7-10-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB teams helped and hurt by the All-Star break
By JASON LOGAN

The All-Star break is a double-edged sword for MLB clubs, giving struggling teams a chance to regroup and acting as a rather large speed bump for those on a roll.

Here are three teams who could be hurt by the break and three which could benefit the most from some time off:

Hurt by the break

Tampa Bay Rays (50-40, +2.36 units)

Tampa Bay is finally gaining ground in the AL East, winning five straight and nine of its last 10 games heading into Tuesday. The Rays have benefited from some weak competition, facing the Astros, White Sox, and Twins in their final 14 games before the break. They hit the road for a 10-game divisional tour after the holiday, at Toronto, Boston and New York.

Oakland Athletics (53-37, +13.67 units)

The A’s normally wait until well after the All-Star break to really get rolling. But this year, Oakland started hot and leads the AL West by half a game heading into Tuesday. It’s won seven of its last 10 games, knocking off the Cubs, Royals and Pirates and closes with a three-game home set vs. Boston before the break. A six-game road trip awaits following the All-Star Game.

Los Angeles Dodgers (43-45, -10.83 units)

The Dodgers have come back from the dead in recent weeks, thanks to the hot-hitting of rookie Yasiel Puig and the return of Hanley Ramirez. Los Angeles has won seven of its last nine and has climbed to second in the NL West. While the downtime does allow Matt Kemp more time to heal from a shoulder ailment it’s a huge momentum stopper, with a six-game eastern road trip on deck after the break.

Helped by the break

San Francisco Giants (40-48, -13.99 units)

My how the mighty have fallen. The defending World Series champs are counting the days to the All-Star break after picking up just three wins in their last 17 games, sinking to the bottom of the NL West and the MLB money rankings. San Francisco closes out the first half of the sked on the road against the Padres. The break will allow the Giants to heal up and clear their heads before another strong second-half run.

Pittsburgh Pirates (53-35, +23.02 units)

Bettors were waiting for the other shoe to drop when it came to the Bucs’ hot 2013. The Pirates have lost three in a row and are just 5-5 in their last 10 games heading into Tuesday, watching the Cardinals jump them in the NL Central standings. Pittsburgh opens the post-break slate with a 10-game road swing to Cincinnati, Washington and Miami.

Toronto Blue Jays (43-45, -1.47 units)

The Jays are looking forward to a fresh start after the break. The first chunk of 2013 was up and down and leaves them at the bottom of the AL East. However, this team saw how good it could be with an 11-game winning streak and the break should help rush some key bats and pitchers back into action for a post-ASG push. Toronto can gain ground with a 10-game home stand following the hiatus.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rays Tuesday and likes the Giants Wednesday.

The deficit is 796 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Turner is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Leake is 2-1, 3.03 in his last five starts.
-- Lee is 8-0, 2.50 in his last twelve starts. Gonzalez is 3-0, 2.30 in his last seven starts.
-- Ryu is 1-0, 2.21 in his last three starts. Skaggs is 2-1, 2.37 in his three home starts.
-- de la Rosa is 1-1, 2.22 in his last four starts.

-- Wilson is 5-1, 3.11 in his last six starts.
-- Liriano is 3-0, 1.66 in his last three starts.

-- Porcello is 1-1, 2.07 in his last couple starts.
-- Nova is 1-1, 2.87 in his last two starts.
-- Hellickson is 4-0, 1.38 in his last four starts.
-- Doubront is 2-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Maholm is 2-3, 5.34 in his last five starts.
-- Hellweg allowed 14 runs in 5.1 IP in his two starts.
-- Former Giant farnmhand Wheeler is 1-1, 7.20 in his last three starts. Cain is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Cashner is 0-1, 4.76 in his last four starts.

-- Samardzija is 1-1, 4.95 in his last three starts.
-- Milone is 2-2, 5.52 in his last five starts.
-- Miller is 1-1, 7.43 in his last three starts. Lyles is 0-2, 8.04 in his last three outings.

-- Lindblom is 0-2, 5.40 in four starts, all at home. Chen is 3-3, 3.04 in his eight starts, but this is his first start since May 12 (oblique).
-- Royals lost last three Davis starts (0-2, 6.60).
-- Correia is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-1, 9.27 in his last five starts.
-- Rogers is 0-2, 5.82 in his last three starts. Masterson is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Harang is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Maholm 5-18; Turner 1-7
-- Leake 3-17; Hellweg 1-2
-- Wheeler 2-4; Cain 6-18
-- Gonzalez 5-18; Lee 2-18
-- Ryu 5-17; Skaggs 2-4
-- de la Rosa 4-18; Cashner 5-14

-- Milone 6-18; Liriano 2-11
-- Wilson 4-18; Samardzija 5-18
-- Lyles 5-13; Miler 5-17

-- Lindblom 1-4; Chen 2-8
-- Davis 5-17; Nova 3-6
-- Axelrod 5-17; Porcello 3-16
-- Rogers 2-7; Masterson 3-19
-- Correia 6-17; Hellickson 7-18 (0 of last 8)
-- Doubront 4-15; Harang 5-14

Totals
-- Eight of last twelve Philly games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Last four Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Colorado games stayed under.
-- Nine of last twelve San Francisco games stayed under; eight of Mets' last ten games went over.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Oakland games.
-- Under is 3-0-2 in Angels' last five road games.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over the total.

-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Baltimore games; five of last six Texas games went over.
-- Seven of last ten White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Bronx games.
-- Ten of last twelve Toronto road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Boston games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won five of their last six games; Nationals won four of six.
-- Braves won three of their last four games.
-- Brewers won three of their last four games.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven games. Dodgers won eight of last ten.
-- Mets won 11 of their last 15 road games.

-- A's won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Angels won 10 of their last 13 games. Cubs won seven of their last ten.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games.

-- Rangers won five of their last six games.
-- Tigers won six of their last eight games.
-- Bronx won six of its last nine games, but lost last two. Kansas City won five of its last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won ten of its last eleven games.
-- Mariners are 5-3 in their last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Miami lost its last five games, scoring a total of 12 runs.
-- Reds lost six of their last seven road games.
-- San Diego 10 of its last 11 games. Colorado lost seven of its last nine.
-- Giants lost 13 of their last 15 games.

-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last eleven games.

-- Orioles lost five of their last six games.
-- White Sox lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Indians/Toronto both lost five of their last seven games.
-- Twins lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Boston lost three of its last four runs, allowing 28 runs.

Umpires
-- Atl-Mia-- Under is 7-4-1 in last twelve Knight games.
-- Cin-Mil-- Six of last seven Everitt games went over total.
-- NY-SF-- Four of last five Tichenor games went over total.
-- Wsh-Phil-- Over is 9-3 in last 12 Cederstrom games; underdogs won six of his last seven games.
-- LA-Az-- First MLB game behind plate for HGibson
-- Col-SD-- Four of last five Kulpa games stayed under total.

-- A's-Pitt-- Six of last nine Marquez games went over total.
-- LAA-Chi-- Six of last seven Holbrook games stayed under.
-- Hst-StL-- Five of last seven Diaz games stayed under; underdogs won five of last six games behind plate.

-- Tex-Blt-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen BWelke games.
-- KC-NY-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Nauert games.
-- Chi-Det-- This is Little's second MLB game behind plate (first one 7-3).
-- Tor-Clev-- Five of last six Gonzalez games went over total.
-- Min-TB-- Five of last six Porter games went over total.
-- Bos-Sea-- Underdogs won last five Blaser games (4 of last 5 over).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

K1 Sports

Wednesday's MLB Plays:
5 Unit Play - Atlanta Braves -140
5 Unit Play - LA Angels -130
5 Unit Play - LA Dodgers -110
5 Unit Play - Cincinnati Reds -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers -108 over Arizona Dbacks
(System Record: 48-6, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 48-53-1

Soccer Crusher
France U20 + Ghana U20 OVER 2.5
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 424-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 424-365-56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Colorado at San Diego

The Rockies look to bounce back from last night's 2-1 loss and build on their 6-0 record in Jorge De La Rosa's last 6 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Colorado is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 10
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Atlanta at Miami (12:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 16.546; Miami (Turner) 15.109
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under


Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 14.421; Milwaukee (Hellweg) 15.668
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+155); Over


Game 905-906: NY Mets at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 14.221; San Francisco (Cain) 15.477
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-170); Under


Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.090; Philadelphia (Lee) 14.945
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Over


Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.811; Arizona (Skaggs) 14.492
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Over


Game 911-912: Colorado at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.167; San Diego (Cashner) 13.089
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Under


Game 913-914: Texas at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lindblom) 15.487; Baltimore (Chen) 14.251
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 915-916: Kansas City at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davis) 14.873; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.687
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Over


Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.158; Detroit (Porcello) 16.434
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Under


Game 919-920: Toronto at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 15.635; Cleveland (Masterson) 14.497
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Over


Game 921-922: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 13.671; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.483
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Over


Game 923-924: Boston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 14.802; Seattle (Harang) 15.789
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+115); Under


Game 925-926: Oakland at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 15.204; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.270
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Under


Game 927-928: LA Angels at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.627; Cubs (Samardzija) 16.323
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+115); N/A


Game 929-930: Houston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 13.597; St. Louis (Miller) 16.264
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-250); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-250); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

San Antonio at Phoenix

The Mercury look to take advantage of a San Antonio team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Western Conference opponents. Phoenix is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-12 1/2). Here are all of today's picks


WEDNESDAY, JULY 10
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Washington at Chicago (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 108.887; Chicago 115.373
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9 1/2; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9 1/2); Over


Game 603-604: San Antonio at Phoenix (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 102.484; Phoenix 117.005
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 14 1/2; 164
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 12 1/2; 167 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-12 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Braves(RL) -1.5(+120)
Angels -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1059-794 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner WED Cinci -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Pirates -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Wednesday St.Louis/Houston Under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SuperSportsGroup MLB - 7/10

NY v. San Fran 3:45pm
PICK: OVER 7 Game -110

Washington v. Philadelphia 7:05pm
PICK: Nats ML +120 Game

Houston v. St Louis 8:15pm
PICK: OVER 8 Game +100

Colorado v. San Diego 10:10pm
PICK: OVER 7 Game

3 Team Parlay for
Cubs ML +115 Game
A's ML +120 Game
Rockies ML +120 Game +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB HOUSTON at ST LOUIS

Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (HOUSTON) where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent good fielding team - turning 1.1 or more DP's/game on the season.
73-12 since 1997. ( 85.9% 42.9 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -5.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB KANSAS CITY at NY YANKEES

NY YANKEES are 14-4 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against AL Central opponents this season.

The average score was: NY YANKEES (6.2) , OPPONENT (3.6)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

pod phillies over 7

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
1* Reds -1.5. 105/100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA SAN ANTONIO at PHOENIX

Play On - Any team (PHOENIX) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games
40-15 since 1997. ( 72.7% 23.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

WNBA WASHINGTON at CHICAGO

Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, in July games
128-106 since 1997. ( 54.7% 0.0 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% 0.0 units )

WNBA SAN ANTONIO at PHOENIX

Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (SAN ANTONIO) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=44% on the season, after a game - shooting 37% or lower, allowing 48% or higher
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% 23.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

200 Brewers +155

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betting line moves

washington/chicago over 157

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CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB DIAMOND DOMINATOR

NY Mets vs. San Francisco
Money Line: San Francisco-187

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Paul Leiner

100* Yanks -140

50* Reds / Brewers Over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Today, Mr. Aitch will put his financial fate in the right arm of Edward Snowden’s favorite pitcher — Leake. on the Reds to brew up a winner in Milwaukee.

Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Braves
Betting $615 to win $500

(5 UNITS)Wsh/Phi - UNDER 7.5
Betting $550 to win $500

(5 UNITS) LAD/Ari - UNDER 9
Betting $575 to win $500

(5 UNITS) Red Sox
Betting $620 to win $500

(3 UNITS) Pirates
Betting $408 to win $300

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Ben Burns

*10* MLB ESPN MAIN EVENT!
Pirates ML

*10* MLB Personal Favorite!
Padres ML

A.L. Personal Favorite!
Yankees ML

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cashmyticket365

ASTROS OVER 8

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Kyle Hunter

4* LA Dodgers ML
3* Colorado/SD Padres Under 7
3* Tampa Bay -1.5
3* Reds/Brewers Under 9

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SportsWagers 7/10

Today's Free Picks for Jul 10, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngCincinnati @ MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE +150 over Cincinnati

2:10 PM EST. Pitching match-up favors the Reds but Cincinnati is struggling so badly at the plate right now that they are a great fade at this ridiculous price. The Reds have scored three runs combined in the first two games of this set. They’ve scored three runs or less in six of their past seven games against the following starters: Wily Peralta, Kyle Lohse, Joe Saunders, Aaron Harang, Barry Zito and Tim Lincecum. The price today on them is so high because they’re facing a rookie starter that has surrendered 15 hits and 16 runs in 6.1 innings. Johnny Hellweg has also walked eight batters while striking out just two. However, prior to his call-up, the 6-foot-9 Hellweg turned in five consecutive quality starts at Triple-AAA Reno, going 5-0 with a 0.82 ERA over that span. In 33 innings, he allowed only 22 hits, with 11 walks and 17 strikeouts. Obviously, the problem with Hellweg is a lack of control but a pressing team often helps out pitchers by swinging at strikes out of the zone. The fact that the Brewers are giving him another shot suggests they like what they see in this hard-throwing right-hander, otherwise he would be back down in the minors.
Mike Leake had a string of nine strong starts snapped in his last game when the Mariners got to him for two bombs and four runs in five innings. Leake last faced the Brewers back in 2011 when he posted a 4.91 ERA in three starts against them that season. Leake has a relatively stable skill set, yes, but disaster starts % shows how erratic he can be and was in 2012. Leake has solid command and his groundball % is also decent but he'll never be close to elite and he is too risky to be spotting a tag like this one, especially with his team struggling to hit and being on the road. Price has influence.


Our Pick
MILWAUKEE +150 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.00)

**




http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngAtlanta @ MIAMI
MIAMI +130 over Atlanta

12:40 PM EST. In his first three starts of the year, Paul Maholm’s ERA after 20.1 innings was 0.00. His ERA after 18 starts heading into today’s game is 3.81. Maholm has been around since 2005. He’s never dominated and he’s become one of those classic, soft-tossing lefties with more guile than talent. Maholm’s WHIP over the past 31 days, covering five starts is 1.55. His ERA over that span is 4.75 and his line-drive rate over that same stretch is a troubling 26%. Maholm has solid command and an elite 51% groundball rate but he’s showing signs of fatigue with seven jacks allowed in his past seven starts and declining numbers right across the board. He remains as hittable as his career BAA of .272 says he is.
With seven starts in 2013 under his belt, Jacob Turner is looking like a former first-round pick (with DET) that was a key to Anibal Sanchez trade last summer. Turner is coming off a shaky early few innings in his last start but that was against the Cardinals and after allowing four runs in the first three frames, he did not allow another one after that. It was the first time all year that Turner has given up more than three runs in an outing. Turner has kept his base skills consistent in his first 100 innings or so of major league action. Strikeouts are a little light, but he’s shown very good control. A second positive is groundball%, which has improved in 2013 and will work in any stadium. This kid is just 22 years old and is confidence is building with each start. He’s learning to trust his stuff and that’s a huge step in the progress of any young pitcher with this much talent. We’ve been saying it for over a month now that Turner is a pitcher with nasty stuff that should be on your radar. As long as he keeps being offered prices in this range, especially at home where he is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA, we’ll continue to back him and certainly make no exceptions here.


Our Pick
MIAMI +130 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)

**




http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngMinnesota @ TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY -1½ +116 over Minnesota

The Twins are a frustrated bunch. You could see it on their faces last night, as they sat in the dugout after the Rays hung a four on them in the fourth inning to put them in a 4-0 hole. Game after game, the opposition continues to put up a crooked number in single innings and often it occurs more than once in a game. The Twinkies have lost three in a row and nine of 10 and here are some of those scores: 9-8, 9-3, 10-4, 7-3, 9-5, 11-5, 7-4 and 4-1 last night. Minnesota does not have one starter that would even be a #4 starter on a contending team and its rotation may very well be the worst in the history of MLB. How frustrating it must be for these Twins’ hitters knowing they have to put up eight runs or more to win. It’s Kevin Corriea’s turn to get whacked and here’s his story: Journeyman starting pitcher for the Pirates last year, with a strikeout rate barely higher than his xERA moans about being replaced with his team 15 games over .500 in July for the first time in eons. Good karma is ruined, chaos ensues, team limps to a 21-40 finish and this below average starter escapes into free agency. Correia has 56 K’s in 105 innings to go along with a 1.38 WHIP. His WHIP over his past six starts is 1.53 and his BAA on the year is .297. Correia is a stiff and the bullpen coming in after him is running on fumes right now.
With a bloated 4.67 ERA, Jeremy Hellickson remains the most undervalued of all the Rays pitchers and one of the most undervalued in the game. Hellickson’s 6.69 ERA in six May starts has his ERA skewed the wrong way and that’s something we can take advantage of. In May, Hellickson was crushed by an unlucky 52% strand rate. His skills in May were near identical to his skills in June is which he went 5-1 with a 3.53 ERA. On the year, Hellickson is still being affected by low 64% strand rate and as that regresses to normal levels, his ERA will drop even more. Hellickson is in for a big second half. He’s striking out more and walking less, his groundball rate is trending in the right direction and is now up to 47%, his WHIP is getting close to an elite level and he should have little trouble thriving here against this frustrated guest.

Our Pick
TAMPA BAY -1½ +116 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.32)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

MLB

CINCY -163 MILWAUKEE (2pm)

LAA -117 CHICAGO (8pm)

COLORADO +135 SD (10pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB BOSTON at SEATTLE

Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more
186-113 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.2% 63.8 units )
24-17 this year. ( 58.5% 5.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB OAKLAND at PITTSBURGH

PITTSBURGH is 25-13 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season.

The average score was: PITTSBURGH (4.0) , OPPONENT (3.4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Hook MLB Money Line Wed, 07/10/13 - 7:05 PM

double-dime bet - 916 NYY (-140) vs 915 KAN

SPECIAL TENNIS PLAYS

YVONNE MEUSBURGER -150 Larsson (3 UNITS)

JACK SOCK -145 Hernych (2 UNITS)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

JEFF (SY GUY)

SIDES

2X- LAA -117 CHICAGO (8pm)

1X- CLEVELAND -152 TORONTO(7pm)

1X- SF-185 NYM (340pm)

TOTALS

2X- CINCY/MILWAUKEE - UNDER 9 +100 (2pm)

2X- OAKLAND/PITTSBURGH - [B]OVER 7-115 (7pm)

1X- WASHINGTON/PHILLY - OVER 7-115 (7pm)

1X- COLORADO/SD - OVER 7 -105 (10pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won both plays on Tuesday winning with the Rays -$152/Twins and the Cubs Ev/Angels for $50.

For Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes two the Rays -$180/Twins and the Pirates -$130/A's for $50.

"Mr Chalk" is 56-31 +$1057 for the 2013 MLB Season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

Play of the Day

Pirates

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Texas at Baltimore (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore -138 (moneyline)

Josh Lindblom will make his fifth career start for the Texas Rangers tonight, the last coming all the way back on June 20th. He has fared much better out of the pen, and his four starts claim an ERA of 5.40 on the season. Baltimore certainly has the bats to do some damage here. Wei-Yin Chen has pitched to a 3.03 ERA on the season, and has finally recovered from an oblique injury. The Orioles have been very good at picking up the pieces after a loss, as they have followed a setback by producing a 44-18 mark in their next contest over the last 62 occurrences. Look for a strong effort tonight and back Baltimore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

betting line moves

mystic +9
phoenix under 168

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves

Milwaukee Brewers +160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

4* (MLB) Philadelphia Phillies ML -135
4* (MLB) Chicago Cubs ML +115

3* (MLB) NY Yankees ML -140
3* (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella
2* CINCY
2* TB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Accu-Score MLB

ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 142-83, 63.1% +2378 -

TEX 913 vs BAL 914 -- Over 50% on Baltimore Orioles -110
OAK 925 vs PIT 926 -- Over 50% on Pittsburgh Pirates -130

SV-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 122-103, 54.2% +2323 -

TEX 913 vs BAL 914 -- Value on Baltimore Orioles -110
OAK 925 vs PIT 926 -- Value on Pittsburgh Pirates -130

NL WEST DIV GAME SV 60-37, 61.9% +2252 -

COL 911 vs SD 912 -- Value on Colorado Rockies +125
LAD 909 vs ARI 910 -- Value on Los Angeles Dodgers -106

SV-Home Line is -130 to -149 119-100, 54.3% +1884 -

TOR 919 vs CLE 920 -- Value on Toronto Blue Jays +131
KC 915 vs NYY 916 -- Value on Kansas City Royals +126
OAK 925 vs PIT 926 -- Value on Pittsburgh Pirates -130
COL 911 vs SD 912 -- Value on Colorado Rockies +125

4 STAR TOTALS 178-146, 54.9% +1740 -

TEX 913 vs BAL 914 -- Under 8.5
KC 915 vs NYY 916 -- Under 9
OAK 925 vs PIT 926 -- Under 7.5
HOU 929 vs STL 930 -- Under 8
LAD 909 vs ARI 910 -- Under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Z Money Sports

Atlanta/Mia over 7.5
Arizona/la over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves John Deere Classic

7004 K. Bradley -120
7005 L. Oosthuizen -130
7025 K.J. Choi -120
7031 K. Duke -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Akmens

Sun 3-3 (all chalk)
Mon 1-4 (all chalk)
Tue 2-3 (all chalk)

Early Games

10* Atlanta -145
10* Cincinnati -- Milwaukee Under 9 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

Red Sox
Angels

Freeloader on Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* Cubs

10* Seattle over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoopsgooroo

907 Nationals +116
919 Jays +137
911 Rockies +130
924 Mariners +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

Cleveland -150

Detroit -1.5 -120

Colorado +125

Cardinals -1.5 -125

Monday 3-1
Tuesday 4-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

wagner grand slam club

astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor MLB Picks

910. Arizona Diamondbacks -106
912. San Diego Padres -140
924. Seattle Mariners +118
928. Chicago Cubs +119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal Sports

Free Play:
(2) Pirates -133

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

MLB
1* Yankees -1.5. 100/140
1* Twins +1.5. 120/100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

Wednesday's Action

50 Dime winner going out for this Wednesday evening in MLB is the visiting Kansas City Royals with Davis and the host New York Yankees with Nova to stay Under the posted total in the Bronx. BOTH pitchers must start, or this is a NO play. At 9:30 am eastern time when I release this selection, the total in Vegas and offshore is 8 1/2 over, -120. Again, BOTH pitchers must make the start, or NO action on this play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Akmens

10* Cleveland -145 (Play of the Day)
10* New York Y. -135
10* Arizona -115
10* San Diego -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

danny b

pirates/a's over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Machine

Red Sox ML
Cubs ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Reds ML

Yankees ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report for Wednesday:
50 Washington
50 Pittsburgh
100 Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter



Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 10 '13
2:10p
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
Take: Total 9 un+101
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 42m


*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds offense has been in a terrible slump on the road of late. This lineup should produce more than they have been, but now seems to be the perfect time for Brewers pitcher Johnny Hellweg to go against Cincinnati. Hellweg has had a very rocky start to his major league career, but his minor league numbers tell me that he should improve drastically. Mike Leake has been tremendous so far this year for the Reds. He pitches much better away from home. The under is 6-0 in the Reds last 7 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Leake's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. Take the under.




Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 10 '13
7:10p
Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays
Take: Tampa Bay Rays -1½+116
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 5h


*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Tampa Bay Rays are playing some excellent baseball heading into the All-Star break. On the other side, the Twins are limping into the break with a short-handed roster. Jeremy Hellickson struggled early this year, but he has pitched great in his last 4 outings. The Twins lineup isn't very good without Willingham in the middle of the order. Tampa Bay's offense is red hot right now, and Kevin Coreia has struggled in his last few starts. The Twins are 1-8 in their last 9. The Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 home games. Take Tampa Bay -1.5.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 10 '13
8:05p
Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago Cubs
Take: Total 8 ov-111
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 6h


*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* C.J. Wilson and Jeff Samardzija will be on the mound tonight. Wilson has struggled on the road and Samardzija has struggled at home. A big factor in this game will be the home plate umpire, Sam Holbrook. Holbrook is one of my favorite 'over' umpires because of his tiny strike zone. He'll make both pitchers work very hard in this game. The Angels lineup has come to life of late, and the Cubs have been hitting it surprisingly well of late. The over is 7-0 in Samardzija's last 7 home starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts after allowing just 2 runs or less in his previous start. The over is 8-0-1 in the Cubs last 9 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams at Wrigley. The over is 4-0 in the Angels last 4 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in Wilson's last 6 as a road favorite. In all, a 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 10 '13
9:40p
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Take: Los Angeles Dodgers -106
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 8h


*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing as well as anyone in baseball right now. Matt Kemp is on the disabled list, but this lineup is still very good. Hanley Ramirez looks like his old self, and Yasiel Puig has been a huge catalyst for this offense. Arizona is the only team between the Dodgers and first place in the NL West, and this is a great opportunity for the Dodgers to gain even more ground. Ryu has been outstanding this year. He has only allowed more than 3 runs in 2 starts all season. The Dodgers are 14-3 in their last 17 games. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. Take the Dodgers.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 10 '13
10:10p
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
Take: Total 7 un-106
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 8h


*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Colorado Rockies are without their 3 best hitters right now. Without Gonzalez, Tulowitzki, and Fowler the Rockies lineup isn't very dangerous. The Padres are without both Grandal and Alonso and their lineup was very weak to start with. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for the Rockies. In his career he has an ERA of less than 2 when pitching in San Diego. Andrew Cashner has the stuff to be an elite pitcher, and this is a great chance for him to show that against a very short-handed Rockies lineup. Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires and he will be behind the plate here. Take the under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Landau WED:

WAS +117 / OVER 7 -110 sd-col / CSOX +230 / BOS -125 / LAA -130 / HOU +225

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Z Money Sports

Added
San Diego Padres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi

MLB Free Play
SAN DIEGO (-140) over Colorado
10:05 p.m. ET

We had another free winner last night as Cleveland defeated Toronto! Tonight we move over to the National League and go against the most popular underdog on the board. We have had great success going against games that look like traps to us and that is what San Diego looks like tonight. Padres are off a win over the Rockies last night but have not won back to back games in nearly three weeks! San Diego's win last night snapped a 10 game Padres losing streak and they are 3-14 in their last 17 games! Tonight they face a pitcher in Jorge De La Rosa who is 5-2 lifetime against them and San Diego starts Cashner who is coming off his worst start of the year last Friday when he gave up six runs in two innings at Washington! So with all these stats going against them how are the Padres favored at -140 tonight? Because occasionally Vegas takes a posotion in a game to make money rather than just get equal action on each side and this is one of them. And it has worked. More than 68% of the money wagered on this game has been on the underdog which is the highest percentage on a dog so far this month so let's go with the pro's and against the suckers and back Padres.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rich Sports

MLB

1* 916 NYY -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

9xSports

(MLB) 7:05PM Kansas City @ New York Yankees OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

2* DBacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

100 Angels
100 Pitt
50 K.C.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Youngstown Connection

Date: Wednesday July 10, 2013
MLB Play #1

#916 NY Yankees -132 705PM Eastern

Line from 5 Dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)
Line as of 1245PM Eastern 7/10/13