2-27-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Study group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCAAB betting notes

Michigan Wolverines at Penn State (+14, 133)

Michigan will try to claim its third consecutive win and stay in the conversation for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament when the fourth-ranked Wolverines travel to face Penn State on Wednesday night. The Wolverines remain in the top five despite dropping three of four earlier this month, and they've won two straight, including a 71-58 home win over Illinois on Friday. The Nittany Lions remain winless in Big Ten play and have dropped 14 straight dating to an 84-74 home win over Duquesne on Dec. 29.

The Nittany Lions are running out of chances to get that elusive first win in conference play with just four games remaining, including trips to Minnesota and Northwestern before finishing at home against a ranked Wisconsin team. Michigan has won the past five meetings, including a 79-71 home victory Feb. 17. The Wolverines have won two of their past three trips to Penn State. With a win, the Wolverines would match their highest win total under coach John Beilein, tying last year's 24-10 mark.
Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes (-18, 131)

Miami survived three straight close calls before its chance at an unbeaten ACC season ended on Saturday at Wake Forest. The seventh-ranked Hurricanes look to get back on track when Virginia Tech visits on Wednesday. Miami has averaged 54.7 points and 38 percent shooting the last three games, but can still depend on its strong work on the other end of the court. Miami, which is 12-0 at home, would hold at least a two-game lead in the ACC with a victory before playing at second-place Duke on Saturday.

Virginia Tech snapped a nine-game losing streak by beating Florida State on Sunday, shooting 50 percent for the second time in conference play this season. Senior guard Erick Green leads the nation in scoring and poured in 30 points in the Hokies’ 73-64 loss to Miami on Jan. 30.

Georgetown Hoyas at Connecticut Huskies (+2, 124)

Georgetown’s formula of relying on Otto Porter Jr. on offense and its suffocating defense has served it well during its nine-game winning streak. Both will need to be operating at peak efficiency Wednesday when the eighth-ranked Hoyas attempt to end their struggles at Connecticut. Porter tallied a career-high 33 points in Saturday’s win at Syracuse, ending the Orange’s 38-game home winning streak.

Porter, averaging 19.7 points over the last nine contests, has provided the offense necessary to push Georgetown into sole possession of first place in the Big East standings while the defense has allowed only two opponents to eclipse 56 points during the winning streak. Both marks figure to get tested against the surging Huskies, who have defeated the Hoyas six of the last seven times they have met at home. Connecticut has won seven of nine and is among the conference leaders in field goal percentage and scoring offense during Big East play.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at TCU Horned Frogs (+16, 119)

Oklahoma State took the first step to staying in the race for the Big 12 lead with Saturday’s victory at West Virginia. Now the 18th-ranked Cowboys look to continue rebounding from last week’s double-overtime loss to Kansas when they travel to TCU on Wednesday. While the Horned Frogs do have a victory over the Jayhawks this season, that upset is their only conference triumph.

Oklahoma State sits one game behind Kansas and Kansas State in the conference standings, and will host the Wildcats in the regular-season finale March 9. TCU has lost five in a row.

Akron Zips at Ohio Bobcats (-2.5, 134)

Akron looks to extend the nation's longest winning streak to 19 games when it takes on host Ohio in a first-place showdown in the MAC East Division. The Zips come in with a perfect 12-0 league record, but the Bobcats are just a game behind in the standings at 11-1. The two teams played three weeks ago, with Akron coming out on top by 14.

Home is the place to be for Ohio, which is 15-1 in Athens this year and 5-6 on the road. The Bobcats come off a BracketBusters loss to Belmont on Saturday, so they'll certainly be focused on getting back on the winning track. The Zips' defense has been a key to their success, holding 12 opponents to fewer than 60 points, including four of their last five.

St. Joseph's Hawks at Saint Louis Billikens (-11, 124)

With its second straight win over a ranked team Saint Louis jumped into the Top 25 at No. 19 as it hosts St. Joseph's in an Atlantic 10 conference game on Wednesday night. Saint Louis has won nine in a row, the longest active streak in the Atlantic 10 Conference and tied for the eighth longest winning streak in the nation.

The Billikens have beaten St. Joseph's six straight times and Hawks' coach Phil Martelli warned his team to be ready for a monumental task. "Now we go into the deep, deep end of the water," Martelli said. "This team we're playing Wednesday night is playing as well as any A-10 team has ever played. Saint Louis is an absolutely certifiable monster, and I just told the players that I hope they're excited about that."

Louisville Cardinals at DePaul Blue Demons (+15, 146)

Louisville has won three straight games since the five-overtime defeat at Notre Dame and a trip to the Carrier Dome to face Syracuse looms on Saturday. The ninth-ranked Cardinals must stay alert to keep its Big East regular-season title hopes alive when they visit struggling DePaul on Wednesday. Louisville, one game behind league-leading Georgetown, has beaten the Blue Demons nine straight times. The Cardinals aren’t the best shooting team in the league, but they are third in the nation in steals and score 31 percent of their points off turnovers.

DePaul is suffering through another difficult season, losing 11 of its last 12 games. The Blue Demons are third behind league-leader Louisville in scoring offense, but is last in scoring defense. Cleveland Melvin and Brandon Young, two of the top eight scorers in the league, are always dangerous though.

Arizona Wildcats at USC Trojans (+6, 133)

Arizona will try to remain atop the Pac-12 standings when the No. 11 Wildcats travel to USC on Wednesday night. Arizona enters the week all square with Oregon, who beat the Wildcats in their only meeting this season. Arizona has won three in a row after back-to-back losses to California and Colorado, but continues to struggle with consistency during the second half.

Solomon Hill, a 6-7 senior forward for the Wildcats, returns to his hometown of Los Angeles. The team’s second leading scorer (13.6) hasn’t played well in his previous three stops at USC, averaging 5.7 points. Solomon had a string of 15 straight games in double figures snapped Saturday against Washington State. He took five shots and scored five points. The Trojans have lost their last two games following a season-long four-game winning streak. J.T. Terrell is averaging 14.2 points in the 10 games since coach Kevin O’Neill was fired, increasing his season average to 11.2.

San Diego State Aztecs at New Mexico Lobos (-3, 129)

No. 14 New Mexico could take another big step toward winning at least a share of its fourth Mountain West regular season championship in five years with a win over preseason conference favorite San Diego State. The Aztecs, who enter tied for third place with UNLV, trail the Lobos by three games with four games to go. The Lobos hold a two-game lead in the Mountain West over Colorado State after snapping the Rams' 27-game home win streak on Saturday, 91-82, behind 46 points by junior guard Kendall Williams.

One team that has been able to hold its own with Steve Alford's Lobos is San Diego State. The Aztecs have won five of the last seven meetings between the two teams and embarrassed New Mexico in the first meeting, 55-34, in San Diego on Jan. 26. The 34 points were the fewest scored in a game since 1976 by the Lobos who shot just 25 percent from the floor. The Aztecs are 5-2 in their last seven trips to The Pit and are the last Mountain West team to win in Albuquerque (Jan. 12, 2012).

St. Mary's Gaels at Pepperdine Waves (+12, 129)

No. 23 Saint Mary's heads to Malibu after one of its finest stretches of the season last week with home wins over BYU (64-57) and Creighton (74-66). The Gaels have already clinched second place in the West Coast Conference and the No. 2 seed for the WCC Tournament behind No. 2 ranked Gonzaga (27-2, 14-0). Saint Mary's has won 12 straight against Pepperdine, including a 84-72 victory on Jan. 26, and has won eight straight at Firestone Fieldhouse.

Pepperdine, picked to finish last in the preseason WCC coaches poll, enters the contest in seventh place and could finish anywhere between sixth and eighth depending on how things play out in the final week of conference play. The Waves have lost two in a row since edging last place Loyola Marymount, 52-50, on Feb. 14. They are 6-6 at home, including a 58-56 overtime victory of Washington State on Nov. 16, heading into their home finale.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Georgetown Hoyas (21-4 SU, 14-7 ATS)

Georgetown is the hottest team in the country, without a doubt. The Hoyas have won nine straight, covering the points in all of those victories. It's even more impressive than it sounds though, when you look at who they are beating.

They went to South Bend and defeated the No. 24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish by a score of 63-47, then followed that up with a home win over No. 5 Louisville. It was their latest victory that is the most impressive, however, winning on the road against Syracuse in a convincing 57-46 win at the Carrier Dome.

They have a big game coming up in Connecticut Wednesday. It isn't going to be easy against the Huskies, but Georgetown hasn't had any troubles winning on the road lately. The Hoyas finish the season with a home meeting versus Syracuse, and you know the Orange will have revenge on their minds.

Most Overrated Top 25 Team - Wisconsin Badgers (19-8 SU, 10-14-1 ATS)

I had the Badgers pegged as the most overrated team in the nation last week, and a win over Northwestern has done nothing to change my mind. Last week I said, "The Badgers have the lowest winning percentage of any of the ranked teams, yet they find themselves ranked No. 17 overall. Wisconsin has been a losing bet this year, with a terrible 9-14-1 ATS record. The Badgers are only averaging 67 points per game and they are just shooting 42.6 percent from the field."

While they did manage to cover in their win over a weak Northwestern team, they haven't improved their shooting percentage and they only matched their season average of 67 points. The Badgers play Nebraska at home Tuesday as 16-point favorites. They face a much tougher test when they take on Michigan State in East Lansing next Thursday.

Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Connecticut Huskies (19-7 SU, 12-10 ATS)

The Huskies have put together back-to-back wins and they’re now ahead of No. 23 Pittsburgh and just one game back of No. 21 Notre Dame in the Big East standings. Connecticut's 19-7 record is better than Wisconsin's 19-8 record, yet the Badgers find themselves in the No. 16 slot.

Connecticut has victories over Syracuse, Notre Dame, and Michigan State. UConn’s next game is at home against Georgetown and it is going to be a tough one. But if the Huskies can get past the Hoyas, you have to like their chances of sneaking into the Top 25 next week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Capping college basketball's major conference races

March wouldn't be so mad if February wasn't so frenzied, with plenty of major conference titles still up for grabs.

There are four or fewer games left on the regular season slate for most programs, which means contending teams will be going all out in the final days of the schedule.

Some will rise to the occasion, giving college basketball bettors some added value to their spreads. Others, however, may crumble under the pressure. We look at how to cap some of the tightest major conference races in college hoops:

ACC

Contending: Miami (13-1), Duke (2 games back)

What to watch for: The Hurricanes have lost their ATS magic, failing to cover in four straight including an upset loss to Wake Forest. Miami does have three of its final four coming in Coral Gables, where it is 9-1 ATS on the year.

Duke is the lone road game on the Canes’ slate. The Blue Devils have three tough games remaining out of their final four – at Virginia, Miami, at UNC – and may get Ryan Kelly back for their final two, at home to Virginia Tech and at Chapel Hill.

Big East

Contending: Georgetown (11-3), Marquette (.5 game back), Louisville (1 game back), Syracuse (1.5 games back). Notre Dame (1.5 games back)

What to watch for: Georgetown controls its own destiny but may have peaked with a win over Syracuse this weekend. The Hoyas have a dangerous game at UConn Wednesday and a rematch with Cuse in the season finale. The Orange are a sinking ship after losing to Marquette, which hosts Notre Dame this weekend.

Both the Irish and Louisville need to win out the stretch and get some help from the Hoyas and the other schools ahead of them. While a conference title may not be up for grabs in their matchup on March 9, seeding in the Big East tournament will be.

Big 12

Contending: Kansas (12-3), Kansas State (12-3), Oklahoma State 1.5 games back)

What to watch for: The final two weeks of Big 12 play will not only decide the conference champion but perhaps tag the winner with a No. 1 seed in the NCAA.

Kansas has won SU and ATS in its last five – thanks to the refs versus ISU – and should continue to cover in its final three games with Bill Self revving the engines before the conference tournament. The Wildcats could have their party spoiled by OSU in the season finale. The Cowboys are 8-4 ATS in Stillwater.

Big Ten

Contending: Indiana (12-2). Michigan State (1.5 games back), Wisconsin (2 games back), Michigan (2 games back)

What to watch for: The Hoosiers are hitting their stride at the right time, winning four in a row SU and ATS heading into their final four outings. Tom Crean won’t take his foot off the gas as IU rolls into a season finale at Michigan. The Spartans seem destined to fall, losing two in a row with games against Michigan and Wisconsin on tap.

The Badgers have been hot but the two most important games of the final stretch are away from Madison, where they are just 3-5-1 ATS on the year. The Wolverines could be the comeback kids in the Big Ten. Their two toughest games – MSU and Indiana – are at home but beware the letdown at Penn State and Purdue.

Pac-12

Contending: Oregon (11-4), Arizona (11-4), UCLA (.5 game back), California (1 game back)

What to watch for: Oregon has the edge over Arizona with a win against the Wildcats acting as an insurance policy. But nothing is certain for the Ducks, who play their final two games at Colorado and Utah. Arizona could present some betting value with its back against the wall. The Wildcats need to win out at USC, at UCLA and hosting Arizona State but have the talent and pedigree to pull it off.

The Bruins will put all their chips on the March 2 game versus Arizona, which could open them up to a look-ahead spot versus ASU this week and letdown spots in the final two games. Cal is the hottest team in the Pac-12, winning five in a row while going 3-1-1 ATS. The Golden Bears’ remaining games – Utah, Colorado, Stanford – all come at home with the conference race acting as fuel for Mike Montgomery’s squad.

SEC

Contending: Florida (12-2), Alabama (2 games back), Kentucky (2 games back)

What to watch for: The Gators have the SEC regular season crown in their back pocket, barring an epic collapse, but the motivation of a No. 1 NCAA seed should still push UF in the final two weeks. Florida does have two important games versus Alabama and Kentucky.

The Crimson Tide must win in Gainesville to even sniff the SEC crown, so expect an all-out effort on March 2. Following that, Bama is at Ole Miss, which stinks of letdown spot. The Wildcats have struggled on the road, boasting a 3-6 ATS mark, and have trips to Arkansas and Georgia, before a finale with Florida in Lexington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Canadiens at Maple Leafs: What bettors need to know

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs (-102, 5)

The Montreal Canadiens lost both home games against the Original Six rival Toronto Maple Leafs this season, falling 2-1 in their season opener and 6-0 on Feb. 9. On Wednesday, the Canadiens will make the first of three visits to Toronto with the hopes of building on their tenuous Northeast Division lead. After each loss to the Maple Leafs, Montreal went on its longest winning streaks of the season (four and five games, respectively) and holds a one-point lead on Ottawa with a game in hand after dropping a 2-1 decision to the Senators in a shootout on Monday.

Toronto, which is two points behind Ottawa, has won its last three home games to improve to 4-4-0 at Air Canada Centre this season. Goaltender Ben Scrivens has two shutouts in seven starts since James Reimer suffered a knee injury and has looked confident in net - aside from allowing four goals on 19 shots in a loss to Tampa Bay. Reimer earned the shutout the last time Toronto defeated Montreal, while Scrivens made 21 saves in the season-opening win over the Canadiens. With Reimer poised to return soon, the Maple Leafs may finally have the kind of goaltending tandem that other teams desire.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS

ABOUT THE CANADIENS (12-4-3): Montreal re-acquired Michael Ryder and also secured a third-round pick in the 2013 draft from Dallas for fellow right wing Erik Cole on Tuesday. Ryder has collected six goals and eight assists in 19 contests this season for the Stars. Carey Price was in net for both losses against the Maple Leafs, but is 10-3-2 on the season with a 1.90 goals-against average and .925 save percentage. After recording eight points in his last six games - including his first four goals of the season - Max Pacioretty leads the team with 14 points. Tomas Plekanec has 13 points and a team-leading eight goals, but hasn’t scored in the last four games. Raphael Diaz leads team defensemen with 13 points and rookie Alex Galchenyuk has four points in his last five games and 12 on the season.

ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS (12-8-0): With three assists in his last two games, Nazem Kadri seized the team scoring lead from Phil Kessel. Kadri has 17 points, while Kessel - who has five points in as many games, has 16 on the season. James van Riemsdyk leads the team with 11 goals and Cody Franson tops team defensemen in scoring with 11 points. Matt Frattin, who is second on the team with seven goals despite not playing since Feb. 11, is close to returning from a knee injury. Mikhail Grabovski has three goals in his last four games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 8-0 in the last eight meetings in Toronto.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Road team is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.

OVERTIME:

1. The Canadiens won two of three games in Toronto last season, including posting a 5-0 victory on Feb. 11, 2012.

2. Kessel had a goal and two assists in his last game against Montreal. He has 31 points in 37 career games against the Canadiens.

3. Joffrey Lupul skated with the Maple Leafs last week, but there is no timetable for his return from a fractured forearm.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JestersBets (2-1 yesterday):

Boise -9, Bradley +7.5, Indiana St -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

CBB Wednesday Cliff Notes

G-Town at UConn: Well, it's hard to stop a train, or to fade G-Town right now, but that may be the play here. Obviously it appears Syracuse isn't playing all THAT well, so I've got to discount that to some extent. Their previous conference road win was at Cincinnati, and certainly the Bearcats are just not that good. What I can't overlook is that this is UConn's next to last home game in a season of change, with no Calhoun and no post season. A reason to perhaps take the Huskies here is that they are the #1 three point shooting team in the Big East, and when Napier and/or Boatright/Calhoun get hot, they get really hot. I do know that G-Towns' three point defense is right up there, but I would contend that much of that is from on-conference play, because there simply aren't great shooting teams in the Big East, aside from G-Town themselves. The Hoyas can get turnover-prone, and UConn gets to the line a ton, shooting over 75% as a team. That in and of itself says Huskies or nothing. Not sure how big I can go, because UConn can have troubles on the offensive glass.

Colorado at Stanford: Both teams hovering around .500 in the Conference so no grand implications there, but Stanford with a major payback issue from a beating they took at Colorado earlier this season. Buff's have had some impressive road wins, but they're young. What often concerns me about youth this time of year is especially with Freshman, who are playing many more games and months than they did even a year ago in HS. And since history tends to repeat itself, last year under Boyle they were thinking Big Dance and lost three of their final four games. Josh Scott is still listed as questionable (missed Utah game w/concussion) and although he's a Freshman, he IS their inside presence at 6'10" and and there IS nobody else to replace the shots he takes, second only by three on the team to Asia Booker. Stanford opened at -3, and I have to think if Scott is out that that number goes a bit higher. This is a Stanford team that's totally fallen short of expectations, after winning the NIT last year and essentially having the same team back. They started with a tough non-conference schedule, but really didn't beat anyone. What they do have going for them in this game is their up-tempo style versus the youth and the payback, so I really can't find a reason to take Colorado. Ought to play the Cardinal ML, because I don't see this coming down, and without Scott, only going up.

Akron at Ohio: Battle for the number one spot in the Conference, and Ohio's only Conference loss WAS to Akron. They did fall on their face against Belmont, badly, which really make this game that much more important if they think they're dancing, because the only hope they've got now is to win the Conference, because their SOS/RPI is terrible. In their last game Akron simply dominated. They had 40 rebounds to 22, shot 63% and had nearly twice as many assists. So how are they going to stop that from happening again, even on their own floor. Akron's much bigger with a much deeper bench (which comes into play in a fast paced game). Only thing Ohio has is experience, which does mean a lot this time of year. I do know that Akron hasn't lost in forever, but they haven't beaten a good team on the road, either, so I do think they're a bit of a paper tiger, especially going forward if they're the ones in the Tournament. If Ohio is going to win this game, they're simply going to have to out run Akron and make their three's, because they cannot rebound at either end. I expect this game to be close, and actually think the best bet, if there is one, is the under. The total could be quite high and with neither team getting to the FT line much, nor making them when they do, that'd be my lean. Hard pressed on paper to take Ohio, but I got to go back to who has Akron beaten on the road and yes, there is revenge, so lean home team slightly.

Arkansas at LSU: LSU has continued to baffle me most of this season. Bring in Johnny Jones to coach, up-tempo the game to fit what Hickey likes to do, and bing, they're actually a team capable of beating almost anyone. They went through a rough stretch early in SEC play, but I'd attribute much of that to a new coach/style as well as a weak schedule. They seem to have figured most of it out. The only caveat to the auto-fade of the Hogs on the road is that LSU travels to Missouri on Saturday, after beating the Tigers earlier, and that may be a bit to big of a game for this team. OK, well documented that Arkansas hasn't won on the road, and do they mail this one in with a semi-wounded Kentucky coming to their gym on Saturday. What really surprises me about the Hogs is that for such a running team they score an inordinate amount of their point INSIDE the arc (except against Florida!). That, against the much bigger LSU team, could be a problem. Since neither team rebounds well and they both like to run, I can make a reasonable case for the over here. Both teams don't turn it over a ton, so there should not be too many wasted possessions. Simply cannot take Arkansas on the road, regardless of how tempting the line might make it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/27/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3291-1124 (.745)
ATS: 1512-1554 (.493)
ATS Vary Units: 4342-4675 (.482)
Over/Under: 419-405 (.508)
Over/Under Vary Units: 437-476 (.479)

Atlantic 10 Conference
CHARLOTTE 70, Dayton 66
RICHMOND 69, George Washington 61
SAINT LOUIS 72, Saint Joseph's 56

Atlantic Coast Conference
Maryland 64, GEORGIA TECH 61
MIAMI (FLA.) 77, Virginia Tech 57
NC STATE 80, Boston College 67

Big 12 Conference
Baylor 69, WEST VIRGINIA 68
Oklahoma 70, TEXAS 64
Oklahoma State 72, TCU 53

Big East Conference
Georgetown 63, CONNECTICUT 61
Louisville 81, DePAUL 65
PITTSBURGH 64, South Florida 43

Big South Conference
CAMPBELL 85, Longwood 72
COASTAL CAROLINA 61, Winthrop 56
GARDNER-WEBB 69, Charleston Southern 65
HIGH POINT 77, Radford 62
UNC ASHEVILLE 75, Presbyterian 62

Big Ten Conference
IOWA 71, Purdue 61
Michigan 73, PENN STATE 56

Colonial Athletic Association
Delaware 67, HOFSTRA 62
GEORGIA STATE 72, Northeastern 64
William & Mary 71, UNC WILMINGTON 68

Conference USA
SMU 69, Rice 55
TULANE 70, Uab 65
UTEP 74, Houston 65

Mid-American Conference
Akron vs. OHIO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
BALL STATE 71, Central Michigan 62
BOWLING GREEN 69, Miami (Ohio) 59
Eastern Michigan 52, NORTHERN ILLINOIS 47
KENT STATE 75, Buffalo 64
TOLEDO 68, Western Michigan 64

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
MORGAN STATE 72, Coppin State 58

Missouri Valley Conference
Creighton 72, BRADLEY 66
ILLINOIS STATE 71, Missouri State 62
INDIANA STATE 73, Drake 68
Northern Iowa 62, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 56
WICHITA STATE 73, Evansville 60

Mountain West Conference
BOISE STATE 75, Nevada 63
COLORADO STATE 71, Fresno State 55
NEW MEXICO 66, San Diego State 60

Ohio Valley Conference
BELMONT 86, Siue 58

Pacific-10 Conference
Arizona 68, USC 63
STANFORD 67, Colorado 66
UCLA 75, Arizona State 65

Patriot League
ARMY 71, Holy Cross 61
BUCKNELL 66, American 47
Lafayette 68, COLGATE 63
LEHIGH 69, Navy 48

Southeastern Conference
Arkansas 72, LSU 71
KENTUCKY 80, Mississippi State 56
OLE MISS 72, Texas A&M 63
VANDERBILT 57, Georgia 51

Southern Conference
Davidson 73, ELON 64

West Coast Conference
Saint Mary's 73, PEPPERDINE 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/27/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 544-272 (.667)
ATS: 433-404 (.517)
ATS Vary Units: 1145-1036 (.525)
Over/Under: 435-404 (.518)
Over/Under Vary Units: 613-546 (.529)

ORLANDO 103, Sacramento 101
CLEVELAND 101, Toronto 98
NEW YORK 105, Golden State 101
WASHINGTON 98, Detroit 90
MEMPHIS 100, Dallas 92
HOUSTON 110, Milwaukee 101
OKLAHOMA CITY 108, New Orleans 93
SAN ANTONIO 109, Phoenix 92
UTAH 101, Atlanta 98
Denver 107, PORTLAND 104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

02/27/13 Predictions

Season: 99-77 (.563)

TORONTO 3, Montreal 2
Washington vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ANAHEIM 3, Nashville 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Detroit 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Rice +13 over SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 989- 735(57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Winner 8-3 run WED Iowa -9

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Kings -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won five of last seven games (1-5 last six F). Cleveland won three of last four games (7-10 HU).
-- Warriors won three of last four games (0-8 last eight AU).
-- Thunder won six of last nine games (9-1 last ten HF).
-- Memphis won its last seven games (15-12-1 HF).
-- Houston won/covered its last five home games (10-1 last 11 HF).
-- Wizards won their last three games (3-4 HF).
-- Spurs won six of last seven games (3-5 last eight HF; this is Spurs' first home game in 25 days).
-- Hawks won five of last six games (4-1 last five AU).
-- Nuggets won three of their last four games (1-4 last five SU road).

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost five of its last six games (6-10 HU). Kings lost their last six games (7-4-1 F, 1-0 AF).
-- Knicks lost four of their last five games (5-10 last 15 HF).
-- Hornets lost four of last five games (2-4 last six AU).
-- Dallas lost its last two games, by 4-5 points (7-2 last nine AU).
-- Bucks lost seven of their last nine games (3-5 last eight AU).
-- Pistons lost four of their last five games (2-5 last seven AU).
-- Suns lost seven of last nine games (3-5-1 last nine AU).
-- Utah lost its last two games, by 13-3 points (3-5 last eight HF).
-- Portland lost seven of last eight games (2-6 vs spread).

Totals
-- Four of last five Toronto games stayed under total; Cleveland's last four games went over.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Sacramento games.
-- Seven of last ten Golden State games went over total.
-- Last five New Orleans games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Dallas road games went over total; Memphis' last three games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Milwaukee games.
-- Six of last seven Washington games stayed under total; four of last five Detroit games went over.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five San Antonio games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Atlanta's last nine games.
-- Six of last seven Denver games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Kings are 1-7 vs spread if they played night before. Orlando is 4-5 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 1-4 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Golden State is 5-4-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Mavericks are 7-4 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Milwaukee is 3-10 vs spread if it played night before, 2-3 on road.
-- Hornets are 6-8 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Phoenix is 3-7 vs spread on road if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

-- Georgetown won its last nine games, including wins at Cincy-Notre Dame-Syracuse; they allowed 55.5 ppg in last four games- its last seven wins are all by 6+ points, but they lost last three meetings with UConn, by 8-17-14 points. Huskies won seven of last nine games, winning four of last five at home (lost to Villanova)- they're 3-4 vs teams in top 40. Big East home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-10 vs spread.
-- Last game of year for Georgia State (ineligible for CAA tourney) team that came back from down 11 in first half to upset Northeastern 78-73 in Boston Jan 30, Panthers' third win in last four series games. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 10-19 vs spread. Huskies lost two of last three games; their last eight games were all decided by 7 or less points. State won four of last five home games, with only loss in overtime.
-- Home side won eight of last nine Western Michigan-Toledo games, as Broncos lost seven of last nine trips here, losing last two by 13-9 points. Western won first meeting 79-56 at home, shooting 56% inside arc, game that started current 9-2 run, though Broncos lost last two on road. MAC home teams are 6-15 when spread is 4 or less points. Toledo won seven of last eight games; they won four of five MAC home games.
-- Akron fell behind 23-10 early, pulled away to beat Ohio 86-72 Feb 2, just its second win in last seven series games. Zips lost last two visits to Athens, by 25-24 points, but they've won 18 in row overall, are 4-3 vs top 100 teams. Five of Akron's last seven wins are by 12+ points. Ohio won 12 of last 14 games, losing by 14-19; they force turnovers 26.3% of time. MAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.

-- Saint Louis won last six games over St Joe's, winning last two by 16-12 points; Billikens won last nine games and 18 of last 20, winning last four at home, all by 14+ points- they're off win at Butler, an emotional game. Hawks are 2-3 last five games, losing last three road games by 6-18-12 points- they're playing slowest tempo of any team in A-16, but also force least turnovers. A-16 double digit home favorites are 8-12.
-- Evansville forced 22 turnovers (+13), outscored Wichita 20-11 on foul line in 71-67 win over Shockers Jan 13, Aces' first win in last six series games- they lost last nine visits here, with six of nine by 10+. Wichita is 7-1 in MVC home games, with five wins by 12+ points; they better not look ahead to Saturday game with Creighton. MVC double digit home favorites are 9-14. Aces' last four road losses are by 9 or less points.
-- Home side won last six Arkansas-LSU games; Hogs lost their last four trips here, by 10-11-3-6 points. Razorbacks are 5-2 in last seven games, but are 1-6 on SEC road, with only win at Auburn. SEC home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-12 vs spread. LSU is 6-2 in last eight, winning last game in triple OT; they won last five home games, with four of last five wins by 4 or less points. Jones is getting most out of his team.
-- Nevada beat Boise State 75-59 at home Jan 26, in game Boise shooting ace Eliorraga (44.7% behind arc) missed; Wolf Pack won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits here by 9-6-2. Broncos won four in row at home, four of last six overall. Nevada lost six of last seven, four in row on road, all by 12+ points. MWC home favorites of 8+ points are 8-6 vs spread. Home side won nine of last ten Boise State games.
-- Arizona held USC to 28% from floor, beat Trojans 74-50 at home Jan 26, its fourth series win in row, third by 11+ points; Wildcats won last three road games, by 4-18-17 points- they're 17-0 vs teams outside top 60 in country. USC lost last two games, by 8-16 points; they're 4-3 at home in Pac-12, losing by 8-2-16. Arizona lost three of last four visits to Galen Canter. Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-6 vs spread.

-- San Diego State beat New Mexico 55-34 at home Jan 26, its fifth win in last five series games, holding Lobos to 25% from floor; Lobos' star Williams had 46 by himself in win at Colorado State Saturday. Lobos are are 6-0 at home in MWC, with four wins by 10+ points; they've won six of last seven games, with only loss at UNLV. MWC home favorites of 6 or less points are 11-6. Aztecs lost last three on road, by 3-6-2 points.
-- Colorado won seven of last nine games; they held Stanford to 31.3% from floor in 75-54 win Jan 24. Buffs allowed 59.8 ppg last four games; four of their six Pac-12 losses were by 3 or less points, or in OT. Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-19 vs spread. Stanford lost four of last six games, allowing 79 ppg in last three; they lost last two games at home, by 1-8 points- they beat Buffs by 20-24 points LY.
-- Arizona State shot 57% inside arc, beat UCLA 78-60 Jan 26; Bruins were 5-24 from arc in their second loss in last seven series games. ASU lost last three visits here, by 2-18-17 points; they're 3-4 in last seven games, 3-3 on Pac-12 road, losing by 3-4-5 points. Bruins won four of last five games, are 5-2 at home in Pac-12, with four wins by 8+ points. Pac-12 home favorites of 8+ points are 6-14 against the spread.
-- Davidson is 17-2 in last 19 games vs Elon, winning last three by 8-21-16 points, but lost last visit here by 7. Wildcats won last 12 games, with four of last five road wins by 11+ points- they survived OT game with banged-up Montana Saturday- their last eight conference wins are by11+ points. Elon won 11 of last 13 games; three of their last four wins are by 4 or less points. SoCon home underdogs are 18-9 vs spread.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Washington won five of its last seven games.
-- Canadiens won six of last eight games (losses in OT/SO). Toronto won three in row at home, seven of last ten overall.
-- Ducks won six of their last seven games.
-- Los Angeles won six of its last seven games. Red Wings won last two games, scoring 12 goals.

Cold teams
-- Flyers are 4-5 in their last nine games.
-- Predators lost three in row on road, four of last six overall.

Totals
-- Last five Philly games went over the total.
-- 13 of last 16 Toronto-Montreal games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-4-1 in last eighteen Nashville games.
-- Over is 3-0-2 in last five Detroit-LA games.

Series records
-- Flyers won three of last four games vs Washington.
-- Maple Leafs won three of last four games with Montreal.
-- Ducks beat Nashville twice this year, both 3-2 in SO.
-- Kings lost four of last five games with Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Anaheim Ducks -120 over Nashville Predators
(System Record: 21-1, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 21-15

Basketball Crusher
Georgia Tech -1 over Maryland
(System Record: 66-4, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 66-48-1

Soccer Crusher
Anderlecht + Zulte Waregem UNDER 3
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 362-14, lost last game)
Overall Record: 362-315-43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club Selections 27/02/2013
CBB:
#723 Delaware -5.5
#797 San Diego State +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Michigan
UConn
Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB FRESNO ST at COLORADO ST.

Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FRESNO ST) revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite.
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% 0.6 units )

CBB NORTHEASTERN at GEORGIA ST.

Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NORTHEASTERN) revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% 32.3 units )

CBB SAN DIEGO ST at NEW MEXICO

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off an upset win as an underdog.
262-161 since 1997. ( 61.9% 84.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at NEW YORK

Play Under - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
7-4 this year. ( 63.6% 2.6 units )

NBA MILWAUKEE at HOUSTON

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% 29.7 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NBA PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO

Play On - Road underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (PHOENIX) being called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents on the season
113-61 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.9% 45.9 units )
15-11 this year. ( 57.7% 2.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KB Hoops

8 units LSU -1
8 units Georgetown -2
6 units Mississippi -8.5
5 units Georgia Tech PK
5 units Oklahoma -2.5
4 units Baylor -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Creighton -7.5

50* UCLA -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

7:00PM Western Michigan vs Toledo
[742] Toledo -2 -110

7:35PM Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs
[53] UNDER 5 -110

8:05PM New Orleans Hornets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
[707] UNDER 203 -110

11:30PM Arizona State vs UCLA
[804] UCLA -8 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 02/27/2013

(Won last 4 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Orlando Magic : u206
Cost: -110

Run Line for 02/27/2013

(Won last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Memphis Grizzlies : -7.5
Cost: -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MajorCovers 2/27

Baylor -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 27

Searching for Cinderella: What to look for in NCAA upsets

In less than a month, college basketball bettors will be enthralled by a handful of Cinderella teams making improbable runs in the NCAA tournament. By that time though, it will be too late to cash in on those surprise squads.

Bettors will look back to February for signs of those teams turning the corner as contenders and wonder, “Why didn’t I see that coming?”

If you would rather be the guy saying “I told you so” and making money on those underdog runs, now is the time to start sizing up possible Cinderella teams. They can come from small mid-major leagues, like VCU in 2011 or Butler in 2010-11, or could be under our nose the entire year in a major conference, like UConn in 2011.

We asked some of sports betting's sharpest minds what they look for when trying the glass slipper on a potential Cinderella team as the schedule moves toward March:

Non-conference success

Probable Cinderella teams can show their true colors as early as November by putting together a strong effort against non-conference foes. Many programs load up on major-conference competition in order to jack their RPI and strength of schedule, giving bettors an idea of how they’ll react against tougher and unknown opponents.

“Teams playing in poor conferences that played a meaningless non-conference schedule likely will not come close to getting out of the first round,” says Covers Expert Matt Fargo, who instead points to teams like Long Beach State, South Dakota State, and Robert Morris as potential Cinderella’s thanks to their stout non-conference calendar.

Experience and chemistry

Whether it be a roster packed with upperclassmen or past tournament success, experience is worth its weight in gold come March – especially when taking on some of the younger major-conference squads.

Pro handicapper Teddy Covers is keeping a close eye on Middle Tennessee State out of the Sun Belt Conference. The Blue Raiders returned eight key players from a team that went deep into the NIT last season, missing out on the NCAA due to an upset loss in the conference tournament.

“You want to make some money in the tournament – and even in the Sun Belt tournament – bet on that team,” Teddy says of MTSU. “They are really, really good and completely off the radar. They’re smart, know how to win on the road, and rebound very well.”

Robert Ferringo of Doc’s Sports looks for mismatches in cohesion come March. While some of the top teams may be loaded in pro-groomed freshman talent, they haven’t played together long. Some smaller programs have had the same core for three or four years, owning the edge in chemistry and experience.

“Put them up against an overrated or over-seeded team or just a team that isn't motivated or isn't taking the mid-major seriously, and you get that first upset,” say Ferringo. “Once that happens, the momentum gets going and anything can happen.”

Defense

When talking to experts about what stands out most for potential Cinderellas, defense is the one attribute that comes up over and over again. All of them would take a lockdown defense over a potent offense any day of the week during March Madness.

“I like teams that are battle tested and can play a stingy brand of defense,” says Covers Expert Sean Murphy. “For an underdog to go deep it has to be able to frustrate its superior opponents. Explosive, high-scoring teams are great, but what happens when they go cold? Scrappy teams that can win games played in the 50s and 60s are the ones I look to back in an underdog role throughout the tournament.”

One of the names being brought up is Stephen F. Austin out of the Southland Conference. The Lumberjacks rank tops in the country in points allowed (50.9), limiting opponents to just 37.3 percent shooting, including 27.4 percent from beyond the arc. They aren’t just building those stats versus weak opponents either. Stephen F. Austin has wins over Tulsa, San Diego, Oklahoma and Long Beach State.

Momentum

As Connecticut proved a couple years ago, the most dangerous team in the tournament is the hottest team. The Huskies shocked the Big East for the 2011 conference crown and parlayed that into an improbable NCAA run, which ended in a national championship.

Plenty of teams are rolling toward the postseason, namely Saint Louis and Georgetown, which have each won nine straight games heading into this week.

“Saint Louis is hot, including back-to-back upsets of ranked teams,” says Covers Expert Jesse Schule. “Nobody wants to play these guys right now.”

The pointspread is great way to gauge just how well a team is playing heading into and during its conference tournament. The oddsmakers’ numbers give you an idea of the expectations on a team, and whether or not they are playing above or below that bar.

“You want a team that covered the spread in all two or three of their conference tournament games,” says Ferringo. “Even if they were the overwhelming favorite to win their tournament, you still want to see them go out and lay the wood to opponents.”

Silent superstars

The NCAA tournament has made household names out of unknown ballers. There are more and more pros coming out of smaller conferences each year.

Past Cinderellas like Butler with Gordon Hayward, Davidson with Stephen Curry and Western Kentucky with Courtney Lee, have put their teams on their back come tourney time and given the favorites fits.

Nate Wolters, a 6-foot-4 guard out of South Dakota State, could be the next unknown talent to shine on the national stage.

He’s averaging 22.9 points per game – third in the country – and has the Jackrabbits in line as the next Cinderella out of the Summit League. Wolters, who scored 19 points in a near upset of Baylor in the Round of 64 last season, dropped 53 points in a win over IUPU earlier this month.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves NCAAB 2/27

776 smu -12
739 central michigan +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVID BANKS

February 27, 2013



Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks The Golden State Warriors (33-23, 29-26-1 ATS) are hoping to continue their mastery vs. Eastern Conference teams this season when they visit the New York Knicks (33-20, 25-26-2 ATS) at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY Wednesday at 8:05 ET on ESPN. Pending their Tuesday night result at Indiana, the Warriors are 15-5 straight up and 14-6 ATS vs. the East this season, including 8-3 straight up on the road with five outright upsets as road underdogs, which is their role here. The Knick meantime may have snapped a four-game losing streak vs. the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday, but they again failed to cover the spread and are on an ugly 0-6-1 ATS skid.The Warriors in fact first gained some national attention this season with a 6-1 Eastern road trip in December that included a win in Miami that really turned a lot of heads, as it became apparent that this is an exciting young team with a bright future. Golden State has a prolific scoring backcourt with Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Jarrett Jack off the bench, and it has All-Star David Lee up front who is averaging 19.2 points, 11.0 rebounds and 3.7 assists. The Warriors are averaging 101.2 points per game while playing at the sixth fastest pace in the NBA with a tempo rating of 96.7 possessions per contest, but because of that, the Golden State defense often gets overlooked. Yes, the Warriors only rank 25th in points allowed at 101.4 per game, but that is solely because of that pace as the fact of the matter is that that they rank seventh in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at 44.0 percent and fifth in three-point defense at 34.2 percent. They are also a good rebounding team ranking third in the league with 44.9 boards per game, with 33.8 of those rebounds coming on the defensive glass.Now the Knicks rank sixth in the NBA in three-point percentage at 37.4 percent, which is behind Golden State in second at 39.1 percent, but the Knicks actually rely on the three-pointers more. That is because New York launches 29.0 attempts from beyond the arc per game compared to 19.7 for the Warriors, with the Knicks making an average of 10.8 of them compared to 7.7 for Golden State. That is where the Warriors' underrated three-point defense and defensive rebounding come into play, as the Knicks may not get as many open three-point looks as they have become accustomed to getting, and they do not figure to get many second opportunities with Lee & Co. clearing the boards. The New York defense has also taken a step back as of late, as while the Knicks have allowed 96.3 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting over the entire season, those numbers have ballooned to 102.4 points on 46.6 percent shooting including an awful 39.4 percent on three-point attempts over the last five games.The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last six head-to-head meetings and an impressive 32-13 ATS in their last 45 games vs. Atlantic Division foes. The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. teams with winning straight up
PICK: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Daily NHL Shots on Goal February 27, 2013 6:12 AM by Nick Pellegrino

53 Montreal-Toronto, UNDER 5 (Even)

55 Nashville-Anaheim, OVER 5 (+110)

Results

2013 NHL Tues (1-1-0) Overall Record: 50-49-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks February 27, 2013 6:35 AM by GT Staff

NBA Basketball

704 Orlando Magic +2½

705 Golden State Warriors/New York Knicks UNDER 206½

707 New Orleans Hornets +13½

NCAA Basketball

734 Georgia State -3

738 Indiana State -8

742 Toledo -1½

756 West Virginia +1

762 Tulane -5½

773 Arkansas +2

791 Georgia +6

802 Stanford -3


Results

2012-13 NBA Tues (5-2-0) Overall Record: 202-205-5

2012-13 NCAA BK Tues (5-0-0) Overall Record: 195-222-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Play of the Day February 27, 2013 6:55 AM by GT Staff

Baylor at West Virginia +1 at 5 p.m. PT

Wrong favorite in this game especially with WVU coming off humiliating home loss this past Saturday to Okie State. WVU with that loss is now 25-3 SU at home under Huggins.

756 West Virgina +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Philly Godfather

CBB: +19,425

My Moves


(732) TCU 500: +15.5
(734) Georgia St 500: -3.5
(745) Miami Ohio 500: +6.5
(743) South Florida 500: +17
(724)Hofstra 500: +5.5
(776) SMU 500: -11.5
(777) Nevada 500: +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang
20 Dime
Elon +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

7* Boston College +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasWinningCrew

NCAAB 100 DIME Play : LSU -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
CBB
GA State -3.5
Evansville +11.5
Colorado +4
Kentucky -18.5

Kent state -6.5 "minus a half"
Boston College +10 "minus a half"

Teaser: Davidson -2, Creighton -2

Teaser: Richmond -1.5, Tulane -.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves NCAAB 2/27

735 george washington +6 1/2
756 west virginia +1 1/2
773 arkansas +2
803 arizona state +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin

8-2 Hoops Run

25* Conf. G.O.Y Akron

20* CBB Inferno Maryland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach 7* NHL Total Destruction

Washington/Philly Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns CBB 10* Personal Favorite

Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

spartan | CBBSides - Wednesday, Feb 27 2013 9:00PM
782 DePaul 15.5 vs 781 Louisville single-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe | CBB Sides - Wednesday, Feb 27 2013 7:00PM
733 Northeastern 3.0 vs 734 Georgia St single-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports
4* Ball St
4* Wichita St
3* Arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

tom stryker
missouri valley conf goy
ill st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 Units
Colorado State (-15) over Fresno State
9:00 PM -- Moby Arena
COLORADO STATE (21-6) -15 over Fresno State (9-17) Prediction: Colorado State by 22-23
Comments: Colorado State is one of the most talented teams in college basketball and it would not surprise me to see the Rams advance deeply into the NCAA Tournament. Yet they come into this game off back-to-back losses, at home to New Mexico (23-4) in a game that was closer than the final score of 91-82, and in the contest before that at UNLV (21-7), 61-59. That automatically puts Colorado State in double bounce-back form but they have far more than that going for them. This is a team coached to the second by Larry Eustachy and he brings the Rams to every single game on the razor’s edge and ready to get the money. I simply believe Colorado State will bring its “A” game to put those two losses in the rearview mirror and that should lead to a blowout win over a Fresno State team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games.

25 Units
Wichita State (-11½) over Evansville
8:00 PM -- Charles Koch Arena
WICHITA STATE (24-5) -11 ½ over Evansville (16-13) Prediction: Wichita State by 16-17
Comments: There are many elements working in a big Wichita State win in this game, and here are just a few. The Shockers have one of the strongest home-court bias figures in college basketball and is considered by visiting teams one of the top five most hostile places to play. Then there is the fact this is senior night as Wichita State closes out its home schedule—and that is sure to raise the emotional level of play. Then there is the revenge factor. When these teams played in Evansville five weeks ago the Purple Aces won 71-67, but we’re not yet to the good stuff. Wichita State is one game up over Creighton in the standings and needs to maintain that edge because it plays its final regular season game in Omaha Saturday against the latter, when the conference championship will be on the line. Last but not least, Wichita State is simply a much better basketball team.

15 Units
Georgetown (-1½) over Connecticut
7:00 PM -- Gampel Pavilion
Georgetown (21-4) -1 ½ over CONNECTICUT (19-7) Prediction: Georgetown by 7-8
Comments: Just in case you are not impressed with the fact Georgetown again has an outstanding record and comes into this game as the 7th-ranked team in the country, let me bring you up to date. The Hoyas, which do not have a single senior on their roster were before the season placed in the “rebuilding” category and picked to finish no better than 5th in the Big East. Not only is Georgetown the 7th-ranked team in the country, it is in first place in the conference and on target to win the championship. The Hoyas’ success has to be attributed to coach John Thompson III who has done an outstanding job putting this team together and unlike many teams that are running out of gas at the most important point of the season has them still getting better with each game. Georgetown comes into this game off a 57-46 upset win at Syracuse (22-6) as an 8-point underdog, has won nine straight and is 11-1 in its last 12 games. This is not to disrespect Connecticut but the figures say it will be shut down by a Georgetown defense that gives up 55.7 points per game and with an offense that sets the tempo in every game.

10 Units
George Washington (+6½) over Richmond
7:00 PM -- Robins Center
George Washington (12-13) +6 ½ over RICHMOND (16-11) Prediction: George Washington by 2-3
Comments: Just call this a gut-feeling play. These two teams are tied for 8th place in the 16-team Atlantic 10 that takes just the top 12 teams to its conference tournament. That means both are going to fire their best shots to solidify their chances to get there. With that said, this is a game George Washington actually needs more than does Richmond, since it will be a big underdog in its last four games—at home to Saint Louis (21-5), at La Salle (19-7) and at home against Dayton (14-12). The Colonials have talent, are a good road team and will be all-in tonight and that will give them a chance to win it straight up and to certainly keep it within the number.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
5* (CBB) George Washington +6.5
5* (NBA) Sacramento Kings/Orlando Magic OVER 206

4* (CBB) West Virginia +1.5
4* (CBB) Arizona St +8
4* (NBA) Toronto Raptors -1.5
4* (NBA) San Antonio Spurs -15.5

3* (CBB) Southern Illinois +2.5
3* (CBB) Georgia +6
3* (NBA) Utah Jazz -5
3* (NBA) NY Knicks -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jt - bpo

Purdue + 9.5

San Diego State + 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Harrison 2/27

Orlando Magic +1.5
Dallas Mavericks +7.5
Hawks/Jazz Over 198

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe Wednesday

georgia state -3.5

NBA
Dallas +7.5
Portland +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Wednesday, Feb 27 2013 7:05PM
701 TOR -3.0(-110) Hilton vs 702 CLE double-dime bet

Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Wednesday, Feb 27 2013 10:15PM
798 New Mexico -5.5(-110) Bookmaker.com vs797 San Diego St. double-dime bet

Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Wednesday, Feb 27 2013 7:00PM
742 Toledo -1.5(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 741 Western Mich. double-dime bet

Stephen Nover | CBB Sides - Wednesday, Feb 27 2013 7:00PM
733 Northeastern 3.0(-110) Bookmaker.comvs 734 Georgia St double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo

10* CBB Supreme Annihilator- Ohio University

CBB Revenge Rout- Indiana State

CBB Star Attraction- UCONN

10* NBA Wednesday Enforcer- Utah

NBA Ultimate Underdog- New Orleans Hornets

4-0 sweep yesterday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of the Day:

Georgetown -1.5 over Connecticut (NCAA College Basketball)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Erin Rynning

Texas + 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting line moves
701 toronto raptors -3 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* Best Bet- USC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bruce Marshall

Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Dallas +7.5

Michigan -13

West Virginia Pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Edwards

Georgia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


We come off a two down days after a great week last week going 12-6 overall (66%) and +$2600 last month in Profits.

We are going to get even more selective when it comes to our plays in the coming days: We can do so much better and I will work as proficient and as hard as I can to put together a steady and solid winning streak this week similar to last week and last month when we produced (+$2600 in Profits).

4-Unit Play. #748. Take Ohio -3.5 over Akron (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

It's not everyday you see an unranked team favored over a ranked team and that is what you see here with Ohio at home against Akron. Ohio is only about 15 spots below the power rankings of Akron in most power rankings and when you take into consideration the fact that Akron is at home it neutralizes any advantage that Ohio might have. For as good as Akron has been this year as they are 12-0 in conference play and have put together an impressive streak that has led them to a 22-4 record for the season, this is a tough spot for them. For starters, this team is still around the top 200 when it comes to turnover percentage, they beat Ohio by 14 points at home earlier this year and now Ohio has revenge at home against Akron. Akron has been vulnerable on the road beating Eastern Michigan by just 8 points on the road and beating Miami of Ohio by just 4 points on the road and now they have to go on the road to face a top 100 as they come off with some tight wins over several top 200 teams. Plus, Ohio comes off one of the worst losses of the season losing handily to Belmont by 19 points on the road. This is a top 150 turnover team and the last time they lost this bad was against Akron by 14 points and they hammered their next opponent Ball State by 27 points on the road. This is a quality bounce-back opportunity for Ohio and don't be surprised to see Ohio do well here at home with revenge against Akron. The Bobcats of Ohio have a way of getting up for quality teams at home and they are 25-9 ATS when facing a team with a winning record at home.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

4-Unit Play. #710. Take Memphis -7.5 over Dallas (Wednesday @ 8pm est).

This is a great revenge spot for Memphis at home here. Memphis faced Dallas earlier this year if you remember and had a poor effort losing 104-83 on the road. Losing by 21 points on the road to Marc Cuban and the gang is probably the not the list of highlights for this squad. Combine that with Memphis playing better now with Prince and Daye in the lineup as the roles are being defined, it makes for a good spot here for Memphis to step up here at home with revenge against Dallas. I'm not a huge fan of Dallas coming off back to back losses as another selection was Washington with revenge against Detroit at home, but bear in mind that if Dallas was going to bounce-back, they would have done so against the Bucks at home after the loss to the Lakers at home which was a much anticipated game. Combine that with close to 60% of the public will be on Dallas on this game with them on the road and it makes for a good play here as its a decent public fade, Memphis with revenge and the home team being 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when these two teams have faced each other. For as better as Dallas has been of late, they are still 9-19 on the road overall, lost to OKC by 21 on the road, face a Memphis team that does not want to give up 104 points like they did the last time they faced Dallas when they got favorable calls at home, and though I thought about taking Washington at home with revenge, the Pistons have covered their last 3 against the Wizards so I laid off. With Memphis with revenge, public fade and Dallas struggling on the road against the better teams in the league, I like the chalk here as I can see Memphis likely winning this game by double-digits.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey


4-Unit Play. #55. Nashville Predators +110 vs. Anaheim (Wednesday @ 10:05 pm est)
Nashville HC Barry Trotz is one of the best in the National Hockey League at getting the most out of his players. The Music City HC Barry Trotz is a defensive guy as his teams play sound defense, have good goaltending and are opportunistic offensively. The Preds place their emphasis on disciplined positioning and counterattacking to win games. The players apply the game plan and are rarely in the wrong spots. Nashville Goalie Pekka Rinne is 6'6' tall and has the impressive, shot-blocking fortress of defenders in front of him. The Nashville ?Man between the Pipes? has dominated the Ducks by winning his first seven decisions before being saddled with this season's pair of shootout losses. Rinne is (7-0-2) with a (1.58) GAA in his last nine matchups against Anaheim and he has improved to (8-3-1) with a (1.63) goals-against average over his last (12) starts. Anaheim had dropped five of six in the series prior to a (3-2) shootout win at Nashville on Feb. 16. The Ducks were a one-trick pony last season and opposing clubs eventually found out how to shut down its top line of Getzlaf, Perry and Ryan. The Predators are (6-2) in the last (8) meetings, (5-2) in the last (7) meetings in Anaheim and the Predators are (4-1) in their last (5) Wednesday games. With Pekka Rinne between the pipes, the chance to win remains solid.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo's Picks For NHL Hockey


3-Unit Pick Take #52 Philadelphia (-1.45) over Washington (7:35 pm, Wednesday, February 27)


At first glance this number looks high for a Philadelphia team that is struggling in the standings and in the offensive zone this year. Philadelphia fell behind Toronto at home on Monday night and could never recover, that was the fifth time in the last six games that they trailed by two goals. Washington has put together a nice little run winning five of their last seven games after beating Carolina at home last night. I don't want to take anything away from the Capitols but two of those seven wins were against Florida and the Carolina team they played last night is a little depleted with injuries. Philadelphia lost in Washington earlier this year in a game that they just looked flat vs a Washington team that was at the end of a brutal part of their schedule. This Flyers team should be ready to go tonight after some veterans in the locker room have been outspoken how things have to change in this shorten season. Philadelphia will add fimilair face back in the lineup after trading for Simon Gagne, look for some life from the Flyers tonight with some payback on their minds.


2-Unit Pick Take Over (5) Detroit at Los Angeles (10 pm, Wednesday, February 27)


This total is based off the Kings sitting at just 5 with light money attached to the over. The Kings offense is clicking scoring three goals or more in seven of their last eleven games a feat that they only accomplished twice over their first six games. The Kings were definitely slow out of the gate but have come on lately winning four straight games and six of their last seven. These two played on Febraury 10 in Detroit when the Kings out played the Red Wings putting 47 shots on net but still lost the game 3-2 with the total pushing. I just think both teams are better on offence then they were a couple of weeks ago and I think we will see a fast paced style of hockey tonight . I think this total should be 5.5 goals and I will go over the short number here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4.5-STAR HOUSTON -8 over Milwaukee - For a team that likes to play at the tempo Houston does, tonight's rest difference is huge. Houston is 10-3 SU and ATS this year with at least two days rest. In the last seven of those games they've scored a crazy 120.9 ppg. Look for them to get out to a big number again here.
No lead is likely to big enough for Houston to take it easy after a 105-103 loss to Washington Saturday night. They led big throughout much of that game. The Rockets are 8-0 ATS (7.7 ppg) since December 17, 2006 as a favorite off a road loss in which they led by 15+ points.
The lead was 10 at the end of the first quarter and 11 at halftime. The Rockets are 8-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since April 04, 2003 with at least one day of rest off a road loss in which they led by double digits at the end of the first quarter.
Washington shot 51% from the field in that game. The Rockets are 8-0-1 ATS (6.3 ppg) since December 07, 2010 as a favorite with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.
Houston meanwhile shot a crazy 19-of-46 from threes in that game. Teams which attempted at least 34 three pointers last game and shot more than 38% are 72-57-2 ATS.
The trade off was getting to the line just 14 times and making eight of those. The Rockets are 7-0 ATS (6.9 ppg) since December 02, 2006 as a favorite with two or more days of rest after a game on the road in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
Milwaukee won last night, 95-90, in Dallas. Milwaukee was led by Monta Ellis with 22 as Larry Sanders added 13. The Bucks are 0-8 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since March 24, 2012 with no rest after a win on the road in which Larry Sanders was not the Bucks' high scorer.
When these teams met in January, Milwaukee led early before falling big, 115-101. The Bucks are 0-6 ATS (-11.5 ppg) since December 30, 2009 as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which they led by double digits.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION:HOUSTON 119, Milwaukee 103
5-STAR Sacramento and Orlando Under - Sacramento is just not going to have the energy to push the tempo in this game after last night's double overtime thriller. Orlando is not good enough to take advantage of their tired defense, leading to a game that is much lower scoring than forecasted.
This has the making of a mail in game from Sacramento, playing their fourth straight on the road. The Magic are 0-6 OU (-12.2 ppg) since March 01, 1999 when their opponent is playing in at least their fourth straight road game and has no rest.
Last night, Sacramento got into an impressive showdown with Miami. They ended up coming up short in double overtime, 141-129. The 129 points were 31 more than Sacramento was expected to score in that game. Teams which scored at least 27 points more than expected last game are 123-169-5 OU.
Overall the game went over the total of 210.5 by 59.5 points. Teams coming off a game which went over by more than 50 points are 99-132-4 OU.
Going over is nothing new for Sacramento recently. Their last eight games have all gone over the total. Teams which have gone over in at least eight straight games are 54-70 OU.
Sacramento did a great job sharing the ball in that game. They had 33 assists on 48 baskets. The Kings are 0-10 OU (-16.1 ppg) since January 13, 2001 as a road favorite with no rest after a game in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points higher than their season-to-date average.
There were more baskets to assist than normal as they shot 51.6% from the field The Kings are 0-9 OU (-14.0 ppg) since March 12, 2004 as a road favorite with at most one day of rest after a game in which they shot at least 50% from the field.
However they also turned the ball over 19 times including 13 steals. The Kings are 0-9 OU (-18.3 ppg) since February 11, 2009 on the road after a game on the road in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: ORLANDO 97, Sacramento 89
4-STAR Denver over PORTLAND - Denver has really found a rhythm offensely and that makes them a tough team to beat. Against a team they've very familiar with we like them to keep that rhythm going on the road.
Denver just pounded the ball inside on the Lakers Monday in a 119-108 win. They scored 78 points in the paint in that game. Teams which scored more than 70 points in the paint last game are 28-14-1 ATS.
Doing so allowed them to overcome 55.7% shooting from the Lakers. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS (8.6 ppg) since March 09, 1999 with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they allowed at least 55% from the field.
Few teams have been able to win big like that while allowing such good shooting. The success carries over to next game. The League is 18-2 ATS (7.7 ppg) since May 03, 2006 after a double digit win in which they allowed at least 55% from the field.
One place LA did help them was the foul line, going just 16-of-27 there. The Nuggets are 8-0-1 ATS (7.4 ppg) since January 31, 2004 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game in which their opponent shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.
Portland won Sunday night, 92-86 over Boston. Wes Matthews led their effort with 24 points. The Trailblazers are 0-5 ATS (-7.2 ppg) since April 23, 2011 with at least a day of rest after a win in which Wesley Matthews was the Trailblazers' high scorer.
When these teams met in January, Denver won 115-111. Kosta Koufos had a solid game in that win with eight points on 4-of-6 shooting. The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS (10.7 ppg) since January 17, 2012 after winning the previous matchup in which Kosta Koufos shot better than 66% from the field. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Denver 109, PORTLAND 100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Freese 10* NHL No Brainer

Lost his last 3

Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROOT

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)
Connecticut (+1½) over Georgetown

Millionaire
West Virginia (PK) over Baylor

No Limit
San Diego St (+5½) over New Mexico

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

500
portland +2.5 nba
golden state under 205
jazz over 199

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NBA Original Picks 2/27

714. Washington Wizards -7 (service play)

Rest of Games
704. Orlando Magic -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big al

Sac Kings

Anaheim Ducks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Free Pick for 2/27

Arizona State +7.5 over UCLA (NCAA College Basketball)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NBA Updated Picks 2/27

CLEVELAND IS THE BIG "C" PROGRESSION BET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4_SEASONS CBB Power Play of the Day
MIAMI -16

4_SEASON NBA Power Play of the Day
SAN ANTONIO -15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's NBA - 2/27

#703 Take Sacramento/Orlando OVER 207 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

#713 Take Detroit/Washington UNDER 190 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Your Bookies Money ( Carolina Sports)


Play: Point Spread: 13.0/-110 Penn State Pick Title: YBM 5* Game of the Month


Click Here to View Pick Analysis
This is my Top Play of the Month. I love Penn St. in this game. I was on Penn St. in their last game at Illinois and I like them even more here. The fact they have not won a conference game this year is a huge plus. Penn St. is playing their best ball of the season without winning at all. Also remember a few weeks ago Penn St. barely lost at Michigan. A game quite frankly they should have won. Michigan has a huge game this weekend against Michigan St. and this smells of a classic let down spot. In conclusion this is the biggest game of the year for Penn St to get at least one conference win. It would not surprise me one bit if Penn St. wins SU take the 13 points all day.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting line moves
790 kentucky -19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Rosica

60 dimer UCONN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

College Basketball Premium Picks



NCAA-B | Feb 27 '13 (6:30p)
Michigan vs PENN STATE
PENN STATE
+13-110 (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_420b_652) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)


15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Penn State +13

The Penn State Nittany Lions are highly motivated for a win Wednesday when they host the Michigan Wolverines. They enter this contest winless (0-14) in Big Ten play, which has them way undervalued right now. That's why they are catching too many points tonight as they fight for that elusive first conference victory.

Head coach Patrick Chambers has done an amazing job of getting his players to continue to fight despite being winless in conference play. In fact, Penn State is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games overall with a 72-74 home loss to Iowa as an 8-point dog, a 71-79 loss at Michigan as a 22-point dog, and a 59-64 loss at Illinois as a 14.5-point dog.

Now, playing Michigan just 10 days after their first meeting, I look for Penn State to once again give the Wolverines a run for their money at home this time around. The Wolverines are in a big letdown spot here with Michigan State on deck. They will have a hard time getting motivated to play this Nittany Lions' bunch considering they just beat them by 8 at home 10 days ago.

Chambers is a perfect 7-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog in all games he has coached. His teams are actually winning in this spot 70.5 to 57.6 on average. John Beilein is 1-8 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game as the coach of Michigan. Take Penn State Wednesday.








NCAA-B | Feb 27 '13 (8:00p)
Arkansas vs LSU
LSU
-1½-110 (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_420b_652) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)


15* SEC GAME OF THE NIGHT on LSU -1.5

The LSU Tigers should be a much heavier home favorite tonight over the Arkansas Razorbacks. LSU (16-9) still has an shot at making the NCAA Tournament thanks to playing its best basketball of the season here over the past few weeks.

LSU has gone 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall. All three of its losses during this stretch came on the road at Kentucky (70-75) as a 15.5-point underdog, at Alabama (57-60) as an 8.5-point dog, and at Tennessee (72-82) as a 7-point dog. It has gone a perfect 5-0 at home during this stretch with wins over the likes of Texas A&M< Missouri and Alabama.

With those five straight home wins, LSU has improved to a solid 13-2 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 7.6 points/game. Arkansas is one of the worst road teams in the country. It is just 1-7 in true road games this season with its only victory coming over SEC bottom feeder Mississippi State. It is getting outscored by 11.7 points/game in true road games this season.

The home team is a perfect 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings between LSU and Arkansas since 2010. In fact, the home team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Arkansas is 0-6 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. These three trends combine for a perfect 19-0 system backing the Tigers. Roll with LSU Wednesday.








NCAA-B | Feb 27 '13 (9:00p)
TEXAS A&M vs MISSISSIPPI
MISSISSIPPI
-8½-106 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Ole Miss -8.5

The Ole Miss Rebels are finally undervalued as only an 8.5-point home favorite over the Texas A&M Aggies tonight. They had been overvalued for the past month after their tremendous start this season. Now is the time to jump back on their bandwagon as they are 20-7 on the season and fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives.

Texas A&M (16-11) had its hopes of making the Big Dance crushed with an 85-93 home loss to Tennessee on Saturday. It now has little to play for the rest of the way, and off such a tough overtime defeat, I look for it to suffer a hangover tonight.

Ole Miss is 14-1 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by a whopping 21.6 points/game. Rarely will you get the Rebels as a single-digit home favorite with how dominant they have been all season at home. Texas A&M is just 6-7 in all road games this year.

This is also a revenge spot for the Rebels after falling 67-69 at Texas A&M on February 13th just two weeks ago. That adds even more fuel to the fire for Ole Miss tonight. The Rebels are 7-0 ATS in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. Bet Ole Miss Wednesday.






-= TOP PLAY =-


NCAA-B | Feb 27 '13 (10:15p)
SAN DIEGO STATE vs NEW MEXICO
NEW MEXICO
-5-110 (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_420b_652) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)


20* CBB Revenge GAME OF THE MONTH on New Mexico -5

The New Mexico Lobos will be out for revenge from their worst loss of the season tonight. The No. 14 Lobos lost 34-55 at San Diego State on January 26th in their first meeting of the season. They have won six of seven since with their only loss coming at UNLV to improve to 23-4 on the year.

I really like New Mexico's chances of getting revenge considering how well it has played at home this season. It is 13-1 at home where it is outscoring opponents by 11.9 points/game. "The Pit" is one of the most underrated basketball venues in the country.

San Diego State is just 1-4 in its last five true road games with losses to Wyoming, Air Force, Colorado State and UNLV. None of those four teams are as good as this New Mexico bunch. The Lobos are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. Mountain West opponents.

New Mexico is 7-0 ATS in home games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. The Lobos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. These two trends combine for an 11-0 system backing the Lobos. Bet New Mexico Wednesday.







[ back to top ]
NBA Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-


NBA | Feb 27 '13 (7:05p)
Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Toronto Raptors
-3-104 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


20* Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Raptors -3

The Toronto Raptors are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won six of their last eight games overall to get within striking distance of Milwaukee for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Four of those six wins came against playoff contenders in the Pacers, Nuggets and Knicks (twice), so it's not like they've been beating up on cupcakes.

Cleveland is in one of the toughest spots the NBA has to offer tonight. It will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 4th game in 5 days. Off a big upset win at Chicago last night, this is a huge letdown spot for the Cavaliers. Plus, they are expected to be without leading scorer Kyrie Irving (23.3 PPG, 5.6 APG) as he is listed as doubtful with a knee injury.

The road team has won four straight and seven of the last eight meetings in this series overall. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Cleveland. Toronto is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games. The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. These four trends combine for a perfect 19-0 system backing Toronto. Bet the Raptors Wednesday.








NBA | Feb 27 '13 (8:05p)
Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies
Total
188½ un-107 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Mavs/Grizzlies UNDER 188.5

The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks. I look for both teams to be held to fewer than 95 points in a low-scoring affair tonight. When you look at the recent meetings between these teams, it's easy to see that this number has been inflated.

The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between Dallas and Memphis. They have combined for 187 or fewer points in all five meetings with finals of 187, 174, 183, 180 and 181 points. They have combined to average 181.0 points/game in those five contests.

Memphis has become even more of a low-scoring, defensive team since trading away Rudy Gay and essentially getting back Tayshaun Prince in return. The UNDER is 3-0 in Grizzlies last three games overall with wins over Brooklyn (76-72), Orlando (88-82) and Toronto (88-82). As you can see, they have not combined with any of their last three opponents for more than 170 points.

The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Mavericks last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in Grizzlies last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. These four trends combine for a 15-0 system backing the UNDER. Take the UNDER in this game Wednesday.








NBA | Feb 27 '13 (9:05p)
Atlanta Hawks vs Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
-4½-103 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -4.5

The Utah Jazz are highly motivated for a victory tonight over the Atlanta Hawks. They have lost two straight coming in with a 94-107 loss at the Los Angeles Clippers, and a 107-110 (OT) home defeat at the hands of the Boston Celtics. They will not lose three in a row tonight, especially considering this game is at home.

Utah is a sensational 21-7 SU & 17-11 ATS in all home games this season. It will also be out for revenge on the Hawks considering it has lost three straight and six of the last seven meetings in this series. It lost the first meeting this season in Atlanta on January 11th by a final of 95-103.

The Hawks come in overvalued due to their 3-game winning streak coming in. In fact, they have won five of their last six overall while going 5-1 ATS in the process. A closer look at their schedule shows that they have been beating up on weaker teams. Their five wins have come against Dallas, Orlando, Sacramento, Milwaukee and Detroit. All five of those teams have losing records on the season.

The Jazz are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Utah is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in its previous game. The favorite is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings in this series. Roll with the Jazz Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Master Release Confidential
Wednesday
William & Mary
Kent State
Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASL Sports Group

Suns Under 198.5
Magic -1
Mavs Under 188

S. Marys Under 131
N. Illinois -1
G. Washington +6
Texas +2
B. College +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report for Wednesday:
200 Boston College
200 Buffalo
200 OVER Denver in NBA
100 William and Mary
100 Maryland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence:
3* West Virginia
3* Stanford

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Falco

CBB

Kentucky
Miami,FL
Indiana St
Georgia St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SBP NCAAB Picks - 2/27

7 PM EST

749. Buffalo +7 (mostly 6.5s but buy the half point)



11 PM EST

803. Arizona St. +8 (mostly 7.5s but buy the half point)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo

2* WVirginia
1* Arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness legend: Ohio u

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Special k

7* uconn
5* Oklahoma
5* baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns 9* Non Conference Total G.O.W.

Atlanta/Utah Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness 10* NCAA GOM Part 2

New Mexico

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Godfather
ADDED:

My Moves


Bradley 500: +7
West Mich 500: +2
St Mary Ca 500: -12
Arizona 500: -6.5
Boston College 500: +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StevieY
Northern Illinois +1
STL 124o

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PPP
5 mary,
4 st joe, ok

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Monster

10* Philadelphia Flyers -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JdWarriors5
arkansas +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
500 west virginia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MILLIONAIRES CLUB
arizona state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr bob
michigan

mississippi
davidson

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian

ALL CBB:

3* W. Virginia +2 (bh)
2* Saint Josephs/Saint Louis UNDER 125.5
2* Arkansas +1
1* UCONN +2
1* Texas +2
1* UTEP -10
1* George Washington +5
1* Georgia St. -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian

ALL CBB:

3* W. Virginia +2 (bh)
2* Saint Josephs/Saint Louis UNDER 125.5
2* Arkansas +1
1* UCONN +2
1* Texas +2
1* UTEP -10
1* George Washington +5
1* Georgia St. -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root Bill GOY

Georgia Tech

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Wednesday 2/27/13 Plays...

5* STANFORD -5 (8PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--