbilt, by 8-19-20-7 points. Vandy is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 23-16-10 points, with only win over Xavier in OT. SEC single digit underdogs are 11-18 against the spread.
-- Northridge lost its last three games vs D-I teams by 12-26-11 points (have two non-D-I wins in there); they haven't beaten a D-I team since November 18. 7-3 Utah avenged an earlier loss to SMU Tuesday; they're 1-3 in games decided by 7 or less points. Utes don't force turnovers but hold teams to 39% inside arc. Pac-12 single digit home favorites: 14-7.
-- First game in eight days for 7-1 Washington State squad that is 7-1 vs teams not in top 150, with only loss by hoop at Pepperdine; Coogs have played #302 schedule thus far. First game in 13 days for a 4-7 Buffalo team that is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 27-15-3 points. Single digit MAC road underdogs are 12-11 against the spread.

-- 5-6 Niagara is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 19-17-5 points; they're 1-3 on road, with only one loss (102-83 at Oregon State) by more than 11 points. Third game in five nights for 11-1 Notre Dame, which is off for two weeks until Big East opener after this- two teams they beat this week are stiffs. MAAC double digit road underdogs are 4-5 vs spread.
-- North Dakota State won 69-57 at Morehead State Dec 5, making 15-33 from arc, surviving 22 turnovers; Bison are 2-0 at home against D-I teams, winning by 44-20 points. 5-6 Morehead State lost four of its last five games but did upset Indiana State; they're 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 22-11-12 points. OVC double digit road underdogs are 11-12.
-- Northern Colorado is 0-6 vs D-I teams (have two non-D-I teams) with losses by losses by 17-26 points last two games; Bears turn ball 23% of time, make 28% from arc. North Dakota is 0-7 vs D-I teams, with two wins vs non-D-I teams; they've lost three games by 5 or less points. The two teams North Dakota has beaten: Crown and Presentation. Really.
-- Montana came from behind to win by 6 at Northern Arizona in league opener Wednesday; star G Cherry played 35 minutes in first extended action of year. Griz won its last 11 games with Sacramento State, with wins in last five visits here, by 9-16-1-12-7 points. Hornets won opener in league by 5 over Montana State; they're 1-1 vs top 200 teams.

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Northcoast

Marquee (double) Over 61.5 Ball St / UCF

Top Opinion on UCF -7

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Int Picks
3* Ball St
1* Stanford, Delaware, Hawks
Freeplay - Over Grizzlies

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Greg Shaker


triple-dime bet

NOH / 816 SAN Over 195

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ATS Lock Club

CBB
4 Middle Tenn
3 Stanford

CFB
2 Central Florida & 2 Under

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Ray Falco

CBB

Notre Dame
Over Indiana

CFB

UCF

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POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Ball St

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Seabass Report for Friday:
All 100"s
Ball State
Milwaukee
Washington State

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Rainman

ball st+7

under 60

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Kelso
50* UCF

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wepickthewinner
CB: was.st-7 ,NBA: pacers-4 ,magic o187

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Wayne Root -
Millionaire UCF

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Paul Leiner:
500* NBA Over 187.5 Bulls/Knicks
100* CBB Baylor -7
50* CBB Wagner +2

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SBP NCAAB Picks - 12/21

9:00 PM
834. Northwestern +3 (mostly 2.5s but buy the half)


Rest of Games:
840. Buffalo +8.5

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Charlie Sports Friday 12/21/12
500* NCAA Football. Central Florida-7,
500* NCAA Football. Ball State vs. Central Florida under 60 points
500* NBA. Milwaukee @ Boston over 191.

NBA. Cleveland+4

NCAA Basketball. South Florida-10

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Prediction Machine NBA 12/21
Chicago
Milwaukee
Memphis
Detroit
Philly

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Kelso

50* UCF

50 golden st
25 delaware hoops

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silky sullivan

golden st

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Rocky's Winners Circle


DECEMBER 21 FREE PLAY (152-77-1)

SMU -2.5 over Wagner

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Marco D'Angelo | NBA Sides - Friday, Dec 21 2012 7:05PM
801 ORL 3.5(-110) Hilton (http://www.pregame.com/en/main/sports-betting-lines-odds/) vs 802 TOR double-dime bet

Analysis:
PLAY: ORLANDO
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

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Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Friday, December 21st

2012 Beef O Brady's Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Ball State/Central Florida under 62

NBA Best Bets
Orlando/Toronto over 186 1/2
Milwaukee/Boston over 192
Washington/Detroit over 184 1/2
Sacramento/LA Clippers under 198 1/2

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Totals 4 You College Basketball Selections for Friday, December 21st

2012 Volunteer State Showdown Total of the Year!!!!!
Middle Tennessee/Vanderbilt under 126 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Saturday's Eary College Basketball Report Free of Charge!!!

College Basketball Best Bets
Florida Atlantic/Indiana over 145
Brigham Young/Baylor over 151 1/2
Stanford/Northwestern under 129
Niagara/Notre Dame over 138 1/2

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From Platinum Plays.




500K Bowl Totals Lock

the Ball St/Central Florida Game OVER
the Total Of 61½ Points

Best Bets





the Ball St Cardinals +7 over
the Central Florida Golden Knights

the Washington Wizards +6 over
the Detroit Pistons

the New York Knicks -6½ over
the Chicago Bulls

the Washington St Cougars -7 over
the Buffalo Bulls



PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK




the Dallas Mavericks +10 over
the Memphis Grizzlies

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KB Hoops

College Bowls 4-1 +13.6 units
5 units Central Florida -7

NBA
5 units NY Knicks -6
5 units Indiana Pacers -4

College
5 units Vanderbilt +6 **POD**

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Betting Line Moves - NBA 12/21
819 LA Clippers under 201.5
819 LA Clippers 1st H under 101

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RealSwoop
Ball st +7

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BEN BURNS

December 21, 2012 - 7:30 PM NCAAF Central Florida vs. Ball State *ALERT* Burns' Beef O'Brady's Bowl ANNIHILATOR! (Ball St/UCF) ~ PRICE DOUBLES AT SUNRISE Pinnacle @ -7 -110 Central Florida

December 21, 2012 - 7:30 PM NBA Milwaukee vs. Boston *LIMITED TIME SPECIAL* Burns' *10 Friday BLUE CHIP! ~ 11-2 L13 NBA, 16-5 L21 bet365 @ Over 191.5 -111

December 21, 2012 - 7:30 PM NBA Washington vs. Detroit *LIMITED TIME OFFER* Burns' Friday PERSONAL FAVORITE! ~ 11-2 L13 NBA, 16-5 L21! Betfair @ -5.5 100 Detroit

December 21, 2012 - 8:00 PM NCAAB Morehead St. vs. North Dakota State Burns' Fan Appreciation Friday Feast! ~ 8-3 L11 Hoops Legends @ 14.5 -110 Morehead St

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Jim Feist : Ball St.