12-30-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Write-Up

Week 17

Jets (6-9) @ Bills (5-10)-- Gang Green (-3.5) hammered Buffalo 48-28 in season opener, back in happier days for Jets; Bills turned ball four times (-3), gave up an average of 9.9 ypa to NJ offense that is now dysfunctional at best, turning ball over 18 times in last five games (-14, were +1 in first 10 games). McElroy makes first road start here. Buffalo lost three in row, seven of last nine games; they gave up 18 or less points in all five wins (5-1) but are 0-9 allowing more than 18. Can the Jets score 19? They've now beaten Bills six games in row, winning last three here, by 9-24-16 points. Five of seven Buffalo road games went over total; three of last four Jet games stayed under.

Dolphins (7-8) @ Patriots (11-4)-- New England has to play to win, just in case Denver were to get upset by Browns; Patriots (-7.5) beat Dolphins 23-16 back in Week 13, when Miami kicked late FG to cover spread. Patriots won last five series games and nine of last 11, winning last three played here, by 10-31-3; they are 3-4 as home faves this year, winning at home by 10-3-6-35-28 points. 11 of last 13 Patriot games went over the total; five of last seven Miami games stayed under. Miami is 3-3 as road underdog this year, losing away games by 20-3-3-5-14 points- five of its eight losses are by 7 or less points. Favorites are 6-4 vs the spread in AFC East divisional games, 3-3 at home.

Ravens (10-5) @ Bengals (9-6)-- Both teams will play a playoff game next week, would expect banged-up guys to sit out; Ravens (-6) crushed Cincy 44-13 back in season opener, averaging 8.8 ypa, but they've lost five of last seven visits to Queen City (won 24-16 here LY). Bengals won/covered six of last seven games; they won at Pittsburgh LW despite three turnovers, only 14 rushing yards, and allowing Dalton to be sacked six times. Ravens snapped 3-game skid by routing Giants; they're 4-3 on road, with five of seven games decided by three points or less. Home favorites are 1-3-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games. Six of last seven Bengal games stayed under; three of last four Raven games went over.

Texans (12-3) @ Colts (10-5)-- Indy coach Pagano's entrance to field will be an emotional moment, coming back from leukemia, but fact of matter is that Indy's spot in playoffs is set, while Texans need this win to clinch home field in AFC playoffs. Houston (-9) beat Colts 29-17 at home two weeks ago, blocking punt for a score- they had only one offensive TD, and didn't have any vs Vikings LW, in awful 23-6 home loss. Star RB Foster has heart issue, not sure if he plays in this game. AFC South home teams are 3-7 vs spread in divisional games, home dogs are 1-3. Houston is 6-1 on road, with five wins by 6+ points. Three of last four Houston games stayed under; under is 6-3-1 in last ten Indy games. Hard to overlook 352 rushing yards Colts allowed in win at Kansas City last week.

Jaguars (2-13) @ Titans (5-10)—Jax lost 11 of last 12 games, with only win 24-19 (+3) over Tennessee at home five weeks ago; they’re 5-7 in last 12 series games, with series splitting five of last six years; Jaguars lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 7-17-6 points. Titans lost at Jacksonville despite having seven sacks. Three of last five series totals were 33 or less. Jaguars outgained New England 436-349 last week, threw an INT in end zone on last play trying to tie game; they’re 5-2 as road underdogs this year, but lost 34-18/24-3 in last two away games. Tennessee lost 55-7 at Lambeau last week, after winning ugly Monday night games week before; they’re 1-2 vs spread as a favorite this year, 3-4 SU at home, with wins by 3-3-4 points. Home teams are 3-7 vs spread in AFC South divisional games, 2-4 if home favorite. Four of last five Jaguar games, three of last four Titan home games stayed under the total.

Eagles (4-11) @ Giants (8-7)—Giants were putrid last two weeks, getting outgained 927-442, outscored 67-14 in pair of lopsided road losses; they need this win and help to make playoffs. Philly was 3-1 after nipping Giants 19-17 (-2.5) in Week 4, outrushing Big Blue 191-57; they had 10-yard advantage in field position, but had just one TD, three FGs in four red zone drives. Roof has fallen in on Eagles since; they’ve lost 10 of last 11 games, still have no wins by more than two points, with seven of last eight losses by 7+ points. With Foles breaking hand, Vick expected to start, which amounts to audition for whatever team sings him next spring. Iggles have now won eight of last nine games with Giants—they won last five visits here, winning by 6-19-7-7-7 points. Five of last seven series totals were 44+. NFC East home teams are 2-8 vs spread in divisional games, 1-5 if favored. Giants won five of last six home games, scoring 90 points in winning last two (Packers/Saints).

Bears (9-6) @ Lions (4-11)—Chicago scored two defensive TDs in easy win at Arizona last week, week after Lions gave up two defensive scores in 38-10 loss in desert, Cardinals’ only win in their last 11 games. It was just second win in last seven games for Bears, who held off Detroit 13-7 (-6.5) back in Week 7, outrushing Lions 171-99; they were saved by four takeaways (+4), as Lions scored only seven points in four trips to Chicago red zone. Series has been swept seven of last eight year, with Chicago 5-2 in last seven visits here. Bears are 4-3 on road, with all four wins by 16+ points; they’re 2-1 as road favorites this year, 8-3-1 since 2008. Detroit lost its last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread) despite Johnson setting single season record for receiving yards; they’ve lost last four home games, with three of four losses by 4 or less points. NFC North home underdogs are 2-2 vs spread in divisional games; NFL-wide, divisional home dogs are 16-19-1 vs spread. Five of Bears’ last six road games went over the total, as did six of last nine Detroit games.

Buccaneers (6-9) @ Falcons (13-2)—Atlanta has #1 seed in NFC wrapped up, would expect banged-up guys to be held out; Bucs lost last five games (0-4-1 vs spread), as friction between players/coaches has been reported. First of those five straight losses was Falcons’ 24-23 win (-1) in Tampa in Week 12, when Ryan passed for 345 yards (10.5 ypa) and Atlanta survived -2 turnover ratio. Falcons are 7-0 at home this year, 4-3 as favorites, with wins by 6-2-3-6-4-10-34 points. Bucs are 4-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 7-6-8-41 points (3-4 SU on road, but lost last two). Tampa Bay has one offensive TD, 10 turnovers on 23 drives in last two games, as Freeman was picked eight times- they were outscored 48-6 in first half of last three games. NFC South home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in divisional games, with home favorites 2-1. Five of last six games for both teams stayed under the total.

Panthers (6-9) @ Saints (7-8)—Carolina won four of last five games after 2-8 start; Saints have shot at finishing 8-8 after 0-4 start, which included a 35-27 loss (-2.5) in Charlotte in Week 2, in wild game (Saints outgained Carolina 486-463) that was Panthers’ first win in last five series games- they lost last three visits here, by 10-2-28 points. After going 0-12 on third down in 36-14 loss to Denver in Week 10, Panthers have converted 43-83 (51.8%) over last six games, as Newton’s mobility allows them to move chains. Carolina is 6-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, 4-0 on road; dogs are 10-5 vs spread overall in their ’12 games. Saints scored 41-34 points in winning last two games; they won four of last five home games after losing first two, scoring 30.4 ppg in last five- they’re 3-2 as home favorite this year. NFC South home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in divisional games, 2-1 if favored. Four of last six Carolina road games, five of Saints’ last seven games went over the total.

Browns (5-10) @ Steelers (7-8)—Pittsburgh in rare spot as also-ran here; they’ve lost three in row and five of last six games- seven of their last eight games were decided by six or less points (3-5). Steelers (-1.5) turned ball over eight times with Batch at QB in hideous 20-14 loss on Lake Erie in Week 12, just their 2nd loss in last 18 games vs Cleveland; Browns outrushed them 108-49, started five drives (scored 17 points) in Steeler territory. Cleveland lost its last eight visits here, with seven of the eight by 11+ points. Browns are 2-4 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 7-7-14-4-3-22 points, with a win at Oakland. Steelers lost last three home games; they’ve been held under 100 rushing yards in last five games. Pitt has six sacks, three takeaways last week, still lost tough game to Bengals. Home teams are 3-5-2 vs spread in AFC North divisional games, 1-3-1 if favored. Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland games, 1-3 in last four Steeler games.

Packers (11-4) @ Vikings (9-6)—Both teams need this win; Pack for home field/bye in playoffs, Vikings just to get in tournament. Green Bay (-8) beat Vikings 23-14 at home four weeks ago at Lambeau, despite Minnesota running ball for 240 yards- they’ve now won last five series games, and 10 of last 13. Series has been swept in seven of last eight years; Pack won four of last six visits here, winning 31-3/33-27 last two years. Green Bay won nine of last 10 games overall, four of last five on road since losing to emotional Colts in Week 6, when they blew 21-3 halftime lead; they’ve covered last six games when favored. Vikings won/covered all three games since Lambeau loss, running ball for 558 yards, as Peterson chases Dickerson’s single-season rushing mark; they’re 6-1 at home this year, losing only to Bucs in Thursday night game, 6-3 as underdogs. NFC North underdogs are 5-3-2 in divisional play, 2-2-1 if at home. Five of last six Green Bay games, four of last five Viking games stayed under the total.

Chiefs (2-13) @ Broncos (12-3)— Broncos need win for first round bye in playoffs, which is huge; Denver (-10) had only TD/FG in four red zone drives in 17-9 win at Arrowhead in Week 12- Chiefs outrushed them 148-95, but passed for only 116 yards. Broncos won last five home games, by 31-20-7-8-22 points; they’ve covered seven of last nine games overall, all as favorites. Nightmare of season ends here for Chiefs, with housecleaning likely to follow; KC is 2-5 vs spread on road this year- they’ve lost last three weeks by 23-15-7 points, outscored 32-10 in first half of those three games. Chiefs’ only two TDs on last 33 drives both came on 80+-yard runs by Charles, on the first play of a half. AFC West favorites are 6-4 vs spread in divisional play, 3-3 at home. Six of last seven KC games stayed under total; six of last eight Bronco games went over. This guy Mike McCoy, Denver’s OC? He has easiest job in America, because #18 does it for him.

Raiders (4-11) @ Chargers (6-9)—Carson Palmer is out here; either Leinart or Pryor (or both) get nod here, vs underachieving Charger team likely playing last game for Norv Turner. San Diego (-1.5) opened season with 22-14 win at Oakland, in game where Bolts had a ridiculous 25-yard edge in field position, but only scored one TD (and four FGs) in five red zone drives- it was fourth straight series win for the road team, with San Diego winning 12 of last 15 overall. Oakland won last two visits here, 28-13/24-17, after losing previous seven trips in. Raiders lost seven of last eight games, with only win vs dreadful Chiefs; they’re 2-5 vs spread on road, losing last three away games by average score of 35-12. San Diego lost five of last seven games, with both wins in eastern time zone; they lost last three home games, scoring total of 33 points. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in AFC West divisional games, 3-3 at home. Last five Raider games, last three San Diego home games stayed under the total.

Cardinals (5-10) @ 49ers (10-4-1)—Things could get ugly at Candlestick, where 49ers need to win in case Minnesota upsets the Packers; Niners (-7) waxed Redbirds 24-3 in Glendale in Week 8, holding Arizona to 7 yards rushing and 4.6 ypa. Series has been swept seven of last eight years; Cardinals lost last three visits here, by combined score of 85-23. Cardinals lost 11 of last 12 games; they gained total of 196 yards in the only win; they’re 3-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 14-7-14-4-1-58 points (they won at Foxboro in Week 2)- none of their QBs are capable of moving ball here. SF is off pair of tough road games- they allowed 31 points in second half at Foxboro, then 28 in first half at Seattle last week- underdogs are 5-2 vs spread when 49ers allow 20+ points, 2-6 when they don’t. Home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in NFC West divisional games, 2-2-1 if favored. Four of last five Arizona games, six of last seven 49ers games went over the total.

Rams (7-7-1) @ Seahawks (10-5)—Seattle is 7-0 at home this year, 4-0 as home favorite; they were underdog in first three home games this year- Hawks won last three at home by combined score of 128-20 (43-7 average). That said, Seahawks lost 19-13 (-2.5) at St Louis in Week 4, when Rams had three picks (+2), held Seahawks to 2-9 on 3rd down conversions and a TD/two FG on three red zone drives. That was just Rams’ second win in last 15 series games; they’ve lost last seven visits here, with six of seven losses by 10+ points. St Louis is 7-0 this season when they don’t lose turnover battle; they’re 4-0-1 SU in divisional games, tying Niners in Candlestick as 12-point dogs in Week 10- they’re 6-1 vs spread in true road games, losing away games by 4-17-3 points (won last three on road SU). Three of last four Ram games stayed under total; Seattle’s last five games went over. Rams covered last six games that stayed under, are 4-4 vs spread if game goes over.

Cowboys (8-7) @ Redskins (9-6)—Winner here takes NFC East title, which Washington hasn’t won since ’99; Skins won/covered last six games, including 38-31 (+3) at Dallas on Thanksgiving, when they outrushed Pokes 142-35, had three takeaways to offset Dallas’ 423 passing yards. Dallas won six of last eight series games, with five of last six series wins by 4 or less points- they’ve won three of last four played here, with average total in last five, 29. Last four Dallas games were all decided by 5 or less points; they’ve scored average of 21.6 points just in second half of their last seven games, as Romo-Bryant combo has clicked often. Cowboys are 5-2 vs spread on road, winning three of last four SU. Redskins won/covered last six games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Despite playing with two rookie QBs, Washington has had only two games this year where they’ve been minus in turnovers (+14). Four of last five games for both teams went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 17

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 17's action.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-1, 41)

These two AFC North rivals could do it all again next week in the conference wildcard game. If Baltimore wins and the Patriots lose to the Dolphins, then the Ravens would host the Bengals in the first round. If they lose, they play the Indianapolis Colts to open the postseason. Baltimore will be looking to rest its starters and protect injured players. Cincinnati is also locked into a postseason spot but will likely try to finish the year with some momentum. The Bengals fell to the Ravens in Week 1, 44-13 as 7-point road underdogs. However, they have managed to go 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games with Baltimore.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (N/A)

Cleveland is banged up heading into this finale. Running back Trent Richardson is nursing a bum ankle and quarterbacks Brandon Weeden and Colt McCoy are both dealing with shoulder injuries. All three are questionable for Week 17. Pittsburgh missed the playoff bus after a loss to Cincinnati last week. The Steelers say they want to finish the season strong and avoid a losing record for the first time since 2003. Pittsburgh is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven meetings with Cleveland, including a 20-14 loss as 1-point road favorites in Week 12.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (+7, 46.5)

Houston is skidding at the wrong time. The Texans have lost two of their last three and home-field advantage in the postseason hangs by a string versus Indianapolis. If Houston losses, it could fall as far back as third in the AFC and lose that home edge. Running back Arian Foster is expected to play after leaving with an irregular heartbeat last week. The Colts have clinched the fifth seed in the AFC and will welcome head coach Chuck Pagano back to the sidelines after his battle with leukemia. The home team has covered in each of the past five meetings between these AFC South rivals.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-4, 41.5)

Could the tank be on with Jacksonville? If the Jaguars lose and Kansas City falls to Denver, the Jags would be guaranteed the No. 2 pick in the upcoming draft. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is not expected to suit up for the finale. Tennessee’s front office could be singing for their supper in Week 17. The Titans brass is pointing the finger at head coach Mike Munchak, GM Ruston Webster and COO Mike Reinfeldt and asking what went wrong this year. Going out on a winning note wouldn’t hurt. The Jaguars have covered in each of the past four meeting with the Titans, including a 24-19 win in Week 12.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-7.5, 45.5)

New York not only needs to win to make the playoffs but also needs Dallas, Chicago and Minnesota to lose in Week 17. The Giants have been outscored 67-14 in the last two games, however, those came on the road. New York is averaging 33.7 points at home and can break the franchise home scoring mark if they score at least 13 points Sunday. The Eagles nearly played spoiler to Washington last week and already have a win over the Giants – a 19-17 victory in Week 4. QB Michael Vick returns under center for Philadelphia after Nick Foles broke his hand in Week 16.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 39)

Jets head coach Rex Ryan said he would use the final contests as a chance to evaluate younger players for next season. The thing is, Ryan may not be around to see those talents in 2013. QB Mark Sanchez will get the start over an injured Greg McIlroy and RB Shonn Greene is trying to add a 1,000-yard rushing season to his free-agent resume. Buffalo desperately needs to end the year on a high note after losing three straight. Head coach Chan Gailey says he doesn’t plan on turning to his reserves in Week 17 and will roll out his usual lineup. New York is 5-1 in its last six meetings with Buffalo.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (+3, 44.5)

Chicago needs to win and hope Minnesota loses to Green Bay in order to make the postseason cut. The Bears may also be playing for head coach Lovie Smith’s job. Chicago appeared locked into a high postseason seed before losing six of its last seven games (2-5 ATS). Jay Cutler needs to put the team on his back. The Bears have passed for fewer than 150 yards in six of their last 10 games. Detroit could roll over for Chicago in hopes of bettering its draft position. A Week 17 loss could translate in a third-overall selection. And with Calvin Johnson breaking the single-season receiving record last week, the Lions have little motivation.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (N/A)

Atlanta has already locked up the top seed in the NFC and could choose to rest its starters in a meaningless Week 17 game. However, momentum could be very important to the Falcons, who have flopped in the postseason in past years. Tampa Bay looked like a playoff sleeper at times this season but folded down the home stretch, losing five in a row. QB Josh Freeman is a big reason for that slide, throwing eight interceptions in his last two games. Head coach Greg Schiano is aiming to go out on a positive note, so expect the Bucs to give everything they have left.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-5, 54)

Carolina is the hottest team in the NFL in recent weeks, bringing a three-game SU and ATS winning streaking into the season finale. QB Cam Newton has compiled 688 passing yards, 183 yards rushing and seven combined touchdowns in that span. The Saints aren’t going to the postseason for the first time since 2008 but won’t lie down in the finale. Interim head coach Joe Vitt - always one to go for it – says Week 17 is a precursor to the 2013 season. New Orleans has been dismal ATS at home versus Carolina, going just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home tilts with the Panthers.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (-16, 42)

Denver is playing for the first-round bye Sunday and could even clinch home-field advantage through the AFC playoffs if Houston losses to Indianapolis. The last five times the Broncos earned home field through the postseason, they went to the Super Bowl in four of those seasons. Kansas City just wants to get this season over with. Head coach Romeo Crennel and GM Scott Pioli are gone following Week 17. Kansas City, however is 5-2 ATS in its last seven Week 17 contests.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (N/A)

This is expected to be Norv Turner’s final game as the Bolts head coach with rumors of his dismissal swirling about for the majority of the season. RBs Ryan Matthews and Ronnie Brown are both injured so expect a lot of air time for Philip Rivers and the passing attack. Oakland won’t have QB Carson Palmer in Week 17 after he injured his chest. The Raiders turn the snaps over to backups Matt Leinart and Terrelle Pryor and will look to RB Darren McFadden to shoulder the load on offense. Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings with San Diego.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-16.5, 39.5)

The Niners, who need a win to clinch the NFC West, not only took one on the chin from the Seahawks in Week 16 but also lost one of their biggest weapons in the passing game. WR Mario Manningham is out for the year with a knee injury. San Francisco could go with a ground-heavy attack, pitting their fourth-ranked rushing attack versus Arizona’s 28th-ranked run defense. The Cardinals are poised for a fire sale this offseason and many players may be competing for their jobs this week. Surprisingly, Arizona is the best bet in Week 17, going 8-3 ATS in the season finale since 2001.

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5, 41)

The Seahawks are in the postseason but can clinch the NFC West title with a victory over St. Louis and a loss for the 49ers. Seattle is coming off an impressive beating of San Francisco at home in Week 16, improving to 7-0 SU and ATS inside CenturyLink Field. The Rams haven’t been great on the road and now visit the toughest venue in the NFL. St. Louis is winless in its last seven trips to Seattle and has been outscored 199-76 in those games. The Rams are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall with the Seahawks. St. Louis is 4-0-1 SU and 5-0 ATS versus NFC West rivals this season.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+3.5, 46)

Adrian Peterson’s pursuit of the single-season rushing record is on the back burner with the Vikings’ playoff hopes resting on a win at home in Week 17. Minnesota, which has won three in a row SU and ATS, has lost five straight meetings with Green Bay (1-4 ATS). The Packers clinched the NFC North title but can earn the No. 2 seed in the conference with a win in the finale. That bye week could be crucial for a banged-up roster. The Packers could have WR Jordy Nelson back in action this weekend.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10, 46)

The Patriots are cheering for the Colts and Chiefs Sunday, as a win over Miami and a Houston loss would end up giving New England the AFC’s No. 1 seed and a Denver loss would insure the No. 2 seed. Bill Belichick may want to run up the score early in order to give his starters some down time before the postseason. Miami has lost five in a row to New England (2-3 ATS) and has been dismal on the road this year. The Dolphins are 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS away from Miami and now travel to chilly Gillette Stadium, where the temperatures will dip below 20 degrees with a chance of snow Sunday.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-3.5, 48)

These NFC East rivals play for all the marbles Sunday night. A win by either team earns the division crowns and a postseason ticket. Dallas had a three-game winning streak snapped in an overtime loss to New Orleans Sunday while Washington extended its successful stretch to 6-0 SU and ATS since a bye in Week 10. The Cowboys not only fight a classic rival but also the elements Sunday. The temperature is expected to be in the low 30s in D.C. and Dallas is just 4-11 SU in games played in sub-40 degree weather over the past 20 seasons. The Redskins defeated the Cowboys on Thanksgiving and have covered in five straight games versus “America’s Team”.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 17
By JASON LOGAN

Each week we take a look at some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL in order to find hidden betting value. Here are three mismatches you may not have considered when capping the Week 17 board:

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-5, 54)

Panthers’ QB Cam Newton vs. Saints’ susceptibility to dual-threats

Cam Newton had a big part in the Saints’ dismal start to the season. He combined for 324 yards and two touchdowns in Carolina’s 35-27 win over New Orleans in Week 2. That QB combo of pass and run has plagued the Saints, watching dual-threats like Robert Griffin III, Michael Vick, Colin Kaepernick and Newton do damage through the air and on the ground. Newton is red-hot heading into Week 17, helping the Panthers win three in a row SU and ATS. He’s compiled 871 total yards and seven combined touchdowns during that span.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (+7, 46.5)

Texan’s tumble vs. Inspired Colts

The Colts shocked the world, not only making the playoffs following a two-win season but also doing so without their head coach and emotional leader on the sidelines for most of the year. Indianapolis coach Chuck Pagano is set to return this weekend for the first time since being diagnosed and treated for leukemia on September 26. That peak in emotion is a stark contrast to the mood in Houston right now. The Texans have lost two of their last three games and could find themselves sliding as far back to No. 3 in the AFC if they lose to a jacked-up Colts squad Sunday.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-3.5, 48)

Cowboys’ climate control vs. Washington winter

Despite the recent dump of snow and ice in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, the Cowboys are not used to the winter weather. Head coach Jason Garrett was forced to bring practice inside this week due to the conditions, but admittedly wanted to play outside to prepare his players for the environment they’re expected to face at FedEx Field Sunday night. The forecast in D.C. is calling for temperatures in the low 30s. Dallas is just 4-11 SU when playing in sub-40 degree weather over the past 20 years. Its last SU win in the cold was a 17-0 road victory over Washington as 7-point favorites in Week 16 2009. The thermometer read 37 degrees that Sunday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks

Dallas at Washington

The Redskins look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games against Dallas. Washington is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Redskins favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30
Time Posted: 12:00 p.m. EST (12/26)


Game 301-302: NY Jets at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 126.929; Buffalo 126.993
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+3 1/2); Over


Game 303-304: Miami at New England (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 133.093; New England 145.612
Dunkel Line: New England by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: New England by 10; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10); Under


Game 305-306: Baltimore at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.262; Cincinnati 136.088
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Over


Game 307-308: Cleveland at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.481; Pittsburgh 133.167
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 309-310: Houston at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 136.397; Indianapolis 128.003
Dunkel Line: Houston by 8 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Under


Game 311-312: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 119.324; Tennessee 128.863
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Over


Game 313-314: Philadelphia at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 126.476; NY Giants 130.988
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7 1/2); Over


Game 315-316: Dallas at Washington (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.004; Washington 138.157
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3); Under


Game 317-318: Chicago at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.177; Detroit 132.120
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 48
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Over


Game 319-320: Green Bay at Minnesota (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.563; Minnesota 132.130
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Under


Game 321-322: Tampa Bay at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 123.549; Atlanta 140.547
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 17; 38
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 323-324: Carolina at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 136.370; New Orleans 132.828
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+5 1/2); Over


Game 325-326: Kansas City at Denver (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 122.574; Denver 137.006
Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 17; 42
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+17); Over


Game 327-328: Oakland at San Diego (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 121.503; San Diego 137.082
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 15 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 329-330: Arizona at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 125.599; San Francisco 139.614
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 14; 43
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 17; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+17); Over


Game 331-332: St. Louis at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 127.510; Seattle 149.603
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 22; 37
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 17 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 139-88 (.612)
ATS: 111-123 (.474)
ATS Vary Units: 462-647 (.417)
Over/Under: 112-124 (.475)
Over/Under Vary Units: 406-388 (.511)

Sunday, December 30, 2012
ATLANTA 35, Tampa Bay 15
BUFFALO 23, N.Y. Jets 19
CINCINNATI 23, Baltimore 19
Chicago 24, DETROIT 21
TENNESSEE 26, Jacksonville 17
Houston 24, INDIANAPOLIS 22
MINNESOTA 25, Green Bay 23
NEW ENGLAND 29, Miami 17
NEW ORLEANS 30, Carolina 23
N.Y. GIANTS 32, Philadelphia 19
PITTSBURGH 21, Cleveland 15
WASHINGTON 33, Dallas 24
SAN DIEGO 27, Oakland 16
SAN FRANCISCO 32, Arizona 9
SEATTLE 28, St. Louis 13
DENVER 32, Kansas City 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Early Bird - Chicago / Detroit Over 44.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc

Week 16

( Hot Games To Bet: Dallas +3.5, St. Louis +10.5, and Detroit +3 )

Detroit - +3 - 5% Of Bankroll

Baltimore - +1 - 5% Of Bankroll

St. Louis - +10.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

New England - -10 - 5% Of Bankroll

Tampa Bay - ( Pending ) - 5% Of Bankroll

Kansas City - +16 - 5% Of Bankroll

Dallas - +3.5 - 5% Of Bankroll

WEEK 16 ( 4-9-1 )
WEEK 15 ( 6-5 )
WEEK 14 ( 7-4 )
WEEK 13 ( 6-3-1 )
WEEK 12 ( 5-3-2 )
WEEK 11 ( 5-4 )
WEEK 10 ( 7-3 )
WEEK 9 ( 2-4 )
WEEK 8 ( 8-1 )
WEEK 7 ( 4-4 )
WEEK 6 ( 4-0 )
WEEK 5 ( 3-5 )
WEEK 4 ( 5-2 )
WEEK 3 ( 3-3 )

Grand Total ( 69 - 50 - 4 )
Total Winning % Before Week 17 = +117.5%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Biosports

NFL 51-33 61% YTD

Since it's week 17, things can be kinda weird. So all, but listed in order of value from.

NE Patriots -10

SF 49ers -16.5

Washington Redskins -3.5

GB Packers -3.5

Philadelphia Eagles +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Big Ticket Sunday! Mega-Shocker: Wrong Team Favored!

20* Indianapolis Colts

100% Perfect NFL Run: Patriots - Dolphins Mega-Moneymaker!

10* Miami Dolphins

Teddy's Sunday Night TV Total: Cowboys @ Redskins $$$

10* OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTERS

Winning Points

Best Bets
Houston Texans
GB Packers

Preferred
Carolina Panthers
St. Louis Rams

Sports Reporter

Best Bets
SD Chargers
Carolina Panthers
Seattle Seahawks

Nelly's Green Sheet

Rating's 5 to 1
RATING 5 DALLAS (+3)
RATING 4 SAN FRANCISCO (-15)
RATING 3 PHILADELPHIA (+9)
RATING 2 NY JETS (+3)
RATING 1 JACKSONVILLE (+4)

CKO

Priority Picks
11* Seattle Seahawks
10* Dallas Cowboys

Gold Sheet

Key Releases
NE Patriots
SF 49ers
OVER - Cowboys/ Redskins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus Free Pick : Bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Wash

3* Cincy, Philly, Seattle

2* San Fran, under in Denv/KC, Houst

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Xpertpicks


SUNDAY


• Play Cleveland +6 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---50% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST


Pittsburgh has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 11
of the last 14 games against the spread after having lost four of the
last five games. Pittsburgh has lost 6 of the last 7 games against
the spread after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight
games and they are allowing an average of 24 points a game on defense
over the last three games.




• Play Carolina +5.5 over New Orleans (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---40% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST


Carolina has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games and
they have also covered the spread in 11 of the last 16 games vs. New
Orleans on the road. Carolina has covered the spread in 4 consecutive
games as a road underdog and they are averaging over 26 points a game
on offense over the last three games.




• Play Miami +10 over New England (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 4:30 PM EST


Miami has covered the spread in 6 consecutive games when revenging a
loss by seven points or less and they have also covered the spread in
9 of the last 12 road games when the total posted is greater than 45.5
points. Miami has covered the spread in 13 of the last 20 games as a
road underdog and they are only allowing an average of 13 points a
game on defense over the last three games.




• Play Dallas +3 over Washington (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST


Washington has lost 58 of the last 92 games against the spread when
playing as a home favorite and they have also lost 11 of the last 14
games against the spread after having won six or seven of the last
eight games. Washington has lost 15 of the last 21 games coming off a
road game and they are allowing an average of 24 points a game on
defense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

NFL SELECTIONS

3-Unit Play. Take #306 Cincinnati (-2) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
Marvin Lewis has gone out of his way to say the Bengals are going to play their starters. He pointed to the last two times that he rested his starters in Week 17 prior to a Bengals playoff game and Cincinnati losing said playoff game the next week. So he is mixing it up. Baltimore is on the other end. They are saying they aren't going to rest their starters, but I think this team is looking for any excuse to pull the veterans on their offensive line and defense, as well as key offensive players like Ray Rice and some of the wideouts. If the Bengals get up early I think the Ravens will pack it in a bit. I think if both of these teams were playing straight up in a winner-take-all situation the Bengals would win right now. But the fact that they might have a motivational advantage, as well as the home field edge, makes me lean their way.

2-Unit Play. Take #304 New England (-10) over Miami (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
Tom Brady was pissed at New England's effort last week in Jacksonville. And that dud came one week after they fell on their faces in the first half against San Francisco. Tom was not happy. By all accounts, Tom was dropping F-bombs and getting in people's faces in the locker room down in Jacksonville after that game. When Tom talks - people listen. Add that to the fact that Bill Belichick has shown a propensity for Week 17 blowouts and the Patriots are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 Week 17 games. Several of those blowouts have come at Miami's expense. The Dolphins maxed out last week in a win over Buffalo. They have to face an ornery Patriots team this week in Foxboro, where temperatures will be below freezing. Something tells me the boys from South Beach won't be cool with that.

2-Unit Play. Take #309 Houston (-6.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
Look, anyone that has read anything that I have written this year knows I think that Andrew Luck is a fraud and the Colts really kind of suck. I believe that. And I think they are going to be exposed over the next two weeks. Houston has something to play for. They were bounced around by the Vikings last week and they know that if they lose this game they could lose the No. 1 seed. That could mean having to fly up to Denver for a rematch with Peyton Manning later in the postseason. It could also mean a Divisional Round rematch with New England. The Texans don't want either of those things to happen. So they are going to win this game. And they are going to do so against a young Colts team that has nothing to play for. I also think that the Colts coaching situation is going to be a distraction for this team and is going to knock them out of their mojo. And then there is the fact that the Colts have basically been pathetic against th few decent teams they have faced this year. I think all of this sets up pretty well for the road chalk and I think Houston will stretch its legs with a big second half, putting this one away.

2-Unit Play. Take #315 Dallas (+3.5) over Washington (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
It is very easy to expect the Cowboys to choke in this game. It's what they do, right? But for some reason I think they are going to win this game. It is nothing against Washington. You've gotta be kind of crazy to bet against them right now. They are right there with Seattle and Denver as the hottest teams around. But there are still just some things about them that don't quite add up. And I really think that Dallas is just so desperate to get this win that they will be able to exploit Washington's weaknesses. Dallas is banged up and they are bound to fail. But I don't know why, but I just get a sense that they are going to bust out here and stun the public by playing great and winning this one by double-digits. The road team is also 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and the underdog is a stunning 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings. That is 15 years worth of underdog. I think it continues.

2-Unit Play. Take #318 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Lions are going to win this game because of course they are. The Lions are awful. They are a bad football team and a terrible organization. One of the great myths right now is that Detroit has "so much talent". They don't. Besides Calvin Johnson and some defensive linemen this is a really below average team. But they do just enough right to be a threat to a Bears team that has reached the intellectual end of its coaching rope. I don't have faith in Mike Tice or Lovie Smith, and the fact is that Chicago is playing without its heart-and-soul in Brian Urlacher as well as the fact the Bears have been decimated by injury at safety (a crucial part of their Cover-2). The Bears don't protect the passer and Jay Cutler isn't exactly a big game guy. So all of this is setting up for an upset by a pathetic team that serves no purpose right now other than to end its rivals season. I think Detroit will win this one, but we'll take the points because there is no way the Bears are going to win this one going away.

2-Unit Play. Take #319 Green Bay (-3) over Minnesota (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take #329 Arizona (+16.5) over San Francisco (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take #331 St. Louis (+10.5) over Seattle (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take #326 Denver (-16) over Kansas City (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

This Week's Totals:
3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 41.0 St. Louis at Seattle (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
Note: This was going to be a 5-Unit NFL Total of the Week, but I backed it down. I just cannot find info on how much Seattle is going to play their starters. There has been no reporting on it that I trust. So I am not going to blindly throw out a play on this one without having all of the fact. Ah, the joy of Week 17.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 49.0 Dallas at Washington (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.5 Green Bay at Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman Ace-Ace

3-Unit Play. Take #316 Washington (-3) over Dallas (8 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Redskins are going to get the job done here today. They have won seven straight games and they have covered every one of them. The Redskins are one of the hottest teams in the NFL and I had this line closer to 4.5 so there is nice value. I have seen Dallas choke in these situations time and time again. They will choke again here and will probably be blown out of this game. The Redskins dominated the first meeting and they were up 28-3 at halftime down in Dallas on Thanksgiving. Tony Romo will turn the ball over and the Dallas defense will give up big plays and the Cowboys will have their season end with an ugly loss once again. Go with the hot team.

5-Unit Play. Take #309 Houston (-6.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This is my Game of the Week and is from the NFL 411 System.
I really like Houston here. The Texans were embarrassed last week by Minnesota. Now the Texans have to win. They need to win this game to guarantee home field advantage in the AFC. They don't want to have to go to Denver in the AFC Title Game. Indianapolis is locked into the No. 5 seed. They will go on the road to face Baltimore next week. Coach Chuck Pagano has said that he isn't going to rest his starters this week. But I think the Colts have less motivation in this game. And I would be surprised if Andrew Luck is still in the game in the second half. Houston beat the Colts handily at home two weeks ago. I think they will win this one by double-digits on the road and get the No. 1 seed overall. Take Houston.

4-Unit Play. Take #328 San Diego (-7) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This is Norv Turner's last game as head coach. I think he'll pull out all the stops. This Chargers defense dominated the Jets last week with 11 sacks and I think they will be able to do the same thing this week against the Raiders. Oakland will be without starting quarterback Carson Palmer. They will go with either Matt Leinart or Terrelle Pryor. The Raiders are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 17. The Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games in Week 17 and they are 17-8 ATS in December. The Raiders are ready to quit on the season and I think the Chargers will win this one in a blowout.

3-Unit Play. Take First Half #322 Atlanta (-2.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This play is on the Falcons in the first half only. There are some books that do not have a line out on this game. But when it comes out will be at this number or even better in my favor.
I think that the Falcons are going to rest their starters. But I think that they will play their starters in the first half. This team won't play again for two weeks and they don't want their best players to be out for that long. I think the Falcons will come out and play great in the first half against a Bucs team that isn't very focused right now. But then Atlanta is going to pull its starters and I think the Bucs could come back and win in the second half if they still care to play.

2-Unit Play. Take #324 New Orleans (-5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Saints seem like they are motivated to finish 8-8. It has been a long year for New Orleans. But they are playing their best football late in the year. They had a big win in Dallas last week and that made it back-to-back wins both SU and ATS. The Saints have revenge for a loss at Carolina in Week 2 and they will be motivated to beat Cam Newton and the Panthers. They will want to send a message to the young Panthers. These two teams met last year in Week 17 and New Orleans won 45-17 and the Saints didn't have anything to play for then. I think it will be a similar beating. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in divisional games and they are 16-5 ATS when they play at home. Lay the points.

2-Unit Play. Take #318 Detroit (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
I think that this one could be an upset. Detroit has had a disappointing season. But they could still have something to play for here. The Lions have a chance to knock Chicago out of the playoff hunt and I think that will matter to the home team. The Lions beat the Bears at home last year and Detroit has revenge for a close loss at Chicago earlier this season. The Bears are just 2-5 in their last seven games and they have faded down the stretch. Detroit has lost seven straight and they don't want to end the season on a losing streak. Detroit has outgained three straight opponents and lost all three. But I think they will outgain the Bears and pull the outright upset. Take the points in case it is close, but I think this underdog will bite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer

NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

2 Unit Play. #324 Take New Orleans -5 over Carolina (1:00p.m., Sunday, Dec 30)
Revenge for the Saints in this last game of the season! Week #2 the Panthers ran all over the Saints and won 35-27 but this Saints team is a totally different team and actually this Saints team plays defense. Last year Week #17 these two teams met and the Saints won 45-17 and since this game has revenge I see the same outcome. The Saints offense will have a big game Sunday afternoon and Drew Brees outduels Cam Newton. New Orleans is a perfect 5-0 ATS when playing a team with a winning record and the Saints are 7-1 ATS in the month of December.

5 Unit Play. #315 Take Under 49 Dallas at Washington (8:30p.m., Sunday, Dec 30 NBC)
(Total Play of the Week) Both teams need this game and I see both ?D's? playing a hard hit game. Look for both offenses to play risk free football and I see both teams trying to establish the run early. I'm hoping the Cowboys defense plays like they did in their last road game keeping the Bengals to under 20 points and if the Boys defense can hold RGIII this game flies under. Saturday in our capital they are expecting rain/snow so I'm hoping the affects go into Sunday because that could also help us out with the 'Under'. The Cowboys are 2-8 O/U in their last 10 road games and the Redskins are 5-12 O/U in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

NFL
4 Unit Play Take #320 Minnesota +3.5 over Green Bay (4:25pm est):
Seems to be this huge support for the Green Bay Packers here down the stretch but looking closer at who they have beat and you have to wonder if the Packers deserve all this love right now. The Packers come in off a beating of Tennessee last week. They did beat Chicago before that game but keep in mind that the Bears have stumbled to the finish line and look like a non-playoff team at this time. Green Bay also has a few wins over the Lions and a victory against Arizona, Jacksonville, St. Louis and these Vikings over their last nine games. They are 8-1 during this stretch but it's also very possible that when this season is over that none of these last nine wins came against a playoff team.

Minnesota is sky high right now after playing probably their three best games of the season these past three weeks. The Vikings went through an extremely tough stretch of games the second half of the year and are at 5-4 now after it. They know that a win here and they are in the playoffs this year and have pretty much been in a do or die situation the past month of their season. Getting a field goal in this spot is huge as you know the Vikings will fight to the bitter end in this contest. This is already an intense, bitter rivalry type game to begin with but now add this ?win and your in? scenario into the equation and you have much more now at stake here in this game for the Vikings.

Look for Minnesota to keep things very close in this game and to pull it out in the end. Take Minnesota and the points here.

3 Unit Play Take #318 Detroit +3 over Chicago (1:00pm est):
You have to believe the Detroit Lions would love nothing more than to end their season on a winning note as they once again won the box score but lost the game last week to another top notch team. Nothing we could say about this Lions team could justify how things have played out for them this season on the field. This is a decent squad with loads of talent who somehow have found ways to hand games over to their opposition the last few months. The Lions have also been beat by mostly the better teams of the NFL of late with losses to Atlanta, Green Bay, Indianapolis, Houston, Green Bay again and Minnesota- all of which could be in the playoffs this year.

The Chicago Bears are a very average football team this season and one who has stumbled down the stretch. The Bears are an ugly 2-5 their last seven games and have looked like they have got very old in some key spots here at the close of this year. Keep in mind this is a team that has failed to score over 17 points in any of their losses. Chicago took advantage of lots of turnovers this year to make the most of what was a very mediocre season for this group. Now that the turnovers have stopped, so has the strong play also. We have seen how old teams have got real old this year down the stretch with the way the Steelers, Ravens and also these Bears have crumbled here these last two months of the season.

Detroit has the better talent and statistically has played much better than the Bears at the line of scrimmage this year. Take Detroit and the points here. Big NBA play coming on Friday as it's my NBA Game of the Month going for December. I have went 4-0 this month on top plays rated six units and higher in all sports. Also later this week I will have another huge play with my CBB Non-Conference Game of the Year as well. This seven unit play is my highest rated CBB play to date and comes just a week after nailing my highest rated CBB play to date at that time in my CBB Game of the Month. Big plays coming up and I have been the king of big plays and look forward to keeping that going here these next few days.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

NFL Plays

6-Unit Play. Take #306 Cincinnati (-2) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
Note: This is our NFL Game of the Month.
Coach Marvin Lewis has stated that Cincinnati "Will not rest their starters." He has had terrible results in the past when he has rested his starters before the playoffs and he has vowed that he won't make that mistake again. This is great news for Bengals backers as they should be fired up to beat the Ravens after their victory over the Steelers.

The Bengals have covered six of their last seven games and they are on an absolute roll. The haven't been lucky during this run, they have just been good. This Bengals team is one that could surprise their first round opponent in the playoffs and they will show people this weekend that they need to be taken seriously in the playoffs. They want to end the season on a positive note, and playing in front of their home fans is enough to cover this less than a field goal line.

The Ravens are not a good road team and prior to last weekends victory over the Giants, they weren't playing that well. Yes, the Ravens looked good last weekend, but the Giants are on a free fall and they played with absolutely no fire. Anyone that watched that game knows that the Ravens victory was just as much poor play from the Giants as it was great play by the Ravens.

The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games on field turf and 1-6 ATS in their last seven December games. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games versus the Ravens in Cincinnati and 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus the AFC. Take the small home favorite in this one.

4-Unit Play. Take #313 Philadelphia (+7.5) over New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
The Giants are on an absolute free fall and they are probably going to sit many of their starters due to injury. The way they are playing they in no way should be favored by more than a touchdown versus a Division rival. Outside of their wins over Green Bay and New Orleans they have looked awful versus Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Washington, Atlanta, and Baltimore. Playing at home doesn't make this game any more intriguing for the Giants nor their backers. The Giants are just 3-10 ATS In their last 13 home games versus a team with a losing record.

For anyone that is a trend buff and doesn't want to just take my word on it, how about these numbers; Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in their last five games meetings in New York, and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games versus the Giants. The underdog is 13-2-1 ATS In their last 16 games between the two teams, and the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings between the two teams. Take the dog in this one.

3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 46 Green Bay at Minnesota (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This game is going to have a playoff feel and I think both teams offenses will be firing on all cylinders. Green Bay's passing attack should have tremendous success versus the Vikings and Adrian Peterson should be able to run at will versus Green Bay. The last two times these two teams met it was a low scoring game (23-14) and I see the complete opposite happening this time.

The 'Over' is 7-3 in the last 10 Packers games after they scored 30 points in their previous game. The 'Over' is also 6-2 in the last eight Vikings home games versus a team with a winning record. The 'Over' is also 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the two teams and 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings between the two teams in Minnesota.

On the fast surface of the dome the Packers and Vikings should both be able to play to their strengths. The public will be all over the 'under' here as both teams are battling for the playoffs or positioning, and it is a rivalry game, but the public will be wrong in this one as the 'over' is the sharp play as both teams will move the ball on offense and Green Bay will take advantage of some Vikings turnovers to create quick points on their end.

3-Unit Play. Take #315 Dallas (+3) over Washington (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)
This is the roll that is better suited to the Cowboys. I was all over the Saints last weekend as the Cowboys never win when they are "supposed to" win. The Cowboys are one of my least favorite chalk teams as they just don't seem to get the job done when they should or when they are expected to.

In this situation the Boys are the dogs and Washington is playing extremely well. Both teams are battling for the title of NFC East Champ and I see Dallas staying just close enough to pull this game out. Tony Romo is one of the best fourth quarter QBs in the NFL this season and this game will absolutely come down to the fourth quarter. If Dallas has the ball last with a chance to win, I see them winning this game outright.

Washington will be able to run the ball, but RGIII will have difficulty throwing the ball versus this tough Dallas secondary. Look for Dallas to create some turnovers to keep this game close throughout. This game will be one of those throwback NFC East battles and it will come down to who makes the last mistake, which I see the rookie doing so.

Dallas is 5-1-1 ATS In their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record and 4-1 ATS In their last five road games overall. The Underdog is 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings between the two teams and the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings between the two teams.

Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Team Doc Sports

NFL

4 Unit Play. #36/#303 Take New England Patriots -10 over Miami Dolphins (Sunday, 4:25 pm CBS) The Patriots are on the outside looking in when it comes to receiving a bye, but they still have a chance to claim the No. 1 seed should things break their way. New England has a long tradition of playing their regulars even if the game is meaningless, and expect that to hold true again on Sunday. New England had been dominating this series of late, winning 16 of the 23 match-ups since 2001 and the Dolphins just do not have the personnel to be able to threaten this suspect Patriots defense. New England won the first meeting in South Florida by a touchdown, and Miami has just not been the same team during the second half of the season, losing 5 of their last 8 games. New England is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 Week 17 games. Most of those week 17 games were meaningless, but this one may have a lot riding on it, and expect the Patriots to go out and make a statement.

4 Unit Play. #32/#310 Take Indianapolis Colts +7 over Houston Texans (Sunday, 1 pm CBS) The Texans have more to play for than do the Colts, but Bill Polian is no longer with this organization, and, thus, I do not expect the Colts to just lay down and die like they have done in past seasons when games are meaningless. That strategy never worked well for the Colts in past years, and expect this new regime to be fully aware of that. Indianapolis is 6-1 at home this season, and they have not lost a home game since 9/23/12. The Texans have been blown out in two of their last 3 games, and teams are starting to figure out their defense. Wade Phillips has been unwilling to make adjustments. Indianapolis is 18-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. This game goes down to the wire, and we collect with whoever comes out on top.

Houston by 1

5 Unit Play. #45/#315 Take Dallas Cowboys +3.5 over Washington Redskins (Sunday, 8:20 pm NBC) The final game of the NFL Regular Season has two traditional rivals set to battle in the nation's capital in a winner-take-all atmosphere. Both teams need to win to make the playoffs (slim chance Washington could still make it if they lose), and, thus, I fully expect a sixty-minute battle. Dallas did not play well last week against New Orleans, but that did not affect them much, and expect them to bounce back in a big way on Sunday night. Washington has won six in a row after their coach declared them dead, but only one of those six victories came in a dominating performance. They have been hanging on by a thread of late, and that luck is about to run out. I still believe that RG3 is banged up, and he did not play that well last week, throwing for under 200 yards against a terrible team in Philadelphia. Washington is still a young team, and the veteran leadership on Dallas will be the difference. Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Dallas moves onto the playoffs and we collect with a nice underdog as well.

Dallas by 6

4 Unit Play. #33/#319 Take Green Bay Packers -3 over Minnesota Vikings (Sunday, 4:25 pm FOX) Both teams have a lot of play for in this game, as the Vikings need to win it to make the playoffs and the Packers need to win it hang onto the No. 2 seed. The Packers have won 5 straight games against the Vikings, and when you compare the two quarterbacks there is no doubt who the better player is. Green Bay is 4-3 on the road this season, and that includes a game that was taken away from them by the replacement officials. Green Bay is 9-6 ATS against Minnesota since 2001 and they are 7-4 ATS when they are a favorite in this series. Green Bay wants no part of the No. 3 and having to play during wild card weekend and then on the road during the divisional playoffs. Minnesota has Adrian Peterson, but I just do not believe that they have enough weapons around him to beat the Packers. Clay Mathews gave the Packers a defensive spark last week against Tennessee, and expect that to carry over this week as well. Minnesota had a remarkable season, but their playoff aspirations fall just short on Sunday.

Green Bay by 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #309. Take Houston -6.5 over Indianapolis Colts (Sunday @ 1pm est).

4-Unit Play. #326. Take Denver Broncos -16 over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday @ 4:25pm est).

The Texans need this game and the Colts really don't. The Colts are essentially locked in and although the emotional return of their head coach to the sidelines will be a boost for this team, given how poorly Houston played in their last week against the Vikings, you'd have to think that this team shows up with so much on the line in this game. Foster is probable and sure the Colts have some revenge here, but I just can't see Indianapolis really getting up for this game because it does not have much meaning for them. The Colts of course will still look to play their best football for the most part but despite 65% of the public on the Colts getting the points, the Texans line quickly shot up on opening for this very reason. I like the Texans here by about 10 points as they will be motivated to play after their really poor effort last week plus looking forward to secure positioning in the playoffs.

Peyton Manning is one of the best at making the necessary changes. If you think for a second just because this is the Chiefs and he cares less about this game because of that think again. The Chiefs gave Manning quite a bit of trouble in Arrowhead. The Broncos ended up winning that game 17-9. The Chiefs covered that game. The Chiefs also played a great against Indianapolis and I suspect they might have given it all in their game. This is a team that got shutout against Oakland 0-15 in a division game. They lost 7-30 against Cleveland on the road, 13-31 against San Diego and 10-38 against Oakland. Now they face a Bronco team that is rolling now who just beat a very good Cleveland team 34-12 at home. I don't see Denver laying down the gas at all as most of the public is on the underdog which bodes well for a good public fade as well and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Colts win this game by a similar margin to the Cleveland game. If the Chiefs had trouble scoring against the Oakland defense, they will find it hard against a Denver defense that is one of the best in the league.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROOT

millionaire vikes
no limit giants
inner circle dallas
billionaire bengals
Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) lions
perfect 49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1unit wagers / Steven Kane

Saints(-4.5)
Giants(-6.5)
Bears(-2.5)

Buy 1/2 point in some spots.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

1:00PM New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills
[302](KINGS RANSOM- 2 UNIT PLAY) Buffalo Bills -3 +100

4:25PM Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
[325] OVER 42 -110

GOODFELLAS

4:25PM Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings
[319](Cigar Game - 2 unit play) Green Bay Packers -3 +100

1:00PM Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
[318] Detroit Lions +3.5 -135

4:25PM Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers
[330] San Francisco 49ers -16.5 +100

MARC

1:00PM Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans
[311](LIGHTS OUT PLAY- 2 UNIT PLAY) UNDER 41.5 -110

4:25PM St. Louis Rams vs Seattle Seahawks
[331] OVER 41 -110

8:30PM Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Redskins
[315] OVER 48.5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Chicago Bears -150 over Detroit Lions
(System Record: 43-5, won last game)
Overall Record: 43-52-4



Soccer Crusher
Queens Park Rangers + Liverpool OVER 2
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 334-14, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 334-293-39

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Weather Watch: Snow Expected in Buffalo

Now that it’s officially winter, factoring weather into your handicapping will become even more important.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 39)

Site: Ralph Wilson Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-20s with a 50 percent chance of snow. Winds will blow out of the WNW at 13 mph.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-7, 45.5)

Site: MetLife Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and partly cloudy skies. Winds will be strong out of the NW at 19 mph.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-11, 34.5)

Site: Heinz Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and overcast skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 13 mph.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10, 46)

Site: Gillette Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-20s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the NW at 13 mph.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-10, 39)

Site: Qualcomm Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 40 percent of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out of the west at 6 mph.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bears at Lions: What Bettors Need to Know

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (3, 44.5)

The Chicago Bears need a win and some help in the final week of the regular season to lock up a playoff spot. The Detroit Lions are only playing for one thing - history for Calvin Johnson. The Bears are hoping to keep Johnson in check when they visit the Lions on Sunday. Johnson broke Jerry Rice’s single-season record for receiving yards last week and is aiming to become the first player in history to reach 2,000.

The Bears kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16 and are hoping their banged-up roster can pull out one more in the final week. Chicago will also need the Green Bay Packers to beat the Minnesota Vikings (9-6). Detroit, which made the playoffs last season, has lost seven games in a row to crush any hope of a return trip. Johnson has been the only thing keeping spirits up with his record 1,892 yards.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Bears -3, O/U 44.5

ABOUT THE BEARS (9-6): Chicago is hoping running back Matt Forte (ankle) will be ready for the Lions. He sat out practice Wednesday and was limited Thursday. Forte was knocked out of Sunday’s win over Arizona and left the locker room in a walking boot, but he told reporters he would play against the Lions. Linebacker Brian Urlacher (hamstring) has missed the last three games and has yet to practice this week. The Bears had dropped five of six prior to the win at Arizona, averaging 11.4 points in the losses. They have won every game in which they have scored at least 18. The defense accounted for a pair of touchdowns in the 28-13 win over the Cardinals and quarterback Jay Cutler bounced back from an awful start to throw for a touchdown and at least keep the offense moving.

ABOUT THE LIONS (4-11): Detroit has simply become the Calvin Johnson show. What was once an explosive offense trying to compensate for a lackluster defense has put up an average of just 16 points in the last three games. Matthew Stafford (4,695) could end up with another 5,000-yard season but has only 17 touchdown passes to go with 16 interceptions. His 443 yards in Saturday’s 31-18 loss to the Atlanta Falcons marked the most in NFL history without a touchdown pass. Stafford hasn’t gotten much help from the running game and is frequently throwing from behind. Johnson caught 11 passes for 225 yards in the loss to Atlanta and is averaging 126.3 yards, making the 108 he needs for 2,000 a strong possibility. He has had at least 118 yards in each of the last eight games.

TRENDS:

* Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Bears’ last six vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 4-1 in Lions’ last five vs. NFC North foes.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Bears also lost starting S Chris Conte (hamstring) in the Arizona game. Anthony Walters replaced him the rest of the game.

2. Johnson was held to a season-low 34 yards in a 13-7 loss at Chicago on Oct. 22.

3. Chicago has taken eight of the last nine in the series but lost in its last trip to Detroit 24-13 on Oct. 10, 2011.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Packers at Vikings: What Bettors Need to Know

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (3.5, 46)

The Green Bay Packers' path is pretty well defined. If the visiting Packers can defeat the NFC North rival Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, they'll receive a bye and punch their ticket to the divisional playoffs. Should Green Bay suffer just its second loss in 11 outings, it could still clinch the No. 2 seed - provided San Francisco stumbles against Arizona and fellow NFC West rival Seattle follows suit versus St. Louis.

Minnesota's path to the postseason is a little trickier. A fourth straight victory on Sunday will secure the Vikings the No. 6 seed - and perhaps a return trip to Lambeau Field for the first round of the playoffs. A loss to the division foe on Sunday isn't entirely a death knell to the season, although Minnesota would require Chicago, Dallas and the New York Giants to all suffer losses in Week 17.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Packers -3.5, O/U 46

ABOUT THE PACKERS (11-4): Green Bay, which has defeated Minnesota in five straight games, secured its postseason berth with a convincing 55-7 rout of Tennessee last week. Pro Bowler Aaron Rodgers led the charge with his second consecutive three-touchdown game on Sunday, and has torched Minnesota during the team's winning streak. Rodgers has thrown for 14 touchdowns and accumulated a 122.2 passer rating. Green Bay's run-by-committee approach has been successful, with veteran Ryan Grant recording 80 yards and a pair of scores last week.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (9-6): Adrian Peterson's bid to usurp Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record hit a bump in the road in last week in the team's 23-6 victory over Houston. The Pro Bowler battled abdominal soreness to amass "only" 86 yards, thus requiring 208 on Sunday if he wishes to break Dickerson's 1984 mark. Peterson torched the Packers for 210 yards on Dec. 2, but Green Bay walked away with a 23-14 triumph. Christian Ponder was victimized by two critical interceptions in the loss.

TRENDS:

* Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 5-0 in Packers’ last five vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 6-0 in Vikings’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Green Bay OLB Clay Matthews didn't play in the first meeting due to a hamstring injury. The Pro Bowler, who has a team-high 12 sacks, is set to compete on Sunday, however.

2. Ponder has been picked off on only one occasion during Minnesota's three-game winning streak.

3. Packers WR Jordy Nelson returned to practice this week after injuring his hamstring in the teams' earlier tilt.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raiders to start QB Pryor Sunday vs. Chargers

The Oakland Raiders have announced 23-year-old QB Terrelle Pryor will start Sunday versus the San Diego Chargers in place of the injured Carson Palmer.

After being deemed not ready to be the backup when Palmer got hurt last week in Carolina, Pryor now gets the chance to make his first career NFL start. The Ohio State product will be making his first start since the Sugar Bowl on Jan. 4, 2011.

The LVH SuperBook put this Sunday’s game back on the board this afternoon and has the Raiders listed as 9.5-point road underdogs with the total set at 39.5

Pryor was taken in the third round of the supplemental draft in August 2011 by late Raiders owner Al Davis. The Former Big Ten Freshman of the Year got a few snaps in the preseason but was then inactive for the first 11 games of this year. He also saw action briefly the past two weeks in specialty packages.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUNDERDOG SPORTS

Game: Houston at Indianapolis (Sunday 12/30 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 46.5 -110

The Houston Texans need the win here. A win clinches home-field advantage for as long as they manage to stay in the playoffs. However, the Colts certainly aren't going to wave the white flag. The Colts will get a huge emotional lift out of the return to the sidelines of their head coach Chuck Pagano. The Texans average 27 points per game and of late, their defense has been allowing an equal amount as offenses seem to have found ways to exploit the secondary. In their last six games, the Texans have allowed 31+ three times and the average points allowed has been 26.7. The only team they kept under 23 points was the lowly Titans. In the Gary Kubiak era, the Texans are 31-19 OVER after a loss including 18-6 OVER after a double-digit loss. The Colts average 24 points per game in dome games and they should score enough here to get this game OVER the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

316. Tennessee Titans -4*

Rest of Games
314. New York Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams


1500♦
Raise the Bar
Sunday Winner #6 of 8


Minnesota Vikings +3.5



Adams Note: At the time I release this pick to you, the Vikings are +3 1/2 point underdogs against the Packers. If your line should dip to +3, buy the half point up on the Vikings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW overnight report

HSW
7 TB
3 team parlay
TB, Miami, GB

NY Steam
2 TB

Computer Group
NE, GB and TB

GD West 1 unit each
GB, TB, NO and Seattle

L & M Las Vegas
2 Philadelphia

Compufun 1 unit each
NE, Carolina and SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Dayton at USC

The Trojans look to take advantage of a Dayton team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. USC is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Trojans favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: USC (-1). Here are all of today's games.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 809-810: Illinois State at Indiana State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 65.285; Indiana State 59.309
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 6
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (-3 1/2)


Game 811-812: Princeton at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 57.812; Akron 68.305
Dunkel Line: Akron by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-8 1/2)


Game 813-814: Yale at St. Mary's (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 46.125; St. Mary's 66.550
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+22 1/2)


Game 815-816: Tulane at Alabama (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 55.428; Alabama 62.206
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 7; 128
Vegas Line: Alabama by 9; 124
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9); Over


Game 817-818: Northern Iowa at Wichita State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 61.470; Wichita State 70.910
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-5)


Game 819-820: Southern Illinois at Missouri State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.454; Missouri State 44.013
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 4
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-4)


Game 821-822: Dayton at USC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 61.229; USC 64.205
Dunkel Line: USC by 3
Vegas Line: USC by 1
Dunkel Pick: USC (-1)


Game 823-824: Wofford at Virginia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 57.552; Virginia 68.775
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 11
Vegas Line: Virginia by 9
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-9)


Game 825-826: Canisius at Detroit (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 56.645; Detroit 63.860
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 7
Vegas Line: Detroit by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5 1/2)


Game 827-828: Eastern Kentucky at West Virginia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 50.610; West Virginia 60.134
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 11
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+11)


Game 829-830: Furman at SMU (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 39.993; SMU 56.685
Dunkel Line: SMU by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-14 1/2)


Game 831-832: Loyola-MD at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 54.615; Memphis 65.867
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (+13 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/30/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1473-427 (.775)
ATS: 585-608 (.490)
ATS Vary Units: 2104-2300 (.478)
Over/Under: 164-162 (.503)
Over/Under Vary Units: 211-241 (.467)

Gotham Classic
Round Robin at Detroit, MI
DETROIT 81, Canisius 72

Missouri Valley Conference
Illinois State 71, INDIANA STATE 69
Southern Illinois vs. MISSOURI STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WICHITA STATE 70, Northern Iowa 59

Non-Conference
AKRON 69, Princeton 63
ALABAMA 64, Tulane 53
COLGATE 64, New Hampshire 62
Cornell 67, BINGHAMTON 57
CSU BAKERSFIELD 73, North Carolina A&T 67
Dayton 65, USC 57
GEORGE WASHINGTON 75, Sacred Heart 62
MEMPHIS 71, Loyola (Md.) 56
MISSISSIPPI STATE 76, Alabama A&M 56
SAINT MARY'S 83, Yale 59
SMU 66, Furman 50
St. Francis (N.Y.) 70, NEW JERSEY TECH 69
TCU 69, Mississippi Valley State 55
VIRGINIA 59, Wofford 47
WEST VIRGINIA 74, Eastern Kentucky 61
WINTHROP 64, Hampton 54

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/30/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 295-138 (.681)
ATS: 215-223 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 681-624 (.522)
Over/Under: 230-208 (.525)
Over/Under Vary Units: 393-324 (.548)

DETROIT 96, Milwaukee 95
San Antonio 107, DALLAS 100
Boston 99, SACRAMENTO 97
L.A. CLIPPERS 105, Utah 94

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Milwaukee at Detroit

The Bucks look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Milwaukee is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: Milwaukee at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.154; Detroit 118.427
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 192
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+3); Over


Game 803-804: San Antonio at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.288; Dallas 114.755
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5 1/2); Under


Game 805-806: Boston at Sacramento (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.848; Sacramento 117.411
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 807-808: Utah at LA Clippers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.262; LA Clippers 132.571
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-9); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Rice (+3) Saturday.

Sunday it’s t he Jaguars. The deficit is 1,093 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 956 - 712 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner SUN REDSKINS -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Dayton +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine

Rot • Time • ATS Pick • Opp • Line • Margin • Win % ATS

309 - 1:00 PM HOU @ IND -6.5 • 9.8 • 58.8% - PP

304 - 4:25 PM @NE MIA -10 • 12.4 • 58% - PP

313 - 1:00 PM PHI @ NYG 7.5 • -5.2 • 56.6% - PP

319 - 4:25 PM GB @ MIN -3 • 5.5 • 56.1% - PP

311 - 1:00 PM JAC @ TEN 4 • -1.9 • 55.5%

332 - 4:25 PM @SEA STL -10 • 11.6 • 55.4%

323 - 1:00 PM CAR @ NO 5.5 • -3.8 • 54.1%

329 - 4:25 PM ARI @ SF 16.5 • -15.4 • 54%

306 - 1:00 PM @CIN BAL -3 • 4.5 • 53.9%

301 - 1:00 PM NYJ @ BUF 3.5 • -2.2 • 53.7%

326 - 4:25 PM @DEN KC -16 • 16.7 • 52.7%

316 - 8:20 PM @WAS DAL -3 • 3.7 • 51.7%

318 - 1:00 PM @DET CHI 3 • -2.6 • 51.2%

Home Rot •Time (ET) • Matchup •Line • Total Points • Pick • Pick%

316 - 8:20 PM DAL @ WAS 48.5 • 54.9 OVER 59%

326 - 4:25 PM KC @ DEN 42 • 37.9 UNDER 57.8%

318 - 1:00 PM CHI @ DET 44.5 • 40.3 UNDER 57.7%

310 - 1:00 PM HOU @ IND 46.5 • 51.2 OVER 56.9%

332 - 4:25 PM STL @ SEA 41 • 44.1 OVER 55.7%

314 - 1:00 PM PHI @ NYG 45.5 • 42.8 UNDER 54.6%

302 - 1:00 PM NYJ @ BUF 39 • 36.8 UNDER 54.6%

324 - 1:00 PM CAR @ NO 54 • 56.9 OVER 54%

330 - 4:25 PM ARI @ SF 39 • 37 UNDER 53.8%

306 - 1:00 PM BAL @ CIN 41 • 42.5 OVER 52.8%

304 - 4:25 PM MIA @ NE 46.5 • 45.3 UNDER 52%

312 - 1:00 PM JAC @ TEN 42 • 41 UNDER 51.8%

320 - 4:25 PM GB @ MIN 46 • 46.7 OVER 51.1%

**Anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLBettingPicks
Kevin

2 UNIT = Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos - BRONCOS -16 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)
The Denver Broncos can clinch an all important first round bye with a win on Sunday or a New England loss. The Patriots are favored by 10 points at home, so the Broncos know they will most likely need a victory on Sunday to grab that bye next weekend. Denver also has the opportunity for home field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win and Houston loss on Sunday so we can expect this team to come out hard against one the leagues worst teams. The Kansas City Chiefs are just 2-13 on the year including 1-6 on the road. They've lost 11 of their last 12 games and they have almost all been ugly losses. The Chiefs are just 5-10 ATS this season. Over their last 11 games the Chiefs have scored 16 or fewer points 10 times and 13 or fewer points 9 times. The Denver Broncos have been quite the opposite going 12-3 on the season and 6-1 at home. Denver has won 10 straight games, and their three losses came at the start of the year against playoff teams in Atlanta, Houston and New England. The Broncos have scored 26 or more points in 9 of their last 10 games and 30+ points in 8 of those games. Denver ranks 4th in the NFL offensively and average 29.5 ppg, while the Chiefs rank 22nd and are scoring a league worst 13.9 ppg. Denver also ranks near the top defensively at #3 and are allowing just 19.1 papg, while the Chiefs rank 17th and are giving up 25.8 papg. Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 divisional games. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a losing record, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Although the Broncos only beat Kansas City by 8 points in their meeting earlier this year, I like Denver to run all over the Chiefs at home. Denver needs the win to secure a bye and give them a shot for home field advantage throughout, so they won't be taking it easy on the Chiefs. I expect a 17+ point win by Peyton Manning and the Broncos on Sunday. Take the Broncos to cover.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB FURMAN at SMU

Play Against - Home teams as a favorite or pick (SMU) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
70-33 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% 33.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

CBB TULANE at ALABAMA

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (TULANE) average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games.
313-212 since 1997. ( 59.6% 83.5 units )
8-8 this year. ( 50.0% 1.1 units )

CBB ILLINOIS ST at INDIANA ST

Play Against - Any team (ILLINOIS ST) excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 28% of their shots or worse.
44-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% 25.3 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

GOODFELLAS

1:00PM Wofford vs Virginia
[823] Wofford +9.5 -117

JIMMY

5:30PM Yale vs Saint Mary's CA
[814] Saint Mary's CA -22.5 -110

MARC

7:35PM Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons
[801] UNDER 192 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Bills -3.5
Lions +3.5
Redskins -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club Selections

NFL:
#318 Detroit +3 (25*)
#302 Buffalo -3.5
#312 Tennessee -4
#304 New England -10.5

CBB:
#818 Wichita State -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stu Feiner high roller cinn, st louis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 patriots
15 cowboys
10 ravens
10 under falcons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

4 unit Detroit +3.5 (MAJOR)
5 unit Baltimore +2.5 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-20)

10 unit Houston -7
10 unit San Diego -10

Kenny Nguyen
(1-50)

25 unit Buffalo -3.5
25 unit Philadelphia +7
25 unit Seattle -10.5

JT WALKER
(all units same)

Wichita State (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

Sunday's Play

80 Dime selaction on the Utah Jazz against the LA Clippers. As I redlease this play at 5:45am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on the Jazz is + 9 1/2 in Vegas and offshvre.

NOTE FROM A REDD

Once again I manage to win through the first 90% of game only to lose it at the end. Leading 20-10 at the half, and 27-17 after three, Oregon State (-3') manages to give up 14 unanswered points in the fourth quarter and lose the game outright, costing me my biggest loss of the season. Ouch.

However, I am coming back swinging today with one of my hottest plays in what is definitely my hottest sport: 80 Dime NBA Winner # 3 in a Row.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday NFL

4* BEST BET = TAMPA BAY
3* = DETROIT
3* = PHILADELPHIA
3* = "OVER" on Eagles/Giants
2* = WASHINGTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling
20 Hous,
15 Jax,
15 Chi,
15 Wash

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Magnum Marc
Atl -3 l 1st half
Cincy -3
Philly +7
Green Bay -3
San Diego -9.5
Seattle -11
Wash -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN 500*

Seahawks -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks 12/30
3*-- Dallas @ Washington -3

2*--Baltimore @ Cincinnati -1
Carolina @ New Orleans -4.5
Chicago -3 @ Detroit
Miami @ New England -10

1*--Philadelphia @ NY Giants UNDER 46
Arizona @ SF UNDER 39.5
Oakland @ San Diego UNDER 39.5
S Illinois -4.5 @ Missouri St
San Antonio @ Dallas UNDER 208

-- Freebie -- Dallas @ Washington UNDER 49.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Final Week Preview
By Alex Smart
Playbook

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh - Browns are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Steelers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 20-5-2 in Browns last 27 games in December.Under is 9-1 in Steelers last 10 home games. Underdog has covered 5 of L/7 in this series.

Houston @ Indianapolis - Texans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Texans are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 17.Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Colts are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 17.Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 11-1 in Colts last 12 vs. AFC South.Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Jacksonville @ Tennessee - Titans are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC South.Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. Under is 9-1-1 in Jaguars last 11 vs. AFC South.Under is 8-3-1 in Titans last 12 home games.Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Philadelphia @ NY Giants - Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.Eagles are 0-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 17-5 in Giants last 22 games overall.Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York.Underdog is 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

NY Jets @ Buffalo - Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.Over is 19-8 in Jets last 27 road games.Under is 12-5 in Bills last 17 games in December.Underdog is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Buffalo.

Chicago @ Detroit - Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December. ears are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.ears are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Lions are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Bears last 6 vs. NFC North.Over is 8-1 in Lions last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Carolina @ New Orleans - Panthers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games in December.Panthers are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.    Saints are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 vs. NFC South.Over is 14-6 in Saints last 20 games overall.Panthers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New Orleans.

Kansas City @ Denver - Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Broncos are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 home games.Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 37-17 in Broncos last 54 games overall.Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Oakland @ San Diego - Raiders are 19-43-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West.Over is 6-0 in Chargers last 6 games in Week 17.Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in San Diego.Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Arizona @ San Francisco - Cardinals are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.49ers are 23-10-1 ATS in their last 34 games overall.49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West.Over is 39-16 in Cardinals last 55 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.Under is 11-1 in 49ers last 12 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Â Cardinals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

ST.Louis @ Seattle - Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West.Seahawks are 7-24-1 ATS in their last 32 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Seattle.

Green Bay @ Minnesota - Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.Packers are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 vs. NFC North.Vikings are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 17.Vikings are 4-1-Under is 6-0 in Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. ATS in their last 6 home games. Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Minnesota.

Miami @ New England - Dolphins are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Patriots are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 17.Under is 26-10 in Dolphins last 36 road games.Over is 13-3 in Patriots last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS LOCK

5 Chicago
5 Giants
4 Houston

Hoops
4 Ill St.
4 So Ill

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso:

100 Units

Steelers (-10½) over Browns

1:00 PM -- Heinz Field

NFL Grand Finale Blowout Game Of The Year
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-8) -10 ½ over Cleveland Browns (7-8)
Prediction: Steelers by 27-28
Starting Time: 1:05
TV: CBS

Comments: Neither of these teams is going to the post-season but Pittsburgh certainly is positioned to get the job done, almost by default. Cleveland has two offensive weapons—rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden (3,385 yards and 14 touchdown passes) and rookie running back Trent Richardson (950 yards, 12 touchdowns)—and will be without both of them today. Weeden is out with a shoulder injury and Richardson with an ankle injury. Since back-up quarterback Colt McCoy is also sidelined with a shoulder injury, scout-team signal-caller Thaddeus Lewis, three years removed from Duke, gets the call. He has never played a single down in the NFL regular season and that should immediately signal where this game is going. Even with nothing to play for, Pittsburgh should come to play since several players become free agents after this game and will want to show their best wares to other teams. There is no reason to think this game will ever be close.

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the West at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 30.


NFL Game Of The Week

50 Units

Patriots (-10) over Dolphins

4:25 PM -- Gillette Stadium

NFL Game Of The Week
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-4) -10 over Miami Dolphins (7-8)
Prediction: Patriots by 21-24
Starting Time: 4:25
TV: CBS

Comments: It is tough enough to have been eliminated from the playoffs, and thus have nothing to play for, and then have to go from sunny Florida to ice-cold New England to meet a motivated Patriots team. When I say “ice-cold” that is an understatement. This game will be played under partly cloudy skies, with a 30% chance of snow, and with winds out of the west-northwest at 25-30 miles per hour, with gusts of up to 40 miles per hour. Game-time temperature will be in the low 20s, with the wind-chill factor driving that down into single digits. Meantime, New England, which has won the AFC East and is currently seeded #3 for the post-season, can move up that ladder with a win. There is nothing to suggest Miami will be too into this one.

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 15-25 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 25.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Play of the Day December 30, 2012 6:33 AM by GT Staff

Dayton +1 at USC

The visiting Flyers opened a 1½ point favorite. Can’t understand the move. Dayton at 9-3 playing the 4-8 Trojans. We’ll take the point.

DAYTON +1

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks December 30, 2012 6:30 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Buffalo Bills -3½

Miami Dolphins +10

Baltimore Ravens +3

Indianapolis Colts +7

Washington Redskins -3

Kansas City Chiefs +16

St. Louis Rams +10½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Weekend wagers with Weekend Warrior December 30, 2012 6:29 AM by GT Staff

NCAA Basketball

Dayton +1

NFL Football

Philadelphia Eagles +7

Carolina Panthers +5

Buffalo Bills -3½

Indianapolis Colts +6½

St. Louis Rams +11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 12/30/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers : u195.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 12/30/2012
(Lost last 4 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers : -9
Cost: -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns
10* Detroit Lions

Blue Chip Under Phi / NYG

Main Event Dallas

Under Dal / Was

[Can'tPickAWinner]

jeff scott ports

4 unit

green bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Princeton +8.5

100* Lions / Bears Over 46

50* Giants -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Sunday, December 30th

2012 National Football League Final Day Triple Lock Parlay!!!!!
Philadelphia under 46 1/2
Chicago/Detroit under 45
Carolina/New Orleans under 54

2-1 or Better or we'll email you Tonight's Cowboys @ Redskins Winner Free of Charge!!!

Early NFL Bets Bets
Baltimore/Cincinnati over 41
Houston/Indianapolis over 46 1/2
Jacksonville/Tennessee over 41 1/2
Tampa Bay/Atlanta under 45 1/2

Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Late Sunday, December 30th

2012 National Football League Must-Win Game Total of the Year!!!!!
Dallas/Washington under 50

Late NFL Best Bets
Green Bay/Minnesota over 45 1/2
Kansas City/Denver over 42
Oakland/San Diego under 39
Arizona/San Francisco over 39

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays.

500K Revenge Lock/Year

the Carolina Panthers +5 over
the New Orleans Saints

Best Bets




the Philadelphia Eagles +7 over
the NY Giants

the Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 over
the Atlanta Falcons

the Detroit Lions +3 over
the Chicago Bears

the Houston Texans -6½ over
the Indianapolis Colts

500K NBC Lock/Month

the Washington Redskins -3 over
the Dallas Cowboys


Best Bets


the Dallas/Washington Game OVER
the Total Of 49 Points

the Green Bay Packers -3 over
the Minnesota Vikings

the San Francisco 49ers -16½ over
the Arizona Cardinals

the St Louis/Seattle Game OVER
the Total Of 42 Points






PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK

the Buffalo Bills -3 over
the NY Jets

the Seattle Seahawks -11 over
the St Louis Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lenny Stevens

20 green bay
20 washington
10 chicago
10 new orleans
10 philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Never Win Sports

20* Indianapolis
20* Oakland
20* New England
20* New Orleans
20* Tennessee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MajorCovers

Nfl philly+7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Hilton- Gameday

3-New England -10
2-Washington -3
2-Minn +3'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RM29

Thursday he went 1-1
Friday he went 0-3
Yesterday he went 0-3 (including a loss on a level 2 play)

Today - all level 1
Cowboys +3.5
Houston/Indy over 46.5
Seattle - 10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd 12/30
5* (NFL) Buffalo Bills +3.5

3* (NFL) Washington Redskins -3
3* (CBB) Southern Illinois -4
3* (NBA) LA Clippers/Utah Jazz OVER 195.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence
NFL PLAYS
Sunday 12/30
NFL - 4* Game 331 - Rams (+10.5) - Division Play of the Year
NFL - 3* Game 320 - Vikings (+3.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fargo's 10* NBA SUNDAY ENFORCER (PERFECT 3-0 SAT.)


Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons Dec 30 2012 7:35PM


Miami is on a two-game losing streak and both losses came against the teams in this matchup. Detroit defeated the Heat on Friday by 10 points at home while Milwaukee took them out last night by nine points at home. The Pistons have the big advantage here of having a day off since their big win while the Bucks have to travel and play the next day after their upset victory. Milwaukee is now four games over .500 on the season following consecutive wins at home but this is not a spot the Bucks have prospered in this season. Milwaukee is 0-5-1 ATS this season in the second of a back-to-back set. This includes going 0-1 when going from home to the road as after the Bucks defeated Indiana, they lost by 10 at Memphis the following night. The Pistons snapped a six game losing streak last Friday and are riding a 3-1 streak over their last four games even though two of those games came against hapless Washington. Still, they are playing with confidence and after the Bucks win last night, they know they have to come to play tonight. Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS in this underdogs price range while going just 5-10 ATS following a win. Meanwhile the Pistons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning road record and are riding a four-game cover streak. While going 2-13 against the Western Conference, Detroit is a much more respectable 8-9 against the Eastern Conference. 10* (802) Detroit Pistons


Prediction: Detroit Pistons




Burns' O/U BEST BET! *22-6 L28 NBA, 4-0 L4 TOTALS!


Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers Dec 30 2012 9:35PM


I'm playing on Utah and LA to finish UNDER the total. I won with the Jazz when these teams faced each other at Utah a couple of nights. For tonight's rematch, I feel that the value lies in the total. Note that the O/U line is a handful of points higher than it was just two nights ago. While the Jazz were able to score at home, the Clippers have been very stingy at home. They're allowing only 90.9 ppg here on the season, limiting opposing teams to just 42% shooting. Even including Thursday's result, the UNDER is still 6-3 in Utah's last nine games and 8-3 in LA's last 11. I expect a slight slower tempo and a much lower final combined score and feel that the number is generously high. *9 best bet


Prediction: under


Team Del Genio 10* Conf Game of the Month


Southern Illinois at Missouri St. Dec 30 2012 6:30PM


Play on Southern Illinois at 6:30 ET. This is some GREAT value in having to only lay a couple buckets against a Missouri State team that has been truly awful so far. The Bears come into Sunday's MVC opener on an eight-game losing streak and their only two wins have coming against non-DI teams, Malone College and Philander Smith. We're not making this up. It has gotten downright ugly in Springfield with MSU shooting just 37.6% for the season, including 26% from three-point range. It also doesn't help that they are making less than 60% of their free-throw attempts. Five of their previous six losses have come by double digits, and one of those was to non-lined Alabama A&M. They scored just 47 pts in that matchup and then managed only 51 in a 20-point loss to New Mexico State last weekend. It was another awful shooting night for the Bears, who were only 19 of 57 from the floor. Over the last two seasons, they are now 0-6 ATS after scoring 55 pts or less. They have gone six straight games without scoring 55. Meanwhile, this is a bad matchup with Southern Illinois for a variety of reasons. This is a revenge-minded Salukis teams, and not for just a pair of losses last year, but six in a row overall to Missouri State! And it's not just the team that's anxious for revenge. First year HC Barry Hinson was fired five years ago by MSU after averaging 18.7 wins for a nine-year period. So he will REALLY want to win here. Southern Illinois is off a loss at Utah State last Saturday, which was understandable as they were not only a 6.5-pt underdog, but also playing w/out rest in USU's own tournament. The Aggies shot 60% in that game (including 6 for 9 from three-point range), something that Missouri State won't be doing here. SIU has a significant edge on the boards here as they +6 in rebounding differential while MSU is -6 for the season. Southern Illinois is our 10* Missouri Valley Game of the Month


Prediction: Southern Illinois




Fargo's 10* CBB SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (82% CBB RUN)


Wofford at Virginia Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


Wofford is coming off a big upset at Xavier as it won by a point as 9.5-point underdogs last Saturday. That does two things for us here as it provides a possible letdown spot even though it was a week ago and it will guarantee that Virginia does not take the Terriers lightly. The Terriers went to the CBI Tournament a year ago, which is another reason Virginia will not look past them, but they are in rebuilding mode as the roster consists of 12 players that are either freshmen or sophomores. This is a very average team that has trouble scoring as they are averaging just 59.2 ppg on 38.1 percent shooting and those number drop in road games. That is a problem against Virginia which has one of the best defenses in the nation as the Cavaliers are allowing just 51.7 ppg on 35.4 percent shooting and those numbers drop to 47.6 ppg on 31.8 percent shooting in eight home games where the Cavaliers are a perfect 8-0. Virginia was riding an eight-game winning streak as well as a six-game cover streak before losing against Old Dominion at the Richmond Coliseum in its most recent game last Saturday. The Monarchs came into that game 1-10 and were missing two key players so it is pretty obvious Virginia just didn't show up for that one. The Terriers are also a good defensive team but Virginia is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 games against teams averaging 64 ppg or less while Wofford is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games following an outright win as an underdog. 10* (824) Virginia Cavaliers - Supreme Annihilator


Prediction: Virginia




Marc's Double Perfect ATS College Hoops Top Play!


Northern Iowa at Wichita State Dec 30 2012 6:00PM


Play on: Northern Iowa (Game 817) Note: When the Panthers take on the Shockers in a Missouri valley contest at Wichita State this Sunday, Northern Iowa will take the court looking to avenge a pair of losses suffered in this series last year. That's good news considering they are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS in this series when seeking revenge, including 4-0 SUATS when WSU is off a win of 7 or more points. With NIU 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as dogs in conference openers the last six years, we'll grab the points in this payback today. We recommend a 3-unit play on Northern Iowa. Thank you and good luck as always.


Prediction: Northern Iowa






SCOTT SPREITZER'S CBB TOP DOG SHOCKER! *42-23 Run!


Northern Iowa at Wichita State Dec 30 2012 6:00PM


I'm taking the points with Northern Iowa on Sunday. First glance and you'll see Wichita State with an 11-1 record, looking to make it three straight over Northern Iowa, who sports a 7-5 mark. But last year's sweep was done by a different looking Shocker squad. WSU returned just two starters to this season's team and now they've lost three important cogs to injury. Guards Evan Wessel (finger) and Ron Baker (foot) are out indefinitely. The two averaged a combined 12.8 ppg & 4 apg, getting 19 and 25 minutes per game, respectively. But the main injury is the one suffered by leading scorer and rebounder Carl Hall. I went against the Shockers and cashed when Tennessee won 69-60 as a short underdog. Hall scored 21 of his team's 60 points in that game, making 9 of 10 shots, while grabbing 9 rebounds. The rest of the team combined for 39 points on 12 of 45 shooting with just 19 rebounds. The Shockers have seen their scoring dip from an average of over 70 ppg down to 62 ppg in the two games since Hall has been sidelined (thumb). Wichita built that record with those three players and against an extremely soft schedule. Meanwhile, Northern Iowa, who returned four starters from last year's squad, has already played St. Mary's at home, UNLV on the road, with neutral site games against Memphis, Louisville, and Stanford. By the way, the Panthers beat SMC and came within five points of both Memphis and Louisville. This is a team that's flying under the radar heading into Mo-Valley action. They're 10-2 ATS on the road against teams playing better than .800 basketball. I expect UNI to grab a big conference road win in this one, but my play is to take the points for insurance. I'm backing Northern Iowa, plus the points on Sunday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Prediction: Northern Iowa



BIG AL's NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR (78% ON TOP TOTALS)


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


At 8:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Dallas/Washington game. This selection is purely technical in nature, as it falls into 59-24 and 160-105 Totals Systems of mine. Additionally, since 1984, 40 of 59 NFC East Division games have gone 'under' the total when the line has been higher than 44 points. Finally, Dallas has gone 'under' in nine of 10 road games the past two seasons when the line has been higher than 44 points, and Washington has gone 'under' in 12 of 17 games vs. winning teams. Look for a low-scoring game in this critical NFC East game on Sunday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: under


Bet Type: TOTAL






BIG AL's 71% ATS NFL HIGH ROLLER WINNER!


Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the SF 49ers minus the points over Arizona. Last week, the Niners were blasted 42-13 by the Seahawks, and that defeat put the Niners in a precarious position, as they no longer control their own destiny to earn a 1st round bye. Instead, they must root for the Vikings to upset Green Bay on Sunday. Even worse for San Francisco: it now must win this afternoon to claim its second straight NFC West crown. I think it will, as NFL teams are an awesome 26-10 ATS at home off a 21-point (or worse) defeat, if they're a winning team, and favored by more than seven points. And it certainly won't hurt to see an Arizona team that's lost six straight road games -- and one which will hand the quarterback reins to Brian Hoyer, who will make his first NFL start. The Cards have dropped three straight in SF by an average of 20.7 ppg, and the 49ers are a super 14-4 ATS off an ATS loss. This will be another rout. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: San Francisco 49ers






BIG AL's 100% PERFECT NFL PLAYOFF CHASE CRUSHER!


Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings + the points over Green Bay. Last week, the Vikes went into Houston and blew out the AFC South leaders, 23-6. And that road win followed a road triumph in St. Louis where Minny routed the Rams 36-22. Now, the Vikes return home with an opportunity to make the Playoffs for the first time since 2009. With such a prize on the line, I think the Vikes will rise to the occasion, and upset Green Bay. For technical support, consider that .500 (or better) home dogs (or PK) are an awesome 73% ATS if they're off back to back road wins. Last week, Green Bay won 55-7 over the Titans. Unfortunately, road favorites (or PK) have covered 0 of 9 division games off win by more than 40 points. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: Minnesota Vikings






BIG AL's SUPER NFL ROADKILL WINNER -- EARLY KICK!


Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bengals minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens. Last week, the Ravens upset the defending Super Bowl Champs -- the NY Giants -- and snapped a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. Cincinnati also won last week with an impressive 3-point win at Pittsburgh to knock the Steelers out of the Playoff chase. Both Baltimore and Cincy will be in the post-season, and they may even have a re-match next weekend. But for this contest, I'm going to play on the Bengals. Even though the Ravens were impressive last week, they're still a team going in the wrong direction, as they're 1-3 SU/ATS over their last four games, while Cincy is on a 6-1 SU/ATS run. Even worse for the Ravens: since 1980, winning teams are a poor 230-296 ATS on the road off an upset win, if they're not favored by 7 points. Take the Bengals. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals




Larry Ness' 10* NFL Total GOY (the Big One)


New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


My 10* NFL Total GOY is on the NYJ/Buf Over at 1:00 ET.


The weather will be typically Buffalo-like and the game will have many angles as to just who and who isn't coming back next year. Both Rex Ryan and Chan Gailey (15-32) have to be worried about their jobs plus Sanchez and Fitzgerald, despite big dollars owed each, are surely concerned.Sanchez was not even expected to start but Ryan revealed Thursday that Sanchez would start the season finale due to a concussion McElroy sustained while being sacked 11 times against San Diego.The New York Jets' season appears to be ending much the way it began, fit for a three-ring circus.However, Sanchez can draw on good Week 1 memories, his best game of the year (266 yards with a 3-1 ratio & 123.4 rating), as the Jets beat the Bills, 48-28.He faces a Buffalo D which has allowed 28.4 PPG, the second-worst total in the NFL. The Bills have lost seven of nine after Sunday's 24-10 defeat at Miami Buffalo's offense continues to sputter, putting the focus on quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick's struggles even more. The Bills have scored 13 offensive touchdowns over their last eight games with Fitzpatrick accounting for eight TDs and seven interceptions over that span, However, on the year he has a 23-16 ratio, needing two TD passes to surpass his career-high of 24, set last season (he'll get them!). CJ Spiller has run for 241 yards and a TD on 39 carries (6.2 yards per carry) in two games since Fred Jackson suffered a season-ending injury. He enters the last game of the season with 1,185 yards on 6.5 YPC.He'll face a NYJ rush D which ranks 27th (35.3 YPG). Both QBs have little to lose and I'm betting will thrive. The poor weather report gives us an even lower 'target' than anticipated and I'm "all in!"


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: over






Larry's 10* NFL Wk 17 Las Vegas Insider (10-4 run)


Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


My 8* NFL Week 17 Las Vegas Insider is on the NY Giants at 1:00 ET.


The New York Giants sat at 7-7 late last year but closed with impressive wins over the Jets and Cowboys, giving them the NFC East title. Four wins later and the Giants earned their second Super Bowl trophy in five years (both over the Pats). A "repeat performance" hardly seems likely, though. New York led the NFC East most of the season, getting off to a 6-2 start that seemed to indicate the defending Super Bowl champs were once again contenders. However, the Giants have since dropped five of seven, including consecutive losses the last two weeks, 34-0 in Atlanta and then getting CRUSHED in Baltimore by the Ravens (who entered in full-blown free-fall mode), 33-14. Last week's defeat in Baltimore eliminated them from winning the division. Now New York must beat Philadelphia (4-11) and hope Chicago, Minnesota and Dallas all lose in order to gain the No. 6 seed as a wild card. "Obviously, the scenarios are very possible," quarterback Eli Manning said. "It's not like a bunch of huge upsets have to happen. These are three divisional games being played and in the division, you never know what might occur." That's an optimistic take but the good news is the Giants draw the Eagles, who have played horribly, all but assuredly costing Andy Reid his job, who is the NFL's longest-tenured coach. Philly opened 3-1 but warning signs were everywhere, as the three wins came by a combined four points. It surely wasn't all Vick's fault but the QB seems to have learned little in his career about reading defenses or making good decisions (evidenced by his nine INTs and four lost fumbles in his nine games). Vick went down with a concussion in a Week 10 loss to the Cowboys, 38-23. Rookie Nick Foles has started the last seven games and while he's shown promise, he couldn't get the Eagles into the win column, save once. The Eagles dropped EIGHT straight games after their Week 4 win over the Giants, before finally breaking through with a 23-21 win at Tampa (Foles threw two late-game TD passes, overcoming a 21-10 deficit). Two losses have followed that win (Philly has now lost 10 of 11) and last Sunday in a 27-20 loss to the Redskins, Foles was sacked five times, causing him a concussion. That's landed him on IR, so it's back to Vick, who hasn't played since suffering a concussion during a loss to the Cowboys on Nov 11 but has been cleared to return for a few weeks now. Eagle fans will point out that they've won EIGHT of their last nine vs the Giants, including the last five in New York. However, this Eagles team just doesn't have much left, while the Giants are not 'dead' just yet and have an uncanny habit of "playing lucky" in these types of situation. "Our fans are here," coach Tom Coughlin said. "We're excited to play in front of our fans and I hope that engenders the same kind of result this Sunday." That's EXACTLY what I expect. The Giants last two games at Met-life Stadium have been a 38-10 win over the Packers and a 52-27 win over the Saints. That's an average winning margin of 26.5 PPG. Well, that may be too much to expect but covering this number (currently about a TD or just a wee bit more) should be no problem.


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: New York Giants


Bet Type: SPREAD






Larry's 10* PERFECT STORM-NFL (14-4 s/2011)


Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cin Bengals at 1:00 ET.


The Bengals joined the Steelers and Ravens last year as the third AFC North team to qualify for the playoffs, led by a pair of rookies, QB Andy Dalton and receiver AJ Green (both Pro Bowlers). However, backing up a playoff season with another one the following year has not been a Cincinnati trait (last accomplished in 81-82). The Bengals ended a long playoff drought in 2005 by winning the AFC North but then followed with 8-8, 7-9 and 4-11-1 years. The team won the AFC North again in 2009 but fell to 4-12 in 2010.Then came last year’s wild card appearance.The Bengals host the Ravens Sunday, with both teams having clinched playoffs spots and are pretty much locked in their respective slots. The Ravens could move to the No. 3 seed with a win and an unlikely New England loss to Miami but Cincinnati is stuck in the AFC six-hole with nowhere to go. That said, the Bengals are the much hotter team, having won and covered SIX six their last seven and found a way to win in Pittsburg last week, despite three giveaways and only 14 yards rushing. Last week's scoring drought was rare, as Cincy's averaged 25.6 PPG in winning SIX of seven. Meanwhile, the Bengal defense has allowed just 12.1 PPG in that same span.The Ravens finally broke out of their slump last Sunday, routing the Giants, 33-14 in Baltimore.However, we all know that Flacco's been solid at home this season, while struggling badly on the road. Flacco's QB rating at home is 99.0 (15-5 ratio) with Baltimore averaging 31,8 PPG, while his QB rating is 75.4 on the road (7-5 ratio) with the Ravens averaging just 18.1 PPG. Cincy's ferocious pass rush (45 sacks) will be after Flacco all afternoon and I expect to see the Joe Flacco we saw in the beginning of December (three-game slide), NOT the confident we saw vs the suddenly slumping Giants. Flacco was greatly helped by Baltimore rushing for a season-high 224 yards last week, but the Cincinnati defense has allowed an average of only 58.0 yards on the ground over its last four contests. Speaking of defenses, we haven't seen a "typical" Baltimore one all season.The Bengal train keeps rolling!


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals






Larry Ness' Superstar Triple Play (3-in-1)


Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


My 8* play is on the NO Saints at 1:00 ET.


After disappointing seasons, the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints are both looking to use their Week 17 meeting to springboard them to better things next year.However, it's unclear whether a win in New Orleans on Sunday will help keep Carolina from making sweeping organizational changes.Since starting 2-8, the Panthers (6-9) have won four of five. They've won three straight by double digits, including a victory against the NFC's top seed Atlanta, but it still might not be enough for owner Jerry Richardson to retain coach Ron Rivera for another year. Rivera is 12-19 in two seasons at the helm and still has two years remaining on his contract. But even a 7-9 finish would likely be a disappointment for a team that seemed to have a shot at its first playoff berth since 2008-09 after Cam Newton burst on the scene as a rookie last season and the team won four of its final six games. Newton contributed to many of Carolina's "close losses" early on but he's somewhat salvaged his 2012 season with 10 TDs and just one INT (four rushing TDs) in Carolina's 4-1 run.The Saints (7-8) will miss the playoffs for the first time in four years. New Orleans faced an uphill fight after the team's suspensions because of the bounty scandal and started 0-4. Despite going 7-4 since, including Sunday's 34-31 overtime win at Dallas, during which Drew Brees threw for 446 yards and three TDs, the Saints were eliminated from contention due to other results. New Orleans' defense will try to avoid infamy on Sunday. The Saints have surrendered 6,512 yards this season, 281 shy of the record 6,793 given up by the 1981 Baltimore Colts. The Saints have allowed 434.1 YPG, over 40 yards more than the next worst team.However, they have improved recently, allowing 376.8 YPG over the last five games. The Saints' 41-0 shutout of Tampa Bay two weeks ago was the team's first since 1995. Carolina had lost four straight in the series before Newton accounted for 324 total yards and two scores in a 35-27 win on Sept 16. A Saints victory on Sunday gets them to 8-8 and it seems like a real goal for this team. Brees (7 TDs / 0 INTs. the last two games) has his mojo back (nine INTs in a three-game losing streak) and that's not mentioning RBs Ingram and Sproles playing well again. The Panthers seem to be a popular pick here but I believe they'll run into a highly motivated and revenge-minded Saints team and especially here in New Orleans, I'll take Brees over Newton anytime.


Good luck...Larry


Prediction: New Orleans Saints








Hollywood Sports' 25* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR!


Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


At 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Cincinnati Bengals (306) minus the point(s) versus the Baltimore Ravens (305). The playoff picture is pretty much settled in the AFC with all six teams clinching their spots last weekend. Cincinnati (9-6) will be the 6th seed no matter what while Baltimore will likely be the 4th seed hosting Indianapolis -- with the outside chance of a Patriots loss (along with their victory) seeing them host these Bengals next week. Yet one team seems particularly motivated to play well in this game -- and it is Cincinnati who looks to avenge their rough 44-12 loss to Baltimore that began the season. Said head coach Marvin Lewis: "We didn't kick the season off very good, and now we get to finish it at home … We don't know who we will play (in the playoffs) or where. We just have to take it on ourselves." For Lewis, that means bringing their "A-Game": "More in focus, though, is the Baltimore Ravens. They are a good team that just won our division and a team that beat the snot out of us in the first game … The only thing that is at stake is you go out and play to win the game every time we go … That's important." The Bengals are building confidence having won six of their last seven games which includes wins against their nemesis Steelers last week as well as a decisive win over the defending Super Bowl Champion Giants. Led by defensive lineman Geno Atkins, the Cincy defense is becoming elite. Over their last six games, they are limiting teams to just 264.3 total which makes them the stingiest defense in the NFL over that span. Over their last four games, they are holding teams to only 58.0 rushing YPG. But this is a team that still needs work for an offense that ranks 20th in the NFL. Look for the Bengals to press to keep their momentum going against the Ravens -- while getting some revenge from the beginning of the season -- after their 13-10 win at Pittsburgh as a 3-point underdog. Cincinnati has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a point spread win. The Bengals have also covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games after holding their last opponent to 14 points or less. Cincy has now covered 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. And they have covered 4 straight against teams from the AFC. Furthermore, in their last 7 meetings with the Ravens in Cincinnati, the Bengals have covered the spread (and won straight-up) 5 of these contests. Furthermore, they are supported by a situational angle that has been 76% effective since 1983. Teams with a winning percentage in the 60-75% range listed in the +/- 3-point range coming off a win on the road by three points or less now facing a team with a winning record have then covered the point spread in 34 of the last 45 situations where these conditions applied.


Baltimore (10-5) played one of their best games in months last week against a listless Giants team as they triumphed by a 33-14 score. But we remember how bad the Ravens have looked the previous three weeks that all ended in losses (and a fired offensive coordinator). Just how motivated will Baltimore be in this one since (a) New England will unlikely lose to Miami and (b) a playoff matchup with young Indianapolis is probably more attractive than a third contest against a heated divisional rival? Baltimore has some key injured players that may quickly hit the bench in this one. As it is, the Ravens have underachieved this time of season having failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played in December. And Baltimore is not nearly as good on the road as they are at home. While the Ravens average 352.5 total YPG, this number plummets to only 297.6 total YPG when on the road. In fact, Baltimore is being outgained by 65.7 total YPG away from home this season. Expect Baltimore to suffer yet another letdown in this one after being 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after a victory. The Ravens passed for 309 yards in that contest -- but they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Baltimore did hold the Giants to 67 rushing yards in that one -- and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after holding their last opponent to 90 rushing yards or less. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, the Ravens are just 1-3-1 ATS. Together, these team trends produce our specific 46-10-3 ATS combined angle for this situation. Lastly, because Baltimore raced to a 24-7 halftime lead last week, they now fall into a historical "play-against" angle that has been 81% effective since 1983. Road underdogs (or pick 'ems) who score 23-27 PPG (Baltimore: 25.4 PPG) who scored at least 24 points in the first half of their last game -- now facing a team that holds their opponents to 18-23 PPG (Cincinnati defense: 20.2 PPG) -- these road teams have then failed to cover the point spread in 25 of the last 31 situations where these conditions applied. Cincinnati does not want to begin the playoffs on the heels of a home loss versus a Ravens' team that crushed them by 32 points to begin the season. To pull an upset next week, Lewis needs his team confident -- and a win here goes a long way to establish that swagger. 25* NFL Revenge Game of the Year with the Cincinnati Bengals (306) minus the point(s) versus the Baltimore Ravens (305). Best of luck for us -- Frank.


Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals


Bet Type: SPREAD






IRON HORSE 10* SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF YEAR (DAL/WAS)


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


The NFC East is up for grabs after the NY Giants went on their 2-5 SU losing skid their final seven games of the season. Now the winner of this Sunday Night Football game between Washington and Dallas will win the division title. While Washington hasn't been a Playoff contender the past few years, beating division opponents is the one thing that they have done extremely well, owning a 9-2 ATS record against NFC East foes since last season, including a perfect 5-0 ATS (4-1 SU) this year! One of those wins came against this Cowboys squad, in Dallas, 38-31, back on November 22nd. Now this streaking Redskins squad is 6-0 SU & ATS since November 18th and rookie QB Robert Griffin has scored 31 points or more in 4 of those 6 games. With the Cowboys allowing 33 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games, we'll lay the points with Redskin's QB RGIII, as he can prove he's the real deal by taking the Skins to the Playoffs by winning the biggest game of his short NFL career in front of a national television audience on Sunday Night Football.
10* Play On Washington


Prediction: Washington Redskins


Bet Type: SPREAD




Team Del Genio 10* NFC East GOY (Dal/Was)


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


Play on Dallas at 8:30 ET. Surprise, surprise. It seems as if all the talking heads are handing the division to the Redskins. And it's fairly easy to understand why. Dallas seems to ALWAYS fail in the clutch. In fact, they have ended the last two regular seasons by losing playoff-elimination games to their other NFC East rivals, Philadelphia and the Giants. With Tony Romo at QB, the Cowboys are just 1-5 SU in playoff/elimination-type games. Meanwhile, Washington has the exciting RGIII & has won and covered its last six games to surge in front of the division. The Redskins are one of five teams that have not won a division title since 2002's realignment. But, at the risk of being a "party pooper," they have also escaped by the skin of their teeth in almost all of those wins. Four of those six wins have come by a touchdown or less. The two that were not came against Philadelphia and Cleveland. They did win in Dallas on Thanksgiving Day, 38-31 as a three-point dog, a misleading final considering a 28-3 halftime advantage. It was their fifth consecutive ATS win over the Cowboys. But lost in the shuffle is how well the Cowboys have been playing of late. They did lose LW in OT vs. New Orleans, getting a bad break in the extra period as the Saints recovered a fumble, allowing them to kick a GW chip shot FG. Prior to that loss, however, Dallas had won five of six games. Their only loss was to the Redskins. QB Tony Romo has been outstanding since that defeat, throwing for over 1300 yds w/ a 10-1 TD-INT ratio in four games. He is averaging 353 yds passing per game his L5 contests. The Cowboys actually play better on the road, as shown by a 4-3 SU/5-2 ATS record. In the second half of the season, Dallas has turned the ball over more than once in only one game - the loss to Washington. I realize that this is a highly contrarian play given Dallas' previous big game woes, but at least they have experience in such settings while this is arguably Washington's biggest game s/ 1999. Remember when Dallas opened the season by stunning the Giants? No one gave them a chance that night, including us. Take the points in a game that figures to come down to the wire. Dallas is our 10* NFC East Game of the Year.


Prediction: Dallas Cowboys


Bet Type: SPREAD






Team Del Genio FAMOUS NFL Trifecta (64% This Year)


Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


Play on Green Bay at 4:25 ET. Minnesota cannot be allowed to make the playoffs. Going into last week, QB Christian Ponder was actually averaging fewer yds per pass than RB Adrian Peterson was averaging per rush attempt. No Vikings receiver has gone for more than 53 yds since Week 10. Green Bay has owned this NFC North rivalry, taking five in a row and 10 of the last 13. This includes a 24-13 win at Lambeau back in Week 13 in spite of Peterson going for 210 yards. Despite the remarkable season, he cannot be counted on that kind of performance every week. Quietly, the Packers have won nine of 10 and are in position to earn themselves a first round bye, which seemed unlikely even a month ago. But QB Aaron Rodgers is back to playing remarkably well. He has been particularly brilliant through the years against Minnesota, completing 73% of his pass attempts w/ a 14-3 TD-INT ratio and 122.3 QB rating in beating them five straight times. He is just lethal indoors. In his last nine dome games, Rodgers has averaged 317 passing YPG w/ a 27-2 TD-INT ratio while also completing 71% of his passes. Even better is that Rodgers now seems to have a run game to support him. Despite lacking a clear #1 RB, the Packers offense has gone over 100 yds rushing six of the last seven games, including five straight. HC Mike McCarthy has owned the NFC North, going 10-1 ATS the last three years. Again, Minnesota does not "seem" like a playoff team, thus a loss here seems like what "should" happen. Take Green Bay.


Prediction: Green Bay Packers


Bet Type: SPREAD




Fargo's NFL SUPREME ANNIHILATOR (PERFECT WK17 LY)


Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


I was waiting to catch the latest injury news in this game and the news is not good for Jacksonville while it is much better for Tennessee. The Jaguars have an injury list that is loaded with players on the IR with wide receiver Cecil Shorts the latest to go on. The Jaguars five players from the defense that are listed as probable and while that means they will most likely go, they are not close to 100 percent on that side of the ball. Coming off a gallant effort against the Patriots, the defense is in for a long day Sunday. For Tennessee, it was feared Chris Johnson may not be able to go but he has been upgraded to probable after getting hurt in Green Bay last week. The Titans got pummeled against the Packers and I expect a big effort to close out the season to springboard into next year as this is a talented team but nothing went right this year. Tennessee will also be out for revenge as it was one of just two teams that the Jaguars defeated this season, and the only one since the middle of September. The Titans were embarrassed last week and players and coaches were quoted afterward that they have one game left to get it right and this is the perfect opponent for that to happen. Tennessee is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after scoring 14 points or fewer in two straight games while the Jaguars are 1-4 ATS against teams with a losing record. 9* (312) Tennessee Titans


Prediction: Tennessee Titans




Fargo's 10* NFL DARK HORSE DANDY (SWEET 10-4 RUN)


St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


Seattle is playing at a very high level right now so this will not be a very popular pick but the majority of mine in the NFL aren't popular anyway. The Seahawks are coming off a blowout win over San Francisco to keep their divisional hopes alive but those hopes are slim. Seattle needs to win and have San Francisco to lost at home against Arizona and that is pretty unlikely so we could see Seattle resting some players as the game progresses. It was the third straight blowout victory for the Seahawks as they have outscored their opponents 150-30 but keeping this up is extremely difficult. Because of the big wins, the line has gone through the roof and that is proven by the fact that Seattle was laying the exact same number against the Cardinals at home three weeks ago and the Rams cannot be compared to Arizona. St. Louis has closed strong and while it will not make the playoffs, finishing with a winning record is the goal right now. The Rams are 4--1 over their last five games and they have not lost on the road since mid-October at Miami, going 3-0-1 since then. This is a revenge game for Seattle but that is not a big factor and it actually goes against the Seahawks as we play against home favorites that are revenging a loss after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (331) St. Louis Rams


Prediction: St. Louis Rams


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* NFL SUNDAY ENFORCER (PERFECT WK17 LY)


Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


The Patriots played a horrible game at home against San Francisco two weeks ago and instead of coming out and rebounding huge last week, they struggled again against the Jaguars. New England won but if was hardly a good effort and the Patriots know that they need a big game heading into the playoffs. New England is still in line for the top seed in the AFC but it needs both Houston and Denver to lose. The Texans play early so New England will know its fate but that doesn't mean it will quit should Houston win as a first round bye would still be a possibility should Denver lose. That scenario isn't likely but as stated, the Patriots are going to play to win and win big to get their momentum and confidence back in order. The Dolphins are not going to give in either as they have won two straight games but those both came at home against the lowly Jaguars and Bills. They have lost three straight road games and overall have been outgained in nine of their last 11 games and 11 of 16 on the season. They hung tough against New England in the first meeting and we are actually getting line value on the Patriots as they were favored by eight points in Miami and are favored by only two more points here. New England is 18-6 ATS in the last two weeks of the regular season under head coach Bill Belichick so it will again play full out for four quarters. 10* (304) New England Patriots


Prediction: New England Patriots


Bet Type: SPREAD






Fargo's 10* NFL TOTALS DOMINATOR (PERFECT WK17 LY)


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


Dallas and Washington are playing for the NFC East and neither team will want to get into a shootout as that is where the majority of mistakes can be made. We are getting a lot of value here as well based on recent results and recent meeting history. These teams met on Thanksgiving and the game flew over the number as 69 points were scored on a 47-point closing number. Additionally, both teams have been involved in high-scoring games of late as Dallas as gone over in two straight games and even though both went into overtime, that did not come into play. Meanwhile Washington has gone over in three straight games and because of these factors, we are seeing a very high number here. Not counting Dallas playing New Orleans last week, this is the highest total the Cowboys have seen and for Washington, it has gone under in the last four games where the total was 48 points or higher. Add to the fact this is the Sunday night game and the public will be all over the over so the market had to adjust. Dallas is 7-0 to the under in its last seven games on the road with a total of 45.5 or higher while Washington is 12-5 to the under in its last 17 games against teams with a winning record. 10* Under (315) Dallas Cowboys/(316) Washington Redskins


Prediction: under


Bet Type: TOTAL




Marc's Jaw Dropping 17-0 ATS NFL Sunday Night Key


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


Play On: Washington Redskins (Game 316) Note: Talk about pressure: the Cowboys can still win the NFC East with a victory here, but a loss means they’re out of the playoffs for a third consecutive season. Ironically, this marks the 4th time in the last 8 years that Dallas finds itself in a "win and they are in" game the final week of the season. They lost 20-10 as 12.5-point home favorites against St. Louis in 2005, were destroyed 44-6 at Philadelphia in 2008, and were gorged 31-14 at the Giants last year. Even worse for Dallas fans, they’ve had to endure seeing their team’s last three games decided on the final play. Considering the Pokes’ dreadful 3-15 SU and 2-16 ATS effort in season-enders, it’s doubtful they’ll find themselves close enough to win in the closing moments. Especially considering that since 2010 NFL teams who played New Orleans the prior game are 1-16 SU and 0-17 ATS when priced "between the 3's" (+3 to -3). This jaw dropping stat tells us the Boys will be home for the holidays once again this year as teams in must-win situations are often gassed the following week after defending Drew Brees’ aerial assault. Washington’s current 6-game win streak is the club’s longest since 1996 and even though a win today will clinch the NFL East title for the first time since 1999, the ‘Skins are still in the playoffs regardless of the outcome. With RGIII slated to start, we love the fact that the Fab 5 rookie QB’s are 26-9-2 ATS at home in 2012, including 13-1-1 ATS since Game Ten! Meanwhile, Dallas coach Jason Garrett has struggled to a 1-5 ATS mark when playing with revenge from Game Thirteen out (0-4 versus division foes), plus he’s a money burning 1-11 ATS as a favorite or dog or 3 or less points in a division affair. Washington has cashed five straight tickets against their blood rivals and we think they’ll make it six in a row in this Sunday night flex-game special on NBC. We recommend a 3-unit play on Washington. Thank you and good luck as always.


Prediction: Washington Redskins


Bet Type: SPREAD






Marc's Double Perfect NFL Division Play Of Year!


St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


Play On: St. Louis Rams (Game 331) Note: Currently on a 4-0 SUATS run in which they have outscored the opposition 150-30 the last three games, the Seahawks are searing like angus beef on an open-fire grill. The problem this week, however, is the fuel gauge is running down and Jeff Fisher’s Rams are one tough piece of meat. That’s evidenced by the fact that a win by St. Louis today would leave them undefeated in division play under Fisher this year. No, the Rams can’t make the playoffs but they can end the season with a winning record and that excites Fisher. "This is a chance to finish out on a winning note and a chance to be undefeated in the division. If we're able to do that, I'd say then we can jump into the offseason with optimism for next year." QB Sam Bradford echoed Fisher’s sentiments. "We all realize what's at stake, obviously," Bradford said. “We found the playoffs aren't in the picture still, but if we go up and beat Seattle, we'd be undefeated in our division and finish with a winning record, which are two things we'd really like to accomplish (this) week." With Fisher’s contemporary, Peter Carroll, 0-6 SUATS in his NFL career in games after facing the 49ers (0-5 with Seattle), we look for the Rams to improve to 10-3 ATS as a dog under Fisher here today. The clincher in this game is the fact that teams in this league a rocky 10-25 ATS since 1980 when playing with no rest off three consecutive double-digit ATS wins during the regular season, including 0-12 ATS when if they own at least one loss on the season and are off a double-digit win taking on a .400 or greater opponent. With that we recommend a 4-unit play on St. Louis. Thank you and good luck as always. Don't make a move on Sunday night's key NFL clash between the Cowboys and Redskins until you learn of the amazing Awesome Angle inside the game that is a jaw-dropping 17-0 ATS in NFL games the last three years. Get it now and win real good with Marc tonight!


Prediction: St. Louis Rams


Bet Type: SPREAD






Marc's 19-0 ATS Triple Perfect NFL Key Play!


Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


Play On: Philadelphia Eagles (Game 313) Note: First off, let’s diffuse the negative judgment right away. Yes, New York is still mathematically alive for a playoff spot but it would take a miracle on 34th Street for it to happen as they need a win here and losses by Chicago, Dallas and Minnesota for that to happen. For openers defending champions have failed miserably in season finales against division foes, going 0-7 ATS as favorites of 4 or more points since 1980. Then there’s Eli Manning and his distasteful record in home games where, since his rookie season, he stands 2-8 SUATS as a division favorite during the 2nd half of the season. Philly, who beat the Giants 19-17 in September before going on an 8-game losing side immediately thereafter, has covered seven of the last nine series meetings, including five straight at the Meadowlands. In addition, Michael Vick is expected to be back behind center here and the dog-killer is 11-3 ATS in his career taking points when his team is off a SUATS loss, including 5-0 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points. Meanwhile, if you were to put tape over the names of these teams you’d insist the wrong team is favored. That’s because the Eagles enter the game sporting the better offense and the better defense. In addition, in games against 10 same common opponents this season Philadelphia owns a net 70 YPG stat advantage over New York. So why is it that a team allowing 34 YPG more than it gains on the season is a touchdown favorite over a team that gains 17 YPG more than it allows? It’s the ‘Super Bowl champion in a must-win situation’ syndrome. Making matters worse is the fact the G-Men have seen their net stats slip -52 YPG over the course of the 2nd half of the season. The clincher: Philadelphia coach Andy Reid is 12-2 ATS in his career with the Eagles as a division road dog of more than 5 points, including 7-0 ATS in games in which the Over/Under total is set at 41 or more points. Look for an inspired effort in what appears to be Reid's final game with the Eagles. Tape up this live dog. We recommend a 3-unit play on Philadelphia. Thank you and good luck as always. Don't miss this: Marc's Top Rated NFL Division Play of the Year kicks off Sunday and best of all it's backed with a pair of 100% ATS perfect winning angles inside the game. Get it now and 'learn while you earn' with Marc this Sunday!


Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles


Bet Type: SPREAD




Wow: Marc's Never Lost NFL Top Killer Key Play!


Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


Play On: Minnesota Vikings (Game 320) Note: When it comes to must-win games between two teams playing on the final week of the season, the question begs: is it better to rely on the old or the new? Proven from the past, the Packers take the field looking to clinch the No. 2 seed and a bye week with a win today knowing they are 17-1 SU and 12-4-2 ATS in season finales. They are however, just 3-9 SUATS under head coach Mike McCarthy in games after scoring 30 or more points when facing a doe off back-to-back wins, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS as favorites. Our main concern, though, is a Green Bay offense that has scored more than 28 points on only four occasions this season (FYI: they tallied that many 11 times last year), one whose production is 7 PPG and 49 YPG down from last season. The born-again Vikings enter off three SU underdog wins in a row and are in mandatory need of a win to gain a spot in this year’s postseason. The good news is that since 1980, teams off three SU dog wins are 18-7 SU and 17-7-1 when facing a division opponent, including 5-0 SUATS when the foe is off a double-digit ATS win. Knowing stud RB Adrian Peterson needs 208 rushing yards to break Eric Dickerson’s single-season NFL record (he had 210 yards in the first meeting with Packers this year), we’ll opt for the re-charged dogs here today. We recommend a strong 3-unit play on Minnesota. Thank you and good luck as always. Don't miss this: Marc's Top Rated NFL Division Play of the Year kicks off Sunday and best of all it's backed with a pair of 100% ATS perfect winning angles inside the game. Get it now and 'learn while you earn' with Marc this Sunday!


Prediction: Minnesota Vikings


Bet Type: SPREAD




Nick's 10* NFL week 17 TOTAL of the Year


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


With both squads needing a win to further their playoff hopes, we expect both offenses to be operating at full throttle and will side with the over here. Both teams have been 'over' teams this season and despite the fact that Washington is looking at it's third highest number of the season, and they have fallen under the number wiht those high totals, with the urgency here on both sides, we see this one rolling over the total. Take the over.


Prediction: over






Sam Martin's 25* DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR (8-0)!!


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


25* Play on Washington. We were successful in backing Washington and fading Dallas against the spread last week, and we'll stay put this week in backing the Redskins at home this Sunday night over Dallas in a huge NFC East showdown. The winner of this game wins the division and moves on to the playoffs while the loser likely goes home (Dallas is out with a loss, Washington could possibly advance with help). The Redskins are peaking at the right time and enter this game on a perfect 6-0 run - also covering the spread in all six games. Dallas had a late comeback last week to force overtime against New Orleans, but ended up falling by three points to end a streak of games which saw the Cowboys win three straight close games.


Last week's results give a huge edge to Washington here and they already enjoy a massive home field edge that will be even bigger now that this game has been moved to prime time. On the field the Redskins enjoy a massive advantage in the running game, averaging 85 more rushing yards per game than the Cowboys and allowing 20 rushing yards fewer on the season. And that number figures to be even greater in this game, as Dallas is all of a sudden completely lost with their rush offense, putting up final rushing yardage figures of 49, 87, and 40 yards in their last three.


Dallas has a better pass offense than the Redskins, however we don't like the idea of Romo having to throw the ball here on the road in a must-win division night game without a serviceable rushing attack behind him. Romo hasn't proven himself to be reliable in this situation and we expect more than few turnovers as a direct result. Washington wins and covers here at home as the Cowboys late season struggles continue! 25* NFC East Game of the Year on Washington.


Prediction: Washington Redskins


Bet Type: SPREAD






Sam Martin's 20* NFL


Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


20* Play on Green Bay. Sunday's Green Bay vs. Minnesota game is one of the few contests this weekend that actually matter as far as the playoffs are concerned, and we'll back the Packers who seem to be properly motivated to come away with their fifth straight win and cover here. While Minnesota obviously has motivation to play well here, so do the Packers, who can clinch a first round bye with a victory, and we fully expect that to happen against a Minnesota team that not only is in a bit of a letdown coming off their outright win in Houston last week, but also a Vikings squad that does not possess a credible passing threat we feel is necessary to beat the Packers.


While Adrian Peterson is staring down NFL rushing records, he is getting no help from the passing game, which has been held to 171 yards or less in five straight games. Minnesota has been able to disguise that weakness thanks to Peterson's running and some great defense, but the Vikings won't be able to contain a motivated Green Bay team here with a first-round bye on the line - especially after Aaron Rogers has led GB to five straight wins (4-1 ATS) in this series with the Packers averaging 32 points per victory.


The Packers racked up 435 total yards in their win and cover back in Green Bay against this Vikings team earlier this month - a game that saw the Packers give up a season-high 240 rushing yards. The Packers won't be fooled by this offense twice, and will dare the Vikings to beat them through the air. On the other side of the ball, Rogers put up 283 passing yards the first time around and here in a dome setting there's no reason to think he won't have another great day. Home field advantage not enough as the Packers offense has too much firepower and pull away in the second half! 20* Play on Green Bay.


Prediction: Green Bay Packers


Bet Type: SPREAD






Sam Martin's 20* REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH (8-0)!!


Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


20* Play on Pittsburgh. There's a lot going on in this week's Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh matchup, and while we expect a number of professional handicappers to stay away from this game, we feel there is great matchup and motivational factors favoring the home side. We'll back the Steelers to come out on fire, not only from failing to make the playoffs after a tough loss last week against Cincinnati, but also to avenge an earlier season loss against the Browns in Cleveland that snapped a 16-1 Pittsburgh winning run in this series.


Big Ben wasn't in the lineup for that loss in Cleveland, with Charlie Batch taking the snaps that day. This time around, it's the Browns who will be without their top two quarterback with both Weeden and McCoy out with shoulder injuries. That means Thad Lewis (former Duke quarterback) will take his first NFL snaps ever in this game against an angry Pittsburgh defense - on the road no less - and without the help of running back Trent Richardson, who will also miss this game due to injury.


Pittsburgh has been saying all the right things in practice this week, and with a number of professionals we don't expect the letdown game that most teams would suffer after being knocked out of playoff contention. Instead, the Steelers will go up against a Cleveland defense that has given up 38 and 34 points in the last two weeks, and will surely be lost offensively with all of their playmakers unable to compete. Steelers name their score here and blowout the Browns as they take their frustrations out against a Cleveland squad that resembles a fourth-quarter preseason team! 20* Play on Pittsburgh.


Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers




Eddie Keen’s 20 Unit NFC MONSTER MONEY MAKER!


Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


Play the PACKERS! Green Bay (11-4) has locked up its postseason berth by winning the North and now seeks a first-round bye after routing Tennessee 55-7 last week. A loss and a San Francisco win over lowly Arizona or a Seattle victory over St. Louis, though, would drop the Packers to the No. 3 seed for another date with Minnesota. The Vikings have covered just 6 of the last 22 against teams with a winning record. GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. GREEN BAY is 10-1 ATS versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons. GREEN BAY has to keep momentum and play this game as if there is a chance for a bye. PLAY THE PACKERS!


Prediction: Green Bay Packers






Rickenbach TOP *10* NFL *GAME OF THE YEAR*!


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL *10* (TOP Play) Washington over Dallas @ 8:30 ET - The Dallas Cowboys travel to Washington to take on the Redskins on Sunday Night. This is a battle for a playoff spot and the NFC East Championship. Dallas is 8-7 SU overall this year while Washington comes in with a 9-6 SU overall record this season. Washington is averaging 384.8 yards per game overall this year. Dallas is allowing 24.8 points per game overall this year. Washington is scoring 27.2 points per game overall this year and 25.4 points per game at home this season. Dallas is 4-13 ATS last 17 games against division opponents. Dallas is 9-25 ATS last 3 years against conference opponents. Washington is 13-4 ATS last 3 years against division opponents including a perfect 5-0 ATS this year. Washington is 5-0 ATS last 3 years overall vs Dallas. Washington is the better team here and will get the win here tonight! Play Washington as a *10* TOP Play selection Sunday.


Prediction: Washington Redskins






Rickenbach MASSIVE NFL *SHOCKER* EARLY! 61% TY!


Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL *8* (Regular Play) Philadelphia over NY Giants @ 1 ET - The Philadelphia Eagles travel to New York to take on the Giants on Sunday. Philadelphia is 4-11 SU on the season while the NY Giants are 8-7 SU overall this year. NY Giants are allowing 387.8 yards per game overall this year. Philadelphia is averaging 356.7 yards per game overall this season. NY Giants are giving up 31.3 points per game their past 3 games overall. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU and ATS overall vs NY Giants the past 3 years including 2-0 SU and ATS in New York. Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. NY Giants are 2-6 ATS last 8 games against a team with a losing record. NY Giants are 3-10 ATS last 13 home games against a team with a losing road record. Philadelphia is 7-1-1 ATS last 9 meetings overall in this series. Underdog is 13-2-1 ATS last 16 meetings in this series. Road team is 3-0-1 ATS last 4 meetings. Philadelphia keeps this one close and don't be surprised by an outright win. Play Philadelphia as a *8* Regular Play selection Sunday.


Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles




Rickenbach NFL *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*! 31-9 78% TY!


Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL *10* (TOP Play) OVER in Chicago at Detroit @ 1 ET - The Chicago Bears travel to Detroit to take on the Lions on Sunday. Chicago is 9-6 SU overall this year while Detroit is 4-11 SU overall this season. Detroit is averaging 414.2 yards per game overall this year. Chicago is scoring 26.4 points per game on the road this year. Detroit is allowing 27.4 points per game overall this year and 27.3 points per game at home this season. The Over is 31-16 last 3 years in all games for Detroit. The Over is 6-1 last 7 games for Chicago after they allow 15 points or less. The Over is 5-1 last 6 road games for Chicago. The Over is 10-3 last 13 games when Chicago is off a SU win and 9-3 last 12 games off an ATS win. The Over is 8-1 last 9 games when Detroit is off a double digit SU loss at home. The Over is 14-6-1 last 21 games when Detroit is off an ATS loss. Plenty of points scored in this one. Play OVER in Detroit as a *10* TOP Play selection Sunday.


Prediction: over




Rickenbach MASSIVE NFL *DOMINATOR* Sunday! 61% TY


Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Dec 30 2012 4:25PM


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL *8* (Regular Play) Minnesota over Green Bay @ 4:25 ET - The Green Bay Packers travel to Minnesota to take on the Vikings on Sunday afternoon. Green Bay is 11-4 SU overall this year while Minnesota has a 9-6 SU overall record on the season. Minnesota is 6-1 SU at home this year where they are scoring 24.7 points per game. Minnesota is 3-0 SU last 3 games where they are scoring 26.7 points per game. Minnesota is 5-1 ATS at home this year. Green Bay is 1-4 ATS last 5 games on artificial turf. Minnesota is 5-2-1 ATS last 8 games on artificial turf. Home team is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings overall in this series. Minnesota gets the win here today. Play Minnesota as a *8* Regular Play selection Sunday.


Prediction: Minnesota Vikings




Burns' Blue Chip TOTAL OF THE YEAR! *34-20 YTD!*


Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


I'm playing on Philadelphia and NY to finish UNDER the total. The earlier meeting between these teams produced just 36 points. The Giants, who have scored just 14 points their last two games, have seen six of their last seven games fall below the total. The Eagles saw each of their last two games finish above the number. However, neither produced more than 47 points. Also, both of those were at Philly. In their road games, the UNDER is 6-1 on the season. The Eagles averaged just 16 ppg in those seven road games, an average combined score of 41.3. The Giants have now seen the UNDER go 7-2 the past few seasons when playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. That number is 44-25 to the UNDER over the long-term. On a cold and windy day, I feel this number will prove too high. *10 Blue Chip


Prediction: under




Eddie Keen’s 20 UNIT NFL BLOWOUT BURIAL!


Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


PLAY THE STEELERS! Bottoom line, whether this is a real rivalry anymore or not, is Pittsburgh is NOT losing to CLEVELAND twice in one season. The Steelers and Coach Mike Tomlin aren't rolling over despite missing the playoffs. The Browns are starting Thaddeus Lewis at QB with Brandon Weeden and Colt McCoy out with injuries. Trent Richardson is also out of this game. CLEVELAND will find it difficult to score. PITTSBURGH is 30-7 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1992. Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger with something to prove, and Cleveland with no talent to withstand the maligned Pittsburgh defense adds up to a BLOWOUT! PLAY THE STEELERS!


Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers




*EARLY ROUT* Burns' *10 PERSONAL FAVORITE! *10-3!*


Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


I'm playing on HOUSTON. The Colts are playing their starters and they have their head coach back - for the first time all season. While they appear to be serious about wanting to win, the fact is that a victory can't help their positioning. On the other hand, the Texans still could have a chance at helping themselves. I expect them to be the more motivated team. Defensive end J.J. Watt noted: "We know what it takes," said defensive end J.J. Watt, two sacks shy of Michael Strahan's single-season record of 22 1/2. "We're going to get focused, and then we're going to come out there and earn ourselves home-field advantage." The Colts, who are great against losing teams but only 1-2 ATS against teams with a winning record, may have eked out a win last week but they didn't exactly look dominant doing it. Indeed, they were outgained by a lopsided 507-288 margin, giving up a whopping 352 yards on the ground. I expect that to spell trouble against the Texans, who are surely licking their collective chops. The Texans are 3-1 ATS the last four times that they were listed as road favorites in the 3.5 to 7 range. They know what's at stake and I expect them to take care of business. *10 Personal Favorite


Prediction: Houston Texans




*EARLY* Burns' *10* BEST BET! ~ 10-3 L2 Days!


Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions Dec 30 2012 1:00PM


I'm playing on DETROIT. The Lions rank near the top of the league, in the category of most disappointing season. A talented team, they lost close games in a variety of different ways. That string of close losses eventually caught up with them - fighting so hard to to come up just short, over and over again, will do that. They've been blown out each of the past two weeks. Neither of those were divisional games though. Neither had playoff implications like this one. The Lions have had an extra day of rest and preparation time here (last game was a Saturday) and that often can be more helpful than it sounds. More importantly, they get to host the hated Bears, a team which beat them by six at Chicago back in October. Better yet, they can play a role in keeping them out of the playoffs. I don't believe that lack of motivation will be an issue. This is an opportunity to show some pride, get some revenge and to give the home fans something to take into the offseason. As Cutler said of the Lions: "It's safe to say the Lions are disappointed in their season, so they would love nothing more than to make us disappointed for the rest of the year." Coach Schwartz would note: "You want to end the season on a high note. Last year we were a playoff team ... It does give you a little bit of feeling going into the offseason. It's one of 16, but it is the last one that we play. Nobody wants teams to celebrate at your own expense. I think that's important." The Lions beat the Bears 24-13 here last season. I expect them to be at their best again this afternoon. *10 Best Bet


Prediction: Detroit Lions




Burns' 10* SNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH! *10-3 L2 DAYS!*


Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins Dec 30 2012 8:30PM


I'm playing on Dallas and Washington to finish UNDER the total. Memories of Thanksgiving will have many expecting another shootout. While that could happen, I don't expect it to. True, including the "Turkey Day" loss, the Cowboys have seen the "over" go a profitable 6-2 in their games at Dallas. However, its also true that the UNDER is 5-2 in their games away from Dallas, which have been significantly lower-scoring. For the season, Cowboy road games are averaging 42.8 points, just 17 in the first half. Meanwhile, Washington home games have been lower-scoring than Washington road games, four of seven staying below the total. Romo was forced to throw the ball 62 times in the last meeting, matching a career high. The Cowboys played that game without starting running back DeMarco Murray though and he's back in the fold now. That should lead to more running plays and significantly less pass attempts. While Griffin gets all the attention, the Skins have quietly developed a potent ground game. We should see a heavy dose of Alfred Morris. Just because one game in this series is high-scoring doesn't mean the other will be. Recently in this series, the two games have been vastly different from each other. Last season, one game produced 34 points and the other 58. The previous season, one game finished 20 and the other 63. On a cold night, with both teams helping to chew up the clock with frequent running plays, look for the final score to prove lower-scoring than most will be expecting. *10


Prediction: under

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Stu feiner goy houston

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Pointwise NCAAB
TULANE over Alabama RATING: 5

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northcoast
3* colts-patriots
marq - cowboys

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Gil Alexander

Washington
Miami
Cincy

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL - Sunday, December 30th - Free Member Play
TOP (3 UNITS)
BENGALS -2.5 vs ravens (10am)

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The wunderkinds of the Canadien Crew of OffshoreInsiders have a week 17 NFL winner.

Kansas City Chiefs (2-13, 5-10 ATS) vs Denver Broncos (12-3, 10-5 ATS)

Odds: Denver -16, 42 o/u

When it comes to big-time NFL rivalries, the story of the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs is seriously under appreciated. That’s why betting public is driving a sky high line the final regular season game for the red hot Denver Broncos. But what are they missing?

For starters, Kansas City is the only team to hold the Broncos to less than 20 points all season. That happened back in week 11, well after Denver began their spectacular 10-game winning streak. The Chiefs were playing their best that day and quick look at the box score makes you wonder where that iteration of the Chiefs was all season.

There’s no question that the Broncos will taking the KC seriously, even if the betting public is not. In a year that’s been marred by tragedy and incompetence, today is a chance for the Chiefs to end their season on a high note in a stadium that’s going to be anything but friendly.

If KC has any chance at all of coming out of Mile High with a win, it’s going to be because of running back Jamal Charles. The last time these teams met up the dominant Denver defense held him to just 107 yards and he can expect to have their full attention again today.

Denver’s rise to prominence is one of the biggest stories in the NFL these days and there’s no question that they’re a fan favorite. Under the steady handed leadership of John Fox and Peyton Manning, every aspect of their game has steadily improved all season. They’re playing for a bye week in the playoffs and we expect a big game from everyone involved.

We don’t doubt that the Broncos are going to come out on top, but 16 points is a bit on the high side. KC has a chance at ruining Denver’s shot at a little rest and that should keep this game pretty close.

The Pick: Kansas City +16.5

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Stephen Nover
GB Packers

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POWER PLAY WINS

POD

Washington Redskins -3

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Milwaukee won eight of last 11 games (6-3 as AU). Pistons won three of last four games (3-4 as HF).
-- Spurs won last four games overall, but lost last four on road (9-5 as AF).
-- Sacramento won last three home games, scoring 115 ppg (7-7-1 vs spread at home).
-- Clippers won last 16 games, covered 10 of last 13 (10-5 as HF).


Cold Teams
-- Mavericks lost last five games, four by 10+ points (1-3 as HU).
-- Celtics lost six of last eight games (4-7-2 vs spread on road).
-- Jazz lost six of last eight games (3-8-1 as AU).

Totals
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Detroit's last five games. Six of last eight Milwaukee road games stayed under total.
-- Six of Spurs' last nine games stayed under the total. Five of last seven Dallas games went over.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under total; six of Sacramento's last eight games went over.
-- Six of last nine Utah games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Bucks are 1-5 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Boston is 3-3-2 vs spread if it played night before.

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paul leiner 2000

wash

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Trends on Steroids - Top Investment Pick
Colts/ Texans Over 47

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CBB

-- Illinois State makes 59% of 2-point shots, best in country; they won last four games overall, but they've lost five visits to Terre Haute, by 6-15-7-5-4 points, with two of losses in OT. Redbirds are 2-1 on the road, with two wins by total of three points. Indiana State won two of three last week in Hawai'i, with both wins in OT vs teams in top 35.
-- 5-6 Princeton is second-tallest team in country; they're 3-2 on road, losing by 20 at Syracuse, 6 in OT at Wagner. Tigers beat Bucknell in last game, their second vs top 100 team. Akron won last three games, by 30-30-15 points; they're 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with best win over Middle Tennessee in OT. This is first game in eight days for Princeton.
-- 3-8 Yale lost by 26 at St Joe's in only game vs top 100 team; Bulldogs lost by 10 at Nevada Friday in first game of western swing. Yale turns ball over 23.3% of time. St Mary's is 6-0 at home, with 18 points closest of six games; Gaels are #2 in country with 58.8eFG%- they've won all three games vs teams not in top 200, winning by 19-18-53-23 points.
-- 10-3 Tulane has played 3rd-easiest schedule in country, as their coach tries to build confidence thru winning; they lost by 18 at Georgia Tech in only game vs top 100 team. Green Wave is 0-3 on road, also losing by 4-6 points at Nebraska/San Diego. Alabama lost four of its last five games, with bad home loss to Mercer last game; they're #311 experienced team that has played #59 schedule.

-- Northern Iowa lost three of last four visits to Wichita, with losses by 25-9-8 points; Panthers won in OT at George Mason, lost at UNLV by 14 in their only road games this season. First game in 8 days for Shocker squad that is 7-0 at home, with one win by less than 12 points. UNI has five losses, all vs teams in top 50, by 5-16-5-14-7 points.
-- Former Missouri State coach Hinson returns to Springfield with Saluki team that lost last six games vs State, losing last three visits here, by 12-18-5 points. So. Illinois is forcing turnovers on 25.8% of possessions, is 4-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 17-16-13-12 points. Bears are 0-10 vs D-I teams, losing home games by 16-6-20-8 points.
-- USC lost seven of last eight games, with only win vs #341 Riverside; Trojans are 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 30-8-6-8-14 points and only win over #53 Texas in OT. Dayton is 7-0 vs teams not in top 125, with 8 points closest win; they won 81-76 at Alabama in only true road games this season. Flyers force a turnover on 25% of foes' possessions.
-- Wofford pulled upset at Xavier last game, its first win in five games vs top 100 teams, with losses by 15-23-6-7 points. Terriers are 0-5 when they allow 60+ points, a figure Virginia hit in eight of last nine contests. Cavaliers are playing first game in 8 days; they had 8-game win streak snapped by ODU last game. UVa's 40.3 eFG% is #5 in country.

-- Much-improved Canisius finished LY at #311; right now, they're #111 and 9-3, with two of three losses at top 25 teams. Griffins are 4-3 away from home; they're #15 in country, making 39.9% behind arc. Detroit is 5-0 at home, with win over Akron; they've won four of last five overall, with only loss at Syracuse by 4. Titans have played #28 schedule.
-- 6-5 West Virginia struggles on offense, shooting 28.2% from arc, 45% inside arc; WVU is 6-1 vs teams not in top 100, but last four wins were all by 10 or less points. 10-2 Eastern Kentucky runs Princeton offense; they're worst team in country on defensive boards, which will be issue vs physical Mountaineers- they lost by 13 at Illinois in only game they played against a team in top 200- they've played schedule #336.
-- Larry Brown's SMU team is 9-4; they haven't played team ranked in top 150. Mustangs' best win is over #169 Utah, who they also later got beat by on road. Brown ran LY's PG off team; SMU now turns ball over 23.8% of time. Furman is 1-8 vs D-I teams, with only win vs #340 team; they lost last three games, by 14-24-12 points.
-- 9-4 Loyola Md just lost by 20 at home to Bucknell, its first game vs a top 100 team; three of Greyhounds' four losses are by 15+ points, with road losses by 22 at Washington, 15 at Florida Gulf Coast. Memphis is won six of last seven games; they're 6-0 vs teams not in top 100, with wins by 15-11-28-18-6-15 points- they play Tennessee next game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew Lange
Detroit +3
San Francisco over 38.5

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WIZARD
Houston -7
San Diego -10

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Bankroll sports 6-2 yesterday---10* winner on mich st spartans +2---3-1 last 4 10*'s

todays card

10* cowboys/redskins under 49.5
5* minny vikings +3.5
4* balt ravens +2.5
3* rams +11.5
2* buff bills -3

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Seabass Report for Sunday
All 100's
NFL:
Teaser-New England and UNDER San Diego
Cincinnati
Detroit
San Francisco
St. Louis
UNDER Giants

Basketball:
Virginia
Detroit(NBA)
Utah(NBA)

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Smokeyourbookie
houston
oak
dallas

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Docs CBB

Ugly 1-3 -1140 yesterday still on a 19-5 run and +8800 this year.

2-Unit Play. #822 Take USC (-2) over Dayton (7 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

Granted it is always dangerous to take the Trojans but they have talent and will overcome their coaching deficiencies tonight against a mid-major program at the Galen Center. The Flyers had a long trip to LA with some weather issues and thus expect USC to jump on them early and maintain the lead for 40 minutes. Dayton is 6-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games played on Sunday. Take the short favorite here.

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Joey Cassano

Under 42 in Jax Tenn
Indy +7
St Lou +11

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Sixth Sense
Phily
Minn
Carolina

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Dr Bob

3* Eagles
3* Vikings
2* Bengals

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action jackson
yale

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Red Zone
RAIDERS +8
49ERS -16.5

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Chip Chirimbes

Cowboys

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Handicappersports
Miami / New England OVER
Dallas
Carolina
Arizona / San Francisco OVER
St. Louis / Seattle OVER

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int picks


3* Wash

2* NE
bears
saints
bengals

1* nyg under
49er under
sd under

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Andy Iskoe

Jets at Bills: Both teams are out of the playoffs so motivation must be questioned. It’s been a disappointing season for both as each was a popular preseason choice to be playing in January. The Bills are more likely to make a coaching change so their level of preparation may be less than at midseason levels. The Jets should be giving backup QB Greg McElroy a second straight start. That might just be enough of an edge to back the visitors. JETS.

Dolphins at Patriots: New England may rest some players especially if expected to be the AFC’s third seed and not have a bye next week. Miami has shown progress behind rookie QB Ryan Tannehill and a new coaching staff. Although New England did lost its last home games against San Francisco, HC Bill Belichick sees the big picture and will not be concerned with factors that do not have a positive impact on his team’s chances of returning to the Super Bowl. DOLPHINS.

Ravens at Bengals: This game may decided the AFC North title and a wild card at home next week if the Ravens lost to the Giants and the Bengals upset the Steelers. Baltimore is already in the playoffs but the Bengals may not be. Baltimore waxed Cincy at home to open the season and the Bengals have a chance for meaningful revenge. Baltimore’s age and injury issues may have them resting players since they will be in action next week regardless of the venue. Cincinnati should have the greater send of urgency. BENGALS.

Browns at Steelers: Cleveland has long known its 2012 season ends after this game although there was steady overall improvement over the second half of the season. Last week’s results may have eliminated the Steelers from the playoffs but a win over Cincinnati should have kept those hopes alive. Both teams have been more consistent on defense and the Steelers are less likely to take risks on offense, having the better and more experienced talent. UNDER.

Texans at Colts: This game could be meaningless for one or both teams. Both were favored last week and a Colts win clinched a Wild Card whereas a Texans win gave Houston the top overall AFC seed. Both teams may give their starters limited action which could be a benefit for developing playoff depth. If such is the case we could see a sloppily played game with turnovers depressing scoring chances. UNDER.

Jaguars at Titans: Both teams are ending disappointing seasons, neither of which comes as a surprise given preseason expectations. The Jags have dealt with key personnel losses and may have the top draft choice next spring. Tennessee has the more talented roster and is playing to avenge an earlier loss to the Jags, one of only two wins Jacksonville has recorded. TITANS.

Eagles at Giants: This disappointing season for Philly comes to an end here and with it likely the long coaching tenure of Andy Reid. If the Giants won at Baltimore on Sunday they clinch a playoff spot with a win here. The Giants are accustomed to winning late season games but even if they’ve been eliminated for the playoffs are more likely to give the better effort, especially since losing to Philly earlier. GIANTS.

Cowboys at Redskins: This game most likely decides the NFC East title. Dallas seeks to avenge its Thanksgiving Day home loss to the Redskins. Washington had won and covered five straight heading to Philadelphia last week and they’ve got two excellent rookie quarterbacks. A Dallas win over the Saints will have done more to erase the memories of prior December failures. The selection is based on that result. If Dallas beat New Orleans, the play is COWBOYS. If not, then REDSKINS.

Bears at Lions: A win at Arizona may have Chicago still alive for the playoffs but a loss has them playing for little other than pride. The Lions have been out of the playoffs for some time but might be motivated to knock off their long time rivals and avenge a 13-7 loss from October. Detroit does have the better offense and the defense is healthier. LIONS.

Packers at Vikings: This game might have meaning for both teams although a loss at Houston last week should have eliminated the Vikings from the playoffs. Green Bay may have a shot at a first round bye. The Vikes will be eager for RB Adrian Peterson to add to his impressive rushing totals and make a case for his being league MVP. UNDER.

Bucs at Falcons: Atlanta may rest players, especially if they wrapped up the top NFC seed last week. Tampa Bay has played hard all season and will be a chic team to back as new HC Greg Schiano has turned around the team’s culture. Tampa should again play hard and would like to avenge last month’s tough 24-23 home loss to the Falcons. BUCS.

Panthers at Saints: Both are out of the playoffs but each has played well over the latter half of the season. Carolina QB Cam Newton has overcome a sluggish start. New Orleans QB Drew Brees had a few bad games in tossing interceptions but still has compiled impressive stats. This should be a wide open game between a pair of teams capable of scoring quickly. OVER.

Chiefs at Broncos: Denver may need a win here to secure the 2 seed for the playoffs. Kansas City’s turbulent and challenging season comes to an end. The offense has been a no-show since the end of September, averaging less than 11 ppg for the 10 games prior to last week against the Colts. The defense has played reasonably well during this same stretch. Denver should be more concerned with shortening this game and staying healthy, meaning fewer possessions. UNDER.

Raiders at Chargers: This long time rivalry has little meaning as both teams close out disappointing seasons. Neither team will even sniff a .500 record and each may have new coaches for 2013. The teams have combined for just 9 wins yet ironically both upset Pittsburgh and swept Kansas City. Oakland seems to be the healthier of the two teams and should be getting points. RAIDERS.

Cards at 49ers: San Francisco may need this game to clinch the NFC West title and possibly the 2 seed as well. Arizona is ending a disappointing season that had a promising 4-0 beginning. 49ers HC Jim Harbaugh’s mentality is to not let his team take weeks off and we may see Alex Smith get extended works. The line may actually be reasonable, especially if the Niners’ playoff seeding is known prior to kickoff. 49ERS.

Rams at Seahawks: Seattle may have already clinched a playoff spot by kickoff. St. Louis has had a better than expected season under new HC Jeff Fisher and prospects for the future are bright as the team adds depth. Seattle was a perfect 6-0 both SU and ATS at home prior to last week’s showdown with SF. There’s a chance the Seahawks may rest players if playing a wild card game. UNDER.

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The human factor
SAN FRANCISCO 49ER'S

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Inside Edge : 4*Over 36 (Pitts.)

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Denny the Dog @ Gaming Today


Sunday, Dec. 30

Jaguars at Titans: The Jags defeated the Titans in Jacksonville a few weeks ago. It’s been a bleak season for both clubs. Both teams are somewhere between mediocre and terrible. But one of the Jags 2 wins this season was against the Titans not too long ago. I will take the Jags plus whatever points the Bookmaker feels generous enough to give me. JAGUARS.

Packers at Vikings: The Packers have clinched and the Vikings are still clawing away. The Pack has injuries on both sides of the ball. Pass protection could be an issue. VIKINGS.

Panthers (NL) at Saints: Both teams have made big time recoveries during the course of the season. The Saints lost their first 4 then made a comeback, only to fade away in the last month. The Panthers never showed up this year until the last 3 or 4 weeks. I’m not sure which good or bad team will show up in the finale so I have to back the home team. SAINTS.

Jets at Bills: Buffalo has agreed to a 10-year lease with the state and county to continue playing at Ralph Wilson Stadium. $130 million will be committed to upgrading the old Orchard Park digs. This deal locks the Bills into Buffalo for the next 7 seasons. Poor Buffalo fans will have to continue to suffer watching the poor play. But at least they’ll suffer under better conditions. Who knows how long Jets fans will have to put up with the Tebow-Sanchez-Ryan circus. BILLS.

Dolphins at Patriots: Except for the one hiccup versus the Niners the Pats have been playing as well as anyone in the league. I believe Belichick will want as much momentum as possible as they gear up for the Lombardi Trophy chase. PATRIOTS.

Ravens at Bengals: The Bengals might have a playoff berth to play for here. The Ravens are already in the money games but appear to be busted with key injuries. There’s no doubt the Ravens are feeling lucky to even make the playoffs. No sense in risking further injuries if you’re John Harbaugh. BENGALS.

Browns at Steelers: I’m predicting neither team will have much to play for in this game. But even if I’m right, these 2 teams can’t stand each other so I think they’ll be some hard hitting. Tomlin demands it and the Browns will be trying to impress their new owner. BROWNS.

Texans at Colts: Texans just beat the Colts by 12 a couple weeks ago. They need to keep their momentum in high gear if they’re going to dream about reaching the Super Bowl. TEXANS.

Eagles at Giants: The marathon Andy Reid death march comes to an end here. I believe his players will give an all out effort to give him a chance to go out a winner. The G-men will definitely need the game so we should be able to grab a bunch of points in this contest. EAGLES.

Cowboys at Skins: There aren’t too many teams hotter than the Skins the last month. Whether it’s RGIII or Kirk Cousins, the Shanahans seem to be pressing all the right buttons. But since the Skins upset the Cowboys in Dallas, the Cowboys have been clutch – especially quarterback Tony Romo. This should be a huge game for both teams and I’ll take what may be the visiting underdog. COWBOYS.

Bears at Lions: There aren’t many teams playing worse than da Bears. However, the Lions are one of them. Detroit could wipe away a smidgeon of the humiliating, underachieving season. LIONS.

Bucs at Falcons: Two clubs going in opposite directions of late. But I’m taking the dog because I think there will be more than a few bonus points built into the public’s love of playoff bound teams. BUCS.

Raiders at Chargers: If this isn’t Norv Turner’s swan song, Chargers fans should be bolting to the stadium with their Oust Turner picket signs. Ironically, Turner will probably win his last game! CHARGERS.

Cards at 49ers: Funny thing about the NFL, some teams can put great rosters together and some have no clue. The Niners have 2 QBS to pick from that could start. The Cards have 3 on their roster and you wouldn’t want any one of them to start. 49ERS.

Rams at Seahawks: Rams have the potential to play rough in tough games like they’ve shown this season in games against the 49ers and this Seattle team. RAMS.

Chiefs at Broncos: I don’t think Peyton Manning will be taking any time off here. The Chiefs haven’t had much to cheer about all season and they shouldn’t get too excited here. BRONCOS.

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Accuscore

Analyst’s Top Week 17 NFL

Buffalo Bills -3.5 vs. New York Jets
A coach that wants to be fired, and a quarterback that knows he is out of a job? Suffice it to say that the Jets have motivation issues in this final game of the season. AccuScore simulations have the Bills winning 61.6 percent of the time, and by 5 points on average.

Green Bay Packers -3.5 at Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings need this game to make the playoffs, but Green Bay too will be playing for a first round bye and homefield advantage. Plus, the Packers are flat out the better team, and will get to play in a dome in order to fuel their multifaceted passing attack. AccuScore simulations have the Packers winning by 7 points on average, and winning outright 66.7 percent of the time. The Vikings have more incentive to win, but the Packers are just better and the line does not accurately reflect the difference.

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executive 400 giants

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Sports-Junkie

12/30 5* NFL: Ravens/Bengals OVER 42.5

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball



3-Unit Play. #825 Take Canisius +6.5 over Detroit (Sunday @ 3pm est)

3-Unit Play. #819. Take Southern Illinois -4.5 over Missouri State (Sunday @ 6:30pm est).

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Strike Point Sports Picks For College Basketball



3-Unit Play. #825 Take Canisius (+7) over Detroit (3 p.m., Sunday, December 30)

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Robert Ferringo's Picks For College Basketball



2-Unit Play. Take #809 Illinois State (-4.5) over Indiana State (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take #814 St. Mary's (-21.5) over Yale (5:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take #819 Southern Illinois (-4) over Missouri State (6:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take #822 USC (-2) over Dayton (7 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take #825 Canisius (+7) over Detroit (3 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take #517 Northern Iowa (+7) over Wichita State (6 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #825 Canisius (+12) over Detroit (3 p.m.) AND Take #517 Northern Iowa (+12) over Wichita State (6 p.m.)

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Allen Eastman's Picks For College Basketball
3-Unit Play. Take #517 Northern Iowa (+7) over Wichita State (6 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

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Vegas Sports Informer's Picks For College Basketball

3 Unit Play. Take #818 Wichita St -7 over Northern Iowa (6:00 p.m., Sunday, December 30)

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David Banks

Sunday, December 30,2012

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins

Exactly like last season, there is a pseudo-playoff game to determine the NFC East winner on the last week of the season as the Dallas Cowboys (8-7, 6-9 ATS) visit the Washington Redskins (9-6, 10-5 ATS) Sunday at FedEx Field in Landover, MD at 8:20 ET on NBC. In all likelihood, this is like a true playoff game with the winner winning the division and the loser not making the playoffs. That is definitely the case for the Cowboys and it will be the case for the Redskins unless the Bears, Vikings and Giants all lose, in which case Washington would be a wild card with a loss. Last year, the Cowboys were in this exact situation on the road and lost to the Giants, who went on to win the Super Bowl after not qualifying for the playoffs until winning that season finale.

But back to this year, these two combatants will probably take different approaches to attempt to win this game. Dallas quarterback Tony Romo and wide receiver Dez Bryant are two of the hottest players at their positions in the NFL right now while running back Demarco Murray has been a disappointment since returning from his injury, so you can expect Dallas to put a lot of balls in the air. The Cowboys are now up to third in the NFL in passing offense thanks to Romo averaging 302.2 yards per game. He passed for 416 yards vs. the Saints last week with Bryant having 224 of the receiving yards and two touchdowns. Bryant now has at least one touchdown reception in seven consecutive games, totaling 10 touchdowns in those contests. Murray meanwhile managed only 40 rushing yards vs. the worst rushing defense in the league last week in New Orleans, and he still seems hindered by the foot injury that kept him out of six games. Then again a one dimensional passing attack is not the worst thing here as Dallas will be passing against a 30th ranked Washington passing defense allowing 287.7 yards per game.

Washington will have a difficult time stopping Romo and Bryant defensively, but one thing that the Redskins can do is keep the Dallas offense off the field by controlling the clock with their running game on offense. That makes more sense considering Robert Griffin III was not his usual self last week as he too remained bothered by an injury, in this case a knee injury that forced him to miss one game two weeks ago. Griffin is not the only rookie in the Washington backfield that is having a big season though, as Alfred Morris is fourth in the NFL in rushing with 1410 yards on the ground while averaging a nice 4.7 yards per carry. Look for heavy doses of Morris here vs. a struggling Dallas run defense that is allowing a brutal 5.3 yards per carry to opposing running backs in the last four weeks. Consider also that few people expected the young Skins to be in this position before this season started, so it is not difficult to envision Washington resorting to a conservative "not to lose" game plan.

The 'under' is 4-1-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings here in Washington, as well as 12-5 in the last 17 Redskins' games vs. teams with winning records. The 'under' is also 8-2 in the last 10 Dallas road games. Not today!

Pick: Over 49

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Nover NFL Sunday Night
Cowboys +3.5

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Harry Bondi

4* New England
3* Houston
3* Minnesota

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red suit
texans/colts over 47

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Jack Jones

GB Packers

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NSE (Nevada Sports Experts)

4* Best Bet Miami +10

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Dennis Hill
Houston
Carolina

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vegas runner

309 HOU -6.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 310 IND Analysis:
**** NFL 3* TRUE STEAM MAX BOMB ****

TEXANS -6.5....(3*)





Bonus NFL 2* PREMIUM PLAYS :

1.) PACKERS -3....(2*)

2.) PANTHERS +5....(2*)

3.) UNDER 54.5 CAR/NO....(2*)

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Tampasports

minnesota +3
minnesota-m.line

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Hoopsgooroo 12/30

301 Jets +3.5 @ 1p
306 Bengals -3 @ 1p
308 Steelers -10 @ 1p
310 Colts +7 @ 1p
312 Titans -6 @ 1p
313 Eagles +7 @ 1p
317 Bears -3 @ 1p
322 Falcons -3.5 @ 1p
324 Saints -4.5 @ 1p
304 Patriots -10 @ 4:25p
320 Vikings +3.5 @ 4:25p
325 Chiefs +17 @ 4:25p
328 Chargers -8 @ 4:25p
330 49ers -17 @ 4:25p
331 Rams +13 @ 4:25p
316 Redskins -3.5 @ 8:30p

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PPP

4 gb,
3 ne, chic

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball
3-Unit Play. #801. Take Detroit Pistons -2.5 over Milwaukee Bucks (Sunday @ 7:30pm est).


Doc's Sports Picks For NBA Basketball
4-Unit Play #807 Take Utah +9.5 over LA Clippers (9:30 p.m. EST, Sunday)


Robert Ferringo's Picks For NBA Basketball
2-Unit Play. Take #806 Sacramento (+1.5) over Boston (9 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

Allen Eastman's Picks For NBA Basketball
3-Unit Play. Take #801 Milwaukee (+3) over Detroit (7:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 30)

Vegas Sports Informer's Picks For NBA Basketball
Sorry no NBA action today but check back Monday as we look for Back-to-Back NBA Winning Days.


Jason Sharpe's Picks For NBA Basketball
4 Unit Play Take #805 Boston -1.5 over Sacramento (9:00pm est):
4 Unit Play Take #804 Dallas +6 over San Antonio (7:30pm est):
Unit Play Take #807 Utah +9.5 over LA Clippers (9:30pm est):


Strike Point Sports Picks For NBA Basketball
We are dark today after having an extremely successful week. We will be back next week with more winners starting Monday night.

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Wunderdog Sports

Game: Milwaukee at Detroit (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Detroit -2.5 (-110)

Home court and emotion tie into this one. Milwaukee is off an emotional win at home last night over the defending champs, thumping them 104-85. Milwaukee came in having alternated between wins and losses over the last seven games and it was the Bucks' first sellout of the season. Now they head out on the road into the Detroit cold. The Bucks are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games playing on no days rest and 7-19 ATS following a win. Detroit has quietly been playing good basketball on a 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS run, including a win over Miami, 109-99. They've had a day to rest and this will be Detroit's second game of a five game home stand. The Pistons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. And when these teams meet the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the Bucks are 3-7 ATS in the last ten meetings in Detroit. Play the Pistons.

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Great Lakes NBA Clippers

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Rocketman

Spurs - Triple Dime Play

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HSW
Miami and under
GB and under
KC and under
Oakland and over
SF and over
SL and over
Dallas and under
GD West
Denver
Oakland
2 Miami under
KC under
Oakland over
GD New York
5 Dallas
Denver
Oakland
Miami over
2 Oakland over
L & M Las Vegas
2 Miami under
L & M New York
2 Oakland over

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Dennis Hill
Greenbay

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stu feiner

high roller dallas

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Sebastian Report for Sunday Night:
300 UNDER Dallas
200 Dallas

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Dennis Hill
10 units DALLAS