7-31-13

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::handshake::

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WGC-Bridgestone Invitational: Golf betting preview and picks
By MATT FARGO

The PGA Tour is doing double duty this week, the second time this season that a regular tour event and a WGC event are taking place the same week.

This week, the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational takes center stage with all but two players in the Top 50 in the OWGR competing from the Firestone Country Club South Course in Akron, Ohio. The Reno-Tahoe has to deal with that along with preceding the PGA Championship.

We focus on the Bridgestone for betting purposes as we have a field that has not been seen on many occasions this season because of its strength. In total, 72 players are in the limited field and, as is the normal case in these invitational tournaments, there’s no cut and the winner’s purse is $1.4 million while the minimum payout is $35,000. So there is a lot on the line.

The South Course at Firestone seems almost unfair to amateurs. It’s a Par 70 but measures 7,400 yards making it the longest Par-70 course of all non-majors. Surprisingly, the bombers off the tee don’t have a huge edge. The real way to score is hitting greens in regulation as the greens can be very receptive and can lead to good birdie chances. Firestone South ranked 16th out of 49 courses in difficulty last season.

Tiger Woods (+400) is the overwhelming favorite this week and for good reason. He’s won here seven times throughout his career, although his last victory came in 2009. He’s coming in with plenty of confidence with four wins but a Sunday meltdown at the Open Championship is his most recent action. Still, he’s tough to look past and even at short odds, we will add him as a hedge bet.

Matt Kuchar (+2,000) is coming off another strong finish as he placed T2 in Canada last week. The last time he finished second, which was at Colonial, he came back the very next week at the Memorial and won it. He has won twice this season to go along with five other Top 10s. Firestone is a place he likes, finishing T8, T19 and T9 the last three years.

The limited starts for Steve Stricker (+2,500) have not hurt his performance. He has four Top 10s in seven medal play events. He has finished outside the Top 20 only once and he’s coming off a T10 at the John Deere Classic in his last start. He leads the tour in greens hit, even though it’s unofficial because of his lack of rounds. He followed up a T9 in 2010 and a solo 14th in 2011 with a T2 at Firestone last year.

Henrik Stenson (+3,000) is getting the best odds from the Top 15, in my opinion. He’s playing his best golf of the season with two Top 5s in his last five PGA Tour starts, including a solo second at Muirfield. Prior to that was a T3 at the Scottish Open and his statistics fit the bill at Firestone. He’s first in driving accuracy at 71 percent and second in greens hit, also at 71 percent.

Bubba Watson (+4,000) is getting some solid odds despite having a rather disappointing season. He has three Top 10s with a solo fourth and a T4 being his best finishes, but he has been consistent with only two missed cuts in 15 medal play events. His length could be an advantage based on weather and his recent form at Firestone has been solid with a T19, T21 and T22 the last three years.

For a long shot this week, we turn to Angel Cabrera (+5,000). He was in the hunt at Muirfield until a double bogey on 16 Saturday turned the corner and he went 5-over in his last 21 holes. Still, it was a T11 finish which was his third straight Top 15. His solo second at the Masters is still his best finish of the season and he has had success at Firestone with three Top-5 finishes.

Recommended tournament win six pack at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational (all for one unit)

Tiger Woods (+400)
Matt Kuchar (+2,000)
Steve Stricker (+2,500)
Henrik Stenson (+3,000)
Bubba Watson (+4,000)
Angel Cabrera (+5,000)

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English Premier League goalscorer prop bets

It feels like the Premier League season ended just a couple of weeks ago, but the new campaign gets underway August 17. The transfer window is still open and clubs are still in the middle of some wheeling and dealing trying to get the best XI that they can afford ready for kickoff.

One of the most popular prop bets in the Premier League is Top Goalscorer and with the hitmen that have come into the league (Jovetic and Negredo at Man City, Soldado's potential move to Spurs) and some goalscorers' futures still in the balance (think Wayne Rooney, Gareth Bale and Luis Suarez), the race for the leagues' top marksman has the potential to be an entertaining one.

Here is a look at a few guys worth some consideration (odds courtesy of William Hill):

Favorite

Robin Van Persie, Manchester United (+350)
2012-13: 26 goals

The Dutchman has led the Premier League in scoring the past two seasons with 26 goals last season for United and 30 the season before with Arsenal. It will be interesting to see how the Red Devils adapt to life with new manager David Moyes calling the shots from the touch line. United has not made a splash in the transfer market, failing in its pursuit of ex-Barcelona playmaker Thiago Alcântara, who decided to join the Bundesliga with Bayern Munich.

Outsider

Romelu Lukaku, Chelsea (+2500)
2012-13: 17 goals (on loan with West Brom)

This could be the season that the young Belgian establishes himself as a star. Luakau finished sixth in the league with 17 goals while playing with an overachieving West Brom side. Lukaku could very well be José Mourinho's first-choice striker, with Fernando Torres never really fitting in at Stamford Bridge and Demba Ba only notching a pair of goals in 11 appearances following his move from Newcastle in January. Lukaku is big, strong, physically dominant, and can score with either foot or his head. With the likes of Eden Hazard, Juan Mata, Oscar and Andre Schürrle playing around him capable of making the killer pass, Lukaku could be in for a very, very big season.

Long shot

Michu, Swansea (+6600)
2012-13: 18 goals

Michael Laudrup was appointed Swansea boss after Brendan Rodgers bolted for Liverpool in 2012. Laudrup employs a free flowing, attacking style that caters to the attractive passing style that made him a star player. Michu was the beneficiary of Laudrup's tactics, having notched 18 goals in his first season in the Premier League. The Spaniard made an immediate impact, scoring in bunches, and became a cult hero at the Liberty Stadium. The Swans have re-loaded in the transfer window adding more attacking pieces to the lineup, such as Wilfried Bony and Jonjo Shelvey. The future appears bright for the Welsh club and the goals should come fast and furious for Michu.

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Under bettors happy to see Marlins vs. Martinez melee

The Miami Marlins’ terrible 2013 season got even uglier this past weekend when hitting coach Tino Martinez quit after an altercation with players during batting practice.

But it’s not like the Marlins can get any worse at the plate without the former Yankee great tinkering with their swings. Miami is dead last in just about every hitting statistic, including runs per game (3.20), batting average (.232) and home runs (62).

Those stinky stats have led to a 40-64 record heading into Tuesday and have cost Miami backers – if they really exist - -7.28 units on the year. Total bettors, however, are more than happy to see the Marlins offense continue to implode and Martinez walk away.

Miami is 43-54-7 over/under (fourth-best under in NL), most notably 19-30-3 over/under on the road (60.5 percent under). Since Martinez walked, the Marlins are 1-1 over/under, losing 6-5 to the New York Mets and topping the 7-run total Monday.

According to FoxSports Ken Rosenthal, Martinez got in a confrontation after three players refused to pick up balls during batting practice, including second baseman Derek Dietrich, who Martinez said he grabbed by the jersey. Martinez officially resigned Sunday after the press caught wind of the BP dust-up.

“Do you realize I’m out of baseball basically because a couple of players didn't pick up balls in the cage when I asked them to?,” he told FoxSports. “As a coach, when I asked them to pick up the balls, why didn’t they just say, ‘Absolutely, no problem, I’ll do it right now.’ ”

Miami is a -137 home favorite hosting New York Tuesday. The total is set at 7.5 runs.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Brewers (Game 1) on Tuesday and likes the Reds on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1333 sirignanos.

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Locke is 4-2, 1.90 in his last eight starts. Wainwright is 3-1, 3.20 in his last six starts.
-- Gaudin is 3-0, 3.68 in his four road starts this season.
-- Minor is 2-1, 2.22 in his last four starts. Chatwood is 3-1, 2.28 in his last four outings.
-- Alvarez is 1-0, 0.00 (13 IP) in his last two starts. Mejia blanked Nationals for seven innings in his first '13 start.
-- Peralta is 2-1, 2.45 in his last five starts. Jackson is 3-1, 2.78 in his last five.

-- GGonzalez is 4-0, 2.19 in his last ten starts.
-- Rays won last seven Hellickson starts (6-0, 2.09). Miley is 3-1, 1.87 in his last five starts.
-- Kershaw is 4-1, 1.72 in his last six starts. Kuroda is 3-0, 0.69 in his last four.

-- Colon is 11-1, 1.53 in his last thirteen starts.
-- Kluber is 1-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- MGonzalez is 4-0, 2.60 in his last four home starts.
-- Iwakuma is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Bailey is 0-4, 4.68 in his last four starts. Stults is 0-2, 8.18 in his last two.
-- Kendrick is 2-3, 6.07 in his last five starts.

-- Verlander is 1-3, 6.31 in his last four starts.

-- Dickey is 0-3, 6.48 in his last four starts.
-- Norris is 0-2, 8.47 in his last three starts.
-- Lackey is 1-3, 4.33 in his last four starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-2, 9.64 in his last six.
-- Williams is 0-5, 8.42 in his last seven starts. Perez is 0-2, 9.39 in his last three outings.
-- Guthrie is 3-4, 5.85 in his last eight starts; Correia is 1-3, 6.39 in his last six.


Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Bailey 3-21; Stults 2-22
-- Wainwright 5-22; Locke 3-20 (0 of last 12)
-- Gaudin 2-8; Kendrick 7-21
-- Chatwood 4-14; Minor 7-21
-- Mejia 0-1; Alvarez 1-4
-- Peralta 4-22 (0 of last 9); Jackson 7-21

-- GGonzalez 6-21; Verlander 6-22
-- Miley 6-21; Hellickson 7-21 (0 of last 11)
-- Kuroda 6-21 (1 of last 10); Kershaw 2-22

-- Dickey 6-22 (1 of last 10); Colon 5-21
-- Axelrod 6-18; Kluber 3-17
-- Norris 7-21; MGonzalez 6-18
-- Iwakuma 5-22 (0 of last 6); Lackey 7-18
-- Williams 5-14; Perez 4-8
-- Guthrie 6-21; Correia 6-20

Totals
-- Five of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total; nine of last eleven Cub games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine St Louis games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Colorado road games stayed under.
-- Four of last six San Francisco games stayed under.
-- 12 of last 14 Marlin games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Cincinnati games.

-- Three of last four Washington games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Bronx games.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Baltimore games.
-- Eight of last eleven Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Texas games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Kansas City games.
-- Six of last nine Toronto games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Brewers won four of their last five games.
-- Pirates won six of their last seven home games.
-- Braves won five of their last six games.
-- San Diego won seven of its last nine games.

-- Detroit won eight of its last nine games. Nationals won four of their last six.
-- Tampa Bay won 23 of its last 27 games.
-- Dodgers won 27 of their last 33 games.

-- Boston won 14 of its last 20 games at Fenway Park.
-- Indians won their last six games, scoring 38 runs.
-- Kansas City won its last seven games, allowing 12 runs.
-- Rangers won three of their last four home games.
-- A's won 13 of their last 18 home games.


Cold teams
-- Cubs lost their last three games, scoring seven runs.
-- Cardinals lost their last six games, scoring six runs.
-- Rockies lost three of their last four games.
-- Phillies/Giants both lost eight of their last nine games.
--
Miami lost three of its last four games. Mets lost three of their last five.
-- Reds lost their last five games, scoring five runs total.

-- Arizona lost 13 of its last 17 road games.
-- Bronx lost nine of its last thirteen games.


-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
-- Astros lost 14 of their last 17 games; Baltimore lost five of last seven.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last six games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last six road games.

Umpires
-- Cin-SD-- Five of last six Davis games stayed under the total.
-- StL-Pitt-- Underdogs won 10 oif last 15 Fairchild games.
-- SF-Phil-- Five of last six Bellino games stayed under the total.
-- Col-Atl-- Five of last seven Foster games stayed under total.
-- NY-Mia-- Four of six Hamari games went over the total.
-- Mil-Chi-- Last five Estabrook games stayed under the total.

-- Wsh-Det-- Last six Gorman games stayed under the total.
-- Az-TB-- Favorites won last four Hallion games.
-- NY-LA-- Last four Bucknor games went over the total.

-- Tor-A's-- Eight of last ten LBarrett games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Cle-- Over is 11-6-2 in last eighteen Reyburn games.
-- Hst-Balt-- Four of last five Barksdale games stayed under.
-- Sea-Bos-- Last nine Darling games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Tex-- Last five Layne games went over the total.
-- KC-Min-- Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Nauert games.

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Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at San Diego

The Padres look to build on their 13-3 record in Eric Stults' last 16 home starts. San Diego is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 31
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Cincinnati at San Diego (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.619; San Diego (Stults) 16.649
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Over


Game 953-954 St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.286; Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.503
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under


Game 955-956: San Francisco at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Gaudin) 14.815; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.887
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-105); Over


Game 957-958: Colorado at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 14.177; Atlanta (Minor) 16.640
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Under


Game 959-960: NY Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Mejia) 15.698; Miami (Alvarez) 14.579
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Under


Game 961-962: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 13.575; Cubs (Jackson) 14.934
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A


Game 963-964: Toronto at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 14.936; Oakland (Colon) 16.471
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-160); Under


Game 965-966: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.751; Cleveland (Kluber) 15.127
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+150); Over


Game 967-968: Houston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bedard) 13.744; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.150
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-240); Over


Game 969-970: Seattle at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.111; Boston (Lackey) 15.157
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+130); Under


Game 971-972: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 13.896; Texas (Perez) 15.497
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Over


Game 973-974: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 16.462; Minnesota (Correia) 15.165
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Under


Game 975-976: Washington at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.621; Detroit (Verlander) 15.700
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Under


Game 977-978: Arizona at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.199; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.118
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-170); Over


Game 979-980: NY Yankees at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.925; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.906
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-185); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-185); Under

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WNBA Basketball Picks

New York at Washington

The Liberty look to build on their 4-1-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. New York is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: New York (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 31
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 106.609; Washington 110.690
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 4; 142
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 147
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6 1/2); Under

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Baseball Crusher
Philadelphia Phillies -113 over San Francisco Giants
(System Record: 56-6, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 56-61-1

Soccer Crusher
Atletico MG + Paranaense OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 434-15, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 434-371-57

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Cappers Access

Nationals +145
Cardinals -125
Cubs -125

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1072-802 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner WED Cinci -125

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Rockies/Braves over 7.5

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Wednesday Houston/Baltimore Under 9 1/2

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bookiemonsters

121-78 run

29-21 run last 50 plays

pod rockies game under 7.5

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Vic Monte Sports

Private Play Game of the Year #5 RED SOX

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Jimmy Moore

7* NATIONAL LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR!!!

7* Pittsburgh ML +110
Locke is outstanding this season at 9-3 with an ERA of 2.14, he has been excellent lately and in his lone start against the Cardinals this season he went 7 scoreless innings. Pittsburgh is very strong at home and amazing against right handers. The Cardinals are a good team but they are under .500 this season against lefties and they just are not playing good ball right now. The Pirates at a dog price is way too good to miss out on especially with Locke on the mound. Thank you and good luck

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Power Play Wins

Play of the Day

Reds -125

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Scott Rickenbach 8* Over Easy

Kansas City/Minnesota Over

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The Factsman

MLB Wednesday Video Pick

Pittsburgh Pirates +111
(w/J. Locke)

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River City Sharps

1:05 PM
3 UNITS Washington Nationals +124

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB NY YANKEES at LA DODGERS

Play Against - Road teams (NY YANKEES) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
296-173 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.1% 89.8 units )
45-33 this year. ( 57.7% 4.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at CLEVELAND

CLEVELAND is 23-7 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.

The average score was: CLEVELAND (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.4)

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Quality Sports Picks

Boston Red Sox -150
5 Unit

Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Under 7
5 Unit

Colorado Rockies +150 (1st 5 innings only)
5 Unit

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HANDICAPPINGKINGS

JIMMY

MLB
(Cincinnati Reds -125) (340PM)

MARC

MLB
Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers
(UNDER 7.5 -130) (1PM)

WNBA
New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics
(UNDER 147 -110) (7PM)

PJ

WTA
(Ana Ivanovic -115) (315PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA NEW YORK at WASHINGTON

Play On - Home favorites (WASHINGTON) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
109-59 since 1997. ( 64.9% 44.1 units )
3-5 this year. ( 37.5% -2.5 units )

WNBA NEW YORK at WASHINGTON

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) in a game involving two average shooting teams (40.5-43.5%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's)
182-60 since 1997. ( 75.2% 0.0 units )

WNBA NEW YORK at WASHINGTON

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points vs. division opponents, after a division game
324-204 since 1997. ( 61.4% 99.6 units )
7-2 this year. ( 77.8% 4.8 units )

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CHASE DIAMOND

8* KILLER CLUB

Money Line: Atlanta Braves -175

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TheSportsCapper MLB Baseball Plays

WEDNESDAY

100* Play Tampa Bay -150 over Arizona (TOP MLBPLAY)

Tampa Bay has won 48 of the last 71 games whenplaying as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have also won 52 of the last83 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Tampa Bay has won 20 of the last 24 gameswhen playing in the month of July and they have also won 82 of the last 137games vs. left-handed starting pitchers.

================================================== ===============================

100* Play Los Angeles Dodgers -175 over NewYork Yankees (TOP MLB PLAY)

Clayton Kershaw has won 21 of the last 30 gameswhen pitching in the month of July and he has won 53 of the last 80 games whenpitching as a favorite of -110 or higher. Clayton Kershaw has won 50 of the last 73 games when the total posted isseven runs or less and he has an ERA of 1.74 in home games this season.

================================================== ===============================

100* Play Atlanta -150 over Colorado (TOP MLBPLAY)

Colorado has lost 11 of the last 12 road gameswhen playing as an underdog of +150 to +200 and they have also lost 25 of thelast 39 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Colorado has lost 47 of the last 76 gameswhen playing in the month of July and they have also lost 23 of the last 32games after allowing ten runs or more in their last game.

================================================== ===============================

50* Play Oakland -135 over Toronto (Bonus MLBPlay)
50* Play Cleveland -160 over Chicago White Sox(Bonus MLB Play)

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EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Billy Joe Hershey
Wash Nats+1.5
KC Royals (Money)

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Anthony Redd

Total of the year LAD/NYY Over 6.5

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Chicago Syndicate

Top Plays

NL Total of the Month Under 8 Cubs/Brewers
Under Mets
Indians
Nationals
Diamondbacks

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LA Syndicate

Padres
Blue Jays
Rangers
Diamondbacks
Over 6 Dodgers/Yankees

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Teddy Covers

10* Padres

10* Royals

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Vincent Rizzo Sports

MLB PREMIUM PLAY

NY YANKS / LA DODGERS - UNDER 6 (1.20U)

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Bob Balfe

BOSTON RED SOX -150
(Lackey/Iwakuma)

I never am thrilled when we take a favorite around this price, but I just can't see Seattle beating Boston tonight. Lackey is the better pitcher and Seattle has trouble scoring on the road. All it takes is that one crooked run inning for the Red Sox and its all over. This team just made a major trade and the buzz around Boston is starting to get stronger as they are in a tight playoff race. They need wins in these spots. Take the Red Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Phillies -120

50* Cubs -125

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Wednesday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's American League games:

Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland A's (-147, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Toronto RHP R.A. Dickey is tied for second in the major leagues with 24 home runs allowed.

Batting stat: The Athletics added 2B Alberto Callaspo from the Angels. Callaspo batted .252 with five home runs and 36 RBIs in 86 games with the Angels.

Weather: Temperatures in the low 60s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing WSW at 8 mph.

Key betting stat: Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League West.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles (-219, 9)

Pitching stat: Baltimore LHP Erik Bedard is posting a 1-6 record with a 5.79 ERA and a .296 batting average against on the road.

Batting stat: Baltimore SS J.J. Hardy is showing signs of breaking out of his slump. After going 3-for-22 in his previous six games, Hardy had a two-run single on Tuesday.

Weather: Temperatures in the low 50s with a 27 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing south at 7 mph.

Key betting stat: Astros are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings with Orioles.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (-162, 8)

Pitching stat: Chicago RHP Dylan Axelrod has a 4.08 ERA in 17 2-3 career innings against Cleveland.

Batting stat: Cleveland C Yan Gomes is 9-for-22 with seven RBIs in six games against the White Sox this season.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with a 61 percent chance of thundershowers. Winds will blow NE at 2 mph.

Key betting stat: Indians are 6-0 in their last six during Game 3 of a series.

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox (-146, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Boston RHP John Lackey saw plenty of the Mariners from his days with the AL West-rival Los Angeles Angels, compiling a 15-10 mark and 3.60 ERA in 30 career starts.

Batting stat: Red Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia homered and had three RBIs Tuesday, ending an 0-for-16 skid with his first extra-base hit since the All-Star break.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing SE at 7 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 8-0-1 in umpire Gary Darling's last nine games behind home plate.

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (-139, 10)

Pitching stat: Los Angeles RHP Jerome Williams is 0-5 in his last eight outings after yielding four runs in five innings against the Athletics Friday.

Batting stat: Los Angeles OF Josh Hamilton is is 4-for-9 with six RBIs in this series against his former club.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 90s with a 10 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing south at 2 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Texas.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (-103, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Royals RHP Jeremy Guthrie is 3-4 over his last eight outings, allowing five or more runs five times in that span.

Batting stat: Kansas City is 9-2 since the All-Star break, hitting .253 and scoring 3.72 runs per game.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with partly cloudy skies and a 21 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing WNW at 9 mph.

Key betting stat: Royals are 23-9 in Guthrie's last 32 starts.

Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers (-135, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Detroit RHP Justin Verlander has yielded four or more runs in five of his last eight outings.

Batting stat: The Tigers could be without third baseman Miguel Cabrera, who left Tuesday's contest after seven innings as he apparently aggravated the hip injury that sidelined him for four games last week.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 60s with a 67 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds blowing SSE at 4 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Tampa Bay Rays (-173, 8)

Pitching stat: Rays RHP Jeremy Hellickson is 8-1 with a 3.17 ERA in 10 starts since June 1, allowing only four homers while striking out 50 against 12 walks over 59 2-3 innings.

Batting stat: Diamondbacks 2B Aaron Hill, who had two hits Tuesday, is 19-for-44 in his last 12 interleague games.

Weather: N/A

Key betting stat: Rays are 23-7 in their last 30 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's National League games:

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres (+113, 7)

Pitching stat: Reds RHP Homer Bailey is 4-0 in seven career starts against the Padres despite allowing nine homers in 44 innings.

Batting stat: Reds 3B Todd Frazier went 0-for-4 on Tuesday and is hitless in 16 at-bats over the last five games.

Weather: Temperatures in low 70s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing west at 5 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in San Diego.

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (+108, 7)

Pitching stat: The Cardinals have lost a season-worst six straight games and have been outscored 28-6 during the stretch.

Batting stat: Pirates CF Andrew McCutchen is 9-for-21 with three doubles and a triple against Cardinals RHP Adam Wainwright.

Weather: Temperatures in low 70s with a 34 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing SSE at 3 mph.

Key betting stat: Pirates are 3-18 in their last 21 games with umpire Chad Fairchild behind home plate.

San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies (-119, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Philadelphia RHP Kyle Kendrick is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA in six career games (three starts) against the Giants.

Batting stat: The Giants have been outhomered 10-1 over their last 11 games.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with partly cloudy skies and a 14 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing south at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 20-8-1 in Kendrick's last 29 starts vs. National League West.

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves (-172, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Atlanta LHP Mike Minor has allowed six earned runs in his last four starts.

Batting stat: Braves 3B Chris Johnson went 2-for-4 on Tuesday to increase his NL-best batting average to .341.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with a 90 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds blowing SSW at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Rockies are 7-28 in the last 35 meetings in Atlanta.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins (-108, 7)

Pitching stat: Miami's starting pitchers have allowed three or fewer runs in 32 of the past 37 games.

Batting stat: The Marlins have managed 10 hits in the past two games, after interim hitting coach John Pierson took over for Tino Martinez, who quit after an altercation with players.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 80s with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds blowing east at 10 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 12-2 in Marlins' last 14 overall.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (-125, 8)

Pitching stat: The Cubs have 22 blown saves - including both games Tuesday - and have lost nine games when leading or tied entering the ninth inning.

Batting stat: Milwaukee is 38-0 when leading after eight innings and is the only team in the majors that has not lost after taking a lead to the ninth.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with a 29 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds blowing NNE at 3 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 27-13-2 in the last 42 meetings in Chicago.

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Dodgers (-181, 6)

Pitching stat: Yankees RHP Hiroki Kuroda has not allowed a run in three of his last four starts spanning 26 innings and has not permitted a home run in that stretch after coughing up five in back-to-back starts.

Batting stat: The Dodgers are riding a streak of eight straight one-run victories, including back-to-back walk-off wins.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 60s with clear skies and winds blowing SSW at 5 mph.

Key betting stat: Yankees are 6-13 in their last 19 games as road underdogs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Peavy deal doesn't budge Red Sox World Series odds

The Boston Red Sox added veteran pitcher Jake Peavy from the Chicago White Sox Tuesday, boosting their starting rotation for the home stretch of the MLB season.

The Red Sox, who currently sit second in the American League East at 64-44 (+12.76 units) entered week priced at +475 to win the AL Pennant and +1,000 to win the World Series. Despite adding Peavy, who was 8-4 with a 4.28 ERA with the White Sox, Boston’s futures will remain steady, according to Jeff Sherman, assistant manager at the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas.

Peavy was acquired in a three-team, seven-player deal with the Red Sox, White Sox and Detroit Tigers. Boston sent infielder Jose Iglesias to Detroit and Chicago picked up promising outfielder Avisail Garcia along with three other prospects. The Red Sox also added minor league reliever Brayan Villarreal.

Boston is a -146 home favorite hosting the Seattle Mariners Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer

Triple Dime UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE YEAR!!

NY Yankees +170 over LA DODGERS – The Dodgers have revenge vs Hiroki Kuroda for a 6-4 loss in New York on June 19th. However, the Dodgers are an unbelievable 0-8 as a 120-plus home favorite when they are seeking same season revenge for a loss vs their opponent’s starting pitcher, when that starter went more than five innings against them. The SDQL text is:

team=Dodgers and H and line<=-120 and oS:W and oS:season=season and oS:SIP>5 and date>=20120730

The Dodgers NEVER LED in any of the eight games and they were a 170-plus favorite in FIVE of the eight games. Wow.

Clayton Kershaw is off a great performance; eight innings of work in a 2-1 win. This, however, is no reason to play on the Dodgers, as they are 0-7 at HOME WITH KERSHAW when he is off a start in which he faced 28-plus hitters and struck out fewer than ten, as long as he was not a 200-plus favorite in that start. See for yourself by running this SDQL text:

starter=Clayton Kershaw and H and s:SSO<10 and s:SHF>=28 and date>=20120820 and p:line>-200

Yesterday, the Yankees lost 3-2 in the series opener, managing only five hits without drawing a single walk. NY has a long history of success in this spot. The Yanks are 16-0 as a DOG when they are off a loss in which they had ten or fewer hits and drew one or fewer walks. That’s SIXTEEN straight wins as a dog. The SDQL text is:

team=Yankees and D and p:walks<=1 and p:L and p:hits<=10 and date>=20080901

In addition, THIS SEASON, the Yankees are 8-0 as a dog of more than 100 when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they never led and had six or fewer hits. Check it out with this SDQL text:

team=Yankees and line>100 and p:hits<=6 and p:BL=0 and season=2013

In the game listing, you can see Kuroda’s two starts in this spot. The Yankees beat the Red Sox 5-2 in Boston at plus-140 and beat the Rangers 2-0 at plus-140.

The reason that this game is so strong is not that the Yankees have an overwhelming chance of winning. In fact, we make them somewhere between 50-55% to win. The reason that the game is so strong is that we are getting plus 170 on slightly better than a coin toss. If Kershaw beats us 2-1, we tip our hat to him. The side on which to be is the Yankees.

MTi’s FORECAST: NY Yankees 5 LA DODGERS 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

(951) CINCINNATI -125/RL -1.5 +135

(975) WASHINGTON +125/RRL -1.5 +200

*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY

WNBA

4* Under 146.5 - New York vs. Washington (7:05pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

**EARLY** MLB Run-Line Annihilator!
Padres +1.5

*10* MLB Personal Favorite!
Cubs ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

Kansas City (Guthrie) (-105) at Minnesota (Correia) 8:10 ET
Kansas City (Guthrie) (-105)

The Royals blasted through the .500 barrier recording their 7th straight victory with the 7-2 defeat of the Twins on Tuesday. Guthrie has been a streaky pitcher who returned to form in his previous outing allowing just 1 run in 6 IP of a 7-1 victory vs. Baltimore. He will pitch today with confidence knowing that in 3 outings this year vs. the Twins, he has a 3.32 ERA. Correia is at the other end of the spectrum. His downturn began with an outing against these Royals in which he allowed 5 runs in 5 IP of a 9-8 loss. Including that game, the Twins have gone 1-5 in his starts over which time he has allowed 20 runs in 24 IP with a 15/13 KBB. In his most recent outing, Correia allowed 6 runs in just 1 2/3 IP of an 8-2 loss to Seattle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal Sports

(3) A's -159

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Danny B

Reds
Cards

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsWagers MLB
Today's Free Picks for Jul 31, 2013



http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.png

Kansas City @ MINNESOTA
Kansas City -107 over MINNESOTA

Here come the Royals. K.C. has won seven straight and they are now just five games back in the Wild Card race with a long way to go. Over the Royals seven-game winning streak they defeated Chris Sale, swept the Orioles and took the opener of this series last night, 7-2. They now get their easiest assignment of them all when facing Kevin Correia. How desperate are the Twins for starting pitching? They inked this stiff to a two-year deal worth 10M. Correia has walked 13 batters and struck out 15 over his past 24 innings. Over his last five starts he has a 1.88 WHIP, an xERA of 5.85 and a 26% line-drive rate. This year, Correia has a BAA of .296. He didn’t make it out of the second inning in his last start, which should come as no surprise, as 50% of his starts this year have been disasters. He now faces one of the hottest teams in the league.
Jeremy Guthrie is the picture of consistent mediocrity but a trade back to the AL served him well. With KC: 3.16 ERA, 1.13 WHIP. Guthrie is 10-7 this season with a 4.27 ERA and while he won't turn into a new pitcher at age 34, he remains a far better option at a short price than Kevin Correia does at any price. With a 93-mph fastball and four other pitches he uses at any time he's in position here to extend the Royals winning streak to eight. Value doesn’t always come in playing the dog. That applies here.

Our Pick
Kansas City -107 (Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngWashington @ DETROIT
Washington +120 over DETROIT

1:00 PM EST. It’s different to see Justin Verlander as a risky favorite but the numbers don’t lie. Verlander’s recent string of performances has raised questions about what is wrong with the long-time ace. Over his last seven starts, he has just 31 K in 50.2 IP, while walking 23. Two of those seven starts came against the White Sox in which Verlander surrendered 23 hits in 13 innings against the AL’s lowest scoring team. Overall, Verlander has an unacceptable 1.41 WHIP, a decreasing groundball rate that has gone from 41% in April and May to 36% in June and July. At 220+ IP for four straight years and 137 already this year, the signs suggest Verlander might be in trouble with a “dead arm”. Verlander’s ERA over his last five starts is 4.68 and his xERA is 5.08. He may look appealing spotting a cheap price at home by his standards but the warning signs are loud and clear.
To say that Gio Gonzalez has come on strong after a slow start is an understatement. Since June 1, nine of his 10 starts have been pure quality. His skills for each month have gotten progressively better. Gonzalez’s 16% line-drive rate is the lowest among NL starters that have pitched 50 innings or more. Gonzalez also has an elite 53% groundball rate, 136 K’s in 130 innings and a solid 1.19 WHIP. He rarely loses on his own, as his three losses in 21 starts this season attest to. Gonzalez is among the elite. His 16% line-drive rate and all his other skills is a testament to how difficult it is for opponents to square up his stuff. Expect nothing less here.

Our Pick
Washington +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngToronto @ OAKLAND
Toronto +139 over OAKLAND

3:35 PM EST. Over his last three road starts, R.A. Dickey has faced Cleveland, Texas and Tampa Bay. He allowed 14 hits and three earned runs over 20.2 innings in those starts and that’s against three very good hitting clubs. Once again, this isn’t the Rogers Center, where Dickey can’t keep the ball in the yard. This is perhaps the best pitcher’s park in the AL and Dickey has a great chance to thrive here.
The Blue Jays can hit. They have several players in their line-up that are swinging a hot bat at the moment and they scored four times in the opener of this series and five times last night. Over the past 30 games, Toronto is a top-3 team in several offensive categories that include runs scored, team batting average, HR’s and SLG % to name a few. Now the Blue Jays get their shot at Bartolo Colon. We keep suggesting Colon’s dream season can’t last but so far it has with below average skills that are getting worse. Colon has 16 K’s over his past 35 frames. In his last start against the Angels, his WHIP was 1.50 but he somehow managed to escape jam after jam and ended up allowing two runs over six innings with two walks and two strikeouts. Colon’s 87% strand rate over his last 10 starts is the highest in the majors and it’s not close. The closest one to him is 79%. He relies primarily on his fastball, which doesn’t get above 90 mph these days. The Blue Jays have feasted on fastballs all season long and once again we’ll fade the luckiest pitcher in baseball.

Our Pick
Toronto +139 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.78)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngSeattle @ BOSTON
Seattle +138 over BOSTON

One has to figure that the trade the Red Sox made yesterday was in direct reaction to what the Tampa Bay Rays have done over the past two months. Tampa is the team that the Red Sox must go through in order to make the playoffs and/or advance deep should they get there. The Rays just took four of five games from Boston. Tampa throws out young, dominant arms with stuff every night. The Rays are a freight train right now and the Red Sox figured they had to do something with Clay Buchholz’s status becoming more uncertain every day. The Red Sox took a huge risk in trading for Jake Peavy, a guy that is past his prime and has spent 145 days on the DL over the past three years. There’s a big difference pitching for San Diego and the South Side than from pitching in a pressure filled pennant race in Boston. The Red Sox traded away Jose Iglesias, an outstanding glove that is also hitting .330 this year and that is going to be a fixture wherever he plays for the next 10 years or more. We mention this because the Red Sox players (and their fans) might be in a bit of shock today over a trade that has long term consequences that cannot turn out well for Boston. That move doesn’t exactly instill Boston’s faith in John Lackey either. Lackey was on a huge roll recently but over his past two games he has surrendered 19 hits and nine runs over 12.2 innings and one of those starts came against the light-hitting Yankees. Lackey’s ERA went from 2.78 to 3.19 after his last two starts and perhaps the Red Sox see something that is worrisome. Boston has lost three of Lackey’s last four starts.
When you’re a starting pitcher in Seattle, you’re going to find yourself in the shadow of King Felix Hernandez but with a 10-4 record Hisashi Iwakuma is casting some shadows of his own. Iwakuma’s skills keep getting better. Over his last five starts over 29 innings, Iwakuma has a 56% groundball rate, a 13% line-drive rate and 28 K’s with just five walks issued. Iwakuma’s dominance can be seen in his 72%/5% dominant start/disaster start split over 22 starts. Overall, Iwakuma has a 0.95 WHIP, a 2.87 ERA and 129 K’s in 144 frames. While he’ll never challenge the King for the top slot in the Seattle rotation, he’s been as good as or better than Hernandez but he’s not priced in the same range and that offers up some great value.

Our Pick
Seattle +138 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.76)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella

Wednesday Afternoon MLB

(2*) SAN DIEGO PADRES RL +1.5
(Stults & Bailey)
Must Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STAT PICKS

MLB (totals)

giants/phillies - under 8.5

angels/rangers - over 10.5

WNBA (totals)

liberty/mystics - under 146.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS) Pit/Stl - UNDER 7
Betting $565 to win $500

(5 UNITS) Reds
Betting $640 to win $500

(4 UNITS)Sea/Bos - UNDER 8.5
Betting $420 to win $400

(3 UNITS) Rays -1.5
Betting $300 to win $378

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll Sports

White Sox @ Indians - Over 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY

WNBA
4* Under 146.5 - New York vs. Washington (7:05pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo: Go with Gonzo!

Hondo followed up Monday’s ultra-painful split by getting slammed with Strasburg and the Nats last night in Detroit, which pushed the accounts payable into four figures at 1,065 larys.

Today, Mr. Aitch will tune into Nat Gio and try a 20-unit play on Washington over Kate Upton’s ex. Tonight, he is banking on Bedard and Kuroda to torment their former teams — 20 units apiece on the Astros and Yankees.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

All 1 unit

MLB

7:05 PM ET

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh

Take Pittsburgh Money Line +105

7:05 PM ET

San Francisco @ Philadelphia

Take Philadelphia Money Line -120

*Parlay Alert: Pittsburgh ML & Philadelphia ML (pays +303)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

MLB
2.5* Reds (-130) 325/250

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella
3* GOM pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

William Cross Sports
San Diego under 7

Vip Action
SD over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

MLB

Cincinnati (Bailey) (-120) at San Diego (Stults) 3:40 ET

4% San Diego (Stults) (+110)

The Reds are in an offensive funk losing 5 consecutive games in which they have tallied 5 total runs. They are recently just 3-9 on the road. Bailey is well acquainted with the Reds lack of run support. In fact in his last 8 starts, Bailey is 1-6 with a 4.25 ERA receiving just 1.9 RPG in support. And that includes his no hitter. A poor performance on the road by Bailey would be no surprise. The Reds are 2-9 in road starts by Bailey where he has a 4.52 ERA. That is sharply in contrast to the home performance of Stults. San Diego has won 11/12 recent home starts by Stults including the last 8. For the season from this mound, Stults has a 2.45 ERA with 0.88 WHIP. San Diego is good enough to have a 34-21 run on their resume but bad enough to have losing streaks of 5-15 and 4-18. With 4 consecutive victories, we will ride another positive streak by San Diego on a field where they are 29-23.



Toronto (Dickey) at Oakland (Colon) (-150) 3:35 ET

4% Oakland (Colon) (-150)

Oakland was our only loser last night as they fell to the hot hand of Buehrle. Don’t expect that type of performance from reigning Cy Young winner Dickey. For the season, Dickey is 8-11 with a 4.86 ERA. But in his last 4 starts, Dickey has worked 19 IP with 18 runs allowed and only an 8/6 KBB. In 8 starts against Oakland, Dickey has a 5.65 ERA. Far prefer the Oakland side on this field where the As remain 34-17 and 24-7 recently. A 43-22 run up has been responsible for a 5 game lead on Texas. One of the biggest surprises of the season is the performance of Colon who has reportedly avoided suspension in the Bio Genesis fiasco. Oakland has won 12/13 recent starts by Colon who has YTD numbers of 14-3 with a 2.54 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 77/18 KBB. From this mound this season, the As have won 9/11 Colon starts in which he has a 2.54 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.



Chicago White Sox (Axelrod) at Cleveland (Kluber) (-160) 7:05 ET

4% Cleveland (Kluber) (-160)

Not about to surrender my stance playing on and against the respective momentum of these two teams. The fire sale continues for the Pale Hose who is on a negative run of 16-40 and 1-8. On consecutive nights, Cleveland has come back to win late pushing their recent records to 9-0 on this field, 6-0 in this series and 6-0 overall of late. CWS has dropped the last 6 starts by Axelrod over which span he has worked 27 IP allowing 24 runs. In 10 road starts, CWS is 3-7 behind Axelrod where he has a 5.94 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Far prefer the resume of Kluber. Cleveland has won 7/9 of his recent starts. In his most recent 3 starts, Kluber has allowed just 4 runs in 18 2/3 IP with a 28/9 KBB in his last 4 outings. From this mound, Kluber has a 2.64 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Ride the momentum of Cleveland.



LA Angels (Williams) at Texas (Perez) (-140) 8:05 ET

3% Texas (Perez) (-140)

The Rangers currently trail Oakland by 5 games for the Division lead after a 16 game span in which they hit just .234 and averaged just 2.50 RPG. But consecutive come-back victories the last 2 nights including a 14 run outburst on Tuesday night signal a buy sign on the Rangers. Well aware that Perez has gone 0-2 his L3 starts with a 9.00 ERA. But Perez has done, by far, his best work from this mound where in 3 starts he has gone 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA. We have been fading Williams with regularity with great results. In his last 5 starts, Williams has allowed a whopping 28 runs in 18 IP with an 11/11 KBB failing to make it to the 6th inning. You can stick a fork in the Angels who are now 14 games back of Oakland courtesy of their most recent 5 game losing streak.



Arizona (Miley) at Tampa Bay (Hellickson) (-170, -1 ½ +125) 7:10 ET

3% Tampa Bay (Hellickson) (-170, -1 ½ +125)

If the Rays could win 5-2 last night following their week away at Boston and NYY behind a complete game for Hernandez, then you know we are going to keep riding this momentum. Tampa Bay has ascended to the best record in the American League holding a ½ game lead on Boston. That is a result of a long term run of 50-25 and July surge that has seen the Rays go 23-4 outscoring foes 137-66. Last night’s win made it 9 straight vs. National League foes. A major reason for the streak has been the fact that Tampa Bay has won 7 consecutive Hellickson starts over which time they have given him an average of 8.0 RPG support. But Hellickson has done his part in going 6-0 with a 2.09 ERA. Only the hot recent pitching of Miley, in which he has recorded a 1.89 ERA his last 5 starts, prevents this from being a higher percentage of bankroll risk. Run line players take note: 49/64 Tampa Bay wins have been by 2 or more runs. Consider part of your action on the run line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

(951) CINCINNATI -125/RL -1.5 +135
(963) TORONTO +150/RRL -1.5 +215***ADD***
(975) WASHINGTON +125/RRL -1.5 +200

*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chance Lockwood Plays and Daily Chance

Premium Selection(s):

Take Oakland Athletics -152 vs. Toronto Blue Jays ( Double Down Play) 3:35pm start


Take Kansas City Royals -108 vs. Minnesota Twins


"Daily Chance" Card:

Cincinnati -128

Pirates +111

Philadelphia -120

Atlanta -171

Miami -110

Milwaukee +117

Oakland -152

Cleveland -160
Baltimore Run Line -110

Boston -150

Texas -146

Kansas City -108

Detroit -131

Tampa Bay -172

Yankees +168

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer MLB Money Line Wed, 07/31/13 - 3:40 PM

double-dime bet - 952 SDP (+125) vs 951 CIN

MTi's FORECAST: SAN DIEGO 5 Cincinnati 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Pick Online

3:40 pm
25 Units SD PADRES +119ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STAT PICKS

MLB (totals)

giants/phillies - under 8.5

angels/rangers - over 10.5

WNBA (totals)

liberty/mystics - under 146.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dominic Brando from RefPicks site

NL Game of the Day: Chicago Cubs -120 (Peralta/Jackson) over Milwaukee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

Free picks:

Colorado Rockies +160 over the Atlanta Braves (MLB Baseball)

Miami Marlins -112 over the New York Mets (MLB Baseball)

Boston Red Sox -150 over the Seattle Mariners (MLB Baseball)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports handicapper King

Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB SEATTLE at BOSTON

Play Against - Road teams (SEATTLE) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
296-173 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.1% 89.8 units )
45-33 this year. ( 57.7% 4.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit play #959. Take Under 7.5 Runs - New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (Wednesday @ 7:10 pm ET) Alvarez/Mejia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting As A Business

Free Pick:
LA Angels (Williams) / Texas (Perez) 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
Under 8.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

9xSports


(MLB) 7:05PM PITTSBURGH PIRATES-105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Themachine

10* Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

MLB
7* Giants +1.5 (-210) 1470/700
2* Brewers/Cubs over 8 (-115) 230/200
2* Yankees/Dodgers under 6 (-130) 260/200
1* Cardinals/Pirates over 7 (-105) 105/100
1* Cubs (-133) 133/100
1* Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130) 130/100
1* Diamondbacks/Rays over 7.5 (E) 100/100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Landau Wednesday:
PIT +100 / PHI -115 / MET +105 / MIL +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report for Wednesday-all 50's:
UNDER St. Louis
OVER New York yankees
Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Accu-Score MLB

ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 161-95, 62.9% +2373 -

STL 953 vs PIT 954 -- Over 50% on Pittsburgh Pirates +107
ARI 977 vs TB 978 -- Over 50% on Tampa Bay Rays -166
WAS 975 vs DET 976 -- Over 50% on Detroit Tigers -129
KC 973 vs MIN 974 -- Over 50% on Minnesota Twins -111

4 STAR MONEY LINE 222-146, 60.3% +1912 -

NYY 979 vs LAD 980 -- Over 50% on Los Angeles Dodgers -185
HOU 967 vs BAL 968 -- Over 50% on Baltimore Orioles -229
NYM 959 vs MIA 960 -- Over 50% on New York Mets -102
WAS 975 vs DET 976 -- Over 50% on Detroit Tigers -129
COL 957 vs ATL 958 -- Over 50% on Atlanta Braves -164

4 STAR TOTALS 208-177, 54% +1330 -

SEA 969 vs BOS 970 -- Under 8.5
HOU 967 vs BAL 968 -- Under 9
TOR 963 vs OAK 964 -- Under 7.5
STL 953 vs PIT 954 -- Under 7
LAA 971 vs TEX 972 -- Under 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R. Stevens/Smooth44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

PLAY OF THE DAY
MINNESOTA ML

(955) SAN FRANCISCO +110/RRL -1.5 +170 ***ADD***

(965) CHI-WHITE SOX +150/RRL -1.5 +225 ***ADD***

(971) LA-ANGELS +135/RRL -1.5 +205 ***ADD***

(974) MINNESOTA +105/RRL -1.5 +205 ***ADD***

(951) CINCINNATI -125/RL -1.5 +135 (Pending)

(963) TORONTO +150/RRL -1.5 +225 (Pending)

(975) WASHINGTON +125/RRL -1.5 +200

*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RTG Sports

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers:
Will a run be scored in the first inning? No -150*

St. Louis Cardinals -110*