8-18-13

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Today's NFL Picks



SUNDAY, AUGUST 18
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (8/14)


Game 429-430: Indianapolis at NY Giants (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 110.056; NY Giants 125.882
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 16; 37
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-1 1/2); Under

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Today's CFL Picks



SUNDAY, AUGUST 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (8/13)


Game 127-128: Edmonton at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 108.305; Toronto 114.540
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 6; 58
Vegas Line: Toronto by 8; 54
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+8); Over

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CFL

Week 8

Edmonton (1-5) @ Toronto (4-2)— Eskimos’ star LB JC Skerritt (thumb) is out here, hurting Eskimo defense that gave up 30+ points last three weeks- they were down 20-6/17-6 at half of last two games, rallied to lose close games both times. Edmonton (+7.5) won its road opener in rain at Hamilton, then lost by 10 in Vancouver, 5 at Montreal- they’re 1-2 as road dogs, with five of their six games going over total. Toronto won/covered its last three games, scoring 35-38-38 points; they’re 2-1 at home, scoring 35 ppg there. Five of six Argo games went over total, including all three at home. Argos’ 42-26 win over Edmonton in LY’s playoffs was just their second win in last nine series games; Eskimos won four of last five visits here, with wins by 3-18-7-9 points. Four of last five series games went over the total.

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English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

The opening week of the Barclay's Premier League continues with a pair of matches Sunday.

Crystal Palace v Tottenham (+400, +275, -125)

Why bet Tottenham: Spurs have arguably done the best business in the summer window adding top-quality talent like Roberto Soldado, Nacer Chadli, Paulinho and Etienne Capoue. Wantaway Gareth Bale, the hero of the 2012-13 campaign, will miss out due to a foot injury and probably be replaced with young Belgian Chadli wide left. Spurs have a history of starting the season slowly, but must register a full three points against the Premier League newbies.

Key players doubtful: Gareth Bale, Jan Vertonghen, Lewis Holtby, Emmanuel Adebayor, Benoit Assou-Ekotto

Why bet Crystal Palace: It will be an exciting home match for Palace as the club returns to top-flight football for the first time in eight years. The Eagles first team contains players with plenty of Premier League experience (Marouane Chamakh, Daniel Gabbidon to name a couple) but the two players to watch will be Dwight Gayle (who joins from Peterborough) and Jose Campana (who joins from Sevilla). Selhurst Park should be electric come Sunday and the supporters will do everything they can to help the Premier League newcomers get a result.

Key players doubtful: Glenn Murray, Jerome Thomas

Key betting note: Tottenham scored at least two goals in their final six away matches to close the 2012-13 season.

2012-13 fixture result: N/A


Chelsea v Hull (-500, +600, +1800)

Why bet Chelsea: Chelsea will start the season at home at Stamford Bridge and new manager José Mourinho will look to start with three easy points against the newly promoted Hull Tigers. The Blues could start striker Romelu Lukaku who returns to the club after a season-long loan to West Brom where the Belgian netted 17 goals. Chelsea's attack should be able to fire on all cylinders, even though Juan Mata could miss out due to injury. Chelsea's depth and sheer quality will no-doubt be the difference maker.

Key players doubtful: David Luiz, Juan Mata

Why bet Hull: Hull comes in fairly healthy with just midfielder Stephen Quinn sidelined for the opener. The Tigers have added talented players all over the pitch with Tom Huddlestone, Danny Graham, Curtis Davies, Maynor Figeuroa and Allan McGregor all in for the club.

Key players doubtful: Stephen Quinn

Key betting note: Chelsea leads the head-to-head battle between the two sides with 19 wins while Hull has four.

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

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Eskimos at Argos: What bettors need to know

Edmonton Eskimos at Toronto Argonauts (-8, 52)

Injuries have not slowed the Toronto Argonauts, who are on a dominating three-game winning streak. The Argonauts will try to win four contests in a row for the first time since 2007 when they host the struggling Edmonton Eskimos on Sunday. Toronto running back Chad Kackert is out with a knee injury and starting quarterback Ricky Ray has missed most of the last two games, but the Argonauts defense - led by linebacker Robert McCune and defensive tackle Khalif Mitchell - allowed just 25 total points in the last two wins, giving backup quarterback Zach Collaros a chance to win.

The Eskimos must feel a little snake-bitten after losing each of their last two games on the final play - a failed one-yard run against the Montreal Alouettes and a missed 50-yard field goal against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats. Edmonton entered its bye week mired in a four-game losing streak and will be without linebacker JC Sherritt, who suffered a broken thumb against Hamilton. Sherritt, who set a CFL record for tackles last year with 130, anchors the Eskimos’ defense, and his absence puts even more pressure on quarterback Mike Reilly, who helms the league’s worst offense.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (1-5): Sherritt could be out anywhere from two to six weeks, leaving Edmonton’s defense in the hands of linebacker Damaso Munoz, who leads the team with 41 tackles. The Eskimos’ defensive line has combined for 12 of the unit’s 14 sacks. Reilly has connected with slotback Fred Stamps for 401 yards, but only four Edmonton players have more than 100 receiving yards thus far. Reilly has also ran for 208 yards, second to running back Hugh Charles, who has 294.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (4-2): Ray (knee) should be ready for Sunday and is on a career-best pace when healthy, completing 113-of-148 passes for 11 touchdowns and no interceptions. Running back Curtis Steele has done a good job replacing Kackert, recording 116 yards and two touchdowns on 22 carries. Wide receiver Dontrelle Inman, who has been battling injuries all season, might be cleared to play on Sunday. Inman has eight catches for 118 yards and one touchdown in his second season.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Argonauts are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* The over is 10-2-1 in the Eskimos last 13 games overall.
* Eskimos are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Toronto.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Argonauts won seven straight games to finish the 2007 season atop the East Division, but lost 19-9 at home to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the division final.

2. Eskimos CB Aaron Grymes, who recorded an interception against Hamilton, is out indefinitely after being hurt in a collision during practice.

3. Toronto SB Chad Owens has 1,154 total combined yards after returning a field goal 118 yards for a touchdown last week against Montreal.

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The hottest bet of the summer you've been missing

Road favorites in the CFL continue to be one of the hottest bets of the summer after the Hamilton Tiger-Cats downed the Winnipeg Blue Bombers Friday 37-18.

The Tabbies easily covered the 3.5-point spread and road chalk improves to 8-1 straight up and against the spread in the CFL this season.

This was the only matchup which featured a road fave this week so bettors won't have another opportunity to bet this spot in Week 8. The Saskatchewan Roughriders and B.C. Lions are both home favorites Saturday, while the Toronto Argonauts are home faves Sunday.

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NASCAR betting: Pure Michigan 400 preview

Michigan International Speedway hosts the Pure Michigan 400 Sunday and the track ran fast as can be in qualifying.

The two mile oval track saw 25 drivers top 200 mph in the qualifying session.

Here is our betting preview:

Favorite: Jimmie Johnson (3-1)

The points leader had a run-in with the wall at a Saturday practice session and will be racing his backup car Sunday. Johnson qualified third Friday, but due to the wreck, he'll start at the rear. He has never won at Michigan International Speedway.

Live dog: Greg Biffle (9-1)

If you're talking Michigan International Speedway, you have to talk Greg Biffle. Biffle turned in some great performances at the Michigan Speedway throughout his career. He has four wins and 10 top-5 finishes in his resume and won the Quicken Loans 400 at the track in June. Oh, he's also the 2012 Pure Michigan 400 winner as well.

Long shot: Clint Bowyer (39-2)

Bowyer has some decent races and finishes at Michigan over the past five seasons. In the nine races over that span, Bowyer has seven top-10 finishes and an average finish of 10. He finished seventh a year ago and finished seventh in the Quicken Loans 400 at the track in June.

Weather watch: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-80s with sunny and clear skies.

Key stat: 52 of the 88 races at Michigan International Speedway have been won from a top-5 starting position, good enough for 59 percent.

Notable quotable: “It’s been a great place for me and a great track for Roush-Fenway as a whole. It’s a fun track, a two-to-three-wide downforce type of track with a lot of opportunities to run up and down.” - Greg Biffle on racing at Michigan International.

Odds to win the Pure Michigan 400 courtesy of 5dimes:

Jimmie Johnson 3-1
Kasey Kahne 17-2
Greg Biffle 9-1
Matt Kenseth 10-1
Kyle Busch 21-2
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 23-2
Joey Logano 13-1
Kurt Busch 27-2
Carl Edwards 27-2
Brad Keselowski 27-2
Kevin Harvick 33-2
Denny Hamlin 17-1
Clint Bowyer 39-2
Jeff Gordon 20-1
Martin Truex Jr. 45-2
Ryan Newman 33-1
Mark Martin 33-1
Jeff Burton 44-1
Austin Dillon 44-1
Jamie McMurray 66-1

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Sunday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday's American League games:

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (-177, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer tossed seven innings of two-run ball in his last encounter with Kansas City back on June 11, and has beaten the Royals twice in two meetings this season.

Hot batting stat: Royals 1B Eric Hosmer has 46 multi-hit games in 2013, second in the American League to Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout (47).

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Tigers are 22-4 in 26 Scherzer outings following a quality start in his previous game.


Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays (-156, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Rays right-hander Chris Archer is winless in his last three appearances, surrendering 10 earned runs over 13 2/3 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays OF Jose Bautista is hitting .336 with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs in 30 games played indoors this season.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 outings in the third game of a series.


Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins (-128, 8)

Cold pitching stat: White Sox lefty Hector Santiago is winless in nine appearances since June 21, despite recording four quality starts over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Chicago 1B/DH Adam Dunn is hitting .313 in 96 at-bats since the All-Star break, 100 points higher than his first-half average.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1-1 in Chicago's last 11 games against a team with a losing record.


Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers (-280, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers right-hander Yu Darvish has surrendered just five earned runs over his last five starts, going 4-1 with 50 strikeouts over that span.

Cold batting stat: Texas 2B Ian Kinsler is hitting .226 with one home run in 106 at-bats since the break. Kinsler batted .281 with nine homers in the first half.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in fro left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 8-2-2 in the Mariners' last 12 games against a right-handed starter.


Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels (-170, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Angels right-hander Jason Vargas is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 10 2/3 career innings against the Astros.

Cold batting stat: Houston is hitting .236 as a team, good for second-last in the majors.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out toward center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Angels have won just three of their last 17 games against divisional opponents.


Cleveland Indians at Oakland Athletics (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Athletics left-hander Tommy Milone struggled his last time out, surrendering six runs over just 3 2/3 innings in a loss to the Texas Rangers on August 2.

Hot batting stat: Oakland OF Yoenis Cespedes has hit safely in seven of his last eight games, with three home runs and six RBIs over that stretch.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 8-1 in the Indians' last nine road games against a team with a winning record.


New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-133, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia was tagged for seven runs on nine hits over five grueling innings in his last encounter with the Red Sox back on July 21.

Hot batting stat: New York OF Alfonso Soriano tied a major-league record this week by racking up 18 RBIs in a four-game span.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-0 in Sabathia's last six starts.


Interleague

Colorado Rockies at Baltimore Orioles (-145, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Jhoulys Chacin has allowed three runs or fewer in seven straight starts, surrendering just two home runs in that span.

Cold batting stat: Colorado SS Troy Tulowitzki is hitting .214 with one home run and six RBIs in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 60 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Colorado is 6-21 in its last 27 interleague games against a right-handed starter.


* Stats prior to Saturday's action.

** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 7:50 p.m. ET Saturday.

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Sunday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday's National League games:

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins (+150, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Giants right-hander Madison Bumgarner reeled off 10 consecutive quality starts before lasting just four innings in his previous rain-delayed outing, lowering his ERA nearly a full point over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton is hitting just .209 with three home runs and eight RBIs in 91 at-bats since the All-Star break.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with a 20 percent chance of rain or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 14 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 11-2 in the Marlins' last 13 games against a team with a losing record.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates (-125, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Arizona right-hander Wade Miley has won five of his last six decisions and has allowed more than three runs in a game just once since the beginning of June.

Hot batting stat: Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .298 with 15 home runs and 51 RBIs in 58 road games so far in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 9-25 in starter Charlie Morton's last 34 starts on four days' rest.


Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies (-107, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Ricky Nolasco is 4-1 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts since joining Los Angeles in a July trade with the Miami Marlins.

Cold batting stat: Phillies 3B Michael Young is batting a paltry .196 with zero home runs and two RBIs in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 35 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 23-3 in their last 26 road games.


Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves (-140, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals left-hander Gio Gonzalez has had trouble with Atlanta in his career, going 2-5 with a 5.24 ERA in eight starts.

Cold batting stat: After belting nine home runs in April, Washington OF Bryce Harper has gone deep just eight times since.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 70 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-0 in Atlanta right-hander Julio Teheran's six starts on five days' rest.


Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (+128, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers RH Wily Peralta had his best start of the season in his last outing against the Reds, going the distance on a three-hit shutout back on July 9.

Hot batting stat: Milwaukee SS Jean Segura is a .322 career hitter in 59 at-bats against the Reds.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-2 in Milwaukee's last 11 games against a division foe.


St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (+154, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright is 6-6 with a 4.57 ERA in 29 career appearances versus the Cubs.

Cold batting stat: None of Chicago's qualified hitters has a batting average above .250; Starlin Castro is the highest at .244.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 8-2 in Wainwright's last 10 road starts.



New York Mets at San Diego Padres (+120, 6)

Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Matt Harvey has allowed one or fewer earned runs in five of his last nine starts.

Hot batting stat: Padres 1B Yonder Alonso is .317 hitter in the familiar confines of Petco Park this season. Four of his six homers have also come at home.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: San Diego is 1-10 in its last 11 games against a National League East team.


* Stats prior to Saturday's action.

** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 8:10 p.m. ET Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday Night Baseball: Yankees at Red Sox
By STEVE MERRIL

It’s an AL East rivalry as the Red Sox host the Yankees on Sunday Night Baseball.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-133, 9.5)

C.C. SEE YA LOW ERA

CC Sabathia is 10-10 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.33 WHIP for the Yankees. The lefty has allowed 3 runs or more in seven straight games, including contests against light-hitting San Diego, Chicago, and Minnesota. He is coming off a victory against the Angels where he walked six batters which equaled the total he put up in his previous three starts. Sabathia was rocked in his last outing in Fenway back on July 21st giving up 7 runs and nine hits in five innings in an 8-7 Boston win. He did mix in a solid outing against the Red Sox back on May 31st where he struck out 10 in 7 1/3 innings of work.

RYAN LOOKING FOR RE-DEMP-TION

Ryan Dempster is 6-8 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.45 WHIP for the Red Sox. He has picked up no-decisions in seven of his last eight starts, including one against the Yankees at home on July 21st. He has struggled to get past the seventh inning; the righty has not done so in ten straight starts which puts pressure on the Boston bullpen. Dempster put forth a good effort in Toronto his last time out after allowing 12 runs and 16 hits against the Astros and Mariners in his previous two starts. Dempster’s only other start this season against New York came back on April 4th when he allowed 3 runs and five hits in five innings of work.

INJURY REPORT

The names on these injury reports would cripple a lot of teams. New York is still without Derek Jeter who is dealing with a calf injury. The shortstop is eligible to return on Sunday, but he will not play. New York is also without Travis Hafner, Francisco Cervelli, Kevin Youkilis, and Mark Teixeira. Youkilis hopes to return from his back injury before the season ends.

Boston has their injuries on the pitching staff. Clay Buchholz is on a rehab assignment and he could return in September. Matt Thornton, Andrew Bailey, Andrew Miller, and Joel Hanrahan are all out from the bullpen. Only Thornton is expected back from that group this season.

TRENDS

Yankees are 11-5 in Sabathia’s last 16 Sunday starts
Yankees are 22-6-1 Over in Sabathia’s last 29 Sunday starts

Red Sox are 6-0 in Dempster’s last 6 starts
Red Sox are 5-2 Over in Dempster’s last 7 home starts

HITTERS TO WATCH

Robinson Cano 2-for-8 vs. Dempster
Ichiro 2-for-9 vs. Dempster

Jonny Gomes 7-for-32 vs. Sabathia
David Ortiz 12-for-55 vs. Sabathia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL preseason primer: Sunday game betting breakdown
By BRYAN POWER

A look from the bettor's perspective of Sunday's NFL preseason game.

Indianapolis at NY Giants (-1.5, 40.5)

The Colts are a team a lot of people are calling for to "regress" this season and they definitely got off to an auspicious start to the preseason, losing last week at home to Buffalo 44-20. The poor performance caused owner Jim Irsay to take to Twitter to "rip" the team. Their starters didn't play much, with QB Andrew Luck in for only two series. Reportedly, the first team offense will be in for a significantly longer amount of time here. Special teams coverage was a major issue last week, most notably allowing a 107-yd kick return for a TD.

The Giants won a pretty ugly game last week, 18-13 in Pittsburgh. The highlight was a 57-yard TD pass from Eli Manning to Victor Cruz. Head coach Tom Coughlin is 7-3 ATS as a home favorite as the coach of the Giants in the preseason.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Yankees on Saturday and likes the Dodgers on Sunday.

The deficit is 1510 sirignanos.

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Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

Pirates
Braves
Mets
Tigers
Yankees

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LA Syndicate Top Plays

Giants
Pirates
Mets
A's
Orioles

XNFL - Giants/Colts Over 40

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Bumgarner is 4-2, 2.00 in his last eight starts. GGonzalez has a 1.64 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 1.45 in his last four starts. Dodgers won last five Nolasco starts (3-0, 3.95).
-- Morton is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Teheran is 2-1, 2.10 in his last five starts.
-- Bailey is 2-1, 3.95 in his last four starts. Peralta is 1-1, 1.88 in his last two.
-- Harvey is 2-2, 2.02 in his last five starts.

-- Chacin is 8-3, 2.12 in his last twelve starts.

-- Scherzer is 4-0, 1.82 in his last five starts. Chen is 2-0, 0.93 in six starts this season.
-- Redmond is 0-0, 2.40 in his last three starts.
-- Darvish is 3-0, 1.64 in his last three starts. Seattle won last four Ramirez (4-0, 6.04) starts, scoring 23 runs.
-- Oberholtzer is 2-1, 0.87 in three starts this season.
-- Red Sox won last six Dempster starts (1-0, 7.36), scoring 42 runs.

Cold pitchers
-- Koehler is 1-3, 5.01 in his last four starts.
-- Miley is 0-2, 3.33 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts. Jackson is 1-2, 5.12 in his last five.
-- Stults is 0-3, 6.75 in his last five starts.

-- Feldman is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.

-- Archer is 0-2, 6.59 in his last three starts.
-- Santiago is 0-2, 4.97 in his last four starts. Deduno is 0-2, 5.60 in last three.
-- Kazmir is 1-1, 5.79 in his last three starts. Milone is 1-2, 6.05 in last four.
-- Vargas is 1-2, 5.48 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 1-2, 7.76 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Bumgarner 3-24; Koehler 5-15 (1 of last 6)
-- Nolasco 7-24; Hamels 4-25 (1 of last 15)
-- Miley 7-24 (3 of last 6); Morton 2-11
-- Gonzalez 6-24 (0 of last 6); Teheran 7-23 (0 of last 9)
-- Bailey 3-24 (0 of last 6); Peralta 4-25 (0 of last 12)
-- Wainwright 7-25 (3 of last 5); Jackson 9-24 (3 of last 5)
-- Harvey 4-24 (1 of last 12); Stults 8-25 (4 of last 8)

-- Chacin 2-23 (0 of last 18); Feldman 5-22 (0 of last 6)

-- Chen 1-6; Scherzer 4-24 (0 of last 9)
-- Redmond 0-6; Archer 4-14
-- Santiago 4-16; Deduno 4-15 (0 of last 4)
-- Ramirez 3-5; Darvish 7-22
-- Oberholtzer 1-3; Vargas 1-15
-- Kazmir 6-21; Milone 6-22 (0 of last 5)
-- Sabathia 7-25; Dempster 8-23

Totals
-- Four of last five Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over total.
-- Five of last six Philly games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four San Francisco games went over.
-- Eight of last twelve Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Ten of last twelve Cincinnati road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-5-2 in last eighteen Met games.

-- Under is 5-1-2 in Colorado's last eight road games.

-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Kansas City games.
-- Six of last seven Boston games stayed under the total; six of Dempster's last seven starts went over.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Tampa Bay games.
-- Seven of last ten Seattle games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Minnesota games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Oakland games.
-- 13 of last 16 Angel games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Arizona won seven of its last ten games.
-- Dodgers are 42-8 in their last 50 games.
-- Giants won their last three games, scoring 24 runs.
-- Atlanta won 18 of its last 21 games. Washington won six of its last eight.
-- Cincinnati won eight of its last eleven games. Brewers won three of their last four games at Miller Park.

-- Rockies won six of their last eight games.

-- Royals won 10 of their last 13 road games.
-- Bronx Bombers won six of their last nine games.
-- White Sox are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Rangers won 15 of their last 18 games. Seattle is 5-3 in last eight on road.
-- Astros won three of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost five of last six games. St Louis is 8-15 in last 23, 4-2 in last six.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Phillies lost seven of their last eight games, and didn't score in last two.
-- Miami lost ten of its last thirteen games.
-- Padres lost nine of their last thirteen games; Mets lost four of last six.

-- Orioles lost five of their last seven games.

-- Detroit lost six of its last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay seven of its last ten games; Toronto lost six of last ten.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- Indians lost eight of last twelve games. Oakland is 5-7 in its last twelve.
-- Angels lost 15 of their last 22 games.

Umpires
-- StL-Chi-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Cuzzi games.
-- SF-Mia-- Underdogs won 10 of last 18 Vanover games (last three over).
-- Az-Pitt-- Eight of last nine Estabrook games stayed under.
-- LA-Phil-- Five of last seven Hamari games stayed under total.
-- Cin-Mil-- Visiting team won 10 of last 13 Timmons games.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Bell games.
-- NY-SD-- Five of last six Davis games stayed under the total.

-- Col-Balt-- Favorites are 7-2, over 6-3 in Little games.

-- NY-Bos-- Six of last eight O'Nora games went over the total.
-- KC-Det-- Four of last five Davidson games went over the total.
-- Tor-TB-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last 11 Wendelstedt games, with four of last five going over the total.
-- Chi-Min-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Bucknor games.
-- Sea-Tex-- 12 of last 15 Hernandez games went over the total.
-- Hst-LA-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Kellogg games.
-- Cle-A's-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Dimuro games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Boston

The Yankees look to build on their 4-0 record in C.C. Sabathia's last 4 road starts when the total is set from 9 to 10 1/2. New York is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, AUGUST 18
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: San Francisco at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.488; Miami (Koehler) 13.914
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-165); Under


Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.568; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.403
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Over


Game 955-956: Arizona at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.389; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.383
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over


Game 957-958: Washington at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 15.663; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.962
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under


Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.473; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.338
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over


Game 961-962: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.801; Cubs (Jackson) 13.406
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); N/A


Game 963-964: NY Mets at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 14.478; San Diego (Stults) 15.545
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Over


Game 965-966: Kansas City at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 16.229; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.698
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-180); Under


Game 967-968: Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Redmond) 15.059; Tampa Bay (Archer) 13.672
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Over


Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 14.083; Minnesota (Deduno) 15.658
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Under


Game 971-972: Seattle at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Ramirez) 13.489; Texas (Darvish) 15.759
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-280); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-280); Under


Game 973-974: Houston at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.373; LA Angels (Vargas) 14.210
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Over


Game 975-976: Cleveland at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kazmir) 13.943; Oakland (Milone) 15.541
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Under


Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.136; Boston (Dempster) 15.067
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115); Over


Game 979-980: Colorado at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 14.542; Baltimore (Feldman) 16.291
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-150); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1081-812 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner SUN: Rockies w/ Chacin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Dodgers under 8

Braves -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Sunday Cleveland/Oakland Under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Giants -2
Pirates -135
A's(RL) -1.5(+140)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Washington at Atlanta

The Mystics look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against teams with a losing SU record. Washington is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, AUGUST 18
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.948; Atlanta 109.800
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7; 157
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Over


Game 653-654: Connecticut at Chicago (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 103.544; Chicago 118.805
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 15 1/2; 142
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 148
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-9); Under


Game 655-656: New York at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 103.446; Minnesota 124.164
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 20 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 14 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-14 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER Sunday MLB Thoughts

Giants-Miami: There is no chance of laying -170 w/Bumgarner on the road against anyone. Not that the Giants won't win, but Keohler can be decent, and with the Giants sometimes failing to score runs, I'd have to take the Miami RL or nothing. I suppose I could use SF in a parlay, but...

Dodgers-Phillies: I see, once again, the early money thinking that the Phillies are a sharp bet. I learned my lesson betting on them w/Lee and following the lemmings. I won't do it again.

D-Backs-Pirates: Arizona and the over were both plays I considered yesterday, but the operative word is considered. Mileys' had good success against the Pirates individually and it's still Charlie Morton, so I'd have to take the D-Backs here.

Washington-Atlanta: Well, neither team has a bullpen left, so I do suppose it's whether or not you think Gio can beat Teheran. I would certainly, if you made me, take the more known entity here, and the Nationals. Will clearly wait for a lineup in this one. Harper questionable. Lean over, but the weather is dicey.

Reds-Brewers: Hard not to think this game goes over, but I always think that way when Bailey pitches because he's a very good hitter. And of course Peralta can be horrible. Not sure I can back him, however. Reds in a bit of a funk, and just like we faded them yesterday because of them beating up on the weak sisters, I might have to take the Brewers RL again.

Cubs-Cardinals: Wainright's been almost hittable lately, and threw 122 pitches last game. I never trust Jackson and the Cubs offense (thanks for nothing yesterday) so I could probably make a case for the Cubs RL here. Cardinals just brutalized Jackson, and typically the pitcher does make the adjustments, or I would lean over, again.

Padres-Mets: I really want to take that over, but it's six for a reason. Mets pen used most of the game last night, and actually San Diego used much of theirs (they usually do when Volquez pitches) and that's why I lean over. All it will take is for one of these starters to have a bad inning and the floodgates may open.

Royals-Tigers: Welp, the Royals hung on for us last night to cover the RL, and if the TWINS had done the same thing that would have been eight straight RL winners. Probably would have to go to the well again here. I won't lay -180, and with Chen's season long 1.04 WHIP I lean a little to the under, but haven't checked weather.

Rays-Jays: I watched Archers' last start and had thought I'd fade him next outing. This is the second time the Jays will have seen him, too, and Tampa Bay hasn't seen Redmond. My issue here is that Redmond isn't used to pitching deep, but Toronto's bullpen is about the only thing that HAS gone well for them this season.

White Sox-Twins: Still annoyed that De Aza was down 0-2 with two outs and went yard, but, that can't effect "the next one". Deduno has been a play on, but got hit pretty hard the last two times out, while Santiago shut down the Tigers, which means the obvious lean is to the White Sox. But, betting on shitty teams that are done is probably a thing of the past for this season.

Seattle-Texas: Seriously, I would take a +260 team just for the hell of it.

Houston-Angels: Oberholtzer has been fantastic, but he has started giving up some fly ball outs, and the teams now have a better book on him. Just because the Angels hit yesterday doesn't mean they will again today, and because Vargas was already battered by Houston this season, he could be again. Lean over to some extent simply because both bullpens were used late late night, but this IS an under venue. Still tough to pass up the Houston RL, though.

Yankees-Boston: Ah, the ESPN game that everyone will want to bet on. Boston rarely has trouble w/Sabathia or ever did even when he WAS good. Can't trust Dempster, period. I do think that 9.5 is an awful lot of runs, however. Rarely is it the home team and over in prime time games, so for that reason I'd simply take the Yankees and the under.

Rockies-Orioles: Not sure I grasp why that total is under the key number of nine, and didn't yesterday, either. Chacin has been very solid on the road (aren't most Rockies' pitchers?) and the Orioles haven't seen him. A little surprised that Colorado hasn't seen more of Feldman from his stint in the NL, but that could well be a reason for the total here. Clearly some value to the Rockies RL here, if in fact it is staying under. If both teams have their "A" lineup in, I'd lean over, but the weather is a bit dicey there, too.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers -113 over Philadelphia Phillies
(System Record: 67-7, lost last game)
Overall Record: 67-68-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Indianapolis Colts +1.5 over NY Giants
(System Record: 1-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 1-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Ponta Preta SP + Goias UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 442-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 442-379-59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB NY METS at SAN DIEGO

Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs
41-24 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.1% 27.0 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% -0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB LA DODGERS at PHILADELPHIA

LA DODGERS are 9-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.4) , OPPONENT (1.2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA CONNECTICUT at CHICAGO

Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, vs. division opponents
92-47 since 1997. ( 66.2% 40.3 units )
15-6 this year. ( 71.4% 8.4 units )

WNBA CONNECTICUT at CHICAGO

Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) good rebounding team - giving up <=9 off. rebounds/game on the season, in August or September games
84-17 since 1997. ( 83.2% 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.0 units )

WNBA CONNECTICUT at CHICAGO

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days
240-146 since 1997. ( 62.2% 79.4 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB DIAMOND DOMINATOR

NY Mets vs. San Diego
Point Spread:San Diego +1½-140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

25 MLB giants

10 nfl giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

100 Rangers run line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nelly's Baseball - Sunday, Aug. 18
1* #955 Arizona Diamondbacks (Miley) +125 over Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) 12:35 PM CT



BEST Baseball - Sunday, Aug. 18
10* #960 MIL Brewers (Peralta) ML +130 over CIN Reds (Bailey) 1:10 PM CT
10* #961 STL Cardinals (Wainwright) RL -1.5 +100 over CHI Cubs (Jackson) 1:20 PM CT



Bobby Dalton Baseball - Sunday, Aug. 18
15* #953 Los Angeles Dodgers (Nolasco) -125 over Philadelphia Phillies (Hamels) 12:35 PM CT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Giants / Colts Over 41

50* Braves -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

Tigers -180

Dodgers/Phillies Under 8

Mets -140

Rays Tampa Bay -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Notebook - Colts at Giants
Vegasinsider

Preseason Trends

The ‘over’ went 12-5 in the first two weeks of the preseason but the trend has tempered a little bit this weekend with the ‘over’ going 7-6-1 in the first 14 games.

The theme in Week 2 has been about the home team, who have produced a 12-2 straight up record. and 10-4 against the spread mark. The 49ers’ 15-13 victory over the Chiefs on Friday and the Packers’ 19-7 win at St. Louis on Saturday were the two wins from road teams.

Seven of the 14 games played this week have been decided by five points or less.

Indianapolis at New York Giants

Week 1 Notes

Indianapolis (0-1) - The Colts lost to the Bills 44-20 as 4 ½-point home favorites
New York (1-0) – The Giants beat the Steelers 18-13 as 2 ½-point road underdogs

Expected QB Rotation

Indianapolis – Andrew Luck, Matt Hasselbeck, Chandler Harnish
New York – Eli Manning, David Carr, Ryan Nassib (Rookie-Syracuse)

Week 2 Preseason Records (2010-2012)

Indianapolis (0-3)
New York (2-1)

Coaching Notes (Overall Preseason Record)

Chuck Pagano (2-3)
Pagano is 0-2 in his first two road games in the preseason

Tom Coughlin (19-18 with Giants)
Coughlin has never produced a preseason record better than 2-2 since 2006.

Off the Wire

Indianapolis

After last week’s 24-point loss at home to the Bills, owner Jim Irsay tweeted his feelings on Twitter. He wrote, “Many starters played briefly or were nursing little injuries,but it was a crap performance,my apologies/My commanders got n earful from me!”

QB Andrew Luck only played two series (10 plays) last week and is expected to see 25-30 snaps on Sunday. Veteran Matt Hasselbeck will follow while Northern Illinois product Chandler Harnish will finish off the game.

Former New York Giants running back, Ahmad Bradshaw (foot), will not be in the lineup for Indianapolis on Sunday. Backups Vick Ballard, Donald Brown and Delone Carter are expected to carry the ground game.

TE Coby Fleener (doubtful) is also expected to miss action for the Colts.

The Colts went 2-2 in preseason action last year but where just 5-25 from 2005 to 2011.

New York

Head coach Tom Coughlin plans to give quarterback Eli Manning about 20 plays and follow with backup David Carr and rookie Ryan Nassib. Veteran Curtis Painter, a former Colt, will not play until next week when Carr sits.

Wide receiver Hakeem Nicks, who missed the preseason opener, is expected back on the field and first-round draft pick and tackle Justin Pugh will play after missing the preseason opener with a concussion.

Defensive end Justin Tuck, who missed the Steelers game with a tight back, is expected to play. Safety Antrel Rolle sprained his right ankle in practice and will be replaced by Ryan Mundy.

Handicapping Notes

New York hasn’t won back-to-back preseason games in the last three years
The Giants have seen the ‘under’ go 7-2 in their last nine preseason games
The Colts have seen the ‘over’ go 4-1 under Pagano

Line Analysis

The Giants opened as 2½-point favorites at most Las Vegas betting shops but that number has dropped to 1½ or 1 as of Sunday morning.
The total is hovering between 40 and 41 in Las Vegas and the offshore outfits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roxxy
5-1 the last two days.

Washington Mystics +7
Liberty +14
Connecticut+9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll Sports

2* Giants/Marlins Under 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KYLE HUNTER



Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Aug 18 '13
1:35p
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies
Take: Los Angeles Dodgers -108
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 2h


*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 10 straight games, and they are an amazing 42-8 in their last 50 games overall. While the Dodgers have plenty to play for, the Phillies are ready for this disappointing season to be over. Philadelphia has been playing as bad as anyone in baseball in the past month. Ricky Nolasco is a solid pitcher for the Dodgers, and the Phillies offense has been shut out in two straight games. Cole Hamels has struggled in day games his whole career, especially at home. The Dodgers are 10-0 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a lefty. The Dodgers are 5-0 in Nolasco's last 5 road starts. The Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games at Philadelphia. In all a 33-0 backs this play. Take the Dodgers.





Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Aug 18 '13
1:35p
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves
Take: Atlanta Braves -137
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 2h


*3 Star MLB Revenge Special* The Washington Nationals beat the Braves 8-7 in 15 innings last night. The fact that the Braves lost last night, makes me feeling even more strongly about their chances of winning Sunday afternoon. Gio Gonzalez is a very good pitcher, but he has a 5.24 ERA against Atlanta in his career. Julio Teheran has a 3.75 ERA against Washington in his career. He also has a 3.00 ERA at home this year. The Braves bullpen is much better than Washington's, and the Braves saved their bullpen better last night. Look for the Braves to bounce back. Take Atlanta.






Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Aug 18 '13
2:10p
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
Take: Total 8 un-105
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 3h


*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are the worst 2 teams in the AL Central. Chicago's lineup wasn't very good at the beginning of the season, and it is even worse now without Alex Rios. Hector Santiago has a 2.7 ERA on the road this year. He also has a 2.7 ERA in his career against Minnesota. Sam Deduno has been good at home this year, and I expect him to pitch well against this weak White Sox lineup. The wind should be blowing in from center field which should be helpful for the under. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1unit wagers / Steven Kane

MLB
LA Dodgers(-110)
Anytime you can take a team who has won 19 of 20(on the road) against a team who has dropped 8 of 10, TAKE THEM! Especially for even money, the Dodgers are the hottest team in baseball right now and until they prove to slow down I'm gonna continue to take them when they offer value.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

(5 UNITS)KC/Det - UNDER 7
Betting $525 to win $500

(3 UNITS) Reds
Betting $432 to win $300

(3 UNITS) D-Backs
Betting $300 to win $360

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters
132-84 run

8-1-1 run last 10 plays

pod cardinals under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Colorado at Baltimore (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore -150 (moneyline) at BetOnline

Colorado is not catching the Dodgers in the division, or anyone else for the Wild Card. This is the third of a 10-game trip, and they are a long way from home in this Interleague contest. The Rockies are 25-54 in their last 79 road games, and 15-36 in their last 51 Interleague games. Colorado is awful on the road, and faces Baltimore righty Scott Feldman. The Rockies are 5-21 in their last 26 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter! Baltimore has a winning record both home and away and is in a pennant race for a division title or a Wild Card. They also have a powerhouse offensive attack, fourth in baseball in runs scored and tops in slugging. Baltimore pounded them yesterday, 8-4, including a seven-run inning early which prompted Colorado to use four relievers. The Rockies are 7-16 in Jhoulys Chacin's last 23 road starts, while the Orioles are 20-8 in home games against a right-handed starter. Play the Orioles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler MLB RunLine Sun, 08/18/13 - 3:35 PM
double-dime bet - 973 HOU 1.5 (-125) vs 974 ANA

Analysis: Not much to this one. Oberholtzer has been steady, is in a big park, Vargas has been terrible, and the Angels bullpen has an ERA of 9.90 over the last week. And they're (the Angels) 12-20 against left handed starters this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 UNITS St. Louis Cardinals -164

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

LOS ANGELES DODGERS -125
(Nolasco/Hamels)

This Phillies team is a joke. I would never poke fun at a team like Houston for being so bad because their payroll is about 1/10th of the Phillies. The Phillies fire their long time coach and cant score in two games. This team is finished and has no interest in playing the rest of the games this year. Take the Dodgers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sports Capper

SUNDAY BASEBALL

100* Play Detroit -185 over Kansas City (TOP MLB PLAY)
Max Scherzer has won 15 of the last 18 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 10 of the last 11 games vs. division opponents. Max Scherzer has won 9 of the last 10 games when pitching as a favorite of -175 to -200 and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.74.

100* Play LA Angels -145 over Houston (TOP MLB PLAY)
Houston has lost 44 of the last 61 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and the have also lost 34 of the last 43 games when playing in the month of August. Houston has lost 17 of the last 20 games when playing on a Sunday and they have lost 28 of the last 36 day games.

50* Play San Francisco -150 over Miami (BONUS MLB PLAY)

50* Play St. Louis -150 over Chicago Cubs (BONUS MLB PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* Orioles over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

TORONTO -8 over Edmonton

How can this one go any other way? The Eskimos come into this one last in the CFL in time of possession and number of plays from scrimmage. They are also last in the CFL in points per game and things don’t figure to get better this week after the Eskimos were forced to make changes in their offensive line. The Eskimos continue to take penalties at a staggering rate and in fact, were penalized 13 times last week for 138 yards. It gets worse. With injuries to Aaron Grymes and J.C. Sherritt, two new faces for Edmonton will be tested. Bryan Williams will start at cornerback to fill in for Grymes, and Rennie Curran will take Sherritt’s spot as middle linebacker. Considering how smoothly Toronto’s offense is running this season, both players figure to run into trouble. Eskimos coach, Kavis Reed can’t decide on anything. He uses a three-headed quarterback system and we all saw what happened to the Blue Bombers when they tried a similar philosophy. All three QB’s are a mistake waiting to happen.

You think Ricky Ray isn’t excited to face his former team again. Damn right he is. Ray is playing the best football of his career. Ray hit on 34 of 38 passes in his last two games, both Toronto wins. Toronto has scored no less than 35 points in each of the last three outings. In fact, the Argos have taken care of the action on both sides of the ball during this three-game win streak, outscoring the competition by a combined 111-44 margin. The Argos are by far the class of the East. They have the two best players on the field here in Ray and Chad Owens. As Ray continues to turn the field into an operating table in the prime of his career, the reminder is present of what the Eskimos had, what might have been and how painful these get-togethers can be. The result should be another easy win for the home side.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

Cleveland +114 over OAKLAND

For starters, Cleveland is 18-7 against the AL West and 5-1 against the A’s this season. That number should be 6-0 after the Indians had runners on base every inning on Friday but lost 3-2. Yesterday, the Indians scored seven times and easily defeated the A’s and we expect more of the same here. Oakland can’t hit. This team is loaded with .240 hitters and they just lost Josh Reddick to an injury. Oakland’s .235 team batting average over the past 50 games is fourth worst in the majors, ahead of only the Astros, Marlins and Twins. They have won on pure luck the entire season but that unsustainable luck has run its course. The A’s have won just six of their past 16 games and in two of those six wins they scored three times in the eighth inning to pick it up. Tommy Milone is an average pitcher for a weak hitting team. Milone’s ERA on the season is 4.39. His ERA over his last five starts is 5.40. He comes in with a pedestrian 35% groundball rate and a case of gopheritis. Milone has been taken yard three times over his past two starts and 22 times this season. He’s averaged 1.5 jacks allowed per nine innings and that’s in correlation to his fly-ball bias profile. The Indians feature one of the best hitting lineups against southpaws in the league with a 23-16 record and a .265 team batting average. Cleveland has had nothing but scoring chances and base-runners over the past two days of this series and they figure to get more of the same here. The same can’t be said for the A’s.

The A’s are 26-15 at home against lefties. How can that be? Oakland is hitting .239 against southpaws, which is the second worst mark in the AL. Again, we turn to the A’s luck because a .239 team batting average does not equate to being 11 games over .500. That winning percentage is sure to even out over the remainder of the season and it likely begins here against Scott Kazmir. Kazmir missed Wednesday's start against the Twins due to dead arm syndrome, affecting the range of motion in his shoulder. The good news is that it wasn’t serious and he’s healthy again for this start. Kazmir had been on a roll before his disaster in his last outing, in which he was injured. Kazmir had four quality starts in his previous five starts, spanning 31.1 IP, allowing only six earned runs while posting 26 K/10 BB and an ERA of 2.39. Scott Kazmir’s comeback story is officially in high gear. The former Rays phenom - out of baseball one year ago - has returned to relevance with the Indians with resurgent velocity and strikeout rate. His high strikeout rate is supported by a 10.2% swinging strike rate and he’s also had a big increase in his groundball rate, which is now at a career high of 47%. Comparing Cleveland’s offense to the A’s is like comparing Aaron Rodgers to Tim Tebow. Wrong side favored.


Colorado +144 over BALTIMORE

Scott Feldman was much better suited to pitch at Wrigley Field for the Cubbies in the NL than he is pitching for the Orioles in the AL. In four of the past six years that he pitched in the American League, Feldman posted ERA’s over five. Since joining the Orioles, he’s picked up right where he left off with a 5.18 ERA over seven starts. At home it gets worse, as Feldman is 1-3 at Camden Yards with an ERA of 7.66. Feldman’s AL pedigree says it’s not likely to get any better, as he went 6 innings or fewer in 40% of his games as a member of the Texas Rangers. Arlington wasn't a factor either, as his road woes were worse. .802 OPS with base-runners is chronic (.808 career mark). Feldman’s quality start/disaster start history says avoid. It’s also worth noting that Feldman will face a hot hitting Colorado line-up.

The Rockies have scored 53 runs over their past 10 games and have hit .295 over that span. That’s second in the majors after the Dodgers. Jhoulys Chacin has quietly put together one of this year’s best season for a starting pitcher. Chacin has a 3.18 overall ERA, with a skills supported xERA of 3.49. The keys have been improvements with his slider and sinker that have both become almost unhittable. Over his last three starts, Chacin’s groundball rate was up to 62%. What’s even more impressive about Chacin is that 14 of his 23 starts this season have come at Coors Field. On the road, Chacin has been nothing short of dominant with a 1.87 ERA over nine starts. Over those nine road starts, Chacin has been taken yard one time. Over his last 37 innings, Chacin has walked four batters. Jhoulys Chacin is dealing it but has gone virtually unnoticed pitching for the Rockies. If this guy were a Dodger, he’d probably be in line for a Cy Young award because he’s been that good. He’s been as good as Clayton Kershaw or Felix Hernandez and yet he’s in the price range of an average pitcher. That’s value at its best. Huge overlay.


MILWAUKEE +138 over Cincinnati

This line is completely out of whack. Cincinnati has lost the past two days here and they are under .500 on the road. Yesterday, the Reds were shutout and were held to five hits. Against Yovanni Gallardo yesterday, a pitcher just off the DL and having a horrible year, the Reds had three hits in 6.1 innings. That’s just one game but Cincinnati is hitting a major-league low .201 over their past 20 games and that’s even sicker when you consider that they play half their games at one of the best hitter’s parks in the league. Homer Bailey is not in great form either. He only has three wins (8 losses) in 13 road starts and these Brewers have had nothing but success against him. Current Brewers have 56 hits in 173 AB’s versus Bailey for a BA of .324. They also have an eye-opening .885 SLG % against him. Bailey looks completely legit this year but haven’t we seen this picture before? In seven years in the big leagues, Bailey has never been able to maintain consistently for an entire season. He’s been hit hard in his last two games against the light-hitting Cubs and A’s in which he was tagged for 15 hits and nine runs in 11.2 innings. Not interested at all in the Reds spotting a tag like this in Milwaukee.

The Brewers continue to play decent ball and that’s because they’re a decent team that grossly underachieved in the first 3½ months. Since July 14, Milwaukee is 17-13. Five of the eight regular players in their line-up are hitting over .290 during that stretch and overall that group is hitting .279 or better on the year. Wily Peralta enjoyed a big skill spike in July after posting some pedestrian numbers in June. Peralta’s groundball rate over the past month is at an elite 60%. He also posted a 95.1 mph average fastball velocity and a high 10.7% swinging strike rate. With top-tier raw stuff and a high groundball rate, Peralta has an extremely intriguing profile with nothing but profit potential. What makes him even more appealing here is that these Reds can’t hit him. In fact, current Cincinnati hitters have just 15 hits in 79 career AB’s against Peralta for a BA of just .190. Win or lose, this one is a must play based on the above facts.

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Betting Line Moves

Miami +150

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Saturday with the Orioles -$185/Rockies.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes two the first game is the "Chalkest" game on the board the Rangers -$280/Mariners and the Tigers -$170/Royals for $50.

"Mr Chalk" is 4-2 +$76 for the week 80-44 +$1297 for the 2013 MLB season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

MotoGP play of the year: Marc Marquez to win Indianapolis GP

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Hondo

Hondo CCs the light

Slumping Hondo wiped out with the Yankees and Reds last night, a double-flusher that sent the runaway debt soaring to 935 javiers.

Tonight, since the skinny on Sabathia is that he’s back, there will be no Dempster-diving for Mr. Aitch — 20 units on the Bombers.

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Chance Lockwood Plays and Daily Chance Sunday

Premium Selections:

Arizona Diamondbacks +119 vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Colorado Rockies +145 vs. Baltimore Orioles

Minnesota Twins -125 vs. Chicago White Sox


Daily Chance Card:

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (1:08 pm): Kansas City +169

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins (1:10 pm): San Francisco -168

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves (1:35 pm): Atlanta -132

LA Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 pm): Dodgers -108

Colorado Rockies at Baltimore Orioles (1:35 p.m. EST): Colorado +145

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 pm): Arizona +119

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays (1:40 pm): Toronto +146

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins (2:10 pm): Minnesota -125

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (2:10 pm): Cincinnati -150

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (2:20 pm): St Louis -166

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers (3:05 pm): Texas -265

Houston Astros at LA Angels (3:35 pm): Houston +168

Cleveland Indians at Oakland A's (4:05 pm): Cleveland +116

NY Mets at San Diego Padres (4:10 pm): Mets -132

NY Yankees at Boston Red Sox (8:05 pm): Over 9 -115


Yesterdays Results:

Premium Selections: 1-1 -.23

Daily Chance Card: 4-10 -6.49


Overall Records:

Premium Selections: 15-19 -7.05

Daily Chance Card: 160-124 +14.50

[DaKid]

Any big al bud? Thanks

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Scott Landau Sunday:
ATL -135
MIL +148
HOU +175

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RAS

Sunday WNBA: 651 Wash/Atl Over 156.5

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Sports Junkie

PLAY #1

MLB: Yankees vs Boston (8:05 pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Yankees ML +110 (Bovada) vs Boston

PLAY #2

MLB: Dodgers vs Phillies (1:35 pm est.)

$100 MLB Play: Phillies ML -103 (Bovada) vs Dodgers

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Scott Rickenbach 6* Over Easy


LA Dodgers/Philadelphia Over

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Jimmy Boyd

5* (MLB) Minnesota Twins ML -125

3* (MLB) Pittsburgh Pirates ML -129
3* (MLB) Philadelphia Phillies ML +100

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Jrtips

10,000,000* - TORONTO +143
10,000,000* - NY YANKEES +111
10,000,000* - BALTIMORE -150
10,000,000* - NY GIANTS -2.5

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​Kelso 100 G.O.W. Cards

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Mitch Wilson

Dog of the day: Astros

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Sportswagers CFL

Today's Free Picks for Aug 18, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_18.pngEdmonton @ TORONTO
TORONTO -8 -114 over Edmonton

How can this one go any other way? The Eskimos come into this one last in the CFL in time of possession and number of plays from scrimmage. They are also last in the CFL in points per game and things don’t figure to get better this week after the Eskimos were forced to make changes in their offensive line. The Eskimos continue to take penalties at a staggering rate and in fact, were penalized 13 times last week for 138 yards. It gets worse. With injuries to Aaron Grymes and J.C. Sherritt, two new faces for Edmonton will be tested. Bryan Williams will start at cornerback to fill in for Grymes, and Rennie Curran will take Sherritt’s spot as middle linebacker. Considering how smoothly Toronto’s offense is running this season, both players figure to run into trouble. Eskimos coach, Kavis Reed can’t decide on anything. He uses a three-headed quarterback system and we all saw what happened to the Blue Bombers when they tried a similar philosophy. All three QB’s are a mistake waiting to happen.
You think Ricky Ray isn’t excited to face his former team again. Damn right he is. Ray is playing the best football of his career. Ray hit on 34 of 38 passes in his last two games, both Toronto wins. Toronto has scored no less than 35 points in each of the last three outings. In fact, the Argos have taken care of the action on both sides of the ball during this three-game win streak, outscoring the competition by a combined 111-44 margin. The Argos are by far the class of the East. They have the two best players on the field here in Ray and Chad Owens. As Ray continues to turn the field into an operating table in the prime of his career, the reminder is present of what the Eskimos had, what might have been and how painful these get-togethers can be. The result should be another easy win for the home side.

Our Pick
TORONTO -8 -114 (Risking 2.28 units - To Win: 2.00)

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Bookieshunter

33-13 run

2* Dodgers

1* Giants ML (NFLx)
1* Astros +1.5

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Guaranteed Sports Picks

Colts/Giants Over 40.5

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Today's Best Bets

Added

(4 UNITS) LAD/Phi - UNDER 8
Betting $488 to win $400

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BIG AL

5* PITCHING MISMATCH GAME OF THE YEAR
(18-6 on MLB 5* Plays the past 7 Years)!

Philadelphia Phillies

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Sports Unlimited

baltimore under

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INTPICKS

Today's Selections

Sunday, August 18, 2013

MLB

1 Unit Official Selections

2:10 PM ET

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee

Take Cincinnati RL -1.5 +110

4:10 PM ET

NY Mets @ San Diego

Play OVER 6

NFL Pre-Season Recommendation *

7:00 PM ET

Indianapolis @ NY Giants

Take NY Giants -1.5

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Just Winning Picks




http://www.pickmonitor.com/images/logos/baseball_mlb.png
8/18 1:05PM Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
$500 Pick: [965] UNDER 7 -105


http://www.pickmonitor.com/images/logos/baseball_mlb.png
8/18 1:35PM Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies
$400 Pick: [953] UNDER 8 -122


http://www.pickmonitor.com/images/logos/baseball_mlb.png
8/18 2:10PM Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins
$300 Pick: [970] Minnesota Twins -131


http://www.pickmonitor.com/images/logos/baseball_mlb.png
8/18 4:10PM New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
$500 Pick: [963] New York Mets -133

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Larry Ness' 10* AL Total G.O.M. (7-1-1 in MLB)

My 10* AL Total of the Month is on Cle/Oak Over at 4:05 ET.