8-3-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UFC 163 betting: Aldo vs. Korean Zombie statistical breakdown
By MMAODDSBREAKER

After a trio of losses for Brazilian champions (first Machida/Shogun, then Dos Santos, then Silva), Jose Aldo is now arguably the best fighter in Brazil. And this weekend the UFC is anchoring a somewhat thin card on his upcoming title defense at UFC 163 in Rio de Janeiro.

Enter the unexpected challenger, Chan Sung Jung, who will become the first Korean ever to challenge for a UFC title. Nicknamed the “Korean Zombie” due to his fearless forward-pressing fighting style, he made a controversial choice for featherweight title contention but has certainly not disappointed fans during his UFC career.

Despite Jung’s two-fight upset streak and an incredible four Fight Night bonuses in just three UFC appearances, he comes in as a massive underdog to the champ. The line favors the champ Aldo at -750, with the underdog Jung +525 on the comeback.

Tale of tape:

With some conflicting reports, Jung will come in either similarly sized or up to two inches taller than Aldo and will most definitely have a reach advantage. On the downside for Jung, he’s been out of action for well over a year, putting him into the danger range for ring rust, which drops win rates down to the near 40 percent level.

He’s also fighting a Brazilian in Brazil, which lately has not gone well for foreign-born challengers. But perhaps the Zombie-like mentality of Jung has kept him motivated in the gym and will prevent him from being rattled by the Brazilian fans.

Standup:

Anyone expecting to see a statistical beat down by one of the pound-for-pound best may be disappointed here. The striking stats for Aldo and Jung are fairly even. Jung has advantages in power head-striking accuracy and overall significant-striking pace. If he can use his reach and cardio effectively, these are considerable assets.

But Aldo has advantages of his own, specifically in knockdown power and striking defense. Head-striking defense for Jung is not only worse than Aldo’s, it’s actually worse than average. Remembering the back-and-forth war he had with Leonard Garcia, Jung needs to tighten up his defense if he hopes to stand and trade with Aldo for long.

Ground:

Neither fighter attempts frequent takedowns but Jung has the better success rate. What’s more important is that both fighters have very good takedown defense, meaning it’s not likely that they will end up on the ground until perhaps some fatigue sets in (for Aldo).

Once on the ground, Aldo brings the credentials of a BJJ black belt into the cage, even though we have rarely seen much use of this aspect of his game. Jung, while without the same pedigree of grappling, has won some spectacular Submission of the Night bonuses in his short UFC career.

While on paper, a Brazilian champion with a BJJ black belt defending on his home turf may seem like invisible force, analysis shows that it’s not the toss-up the betting line suggests. Either fighter being submitted is unlikely.

Fight prediction:

This fight should stay standing thanks to solid takedown defense for both fighters. While Jung surprised me with good performance statistics, the context of his opponents must be accounted for. His striking stats may be inflated by his battles with Garcia (who statistically has terrible striking defense), while Jung’s cardio helped him through his most recent opponent, Dustin Poirier.

Aldo remains the more dangerous fighter out of the gate with skill advantages in basically every category. He can mix up his strikes, work the legs, and has the kind of explosive power that makes for a perfect foil to any straight-ahead fighter.

Jung’s only chance to win this will be to use his range and size to score points, then grind Aldo down along the fence. Late in the fight, he might get more openings if Aldo is unable to maintain his stamina. But these are all big “ifs.”

More than likely, at some point in the first couple rounds, Jung will walk into some strikes that will rock him and set up a finish by the champ.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Rankings: Week 6
Sean Murphy | Aug 2, 2013 |

Last week's ranking in parentheses.

1. Saskatchewan Roughriders (1) The Riders aren't going to run the table this season but that doesn't change the fact that they've looked awfully good through five weeks, outscoring the opposition by a whopping 96 points in racking up five straight wins. They'll enjoy a week off before facing their toughest test of the season to date, a matchup with the Stampeders in Calgary.

2. Calgary Stampeders (3) With Drew Tate and Kevin Glenn both injured, Bo Levi Mitchell stepped in under centre last week, and the offense didn't miss a beat. Now Tate and Glenn get a week off to recuperate and the Stamps defense gets a chance to get even more in sync before next week's showdown with the undefeated Riders at McMahon Stadium.

3. Toronto Argonauts (4) The Argos picked up a statement win over the Lions on Tuesday night, doing so without their starting quarterback (Ricky Ray) and running back (Chad Kackert), not to mention a key cog at wide receiver (Dontrelle Inman). Zach Collaros isn't about to overtake Ray's starting job, but if Tuesday's performance was any indication, the former college standout has a bright future in the CFL.

4. B.C. Lions (2) Something isn't quite right with the Lions offense. They've topped out at 32 points this season, and that came in a losing effort against Calgary back in Week 1. I do expect the B.C. defense to respond with a big effort this week after getting ripped by the Argos on Tuesday. They still rank number one in the league in total yards allowed and second in points allowed.

5. Montreal Alouettes (7) I'm willing to give the Als a major boost in the rankings this week following the firing of Dan Hawkins on Thursday. His hiring was simply perplexing to me, and to be honest, I'm surprised he lasted as long as he did. Expect an immediate turnaround from the Als, as the personnel is still in place for this team to compete for the East Division title.

6. Edmonton Eskimos (6) This may be a rebuilding year, but I still feel the Eskimos have the potential to be a solid bet moving forward, provided they can stay healthy. They'll get a chance to pick up their second win of the season against the Ti-Cats on Friday night and after a strong second half in Montreal last week, have some momentum on their side. The Esks are 0-2 at home this season and should be desperate to give the Commenwealth Stadium faithful something to cheer about.

7. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5) Credit the Blue Bombers for doing the right thing and officially handing the reins of the offense over to QB Justin Goltz. Buck Pierce is on the downside of his career due to injuries and otherwise, and it's become clear that he's not the man to lead this team back to glory. With that being said, Goltz faces a tough task against an angry Lions squad in B.C. this week.

8. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8) I had the Ti-Cats lower than most in last week's rankings, but I don't think I was far off. If this team were healthy, it would be competitive, but that simply isn't the case. Revenge will be on the Ti-Cats minds on Friday night in Edmonton, but whether they can put together four solid quarters of football and steal a win on the road remains to be seen.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UFC 163 betting: Aldo's striking too much for Jung
By MMAODDSBREAKER

UFC 163: Jose Aldo (-800) vs. Chan Sung Jung (+550)

Jose Aldo (22-1) is the long-time UFC featherweight champion, having defended the belt he first won at WEC 44 a total of six times. Four of those were in the UFC (over Frankie Edgar, Chad Mendes, Kenny Florian and Mark Hominick) and twice in the WEC (over Urijah Faber and Manny Gamburyan).

The 26-year-old is an incredible striker. He is easily the best striker at 145 pounds and maybe the best in the world. Aldo is able to use a dazzling combination of strikes from all eight limbs to put his opponents to sleep and he has 13 career knockouts to show for it. Just for good measure, to compliment that striking, Aldo also boasts impeccable takedown defense.

Currently riding a 15-fight win streak, Aldo hasn’t really been challenged by any of his competitors outside of Hominick in the fifth round of their UFC 129 bout, and considering he seems to be improving from bout to bout, he’s a scary, scary man.

Fighting in front of his hometown fans this weekend, Aldo wants a knockout of Jung. And he’s likely to get it.

Jung (13-3) is currently riding a three-fight win streak in the UFC, with a “Fight of the Year” and “Submission of the Year” win over Dustin Poirier at UFC on FUEL TV 3, a “Knockout of the Night” win over Hominick at UFC 129, and another “Submission of the Year” over Leonard Garcia at UFC Fight Night 24.

The 26-year-old is rapidly improving. With knockout power in his hands, fantastic submissions, and the ability to walk forward and be aggressive, he’s been a tough out for other featherweights in the UFC.

Before he came to the UFC, however, he lost a war with Garcia and was knocked out by George Roop, so it’s possible he’s been overachieving in the Octagon. As well, Jung took this fight with Aldo on short notice after Anthony Pettis pulled out of the fight with an injury.

Having not fought since May of 2012, he’ll likely exhibit signs of ring rust and against Aldo, you can’t make a single mistake. So unless he fights a flawless fight, Jung is in trouble.

Outside of a fluke punch, I just don’t see how The Korean Zombie wins this fight. Aldo is one of the most devastating strikers in all of mixed martial arts and going up against a guy like Jung, who typically offers up little to no defense in his fights, this one has all the makings of a highlight-reel knockout.

Aldo is going to win this fight, and he’s going to win it by knockout to once again defend the UFC featherweight championship and re-affirm his place as one of the pound-for-pound greats in the sport.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's American League games:

Texas Rangers at Oakland A's (-125, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Matt Garza has put together a pair of strong starts since being acquired by the Texas Rangers. The righty is 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in his two starts. Texas has won both games.

Cold batting stat: A's OF Coco Crisp is 2-for-17 (.118) lifetime versus Garza.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1 in A's SP Jarrod Parker's last seven Saturday starts.


Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles (-185, 9)

Cold pitching stat: O's starter Scott Feldman is 2-2 with a 5.12 ERA in five starts since being acquired by Baltimore from the Chicago Cubs.

Cold batting stat: Mariners DH Kendrys Morales is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career versus Feldman.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s and wind will blow from left field to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Mariners are 0-7 in the last seven meetings in Baltimore.


Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-230, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Detroit's Max Scherzer was dominant yet again his last time out. He held the Phillies to one hit in six innings of work en route to a 10-0 victory on July 27.

Hot batting stat: Tigers OF Austin Jackson is 12-for-29 (.414) with three homers and six RBIs in his career versus Sox starter John Danks.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with mostly sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph. There is currently a 10 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Key betting note: The over is 9-1-3 in Danks' last 13 starts versus the American League Central.


Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins (-138, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Astros starter Erik Bedard has taken the loss in his last five starts.

Hot batting stat: Twins 1B Justin Morneau is 11-for-29 (.379) in his career versus Bedard. Morneau has belted a pair of doubles, two homers and 11 RBIs versus the lefty.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1-1 in Bedard's last 11 starts overall.


Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels (-172, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Angels starter Jered Weaver went 4-1 with a 1.32 ERA in six July starts.

Cold batting stat: Jays slugger Jose Bautista is 0-for-6 with four K's in his career against Weaver.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-0 in Jays SP Esmil Rogers' last five starts overall.


Interleague

Arizona Diamondbacks at Boston Red Sox (-150, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Over his last four starts, DBacks starter Patrick Corbin is 3-1 with a 1.26 ERA.

Cold batting stat: DBacks OF Jason Kubel is 1-for-8 lifetime versus Sox starter Jake Peavy.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1 in the Diamondbacks' last 10 interleague road games.


San Francisco Giants at Tampa Bay Rays (-205, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Rays ace David Price had a torrid July since coming off the DL. The southpaw went 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA in his six July starts.

Cold batting stat: Giants 2B Marco Scutaro is 3-for-25 (.125) lifetime versus Price.

Weather: Dome

Key betting note: The Giants are 1-8 in starter Tim Lincecum's last nine starts.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com.

** Odds, probable starting pitchers, stats and weather forecast as of 10:27 p.m ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's National League games:

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (+100, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: In two of Dodgers' SP Chris Capuano's last three starts, he has not given up an earned run. The Dodgers are 3-0 in those three outings.

Hot batting stat: Dodgers SS Hanley Ramirez is 8-for-15 (.533) in his career versus Cubs starter Jeff Samardzija.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 10 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast for gametime.

Key betting stat: The over is 8-2-1 in Capuano's last 11 starts as a favorite.


Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Braves starter Brandon Beachy was shelled in his last outing. He gave up seven earned runs on eight hits, including two home runs, in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Cold batting stat: Phillies 2B Chase Utley is 2-for-11 in his career versus Beachy.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the high-70s and wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-3 when the wind blows out to right field at Philly's Citizens Bank Park.


Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates (-181, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates starter Francisco Liriano is 2-0 with a 0.61 ERA in his last two starts.

Hot batting stat: Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki is a lifetime .392 hitter (21 games) at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. He went 2-for-3 with a dinger in Friday's 4-2 victory.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-70s and wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Rockies are 2-9 in SP Jorge De La Rosa's last 11 road starts versus a team with a winning record.


St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-146, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Cards starter Jake Westbrook tossed a complete game, five-hit shutout against the Reds in his only start against the Central Division rival this season. The Cards won the game by a score 10-0 on April 10.

Hot batting stat: Reds OF Chris Heisey is 6-for-16 (.375) and has three solo home runs in his career against Westbrook.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the high-70s and wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-1 in Westbrook's last eight road starts.


Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers (+105, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Is Dan Haren turning his bleak season around? The Nats starter went seven excellent innings scattering three hits and one earned run en route to a 4-1 victory over the New York Mets in his last start.

Hot batting stat: Nats SS Ian Desmond is 3-for-3 in his career versus Brewers starter Donovan Hand.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Nationals are 0-7 in Haren's last seven road starts.


Interleague

Kansas City Royals at New York Mets (+110, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mets starter Carlos Torres was awful in his last start. The righty gave up eight earned runs on nine hits in three innings in a 14-1 loss against the Nats.

Hot batting stat: Only two Mets have faced Royals starter Bruce Chen; John Buck and Marlon Byrd. They are a combined 5-for-8 with a double and three RBIs versus the Royals lefty.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 14 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals are 7-0 in Chen's last seven starts as a favorite.


Cleveland Indians at Miami Marlins (+105, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: The Marlins are 1-4 in Jacob Turner's previous five starts.

Hot batting stat: Marlins 1B Logan Morrison went 4-for-5 with a double, triple and four RBIs in Friday's 10-0 drubbing of the Tribe.

Weather: Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast, the roof could be close at Marlins Park in Miami.

Key betting note: The Indians are 3-9 in SP Zach McAllister's last 12 road starts.


New York Yankees at San Diego Padres (-103, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Yanks starter Ivan Nova went 2-2 with a 2.03 ERA in four July starts.

Cold batting stat: The Bronx Bombers own the worst slugging percentage in the American League. Prior to Friday's game, the Yanks' slugging percentage was .368.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with mostly clear skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0 in Nova's last four interleague starts.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com.

** Odds, probable starting pitchers, stats and weather forecast as of 10:38 p.m ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Pirates on Friday and likes the Pirates on Saturday.

The deficit is 1408 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Royals -125
Padres +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vic Monte Sports

Private Play Game of the Year#8 Red Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

9x Sports 8/3

1:45PM Basel vs. St.Gallen OVER 2.5 Goals
(Switzerland Soccer) Total

8:40PM San Diego Padres+104
(MLB) Side


6:05PM New York Liberty-4
(WNBA) Side

2:40AM Essendon Bombers+2.5
(Aussie Rules) Side

(MLB)
7:05PM SEATTLE @ BALTIMORE OVER 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Saturday Detroit/Chicago Over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Report

August 3

Hot pitchers
-- Lannan is 2-1, 2.67 in his last four starts; Phils are 5-1 in his home starts.
-- Samardzija is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; Cubs lost his last three home starts, outscored 24-4. Dodgers won last three Capuano starts (1-0, 2.60).
-- Liriano is 6-1, 1.89 in his last seven starts; Pirates are 6-1 in his home starts.
-- Haren is 1-1, 3.00 in last three starts; Nationals are 1-9 in his road starts.
-- Cingrani is 2-1, 2.41 in his last six starts; he is 1-0, 2.91 in four home starts.



-- BChen is 1-0, 1.50 in three starts this season.
-- Turner is 3-0, 2.48 in five home starts this season.
-- Price is 5-1, 1.68 in his last six starts; Rays are 2-5 in his home starts.
-- Corbin is 3-1, 1.26 in his last four starts; Arizona is 8-1 in his road starts.
-- Ross is 2-0, 0.64 in two starts since coming off the DL. Nova is 2-2, 2.03 in his last four starts.



-- Garza is 1-0, 2.51 in two starts for the Rangers, 6-0, 1.77 in his last seven starts overall.
-- Scherzer is 2-0, 1.29 in his last two starts; Tigers are 17-4 when he starts.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 0.42 in his last three starts; he allowed one run in his last 30.1 IP at the Big A.



Cold pitchers
-- de la Rosa is 1-1, 7.63 in his last three road starts. Beachy allowed seven runs in 3.2 IP in his first '13 start.
-- Hand is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Westbrook is 0-3, 7.31 in his last three road starts.



-- Hefner is 0-2, 14.66 in his last three starts; Mets are 2-8 in his home starts.
-- McAllister is 0-3, 5.82 in his last four starts.
-- Lincecum is 0-2, 8.44 in two starts since his no-hitter.
-- Peavy is making Red Sox debut; he allowed eight runs in 13 IP in two starts in between coming off DL and getting traded.



-- Parker is 0-0, 4.00 in his last six starts; A's won six of his last eight starts at home.
-- Ramirez has an 8.04 RA in three starts, but is 2-0. Feldman is 2-2, 5.54 in his last four starts.
-- Gibson is 1-3, 7.24 in his last five starts. Bedard is 0-5, 5.14 in his last five.
-- Rogers is 0-2, 7.07 in his last five starts.



Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........

-- Beachy 1-1; Lannan 4-11
-- Capuano 2-12; Samardzija 6-22 (1 of last 10)
-- de la Rosa 4-22 (1 of last 13); Liriano 3-15
-- Haren 4-19 (3 of last 5); Hand 3-5
-- Westbrook 5-15; Cingrani 2-12



-- Chen 1-3; Hefner 8-21
-- McAllister 5-13; Turner 1-11
-- Lincecum 9-21 (2 of last 7); Price 5-15
-- Corbin 5-21; Peavy 2-13
-- Nova 4-9; Ross 2-5



-- Garza 0-14; Parker 8-21
-- Ramirez 2-3; Feldman 5-20
-- Danks 5-13; Scherzer 4-21 (0 of last 6)
-- Bedard 10-19; Gibson 1-6
-- Rogers 3-11; Weaver 2-14 (0 of last 10)



Totals
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Dodger games.
-- Seven of last eight Colorado games went over the total.
-- Last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Washington road games stayed under the total.



-- Eight of last eleven Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in Kansas City's last ten games.
-- Five of last seven San Francisco road games went over total; nine of last 11 Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five San Diego games stayed under the total.



-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Seattle games.
-- Three of last four White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Houston games.
-- Seven of last ten Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Toronto road games went over the total.



Hot teams
-- Dodgers are 29-7 in their last 36 games; they've won 12 in row on road.
-- Braves won their last eight games, scoring 57 runs.
-- Cardinals won 13-0/13-3 last two days, after losing previous seven games.

-- Orioles won three of their last four games.

-- Indians won eight of their last nine games. Miami is 8-4 in its last 12.
-- Royals won nine of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay won 23 of its last 29 games, but lost last two. Giants won last three games, giving up a total of four runs.
-- Red Sox won five of their last seven games.
-- Padres won five of their last six games.



-- Detroit won ten of its last eleven games.
-- Rangers won their last five games, scoring 35 runs.
-- Angels won last two games, scoring 8-7 runs, after losing previous six.



Cold teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last six games.
-- Rockies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost their last two games, outscored 17-2.
-- Phillies lost 11 of their last 12 games.
-- Reds lost six of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee lost four of its last five home games. Nationals lost seven of their last ten road games.



-- Mets are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Diamondbacks lost four of their last six games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost 10 of their last 15 games.



-- Seattle lost six of its last seven games.
-- White Sox lost their last eight games, scoring 17 runs.
-- Houston lost seven of its last nine games. Twins lost four of last five.
-- A's lost their last three games, scoring total of five runs.
-- Toronto lost 13 of its last 19 games.



Umpires
-- Atl-Phil-- Seven of last nine Cederstrom games went over, with underdogs winning eight of the nine games.
-- LAD-ChC-- Four of last five GGibson games stayed under total.
-- Col-Pitt-- 12 of last 15 Guccione games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Mil-- Home side won 17 of last 21 Conroy games.
-- StL-Cin-- Five of six Little games went over the total.



-- KC-NYM-- Favorites won seven of last nine Nelson games.
-- Cle-Mia-- 10 of last 11 Hernandez games went over the total.
-- SF-TB-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine West games.
-- Az-Bos-- Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen Cooper games.
-- NYY-SD-- Underdogs won six of last eight Barry games.



-- Tex-A's-- Nine of last thirteen Scott games stayed under total.
-- Sea-Balt-- Last six Vanover games stayed under the total.
-- ChW-Det-- Under is 10-5 in last fifteen Baker games.
-- Hst-Min-- Favorites won five of last seven Reyburn games.
-- Tor-LAA-- Underdogs won seven of last ten Carlson games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at San Diego

The Yankees look to bounce back from last night's loss and build on their 4-0 record in Ivan Nova's last 4 interleague starts. NY is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, AUGUST 3
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Atlanta at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 17.334; Philadelphia (Lannan) 13.259
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 4; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Capuano) 14.343; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.338
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A


Game 905-906: Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 13.341; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.810
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); Under


Game 907-908: Washington at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Haren) 14.341; Milwaukee (Hand) 15.482
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110); Over


Game 909-910: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.106; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 16.681
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-145); Over


Game 911-912: Texas at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Garza) 15.698; Oakland (Parker) 14.067
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Under


Game 913-914: Seattle at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Ramirez) 15.555; Baltimore (Feldman) 14.449
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Over


Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.855; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.557
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-250); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-250); Under


Game 917-918: Houston at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bedard) 14.987; Minnesota (Gibson) 13.800
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120); Over


Game 919-920: Toronto at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 14.489; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.826
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-175); Under


Game 921-922: Kansas City at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 15.278; NY Mets (Hefner) 16.129
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over


Game 923-924: Cleveland at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 17.594; Miami (Turner) 15.893
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-130); Under


Game 925-926: San Francisco at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.466; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.918
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-210); Under


Game 927-928: Arizona at Boston (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Corbin) 15.821; Boston (Peavy) 14.683
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Over


Game 929-930: NY Yankees at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 16.087; San Diego (Ross) 14.612
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Atlanta at Phoenix

The Mercury look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games. Phoenix is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, AUGUST 3
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Connecticut at New York (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 103.637; New York 111.481
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8; 139
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 143
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4); Under


Game 653-654: Chicago at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.592; Indiana 118.062
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 145
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1); Over


Game 655-656: Atlanta at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 109.064; Phoenix 114.394
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 5 1/2; 163
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 166 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-3 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1074-803 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat Texas w/ Garza

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Angels -1.5 +115

Seattle/Baltimore over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
New York Yankees -106 over San Diego Padres
(System Record: 57-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 57-63-1

Soccer Crusher
OH Leuven + Genk OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 436-15, won last 4 games and a push)
Overall Record: 436-371-58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters
122-80 run

30-23 run last 53 plays

pod nationals under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

200* Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB TEXAS at OAKLAND

Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (OAKLAND) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start
199-92 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% 67.8 units )
35-21 this year. ( 62.5% 5.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB HOUSTON at MINNESOTA

MINNESOTA is 37-26 (+23.0 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

WNBA ATLANTA at PHOENIX

Play On - Favorites (PHOENIX) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team after 15 or more games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

WNBA CHICAGO at INDIANA

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
134-53 since 1997. ( 71.7% 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.0 units )

WNBA CHICAGO at INDIANA

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season
231-140 since 1997. ( 62.3% 77.0 units )
11-4 this year. ( 73.3% 6.6 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

MLB
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +120
(Westbrook/Cingrani)

Neither team has been hitting the ball well the last few days, but St. Louis broke out of their shell last night with a ton of runs and this is the time of year in which the cream rises to the top in division play. I think the Cardinals are the best team in their division and its just a matter of time before they catch fire and run away with it. Take St. Louis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

500* Royals -125

100* Indians -130

50* Over 9 - Orioles/Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheSportsCapper

SATURDAY BASEBALL

100* Play Baltimore -165 over Seattle (TOP MLB PLAY)

Baltimore has won 21 of the last 30 games when playing in the month of August and they have also won 45 of the last 82 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Baltimore has won 39 of the last 61 games coming off two or more OVER the totals and they have also won 81 of the last 139 home games.

================================================== ===============================

100* Play Tampa Bay -170 over San Francisco (TOP MLB PLAY)

Tampa Bay has won 33 of the last 47 games after having won four or five of the last six games and they have also won 10 of the last 12 inter-league games. Tampa Bay has won 21 of the last 26 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they have won 37 of the last 53 games when playing as a favorite of -175 to -250.

================================================== ===============================

100* Play Pittsburgh -170 over Colorado (TOP MLB PLAY)

Pittsburgh has won 28 of the last 43 games when playing on a Saturday and they have also won 38 of the last 60 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game. Pittsburgh has won 27 of the last 39 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game and they have also won 27 of the last 43 games coming off a loss.

================================================== ===============================


100* Play Los Angeles Angels -170 over Toronto (TOP MLB PLAY)

Jered Weaver has won 49 of the last 65 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 29 of the last 39 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Jered Weaver has won 31 of the last 38 home games and he is 2-0 over his last three starts with an ERA of 0.42.


50* Play Boston -140 over Arizona (Bonus MLB Play)

50* Play Detroit -210 over Chicago White Sox (Bonus MLB Play)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin 20* Run-line Demolition Detroit -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter 5* MLB Top Play Smasher Detroit -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

2 UNITS San Diego Padres +108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin 20* Underdog Demolition Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella
AL dominator GOW tx/oak over 7 3*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers CFL

Today's Free Picks for Aug 03, 2013


http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_18.pngWinnipeg @ B.C. LIONS
Winnipeg +11 -106 over B.C. LIONS

We have to apologize for last week’s recommended pick of the Lions on the road over the Argonauts. We’ve been suggesting that the Lions have looked out of sorts the entire season thus far and that was never more evident in that disgusting display in Toronto. That game was on Tuesday and now, just four days later, the Lions are a huge 11-point choice against a Blue Bombers club that has had eight days to prepare. That’s a huge difference and one that should not be overlooked.
Winnipeg still scored 24 points last week against Calgary with Justin Goltz filling in for Buck Pierce. Earlier this week, Bombers head coach named Goltz his starting QB for the rest of the season and that should have this very capable, four-year backup much more relaxed and confident out there. Goltz is coming on. He seems to be getting better with each passing quarter that he plays. Goltz gets receiver Chris Matthews back for this game and even if Matthews is a bit rusty, the Lions have to pay attention to him. Winnipeg is just 1-4 but they are heading in the right direction. Of their four losses, only one of them has been a poor effort. Winnipeg played nose to nose with the Stamps last week and trailed by just three at the half. A 10-0 third quarter did them in but they didn’t give up and scored 10 points in the final frame.
Both the Lions defense and offense was horrible last week in a crushing defeat in Toronto. Yeah, they figure to be better here but just one of their wins came by more than the margin offered here and that came against Edmonton in a rainstorm. Remember, the Lions have been blown out twice this season already, once by the Argos and once by the Stamps. Two of B.C's three wins were against the reeling Eskies. The Lions do not warrant this billing on normal rest and certainly don't warrant it on three days rest. Upset possibility.

Our Pick
Winnipeg +11 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 03, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngToronto @ L.A. ANGELS
L.A. ANGELS -1½ +128 over Toronto

The Blue Jays are 0-2 in this series and things don’t figure to get any better here with Esmil Rogers on the hill. Rogers’ is a pitcher in trouble. He’s never pitched more than in 83 innings in a season and he’s already up to 89 this year. Not only is Rogers’ durability in question, his confidence is shot after allowing 27 hits and 14 runs over his last 17 innings. Rogers has been absolutely torched in four of his last five games and he now has the daunting task of having to face a hot-hitting line-up that has gone off for 15 runs in the past two games and 27 runs in the last four. Rogers has a history of being hit hard. He was torched in 2011 and then escaped Colorado for Cleveland, where he was hit hard there as well. A rejuvenated Rogers appeared for a short while this year but he’s back to being the same stiff he was in Colorado and Cleveland. Rogers is a guy that throws way too many pitches right down Broadway and hitters are feasting off him. The Angels should do the same.
Jered Weaver is winning games again. He’s 2-0 over his past three starts with an ERA of 0.42. At home this season, Weaver is 5-2 with a 2.84 ERA. There’s also a good chance that Weaver will be pitching with a comfortable lead very early on and should that come to pass, this assignemnt becomes much easier. Weaver had a rough start to the year but he’s now pitching at top form. That said, this one has nothing to do with backing Weaver but everything to do with backing a sizzling offense against a laboring Esmil Rogers.

Our Pick
L.A. ANGELS -1½ +128 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.56)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngTexas @ OAKLAND
Texas +109 over OAKLAND

We’ve been maintaining for some time now that the A’s winning pace is unsustainable with an offense that ranks in the same range as the Mets, Nationals, Marlins, Cubs and Twins. Alexi Ogando walked five batters and allowed four hits in the first four innings last night but the A’s could not do much damage. They ended up losing 8-3 and did not score again after the fourth inning. Against the Blue Jays on Thursday, the A’s scored two unearned runs and lost a game in which Toronto committed four errors. Oakland has now lost three in a row and the bleeding isn’t likely to stop here against Matt Garza. In two starts since coming over from the Cubbies, Garza has allowed just 10 hits and three earned runs in 14.1 frames for an ERA of 1.88. Garza has posted an ERA in the 3’s every year since 2007 and current A’s have just 18 hits against him in 89 career AB’s for a BA of just .202. Garza and the Rangers taking back a tag against this overvalued squad holds true value.
Texas is making a move. They were six games behind Oakland in the AL West earlier this week and they are now just 2½ games back after winning its fifth straight last night. The Rangers offense has woken up with 35 runs scored over their current five-game winning streak and that’s bad news for Jarrod Parker. Over his last five starts covering 25 frames, Parker has walked 12 and struck out 14. He has an xERA of 6.45 over that span but his actual ERA of 3.99 over that stretch has him grossly overpriced here. What’s even more alarming is that Parker has a 4.81 ERA at home at perhaps the best pitcher’s park in the league and certainly in the AL. Parkers skills have been on a steady decline for weeks and he now has to face a team that is seeing beach balls right now. Keep Jarrod Parker and the A’s on your radar as fade material because there is some profit to be made in wagering against them.

Our Pick
Texas +109 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.18)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngN.Y. Yankees @ SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO/N.Y. Yankees under 7 +102

New York has won just five of its past 15 games and dropped the opener in this series last night, 7-2. The Yanks are losing games at an unfamiliar pace because of an offense that can’t produce. The Yanks have now scored three runs or fewer in nine of their past 15 games and things don’t get easier here against Tyson Ross. In two starts since being inserted into the starting rotation, Ross has allowed just five hits in 14 innings at two hitter-friendly venues in Arizona and Milwaukee. Over those 14 innings, Ross struck out 13 and walked just three. Overall, Ross has appeared in 24 games this season but just five have been as a starter and that’s the role he’s most comfortable in. In 59 total innings this year, Ross has an elite 54% groundball rate and an outstanding 14% line-drive rate. Ross’s Achilles Heel in the past was a lack of control but he’s walked just four batters over his past 17 innings. He has the stuff to succeed and it appears he’s quickly figuring things out. Ross has a great shot to continue his hot run against the light hitting Yanks.
Ivan Nova lost his starting gig after an unlucky April (44% hit-rate/63% strand rate), followed by a triceps injury and a three-week stint in Triple-A thanks to the emergence of David Phelps. Fast forward to July and Phelps winds up on the DL and Nova's strings together four strong starts in a row. Are we buying his comeback? You better believe it. Last year's strikeout rate gains for Nova appear to be no fluke, as it has actually risen and his groundball rate has come along for the ride. Factor in hr/f% correction and Nova's ERA becomes palatable again, only this time with significant room for improvement. Nova's posted an impressive 28/6 K/BB in four starts since returning to the rotation and his skills suggest continued long-term success as long as he remains there upon Phelps' return. It’s not customary for us to play under 7 but these are two pitchers that are not only under the radar but have outstanding beneath the surface stats. That makes this ticket very cashable.

Our Pick
SAN DIEGO/N.Y. Yankees under 7 +102 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers MMA

Today's Free Picks for Aug 03, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_21.png
Saul Roman vs Curtis Stevens
Saul Roman +501 over Curtis Stevens

ON TV: USA NBC Sports Network
LOCATION: Mohegan Sun Casino Uncasville, CT, USA
This is an intriguing fight with any outcome being possible. Curtis Stevens is a short fighter and a very hard hitter. If he gets untracked and unloads, he can create short and explosive nights. He holds terrific wins over Piotr Wilczewski, (a tough European vet that went the distance with Arthur Abraham and James De Gale) Elvin Ayala and Darnell Boone. But on the other end of the spectrum, he suffered a KO loss to journeyman Marcos Primera and Jesse Brinkley. Yes Jesse Brinkley, out-boxed him and beat him up over 12 rounds. Stevens can punch but he will fatigue and then he gets very sloppy. Stevens can be out-boxed and tends to get frustrated when he can’t connect to his liking.
Saul Roman is a solid Mexican journeyman/fringe contender. He has 9 losses sprinkled throughout his career but he is still a threat to many fighters. He’s a seasoned, experienced guy that seems very comfortable in the ring. Roman has fought a lot of tough guys and has had reasonable success. He gave Gabriel Rosado a very tough fight in a narrow loss; he upset Kassim Ouma, nearly had Vanes Martirosyan out but was stopped late in the fight and the list goes on. Roman is a tall fighter with fairly heavy hands. He mixes his punches well and is adaptable in a certain way. He’s not top shelf but he is competent and can box or brawl on a decent level. Roman is a guy Stevens must beat if he is to reach the elite status he craves. While Stevens can punch he will always have his limitations and no matter what happens in this fight, he will not become a top player as a middleweight. It’s quite possible that Stevens catches Roman early but we could also see Roman, mixing up his boxing and punching and landing on Stevens. Stevens is prone to walking into shots and getting very frustrated and that could play into Roman’s experienced hands. Win or lose Roman always comes to fight. He has the goods to cause an upset and we give him about almost an even chance of doing so. With a 5-1 take-back on this live pup, it is most certainly worth a wager.

Our Pick
Saul Roman +501 (Risking 1 units - To Win: 4.76)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_21.png
Thabiso Mchunu vs Eddie Chambers
Thabiso Mchunu +350 over Eddie Chambers

Saturday, August 3, 2013 @ 10 pm EST on USA NBC Sports Network
Mohegan Sun Casino Uncasville, CT, USA
When fighters have established themselves in a division and subsequently move down, it often doesn’t work out too well. Orlin Norris was able to cop a title back in the 90’s when he moved down from heavyweight but most of these cases end badly. Look at the glaring example of Chris Byrd. He was a heavyweight title holder and handed Vitali Klitschko his 1st defeat and always had a good chin as a heavyweight. He fought all the monsters and had tremendous success. Byrd moved all the way down to light heavyweight and was dismantled by fringe contender Shawn George. It just doesn’t make sense on paper but moving down when established in a division does bad things to the body – sometimes very bad things.
Eddie Chambers is a small heavyweight but his best weight is about 210-215 and dropping the weight is a detriment. Now Thabiso Mchunu has tabbed Chambers a “skinny, fat guy” and as mean as it sounds, there is some merit to that. That’s because when guys with a bit of extra body fat drop a division, they drop the weight but are still the same guy with a similar body fat ratio.
As for Mchunu as a fighter, he just might prove dangerous. He isn’t that well known but he is a compact southpaw with very heavy hands and a fast bobbing style that suits his dimensions. A few weeks ago another unknown countryman of Mchunu, southpaw Ilunga Makabu, proved to be a tremendous force in the division and we see Mchunu in a similar light. Chambers has been used to fighting ponderous heavyweights and has been successful with a tight defense and fast hands but this time he’ll be matched with up with an explosive fireplug that he’ll be looking down at, not up at in the manner he was against the tall heavyweights he has been used to. Mchuno will be coming in low and fast and he’s the puncher in this fight. I could certainly imagine
Chambers has the potential to box well and to have success but he has a real and different threat in front of him. It’s quite possible the brutal Klitschko KO may have shifted Chambers’ course. He did not look good against Derrick Rossy in a rematch subsequent to the KO loss, (who he easily stopped 5 years ago) and against Tomasz Adamek he fought bravely with an injury but Adamek still forced him backwards throughout the fight. Chambers has fast hands and a tight defense but he has never been a busy fighter and against a forward moving, burly sawed off southpaw like Mchunu, he may well find himself on the defensive. This fight is in no way the mismatch the oddsmakers have it priced at. Chambers will not have an easy time of it and may find himself upset in his 1st cruiserweight outing. Big overlay.

Our Pick
Thabiso Mchunu +350 (Risking 1 units - To Win: 3.50)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HONDO

The Dodgers did Hondo a solid by chewing up the Cubs yesterday at Wrigley, which lowered his beast of a burden to 725 driessens.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will give Bedard another opportunity to earn some semi-permanent stall space in the stable — 20 units on the ’Stros. Also, he expects Nova to be the star of the show in San Diego — 20 units on the Yanks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SuperSportsGroup MLB

St Louis v. Cincinnati 7:10pm
PICK: Cards ML +139 Game

Arizona v. Boston 7:10pm
PICK: D'Backs ML +135 Game

Toronto v. LAA 9:05pm
PICK: OVER 8 Game -105

3 Team Parlay for
UNDER 7 Yankees Game +100
Rangers ML +105 Game
Cubs ML +106 Game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportshandicapperking

Yankees
Pittsburgh RL

Freeloader Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

MLB
4* Nationals/Brewers over 8.5 (-115) 460/400
2* Diamondbacks/Red Sox under 8 (-105) 210/200
1* Athletics ML (-114) 114/100
1* Phillies +1.5 (-130) 130/100
1* Giants/Rays over 7 (-105) 105/100
1* Indians/Marlins over 7.5 (-105) 105/100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi Saturday, August 3rd MLB

Chicago White Sox (Danks) at Detroit (Scherzer) (-1 ½ runs -130) 7:05 ET

4% Detroit (Scherzer) (-1 ½ runs -130)

Go to our website WSA Sports Picks (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.winningsportsadvice.com ) to read the article “Dog Days of Summer and the MLB Run Line”. You will see why it is absolutely critical to have these run lines handy if you are wagering any MLB in the month of August. This is an example of 2 teams going opposite directions with home-standing Super-Surging Detroit hosting Towel Tossing CWS. Yet because the line maker has reflected the divergence in these teams, it is important to know when or when not to play the run line. CWS enters on negative runs of 16-43, 1-11 and 0-8. Detroit is on runs of 19-7, 10-1 and 6-0. Detroit has won 10/11 recent home games, 9/10 of those wins were by 2 or more runs. On the mound it is ana equal mismatch. For the year, Scherzer is 15-1 with a 3.01 ERA, 164/31KBB and a 0.92 WHIP. Detroit has won 8/10 Scherzer starts by 2 or more runs. The Tigers provide Scherzer with an average of 7.6 run support, best in MLB. Against CWS recently, Scherzer is 3-0 allowing 3 runs on 12 hits with 21 Ks in 22 IP. Detroit has won 9/11 Scherzer home starts. Danks is 2-8 for the year with a 4.57 ERA. In his last 5 starts, Danks is 0-3 with a 4.86 ERA. On the road, CWS is 1-6 in Danks starts where he has a 5.36 ERA. Finally in his last 4 starts vs. Detroit, Danks has an 11.90 ERA. Run line players take note: the Tigers are among the best in baseball at blowouts, 51/2 victories including 29/35 on this field have been by 2 or more runs. Detroit run line!



LA Dodgers (Capuano) (-115) at Chicago Cubs (Samardzija) 4:05 ET

4% LA Dodgers (Capuano) (-115)

There are minor concerns with the fact that the Cubs are 12-5/loss recently and that Samardzija has returned to form with a 1.80 ERA L3 starts. But the Cubs are just 4-6 at home in Samardzija starts where he has a 5.46 ERA. And the Cubs, after a 19-13 run up, have gone 1-5 of late settling in with the reality of their negative net return at the trade deadline. Nobody is hotter than the Dodgers. LAD enters tonight on runs of 29-7, 12-2 winners of 12 straight road games. Though Capuano has been spotty the entire season, he has a rock solid 54/16 KBB. Capuano also allowed just 3 base runners in 6 2/3 IP of his most recent start vs. the Reds. And Capuano has owned the Cubs with a record of 7-0 and 1.55 ERA in his L9 starts against them. Run line players take note: 23/28 Dodger road wins have been by 2 or more runs a situation which will provide you with a healthy underdog price should you choose to play part of your wager on the run line.



St. Louis (Westbrook) at Cincinnati (Cingrani) (-155) 7:10 ET

3% Cincinnati (Cingrani) (-155)

We lay the double nickel in one of the most contrary favorite plays of the day. The public figures to be all over the Cards in this after they snapped their 0-7 run by scoring 26 runs the last 2 nights to defeat the Pirates and the Reds. Meanwhile, Cincinnati continues to struggle on a 1-6 slide in which they have totaled 12 runs with a .178 BA. But knowing that the Cards are just 16-23 vs. winning teams and that the Reds are MLB’s best 15-2 home/loss has me eager to back the Reds with a favoring pitching mismatch. Since returning to the rotation, Cingrani has a 2.03 ERA, a .163 OBA recording 33 Ks of 30 1/3 IP in 5 starts. The sinker ball of Westbrook has yielded far better returns at home than on the road. St. Louis has won just 3/8 Westbrook road starts where he has a 4.50 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. That was in evidence in his most recent outing, a 9-2 loss at Pittsburgh in which he allowed 4 runs on his 1st 15 pitches. Must beware of any pitcher who has a 34/36 inverted KBB for the season.



Texas (Garza) at Oakland (Parker) (-120) 4:05 ET

3% Texas (Garza) (+110)

Recent dichotomous runs show Texas going 24-32 and Oakland going 43-21. That resulted in a 6 game Division lead for the As. But all that has recently turned around. Of late, Oakland has lost 3 consecutive games scoring a total of 5 runs. Texas has won 5 straight averaging 7 RPG to pull within 2 ½ games of Oakland for the Division lead. Though Parker does have a solid history vs. the Rangers, he has not pitched well from this mound this season. The As are 6-5 in his 11 starts where he has a 4.81 ERA. Parker is off a 10-6 loss to LAA in which he allowed 6 runs in 7 IP with a most disturbing 3/7 KBB. In his last 8 starts (6 with the Cubs, 2 with Texas), Garza has a 1.40 ERA. He has pitched well on the road with a 2.23 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Garza has proven he knows how to win with a 7-1 record, 2.95 ERA and solid peripherals of 73/23 KBB and 1.10 WHIP.



Cleveland (McAllister) (-130) at Miami (Turner) 7:10 ET

3% Miami (Turner) (+120)

Miami has been a different team since adding pop to their lineup with the return of their best bats Stanton and Morrison. They are on positive runs of 27-21 and 8-4 to pull within 1 game of playing .400 ball. Last night, they snapped the Cleveland 8-0 winning streak with a 10-0 victory. That sent the Tribe to a recent record of 2-7 away. It will be no surprise if Miami pitching limits Cleveland again tonight. Miami has allowed 2 or less runs in 14/17 recent games. Turner has been among the starters who has pitched that surprising brand of baseball. In fact, Turner has allowed 3 or less runs in 10/11 starts. Miami has won all 4 of his starts from this mound where he has posted a 1.80 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. That is far dichotomous to the road record of McAllister who has a road ERA of 4.36, a 1.73 WHIP with Cleveland winning just 2/6 of his road starts. Wrong team favored!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

Cleveland -129

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler MLB Money Line Sat, 08/03/13 - 4:05 PM

double-dime bet - 903 LOS (-115) vs 904 CHC

Analysis: I gotta do it. Samardzija has been terrible at home. The Dodgers are 7-1 as slight road favorites this season. They're over .500 on the road, have clearly the better bullpen, the better hitters, and the only thing in their way is Samardzija, who most of the Dodgers have seen and hit. Just cannot over-think this one too much, win or lose.

** The Royals, if you like road favorites, are probably winners. David Wright is out.

** The Yankees are probably winners, too. Too much movement too early to ignore in that one.

** I also think Haren pitches well and the Nationals are winners. But, again, road favorites.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MMA Professor Picks 8/3

Lyoto Machida (-340) over Phil Davis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookie Crusher

Tex +103 2units
Cin -156. 3units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella
2* dominator cin -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chance Lockwood Plays and Daily Chance

Premium Selections:

Take Texas Rangers +110 vs Oakland Athletics

Take Detroit Tigers Run Line -125 vs Chicago White Sox

Daily Chance Card:
Atlanta -143

Texas +105
La Dodgers-119
Rockies +180

Baltimore -172

Detroit Run Line -125
Milwaukee +123

Cleveland -129
Tampa -230
St Louis +147
Astros +140

Arizona +137
Yankees -115
Angels -170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vincent Rizzo Sports

MLB PREMIUM PLAY

TB RAYS RL-1.5 (1.10U)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB HOUSTON at MINNESOTA

Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (MINNESOTA) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start
199-92 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% 67.8 units )
35-21 this year. ( 62.5% 5.6 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

Pinnacle OAKLAND A'S

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of the Day 8/3


Texas Rangers +104 over the Oakland Athletics


(System Record: 115-5, Lost last game)

Overall Record: 115-102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For WNBA


4-Unit Play. #654. Take Indiana -2 over Chicago (Saturday @ 7:05pm est).


With Chicago coming off a big win without Della Donne in their last game, this will be a bit of a let down without their star going on the road against Indiana. Plus, Indiana has revenge from a previous loss to Chicago if you remember 71-61 at home back on June 22nd. Indiana has consistently played well coming off a loss and if you take a look you will see they have covered 7 of their last 10 games and each time they have lost, they have come back to cover. For example, losing 62-69 against Minnesota as 4 point dogs at home only to go to New York the next game and win 74-53 in a rout easily covering the 2.5 dog price. Plus, losing to New York recently 72-77 as 6.5 point favorites only to beat Tulsa on the road as 3.5 dogs winning 71-60. So, now they have revenge against a Chicago team plus they come off a loss losing 64-70 to Connecticut on the road as they return home. Besides, Connecticut had revenge against Indiana that game so you can't really hold that against them. Regardless if Catchings plays or not (though she is listed as probable), I still like Indiana here given how well they have played of late and note the Sky are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Indiana. So, in summary with Chicago coming off a big win and a let down on the road without Della Donne, with Indiana with revenge and bouncing back themselves, I like them as a small home favorite today.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For Major League Baseball


4-Unit Play. #901. Take Under 9 Runs Atlanta vs. Philadelphia (Saturday @ 4:05pm est).


I have always liked the big underdog at home that the public is not a fan of such as Philadelphia here facing Beachy and Atlanta. In Baseball, you have times when the underdog actually does not go over as i in other sports but rather, the underdog pitcher does well and the game goes under the posted total. It works different in Football as compared to Baseball, or compared to other sports in general and Baseball. If you take a look at Beachy's last game he was rocked by Colorado giving up 7 runs in essentially 4 innings of work and you would have to think that he bounces-back after returning from injury. Besides, the Braves were able to give him support and they ended up winning 9-8 to their credit. He faces Lannan today who to his credit has given up just 8 runs over his last 4 starts which spans a total of 27 innings. Lannan also has a 9-5 record lifetime against the Bravos for a 3.20 era which is as sound as you're going to get against the Braves not to mention 63 strikeouts to boot. Though Beachy has not beat the Phillies in his lifetime for a posted win, he does have a 3.68era to his credit. I wouldn't be surprised to see this game likely go under the posted total as Beachy steps up with a quality start after a poor outing prior to his last effort and you see Lannan step up to face Atlanta in general a division rival.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For Canadian Football
6-Unit Play. #424. Take British Columbia -11 over Winnipeg (Monday @ 7:05pm est).


British Columbia has a proud tradition of winning. So, to see them get hammered by a score of 12-38, one of their worst losses in recent franchise history, is shocking to say the least. I like British Columbia to bounce-back after that terrible loss at the hands of Toronto on the road, as prior to that lost, they had covered 3 straight contests, winning 31-21 and 17-3 on a home and home against Edmonton (which is really tough to do, to not only win but to cover in home and homes). Winnipeg has heart but I think they just run into a bad spot against an angry British Columbia team here on Monday Night. Note, that Winnipeg does have a decent offense but they have struggled of late in winning and covering contests. After all, they lost to Calgary 24-37 losing as 5.5 underdogs, losing to Toronto 19-35 as 3.5 point underdogs, and losing to Hamilton 20-25 as 5.5 underdogs (though they did cover that contest). I like British Columbia to get out their anger and frustration here today against a Winnipeg team that might just be running into a difficult storm today. The BC Lions are 5-0 ATS coming off a straight up loss and 4-0 to their credit when facing a team with a straight up losing record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vince Akins

Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Louisville slugger
Under padres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben lee won on Friday with the Orioles -$165/Mariners.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Angels -$175/Blue Jays.

Is 70-38 +$1331 for the 2013 MLB 2013 season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KYLE HUNTER



Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Aug 03 '13
7:05p
Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers
Take: Detroit Tigers -1½-115
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/betus.gif (http://www.betus.com/ats/10383/promo/football/getmore)
in 8h


*5 Star MLB TOP Play Smasher* The Chicago White Sox seem to have given up on the season. The White Sox are 18-42 in their last 60 games overall. John Danks starts for the White Sox in this one, and he has been terrible on the road this year. On the other side, Max Scherzer will start for the Tigers. Scherzer is 15-1 on the season, and he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball. Scherzer has always dominated the White Sox. He has a 2.4 ERA in his career against the White Sox. Danks have been awful against the Tigers as evidenced by his 6.96 ERA at Comerica Park. The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 games against a left handed starter. The White Sox are 0-5 in Danks' last 5 starts at Detroit. The Tigers are 4-0 in Scherzer's last 4 starts against the White Sox. The White Sox are 1-6 in Danks' last 7 road starts. Take the Tigers -1.5 big.




Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Aug 03 '13
7:10p
Cleveland Indians vs Miami Marlins
Take: Miami Marlins +118
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/betonline.jpg (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_420b_652)
in 8h


*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Moneyline Cash* The Miami Marlins snapped the Indians 8 game winning streak last night thanks to a tremendous performance by Jose Fernandez. Fernandez is their best young pitcher, but their second best pitcher is Jacob Turner, and he will start in this game. Turner was rushed to the majors by Detroit and struggled for his first couple seasons. Last year, he started looking good, and this year he has been tremendous. Zach McCallister starts for the Indians, and he is a mediocre starter. The Marlins have been playing surprisingly well of late especially at home. The Indians are just 23-30 on the road this year. The Indians are 0-7 in McCallister's last 7 road games against a team with a losing record. The Marlins are 6-0 in Turner's last 6 starts as a home underdog. Take the Marlins.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Aug 03 '13
7:10p
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox
Take: Arizona Diamondbacks +154
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/betonline.jpg (http://partners.commission.bz/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_420b_652)
in 8h


*3 Start MLB Dog of the Day* The Arizona Diamondbacks aren't as good of a team as the Red Sox, but this price is just ridiculous. Patrick Corbin has been one of baseball's best pitchers this season, and the Diamondbacks are 21-5 in his last 26 starts. It's amazing to see this good of a pitcher getting this huge of price. Jake Peavy will make his debut for the Red Sox in this one. Peavy hasn't been particularly good this year, and I'm not sure he'll be the great pick up that many believe he will be. The Red Sox have a very good lineup, but they haven't hit well against left handers this season. Boston is batting just .249 against left handers this year. The Diamondbacks offense is better against righties and I expect them to score some runs against Peavy. Grab the big underdog here. Take Arizona.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns' N.L. GAME OF THE YEAR! (8-2 TW!)

I'm playing on CINCINNATI


Scott Spreitzer's MLB NON-DIV TOTAL OF THE MONTH! *17-0, 100%! - Sat.


I'm playing the Over between the Mariners & Orioles on Saturday night.


Larry Ness' 10* Run-Line Game of the Year (the BIG ONE!)

My 10* AL Run-Line Game of he Year is on the LA Angels at 9:05 ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DannyB

Clev -130 and Yanks -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

Saturday, August 3, 2013

All 1 unit

MLB

4:05 PM ET

Texas @ Oakland

Take Texas Money Line +115

7:10 PM ET

Arizona @ Boston

Take Boston Run Line -1.5 (+125)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price's 7* 46-0 MLB Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH!

Detroit -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso 100 Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vr

3* rl got- giants +1.5
3* bal/sea under
2* arz +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

William Cross Sports
Oakland-120

VIP action
Reds under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports MLB

Milwaukee +120 list Hand vs Haren
St Louis +145 list Westbrook vs Cingrani