8-7-13

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::clap::

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The best and worst bets against divisional foes in MLB
By JASON LOGAN

Winning divisional matchups are imperative to climbing the MLB standings at this point in the season. Teams looking to make a postseason push, or just hoping to get on the right track, need to handle their business against familiar foes with the schedule back loaded with divisional games.

Here are some of the best and worst divisional wagers in the major leagues, heading into Tuesday:

Pittsburgh Pirates (67-44 overall, 30-18 vs. NL Central)

A big part of Pittsburgh’s success has been its dominance over divisional rivals. The Bucs recently rolled the St. Louis Cardinals, winning four of five in the series. The Pirates have an upcoming three-game set with St. Louis and round out the schedule with 26 of their final 33 games coming against divisional opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays (52-60 overall, 18-30 vs. AL East)

The AL East is a beast of a division. Toronto was pegged to top the standings this offseason but things haven’t gone according to plan north of the border. The Blue Jays are the tackling dummies of the division and haven’t won a divisional series since sweeping Baltimore in three games at home back in June. Toronto has 12 more divisional games by the end of the month and close 2013 with 15 of its final 16 contests against the AL East.

Detroit Tigers (65-45 overall, 28-16 vs. AL Central)

The Tigers have leaned on their control over the AL Central to keep them at the top of the league standings. Detroit has owned divisional foes this season, recently sweeping the White Sox and defeating the Indians Monday night. The Tigers have a massive five-game home stand versus surging Kansas City in the middle of August and play 18 of their final 28 games inside the AL Central.

Chicago Cubs (49-62 overall, 16-31 vs. NL Central)

Take away the Cubbies’ terrible record versus divisional foes and they’re actually two games above .500. Chicago’s struggles against the NL Central hit rock bottom when it dropped three of four games to the Brewers last week. No one in the National League is missing the Houston Astros more than the Cubs right now. They have an upcoming nine-game stretch versus the Cardinals and Reds and wrap the season with 20 of the final 23 games versus the division.

Texas Rangers (63-50 overall, 31-14 vs. AL West)

Oakland may lead the AL West but even the A’s know which clubs runs the division. Texas is 8-5 against each Oakland and Seattle, 7-2 versus Houston and 8-2 against Los Angeles. The Rangers took two of three over the A’s this past weekend and opened a three-game set with a win over the Halos Monday. Texas plays a four-game series with the Astros later this week and finishes the year with 16 of 26 against the AL West.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nationals on Tuesday and likes the A’s on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1437 sirignanos.

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The Factsman

MLB Wednesday Video Pick

Chicago White Sox
(C. Sabathia vs H. Santiago)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Hamels is 2-2, 2.30 in his last six starts, but Phillies lost his last three, scoring a total of six runs. Koehler is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Chacin is 7-2, 2.24 in his last ten starts. Harvey is 1-1, 1.74 in his last three.
-- Miller is 3-1, 3.58 in his last five starts.
-- Bumgarner is 4-1, 1.47 in his last six starts.

-- Colon is 11-1, 1.61 in his last 14 starts. Bailey is 1-1, 1.76 in his last two.
-- Archer is 4-1, 1.42 in his last five starts. Delgado is 3-0, 2.61 in his last three.

-- Fister is 4-0, 1.61 in his last four starts. Salazar won his only '13 start, allowing Texas one run in six IP.
-- Cosart is 1-0, 1.29 in four starts this season.
-- Deduno is 3-0, 1.67 in his last four starts.
-- Santiago has a 2.63 RA in his last two starts, but White Sox lost his last six outings, scoring 10 runs in those six games.

Cold pitchers
-- Medlen is 2-3, 7.09 in his last five starts. Zimmerman is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three home starts.
-- Wood is 1-2, 5.66 in his last four starts.
-- Morton is 2-2, 5.28 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco is 1-1, 4.29 in his last four starts (less than six IP in all four).
-- Estrada is 0-2, 7.36 in his last two starts, last of which was June 3.

-- MGonzalez lost his last two starts, allowing 15 runs in 8.1 IP. Stults is 0-3, 7.13 in his last three starts.

-- Dempster has an 8.55 RA in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 0-4, 9.76 in his last five starts.
-- Hanson is 0-0, 9.35 in his last four starts; Angels are 2-4 in his no-decisions. Ogando is 0-1, 3.72 in his last four starts.
-- Harang is 1-3, 6.55 in his last four starts. Happ is 1-2, 6.53 in his last five starts; this is his first start since being hit by a line drive May 7 in Tampa.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Medlen 9-22; Zimmerman 3-22
-- Wood 3-22; Hamels 4-23
-- Koehler 5-13; Morton 2-9
-- Chacin 2-21 (0 of last 16); Harvey 4-22 (1 of last 11)
-- Nolasco 7-22; Miller 5-21 (0 of last 8)
-- Estrada 3-12; Bumgarner 3-22

-- Colon 5-22; Bailey 3-22 (1 of last 14)
-- Gonzalez 6-19; Stults 7-23
-- Archer 2-12; Delgado 3-9

-- Happ 1-7; Harang 7-18
-- Fister 5-22 (0 of last 4); Salazar 0-1
-- Dempster 8-21; Cosart 1-4
-- Deduno 4-13; Duffy 0-0
-- Sabathia 6-23; Santiago 3-15
-- Ogando 2-13; Hanson 4-12

Totals
-- 11 of last 14 Washington road games stayed under. .
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Miami games.
-- Six of Mets' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Dodger games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games stayed under the total.

-- Five of last six Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight San Diego games stayed under total.

-- Five of last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Kansas City's last thirteen games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Bronx road games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Texas games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Toronto road games went over total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won their last 12 games, scoring 70 runs.
-- Pirates won seven of their last nine games.
-- Dodgers are 32-8 in their last 40 games, winning 15 of last 16 on road.

-- Padres won six of their last nine games.

-- Detroit won 14 of its last 15 games. Indians won ten of their last thirteen, but they're 1-10 in last eleven games vs Detroit.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Royals won 12 of their last 14 games. Minnesota won four of last five.
-- White Sox won last two games, allowing three runs, after losing their previous ten games.
-- Rangers won eight of their last nine games.
-- Blue Jays are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.

Cold teams
-- Washington lost five of their last seven games.
-- Philly lost 13 of their last 15 games. Cubs lost their last five games.
-- Marlins lost their last three games, scoring six runs.
-- Colorado lost seven of last eight games. Mets lost four of their last six.
-- Cardinals lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last six games. San Francisco lost 11 of its last 16 games, scoring nine runs in its last four games.

-- Oakland lost five of its last six games. Reds lost seven of last ten.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last five games. Arizona lost six of last nine.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last thirteen games.

-- Houston lost ten of its last twelve games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost 12 of their last 18 games.
-- Angels lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Wsh-- Four of last five Holbrook games went over the total.
-- Chi-Phil-- Five of last seven Baker games stayed under the total.
-- Mia-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Carapazza games stayed under total.
-- Col-NY-- Ten of last twelve Randazzo games stayed under total.
-- LA-StL-- Favorites won six of last seven Nelson games.
-- Mil-SF-- Six of last eight BWelke games stayed under the total.

-- A's-Cin-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Hoye games.
-- Blt-SD-- Last four Demuth games went over the total.
-- TB-Az-- Underdogs won ten of last sixteen TWelke games.

-- Det-Cle-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Guccione games.
-- Bos-Hst-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last twelve Carlson games.
-- Min-KC-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Conroy games.
-- NY-Chi-- Five of last six Gibson games stayed under total.
-- Tex-LA-- Road team won nine of last twelve Timmons games.
-- Tor-Sea-- Favorites won 11 of last 14 Scott games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitch Wilson

Dog Of The Day: Cubs with Wood

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Baseball Crusher
New York Yankees -108 over Chicago White Sox
(System Record: 60-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 60-64-1

Soccer Crusher
Victoria + Fluminense OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 438-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 438-373-58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia

The Phillies look to follow up their 9-8 win over the Cubs last night and take advantage of a Chicago team that is 0-6 in Travis Wood's last 6 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Philadelphia is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 7
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 16.781; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.072
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Under


Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 13.308; Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.812
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Over


Game 905-906: Miami at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 15.532; Pittsburgh (Morton) 16.984
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); Under


Game 907-908: Colorado at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 14.498; NY Mets (Harvey) 13.783
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-210); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+180); Over


Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 15.322; St. Louis (Miller) 16.724
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Over


Game 911-912: Milwaukee at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.286; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.135
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+195); Under


Game 913-914: Toronto at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 15.408; Seattle (Harang) 14.050
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Under


Game 915-916: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 17.884; Cleveland (Salazar) 16.271
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Over


Game 917-918: Boston at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Dempster) 16.023; Houston (Cosart) 14.018
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Under


Game 919-920: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 16.258; Kansas City (Duffy) 15.238
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 14.583; White Sox (Santiago) 15.676
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); Over


Game 923-924: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 16.254; LA Angels (Hanson) 14.178
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-120); Under


Game 925-926: Oakland at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.074; Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.721
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); Under


Game 927-928: Baltimore at San Diego (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.788; San Diego (Stults) 14.486
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-120); Over


Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.537; Arizona (Delgado) 14.013
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1075-806 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner WED: Nationals -135

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Tampa Bay -135

Cleveland/Detroit under 8.5

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Cappers Access

Nationals -135
W.Sox +110

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at KANSAS CITY

Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season
52-26 since 1997. ( 66.7% 28.4 units )
8-7 this year. ( 53.3% 1.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB MIAMI at PITTSBURGH

PITTSBURGH is 61-37 (+27.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.

The average score was: PITTSBURGH (4.0) , OPPONENT (3.4)

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River City Sharps

2 UNITS Washington Nationals ML

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Quality Sports Picks

MLB
10 unit - Baltimore Orioles -120
(Listed Pitchers Only)

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The Rami Post

CBX's MLB
Oakland @ Cincinnati (12:35pm EDT)
Oakland ML +110

Toronto @ Seattle (3:40pm EDT)
Seattle ML -120

Atlanta @ Washington (7:05pm EDT)
Washington ML -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Tigers -130

50* Mariners -115

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Chase Diamond

9* Cincinnati -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters
124-82 run

32-25 run last 57 plays

pod nationals under 7.5

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TheSportsCapper

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL

100* Play Oakland +125 over Cincinnati (TOP MLB PLAY)

Homer Bailey has lost 22 of the last 32 day games and he has lost 7 of the last 8 inter-league games. Homer Bailey has lost 7 of the last 10 games when the line is +125 to -125 and he has lost 10 of the last 15 games coming off a game where he did not walk a batter.

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100* Play Seattle -130 over Toronto (TOP MLB PLAY)

JA Happ has lost 34 of the last 50 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has lost 33 of the last 50 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. JA Happ has lost 20 of the last 27 road games and he has an ERA of 7.36 over his last three overall starts.

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100* Play Boston -150 over Houston (TOP MLB PLAY)

Houston has lost 91 of the last 124 games after having lost 15 or more of the last 20 games and they have also lost 26 of the last 35 games vs. AL East Division Opponents. Houston has lost 135 of the last 193 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and they have lost 155 of the last 209 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher.

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50* Play Detroit -130 over Cleveland (Bonus MLB Play)

50* Play Tampa Bay -120 over Arizona (Bonus MLB Play)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

4* (MLB) Toronto Bluejays ML +110

3* (MLB) San Diego Padres ML +106

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KYLE HUNTER

TOP PLAY =-
12:35p Oakland A's vs Cincinnati Reds
*5 Star MLB Top Play Early Bird*
Take: Total 7½ un-113

3:40p Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO*
Take: Total 8½ ov-105

7:05p Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day*
Take: Atlanta Braves +125

-= TOP PLAY =-
9:40p Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Month*
Take: Total 8 un-105

10:05p Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Cash*
Take: Texas Rangers -114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

15 Texas rangers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Here are quick-hitting betting notes on all the action from the National League Wednesday:

Oakland A's at Cincinnati Reds (-118, 7.5)

Pitching stat: A's pitcher Bartolo Colon allowed two or fewer runs in seven straight starts and has posted 15 straight quality starts.

Batting stat: Reds' slugger Joey Votto is batting .458 in the last eight games.

Weather: Temperatures in mid 80s with a 64 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Key betting stat: Athletics are 1-7 in their last eight games with umpire James Hoye behind home plate.

Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres (+111, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Padres LHP Eric Stults is at his best at home, where he is 5-2 with a 2.35 ERA.

Batting stat: Orioles' Adam Jones, who is from San Diego, is 8-for-15 in four career games at the Padres.

Weather: Temperatures in the low 70s with clear skies and winds blowing WNW at 10 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 15-5-1 in Orioles' last 21 vs. National League West.

Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates (-184, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Pittsburgh RHP Mark Melancon has allowed only one run and 11 hits in his last 22 appearances, totaling 22 innings.

Batting stat: The Pirates are a dominant team at home, tying for the major league lead with 39 wins while belting 45 homers to 24 for their opponents.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with a 34 percent chance of rain and winds blowing south at 5 mph.

Key betting stat: Pirates are 27-11 in their last 38 during Game 2 of a series.

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-133, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Atlanta batters are hitting .200 against Nationals RHP Jordan Zimmermann with 15 strikeouts in 85 at-bats

Batting stat: Nine of the 12 games between the Braves and Nationals this season have been decided by two runs or less.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with a 30 percent chance of rain and winds blowing south at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Over is 4-0 in Zimmermann's last four home starts.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies (-164, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Phillies LHP Cole Hamels is 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in six starts against the Cubs, but he hasn't faced them since 2010.

Batting stat: Phillies rookie Darin Ruf has reached base safely in 33 consecutive games dating to last season - every game he has started in the majors.

Weather: Temperatures in the low 70s with a 45 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing south at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 26-10-2 in umpire Jordan Baker's last 38 games behind home plate.

Colorado Rockies at New York Mets (N/A)

Pitching stat: Rockies RHP Jhoulys Chacin is 4-2 with a 1.78 ERA on the road in eight starts.

Batting stat: Rockies 1B Todd Helton is hitting .348 against the Mets - the third-highest average against New York among players with at least 350 plate appearances (Derek Jeter, .368; Tony Gwynn, .356).

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 70s with a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing south at 7 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 15-5-1 in Rockies last 21 after scoring two runs or less in their previous game.

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (-144, 7.5)

Pitching stat: St. Louis has turned a major league-leading 134 double plays.

Batting stat: Dodgers 1B Adrian Gonzalez is a career .366 hitter (26-for-71) at Busch Stadium.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blow north at 4 mph.

Key betting stat: Dodgers are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants (-230, 7)

Pitching stat: Giants LHP Madison Bumgarner has pitched at least seven innings while allowing three runs or fewer in nine straight starts - the second-longest streak in the majors since 1996.

Batting stat: The Brewers have won 43 straight games and are 40-0 this season - the only undefeated team in the major leagues - when leading after eight innings.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid 50s with overcast skies and winds blowing WSW at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 4-0-1 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts vs. Brewers.

Tampa Bay Rays at Arizona Diamondbacks (+115, 8)

Pitching stat: Rays RHP Chris Archer has averaged eight innings per start over his last four outings.

Batting stat: Arizona slugger Cody Ross is 14-for-31 with three home runs in his last eight games.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 90s with clear skies and winds blowing west at 5 mph.

Key betting stat: Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Here are quick-hitting betting notes on all the action from the American League Wednesday:

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (-104, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Toronto left-hander J.A. Happ is back on the mound for the first time in three months.

Batting stat: Toronto third baseman Brett Lawrie is 5-for-8 in the series and is 14-for-33 during a nine-game hitting streak.

Weather: N/A

Key betting stat: Blue Jays are 15-6 in their last 21 vs. American League West.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (+105, 8)

Pitching stat: Tigers RHP Doug Fister is 5-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 86 1/3 career innings against the Indians.

Batting stat: The Tigers lead the AL with a plus-143 run differential.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with a 61 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing SW at 8 mph.

Key betting stat: Detroit leads the season series 11-3 and has prevailed in seven of their last eight meetings at Progressive Field.

New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox (-108, 7.5)

Pitching stat: Yankees ace C.C. Sabathia has yielded a total of 27 runs - 22 earned - and 37 hits in 19 2/3 frames over his last four outings.

Batting stat: Alex Rodriguez has gone 1-for-6 with a walk and also was hit by a pitch in the series, his first two contests of 2013 following offseason hip surgery.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 70s with a 32 percent chances of thunderstorms and winds blowing NW at 8 mph.

Key betting stat: Yankees are 1-5 in Sabathia's last six starts as a road underdog.

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros (+153, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Astros RHP Jarred Cosart’s lone issue is control, with 12 walks against 11 strikeouts in 28 total innings.

Batting stat: Boston RF Shane Victorino has recorded multiple hits in six of his last eight games.

Weather: Temperatures in the low 90s with clear skies and winds blowing south at 13 mph.

Key betting stat: Astros are 9-3 in their last 12 Wednesday games.

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals (-145, 8.5)

Pitching stat: Twins RHP Samuel Deduno has beaten Kansas City twice this season and is 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA in three career starts against the Royals.

Batting stat: Royals 1B Eric Hosmer is 5-for-8 in the series and batting .350 against the Twins in 60 at-bats this season.

Weather: Temperatures in the low 80s with a 51 percent chance of thunderstorms and winds blowing NE at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: Home team is 16-5 in umpire Chris Conroy's last 21 games behind home plate.

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (+102, 8)

Pitching stat: Rangers RHP Alexi Ogando is 3-0 with a 1.85 ERA in 21 career games - four starts - against the Angels.

Batting stat: Angels OF Josh Hamilton is hitless in eight at-bats in the series and 14-for-44 in 11 games against his former team this season.

Weather: Temperatures in the high 60s with clear skies and winds blowing SSW at 5 mph.

Key betting stat: Rangers are 26-10 in their last 36 vs. American League West.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo grins and bears it

Hondo was unable to maintain his movement toward solvency last night as he went belly-up with the Bombers in Chicago to raise the deficit to 595 nottebarts.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is pining for Wood to reduce the Phillies’ lumber to dust — 20 units on the Cubs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee had the split's on Tuesday losing with the Mariners -$185/Blue Jays and winning with the Reds -$142/A's for $50.

For Hump day "Mr Chalk" likes two the first is a dog thats right a dog and were not just talking a small dog were talking about the Astros +$148/Red Sox and the Philies -$150/Cubs for $50.

"Mr Chalk" is 2-1 -$35 for the week 74-39 +$1496 for the 2013 MLB 2013 season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens SMOOTH44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

(913) TORONTO +110/RRL -1.5 +155

(928) SAN DIEGO +110/RRL -1.5 +245

"RRL" means reverse runline or alternate runline

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Tang

2* OAK/CIN UNDER 8 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler Wednesday MLB Thoughts

Washington-Atlanta: The very fact that Washington is only -135 with Zimmerman makes me take notice, even with his rough stretch before beating the Brewers. He has simply owned the Braves. Medlen seems to always give it up, and far more so away from Turner Field where the fences are a little further away. He's pitched well against Washington, but to me this one screams "wait for the lineups". With BJ back and McCann and Gattis around, we don't really want Gattis in left because he's a huge liability out there. Patience here for sure.

Cubs-Phillies: Wood has a solid reputation, however, he's really only been able to dominate weaker hitting clubs, for the most part. He'll be a little cheaper after the Dodgers hammered him, but that was a time the Dodgers were hammering everyone, so I might not pay quite so much homage to that. As you'd expect, he's been better away from Wrigley. Hamels has seemingly led in every game and has been let down by the pen, which is now minus two more components. After two very high pitch count games, there's just no chance of laying -150 with the Phillies. Cubs or nothing, and lean under before it hits 7.

Pirates-Fish: I happen to like Koehler. Two problems here are that he too has had tow big pitch count games, and that, coming from the pen, is not something he's used to. I also think Charlie Morton is still Charlie Morton, and like the Fish better against RHP. If Monday's game leaves some clue as to what's going on with the Pirates, I can see taking the Fish RL, if we think they can score. However, I tend to think this total goes to 8 before it goes to 7, and at 7.5 I do lean over here.

Dodgers-Cardinals: Welp, Nolasco goes right back to being the underdog after having his one game as listed favorite against the Cubs. It's not something we've seen too often, being with the Fish, so I really wonder how much pressure is now on the kid. However, the Dodgers have won all four of his road starts since being traded. Downside is that the Cardinals have simply hammered him, so I really can't see taking the Dodgers here. Miller has not looked good in his last two starts, but at home he's been close to unhittable. The only think I don't like is that he hasn't pitched into the 7th inning since the 1st of June, which means trusting the Cardinals bullpen. Pretty steamy in St. Louis right now, so if that total comes to 7.5 I might play the over. I just don't see the pitchers' duel, but without Molina, I do need to see the lineup(s).

Brewers-Cardinals: I suppose Bumgarner is -230 for a reason, but with the Giants done for the year and that potentially anemic offense, there's not really any chance of the RL here at all. I see Narveson listed as pitching for the Brewers on one site and ESPN still lists Gorzellany. If it's the latter, I could see taking the under here, as opposed to having any money on someone coming of the DL.

Toronto-Seattle: Interestingly enough, I can see taking Happ coming off the DL at that price, simply because I like fading the Mariners against lefties and their bullpen just isn't very good. On top of that, Toronto is clearly better against RHP's this season. Since it's a day game, I will indeed wait for the lineup(s), but at -130 they're certainly begging for people to take Harang, and I can't do it.

Cleveland-Detroit: Who was the last team to light up Fister? Yes, indeed, it was the Indians. Probably some extra motivation for Fister here. Kipnis and Brantley have owned him, but the real issue here for me is how long Salazar can pitch, because there's a clear bullpen advantage right now for the Tigers. Perhaps he can pull an Oberholtzer and keep Detroit in check, but I suspect it may be a matter of time (second time through the order) than the Tigers hit him. This could well be a first-five inning bet on the Indians, and I lean to the under.

Boston-Houston: Kyle? OK, I'll do it. I can't bet on Dempster against anyone, and most of the Astros have had at least a couple of at-bats against him. Cosart's looked like the real deal so far, but there's the Astros bullpen. Again, I'm not sure Dempster should be -170 against anyone, and may well go back to the Astros RL again.

Yankees-White Sox: There is simply a slight chance I could take Sabathia at -120, but that would mean betting on the Yankees, who's bullpen has actually been pretty solid of late. And the Yankees are 20-14 against LHP's. (not counting the Tuesday game yet). Santiago is a flyball pitcher who can be a bit wild, so my initial lean is to the Yankees, but perhaps more to the over. I haven't looked at the weather yet, but 7.5 does seem a bit tempting, even with the typical cross breeze in US Cellular this time of year.

Texas-Los Angeles: Ogando has simply not been good and not pitched deep since coming back, and of course the Rangers pen has been a bit suspect. It's always hard to go against the hot team, and the one still in a pennant race, however. But, then there's Hanson, who's a flyball pitcher (benefited from Turner Field) so that makes that side a bit difficult, too. Perhaps BECAUSE of Ogando and what he HAS done, the total is only 8. With either of these bullpens capable of implosion, as well as both starters, 8 may be too low.

Oakland-Cincinnati: Not touching a day game w/the Reds. That'd be two strikes right there.

San Diego-Baltimore: I'd been high on Gonzalez until the Astros beat the shit out of him. And the Royals before that. he doesn't walk many, but can give the long ball up. If only he were left handed we'd be all over San Diego, and still might. But, Stults has had five straight 100+ pitch games, and two of those were over 120 pitches. That cannot be a good thing, and he's appeared to show that wear the last two outings. Brian Roberts back is a big deal for me. I tend to think this stays under, and of course being a day game will wait for lineups.

Tampa Bay-Arizona: Seems like Archer would have been more than -140 to me, especially against Delgado. Although, three of HIS last four games were 100+ pitch outings, and this IS the time of year that really starts to matter. But, Arizona didn't see him last week at the Trop, so maybe this stays under. Rays much better hitting team against LHP. Delgado has NOT been walking people, but the Rays have seen him enough to think they score. On second thought, I may actually like a road favorite here, but with the Rays pen (this IS an NL game, remember) perhaps this does go over the number, even if early money at CRIS forced it to 8 from 8.5. We shall see, but I do see this game pretty well.

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Joe Gavazzi MLB

4% Miami Marlins
4% Texas Rangers
3% Atlanta Braves
3% LAA Dodgers
3% San Diego Padres

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Cleveland Insider

Early MLB
2* A's/Reds over 7 (-115) 230/200

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Power Play Wins

Play of the Day

Tigers

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Teddy Covers

10* Astros over

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Ocal Sports

free play:

(2) TB @ ARI Under 8

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CHRIS JORDAN

100 Phillies run line

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Early Sebastian:
50 OVER Seattle

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Dr. Ed Meyer MLB Money Line Wed, 08/07/13 - 10:05 PM

double-dime bet - 923 TEX (-103) vs 924 ANA

The Rangers have won the first two games of this series and we think they'll get the sweep. Texas is a best-in-league 37-6 as a favorite in the last game of a series when they are off a win in which they had at least a dozen hits and scored more than six runs. The SDQL text is:

team=Rangers and F and p:hits>=12 and p:W and SG=SGS and p:runs>6 and date>=20040701

Note that the Rangers are 4-0 in this spot this season.

The Angels have not been tough when trying to stop a team on a winning streak.. The Halos are 0-11 as a home dog when their opponent has won at least two straight. By running this SDQL text you can see that they lost each of the last eight by multiple runs.

team=Angels and H and D and 2<=o:streak and date>=20100528

Since early this season, the Angels are 4-15 when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they held the lead - including 0-5 their last five. The SDQL is:

team=Angels and p:BL>0 and p:L and SG>1 and date>=20130410

The Rangers have the momentum and the Angels have shown no ability to resist. Take advantage of this opportunity.

MTi's FORECAST: Texas 6 LA ANGELS 3

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Ben Burns

Washington ML
Seattle ML
St. Louis ML
Cubs vs. Phillies u7.5

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Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 07, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngOakland @ CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI -1½ +181 over Oakland

12:35 PM EST. Come August the pretenders begin to fade and that’s precisely what we’re going to do against the A’s. Oakland somehow managed to post one of the best records in the league in the first four months of the season but it was a luck-driven run in that every bounce went its way. They won games with poor hitting and average starting pitching but the clock has struck midnight now. Oakland has lost five of its past six games. True to form, the A’s have scored 10 lousy runs over that six game stretch and they’ve scored one run over their past two games. The A’s are batting .199 over their past six and things don’t figure to get easier here against Homer Bailey. Bailey has blossomed into a legit ace in this year. After years of frustrating his manager and those that pay him due to his slow starts and hot finishes, Bailey has posted outstanding skills every month this season. Those skills have been driven by consistent dominance. Bailey even gained one mph on his fastball in July, which averaged 94.8 mph that month, and his swinging strike rate increased by 1.4% to a top-tier 12.9%. Bailey has whiffed 145 batters in 144 innings while issuing just 32 walks. Bailey is the straight goods while the A’s are loaded with .240 hitters and that’s when they’re going good. Right now they are not.
Bartolo Colon has pitched at home in 11 of his past 13 starts. Over that span, Colon has a strand rate of 90%, which is the highest mark in the majors. Overall, Colon’s strand rate is 82%, which is also one of the highest rates in the business. Colon has 78 K’s in 148 innings. He has survived with pinpoint control and balls being hit right at people. This park is unforgiving to pitchers that throw fastballs 87% of the time and that pitch to contact. Over his last five starts, Colon has posted a 1.57 ERA but he has an xERA over that span of 5.02. Give Colon credit for a 14-3 record and 2.50 ERA but this guy has the skills of pitchers that have won five times in 22 starts and just like the team he pitches for, his luck cannot continue over an extended period of time. Expect the Reds to put up a crooked number here against this 41-year old, hamburger loving imposter.

Our Pick
CINCINNATI -1½ +181 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.62)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngChicago @ PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA -1½ +130 over Chicago

The Phillies went off for nine runs last night and that coincided with the return of Domonic Brown to the Phillies lineup. Brown batted cleanup and contributed with 2 RBI’s. One win does wonders to team morale and the Phillies could easily go off again here against Travis Wood. Wood remains a starter with a lot of downside potential from his 3.05 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. He has been helped by a 22% hit rate and 6% hr/f. Wood’s aggregate base skills do not support a sub-4.00 ERA. His xERA is 4.37 but over his past five starts that xERA is 6.22. Wood has walked 16 batters over his past 28 frames and over that span he has a 1.73 WHIP. He also has an ugly 33%/24%/43% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate this season. That fly-ball bias profile does not bode well at this park. Wood's command level continues to hover around pedestrian levels, which make him only marginally worthy. His fly ball rate is why he struggled with HRs last season and it’s likely to catch up to him again. Wood's skills suggests he has work to do before becoming a reliable starter and he's more likely to erode than explode.
The Cubbies have dropped five in a row and eight of nine. They’ve also been shutout in two of their past three and they don’t figure to get right-sided here against Cole Hamels. Hamels has four wins in 23 starts, which is completely ludicrous when you consider 16 pure quality starts in 23 attempts and zero pure disaster starts last season. Cole Hamels is a true ace because of his outstanding command, high strikeout rate and low 18% line-drive rate. He has been without question, the unluckiest starter in the majors this season in terms of wins and losses but this is still one of the best skilled starters in the game and we get a great opportunity to take back a tag (laying runs) in a huge pitching mismatch in our favor. Cole Hamel’s metrics are not off.

Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA -1½ +130 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngTexas @ L.A. ANGELS
Texas/L.A. ANGELS over 8 +107

Two former aces are anything but this season but their reputations have this total too low. These two clubs combined to score 11 runs last night with two solid pitchers on the hill in Yu Darvish and Garrett Richards. The two going today, Tommy Hanson and Alexi Ogando are nowhere near the skill levels of the pair that went yesterday. Ogando did everything Texas could ask in 2011 starting pitching conversion, but then ended up without a rotation chair for all of 2012 despite starters dropping like flies around him. Why? The Rangers knew he was a “one-year” wonder and they were right. Ogando has horrible skiils. He walks too many and strikes out few. Over his last three starts, covering just 14 frames, Ogando has seven walks and four K’s. He also has an alarming 34%/52% groundball/fly-ball split, not to mention a 1.68 WHIP over three starts since his return from the DL on July 23. Ogando is filling in right now until the Rangers get some bodies back but should this team make the playoffs, you will not see him starting and you’re not likely to see him relieving either because he really is that bad.
Tommy Hanson isn’t much better. Hanson’s partially torn rotator cuff last season led to a new delivery, which led to his worst MLB results and nothing has changed this season. In 12 starts this year, Hanson’s quality start/disaster start split is 33%/67%. In just 63 innings, Hanson has walked 25 and struck out 49. Much like Ogando, he has a horrible 34%/43% groundball/fly-ball split and you can also throw in a disturbing 37% line-drive rate over his last five starts. Overall, Hanson has a 1.54 WHIP, to go along with a 5.29 ERA and both marks are supported by his awful skills. Combined, these two starters today have some of the worst skills in the game. This market has this total in the wrong range and we’re on it.

Our Pick
Texas/L.A. ANGELS over 8 +107 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.14)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngAtlanta @ WASHINGTON
Atlanta +111 over WASHINGTON

The Braves’ winning streak is up to 12 games after they defeated both Stephen Strasburg and Gio Gonzalez over the past two days. They take a step down in class here against Jordan Zimmermann, a pitcher who may be suffering from fatigue. In 2009, Zimmermann threw 91 innings and in 2010 he threw just 31. He followed that up with a 161 innings season in 2011 and 196 last year. This season, Zimmermann is up to 147 frames already but over his last five starts he has walked nine batters over 21 innings and has posted a 1.67 WHIP and 7.18 ERA. In his last start, he walked four batters in six innings and these are all warning signs that Zimmermann may be running on fumes. Facing the hottest team in the majors is not good timing for Zimmermann and is sure doesn’t help that his team continues to struggle.
The Nats are in this price range because Kris Medlen has been laboring. That provides us with a buy-low opportunity. Medlen reportedly was close to being ousted from the Atlanta rotation in July. It's a good thing that didn't happen, because a closer look reveals that a 41% hit rate was the primary driver of his 6.41 ERA and 1.84 WHIP that month. Medlen’s high 10.4% swinging strike rate suggests that his strikeout rate was lower than it should have been. Pinpoint control (35 BB in 131 IP), a healthy strikeout rate (102 K’s), tons of groundballs testify to Medlen’s stuff and it says that he’s a great bet to rebound in August. Wrong side favored.

Our Pick
Atlanta +111 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.22)

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Chicago Syndicate

Top Plays

Over Marlins
Mets
White Sox
Rays

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LA Syndicate

Top Plays

Over Pirates
Over Mariners
Over Angels
Rays

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Bookieshunter

3-0 YTD
6-0 run
52-24 run

3* Rangers

2* Braves
2* Under 8 Rays/Diamondbacks

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TodaysBestBets
400/412. Toronto
585/600 bBaltimore
615/500. Tampa bay
575/500. CHC/Phi Under 7.5runs

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David Banks/Tiredoflosing

best bet Phillies

regular plays
Baltimore
Nationals
St-Louis

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BOB BALFE

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -160
(Hamels/Woods)

Right off the bat you know this is a high line and as high as I ever go. I know there is not much value in this line, but we are going into every game with the mindset of nothing but winning the game. Hamels is a great pitcher that has not gotten much run support this year. Just look at his ERA compared to his record. Its mind boggling. The Cubs cannot hit left handed pitching and they are not a good baseball team. This is a must win for this whole Phillies team to toss one of their aces a bone. I think by the 5th inning this game should be well in the bag. Take the Phillies.

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Vincent Rizzo Sports

MLB WEDNESDAY'S PREMIUM PLAY

NY Yanks -102 (1.02U)

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Yankees

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IntPicks

MLB
9:40 PM ET
Tampa Bay @ Arizona
Play UNDER 8

10:05 PM ET
Texas @ LA Angels
Take Texas ML -115

Free Pick
7:05 PM ET
Miami @ Pittsburgh
Take Pittsburgh RL +105

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9xSports

Free Play
(MLB) 7:05PM ATLANTA BRAVES+111

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
1* Marlins/Pirates over 7.5 (-115) 115/100
1* Braves/Nationals over 7.5 (-105) 105/100
1* Nationals ML (-121) 121/100
1* Rockies/Mets over 6 (-120) 120/100
1* Yankees/White Sox under 7.5 (+105) 100/105
1* Angels +1.5 (-165) 165/100
1* Rangers/Angels under 8 (-115) 115/100

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Betting Line Moves

Cleveland +110 FH

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DHayes

1* Indians +101

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Betting Line Moves

Detroit/Cleveland Under 4.5 -130 FH

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TMC Sports Advisors

Washington -125

Chicago/Phillies Under 7.5

Texas -125

Detroit -120

Mon. 3-1
Yesterday 4-0

41-22-1 Last 67 Since all Star Break

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Ultra Sports MLB

Atlanta +115 list Medlen vs Zimmermann
Colorado +155 list Chacin vs Harvey
Texas -112 list Ogano vs Hanson

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RTG Sports

Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets:

Will there be a run scored in the first inning? No -155*

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Scott Landau Wednesday:
ATL +115 / MIL +185 / DET -110 / MIN +136

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Michael Tang
Moneygang

4* Philadelphia Phillies ML -175

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Analyzer
Mets

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Chance Lockwood

Premium Selection:
Take NY Yankees (-102) vs Chicago White Sox

　
Daily Chance Card:
　
Cleveland +101

Atlanta +108

Cubs +157

Miami +188

Colorado +151

St Louis -141

Milwaukee +183

Houston +155

Minnesota +138

Yankees -102

Texas -114

Tampa -123

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Seabass Report for Wednesday-both for 50:
OVER Red Sox
Tampa

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Accu-Score MLB

ML-Home Wins 45 to 49.9% 133-108, 55.2% +2272 -

BAL 927 vs SD 928 -- Over 50% on Baltimore Orioles -120
TB 929 vs ARI 930 -- Over 50% on Tampa Bay Rays -124

ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 176-107, 62.2% +2188 -

DET 915 vs CLE 916 -- Over 50% on Cleveland Indians +111
COL 907 vs NYM 908 -- Over 50% on New York Mets -210
MIA 905 vs PIT 906 -- Over 50% on Pittsburgh Pirates -184
LAD 909 vs STL 910 -- Over 50% on St. Louis Cardinals -142
MIL 911 vs SF 912 -- Over 50% on San Francisco Giants -230

4 STAR TOTALS 227-189, 54.6% +1910 -

NYY 921 vs CHW 922 -- Under 7.5
DET 915 vs CLE 916 -- Under 8.5
MIA 905 vs PIT 906 -- Under 7.5
LAD 909 vs STL 910 -- Under 8
MIL 911 vs SF 912 -- Under 7
TB 929 vs ARI 930 -- Under 8

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SportsPickOnline

25 Units ATL Braves +115 ML