6-21-13

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::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

American League West boasts best over and under bets

The American League West has been a tough division for MLB totals bettors to wrangle this year.

It boasts the top two over plays in the majors, with the Los Angeles Angels (41-30-1 over/under) and Oakland Athletics (40-33-1 over/under) consistently topping totals, and is also home to the worst under bet in the bigs, the Texas Rangers, who have been kind to under bettors with a 26-42-4 over/under mark.

How about when these over teams collide with the low-scoring Rangers?

Los Angeles and Texas have played each other six times this season, combing for an over/under mark of 5-1. The A’s and Rangers, who are currently wrapping a four-game set in Arlington, have produced a break-even 4-4-1 over/under count in their first nine head-to-head contests this season.

In fact, Texas is leaning more to the over against divisional foes, posting a 15-13-3 over/under record against AL West opponents. Oakland is 22-11-1 over/under versus clubs for the AL West and L.A. is 19-12 over/under during divisional play.

Stats as of June 20, 2013.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bettors cashing in huge on Blue Jays' winning streak

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the most profitable bet in the bigs over the past eight games.

Any $100 bettor would be up $920.07 if they wagered on each game of Toronto’s current eight-game winning streak. The Blue Birds have outscored the opposition 46-14 during the run.

The Blue Jays were underdogs five times during the streak, including +216 pups against Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers on June 13.

Toronto (35-36) is now just one game shy of the .500 mark and five games out of the final AL wild-card spot heading into play Thursday night.

The Blue Jays are -134 favorites in the opener of a three-game set with the Baltimore Orioles on Friday night. Toronto will send reigning NL Cy Young Award winner R.A. Dickey (6-8, 4.90) to the hill and the Orioles will counter with Jason Hammel (7-4, 5.24).

The Blue Jays opened the 2013 campaign with 12-1 odds to win the World Series, but fell all the way to 100-1 at the LVH SuperBook on Monday. Online sportsbook Bet365 has boosted Toronto’s futures all the way to +1400 as of Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Strasburg is 2-1, 1.80 in his last five starts. Chatwood is 4-1, 1.65 in his last six starts.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Teheran is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Cueto is 2-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
-- Kershaw is 0-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Nolasco is 2-1, 2.61 in his last six starts.

-- Keuchel is 3-1, 2.49 in his last four starts.
-- Cole is 2-0, 3.75 in his first two MLB starts.

-- Phelps is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Fister has a 2.32 RA in his last four starts.
-- Deduno is 3-0, 2.16 in his last four starts.
-- Guthrie is 2-0, 2.19 in his last couple home starts.
-- Colon is 6-0, 1.05 in his last six starts. Iwakuma is 5-0, 1.29 in seven home starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Hefner is 1-2, 5.03 in his last six starts.
-- Peralta is 0-2, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Miley is 1-5, 7.81 in his last seven starts.
-- Richard is 1-4, 7.34 in his last eight starts.
-- Lincecum is 1-5, 6.35 in his last six starts.

-- Garza is 1-1, 5.83 in his last five starts.
-- Lyons is 0-3, 7.41 in his last three starts. Holland is 0-2, 5.51 in his last three outings.
-- Weaver is 0-2, 6.11 in his last three starts.

-- Hernandez is 1-2, 5.50 in his last three starts.
-- Dickey is 2-2, 5.68 in his last five starts. Hammel is 0-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 0-4, 7.36 in his last six starts.
-- Kazmir is 0-2, 7.98 in his last three starts.
-- Santiago is 1-3, 5.40 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Chatwood 2-7; Strasburg 4-13 (0 of last 7)
-- Hefner 6-13; Hamels 3-15 (0 of last 5)
-- Teheran 6-13; Peralta 4-15
-- Cueto 1-7; Miley 3-14
-- Kershaw 1-15; Richard 3-10
-- Nolasco 5-14; Lincecum 7-13 (4 of last 5)

-- Keuchel 1-8; Garza 0-6
-- Holland 0-14; Lyons 2-5
-- Cole 0-2; Weaver 2-6

-- Hernandez 3-15; Phelps 2-9
-- Hammel 4-14 (0 of last 5); Dickey 5-15
-- Lester 4-15; Fister 2-15
-- Deduno 1-5; Kazmir 3-11
-- Santiago 1-7; Guthrie 4-14
-- Colon 3-14; Iwakuma 4-15

Totals
-- Four of last five Colorado games stayed under total.
-- Under is 6-2-2 in Mets' last ten games.
-- atl-mil
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen San Diego games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five San Francisco games.

-- 11 of last 15 Houston games stayed under the total; last five Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last four St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Pittsburgh's last four games.

-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Bronx games.
-- Six of last seven Toronto games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-0-1 in last nine Boston games.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total.
-- Four of last five White Sox games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Seattle games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Washington won its last three home games, allowing five runs.
-- Phillies won six of their last seven home games. Mets won four of their last six games overall.
-- Cincinnati won five of its last seven road games. Arizona won its last two games, allowing total of three runs.
-- Padres won eight of their last ten games.

-- Cardinals won 17 of their last 25 home games. Texas won three of its last four games.
-- Astros won six of their last eight games.
-- Angels won six of their last eight games.

-- Tampa Bay won its last two games, scoring 14 runs.
-- Blue Jays won their last eight games, scoring 46 runs. Baltimore won five of its last seven games.
-- Detroit won six of its last eight home games.
-- Cleveland won six of last eight games. Twins won four of their last five.
-- Royals won seven of their last eight home games.

Cold teams
-- Colorado is 3-8 in its last eleven road games.
-- Braves lost three of their last four games. Brewers are 3-5 in their last eight.
-- Dodgers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Miami lost 12 of its last 16 road games. Giants lost four of last six games.

-- Cubs lost four of their last five games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last nine road games.

-- White Sox lost 14 of their last 16 road games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last five road games.
-- Bronx lost seven of its last nine games.
-- A's lost five of their last seven road games. Seattle lost four of its last five games overall.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers

"Fife didn’t have enough bullets to get the job done for the Dodgers last night, so Hondo ended up with a second straight loss that expanded the deficit to 300 mcauliffes.
Today, Mr. Aitch will launch a play on the Astros over the Cubs — 10 units on Keuchel. Tonight, he will rely on Mister Fister to punch out Jonny Lager and the Sawx — 10 units on the Tigers."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Spurs (+6) Thursday.

Friday it’s the Cubs. The deficit is 777 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1047-786 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner FRI Dodgers w/ Kershaw

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Yankees -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Friday Chicago/Kansas City Under 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at Arizona

The Reds look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 2-9 in Wade Miley's last 11 starts against teams with a winning record. Cincinnati is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-135). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, JUNE 21
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Colorado at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 14.471; Washington (Strasburg) 16.460
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2; 5
Vegas Line: Washington (-175); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Under


Game 953-954: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 15.278; Philadelphia (Hamels) 13.756
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+155); Over


Game 955-956: Atlanta at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 14.740; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.682
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Over


Game 957-958: Cincinnati at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.994; Arizona (Miley) 14.376
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-135); Under


Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.832; San Diego (Richard) 16.107
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Over


Game 961-962: Miami at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 15.711; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.571
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+145); Under


Game 963-964: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hernandez) 13.157; NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.558
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-125); Under


Game 965-966: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 16.763; Toronto (Dickey) 15.155
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Over


Game 967-968: Boston at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.870; Detroit (Fister) 15.323
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+125); Over


Game 969-970: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 15.377; Cleveland (Kazmir) 17.291
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-125); Under


Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 15.039; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.028
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+125); Under


Game 973-974: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.044; Seattle (Iwakuma) 15.479
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); Over


Game 975-976: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 15.690; Cubs (Garza) 14.144
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-175); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+155); N/A


Game 977-978: Texas at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 14.110; St. Louis (Lyons) 16.646
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under


Game 979-980: Pittsburgh at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 15.644; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.966
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -145 over Boston Bruins
(System Record: 77-3, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 77-55-4

Baseball Crusher
Cleveland Indians -123 over Minnesota Twins
(System Record: 43-4, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 43-39-1

Soccer Crusher
Racing Club + Union OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 415-15, lost last game and a push)
Overall Record: 415-359-52

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Los Angeles

The Sparks look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing with 1 days rest. Los Angeles is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2). Here are all of today's picks


FRIDAY, JUNE 21
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Seattle at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.054; San Antonio 112.789
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 147
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+5 1/2); Over


Game 603-604: Washington at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 101.985; Phoenix 110.839
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 166 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Under


Game 605-606: Minnesota at Los Angeles (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.926; Los Angeles 119.717
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 161
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 166 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at KANSAS CITY

Play On - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (KANSAS CITY) stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
176-92 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.7% 61.9 units )
22-14 this year. ( 61.1% 4.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at TORONTO

BALTIMORE is 25-14 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.7)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA SEATTLE at SAN ANTONIO

Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) vs. division opponents, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival
98-51 since 1997. ( 65.8% 41.9 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

WNBA SEATTLE at SAN ANTONIO

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN ANTONIO) in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (>=76 PPG), after a blowout loss by 20 points or more
44-16 since 1997. ( 73.3% 0.0 units )

WNBA WASHINGTON at PHOENIX

Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season, after allowing 80 points or more
196-116 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.8% 68.4 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Reds -135

50* Yankees -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5Lines

Total Line for 06/21/2013
(Lost last 3 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - New York Mets : o7.5
Cost: -110

Run Line for 06/21/2013
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Los Angeles Dodgers : -1.5
Cost: -101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Run Line Mismatch
300♦ Blowout Winner
4-Run Shellacking
Washington Nationals RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

pod blue jays under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs - ASTROS TO WIN (+164) **EARLY GAME**
Listed Pitchers: Keuchel vs Garza
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.28 units)

The Astros are coming off of two straight series wins vs the White Sox and Brewers (5-2 over that span) which includes a 7-4 victory last night. They are just 28-46 on the season and 13-21 on the road, but will be facing one of the National League's worst teams in the Cubs who are 29-42 and 15-21 at home. Chicago is coming off a 7 game road trip where they managed to win the first two in New York against the Mets, but lost 4 of the last 5 to go 3-4 on the road trip. Over their last 5 games they've scored just 11 runs. Tonight's starter for Houston is Dallas Keuchel who is 4-3 on the year with a 4.23 ERA, .285 OBA and 1.45 WHIP. On the road he is 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA and in June he is 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA. Matt Garza will be on the rubber for Chicago and he is 1-1 with a 4.98 ERA over 6 starts. He has had two starts at home going 1-1 with a 8.25 ERA over those starts, and over 3 June starts he is 0-1 with a 8.10 ERA (although he is coming off 7 innings of shutout ball in New York). Take note that the Cubs are hitting just .232 against lefties as a team this season (22nd) and overall in June they are 30th with a team .203 batting average. Also note that the Astros are 5-2 in Keuchel's last 7 starts and 5-2 in his last 7 as an underdog. The Cubs are just 2-7 in their last 9 home games, 6-13 in Garza's last 19 starts overall, and 3-7 in Garza's last 10 vs a team with a losing record. Going against a lefty the Cubs shouldn't be favored by this much. I'll hop on the big afternoon underdog today.

2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - YANKEES TO WIN (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Hernandez vs Phelps
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)

The Rays took the first of this series 8-3 last night which makes them 38-35 on the season and 17-19 on the road. The Yankees are 39-33 on the year and 20-15 at home despite some recent struggles. Tonight's pitching match up favors the Yankees big time in my opinion. The Rays have Roberto Hernandez going who is 4-7 on the year with a 5.02 ERA, .278 OBA and 1.38 WHIP. He is 1-4 on the road this year with 5.82 ERA and .298 OBA. He has three career starts at Yankee Stadium and over those starts his ERA is 7.88. Also note that over his las three starts he is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA. The Yankees roughed up Hernandez in Tampa Bay for 5 earned runs over just 4 innings of work. On the other hand we have David Phelps on the mound for New York who is 4-4 with a 4.08 ERA, .244 OBA and 1.32 WHIP. He is 3-2 with a 4.15 ERA at home this year, which is nothing special but he held a 2.83 ERA at home last season over 16 appearances (7 starts). Over his last 3 starts he is 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA. He faced Hernandez in Tampa Bay and gave up 4 earned runs over 7.2 innings of work, and those runs all came after the Yankees were up 8-0 meaning he was probably trying to throw a lot of strikes. The Yankees won that game 9-4. Tampa Bay is 0-4 in Hernandez' last 4 as a road underdog, and just 2-6 in their last 8 following a win. The Yankees are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 6-1 in Phelps' last 7 home starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs divisional opponents. Overall the Yankees are 9-3 in his last 12 starts and he always seems to give the Yankees a chance to win. Take New York tonight to bounce back from a loss last night at a good price.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

5* (MLB) NY Yankees ML -114

3* (MLB) Chicago Whitesox ML +130
3* (MLB) A's/Mariners OVER 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY

WNBA

5-Unit play Take #602 San Antonio -5-5 vs. Seattle (8pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Totals

Free Plays

Mets +167

Twins +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's American League betting cheat sheet and notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's action in the American League:

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians (-121, 9)

Hot pitcher: Twins closer Glen Perkins has converted his last eight save opportunities and has given up one hit in his last eight inning pitched.

Cold pitcher: Indians starter Scott Kazmir gave up five earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings in his last outing. The Tribe have lost four of his last five starts.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-70s and sunny skies. Winds will from right field to left field at four mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Cleveland.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-116, 9)

Hot pitcher: After a rough May where he blew four saves, Rays closer Fernando Rodney has converted all three of his save chances in June.

Cold pitcher: Yankees reliever Joba Chamberlain has given up three home runs in his last 4 2/3 innings pitched.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s. Winds blowing from right field to left field at nine mph.

Key betting stat: The Yankees are 0-4 in their last four games with umpire Greg Gibson behind home plate.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-123, 9)

Hot pitcher: Jays reliever Brett Cecil has not allowed a run since May 10. In that time, his ERA has dropped from 2.79 to 1.46.

Cold pitcher: Orioles starter Jason Hammel has an ERA of 6.32 in his last three starts. The Orioles have lost all three.

Weather: Retractable roof

Key betting stat: The Blue Jays have won eight straight games.

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers (-138, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Red Sox reliever Koji Uehara has surrendered just three hits in nine innings of work in the month of June.

Cold pitcher: Red Sox starter Jon Lester has lost his last four decisions.

Weather: Mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the low-80s. Wind will blow in from center field at nine mph.

Key betting stat: The Tigers are 9-2 in Fister's last 11 starts as a home favorite.

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals (-139, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: White Sox reliever Jesse Crain set the club record with his 28th consecutive appearance without allowing a run Thursday.

Cold pitcher: White Sox closer Addison Reed has an ERA of 7.00 and one blown save in June.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low-90s. Wind will blow out to left field at 16 mph.

Key betting stat: The White Sox are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings.



Oakland A's at Seattle Mariners (-106, 6.5)

Hot pitcher: A's starter Bartolo Colon has won six straight starts and has an ERA of 1.04 in that stretch.

Cold pitcher: Mariners reliever Carter Capps has given up eight earned runs in his last three appearances.

Weather: Retractable roof

Key betting stat: The A's are 10-1 in Colon's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Interleague

Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Angels (-156, 7.5)

Hot pitcher: Pirates reliever Mark Melancon leads the majors in holds with 22 holds.

Cold pitcher: Angels starter Jered Weaver has an ERA of 6.94 and is 0-2 in his last two starts.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the low-70s. Winds blowing out to right field at six mph.

Key betting stat: The Pirates are 8-31 in their last 39 vs. American League West.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's National League betting cheat sheet and notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's action in the National League:

Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals (-190, 7)

Hot pitcher: Rockies lefty specialist Rex Brothers has 30 straight scoreless outings (27 2/3 IP) since April 10 at San Francisco. His 0.29 ERA is the lowest in the bigs among relievers with at least 20 appearances.

Cold pitcher: Despite an excellent 2.50 ERA, the Nats are just 5-8 in Strasburg's starts this year.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the high-70s. Wind will blow from right to left at seven mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-167, 7.5)

Hot pitcher: Cole Hamels has pitched well after a horrific start to the season. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 2.70 in his last three starts.

Cold pitcher: Mets closer Bobby Parnell has two losses and a blown save in his last seven appearances.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and winds blowing out to left field at seven mph.

Key betting stat: The Mets are 1-11 in Jeremy Hefner's last 12 starts as an underdog.

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers (+119, 8.5)

Hot pitcher: Braves closer Craig Kimbrel has converted his last 10 save opportunities. Since May 7, his last blown save, his ERA has dropped from 3.38 to 1.65.

Cold pitcher: The Brewers are 0-3 in Wily Peralta's last three starts and 1-8 in his last nine outings.

Weather: Retractable roof.

Key betting stat: The under is 6-1 in Braves starter Julio Teheran's last seven starts overall.

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks (+112, 8)

Hot pitcher: Reds starter Johnny Cueto is unbeaten in 10 starts going back to last year and has held opponents to one run or less in five of his seven outings this year.

Cold pitcher: Diamondbacks starter Wade Miley is 1-5 with a 6.47 ERA in his last seven starts.

Weather: Retractable roof.

Key betting stat: The Reds are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (+139, 6.5)

Hot pitcher: Dodgers reliever Kenley Jansen is third in the NL in holds and has an ERA of 1.08 in June.

Cold pitcher: Padres starter Clayton Richard has surrendered at least four earned runs in each of his previous six starts.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. Wind will blow out to center field at four mph.

Key betting stat: The Padres are 4-17 in their last 21 games with Tim McClelland behind home plate.

Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants (-158, 7)

Hot pitcher: Marlins reliever Dan Jennings has an ERA of 1.00 in his last eight appearances.

Cold pitcher: Giants starter Tim Lincecum is 1-5 in his last six outings.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. Winds will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 10-2-1 in umpire Tim Timmons' last 13 games behind home plate. Total is seven Friday.

Interleague

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs (-173, 9)

Hot pitcher: Cubs starter Matt Garza threw seven innings of three-hit ball last time out against the New York Mets, but he didn't get the win because closer Carlos Marmol failed to hold a 3-0 lead in the ninth.

Cold pitcher: Cubs relief pitcher Shawn Camp has two blown saves in his last seven appearances.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of rain. Temperatures will be in the high-80s and wind will blow from right field to left field at eight mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings at Wrigley Field in Chicago.

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-104, 8)

Hot pitcher: Cardinals closer Edward Mujica has yet to record a blown save this season.

Cold pitcher: Rangers starter Derek Holland has give up four earned runs in back-to-back starts.

Weather: A 30 percent chance ot thunderstorms with temperatures in the low-90s. Wind will blow out to left field at eight mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 interleague home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee had Np on Thursday.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Tigers -$135/Red Sox.

"Mr Chalk" is 43-25 +$790 for the 2013 MLB Season.


Last post for the 2013 NBA Season and Congratulations to the 2013 NBA Champion Miami Heat.

Ben lee finished 20-16 +$235 for the 2013 NBA Playoffs.


Ben lee has Np for Friday.

Ben lee is 3-1 +$200 for the 2013 NHL Stanley Cup Finals and 19-6 +$1110 for the 2013 NHL Playoffs.

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AL West: A whacky division of polar over/under records

The American League West has been a tough division for MLB totals bettors to wrangle this year.

It boasts the top two over plays in the majors, with the Los Angeles Angels (42-30-1 over/under) and Oakland Athletics (40-34-1 over/under) consistently topping totals, and is also home to the best under bet in the bigs, the Texas Rangers, who have been kind to under bettors with a 26-43-4 over/under mark.

How about when these over teams collide with the low-scoring Rangers?

Los Angeles and Texas have played each other six times this season, combing for an over/under mark of 5-1. The A’s and Rangers, who are currently wrapping a four-game set in Arlington, have produced a break-even 4-4-1 over/under count in their first nine head-to-head contests this season.

In fact, Texas is leaning more to the over against divisional foes, posting a 15-14-3 over/under record against AL West opponents. Oakland is 22-12-1 over/under versus clubs for the AL West and L.A. is 20-12 over/under during divisional play.

Stats as of June 21, 2013.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland -105 (moneyline)

The Seattle Mariners looked to be on cruise control last night, opening a 7-0 lead against the struggling Angels with Felix Hernandez on the mound. Everything fell apart, and they ended up on the short side of a 10-9 loss, which came on the heels of another heartbreaking 1-0 loss in their previous game. This is a young team that has to have the steam taken out of them, and must come back against a very good Oakland team that has posted a winning road record and stands 11 games over .500. The A's seldom play down to losing teams, in fact they have done just the opposite - they have thrived against them at 42-12 in their last 54. Colon has been a big part of that at 10-1 in his last 11 vs. a losing club. Play on Oakland.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Washington at Phoenix (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Phoenix -8.5 (-110)

By record alone, Phoenix does not look to be a much improved team over a year ago at 3-4, but the schedule has something to say about that. They have a healthy Diana Turasi who is doing her thing, and sits atop the scoring leader board at 23.7points per game. They also have an enforcer inside with Brittney Griner who has made her presence felt, leading the league in blocked shots with 2.75 per contest. Washington is also an improved team at 4-2 on the season, but has yet to have a tough game on the road. The Mystics have been a dreadful 11-30-1 ATS in their last 42 on a pair of days rest, and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 encounters with the West. Lay the points and play this one on Phoenix.

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Teddy Covers

10* Astros

10* Tigers

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LA Syndicate
Friday Top Plays
Reds/Diamondbacks Under 8
Giants
Mariners

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Goodfella

Friday Night MLB Team Total

DETROIT TIGERS OVER 4.5 RUNS (-105 @sportsbook.ag)

Detroit absolutely hammers left handed pitching (2nd in .OPS & AVG in the American League). These Tigers also love hitting the baseball at their home park. They are 1st in MLB in AVG. & .OPS at HOME. Boston SP Lester has not had command of his pitches at all of late, and these Tigers are good at working the count and have excellent overall team discipline at the plate. Boston also having issues at the "back end" of that bullpen with Bailey being poor of late, as Bailey has lost some "zip" on his heater for sure. Not a bad weather pattern tonight, either temps in low 80's at game time and no rain in the forecast. Simply passing along/sharing a strong MLB Team Total for those that want to play along with us.

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Ocal Sports
4-1 this week

(3) Reds -113

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Chicago Syndicate
Friday Top Plays
White Sox/Royals Over 8.5
Tigers/Red Sox Over 8.5
Rockies/Nationals Under 7
Reds/Diamondbacks Under 8

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Goodfella

3 Dime GOM Detroit ML

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Donald Wyse
6/21/13

New York at Philadelphia
[June Game of the Month - Philadelphia Phillies -1.80]

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DannyB

Mets/Phillies over 7.5 runs.

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INTPICKS

All 1 unit

MLB

7:05 PM ET

Tampa Bay @ New York Yankees

Take NY Yankees Money Line -125

10:10 PM ET

Oakland @ Seattle

Take Seattle Money Line -110

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roxxy wnba

WASHINGTON MYSTICS +8.5
SEATTLE STORM +6
LOS ANGELES SPARKS -3.5

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Larry Ness

10* Reds

legend play Seattle

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Right Angle Sports

Friday WNBA: 604 Phoenix -7.5

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JOE GAVAZZI

Baltimore (Hamel) at Toronto (Dickey) (-125) 7:05 ET
5* Toronto (Dickey) (-125)
This is a battle of two excellent hitting teams with 2 mediocre starters. But we have been riding the Blue Jays 8 game winning streak and will not stop now that they have the opportunity to get to the .500 mark tonight. In the last 7 games, Toronto starters have a 1.18 ERA. And the bullpen has not allowed an earned run in 24 IP. Even the underachieving Dickey got into the act when he allowed just 1 run in 5 2/3 IP of a 6-1 victory vs. Texas in his last outing. Hamel profited from prodigious run support for the Baltimore bats in the early part of the season. But in his last 3 starts, that rubber band has snapped. Hamel has gone 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA. In a trio of starts vs. the Jays, Hamel has a 5.40 ERA. Let’s ride the Toronto winning streak one more night.

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Bill Marzano

Braves -129

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Don Best Consensus

Red Sox at Tigers
Pick: Under

The under is 8-0-1 in Boston's last 9 overall, and the under is 7-0-1 in Boston's last 8 on grass. The under is 9-2 in Detroit's last 11 overall. The Tigers are starting RHP Doug Fister, and the under is 3-0 in Fister's last 3 starts. Play Boston-Detroit under.

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SPORTS WAGERS

Miami +146 over SAN FRANCISCO

Tim Lincecum is high on our fade list because his skills are going from bad to worse and it’s not suddenly either. Lincecum had an ugly 2012 and was even relegated to bullpen duty last year for a stretch. The Giants had hoped it was just a slump that he would get through but it’s not. It’s what we call “dead arm syndrome”. In Lincecum’s last start against Atlanta, he walked five batters while striking out just three in six innings. Over his last five starts, Lincecum has walked 14 batters over 29 frames and his WHIP has climbed over the dreaded 1.50 mark to 1.52. His fastball velocity is decreasing with every passing month and it now barely cracks 90 MPH. Combine that with Lincecum’s lack of movement on all of his pitches (he’s shown the least aggregate movement on his pitches in 2013 among NL SP), and it makes him very hittable indeed. Lincecum is being priced in the same range as #2 and #3 starters when in fact, he’s now barely a #5 starter and if the Giants had more healthy bodies he would be back in the pen, which is where he will end up before this season is over. Tim Lincecum has lost it.

Ricky Nolasco is coming on with six outstanding efforts in his last eight games started. Over that eight game stretch he’s only been taken yard three times and has allowed just one earned run in four of those eight games. Nolasco’s velocity has increased from April to now and his swinging strike rate surged from 5.4% to 11.9%. His current 3.61 ERA is fully supported by his 3.72 xERA. The Marlins are also playing much better. The Fish took the opener last night, they’ve now won 10 of their past 19 games and they figure to do at least some damage against Lincecum. We get the much better pitcher in five innings with a big tag and regardless of outcome, that’s rarely a bad choice.

Minnesota +112 over CLEVELAND

Scott Kazmir was a high risk/high reward experiment for the Indians and while he’s looked good at times, there are too many negative, glaring issues in his skill set to trust. Kazmir has been taken yard five times over his last 14.2 innings. He’s also walked eight batters over that stretch and the Indians have lost four of his last five starts including the last three. Kazmir’s line-drive rate over his last five starts is 33%, suggesting he’s fooling nobody. He also has the same 33% fly-ball and groundball rates over that span. The Twins are above .500 against lefties and they’re also swinging some pretty hot bats right now with 22 runs scored over their past three games, all wins at pitcher friendly Target Field. Over its last five games, Minnesota is hitting .324 with nine jacks and 30 runs scored. That’s tops in the majors in all three of those categories. The Twinkies have a great chance to do more damage against a fragile Scott Kazmir.

On May 24, Sam Deduno opened his season against Detroit with six runs allowed in five innings before getting the hook. In four starts since then, Deduno has allowed two runs or fewer in each. Deduno is a bit wild but he has some of the nastiest nasty stuff in the business. Hitters never seem to be quite comfortable in the box against him either because of his propensity to throw inside. He does walk too many but he’s usually able to pitch out of it because of his elite 62% groundball rate. Deduno comes in with a skills supported 3.26 ERA and if he can cut down on his walks, he could join the ranks of the elite. The Twins bullpen has been outstanding this year with the second best ERA in the majors at 2.84 while the Indians pen is one of the worst with an ERA of 4.42. Cleveland’s imploding pen has 11 saves and 11 blown saves. Now we get a tag on the hottest hitting club in the majors with the better starter and better bullpen. Yeah, that works.

Pittsburgh +148 over L.A. ANGELS

Jered Weaver was a 20-game winner a season ago and while that was going on, we may have been the only outfit anywhere calling this guy a fluke. We’ve mentioned it again this season and our observations have merit. Weavers’s strikeout rate dipped further last season and his command followed (especially in 2H) in which he struck out 6+ batters in five of first six starts, but struck out that many just four more times all year. Weaver’s surface stats the last two years were greatly aided by fortunate hit and strand rate percentages. This season those have normalized, thus the 4.41 ERA. Weaver has done his best to hold off a swift erosion, but he might not be able to avoid it now. His average fastball velocity during the last three seasons: 89.9, 89.1, 87.8 mph. His fastball averaged a soft-tosser-like 87.5 mph in the 2H of 2012. His swinging strike rate during the last three years is also ominous: 11.2%, 9.1%, 8.5%. He has been able to rely on an effective pitch mix and deceptive arm angles to keep hitters from making hard contact, but his margin for error is razor thin now. Weaver’s groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate this year of 32%/21%/47% is right in line with his ugly career rates. Weaver’s misleading and lucky W/L totals (38-13) over the past two years make him one of the most overvalued pitchers in the game.

Gerrit Cole is 2-0 since his call-up from the minors and that’s with an unlucky and low 64% strand rate. Cole was the first overall pick of the 2011 draft out of UCLA, and progressed three levels during 2012, reaching Triple-A Indianapolis by the end of his first full professional season. Cole is #4 on the top prospect list and the top-rated Pirates prospect. This high-ceiling righty with ace potential has a plus-plus fastball, a plus power slider and a good change-up. He will also mix in a curveball occasionally, but rarely needs it with his other offerings. Cole’s fastball is thrown in the 92-96 range and can top out at 100 mph with good movement. Cole can reach back and dial up the velocity late into games. His slider can be thrown anywhere between 81-90 mph in or off the plate, and his ability to throw at different speeds makes the plus pitch even harder to hit. His 2.91 ERA at Triple AAA this season takes into account one poor outing where he surrendered 8 ER and 3 of his 4 HR on the season. Cole throws from 3/4 arm slot, repeats mechanics well from the windup and the majority of the time out of the stretch. The two areas of concern are iffy command at times (particularly out of the stretch) and leaving pitches up in the zone too often. Both of those items can be overcome with his raw stuff. Cole has good makeup on the mound and goes right after hitters, working both sides of the plate. Cole has shown an uncharacteristically low strikeout rate this season, which may be attributed to a concerted effort to gain efficiency with pitch count before his call-up but the quality of each pitch offering is still there. Lots of upside here matched with consistent performance throughout college and 200 minor league innings. Oh, and he pitches for a very good team. Overlay.

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INDIAN COWBOY MLB

4-Unit play Take #957. Take Cincinnati Reds -115 Over Arizona (Friday 9:40 pm est)

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Scott Spreitzer

Detroit

Over Toronto

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SB Professor Late MLB Picks 6/21

974. Seattle Mariners -105
980. Los Angeles Angels -168

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jb pa connection
over nationals

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Rocketman

double dime bet - 957 CIN (-113) vs 958 ARI

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Texas Rangers

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Chuck Edel | MLB ML - Friday, Jun 21 2013 7:05PM
ML 970 CLE -115 vs 969 MIN double-dime bet

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Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB ML - Friday, Jun 21 2013 10:05PM
ML 279 PIT +147 vs 280 ANA double-dime bet

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spartan | MLB ML - Friday, Jun 21 2013 7:05PM
ML 968 DET -135 vs 967 BOS double-dime bet

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Sports Handicapper King

braves
yankees

Freeloader reds

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The Factsman

Cincinnati Reds

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Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

MLB

TORONTO -135 BALTIMORE (7pm)

ATLANTA -129 MILWAUKEE (8pm)

CHICAGO/KC - UNDER 8.5 -110 (8pm)

CINCY/ARIZONA - UNDER 8 -105 (940pm)

WNBA

SEATTLE +5.5 SA (8pm)

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Harry Bondi

MLB Free Play

BOSTON (+125) over Detroit
7:05 p.m. ET
We lost a tough one with the Red Sox last night after Boston closer Andrew Bailey gave up a two-run walk-off homer to Jhonny Peralta in the bottom of the ninth. The good news is that Bailey has been removed from the closer position by the Sox and we are catching good value with Red Sox ace Jon Lester on the hill. Boston has been one of baseball's most resilient teams winning 7 of their last 9 games after a loss. Tigers starter Doug Fister has just one win against Boston in six career starts so let's back the Bo Sox as a nice underdog tonight.

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Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Friday, Jun 21 2013 8:15PM
ML 977 TEX (+105) Bodog vs 978 STL triple-dime bet

Stephen Nover | MLB Total - Friday, Jun 21 2013 10:15PM
961 Mia / 962 SFG OVER 6.5 Bookmaker.com double-dime bet

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Seabass Report for Friday-all 50's:
Yankees
KC
Minnesota

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Sports-Junkie

$500 MLB Play: Arizona ML +102 vs Reds

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Bob Balfe

Atlanta Braves -130

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Scott Landau Friday:

NYM +175
CIN -108

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TMC Sports Advisors

Marlins +135

Baltimore/Toronto Over 9

Mets +1.5 -140

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Ultra Sports MLB

NY Yankees -105 action
Texas +100 action

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the machine

​dodgers f5 ml

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Andre Gomes

MLB Money Line
966 TOR (-117) vs 965 BAL

MLB - 965 Baltimore Orioles @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays
(Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs R. Dickey)
Toronto is now 35-36 on the standings and this comeback has been the result of very good pitching (bullpen included), while their offense has been solid as usual. They will face Jason Hammel, who is on an extra rest spot, but due to illness. Hammel's last starts were against good offenses, but where he showed poor command with 1/2, 3/2 and 0/3 K/BB ratios, while allowing homeruns on every of these outings. Now against a confident Blue Rays' lineup, I expect Toronto to pound him tonight.

R.A. Dickey will start for Toronto tonight and he has been inconsistent with 1, 7, 0, 6, 6, 2, 2, 2 and 7 runs allowed on his last nine starts. Dickey allowed just one run against the Rangers on his last outing last Saturday and he is now on a revenge spot against the Orioles, as he has struggled against Baltimore twice earlier on the season. However, it's important to note that Dickey had 5 days of rest for tonight's game and he has a 3.14 ERA and .581 OPS on this kind of spot, while he has 5.80 ERA and .853 OPS with 4 days of rest. Those two outings against the Orioles were on 4 day rest spots, so this might be the key in here. Anyway, Toronto is now playing much better than they were earlier on the season and so, I expect them to pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ R. Dickey) @ -117

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RICH SPORTS

MLB Friday

1* 969 Min +.5 1st 5 - 120

2.5* 956 Mil - UNDER 8.5

1.5* 957 Cin -105

2* 972 KC - UNDER 8.5

1* 961 Mia +1

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Joe Gavazzi Friday, June 21st

MLB

Baltimore (Hamel) at Toronto (Dickey) (-125) 7:05 ET

3% Toronto (Dickey) (-125)

This is a battle of two excellent hitting teams with 2 mediocre starters. But we have been riding the Blue Jays 8 game winning streak and will not stop now that they have the opportunity to get to the .500 mark tonight. In the last 7 games, Toronto starters have a 1.18 ERA. And the bullpen has not allowed an earned run in 24 IP. Even the underachieving Dickey got into the act when he allowed just 1 run in 5 2/3 IP of a 6-1 victory vs. Texas in his last outing. Hamel profited from prodigious run support for the Baltimore bats in the early part of the season. But in his last 3 starts, that rubber band has snapped. Hamel has gone 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA. In a trio of starts vs. the Jays, Hamel has a 5.40 ERA. Let’s ride the Toronto winning streak one more night.



Atlanta (Teheran) at Milwaukee (Peralta) (-130) 8:10 ET

3% Atlanta (Teheran) (-130)

Not the best situation for Atlanta forcing me to reduce the rating. But there is such a dominant advantage in the starters that we must take advantage. First the bad news: Atlanta is just 13-17 /loss (compared to 29-14/win). Their strength has obviously been at home. They stand just 18-20 away including 6-12 recently and have lost the last 6 appearances at this site by a score of 27-9. That, however, was against a Milwaukee team who is far better than this year’s addition. The Brewers are just 29-42 including 16-20 on their strong home field. They enter tonight on a run of 15-31 including their return from a road trip in which they went 4-5. The pitching matchup is a joke. Peralta has a 6.08 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. On this field, Peralta is 0-3 with a 9.26 ERA. Teheran is a quickly improving young pitcher. In his last 10 starts, Teheran has a 2.42 ERA with 54/9 KBB. We have won with Tehran Sunday night in a 3-0 shutout of the Giants in which he worked 6 IP with an 8/1 KBB. No reason he can’t beat Milwaukee and Peralta even on the road.



Cincinnati (Cueto) (-115) at Arizona (Miley) 9:40 ET

4% Cincinnati (Cueto) (-115)

Despite a 2-2 split vs. the Pirates earlier this week, the Reds 7-4 earlier run is better thant the D Backs 4-7 slide in which they have averaged 2.3 RPG in their last 6. Following a hot start in his last 7 games, Miley has gone 1-5 with a 6.47 ERA. Far prefer the slants of Cueto who showed no ill signs following his 2nd stint on the DL. For the season, Cueto is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 37/13 KBB. In his most recent 3 starts, Cueto has an 0.86 ERA. In 6 appearances vs. Arizona, Cueto is 5-0 with a 1.66 ERA and .143 BAA.



Boston (Lester) at Detroit (Fister) (-135) 7:05 ET

4% Detroit (Fister) (-135)

A 2 run walk off blast by Peralta last night gave Detroit a 4-3 victory in the opening of this weekend set. It lifted the Detroit record to 5-0 in this series at this site. The Red Sox bats have gone a bit cold scoring just 30 total runs and going 4-6 in their last 10. Lester has not been the answer. In his last 6 starts, Lester is 0-4 with a 7.20 ERA. In 10 starts on the road, Lester has a 5.25 ERA. In addition, 5 recent starts vs. Detroit have seen Lester go 0-2 with a 4.78 ERA. Far prefer the more consistent Fister who has a 3.21 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 76/14 KBB and comes off a start in which he allowed just 2 runs on 2 hits in 8 2/3 IP of a 5-2 Minnesota win.



Houston (Kauchel) at Chicago Cubs (Garza) (-175) 2:10 ET

4% Houston (Kauchel)

When Pena plouted a 3 run homer in the 10th for a 7-4 victory vs. Milwaukee last night, it lifted the recent Houston record to 13-9 and 6-2. Kauchel has been part of the reason for the upturn. In his last 4 starts, Kauchel is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA. In a trio of road starts, Kauchel has a 2.66 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 15/4 KBB. Clearly the Cubs do not deserve this level of favoritism. The Cubs enter this afternoon on slides of 6-12, 1-4 and 2-7 at home. In a pair of home starts this season, Garza has an 8.25 ERA. That is bad news when you are backed up by a bullpen whose index is 117, among the worst in MLB. In 6 starts vs. Houston, Garza has a 4.46 ERA.



Pittsburgh (Cole) at LA Angels (Weaver) (-155) 10:05 ET

3% Pittsburgh (Cole) (+145)

LAA came from 7 down vs. King Felix to beat us last night 10-9 for their 6th win in 8 starts. But this line is based on perception rather than reality. That reality includes a 33-40 record for the Angels who send Weaver to the mound with a record of 1-3 and 4.41 ERA. In his first 2 starts off the DL (broken elbow), Weaver looked solid. But he has busted in his last 2 outings allowing 9 runs in 11 2/3 IP. Following a split with the Reds, Pittsburgh enters on an 8-5 run, 43-30 for the season. IN his 1st 2 MLB starts, Cole showed command, control and poise well beyond his 22 years. Now, he returns to his home town for his first road start. In a pair of home outings, Cole allowed 5 runs on 14 hits in 12 IP with a 3/0 KBB. Play the Pirates as big dog at a value price.

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Dave Essler

2* Arizona