7-12-13

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::handshake::

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Stampeders at Alouettes: What bettors need to know

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-3, 54)

After allowing 11 sacks in two games, the Montreal Alouettes will need to do more to protect quarterback Anthony Calvillo when they host the Calgary Stampeders on Friday. Calvillo appeared frustrated after being sacked seven times in a Week 2 home loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, calling the performance “disgusting” and raising questions about the offensive schemes instituted by new coach Dan Hawkins and his staff. Calvillo later backtracked on his comments, reiterating his confidence in his coaches and teammates, but the questions will continue to mount unless the 40-year-old pivot sees more protection in the coming weeks.

Calgary has its own problems at quarterback as starter Drew Tate is day-to-day with a forearm strain suffered in a Week 2 road loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Tate, who missed significant time last year because of injuries, left last week’s game in the fourth quarter and was replaced by veteran Kevin Glenn, who completed 4-of-7 passes. With no clear starter for Friday, the Stampeders will need a strong showing from running back Jon Cornish, who was limited to 42 yards at Saskatchewan after running for 172 in the season opener.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (1-1): Glenn has more than 36,000 passing yards in his CFL career, including 4,220 for Calgary last year while filling in for an injured Tate. Glenn also started for the Stampeders in last year’s 100th Grey Cup final, when they lost to the Toronto Argonauts. As someone who knows Calgary’s offence well, Glenn should have no problem connecting with wide receivers Joe West (148 yards, three touchdowns) and Maurice Price (77 yards, touchdown in Week 1) if he needs to start. Defensive back Jonathan Hefney leads the team with 14 tackles and will have his hands full with Montreal’s versatile receiving corps.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-1): Because of the increased defensive pressure, Calvillo has thrown for only 385 yards in the first two weeks, which is concerning for a team without a reliable running back. Noel Devine leads the team in rushing yards with 65 but is primarily a kick returner, posting 296 combined return yards. Calvillo’s favourite target in a new offensive playbook is a familiar face in slot back S.J. Green, who has 150 receiving yards after topping 1,100 in each of the last two seasons. Green, along with slot backs Jamel Richardson and Arland Bruce, form a formidable trio that will be key to getting Montreal’s offence moving after a lacklustre Week 2.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Stampeders are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 5-0-1 in the Alouettes’ last six home games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Alouettes’ rookie KR Tyron Carrier, who returned a punt 78 yards for a touchdown in Week 1, was at practice this week after missing last game with a shoulder injury.

2. Calgary was 5-3 against East Division opponents last year, while Montreal went 6-2 against the West.

3. Montreal RB Brandon Whitaker made his season debut in Week 2 after suffering a torn ACL last year, running for 33 yards and adding 23 receiving yards. Whitaker cracked the 2,000 combined yards plateau in 2011.

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CFL

Week 3

Calgary (1-1) @ Montreal (1-1)-- Stampeders lost three of four visits here since winning Grey Cup in Montreal in 2008; they lost here 33-32 (+7) LY, snapping three-game win streak vs Alouettes. Calgary has been hit hard by flooding, so life hasn't been normal for Stampeder players; they allowed 34 ppg in first two games, getting outscored 48-13 after halftime. Montreal split its first two games, both vs Winnipeg; Calvillo had one of worst days of his excellent career last week, getting sacked seven times and passing for only 121 yards. Six of last seven series games went over the total.

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Today's CFL Picks

FRIDAY, JULY 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (7/10) Game 123-124: Calgary at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 119.495; Montreal 112.975
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+3); Under

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Football Jesus Free Text for CFL : Calgary + points .

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Alouettes' home history tested versus Stampeders
By SEAN MURPHY

If you're a believer in the Montreal Alouettes, you might want to load up your bankroll for Friday's matchup with the Calgary Stampeders.

Off a shocking home-opening loss to the Blue Bombers, Montreal will be in rebound mode this week. And if history is any indication, the Als should be in excellent position to do just that.

The Alouettes hadn’t lost a home opener since the 2007 season, when they fell 16-7 to Saskatchewan. They went on to lose their next home game that year as well but haven't dropped their first two home games in any season since.

In fact, since 2008, the Als haven't suffered a second home loss any earlier than September 18, nor have they dropped more than two regular season home games in any of their last five seasons, even going undefeated at home in one of those years (2009).

Obviously, things are a little different in Montreal these days, with Dan Hawkins taking over from long-time head coach Marc Trestman. It's far too early to hit the panic button. After all, the Als still sit in a three-way tie atop the East Division at 1-1.

Still, this is about as strong of a motivational spot as you'll see in Week 3 of the regular season.

The Als opened as high as 5-point home favorites but have been bet down to -2 after last week’s loss. The Stampeders are coming off a discouraging loss of their own in Saskatchewan. Montreal opened as -135 moneyline favorites for Week 3.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Tigers Thursday and likes the Yankees Friday.

The deficit is 960 sirignanos.

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MLB Betting: Book Offers Yasiel Puig Season Props

Rookie phenom Yasiel Puig has taken the MLB by storm since June 3 and is a big reason why the Los Angeles Dodgers have been a good bet lately.

The boys in blue are 22-13 since Puig energized the squad and now bettors will have a chance to bet on the Cuban’s performance in the second half of the season.

Here are some of the Puig props being offered at Sportsbook:

Total Regular Season Home Runs – over/under 20.5
Currently: Eight home runs

Total Regular Season Hits = over/under 144.5 hits
Currently: 56 hits

Regular Season Batting Average = over/under .319
Currently: .394

All above bets being offered with -115 odds.

Will He Win NL Rookie of Year?

Yes 1/6 -600
No 1/4 +400

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Baseball Crusher
Philadelphia Phillies + Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5
(System Record: 49-6, lost last game)
Overall Record: 49-54-1

Soccer Crusher
Trinidad & Tobago + Haiti UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in CONCACAF
(System Record: 425-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 425-366-56

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Today's MLB Picks
San Francisco at San Diego

The Padres look to build on their 7-2 record in their last 9 games as a home underdog. San Diego is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 12
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Kelly) 16.598; Cubs (Villanueva) 14.954
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); N/A

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 15.883; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.941
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over

Game 905-906: Washington at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.831; Miami (Eovaldi) 14.389
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Washington (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Under

Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.803; Atlanta (Medlen) 14.901
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Over

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gorzelanny) 13.816; Arizona (Corbin) 15.267
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-175); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Gaudin) 13.303; San Diego (O'Sullivan) 14.200
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 13.120; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.928
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 4; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-240); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-240); Over

Game 915-916: Texas at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Grimm) 15.626; Detroit (Fister) 14.453
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+160); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 14.769; Baltimore (Tillman) 16.112
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-135); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 14.873; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.248
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+175); Over

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 15.812; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.632
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Over

Game 923-924: Houston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 13.782; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.282
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-300); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-300); Under

Game 925-926: Boston at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 15.285; Oakland (Parker) 16.533
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 14.477; Seattle (Saunders) 15.506
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Under

Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.139; Philadelphia (Pettibone) 15.505
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at Connecticut

The Sky look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Sun. Chicago is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5). Here are all of today's picks


FRIDAY, JULY 12
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Chicago at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.146; Connecticut 107.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5); Over


Game 603-604: Washington at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.055; San Antonio 108.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 153
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 157
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Under

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1060-795 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner FRI Cards -125

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Dodgers -1.5 -120

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Friday Dodgers/Colorado Over 6

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Cappers Access

Cardinals -130
W.Sox -140

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ScLiveDogs

Friday MLB
Why we like the Mets on Friday at +120...here we have a Mets team that is playing good ball right now going 5-2 in their past 7 games while averaging 6.4 rpg and allowing just 4.1 rpg during that stretch. During the Pirates past 7 games, they have seen a 2-5 record while averaging just 3 rpg and allowing 2.9 rpg during that stretch. More importantly for this Pirates team is that they have now seen their July record slip to 3-6 and after a 17-9 June, with that being said, you have to wonder how this Pirates team will react after a day off and knowing that they are a few days away from the All-Star Break. The Mets will be pitching Jeremy Hefner who is not getting much respect this season as he has posted a 3.39 era through 101 innings of work as well as posting a 1.35 era through his last 20 innings of work where he went 2-0 in his last two starts as an underdog of +120 & +130. Hefner has not been afraid of pitching in road games either as he has a respectable 3.74 road era through 53 innings of work as well as allowing just 5 runs through his last 26 road innings on 24 Ks, 4 BBs & 2 HRs in the above average offensive ballparks of Nationals Park, Citizens Bank Park, Coors Field & Miller Park. The Pirates will be pitching Charlie Morton who is making just his 6th start of the season where he has posted a 3.37 in his previous 24 innings of work. Morton has not fared so well of late where he has posted a 4.61 era over his last 14 innings of work against the below average offensive teams of the Cubs, Brewers & Angels where he allowed 13 hits on 8 BBs, 11 Ks, & 2 HRs. An interesting trend with Morton is that his worst starts have come on 5 days of rest (Fridays start will be on 5 days of rest) where in 2013 he has made just one start on 5 days of rest where he allowed 4 runs through 6 innings on 7 hits & 2 HRs. When we look at Mortons 2012 numbers on 5 days of rest, he carried a 5.33 through 25 innings on 34 hits, 8 BBs & just 15 Ks. In Mortons career against the Mets, he is 0-2 with a 4.91 era while the Pirates are 0-4 in games that he has started against the Mets. From a bullpen standpoint, the Pirates do have the home edge with a 2.25 era but we do have to make notice that the Mets bullpen has improved greatly as of late and are not a caution bullpen at this point of the season.
Play on the Mets at +120.

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BRYAN LEONARD

2* Boston Red Sox ML
2* SF Giants ML
2* Houston +1.5

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 7.5 - Redsox/A's

50* Phillies -135

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB COLORADO at LA DODGERS

Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) average hitting team (AVG =.255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -NL
41-44 over the last 5 seasons. ( 48.2% 36.8 units )
1-9 this year. ( 10.0% -6.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB NY METS at PITTSBURGH

PITTSBURGH is 44-27 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

The average score was: PITTSBURGH (3.8) , OPPONENT (3.3)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA CHICAGO at CONNECTICUT

Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after scoring 75 points or more
115-62 since 1997. ( 65.0% 46.8 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

WNBA CHICAGO at CONNECTICUT

Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) good offensive team - scoring 73+ points/game on the season, after scoring 75 points or more
197-73 since 1997. ( 73.0% 0.0 units )
6-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA WASHINGTON at SAN ANTONIO

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in July games
92-47 since 1997. ( 66.2% 40.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

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Joe Gavazzi Friday:

MLB
Colorado (Nicasio) at LA Dodgers (Kershaw) (-240, -1 ½ runs -115) 10:10 ET

4% LA Dodgers (Kershaw) (-240, -1 ½ runs -115)

The return to the lineup of potentially big bats Fowler and Tulowitzki did little to help the struggling Rockies in a 6-1 loss Thursday night to LAD. Following a 13-4 start, the Rockies enter tonight on negative runs of 31-45 and 7-15. Their fortunes would not seem likely to improve in this pitching matchup against the hottest team in baseball who has gone 16-3 of late. The Dodgers 5 straight victories have pushed them past the .500 mark at 46-45 as they continue to surge in tracking down Arizona for the Division lead. On the mound, it is no contest. Before being sent to the Minors for a tuneup, Nicasio had a record of 0-3 with a 6.43 ERA in his previous 7 starts. Those numbers may not improve against an LAD team as Nicasio has a 5.22 ERA in 6 starts vs. the Dodgers. Kershaw has a head-scratching 5-5 TRGS from this mound despite posting an ERA of 1.60, 0.92 WHIP and .195 OBA. But the Dodgers have won his last 7 starts from this mound against Colorado where he has a 1.21 ERA. In a trio of recent starts, Kershaw has gone 3-0 allowing just 3 runs in 25 IP. Run line players take note: 13/14 recent Colorado losses have come by 2 or more runs as well as 11/13 recent road losses. For the season, 20/26 LAD home wins have been by 2 or more runs. 17/19 LAD wins have been by 2 or more runs including 9 straight. Consider a portion of your wager on the run line.



Cincinnati (Arroyo) at Atlanta (Medlen) (-135) 7:30 ET

4% Atlanta (Medlen) (-135)

The home/road dichotomy of these teams and pitchers is a solid basis for this selection. After losing 6-5 to Atlanta last night, the Reds are now 21-25 away. Arroyo has been part of that problem. In 6 away starts, Arroyo is 1-5 with a 5.70 ERA. In his most recent 2 starts, Arroyo is 0-2 allowing 12 runs in 9 2/3 IP. The Braves play remains outstanding on this field with a home record of 30-13 including 19-6 home following a victory. With Medlen working to a 2.83 ERA in 9 starts from this mound, the home/road dichotomy is completed. Please note that in his last 4 overall starts against Atlanta, Arroyo has a 5.91 ERA.



LA Angels (Williams) (-110) at Seattle (Saunders) 10:10 ET

3% Seattle (Saunders) EVEN

Well aware that the Angles remain on positive runs of 17-8 and 11-3. But that has been with no help from Williams. In his last 4 starts, Williams has an 8.47 ERA including allowing 12 runs in only 4 2/3 IP of his most recent 2 starts. He must be considered a pure play against for this start. Saunders is in far better current form posting a 2-0 recent record while allowing only 2 earned runs in 13 2/3 IP. In a pair of starts vs. his former employer, Saunders has a 1.93 ERA. Though his work from this mound has declined a bit in the recent past, his lifetime record, when pitching from this bump remains 10-3 with a 2.80 ERA.



Chicago White Sox (Danks) at Philadelphia (Pettibone) (-125) 7:05 ET

4% Philadelphia (Pettibone) (-125)

Break up the Pale Hose. CWS comes off a series win at Detroit in which they scored 22 runs while batting .358 for a 2-1 record the last 3 nights. That is still not going to deter us from fading them in this pitching matchup. Despite those victories, CWS remains on negative slides of 12-29 and 4-11 with one of the worst offenses in the league. That does not figure to get any better in this pitching matchup or vs. a surging Philadelphia team who has won 7/10 to pull within 1 game of .500. I have recently authored articles entitled “TRGS Home/Road Dichotomies” available at WSA Sports Picks (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.winningsportsadvice.com ). I have taken a look at the all-important home/road splits for MLB pitchers for the 1st half of 2013. Each of these starters are on the list for his respective work home and away. In 5 road starts, both Danks and the White Sox are 0-5 as he has twirled to 6.43 ERA with a .310 OBA. Conversely, Philadelphia is 7-1 in 8 Pettibone home starts in which he has a 2.45 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Pitching in excellent current form, Pettibone has a 2.35 ERA in his last 4 starts. Look for him to cool off the temporary offensive surge of the White Sox.


WNBA
3% Chicago Sky -5

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EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Billy Joe Hershey
Astros+1.5
Detroit Tigers
Boston Redsox

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Hondo

Formerly sizzling Hondo had his winning streak snapped at seven last night when the Reds failed in Atlanta.
Tonight, one more time, kids — on Arroyo and the Reds to shut down the Medlen cartel in Atlanta.

Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers - DODGERS -1.5 [Run Line] (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Nicasio vs Kershaw
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)

The Dodgers continue to roll with a 6-1 victory last night over the Rockies. That is 5 straight wins and they've scored 6+ runs in 5 straight. The Rockies got very little going offensively and they've now lost 8 of their last 11 games, and they've scored 1 or fewer runs in 5 of 7. Tonight we've got a pitching mis-match with Juan Nicasion on the mound for Colorado and ace Clayton Kershaw taking the rubber for the Dodgers. Nicasio is 4-4 on the season with a 5.31 ERA, .271 OBA and 1.46 WHIP. Even though he pitches in a hitters friendly park his ERA rises to 5.68 ERA on the road over 9 starts with opponents hitting .303 off him. In his last three starts he has lasted no more than 5.2 innings giving up 5, 2 and 6 earned runs for a 9.00 ERA. Kershaw is 8-5 on the season with a 1.89 ERA, .186 OBA and 0.90 WHIP. At home he has a microscopic 1.60 ERA, .195 OBA and 0.92 WHIP. Over his last three starts he's pitched 8+ innings allowing just 3 earned runs in total for a 1.08 ERA. The Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 overall, 21-43 in their last 64 road games dating back to last year, 3-8 in their last 11 divisvional games, and 14-37 in their last 51 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Dodgers are 17-5 in their last 22 games overall, 18-6 in their last 24 games as a favorite, 7-1 in their last 8 home games, and 10-1 in their last 11 vs a starter with a WHIP higher than 1.30. They are akso 39-13 in Kershaw's last 58 home starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts vs the Rockies (4-1 in his last 5 vs them overall). I look for the Dodgers to continue with the hot bats and Kershaw to limit the Rockies tonight. Take the Dodgers on the run line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

MLB
ST LOUIS -121 CHICAGO (4PM)

WASHINGTON -1.5 -115 MIAMI (7PM)

LA DODGERS -1.5 -120 COLORADO (10PM)

WNBA
SA -3 WASHINGTON (8PM)

MARC

MLB
TORONTO/BALTIMORE - OVER 9.5 +105 (7PM)

SF/SD - OVER 8 +105 (10PM)

CFL
CALGARY/MONTRAL - OVER 53.5 (730PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's National League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's National League games:

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (+114, NA)

Hot pitching stat: Cubbies starter Carlos Villanueva is 5-3 with a 3.16 ERA in 27 appearances (eight starts) against St. Louis.

Cold batting stat: St. Louis C Yadier Molina, who leads the National League with a .339 average, is 4-for-21 against Villanueva.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s with sunny skies. Winds will blow in from center field at seven mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Chicago.


New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates (-143, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mets starter Jeremy Hefner has yielded one earned run in six of his last seven turns and did so on just two hits over seven innings against the Milwaukee Brewers in his last start on July 7.

Hot batting stat: New York OF Marlon Byrd has collected 10 hits - three homers - during his five-game hitting streak.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures in the mid-70s and wind blowing in from left field at six mph.

Key betting stat: The Pirates are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day.


Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (+168, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Nats hurler Stephen Strasburg owns a 5-2 career mark with a 2.77 ERA in 10 meetings with the Marlins.

Hot batting stat: Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton is 6-for-16 (.375) in his career versus Strasburg.

Weather: The roof could be closed in Miami today as there is a 50 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Key betting stat: The under is 6-2 in Strasburg's last eight starts vs. the Marlins.


Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves (-138, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Reds starter Bronson Arroyo has struggled away from home, going 1-5 with a 5.70 ERA and only 14 strikeouts in 36 1/3 innings on the road.

Hot batting stat: Cincinnati CF Shin-Soo Choo extended his hitting streak to nine games with two hits Thursday. He is hitting .405 during the streak.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow in from center field at five mph.

Key betting stat: The under is 6-1 in umpire Rob Drake's last seven games behind home plate.


Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-161, 8)

Hot pitching stat: DBacks starter Patrick Corbin rebounded from his lone loss of the season by scattering three hits and matching a season high with 10 strikeouts in eight sterling innings against Colorado on Sunday.

Hot batting stat: Brewers C Jonathan Lucroy belted his fourth homer in five games and has driven in seven runs during that span.

Weather: The roof may be closed in Arizona due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the low-100s.

Key betting stat: The Brewers are 1-6 in the last seven meetings in Arizona.


Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-243, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw enters Friday having worked at least eight innings in each of his last three starts - all victories - while allowing a total of three runs in that span.

Cold batting stat: Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki (rib) and CF Dexter Fowler (wrist) each went 0-for-4 Thursday after being activated from the disabled list earlier in the day.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s with mostly clear skies. Wind will blow out to right field at seven mph.

Key betting stat: The Dodgers are 7-0 in Kershaw's last seven home starts vs. the Rockies.


San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (+103, 8)

Cold pitching stat: The Giants have lost SP Chad Gaudin's last three starts.

Cold batting stat: The Giants have scored a major league-low 25 runs in July, while the Padres’ 30 runs is tied with the Colorado Rockies for the third-worst mark.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at four mph.

Key betting stat: The Padres are 0-8 in their last eight games as an underdog.


Interleague

Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia Phillies (-123, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies starter Jonathan Pettibone owns a 3-1 mark with a 2.45 ERA at home this year. The Phillies are 7-1 in his eight home starts in 2013.

Hot batting stat: The Sox exploded for 22 runs in their three-game series versus the Tigers as they took two of three from their AL Central foes.

Weather: There is a 50 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-70s and wind will blow in from right field at 11 mph.

Key betting stat: The White Sox are 3-16 in starter John Danks' last 19 Friday starts.

* Weather, odds, probable starters as of 10:20 a.m. ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's American League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's American League games:

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-146, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Indians starter Corey Kluber snapped out of a funk in his last turn, limiting Detroit to two runs and matching a season high with 10 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings.

Cold batting stat: Indians 1B Mark Reynolds is 2-for-28 with 14 strikeouts in July.

Weather: Mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Wind will blow in from right field at 12 mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 36-15-2 in the last 53 meetings.


Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles (-138, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Jays starter Mark Buehrle is coming off one of his best starts of the season, as he held the Minnesota Twins to six hits in seven scoreless innings last Friday.

Cold batting stat: Jays slugger Jose Bautista is 2-for-19 with one RBI in his last five games.

Weather: There is a 50 percent chance of rain in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow in from right field at 11 mph.

Key betting stat: The Blue Jays are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore.


Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (-182, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Yanks starter Hiroki Kuroda has been strong at home, logging a 5-2 record and 1.89 ERA in nine starts.

Hot batting stat: Twins 1B Justin Morneau is 3-for-3 with two homers against Kuroda.

Weather: A 50 percent chance of rain is in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s and wind will blow in from center field at 11 mph.

Key betting stat: The Twins are 12-39 in the last 51 meetings in New York.


Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers (-178, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Tigers starter Doug Fister is winless in his last four turns and has been knocked around for six earned runs in three of those outings, including the last two.

Hot batting stat: Tigers 3B Miguel Cabrera smashed his 30th home run on Thursday. He has 12 homers in 56 career games against the Rangers.

Weather: Mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Wind will blow from left field to right field at seven mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 10-3-1 in Fister's last 14 starts versus a team with a winning record.


Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays (-301, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays ace David Price has been outstanding since returning from a strained left triceps, yielding one run over 16 innings in two victories.

Hot batting stat: Rays CF Desmond Jennings was 8-for-18 in the recent series versus Houston from July 1 to July 4.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting stat: The Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a home favorite.


Boston Red Sox at Oakland A's (-111, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: A's starter Jarrod Parker has not lost since May 22 and has not allowed more than three runs in an outing since May 6.

Hot batting stat: Red Sox CF Jacoby Ellsbury has hit safely in 19 straight games and is batting .413 during the streak.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the low-60s. Wind will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting stat: The Red Sox are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings.


Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (+107, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Halos starter Jerome Williams has been crushed in his last two starts, allowing a combined 12 runs (11 earned) in 4 2/3 innings against St. Louis and Boston.

Hot batting stat: Seattle 3B Kyle Seager has hit in 11 straight games. His homer Thursday gave the team at least one blast in its 19th straight contest, tying a club record set Sept. 11-27, 1999.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the high-60s. Wind will blow from left field to right field at six mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 4-1 in Williams' last 5 starts vs. Mariners.

* Weather, odds, probable starters as of 10:20 a.m. ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

20* Giants

10* Mariners over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportwagers 7/12

Today's Free Picks for Jul 12, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngChicago @ PHILADELPHIA
Chicago +116 over PHILADELPHIA

There’s a chance the White Sox revert back to their old ways after taking two of three in Detroit but winning is contagious and the 22 runs that the South Side scored at Comerica sure had to feel good. Chicago did some serious damage against Justin Verlander and Anibal Sanchez and if that doesn’t springboard them, nothing will. Chicago’s run heading to the All-Star break could definitely continue here with John Danks going. Danks has now thrown three straight pure quality outings and is starting to round into form since returning from the DL in late May. Over his last three starts, covering 21.1 frames, Danks has issued just three walks while striking out 16. His 3.77 xERA confirms he’s been tough so expect his ERA to inch downward as a 16% hr/f regresses. Danks gets a favorable matchup rating here against the Phillies, who are hitting just .247 against lefties this season.
Jonathan Pettibone has kept the Phillies competitive for most of his 15 starts but his 3.84 ERA is likely heading south. Pettibone doesn’t walk batters at an excessive pace (27 in 84 IP) but with just 55 K’s, he doesn’t strike out batters at an acceptable clip, either. Pettibone’s decent ERA is a result of a fortunate strand rate more than skill. Pettibone is just 22 years old and though there’s not a lot of upside in his arm or arsenal, he has a classic innings-eater frame (6-6, 225). He’s also shown a composure on the mound that adds to the belief that he’ll have a substantial MLB career as a middle/low rotation type. However, there’s not lot of room for error in his stuff and he’s going to have several implosions every season over the course of his career. This could be one of them against a suddenly confident group of hitters.

Our Pick
Chicago +116 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.32)






http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngN.Y. Mets @ PITTSBURGH
N.Y. Mets +127 over PITTSBURGH

No question that the Pirates are an improved team but they are not the second best team in baseball as their record suggests and there’s clear proof of that. The Pirates’ hitters are among the leaders in strikeouts and that does not correlate with being a .600 club. Pittsburgh’s .243 team batting average is comparable to the Mets, Marlins, Astros, Cubs and Mariners and we all know what those teams have in common. With a meek offense and a starting rotation that is average at best, expect the Pirates to sink faster than Ilya Kovalchuk’s popularity in New Jersey. This overachieving team is going to be a good fade and we’ll continue to play against them unless they show us something else. Charlie Morton has held his own in his five starts since returning from TJ surgery but a 1.33 WHIP and 15 runs against (9 earned) reminds us that this is still Charlie Morton. Morton has a career BAA of .289 and a career ERA of 4.98 in 497 career innings. Backing Morton and the Pirates at a price is a poor risk.
The Mets have won four in a row and five of six. In those five wins they scored 35 times and that includes 21 runs scored at San Fran in a big-time pitcher’s park. Jeremy Hefner's numbers have been some of the best in baseball lately as he's gone 3-1 with a 1.70 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over his last six outings. While he obviously won't keep this up all season (90% strand rate in the last month), there's some real skill growth going on here. Hefner has a 7/30 BB/K rate over his last 37 innings to go along with an elite groundball rate of 53% and an even more impressive line-drive rate of just 14%. Hefner has been downright dominant recently at some difficult venues that include Miller Park, Coors Field and Citizens Bank Park. He’s also allowed two runs or fewer in seven straight starts and the Mets have won his last five in a row. Chances are they make it six here.

Our Pick
N.Y. Mets +127 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)






http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngMinnesota @ N.Y. YANKEES
N.Y. YANKEES -1½ +117 over Minnesota

The All-Star break can’t get here soon enough for the Twins. They lost again yesterday for the fifth straight time, they’ve lost 11 of their last 12 and they have just four wins in their past 20 games. Scott Diamond is one of the worst skilled pitchers in baseball and if he were on any other team he would be a mop-up guy or in the minors. In 88 innings, Diamond has 42 K’s and a 1.53 WHIP. Over his past five starts, he has a 1.63 WHIP and a 6.36 ERA. His groundball rate has been getting progressively worse with each passing month and it is now at a season low 32% over his past four starts. Diamond is running out of gas. He’s been tagged for six jacks over his last 16.1 innings. He’s struck out two batters or less in three of his last five starts. In his last start, he walked four Blue Jays while striking out one. Diamond has lost whatever confidence he did have and he’s probably dreading taking the hill today to face a Yankees team coming off back-to-back eight-run outbursts. The team he pitches for has also lost confidence.
The Yanks are not in bad shape. They are just six games out with this three-game set upcoming heading into the break. Hiroki Kuroda continues to thumb his nose at the aging curve, as he continues to flourish. His skills have even taken a step up in a tough ballpark, especially in the past month in which Kuroda has posted a 2.62 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over five starts. A 50% groundball rate and a low 15% line-drive rate confirms that Kuroda is gamely fighting off his 38 years. The Yanks rarely lose when Kuroda pitches at home, as his 5-2 record and 1.89 home ERA will attest to. That said, this one is all about fading Scott Diamond.

Our Pick
N.Y. YANKEES -1½ +117 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.34)






http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngToronto @ BALTIMORE
Toronto +127 over BALTIMORE

The Orioles are coming off back-to-back wins over the Rangers but they only have three wins in their past eight games and their offense is trending the wrong way. Over their past 10 games, the O’s are hitting just .220, which ranks ahead of only Houston and San Fran over that stretch. They are hitting just .248 against lefties the entire season and just .196 against southpaws over their last 10 games. Overall, the Orioles are just 7-7 at home against lefties and will face a crafty one here in Mark Buehrle. Analyzing Mark Buehrle is like re-watching a favorite movie; you know exactly what to expect: an overachieving xERA, low strikeouts and outstanding command. While Buehrle struggled early in his shift to the AL East, he’s been coming on strong with an ERA of 3.00 over his past five starts to go along with an increasing 44% groundball rate, up from 38% in his first three months as a Blue Jay. Buehrle is more than capable of containing a cold hitting squad.
The main reason for this choice is wagering against Chris Tillman, whose skills are deteriorating rather quickly. Over his last 29 frames, Tillman was walked 15 batters while whiffing 19. His xERA of 5.74 over the past month is more than 1½ runs higher than his actual 3.99 ERA. Tillman has an ugly 33%/29%/38% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball/ profile over his last five starts to go along with a brutal 1.68 WHIP. Chris Tillman is 10-3 with a 3.92 ERA and that has this below average pitcher extremely overvalued. He’s on the verge of a string of serious implosions and will remain on our radar as fade material.

Our Pick
Toronto +127 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportwagers CFL 7/12

Today's Free Picks for Jul 12, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_18.pngCalgary @ MONTREAL**
Calgary +130 over MONTREAL**

The Alouettes are 1-1 after opening the season with back-to-back games against the Blue Bombers. They should be 0-2 and it should’ve been two blowout losses. Winnipeg turned the ball over six times last week and the Als scored 11 points. In Week 1, Winnipeg turned the ball over four times, yet Montreal needed a 14-0 fourth quarter to win that one. The Als 1-1 record is a gift from heaven because this team should be 0-2 on way to their worst record in more than a decade. Anthony Calvillo was great in his day but his day has long past, as he’s now 41 years old and very few QB’s in the history of this game, be it CFL or NFL, have been able to thrive over the age of 40. The Als played a rather pedestrian offense in the first two weeks and will not be well-prepped to deal with the wrath of this Stampeders offense.
Calgary is 1-1 after an opening day blowout win over B.C and a subsequent loss to Saskatchewan. That loss to Saskatchewan was by no means an ugly one. Let’s not forget that it came the week after a hugely, emotional opening day win after the devastating floods the week before. The Als are favored here because Drew Tate will sit this one out and that actually works to our advantage in terms of the price being offered. Kevin Glenn is not Drew Tate but he’s an extremely capable back-up that went 9-5 for the Stamps last year after Tate was injured. Glenn compiled 4,220 yards in passing for 25 touchdowns and a completion rate of 66.7 per cent. He’s not going to come out cold either. Glenn played last week and has been taking first-team snaps all week in practice. Glenn knows this offense and he has various weapons to utilize. Calgary is the vastly superior team here on both offense and defense. After a disappointing Week 2 loss, expect this juggernaut of a team to rebound and rally behind Glenn. The Alouettes, meanwhile could be dregs the entire year and in no way should they be favored over this visitor. How does one take away the ball six times, score just 11 points and lose? Keep the points. Stamps outright.

Our Pick
Calgary +130 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Villanueva is 0-3, 6.26 in his last five starts.
-- Hefner is 3-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 2.33 in his last four starts. Eovaldi is 1-0, 2.55 in his first four starts.
-- Corbin has a 2.68 RA in his last five starts; Arizona is 16-2 in his starts. Gorzelanny has a 2.70 RA in his first two '13 starts.
-- Gaudin is 2-0, 2.86 in five starts this season.
-- Kershaw is 2-0, 1.08 in his last three starts.

-- Pettibone is 2-0, 2.35 in his last four starts.

-- Tillman is 6-1, 3.61 in his last seven starts. Buehrle is 3-1, 2.68 in his last six.
-- Kuroda is 1-0, 2.21 in his last three home starts.
-- Price is 2-0, 0.56 in his last two starts.
-- Parker is 4-0, 2.58 in his last eight starts. Lackey is 3-1, 2.25 in his last five.
-- Saunders is 2-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Kelly is 0-1, 4.63 in two starts this season.
-- Morton is 0-1, 7.24 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 11.17 in his last two starts on foreign soil. Medlen has a 5.74 RA in his last five starts.
-- Nicasio is 0-2, 11.08 in his last three starts.

-- Danks is 1-4, 5.01 in his last five starts.

-- Grimm is 2-3, 9.55 in his last seven starts. Fister is 0-1, 7.66 in his last four.
-- Diamond is 1-4, 8.04 in his last six starts.
-- Kluber is 0-1, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Williams is 1-2, 6.83 in his last five starts.


Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Kelly 0-2; Villanueva 5-9
-- Hefner 6-17; Morton 1-5
-- Strasburg 4-17 (0 of last 11); Eovaldi 0-4
-- Arroyo 2-18; Medlen 7-18 (3 of last 3)
-- Gorzelanny 0-2; Corbin 3-18 (0 of last 7)
-- Gaudin 0-5; O'Sullivan 0-0
-- Nicasio 7-16; Kershaw 2-19

-- Danks 3-9; Pettibone 3-15

-- Grimm 6-16; Fister 5-18
-- Buehrle 4-18 (0 of last 9); Tillman 4-18
-- Diamond 6-16; Kuroda 6-17
-- Chen 0-0; Kluber 3-14
-- Cosart 0-0; Price 3-11
-- Lackey 6-15; Parker 6-18
-- Williams 3-10; Saunders 5-18


Totals
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five games at Wrigley Field.
-- Nine of last ten Met games went over the total.
-- Last four Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last fourteen San Francisco games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- White Sox' last four games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Toronto road games.
-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City gasmes.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Bronx games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Oakland games.
-- Five of last six Seattle games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight games. Cubs are 8-4 in their last 12.
-- Mets won their last four games, scoring 23 runs.
-- Braves won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won eleven of their last thirteen games.

-- Phillies won six of their last eight games.

-- Tigers won seven of their last ten games.
-- Orioles won six of their last eight home games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last eleven games.
-- Tampa Bay won 12 of its last 13 games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven games. Red Sox won 12 of their last 16.
-- Angels won three of their last four games.


Cold teams
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Miami lost five of its last six games. Nationals lost three of their last four.
-- Reds lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine games. Arizona lost three of last four.
-- Giants lost 13 of their last 16 games; San Diego lost 12 of last 13.
-- Colorado lost eight of its last eleven games.

-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 14 games.

-- Texas lost its last two games, scoring one run each game.
-- Toronto lost six of its last nine games.
-- Twins lost eleven of their last twelve games.
-- Royals lost 12 of their last 21 games, allowing 16 runs in last two. Indians lost six of their last nine games.
-- Astros lost five of their last six games.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last nine home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIGFELLA
Spittin-Winners

MLB 7:05p $3 NY METS +136

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal Sports

Free Play
(2) Angels -111

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KYLE HUNTER



Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 12 '13
7:05p
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Take: Total 8 un-118
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 7h


*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jeremy Hefner has really come into his own over his last few starts. Hefner was on the verge of losing his starting spot in the rotation, but he has solidified his spot with five very good starts in a row. Charlie Morton hasn't been able to prove himself yet this year, but he has a good history at home. Neither of these teams have a strong lineup. This is the type of game that I think both pitchers will have several easy innings. Because the Mets bats have been hot of late, the value is with the under. Take the under.




Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 12 '13
7:05p
Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies
Take: Philadelphia Phillies -121
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 7h


*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jonathan Pettibone is solid young starter for the Phillies. He has struggled on the road, but at home he has been terrific. The White Sox are coming off a good series win at Detroit, but this team can't be trusted. John Danks starts for the White Sox and he has an ERA over 6 on the road this year. With Chase Utley back in the lineup and healthy, the Phillies batting order is much tougher than many people realize. If the Phillies win this game, they will get back to .500. The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The White Sox are 0-5 in Danks last 5 road starts. The White Sox are 0-4 in Danks last 4 against a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 6-0 in Pettibone's last 6 home starts with a total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40%. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the Phillies.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 12 '13
7:05p
Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
Take: Total 9½ ov+100
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 7h


*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Grimm started the year well for the Rangers, but things have really fallen apart for him of late. Grimm never pitched very well in the minors so I'm not surprised he is struggling in the majors. Detroit isn't the type of team you want to face when you are struggling. Look for the Tigers to put up a big number here. On the other side Doug Fister has allowed 6 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Rangers offense is pretty strong as well. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 starts as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The over is 8-1 in the Tigers last 9 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Tigers last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Take the over.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 12 '13
10:05p
Boston Red Sox vs Oakland A's
Take: Total 7½ un+112
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 10h


*3 Star MLB Total Value* John Lackey has been pitching extremely well of late. Lackey is arguably throwing the ball better than he has at any time in his career. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of this last 7 starts. Boston has struggled badly in Oakland for several years. The Red Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games in Oakland. Boston's offense is very good, but I have a feeling Parker and the strong Athletics bullpen will slow them down. This one has pitchers' dual written all over it. Take the under.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Jul 12 '13
10:10p
Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Take: Los Angeles Dodgers -1½-109
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 10h


*3 Star MLB Major Mismatch* Clayton Kershaw is the best pitcher in all of baseball right now in my opinion. Kershaw has an ERA of less than 1.9 on the year so far in 2013. The Rockies are starting to get healthy, but as they showed last night, guys like Dexter Fowler and Troy Tulowitzki are both rusty. Juan Nicasio allowed 12 hits in less than 3 innings of work in his last outing. Nicasio must now face a red hot Dodgers lineup. This is a major mismatch all around with the Dodgers have a much better pitcher and a much better lineup. The Dodgers are 7-0 in Kershaw's last 7 home starts against the Rockies. Take the Dodgers -1.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KYLE HUNTER

4* Philadelphia Phillies -121

New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
3* Total 8 under -118

Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
3* Total 9½ over +100

Boston Red Sox vs Oakland A's
3* Total 7½ under +112

3* Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Chicago at Connecticut (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Connecticut +4 (-105) at 5Dimes

The Connecticut Sun has perhaps been the most disappointing team in the WNBA this season. They simply have too much talent to be 3-8 on the season. They now realize that time is running out, so this becomes a huge game for them. They do have a great PG in Kara Lawson and a strong inside presence in Tina Charles, which gives them favorable matchup against Sylvia Fowles, and rookie sensation Elena Delle Donne. They will also be out to redeem an 11-point loss to Chicago early in the season. Play Connecticut.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* TEX/DET over

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Power Play Wins

Play of the Day

Phillies

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BIG AL's FRIDAY MLB ROADKILL WINNER

Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY

WNBA

3-Unit play Take #601 Chicago Sky -4.5 vs. Connecticut (7:05pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

MLB
NEW YORK METS +125
(Hefner/Morton)

The bad news for the Pirates is it looks like the 2nd half meltdown is taking place. This is a team that just does not have the overall talent to compete for a whole season in their division. I really like this team, but they need to get a few more big name guys if they want to be the last men standing in their division. Don't look now, but the Mets are hitting the ball and trying to make some noise in a division that is about to really heat up in the 2nd half. Take the Mets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer's MLB TRIPLE DIME BLOCKBUSTER!

Phillies

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Greg Shaker MLB Money Line Fri, 07/12/13 - 7:05 PM
dime bet - 903 NYM (+136) vs 904 PIT

Analysis: Pirates are way Over-Valued here as they have been for the last couple of weeks. How can Morton be this high of a favorite?. Hefner doing solid work and the Mets are winning games. New York actually has a much better road mark than at home so the road does not scare them. We are buying low here on a line that is just wacky..

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Yankees -1.5
Betting $500 to win $525

(5 UNITS) Red Sox
Betting $530 to win $500

(4 UNITS) CHW/Phi - UNDER 8.5
Betting $460 to win $400

(4 UNITS) Dodgers -1.5
Betting $440 to win $400

(3 UNITS) Pirates
Betting $423 to win $300

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Handicapping Kings

JEFF (SY GUY)

BASEBALL

2X- WASHINGTON/MIAMI - UNDER 7 -115 (7PM)

1X- TORONTO/BALTIMORE - UNDER 9.5 -125 (7PM)

1X- ARIZONA-160 MILWAUKEE (940PM)

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

St. Louis Cardinals

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GoodFella

Friday Free MLB Team Total

TEXAS RANGERS OVER 4 RUNS (-105)
These Rangers have smacked around Fister very hard. Dating back to his days with the Mariners ,these Rangers are very familiar with him. Since 2010 Fister has his WORSE .ERA vs any team against these Rangers with an ERA of (5.62). in 7 starts. Fister has been very poor of late as well, as he has given up 6 ER in 3 of his L/4 starts (including yielding 5 HR's). We have a decent weather pattern for tonight as well, with no rain in the forecast and temps will be in the high 70's at game time. Add on the porous Tigers bullpen and I really like this MLB Team Total to cash for us tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RICH SPORTS

MLB

Chase A
3* 904 Pit -145 tw 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Danny b

over 8 cws / phillies

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Blasscyk WINS

927 Los Angeles Angels OVER 8 (-105) *5 UNITS*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

pod tb rays under 7.5

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Betting Line Moves

Chicago/Conn Under 159

[666les]

Love goirish-Personally I use the entry with Hot/Cold pitchers&teams and Total trends and what I like are Umpire trends also.Just a few more bullets to bang. Thanks to the site and thanks to yourself. GL 666..

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

200 Royals +135

Phillies/Chisox note: Pouring rain in Philly right now fyi. I'm sure they'll try to get game in but could be a delay, stoppages etc.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Love goirish-Personally I use the entry with Hot/Cold pitchers&teams and Total trends and what I like are Umpire trends also.Just a few more bullets to bang. Thanks to the site and thanks to yourself. GL 666..

Thanks 666les! Good luck to you!

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betting PROfit

POD Detroit Tigers -1

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TMC Sports Advisors

Atlanta -135

Orioles -145

Phillies -125

Tampa Bay -1.5 -150

12-6 Last 18

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Hoopsgooroo

904 Pirates -144
912 Jays +134
921 Royals +135
929 White Sox +110
908 Braves -138
925 Red Sox -102
911 Giants -111
927 Angels -116

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Sports Cash System

free picks:

Chicago White Sox +108 over the Philadelphia Phillies (MLB Baseball)

New York Mets +134 over the Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB Baseball)

New York Yankees -1.5 (+115) over the Minnesota Twins - RUNLINE BET (MLB Baseball)

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Vincent Rizzo Sports

MLB PREMIUM PLAYS

OAKLAND -110 (1.10U)

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Accu-Score MLB

ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 142-83, 63.1% +2378 -

TOR 917 vs BAL 918 -- Over 50% on Baltimore Orioles -138
CIN 907 vs ATL 908 -- Over 50% on Atlanta Braves -138

SV-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 122-103, 54.2% +2323 -

TOR 917 vs BAL 918 -- Value on Baltimore Orioles -138
CIN 907 vs ATL 908 -- Value on Cincinnati Reds +127

NL WEST DIV GAME SV 60-37, 61.9% +2252 -

SF 911 vs SD 912 -- Value on San Francisco Giants -109
COL 913 vs LAD 914 -- Value on Colorado Rockies +221

SV-Home Line is -130 to -149 119-100, 54.3% +1884 -

NYM 903 vs PIT 904 -- Value on Pittsburgh Pirates -138
TOR 917 vs BAL 918 -- Value on Baltimore Orioles -138
KC 921 vs CLE 922 -- Value on Kansas City Royals +135
CIN 907 vs ATL 908 -- Value on Cincinnati Reds +127

4 STAR TOTALS 178-146, 54.9% +1740 -

MIL 909 vs ARI 910 -- Under 8
TOR 917 vs BAL 918 -- Under 9.5
MIN 919 vs NYY 920 -- Under 8.5

OU-Picking Over 29-11, 72.5% +1690 -

HOU 923 vs TB 924 -- Over 7.5
COL 913 vs LAD 914 -- Over 6.5

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9xSports

(WNBA) 7:05PM Chicago Sky-4

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Scott Landau Friday:
SF -109 / TEX +160

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GoodFella

3 Stars Detroit Over 9
3 Stars Dodgers Over 6.5
1 Star Cards (Already started)

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Sean Higgs

4* Mets
4* Twins
4* Rangers

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Thursday with the Diamondbacks -$150/Brewers.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" is going with the 2nd "Chalkest" game on the board the Dodgers-$240/Rockies.

"Mr Chalk" is 59-31 +$1307 for the 2013 MLB Season.

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Seabass Report for Friday-all 50's:
Cincinnati
Mets
Dodgers on the run line

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MATT RIVERS
Biggest MLB Release of My Career!!!
Your Friday winner is: 500,000♦ Total of the Year on the visitwng Angels and the host Mariners to go Over the total with Williams and Saunders listed as your startuing pitchers. At 10:05 pm eastern time on Thursday night the total on this game is 8 1/2 under, -120 in Vegas and the offshore books. BOTH pitchers must start, or there is no actipn on this release.

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Z money sfg over. Okland over

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Sports Handicapper King

braves ml

dodgers rl

Freeloader on angels

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Sam Martin 20* RL Demo LA Dodgers -1.5

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cashmyticket365

REDS OVER 7.5