8-23-13 [Archive] - Investwithsports.com Sportstalk and Gambling forum

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:22 PM

NFL preseason primer: Friday game betting breakdown
By BRYAN POWER

Here's a quick look at what to expect in Friday's two NFL preseason tilts.

Seattle at Green Bay (+2, 43)

This is a rematch from the infamous “Fail Mary” game from last year’s regular season that in many ways set the tone for both teams’ regular seasons. For a second straight year, the Seahawks have looked great in the preseason. Last year’s 4-0 campaign introduced us all to the exploits of future MVP candidate (yes, you read that right) QB Russell Wilson, and so far they are 2-0 in 2013, making it six consecutive double digit wins in the preseason under head coach Pete Carroll. That’s a big reason why they are favored here on the road. After humiliating Denver last week, 40-10, the Seahawks have now outscored their two preseason opponents this year 71-20.

Green Bay is 1-1 in the preseason, having responded from a 17-0 shutout loss to Arizona in the opening game with a 19-7 win last week at St. Louis. Reportedly, Mike McCarthy was unhappy with the team’s practice on Wednesday. The coaching staff has not made a decision on how much time the starters will play Friday, but it figures to be longer than the first two games combined. QB Aaron Rodgers has not thrown a TD pass this preseason, albeit he’s only been on the field for four drives total. Both Packers’ starting wide receivers – Randall Cobb & Jordy Nelson - are not 100%.

Chicago at Oakland (+3.5, 38)

Both road teams are favored Friday night. The Bears and Raiders each come into this game at 1-1 SU. The Bears are 0-2 ATS, though the loss of Coach Lovie Smith has not affected the defense’s propensity to force turnovers. In two games, Chicago has an incredible eight takeaways. The problem though is new head coach Marc Trestman was brought in to improve QB Jay Cutler, who has not looked good so far. Last week saw Cutler play a full quarter, and while he completed 4 of 5 passes, the only receiver he targeted was Brandon Marshall. Though they put up 33 points in the win over San Diego, the offense had only 13 first downs and 185 total yards. Thanks to special teams and defense, they routinely benefited from good field position.

Oakland lost last week in New Orleans, 28-20 as six-point dogs. After one quarter, they trailed 17-0. The offensive line stunk, allowing QB Matt Flynn to be sacked five times. The defense was no better, allowing Saints QB Drew Brees to throw for 220 yards and direct five scoring drives. Making matters worse, the team suffered eight injuries according to Head Coach Dennis Allen.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:23 PM

Stamps at Argos: What bettors need to know

Calgary Stampeders at Toronto Argonauts (-2.5, 58)

A nagging knee injury has not stopped Toronto Argonauts quarterback Ricky Ray from running the most efficient offense in the CFL. Ray, who has completed 143-of-183 passes for 14 touchdowns and no interceptions, will try to lead the Argonauts to their fifth straight victory when they host the Calgary Stampeders on Friday. Ray’s record-pace completion rate is a large part of Toronto’s recent dominance, but the defense has done its share as well, limiting opponents to five touchdowns in the last four games.

Calgary slotback Nik Lewis, who leads the team in receiving yards with 400, will miss at least six weeks after suffering a fractured fibula in last week’s 26-22 loss to the BC Lions. Lewis has been a stalwart of the Stampeders’ offense, recording at least 1,000 receiving yards in every season since joining the team in 2004, but Calgary has adjusted to big injuries successfully. The best way to shut down the Stampeders seems to be through running back Jon Cornish, who was limited to a combined 115 rushing yards in Calgary’s two losses.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (5-2): Veteran quarterback Kevin Glenn has been a solid replacement for injured starter Drew Tate and will look to slotbacks Marquay McDaniel and Jabari Arthur to fill Lewis’ void. Calgary’s defense recorded three interceptions against BC, including one by defensive lineman Charleston Hughes, who also leads the team in sacks with five. Cornish is second in the league with 916 yards from scrimmage.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (5-2): Slotback Chad Owens remains a favorite target for Ray with 572 receiving yards as part of a league-leading 1,395 total combined yards for last year’s Most Outstanding Player. Running back Curtis Steele is a little banged up after filling in for the injured Chad Kackert as he was limited to 27 yards on five carries last week - his lowest totals in the three games he has played. First-year linebacker Shane Horton has a team-leading three sacks to go with three fumble recoveries, while linebacker Robert McCune leads the team with 43 tackles.

TRENDS:

* Stampeders are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in August.
* Argonauts are 4-1 ATS in their last five Friday games.
* Over is 14-3 in Stampeders last 17 games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Toronto.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Calgary is 3-0 against East Division opponents.

2. Toronto’s winning streak is its longest since 2007, when it won seven straight to finish the regular season.

3. McCune, who joined the league in 2010, recorded 90 tackles, eight sacks and one interception over two seasons with Calgary before signing with Toronto.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:24 PM

Today's NFL Picks

FRIDAY, AUGUST 23
Time Posted: 7:00 p.m. EST (8/21)

Game 251-252: Seattle at Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 124.939; Green Bay 124.968
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+2 1/2); Over

Game 253-254: Chicago at Oakland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.227; Oakland 118.148
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 5; 34
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Under

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:24 PM

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Seattle at Green Bay (Friday 8/23 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Green Bay +3 (-125) at bovada (http://www.docsports.com/)

The NFL preseason has reached Week 3, often referred to as the dress rehearsal as starters get a lot more minutes. The Packers were robbed last year during the regular season in their game with the Seahawks. How much that plays into this game is not certain, but you know it has to be part of what the Packers bring to the table for this one. Aaron Rogers has not seen a lot of action this preseason, but when he has, he has been as crisp as ever completing 13 of 17 passes for 196 yards, and stretching the field at 11.53 yards per attempt. Seattle is off a pair of blowout wins (31-10 and 40-1) which is why they are laying points on the road. But, teams that are 2-0 in these games often feel a bit satisfied and don't bring as much as they can in week 3. Green Bay has allowed just 26 total points in their two games, so the depth behind the starters has been more than sufficient. Seattle has been the beneficiary of a pair of 100+ non-offensive scores, which have made their results look a bit better than they are. On top of that they are +6 in turnovers in the first two games and when that starts to even out, so will the results. I think Green Bay has some scores to settle here and will come to play, especially as a home dog. Play on Green Bay.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:24 PM

Today's CFL Picks

FRIDAY, AUGUST 23
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (8/21) Game 293-294: Calgary at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 121.754; Toronto 120.997
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+2 1/2); Over

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:24 PM

CFL

Week 9

Calgary (5-2) @ Toronto (5-2)—Argonauts beat Calgary six times in a row, despite being underdog in all six games; they beat Stamps three times LY, last of which was 35-22 (+1.5) in Grey Cup on this field. Toronto survived wild 36-33 shootout with Eskimos last week, winning despite allowing O’Reilly to pass for 511 yards. Argos didn’t have takeaway last week, after having 14 (+11) in previous five games. Calgary is 2-9 in last 11 visits here, losing last four by 3-2-3-13 points, with all four of those games going over total. Argos won last four games overall, scoring 35+ points in all four; they’re 3-1 at home, with only loss to 6-1 Roughriders. Calgary is 2-2 on road loss at BC last week, which snapped 4-game win streak. Last five Toronto games and five of seven Stampeder games went over the total.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:25 PM

Friday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's National League games:

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies (-122, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cole Hamels has recorded five straight quality starts, allowing seven runs over 38 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Philadelphia roster are hitting just .235 with one RBI in 17 at-bats against DBacks starter Wade Miley.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Arizona has won just two of its last 13 visits to Philadelphia.

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins (+128, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Miami right-hander Tom Koehler dominated Colorado in their last encounter July 22, allowing one run while scattering eight hits over seven innings of a 3-1 triumph.

Hot batting stat: Marlins rookies OF Christian Yelich is 3-for-3 with a pair of RBIs in his career against Colorado starter Jhoulys Chacin.

Weather: With a 30 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm, the roof at Marlins Park may be closed. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s while the wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 19-6-2 in Chacin's last 27 road starts.

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds (-182, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Milwaukee right-hander Yovani Gallardo tamed the Reds in their previous meeting Saturday evening, allowing just three hits over 6 1/3 scoreless innings en route to a 2-0 win.

Hot batting stat: Reds 1B Joey Votto is a .310 career hitter with 16 home runs and 60 RBIs in 284 at-bats against Milwaukee.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Cincinnati is 2-9 in starter Homer Bailey's last 11 outings on four days' rest.

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals (-165, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright is 6-2 with a 3.09 ERA in eight starts and three relief appearances against Atlanta.

Cold batting stat: Atlanta 2B Dan Uggla is 5-for-25 with eight strikeouts all-time against Wainwright.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 11-2-1 in the Braves' last 14 road games against teams with winning records.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres (-120, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Padres right-hander Edinson Volquez has dominated the Cubs in his career, going 5-0 with a 2.76 ERA in seven starts.

Hot batting stat: San Diego 1B Yonder Alonso is 5-for-9 with two doubles and one homer in his career against Chicago starter Edwin Jackson.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: San Diego is 11-1 in Volquez's last 12 starts against the National League Central.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants (-139, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Giants right-hander Madison Bumgarner is 4-3 with a 2.40 ERA and a .192 opposition batting average in 11 home starts.

Cold batting stat: San Francisco 3B Pablo Sandoval has four hits in 21 at-bats against Pirates starter Charlie Morton.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-2 in Bumgarner's last 11 starts on grass.

Interleague

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets (+148, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: The Tigers are 3-1 in Doug Fister's four August starts.

Hot batting stat: New York 1B Ike Davis has a .310/.477/.536 slash line in the second half after going just .165/.255/.250 prior to the All-Star break.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-1 in Fister's last 11 outings against teams with losing records.

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers (-115, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Ricky Nolasco is 1-2 with an 8.16 ERA in three career outings against the Red Sox.

Hot batting stat: Los Angeles OF Carl Crawford has had Boston starter John Lackey's number, batting .467 with two home runs and nine RBIs in 45 career at-bats against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Boston is 80-29 in its last 109 interleague games against a right-handed starter.

** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 8:23 p.m. ET Thursday.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:26 PM

Friday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's American League games:

Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles (-129, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Dan Straily lost his only prior start against Baltimore, allowing four runs over 4 2/3 innings last Sept. 16.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Oakland roster are batting just .216 in 74 at-bats against Orioles starter Bud Norris.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Oakland is 20-8 in its last 28 series-opening games.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians (-157, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Twins right-hander Samuel Deduno was rocked in his last start against Cleveland on Aug. 13, charged with five runs on five hits over six innings of a 5-2 loss.

Cold batting stat: Indians 3B Lonnie Chisenhall is hitting just .136 with one home run and three RBIs in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-1-1 in Deduno's last 12 starts against the American League Central.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-115, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda is 1-2 with a 6.11 ERA - his highest against any major-league team other than the Yankees - in three starts versus the Rays.

Hot batting stat: New York OF Brett Gardner is batting .300 with four doubles and two homers in 50 at-bats against Tampa Bay this season.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The under is 22-4-1 in Kuroda's last 27 road starts.

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros (+124, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Toronto right-hander Todd Redmond hasn't registered a decision since July 7, but has a 2.70 ERA over his last five outings.

Cold batting stat: Astros hitters have struck out a league-high 1,195 times this season - over 100 times more than the next closest team.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 35 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-0 in the Blue Jays' last six Friday games.

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox (-116, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: White Sox left-hander Chris Sale has won three consecutive starts, surrendering five runs over 23 1/3 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Rangers SS Adam Rosales is 4-for-7 with a homer against Sale.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Texas has lost five straight games in Chicago.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (-178, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez has struggled against the Angels in his career, going 8-12 with a 3.97 ERA - nearly a run higher than his career mark.

Hot batting stat: Seattle 2B Dustin Ackley is batting .309 since the All-Star break after hitting just .205 in the first half.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Seattle has won 14 of its last 17 games against divisional opponents.

Interleague

Washington Nationals at Kansas City Royals (-104, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Royals right-hander Bruce Chen is coming off his worst outing of the season, getting torched for six runs on eight hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 6-3 loss to Detroit.

batting stat: Kansas City DH Billy Butler is just 3-for-15 lifetime against Nationals starter Gio Gonzalez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0-2 in the Royals' last six interleague home games.

** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 7:43 p.m. ET Thursday.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:34 PM

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nationals on Thursday and likes the Cardinals on Friday.

The deficit is 1364 sirignanos.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-22-2013, 10:35 PM

Insider Angles

NFL Trends & Angles - Preseason Week 3

The second week of the 2013 preseason is in the books, and after the underdogs went 11-6 both straight up and ATS in Week 1 plus the Hall of Fame Game, the favorites got their revenge in Week 2 going 13-3 straight up and a riveting 11-5 ATS.

As for the totals, the 'under' made a bit of a comeback going 8-7-1 after the 'over' was 12-5 coming in, but generally the games have still been higher scoring than preseasons past, and even with posted totals also being higher with some being in the 40s, which would have been considered an anomaly in past seasons, the 'under' did not really perform as well as expected.

We now move on to Week 3, which is the week most teams have their regular season dress rehearsals with the starters playing the longest. While this is true better than 90 percent of the time, we still recommend you scour the teams' websites to get a feel for the coaches' game plans in the event you find a team or two that does not intend to play its starters as long as most other teams, as that could give you an added advantage.

Before moving on to the specifics of Week 3, let us take a look at the updated records of the four coaches that have had great preseason records that we recommended you should follow throughout the preseason. It did not turn out to be a good week for the Big Four as they split their four games straight up and, even worse, went just 1-3 ATS.

Mike Shanahan (Washington Redskins): Shanahan was the one member of the Big Four to win and cover this week when his Redskins handled the Steelers on Monday night. That brings the winningest active preseason coach in the NFL to 51-23 straight up in preseason with the Redskins and Denver Broncos combined, and his teams are now 32-18-1, 64.0 percent ATS since 2000.

Mike Tomlin (Pittsburgh Steelers): Tomlin had the misfortune of running into Shanahan in that 24-13 loss Monday. While that still leaves Tomlin at 19-8 straight up in preseason since becoming Pittsburgh's coach in 2007, he is now 0-2 this year and this looks like the weakest Steelers' team during his tenure. Remember that Tomlin is 5-1 in Week 3 and a perfect 6-0 straight up in Week 4, so those records may get put to the test with this team.

John Harbaugh (Baltimore Ravens): Of the 13 favorites that won in Week 2, 11 of them covered the spread. Unfortunately Harbaugh had one of the two that did not as his Ravens just missed grabbing the cash, winning 27-23 over Atlanta as 4½-point chalk. Harbaugh is now 15-7 straight up overall since becoming coach of the defending Super Bowl Champions in 2008, including 14-4 straight up and 11-7, 61.1 percent ATS since 2009.

Jim Schwartz (Detroit Lions): Schwartz's Lions had the worst performance for a Big Four coach when not facing a fellow Big Four coach as the offense was miserable with Calvin Johnson being inactive in a 24-6 loss to the Cleveland Browns. Schwartz is now 13-5 straight up and 12-6, 66.7 percent ATS since becoming Detroit coach in 2009.

Moving on to Week 3, small favorites of -3 or less have held up better this week than in any other week of preseason, with the help of starting units often playing at least into the third quarter.. However, the underdogs have continued to rule in games with spreads of +3½ or more the past 13 preseasons.

Note that all stated Trends & Angles records both ATS and straight up quoted below are since the 2000 preseason.

Play on Week 3 preseason favorites of -3 or less (56-42-7, 57.1% ATS):
With the starters playing longer, the better teams actually win more often in Week 3 than in other weeks, where lesser teams with more motivation are usually capable of beating better teams. However, the final winning margins are still less than usual in Week 3 even with teams playing truer to form in the win column because the fourth quarter is still mainly garbage time with the backups, which is why this angle is only suited to smaller chalk.

Play on Week 3 preseason underdogs of +3½ or more (59-38, 60.8% ATS):
Bigger underdogs have prospered in Week 3 despite all the starters getting extended minutes, either because the dogs' starters were able to match points throughout or because they frustrated the chalk players with backdoor covers while the reserves were in for the final stanza.

Play the 'over' in Preseason Week 3 in games with posted totals of 39 or more
(42-33, 56.0%):
Again because of the starters playing longer, Week 3 is the highest scoring week of the preseason and games with higher posted totals have actually played out that way with some flying easily 'over' the total.

Week 3 coaches:

Starting with the Big Four

Shanahan is 9-6 straight up in Week 3 with the Broncos and Redskins.

Tomlin is 5-1

Harbaugh is 4-1

Schwartz is 3-1

Here are some other notable Week 3 marks.

Sean Payton (New Orleans Saints, 6-1): Payton is back this season after being suspended last year following the Bountygate scandal, and his Saints are 2-0 straight up and ATS thus far upon his return. Note than Payton is 6-1 ATS in Week 3, matching his straight up mark.

Tom Coughlin (New York Giants, 2-7): Coughlin is also just 2-6-1 ATS in Week 3 and his Giants have not really looked good while scoring just one touchdown in the first two weeks this preseason

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 07:51 AM

Baseball Crusher
Chicago White Sox -116 over Texas Rangers
(System Record: 70-7, won last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 70-69-2

Football Crusher
Seattle Seahawks -2 over Green Bay
(System Record: 3-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 3-3

Soccer Crusher
Belgrano + Gimnasia LP UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 445-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 445-381-59

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 07:52 AM

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Baltimore

The A's look to take advantage of a Baltimore team that is 1-7 in its last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. Oakland is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 23
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.596; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.853
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Under

Game 903-904: Colorado at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chacin) 14.112; Miami (Koehler) 15.158
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+130); Over

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.809; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.249
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-185); Under

Game 907-908: Atlanta at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 16.100; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.032
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+155); Over

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 14.297; San Diego (Volquez) 13.207
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Over

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.571; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.919
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under

Game 913-914: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 14.210; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.629
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-165); Under

Game 915-916: Oakland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 15.804; Baltimore (Norris) 14.980
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Over

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.478; Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.805
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Redmond) 14.336; Houston (Lyles) 15.264
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+125); Over

Game 921-922: Texas at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Perez) 16.705; White Sox (Sale) 15.648
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Over

Game 923-924: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 13.675; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.147
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-180); Under

Game 925-926: Detroit at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 16.706; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 15.401
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Under

Game 927-928: Washington at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.279; Kansas City (Chen) 15.422
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Over

Game 929-930: Boston at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 16.850; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 15.784
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Over

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 07:53 AM

WNBA Basketball Picks

San Antonio at Tulsa

The Shock look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 home games. Tulsa is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Shock favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 23
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Atlanta at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.835; Washington 111.575
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 1; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1); Over

Game 653-654: San Antonio at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 104.827; Tulsa 113.313
Dunkel Line & Total: Tulsa by 8 1/2; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Tulsa by 6 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-6 1/2); Under

Game 655-656: New York at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 106.296; Chicago 116.641
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 10 1/2; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 12 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+12 1/2); Over

Game 657-658: Seattle at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 107.492; Phoenix 116.174
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+8 1/2); Under

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 07:55 AM

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1082-816 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner FRI over 43 GB/Seahawks

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 07:57 AM

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Tigers -165

NYY/TBay over 7

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 08:12 AM

Cappers Access

Seahawks -2
Raiders +3.5
Cubs +120

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 08:45 AM

bookiemonsters
135-86 run

11-3-1 run last 15 plays

pod phillies game under 7.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 09:12 AM

JOHN RYAN

MLB Baseball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-

MLB Aug 23 '13 (8:10p)
Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox -120

25* graded play on the CWS as they host the Texas Rangers in AL action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the CWS will get this win. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting an 85-37 mark for 70% winners and has made 50 units/unit wagered averaging a +100 play. Play on AL home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Texas is a money burning 6-19 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games facing an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. CWS, despite a losing record, are a money making 49-34 (+21.8 Units) against the money line facing AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last two seasons. Take CWS.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:08 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TEXAS at CHI WHITE SOX

Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) off a one run win over a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
110-59 since 1997. ( 65.1% 45.4 units )
5-9 this year. ( 35.7% -4.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB OAKLAND at BALTIMORE

OAKLAND is 47-24 (+28.8 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.8)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:09 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play On - Home teams (WASHINGTON) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
9-6 this year. ( 60.0% 2.4 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) vs. division opponents, off an home win scoring 85 or more points
45-23 since 1997. ( 66.2% 0.0 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% 0.0 units )

WNBA SAN ANTONIO at TULSA

Play Against - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (TULSA) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% 2.9 units )

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:09 AM

BOB BALFE

NFLx
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -2.5

Did you have the Packers last year when these teams played on Monday Night? I know I did. We will never witness another loss like that in the history of the NFL. This is just preseason so the bad blood is not there as much as you would think. To be honest Seattle out played Green Bay in that game and I have real concern with this Packers Offensive Line this year. Aaron Rodgers is a bad offensive line away from looking like Blaine Gabbert. The difference between the best and worst QB's in this league is not as much as you would think. Winning the battle up front is huge in this sport. Seattle is coached to win and play hard no matter it be a preseason game or playoff game. This is a deeper more talented team and I think they win with pure speed tonight. Take Seattle.

10-1 preseason.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:09 AM

PAUL LEINER

100* Seahawks -2.5

100* Dodgers -125

50* Yankees even

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:10 AM

CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB DIAMOND DOG

Money Line: Chi Cubs+111

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:10 AM

River City Sharps

2 Units Cleveland Indians -162

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:11 AM

GREAT LAKES SPORTS
8* LA Dodgers with Nolasco

Boston at LA Dodgers 10:10PM EST
The LA Dodgers are one of the hottest teams in Major League Baseball going an amazing 17-3 in the month of August so far this year, and the LA Dodgers is a stellar 19-7 when playing their last twenty six games at home. The LA Dodgers is also a perfect 5-0 their last five home games vs Right Hand starting pitching, and they are a rock solid 8-1 when playing their last nine games against the American League East Division. We look for the LA Dodgers to dismantle the Boston Red Sox and grab the home win & cover tonight. TAKE: 8* (930) LA Dodgers with Nolasco

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:12 AM

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals - NATIONALS TO WIN (-101)
Listed Pitchers: Gonzalez vs Chen
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.98 units)

The Washington Nationals will move onto the Kansas City Royals after winning 3 of 4 vs the Cubs this week (and 3 straight). The Royals were swept by the White Sox at home and have now lost 5 straight games. This will be an all lefty match up with Gio Gonzalez vs Bruce Chen on the mound. Gonzalez is 7-6 on the year with a 3.38 ERA, .227 OBA and 1.25 WHIP. Those are very solid numbers all around, but Gio has struggled at times. Lately though he has been solid - over his last three starts he has posted a 2.00 ERA, .238 OBA and 1.22 WHIP. For the Royals Chen is 5-1 with a 2.20 ERA, .220 OBA and 1.08 WHIP over 26 appearances and 7 starts. As a starter he has been great going 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA over 7 starts. Take note though that his last start lasted just 5.1 innings where he gave up 8 hits and 6 earned runs with just 1 strikeout and a walk. Tonight he will be facing one of the hotter hitting teams in the Majors. The Nationals are 6th in August with a .766 team OPS and 4th with a .345 team OBP. In comparison the Royals are 23rd in OPS in August and 17th in OBP. Take note that the Nats have gone 9-4 in their last 13 overall, and 20-8 in Gonzalez's last 28 road starts. The Royals have lost 5 straight, and are just 2-8 in their last 10 interleague home games. With Gonzalez pitching well and Chen off a rough outing I'll take the hotter team tonight at an underdog price.

2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants - PIRATES TO WIN (+134)
Listed Pitchers: Morton vs Bumgarner
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.68 units)

These two teams met last night for the first game of this four game set. The Pirates took that game 10-5 as underdogs as they out hit the Giants 13-8. The Pirates are now 75-52 (33-30 on the road), while the Giants are just 56-71 (31-34 at home). Pittsburgh has taken 3 of these two teams 4 meetings this season. Charlie Morton will take the mound for Pittsburgh and he is 4-3 on the season with a 3.67 ERA over his 12 starts. His road record is better than at home (3-1 on the road) despite a slightly higher ERA at 3.89. He did face the Giants earlier this year going 5 innings allowing 7 hits and 2 earned runs (4 total runs) with 5 strikeouts and 1 walk. The Giants will counter with lefty Madison Bumgarner who is 11-7 on the year with a 2.82 ERA, .199 OBA and 1.02 WHIP. His numbers are stellar at home where he is 4-3 with a 2.40 ERA, but over his last three he is 0-1 with a 3.94 ERA. Those past three starts haven't been bad, but they haven't been great either and he will be facing a Pittsburgh team that has been hitting the ball well and finding ways to win. The Pirates are 13th in the Majors with a .726 OPS in August, while the Giants are 27th at .665. I also like the fact that the Pirates are 8th in the Majors in team batting avg vs lefties at .260 and 5th in OPS at .740. Pittsburgh is 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog, and 11-4 in their last 15 games as a road underdog. The Giants are just 7-20 in their last 27 home games, 1-4 in their last 5 games overall, and 1-5 in Bumgarner's last 6 starts. These teams are going in opposite directions and getting the Pirates at this underdog price is generous in my opinion. I'll take Pittsburgh as a very live dog.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 10:30 AM

PowerPlayWins

Todays Play:

Colorado Rockies

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 11:06 AM

Friday's Interleague Action

August 23, 2013

Tigers at Mets - 7:10 PM EST

Probables: D. Fister (10-6, 3.63 ERA) vs. D. Matsuzaka (NR)

Previous series recap: Detroit dropped two of three to struggling Minnesota, including Thursday's 7-6 defeat as $2.60 home favorites. The Tigers still control the AL Central, while wrapping up their eight-game homestand at 4-4. The Mets split a pair of games with the Braves, while losing the finale in extra innings on Wednesday, 4-1. New York owns a 4-6 record the last 10 games, as the Mets continue a nine-game homestand.

Pitching notes: The Tigers have won six of Doug Fister's last seven starts, with the lone loss coming as a road favorite against the White Sox on August 12. Detroit is 2-1 in Fister's three interleague starts, but the defeat came at Pittsburgh in 12 innings, in spite of the right-hander striking out 12 batters in seven innings. The 'over' is 4-1 in Fister's past five road outings, as the Tigers have allowed at least five runs in four of those contests.

The return of Daisuke Matsuzaka is finally here as the former Red Sox hurler makes his first start since last October. Dice-K spent time in the Indians' minor league system before getting released and ultimately landing with the Mets, as the righty gave up 25 earned runs in his final five starts as a member of the Red Sox to wrap up 2012.

Nationals at Royals - 8:10 PM EST

Probables: G. Gonzalez (7-6, 3.38 ERA) vs. B. Chen (5-1, 2.20 ERA)

Previous series recap: Washington grabbed three of four from Chicago, while holding off the Cubs on Thursday, 5-4 in 13 innings. The Cubs scored three runs in the ninth inning to force extra innings, but the Nationals came through in the 13th to win three consecutive road games for the first time this season. Kansas City's playoff hopes are fading by the day after the Royals were swept at home by the White Sox, capped off by a 12-inning defeat last night as $1.70 favorites.

Pitching notes: The Nationals have lost to the Braves five times when Gio Gonzalez took the mound, but the team is 14-6 when the southpaw faces anybody other than the Braves. However, the Nats are 0-4 in Gonzalez's four interleague starts, including road defeats at Detroit and Cleveland. The 'under' is 5-2 in Gonzalez's past seven starts overall, while the Nats are 1-4 in his last five outings as a road underdog.

Bruce Chen finally suffered a poor start in his last outing at Detroit, allowing six earned runs, two more runs than he allowed in the previous five starts combined. The Royals' southpaw is 6-1 to the 'under' in seven starts, including 'unders' in all three home starts. Chen faces a Washington lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching, hitting just .223 this season.

Red Sox at Dodgers - 10:10 PM EST

Probables: J. Lackey (8-10, 3.22 ERA) vs. R. Nolasco (9-9, 3.60 ERA)

Previous series recap: Boston has alternated wins and losses in each of his last six games, while beating San Francisco in two of three contests. The Sox haven't won consecutive road games in their last four tries, while the 'under' is 6-1-1 in the past eight road contests. The Dodgers continue to stay hot after winning three of four games at Miami, improving to 9-0-1 in the last 10 series since the All-Star break.

Pitching notes: John Lackey shut down the Yankees in his last trip to the mound, scattering six hits and allowing one earned run in 6.2 innings of a 6-1 home victory. The Sox are 11-1 to the 'under' in Lackey's last 12 starts, including a run of seven straight 'unders' on the highway. However, Boston owns a 1-5 mark in Lackey's past six starts away from Fenway Park.

Ricky Nolasco has turned into a nice complimentary piece to this Dodgers' rotation, as Los Angeles has won six of his eight starts since getting acquired from Miami. Nolasco is making only his third home start in this stretch, splitting his first two outings at Dodger Stadium with a loss to the Rockies and a win over the Mets. The right-hander lost twice to the Red Sox last season, allowing 12 earned runs in just 9.1 innings or work.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 01:27 PM

Teddy Covers

10* Astros over

10* Pirates

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 01:27 PM

Hot pitchers
-- Hamels is 1-0, 1.45 in his last four starts. Arizona won last five Miley starts (3-0, 2.00).
-- Chacin is 8-4, 2.33 in his last thirteen starts
-- Reds won last four Bailey starts (3-0, 3.49).
-- Medlen is 4-0, 3.46 in his last four starts. Wainwright is 1-0, 2.57 in his last two starts.

-- Fister is 4-1, 2.72 in his last seven starts.
-- Chen is 2-0, 0.44 in three starts at Kauffman Stadium. GGonzalez is 0-2, 2.00 in his last three starts.
-- Nolasco is 3-0, 4.03 in his last four starts.

-- Kuroda is 3-2, 2.16 in his last six starts.
-- Orioles won all four Norris starts (3-0, 3.57).
-- Redmond is 0-0, 2.14 in his last four starts.
-- Sale is 3-0, 2.31 in his last three starts. Perez is 3-0, 2.42 in his last three.

Cold pitchers
-- Koehler is 0-2, 6.46 in his last three starts.
-- Gallardo is 0-1, 9.22 in his last three road starts.
-- Jackson is 0-2, 7.88 in his last three starts. Volquez is 1-2, 5.82 in last four.
-- Bumgarner is 0-1, 5.06 in his last three starts. Morton is 1-1, 4.15 in his last four starts.

-- Matsuzaka is making first '13 start, first NL start. He was 5-8, 3.92 in 19 starts for Indians' AAA team, with 39 walks in 103.1 IP. In his major league career, he is 50-37, 4.52 in 116 starts, all with Boston.
-- Lackey is 1-4, 4.31 in his last six starts.

-- Deduno is 0-3, 7.56 in his last three starts. Jiminez is 1-2, 4.96 in his last three starts.
-- Straily is 0-5, 4.91 in his last six starts.
-- Archer is 0-2, 4.79 in his last four starts.
-- Lyles is 1-3, 9.57 in his last five starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-2, 5.50 in his last three starts. Richards is 0-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Miley 8-25 (4 of last 7); Hamels 4-26 (0 of last 5)
-- Chacin 2-24 (0 of last 19); Koehler 6-16
-- Gallardo 5-24 (1 of last 6); Bailey 3-25 (0 of last 7)
-- Medlen 8-24 (0 of last 5); Wainwright 7-26 (3 of last 6)
-- Jackson 9-25 (3 of last 6); Volquez 9-26
-- Morton 2-12; Bumgarner 3-25 (0 of last 5)

-- Fister 5-25 (0 of last 7); Matsuzaka 0-0
-- Gonzalez 7-25 (1 of last 7); Chen 2-7
-- Lackey 9-22 (3 of last 5); Nolasco 7-25

-- Deduno 5-16 (4 of last 8); Jimenez 6-24 (2 of last 14)
-- Straily 5-20 (3 of last 6); Norris 9-25
-- Kuroda 6-25 (0 of last 8); Archer 4-15
-- Redmond 1-7; Lyles 5-20 (0 of last 6)
-- Perez 6-12; Sale 8-24
-- Richards 1-9; Hernandez 4-26 (1 of last 13)

Totals
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Philadelphia games.
-- Five of last seven Miami games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four St Louis games.
-- Three of last four Cub games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine San Francisco games.

-- Six of last eight Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Kansas City games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Boston games.

-- Under is 11-4-2 in last seventeen Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last ten Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Toronto games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Angel games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Reds won nine of their last twelve games.
-- St Louis won eight of its last eleven games. Braves are 7-0 in game following their last seven losses.

-- Mets won four of their last five home games.
-- Nationals won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Dodgers are 45-10 in their last 55 games.

-- Indians won six of their last eight games.
-- Bronx Bombers won ten of their last twelve games. Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games.
-- Texas won 18 of its last 22 games. White Sox won their last six games, scoring 29 runs.
-- Mariners won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Diamondbacks lost three of their last four games.
-- Miami lost seven of its last eight home games. Colorado lost five of its last six games overall.
-- Brewers lost three of their last four games.
-- Cubs lost 13 of their last 19 games. San Diego is 3-5 in its last eight.
-- Pirates lost eight of last twelve games. Giants are 4-7 in their last eleven.

-- Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven games.
-- Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Red Sox are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.

-- Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Oakland is 4-5 in its last nine games. Orioles lost six of last nine.
-- Blue Jays lost ten of their last fourteen games. Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Angels lost their last four games, scoring nine runs.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 01:27 PM

Profitbets

FRENCH LEAGUE 1:
AS MONACO -1 (*4)

FRENCH LEAGUE 2:
ISTRES OV 2.5 (*10)
CAEN PK (*4)

GERMANY LEAGUE 1:
DORTMUND OV 3.5 (*1)

GERMANY LEAGUE 2:
ENERGIE COTTBUS PK (*10)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 01:28 PM

Betting Line Moves

Phoenix Mercury Under 151

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 01:54 PM

BookBreakers - 8/23

7:05pm Diamondbacks vs Phillies
D'backs +116

7:10pm Yankees vs Rays
Under 7 -115

10:10pm Red Sox vs Dodgers
Dodgers -105

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 01:55 PM

Kelso

25 Seahawks
10 raiders

MLB
15 tigers
5 rangers

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 02:29 PM

MLB Umpire Under Streakers

STL / ATL U7 @ +105 - Nauert 6-0 L6

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 02:39 PM

ANDRE GOMES

WNBA - 657 Seattle Storm @ 658 Phoenix Mercury
Projected Line: 154 points

Seattle is currently 3-0 against Phoenix this season, with the third win costing the job of Corey Gaines as the Mercury's Head Coach. So, we can consider tonight's game as a big revenge game for Phoenix. The Mercury's offense has been more dynamic lately with an intention to play inside out with Brittney Griner and Candice Dupree on the frontcourt, while Diana Taurasi leads the backcourt. Thanks to this, Phoenix scored 42, 44 and 46 points in the paint on their last three games! On the other side, on their last game against Seattle, Taurasi had a terrible game with 2-11 FG and 6 turnovers. She'll be fired up tonight and so, I expect Phoenix to have a good offensive game in here.

On the other side, Phoenix's defense started their new era with a new coach in good form by allowing just 67, 56 and 58 points, but they have already allowed 88 and 86 points on their last two games, including allowing 88 points to the terrible offense of the Silver Stars! The current totals line of 150.5 seems too low for the fired up Mercury that will try to push up the pace against the slow footed Storm. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 657/658 Over 150,5 @ -110

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 02:40 PM

The Factsman

MLB Friday Video Pick

Colorado Rockies[/B]
(J. Chacin -R vs T. Koehler -R)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 02:41 PM

GoodFella

Friday Night MLB Team Total

BOSTON RED SOX OVER 3.5 RUNS (@BOL)

A very nice low number here on these Red Sox needing to plate just 4 runs for us to cash in. Boston is flat out MLB most potent team vs RH pitching (1st in MLB in .OBP & .OPS). These Red Sox rank 2nd in MLB in .OPS on the ROAD too....so, not solely a "Green Monster thing" here...... Nolasco starting for LAD tonight, and he is just not a dominate SP, and I do fully expect these Red Sox to get to him & Ricky will give up 3 or 4 runs and go 6 IP most likely. Ya, the ball won't carry tonight here at Dodger Stadium, however, the wind is blowing slightly out to CF and temps in the hight 70's at game time. I simply see Boston plating at least 4 runs tonight in this spot, and am on their Team Total OVER 3.5 tonight.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 02:42 PM

DHayes

1* Red Sox -105

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 02:43 PM

spartan MLB Money Line Fri, 08/23/13 - 8:10 PM

dime bet - 927 WAS (-105) vs 928 KAN

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 02:45 PM

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 8/23
Los Angeles Dodgers -108 over the Boston Red Sox

(System Record: 122-5, Lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 122-115

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 03:51 PM

Goodfella

NFLX GOM 3* on SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Money line

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 03:52 PM

Nelly's Baseball - Friday, Aug. 23
1* #911 Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) +125 over San Francisco Giants (Bumgarner) 9:15 PM CT
1* #927 Washington Nationals (Gonzalez) -105 over Kansas City Royals (Chen) 7:10 PM CT
Next Update Saturday 11 AM CT

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 03:52 PM

BEST Baseball - Friday, Aug. 23
10* #911 Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) ML +130 over San Francisco Giants (Bumgarner) 9:15 PM CT
10* #927 Washington Nationals (Gonzalez) RL -1.5 +155 over Kansas City Royals (Chen) 7:10 PM CT

BEST Football - Friday 25* Preseason Game of the Year - Aug. 23
25* #255 Seattle Seahawks -2 over Green Bay Packers 7:00 PM CT

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 03:53 PM

Bobby Dalton Baseball - Friday, Aug. 23
5* #901 Arizona Diamondbacks (Miley) +115 over Philadelphia Phillies (Hamels) 6:05 PM CT

Bobby Dalton Football - Friday, Aug. 23
10* #255/256 'OVER 43' Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers 7:00 PM CT

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 03:54 PM

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Thursday with the Reds -$170/Diamondbacks.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Indians -$158/Twins.

"Mr Chalk" is 2-2 -$70 for the week 83-47 +$1123 for the 2013 MLB season.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:03 PM

NORTHCOAST

Game of Week
3 star - Raiders +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:04 PM

SB Professor MLB Picks

918. Tampa Bay Rays -111
928. Kansas City Royals -104
922. Chicago White Sox -121
912. San Francisco Giants -136

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:11 PM

Scott Rickenbach 8* Over Easy

Baltimore/Oakland Over

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:11 PM

Cleveland Insider

MLB
4.5* Rockies/Marlins over 7.5 (-105) 473/450
4.5* Nationals/Royals over 7.5 (-110) 495/450
3* Royals ML (-104) 312/300
2.5* Angels +1.5 (-135) 338/250
1* Marlins +1.5 (-135) 135/100
1* Blue Jays ML (-137) 137/100
1* Blue Jays/Astros over 8.5 (-125) 125/100
1* Cubs/Padres over 7 (-110) 110/100

WNBA
5* Atlanta/Washington over 152.5 (-110) 550/500
1* New York/Chicago under 149.5 (-110) 110/100

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:22 PM

Joe Gavazzi

3* NY Yankees (Kuroda) (Even)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:22 PM

Bill OBrien

MLB risk 2 units Phillies/Arizona over 7 combined team total.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:23 PM

Guaranteed Sports Picks

Seattle Seahawks -2

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:24 PM

Harry Bondi

NFL Preseason Free Play
SEATTLE (-2.5) over Green Bay
8:00 p.m. EST

We have hit 4 of our last 5 in the NFL Preseason and tonight we are again backing one of favorite pre-season coaches. Seattle Head coach Pete Carroll is 9-1 ATS in the pre-season since taking over the Seahawks. Not only has Seattle won but Carroll has delighted in crushing teams in the pre-season having won six consecutive pre-season games by double digits!!That's unheard of in pre-season games and it's a big reason why the Seahawks are favored on the road. The Pack seem content to get to the real games as they have been very vanilla in splitting their first two pre-season games. We expect more of the same from them tonight and for Carroll to play to win again in the pre-season. Take Seattle over Green Bay.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:29 PM

TMC Sports Advisors

Cleveland -150

Toronto/Houston Over 8.5

Cincinnati -1.5 +105

Pittsburgh +130

NFL PRESEASON (7-6)

Seattle -2.5

Raiders +4

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 04:51 PM

Mitch Wilson

Dog of the day: Raiders +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 05:14 PM

KYLE HUNTER

Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts

MLB
Aug 23 '13
7:05p
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies
Take: Total 7½ un-121
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 7h

*3 Star 100% Angle Total* The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet in an interesting game Friday night. Wade Miley and Cole Hamels both started the season very poorly, but if we look at how well they have been pitching of late it is very impressive. Hamels is 5-13, but he has been throwing the ball extremely well of late. Hamels has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miley has a 2.86 ERA in his last 3 starts.

The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in the Phillies last 7 against the NL West. The under is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 games against a lefty. The under is 7-0 in Hamels last 7 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0-1 in Miley's last 5 starts as an underdog. In all, a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts

MLB
Aug 23 '13
8:10p
Washington Nationals vs Kansas City Royals
Take: Total 7½ un-115
http://www.betfirms.com/lines/style/book_images/bovada-odds.jpg (http://record.bettingpartners.com/_wWGnrqHo-eSBKOxorkQ2_WNd7ZgqdRLk/1/)
in 8h

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals and Kansas City Royals are both struggling against left-handed pitchers of late. Gio Gonzalez and Bruce Chen have both been very good this season. Ian Desmond is injured and will likely miss this game and Lorenzo Cain is out with an injury for the Royals. Two pitchers who are pitching well and two short-handed lineups here. The under is 7-0-2 in the Royals last 9 games as a favorite. the under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 home starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 7-1 in the Nationals last 8 road games against a lefty. Take the under.

Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts

MLB
Aug 23 '13
10:10p
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Take: Los Angeles Dodgers -112
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 10h

*3 Star Red Sox/Dodgers CASH* The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the hottest team in baseball of late. The Dodgers are 45-10 in their last 55 games overall. The Boston Red Sox are in the middle of a tough West Coast trip. Boston is a very good team, but they are really going up against a very confident team in the Dodgers. David Ortiz may miss this game because of a back injury, and the Red Sox aren't used to the pitcher having to bat. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 Friday games. They are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games. The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Take the Dodgers.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 05:14 PM

Sportswagers Boxing

Today's Free Picks for Aug 23, 2013

http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_21.pngArash Usmanee vs Argenis Mendez
Usmanee +400 over Mendez

9 pm EST on ESPN2
LOCATION: Turning Stone Resort & Casino Verona, NY, USA
IBF super featherweight title – 12 Rounds. This is a superb match-up for Mike Tyson’s foray in the promotional end of boxing. Argenis Mendes was a talented amateur that has begun to find his way in pro ranks. He is fairly solid in every department. He can box, hit with authority and is quick. Argenis has also improved over the past two years, as evidenced by performing better in rematches with quality fighters Martin Honorio and Juan Carlos Salgado. Mendes lost to Salgado in late 2011 but was able to score a tremendous KO in their rematch earlier this year.

Arash Usmanee is a native Afghan that has resided in Canada since he was a child. He also had a decorated amateur career and put on an impressive showing in a controversial loss to Cuban prospect Rances Barthelemy. After losing the first two rounds, he was able to walk down and land on Barthelemy for the remainder of the fight. Teddy Atlas had it 9-3 in rounds for Usmanee but he was in the Cuban’s backyard in Miami and was simply robbed. Usmanee is not the slick stylist that Mendes is. And he’s probably not the better puncher but he brings toughness and a work rate that can be a handful. The similarly stylish Barthelemy simply couldn’t discourage Usmanee, who kept walking forward and landing excellent power punches. If Mendes isn’t able to hurt Usmanee, he will have a tough fight on his hands. Usmanee threw over a 1000 punches in his bout with Barthelemy and had a lot of gas in the 12th round. Mendez is not 4½-1 better than Usmanee and we would go as far as saying that no result would be a surprise. In other words, Usmanee’s chances are so much better than these odds suggest and with him being such a large underdog, he’s absolutely worth a bet.

Our Pick
Arash Usmanee +400 (Risking 1 units - To Win: 4.00)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 05:15 PM

Sportswagers CFL

Today's Free Picks for Aug 23, 2013

http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_18.pngCalgary @ TORONTO
Calgary +3 -110 over TORONTO

THIS IS A NO WAGER. You’re going to read about how the Stamps have a horrible history against the Argonauts over the past decade or so, especially in Toronto. In fact, the Double Blue has defeated the Stamps in 11 of the past 13 matchups, including six in a row. It gets even worse so try to wrap your head around this. The Stampeders are missing their starting quarterback (Drew Tate), starting tailback (all-star Jon Cornish), starting right guard (all-star Dimitri Tsoumpas), and four starting receivers in all-star Nik Lewis, Maurice Price, Joe West and Johnny Forzani. This is not privy information. Everyone knows the Stampeders come in here with more casualties than a Quinton Tarantino movie and a poor history. Why then, is the first place Argonauts just a small three-point choice here? That should make Argonaut backers a little bit nervous. The entire betting world is on the Argos and that’s another red flag we’re always aware of. That said, the Stamps are going to come in here and play their hearts out. They are sick of losing to this team and they’re even sicker about hearing about it every time they play Toronto. It’s time to put a stop to it and even without their top players, the Stamps are capable of coming up big.
The Argonauts are saying the right things. They are insisting that they will not take this decimated team lightly. The Argos also have the league’s top rated passer in Ricky Ray, who has not thrown a pick the entire year and that has completed a sick 78% of his passes. For this game, the Argonauts stock is soaring while the Stamps stock is lower than it’s been all year. We’ve seen it over and over again in this league for years. That being, a team that looks great falters when least expected. The Riders looked unstoppable and all of a sudden, in the span of two weeks, they look awful. We saw signs of the Argonauts being in trouble when Mike Reilly carved up the Toronto defense for 511 passing yards and three TD’s last week. The Stamps have very capable back-ups at the QB and RB positions in Kevin Glenn and Matt Walter, respectively. Said Kevin Glenn about RB Walter, “You can’t go to sleep on him. He has that deceptive speed type of thing. He’s very quick in and out of the hole. I think he does a very good job of that”. In relief of Cornish last season, Walter averaged 7.1 yards per carry so the Argos better not take this guy lightly. In the end it would not surprise one bit to see the Argos roll over this intruder once again but we can’t get on board for that because it looks too easy and everyone is on that side. It’s also difficult to pull the trigger on the Stamps because of so many unknowns but one should never underestimate a banged up team with motivated players getting an opportunity. With that, we’re going to sit this one out and watch from the rail.

No bets.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-23-2013, 05:15 PM

Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 23, 2013

http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngTAMPA BAY vs N.Y. Yankees
TAMPA BAY -108 over N.Y. Yankees

Give the Yankees credit for an outstanding run of late including a just completed four-game sweep of the Blue Jays. Since being swept by the White Sox upon A-Rod’s return, New York has won 10 of 14 games but seven of those 10 wins came against two reeling and banged up clubs, the Angels and Blue Jays. That run and the all the attention surrounding the Yanks has once again made them an overvalued proposition. Things get much more difficult on the road here for A-Rod and the Yanks where New York is two games under .500 this season. Hiroki Kuroda is having an outstanding season but he was whacked in his last start against the Red Sox in Boston and these Rays have also hit him hard. In fact, current Rays have a .304 batting average and an eye-opening .904 OPS against Kuroda in 92 AB’s. At the Trop, Kuroda has made two starts and has allowed 16 hits and 10 earned runs in 11.2 frames for an ERA of 6.17. Kuroda has a career batting average against at this venue of .333.
The Rays are 41-23 at home. That’s close to a 65% winning percentage at the Trop, yet they are priced here as a team that wins about half of its home games. That’s value. Chris Archer is a hard thrower with swing-and-miss stuff that finally reined in his control. Archer’s overall skills mark his progress. Archer flashed the second-highest average fastball velocity (94.9 mph) in July of any AL SP with at least 20 IP that month. With his top prospect upside and 0.73 ERA, 0.65 WHIP line in July, Archer is gaining more confidence with each passing start. What really sticks out in Archer’s profile is a 16% line-drive rate and that suggests that hitters are having a difficult time squaring up on him. Lastly, current Yanks have just nine hits combined (.180) in 50 AB’s versus Archer, making him and the Rays a rock solid choice spotting less than a dime.

Our Pick
TAMPA BAY -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngWashington @ KANSAS CITY
Washington -104 over KANSAS CITY

The Royals have gone from contenders to pretenders by losing five in a row and eight of their past 10 games. This untimely run of poor results has K.C. sitting 9½-games back of the Tigers in the Central Division and 7 games back in the Wild Card race. With a chance to make up some ground with three games at home against the Marlins and White Sox, who were a combined 39-83 on the road this season before coming into Kaufman Stadium, the Royals proceeded to lose five of those six games. Reeling and in a demoralized state of mind, the Royals are a solid fade here with Bruce Chen trying to stop the bleeding. Chen's 5.09 xERA on a 2.20 ERA is the red flag here. An 84% strand rate has kept the base-runners who contributed to his 1.46 WHIP as a starter from scoring. While Chen maintained a decent strikeout rate as a reliever this year, that rate has dropped dramatically as a starter. Chen has just nine K’s over his past 19 frames and just three K’s in 12 innings in two of his past three starts. Bruce Chen couldn’t crack this rotation to start the year. He’s been moving from starter to reliever and back for years. Since 1998, when he first broke into the big leagues, Chen has pitched for Atlanta, Philly, the Mets, Cincinnati, Boston, Houston, Texas, Baltimore and finally K.C. They all can't be wrong. His ERA this season is a complete mirage. He has a disturbing fly-ball/groundball rate of 27%/54% and an even more disturbing rate of 23%/61% since being asked to start.
The Nationals have won three in a row and scored 20 runs over that span. Gio Gonzalez had a horrible 5.34 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in July, primarily due to one awful start. His base skills in July were actually great with 35 K’s in 28 innings and a 58% groundball rate. Gonzalez was done in by an unlucky 42% hit rate and 19% hr/f in July. That hit rate was the highest of any starter in MLB that month. In three August starts, his hit rate has normalized and Gonzalez has allowed just four earned runs in 18 innings. He also struck out 16 batters while inducing 58% groundballs. Chen favored over Gonzalez might have had some merit a month ago but it has no merit right now considering the way that K.C. has fallen. Truth be told, Chen favored or at a pick’em over Gonzalez right now is bordering on ludicrous.

Our Pick
Washington -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)

http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngMinnesota @ CLEVELAND
Minnesota +149 over CLEVELAND

The Indians return home from a nine-game trip with the last six games on the West Coast in Oakland and L.A. Cleveland won six of those nine games but luck played a huge role in the majority of those games, as the Tribe could have easily lost four of those six wins. Over its past 15 games, Cleveland is batting .219, which is the worst mark in the AL over that stretch. Ubaldo Jimenez continues to struggle with his consistency and control, two factors that make him a poor play in this matchup. Over his past five starts, Jimenez has an ugly 1.88 and 25% of his starts this season have been pure disasters outings. Between decreased velocity and the inability to avoid free passes, Jimenez is a huge risk spotting a price like the one here.
The spoiler role is one that every team in every sport loves to play. The Twins just took two of three in Detroit and will welcome the opportunity to make life miserable for the Tribe. Sam Deduno is the definition of "mixed bag". Walks have always been a problem for Deduno, but he's made strides in managing the strike zone so far, cutting his control nearly in half from his career numbers. That’s a positive sign. He keeps the ball on the ground thanks to a sinking fastball with decent velocity (90-91 mph), which somewhat mitigates the need to rack up Ks. Deduno’s groundball rate is outstanding at 59% for the year. Stranger things have happened than a 30-year-old suddenly seeing the light (see: Dickey, R.A), and while his strikeout rate still needs work, his heavy GB tilt has made him fairly disaster averse (45%/18% quality start/disaster start). Sam Deduno is becoming very interesting and as a rather large dog against Jimenez and the cold bats of the Tribe, he and the Twinkies offer up some strong value here.

Our Pick
Minnesota +149 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.98)