5-17-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blue Jays scoring in bunches; dogs Friday in NY

The Toronto Blue Jays have won four straight games heading into Friday's matchup versus the New York Yankees. They've also taken seven of 10 dating back to May 5 against the Seattle Mariners.

Their bats appear to be waking up as they've scored at least 10 runs in three straight games and are averaging nine runs per game during the winning streak. The Jays are now tied for first in the American League with 53 home runs.

The Jays were the talk of the offseason as they revamped their lineup and starting rotation and found themselves 12/1 to bring the World Series trophy back to Canada.

Toronto will look to continue its winning ways as they open a weekend series versus New York at Yankee Stadium Friday. The Yankees are -163 favorites and will send Huroki Kuroda to the hill. The Jays will counter with lefty Mark Buehrle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Senators at Penguins: What bettors need to know

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins (-190, 5.5)

Penguins lead best-of-seven series 1-0.

When they were at even strength, the Ottawa Senators more than held their own against the top-seeded Pittsburgh Penguins in the opener of their Eastern Conference second-round series. After allowing two power-play goals - and a short-handed one to boot - the seventh-seeded Senators will look to stay out of the penalty box and leave the Steel City with a split following Game 2 on Friday. Chris Kunitz and defenseman Paul Martin each scored with the man advantage and Pascal Dupuis tallied while his team was short-handed as Pittsburgh breezed to a 4-1 triumph on Tuesday.

The Penguins went 2-for-4 on the power play in Game 1 after going 7-for-21 in their first-round series versus the eighth-seeded New York Islanders. Ottawa is no slouch when it is shorthanded, killing off a league-best 88 percent of its opponent's power plays. "If we break even on the special teams battle, it gives us a good chance to win," Senators coach Paul MacLean said.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE SENATORS: Jared Cowen struggled in Tuesday's setback as Martin's goal early in the first period deflected off the Ottawa defenseman and into the net. Cowen also had a key turnover behind his own goal which resulted in Malkin's tally. "Most of the things we're having trouble with are just mental fixes," Cowen told the Ottawa Citizen. "There's nothing we haven't seen before. In the playoffs, we tend to overanalyze things. Some things get blown up."

ABOUT THE PENGUINS: Evgeni Malkin, who collected a goal and an assist in Game 1, joined Dupuis and Jarome Iginla with seven-game point streaks in the postseason. The reigning Hart Trophy winner, Malkin sits one point behind Boston's David Krejci for the NHL lead in the playoffs. Veteran Tomas Vokoun has certainly fared well since replacing Marc-Andre Fleury to start Game 6 in the first round. Vokoun, who made 35 saves on Tuesday, has stopped 101 of 105 shots en route to winning his last three starts.

TRENDS:

* Senators are 0-4 in the last four meetings.
* Senators are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Pittsburgh.
* Penguins are 40-12 in their last 52 home games.
* Under is 8-1 in Penguins’ last nine vs. a team with a winning record.

OVERTIME

1. Iginla has eight assists, leaving him one shy of his career high - set over the course of 26 games with Calgary during the 2004 playoffs.

2. Ottawa D Eric Gryba suffered an upper-body injury in Game 1. Should Gryba be unable to play, Andre Benoit is expected to be inserted into the lineup.

3. Pittsburgh has won all four meetings with Ottawa in 2013.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Rangers -110
W.Sox +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Harvey is 4-1, 1.44 in eight starts, but winless (0-1, 1.98) in last four.
-- Lee is 2-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts. Reds won four of five Cingrani starts (2-0, 3.12).
-- Cahill is 2-1, 1.80 in his last four starts. Slowey is 0-1, 2.39 in four starts at home.
-- Ryu is 2-1, 2.81 in his last four starts.
-- JGarcia is 3-1, 2.60 in his last four starts.
-- Bumgarner is 4-1, 2.18 in eight starts this season. de la Rosa is 2-0, 0.00 (13 IP) in two May starts.
-- GGonzalez is 1-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.

-- Gomez is 2-0, 2.57 in three starts this year.

-- Jimenez is 3-0, 1.45 in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 4-1, 1.64 in his last six starts.
-- Buchholz is 5-0, 1.69 in eight starts this season.
-- Shields is 1-1, 2.19 in his last five starts.
-- White Sox won last four Sale starts (3-0, 1.48).

Cold pitchers
-- Jackson is 2-5, 7.06 in eight starts this season.
-- Maholm is 1-4, 6.83 in his last five starts.
-- Peralta is 1-2, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Smith allowed six runs in 1+ IP in his first MLB start.

-- Lyles is 1-1, 8.36 in three starts this season.

-- Maurer is 1-3, 3.68 in his last four starts.
-- Buehrle is 0-2, 6.48 in his last four starts.
-- Hammel has a 6.00 RA in his last five starts, but Orioles won his last six, scoring 46 runs. Hellickson is 1-1, 7.15 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello is 1-1, 7.65 in his last four starts. Tepesch is 1-2, 6.48 in his last three outings.
-- Worley is 1-1, 8.40 in his last three starts.
-- Parker is 2-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
-- Wilson is 2-2, 5.28 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Harvey 1-8; Jackson 3-8
-- Cingrani 1-5; Lee 0-8
-- Cahill 2-8; Slowey 2-8
-- Ryu 3-8; Maholm 1-8
-- Peralta 0-8; JGarcia 1-8
-- Bumgarner 0-8; de la Rosa 2-8
-- GGonzalez 3-8; BSmith 0-1

-- Lyles 2-3; Gomez 1-3

-- Maurer 3-7; Jimenez 2-7
-- Buehrle 3-8 (0 of last 5); Kuroda 4-8
-- Hellickson 5-8; Hammel 3-8
-- Porcello 2-6; Tepesch 2-7
-- Buchholz 1-8; Worley 6-8
-- Shields 3-8; Parker 2-8
-- Sale 5-8; Wilson 2-8

Totals
-- Six of Cubs' last seven games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Cincinnati games went over total; six of last seven Philly games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Arizona games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Milwaukee games.
-- Last five Colorado games went over the total.
-- Four of last five games at Petco Park stayed under.

-- Under is 4-0-1 in Pittsburgh's last five games.

-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Seattle games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Bronx games; eight of last ten Blue Jay games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight games at Camden Yards stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four White Sox games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Cubs won four of their last five games.
-- Reds won their last six games, scoring 37 runs. Phillies won three of four.
-- Diamondbacks won seven of their last ten games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight games.
-- Giants won 11 of their last 16 games.
-- Padres won nine of their last eleven home games. Washington won six of its last nine away games.

-- Pirates won six of their last seven games.

-- Cleveland won eight of its last eleven games. Mariners won five of their last seven.
-- Toronto won its last four games, scoring 36 runs.
-- Rangers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Boston won its last two games, allowing five runs.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Marlins lost last five games, outscored 27-9.
-- Braves lost five of their last six games.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Rockies lost seven of their last nine games.

-- Astros lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Bronx lost three of its last five games.
-- Rays lost last two games, scoring five runs. Baltimore lost three of last four.
-- Detroit lost six of its last nine games.
-- Twins are 4-7 in their last eleven home games.
-- Oakland lost eight of its last ten games. Royals lost seven of last ten.
-- Angels lost four of their last five games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

05/17/13 Prediction

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game #2
PITTSBURGH 4, Ottawa 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Knicks (-4 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s the Mets. The deficit is 418 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1032-768 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner 5-1 run Fri Red Sox -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Mets -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Friday Kansas City/Oakland Under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Ottawa Senators + Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 5.5
(System Record: 64-3, won last 4 games and a push)
Overall Record: 64-44-4

Baseball Crusher
Baltimore Orioles -110 over Tampa Bay Rays
(System Record: 19-4, lost last 4 games and a push)
Overall Record: 19-28-1

Soccer Crusher
Arsenal de Sarandi + Racing Club OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 398-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 398-346-49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, May 17

Pittsburgh are 4-0 vs Senators this year, winning 2-1/4-2/3-1/4-1, with Ottawa losing both visits here, scoring three goals; Senators lost six of last eight visits here overall. Penguins won 18 of last 21 home games- they've won last three games, allowing four goals since the switch to Vokoun in goal. Six of last nine series games went over total. Ottawa won six of last eight road games; over is 4-2-1 in its last seven games overall, 4-2 in Pittsburgh's last six. Ottawa was 0-5 on power play in Game 1, Penguins 2-4, despite Senators having 36 penalty minutes, Pittsburgh only 18.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Baltimore

The Orioles look to take advantage of a Tampa Bay team that is 0-8 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 8 road starts. Baltimore is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, MAY 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 15.932; Cubs (Jackson) 16.153
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-150); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-150); N/A


Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cingrani) 15.761; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.459
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over


Game 905-906: Arizona at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 15.064; Miami (Slowey) 13.373
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-160); Under


Game 907-908: LA Dodgers at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.555; Atlanta (Maholm) 14.623
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+125); Under


Game 909-910: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.615; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.308
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+150); Under


Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.815; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.967
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Over


Game 913-914: Washington at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 17.266; San Diego (Smith) 15.570
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Over


Game 915-916: Seattle at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Maurer) 16.216; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.211
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Over


Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 16.375; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.011
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Over


Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.288; Baltimore (Hammel) 16.196
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Under


Game 921-922: Detroit at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.248; Texas (Tepesch) 15.380
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Under


Game 923-924: Boston at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.701; Minnesota (Worley) 14.430
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-160); Over


Game 925-926: Kansas City at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 14.121; Oakland (Parker) 15.045
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Over


Game 927-928: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 14.386; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.399
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Over


Game 929-930: Houston at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 13.464; Pittsburgh (Gomez) 15.430
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Ottawa at Pittsburgh

The Penguins look to take advantage of an Ottawa team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games in Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is the pick (-200) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, MAY 17
Time Posted 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 11-12: Ottawa at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.354; Pittsburgh 13.818
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB NY METS at CHICAGO CUBS

Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games
28-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.1% 22.9 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB TAMPA BAY at BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 45-31 (+24.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

8* Diamond Dog

San Diego+1½/-135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Mets
(5 UNITS) Giants
(5 UNITS) Royals
(4 UNITS) Nationals
(3 UNITS) Phillies
(3 UNITS)Sea/Cle - UNDER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Angels -120

50* Over 7 - Padres/Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoopsgooroo

[919] Tampa Bay Rays +103 vs Baltimore Orioles
[915] Seattle Mariners +147 vs Cleveland Indians
[915] Seattle Mariners UNDER 8.5 -112 vs Cleveland Indians
[917] Toronto Blue Jays +134 vs New York Yankees
[908] Atlanta Braves -134 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
[921] Detroit Tigers +115 vs Texas Rangers
[911] San Francisco Giants -108 vs Colorado Rockies
[926] Oakland Athletics +111 vs Kansas City Royals
[927] Chicago White Sox +105 vs Los Angeles Angels
[914] San Diego Padres +130 vs Washington Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

"Mr Chalk" had Np on Thursday.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Indians -$160/Mariners.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-3 -$435 for the week and 25-14 + $192 for the 2013 Regular Season.


Ben lee won on Thursday with the Knicks -4.5/Pacers and has Np on Friday.

Ben lee is 13-8 +$410 for the NBA Conference Playoffs.


Ben lee pushed on Thursday with the under 5 -$140 Rangers/Bruins.

For Friday Ben lee likes the Penguins-$200/Senators.

Ben lee is 5-2 +$155 for the NHL Playoffs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 05/17/2013
(Lost last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Kansas City Royals : o7.5
Cost: -110

Run Line for 05/17/2013
(Won last 4 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks : -1.5
Cost: +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics - ROYALS TO WIN (-108)
Listed Pitchers: Shields vs Parker
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)

The Kansas City Royals took 2 of 3 vs Los Angeles this week to move to 20-17 on the year and 10-9 on the road. The Oakland Athletics dropped 2 of 3 making them just 2-8 over their last 10 games and they now sit 20-22 on the year and 10-10 at home. The Royals will send James Shield to the mound who is 2-3 on the season with a 2.48 ERA, .205 OBA and 0.97 WHIP. He has been consistently good allowing 3 earned runs against or fewer in 7 of 8 starts (with the other start being 4 ER). Over his last 5 starts he has allowed just 8 earned runs against getting through 6 or more innings in each. A's Jarrod Parker on the other hand is 2-5 with a 6.68 ERA, .321 OBA and 1.84 WHIP. Over his last 4 starts he has allowed 16 earned runs against. Pitching at home hasn't helped him at all as he is 1-3 with a 9.61 ERA at home this year and a WHIP just under 2 at 1.98. The Royals are coming off a series where they managed to score 22 runs in 3 games, while the A's have scored 22 runs in their last 7 games and have only scored more than 3 runs 3 times over their last 10 games. The A's are 1-5 in Parker's last 6 starts as an underdog and 1-4 in his last 5 home starts. I'm hoping on Kansas City to beat a struggling A's team behind Shields.


2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles - OVER 8.5 RUNS (-117)
Listed Pitchers: Hellickson vs Hammel
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.71 units)

The Tampa Bay Rays have lost two straight after giving up 3 runs in the 9th last night vs Boston. Before that they had won 6 straight games scoring 38 runs over those 6 games (6.33 runs per game). The Orioles have lost 4 of their last 6 games and they've given up 6+ runs against in 4 of those 6 games. Over their last 10 games they've scored 50 runs (5 per game). Tonight Tampa Bay will send Jeremy Hellickson to the mound who has had his struggles this year. He is 1-2 with a 5.25 ERA, .251 OBA and 1.27 WHIP. Over this last 4 starts he has allowed 18 earned runs against, and his ERA over his past 3 starts is sitting at 7.02. Jason Hammel will take the mound for Baltimore and he is also struggling although he has a 5-1 record. His ERA is sitting at 4.93 with a .278 OBA and 1.47 WHIP. At home his ERA is 5.68 although he has just two home starts this year, and his ERA for his past three starts is 7.20. The team is 7-1 in games he has started, which just shows you how much run support the Orioles are giving him. Take note that these two teams have met 6 times already this year with totals of 16, 8, 9 in Baltimore and 9, 15, and 11 in Tampa Bay. Hellickson gave up 5 earned runs in 6.1 innings pitched vs Baltimore at the start of the season, and Hammels gave up 3 earned runs in 6 innings pitched in Tampa Bay early this year. Also note that the OVER is 9-0-3 in the Rays last 12 road games, 19-5-4 in their last 28 overall, and 9-2-1 in their last 12 games vs a starter with a WHIP over 1.30. The OVER is 5-0 in Hammels last 5 starts overall and 5-1-1 in his last 7 home starts dating back to last season. This season the OVER is 4-0-2 between these two teams, and I'm surprised to see a total at 8.5 for tonight's game. I'm on the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Legend- LA Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs sports

3-unit Play Take #919 Tampa Bay Rays (+105) over Baltimore Orioles (7:05pm ET) After a slow start to the season, the Tampa Bay Rays are finally starting to click. Despite dropping their last two games, they have won six of eight and are hitting the ball very well. They've average 5.9 runs per game over their last 17 contests and will look to keep it going against a struggling pitcher in Jason Hammel today. He has a 5-1 record on the season, but Hammel isn't pitching nearly as well as he did in 2012. His strikeout rate is down to 6.3 per nine innings from 8.6 last year. His walks are also up and he's not keeping the ball down like he has in the past. All of that has translated into a 4.93 ERA, which is a run and a half higher than last season. His career ERA is 4.78, so it's quite possible that last year was the aberration and that the Hammel were seeing this season is representative of the pitcher that he really is. I expect the Rays to jump on his early and for Jeremy Hellickson to pitch well enough to keep a dangerous Orioles lineup at bay. Take Tampa Bay here.

6-unit Play Take #925 Kansas City Royals (-110) over Oakland A's (10:05pm ET) Jarrod Parker hasn't been himself this season for the Oakland A's. He enters today's start at 2-5 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in eight starts. His biggest problem has been his control, as he's walking 4.9 batters per nine innings and his strikeout rate has declined from last season. He's battled some neck injuries, which obviously is affecting him more than he is leading on. Today he goes up against a Royals team that is swinging the bats pretty well lately. In their last series in Anaheim, the Royals scored 22 runs as they took two of three from the Angels. Kansas City will also have their ace James Shields on the mound today and he probably won't need very much run support. Shields is one of the best in the American League and comes in with a 2.48 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his first season with Kansas City. He's also great at going deep into games as he's averaging over seven innings per start. That makes it much easier for the Royals bullpen, which has some great arms at the backend. Until Parker shows that he's back to his form from last season, he's going to be on the fade list. With Shields going, you couldn't get a much bigger starting pitching edge for the Royals. Take Kansas City today as our 6-unit Game of the Month.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: New York Mets at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Chicago Cubs +120 (moneyline)

Not too much has gone right for the Mets this season, and despite the win yesterday, the Cubs have a better record. The Mets' offense has been brutal for quite some time, as they have produced 4 runs or less in 16 of their last 19 games, including 9 of their last 10. The Cubs' offense has been the most productive over their last five games where they have averaged 5.8 runs per contest. Harvey has come up aces for the Mets, but despite the fact that he has allowed 2 or fewer runs in seven of eight starts, the pen, and lack of offense has kept him out of the win column in each of his last four starts. The Mets are just 1-9 in their last 10 vs. a right-handed starter doesn't bode well for them here. Take the Cubs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Philly Godfather


MLB [921] DET TIGERS +114 100: +114
MLB [901] NY METS -124 100: -124

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella | MLB ML - Friday, May 17 2013 7:05PM
ML 916 CLE (-153) (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=4)5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 915 SEA double-dime bet

Analysis:

"A.L. GOW" 2* on the CLEVELAND INDIANS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

200* Phillies -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin's 25* DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR (15-5)!









Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees May 17 2013 7:05PM
Play on: New York Yankees















25* AL East Game of the Year on NY Yankees. This is already the third time these pitchers have faced off against each other, with the Yankees winning 5-3 in Toronto (each pitcher didn't factor into the decision) and then New York won 5-3 in the Bronx (Kuroda earned the win, Buehrle the loss). We're going to back Kuroda and the Yankees to make it three straight in this pitching matchup, and we love going against Buehrle in this spot.

The two team start losses means Buehrle is now 1-9 with a 6.19 ERA against the Yankees in his career, even worse owning a 1-13 team start record in those 14 career meetings. Kuroda is 3-1 (4-1 team start record) against Toronto with a 3.82 ERA. That's some kind of history, and we look for those trends to continue considering Buehrle has allowed 19 runs (18 earned) in 22 2/3 innings of work away from home this season - good for a high 7.15 earned run average (four road starts). Yankees have won six of the seven meetings this year between both teams. Everything points to an easy Yankees victory and we'll back them with our highest 25* rating tonight. 25* AL East Game of the Year on NY Yankees.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin: Sam Martin's 20* NHL PUCKLINE DEMOLITION (15-5)!









Ottawa Senators (p) @ Pittsburgh Penguins (p) May 17 2013 7:35PM
Play on: Pittsburgh Penguins (p)

















20* Puckline Play on Pittsburgh (-1.5 Goals). Great line value laying the goal and a half with Pittsburgh tonight, as the Penguins not only crushed Ottawa 4-1 to set the tone for this series, but continued their dominance over the Senators with their fourth win in as many chances against them. Penguins have won those four games by a combined eight goals and have held Ottawa to five goals scored in those four meetings. Pittsburgh beat the Islanders 5-0 in the opener last series but were shocked in a 4-3 loss in Game Two. That upset loss will be fresh in Pittsburgh's minds in this game and we don't expect them to be caught off guard again. Senators have done nothing in power play chances against Pittsburgh this year, converting just once in 17 chances. That includes 0-5 last night and if they can't score with a man-advantage we don't think they can stay close on the road. Pittsburgh now 21-7 on their home ice winning by 1.5 goals per game while Ottawa playing with poor history going 5-17 in Game Two's of a playoff series. Penguins on fire offensively scoring 4 or more goals in five straight and they take this one in a blowout. 20* Puckline Play on Pittsburgh (-1.5 Goals).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin: Sam Martin's 20* MLB RUNLINE DEMOLITION (15-5)!









St Louis Cardinals (r) at Milwaukee Brewers (r) May 17 2013 8:15PM
Play on: St Louis Cardinals (r)



20* Runline Play on St. Louis (-1.5 Runs). St. Louis came through for us with a pair of runline winners in their last series against the Mets, and we'll back them on the runline once again tonight as they start a three-game home series against Milwaukee. Cardinals lost yesterday trying for the four-game sweep, scoring just two runs in a 5-2 loss. We backed them coming off their previous loss and they scored an easy 6-3 win, rebounding from a two-run, six hit effort with a six-run, 11-hit outburst.

We fully expect a similar offensive outburst tonight and he Cards will have full confidence going into this game against Wily Peralta as they already beat him up for six runs in just 4 1/3 innings earlier this month. St. Louis won that game 6-5, but we don't think the Brewers will come anywhere close to putting up that many runs tonight against Jamie Garcia.

Garcia has been fantastic here at home with a 2.93 ERA, and even better we catch him off a rare poor outing his last time out where he gave up five runs in six innings. That snapped a streak of three consecutive starts where he held the opposition to just one earned run each time out. Garcia shutout the Brewers over seven innings in his lone home start against them (April), and then on the road held Milwaukee to one run over 8 innings in a 10-1 blowout win (as an underdog). That's one run allowed over 15 innings against this team, and with Milwuakee losing 12 of their last 14 games overall, including just one run scored in each of their last two, we don't see them suddenly breaking out against a motivated pitcher like Garcia tonight. Cardinals run up the score and cover the 1.5-run spot with ease! 20* Runline Play on St. Louis (-1.5 Runs).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi | MLB ML - Friday, May 17 2013 8:05PM
ML 922 TEX -120 vs 921 DET triple-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

1 unit Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

PHILLIES
GIANTS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

4* (MLB) Philadelphia Phillies ML -120
4* (MLB) NY Yankees ML -143

3* (MLB) Cleveland Indians ML -153
3* (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML -144
3* (MLB) Kansas City Royals ML -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

KC Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

MLB Baseball Premium Picks



MLB | May 17 '13 (7:05p)
Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
-115 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -115

Rarely will you get the opportunity to back Cliff Lee as this small of a home favorite against anyone. I'll take advantage tonight and back the veteran left-hander against the Cincinnati Reds Friday night.

Lee continues to prove that he's one of the best starters in the game. The former Cy Young winner is 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.076 WHIP through eight starts this season. He is coming off an awesome start at Arizona in which he pitched seven shutout innings of a 3-1 Phillies' victory.

Lee is 6-2 with a 3.91 ERA in 12 career starts against Cincinnati. He has been dominant in his last three starts against the Reds, going 1-0 with a 1.61 ERA while allowing just four earned runs in 22 1/3 innings.

The Reds are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Cincinnati is 1-4 in its last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Phillies are 38-18 in their last 56 meetings with the Reds, including 19-7 in their last 26 home meetings. Roll with the Phillies Friday.








MLB | May 17 '13 (7:30p)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
+125 (http://affiliate.sportsinteraction.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_1020b_102) at SIA (http://www.sportsinteraction.com/)


15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Los Angeles Dodgers +125

The Los Angeles Dodgers are showing some of their best value of the season as a road underdog to the Atlanta Braves. They come in playing their best baseball of the season having won four of their last five games overall.

Hyun-Jin Ryu doesn't get the respect he deserves from oddsmakers because he's new to the league this year. The left-hander has gone 4-2 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.212 WHIP with 51 strikeouts in 50 1/3 innings in 2013.

The Braves have lost five of their last six coming in. Paul Maholm is getting way too much respect from the books in the early going despite being just 4-4 with a 3.94 ERA on the season.

Maholm gave up six earned runs and 11 base runners over 4 1/3 innings last time out in a 1-10 loss to San Francisco. The left-hander is 1-5 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in nine career starts against Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are 19-3 (+17.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The Braves are 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Bet the Dodgers Friday.








MLB | May 17 '13 (8:40p)
San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies
Total
9½ un-102 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* MLB Friday Total ANNIHILATOR on Giants/Rockies UNDER 9.5

The books have set the bar way too high tonight in this NL West battle between San Francisco and Colorado. This is an overreaction from yesterday's 8-6 win by the Giants.

The two starters getting the ball tonight have been absolutely dominant. Madison Bumgarner is 4-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-0 with a 0.83 ERA and 0.646 WHIP in three road starts. Jorge De La Rosa is 4-3 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in eight starts, including 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in two home starts.

Both starters have been dominant against their opposition as well. Bumgarner is 6-3 with a 2.58 ERA in 12 career starts against Colorado with the UNDER going 7-4-1 in those contests. De La Rosa is 7-4 with a 3.06 ERA in 13 career starts against San Francisco with the UNDER going 8-5 in those games.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts vs. National League West. The UNDER is 6-1 in De La Rosa's last 7 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. These three trends combine for a 16-1 system backing the UNDER tonight. Take the UNDER in this game Friday.






-= TOP PLAY =-


MLB | May 17 '13 (10:05p)
Kansas City Royals vs Oakland A's
Kansas City Royals
-113 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


20* MLB Mound Mismatch GAME OF THE MONTH on Kansas City Royals -113

The Kansas City Royals have a massive edge on the mound over the Oakland A's tonight. They should be a much heavier favorite tonight because of it, and I'll gladly take advantage.

James Shields has proven to be the ace that the Royals hoped for when they signed him this offseason. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 0.783 WHIP in his last three.

Jarrod Parker has been atrocious this season for Oakland. The right-hander is 2-5 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.845 WHIP in eight starts, including 1-3 with a 9.61 ERA and 1.984 WHIP in four home starts.

Shield is 5-3 with a 4.08 WHIP in 12 career starts against Oakland. That includes a complete game shutout in his last start against the A's. Parker is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA in one career start against Kansas City.

The A's are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League Central opponents. Oakland is 0-5 in Parker's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The A's are 0-4 in Parker's last 4 starts as a home underdog. These three trends combine for a perfect 15-0 system backing Kansas City. Bet the Royals Friday.








MLB | May 17 '13 (10:10p)
Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
-130 (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


15* MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington Nationals -130

The Washington Nationals should be a much heavier favorite over the San Diego Padres tonight. They have a big edge on the mound with Gio Gonzalez over Burch Smith in this one.

Gonzalez hasn't been as dominant as he was last season, but he's still 3-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.200 WHIP with 47 strikeouts over 45 innings. The left-hander is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one career start against San Diego, pitching six shutout innings of a 3-1 victory.

Rookie Burch Smith will get his second turn in the rotation with Clayton Richard on the disabled list. It didn't go well in Smith's major league debut as he allowed six runs and seven base runners before getting pulled after just one inning of work in an 8-7 loss to Tampa Bay.

Gonzalez is 13-2 (+10.4 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. The Nationals are 17-5 in Gonzalez's last 22 road starts. The Nationals are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego. Take Washington Friday.

[kar261]

This guy has been absolute money this NBA playoff season.......good luck all. NOTE: This is for Saturday's Game 6.


Steve Budin - CEO

Saturday's Early Pick

100 Dime play from the Brooklyn College Boys on Indiana over New York in Eastern Conference second-round action. The Pacers are -4 1/2 at the overwhelming majority of books I've checked in Vegas and offshore as I go live with this play at 12:15 PM Eastern on Friday afternoon.

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Friday 5/17/13 Plays...

5* METS/CUBS (OVER 7 / -125) (11:20AM PST)

---LEGIT PICK'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports Free Play

8-6 +195

Texas -110 List Action vs. Porcello

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EAGLE EYE SPORTS----Billy Joe Hershey
Tampabay Rays
Seattle Mariners
------------------------
EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Robert Henzie
Oakland A's

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor MLB 5/17

Colorado Rockies +103
Los Angeles Angels -117

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NHL Picks 5/17

11. Ottawa Senators +174

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vincent Rizzo Sports

Yankees -139 (2.78u)
Nationals -134 (2.68u)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | MLB Total - Friday, May 17 2013 7:05PM
929 HOU / 930 PIT OVER 8 Hilton (http://www.pregame.com/en/main/sports-betting-lines-odds/) double-dime bet

Analysis:The Astros have been a huge over team this season. The over has cashed 72 percent of the time during Houston's last 26 games.
Look for that trend to continue in a pitching matchup of Jordan Lyles versus Jeanmar Gomez. The over is 12-4-3 during Lyles' last 19 road starts.
Lyles has been a huge disappointment. He's been terrible ever since he's come to the majors and he's not doing the job this season with an 8.36 ERA. In his last start, he yielded eight runs and 11 hits in during four innings to the Rangers. Career-wise versu šs Pittsburgh, Lyles is 0-4 with a 7.77 ERA.
Gomez has been a pleasant surprise, make that shock, for the Pirates posting a 2-0 mark and 2.28 ERA. Gomez is helped coming from the DH-American League, but he's not nearly as good as he's recently shown. He had an 8.74 ERA during his last 10 starts last year with Cleveland.


Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Friday, May 17 2013 7:05PM
ML 904 PHI (-115) BetOnline (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=7) vs 903 CIN double-dime bet

Analysis:The Phillies are rested, home and have a hot Cliff Lee going against a rookie pitcher who is beginning to get exposed.

Lee has allowed just two runs and 11 hits in his last starts spanning 15 innings. He š is 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA during his past five starts against the Reds.

The Reds had to go extra innings on Thursday to beat the Marlins in Miami while the Phillies were idle. They are going with rookie Tony Cingrani, who started fast with a sneaky delivery but the league is catching on to him.

Cingrani allowed six earned runs, including four homers, in his last two starts spanning 10 innings.


Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Friday, May 17 2013 7:05PM
ML 916 CLE (-160) BetOnline (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=7) vs 915 SEA single-dime bet

Analysis:Cleveland is in great form winning 14 of its last 18. Also in great form is Indians starter Ubaldo Jimenez. He's given up just three runs and 10 hits while striking out 20 during his last three starts spanning 18 2/3 innings.
The Indians return home rested a šfter being idle on Thursday. The Mariners had to play the Yankees yesterday. That caused them to have more bullpen fatigue.
Seattle starter Brandon Maurer is being hit hard. He has a 5.97 ERA on the season and has surrendered seven runs, including three homers, during his last two starts spanning nine innings.
Seattle usually plays poorly in the first game of a series. They are 13-31 on Fridays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB
PHILADELPHIA


freeloader
WASHINGTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BookiesHunter

3* Yankees

2* Under 7.5 DBacks/Marlins
2* Red Sox

1* Senators ML
1* Pirates -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker | MLB ML - Friday, May 17 2013 8:05PM
ML 922 TEX -122 vs 921 DET single-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

spartan | MLB ML - Friday, May 17 2013 10:05PM
ML 925 KAN -110 vs 926 OAK double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Denver Money | NHL Total - Friday, May 17 2013 7:35PM
11 OTT / 12 PIT UNDER 5.5 single-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns 10* MLB Personal Fav.

Philadelphia Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

z money

Philadelphia Phillies -115
Miami Marlins + 1 1/2 runs on the run line -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sebastian:
50 Washington
50 Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella Free Friday MLB Team Total (11-3 L/14)

Friday Night MLB Team Total
OAKLAND A's UNDER 3.5 RUNS (@sportsbook.ag)
Big Game James Shields takes the ball for KC here & he has been spectacular this season. Very sharp command of his pitches and I love his almost 4-1 K/BB ratio. Oakland not hitting the ball of late, as over the last week, they have an anemic .216 .AVG & just a .277 .OBP. I really do not think getting Shields and his "stuff" will help these A's snap out of their team slump. I also like that these A's fair much better vs LH pitching, as Oakland really has been weak vs RH pitching this season (ranking 14th out of 15 A.L. teams in batting .AVG (.230) & 12th in .OPS (.690). The KC bullpen has been solid and a pleasant surprise for sure. I really like Shields to go deep in this game tonight & hand the ball over to the best arms in that KC bullpen.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Landau Friday Fade Train:

MIL +160
NYY -137 (Jays 0-13 since 4/05 if scored 7+ Runs in each of last 3 Games)
DET +115
HOU +175 (Pit 12-27 facing new team off 2+ Wins)

From today's LAA-CWS Preview, which could be written after every game I bet lately:
"The Angels played poorly in the field in Thursday’s 5-4 loss. Los Angeles shortstop Erick Aybar committed two errors, first baseman Albert Pujols pulled his foot off the bag too soon on what would have been a double play and center fielder Mike Trout overthrew a cutoff man - allowing Alexei Ramirez to take an extra base at the start of the three-run eighth inning."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports MLB

Texas -110 list action vs Porcello

[kar261]

Anthony Redd
Friday's Play
75 Dime selectdon on the Detroit Tigers and the Texas Rangers to go Over the Posted Total. As I realease this play at 8:20am Pacific here in Vegas, the total on this game is 10 1/2 in Vegas and offshore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

parlay king mlb 5/17/13

arizona -1.5 5 unit
texas 5 unit

parlay both 1 unit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd
Friday's Play
75 Dime selectdon on the Detroit Tigers and the Texas Rangers to go Over the Posted Total. As I realease this play at 8:20am Pacific here in Vegas, the total on this game is 10 1/2 in Vegas and offshore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS Hockey Lock Club

3 Pitt/Ott Under 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

4 S.F. -110
3 A's +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer

5 Yankees -140
3 Pittsburgh -1.5 +160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

5 K.C. -110
3 Boston -1.5 +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 Reds +110
2 Over 5.5 Ott/Pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

6 Arizona -150 GOW

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

2 Ariz -150
1 Mets -130
1 Seattle +145
1 Boston -140
1 S.F. -110
1 K.C. -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 K.C.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather Locks

A's

[Can'tPickAWinner]

pa connection
under braves