12-23-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL runs:
Lenny del genio 11-3, larry ness 10-5, matt fargo 8-8, hollywood sports 7-8, scott spreitzer 4-7, marc lawrence 0-5




Marc's NFL Perfect System Club Saturday Key Play!


Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions Dec 22 2012 8:30PM


Play On: Detroit Lions (Game 102) Note: The NFL switches gears from Thursday to Saturday and that's not good news for the Falcons after last week’s balls-to-the-wall playoff-revenge win over the Giants.. For openers we’ll let you know that Atlanta is 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS on Saturday off a SU win while the hardcore handicapper will be happy to learn that teams off a shutout win from Game Thirteen out are 6-25 SU and 8-23 ATS on the road in non-division games since 1980. Furthermore, our database reminds us that NFL teams returning home off a previous 0-3 SU and ATS home stand are 6-5 SU and 7-4 ATS as a pick or dog since 1980. And for added measure, our Midweek Alert reminds us that the Lions’ stats this season (10-4 ‘ITS’, +59 net YPG) belie their 4-10 record. The clincher comes from our PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB as it tells us to: 'Play On' any NFL dog of less than 7 points on Saturday if they are off a SU favorite loss in which they lost to the spread by more than 10 points. That's because these dogs are 11-0 ATS in this role since 1980. Back the Lions in their den here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Detroit. Thank you and good luck as always. Be sure to get down now on Marc's Most Valuable Play on Sunday's NFL card. It's a 4* beauty in a NEVER LOST winning situation. Get it now and put it right at the top of your Sunday ticket - you'll be glad you did!


Prediction: Detroit Lions


Bet Type: SPREAD




Fargo's 10* NFL SATURDAY ENFORCER (HUGE 21-10 RUN)


Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions Dec 22 2012 8:30PM


The Falcons are now a win away from clinching a first round bye in the playoffs after dismantling the Giants last Sunday. While the win was impressive, it can be chalked up as the Giants losing the game as they had opportunities to keep the game close early but missed a short third down conversion which led to a missed field goal and then missed a short fourth down conversion in the second quarter. This is obviously a big one for Atlanta but this is a big number to be putting down in this spot. The Lions season has unraveled pretty quickly as after a 4-4 start, they have dropped six straight games and you can blame turnovers. Last week in their 28-point loss to the Cardinals, they had four turnovers including two interceptions returned for touchdowns. During the six-game losing streak, Detroit outgained four opponents by a total of 286 yards while it was outgained in the two other games by only 43 total yards so it is clearly playing better than that winless record indicates. Motivation plays a big part in handicapping this time of year and while Atlanta has it, we have to make sure Detroit has it as well. "Everybody in the league is the same way," Lions head coach Jim Schwartz said. "I dare you to find a team in the NFL that will say we're playing for next year or stuff like that. There's too much urgency in this league. There's too much at stake every single week for individuals as players, for coaches, for organizations. There's too much every single week to strive to win for." Despite allowing 38 points last week, the Lions defense was excellent once again as it allowed just 196 total yards. Overall, the defense is ranked 12th in the NFL while the offense is ranked second and those rankings usually do not fit a team that is 4-10. Both of those rankings are better than those of the Falcons so staying on the right side of the turnovers is what needs to be done for Detroit. Heading back home after a two-game roadtrip and on the national stage will have the Lions ready. Detroit falls into two solid situations. We play on home underdogs or pickems coming off a road loss by 14 points or more, in December games. This situation is 75-35 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1983. Second, we play against road favorites in the second half of the season that are averaging 370 or more ypg going up teams allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 63-30 ATS (67.7 percent) since 1983. Additionally, the Lions are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games off a loss by 28 or more points while Atlanta is 0-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 10* (102) Detroit Lions


Prediction: Detroit Lions


Bet Type: SPREAD






Team Del Genio 10* NFC West Game of the Year!


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Dec 23 2012 8:30PM


Play on Seattle at 8:25 ET. Here we go. San Francisco was kind to us last week as they went on the road to New England and upset the Patriots 41-34 in a wild Sunday Night Game. It was New England's first home loss in the month of December in a decade. But now having to go to Seattle where the home team has not lost this year, is asking too much. Lost in the big San Francisco win last week was the fact they blew a 28-point lead. They aren't going to be as fortunate this week against a Seahawks team that is peaking at the right time. Seattle is just the 3rd team in NFL history, and first since the 1950s, to score 50+ pts in consecutive weeks. This is a revenge game for Pete Carroll's team. The last and only time they were in a revenge situation this season was Arizona two weeks ago and they won that contest 58-0. As just briefly touched on, the Seahawks have not lost at home this season. They are 6-0 at Qwest Field thus far holding foes to an average of just 11.2 PPG. They are outscoring opponents here by an average of 18.7 PPG and have covered every game. They have not lost a game all season by more than seven points. Predictably, after the nation watched the Niners upset New England last week, this money has come in on them. Fine by us as Seattle is 8-1 ATS the last nine times it has been a home dog or pick. They are 12-1 ATS as a dog under Carroll overall. They have in fact covered seven straight home games vs. NFC West foes. Under Carroll, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home seeking revenge for a road loss. With the bad blood that exists between Carroll and Jim Harbaugh, Seattle should be extra motivated here. Carroll has lost four straight times to San Francisco as well. The Niners won a tough 13-6 game on a Thursday Night earlier in the year. Seattle would go on to lose the following week at Detroit, but has since won six of seven with the only loss coming on a late field goal in an early start time. Look for another low-scoring game here between these two division rivals, this time with the Seahawks coming out on top, and don't be surprised to see these teams meet again in the playoffs. Going from Foxboro back West to Qwest Field for a pair of primetime games is a brutal spot for visiting San Francisco. Seattle is our NFC West Game of the Year.


Prediction: Seattle Seahawks


Bet Type: SPREAD






Team Del Genio Sat Night Odds Mismatch (63% TY!)


Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions Dec 22 2012 8:30PM


Play on Atlanta at 8:30 ET. Typically, this would scream "trap" for the Falcons, but the Lions have turned into such a disaster that the situation is now largely irrelevant. At 4-10, Detroit ranks among the most poorly coached teams in the league. At least many of the soon to be fired coaches in this league can cite a lack of talent on their respective rosters. What's Jim Schwartz's excuse? The Lions have lost six straight (1-5 ATS) and since last year's 5-0 start are now just 9-16 SU their last 25 games. With nothing to play for here (final home game is next week), why would anyone expect any added motivation from the home side here? Detroit just faced an Arizona team that had lost nine straight contests and lost 38-10 as 5.5-point road favorites. It just doesn't get much more embarrassing than that. Atlanta, meanwhile, turned in arguably their best effort of the season, shutting out the Giants 34-0. A win here would give the Falcons home field advantage in the NFC, something they dearly need as they have yet to lose at the Georgia Dome all season. While they've lost two of their last three on the road, and won the other by only one point, they should be in line for another strong showing here. It would be nice to get the win here and then essentially have a three-week break before the Divisional Round of the playoffs as they could simply rest starters for next week's reg season finale vs. Tampa Bay. Atlanta won on this field last year, 23-16 as a 4.5-point dog. Staying indoors is favorable to the Falcons. We can't see them having a letdown here after such a big win, considering what is in front of them. We're more than willing to lay this small number. Atlanta is our 8* NFL Oddsmaker Mismatch.


Prediction: Atlanta Falcons


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* NFL DARK HORSE DANDY (SWEET 10-3 RUN)


Oakland Raiders at Carolina Panthers Dec 23 2012 1:00PM


Carolina has been very impressive the last two weeks in its wins over Atlanta and San Diego but that makes this the perfect time to go against the Panthers. It is extremely difficult to justify a team that is 5-9 on the season to be favored over a team that is just one game worse by this many points. I have been on the Panthers quite a few times this season but not when they have been favored as they have lost four of five games outright when laying points and this is by far the largest they have put down this season. Oakland is coming off an impressive win over Kansas City and while beating the Chiefs is far from quality, it gave this team some much needed confidence and momentum to try and close the season strong. The victory snapped a six-game losing skid for Oakland and the big factor was that it was able to run the ball which is a key to the Raiders success. They have not done very well on the east coast but considering this is the same line they got in Baltimore and Cincinnati, two playoff teams, the value is definitely there. The Raiders rushed for a season high 203 yards against Kansas City and it was just the fifth time all season they have surpassed even 100 yards on the ground. They are 3-2 in those games but one of those losses was at Atlanta where they lost by just a field goal. Carolina's rushing defense has been great the last two weeks but it will be put to the test here with a healthy Darren McFadden which is huge for Oakland. The Panthers have allowed over 120 yards rushing in eight of their 14 games this season. A lot of the talk now is about the resurgent Cam Newton and in all fairness, he has been exceptional over his last five games. Facing the Raiders would think to keep that going but they are coming off their best game of the season and the defense can feed off that effort. Carolina is coming off two 30-point efforts but it is still ranked 22nd in scoring offense and it hasn't been consistent enough to keep rolling like this. With a game at New Orleans to close out the season, look for a possible lookahead here as well. The Raiders fall into a great contrarian situation here as well as we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are getting outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after scoring 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 83-46 ATS (64.3 percent) since 1983. Carolina is just 1-5 ATS in its last six home games while the Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. Too many points to pass up here. 10* (105) Oakland Raiders


Prediction: Oakland Raiders


Bet Type: SPREAD




Fargo's 10* NFL SNF PRIMETIME (BLAZING 21-10-1 RUN


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Dec 23 2012 8:30PM


I won with New England two weeks ago as it easily took care of Houston on national television. Based on that and the whole public to see, I went against the Patriots and took the 49ers and they were able to take out New England, again on national television. Now San Francisco is riding the overinflated public side angle and it is playing its second straight difficult road game in one of the most difficult venues in the league. The 49ers are a great team but not in a great position. The Seahawks have won three straight games to climb right into the playoff picture and the divisional race for that matter. Seattle is 9-5 and it has the best record in the NFC for non-divisional leaders so getting that first Wild Card spot is looking good as it can clinch with a win. Seattle and Atlanta are the only two remaining undefeated home teams in the league heading into this week. The last home loss for the Seahawks came last season in the final home game and it was against the 49ers so it looks to be payback time. Normally, playing on a team like Seattle is a no-no as it is coming off consecutive blowout wins where it put up a ton of points and that typically is a play against situation if anything. There is a big difference here though. Those teams coming off big win tend to get overvalued next time out but that isn't the case here as the Seahawks have moved to a home underdog in some spots. As a rule, we would have to lay down a lot of points to grab Seattle but instead we are getting value this week. While the scores the past two weeks have appeared to be somewhat an anomaly, the Seahawks were trending upward in scoring even before the two blowouts. Over the past eight weeks, the Seahawks are the second-highest scoring team in the NFL at 33.4 ppg, trailing only New England, and they have scored 21 or more points in seven straight games after doing so only twice in their first seven games. The offense might have an edge again as the 49ers defense was on the field for 94 plays against New England. While San Francisco's defense gets most of the pub, Seattle is ranked third in total defense and second in scoring defense so the unit is just a solid and is that much better at home. The Seahawks fall into a great situation where we play on home teams that are averaging between 23 and 27 ppg going up against teams allowing between 14 and 18 ppg, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (130) Seattle Seahawks


Prediction: Seattle Seahawks


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* NFL SUNDAY ENFORCER (AWESOME 21-10-1)


New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys Dec 23 2012 1:00PM


I lost playing against Dallas last week but I will again fade the Cowboys here. They were fortunate to get out of last week with a win in overtime as they got a gift wrapped interception from Ben Roethlisberger and converted that into the game winning field goal. Dallas is now tied with the Giants and Redskins for first place in the NFC East so this is no doubt a must win situation and as we all know, must wins situations do not always translate into wins with the pressure involved. We did win on New Orleans last week as the Saints shook off two poor performances, or should say Drew Brees shook off two poor performances, and easily defeated the Buccaneers. Obviously the playoffs are a very slim option for the Saints and we saw what happened when they were able to play loose. New Orleans has won the yardage battle in each of the last three games and closing the season with a big finish is a big goal right now. But the playoffs are still a slight possibility so winning is still top priority. New Orleans needs a lot of help to get it but it really isn't very complicated. The Saints need to win this week and against Carolina next week. On top of that the Saints need Dallas to lose its final game, the Rams to lose at least once, and the Vikings, Giants, and Bears all to lose their final two games. Sure it is not very likely but with a chance still there, we will be getting a big performance out of the entire team. This includes both offense and defense, the latter showing a ton of improvement. The Saints have now gone four straight games without allowing 400 yards on defense after allowing over 400 yards in each of their first 10 games. The Cowboys meanwhile have been outgained in four of their last seven and five of their last nine games. The talent on this team is incredible yet the Cowboys have had more than a three-game winning streak only once since the start of the 2010 season. December has let them down before and I see it happening again. New Orleans is +10 points in scoring margin and could easily be 8-6, whereas Dallas is -11 points in scoring margin and is pretty fortunate to be where it is right now. Play against favorites that are coming off a win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 69-33 ATS (67.6 percent) since 1983. Additionally, New Orleans is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games against teams allowing a 61 percent or higher completion percentage while Dallas is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games in that same dynamic. 10* (115) New Orleans Saints


Prediction: New Orleans Saints


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* NFL SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (HUGE 21-10-1)


New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens Dec 23 2012 4:25PM


This is a big game for both sides but more so for the Giants. New York is coming off that blowout loss in Atlanta so it needs to right the ship right now if it wants to have any chance of defending its Super Bowl title. The Giants are in a three-way tie for first place in the NFL East and a five-way tie for the second and final NFC Wild Card spot. Baltimore comes in with the better record but the Giants are the better team and in a good spot to bounce back. It can be argued that the Ravens are also in a great spot to bounce back following their third straight loss last week against the Broncos. I disagree with that though as this is a very fragile team right now that has actually gotten away with a lot of fortunate breaks. Wins over Kansas City, Dallas and San Diego all could have gone the other way so going 3-0 right there is lucky. The Ravens have been outgained in nine of their last 10 games and that is finally starting to come back to haunt them. This is an interesting scenario where we could catch a break based on one of the early games. Should the Steelers defeat Cincinnati at home at 1:00, Baltimore locks up the division and with no chance at a first round bye, it would not be surprising to see the Ravens sit some players for at least part of this game. Obviously we can not make this play based on hoping another team wins but that could only add to the strength. Play it early as the line will likely go up quite a bit if the Steelers are winning comfortably. After starting the season strong, Baltimore has slipped considerably. It is ranked 21st in total offense and 26th in total defense and while the scoring rankings are considerably higher, it is starting to come back more into line. The Giants have been hit or miss for the last few games but with the exception of last week, the offense has been more consistent as they are 10th overall and sixth in scoring. They have not been held to single-digits in scoring since 2009 and have not been shutout since the 2005 playoffs. That being said, the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game while Baltimore is now 0-6 ATS in its last six home games after one or more consecutive losses. Also, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 360 or more total ypg, after allowing 400 or more total ypg in their last three games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being close to a touchdown per game. 10* (121) New York Giants


Prediction: New York Giants


Bet Type: SPREAD




Hollywood Sports' 25* NFL *A-LIST* SPECIAL


New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens Dec 23 2012 4:25PM


At 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (121) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (122). Head coach Tom Coughlin may have claimed that his Giants team (8-6) needed to win the rest of their games -- starting last week in Atlanta -- to maintain their playoff hopes. We were not buying it last week even though their ugly 34-0 loss to the Falcons now has them tied with Washington and Dallas for first place in the NFC East (although they would lose the tie-breaker to the Redskins given their better divisional rival). Now the Giants really have their backs against the wall -- and we look for one of their best efforts of the season in this one (after expecting the Falcons to avenge their loss to the Giants in the playoffs last year). New York has been very reliable under Coughlin in bounce-back situations like this. The Giants have rebounded to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a loss. New York has also bounced-back to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Giants are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. And in their last 5 games after failing to score more than two touchdowns in their last game, New York has then covered the spread in 4 of these games. This team will benefit of getting their top running back Ahmad Bradshaw back as he is listed as probable after missing last week. We are more comfortable with rookie running back David Wilson serving as a counter to the more established Bradshaw. Additionally, the Giants are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, while the New York defense is allowing 417.0 total YPG on their last three games, they are supported by a road warrior angle that has been 82% effective over the last ten seasons. Road teams listed in the +/- 3-point range who allowed at least 360 total YPG (Baltimore defense: 374.2 total YPG) but who are allowing more than 400 total YPG over their last three games have then covered the point spread in 27 of the last 33 situations where these conditions applied.


Baltimore (9-5) is reeling with three straight losses after their 34-17 loss to Denver last week. This is a team with significant issues on both sides of the ball. Injuries have decimated the defensive side of the ball. On offense, conflicts between former offensive coordinator Cam Cameron and quarterback Joe Flacco led to the decision to let Cameron go last week in lieu of Jim Caldwell who has not called offensive plays in years. The biggest criticism Cameron received was too often abandoning Ray Rice and the Ravens' rushing attack for Flacco and the Baltimore passing attack. But Rice only ran the ball twelve times last week for 38 yards. It looks like the move to Caldwell will result in Flacco getting the opportunity to incorporate even more no-huddle formations like Caldwell oversaw in Indianapolis with Peyton Manning. Flacco is no Peyton Manning -- and after gaining only 278 yards of offense last week against Manning's new team in Denver, this offense does not look like it has worked out their problems. We look for Baltimore to continue their slide as they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. The Ravens have now also failed to cover the point spread in 6 straight games played in the month of December. Additionally, this is a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, Baltimore is just 0-3-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 48-10-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Ravens fall into an empirical "play-against" angle that has been 69% effective over the last five seasons. Home teams that average 335-370 YPG (Baltimore: 339.6 total YPG) now facing a team that allows at least 370 total YPG (Giants' defense: 377.4 total YPG) have then failed to cover the point spread in 42 of the last 59 situations where these conditions applied. 25* NFL A-List Special with the New York Giants (121) plus the points versus the Baltimore Ravens (122). Best of luck for us -- Frank.


Prediction: New York Giants


Bet Type: SPREAD






Larry's NFL Week 16 Las Vegas Insider (9-4-1 run)


Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals Dec 23 2012 4:25PM


My 8* NFL Week 16 Las Vegas Insider is on the Chi Bears at 4:25 ET.


Chicago fans are seeing ‘double.’ The team was 7-3 last season through 10 games but Cutler went down for the season and they lost five straight games to fall out of playoff contention, before winning a meaningless Week 17 game. Fast forward to 2012 and Chicago was 7-1 when it hosted Houston in a SNF game in Week 10. The Bears lost that game (Cutler was KO’d) and lost again the following Monday night at San Francisco, when Cutler sat out. However, he returned in a 28-10 win over Minnesota and at 8-3, the Bears seemed OK. That wasn’t the case, as they’ve now lost THREE in a row (FIVE of six since that 7-1 start) and they now no longer even control their own playoff fate. The Bears will have to win at Arizona Sunday and at Detroit in Week 17, then “get some help.” The Bears catch the Cards off a 38-10 win over the Lions last Sunday, one which ended Arizona's nine-game losing streak, after the team had opened the 2012 season at 4-0. The score would seem to indicate that the Cards played well but that was NOT the case. Arizona was able to score 38 points while gaining a modest 12 FDs, going a pathetic 2-of-12 on third downs and gaining a total of only 196 yards. The team benefitted from two INTs returned for TDs, the second being for 102 yards in the fourth quarter. Arizona then held Chicago on downs deep in its own territory the very next possession and Beanie wells broke off a 31-yard TD run to cap the scoring. Wells was playing in just his seventh game this season, gaining 67 yards while scoring three times (had just 164 yards rushing in his other six games). Lindley was back at QB and he was terrible again, completing 11-of-24 for 104 yards without a TD and with one INT. He’s completing 51.1% on the season with no TDs and six INTs for a 45.0 QB rating. Granted, the Bears D is NOT the same unit it was the first half of the season but it’s plenty good enough to keep in check an Arizona offense which had averaged just 10.6 PPG in its nine-game slide. Chicago has 37 takeaways (most in the NFL) and its plus-14 ratio ranks No. 1 in the NFC. Arizona actually has done a good job forcing turnovers (has 32) but with 29 giveaways, is just plus-three in TO margin. Simply put, the Bears own the better quarterback by far in Jay Cutler, easily the best RB in Matt Forte and while Fitzgerald is a great receiver, he can’t throw it to himself. In Brandon Marshall, the Bears have a WR with 107 catches, 10 TDs and 1,398 receiving yards (only Calvin Johnson has more).The Bears can still finish 10-6 and if so, may just sneak into the postseason. Catching Arizona off its ‘phony’ 38-10 win last Sunday, gives Chicago the perfect opportunity to roll over a helpless opponent.


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Chicago Bears


Bet Type: SPREAD






Hollywood Sports 25* SATURDAY NITE SPECIAL FEATURE


Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions Dec 22 2012 8:30PM


At 8:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Detroit Lions (102) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (101). Atlanta (12-2) were confronted with their most important game of the season last Sunday facing a Giants team that embarrassed them in the playoffs last year by a 24-2 score on the heels of playing perhaps their worst game of the season in a rough loss at Carolina. The Falcons responded with the best game they have probably played in the Mike Smith/Matt Ryan era by blowing out the defending Super Bowl champions by a 34-0 score to avenge that playoff loss and make their biggest statement of the season that they are legitimate contenders to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. We had Atlanta in a big game for us last week -- and their dominant win sets up a "play-against" situation here in a classic letdown angle after such an emotional win at home. As it is, the Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, the Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after holding their last opponent to two touchdowns or less. Lets remember that this Atlanta team has enjoyed a plum schedule where they have defeated only two teams that still have legitimate shots to make the playoffs -- and that includes this Giants' team that is technically on the outside looking in right now. Furthermore, the Falcons have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Additionally, Atlanta falls into a late season "play-against" angle that has been 68% effective since 1983. After eight games into the season, road favorites who average at least 370 YPG (Atlanta: 377.4 total YPG) now facing a team that allows 335-370 YPG (Detroit defense: 337.0 total YPG) have then failed to cover the point spread in 63 of the last 93 situations where these conditions applied.


Detroit (4-10) may provide the perfect foil for this Falcons team as they clearly have the talent to pull the upset on their home turf. The Lions may have lost six in a row -- but four of these games have been by seven points or less with the last two games being on the road. In all, Detroit has lost eight of their ten games by eight points or less while suffering a five net close losses overall this year. Granted, head coach Jim Schwartz sounds like a clown when he mentions all their close games because clearly this is a team that continually finds ways to lose games. In their humiliating 38-10 loss at an Arizona team that lost by 58 points the week before, the Lions allowed two interception returns for touchdowns -- including one that was for 102 yards. Typically, Detroit won the first down battle by an 18-12 margin while also outgunning the Cardinals by a 312-196 margin. But the Lions remain a team that is 2nd in the NFL by averaging 406.5 total YPG while 12th in the league by holding teams to 337.5 total YPG. In fact, their +69.0 net YPG margin swamps the Falcons' +23.0 net YPG figure. Now given the opportunity to take more than a field goal against a team facing a letdown, the Lions provide nice value in this one. After a season of frustration and underachievement, they may very well play one of their best games of the season on national television and play spoiler against a team still jockeying for home field advantage for the NFC playoffs. Detroit has covered the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing failing to score more than two touchdowns in their last contest. Furthermore, the underdog in this series has covered the point spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Together, these team trends produce our specific 26-4 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Lions are supported by a historical late season bounce-back angle for home underdogs that has been 68% effective since 1983. In games played in the month of December, home underdogs (or pick 'ems) looking to rebound from a loss by at least two touchdowns on the road have then bounced-back to cover the point spread in 75 of the last 110 situations where these conditions applied. 25* NFL Saturday Night Special Feature with the Detroit Lions (102) plus the points versus the Atlanta Falcons (101). Best of luck for us -- Frank.


Prediction: Detroit Lions


Bet Type: SPREAD






Hollywood Sports' 25* UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR!


New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys Dec 23 2012 1:00PM


At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New Orleans Saints (115) plus the point(s) versus the Dallas Cowboys (116). New Orleans (6-8) appeared liberated with finally have "bounty-gate" behind them last week as they came out and crushed their NFC South rival Tampa Bay by a 41-0 score. While the Saints' playoff hopes are slimmer than slim, we still see this is a team that is looking to build momentum for next season after enduring their last year. Said quarterback Drew Brees: "I guess we are all but eliminated, we still have a lot to play for to because of the type of guys we have and the way we want to finish this season and our mindset towards building the foundation right now for what we're going to able to accomplish in the future." Brees grew up in Austin, Texas -- and he has been outstanding in his two appearances in Dallas. Brees has passed for 736 yards while tossing six touchdown passes while throwing only one interception in earning two wins in Dallas. Now with the defense feeling much better about themselves after pitching the shutout last week, we look for the Saints to build off their momentum and play spoiler against a Dallas team still fighting to make the playoffs. New Orleans has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games following a victory. They also have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 16 games after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Saints held the Buccaneers to only 67 rushing yards in that contest last week -- and they have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after holding their last opponent to no more than 90 rushing yards. Furthermore, New Orleans has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played in the month of December. And in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record, the Saints have covered 11 of these games. Additionally, while New Orleans allows 27.1 PPG (27th in the NFL), road underdogs (or pick 'ems) who give up at least 27 points have then covered the point spread in 76 of the last 125 situations (61%) where these conditions applied over the last five seasons.


Dallas (8-6) has won three straight -- and five out of six games -- after their 27-24 overtime win versus Pittsburgh. But despite Jerry Jones declaring his team is in the midst of a Giants-like late season run that makes them serious Super Bowl competitors, we see their bubble being burst pretty quickly. Their five wins over this span have been against a reeling Philadelphia team twice, Cleveland, a Cincinnati team that continues to struggle against teams with a winning record and the injury-riddled Steelers team. Furthermore, the Cowboys are surviving close games as in their last three victories they trailed in the 4th quarter while winning all three games by five points or less. Eeking out these close games is just not sustainable -- and with the pressure of playoff implications hovering over this team that perpetually underachieves, we look for them to succumb to the anxiety of the moment. Despite their recent good fortune, Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 17 games following a victory. The Cowboys did game 415 yards against the Steelers defense last week -- but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games at home. Additionally, Dallas has failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games played in the second to last week of the year. And in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record, the Cowboys have underachieved and failed to cover the spread. Together, these team trends produce our specific 82-21 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, Dallas falls into an empirical "play-against" angle that has been 71% effective over the last five seasons. Home teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range now facing a team with a losing record have then failed to cover the point spread in 46 of the last 65 situations where these conditions applied. 25* NFL Road Underdog of the Year with the New Orleans Saints (115) plus the point(s) versus the Dallas Cowboys (116). Best of luck for us -- Frank.


Prediction: New Orleans Saints


Bet Type: SPREAD




Fargo's NFL 3-GAME ACTION PACK (SWEET 21-10-1 RUN)


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Dec 23 2012 8:30PM


Seattle has gone over the total in four straight games and that was highlighted by the last two weeks where the offense scored 58 and 50 points. That was the first time since 1950 that a team scored 50 or more points in consecutive games and you can pretty much guarantee that it will not be happening again. The Seahawks had scored more than 30 points only once in their first 12 games so we are looking at an aberration. Facing a 49ers defense will only make it more of a challenge. San Francisco got into a shootout last week at New England as it nearly blew a 31-3 lead before prevailing in the end. It was the second straight game the 49ers went over the total and the fifth time in six games as well. Like Seattle, the offense has made significant progress in recent weeks but that does not mean it continues in this situation. The 49ers have been potent on the road as well but now they will be facing their toughest test in one of the toughest environments in the league. The 49ers are ranked second in total defense and first in scoring defense while the Seahawks are ranked third in total defense and second in scoring defense. Both offenses will have a hard time against those units and we saw it in the first meeting this season as only 19 total points were scored. Seattle has notoriously struggled against the 49ers defense and it has averaged just 245 ypg over the last three meetings. It should do better here at home but don't expect another outburst from the offense. With the division still up for grabs and this being the second to last regular season game, the defenses will be the spotlight as there will not be many chances being taken by each offense. That means rushing comes to the forefront and both teams are good at it. San Francisco is second in the NFL in both rushing offense and rushing ypc average while Seattle is ranked third and fifth respectively in those categories. Expect a lot of pounding the ball as each team will look to seize the line of scrimmage. The first meeting had a closing total of 37.5 and while it is a small increase this time around, any sort of increase provides value as the recent offensive outputs are helping drive this total up. Both teams fall into a great league-wide totals situation where we play on the under with a total between 35.5 and 42 in the second half of the season involving teams that turn the ball over 1.25 times per game or less. This situation is 26-4 to the under (86.7 percent) since 1983. 9* Under (129) San Francisco 49ers/(130) Seattle Seahawks


Prediction: under


Bet Type: TOTAL




Larry's 10* NFL Game of the Year (the 'Big One!')


Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers Dec 23 2012 1:00PM


My 10* NFL Game of the Year is on the Pit Steelers at 1:00 ET.


Pittsburgh had started 6-2 or better in each of coach Mike Tomlin's first five seasons with the Steelers but this year’s team stumbled to a 2-3 beginning, before ripping off four straight wins to reach 6-3. The final win in that four-game winnings streak came 16-13 (OT) in a Monday night game vs the Chiefs in Week 10. Big Ben was KO’d from that game and missed the next three, losses at home to Baltimore and at Cleveland plus a win at Baltimore. Roethlisberger returned in Week 14 but the Steelers were shocked at home by the “free-falling” Chargers, who somehow beat the Steelers 34-24 (SD led 27-3 in the 3Q). Then last Sunday, the Steelers let a 4th-quarter lead slip away in Dallas, losing 27-24 in OT, as Pittsburgh fell to 7-7. Despite all its struggles in 2012, the Steelers still find themselves in control of their own destiny. They will host the 8-6 Bengals on Sunday and with a win, will move into a tie with Cincy at 8-7, for the final AFC wild card spot. However, Pittsburgh would own two wins over the Bengals this season, giving them them the all-important tie-breaker. Pittsburgh would clinch that final AFC wild card berth by beating the Browns at home in Week 17 or with a Cincy loss in Week 17 at home to the Ravens. The Bengals joined the Steelers and Ravens last year as the third AFC North team to qualify for the playoffs, led by a pair of rookies, QB Andy Dalton and receiver AJ Green (both Pro Bowlers). However, backing up a playoff season with another one the following year has not been a Cincinnati trait. The Bengals ended a long playoff drought in 2005 by winning the AFC North but then followed with 8-8, 7-9 and 4-11-1 years. The team won the AFC North again in 2009 but fell to 4-12 in 2010. Then came last year’s wild card appearance. A closer look at the Cincy's 9-7 finish last year reveals the Bengals went just 1-6 against opponents that finished .500 or better and then fell to 1-7 with a 31-10 loss to Houston in the wild card round. It’s been déjÃ* vu all over again this season. Just TWO on the Bengals’ eight wins have come vs winning teams (the Redskins and Giants both check in at 8-6), while the other six wins have come against teams with a combined record of 38-80 (.322). Dalton’s had two pretty good seasons to start his career but do you really want him over Big Ben (two Super Bowl titles) in a game like this? How can one ignore that against Cincy’s two biggest rivals, Baltimore and Pittsburgh, Dalton is 0-6 with a 64.1 passer rating. Now Cincy’s troubles with Pittsburgh go back LONG before Dalton arrived, as after winning 24-17 in Week 7 at Cincinnati, the Steelers have now won 20 of their last 26 meetings with the Bengals. Pittsburgh brings the NFLs top defense in terms of yards allowed to this game (273.3 YPG) and sure has to be confident after outgaining the Bengals 431-to-185 in yards in that Week 7 win. This is an example of Pittsburgh doing what’s it’s done for years (winning big games) and Cincy doing what it’s traditionally done, lose important games at the most inopportune time.


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers


Bet Type: SPREAD




SCOTT SPREITZER'S BLOCKBUSTER BLOWOUT! 46-27 Run!!


New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens Dec 23 2012 4:25PM


I'm backing the NY Giants on Sunday afternoon. Horrible weekend last week for both teams, especially the defending Super Champion Giants who lost 34-0 to Atlanta. But NFL teams off a loss by at least 30 points are 153-114, 57% winners the next week, including last week's easy win and cover by Arizona, the week after losing 58-0 to Seattle. Baltimore has dropped 3 straight after a 9-2 start. The defense is old and wearing thin, while the offense has hit the skids, confused whether they're a hurry-up, high tempo attack or not. In fact, they're so confused that they fired their offensive coordinator Cam Cameron. The Ravens have scored an average of just 18.8 ppg in their last five games, while the defense will be "just what the doctor ordered" for Eli Manning to get back on track. Baltimore ranks 26th in total yards allowed and yards rushing allowed and they're 22nd against the pass. New York has lost two in a row SU just one time this season. They have scored 41, 41, 38, and 52 off their other four losses. I expect this one to get ugly...for Baltimore. New York is on a long term 38-18-1 ATS run in their last 57 road games and they're on a 10-3-1 ATS run against teams with a winning SU record. The Ravens are on a 1-5 ATS slide at home. I'm backing the NY Giants to bounce back in winning fashion on Sunday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: New York Giants


Bet Type: SPREAD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Colin Cowherd Blazin 5

Giants -2.5
'Skins -6.5
Browns +13
Seahawks +1
Cowboys -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

• Play Cincinnati +4 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST

Cincinnati has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games and they
have also covered the spread in 6 consecutive games after scoring 30
points or more in their last game. Cincinnati has covered the spread
in 7 consecutive games coming off a win against the spread in their
last game and they are averaging over 26 points a game on offense in
road games this season.

• Play New Orleans +3 over Dallas (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST

New Orleans has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games after
allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game and they have
also covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games coming off a home
win. New Orleans has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 games
when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they are averaging over
27 points a game on offense this season.

• Play Baltimore +2.5 over New York Giants (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 4:30 PM EST

Baltimore has won 21 of the last 24 home games and they have also won
18 of the last 25 games coming off an OVER the total. Baltimore has
won 8 of the last 10 games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards in
their last game and they have also won 4 consecutive games when
playing in the last two weeks of the regular season.

• Play Seattle +1 over San Francisco (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST

Seattle has covered the spread in 7 consecutive games when playing in
the month of December and they have also covered the spread in 15 of
the last 20 games as an underdog. Seattle has covered the spread in 6
consecutive home games and they are only allowing an average of 11
points a game on defense at home this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bio sports picks nfl / sunday 45-28 on season

Saints +1 vs. Dallas
Saints/Dallas OVER 51
Giants -1 vs. Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS

10* Sunday Night
Seattle Seahawks

10* NFL
Dallas Cowboys Over

10* NFL
Chicago Bears

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Giants, Carolina, St Louis, Denver

2* Seattle, Miami, NO, Detroit(Sat)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc

Week 16

( Hot Game To Bet: Philadelphia +6 )

Detroit +3.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Tennessee +12.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Buffalo +4 - 5% Of Bankroll

Jacksonville +14.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

New Orleans +1 - 5% Of Bankroll

Tampa Bay -3 - 5% Of Bankroll

Chicago -5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Oakland +9.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Pittsburgh -3.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Kansas City +7 - 5% Of Bankroll

Philadelphia +6 - 5% Of Bankroll

Houston -9.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Cleveland +13.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

Baltimore +1 - 5% Of Bankroll

WEEK 15 ( 6-5 )
WEEK 14 ( 7-4 )
WEEK 13 ( 6-3-1 )
WEEK 12 ( 5-3-2 )
WEEK 11 ( 5-4 )
WEEK 10 ( 7-3 )
WEEK 9 ( 2-4 )
WEEK 8 ( 8-1 )
WEEK 7 ( 4-4 )
WEEK 6 ( 4-0 )
WEEK 5 ( 3-5 )
WEEK 4 ( 5-2 )
WEEK 3 ( 3-3 )

Grand Total ( 65 - 41 - 3 )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

NFL WINNER…..Buffalo at Miami (-4) 1:00 ET

4* Buffalo +4
The Bills fell victim to a -3 in the turnover column in their 50-17 loss to Seattle last week north of the border. They were outrushed by the super surging Seahawks, 32/270 to 21/118. Let’s not over react, however, to Miami’s 24-3 win. It was against JVille, the worst offensive team in the league. That record only raised Miami’s record on this field to 7-20 ATS as home chalk. In an earlier 19-14 loss in Buffalo, Miami could gain just 184 yards. The underdog Bills clearly have a chance at this victory.

Washington (-6) at Philadelphia 1:00 ET

4* Washington -6
Only the Lone Ranger would be on the Eagles in this one. The first meeting against the Skins saw them lose 31-6 being outgained 361-257. Last Thursday, they dropped a 34-13 home field decision to the Bengals. It dropped their record to 0-7 ATS at this site for the season. In that contest, the Eagles committed 5 turnovers and were outrushed 41/157 to 18/42. Behind QB Cousins, the Washington offense barely missed a beat in the 38-21 victory at Cleveland. They outrushed the Browns 35/122 to 15/58 putting up a total of 430 yards. It was their 5th consecutive win and cover. Now with RG3 returning to the controls, they are locked in a Division battle with NYG and Big D. But with need comes pressure and an inflated line, a scenario that this Redskin team is certainly not familiar with. Eagles were a 3 point dog the first meeting. Some quick math will show you how much value you have lost (9 points).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 16

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 16's action.

Atlanta at Detroit (3.5, 50.5)

Atlanta can secure home-field advantage throughout the conference playoffs with a triumph in the Motor City. The Falcons bounced back from a 10-point road loss to Carolina in a big way as they recorded a dominating 34-0 home win over the New York Giants last week. Atlanta ran more than it passed for just the second time this season, gaining 125 yards on 35 carries while attempting just 28 passes. Detroit is looking to snap its six-game losing streak. Things hit rock bottom for the Lions last Sunday, when they suffered a 38-10 loss in Arizona to the Cardinals. Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall.

Tennessee at Green Bay (-12.5, 46)

The Packers clinched the NFC North with last week's 21-13 win at Chicago and must win their final two games and get help in order to clinch the No. 2 seed in the NFC and the first-round bye. Wide receiver Jordy Nelson sat out again last week with a bad hamstring and is questionable Sunday. Tennessee is coming off a 14-10 victory over the New York Jets on Monday that ended a three-game losing streak. Since a Week 10 loss to Chicago, the Titans rank third in total defense (285.8 yards per game), and fourth giving up 17.6 points per game. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall.

Oakland at Carolina (-9.5, 46)

The Panthers, who are just 2-5 at home, are attempting to end the campaign on a high note as they seek their third consecutive victory. Quarterback Cam Newton has been outstanding over the last four weeks. The Auburn product leads the league with a 113.1 passer rating in that span with nine touchdown passes and no interceptions. The Raiders snapped a six-game slide last Sunday with a 15-0 triumph over Kansas City in their home finale. Sunday's shutout against the Chiefs was the team's first blanking since 2002. Sebastian Janikowski provided all the offense, kicking a season-high five field goals. Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last seven overall.

Buffalo at Miami (-4.5, 41.5)

The Dolphins are still in playoff contention after last week’s 24-3 win over Jacksonville, but will need a ton of help in order to play January football. Running back Reggie Bush racked up 104 yards on the ground in the victory– his first 100-yard effort since Week 2. The Bills will finish with a losing record for an eighth consecutive season after last Sunday’s 50-17 rout by Seattle. Buffalo, which yielded a season-low 184 yards in a 19-14 win over the Dolphins on Nov. 15, has become the eighth NFL team - and first since the 1986 Jets - to allow 45 points four times in one season. Miami has won three of four at home over Buffalo and is 4-1 ATS in its last five December games.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-3.5, 42.5)

The Bengals will try to keep their division title hopes alive - while eliminating the host Steelers from the playoff race entirely. A Cincinnati win Sunday would clinch a playoff spot while knocking the Steelers out of contention. The Bengals, who are winners of five of six after thumping Philadelphia 34-13 on Dec. 13, are well rested but have lost their past five against Pittsburgh. Cincinnati is allowing just 12.5 points per game over its last six – the best in the NFL in that stretch - while forcing 15 turnovers. The Steelers have numerous injuries to their secondary and will be without cornerback Ike Taylor (ankle) for a third straight game. The Bengals are 0-7-2 ATS in their last nine versus AFC North foes.

New England at Jacksonville (14.5, 50)

New England rallied from a 31-3 deficit a week ago to tie San Francisco but ultimately suffered a 41-34 setback to snap its seven-game winning streak. However, the Patriots racked up 407 yards of offense in the second half against the stout defense of the 49ers. Tight end Rob Gronkowski (forearm) has officially been ruled out again this week. The Jaguars have lost three straight, failing to cover in all three contests. Running back Maurice Jones-Drew (foot) is back practicing, but is a long shot to play Sunday.

Indianapolis at Kansas City (7, 41.5)

Indianapolis has won seven of nine but missed out on a chance to clinch a playoff berth with a 29-17 loss to the Texans last week. Quarterback Andrew Luck has completed only 46.1 percent of his passes in three games this month and has been intercepted nine times in his last five contests. The Chiefs gained a season-low 119 yards and recorded only seven first downs in a 15-0 loss at Oakland last week. Starting quarterback Brady Quinn is dealing with a rib injury but coach Romeo Crennel said Thursday he expects him to suit up against the Colts. Kansas City has recorded fewer than 10 points in four of its last five games. Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.

New Orleans at Dallas (-1, 51.5)

The Cowboys are still on the outside of the NFC playoff picture looking in, but their chances improved dramatically after topping Pittsburgh in overtime last Sunday for their fifth win in six games. Cornerback Morris Claiborne expects to play Sunday after missing last week's victory over Pittsburgh with a concussion. Running back DeMarco Murray is also probable despite missing practice on Wednesday. Dallas is 3-0 since Murray returned from a foot injury that shelved him for six contests. The Saints posted a 41-0 home triumph over the Bucs last Sunday. Despite the shutout, New Orleans' defense still ranks last in the league as it has allowed an average of 446.2 yards per contest. The underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Washington at Philadelphia (6, 45.5)

Washington is tied with Dallas and New York for the NFC East lead but owns the tiebreaker over both teams. Backup quarterback Kirk Cousins led the Redskins to their fifth straight win - a 38-21 victory over the Browns last week in the absence of Robert Griffin III. Griffin (knee) was a full participant at practice Thursday and is expected to start against the Eagles. Philadelphia fell 34-13 to Cincinnati in its last effort, committing a season-high five turnovers in the process. Running back LeSean McCoy (concussion) was carted off in the final minutes of a 31-6 loss to the Skins on Nov. 18, but is expected to suit up Sunday. The Redskins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.

St. Louis at Tampa Bay (-3, 44)

St. Louis saw its playoff chances all but snuffed out with last week's 36-22 home loss to Minnesota that snapped a three-game winning streak. The Rams, who had allowed only 42 points during its three-game winning streak, recorded a pair of sacks last week to add to their NFC-leading total of 41. Tampa Bay was once in the driver's seat for a playoff slot but has tumbled out of contention in the wake of a four-game losing streak, including a 41-0 mauling at New Orleans a week ago. The Bucs defense has been sturdy against the run but awful against the pass, ranking last in the league with 310.6 yards allowed per game. The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

Minnesota at Houston (-9.5, 45)

Vikings running back Adrian Peterson trampled the Rams for 210 yards and a score in last week's 36-22 victory, a result that kept Minnesota's playoff hopes alive. The Vikings will be in tough against a Texans team that owns the AFC's top seed and is coming off a 29-17 win over Indianapolis. Peterson has amassed 1,313 rushing yards in the last eight weeks - equaling Arian Foster's output for the entire season. Peterson is in the midst of the most incredible stretch of games by any running back in the history of football. A year removed from major knee surgery, the 27-year-old is just 294 yards away from breaking Eric Dickerson's single-season record of 2,105 set in 1985. The Texans are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.

San Diego at N.Y. Jets (-1, 39)

New York's fleeting postseason hopes were dashed with another wretched offensive performance in Monday's 14-10 loss at Tennessee - a defeat that finally prompted coach Rex Ryan to pull the plug on Mark Sanchez and elevated third-stringer Greg McElroy to starting quarterback. San Diego flat-lined in a 31-7 home loss to Carolina and will miss the postseason for a third straight year. Adding to the misery were season-ending injuries to leading rusher Ryan Mathews (collarbone) and wide receiver Malcom Floyd (ankle). The Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Cleveland at Denver (-13.5, 44.5)

Denver can move closer to earning a first-round bye in the playoffs by extending its winning streak to 10 with a victory over Cleveland, which has dropped nine straight meetings. The Broncos are coming off a 34-17 victory over the Ravens in a game that Peyton Manning threw for a season-low 204 yards. The Denver defense, which ranks fourth allowing 307.1 yards per game, held Baltimore to 56 rushing yards and scored on a pick-six. The Browns’ .217 all-time winning percentage against the Broncos is their lowest against any NFL team. But Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.

Chicago at Arizona (5.5, 36.5)

The Bears' prolonged slump has left them likely needing victories in back-to-back road games with help in order to reach the playoffs. A 21-13 loss to Green Bay last Sunday dropped the Bears behind the competition in the race for the conference’s two wild-card spots. The defeat was also Chicago’s seventh in a row in the month of December. The Bears are averaging 14.2 points over their last six games after producing 29.5 per contest in their first eight. More pressure will be placed on running back Matt Forte this week after backup Michael Bush (ribs) was placed on injured reserve earlier this week. The Arizona defense leads the league with 22 interceptions, including snagging three picks in last week’s 38-10 win over Detroit. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five December games.

N.Y. Giants at Baltimore (1, 47)

Baltimore will try to avoid its first four-game slide in five seasons when they host the Giants. Running back Ray Rice was held to just 38 yards in last week’s loss to the Broncos and now faces a New York stop unit allowing 123.7 rushing yards per game. The Giants were shutout for the first time in seven years in Sunday’s loss to the Falcons, but could be getting some key starters back after running back Ahmad Bradshaw (knee), cornerback Prince Amukamara (hamstring) and safety Kenny Phillips (knee) all sat out against the Falcons. All three have returned to practice in some fashion this week. The Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last six December games.

San Francisco at Seattle (Pick, 39)

San Francisco’s top-ranked scoring defense could be in for a major test Sunday night against the suddenly high-scoring Seattle offense. There’s plenty at stake as the Seahawks can clinch their second playoff berth in three seasons and the 49ers are one win shy of securing their second consecutive NFC West title. After setting a team record for points in a 58-0 win over Arizona on Dec. 9, the Seahawks became the first team in 62 years to score at least 50 points in consecutive weeks with their rout of Buffalo last week. San Francisco has won four straight in this divisional matchup following a 13-6 victory on Oct. 18, but Seattle is a perfect 6-0 at home this season. The Seahawks are also 5-0 ATS in their last five versus a team with a winning record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 16
by Jason Logan

Each week, we break down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are three of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 16:

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (-1, 51)

Saints’ quick-strike offense vs. Cowboys’ time of possession

With a defense that rivals Swiss cheese in terms of holes, the Saints rely on out-gunning their opponent on offense. New Orleans hung 41 points on Tampa Bay last week and rank fourth in the NFL in scoring (27.8). That quick-hitting approach has New Orleans sitting among the bottom of the league in time of possession, holding on to the ball for an average of just 28:17 – 27th in the NFL.

The Cowboys are a different team with RB DeMarco Murray in the backfield. Dallas has won three in a row since its top rusher returned from a foot injury, hogging the ball for an average of 32:24 during that stretch - fifth best in the NFL. Murray is getting stronger with every carry and is in line for a huge day versus a Saints defense that has been gashed for big yardage on the ground. The Cowboys’ best shot at beating the New Orleans is to lean on Murray and keep Drew Brees and Co. off the field.

Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans (-9.5, 43.5)

Vikings’ RB Adrian Peterson vs. Texans’ sliding rushing defense

The game plan for Minnesota is simple: Give the ball to Peterson and get out of the way. Stopping that game plan is much harder. Peterson is in pursuit of Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record and will no doubt get the lion’s share of the play calls Sunday. It’s no secret but Peterson is flirting with that Barry Sanders level of play. Defenses know it’s coming but can’t do anything to stop it.

Houston was once the most feared run stuffers in the league but has softened on defense in recent weeks. The Texans allowed Indianapolis to march for 124 yards last week, watched the Patriots rumble for 130 yards the game before that, and surrendered 106 yards to the Lions on Thanksgiving. Injuries to key players, like LB Brian Cushing, have left gaps in the run stop and opposing backs have been able to find the edge and explode for big gains. The last time “All Day” took on Houston, he rushed for 139 yards and a score back in Nov. 2008.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Accuscore

Analyst’s Top Week 16 NFL Picks

San Diego Chargers +127 at New York Jets
AccuScore projects the Chargers as basically 50/50 this weekend going up against the Jets and new starting quarterback Greg McElroy. San Diego wins 50.7 percent of simulations outright, but the +127 money line translates to just a 44 percent implied probability. This line is probably a result of people expected the Jets to get a big emotional boost from finally benching Mark Sanchez. That might be possible, but McElroy isn’t exactly an exciting young QB prospect, and the Jets still aren’t a very good offensive team otherwise having scored 38 total points over the last 3 weeks. This is a pretty good value spot.

Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Over 39 Points
Simulations project an average of 43 total points in this game. I think this total is relatively low because these are two of the best defenses in the NFL in a rivalry game with Seattle having that great homefield advantage. Seattle however has scored 108 points in the last two games while the Niners have scored 68 points the last two weeks. Both teams are putting up points in bunches, and have shown big plays can be made by both special teams and the defenses to set up scores. I think this will happen at least once on Sunday which should be enough to get to 40 total points in my opinion. The Over occurs in 60.9 percent of simulations.

St. Louis Rams +3 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Rams are a surprising 5-1 ATS on the road this year while the Bucs are 3-3-1 ATS at home (compared to 6-1 ATS on the road themselves). The Bucs have lost their last four games hitting bottom last week getting shut out 41-0 to New Orleans. The Rams are not a great team by any means, but the team is playing hard under Jeff Fisher and the defense is playing pretty well ranking 9th in passing yards against and 16th in passing yards against.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog,

Game: Washington at Philadelphia (Sunday 12/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia +7 (-120) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
The likelihood of RG3 playing here has put a bump in the line, and a bump in the support for the Skins in this game with over 80% of the public siding with Washington. It doesn't hurt things here that the Eagles looked awful on national TV last week, turning the ball over five times, losing to the Bengals by 21 points. Also feeding this line is the fact that the Redskins are looking invincible with their glamorous rookie QB (actually two awesome looking rookie QBs), and five straight wins with 31+ points scored in four of them. So how can the hapless Eagles have a chance here? Welcome to the NFL where late season home dogs, who are supposed to roll over and play dead against playoff-caliber teams, don't. Since 1989 the last two weeks of the regular season have seen the home dogs cover 57.4% of all games. When you have a home dog in this same situation, revenging a loss of 20 points or more they are 31-15-1 ATS. You can bet the Eagles remember the 31-6 thrashing they took just five weeks ago. And, the Skins remember that easy win too. Under Andy Reid, the Eagles are 12-4 ATS revenging a loss by 21+ points. Washington brings in a woeful 11-26 ATS mark in their last 37 games vs. a losing team.

Game: New England at Jacksonville (Sunday 12/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Jacksonville +14.5 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The New England Patriots probably just played their two biggest games of the season back-to-back at home. They beat Houston badly, and almost came back from the dead vs. San Francisco, but suffered a loss in the end. A lot of energy was used up last week in that attempted comeback. They now head on the road after a big Monday Night game at home, followed by a big Sunday Night game at home, to face lowly Jacksonville. I can hardly see this team taking the field with their "A" game after those two highly-physical and emotional games. Better than two-touchdown road favorites are very rare, and certainly the line is fair if the Pats pack their "A" game. But, I don't see it happening against the 2-12 Jaguars. Jacksonville seems to play big against big teams, as they took Minnesota to overtime on the road, won at Indianapolis, had a chance late to win at Green Bay, and lost in overtime to Houston. Don't be surprised if they hang around here too. As great as the Patriots are, they are not immune to letdowns. In fact, in late season play (from week 7 on), the Pats are just 9-25 ATS in their last 34 games when facing teams at .250 or worse! This is an ugly one, but the references I just made were supposed to be ugly as well. Back ugly and take the points on Jacksonville.
Game: Indianapolis at Kansas City (Sunday 12/23 1:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on Kansas City +7 (-115) (risk 3 to win 2.6)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 41.5 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Oakland Raiders have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, ranked dead last in points allowed (28.7). So considering that fact, how bad was the Kansas City offensive performance last week to get shutout by them? It was so bad that the Chiefs had more penalty yards than offensive yards almost midway through the third quarter. And, their offense did not record a first down in the entire first half. What is good about the NFL is that after such a brutal debacle last week, the lines overreact. So does the public. They are behind the Colts in this one at over 85% --- the most lopsided bet of the weekend (ask the Lions how that worked out for them last week). Over the last two years, the Colts haven't exactly been doing a lot of damage on the road, including this season with Luck at the helm. Here they find themselves a TD favorite despite owning a losing road record and being out-scored by 68 points on the road this season. It is very doubtful that Kansas City plays as bad as they did a week ago, and they will likely score quite a bit. After a team gets shutout on the road, and play their next one at home, 59% of all those games go over the total if it is less than 43.5, which is the case here. The Colts are also in a Houston sandwich, having played the Texans last week, and they have them again next week. They may be thinking more of that game than the one in hand. Remember that the Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. a winning team. The Colts are 18-8 to the OVER in their last 26 on the road, and four of the last five meetings in Kansas City have eclipsed the total as well. Take Kansas City and play on the OVER.

Game: Buffalo at Miami (Sunday 12/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Buffalo +5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Buffalo has been playing well over the past five weeks, but ran into a buzz saw last week against the Seattle Seahawks, a team that has simply been on a rampage, scoring 50+ points in two straight weeks. If not for that game, the Bills’ defense would actually rank in the top five in the NFL over the last month. Ryan Tannehill had a big game last week, but that was vs. Jacksonville, a team that has all of two wins this season. Things should be different this week vs. a Bills’ defense that has played well against weak competition this season. The Patriots, Niners and Seahawks have all torched this Bills defense. But outside of those games, Buffalo has held all but two teams to 21 points or less, including 14 vs. this Dolphins team five weeks ago. The Bills’ biggest enemy has been themselves, and Miami has not been turning opponents over at all. The Dolphins’ last four opponents have combined to turn the ball over just one time. The Bills were beaten badly last week, and teams usually play up to their level and beyond after a poor blowout. The Dolphins are now eliminated from the playoffs picture, and with their "Super Bowl" game next week vs. New England, I can see them mailing this one in. The Dolphins are 9-30-1 ATS in their last 40 at home vs. a team with a losing record. Take the points with Buffalo.

Game: Chicago at Arizona (Sunday 12/23 4:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Arizona +5.5 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Chicago Bears opened the season at 7-1. The offense was rather ordinary, but the defense was feeding off of turnovers at a very high rate. The wins were coming easy, but the turnovers hid a lot of warts. Those warts have now been exposed, one of which is an offense that has scored 17 or fewer points in five of their last six games - all losses. The five losses saw the Bears turn their opponent over just six times. Arizona has to be feeling awesome as they broke a nine-game losing streak last week with emphatic precision win over the Lions 38-10. Arizona has a winning record at home of 4-3 and are now 5-1 ATS in their last six as a home dog. If you expand things out and go back to last year, the Cardinals are 9-3 straight-up in their last 12 home games. Chicago is certainly not playing like a team that should be a mid-sized favorite here, and they haven't exactly acquitted themselves very well vs. Arizona at 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the home dog here and play on Arizona.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatsmanSports

NFL: Cincinnati +3.5 (-110) against Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

1 PM EST
103. Tennessee Titans +13

4:05 PM EST
125. Cleveland Browns +13

Rest of Games
113. Indianapolis Colts -7
119. St. Louis Rams +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe

SUNDAY

Tennessee +11½ at GB (47): The Packers have not been explosive on offense this season and the Titans’ offense has been below average, suggesting less scoring than might be expected, something that may only be enhanced by the potential for cold or inclement weather. UNDER.

Oakland +8½ at Carolina (46): It’s hard to see Oakland having much interest in this cross country trip. Carolina will try to follow up an impressive effort in San Diego with a third straight win against an Oakland team not likely to match that intensity or enthusiasm. CAROLINA.

Buffalo +4½ at Miami (41½): The Bills’ pathetic effort in their loss to Seattle all but assures the Chan Gailey era will come to an end next week. Miami still has a chance to finish 8-8. QB Ryan Tannehill will not be required to much more than hand off if the Fish can establish a ground game early. MIAMI.

Cincy +4½ at Pittsburgh (43½): The Bengals have played well for more than a month, especially on defense. Getting more than a FG is very tempting, especially with their 5-2 SU road record which includes 3 outright wins as dogs. CINCY.

N. England -14 at J’ville (48½): Pats Coach Bill Belichick will not want his team headed to the playoffs with negative momentum and is more prone to have his team place emphasis on this game if he wants to give his starters some rest before starting the playoffs without a break. Jacksonville presents the ideal foe to get back. NE.

Indy -6 at KC (42): The Colts need just one win to clinch a Wild Card. The Chiefs are just waiting for the season to end. The Colts likely will play a conservative game, taking relatively few risks and emphasize ball control once they gain a lead. UNDER.

N.Orleans +3 at Dallas (51½): The Saints played their best game of the season last week in shutting out Playoff contender Tampa Bay 41-0. Dallas has now won 3 straight and 5 of 6. The Saints continue to play hard with nothing on the line and this should be one of the week’s more entertaining games. OVER.

Wash -4½ at Philly (44½): Even if RG III gets an extra week of rest, fellow rookie QB Kirk Cousins showed last week he can more than hold his own at this level. Bottom line – one team is playing with intensity and the other is playing for a lame duck coach. WASHINGTON.

St. Louis +3 at Tampa Bay (43½): The Rams play the much better defense and are well coached. They also have a win and a tie over perhaps the NFL’s best team, San Francisco. Tampa Bay’s best win came two months ago at Minnesota. The Rams have played the better overall football and passed more tests. ST. LOUIS.

NY Giants -1½ at Balt (47): Baltimore’s defense continues to suffer from injuries and the firing of their offensive coordinator prior to last week’s game was a surprise and seemed to have little positive impact. The Giants have shown an ability to perform in similar spots in the past and are a bit more trustworthy. NY GIANTS.

Minn +7½ at Houston (43½): The Texans bounced back from their humiliating loss at New England with a win over the Colts but the offense stalled often, settling for 5 field goals. Minnesota has played solid defense and will bring the greater intensity, which makes getting more than a TD attractive. MINNESOTA.

Cleveland +12½ at Denver (44½): Denver has won 9 in a row and while QB Peyton Manning gets most of the attention, the Broncos’ defense has excelled. Cleveland is limited offensively, relying more on the run than pass which makes this a bad matchup, especially for a team playing out the string. DENVER.

Chicago -5½ at Arizona (36½): The Bears are on the outside looking in and needing help to make the Playoffs. The Cardinals finally snapped a 9 game losing streak. The five recent Bear losses have all been to winning teams, four having clinched playoff spots. CHICAGO.

SF +1 at Seattle (40½): The marquee game of the week and a rematch of a midseason Thursday night affair won at home by the 49ers 13-6 with the controversial decline of a late safety affecting the ATS outcome. This should be a physical contest with both defensive the best units on the field. UNDER.

San Diego +3 at NY Jets (41): The Jets still have an ineffective offense that struggles to score. San Diego’s inability to run the football makes them too one dimensional and the Jets can still play defense. UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today

NFL

Titans +11½ at Green Bay: Up until last week double digit favorites were not a good play. But we may be on a late-season run toward routs. PACKERS.

Bills +4 at Dolphins: Right now we trust Tannehill a lot more than Fitzpatrick and the Buffalo turnover machine. DOLPHINS.

Patriots +14 at Jaguars: Jacksonville will be beaten before stepping out on the field. They want no part of Brady off a loss. PATRIOTS.

Rams +3 at Bucs: Schiano will hammer the Bucs all week in practice for that egg they laid in New Orleans. BUCS.

Bengals +4½ at Steelers: Big Ben and Tomlin still produce excitement, but Steelers are losing games at critical times they normally win. BENGALS.

Redskins -4 at Eagles: Whether it’s RG3 or Cousins, Skins are on a roll. Philly playing as if they had enough of Andy Reid. REDSKINS.

Colts at Chiefs (42½): Kansas City has scored 9 points or less in four of the last five games. That explains why the UNDER is 5-1 in their last six. UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denny the Dog @ Gaming Today

Sunday

Titans +12½ at Packers: The Pack clinched their second straight NFC North title with a big win over a beat up Bears bunch. I like the way the Packers are playing but all the top teams headed to the playoffs have flaws. So there’s no way I’m going to lay double digits here, even though the Packers have the best QB in the league. TITANS.

Raiders +8 at Panthers: Carolina has won two consecutive games and three of four. Oakland snapped a six game losing streak with a shutout of KC. This week the Raiders have to play an NFL club that actually possesses an offensive threat. PANTHERS.

Bills +4 at Dolphins: If you look at the standings there’s only one game separating these two. But that’s only on paper. There’s a big difference. Miami has played a much tougher schedule the last month. Going head to head with the Seahawks, Niners and Patriots may not get you many wins, but it surely will toughen you up. DOLPHINS.

Bengals +5 at Steelers: Pittsburgh didn’t win a big game when their backs were up against the wall? The Steelers always come through in the clutch right? But these aren’t your daddy’s Steelers. They’re beaten up, drop passes, fumble and don’t protect Big Ben. Maybe most glaring of all, the QB doesn’t completely buy into the play calling of the offensive coordinator. BENGALS.

Patriots -14 at Jaguars: The Patriots score points just drawing up their game plans. Imagine what they might do to a team struggling to score points. The Pats should come back strong after crawling out of a 4 turnover, 31-3 hole to tie the Niners, only to lose the game at the end. PATRIOTS.

Colts -6 at Chiefs: The Colts are banged up on the offensive line and I might bet against them here if there was a quality opponent. But the Chiefs haven’t scored over 9 points in the last five weeks (lone exception being the Panthers win after the tragedy). I’m siding with the team that has players on both sides of the ball. COLTS.

Saints +3 at Cowboys: Dallas looks like a different team the last three weeks. Cowboys are finding ways to win and have actually won five of six. But none of the Cowboys wins are easy. They could have lost every one of their last three. I think they’ll be in another dogfight again this week with Drew Brees slinging it all over the field. SAINTS.

Skins (NL) -4 at Eagles: I’m done messing with the Skins. RGIII has made me a believer. The Shanahan’s seemingly can do no wrong. Kirk Cousins in the fourth round after already selecting Griffin? Game plans that suit both QBs like a glove. Cousins steps in last week in Cleveland and plays like a four or five year veteran? I’m done. SKINS.

Rams +3 at Bucs: I expected much more energy out of both of these teams last week. What I got did not come anywhere near my expectations. The Bucs have lost four straight and were embarrassed with a Brees beatdown last Sunday. I’m taking the home team coming off a humiliating loss. BUCS.

Giants PK at Ravens: Here’s another couple of clubs that lacked energy last week. I guess all teams are beat up this time of the season. But the Ravens are really hurting at linebacker and now Torrey Smith left the Denver game with a concussion. Ravens clinched a playoff position with the Steelers loss. G-men haven’t clinched anything but high drama the next two weeks. Giants need this one badly. GIANTS.

Vikings +7½ at Texans: I’m done picking on Christian Ponder for at least a week. The Vikings are playing good enough defense and rushing the ball well enough with Peterson to take the points here. The Texans have J.J. Watt, but there are holes in the defense aside from him. VIKINGS.

Browns +12½ at Broncos: Broncos have won nine straight. You can’t argue with those results. I just have an affliction for laying double digits. BROWNS.

Bears -5½ at Cardinals: Arizona snapped a nine game losing streak against the Lions. Bears have lost five of six. Do I really have to pick one of these teams? Ok Chicago, you still have a shot at the playoffs. Even though you’re beat up, you have a ton more to play for so go get’em. BEARS.

Chargers +3 at Jets: As bad and disappointing as the Jets have been this season, they’re not as bad and disappointing as the Chargers. Adios Norv! JETS.

49ers (NL) + 2 at Seahawks: The Niners performance at New England was impressive. Kaepernick came into Foxboro in December and beat Brady, plain and simple. Russell Wilson has been amazing. Pete Carroll said the Seahawks were trying to get the offense going and not screw it up. Yeah Pete, you’re onto bigger things like faking punts up 30! 49ERS.

BEST BETS: Bengals, Giants, Dolphins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #106 Take Carolina -8.5
4-Unit Play. #118 Take Over 45 Washington vs. Philadelphia
7-Unit Play. #124 Take Houston Texans -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Giants at Ravens: What bettors need to know

New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens (+1, 47)

After enjoying a view from the penthouse of their respective divisions for most of the season, both the New York Giants and Baltimore Ravens are hearing company knock at the door. The Ravens will look to snap a three-game skid and clinch their second straight AFC North title on Sunday when they host the Giants. Although Baltimore owns a one-game lead over Cincinnati and has already secured a postseason position, it sure didn't look like a playoff team following a 34-17 setback to Denver last week.

While the Ravens' performance left a lot to be desired, the Giants' was downright pitiful in a 34-0 loss to Atlanta. New York's fourth setback in six games - coupled with victories by Washington and Dallas - allowed for a three-team logjam to rear its ugly head atop the NFC East. Making matters worse for Tom Coughlin's club is that it no longer controls its own destiny for the division title.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: This game opened as low as a pick and action on the Giants moved the line to as high as -3. The total moved from 47.5 to 47.

CONSENSUS: 62 percent of Covers Consensus picks are on New York while 51 percent is on the over.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the high 30s. Winds are expected to blow SW at 6 mph.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (8-6, 6-7-1 ATS): New York can seize a postseason spot by winning its final two games - that much is simple. An NFC East title will require a little help, as the Redskins and Cowboys will each need to lose a game as well. Health concerns are on the forefront for the Giants, who hope to see the return of Ahmad Bradshaw (knee/foot), although Coughlin has already said that is a medical decision. A porous defense also plagues New York, which is ranked 28th overall and against the pass.

ABOUT THE RAVENS (9-5, 5-8-1 ATS): Although Pittsburgh's misstep versus Dallas last week allowed Baltimore entry into the postseason party, one can understand that the Ravens may not feel like dancing at the moment. Joe Flacco has committed six turnovers (three interceptions, three fumbles) during the team's losing skid - and didn't fare too well versus the Giants on Nov. 16, 2008. Flacco, who was then a rookie, threw for just 164 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions in New York's 30-10 victory.

TRENDS:

* Over is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.
* Giants are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 road games.
* Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last six games in December.
* Over is 4-0 in Ravens' last four home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Giants WR Victor Cruz honored 6-year-old Jack Pinto by visiting his family on Tuesday. Pinto was one of 20 children killed in the shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Conn.

2. With John Harbaugh at the helm, the Ravens are an impressive 9-0 at home against NFC teams.

3. Baltimore has won two of the three regular-season meetings between the clubs - although most remember its 34-7 trouncing of New York in Super Bowl XXXV.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

San Francisco 49ers shine on the primetime stage

The San Francisco 49ers thrive in the limelight of NFL primetime and look to remain perfect on the big stage against the Seattle Seahawks Sunday night.

The 49ers take a 5-0 SU record in primetime games into Week 16’s Sunday Night Football matchup in Seattle. Oddsmakers have the game set as a pick’em. The Niners have been a solid bet during these high-profile contests, posting a 4-1 mark against the spread.

San Francisco defeated the Detroit Lions on Sunday night in Week 2, edged the Seahawks on Thursday Night Football in Week 7, thumped the Arizona Cardinals on Monday Night Football in Week 8, rolled the Chicago Bears on Monday in Week 11 and recently upended the New England Patriots on the road last Sunday night.

The 13-6 home win over Seattle was the only blown cover of those contests, with the 49ers unable to cover as 7.5-point favorites. On the year, San Francisco is 9-5 ATS (5-2 ATS on the road) and has covered in four of its last five games heading into Week 16.

San Francisco has beaten Seattle in four straight meetings and is 3-1 ATS in that span.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tale of the tape: San Francisco at Seattle

The NFC West has the honor of being the final game of Week 16, thanks to the NFL’s flex schedule. San Francisco and Seattle get bumped into primetime and we’ve got the betting breakdown for this divisional grudge match:

Offense

San Francisco’s scoring attack is on another level ever since Colin Kaepernick took over under center. The Niners are averaging over four points more per game with Kaepernick in place of Alex Smith – 28 ppg from 23.6 ppg – in the past six outings. San Francisco is coming off a 41-point effort in New England last week, getting four passing touchdowns from the former second-stringer.

Seattle is another team turning its offense around in the second half of the season. The Seahawks have exploded the past two weeks, scoring a combined 108 points in wins over Arizona and Buffalo. After putting up just 16.5 points per game in its first seven contests, Seattle is averaging 33.4 points over its last seven. Rookie QB Russell Wilson is blossoming into a scoring threat, posting a TD:INT ratio of 13-to-2 in that seven-game span.

Edge: San Francisco

Defense

The 49ers limited the Seahawks to just six points when they met in Week 7. San Francisco has the top ranked defense in the NFC, giving up only 15.6 points per game, but has softened a bit over the past six outings. The Niners are giving up over 19 points to foes during that span, however, one of those efforts was "limiting" New England to 34 points. A big part of that defense, DE Justin Smith, is questionable for Sunday after leaving with an elbow injury in the second half of last week’s game in New England.

Seattle is tied in terms of points allowed with San Francisco but has been weaker versus the run, giving up an average of 106.3 yards on the ground. The Seahawks defense gets a boost from the infamous “12th Man” at CenturyLink Field. They give up just 277.5 yards per game at home (323.8 ypg on the road), allow only 17 first downs per home game (19.5 per road game), and leak just 11.5 points per home game – over a touchdown less than on the road.

Edge: Seattle

Special teams

San Francisco sits eighth in the NFL in kick return yards (25.1) and 13th in average punt return yards (10.0), getting a recent boost from rookie speedster LaMichael James. On the other side of the ball, the Niners have been dismal defending kick returning, allowing foes to run back for an average of 27.2 per kick – second worst in the NFL. Punt coverage has been sharper, giving up just 6.9 yards per punt. Kicker David Akers is less-than reliable, going just 25 for 35 on FGs this season. Akers is also nursing a tender pelvis.

Seattle has been solid on kick coverage, giving up just 22.4 yards per kickoff and nine yards per punt. The Seahawks have given themselves great starting field position thanks to a return game that ranks fourth in kickoff returns (27.6 ypg), led by Leon Washington. However, the shifty back is dealing with an undisclosed illness and could be under the weather in Week 16. Kicker Steven Hauschka has been a steady foot, going 22 for 25 on FG attempts but don’t count on him for the big boot. He’s 1 for 4 on FGs of 50 yards or more this season.

Edge: Seattle

Word on the street

"These specialists, sometimes they only get four or five opportunities a game. You've got to make the play. We've got to see him do it. We've got to see him make those plays." – 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh on the struggles of K David Akers.

"I'm anticipating we'll have him. We know nothing else at this point." – Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll on the status of suspended standout CB Richard Sherman, who is appealing a four-game suspension after testing positive for Adderall.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday Night Football: 49ers at Seahawks

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (Pick, 39)

The San Francisco 49ers can wrap up the NFC West Division title on Sunday but they'll have to end an impressive home streak for the second time in as many weeks to accomplish it. The 49ers will look to pull off an impressive cross-country daily double when they visit the Seattle Seahawks, who still have hopes of overtaking San Francisco for the division crown. The 49ers ended New England's 21-game December home winning streak with a 41-31 victory last week and now have to take on a Seahawks team that is 6-0 at CenturyLink Field. Seattle has won three straight overall and five of six, and another victory Sunday would pull them within a half-game of San Francisco for the division lead.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Seattle opened as a 1.5-point underdog at some books but has since been bet up to a pick. The total opened at 40.5 and has been bet down as low as 38.5.

CONSENSUS: 54 percent of Cover Consensus picks are on Seattle while 57 percent is on the over.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for a 48 percent chance of showers with temperatures in the high 30s. Winds are expected to blow south at 5 mph.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (10-3-1, 9-5 ATS): Colin Kaepernick improved to 4-1 as a starter by throwing a career-high four touchdown passes as San Francisco secured a playoff berth against the Patriots. The Niners bolted to a 31-3 lead but had to stave off a stirring comeback after the Patriots reeled off 28 consecutive points to tie the game. Kaepernick responded by throwing his second TD pass to Michael Crabtree, who had seven catches for 107 yards and has 23 receptions over the past three games. San Francisco allowed 520 yards to the Patriots but forced four turnovers and recorded three sacks. The 49ers won a defensive duel with Seattle in Week 7, limiting the Seahawks to 251 yards and getting a season-high 131 yards from Frank Gore in a 13-6 victory.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (9-5, 10-4 ATS): Seattle's offense has erupted in the past two weeks, following a 58-0 beating of Arizona with a 50-17 thrashing of Buffalo to become the first team in 62 years to score 50 points in consecutive weeks. Rookie Russell Wilson was brilliant against the Bills, throwing for 205 yards and a TD and rushing for 92 yards and three scores. Wilson was shut down by the 49ers in the first meeting, throwing for a season-low 122 yards, but he has thrown 11 touchdowns against one interception in his last six games. Running back Marshawn Lynch has gone over 100 yards despite limited duty in each of the past two weeks to give him eight 100-yard games this season, including 103 yards against the Niners.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Seattle.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* 49ers are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.
* Seahawks are 40-19-2 ATS in their last 61 home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. San Francisco has won four straight meetings against the Seahawks, including a 19-17 victory at Seattle on Christmas Eve last season.

2. The 49ers and Seahawks rank 1-2 in the league in fewest points allowed at 15.6 apiece.

3. Gore has the two highest single-game rushing totals in franchise history (212 and 207 yards). Both have come against Seattle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: NFL Week 16 line moves

Playoff implications and lack of motivation litter NFL Week 16. We talk with online sportsbook BetDSI.eu about the biggest line moves on the board.

Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans (-8, 45)

Houston has been hit hard and often by the public. The sharp opinion is also backing the Texans, albeit lightly pushing the line to its current -8 value. The teaser action on this game is high as is the bet count at a current 3-to-1 ratio in favor of the Texans. This is one of those games that will make a nice weekend for the books if Minnesota can win outright.

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (+7, 41.5)

This has been a completely public dominated affair with the bet count and money count both in favor of the colts at 6-to-1 and 7-to-1 ratios. Sharps have not chimed in on this game and probably won’t.

New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens (+2.5, 47)

The Giants, as usual, are attracting public money on the over. There is a sharp opinion leaning towards the under here but not enough to invert the bet versus amount bet positions. The side is seeing about an 8-to-1 money wagered count in the Giants favor with teaser action going their way as well. This game has been a public-driven position with no real sharp opinion on this side.

Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans (+12.5, 44.5)

Sharps have backed the Titans at double-digit spread values. The Packers have a public backing to the tune of a 5-to-1 advantage in terms of bet count and a 2-to-1 advantage in terms of money wagered.

San Diego Chargers at New York Jets (-3, 37.5)

There is a sharp-versus-public contrast with the public driving a 3-to-1 bet count in favor of the Chargers and the sharps driving a 2-to-1 wager volume advantage in favor of the down-and-out Jets. Sharp action has driven the line down hard in this unattractive matchup.

Other Week 16 Notes:

This week there are not a lot of sharp-versus-public contrasts. The Week 16 card has seen the sharps backing totals with the under 44/44.5 for the St Louis-Tampa Bay matchup and the over 36 in the Chicago-Arizona game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Chiefs
Bears
Seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL's AWESOME 89% ATS NFL ELITE INFO WINNER

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over New England, as Jacksonville falls into 68-17, 96-36, 79-41 and 77-26 ATS systems of mine off its 24-3 loss last week to the Dolphins. Now, the Jags have been installed as a double-digit home underdog, and double-digit home dogs have been money in the bank over the years. Since 1980, they're a solid 89-66 ATS, including 16-2, 89% ATS since December 2009. It is true that New England has performed well over the past 12 years off a straight-up loss (32-15 ATS), but virtually all the profit has been when it has not been a favorite (17-2 ATS), compared to when it has been favored (15-13 ATS). And when it's been favored by 7+ points after a loss, it's a money-burning 5-8 ATS. Look for the Jaguars to cover this large number

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW overnight report
7 Chicago
3 team parlay (hits maybe once a year)
Chicago, Pitt, SL
Compufun
3 Saint Louis
Regular Carolina and NYG
NY Steam
5 Chicago
Computer Group
5 Seattle
GD West
1 Chicago
1 Seattle
L & M Las Vegas
4 SD u

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams


1500♦
Raise the Bar
Sunday Winner #6 of 7


San Francisco 49ers -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus Podcast pick : Seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Sunday, December 23rd

2012 NFL Division Showdowns 3-Teamer of the Year!!!!!
Buffalo/Miami under 41 1/2
Cincinnati/Pittsburgh over 41 1/2
Washington/Philadelphia over 45 1/2

2-1 or Better or we'll email you Tonight's Niners @ Seahawks Winner Free of Charge!!!

Early NFL Bets Bets
Tennessee/Green Bay under 44 1/2
Oakland/Carolina under 46
Indianapolis/Kansas City over 41 1/2
St Louis/Tampa bay under 44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Sunday, December 23rd

2012 Sunday Night Showdown Super Total of the Year!!!!!
San Francisco/Seattle over 39

Late NFL Best Bets
NY Giants/Baltimore under 47
Cleveland/Denver over 44
Chicago/Arizona under 36 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays.

500K NFL Shocker/Year

the Cincinnati Bengals +3½ over
the Pittsburgh Steelers

Best Bets


the Kansas City Chiefs +7 over
the Indianapolis Colts

the Philadelphia Eagles +6½ over
the Washington Redskins

the Green Bay Packers -12½ over
the Tennessee Titans

the Carolina Panthers -8½ over
the Oakland Raiders


500K NFC West Lock/Year



the Seattle Seahawks -1 over
the San Francisco 49ers

Best Bets





the San Francisco/Seattle Game OVER
the Total Of 39 Points

the Denver Broncos -12 over
the Cleveland Browns

the NY Giants -2½ over
the Baltimore Ravens

the NY Giants/Baltimore Game OVER
the Total Of 47 Points



PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK



the Buffalo Bills +4½ over
the Miami Dolphins

the Chicago Bears -6 over
the Arizona Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saints at Cowboys: What Bettors Need to Know

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (-1, 51.5)

The Dallas Cowboys still are on the outside of the NFC playoff picture looking in, but their chances improved dramatically after topping Pittsburgh in overtime last Sunday for their fifth win in six games. Dallas goes for its fourth consecutive victory this Sunday when it hosts the enigmatic New Orleans Saints. The Cowboys trail Washington in the NFC East despite sharing the same record but can capture the division title by winning their remaining two games, with the finale being a showdown with the Redskins in the nation's capital.

New Orleans' roller-coaster season has it needing a miracle to reach the playoffs for the fourth straight season. The Saints rebounded from an 0-4 start to even their record after 10 contests, but they lost their next three games before posting a 41-0 home triumph over Tampa Bay last Sunday. Despite the shutout, New Orleans' defense still ranks last in the league as it has allowed an average of 446.2 yards per contest.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: The Cowboys opened as high as -3 and have been bet down to as low as -1 at some books. The total opened at 52 points and has been bet down to 51.5.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (6-8, 7-7 ATS): Quarterback Drew Brees leads the NFL with 36 touchdown passes and 4,335 passing yards. He needs 665 yards to reach the 5,000-mark for the third time in his career. Brees threw for 307 yards and four TDs against Tampa Bay, giving him an NFL-record 17 games with at least 300 yards and four scoring strikes. Darren Sproles has been a major contributor out of the backfield since 2011 as he leads all NFL running backs with 146 catches and 13 receiving touchdowns in that span.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (8-6, 6-8 ATS): Cornerback Morris Claiborne expects to play Sunday after missing last week's victory over Pittsburgh with a concussion. Running back DeMarco Murray also expects to face the Saints despite missing practice on Wednesday. Dallas is 3-0 since Murray returned from a foot injury that shelved him for six contests. Quarterback Tony Romo has thrown 12 touchdown passes and only three interceptions over the last six games. Linebackers DeMarcus Ware (11.5) and Anthony Spencer (10) are the first pair of Cowboys to reach double digits in sacks in the same season since 2007.

TRENDS:

* Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Saints are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 16.
* Cowboys are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games in December.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Cowboys WR Dez Bryant has caught a touchdown pass in each of his last six games.

2. The road team has won each of the last four meetings, while the Saints have captured six of the last seven overall.

3. Dallas TE Jason Witten is six receptions shy of breaking the single-season record for a tight end of 102 set in 2004 by Tony Gonzalez.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NFL SAN FRANCISCO at SEATTLE

Play On - Underdogs or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in the second half of the season.
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

NFL ST LOUIS at TAMPA BAY

Play Against - All teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (TAMPA BAY) with a poor scoring defense - allowing 24 or more points/game, after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half.
33-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.3% 0.0 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% 0.0 units )

NFL CHICAGO at ARIZONA

Play Against - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ARIZONA) off an upset win as a home underdog, in the second half of the season.
133-74 since 1997. ( 64.3% 51.6 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% 1.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Knicks won 10 of last 13 games, lost two of last three (8-4 as HF). Minnesota won five of its last seven games (5-6 as AU).
-- Orlando won four of its last five games (2-5 as HU).
-- Suns won last four home games, with last three by 11+ (3-2 as HU). Clippers won last 12 games (3-4 as AF).
-- Portland won its last five games (covered two of last eight on road).

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost five of last six games (3-5 as AU). Brooklyn lost three in a row, eight of last ten games (3-5-2 as HF).
-- Jazz lost five of last seven games (3-3 as AF).
-- Mavericks lost five of last six games (7-7 as AU). Spurs lost four of their last six games (6-4-1 as HF).
-- Kings lost six of their last seven games (3-5 as HU).

Totals
-- Four of last five Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven New York games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six San Antonio games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Clipper games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Sacramento home games went over.

Back-to-backs
-- Jazz are 2-5 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Suns are 0-5 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Portland is 2-2 vs spread if it played night before, all on road.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- Northwestern lost four of last six games after 6-0 start; their best guy Crawford is out for year. Wildcats are 6-0 vs teams not in top 200, with wins by 30-13-27-19-24-6 points- this is their last game for 11 days. 3-5 Brown has played the #301 schedule; they lost by 27 to Notre Dame, in its only game vs team ranked above #195.
-- 4-4 Akron has played three OT games, losing twice; they're 3-1 vs teams not in top 100, winning by 19-25-30 points. Cleveland State lost its three top 100 games by 30-17-34 points; they're forcing urnovers on 23.6% of possessions, but best team they've beaten is #176 Toledo. Akron lost to Vikings last two years, by 3-13 points.
-- 4-7 San Diego lost by 7 to Oregon State laat night; Beavers shot 59% for night- three of Toreros' four wins are over teams ranked #259th or worse- their only win away from home is over #315 Southern Utah. James Madison came back from down 10 at half to beat San Jose State late Saturday; Dukes are 4-2 vs teams ranked below #150.

-- IUPUI is 2-10, losing its last six games vs D-I teams; they're 1-3 vs teams not in top 200, losing by 4-14-20 points- they're 13th-worst team in country on defense (out of 347). Jaguars beat Ball State by 9 at home LY. Cardinals are 4-5, but three of those losses are to top 70 teams-- they're 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 27-11-7 points.
-- 2-9 Siena lost its last seven games, scoring 52.5 ppg in last four tilts; Saints' only two wins are vs teams #252/259- they lost to Fordham by 15 at home LY. Rams lost six of last seven games; their only two wins this year are over Penn/Princeton, pair of Ivy League teams, by total of five points. Fordham is turning ball over 23% of time, not good.
-- Northern Iowa's big men played scared in 14-point loss at UNLV in last game Wednesday; game wasn't that close. 5-5 Panthers are vs teams in top 50, with three losses by 7 or less points. UNI lost at St Mary's by 16 LY. 8-2 Gaels lost by 9 on neutral court to Georgia Tech, its only game against team ranked higher than #127- they make 40.8% of 3's.

-- Indiana State upset Ole Miss in OT Saturday, making 9-22 from arc in game they led by 11 at half; Sycamores had four starters play 32:00+ in solid win. San Diego State beat USF by 22 Saturday, pulling away from 5-point halftime lead- they only had two guys play more than 29:00. ISU is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to UCLA by 27, New Mexico by 9.
-- Ole Miss was just 10-31 from arc in OT loss to Indiana State, Rebels' second loss in 10 games- they had three starters play 35+ minutes. San Francisco lost its last four games, by 8-8-10-22 points; they made 8-18 from arc yesterday, still lost by 22- they're 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 12 to Stanford, 22 to Aztecs, beating St John's by 16.
-- Arizona is 3-0 vs top 100 teams, but only one of those teams is in the top 80, and Wildcats trailed Florida by 6 in last 1:00 of that game- they breezed past East Tennessee Saturday, are 2-0 away from home, with a 28-point at Texas Tech, 12 at Clemson. 8-1 Miami won its last seven games, with three of last four on road; they're 4-0 vs top 100 teams.
-- 4-4 Hawai'i lost its last three D-I games; best team they've beaten is #295 North Dakota- last night's game upgrades a schedule that was #344 in country coming into weekend. East Tennessee State is 1-8 against D-I teams, with only win vs #142 Charleston Southern- three of their last four losses were to top 40 teams (have played #19 schedule)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks

Tennessee at Green Bay

The Packers look to take advantage of a Tennessee team that is coming off a Monday night win over the Jets and is 1-7 ATS in the last 8 games when playing on a Sunday after a Monday night game. Green Bay is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-12 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (12/20)


Game 103-104: Tennessee at Green Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 123.006; Green Bay 137.230
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 14; 49
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 12 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-12 1/2); Over


Game 105-106: Oakland at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 120.627; Carolina 139.370
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 18 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Carolina by 8; 46
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-8); Under


Game 107-108: Buffalo at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 128.855; Miami 131.755
Dunkel Line: Miami by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4 1/2); Over


Game 109-110: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 136.522; Pittsburgh 132.496
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 43
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+4); Over


Game 111-112: New England at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.369; Jacksonville 124.870
Dunkel Line: New England by 12 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 14 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+14 1/2); Under


Game 113-114: Indianapolis at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 130.259; Kansas City 121.225
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 9; 45
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 6 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-6 1/2); Over


Game 115-116: New Orleans at Dallas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 129.828; Dallas 135.004
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 5; 47
Vegas Line: Dallas by 1; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1); Under


Game 117-118: Washington at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 134.949; Philadelphia 130.476
Dunkel Line: Washington by 4 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Washington by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6); Under


Game 119-120: St. Louis at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 132.615; Tampa Bay 129.003
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 3 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3); Over


Game 121-122: NY Giants at Baltimore (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 139.885; Baltimore 133.812
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 6; 43
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-1); Under


Game 123-124: Minnesota at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 125.974; Houston 140.439
Dunkel Line: Houston by 14 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-7 1/2); Over


Game 125-126: Cleveland at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 128.638; Denver 143.185
Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Denver by 13; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-13); Under


Game 127-128: Chicago at Arizona (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 133.175; Arizona 122.137
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 11; 41
Vegas Line: Chicago by 5; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5); Over


Game 129-130: San Francisco at Seattle (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 144.059; Seattle 138.183
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6; 44
Vegas Line: Pick; 39
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco; Over


Game 131-132: San Diego at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 126.857; NY Jets 129.929
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 3; 36
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

LA Clippers at Phoenix

The Clippers are coming off a 97-85 win over Sacramento and look to build on their 11-2 ATS record in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. LA is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: Philadelphia at Brooklyn (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.686; Brooklyn 119.439
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5 1/2); Over


Game 803-804: Minnesota at New York (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.482; New York 123.565
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 805-806: Utah at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.361; Orlando 116.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 3; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 1 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-1 1/2); Over


Game 807-808: Dallas at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 113.814; San Antonio 126.720
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 13; 198
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 11; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-11); Under


Game 809-810: LA Clippers at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.275; Phoenix 117.228
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; 196
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6); Under


Game 5811-812: Portland at Sacramento (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.247; Sacramento 115.854
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

St. Mary's at Northern Iowa

The Panthers look to build on their 17-8 ATS record in their last 25 Sunday games. Northern Iowa is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 813-814: Brown at Northwestern (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 48.736; Northwestern 59.990
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+13 1/2)


Game 815-816: Cleveland State at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 50.540; Akron 65.275
Dunkel Line: Akron by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 12
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-12)


Game 817-818: James Madison vs. San Diego (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 819-820: Mississippi vs. San Francisco (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 821-822: Indiana State vs. San Diego State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 823-824: East Tennessee State at Hawaii (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 825-826: Arizona vs. Miami (FL) (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 827-828: Mississippi Valley State vs. CS-Bakersfield (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 829-830: North Florida vs. Georgia Southern (6:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 831-832: Bradley vs. Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 833-834: Virginia Tech vs. Colorado State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 835-836: Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 837-838: Nebraska at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 839-840: IUPUI at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 42.054; Ball State 53.730
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-9)


Game 841-842: Siena at Fordham (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 44.963; Fordham 52.767
Dunkel Line: Fordham by 8
Vegas Line: Fordham by 7
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (-7)


Game 843-844: St. Mary's at Northern Iowa (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 62.470; Northern Iowa 64.400
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+2 1/2)


Game 851-852: New Hampshire at Penn State (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Hampshire 47.155; Penn State 51.930
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 5; 128
Vegas Line: Penn State by 6; 123
Dunkel Pick: New Hampshire (+6); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 16 Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS Vary Units: 5-0 (1.000)
Over/Under: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-2 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 131-83 (.612)
ATS: 99-120 (.452)
ATS Vary Units: 415-626 (.399)
Over/Under: 103-118 (.466)
Over/Under Vary Units: 382-376 (.504)

Sunday, December 23, 2012
DALLAS 31, New Orleans 30
GREEN BAY 30, Tennessee 16
Indianapolis 25, KANSAS CITY 12
MIAMI 26, Buffalo 15
Washington 33, PHILADELPHIA 19
Cincinnati vs. PITTSBURGH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
St. Louis 23, TAMPA BAY 22
CAROLINA 29, Oakland 18
New England 39, JACKSONVILLE 15
HOUSTON 28, Minnesota 21
N.Y. JETS 20, San Diego 18
DENVER 29, Cleveland 13
N.Y. Giants vs. BALTIMORE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ARIZONA 18, Chicago 17
San Francisco 22, SEATTLE 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/23/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1354-398 (.773)
ATS: 533-554 (.490)
ATS Vary Units: 1924-2118 (.476)
Over/Under: 152-147 (.508)
Over/Under Vary Units: 195-223 (.467)

Bank of the West Don Haskins Sun Bowl Classic
at El Paso, TX
Central Michigan 68, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 59

Championship
UTEP 62, Nebraska 56

Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic
Final Round at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
CSU Bakersfield 69, Mississippi Valley State 64
North Florida 67, Georgia Southern 63
Bradley 68, Portland 63
Colorado State 70, Virginia Tech 67

Diamond Head Classic
at Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI
Ole Miss 77, San Francisco 69
HAWAI'I 73, East Tennessee State 67

Championship Semifinals
Arizona 67, Miami (Fla.) 65
San Diego State 71, Indiana State 61

Las Vegas Classic
Final Round at MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, CA
Boise State 92, New Orleans 64
James Madison vs. San Diego: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Non-Conference
AKRON 74, Cleveland State 65
BALL STATE 74, Iupui 63
CLEMSON 78, South Carolina State 50
FORDHAM 69, Siena 59
IONA 82, Norfolk State 73
NORTHWESTERN 77, Brown 53
PENN STATE 66, New Hampshire 54
PITTSBURGH 84, Kennesaw State 42
Saint Mary's 71, NORTHERN IOWA 67

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDREW LANGE
11-3 RUN (http://www.therxforum.com/) NFL (79%)
11 NOV 2-0
18 NOV 2-0
22 NOV 1-0
25 NOV 1-1
02 DEC 2-0
09 DEC 1-1
10 DEC 1-0
16 DEC 1-1
23 DEC
10* Carolina Over 46
10* Pittsburgh -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROB VENO
10-4 RUN (http://www.therxforum.com/)BLUE CHIP PLAYS (71%)
05 DEC 1-0
07 DEC 1-0
09 DEC 2-0
11 DEC 0-1
14 DEC 0-1
15 DEC 1-0
16 DEC 2-0
19 DEC 1-0
20 DEC 0-1
22 DEC 0-1
23 DEC
20* Blue Chip: Dallas Over 51.5
15* Blue Chip: Denver Over 44.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/23/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 261-124 (.678)
ATS: 195-196 (.499)
ATS Vary Units: 641-571 (.529)
Over/Under: 204-187 (.522)
Over/Under Vary Units: 357-305 (.539)

BROOKLYN 94, Philadelphia 91
NEW YORK 105, Minnesota 96
ORLANDO 97, Utah 96
SAN ANTONIO 110, Dallas 96
L.A. Clippers 102, PHOENIX 97
SACRAMENTO 103, Portland 102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with UL-Lafayette (-6) Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Saints. The deficit is 1128 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 954 - 709 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner Sun NE Pats - 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Orlando +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit Cincinnati +4 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-20)

10 unit Dallas -2.5
13 unit Chicago -6
15 unit Seattle -1
16 unit Carolina -8.5

Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)

10 unit San Diego +2.5
15 unit Buffalo +4.5
25 unit NY Giants -2.5

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Brooklyn (NBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso
50 cinn
15 Seattle
10 rams
10 titans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INT picks

3*--NY Giants -1(play to 2.5) @ Baltimore
San Francisco @ Seattle -1


2*--Washington @ Philadelphia OVER 45
New Orleans @ Dallas -1
Cleveland +13 @ Denver


1*--Buffalo @ Miami UNDER 41.5
Cincinnati +3.5 @ Pittsburgh
N Hampshire @ Penn St -5.5
Utah @ Orlando +2

--Freebie San Francisco @ Seattle UNDER 40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ace Ace (Allen Eastman)


Take #115 New Orleans (+3) over Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)


Take #117 Washington (-6) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)


Take #113 Indianapolis (-6.5) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)


Take ‘Under’ 41.5 Buffalo at Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)


Take #110 Pittsburgh (-3.5) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)


Take #127 Chicago (-5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)


Take ‘Under’ 36.5 Chicago at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
#117 Washington (-6) over Philadelphia (1 p.m.)
#116 Dallas (-2.5) over New Orleans (1 p.m.)
#108 Miami (-4.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m.)
#104 Green Bay (-12.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m.)
#106 Carolina (-8) over Oakland (1 p.m.)
#119 St. Louis (+3) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m.)
TEASER: Take #104 Green Bay (-5.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m.) AND Take #111 New England (-7.5) over Jacksonville (1 p.m.)

This Week's Totals
Take 'Under' 45.0 Minnesota at Houston (1 p.m.)
Take 'Under' 39.5 San Francisco at Seattle (8:30 p.m.)
Take 'Under' 44.5 Cleveland at Denver (4 p.m.)
Take 'Under' 42.5 Indianapolis at Kansas City (1 p.m.)
Take 'Over' 45.0 Washington at Philadelphia (1 p.m.)
Take 'Under' 42.0 Buffalo at Miami (1 p.m.)
Take 'Under' 49.5 New England at Jacksonville (1 p.m.)
Take 'Under' 42.5 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (1 p.m.)
Take 'Under' 46.0 Oakland at Carolina (1 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
San Francisco 49ers (PICK) over Seattle Seahawks
(System Record: 42-3, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 42-47-4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Giants -2.5 over Ravens
This is the time of the year that the Giants always excel. Last week they were embarrassed by the Falcons and you can bet they will be focused considering this is like a playoff game for them. This team is flying under the radar again and if they can get into the playoffs they have just as good a shot as anybody. The problem with the Ravens is their defense just not being elite anymore. If you look at their linebackers they mostly are all no names due to injuries. Flacco should struggle against the Gmen front four. There is a reason why New York is the favorites on the road. Take the Giants.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - SUNDAY NFL

4* BEST BET = DENVER
3* = NEW ENGLAND
3* = CAROLINA
2* = INDIANAPOLIS
2* = "OVER" on GIANTS/RAVENS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Freese

New England Patriots

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS LOCK

6 New England
5 Cinncy
5 Over 52 Dallas
4 Carolina

Monday
3 SMU
Hoops
2 St. Marys

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gil Alexander

3 Seattle
2 Giants
2 Bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AL demarco
15 Dime
Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd
80 Dime
49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton
40 Dime
New England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chuck O'Brien
75 Dime
Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Rivers
300K
Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin
50 Dime
NO / DALL Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis
JAGS/SEA 75 Dime Teaser

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole TOY

Wash/Philly Over 45.5 game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KELSO

100 Units
NFL Blowout Game Of Week
Patriots (-14½) over Jaguars
1:00 PM -- EverBank Field

Prediction: Patriots by 24-27
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: CBS Comments: There is no average ever in playing the New England Patriots but to get them coming off a loss is an open invitation to getting one’s butt kicked, and that is just the situation the punchless Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves in today. The Patriots had their seven-game winning streak snapped last week at home when they lost to the San Francisco 49ers, 41-34, despite a furious rally that just fell short. They could not find a better opponent against which to bounce back than Jacksonville, a team that averages just 284.6 yards and 15.6 points per game. The bottom line is right there in those figures. There Is no way the Jaguars are going to keep up with a New England offense that averages 432.4 yards and 36.1 points per game. This one has “blowout” written all over it.

50 Units
NFL Game Of Week
Bengals (+3½) over Steelers
1:00 PM -- Heinz Field

Prediction: Bengals by 6-7
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: CBS Comments: This is a matchup of teams headed in opposite directions. Cincinnati is 5-1 in its last six games while Pittsburgh is 1-4 in its last five. The one thing they do have in common is the fact both need to win their last two games to insure a spot in the playoffs. When Cincinnati and Pittsburgh met the first time this season, the Bengals opened up a 14-3 lead before losing, 24-17, but the latter is a much better team right now with the emergence of running back Ben-Jarvis Green-Ellis has gone over 100 yards rushing in the team’s last four wins. And then there is the issue of trouble in paradise. Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger finally boiled over last week and said many negative things about the team’s new offense under first-year offensive coordinator Todd Haley. He later said he didn’t mean those things but he did. I pointed out two weeks ago it was quite obvious Roethlisberger had lost all confidence in his offensive line and the team’s running game and for the first time in his career was looking over his shoulder and playing scared. That situation does not bode well for Pittsburgh when playing a very physical Bengals team

15 Units
Seahawks (-1) over 49ers
8:20 PM -- CenturyLink Field

Prediction: Seahawks by 7
Starting Time: 8:20 TV: NBC Comments: There are many handicapping elements in play here but three outweigh all the rest. First of all nobody is playing better right now that the Seahawks who in their last two games won 50-7 at Buffalo and at home 58-0 over Arizona. It does not get better than that on offense and signals Seattle has become the complete team, one with a high-octane offense to go with a lockdown defense that gives up just 277.5 yards and 11.5 points per game at home. Then there is the issue of San Francisco being in a negative bounce mode, coming off last week’s giant upset win at New England, 41-34. The figures suggest the 49ers will have to play that well again to beat Seattle and teams in negative bounce form can seldom do that. When these teams played the first time this season, on October 18, in San Francisco, the 49ers were 7 ½ point favorites and won, 13-6.Seattle is a much better team now and rookie quarterback Russell Wilson is at the top of his game, and has thrown 11 touchdowns with but one interception in his last six games. Seattle is 6-0 at home and will be the best team one the field today.

10 Units
Titans (+12½) over Packers
1:00 PM -- Lambeau Field

Prediction: Packers by 7-9
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: CBS Comments: There is little doubt in my mind Green Bay will win this game but the cover is very much in doubt. First of all, the Packers are in the playoffs but are still playing for a first round bye and home field advantage and in the second game of the post-season. To do that they almost have to win in this spot today and next week at Minnesota. In my handicapping world this opens up this game, which will be played in bitter cold and with a foot of snow on the ground, to the back-door cover. I look for Green Bay to put the game away and then let up the rest of the way in order to have some extra gas in the tank when they meet the Vikings.

10 Units
Rams (+3) over Buccaneers
1:00 PM -- Raymond James Stadium

Prediction: Rams by -7
Starting Time: 1:05 TV: FOX Comments: As unlikely as it might sound the St. Louis Rams are still alive for a spot In the playoffs and will most certainly bring their “A” game in this one. The Rams had no answers for Minnesota’s Adrian Peterson and lost to the Vikings, 36-22, but today face a far less formidable opponent. Tampa Bay peaked early this season, getting off to a 6-4 start, but has since lost four straight. The St. Louis duo of quarterback Sam Bradford and running back Steven Jackson are primed to play their best games of the season today and that should get it done. It also is a major boost for St. Louis that Bucs quarterback Josh Freeman has come unglued and has completed less than 50% of his passes in his last three games—a figure that will alone get a team buried in the NFL.

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5Lines


Total Line for 12/23/2012
(Won last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Philadelphia 76ers : o186.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 12/23/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Utah Jazz : -2
Cost: -110

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Jimmy Boyd 12/23
5* (NBA) Brooklyn Nets -5.5
5* (NFL) Cincinnati Bengals +3.5

4* (CBB) Northern Iowa +2.5
4* (NFL) Seattle Seahawks +1.5

3* (NFL) Kansas City Chiefs +7

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Sixth Sense
Over Dallas

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Magnum Marc 12/23
Colts -5.5
Packers -10.5
Pats -14
Steelers -3
Saints +1
Saints over 52
Bears -6.5
Browns +13
Giants -1

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Jack Jones
15* Nets-5.5, Dallas -2.5, Texans -7.5, Bears -5, Seattle +1
25* Pitt -3

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Mark Franco

49ers / Seahawks Over 38.5

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4 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs - COLTS -6.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 4.36 units to win 4.00 units) The Colts enter this week's game 9-5 and a win will get them into the post season with a Wild Card spot. Indianapolis is 3-4 on the road this year and are coming off a road loss in Houston, but they had won 3 straight games prior to that loss and 7 of 8. The Kansas City Chiefs are 2-12 on the season and just 1-6 at home this year. They've lost two straight games since a 27-21 victory over Carolina, scoring just 7 points in a 30-7 loss @ Cleveland and then being shut out in a 15-0 loss in Oakland. The Chiefs have lost 10 of their last 11 games overall. Indy ranks 9th overall in the NFL on offense and are averaging 22.1 ppg, while the Chiefs rank 25th and are scoring a league worst 13.9 ppg. Kansas City has put up single digits in 5 of their last 10 games, and have scored over the 16 points just once in those 10 games. Defensively the Chiefs rank 18th and are giving up 26.2 papg, and the Colts are ranked 21st giving up 25.6 papg. Take note that the Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 following a loss. The Chiefs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs AFC opponents. Indianapolis has only won 2 games by 7+ points this year, but I think there is a good chance they make it their 3rd this week facing the leagues worst scoring team. The Colts need a win to secure a playoff spot and they don't want to go into Week 17 needing a victory. Look for the Colts to come out big and take care of business against a bad Chiefs team.
*4 UNIT = Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles - REDSKINS -4.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 4.36 units to win 4.00 units)
The line has moved up to -6 in most places since Redskins QB Robert Griffin III is now probably for Sunday's game. The Redskins are 8-6 on the season and can get into the playoffs by winning out in Week 16 and 17. They are 4-3 on the road and have won 5 straight games entering Sunday's meeting with the Eagles. Wins have come against Cleveland, Baltimore, New York Giants, Dallas, and Philadelphia. The win over Philly came in Washington in November winning 31-6 as 3.5 point favorites. Philadelphia had won their two meetings last season, but this is a different Eagles team. Philadelphia is just 4-10 on the year and 2-5 at home. They are also just 3-10-1 ATS this season. Although they have 4 wins, they started the season 3-1 and have since gone 1-9. Their latest was a 34-13 loss last Thursday vs Cincinnati at home. Also note that their 4 wins have come by a combined 6 points, and this Eagles team could be 0-14 right now. Washington ranks 4th in the NFL on offense and are averaging 27.2 ppg, while the Eagles rank 15th but are averaging just 18.1 ppg (putting them ahead of just 3 teams). It looks like rookie RG3 will be starting Sunday and he has had an amazing rookie season completing 66.4% of his passes for 18 TDs and just 4 INTs for a 104.2 QB Rating. He has also added 748 yards on the ground with 6 rushing TDs. The Eagles will go with Nick Foles as their QB who is completing 59.4% of his passes with 5 TDs and 4 INTs for a 77.6 QB Rating. Note that while Philadelphia ranks 16th in defense compared to the Redskins who are 29th, the Eagles are giving up 26.8 papg while Washington is giving up 25 papg. Also note that the Redskins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 divisional games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double digit loss at home. Also take note that Washington has done well in Philadelphia covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Philly. Philadelphia will have troubles stopping Washington's offense and I can't see the Eagles keeping this tight as they have shown no motivation lately. Take the Redskins for a 4 unit play.

2 UNIT = Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins - DOLPHINS -4 (-104)
(Note: I'm risking 2.08 units to win 2.00 units)
The Bills will travel to Miami to take on the Dolphins after an embarrassing 50-17 loss in Toronto vs the Seahawks. The loss dropped the Bills to 5-9 on the season and they are just 2-5 on the road. They've lost two straight (Seattle and St Louis) and 6 of their last 8 games overall. One of those two wins was a 19-14 victory at home over Miami, but Buffalo hasn't looked good scoring 20+ points just once in their last 5 games. The Dolphins started off the season well and looked like they might be surprising everyone battling for a playoff spot late, but they've dropped 5 of 7 to fall to 6-8 on the year. The Dolphins are a solid 4-3 at home this year though. They are coming off a 24-3 victory over Jacksonville as 7.5 point favorites. Neither the Dolphins or Bills have had much success offensively this season with the Bills ranking 20th and the Dolphins 27th, but Miami has been much better defensively than the Bills. Miami ranks 17th in the league and are giving up just 19.9 papg while the Bills are ranked 24th and giving up a high 28.7 papg. The Bills won their first meeting this season, but the Dolphins won both last year including a 35-8 final score in Miami. Note that the Bills are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 December games. The Dolphins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs AFC opponents, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs divisional opponents, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 December games. When these two teams meet the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings Neither team has been impressive as of late, but the Dolphins are coming off a convincing home win and their defense should be able to help them win and cover vs the Bills at home.
2 UNIT = Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers - BENGALS +4 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)
This divisional game between the Bengals and Steelers will feel like a playoff game as both teams are battling for the playoffs. The Steelers need to win out in order to grab a Wild Card spot, as they would hold the head-to-head edge over Cincinnati as they beat them 24-17 earlier this season in Cincinnati. The Bengals enter the game 8-6 overall but a very solid 5-2 on the road. They have won 5 of their last 6 games including an impressive performance in a 34-13 road victory in Philadelphia on Thursday night. Their lone loss during that stretch was a 20-19 loss vs Dallas where they lead for most of the game but gave it up late. The Steelers are 7-7 on the year and 4-2 at home. Pittsburgh has lost 4 of their last 5 games with losses to Baltimore, Cleveland, San Diego, and an overtime loss to Dallas last weekend. They are just 5-8-1 ATS this season and 2-7 ATS in games they've been favored. The Bengals are averaging almost 4 more ppg than the Steelers, and although the Steelers defense is #1 overall the Bengals are actually giving up just 0.1 papg than Pittsburgh. Note that Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a win. The Steelers are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs AFC opponents, and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Being basically a must win for both teams I think we will see a tight game, and I will take the Bengals and the points.
2 UNIT = San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks - SEAHAWKS +1 (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.12 units to win 2.00 units)
This is a big divisional game and possibly an eventual playoff match up as the 49ers enter this game 10-3-1 while the Seahawks are 9-5. San Francisco is 5-2 on the road, and are coming off a huge 41-34 win vs the Patriots in New England on Sunday night. The 49ers lead big and almost gave up a huge lead, but ended up holding off Brady and the Pats. The 49ers have won 4 of their last 5 games being led now by QB Colin Kaepernick who has been solid with a 7:2 TD:INT ratio and a 101.4 QB Rating. The Seahawks are a perfect 6-0 at home this year and are also playing great football lately, winning 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. Their last two victories have been by a combined score of 108-17, and they've put up 21+ points in 7 straight games. Rookie QB Russell Wilson is leading the charge with 21 TDs, 9 INTs, and a 95.5 QB Rating, while adding 402 yards on the ground and 3 TDs. These two teams are very comparable on both offense and defense, both ranking in the mid to upper rankings on offense and being #2 and #3 on defense. They are both allowing 15.6 papg putting them a tie for first in the league in that category. The 49ers won 13-6 in their first meeting earlier this year in San Francisco, but things will be much different in Seattle as the Seahawks have one of the best (if not the best) home field advantage in the NFL. The Seahawks are an amazing 40-19-2 ATS in their last 61 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs divisional opponents. This will be the first real big test for 49ers QB Kaepernick and although I'm sure he will do OK, I think the Seahawks stay unbeaten at home this year with a big divisional victory. I'll take the Seahawks +1.
Let's get it this week, Kevin
NFLBettingPicks

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Inside Sports Report

5* Wa/Phil over

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RAS

827
Miss Valley state +10

830
Georgia Southern +3

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Betting Line Moves NCAAB 12/23
814. northwestern -13

827. miss valley state +10

830. georgia southern +3

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Andy Iskoe

Dallas -2.5

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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks December 23, 2012 6:34 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Green Bay Packers -13

Jacksonville Jaguars +14½

Kansas City Chiefs +7

New Orleans Saints on the Money Line

Philadelphia Eagles +6½

St. Louis Rams +3

New York Giants -2½

Houston Texans -7½

Denver Broncos -12½

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CHRIS JORDAN 500*

Broncos -12

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lenny stevens

20 giants redskins
10 cowboys colts browns

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Alatex

20* Seahawks

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sportstrack

cleveland browns

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Best Weekend wagers with Weekend Warrior December 23, 2012 6:37 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

New England Patriots -14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3

Arizona Cardinals +6½

NCAA Basketball

Northwestern -13½

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Erin Rynning
20 Total Dominator philly- over

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Dr. Ed Meyer | NFL Total Sun, 12/23/12 - 1:00 PM
triple-dime bet 117 WAS / 118 PHI OVER 45.0 5dimes
Analysis:
No matter how good or bad the Eagles are, they have one OU trend that has persisted. Philadelphia is now 18-0 OU after a game in which they scored fewer than 23 points as an underdog. The SDQL text is:
p:points<23 and p:D and team=Eagles and 20051201<=date
This trend was published in the 2012 KillerSports NFL Handicapping Bible and it has gone 4-0 OU this season. In the last active date, the Cowboys beat the Eagles 38-33 with the OU line at 45.
Also, the Eagles have played very aggressively at home vs a “better” team. Specifically, they are 10-0 OU when they are not off their by‚e and facing a team with more wins. Also, they are 8-0 OU (9.6 ppg) when their opponent is on a 3+ game winning streak. The SDQL is:
team=Eagles and o:streak>=3 and 20091115<=date
The Eagles certainly had a poor offensive showing Thursday-week vs the Bengals. However, the Eagles have not played passively in this spot. They are 8-0 OU (+10.1 ppg) as a dog the week after a game in which they got a first down on less than 25% of their offensive plays.
The Redskins are on a roll -- and it doesn’t seem to matter who their QB is. Washington #8 from LAST SEASON’s Annual states that: “WAS008: The Redskins are 8-0 OU (+11.5 ppg) since 1991 as a road favorite the week after scoring 30+ points.” They are 2-0 OU since its publication, moving them to 10-0 in their spot.
Also, the Redskins qualify for a system that has been perfect for 13 seasons. NFL teams are a combined 13-0 OU during the regular season after week 12 on the road after a road win in which they were trailing at the half, as long as they are not getting two TDs or more. The SDQL is:
week>12 and A and p:AW and 0<p:line and p:M2<0 and REG and line<14 and 19991225<=date
Note that the average OU margin is plus 15.4 ppg and the last active date was a 35-32 game with the OU line at 38. Take these two OVER.
MTi’s FORECAST: Washington 31 PHILADELPHIA 27

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Northcoast

3'* NYG -1.5
3* Pitt -3 (-120)

marquee: sf under, tenn under

Top Opinions
Dallas -2.5
Under 40.5 SEA / SF
Indy -6
Chi -6.5
Hou -8
STL +3
Under 45 Tenn / GB

Hawaii Bowl (Monday night)
Top Opinions
SMU +12
Over 58.5

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Rocky's Winners Circle


DECEMBER 23
FREE PLAY (152-78-2)

WASHINGTON - EAGLES OVER 46

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Sebass Report for Sunday:
100 Teaser UNDER Cincinnati and Cleveland
100 Indianapolis
100 UNDER San Francisco
100 New York Giants
100 Philadelphia
200 New Orleans
200 Oakland
100 Phoenix Suns

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KB Hoops

10 units Seattle Seahawks PK **MAX POD**
5 units NY Giants -1.5
5 units Kansas City OVer 41.5
5 units Cleveland +12
5 units Carolina -8.5

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tom stryker

5 Green Bay

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major 1 sports goy
Giants

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Marco D'Angelo | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 23 2012 1:00PM
107 BUFFALO 5.0 (-110) vs 108 MIA double-dime bet

Marco D'Angelo | NFL Total - Sunday, Dec 23 2012 1:00PM
105 OAK / 106 CAR OVER 46.5 triple-dime bet

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Goodfella
2* seahawks ml**

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Texas Insiders: 100* Dallas Cowboys

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Major1 Sports

5* GOY: NYG -2.5
3* SF 49ers +1.5
3* NO Saints +2.5
5* Washington Redskins -6

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SPORTS ONE

LOCK - MINNESOTA

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Dr Bob
Phily
----------
Tenn
Buffalo

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Allen Eastman ACE-ACE

Take #115 New Orleans (+3) over Dallas (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)

Take #117 Washington (-6) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)
411 System

Take #113 Indianapolis (-6.5) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)

Take ‘Under’ 41.5 Buffalo at Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)

Take #110 Pittsburgh (-3.5) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)

Take #127 Chicago (-5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)
411 System

Take ‘Under’ 36.5 Chicago at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 23)

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Goodfella

3 seattle

2 giants m/l
2 dallas m/l
2 cinn

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POWER PLAY WINS

Today's Power Play of The Day

Sport: NFL

Washington Redskins(-6.5)

Game time: 10:00:00 AM (PST)

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

Brutal day yesterday as we lose Rhode Island by 1, Oakland up by 14 clanks countless free throws to win by 2 and Marquette holds off their double-digit lead. Its been a microcosm of the entire year. Just 1 selection today.

3-Unit Play. #816. Take Akron -13.5 over Cleveland State (Sunday @ 2pm est).

Akron faces a Cleveland State team who they are familiar with. Akron lost to this team 69-66 last year and the likely remember that loss coming today. I have Akron as a top 60 ranked school here. Three of the four losses come against top caliber schools such as Creighton, Detroit and Oklahoma State in overtime. When this team faces teams in the top 200 such as Cleveland State they have won by 25 such as against Penn State or 19 against NC Ashville. Plus, Akron has an upperclass laden team with three juniors whereas this year's Cleveland State team is fairly young with three sophomores and two freshman leading the way. This team lost by 34 to St. Bonaventure who is similarly ranked to Akron so I would not be surprised to see Akron win this game by about 20+ this afternoon. The Vikings of Cleveland State are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and the Zips are 10-1 ATS when facing teams with a road winning percentage of less than 40%.

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Harry Bondi

4* NY Giants
3* Pittsburgh
3* Dallas

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Betting Line Moves - NBA 12/23
801. 76ers/nets ov 186 1/2 and
801. First Half 76ers/nets ov 93 1/2

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W/Ratings

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit Cincinnati +4 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-20)

10 unit Dallas -2.5
13 unit Chicago -6
15 unit Seattle -1 (Sunday Night GOY)
16 unit Carolina -8.5 (Blowout of the year)

Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)

10 unit San Diego +2.5
15 unit Buffalo +4.5
25 unit NY Giants -2.5

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Brooklyn (NBA)

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executive
400 % san fran +2.5
300 % houston -7.5

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70% Computer Plays from Swami group
Seattle Seahawks

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Smokeyourbookie
bears
chargers
ravens

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Sports Money Profit Picks for Today:



NFL

#1: Take Buffalo Bills at +5 spread against Miami Dolphins risking 2 units. (1:00 pm)

This line opened at +4 and has since moved up to +5 in many places such as 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/).
If you get this line at +4 or +4.5, they're also fine.


#2: Take NY Giants at -1 spread against Baltimore Ravens risking 2 units. (4:25 pm)

This line can be found at -1.5 as well as pk which is what it opened up as. Any of those are fine.


College Football


No plays today.


NBA

#1: Take Phoenix Suns at +6.5 spread against LA Clippers risking 2 units. (8:05 pm)


What this game boils down to is simply a statistical advantage, nothing more than that. I would be lying if I sat here and told you that the Suns were a better team than the Clippers this season. That could not be any further from the truth. Everyone knows how good the Clippers are and everyone pretty much knows how bad Phoenix has struggled this season with the loss of Steve Nash to the team. The Clippers have won 12 games in a row. They have tied the Thunder for the longest winning streak of the season. But just like the Thunder the other night, the Clippers are at a statistical disadvantage tonight.

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Vegas Runner
3* Jaguars
2* Texans / Eagles teaser

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Teddy Covers Hoops
Colorado St.

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The Duke's Sports

2.5 Units Seattle -1

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Sports bank
500 dallas

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Millionaires club
lock giants
strong kansas city

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Nelly GOY
Houston

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king of the court
over orlando

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. #806. Take Over 187.5 Utah Jazz vs. Orlando Magic (Sunday @ 6:05pm est).

The Magic do not have Glen Davis in this game but that should be fine for the over. I've always believed when a star player is out a team steps up. For example, the report came out that Davis was out after I had released my selection on the Magic the other night at Toronto but they still covered. I wasn't too worried as teams typically do come together when a star is out and the Magic ended up losing by 3 on the 3.5 number. Similar to that, you have a Magic team returning home from a tough loss to Toronto on the road (who is playing well ever since Bargnani called his team out). Combine that with the Jazz nearing the end of their road trip and looking forward to going back home, I wouldn't be surprised to see Orlando win this game and its a decent public fade. But, the Jazz come off a tough loss to the Heat scoring less than 90 points which makes me wary as they ended up losing that game by double-digits. I like the over with the sense that the Jazz have a better offensive output than the sub 90 in their last game and also the Magic as they return home from a loss and have one game underneath their belt without Davis. The line has moved towards the Magic in this game as they have revenge from an earlier season loss to the Jazz. I'd rather take the Over as I think this game the benchmark of this game is the Minnesota contest when the final score was 102-93 (a game in which we took the Magic to win outright) and don't be surprised if this game likely goes over. The first time these two teams met the game went well under in Utah and I believe this game will have a quicker pace to it. The Over is 11-5 for the Jazz on 0 days rest and I like the Jazz to have a better offensive output than their last game and the Magic to hold their own with revenge as well.

Leans: Kings -1 because Cousins is suspended in this game and I think they rally, I laid off only because Portland is playing well now. Also, lean on the Magic with revenge, but thought the Over was the safer play.

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Root
Millionaire - Cardinals
Billionaire - Vikings
No Limit - Eagles
Inner Circle - Bills
Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) - Ravens
Perfect Play - Steelers
Total of the Year - Under Seahawks

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GD West
5 ny giants
1 clev
1 seattle
HSW
NYG and under
Clev and under
Chicago and over
Seattle and over