3-26-13

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::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

The Miami Heat take their 26-game winning streak on the road this week, traveling to Orlando, Chicago, New Orleans and San Antonio to round out the month. Obviously, the big game on the slate is versus the Spurs on March 31. Not only could this be the end of Miami’s incredible run but the game also serves as a possible finals preview, with both clubs boasting the best overall record in their respective conference.

But, before that showdown in San Antonio, the Heat make a stop in the Big Easy. New Orleans is actually playing well heading into this week. The Hornets are 2-1 SU and ATS in the first three games of a seven-game homestand which has them hosting Denver, the L.A. Clippers, Miami and Cleveland before the end of March. The Bugs could catch Miami - which is just 1-3 ATS in its last four outings – looking ahead to the Spurs.

Letdown spot

Florida Gulf Coast is the darling of the NCAA tournament, and rightfully so. The Eagles are the first No. 15 seed to advance to the Sweet 16 after shocking Georgetown and San Diego State in their opening two games of the tournament. They were able to surprise their opponents with their athletic brand of basketball on short notice but won’t have that luxury when they take on state rival Florida in Arlington Friday.

The four-day layoff between rounds gives UF head coach Billy Donovan – a defensive mastermind - plenty of time to dissect FGCU’s game plan. Not only that, but the break puts any momentum the Eagles had on ice. The media attention could be more than Andy Enfield’s kids – and wife – can handle and could leave FGCU fat and happy just to be playing in the second week of the tournament. I’m sure the Gators are also a bit chapped about the lack of love from locals heading into this improbable Sunshine State matchup.

Scheduling spot

The Los Angeles Kings will find out if they’re still a Stanley Cup-quality club on their current five-game road swing. The Kings, who have played well at home (12-4-0-1), haven’t been able to get the job done in opposing barns, posting just a 5-8-1-0 record heading into Monday’s game in Chicago. Los Angeles has been a homebody this month and has played only three road games since Feb. 23, losing all three.

Following that contest with the Blackhawks, L.A. makes its way to St. Louis, Minnesota, Dallas, and Phoenix – the only team in this stretch not in the playoffs as of Monday. The Kings have one of the best defenses in the NHL, allowing just 2.24 goals against per road game. The trouble is they only score 2.24 goals for away from home and have a winning percent of .370 in one-goal games – fourth lowest in the league.

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Knicks at Celtics: What bettors need to know

New York Knicks at Boston Celtics (-3, 190)

Just over a week ago the Boston Celtics were likely entertaining thoughts of surpassing the New York Knicks atop the Atlantic Division. How things have changed. The Celtics have lost four straight while the once-struggling Knicks have won four in a row, taking some of the drama from their meeting Tuesday night at TD Garden. Further sapping the intrigue is the fact that Boston will be without All-Star forward Kevin Garnett as he battles a left ankle injury.

While Boston has its share of injury concerns, New York's relative return to health has reversed its fortunes and helped solidify the club's hold on the division lead. Carmelo Anthony has averaged 28.7 points in three games since returning from a knee ailment and fellow All-Star Tyson Chandler may return from a neck injury when the team gets to Boston, if not soon thereafter. Chandler has missed six straight games, including the Knicks' 110-84 rout of Toronto at home on Saturday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE KNICKS (42-26): New York coach Mike Woodson has already said that forward Kenyon Martin will return to the bench once Chandler returns, but that is not an indictment of Martin's play. The veteran had 18 points, seven rebounds and a pair of blocks in the win over Toronto and is shooting 77.8 percent (21-for-27) over his last three games. Martin wasn't with the Knicks when they won in Boston on Jan. 24, snapping an 11-game losing streak at TD Garden. New York enters with a two-game lead in the division over Brooklyn and a 6 1/2-game advantage on Boston.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (36-33): While Boston has hit the skids, three of its four losses came on the road, the home game was against the unbeatable Miami Heat and all four came by an average of only 4.3 points. In addition, it showed it can put up a fight when shorthanded. Playing without Garnett and Courtney Lee, who was also out with an ankle injury, the Celtics pushed Memphis to the finish line Saturday before falling 110-106. Jordan Crawford scored 21 of the bench's 44 points. "They were great," coach Doc Rivers said of his reserves. "We basically told them to go in and try to cause havoc, and they did that."

TRENDS:

* Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Celtics are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Celtics’ last four home games.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Lee, who has made six of his last eight 3-pointers, is expected to return.

2. Streaky Knicks swingman J.R. Smith shot 3-for-16 in the previous meeting. He shoots 37.8 percent on the road, compared with 43.2 percent at home.

3. The rivals meet for the fourth and final time on Easter Sunday at Madison Square Garden.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Canadiens at Penguins: What bettors need to know

Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins (-140, 6)

The Pittsburgh Penguins have sailed past the Montreal Canadeins and into first place in the Eastern Conference during their 12-game winning streak. The Canadiens will try to take their revenge when they visit the Penguins on Tuesday. Not content with the winning streak, Pittsburgh has been fortifying its roster with a pair of trades in recent days and hopes to have Brenden Morrow and defenseman Douglas Murray on Tuesday.

Montreal had a seven-game points streak (6-0-1) come to an end with a 2-1 loss to Buffalo on Saturday but has kept its defense in top shape. The Canadiens have not surrendered more than three goals in any of their last eight games and will be trying to shut down a Penguins club that leads the NHL in scoring average. Montreal is kicking off a big two-game road trip in Pittsburgh, with a stop at the Boston Bruins coming up on Wednesday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN2 (Montreal), ROOT (Pittsburgh), RDS

ABOUT THE CANADIENS (20-6-5): Montreal took a point off the Penguins in one of the more entertaining games of the season - a 7-6 overtime loss at home on March 2. That near miss against coach Michel Therrien’s former team came during a strong offensive stretch for the Canadiens that saw them average 4.4 goals over an eight-game period. They have cooled off over the last four contests, totaling 10 goals, culminating with the 2-1 home loss to the Sabres on Saturday. Each of the last four meetings with Pittsburgh has needed extra time and the Canadiens have come out on top in only one of those matchups. Montreal has allowed at least one goal on the penalty kill in four of the last five games and will be taking on a Penguins team that is near the top of the league on the power play.

ABOUT THE PENGUINS (25-8-0): Morrow was considered one of the big prizes available on the trade market and Pittsburgh swooped in with an offer on Sunday. The former Dallas Stars Captain is expected to join the second line with James Neal and Evgeni Malkin as soon as Malkin returns from an upper-body injury later this week. That will give the Penguins two stacked lines with the Sidney Crosby-Pascal Dupuis- Chris Kunitz unit serving as the top trio. Morrow had totaled 11 points (six goals) in 29 games with the Stars but has experience playing alongside Neal with the Stars and Crosby on Team Canada at the 2010 Olympics. Pittsburgh stayed busy with the deal on Monday for Murray, who was picked up from the San Jose Sharks in exchange for a pair of draft picks.

TRENDS:

* Canadiens are 5-0 in their last five road games.
* Penguins are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. Northeast foes.
* Over is 7-1 in Canadiens’ last eight road games.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Penguins’ last seven overall.

OVERTIME

1. The Penguins have eight one-goal wins during their 12-game streak

2. The Canadiens claimed C Jeff Halpern off waivers from the New York Rangers. He could make his debut Tuesday.

3. Pittsburgh D Kris Letang (groin) has missed three straight games. He is day-to-day.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Early Sweet 16 line moves

Spreads for the NCAA tournament Sweet 16 games are up and action has trickled in at books online and Las Vegas. We take a look at the biggest adjustments on the board as Thursday and Friday draw closer.

Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Miami Hurricanes – Open: -5.5, Move: -6

Miami is quickly becoming the public darling in this tournament and the Hurricanes’ Sweet 16 matchup with Marquette is no exception. Early money is on Miami and books expect that trend to stick until tipoff.

“Unless the sharps come in on the dog, I can't see how this game doesn't close Miami -6 or more,” Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, told Covers. “Marquette has to feel very fortunate to be here winning both of its games by a combined three points.”

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Florida Gators – Open: -11.5, Move: -13.5

Some markets have bumped this spread all the way to -13.5. Early action on the upstart Eagles was followed by a flood of money from the wiseguys, who think the clock is about to strike midnight on this year’s biggest Cinderella.

“People got a little excited after watching them blow away San Diego State,” Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, told Covers. “But then the pros came back hard on Florida.”

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Arizona Wildcats – Open: +4, Move: +3.5

Sharp money immediately bet the underdog and dropped this spread half a point. Since then, it’s been good two-way money, but books aren’t sure the wiseguys are done with this West Regional semifinal just yet.

“I do believe the sharps are going to line up on this game and take the dog,” says Stewart. “I believe this line closes at Ohio State -3.”

Wichita State Shockers vs. La Salle Explorers – Open: -4, Move: -3.5, Move: -4

With these two lesser known Cinderella squads playing for a spot in the Elite Eight, books aren’t holding out hope for a big handle on this West Regional semifinal.

According to Stoneback at the MGM, the two previous games featuring WSU and La Salle had half the handle of the other Round of 32 games.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils – Open: -1, Move: -2

These perennial Sweet 16 programs clash in a battle of big names and should be one of the biggest draws for bettors. CarbonSports.ag debated opening -1.5 or -2 but went Duke -1.5 and instantly took sharp money on the favorite.

“So far, we have even action at that price so I don't see us moving off that number any time soon,” says Stewart.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Kansas Jayhawks – Open: -2.5, Move: -1.5, Move: -2

Early money is convinced Michigan has the firepower to take down the No. 1 seed in the South Regional, and has walked this line down a full point since post. But, Rock Chalk action is starting to show since the adjustment.

“At Kansas -1.5, money started showing on them so we went to -2 and haven't moved off that number,” says Stewart.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA props: Big Ten favored to produce a winner

The field has been narrowed to 16 in the NCAA tournament and oddsmakers have been busy making conference props.

The Big Ten is still well represented with four teams left in the tourney and is the favored conference. But a Big Ten team hasn’t won the national title since 2000 (Michigan State).

Here are the tourney winning conference odds courtesy of Sports Interaction:

Big Ten (Ohio State, Indiana, Michigan State, Michigan) +125

Big East (Marquette, Syracuse, Louisville) +220

ACC (Miami, Duke) +365

SEC (Florida) +600

Big 12 (Kansas) +900

Pac-12 (Arizona, Oregon) +1,000

Missouri Valley (Wichita State) +3,300

Atlantic Sun (Florida Gulf Coast) +10,000

Atlantic 10 (La Salle) +10,000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA tournament trends: Sweet 16 betting
By MARC LAWRENCE

If you are a player or a coach, there is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA tournament. For those teams that survived the opening rounds it’s on to the Sweet 16 and, hopefully, the Elite Eight this weekend.

Here are essential notes and trends of the Sweet 16 teams:

**Stats since 1990.

NCAA SWEET 16 ROUND NOTES

• No. 1 Seeds off BB SU/ATS wins are 18-7 ATS (Louisville)
• No. 2 Seeds are 14-6 ATS vs. opponents off a SU dog win (Florida)
• No. 6 Seeds off a DD ATS win are 1-8 ATS (Arizona)
• Favorites of 9 > pts are 10-4 ATS vs. opp off BB SU/ATS wins (Florida, Louisville)
• Favorites off BB SU wins of 15 > pts are 13-4 ATS (Louisville)
• Underdogs of 11 > pts are 7-2 ATS (Florida Gulf Coast)

NCAA ELITE 8 ROUND NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favs > 7 pts are 1-8 ATS
• No. 2 Seeds are 2-10-1 ATS off a DD ATS win
• No. 3 Seeds are 1-7 ATS
• No. 4 Seeds are 9-1 ATS
• No. 6 Seeds are 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS
• Teams that score 67 < pts are 12-40 SU & 12-39-1 ATS
• Teams that score 85 > pts are 27-7 SU & 24-8-2 ATS
• Teams off BB ATS losses are 5-1 ATS
• Teams with Revenge are 14-4-1 ATS
• Dogs off 3 straight DD wins are 1-4-1 ATS

COACH ME IF YOU CAN

• Florida’s Billy Donovan is 13-4 SU and 12-5 ATS in the NCAA tournament from the Sweet 16 out, including 6-0 SUATS versus .825 or greater opposition.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Providence (-9 1/2) Monday.

Tuesday it’s Northern Iowa. The deficit is 175 sirignanos.

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Polish Prognosticator
Major move on maryland

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Knicks won last four games, covered last five (3-0 last three AU).
-- Pistons lost ten of last eleven games (3-2 last five HF).
-- Mavericks won eight of last eleven games (3-5 HU). Clippers won three of last four games (4-9 last 13 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost their last four games (4-0 last four HF).
-- Minnesota lost five of last seven games (3-1 last four AU).

Totals
-- Five of last six Boston games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Detroit home games went over.
-- Last four Dallas games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- None.

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CBB

Maryland won four of last five games; they're 14-1 outside ACC, losing to Kentucky by 3 in season opener, irs only game vs SEC foe. Alabama won its last 12 home games, last losing 53-50 to Tulane Dec 30. Terps last played on Thursday, Bama Saturday afternoon. Crimson Tide gave up an average of 52.8 ppg in its last five games.

Canisius won seven of last nine home games; Griffs are #15 experienced team in country. Evansville won six of last seven games, losing by point to Indiana State in MVC tourney; Purple Aces are 3-9 in last 12 road games, but won last two, at Wright State/Wichita. Four of Canisius' last five games were decided by 4 or less points, or in OT.

East Carolina won six of last eight games; they're 4-3 in last seven away games; Pirates are 16-6 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Loyola lost by 14 at Memphis, its only game vs C-USA opponent; Greyhounds are 8-3 in last 11 games, with all three losses by 5 or less points. Loyola holds opponents to 29.8% behind arc, #17 in country.

Northern Iowa beat Bradley twice this season 84-53/68-65, leading by 27/19 at half; Panthers made 26-52 behind arc in two games. UNI is 9-1 in last ten games, losing only to Denver by 6. Braves lost nine of last ten road/neutral games, with only win 63-62 at UIC in Bracket Buster tilt. Bradley lost its last five visits here by average of 11 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Washington won last three games, outscoring foes 13-3.
-- Penguins won last twelve games, allowing nine goals in last eight. Montreal won six of its last eight games.
-- Sabres won last three games, all by a goal.
-- St Louis won last four home games, allowing five goals.
-- Vancouver won its last four games, allowing five goals. Blue Jackets won seven of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Panthers lost eight of their last ten games. Toronto lost seven of last nine.
-- Carolina lost last five games, outscored 17-6. Jets lost three of their last five games.
-- Islanders lost three of their last four games.
-- Lightning lost last three games, scoring seven goals.
-- Flyers lost six of their last eight games. Rangers lost five of last seven.
-- Edmonton lost four of its last five games.
-- Flames lost their last nine road games. Chicago lost its last two home games, allowing eleven goals.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Florida-Toronto games went over the total; six of last seven Florida games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Winnipeg-Carolina games went over total. Under is 5-0-1 in last six Carolina games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Washington's last eight games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Pittsburgh games.
-- 13 of last 19 Sabre-Lightning games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Ranger-Flyer games.
-- Last five St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Calgary games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Columbus-Vancouver games stayed under.

Series records
-- Panthers won five of last six games with Toronto.
-- Jets won five of last seven games with Carolina.
-- Islanders lost eight of last eleven games with Washington.
-- Penguins won four of last five games with Montreal.
-- Visiting team won last four Buffalo-Tampa Bay games.
-- Rangers won ten of last eleven games with Philadelphia.
-- Blues won eight of last nine games with Edmonton.
-- Flames lost their last ten visits to Chicago.
-- Canucks won nine of last eleven games with Columbus.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/26/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3889-1353 (.742)
ATS: 1888-1912 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 5243-5560 (.485)
Over/Under: 620-584 (.515)
Over/Under Vary Units: 713-706 (.502)

National Invitation Tournament
Quarterfinals at campus sites
ALABAMA 62, Maryland 60

CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament
Quarterfinals at campus sites
NORTHERN IOWA 70, Bradley 59
EAST CAROLINA 74, Loyola (Md.) 71
Evansville 74, CANISIUS 71

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/26/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 687-325 (.679)
ATS: 550-488 (.530)
ATS Vary Units: 1382-1210 (.533)
Over/Under: 531-507 (.512)
Over/Under Vary Units: 706-648 (.521)

BOSTON 97, New York 93
DETROIT 99, Minnesota 96
L.A. Clippers vs. DALLAS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

03/26/13 Predictions

Season: 179-119 (.601)

TORONTO 4, Florida 2
PITTSBURGH 4, Montreal 3
WASHINGTON 4, N.Y. Islanders 2
Winnipeg vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PHILADELPHIA 3, N.Y. Rangers 2
Buffalo vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ST. LOUIS 3, Edmonton 2
CHICAGO 4, Calgary 2
VANCOUVER 3, Columbus 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Maryland at Alabama

The Terps look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games against teams with a winning SU record. Maryland is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tide favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


TUESDAY, MARCH 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 657-658: Maryland at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 67.901; Alabama 68.753
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1; 130
Vegas Line: Alabama by 3 1/2; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3 1/2); Over


Game 665-666: Evansville at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 60.153; Canisius 63.033
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 3; 142
Vegas Line: Canisius by 1; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-1); Under


Game 667-668: Loyola-MD at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 55.510; East Carolina 61.314
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 6; 144
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-4); Under


Game 669-670: Bradley at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 55.104; Northern Iowa 64.399
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 9 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 11; 134
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+11); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1006-746 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner TY TUES Evansville + 1

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Tuesday

NHL Parlay - Blackhawks/Blues

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Today's NBA Picks

Minnesota at Detroit

The Pistons look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 home games against teams with a road winning percentage below .400. Detroit is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, MARCH 26
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: New York at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.301; Boston 121.241
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 653-654: Minnesota at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.231; Detroit 112.140
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 196
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1); Under


Game 655-656: LA Clippers at Dallas (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.625; Dallas 123.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Carolina Hurricanes -124 over Winnipeg Jets
(System Record: 36-2, lost last 7 games)
Overall Record: 36-26-1

Basketball Crusher
Evansville (PICK) over Canisius
(System Record: 78-4, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 78-58-4

Soccer Crusher
Crawley + Crewe OVER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 377-14, won last games)
Overall Record: 377-323-44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Montreal at Pittsburgh

The Penguins look to build on their 12-1 record in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Pittsburgh is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-150). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, MARCH 26
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: Florida at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.974; Toronto 11.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-170); Under


Game 3-4: Winnipeg at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.787; Carolina 9.880
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+110); Over


Game 5-6: NY Islanders at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.871; Washington 11.329
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+125); Over


Game 7-8: Montreal at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.509; Pittsburgh 13.419
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-150); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-150); Under


Game 9-10: Buffalo at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.703; Tampa Bay 11.771
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Under


Game 11-12: NY Rangers at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.170; Philadelphia 10.908
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Over


Game 13-14: Edmonton at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.533; St. Louis 12.464
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-210); Under


Game 15-16: Calgary at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.850; Chicago 11.310
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+180); Over


Game 17-18: Columbus at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.116; Vancouver 11.863
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-200); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Maryland +3.5
N. Iowa -11
Clippers -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Under 135 Bradley and N.Iowa.

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Tuesday College Hoops
1/2 Unit Play
658 Alabama O 126.5

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Don Best Consensus

Minnesota at Detroit
Pick: Under

Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Detroit. Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 10-1-1 in Timberwolves last 12 games following a ATS loss.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheet

CBB BRADLEY at N IOWA

Play Under - Road teams against the total double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more
99-52 since 1997. ( 65.6% 41.8 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

CBB BRADLEY at N IOWA

Play On - Any team (BRADLEY) after one or more consecutive overs, average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG)
605-382 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.3% 100.5 units )
40-26 this year. ( 60.6% -9.6 units )

CBB MARYLAND at ALABAMA

Play Under - Home teams against the total a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
56-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.1% 28.5 units )
7-5 this year. ( 58.3% 1.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA LA CLIPPERS at DALLAS

Play Under - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more
49-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.0% 24.8 units )
8-8 this year. ( 50.0% -0.8 units )

NBA MINNESOTA at DETROIT

Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
79-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.2% 37.9 units )
17-10 this year. ( 63.0% 8.5 units )

NBA LA CLIPPERS at DALLAS

Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in March games
71-34 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.6% 33.6 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% 3.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

500* Maryland/Alabama Over 126

100* East Carolina -4

50* Canisius -1

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HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

1* - [653] Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 196 -105 vs Detroit Pistons
1* - [669] Bradley +11 -105 vs Northern Iowa
1* - [16] Chicago Blackhawks -205 vs Calgary Flames

PJ (TENNIS)

2* - [119] Albert Ramos -101 vs Jurgen Melzer
1* - [119] Gilles Simon -140 vs Janko Tipsarevic

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines



Total Line for 03/26/2013


(Won last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers : o202.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 03/26/2013


(Lost last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Los Angeles Clippers : -1.5
Cost: -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Tipsters

bettersoccertips
White tips
World Cup 2014 Qualifiers
Turkey vs Hungary
Turkey -0.5,1

DUET1X2.BLOGSPOT
France-Spain 2 2.35
Montenagro-England 2 1.89

multibet365
France — Spain, over 2,5
Azerbaijan — Portugal , over 2,5
Montenegro — England , over 2,5

bettingspain
Luxemburgo - Finlandia
Finlandia -1

SoccerVictory
Ukraine - Moldova
Ukarine -2
Odd: 1.9

macaukingtips
Category: King Tip
League: World Cup Qualifiers
Match: Wales vs Croatia
Tip: Croatia-0.75
Odd: 1.90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan 1,000: Canisius pk.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BookiesHunter

Tennis Plays:

2* Parlay: Ferrer & Veic
2* GOW Zverev over Lacko
2* Simon over Tipsarevic

1* Gonzalez over Gabashvili
1* Over 17.5 games Paire/Hemery
1* Trungelliti over Gil


Soccer:

2* GOM Spain over France

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goldrushcapping

mar 26: Silver canucks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler:
Maryland+3.5, double dime (possible upgrade later)

Marc Lawrence LTS pass in CBB & NBA.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns NBA PF Detroit Pistons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard- NBA GOM 3* Clippers +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs - 2* Bradley

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Montreal at Pittsburgh (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 5.5 -110
The Penguins are on fire. They have now gone for the even dozen, as the winning streak has reached 12. A snapshot of the streak becomes revealing as to why. Pittsburgh, over their last eight games, has allowed all of 9 goals or just a tick over 1 per contest. The Canadiens' 1-goal performance in their last outing certainly doesn't bode well here. And, the fact that they have allowed 3 or less over their last eight games certainly makes the 5.5 total here look daunting to get over the top. The Penguins have played five straight at home to the UNDER, the last four of which have not seen more than 3 total goals scored. The Canadiens have made it over the top of the total just three times in their last 12 roadies vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, with five of the last seven in this series in Pittsburgh have fallen shy of the total. The UNDER gets the call in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
3*(CBB) Bradley +11
3*(NBA) Timberwolves/Pistons OVER 196
3*(CBB) Indiana -5
3*(CBB) Kansas +2
3*(CBB) Duke -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todayspicks
4-0 past two days
Alabama-3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Britney Deluca

evansville -1
Loyola MD +4
NBA Dallas +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns:
10* Personal Favorite Pistons
10* Blue Chip Total Pistons/Wolves Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of the Day:


Alabama -4 over Maryland


(System Record: 58-1, Won last game)
Overall Record: 58-40-7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Silver Bullet: Maryland/Alabama under 126 1/2
Free Play: Evansville +1

5-0 freeplay run
2-1 overall last night

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phil Villapiano Pistons

Matt Youmans Canisus

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Rosica

60 Dimes - Alabama -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


3 Straight Winners after Southern Miss wins yesterday as we are on a 17-7 Run in College Basketball and 17-9 in March Madness. It's been a very strong run in March with our 1 POD System leading the way. More work to be done and we might step-out tomorrow as we look to end the season on a high note.

4-Unit Play. #658. Take Alabama -4 over Maryland (Tuesday @ 7:30pm est).

This is about conference pride here. The SEC hosts ACC contender Maryland and this is a big game for Alabama to step forward. Alabama took a big step forward with their stifling defense over Stanford at home winning 66-54 and this team is slowly but surely learning how to win games and close them out let it be home or on the road. Alabama has won 23 games this year to their credit which is two more than last year when they took a 1st round exit against Creighton losing 58-57. This team is still very young with essentially 4 sophomores and 1 junior leading the way and they will be a team to be reckoned with next year. This team plays a Maryland who is very good but one who struggles when they face strong defensive teams. Alabama is a top 20 defensive team in the country and Maryland is outside the top 250 when it comes to turnover margin. Take that into account along with Maryland 11 to Boston College and 10 to Georgia Tech in the second half of the year, two teams outside the top 70 and now they have to go on the road to face a top 20 defensive team that is ranked top 60 in most power rankings. I like Alabama at home here to do well as this team will get up to play their SEC foe as they will host them with a solid crowd behind Alabama as they root them on here. Alabama is 5-0 ATS when they face teams with a winning percentage of greater than 60% overall.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

NBA: We took New Orleans +7 over Denver yesterday in a great Outright Call. Let's keep it rolling with another winner in the NBA Today and repeat the 6-1 week we had the other week.

4-Unit Play. #652. Take Boston Celtics -2 over New York (Tuesday @ 7pm est).

The Celtics return home after a very disappointing road trip where they lost a series of games. For a team that now sits at 7th seed and only a few games up on Milwaukee to avoid being the 8th seed and facing Miami, its vital that this team get back on their horse and pick up a home win over the Knicks. New York beat this team earlier this year in Boston and this is a revenge game for Boston. Sure Boston will not have the services of Rondo or KG in this game, but they are at home and that is always and advantage for this team. Plus, they still have Paul Pierce and Jeff Green on the offensive end and this is the same team that beat Toronto by 24, Charlotte by 17 and lost to Miami by 2 points at home giving up a lead late. New York comes off a big win against Toronto and has won 4 straight contests and has played well of late. But, with Boston needing this win after a series of losses including losing every single one of their games on their 3 game road trip against 3 quality opponents in the likes of Memphis, New Orleans (who just beat Denver) its hard to hold it against Boston as they return back home. We did not make it a step-out today but I do like Boston to do well at home today and pick up the win as they get revenge and return back to form coming off a tough road trip.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey


4-Unit Play. #14 St. Louis Blues Puck-Line (-1.5 Goals) (+135) vs. Edmonton (Wednesday @ 8:05 pm est)
The Oilers have dropped three of four games including a (3-0) loss to these St. Louis Blues on their home ice. The Blues are off a (3-2) loss to Calgary but have started to show signs of the great defensive team that we saw last season with some solid play of late on a three game road swing through the northwest. St. Louis is at their best at home in at the Scottrade Center where they have been a dominant team. The Blues feature one of the two best defensive teams in the NHL and struggled somewhat early and a lot of that had to do with key offensive players missing time. The Blues could be the most dangerous team in the League the last part of this season. The formula for winning of head coach Ken Hitchcock is the same as always. It's three competitive center icemen, good depth on defense and great goaltending. That's what wins in the NHL and that is what the St. Louis Blues are all about. The Oilers are (0-6) in the last (6) meetings in St. Louis, (16-41) in their last (57) Tuesday games and (34-88) in their last (122) road games. No sour notes being played by the Blues in this one as the Oilers are playing back-to-back games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo's Picks For NHL Hockey
3-Unit Pick Take #11 New York Rangers (-1.05) over Philadelphia (7:35 pm, Tuesday, March 26th)
It's about that time of year already in the NHL with every game being a important two points in the standings and that couldn't have more of a meaning with the Rangers in Philadelphia to play the Flyers. Neither team has lived up to expections heading into the shorten season with New York sitting in the eight and final playoff spot and the Flyers five points behind them. The Rangers surprise me, this team on paper is a good hockey club and while I know things don't get done on paper in any situation in life this team shouldn't be in this position. I like the Rangers chances of improving down the stretch mainly because of the front office, they just signed Mats Zuccarello for a second tour with the Rangers and Jasper Fast a 21 one year old Swed who has a ton of skill, while these moves might not catch some people eyes they will get some attention in the locker room with some guy's being the odd man out if they don't produce. The Flyers are the other hand are dead in the water, this team has no help in the minors and they just lost Danny Briere to a concussion and most likely will be without defenseman Nicklas Grossman tonight which isn't good playing in front of goalie ILya Bryzgalov who has had a heavy workload this year. I just don't think the market realizes that this is a off year in Philly and they shouldn't be a small chalk here.

2-Unit Pick Take #4 Carolina (-1.25) over Winnipeg (7pm, Tuesday, March 26th)
This one is another big one in the standings with Carolina trailing the Jets in the division race by four points but these two will still meet three more times after tonight and Carolina does have three games in hand. The Jets went on a nice run to get into that top spot in the division winning 10 of 14 games between February 19th to March 16th but have struggled lately losing two straight games at home to Washington to allow the Caps back into the race before beating the struggling Tampa Bay Lighting at home on Sunday but even that was a struggle. Carolina is a good hockey club coming off their longest break in the season after losing to New Jersey at home on Thursday, I think we get a honest effort in a important game from Carolina tonight and this price looks on the cheap side.

2-Unit Pick Take Over (5.5) Edmonton at St.Louis (8pm, Tuesday, March 26th)
Edmonton rolls into St.Louis after losing last night in Nashvile 3-2 to play a St. Louis team that beat them last week in Edmonton 3-0 and held this young offense to just 19 shots. The Oilers have a lot of young talent trying to figure out how to play at this level but this team is getting better and even in the third period last night out played and out chanced the Predators but just couldn't solve Nashville goalie Pekka Rinna. I think that effort will carry over tonight, the Blues have played to five straight unders while Edmonton has gone 1-1 and 3 pushes on the total the last five, both a small sample and is baseless. The real value here is taking back the plus thirty dollars to go over because of perception of that small sample run. Go over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gavazzi:

4% Alabama
4% Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Vegas Insider

Bradley

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

College Basketball Premium Picks



NCAA-B | Mar 26 '13 (8:00p)
BRADLEY vs NORTHERN IOWA
BRADLEY
+11-106 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* College Basketball GAME OF THE NIGHT on Bradley +11

The Bradley Braves get the call tonight as a double-digit road underdog to the Northern Iowa Panthers. These are two familiar foes as they both come from the Missouri Valley Conference, and there's no way the Panthers should be favored this heavily because of it.

I have no doubt that Northern Iowa is overvalued here due to its two victories over Bradley in the regular season. UNI won the first meeting 84-53 at home on January 12th, and the second meeting 68-65 on the road on February 10th. The Braves will have serious revenge in mind, while the Panthers will have a hard time getting motivated to beat the same team three times.

This play falls into a system that is 116-58 (66.7%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (BRADLEY) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.

Northern Iowa is 2-10 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. Bradley is 23-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The Panthers are 21-39 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997. Take Bradley Thursday.







[ back to top ]
NBA Basketball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-


NBA | Mar 26 '13 (9:35p)
Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
-109 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


20* Clippers/Mavs TNT Tuesday Night BAILOUT on Dallas Money Line -109

The Dallas Mavericks are quietly sneaking up on that 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They trail the Los Angeles Lakers by just 1.5 games thanks to a nice run in which they have won eight of their last 11 games overall.

Dallas has been undervalued for quite some time now due to a slow start to the season. That's evident by the fact that it is 25-10 ATS in its last 35 games overall. The Mavs should be laying points to the Clippers tonight.

The Mavs come in highly motivated to make the playoffs, but they also want revenge on Los Angeles. They have lost the first two meeting in this series this season, but both of those came in Los Angeles. Dallas is 24-6 SU in its last 30 home meetings with the Clippers.

The Mavericks are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS loss. Dallas is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 vs. Western Conference opponents. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 vs. Western Conference foes. Bet the Mavericks Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MATT FARGO NHL Ultimate Underdog

Isles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Essler:

Bradley/Northern Iowa UNDER 135, double dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King Freeloader Play

Alabama -4

15-2 run on Freeloader Plays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT RICKENBACH Total Destruction

NY Rangers Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sports Guru

NBA
1* LAC PK
1* Boston -2

NHL
1* Buffalo/Tampa Bay Over 5.5

CBB
1* Alabama -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Uncle Harry

Canisius -1
Bradley +11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NHL Picks 3/26

1. Florida Panthers +139
3. Winnipeg Jets +114
5. New York Islanders +125
7. Montreal Canadiens +124
13. Edmonton Oilers +197
15. Calgary Flames +161
17. Columbus Blue Jackets +165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

xpertpicks 3/26

ncaab:
Alabama -3.5 over Maryland
Northern Iowa -11 over Bradley
East Carolina -4 over Loyola-MD
Dallas +1 over LA Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

goodfella

3* gom celtics ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAL Sports

4* NBA MINN
3* Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 n Iowa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

15 DIME
MONEY MOVE
#3 IN A ROW
Evansville +1.5 over Canisus

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports insite

Time (ET) NBA Plays (105-65, 61%, +31.94 units) Result
3/26 5:21 P (653) Play on MIN -115
3/26 5:21 P (656) Play on DAL Under 202.5
3/26 5:21 P (653) Play on MIN Over 195.5

Time (ET) NHL Plays (51-66, 43%, +4.65 units) Result
3/26 5:12 P (7) Play on MON +136
3/26 5:12 P (3) Play on WPG +111
3/26 5:12 P (1) Play on FLA +150

Time (ET) NCAAB Plays (105-72, 59%, +24.35 units) Result
3/26 5:28 P (670) Play on UNI -10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Freese

Celtics -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsAtari NBA 3/26

Wolves/Pistons Under 196

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Tue, 03/26/13 - 7:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 653 MIN 0.0 (-110) Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308).com vs 654 DET Analysis:

NBA - 653 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 654 Detroit Pistons




Projected Line: Minnesota by 3 points





Minnesota is definitely playing much better basketball than Detroit right now and even though we are talking about a team that is 8-27 on the road, I believe the Wolves should be favored on this contest. Detroit had a phase where they were competitive, but that hasn't been happening lately due to some atrocious defense. They are averaging a defensive rating of 117.4 since the All Star break and that's simply absurd! Greg Monroe has stopped defending, while the Pistons's perimeter defense has been even worse. Not only Detroit is currently the worst 3pts defensive team in the league since the All Star break with 42.5% 3pts allowed, as their pick and roll ball handler defense is currently non-existent! Detroit has been poor all season long on defending pick and rolls by being #23 in the league with 0.83 PPP allowed, but they numbers since the All Star got even worse! They simply couldn't stop Kemba Walker on their last game, who ended the contest with 10-20 FG and 25 points!




The struggles of the Pistons's defense are obviously good news for Minnesota, who has a healthy Ricky Rubio to torch Detroit's defense tonight. I expect the Wolves's backcourt to dominate this game. Jose Calderon has no foot speed to defend Minnesota's guards, while Brandon Knight returned from injury on the team's last game against the Bobcats, but he looked completely out of form with 4-10 FG, 4 assists and 5 turnovers! On the frontcourt, the duel will be interesting, but I don't expect Minnesota to get outplayed on this area. Detroit is now rotating more their players and in some moments on their game at Charlotte, the Pistons played with Jonas Jerebko and Charlie Villanueva together on the frontcourt. This also helps to explain why Detroit is struggling on defense so much right now. On the other side, Minnesota with Nikola Pekovic and Andrei Kirilenko should have talent on the frontcourt to handle Detroit down low, while the Wolves's superior backcourt should make the difference on this game. Therefore, I'll be taking Minnesota tonight.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653 Minnesota Timberwolves (PK) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308)


©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Tue, 03/26/13 - 7:05 PM Žˆ
dime bet 651 NYK / 652 BOS Under 192.0 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) Analysis:
NBA - 651 New York Knicks @ 652 Boston Celtics




Projected Line: 188 points





The Knicks are 3-0 on their last three games, but what has really caught my attention on their last games was their incredible slow pace lately! The NY team generally plays at a slow pace, but 85.34, 81.87, 83.50, 84.35 and 86.42 on their last five games is ridiculously slow! The Knicks commit a low number of turnovers, as they don't take any risks on offense. They have no presence on down low, so their offense is based on jumpers. Just take a look on their shot locations on their last five games:




%Rim %Short %Mid %Long %3P

0.18 0.07 0.04 0.18 0.28




They are also having close to 20% volume on isolation plays, while more than 25% of their plays are spot ups. Now looking to their matchup tonight against Boston, things won't be easy for the Knicks's offense. First of all, their transition game is almost non-existent and this is the only area where Boston's defense isn't good this season. Boston is playing without Kevin Garnett, but the Knicks don't haÁve anybody on offense who can pound the Celtics down low. Boston is an elite 3pts defense team with just 30.6% 3pts allowed on their last 10 games. Same goes for Boston's excellent defense on isolations and spot ups, so the Knicks won't have any edge on offense tonight on a pure halfcourt game, they will struggle tonight.




On the other side, the Celtics are certainly attacking a bit more on transitions lately with 11, 22, 14, 17 and 18 fast break points on their last five games. However, the Celtics's bread and butter on offense keeps being their long-range jumpers, an area where the Knicks's defense has considerably improved lately. Therefore, I expect this contest to be a slow paced game, with both teams having problems on offense. We have all the necessary ingredients to have a low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under tonight.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651/652 Under 192 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229)


Pick Made: Mar 26 2013 1:55PM PST

©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Tue, 03/26/13 - 7:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 653 MIN / 654 DET Over 195.0 Bodog Analysis:

NBA - 653 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 654 Detroit Pistons




Projected Line: Minnesota by 3 points | 199 points




***ADDED PLAY***





Minnesota is definitely playing much better basketball than Detroit right now and even though we are talking about a team that is 8-27 on the road, I believe the Wolves should be favored on this contest. Detroit had a phase where they were competitive, but that hasn't been happening lately due to some atrocious defense. They are averaging a defensive rating of 117.4 since the All Star break and that's simply absurd! Greg Monroe has stopped defending, while the Pistons's perimeter defense has been even worse. Not only Detroit is currently the worst 3pts defensive team in the league since the All Star break with 42.5% 3pts allowed, as their pick and roll ball handler defense is currently non-existent! Detroit has been poor all season long on defending pick and rolls by being #23 in the league with 0.83 PPP allowed, but they numbers since the All Star got even worse! They simply couldn't stop Kemba Walker on their last game, who ended the contest with 10-20 FG and 25 points!




The struggles of the Pistons's defense are obviously good news for Minnesota, who has a healthy Ricky Rubio to torch Detroit's defense tonight. I expect the Wolves's backcourt to dominate this game. Jose Calderon has no foot speed to defend Minnesota's guards, while Brandon Knight returned from injury on the team's last game against the Bobcats, but he looked completely out of form with 4-10 FG, 4 assists and 5 turnovers! On the frontcourt, the duel will be interesting, but I don't expect Minnesota to get outplayed on this area. Detroit is now rotating more their players and in some moments on their game at Charlotte, the Pistons played with Jonas Jerebko and Charlie Villanueva together on the frontcourt. This also helps to explain why Detroit is struggling on defense so much right now. On the other side, Minnesota with Nikola Pekovic and Andrei Kirilenko should have talent on the frontcourt to handle Detroit down low, while the Wolves's superior backcourt should make the difference on this game. Therefore, I'll be taking Minnesota tonight and the Over in a shootout contest.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653 Minnesota Timberwolves (PK) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2Flatest-promo%2F%3Fcmpid%3D1560_1308)




ADDED PLAY:




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime PlayÁ) on 653/654 Over 195 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada


Pick Made: Mar 26 2013 1:56PM PST

©2010 Pregame.com - All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.
Andre Gomes | NBA Total Tue, 03/26/13 - 9:35 PM Žˆ
dime bet 655 LAC / 656 DAL Under 202.5 Bookmaker.com Analysis:
NBA - 655 Los Angeles Clippers @ 656 Dallas Mavericks




Projected Line: 199 points





I expect this contest to be a relatively low-scoring game. Dallas is coming from a nice home win over Utah, where they actually did a nice defensive job against the Jazz until they allowed them to score 28 points in the final 5:26 after the game, when the game was relatively solved for the Mavericks. Elton Brand did a really nice job on defense by limiting both Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap, so I expect them to show a good defensive effort tonight as well, on this very important game for Dallas. The main weapon that the Clippers have on offense to pound the Mavericks's defense is Chris Paul, who has a great matchup against the Mavericks's Point Guards, however he is banged up with a knee injury and if he plays tonight, he is unlikely to be at 100% physically tonight.




On the other hand, the Clippers's are playing better transition defense lately and that's really important for them, as they will play a good transition team like Dallas tonight. The LA team is #1 in the league on pick and roll defense and their only struggle has been on spot up defense, an area where Dallas has some talent, but not enough to pound the Clippers's defense tonight with a bunch of treys, especially when the Clippers's issues on this area are mostly related with laziness and lack of effort, something unlikely to happen on a close contest broadcast on National TV. I expect the pace of this game to be relatively slow, with the Mavericks showing some great effort on defense, especially with Shawn Marion putting extra pressure on a banged up Chris Paul, while the Clippers's defense should also be able to limit Dallas's transitions and pick and rolls. Therefore, looking at the high totals line, we have value on the Under tonight and so, I'll be taking it in here.




Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655/656 Under 202,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Chan


NHL:
Rangers/PHiladelpiha Und 5
Calgary vs Chi OV 5.5

Nba
Dal- 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

paid play
canisius

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sj55

Bos -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report for Tuesday:
200 Alabama
100 Celtics
100 UNDER Columbus in the NHL

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Tuesday 3/26/13 Plays...

HIGHEST RATED 6* PISTONS +2 (4:35PM PST)

3* EAST CAROLINA -3 (4:00PM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5 Star Sports

4*LAC Under
3*Evansville
3*N Iowa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JdWarriors5
MD+4, Loyola MD+3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves NCAAB 3/26

667 loyola maryland + 3 1/2