7-22-13

[goirish25]

::handshake::

not sure why my password wasn't working yesterday I've never changed it but I opened a new account.

[goirish25]

Monday's National League betting cheat sheet and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:


Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals (-123, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Nats starter Dan Haren is coming off his best start of the year against the Miami Marlins his last time out. He tossed six shutout innings and surrendered three hits, but the Nats managed to lose 2-1.

Hot batting stat: The Pirates have knocked six homers in the previous three games after hitting just seven during a 13-game stretch from June 30 to July 14.

Weather: There will be a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the high-80s and wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Pirates are 3-13 in starter Charlie Morton's last 16 starts versus the National League East.


Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (+108, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mets starter Dillon Gee is 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA in two starts versus the Braves this year. He has given up 13 hits in 13 1/3 innings of work.

Cold batting stat: Braves 2B Dan Uggla is 4-for-24 in his career versus Gee.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 Monday games.


San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (-127, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers starter Tom Gorzelanny has not given up an earned run over 12 innings of work in his last two starts.

Hot batting stat: Padres 1B Yonder Alonso owns a 12-game road hitting streak. He is 16-for-48 (.333) during the stretch.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 8-2 in Padres SP Andrew Cashner's last 10 starts overall.


Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies (-166, 10.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies starter Drew Pomeranz has been rocked in all three of his 2013 starts. The lefty has an ERA of 8.76 and WHIP of 2.68 in those outings this year.

Cold batting stat: Rockies All-Star Carlos Gonzalez owns a career batting average of .238 versus the Marlins. That average is Gonzalez's second lowest only to the Giants (.231) among NL ball clubs.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.


Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks (-131, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Cubs starter Matt Garza is 5-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last five outings.

Cold batting stat: DBacks slugger Paul Goldschmidt is 0-for-6 in his career versus Garza.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 21-8 in Garza's last 29 road starts.


Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants (-115, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Giants starter Tim Lincecum is coming off a no-hitter against the Padres his last time out. He struck out 13 and walked four in the 148-pitch effort.

Cold batting stat: Reds OF Ryan Ludwick is 3-for-23 (.130) in his career versus Lincecum.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-50s and cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants are 2-10 in their last 12 versus the National League Central.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 8:17 p.m. ET Sunday.

[goirish25]

Monday's American League betting cheat sheet and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:


New York Yankees at Texas Rangers (-175, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: The Rangers have lost seven of Yu Darvish's previous 10 starts coming into this game.

Hot batting stat: Yankees OF Ichiro Suzuki is 7-for-14 in his career versus Darvish.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-3-1 in the Yankees last 14 versus the American League West.


Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (Off, Off)

Hot pitching stat: Rays starter Matt Moore is 3-0 with a 1.31 ERA in three starts this month.

Hot batting stat: Sox DH David Ortiz is 5-for-10 with a homer and four RBIs in his career versus Moore.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 8 mph. There is a 10 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Key betting note: The under is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Boston.


Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (+110, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Tigers starter Max Scherzer went six innings and gave up four earned runs on eight hits against the Texas Rangers en route to his first loss of the season his last time on the bump.

Cold batting stat: Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career versus Sox starter Chris Sale.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 11-3 in Sale's last 14 home starts.


Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals (+100, 9)

Cold pitching stat: O's starter Scott Feldman has given up 20 hits in 18 2/3 innings of work and owns a 5.79 ERA in three starts since joining Baltimore.

Cold batting stat: Baltimore OF Nick Markakis is .212 lifetime against Royals starter Wade Davis.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s and there is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Wind will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.


Oakland A's at Houston Astros (+147, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Astros starter Dallas Keuchel owns a 6.00 ERA in three July starts. Houston is 1-2 in his 3 starts this month.

Hot batting stat: The A's roster is batting a collective .333 against Keuchel.

Weather: The roof at Minute Maid Park may be closed due a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Temperatures will be in the mid-90s. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Athletics are 8-0 in the last eight meetings in Houston.


Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels (-154, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Angels starter Joe Blanton is winless in nine home starts thus far in 2013. He is 0-4 with a 5.17 ERA.

Hot batting stat: Opponents have hammered Blanton for 23 home runs this season. It ties him with the Jays R.A. Dickey for the MLB lead in dingers allowed.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s with clear skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.


Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners (-102, 8)

Hot pitching stat: The Indians are 7-2 in starting pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez's previous nine starts.

Cold batting stat: Cleveland's Asdrubal Cabrera, Carlos Santana and Drew Stubbs are a combined 1-for-9 against Mariners starter Aaron Harang.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 versus the American League West.

Interleague

Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto Blue Jays (-118, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Josh Johnson is on a personal three-game losing streak and the Jays have lost his last four outings.

Hot batting stat: The current Dodgers roster is batting a collective .370 versus Johnson.

Weather: The roof may be closed in Toronto due to a 20 percent chance of rain. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s and win will blow from right field to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 4-0 in SP Hyun-Jin Ryu's last 4 starts.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 8:14 p.m. ET Sunday.

[goirish25]

Over bettors sizing up Lincecum's start after no-hitter

In his last start, Tim Lincecum of the San Francisco Giants became the second pitcher this season to throw a no-hitter after Homer Bailey accomplished the feat on July 2.

Lincecum's was the 36th no-hitter since 1999. During this time span, and excluding two collective no-no's involing more than one pitcher (Houston 2003, Seattle 2012), starters making their first appearance since their no-hitter make for a solid over bet, having gone 19-13-1 over/under.

The Giants currently own an o/u record of 49-43-4 and are 11-8 o/u in Lincecum's 19 starts thus far in 2013.

The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers kept the scoreline under the total in Bailey's first start after his no-no. The Reds lost 4-3 and the total was 8.

[goirish25]

Cappers Access

Nationals -120
Tigers -130

[goirish25]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nationals on Sunday and likes the Rangers on Monday.

The deficit is 1495 sirignanos.

[goirish25]

Vic Monte Sports

PRIVATE PLAY Game of the Year - COLORADO ROCKIES -1.70

[goirish25]

Baseball Crusher
Baltimore Orioles -112 over KC Royals
(System Record: 52-6, won last game)
Overall Record: 52-57-1

[goirish25]

Soccer Crusher
Norway (w) + Spain (w) OVER 2
This match is happening in UEFA
(System Record: 430-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 430-368-57

[goirish25]

River City Sharps

2 UNITS Toronto Blue Jays -110

[goirish25]

ScLiveDogs

Why we like the Twins on Monday at +145...going to fade this Angels team on Monday for a few different reasons. The first reason being that the Twins will be offering up fair value with Deduno on the mound who is coming off of his last start against the Yankees IN New York where he picked up a W as a +135 underdog where he allowed just 1 run through 7 innings on 6 hits, 3 BBs, 3 Ks & 0 HRs. The second reason being Blantons lack of success as a whole this season, specifically as as of late where he has allowed 14 runs through his last 14 innings on 22 hits, 8 BBs, 12 Ks & 6 HRs. The final reason being the bullpen edge that the Twins have with a 2.94 road era compared to the Angels home era of 4.29. The Twins will be pitching Sam Deduno who has posted a respectable 3.61 era on the season. Deduno is a contact pitcher that has shown that when he limits his hits allowed can be very effective and quietly can put together a nice outing. With the quality start that he is coming off of before the All-Star Break, matched with the Angels being shutout on Sunday and their 3.5 rpg over their past 7 games, we look for Deduno to keep the Twins in this Monday matchup. Another key for Deduno is that he is averaging 6.2 innings per start this season which is a good sign for this young pitcher on the road with a quality bullpen. This Angels team has also never seen Deduno which should play to his favor even more. The Angels will be pitching Joe Blanton who as we mentioned before has posted an 8.59 era over his last three starts where he allowed 6 HRs and averaged just 4.9 innings per start compared to his 5.9 innings per start throughout the season. Blanton has also been a disappointment at home this season where he has posted a 5.17 era where he has allowed a whopping 77 hits through 55 innings. Another interesting trend with Blanton is the numbers that he has posted on 6 days or more of rest since 2011. Since 2011, Blanton has a posted a 5.67 era through 53 innings on 71 hits when pitching on 6 days or more of rest which he will be doing on Monday. This Twins lineup has a combined 91 ABs against Blanton where they have a .286 average with 5 HRs. Blanton has faced this Twins team once this season where he took the L while allowing 4 runs through 4 innings on 9 hits, 1 BB, 4 Ks & 2 HRs. The Twins are 2-0 against the Angels this season. Play on the Twins at +145.

[goirish25]

1unit wagers / Steven Kane

MLB
Dodgers(+108)
Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 road games, 5-0 as an underdog.

[goirish25]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Monday San Diego/Milwaukee Under 9

[goirish25]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1068-797 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner MON Red Sox w/ Workman

[goirish25]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Monday

Orioles -135

[goirish25]

Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Seattle

The Indians look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is coming off a 14-5 win over Houston and is 0-5 in Aaron Harang's last 5 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. Cleveland is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, JULY 22
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.755; Washington (Haren) 14.734
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+115); Under


Game 903-904: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 14.757; NY Mets (Gee) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Over


Game 905-906: San Diego at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.416; Milwaukee (Gorzelanny) 14.631
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+110); Over


Game 907-908: Miami at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.452; Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.992
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Under


Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 13.501; Arizona (Skaggs) 14.961
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-140); Under


Game 911-912: Cincinnati at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.872; San Francisco (Lincecum) 13.660
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over


Game 913-914: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.123; Boston (Workman) 15.113
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 13.478; Texas (Darvish) 14.947
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180); Over


Game 917-918: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Feldman) 14.500; Kansas City (Davis) 15.620
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under


Game 919-920: Oakland at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.155; Houston (Keuchel) 13.412
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-170); Over


Game 921-922: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.472; White Sox (Sale) 14.733
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Over


Game 923-924: Minnesota at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 15.938; LA Angels (Blanton) 14.995
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Under


Game 925-926: Cleveland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 16.764; Seattle (Harang) 15.676
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100); Over


Game 927-928: LA Dodgers at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.329; Toronto (Johnson) 15.729
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

[goirish25]

Chase Diamond

9* Baltimore -125

[goirish25]

DAVE ESSLER

MLB

Pirates at Nationals: Either cheap for Washington or a trap. Haren has been terrible and not backable, really, at any price. People will want to fade Morton, but the Pirates won a huge game on Sunday in Cincinnati. The drawback here is the Pirates used a lot of arms. There's part of me that says this goes over (because of bullpens) and at 8 I might, but not 8.5

Atlanta-Mets: Teheran is by far the Braves liability and has benefited from Turner Field. I do like the Mets against RHP much better, but Atlanta used NONE of their bullpen in the loss to the White Sox. If the Braves are all healthy and have the right lineup, I think they win this one late, if not sooner.

Padres-Brewers: Milwaukee just used way too many pitchers to back again here, and the Padres do far better against LHP. They're playing well and no reason not to back them, other than Gorzellany gets me more often than not.

Miami-Colorado: Again, the Fish used a ton of arms and Keohler isn't typically someone that's going to pitch deep, and I simply don't trust Pomeranz yet, at least not at -160. Just hasn't has enough experience, and actually pitched a minor league game over the AS break to keep his routine, which COULD be a plus. At 10 I could consider the over, but not 10.5 and would have to pass the side or take Fish RL.

Cubs-D-backs: Skaggs also pitched in Visaloia over the break, but simply cannot be trusted here. We've got a known entity in Garza facing a team that comes home after a brutal series with the Giants. Cubs or nothing, and lean under.

Reds at Giants: Not betting a Reds game! I would take the Giants simply because Arroyo is not that great against RHP's, but really think the play here is on the under. Giants not hitting and Lincecum should do just enough to keep the Giants in this game. I don't fade a good team that plays sound (except when Sandoval tries to score on a WP) with a good bullpen at home.

New York-Texas: Very obvious rest factor here since Texas has been home and NY won't get to Arlington till about when the sun rises. Pretty steep price for Darvish here and some of that likely based on the travel factor, because the Rangers haven't been hitting. Might consider the Yankees RL and the under here.

Baltimore-Kansas City: Two teams that cannot be trusted and two pitchers that cannot be trusted. Because it's still Feldman I almost always expect some regression which never seems to come, and because Davis is a flyball pitcher I have to lean Orioles here. But, they've got some travel to do as well. When I take the Royals they are the Royals, so probably better games, but not sure this doesn't go over.

Oakland-Houston: I would dearly love to find a way to take the Astros at this number, but could only do it with the RL. One has to wonder if Oakland isn't a little fat after having beaten up on the Angels and then travelling, but it's still Houston. Facing Milone should seem like BP after facing Felix, and that's an awful bit total, even in Houston, for teams than CAN go into slumps. Could be tough here with the Astros using so many arms against Seattle, but if and when I do fade the A's it's typically against LHP. We'll see who does and doesn't play first.

Detroit at Chicago: I suppose if we were ever to bet on the White Sox again it would be with Sale on the mound. With a manager perhaps going and players on the trading block, they're a dicey proposition, but they've got a hated division rival coming in, and although Max is an all-star, he's not unhittable. Have to lean White Sox and under.

Minnesota-LA Angels: Because it's Joe Blanton and because most of the Twins have hit him hard, I can't take the Angels. Good luck. If Deduno is on, he is a groundball pitcher in a big park going against a team that lost badly to a division rival Sunday. This could well be the disaster play of the day.

Seattle-Cleveland: I suspect everyone will want to back Harang after his early season success at home as well as the beating Seattle has been giving people lately. Ubaldo simply isn't (usually) going to pitch deep, and at -110 they're seemingly begging for people to bet on the Mariners. Lean over at 8, but think it may go up.

Dodgers at Blue Jays: Probably the most interesting game of the day. We love the Jays against LHP, we love the Dodgers with their full (most of it) lineup back, we love the Dodgers bullpen, we love the Dodgers not having to have Ryu bat. And, we love the fact that the Dodgers have seen plenty of Johnson when he was with the Fish. So, we should take Toronto

[goirish25]

Jack Clayton

5* Mound Mismatch Massacre

5* Tigers.
A pair of aces are on the hill, but only one of these teams has an offense. The Chicago White Sox have been awful at the plate all season, 29th in runs scored, 27th in on base percentage. That's why they have a losing record both home and away. Chicago is on a 2-7 run at home, and the White Sox are 17-35 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record. Detroit comes to town with a great offense and starter Chris Sale has a losing record in 39 innings against them, along with a 4.35 ERA. The Tigers are 27-11 in their last 38 during game 1 of a series and 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Strikeout ace Max Scherzer (13-1) will have a field day against this popgun Chicago offense. Play the Tigers.

[goirish25]

Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Milwaukee Brewers

[goirish25]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB PITTSBURGH at WASHINGTON

Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (PITTSBURGH) with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL)
197-83 since 1997. ( 70.4% 69.4 units )
11-9 this year. ( 55.0% -3.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY

BALTIMORE is 139-97 (+51.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.3)

[goirish25]

MLB

Monday, July 22

Hot pitchers
-- Gee is 2-0, 3.08 in his last four starts.
-- Gorzelanny has a 2.81 RA in three starts, but is 0-2.
-- Garza is 5-0, 1.72 in his last five starts.
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 1.69 in last two starts; he threw a 148-pitch no-hitter nine days ago. Arroyo is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.

-- Moore is 5-0, 1.91 in his last five starts. Workman gave up two runs in 6.2 IP in his only start (Donaldson hit homer off him in 7th for only runs).
-- Nova is 2-0, 1.59 in his last couple starts.
-- Scherzer is 3-0, 2.96 in his last four road starts.
-- Jimenez is 3-0, 4.00 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Washington lost Haren's last ten starts (0-7, 5.93, but 0-1, 1.64 in last two outings). Morton is 0-1, 4.55 in his last four starts.
-- Teheran is 1-1, 6.11 in his last three starts.
-- Cashner is 0-2, 4.88 in his last five starts.
-- Pomeranz is 0-3, 8.76 in his three starts this season. Koehler is 1-3, 6.20 in his last seven starts.
-- Skaggs is 1-1, 5.09 in his last four starts.

-- JJohnson is 0-3, 8.44 in his last four starts. Ryu is 1-1, 4.10 in his last six.

-- Darvish is 1-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
-- Feldman is 1-1, 6.00 in three starts for Baltimore.
-- Davis is 0-3, 11.73 in his last three starts.
-- Keuchel is 0-2, 5.57 in his last four starts. Milone is 2-2, 6.67 in his last five outings.
-- Sale is 1-6, 3.70 in his last eight starts.
-- Blanton is 0-2, 9.20 in his last three starts. Deduno is 1-2, 4.26 in his last three outings.
-- Harang is 1-2, 5.90 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. You're reading ***************.com. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Morton 1-6; Haren 3-17
-- Teheran 7-18; Gee 4-19
-- Cashner 5-15; Gorzelanny 1-3
-- Koehler 4-10; Pomeranz 0-3
-- Garza 0-11; Skaggs 2-5
-- Arroyo 2-19; Lincecum 8-19

-- Ryu 6-18 (3 of last 3); Johnson 2-12

-- Moore 6-19; Workman 0-1
-- Nova 3-7; Darvish 5-17
-- Feldman 5-18; Davis 6-17
-- Milone 6-19; Keuchel 1-12
-- Scherzer 4-19; Sale 6-18
-- Deduno 3-10; Blanton 7-19
-- Jimenez 5-19; Harang 5-15

Totals
-- Nine of last eleven Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Atlanta games.
-- Ten of last eleven Milwaukee games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Colorado games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Diamondback games.
-- Three of last four Cincinnati games went over the total.

-- Ten of last twelve Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Five of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Texas games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Baltimore road games.
-- Last nine Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten White Sox games went over the total.
-- Last five Angel games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Seattle games went over the total; eight of last ten Cleveland games stayed under total.

Hot teams
-- Mets won seven of their last ten games.
-- Brewers won five of their last six home games.
-- Rockies won three of their last four games.
-- Giants won five of their last seven games. Reds won four of their last six.

-- Dodgers won nine of their last eleven games.

-- Rays won 17 of their last 19 games.
-- Orioles won seven of their last eight games.
-- Angels won four of their last five home games. Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Mariners won their last six games, scoring 44 runs.

Cold teams
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eleven games. Nationals lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Braves lost three of their last four games.
-- Padres lost 16 of their last 19 games.
-- Marlins lost their last six road games, scoring only seven runs.
-- Cubs/Arizona both lost three of their last four games.

-- Blue Jays lost six of their last seven games.

-- Red Sox are 5-6 in their last eleven games.
-- Bronx lost six of its last ten games. Rangers lost seven of last eight.
-- Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost ten of their last 12. Oakland is 3-4 in its last seven games.
-- Detroit is 0-5 in game following its last five wins. White Sox lost 14 of their last 21 games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five road games.

[goirish25]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

ATLANTA -120 NYM (7pm)

MARC

NY/TEXAS - UNDER 8.5-105 (7pm)

DETROIT/CHICAGO - UNDER 7.5 -115 (8pm)

CHICAGO/ARIZONA - UNDER 8.5 -120 (940pm)

PJ - WTA

(ACE PLAY 2 units) - Sorana Cirstea -190 Ayumi Morita (515pm)

Kiki Bertens +145 Nicole Gibbs (1pm)

Stefanie Voegele +115 Ajla Tomljanovic (1pm)

Olga Govortsova +170 Julia Goerges (230pm)

Francesca Schiavone +125 Mallory Burdette (4pm)

[goirish25]

TMC Sports Advisors

Detroit/Chicago Under 7.5

Cincinnati

Cleveland

Oakland -1.5

10-3 last 13 Since ASG

[goirish25]

Teddy Covers

10* Dodgers

20* Rays

[goirish25]

Hondo

Hondo gets bludgeoned

Hondo returned most of his second-half profits yesterday because the Phillies and Nats obviously have no interest in his deficit-reduction program. As a result, the NRN (nasty red number) ballooned to 605 sabos.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will put in play the Post-No-Hitter-Letdown Theory – 20 units on Arroyo and the Reds to freak out Lincecum.

[goirish25]

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

ATLANTA -120 NYM (7pm)

MARC

NY/TEXAS - UNDER 8.5-105 (7pm)

DETROIT/CHICAGO - UNDER 7.5 -115 (8pm)

CHICAGO/ARIZONA - UNDER 8.5 -120 (940pm)

PJ - WTA

(ACE PLAY 2 units) - Sorana Cirstea -190 Ayumi Morita (515pm)

Kiki Bertens +145 Nicole Gibbs (1pm)

Stefanie Voegele +115 Ajla Tomljanovic (1pm)

Olga Govortsova +170 Julia Goerges (230pm)

Francesca Schiavone +125 Mallory Burdette (4pm)

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CHRIS JORDAN

600 Mariners
200 Pirates

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Sportswagers

Today's Free Picks for Jul 22, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngLos Angeles @ TORONTO
Los Angeles +108 over TORONTO

The Blue Jays didn’t get any favors after the break by having to play the AL’s hottest team, the Tampa Bay Rays, who have won 20 of their past 24 ball games. Things don’t get any easier here with the Dodgers, the NL’s hottest team, who have won 21 of their past 26 games. In terms of frame of mind, give a big edge to the Dodgers, who are coming off a three-game sweep in Washington against three very tough starters in Stephen Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez and Jordan Zimmerman. L.A. takes a big step down in class here in facing Josh Johnson. A normalized hit% and strand% are all it took for Johnson to go from elite to mediocre, though lingering effects of a shoulder injury may explain lost velocity. Johnson has started just 12 games this season and has one win and five quality starts. The Jays have lost Johnson’s last four starts and over his last five games he has a disturbing groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 37%/30%/33%. Pay close attention to Johnson’s 30% line-drive rate because there isn’t a pitcher in baseball that can have success with a rate that high. It’s also worth noting that these Dodgers have had plenty of success against Johnson when he was a member of the Marlins. Current Dodgers have 34 hits in 92 career AB’s versus Johnson for a BA of .370, an OBP of .416 and a sick OPS of 1.003. That’s when he was good.
In 18 starts, Hyun-jin Ryu has 14 pure quality one’s. He has a 51% groundball rate and a line-drive rate of 14%. Those are both elite numbers. Ryu just keeps going out there every five days and he gives the Dodgers a great chance of winning. xERA loves his strike-throwing ability and batted ball profile. Ryu has been as consistent as any pitcher in the game and that’s pretty impressive when you consider that he’s the first pitcher to make the jump directly from the Korean League to MLB. The Blue Birds are hitting just .248 against southpaws this season and they’ve never seen Ryu before. Wrong side favored.

Our Pick
Los Angeles +108 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.16)




http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngPittsburgh @ WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh +124 over WASHINGTON

The Nationals rarely win when Dan Haren starts. The last time Washington won a game that Haren started was way back on May 9, 11 starts ago when he beat the Tigers, 5-4. Since then, the Nationals have lost his last 10 starts with Haren going 0-7 over that span. Haren has become a big health risk given his cranky shoulder and bad back. His poor surface stats (5.61 ERA, 1.42 WHIP) have made him a big performance risk too. Haren has a fly-ball bias profile, a .299 BAA and 15% of the fly-balls hit off him have left the yard. The Nats continue to underachieve and every time they take a step forward they subsequently take two steps backwards.
Charlie Morton has been a pleasant surprise for the Pirates since joining the rotation. He's moved his dominance rate up, which pairs nicely with a very impressive 60% groundball rate. More groundballs is a recipe for success when you are pitching for the Pirates, who are innovators in the liberal use of infield shifts. Charlie Morton was never a big-K guy in the majors but he's been able to maintain a decent strikeout rate (and a 3.63 xERA) in his post-Tommy-John season. Morton is getting better with each start and his results are fully supported by his skills. Morton is high on our radar as a pitcher with great profit potential and we’ll gladly step in on him and the Pirates here.

Our Pick
Pittsburgh +124 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.48)




http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngCincinnati @ SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati +113 over SAN FRANCISCO

One of the most profitable angles in all of sports has been to wager against a pitcher coming off a no-hitter. We cashed in on that angle betting against Homer Bailey earlier this month and will look to do the same here. A no-hitter is rare. The focus it takes intensifies with each passing inning and then with each passing out after the sixth inning. What follows is a celebration, interviews, tons of accolades and a real sense of accomplishment. To come out for your next start is completely anti-climactic, not to mention a serious letdown. And it’s not like Lincecum is having a great year. In 19 starts, only eight have been of the pure quality variety. Lincecum has shown the least aggregate movement on his pitches in 2013 among NL starters. It's a problem that has made him extremely hittable and it's one that is exacerbated by his gradual loss of fastball velocity. He had a 94 mph average fastball velocity early in his career. Now it barely cracks 90 mph. Lincecum has a pedestrian 4.12 ERA at home this year in the majors best pitcher’s park and it’s likely that he runs into some serious trouble today.
After a disastrous 2011, the 35-year-old Bronson Arroyo came to camp in “the best shape of my life" and had his best skills season since 2004. Improved command and on base average were keys. Arroyo has carried that over to this season. Not only are his surface stats (3.42 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) good again, so too are his base skills. One explanation for Arroyo's resurgence could be his pitch mix. He is using his 87 mph fastball significantly less and is throwing more sliders and curveballs in its place. Another is his dominance with the bases empty. Arroyo has posted strong numbers both above and below the surface. It’s even more impressive when you consider that he pitches half his games at Great American Ballpark. Arroyo is a crafty lefty that is on a two-year good run and against this struggling line-up at this park, he’s very likely to thrive again. The Reds may very well be the best value on today’s card.

Our Pick
Cincinnati +113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.26)

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SuperSportsGroup MLB

Pittsburgh v. Washington 7:05pm
PICK: Pirates ML +121 Game
PICK: UNDER 8.5 GAme -110

Atlanta v. NY 7:15pm
PICK: Mets ML +121 Game


Cincinnati v. SAn Fran 10:15pm
PICK: UNDER 7 Game -110


3 Team Parlay for
Cubs ML +125 Game
OVER 7.5 Mets Game -120
Reds ML +105 Game

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Ben Burns

**HOT SIDE** *10* Personal Favorite!
Nationals ML

**SPECIAL** Customer Appreciation ANNIHILATOR!
Toronto Blue Jays ML

**BLOWOUT ALERT** A.L. Personal Favorite!
LA Angels ML

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cashmyticket365

Indians

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Cleveland at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Seattle -105 (moneyline) at TopBet

Don't look now, but the Seattle Mariners have rattled off six straight wins. The pitching is strong, but the issue this season with Seattle has been the quiet bats, but that has changed as the offense has caught fire. In their last 10 games, Seattle has averaged 7.4 runs per game, including cracking double-digits three times. This comes on the heels of having done so just one time prior all season long. Cleveland has had issues on the road where they are just 22-27 on the season, while the M's enter a respectable .500 at home. They have certainly had issues on the road behind Ubaldo Jimenez, where they are a woeful 8-20 in his last 28 road starts as a dog. The M's are working magic at home where they are a crisp 29-9 in their last 38 vs. a team with a losing road record, and the Tribe has mustered just a single win in their last five here. Play on Seattle.

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Sports Handicapper King

Mariners
Padres

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Hoopsgooroo

928 Jays -110
914 Red Sox +117
917 Orioles -118
922 White Sox +117
909 Cubs +127
924 Angels -175
926 Mariners -115
912 Giants -120

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Ocal Sports

(3) Dodgers +105

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RTG Sports

We had a nice winner with the Red Sox early this morning, as they used just about everyone out of the bullpen to hold off those pesky Yanks. Meanwhile, the Rays completed their sweep of the Blue Jays earlier in the afternoon, and had already arrived in Boston during this marathon. This is just about an hour and a half flight, so there was time to settle in. I know that these teams are battling for the division lead, but there are too many situations to ignore.

Boston has to be exhausted, and their pitching staff is depleted. This may also be a letdown situation for the Red Sox after stealing the series from their bitter rivals just hours ago. The Rays had some time to rest because of their early game and short flight. Also, let's not forget they have been surging through the past 19 games, winning 17. There is also a mismatch with today's starting pitchers. It is tough go against a dominant team like the Red Sox at home, but there are reasons why they are not the favorite tonight.

Let's keep grinding .....

Tampa Bay Rays -125*

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Monday Night Free MLB (2*) Play

GoodFella | MLB Money Line Monday, 7/22/2013 10:10 PM
926 SEA (-108) JustBet vs 925 CLE

Analysis:
2* on the SEATTLE MARINERS

Harang & Jimenez Must Start

I do like to ride teams who are rolling along on a nice WINNING STREAK, and these Mariners have won 6 straight ballgames, and have one of the more under-rated/deep lineups in the American League. This team is also more dangerous/potent vs RH pitching, and they face one tonight in Ubaldo. Ubaldo has struggled to go deep in ballgames and that Tribe bullpen has had it's share of issues this season. Harang was banged around his last home start, however that was against one of the better offenses in MLB vs RH pitching, in the Boston Red Sox. Harang prefers the bigger ballparks due to him being a fly ball pitcher, and I do expect him to limit these Indians tonight. I like the red hot Mariner sticks to keep it going tonight, and IMO we are getting solid value on them at HOME tonight. We are on the MARINERS tonight.

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Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

Pirates
Braves
Cubs
Rays

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LA Syndicate Top Plays

Brewers
Cubs
Giants
Twins
Mariners

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DHayes

1* Rays-124

1* Blue Jays-120

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SB Professor MLB Picks

902. Washington Nationals -135

904. New York Mets +119

910. Arizona Diamondbacks -137

926. Seattle Mariners -112

912. San Francisco Giants -123

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PAUL LEINER

100* Brewers -130

50* Reds -110

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Bookieshunter

24-9 run

3* Dodgers

2* Mariners

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Tkwins

colorado over 10.5 10 unit
*nyy over 8.5*
laa under 8.5

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Jimmy Boyd

3* (MLB) Baltimore Orioles ML -120
3* (MLB) San Francisco ML -125

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J.R Stevens SMOOTH44

MLB TOP PICK
(918) KANSAS CITY +105/RRL -1.5 +225

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Larry Ness

10* Pitching Mismatch
Cubs ML

10* Goin' Over Total
OVER 7 - Reds/Giants

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John Ryan 25* Cincy

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Accu-Score MLB

ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 143-83, 63.3% +2441 -

CLE 925 vs SEA 926 -- Over 50% on Seattle Mariners -106

SV-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 122-104, 54% +2223 -

CLE 925 vs SEA 926 -- Value on Seattle Mariners -106

SV-Home Line is -130 to -149 121-101, 54.5% +1980 -

CHC 909 vs ARI 910 -- Value on Chicago Cubs +132 (Pitching Change not accounted for)

NL GAME SV 282-253, 52.7% +1939 -

CIN 911 vs SF 912 -- Value on San Francisco Giants -111
MIA 907 vs COL 908 -- Value on Colorado Rockies -170
CHC 909 vs ARI 910 -- Value on Chicago Cubs +132
SD 905 vs MIL 906 -- Value on Milwaukee Brewers -117
PIT 901 vs WAS 902 -- Value on Pittsburgh Pirates +119
ATL 903 vs NYM 904 -- Value on Atlanta Braves -120

4 STAR TOTALS 182-148, 55.2% +1920 -

DET 921 vs CHW 922 -- Under 7.5
BAL 917 vs KC 918 -- Under 9
NYY 915 vs TEX 916 -- Under 8.5
CIN 911 vs SF 912 -- Under 7.5
MIA 907 vs COL 908 -- Under 10.5
CHC 909 vs ARI 910 -- Under 8.5

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HOTCHICKSPICKS

Take TORONTO -115 to fly high above the Rogers Centre!

Take BOSTON +115 to have a tea party in the harbor tonight!

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BOB BALFE

CINCINNATI REDS +120
(Arroyo/Linececum)

Tim Lincecum is coming off his best game ever as he threw a no hitter. I love watching this guy, but in reality I just don't see his body being able to hold up season after season. He really is no more than 160 pounds which just makes it even more amazing that he has the talented arm that he does. The Giants struggle to score runs and the Reds have owned them this year. Everyone loves taking the pitcher who just threw a no hitter the very next game so Vegas knows what they are doing by making the Giants small favorites. The money will be all over them tonight. Cincinnati has a better lineup and Arroyo has been great in his own right this year. Take the Reds.

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The Prez

Padres

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INTPICKS

Today's Official Picks

Monday, July 22, 2013

All 1 unit

MLB

8:10 PM ET

Detroit @ Chicago

Take Detroit Money Line -125

10:10 PM ET

Cleveland @ Seattle

Take Seattle Money Line -110

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Vincent Rizzo Sports

MLB PREMIUM PLAY

ATLANTA -128 (1.28U)

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sportscappers

washington ml
detroit ml
arizona ml
oakland ml
colorado ml

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the winner circle

oakland ml
colorado ml
ranger ml
laa ml

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9xSports

Detroit-118

Tennis - Kudla-210

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Major League Baseball has suspended Milwaukee Brewers (http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/_/name/mil/milwaukee-brewers) slugger Ryan Braun (http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/28721/ryan-braun) without pay for the remainder of the 2013 season.
Braun will not contest the suspension which was meted out for "violations of the Basic Agreement and its Joint Drug Prevention and Treatment Program," according to a statement released by MLB.

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Seabass Report for Monday-all 50's:
Colorado on the run line
Cincinnati
Tampa Bay

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Tom Freese 15* MLB Detroit

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
3* Texas Rangers (-205) 615/300
2* Houston Astros +1.5 (-110) 220/200
2* Los Angeles/Toronto over 9 230/200
1* Washington Nationals (-130) 130/100
1* Pittsburgh/Washington over 8.5 115/100

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Scott Landau Shoots the Entire BR:
ATL -129 / SF -122 / TB -125 / NYY +180 / CWS +110 / MIN +160 / TOR -120

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danny b
atlanta over

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rbi sports
texas

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bookiemonsters
116-74 run

24-17 run last 41 plays

pod oakland under 9

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Hollywood sports line
tampa bay
William Cross Sports
washington-130

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William Cross Sports
mlb
toronto-128

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Sports Cash System

free picks:

Washington Nationals -134 over the Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB Baseball)

San Diego Padres +113 over the Milwaukee Brewers (MLB Baseball)

Los Angeles Angels/Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 (Total Runs Scored in Game) (MLB Baseball)

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J.R Stevens SMOOTH44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

NOTE: BOSTON ML IS MY PLAY OF THE DAY

MLB

(904) NY-METS +120/RRL -1.5 +260
(911) CINCINNATI +115/RRL -1.5 +185
(914) BOSTON +115/RRL -1.5 +250
(915) NY-YANKEES +185/RRL -1.5 +280***ADD***
(918) KANSAS CITY +105/RRL -1.5 +225
(920) HOUSTON +150/RRL -1.5 +310


*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

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Power Play Wins

Play of the Day

Tigers