8-6-13

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::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

The SEC pecking order goes like this: Alabama and everyone else. Among “everyone else” are Georgia and LSU, who clash in a Week 5 contest that will likely eliminate one of these pigskin powers from the BCS conversation. Books have the Bulldogs as 4.5-point home favorites. Georgia has one of the toughest opening schedules in the land, taking on Clemson (-2.5) and South Carolina (-5) in the first two games of the season.

Sandwiched between those tests, a Week 3 bye and the LSU game are the lowly North Texas Mean Green in Week 4. North Texas went just 4-8 SU last year and moves from the Sun Belt to the C-USA in 2013. The Mean Green have been just good enough to cover the spread against some heavyweights the past few years, taking ATS wins versus LSU, Alabama and Clemson. UGA will be giving a pile of points and undoubtedly looking past North Texas to LSU the following week.

Letdown spot

It’s been a rough offseason for the Super Bowl favorites. The Denver Broncos have had one of the more drama filled summers, with DUIs, possible suspensions and injuries to the offensive line slowing the team’s progress. It’s that last one that has the Broncos worried the most and could be the reason why Peyton Manning doesn’t touch a football this preseason.

Denver, which was already dealing with injuries to the o-line, lost starting center Dan Koppen for the season and is scrambling to fill gaps in its pass protection. According to ESPN, the team won’t risk throwing Manning to the wolves during exhibition games, especially in the Broncos’ preseason opener against the San Francisco 49ers Thursday (+3). Backup Brock Osweiler could get extra snaps in the warmup games with Denver trying to keep Manning clean and healthy for Week 1.

Schedule spot

The Los Angeles Sparks are one of the worst road bets in the WNBA and are currently in the midst of a five-game away trek, which started in Tulsa and Washington last week. Los Angeles, which is 8-12 ATS overall and just 3-6 ATS as a visitor, split both of those road games going 1-1 SU and ATS, including a loss to the last-place Shock, 96-89 as a 9-point road favorite, Friday.

The Sparks have three more road tests this week, starting in Connecticut Tuesday night. Oddsmakers have set L.A. as a 4.5-point road favorite. Following that stop, Los Angeles travels to Indiana Thursday and New York Saturday. The Sparks score 85.5 points per home game but just 79.6 on the road, shooting just 30 percent from 3-point range, compared to nearly 39 percent at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Tuesday's American League games:

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (-108, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Tigers righty Justin Verlander has picked up a pair of wins over the Tribe this year, but has given up 23 hits and 11 earned runs for a 5.82 ERA against the Central Division rivals.

Cold batting stat: Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is 3-for-19 (.158) with eight strikeouts in his career versus Verlander.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast and wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians are 9-2 in starting pitcher Justin Masterson's last 11 home starts.


New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox (-119, 7)

Cold pitching stat: White Sox starter Chris Sale is coming off one of his worst outings of the season. The lefty lasted just five innings, giving up five earned runs on 10 hits in a 6-1 loss to the Indians on August 1.

Hot batting stat: White Sox SS Alexei Ramirez is 4-for-11 (.364) with a double, homer and four RBIs in his career versus Yankees starter Hiroki Kuroda.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s and there will be a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-1 in Kuroda's last 11 starts versus American League Central.


Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals (-192, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Royals starter James Shields is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in his last two outings.

Hot batting stat: Twins 1B Justin Morneau is 13-for-35 (.371) with six doubles, three homers and eight RBIs in his career versus Shields.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-90s with wind blowing from right field to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals are 5-0 in Shields' last five starts versus a team with a losing record.


Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros (+160, 9)

Cold pitching stat: The Astros have lost SP Jordan Lyles' previous seven starts.

Hot batting stat: Prior to Monday's game, Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia is 14-for-25 (.560) in his career at Houston's MinuteMaid Park.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 34-16-6 in Lyles' last 56 starts overall.


Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (+137, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers ace Yu Darvish is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his two starts versus the Angels this season. He has fanned 17 Angels hitters in his 11 innings of work.

Cold batting stat: Angels 2B Howie Kendrick is 0-for-14 with seven K's in his career versus Darvish.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 8-3-1 in Angels' stater Garrett Richards' last 12 starts overall.


Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (-176, 7)

Hot pitching stat: In his previous outing versus the Jays on May 3, Felix Hernandez went eight innings, striking out seven and giving up five hits en route to a 4-0 victory.

Cold batting stat: Mariners OF Raul Ibanez is 4-for-17 (.235) with five strikeouts in his career versus Jays starter Josh Johnson.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Blue Jays are 0-7 in Johnson's last seven starts.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starting pitchers, stats and weather forecast as of 10:17 p.m. ET Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Tuesday's National League games:

Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates (-189, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Despite pitching well versus the Marlins on July 26, Pirates starter Jeff Locke took the 2-0 loss after being charged with both runs on eight hits in his 6 2/3 innings of work.

Hot batting stat: Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton went 2-for-2 with a solo blast in that game versus Locke.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 5 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Key betting note: The under is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings.


Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies (-117, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Phillies starter Kyle Kendrick was knocked around in his last start on July 31. He lasted two innings after giving up six earned runs on eight hits in a 9-2 loss to the San Francisco Giants.

Cold batting stat: The Cubs roster is 9-for-50 (.180) collective versus Kendrick.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-70s and wind will blow out to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Cubs are 5-1 in Edwin Jackson's last six starts.


Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-125, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Nats starter Gio Gonzalez is coming off his worst outing of the season. The southpaw give up 10 runs on 11 hits in just 3 1/3 innings in an 11-1 defeat to the Detroit Tigers on July 31.

Hot batting stat: Nationals CF Denard Span is 6-for-9 (.667) with two triples in his career versus Braves starter Julio Teheran.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s and wind will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 5-1 in Teheran's last six starts versus the National League East.


Colorado Rockies at New York Mets (-105, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies starter Tyler Chatwood gave up seven earned runs on 10 hits in just 2 1/3 innings en route to a 9-0 loss in his last start against the Atlanta Braves on July 31.

Cold batting stat: Mets 2B Daniel Murphy is 1-for-8 in his career versus Chatwood.

Weather: There is a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing out to left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The Mets are 0-7 in their last seven games following an off day.


Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (+144, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw went 4-1 with a 1.34 ERA in his six July starts. The lefty is tied for the MLB lead in quality starts with 19.

Cold batting stat: Cards OF Carlos Beltran is 4-for-19 (.211) with seven K's in his career versus the Dodgers' southpaw.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s and wind will blow from right field to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-0-1 in Kershaw's last seven starts versus the Cardinals.


Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants (-175, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Giants starter Matt Cain took the loss in his lone start versus the Brewers this season. He went six innings and gave up seven runs on seven hits in a 7-2 loss.

Hot batting stat: Brewers C Jonathan Lucroy is 6-for-15 with one double, one triple, one homer and four RBIs in his career versus Cain.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with mostly sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-2-2 in Cain's last 14 home starts.


Interleague

Oakland A's at Cincinnati Reds (-143, 8)

Cold pitching stat: A's starter Dan Straily has lost three straight decisions and owns a 5.06 ERA during that stretch.

Hot batting stat: A's OF Chris Young is 5-for-14 (.357) with one double and one home run in his career versus Reds starter Mat Latos.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 5 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Key betting note: The Reds are 7-0 in their last seven interleague home games versus a team with a winning record.


Tampa Bay Rays at Arizona Diamondbacks (+108, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rays starter Jeremy Hellickson had a personal six-game winning streak snapped his last time out. He gave up four runs on seven hits, including one homer, in 4 1/3 innings in a 7-0 loss to the DBacks on July 31.

Hot batting stat: DBacks OF Jason Kubel is 4-for-8 with two homers and three RBIs in his career versus Hellickson.

Weather: Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms, the roof could be closed at Chase Field.

Key betting note: The under is 5-0 in DBacks SP Wade Miley's last five interleague starts.


Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres (+110, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Newly acquired Bud Norris got the victory in his first start for the Orioles against his former team, the Houston Astros, on August 1. The righty went six innings and gave up two solo homers en route to a 6-3 victory.

Hot batting stat: Orioles SS J.J. Hardy is a pedestrian 4-for-15 in his career versus Padres starter Edinson Volquez. But two of those hits are home runs.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Padres are 6-0 in their last six home games versus a team with a winning road record.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starting pitchers, stats and weather forecast as of 10:11 p.m. ET Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

Interleague Game of the Year - Reds -140

Top Plays
Pirates -185
Rockies +100
Yankees/White Sox Under 7
Rays -122

Early XNFL Play for Thursday
Tampa Bay Bucs -3

Early CFB Play Thursday, August 29 Top Play Bowling Green/Tulsa Over 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Cardinals on Monday and likes the Nationals on Tuesday.

The deficit is 1374 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate Top Plays

Rockies
Dodgers
Under Yankees
Rangers
Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Atlanta won last three Teheran starts (1-0, 1.00).
-- Jackson is 4-1, 2.45 in his last six starts.
-- Alvarez is 2-0, 0.89 in his last three starts. Locke is 4-2, 2.41 in his last eight.
-- Mejia is 1-1, 2.08 in two starts this season.
-- Kershaw is 4-1, 1.47 in his last seven starts. Kelly is 2-0, 0.51 in his last three outings.
-- Cain is 1-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts.

-- Latos is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts; Reds are 6-2 in his home starts.
-- Miley is 4-1, 2.03 in his last five starts. Hellickson is 6-1, 2.66 in his last eight starts.
-- San Diego won last three Volquez starts (2-0, 4.32). Norris won his first start for Baltimore, allowing two runs in six IP; he was 0-2, 8.47 in his last three for the Astros.

-- Masterson is 3-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 3-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.
-- Kuroda is 3-0 in his last five starts, allowing two runs in 33 IP.
-- Darvish is 2-1, 0.47 in his last three starts. Richards is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
-- Hernandez is 3-0, 1.41 in his last seven starts; Mariners are 1-7 in his starts if he doesn't get the decision.


Cold pitchers
-- Gonzalez allowed ten runs in 3.1 IP last start, but was 4-0, 2.05 in the eight starts before that. Kendrick is 1-2, 10.54 in his last three starts.
-- Chatwood is 3-3, 5.40 in his last six starts.
-- Peralta is 0-2, 12.46 in his last couple starts.

-- Straily is 0-3, 6.75 in his last three starts.

-- Verlander is 0-2, 10.03 in his last two road starts.
-- Astros lost last seven Lyles starts (0-4, 9.17). Wright is 5-6, 3.89 in 19 AAA starts this year; he allowed five runs in 12.1 big league IP (three games).
-- First big league start for lefty Albers (11-5, 2.86 in 22 AAA starts).
-- Sale is 0-3, 4.09 in his last three starts; White Sox scored 23 runs in his last eleven starts.
-- Johnson is 0-5, 9.51 in his last seven starts; he's allowed 12 first inning runs in his last four starts.


Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Teheran 7-21 (0 of last 7); Gonzalez 6-22 (2 of last 13)
-- Jackson 7-22 (1 of last 7); Kendrick 8-22
-- Alvarez 1-5; Locke 4-21
-- Chatwood 5-15; Mejia 0-2
-- Kershaw 2-23; Kelly 0-5
-- Peralta 4-23; Cain 7-22

-- Straily 4-17; Latos 8-22
-- Hellickson 8-22 (1 of last 11); Miley 6-22
-- Norris 7-22; Volquez 7-23

-- Verlander 7-23 (3 of last 3); Masterson 3-23 (0 of last 9)
-- Wright 0-0; Lyles 5-17 (1 of last 11)
-- Albers 0-0; Shields 9-22
-- Kuroda 6-22 (1 of last 11); Sale 6-21 (0 of last 6)
-- Darvish 6-20 (1 of last 10); Richards 0-6
-- Johnson 4-15 (3 of last 4); Hernandex 3-23 (0 of last 10)

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games went over the total; 10 of last 13 Washington road games stayed under. .
-- Eight of last ten Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Mets' last six games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Dodger games.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games stayed under the total.

-- Four of last five Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven San Diego games stayed under total.

-- Four of last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Kansas City's last twelve games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Bronx road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Texas games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Toronto road games went over total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won their last 11 games, scoring 69 runs.
-- Pirates won six of their last eight games.
-- Dodgers are 32-7 in their last 39 games; they've won 15 in row on road.

-- Tampa Bay won 25 of its last 31 games.
-- Padres won six of their last eight games.

-- Detroit won 13 of its last 14 games. Indians won ten of their last twelve.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last ten games.
-- Royals won 12 of their last 13 games. Minnesota won three of last four.
-- Rangers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Blue Jays are 7-5 in their last twelve games.


Cold teams
-- Washington lost four of its last six games.
-- Philly lost five in row, 13 of last 14 games. Cubs lost their last four games, scoring six runs.
-- Marlins lost their last two games, scoring three runs.
-- Colorado lost six of last seven games. Mets lost four of their last five.
-- Cardinals lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games. San Francisco lost 10 oif its last 15 games, scoring eight runs in its last three games.

-- Oakland lost four of its last five games. Reds lost seven of last nine.
-- Diamondbacks lost six of their last eight games.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last twelve games.

-- Houston lost nine of its last eleven games.
-- White Sox lost their last ten games, scoring 19 runs. Bronx lost 11 of their last 17 games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Mariners lost five of their last seven games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Wsh-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine West games.
-- LA-StL-- Underdogs are 6-4 in last ten Joyce games, with last four staying under the total.
-- Mil-SF-- Five of last seven Culbreth games went over the total.

-- Det-Cle-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Cuzzi games.
-- Bos-Hst-- Underdogs won six of last eight Knight games.
-- Min-KC-- Home side won 13 of last 15 Emmel games.
-- NY-Chi-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Porter games.
-- Tex-LA-- Five of last seven Diaz games went over the total.
-- Tor-Sea-- No trends yet for young umpire Wolcott.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

7:05 PM Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
2 UNITS UNDER 7 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Atlanta Braves +115 over Washington Nats
(System Record: 59-7, lost last game)
Overall Record: 59-64-1

Soccer Crusher
Ceara + America RN OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 437-15, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 437-373-58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Arizona

The Rays look to build on their 10-2 record in their last 12 interleague games as a favorite. Tampa Bay is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, AUGUST 6
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 15.870; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.383
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125); Under


Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 14.107; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.612
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Over


Game 955-956: Miami at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 15.723; Pittsburgh (Locke) 17.293
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); Under


Game 957-958: Colorado at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 14.457; NY Mets (Mejia) 13.824
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over


Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 17.585; St. Louis (Kelly) 16.161
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-155); Under


Game 961-962: Milwaukee at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.074; San Francisco (Cain) 14.547
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+155); Over


Game 963-964: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 17.543; Cleveland (Masterson) 16.612
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Under


Game 965-966: Boston at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wright) 15.995; Houston (Lyles) 14.446
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-180); Over


Game 967-968: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Albers) 14.413; Kansas City (Shields) 17.083
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-200); Over


Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.570; White Sox (Sale) 14.690
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+105); Under


Game 971-972: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.936; LA Angels (Richards) 14.596
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-145); Over


Game 973-974: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Johnson) 14.888; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.570
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+165); Under


Game 975-976: Oakland at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 14.181; Cincinnati (Latos) 15.615
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-145); Over


Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.714; Arizona (Miley) 14.336
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Under


Game 979-980: Baltimore at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 15.013; San Diego (Volquez) 14.660
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Seattle at Phoenix

The Storm look to build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 games in Phoenix. Seattle is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, AUGUST 6
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Washington at New York (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 111.047; New York 107.510
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 144
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Under


Game 653-654: Los Angeles at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 114.146; Connecticut 107.637
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 6 1/2; 159
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-4); Over


Game 655-656: Minnesota at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 120.164; San Antonio 107.483
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 12 1/2; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 153
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10); Under


Game 657-658: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.059; Chicago 115.279
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 6; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+6); Over


Game 659-660: Seattle at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.806; Phoenix 110.470
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 156
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1074-806 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner TUES D'Backs + 115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Tuesday

Dodgers - Cards under 7

Atlanta +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Tuesday Kansas City/Minnesota Under 8 1/2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo back with the K-Man

Hondo made some significant progess on his deficit-reduction program last night, scoring with the Dodgers in St. Louis to lower the negative number to 495 kenneys.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is appealing to A-Rod to help Kuroda get a “W” against the Pale Hose — 20 units on the Yankees.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at KANSAS CITY

Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MINNESOTA) poor AL offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), after scoring 2 runs or less
43-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 48.9% 37.0 units )
3-11 this year. ( 21.4% -5.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB OAKLAND at CINCINNATI

CINCINNATI is 16-2 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in Home games after a loss this season.

The average score was: CINCINNATI (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA INDIANA at CHICAGO

Play On - Home favorites (CHICAGO) revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a road loss against a division rival
157-90 since 1997. ( 63.6% 58.0 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% 2.9 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at CONNECTICUT

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record
48-10 since 1997. ( 82.8% 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA INDIANA at CHICAGO

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good foul drawing team - attempting >=20 free throws/game
382-244 since 1997. ( 61.0% 113.6 units )
5-0 this year. ( 100.0% 5.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blue Jays backers taking over Seattle's Safeco Field

There was a migration of Canadian baseball fans crossing the border from British Columbia to Seattle, cheering on the Toronto Blue Jays and B.C. native Brett Lawrie to a 3-1 win over the Mariners Monday night.

According to the Toronto Star, legions of Blue Jays fans took over Safeco Field making it a home away from home for the Jays, who cashed in as +121 road underdogs. Richard Griffin wrote:

They sang the anthem, they chanted names, they outhustled, they out-cheered, they out-fanned the home side. The fans definitely made a difference Monday night...

“I think the last road crowd I saw like that was here, last year,” Lawrie, a native of Langley, B.C. told reporters.

“It’s obviously a positive when the whole crowd is cheering for your team. It picked us up tonight. You could feel the energy in the building. Everyone’s cheering for the Blue Jays and it’s going back and forth. It’s just a lot of fun to be a part of and everyone coming down from B.C. It’s definitely good to have people in your corner and have everyone cheering for our team.”

Toronto is a +160 road underdog Tuesday, sending right-hander Josh Johnson to the mound. Seattle gives the ball to ace righty Felix Hernandez.

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The Rami Post

MLB Picks
Atlanta @ Washington (7:05pm EDT)
Washington ML -120 (1.80/1.50)

Baltimore @ San Diego (10:10pm EDT)
Baltimore ML -130 (1.30/1.00)

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CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB DIAMOND DOMINATOR

Miami +1½/-125

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SuperSportsGroup MLB

LA v. St Louis 8:15pm
PICK: UNDER 6.5 Game -105

Toronto v. Seattle 10:10pm
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game +105

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Teddy Covers

10* Cubs

10* Athletics

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Root

Millionaire Cleveland
No Limit Reds

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TheSportsCapper

TUESDAY BASEBALL

100* Play Pittsburgh -170 over Miami (TOP MLB PLAY)

Pittsburgh has won 38 of the last 58 home games and they have also won 11 of the last 12 games when playing with a day off. Pittsburgh has won 12 of the last 16 games when playing on a Tuesday and they have also won 20 of the last 30 games after having won six or seven of the last eight games.

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100* Play Texas -125 over Los Angeles Angels (TOP MLB PLAY)

Yu Darvish has won 20 of the last 31 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 30 of the last 49 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher. Yu Darvish is 5-1 vs. Los Angeles over his career with an ERA of 3.83 and he has won two of the last three overall starts with an ERA of 0.47.

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100* Play Seattle -160 over Toronto (TOP MLB PLAY)

Toronto has lost 36 of the last 55 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 19 of the last 30 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. Josh Johnson is 0-5 in road games this season with an ERA of 9.00 and he is 0-3 over his last three overall starts with an ERA of 16.20.

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100* Play Boston -160 over Houston (TOP MLB PLAY)

Jordan Lyles has lost 15 of the last 19 games coming off a team win and he has lost 23 of the last 29 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Jordan Lyles has lost 20 of the last 26 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he is 0-2 over the last three starts with an ERA of 9.82.

50* Play San Francisco -165 over Milwaukee (Bonus MLB Play)
50* Play Kansas City -190 over Minnesota (Bonus MLB Play)

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The Winners Circle

TUESDAY BASEBALL PLAYS

10* Play Los Angeles Dodgers -145 over St. Louis MLB TOP PLAY

Clayton Kershaw has won 16 of the last 23 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has won 23 of the last 34 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. Clayton Kershaw has won 28 of the last 39 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.17.


5* Play San Francisco -170 over Milwaukee MLB TOP PLAY
5* Play Kansas City -190 over Minnesota MLB TOP PLAY
5* Play Boston -165 over Houston MLB TOP PLAY

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: St. Louis +140 (moneyline) at Bovada

The Dodgers have won 15 straight on the road, looking to challenge the record of 17wins. They have Clayton Kershaw on the mound tonight with his under 2 ERA, and looks to be in good shape here. He will be opposed by Joe Kelly who has pitched pretty well himself with a 3.10 ERA entering this contest. It's hard to find any negative numbers on the Dodgers right now simply because they have played so well. The Cardinals are at their best when facing the best as they are 25-10 when facing a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15 in their last 35. They have also bounced back off a loss very well, as they are 39-17 in their last 56 after suffering a setback. The Dodgers own just a 17-36 record here in their last 53, and I consider this game a toss up. With the Cards listed as a moderate dog, that is where the value lies. Play on St. Louis.

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qualitysportspicks

Tuesday the 6th of August::
10 unit - Baltimore Orioles -125
5 unit - Cleveland Indians -105
5 unit - New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox / Un7
5 unit - Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates / Un7
5 unit - Miami Marlins +180
5 unit - Colorado Rockies -105
5 unit - LA Dodgers -145

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Monday (5 in a row) with the Royals -$170/Twins.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes two the Mariners -$185/Blue Jays and the Reds -$142/A's for $50.

"Mr Chalk" is 1-0 +$100 for the week 73-38 +$1631 for the 2013 MLB 2013 season.

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Danny B
Dbacks and Orioles ML

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DHayes

Rangers -160

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$MASH THE BOOK
Tuesday 8/6

MLB
** 976 Cincinnati -157 **

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Mike Hook

WTA
SHARON FICHMAN -140 Dubois (3 UNITS)

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Sports Cash System Play of the Day 8/6


Baltimore Orioles -135 over the San Diego Padres

(System Record: 116-5, Lost last game)
Overall Record: 116-104

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Ocal Sports

Free Play
(2) Red Sox -168

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Jim Morrison 3.0 Boston

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Power Play Wins

Phillies -120

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Dwayne Bryant

2* Dodgers

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Kyle Hunter

4* TB/Arizona Under 8.5
3* Braves +115
3* Yanks/Whitesox Under 7

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Mike Hook

Kirsten Flipkens +110 Venus (2 Units)

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BOB BALFE

ATLANTA BRAVES +110
(Teheran/Gonzalez)

There is not one single factor that points to take the Nationals in this game other than they are at home. Atlanta has the pitcher with the better numbers this year, they are the better team and as of late have been crushing the baseball. Atlanta is the best team in the NL East by far. Take the Braves.

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Stephen Nover MLB Money Line Tue, 08/06/13 - 8:15 PM
dime bet - 960 STL (+145) vs 959 LOS

I know the Dodgers have won 16 consecutive away games and that Clayton Kershaw leads the majors in ERA. Kershaw is in great form, too, posting a 1.47 ERA in his last seven starts.

Still, I can't pass up the Cardinals at home at this 'dog price.

The Cardinals have the second-fewest home losses in baseball. They also have a hot pitcher going, Joe Kelly. And, no, Kelly isn't just some bullpen spare part. He would be a middle-of-the-rotation starter on a lot of teams. He just happens to toil for the pitching-rich Cardinals. Kelly is 2-0 with a 1.90 ERA in four starts since joining the rotation last month. Kelly hasn't given up a run in his last 14 2/3 innings.

During the past two seasons, Kelly has yielded three earned runs or fewer in 18 of 21 starts. He's a real under-the-radar pitcher.

Kelly probably isn't going to have to worry about Hanley Ramirez, who is batting .361 but injured his shoulder on Sunday.

Of course the Dodgers still have Kershaw going. But the Cardinals are the one team that has given him trouble. Kershaw is 2-4 with a 5.15 ERA versus St. Louis.

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TMC Sports Advisors

Cincinnati -150

Baltimore -130

Atlanta +100

Boston -1.5 -110

Yesterday 3-1

37-22-1 Last 63

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Both Chicago and LA Syndicate Plays Scratched Chatwood for the Rockies is scratched.

No Play Colorado Rockies

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The Philly Godfather

My Moves

MLB [978] ARI DIAMONDBACKS +108 100: +108
MLB [956] TOTAL u7-115 (MIA MARLINS vrs PIT PIRATES) 100: u7 -115

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Chris Torrisi

yanks/sox under
Pirates/marlins under

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Bookieshunter

49-24 run

3-0 yesterday

3* Reds
3* O's

2* Under 8.5 Rays/Diamondbacks

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Michael Tang

Yankees
Rangers RL-1.5
Tigers

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Chance Lockwood Plays

Premium Selection:
Take Baltimore Orioles -130 vs. San Diego Padres
　
Daily Chance Card: 　

Washington -114

Phillies -120

Pittsburgh -200

Detroit -107

Colorado +122

Oakland +143

Kansas City -183

White Sox -110

Boston -165

Dodgers -151

Tampa -122

Texas -167

Seattle -158

Baltimore -136

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9xSports

(mlb) 7:05pm atlanta braves+102

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

MINNESOTA/KANSAS CITY UNDER 8

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Paul Leiner

100* Rays -130

50* Orioles -135

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Accu-score

ML-Home Wins 45 to 49.9% 132-108, 55% +2210 -

TEX 971 vs LAA 972 -- Over 50% on Texas Rangers -143
TB 977 vs ARI 978 -- Over 50% on Tampa Bay Rays -122

ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 175-106, 62.3% +2203 -

NYY 969 vs CHW 970 -- Over 50% on Chicago White Sox -123
ATL 951 vs WAS 952 -- Over 50% on Washington Nationals -125
CHC 953 vs PHI 954 -- Over 50% on Philadelphia Phillies -117

4 STAR MONEY LINE 235-155, 60.3% +2004 -

DET 963 vs CLE 964 -- Over 50% on Cleveland Indians -112
MIN 967 vs KC 968 -- Over 50% on Kansas City Royals -195
MIA 955 vs PIT 956 -- Over 50% on Pittsburgh Pirates -188

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Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 06, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngChicago @ PHILADELPHIA
Chicago +106 over PHILADELPHIA
The Phillies have dropped five in a row and 14 of their past 15 games. Philadelphia’s lone win over that span came against Barry Zito. They’ve had a difficult schedule over that stretch (Atlanta, San Fran, Detroit, St. Louis and the Mets) but 14 losses in 15 games takes a negative toll. The Phillies were in striking distance before the All-Star break but have fallen 17 games back of first place Atlanta after being swept by the Braves this past weekend. Team morale can’t be high coming into this series. Kyle Kendrick was having a fine year but his recent struggles should not be ignored. Over his last five starts covering 26 frames, Kendrick has just 12 K’s against seven walks. He also has an alarming 30% line-drive rate over that span along with a 7.36 xERA. Kendrick's skills lack the wow factor. His hot streak earlier in the year coincided with a favorable 25% hit rate and 81% strand rate. Those rates have since normalized and the result is a thin margin for error. Kendrick may offer up some value as a pooch but as the chalk pitching for a demoralized group, he offers none.
Edwin Jackson delivered in July on the profit potential we forecasted out of him over the last six weeks. Jackson posted a 1.83 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 34 IP during July. The recipe was elite command and the third-highest groundball rate (60%) in the NL. Jackson has a history of strong finishes. He has an outstanding and almost scary 12% line-drive rate over his past 46 innings. He has walked just six batters over his past 34 frames. Jackson’s 4.65 ERA is a complete mirage. Up until late June, Jackson’s 38%/61% hit%/strand% split was the perfect storm of bad luck but he has reversed his fortunes and the results are an exceptional hidden skill set. Jackson has a great chance to thrive again here against a Philadelphia squad that is last in the majors with a .212 batting average over its past 15 games.

Our Pick
Chicago +106 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngColorado @ N.Y. METS
N.Y. METS +100 over Colorado
The Rockies have just 21 road wins in 56 attempts this season. That is the 4th worst mark in MLB, ahead of only the Marlins, Brewers, Astros and White Sox. Over its past six road games, Colorado has scored 12 runs and overall it has dropped six of its last seven on the road. Tyler Chatwood is 7-4 with an impressive 3.15 ERA and while there are definite improvements in his profile, that include a 1.1 mph increase in his fastball to 93.6 mph, 3.5% jump in his swinging strike rate and an elite groundball rate, there are also warning signs that tell us to beware. First, Chatwood’s 3.15 ERA has been greatly aided by an unsustainable 80% strand rate. His 1.39 WHIP is not even at an acceptable level. Batters have hit .279 against him and when you combine everything together, that being a high strand rate, a high BAA and a high WHIP, it does not correlate to a low ERA. Chatwood has struck out four batters or fewer in nine of his past 10 starts and when he faced the Mets back on June 27, he whiffed just two batters in six frames. Let someone else purchase Chatwood’s ERA and W/L record while we step in and sell high.
Jenrry Mejia had TJS in May 2011 and battled forearm tendinitis this spring. He was shut down until mid-May and has been on a strengthening program since. Mejia was one of the most impressive starters in any MLB spring camp a few years ago. Mejia was at one time a top prospect, who may finally be ready to break through and provide the Mets will quality results. His raw ability is undeniable, as he has a mid-90s fastball with movement. In two starts back with the Mets, Mejia has 11 K’s in 13 innings while issuing just one walk. He also has an elite 63% groundball rate and an xERA of just 2.62. The Rockies offense ranks 27th in MLB on the road and most of these Rockies have never seen him. Four current Rockies have faced Mejia and they are a combined 0-7 in those AB’s. There is great profit potential in Mejia’s arm and there is no doubt that he and the Mets are wrongly priced here.

Our Pick
N.Y. METS +100 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngMinnesota @ KANSAS CITY
Minnesota +168 over KANSAS CITY
James Shields is having another James Shields season. A model of consistency for years, Shields is once again posting relevant numbers that include a 3.08 ERA and 128 K’s in 155 innings. However, in 23 starts, Shields’ is just 6-7, meaning the Royals struggle to win when he takes the hill. There are also plenty of warning signs in his recent profile that suggest an implosion is forthcoming. Shields’ has pitched 205 innings or more in six straight years and he’s well on his way to another 200+ innings season. Last year he threw 228 frames and in ’12 he pitched 249 innings. Over his last five starts covering 32 frames, Shields has walked 12 and struck out 21. Whenever you see a declining K rate and increasing walk rate it’s a sure sign of fatigue. Over that recent five game stretch, Shields’ WHIP has sky-rocketed to 1.44 and his xERA over that span was 5.26. James Shields is a huge risk spotting a tag like the one offered here.
If you’re a regular reader of this section then you were warned plenty of times about the poor skills of Scott Diamond. We’ve been suggesting for months that he won’t last the year in the Twins rotation and sure enough, that pigeon, as they say, has come home to roost. Scott Diamond is now in the minors where he belongs and that has opened up the door for Andrew Albers. Albers' first professional season was in 2008 with the Padres, where he started just five games before suffering an injury that would lead to Tommy John surgery. As a result, he missed all of 2009. After playing independent ball in 2010, the Twins signed Albers to a minor-league contract and the lefty now gets his chance to crack the Twins rotation. Albers is the prototypical Minnesota control and finesse pitcher. He has put up impressive numbers this year during his first Triple-A season and over his last four starts (28.1 IP) Albers has given up just four earned runs with 25/4 K/BB while throwing a complete game on July 26. He can eat up innings and pitch efficiently deep into games. Albers throws strikes with precision command and induces weak contact and lots of groundball outs. He also gets a surprising number of strikeouts considering the lack of overpowering stuff. His best pitch is an 87-91 mph sinker followed by a decent slider and improving change-up. Albers has to rely on pitch mix and pinpoint control to keep hitters off balance but he has learned to do it very effectively. At age 27, Albers has paid his dues. He has great potential because of his precision control with all of his off-speed stuff. Ask any major-league hitter if they would rather face a guy with a straight 98 MPH fastball or a guy with different speeds to all corners of the plate and you would get the same answer 100% of the time. Albers brings that deception along with pin-point command. At Triple-AAA Rochester this season, Albers struck out 116 batters while walking just 32 over 133 frames. He has a great chance to do well in his debut and at this price, he’s worth a wager.

Our Pick
Minnesota +168 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.36)

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Betting Line Moves

Miami Marlins +170 FH
Miami Marlins +180

Color/NYMets Under 4 FH

Houston Astro +160 FH
Houston Astro +160

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David Banks/Tiredoflosing

BestBet TampaBay-130

Atlanta+115
CWSOXS -125
LADodgers-160

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Betting Line Moves

St Louis +140

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Ultra Sports MLB

Atlanta Braves +108 list Tehran vs Gonzalez

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RTG Sports
Detroit Tigers -109*
Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals:
Will there be a run scored in the first inning? No -145*

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Betting As A Business

MLB Tuesday Free Pick
Washington (Gonzalez) -115 / Atlanta (Tehera) 7:05 ET 1.50 Units
(Play ON WASHINGTON)

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Sports Unlimited

tampa bay

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Seabass Report for Tuesday-all 50 units
Baltimore
UNDER Yankees
UNDER Miami

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Hoopsgooroo

Indians -105

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RICH SPORTS

MLB
5* 952 Was -115
1* 964 Cle ev
2* 980 SD +rl -140

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Sam Martin 20* Run-Line Demolition Seattle -1.5

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
3* A's/Reds over 8 (-115) 345/300
2* Cubs/Phillies over 8 (-120) 220/200
2* Red Sox/Astros over 9 (-105) 210/200

WNBA
1* Washington Mystics +6.5 (buy 3 points) 200/100

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Highroller sportspicks

nyy +108

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Sean Michael 100 Dime
Kansas City Run Line

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Jeff Benton

75 Dime
Mets/Rockies Over

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CHRIS JORDAN

100 Phillies

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kelso

​100 Balt

15 unit rangers

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root Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) - white sox

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Sports Handicapper King

Baltimore

Over Detroit/Cleveland

Freeloader is Dodgers