3-20-13

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::clap::

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Goldsheet

PURDUE by 14 over Western Illinois (Wednesday, March 20)

SAN ANTONIO by 21 over Golden State (Wed., March 20)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Liberty (+2) Tuesday.

Wednesday it's LIU. Deficit: 55 sirignanos.

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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

Gonzaga has long held a warm place in the hearts of college hoops bettors as the "little team that could". The Bulldogs, perennial Cinderellas in the NCAA tournament, are no longer long shots and enter this year’s Big Dance as one of the four top-seeded evil step sisters. It’s been a long climb to the top for the Zags and could be an even further fall if they get caught looking down the bracket.

Gonzaga opens against No. 16 Southern University out of the SWAC Thursday and oddsmakers have tabbed the Bulldogs as 21.5-point favorites.

Being a hefty fave is nothing new to Mark Few’s crew but going deep in the tournament is. Gonzaga has made it out of the first weekend only once in its last six NCAAs and is 4-7 ATS in that span. Southern has a history of tournament magic as well, knocking off No. 4 Georgia Tech as a No. 13 seed in the 1993 NCAA tournament. Chances are, bettors won't see the first No. 16-over-No. 1 upset but they want to be careful when giving all those points.

Letdown spot

The Oklahoma City Thunder test their playoff mettle with big conference clashes against the Denver Nuggets Tuesday - who have won 12 in a row - and the Memphis Grizzlies Wednesday, two teams fighting for position in the Western standings. The Thunder have lost just once in their last nine outings heading into the Denver game, posting a 6-3 ATS mark in that stretch.

Following Wednesday’s road trip to Memphis, OKC turns the intensity down to a low hum with a trip to face the Orlando Magic Friday. These two teams tangled just last week, with the Thunder failing to cover the 17-point spread in a 117-104 win over Orlando at home. The Magic are stellar as double-digit dogs this season, boasting a 10-1 ATS record.

Schedule spot

When it rains it pours for the Vancouver Canucks, who have three wins in their last 10 outings heading into Tuesday’s home date with the St. Louis Blues. The Canucks’ recent skid has dropped them to seventh in the Western Conference – just two points ahead of the ninth-placed Phoenix Coyotes. Vancouver, which lost to the Minnesota Wild Monday, won’t get a chance to lick those wounds with a frantic schedule on tap this week.

The Canucks play five games in seven days, traveling to Phoenix, Los Angeles and Colorado before the end of the week. Sunday’s game against the Avalanche could be extremely taxing, coming from a sea-level contest versus the Kings Saturday to the thin-air of the Pepsi Center. Vancouver has just one win in its last five road games.

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NCAA Play-in Games: JMU vs. LIU Brooklyn, La Salle vs. BSU

James Madison Dukes vs. LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds (-1.5, 144.5)

LIU Brooklyn is no stranger to the rigors of March as it begins its third consecutive trip to the NCAA Tournament. While the Blackbirds have been turned away the previous two times by a pair of the nation’s elite programs, they should have a better opportunity to nail down their first NCAA tournament victory in school history Wednesday in a first-round matchup against James Madison in Dayton, Ohio. In its first two tournament appearances, LIU Brooklyn has exited quickly thanks to second-round games against North Carolina in 2011 and Michigan State in 2012.

The Blackbirds, who clinched an automatic berth by virtue of their victory over Mount Saint Mary’s in the Northeast Conference tournament title game, enter this round of 68 with the No. 5 scoring offense in the country at 79.5 points and tied for eighth in shooting (48.3 percent). The Dukes are on a four-game winning streak after capturing their second Colonial Athletic Association tournament championship. James Madison is seeking its first tournament win since bowing out in the second round three straight years from 1981-83.

TV: 6:40 p.m. ET, truTV

ABOUT JAMES MADISON (20-14, 21-10-0 ATS): The Dukes are in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 1994 and fifth time in school history. James Madison received the bulk of its offense from A.J. Davis and Devon Moore – the team’s second- and third-leading scorers – during the conference tournament as they combined for 105 of the team’s 200 points. Leading scorer Rayshawn Goins enjoyed his best performance in the title game since missing a game Feb. 6 with a foot injury, shooting 6-for-10 with 14 points and 13 rebounds. Over his previous eight games, Goins averaged 9.1 points and 5 rebounds, but converted only 30.1 percent of his field-goal attempts.

ABOUT LIU BROOKLYN (20-13, 4-0-0 ATS): The Blackbirds overcame a number of obstacles to claim their third consecutive NEC crown as four players were suspended for their role in a fight this fall and reigning league player of the year Julian Boyd tore his anterior cruciate ligament in December. "Everything went right the last two years and this year they had to show their true colors," first-year coach Jack Perri said following the team’s 91-70 victory over Mount Saint Mary’s. Northeast Conference Player of the Year Jamal Olasewere is the Blackbirds’ all-time career scoring leader with 1,851 points and ranks fourth in school history with 953 rebounds.

TRENDS:

* Dukes are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
* Blackbirds are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site games.
* Dukes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
* Under is 15-6-2 in Dukes' last 23 overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Northeast Conference tournament MVP C.J. Garner (16.1 points) averaged 28 during LIU Brooklyn’s three-game run in the conference tournament.

2. Coach Matt Brady has directed James Madison to three 20-win seasons in his five years, two more than the school posted since its last CAA title.

3. Perri became the third first-year coach to guide his team to the NEC tournament title.

La Salle Explorers vs. Boise State Broncos (-1.5, 139)

Guard play has taken on added significance in recent NCAA Tournament play, a trend that Boise State and La Salle have taken to an extreme. Two similar teams will take the court Wednesday when the Broncos and Explorers meet in a first-round game in Dayton, Ohio. Boise State relies heavily on its four-guard lineup and the nation’s 13th-best 3-point shooting team while La Salle can sometimes employ five guards and finished second in the Atlantic-10 averaging 8.1 steals.

The Broncos, who were the first team in the country to post multiple victories over ranked opponents, received an at-large bid following their fifth-place finish in the Mountain West. Boise State won five of six entering its conference tournament, but lost in the quarterfinals to San Diego State after defeating the Aztecs five days earlier. Similarly, La Salle won seven of eight before losing at Saint Louis to close out the regular season and against Butler in the Atlantic-10 tournament quarterfinals.

TV: 9:10 p.m. ET, truTV

ABOUT LA SALLE (21-9, 12-12-2 ATS): The Explorers received their first NCAA Tournament invite since 1992 and regularly start four guards, although five average at least 23.8 minutes. Ramon Galloway, a South Carolina transfer, leads La Salle in scoring, assists and steals. Sam Mills is 17-of-33 beyond the arc over his last nine games and often draws the opponent’s best perimeter player. However, the Explorers could be without 6-11 sophomore center Steve Zack, who is listed as day-to-day with a foot injury. Zack’s potential absence looms large against a Boise State team that lacks any significant size in its frontcourt.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (21-10, 16-11-0 ATS): The Broncos are in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2008 and sixth time in program history. Anthony Drmic (17.3 points) and Derrick Marks (16.3) make up one of the top-scoring guard duos in the country. While Drmic is the team’s leading scorer, Marks is the team’s best playmaker and leads the team in assists (3.9) as well as steals (1.8). Boise State is unlikely to be intimidated by the stage after winning at Creighton – behind a career-high 35 points from Marks – and losing by four at Michigan State during its non-conference schedule.

TRENDS:

* Explorers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five neutral-site games.
* Broncos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 neutral-site games.
* Over is 8-2 in Explorers' last 10 neutral-site games.
* Over is 6-1 in Broncos' last seven neutral-site games.

TIP-INS:

1. Marks leads Boise State with 13 blocked shots.

2. La Salle is 5-1 in games decided by three points or less.

3. The Broncos went 13-4 when they hit at least eight 3-pointers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule dissected the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. Now, he breaks down the NCAA tournament field to showcase the most overrated team, the most underrated ranked team, and a dangerous team that could do damage to brackets this March.

Most Underrated NCAA Team - Miami Hurricanes (27-6 SU, 20-9-1 ATS)

It's shocking that the Hurricanes didn't get the No. 1 seed after everything they accomplished this year. They finished at the top of the ACC during the regular season and went on to win the conference tournament. They had impressive wins during the season over Duke and Michigan State, and they won on the road against N.C. State and North Carolina.

Miami was a very profitable 20-9-1 ATS this season and it hasn’t been getting a lot of credit from the books. The Canes have a good draw in their first game, facing the Pacific Tigers. The Hurricanes should cruise to an easy victory and they look like they could go deep into the tournament.

Most Overrated NCAA Team - Gonzaga Bulldogs (31-2 SU, 17-12-2 ATS)

The Bulldogs have only lost twice this season and both of those losses came against Top-25 teams. That gives them a record of 1-2 against ranked opponents, so you have to be pretty suspect of their record given that almost all of their wins have come against unranked teams.

We will find out how good these Bulldogs are when they face some of the better teams in the country. First they will take on the Southern Jaguars, and they are an enormous favorite in that game. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Bulldogs struggle as they get deeper into the tournament and I’m forecasting an early exit.

Most Dangerous NCAA Team - North Carolina Tar Heels (24-10 SU, 20-12 ATS)

After a slow start to the season, the Tar Heels are peaking at the right time. They have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 overall and they have a profitable record of 19-12-2 ATS. North Carolina has lost four times since January 26 but all four of those losses have come against either Miami or Duke.

The Tar Heels take on Villanova in their first game of the tourney and the Wildcats are tough customers. They beat Syracuse, Louisville and Georgetown this season, but all of those upset victories came at home. North Carolina could be a sleeper to make a nice run in the tournament.

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NCAA futures action report: Books cheering against Miami
By JASON LOGAN

With the NCAA regional matchups in place, college basketball bettors have a good idea of which teams have the easiest and toughest paths to the national championship. Along with a slew of game lines, books also released their updated outright winner odds on Selection Sunday and bettors were quick to jump on a few contenders.

The two most notable NCAA futures plays both came out of the Sunshine State. The No. 3 Florida Gators and No. 2 Miami Hurricanes took substantial early action with bettors buying up the Gators at +900 and Miami at +1,300.

“Interesting sharp betting patterns have seen both of Florida’s giants as early favorites for outright tournament winner props,” an oddsmaker for BetDSI.com told Covers. “The Florida Gators are seeing some action and the Miami Hurricanes are getting some sharp money love.”

Miami could end up being a big loser for sportsbooks – which means a big winner for NCAAB bettors – if the Hurricanes continue their hot play following an ACC tournament title. According to CarbonSports.ag, plenty of bettors scooped up Miami at 100-1 to win the NCAA tournament before its strong conference run.

“No question we will be rooting against the Miami Hurricanes,” Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag told Covers. “Miami surprised a lot of experts and surprised us. It only takes a few bets at that kind of price to get exposed and that’s what happened to us.”

On top of those two Florida teams, programs like Kansas State, Ohio State and Indiana also pose a big threat to the books’ futures market. According to Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, the Hoosiers and Buckeyes are neck-and-neck in terms of futures tickets written.

Indiana has been a popular play all season and continues to get support from bettors as the No. 1 seed in the East Regional. The Hoosiers were around +700 to win the NCAA for most of the year and now sit at +600 entering the Round of 64. Duke is also among those favorites drawing futures money for most of the season. The No. 2 Blue Devils are +800 coming out of a tough Midwest bracket.

“Not surprising as both teams have been ranked near the top of the polls all year, and we’re also talking about two storied universities with tons of history and popularity,” Stewart says of IU and Duke. “But at those low prices, we’ll be able to balance out that action.”

Here’s a full list of the tournament outright winner odds:

Louisville +500
Indiana +600
Kansas +800
Gonzaga +800
Duke +800
Miami FL +1,000
Georgetown +1,000
Ohio St +1,500 Bet
Michigan St +1,200
Marquette +2,500
Florida +1,000
New Mexico +1,500
St Louis +2,000
Syracuse +1,500
Michigan +1,500
Kansas St +3,000
Oklahoma St +4,000
UNLV +3,000
VCU +3,000
Wisconsin +4,000
Memphis +7,500
Butler +7,500
UCLA +5,000
Arizona +4,000
Creighton +7,500
Illinois +10,000
San Diego St +10,000
Notre Dame +10,000
Colorado St +10,000
North Carolina St +5,000
North Carolina +5,000
Pittsburgh +5,000
Missouri +5,000
Temple +10,000
Villanova +10,000
Wichita St +10,000
Cincinnati +10,000
Colorado +10,000
Oklahoma +10,000
Iowa St +10,000
Middle Tennessee +30,000
St Marys +30,000
Bucknell +20,000
Minnesota +15,000
Belmont +20,000
Oregon +15,000
California +25,000
Akron +30,000
Ole Miss +25,000
New Mexico St +50,000
Montana +50,000
South Dakota St +50,000
Boise St +50,000
LaSalle +50,000
Valparasio +50,000
Davidson +50,000
Northwestern St +100,000
Harvard +100,000
Albany +100,000
Pacific +100,000
Florida GC +100,000
Iona +100,000
Liberty +100,000
North Carolina A&T +100,000
LIU-Brooklyn +100,000
James Madison +100,000
Western Kentucky +100,000
Southern +100,000

Odds courtesy of TopBet

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NCAA tournament biggest betting mismatches: Round of 64

The NCAA tournament presents college basketball bettors with some unique matchups they wouldn’t get anywhere else, which makes the Big Dance ripe with mismatches.

Of course, you see more of these in games involving high and low seeds – like a No. 1 versus a No. 16 – but here are four underlying mismatches that may make or break your bets in the second round.

No. 3 Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 14 Valparaiso Crusaders (+10, 127)

Spartans’ home-court edge vs. Crusaders’ Indiana roots

Michigan State wound up in the toughest region in the tournament – the Midwest – but it got the luck of the draw with its first two tournament games scheduled in its home state. The Spartans make the short trip to Detroit to face the Crusaders in the Palace of Auburn Hills Thursday, a homecoming for many of MSU’s players.

Valparaiso is just four hours from Detroit but Michigan basketball fans don’t take kindly to teams from Indiana, whether their names are the Hoosiers or the Crusaders.

"It's going to be a home game for them basically in Michigan," Valpo head coach Bryce Drew told MLive.com.

No. 12 Mississippi Rebels vs. No. 5 Wisconsin Badgers (-6, 28)

Rebels’ up-tempo offense vs. Badgers’ slow-motion sets

Ole Miss ranks 10th in the country in points per game (77.9) and fires up an average of 62 shots an outing – fifth most in the land. Wisconsin, on the other hand, attempted just 47 field goals in its 50-43 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten title game and averages 65.5 points on the season. Someone’s got to give in this West Regional showdown.

The Rebels come into the tournament with a ton of momentum and a chip on their shoulder after winning the SEC championship but only receiving a No. 12 seed for their efforts. Ole Miss is hoping starting point guard Jarvis Summers can return from a concussion and dictate the flow but books seem to think Wisconsin will control the pace with the total set at 128 points – Mississippi’s second-lowest total all season.

No. 4 Saint Louis Billikens vs. No. 13 New Mexico State Aggies (+9, 122)

Billikens’ undersized F Dwayne Evans vs. Aggies’ 7-footer Sim Bhullar

Saint Louis built a ton of buzz heading into March, winning both the A-10 regular season and tournament titles. That success is in part due to 6-foot-5 forward Dwayne Evans, who has stepped up as the Billikens’ go-to scorer in recent games. Evans was recently called a "below-the-rim workaholic” by local reporters, which may not bode well for the SLU junior versus the Aggies’ towering frontcourt.

New Mexico State will plug 7-foot-5, 355-pound center Sim Bhullar in the middle of the paint in order to disrupt Evans. Bhullar averaged 10.2 points, 6.5 rebounds and swatted more than two blocks per game. Behind him is fellow Toronto native 6-foot-10 forward Renaldo Dixon, who averaged 1.3 blocks in just under 19 minutes a game. The Aggies finished 13th in the nation in swats – 5.5 an outing – and held opponents to 39.8 percent shooting.

No. 5 VCU Rams vs. No. 12 Akron Zips (+7.5, 135.5)

Rams’ pressure defense vs. Zips’ shaky backcourt

VCU leads the nation in steals (11.8 per game) and turnovers forced (19.9 per game). The Rams thrive on their foes' mistakes and turn those into points, a big reason why they shoot 44.9 percent from the field. It’s not too tough when you keep getting fast break layups.

The Zips are a man down heading into the NCAA after starting point guard Alex Abreu was arrested for drug trafficking and suspended before the MAC tournament. Akron had 31 total turnovers in the two games without Abreu and average 13.7 on the year. VCU head coach Shaka Smart was once an assistant for the Zips and knows Akron head coach Keith Dambrot very, very well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Betting Champ
Boston [A] bet
Philadelphia [A] bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last 23 games (11-2 last 13 AF).
-- Atlanta won three of last four games (3-5 last eight HF). Bucks won four of last six road games (5-1 last six AU).
-- Celtics won seven of last ten games, lost last two on road (2-6 last eight AF).
-- Nets won five of last seven games (7-2 last nine AU). Dallas won six of its last eight games (7-3 last ten HF).
-- Rockets won three of last four at home (6-3 last nine HF).
-- Oklahoma City won 11 of last 14 games (1-2-1 AU). Grizzlies won eight of their last ten games (2-4 last six HF).
-- Spurs won six of last eight games (1-3 last four HF).
-- Wizards won three of last four games, but lost last four road games. (7-4 last 11 AU).
-- 76ers won three of last four games, but lost 13 in row on road (5-8 last 13 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost five of last six games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Charlotte lost 12 of last 14 games (3-10 last 13 HU). Raptors lost eight of last 11 games (1-1 AF).
-- Magic lost six of last seven games (6-1 last seven AU). New York lost four of last five games (1-4 last five HF).
-- Hornets lost seven of their last eight games (1-3 last four H).
-- Jazz lost six of their last eight games (3-7 last ten AU).
-- Warriors lost four of their last five games (2-8 last 10 AU).
-- Suns lost six of their last eight games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Clippers are 3-4 in last seven games (2-3 last five HF).


Totals
-- Three of last four Cleveland home games went over.
-- Four of last five Toronto road games went over total.
-- Seven of last ten Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Knick games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Boston games went over the total.
-- Last four Brooklyn games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix home games, 12 of last 13 Washington road games stayed under.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Philly's last eight games.

Back-to-backs
-- Milwaukee is 5-11 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Orlando is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Thunder are 5-6 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Clippers are 4-2 vs spread at home if they played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

Play-in games (Dayton, Wed)
James Madison's leading scorer Goins is suspended for first half after he was arrested over weekend; Dukes finished 4th in #20 league, are 9-7 in non-league games. LIU won five in row, 15 of last 18 games after 6-game losing skid early in January; Blackbirds beat Hofstra by 4 in only game vs CAA foe- they finished T2 in #24 league, make 38.5% behind the arc (#16 in country). Seven of last eight JMU games were decided by 5 or less points. NEC squads are 2-0 in play-in games, winning by 22-9 in a pair of games vs MEAC teams- they haven't won any other tournament games in last 28 years.

Boise State won at Creighton, lost by 4 at Michigan State, they went 9-8 in MWC, 14-2 outside it; Broncos make 38.7% of 3's (#15 in country), but they're a young team (one senior in rotation) and depend on Marks to be explosive scorer (5-6-38-4-27-14 points last six games). LaSalle is also guard-oriented, making 37.1% behind arc. Unsure if 6-11 Zack will play here (missed last three games); Explorers are 3-2 vs top 60 teams, beating Villanova/VCU/Butler, losing to Miami/Saint Louis. MWC was #3 league this year, A-16 #8. Boise State is 4-7 vs top 60 teams. You'd think this would be a high scoring teams, with teams that can shoot.

Other tournaments
There is nothing as futile as trying to handicap these consolation events that run opposite the NCAAs, especially in the first round, because the most important issue is this: Who still wants to be playing? I have no idea who still wants to play; once they play a game or two, then maybe we can come up with something, but for this week, I'd stay away. That said, some very brief notes on these games........

-- Indiana State lost six of its last eight games; its last three wins were all by a point. Iowa split pair of neutral court tilts with MVC teams, with 75-63 loss to Wichita State, 80-73 win over Northern Iowa.
-- Charlotte is 6-9 in last 15 games after starting season 15-2; they make 26.7% behind arc, 4th-worst in country. Providence lost last two games, scoring 59-44 points; they split pair vs A-16 teams this year.
-- UMass is 10-3 outside A-16; they're 5-2 in last seven games, got beat by VCU in A-16 tourney. Stony Brook is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11 at UConn, 7 at Maryland, both before Christmas.
-- Mercer is 5-5 outside A-Sun, winning at Alabama, losing at Georgia by 9; they lost other two top 100 games, by 29-18 points. Tennessee is 9-2 in last 11 games, disappointed to be left out of NCAAs.
-- Long Beach State played #1 non-league schedule in country, going 4-8 with six losses by 15+ points. Baylor beat Kansas by 23 here, but lost nine of last 13 overall.

-- Southern Miss was 0-3 vs Memphis this year, losing conference final in double OT to Tigers; they're 7-5 in last 12 games, after starting 18-4. Charleston Southern is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 9-12-13 points.
-- Detroit went 8-6 vs #14 non-league schedule; they're 2-5 vs teams in top 100, beating Akron/Valpo. Arizona State played 6th-easiest slate in country pre-conference; they've lost five of last six games overall.
-- Western Illinois plays the slowest-paced games in America; their best player Parks was hurt during Summit tourney, status ?? here. Purdue is 5-9 in its last 14 games- they're only 7-6 in non-league games.
-- Richmond lost three of last four games; they make 38% from arc, #27 in US. Bryant's bench plays 2nd-least minutes in America; they're 6th-shortest- this is just their 5th year in D-I, so they're happy to be here.
-- Young Tulsa (#304 in experience/rookie coach) is 5-7 in last 12 games, but 3-2 in last five road games. Wright State won three of last four tilts, losing at Valparaiso in Horizon final.
-- North Dakota State won four of last five games; they lost at Akron by 15 in only game vs MAC opponent. Western Michigan is 2-3 in its last five games; they beat Oakland by 4, in only game vs Summit foe.

-- Inexperienced Texas (youngest team in country) is 6-4 since Kabongo got eligible; they're 10-0 this year vs teams ranked outside the top 150. Houston was 8-10 in C-USA; they played worst non-league schedule in entire country, going 11-2.
-- Elon hasn't played in 10 days; they won five of last seven road games. Canisius hasn't played in 11 days; they're 3-5 in last eight games overall. Griffs are 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
-- South Alabama gets 26.8% of points from foul line, #2 in nation; they lost by 14 at UAB, in only game vs C-USA opponent. Tulane lost five of last six games after starting season 18-9.
-- Green Bay is 0-2 vs MVC teams, losing by 2 to Southern Illinois at home, by 17 at Drake. Bradley lost 12 of last 18 games, after starting the season 10-4- they beat UIC by a point, only game vs Horizon team.
-- Ill-Chicago lost seven of last ten games; they're only 4-3 vs teams not in top 250. Chicago State is 0-3 vs Horizon teams, losing to Green Bay by 5, Valparaiso by 21, Loyola by 3 in OT.

-- Oral Roberts replaced UT-Arlington in Southland; they've lost four of last five games, went 5-8 vs #23 non-conference schedule. Arlington lost WAC final in Vegas Saturday; they're 9-4 in their last 13 games.
-- Cal Poly is 9-2 in its last 11 games; they play 3rd-slowest tempo in country- four of their last seven losses are by 2 points. Weber State lost Big Sky final at Montana, ending its 13-game winning streak.
-- Cal-Irvine lost Big West final in Anaheim Saturday; they're 8-2 in last ten games. High Point is 5-8 out of conference; they lost three of last four games, after 7-game win streak.
-- Northern Iowa (-16.5) beat North Dakota 72-47 Nov 17; UND made iust 5-22 behind arc, but won four of last five overall, blowing 12-point lead over Weber in Big Sky semis. UNI lost three of last four games.
-- Fairfield lost four of last six games, scoring 46.7 ppg; Stags are 2-4 vs teams in top 125, losing by 9-15-19-11 points. Kent State won six of its last seven games, then lost by 3 to Akron in MAC semis.
-- Air Force star Lyons (knee) is out; Falcons lost seven of last 10 games but beat Riverside by 8 in only game vs Big West opponent. Hawaii is 2-5 in last seven games, but won four of last five at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CBB

Thursday's NCAA games
Day games
Valparaiso is most experienced team in country, with two juniors and six seniors in rotation; Crusaders won last six games and 16 of last 18, but lost by hoop at Nebraska, one of worst teams in Big Dozen. Michigan State is 3-4 in last seven games, with all four losses to teams in top 15; they beat Loyola by 12, in only game vs Horizon foe. Spartans played toughest schedule in country; since 2000, Izzo is 3-2 as double digit favorite in this round, but covered just one of last four first round games. Last six years, #3 seeds are 16-8 against spread in this round; first round favorites of between 10-20 points are 27-22 vs spread.

Since 2001, Patriot League teams are 9-3 vs spread in this round, 2-1 if a single digit underdog; LY, Lehigh upset Duke in 2-15 game. Bucknell has a good resume, beating Purdue-New Mexico State-Kent State-LaSalle, losing by hoop at Missouri- this is highest seed for Patriot squad since Bucknell (+4) upset Arkansas 59-55 in an '09 8-9 game. Last four years, dogs are 11-5 vs spread in 6-11 games; since '09, first round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 vs spread. Butler is 10-6 last 16 games after a 16-2 start; Stevens is master when given prep time- Butler was 3-1 as a favorite in two years they went to Finals (dog in six of ten wins).

Over last six years, underdogs are 18-6 vs spread in 8-9 games; since '99, underdogs of 4+ points are 5-2 in 8-9 games. Since '89, dogs are 16-8 SU in the 8-9 game in West region. Pitt missed tourney LY, then played the #339 non-league schedule this year; Dixon is 7-1 in first round tilts (5-3 vs spread), but all seven wins were as 5-seed or higher, loss as 9-seed to Pacific in '05. Wichita split its last six games, losing to Creighton twice; they lost to VCU in 5-12 game LY, their first tourney under Marshall. This figures to be a physical, low-scoring game. First round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 against the spread.

Saint Louis played in Brooklyn last weekend, winning final on Sunday, now has early Thursday game in San Jose, not easiest travel schedule for veteran team that is fashionable pick as Final Foul sleeper. Billikens had rough 3-3 start, but are on 15-1 run now- they've got four juniors, three seniors in rotation, are in top 20 in country at getting to foul line, which could hurt if game isn't called tight. #4 seed in Midwest got upset four of last five years; other #4's are 9-6 vs spread (13-2 SU) during that time. New Mexico State has 7-5 freshman center; they've won 18 of 20 after a 6-8 start, are #3 team in country getting to line, but their best assist guy (Watson) has been injured. Aggies were in Vegas last week; less travel.

Davidson is very well-coached; they made run to Elite 8 in ’08 with Steph Curry, but those are SoCon’s only tournament wins since ’97. Since ’02, Wildcats are 1-4 in first round, losing by 5-8-12-7 points (lost 69-62 (+7) to Louisville LY). Marquette is 4-1 in last five first round games, winning last two years by 11-20 points (won 88-68 (-6) as 3-seed LY). Wildcats won last 17 games; they went 6-6 vs #16 non-conference schedule; best teams they beat were #83 Richmond, #85 Vandy. Marquette won six of last eight games, but lost in first Big East tourney game. First-round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 vs spread, but over last 14 years, #3’s are 53-3 SU in this round.

Lot of pressure on Memphis coach Pastner, who went 19-0 in C-USA but has yet to win NCAA game, losing by 2-7 points last two years as replacement for Calipari, who was 12-3 in NCAAs three years prior to that. Tigers lost non-league game 64-62 at Xavier Feb 26, only loss since Dec 15 at home to Louisville. Memphis plays at #28 tempo; they'll try to wear down St Mary's with their better athletes. St Mary's played three starters 35+ minutes in methodical win Tuesday over an athletic Middle Tennessee team; Gaels are 24-4 in last 28 games, losing all three games with Gonzaga, by 5-17-14 points. Over last four years, underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in 6-11 games. St Mary's is 3-4 in NCAA games under Bennett, upsetting #2 Villanova on short prep time after beating #7 Richmond two days earlier, scenario similar to this one.

This is first time in five years the SWAC rep hasn’t gone to play-in game; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six regular first-round games, losing last two by 43-41 points. Southern won 22 of last 26 games after its 1-6 start, losing to Iowa State by 23, Nebraska by 11, Wyoming by 7- they won at Texas A&M. Jaguars have #2 eFG% in country (41.6%) but no one in SWAC can shoot. From 2004-6, Gonzaga was #2-3-3 seed, won first round games by 27-10-4 points; this is its first #1 seed. Bulldogs are 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 150, with 10 of 11 wins by 16+ points; they could be looking ahead to second round, vs Pitt/Wichita winner. Over last five years, #1’s are 13-7 vs spread in this round.

Oregon was 17-2 when PG Artis hurt his foot; they went 5-4 while he was out, are 4-2 since he came back, but 14 minutes he played in Pac-12 title game, and totals of 7-24 from floor, 2-11 inside arc since he came back indicate he isn’t close to 100%. Oklahoma State is in NCAAs for first time in three years, third time in seven years since Eddie Sutton retired; they won 12 of last 15 games, have one of two best freshmen in country in Smart (4-19 from arc in their last three losses, 3.4 3’s/game (13-41) in their last 12 wins). Last five years, underdogs are 12-8 vs spread in 5-12 games; since 1994, dogs are 15-4 vs spread in 5-12 Midwest game. Ducks took advantage of Jordan Adams’ injury to beat UCLA Saturday; 12-seed says they might be in NIT had they lost that game.

Night games
Since 1993, Louisville is 3-11-1 vs spread in first round games, losing in first round two of last three years; only other time they were a #1 seed, Cardinals (-20.5) beat Morehead State by 20. North Carolina A&T used four starters 31+ minutes in 73-72 play-in win Tuesday; Aggies lost at Cincinnati 93-39 in its only game against a Big East team. A&T is in serious trouble vs Louisville; they turn it over 22.5% of time, bad news vs Cardinal club that forces turnovers 27.6% of time, #2 in US. #1 seeds are 13-7 vs spread in this round, over last five years. Louisville is 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200 this season, winning by 26-41-52 points; they had 44-10 run in second half vs Syracuse, after being down 15 early in second half. Question is, will they let down after winning conference tournament, and looking ahead to winner of Missouri-Colorado State?

South Dakota State is solid offensive team that won at New Mexico, lost by 3 at Alabama, but also lost at Hofstra/Bakersfield. Jackrabbits make 39.4% behind arc, are #26 in eFG% (53.5%) but also lost by 24 at Minnesota, in their only game vs Big Dozen team. State doesn’t sub much, but is #43 experience team in country, while Michigan is #338. Wolverines (two juniors, no seniors in rotation) went 6-6 in last 12 games, after starting season 20-1; six of its seven losses came vs top 10 teams. Michigan is 2-1 in first round under Beilein, winning by 3-30, with dog covering all three games- they lost as 4-seed to Ohio LY. Last seven years, #4 seeds are 17-11 vs spread in this round. Summit League teams are 0-5 last five years, 2-3 vs spread, losing by 19-10-23-4-8 points, all as 13-14 seeds. Playing in Auburn Hills can’t hurt Michigan.

Belmont is in NCAAs for 6th time since 2006; they’re 0-5 SU, 1-4 vs spread, losing by 34-25-1-14-15 points, with only cover 71-70 (+20) loss to Duke in 2-15 game five years ago- they lost by 14-15 points last two years. Bruins won at Stanford, but lost to VCU by 10, Kansas by 29. Belmont’s 56.8% eFG% is #2 in country; they make 37.6% behind arc, 57.1% inside arc (#1 in country). Since 1985, Arizona is 3-7 SU in first round of NCAAs when lower than a 4-seed; they’re 5-5 in last 10 games after a 20-2 start. First round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 vs spread; over last four years, underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in 6-11 games. Game is in altitude in Salt Lake City; Belmont ranks #284 in bench minutes; will longer TV timeouts save them from getting worn down?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Lightning won three of last four games.
-- Minnesota won five of its last six games. Red Wings won last two games, allowing two goals in each.
-- Oilers won three of their last four games.
-- Ducks won six of their last seven games. Chicago won eight of its last ten games, allowing four goals in last three.

Cold teams
-- Toronto lost its last five games, allowing 22 goals.
-- San Jose lost six of its last seven games.
-- Avalanche lost its last four games, outscored 20-9. Dallas Stars lost four of their last five games.


Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last 10 Detroit games, 0-2-1 in last three.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six San Jose games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Dallas-Colorado games.
-- Four of last five Chicago games went over the total.

Series records
-- Lightning lost four of last five games with Toronto.
-- Red Wings won nine of last 12 games vs Minnesota.
-- Sharks won 12 of last 16 games with Edmonton.
-- Dallas Stars won five of last seven games with Colorado.
-- Blackhawks lost eight of last eleven visits to Anaheim.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/20/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3824-1329 (.742)
ATS: 1845-1864 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 5140-5449 (.485)
Over/Under: 581-530 (.523)
Over/Under Vary Units: 669-623 (.518)

NCAA Tournament
1st Round at University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH
Long Island 77, James Madison 76
Boise State 71, La Salle 69

National Invitation Tournament
1st Round at campus sites
TENNESSEE 67, Mercer 57
PROVIDENCE 71, Charlotte 62
BAYLOR 79, Long Beach State 65
ARIZONA STATE 77, Detroit 72
SOUTHERN MISS 82, Charleston Southern 66
BYU 74, Washington 70
MASSACHUSETTS 71, Stony Brook 64
IOWA 71, Indiana State 54

College Basketball Invitational
1st Round at campus sites
Texas 77, HOUSTON 75
PURDUE 61, Western Illinois 47
WRIGHT STATE 66, Tulsa 60
Richmond 78, BRYANT 72
North Dakota State vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament
1st Round at campus sites
KENT STATE 65, Fairfield 52
NORTHERN IOWA 71, North Dakota 56
CANISIUS 75, Elon 68
Green Bay 65, BRADLEY 63
TULANE 72, South Alabama 67
UIC 69, Chicago State 57
UT ARLINGTON 72, Oral Roberts 60
UC IRVINE 74, High Point 62
WEBER STATE 68, Cal Poly 60
Air Force 75, HAWAI'I 70

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/20/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 658-311 (.679)
ATS: 523-470 (.527)
ATS Vary Units: 1325-1178 (.529)
Over/Under: 507-485 (.511)
Over/Under Vary Units: 683-629 (.521)

Toronto 100, CHARLOTTE 95
Miami 106, CLEVELAND 96
NEW YORK 104, Orlando 91
ATLANTA 104, Milwaukee 98
Oklahoma City vs. MEMPHIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Boston 95, NEW ORLEANS 92
HOUSTON 109, Utah 102
DALLAS 103, Brooklyn 96
SAN ANTONIO 110, Golden State 98
PHOENIX 97, Washington 96
L.A. CLIPPERS 101, Philadelphia 88

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

03/20/13 Predictions

Season: 163-106 (.606)

TORONTO 4, Tampa Bay 3
DETROIT 3, Minnesota 2
Dallas vs. COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
EDMONTON 3, San Jose 2
Chicago vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

James Madison vs. LIU-Brooklyn

The Blackbirds look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games versus teams with a winning record. LIU-Brooklyn is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackbirds favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 623-624: James Madison vs. LIU-Brooklyn (6:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 53.256; LIU-Brooklyn 57.353
Dunkel Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 4; 140
Vegas Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 1 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (-1 1/2); Under


Game 625-626: LaSalle vs. Boise State (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 66.642; Boise State 65.933
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 1; 144
Vegas Line: Boise State by 2; 139
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+2); Over


Game 627-628: Indiana State at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 57.938; Iowa 69.192
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 11 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Iowa by 12 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+12 1/2); Over


Game 629-630: Charlotte at Providence (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 57.375 Providence 65.783
Dunkel Line: Providence by 8 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Providence by 9 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9 1/2); Under


Game 631-632: Stony Brook at Massachusetts (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 59.119; Massachusetts 65.487
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 6 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 4 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-4 1/2); Under


Game 633-634: Mercer at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 59.384; Tennessee 65.457
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6; 128
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 9; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (+9); Over


Game 635-636: Long Beach State at Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 53.621; Baylor 64.401
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 11; 155
Vegas Line: Baylor by 12 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+12 1/2); Over


Game 637-638: Charleston Southern at Southern Mississippi (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 51.124; Southern Mississippi 67.521
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 16 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 13 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-13 1/2); Under


Game 639-640: Detroit at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 59.356; Arizona State 65.053
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 5 1/2; 151
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 4; 153
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-4); Under


Game 647-648: Western Illinois at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:


Game 649-650: Richmond at Bryant (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 59.363; Bryant 55.714
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 3 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Richmond by 5 1/2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (+5 1/2); Over


Game 651-652: Tulsa at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 54.087; Wright State 60.676
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 6 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Wright State by 5; 127
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-5); Under


Game 653-654: North Dakota State at Western Michigan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 57.427; Western Michigan 56.344
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 1; 128
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (+1 1/2); Over


Game 655-656: Texas at Houston (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 61.860; Houston 56.709
Dunkel Line: Texas by 5; 144
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-2 1/2); Under


Game 659-660: Elon at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 50.282; Canisius 59.486
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 9; 139
Vegas Line: Canisius by 7; 143
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-7); Under


Game 661-662: South Alabama at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.521; Tulane 57.032
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 4 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Tulane by 6 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+6 1/2); Over


Game 663-664: WI-Green Bay at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 56.745; Bradley 55.349
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 1 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Pick; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay; Over


Game 665-666: Chicago State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago State 44.769; Illinois-Chicago 57.551
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 13; 127
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 11 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-11 1/2); Under


Game 667-668: Oral Roberts at TX-Arlington (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 52.594; TX-Arlington 55.243
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 2 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 4 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (+4 1/2); Under


Game 669-670: Cal Poly at Weber State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 56.390; Weber State 61.640
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 5 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Weber State by 6 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+6 1/2); Over


Game 671-672: Air Force at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 59.334; Hawaii 53.008
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 6 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Air Force by 1; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-1); Under


Game 673-674: High Point at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: High Point 49.115; UC-Irvine 55.535
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 6 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 8 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: High Point (+8 1/2); Over


Game 679-680: North Dakota at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 49.098; Northern Iowa 60.439
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 11 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 15 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+15 1/2); Over


Game 681-682: Fairfield at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 52.086; Kent State 57.176
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 5; 133
Vegas Line: Kent State by 7; 125
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+7); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Milwaukee at Atlanta

The Hawks look to bounce back from their 127-113 loss to Dallas on Monday and build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 games after allowing 100 points or more in the previous game. Atlanta is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Miami at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.310; Cleveland 117.916
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 603-604: Toronto at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.841; Charlotte 104.414
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 13 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 195
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6); Under


Game 605-606: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.877; Atlanta 122.992
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5 1/2); Under


Game 607-608: Orlando at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 108.734; New York 120.790
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 12; 202
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 609-610: Boston at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.107; New Orleans 117.897
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 611-612: Brooklyn at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 118.251; Dallas 125.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Under


Game 613-614: Utah at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.310; Houston 125.193
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7; 210
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-7); Under


Game 615-616: Oklahoma City at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.559; Memphis 126.274
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2); Over


Game 617-618: Golden State at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.458; San Antonio 128.925
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 15 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8 1/2); Under


Game 619-620: Washington at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.605; Phoenix 115.183
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over


Game 621-622: Philadelphia at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 115.823; LA Clippers 129.376
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 20; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 196
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at Anaheim

The Ducks look to build on their 12-3 record in their last 15 home games against teams with a road winning percentage above .600. Anaheim is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-110). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20
Time Posted 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.366; Toronto 11.711
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-130); Under


Game 3-4: Minnesota at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.103; Detroit 11.310
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over


Game 5-6: San Jose at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.314; Edmonton 12.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-110); Under


Game 7-8: Dallas at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.541; Colorado 10.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+110); Over


Game 9-10: Chicago at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.955; Anaheim 13.009
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Indiana St +12.5
Long Beach St St +12.5
Detroit +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1001-744 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner WED Boise ST -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Mavs -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -105 over Anaheim Ducks
(System Record: 36-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 36-20-1

Basketball Crusher
Wisconsin Green Bay (PICK) over Bradley
(System Record: 76-4, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 76-55-4

Soccer Crusher
Nova Iguacu + Vasco da Gama UNDER 3
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 373-14, lost last game and a push)
Overall Record: 373-322-44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, March 20

Blackhawks at Ducks: What bettors need to know

Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks (+101, 5.5)

The Western Conference's elite will meet at the Honda Center on Wednesday as the Anaheim Ducks host the Chicago Blackhawks. Anaheim has won a franchise-record 12 consecutive home games and secured at least one point in its last 11 contests overall (8-0-3). Chicago also knows a thing or two about streaks, having won a franchise-best 11 in a row during its NHL-record 24-game point run to start the season.

While the Blackhawks received mainstream publicity for their gaudy streak, they haven't lost sight of the Ducks. "As well as we've been playing, they've been right there kind of hiding in the shadows," Chicago superstar Patrick Kane said. "If we weren't having the year we're having, there would be a lot of focus and attention on them. They're a big, physical team."

TV: 10 p.m. ET, NHL Network, CSN (Chicago), FSN West (Anaheim)

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS (24-2-3, 11-17 over/under): Kane collected a goal and two assists as Chicago posted its third straight win, a 5-2 triumph over Colorado on Monday. The electric star has recorded a trio of three-point performances during his four-game point streak. Captain Jonathan Toews has recorded back-to-back three-point efforts and joined Kane with an assist in the Blackhawks' 3-2 shootout loss to the Ducks at the United Center on Feb. 12.

ABOUT THE DUCKS (21-3-4, 12-14 over/under): Future Hall-of-Famer Teemu Selanne didn't mince words when asked about Wednesday's opponent. "All the focus has been on Chicago. Chicago, Chicago, Chicago. That's great. Nobody's looking at us, (and) that's a good thing," the veteran told the Los Angeles Times. Jonas Hiller has regained his form by posting a 7-0-2 mark in his last nine contests. The Swiss netminder is 7-4-2 lifetime versus the Blackhawks - although Viktor Fasth made 28 saves in the win last month.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Anaheim.
* Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
* Home team is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
* Blackhawks are 6-20-2 in the last 28 meetings in Anaheim.

OVERTIME:

1. Anaheim's Corey Perry, who was presented with an eight-year, $69 million contract extension on Monday, will serve the final contest of his four-game suspension for his hit on Minnesota's Jason Zucker on Wednesday.

2. Chicago's Marian Hossa is not expected to play after suffering an upper-body injury at the hands of Ryan O'Byrne and the Avalanche.

3. The Ducks have some tilts on their immediate schedule. After Wednesday's contest, Anaheim will face Detroit for a pair of games before opening a home-and-home series with San Jose. A rematch with Chicago - this time at the United Center - will finish the challenging stretch.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Wedn College Hoops
1/2 Unit Plays

672 Hawaii Under 147
650 Bryant Under 146.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER
34-15 RUN NCAAB

3* 711 Davidson +4 over Marquette
3* 713 Bucknell +3.5 over Butler
2* 733 N Mexico St +9 over St. Louis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GREG SHAKER

2* 626 Boise St. -1 over La Salle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Beat Your Bookie

Daily Hoops Plays for Wednesday

10* Play Long Island -1 over James Madison (NCAA TOP PLAY)
6:40 PM EST

James Madison is 3-7 ATS coming off two or more UNDER the totals
James Madison is 3-7 ATS coming off four or more wins

10* Play LaSalle +1.5 over Boise State (NCAA TOP PLAY)
9:10 PM EST

Boise State is 7-19 ATS coming off an OVER the total in their last game
Boise State is 4-18 ATS after having lost two of the last three games

10* Play Bryant +5 over Richmond (NCAA TOP PLAY)
7:00 PM EST

Richmond is 2-12 ATS coming off a game with nine or less assists
Richmond is 5-13 ATS in road games when playing their 2nd game in a week

10* Play Detroit +4 over Arizona State (NCAA TOP PLAY)
10:00 PM EST

Arizona State is 7-17 ATS when playing as a favorite
Arizona State is 9-19 ATS in non-conference games the last two seasons

10* Play Air Force -1 over Hawaii (NCAA TOP PLAY)
11:59 PM EST

Hawaii is 1-6 ATS over the last seven games
Hawaii is 4-13 ATS at home when playing in the month of March

FYI:
Air Force a 1-point favorite at Hawaii in the CIT on Wednesday night.
Michael Lyons (AF) is out, surgery on torn medial meniscus in right knee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3GSports / TonyK

March Madness is officially here and it's time to get your brackets ready!!

This is the most exciting time of the college basketball season and the most anticipated and watched event in sports next to the Super Bowl.

I have correctly pegged 2 of the 4 teams who made it to the FINAL FOUR in eight straight years.

This year I am giving you some of my top advice on what it takes to be a champion. Of course, you can never foresee injuries, suspensions, foul trouble, poor officiating, etc. throughout the big dance.

Everyone likes underdogs and Cinderella teams but you have to look at the team records, their strengths and the conferences that they play in. There is usually one team that surprises everyone but fails to win it in the end, such as Utah in 1998 vs. Kentucky and Butler coming up short in 2010 and 2011.

Since 1998, the Championship team has not been seeded lower than a #3 and in 1997 Arizona was a #4 seed and won it all. As you can see in the past 15 tournaments, the top teams usually go all the way. Digging even deeper you have to go back to 1988 when a #6 seed Kansas team coached by Larry Brown won it all, but things were different back then as players didn't bolt to the NBA after one season in college. As much as I like to select a solid #4 or #5 to go all the way, it's not a smart idea. Nineteen of the last 22 National Champs have been a #1 or #2 seed.

Before I start to bore you with all of my numbers and trends, let me share some of my top tips for picking your brackets. Great teams do not lose more than 7 games in a season, so if a team has 8 or more losses, stay away from them. Also, each of the past 15 champs were from one of the major 6 conferences (Big East, SEC, PAC-12, BIG 12, ACC, BIG 10). The teams in these conferences play the toughest games night in and night out on a regular basis and have been more battle tested. Mid majors/small schools tend to make it to the Sweet 16 or Elite 8, but not the FINAL FOUR.

So, if you are like me and really like the way Gonzaga, St. Louis, Memphis and New Mexico are playing this season, you might want to think twice about advancing them deep in your brackets.

Looking at the teams who lost 7 or fewer games this season, play in a major conference, and are seeded #3 or better this year, you can narrow down your Final Four selections from this list of nine teams.

LOUISVILLE

KANSAS

INDIANA

MIAMI-FL

DUKE

GEORGETOWN

FLORIDA

MICHIGAN

OHIO ST.

From here, I would look at how these teams faired on neutral courts and on the road during their season. It is also important to consider each team's starting guards, their defensive strength, team rebounding, and if they can make their foul shots.

From my 20 years of experience, I offer you my professional advice and helpful tips. My hope is that this article has fed your excitement for the tournament while giving you a competitive edge to turn some heads in your company pools!

Enjoy the tournament and remember, pick with your head, not with your heart!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Over 197 Brooklyn and Dallas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BookiesHunter

Tennis plays 8-3-1 run

2* Thiemo De Bakker over Horacio Zeballos
2* Victor Hanescu over Alex Kuznetsov
2* Parlay: Stefanie Voegele & Karolina Pliskova & Laura Robson
2* Parlay: Marinko Matosevic & Albert ramos

1* Lukas Rosol over Gilles Muller
1* Somdev Dev Varman over Evgeny Donskoy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB LONG ISLAND at JAMES MADISON

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, in the first round of the NCAA tournament
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% 36.2 units )

CBB TULSA at WRIGHT ST.

Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (WRIGHT ST) after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, playing with 7 or more days rest.
20-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 55.6% 24.8 units )
3-6 this year. ( 33.3% -0.3 units )

CBB LONG ISLAND at JAMES MADISON

Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, in a post-season tournament game
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA GOLDEN STATE at SAN ANTONIO

Play Over - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

NBA UTAH at HOUSTON

Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (UTAH) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite
119-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.1% 55.6 units )
10-2 this year. ( 83.3% 3.8 units )

NBA UTAH at HOUSTON

Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (UTAH) an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -1.3 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* 76ers/Clippers Over 196

50* Tennessee -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Don Best Consensus

Air Force vs Hawaii
Pick: Hawaii

Air Force is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Hawaii is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Mountain West. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

3/20 7:00PM Fairfield vs Kent State
[681] OVER 125.5 -110

3/20 7:05PM Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Bobcats
[604] Charlotte Bobcats +6 -104

3/20 7:35PM Minnesota Wild vs Detroit Red Wings
[4] Detroit Red Wings -140

3/20 8:35PM Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs
[618] San Antonio Spurs -8.5 -110

3/20 10:05PM Chicago Blackhawks vs Anaheim Ducks
[9] UNDER 5.5 -125

PJ (TENNIS)

3/20 11:00AM Gilles Muller vs Lukas Rosol
[102] Lukas Rosol -130

3/20 11:00AM Evgeny Donskoy vs Somdev Devvarman
[106] Somdev Devvarman +160

3/20 12:15PM Tobias Kamke vs Blaz Kavcic
[161] Tobias Kamke +110

3/20 7:30PM Ryan Harrison vs James Blake
[153] Ryan Harrison -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 03/20/2013
(Won last 8 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Philadelphia 76ers : o196
Cost: -110

Run Line for 03/20/2013
(Won last 5 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers : -10
Cost: -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

3/20 - 3/22

5* Rockets/Jazz UNDER 209

5* Colorado St +3

4* Mavericks/Nets UNDER 199

3* Fairfield +6

3* Oral Roberts +4

3* Long Beach St +12.5

3* Marquette -3

3* Michigan -11

3* Syracuse -12.5

3* Iowa St +1.5

3* Minnesota -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves NCAAB 3/20

652. Wright State -5 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetimesportspicks
Tennessee-9
Atlanta hawks OVER207

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT SPREITZER'S

NIT OPENING RD BLOCKBUSTER GOY!
Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

25 James Madison
25 Chicago State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Best Bet NBA
Charlottte

[Can'tPickAWinner]

xpertpicks 3/20

ncaab:
Iowa -12 over Indiana State
Providence -9.5 over Charlotte
Southern Mississippi -14 over Charleston Southern
Long Island -1.5 over James Madison
LaSalle +1.5 over Boise State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves NCAAB 3/20

637 charleston southern +13
669 cal poly slo +7
625. la salle +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

blassyck wins

9 Chicago Blackhawks OVER 5½ +111

7 Dallas Stars OVER 5½ +117

615 Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 191 -105

617 Golden State Warriors OVER 202½ -107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

LIU Brooklyn -1.5
1st HALF LIU-Brooklyn -0.5
Richmond -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

Fezzik Focus- 656 Houston +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves NCAAB 3/20

681 fairfield +6
659 elon +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang


Wednesdays selection ...


My 30 Dime selection is on Arizona State over Detroit. The current line on this game is -4 in Vegas and offshore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bpo 5* max play Hawaii -1. 1am tip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HC Picks

In NBA take BROOKLYN +4.5
In college take INDIANA STATE +12
In college take DETROIT +4
In college take UW-GREEN BAY PK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bpo
3* Bryant +5. 7 o clock tip.
3* detroit +4. 10 o clock tip.
2* lasalle +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed Picks Today

Mavs
Clippers
JMU
Indiana St
Tenn
LB St
ASU
Lasalle
Raptors

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play of The Day

Oklahoma City Thunder(+1.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030). 500K NIT Lock
the Arizona St Sun Devils -4 over
the Detroit Titans
Best Bets
the Long Island Blackbirds -2 over
the James Madison Dukes
the North Dakota +15½ over
the Northern Iowa Panthers
the Western Michigan Broncos -1 over
the North Dakota St Bison
the Weber St Wildcats -6½ over
the Cal Poly Mustangs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030). PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the San Antonio Spurs -8½ over
the Golden St Warriors

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Wednesday, March 20th

March's Pro Basketball on ESPN Super Total of the Month!!!!!
Brooklyn/Dallas over 198

You Win or we'll emil you Thursday's NBA Report Free of Charge!!!

NBA Best Bets
Milwaukee/Atlanta under 207
Utah/Houston over 210
Oklahoma City/Memphis under 191 1/2
Golden State/San Antonio over 203 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You College Basketball Selections for Wednesday, March 20th

2013 NCAA Tourney Round 1 Totals Parlay of the Year!!!!!
Long Island/James Madison over 145
Lasalle/Boise State over 139
College Best Bets
Indiana State/Iowa under 133
Mercer/Tennessee under 125 1/2
Long Beach State/Baylor under 149

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

12-2 Hoops Run of late and 22-8 Hoops Run (73%) overall as well.

4-Unit Play. #656. Take Over 148.5 Texas vs. Houston (Wednesday @ 9pm est).

When it comes to these non-conference matchups in the postseason its always important to check out who is going to get up for who so to speak. Such is the case yesterday with BYU getting up to play Washington a school in a major conference or such is the case here with let's say Houston getting to play Texas. This is an in-state conference and Texas decided to pay the extra fees for this extra competition for its young team. Houston is outside the top 200 as it relates to defense and that should be a music to Texas's ears after playing in a conference that has the likes of Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Iowa State and Baylor - essentially all teams that love to play defense. Combine that with Houston getting up to play Texas and this should be a competitive up and down game as Houston has a series of young players that can shoot the ball well. Texas scored just 49 points in the Big12 Conference Tournament in their last game and will be itching to shoot the ball better and in the same token Houston is a top 100 offensive team and look for their young group of guards to play well. Look for this game to be an up and down high pace contest that likely sees this game go into the mid 150's this evening.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

4-Unit Play. #616. Take Memphis -1.5 over Oklahoma City (Wednesday @ 8pm est).

Memphis favored in this contest and you'll notice that 65% of the public as the road underdog and a good public fade ensues here. I typically don't like fading OKC coming off a loss but having said that, Memphis has big revenge from a 89-106 loss to this team earlier on the road. Memphis was blown out in part because this new lineup was not in sync and they were routed. Now, they look to take their recent solid play and get some revenge on their home court. OKC has lost 13 games on the road this year so its not as if they can't lose back to back games as that has happened before as well this year. Look for Memphis to play well with revenge today as this is a good public fade, a benchmark game for Memphis to see how much they have improved and become competitive in the West from their trade for Prince and others and the Grizzlies are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games when facing a team with a winning percentage of greater than 60% on the road (meaning the better teams in the league).

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey

4-Unit Play. #2. Toronto Maple Leafs -130 over Tampa Bay (Wednesday @ 7:05 pm est)Toronto looks to avoid a six game win-less skid and return the favor to the Lightning for a (4-2) earlier loss at the Tampa Bay Times Forum. Tampa Bay will be without their team captain Vincent Lecavalier, and Lightning coach Guy Boucher has to be concerned as his Lightning lost (321) man-games to injury last season. Horrible goaltending is just one reason for Toronto's currant slide. Maple Leafs Head Coach Randy Carlyle has put his goaltenders on notice that the job is now up for grabs. After missing the postseason for the seventh time in a row the City of Toronto is tired of waiting for a winning hockey team. Brian Burke was fired as GM before the strike shortened season even got underway and named Dave Nonis as his replacement. Look for the Maple Leafs ro end their currant slide with a win on the Air Canada Centre ice as the Lightning are (7-18-1) in the last (26) meetings in Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo's Picks For NHL Hockey
4-Unit Pick Take #6 Edmonton (-1.05) over San Jose (9:35 pm, Wednesday, March 20th)

2-Unit Pick Take Over (6) Tampa Bay at Toronto (7pm, Wednesday, March 20th)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis

30 Dime Weber State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports NBA
#602 Take Cleveland +11.5 over Miami (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

#607 Take Orlando +11 over New York (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

#622 Take LA Clippers -10.5 over Philadelphia (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness
10* Legend Play -8 San Antonio
10* 1st Round NIT No-Contest Rout (12-6 run) -4.5 Massachusetts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATFOX TODAY'S TOURNEY PICKS

LIU (623) vs JAMES MADISON (624) 6:40 pm ET
Latest Line: James Madison +2
The whole staff loves LIU Brooklyn, which puts up 79.5 PPG (5th in nation) on 48.4% FG (10th in D-I), and will simply outscore the offensively-challenged Dukes (42.0% FG) in this matchup. The Blackbirds have a ridiculous 93.0 PPG in four March games, and are much more tourney-tested with three straight NCAA Tournament berths. Jamal Olasewere (18.9 PPG this season) has 16.0 PPG in two NCAA Tournament games, but the team's hottest player is fellow senior C.J. Garner who has 28.5 PPG in March. LIU Brooklyn shoots 38.5% from three-point range, while James Madison struggles to defend the three (35.0% allowed). The Blackbirds (+1.8 RPG margin) also have a big advantage on the boards against the Dukes (minus-1.5 RPG margin), and should win this game by double-digits.
PLAY ON: LIU -2 (5-Star Play)


LASALLE (625) vs BOISE ST (626) 9:10 pm ET
Latest Line: Boise St. -1.5
Boise's been solid when tested, going 8-5 ATS on the road, winning by double-digits at Creighton and nearly pulling off SU wins at Michigan State (four-point loss) and San Diego State (one-point loss). La Salle's lack of size (minus-3.0 RPG) leads to a lot of easy baskets for its opponents who shoot a blistering 46% from the floor. The Broncos always hit the glass hard (+4.2 RPG margin) and make the extra pass for an open look, knocking down 46% of their shots, including an outstanding 39.1% clip from three-point range (13th-best in nation). And while the Broncos are 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS) coming off a loss this season, the Explorers have been pummeled as an underdog, going 1-5 (SU and ATS) and getting outscored by 10.2 PPG.
PLAY ON: BOISE ST -1.5 (3-Star Play)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Charleston Southern at Southern Mississippi (9:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Charleston Southern +12 (-110)
Southern Mississippi has to be feeling the pain after blowing several opportunities to close out Memphis and earn a bid to the Big Dance. The Golden Eagles can turn to their 15-28 from the charity stripe performance and only wonder what if? It will be hard to get things going against a lesser, and unknown opponent in Charleston Southern. The Buccaneers are unknown and untested, but have only lost one game all season by 14 or more, despite playing against Wichita State, Charlotte, Arizona, and Alabama. They certainly have proven that they can hang tough vs. better competition, and vs. a depleted Golden Eagles team, they should hang inside an inflated number. Take the points on Charleston Southern.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 Boise st
15 ind st
10 Baylor
5 Houston U
15 Milwaukee bucks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Six Parlay Club picks today
Game: Iowa (cbb) + Cal Irvine (cbb) at Parlay (Wednesday 3/20 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Parlay -250 (moneyline)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

MARCH MADNESS BASKETBALL
NCAA Game
5 Units
James Madison (-1) over Long Island

NCAA Game
50 Units
Boise State (-1½) over La Salle

NIT Game
15 Units
Indiana State (+12) over Iowa

NIT Game
10 Units
Baylor (-12½) over Long Beach State

CBI Game
5 Units
Houston (+3) over Texas

Best Bets Club
15 Units
Bucks (+6) over Hawks

Chairman's Club
25 Units
La Clippers (-10½) over Sixers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROOT

No Limit
Long Island (+1) over James Madison

Millionaire
Providence (-9) over Charlotte

Billionaire
Detroit (+4) over Arizona State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of the Day:


Lasalle +1.5 over Boise State (buy half point to +2)


(System Record: 54-1, Won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 54-38-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | NBA Total - Wednesday, Mar 20 2013 8:35PM
617 GSW / 618 SAN UNDER 203.5 Hilton (http://www.pregame.com/en/main/sports-betting-lines-odds/) triple-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence LTS:
3* Boston Celtics

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman 3/20

UMass -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Erin Rynning

10* NBA Play of the Day San Antonio/GS Under 203

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Hook | CBB ML - Wednesday, Mar 20 2013 9:10PM
ML 626 Boise St. -130 vs 625 La Salle double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

College Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-


NCAA-B | Mar 20 '13 (9:10p)
LASALLE vs BOISE STATE
BOISE STATE
-1½-110 (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=1670) at BMaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=1670)


20* La Salle/Boise State TruTV No-Brainer on Boise State -1.5

I fully expect Boise State to blow La Salle out of the building tonight. The talent level between these two teams is far and away in the Broncos' favor. I look for that to show on the court in this one.

Boise State is 21-10 on the season and well deserving of an NCAA Tournament bid. It played a tough non-conference schedule that featured a 70-74 loss at Michigan State as a 15.5-point underdog, and an 83-70 win at Creighton as a 13-point dog. It also played in the tough Mountain West which features three other NCAA Tournament teams in New Mexico, SDSU and UNLV.

While La Salle has a better record at 21-9, it's a bit inflated due to a weaker non-conference schedule. The Explorers are not playing well heading into the big dance, getting blown out 54-78 at Saint Louis, and 58-69 on a neutral court against Butler in their last two games.

One big factor in deciding the outcome of this game is kind of going unnoticed. That's the injury to La Salle center Steve Zack, who is out with a foot injury. Zack leads the team in blocks (36) and is second in rebounding (6.4 RPG). This is a small Explorers team as it is, and without Zack, they are going to get killed on the boards and in paint scoring.

The Explorers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Boise State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. Boise State is 7-1 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season. Bet Boise State Wednesday.

NBA Basketball Premium Picks



NBA | Mar 20 '13 (7:05p)
Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Bobcats
Charlotte Bobcats
+6½-108 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* NBA Revenge GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Bobcats +6.5

The Charlotte Bobcats are out for revenge from a 78-92 loss at Toronto on March 15th, which was less than a week ago. The Bobcats will want payback, while the Raptors will have a hard time getting motivated to beat a team they just throttled just a few days back.

I really like Charlotte's chances of getting revenge considering how well it has played at home here of late. In fact, it has won its last two home games with a 100-74 victory over Boston as a 10.5-point underdog, and a 119-114 triumph over Washington as a 6.5-point dog.

Toronto has no business being favored on the road against anyone, especially with the way it is playing of late. It has lost eight of its last 11 games overall with its only victories coming against Phoenix, Cleveland and Charlotte during this span. The Raptors are only 9-24 on the road this year.

Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games overall. The Raptors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Bobcats are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 meetings with the Raptors. The home team is a perfect 5-0 SU in the last 5 meetings in this series. Charlotte is 4-0 SU & in its last 4 home meetings with Toronto dating back to 2010. Roll with the Bobcats Wednesday.








NBA | Mar 20 '13 (8:05p)
Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Hornets
New Orleans Hornets
+5-105 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Hornets +5

The New Orleans Hornets should not be an underdog at home tonight to the Boston Celtics. Boston is in a terrible state of mind after letting a double-digit lead slip away Monday against Miami, eventually losing 103-105. It will certainly suffer a hangover from that defeat tonight.

New Orleans comes in hungry for a victory after losing each of its last four games heading into this one. Three of those losses came on the road. I like its chances of bouncing back against a Boston team that is just 12-20 SU & 12-18-2 ATS in all road games this year.

The Hornets simply have the Celtics' number in this series. In fact, New Orleans is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last 5 meetings with Boston despite being an underdog in all five contests. That includes a 97-78 victory in their most recent home meeting, and a 90-78 road victory in their first meeting this season on January 16th.

This play falls into a system that is 77-37 (67.5%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against any team (BOSTON) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a close home loss by 3 points or less.

This play falls into another system that is 34-6 (85%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread. Bet the Hornets Wednesday.








NBA | Mar 20 '13 (8:05p)
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies
Total
190½ un-109 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Thunder/Grizzlies UNDER 190.5

Analysis Will Be Posted Shortly






-= TOP PLAY =-


NBA | Mar 20 '13 (8:05p)
Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
-4-102 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


20* Nets/Mavs NBA on ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK on Dallas -4

The Dallas Mavericks have been in must-win mode for quite some time now. They continue to be considering they are 32-35 on the season, which has them just three games back of the Los Angeles Lakers for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

Dallas has been playing its best basketball of the season for a few months now while continuing to be undervalued due to its losing record. That's evident by the fact that the Mavs are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games overall. Once again, they are undervalued as only a 4-point favorite over the Nets tonight.

Dallas has won six of its last eight games overall. Its only losses during this stretch came 91-92 at San Antonio as a 9.5-point underdog, and 101-107 vs. Oklahoma City as a 5-point dog. Those are the two best teams in the Western Conference, and the Mavs lost to both by a combined 7 points.

The Mavs beat the Nets 98-90 on the road on March 1st in their first meeting this season. Brooklyn is just 4-12 ATS revenging a same season loss vs. opponent this season. The Nets are also 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southwest Division opponents.

Dallas is 11-1 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season this season. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 Wednesday games. These two trends combine for a 20-1 system backing Dallas. Take the Mavericks Wednesday.








NBA | Mar 20 '13 (8:35p)
Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs
Golden State Warriors
+8½-110 (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_420b_652) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)


15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Golden State Warriors +8.5

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Denver Money | NHL ML - Wednesday, Mar 20 2013 7:05PM
ML 2 TOR -140 vs 1 TAM double-dime bet

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SB Professor NHL Picks 3/20

Here are the picks for NHL with their current Money Lines:

1. Tampa Bay Lightning +130

3. Minnesota Wild +126

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Goldsheet LTS

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 20

COLLEGE HOOPS

LONG BEACH STATE (+12 1/2) over Baylor -home 6:00 PM PDT (Game #635)

DETROIT (+4) over Arizona State -home 7:00 PM PDT (Game #639)

TULANE (-6) -home over South Alabama 5:00 PM PDT (Game #662)

UW GREEN BAY (pick 'em) over Bradley -home 5:00 PM PDT (Game #663)

"UNDER" 147 1/2 points AIR FORCE at HAWAII 10:00 PM PDT (Game #671-72)

EARLY THURSDAY, MARCH 21

COLLEGE HOOPS

TOP CHOICE 1 1/2 untis SAINT LOUIS (-9) over New Mexico State 11:10 AM PDT (Game #734)

OREGON (+3) over Oklahoma State 1:40 PM PDT (Game #731)

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Sam Martin 20* CBB

10-1 Hoops Run

Boise St

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Fezzick's pay play

Hawaii -1

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SBP Original NBA Picks - 3/20

612. Dallas Mavericks -4

Rest of Games
602. Cleveland Cavaliers +11.5
620. Phoenix Suns -1

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Wunderdog nhl
3* Detroit ML -140

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charlie sports

500
james madson over 145.5
detriot over 152
atlanta over 205.5

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SBP NCAAB Picks - 3/20

9 PM EST
669. Cal Poly SLO +7 (mostly 6.5s but system recommends 1/2 pt. buy)

Rest of Games
629. Charlotte U +8.5
673. High Point +8.5

If you play the system, this is a "B" bet

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Rosica 80 Dimes ASU

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total pleasure
under cleveland

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RAS

679 N Iowa - over 131.5

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Chris jordan 600*

liu -2

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Tuesday March 20, 2013
$15.00 NCAA Play #2


#636 Baylor -12 9PM Eastern


Line from Carib (http://www.caribsports.com/)


Line as of 220PM Eastern 3/20/13

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Seabass Report for Wednesday:
100 Long Beach State
100 Long Island(early start)
100 Providence
200 Arizona State
100 Celtics

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Maddux

10 unit Boise St -1.5
10 unit Golden St/San Antonio under 202

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Calif sports

5 GOY. Weber st

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JestersBets (Wed 3/20)
Hawaii -2.5
Bryant o146
Stony Brook +4
Lbsu +12.5
hight point +8
Fairfield +5

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Marco D'angelo (betting first look)

672 Hawaii -2

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BookiesHunter

34-12 run

2* Boise St. -1.5
2* Red Wings ML GOM
2* Under 5.5 Chicago/Anaheim GOM

1* Bobcats +6.5
1* UMASS -4
1* Under 203 Golden State/San Antonio

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Your Bookies Money

Wednesday, March 20, 2013
Long Island Brooklyn vs. James Madison (NCAAB) - 6:40 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Total: 146.0/-110 Over Pick Title: YBM-NCAAB 3* Play

Richmond vs. Bryant (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Total: 145.5/-110 Over Pick Title: YBM-NCAAB 3* Play

North Dakota vs. Northern Iowa (NCAAB) - 8:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Total: 133.0/-108 Over Pick Title: YBM-NCAAB 3*

Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs (NBA) - 8:30 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Total: 203.0/-110 Under Pick Title: YBM-NBA 3*

Texas vs. Houston (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Total: 148.5/-108 Over Pick Title: YBM-NCAAB 3* Play

La Salle vs. Boise State (NCAAB) - 9:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/-110 Boise State Pick Title: YBM-NCAAB 5* Play of the Day

Detroit U vs. Arizona State (NCAAB) - 10:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Total: 153.0/-108 Over Pick Title: YBM-NCAAB 4* Play

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CAL

5* March Madness GOY Weber st

4* Iowa
4* Bradley
3 Tulane UNDER 141

3* NBA Wash

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Arthur Ralph cb blue ribbon

Tx/hou over 148

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Dr bob
toronto-3*
cleveland-2*

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Maddux

10 unit Boise St -1.5
10 unit Golden St/San Antonio under 202
10 unit Philadelphia 76ers +11

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Andre Gomes

1* tor/chl O194 1/2
GS/SA U203


2* Atl -6

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Godfather locks
Lasalle

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Betting line moves
649 richmond - 4 1/2

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Ray Falco

CBB

Umass
Southern Miss
Weber St

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Gomes final plays all 1*

bost U187
brook +4 1/2
hou -7 1/2
mem (ml) -115
phil +11

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Sweet jones

Wizards +1

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SPORTS BANK
wizards

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DOCTOR SPORTS WINS
nets
rockets

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SPORTS UNLIMITED
wizards
lasalle

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MILLIONAIRES CLUB
spurs