8-28-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UFC Fight Night 27 betting: Condit's experience will KO Kampmann
By MMAODDSBREAKER

UFC Fight Night 27: Carlos Condit (-250) vs. Martin Kampmann (+210)

The main event of UFC Fight Night 27 is a five-round welterweight war between Carlos Condit and Martin Kampmann. This fight is a rematch of their 2009 bout in which Kampmann took a controversial split decision in a fight that many believe Condit won.

Condit (28-7) is one of the best welterweights on the planet and one of the most devastating finishers in the entire sport, winning 26 of 28 fights by way of stoppage. The 29 year old trains with a great camp at Greg Jackson’s and he’s worked hard to get his wrestling on par with his vicious striking and slick BJJ, which is some of the best in the entire division.

Although Condit is coming off two straight losses, those blemishes were to Georges St-Pierre and Johny Hendricks - the two best welterweights in the world. Those losses won’t hurt Condit, they will only make him grow as a martial artist, and his experience from those fights will help him get revenge against Kampmann.

Kampmann (20-6) is a perennial welterweight contender and one of the most well-rounded fighters with a combination of technical striking and savvy ground game. The 31 year old hasn’t fought since last November when he was KO’d by Hendricks at UFC 154, so really he has less than a minute of cage time in over a year with his last win coming over Jake Ellenberger in June 2012.

The layoff will surely hurt him against a tireless warrior like Condit and, although Kampmann got his hand raised in their first fight, this is a bad spot for him to come back to after that long layoff. This fight is going to be a war.

For the first two rounds I see both men standing in the pocket and chucking bombs at one another to the delight of the Indianapolis crowd.

Eventually all of Condit’s strikes are going to add up, Kampmann is going to wear down, and then Condit’s experience in the championship bouts will pay dividends as he finds his openings and beats up Kampmann so badly that the referee is forced to step in and stop the fight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's American League games:

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners (-153, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez allowed five runs over five innings in his last encounter with the Rangers, falling to 12-19 against them in his career.

Hot batting stat: Rangers OF David Murphy is a .329 career hitter with three homers and 16 RBIs in 73 at-bats against Hernandez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Seattle is 1-9 in Hernandez's last 10 home starts against teams with winning records.

Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers (-161, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Doug Fister is 5-4 with a 2.45 ERA and just three home runs allowed in 66 career innings against the Athletics.

Hot batting stat: Detroit OF Torii Hunter, the only Tigers batter to have faced Athletics starter Dan Straily, is 4-for-7 with a pair of solo home runs against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Detroit has won seven consecutive Wednesday games.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays (+123, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda has been dreadful in back-to-back road starts, surrendering 12 runs over 11 2/3 innings in losses to Boston and Tampa Bay.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays SS Jose Reyes is 7-for-15 with a double and two triples in his career against Kuroda.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 22-5-1 in Kuroda's last 28 road starts.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (-141, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander John Lackey is 12-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 142 1/3 career innings against the Orioles.

Hot batting stat: Every member of the Boston roster to have faced Orioles starter Bud Norris has at least one hit against him except for OF Jacoby Ellsbury, who is 0-for-4.

Weather: There will be a 25 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms at gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing from right to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1-1 in Lackey's last 11 starts against a team with a winning record.

Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays (-161, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Chris Archer is coming off back-to-back impressive outings, allowing a combined three runs on eight hits in 14 innings against the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.

Hot batting stat: Angels OF Mike Trout will bat better than .300 for a career-best fourth consecutive month.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The under is 11-2 in Tampa Bay's last 13 Wednesday games.

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (+122, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Royals left-hander Bruce Chen is coming off consecutive rough outings against Detroit and Washington, surrendering 13 runs over nine innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Twins 1B Justin Morneau is 5-for-22 with seven strikeouts in his career against Chen.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Kansas City is 6-0 in Chen's last six Wednesday starts.

Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox (-205, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Astros right-hander Jarred Cosart has yet to allow more than three runs in any of his first seven major-league starts.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Houston roster are a combined 7-for-38 with 16 strikeouts against Chicago starter Chris Sale.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: Chicago is 6-1 in Sale's last seven home starts against a team with a losing record.

** Odds, probable starting pitchers, weather forecast and stats as of 2:25 p.m. ET Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's National League games:

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (-225, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Edwin Jackson has struggled of late, going 0-2 in his previous four starts while surrendering 20 runs over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Chicago C Dioner Navarro has seven hits in 15 career-at bats against Dodgers starter Ricky Nolasco, with two double and a homer.

Weather: Clear skies are expected with temperatures in the mid-80s. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 8-1 in their last nine Wednesday games.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (-161, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Charlie Morton is enjoying his best stretch of the season, posting four consecutive quality starts while allowing just seven runs over 27 2/3 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Pittsburgh 3B Pedro Alvarez is 1-for-5 with three strikeouts in his career against Brewers starter Tom Gorzelanny.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms that will taper off by 8 pm. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 14-3 in Morton's last 17 home starts.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-260, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg had one of the worst starts of his career in his last encounter with Miami, lasting just two innings while allowing seven runs on five hits and four walks.

Hot batting stat: Miami slugger Giancarlo Stanton has had the upper hand on Strasburg to date, going 7-for-17 with two homers and five RBIs in his career.

Weather: There is a 35 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s while wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in Strasburg's last eight Wednesday starts.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets (+137, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cole Hamels has surrendered a paltry 10 runs over his last six starts, though he's only 1-1 over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: Hamels has dominated Mets OF Lucas Duda, who is just 1-for-13 with seven strikeouts against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Mets have lost seven consecutive games against left-handed starters.

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-149, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Reds right-hander homer Bailey is just 3-9 with a 5.61 ERA in 15 career starts against the Cardinals.

Cold batting stat: Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright is one of the few pitchers to have contained Cincinnati 1B Joey Votto, holding him to three hits in 23 at-bats against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Cincinnati has lost Bailey's last seven road starts against St. Louis.

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (-104, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Giants right-hander Madison Bumgarner was masterful in his last encounter with the Rockies, limiting them to a run on four hits over seven innings of a 5-2 win.

Hot batting stat: San Francisco C Buster Posey has seven hits in 13 career at-bats against Colorado starter Jhoulys Chacin.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The Giants have won just twice in their last 14 Wednesday games.

San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks (-177, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Wade Miley has surrendered three runs or fewer in 14 of his last 15 starts, and has given up just three home runs in his previous seven outings.

Hot batting stat: Giants SS Everth Cabrera has eight hits - including a triple and a homer - in 14 career at-bats against Miley, and went 2-for-3 with a walk in their last encounter June 15.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s under mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-0 in umpire Cory Blaser's last six games behind home plate.

Interleague

Cleveland Indians at Atlanta Braves (-112, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Indians right-hander Justin Masterson has been strong in back-to-back road starts, allowing four runs over 14 1/3 innings against Oakland and the Los Angeles Angels.

Hot batting stat: Braves OF B.J. Upton is 4-for-10 with a home run and four walks in his career against Masterson.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Cleveland has won 12 of its last 15 games against a lefty starter.

** Odds, probable starting pitchers, weather forecast and stats as of 1:15 p.m. ET Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate

Top Plays

NL Game of the Month - Cardinals

Twins
Astros/White Sox Under 7.5
Dodgers/Cubs Over 7.5
Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate

Top Plays

Dodgers/Cubs Over 7.5
Giants/Rockies Over 9
Padres/Diamondbacks Under 9
Angels/Rays Over 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh

The Pirates look to snap their 3-game losing streak and build on their 5-0 record in Charlie Morton's last 5 home starts against a team with a losing record. Pittsburgh is the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 14.934; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.389
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+190); Over


Game 953-954: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.562; Washington (Strasburg) 15.959
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-240); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-240); Under


Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gorzelanny) 14.558; Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.951
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under


Game 957-958: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.195; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 15.282
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over


Game 959-960: Cincinnati at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.869; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.386
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under


Game 961-962: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.756; Colorado (Chacin) 14.617
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Over


Game 963-964: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 15.726; Arizona (Miley) 14.606
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+160); Over


Game 965-966: Texas at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Perez) 14.910; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.834
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-135); Under


Game 967-968: Oakland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 16.543; Detroit (Fister) 15.419
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+150); Over


Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.273; Toronto (Redmond) 13.953
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under


Game 971-972: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 16.789; Boston (Lackey) 15.697
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); Over


Game 973-974: LA Angels at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.476; Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.982
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under


Game 975-976: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 16.256; Minnesota (Albers) 14.350
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-125); Under


Game 977-978: Houston at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 16.261; White Sox (Sale) 15.289
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+180); Over


Game 979-980: Cleveland at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 16.167; Atlanta (Maholm) 15.030
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+100); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Washington at Atlanta

The Dream look to snap a 2-game losing streak and build on their 15-4 ATS record in their last 19 home games. Atlanta is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.441; Atlanta 117.835
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 4-0, 2.97 in his last five starts.
-- Strasburg is 1-0, 2.81 in his last four starts.
-- Morton is 2-0, 2.60 in his last four starts.
-- Hamels is 1-0, 1.89 in his last five starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts. Bailey is 3-0, 3.34 in his last five outings.
-- Chacin is 3-2, 2.29 in his last five starts.
-- Miley is 3-0, 2.36 in his last six starts.

-- Masterson is 4-2, 3.04 in his last seven starts.

-- Hernandez is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two home starts. Perez is 4-0, 3.07 in his last four outings.
-- Fister is 5-1, 2.56 in his last eight starts.
-- Lackey is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple home starts.
-- Richards is 1-1, 0.89 in his last three road starts. Archer is 1-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Cosart is 1-1, 1.80 in seven starts this season.
-- Kansas City won both Duffy starts (1-0, 1.86).

Cold pitchers
-- Jackson is 0-2, 8.18 in his last four starts.
-- Alvarez is 0-2, 5.76 in his last four starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 0-1, 12.97 in his last couple starts.
-- Matsuzaka allowed five runs in five IP in his first start for the Mets.
-- Giants lost last four Bumgarner starts (0-2, 4.50).
-- Erlin is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three starts, last of which was July 7.

-- Maholm is 0-3, 9.95 in his last four starts.

-- Kuroda is 1-3, 5.19 in his last four starts. Toronto lost last four Redmond starts (0-1, 5.89).
-- Straily is 0-4, 6.75 in his last six starts.
-- Norris has a 7.63 RA in his last three starts, but Baltimore won all five of his starts (3-0, 5.08).
-- Albers is 0-1, 7.11 in his last two starts.
-- Sale is 3-4, 4.13 in his last seven starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Jackson 9-26; Nolasco 7-26
-- Alvarez 1-9; Strasburg 6-25
-- Gorzelanny 3-9; Morton 2-13
-- Hamels 4-27 (1 of last 17); Matsuzaka 1-1
-- Bailey 3-26 (0 of last 8); Wainwright 7-27 (3 of last 7)
-- Bumgarner 3-26 (0 of last 6); Chacin 2-25 (0 of last 20)
-- Erlin 2-4; Miley 8-26 (4 of last 8)

-- Masterson 5-27; Maholm 6-21 (3 of last 5

-- Perez 6-13; Hernandez 4-27 (1 of last 14)
-- Straily 5-21; Fister 6-27 (1 of last 8)
-- Kuroda 6-26 (0 of last 9); Redmond 2-8
-- Norris 10-24 (3 of last 3); Lackey 9-23 (3 of last 6)
-- Richards 1-10; Archer 5-16 (3 of last 4)
-- Duffy 1-2; Albers 1-4
-- Cosart 2-7; Sale 8-25

Totals
-- Five of last six Washington games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Philadelphia games.
-- Last four Bailey starts went over the total.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Colorado games.
-- Four of last six San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Under is 15-5-2 in last 22 Dodger home games.

-- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.

-- Six of last seven Oakland games went over the total.
-- 12 of last 16 Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Angel games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Nine of last 12 White Sox games stayed under the total; eight of last eleven Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Seattle home games.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won six of their last seven games.
-- Brewers are 8-4 in their last twelve road games.
-- St Louis won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
-- Colorado won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Arizona won eight of its last ten home games.
-- Dodgers are 47-13 in last 60 games, 5-5 in last ten.

-- Atlanta won five of its last six home games. Indians won five of their last seven games overall.

-- Oakland won three of its last four games.
-- Angels won last four games, outscoring foes 20-7.
-- Red Sox won four of their last five games.
-- White Sox won nine of their last 11 games. Houston won three of last five.
-- Kansas City won its last three games, scoring 23 runs.
-- Texas won 21 of its last 27 games.

Cold teams
-- Marlins lost five of their last six games.
-- Pirates lost ten of their last sixteen games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
-- Giants lost six of their last nine road games.
-- San Diego lost four of its last five road games.
-- Cubs lost 16 of their last 23 games.

-- Tigers lost four of their last five home games.
-- Rays lost their last three games, allowing 20 runs.
-- Orioles lost last four road games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Blue Jays lost 12 of their last 19 games. Bronx lost three of last five.
-- Mariners lost their last five games, outscored 26-8.
-- Twins lost eight of their last eleven games.

Umpires
-- Chi-LA-- 14 of last 16 Danley games stayed under total.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Four of last five Barry games went over total.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Davis games.
-- Phil-NY-- 11 of last 15 Hernandez games went over total.
-- Cin-StL-- Underdogs are 11-8 in last 19 TWelke games; over is 3-0-1 in his last four games behind the plate.
-- SF-Col-- Seven of last eight Cooper games stayed under total.
-- SD-Az-- Three of last four Blaser games stayed under the total.

-- Cle-Atl-- Last nine Joyce games stayed under the total.

-- Tex-Sea-- 10 of last 15 Scott games stayed under the total.
-- A's-Det-- Favorites won last seven Darling games, with four of last five going over the total.
-- NY-Tor-- Five of last six Wolcott games went over the total.
-- Balt-Bos-- Six of last seven Hudson games went over the total.
-- LA-TB-- Nine of last twelve Diaz games went over the total.
-- KC-Min-- Under is 12-6 in last 18 Wendelstedt games, with underdogs winning four of his last five games behind the plate.
-- Hst-Chi-- Underdogs won five of last six Culbreth games; under is 3-1-1 in his last five games behind the plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SMASH THE BOOK

Wednesday 8/28
MLB
** 957 NY Mets OVER 7.5 -110 **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Cleveland Indians +107 over Atlanta Braves
(System Record: 71-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 71-73-2

Soccer Crusher
ASA Arapiraca + Figueirense UNDER 3 (Brazil) pending
Atletico MG + Botafogo RJ OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 446-15, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 446-384-59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1086-817 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner WED Phillies w/ Hammels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Red Sox -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Tigers(RL) -1.5(+105)
Indians +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

Free Play Wednesday Minnesota/Kansas City Under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

U.S. Open betting

Blake swinging for swan song on Day 3
By JAYPRIMETOWN

Defending US Open Champion Andy Murray takes to the court to open his title defense against French serve-and-volley specialist Michael Llodra. Three other matches that highlight Day 3 action in Flushing Meadows.

James Blake (-125) vs. Ivo Karlovic (-110): American James Blake announced prior to the US Open Tournament that he would be retiring pending his elimination from the event. Blake had one of the all-time great matches in a five-round classic with Andre Agassi in the quarterfinals of the 2005 US Open. Will Blake turn back the clock in his final tournament as a professional?

Urszula Radwankska (+150) vs. Sloane Stephen (-200): The American Sloane Stephens takes to Arthur Ashe in a feature match against Poland's Radwanska. Stephens has had a breakout year including a semifinal appearance at the Australian Open. Stephens struggled in the first round just getting by in a third-set tiebreak. I expect her to be propelled by the home crowd and win in straight sets.

Caroline Garcia (+175) vs. Laura Robson (-250): An exciting matchup between two teenagers. Robson is Great Britain's female hope, while Garcia is a rising star in France. This is an exciting matchup that takes place in Round 2 this year, but could be a quarterfinal type matchup in a couple years. Robson is the more polished player at this point in time, but Garcia may have the higher ceiling.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB HOUSTON at CHI WHITE SOX

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
142-51 since 1997. ( 73.6% 56.7 units )
13-7 this year. ( 65.0% 0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHICAGO CUBS at LA DODGERS

LA DODGERS are 25-8 (+15.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season this season.

The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.5) , OPPONENT (2.4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA WASHINGTON at ATLANTA

Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) terrible 3 point shooting team - making <=27% of their attempts
35-12 since 1997. ( 74.5% 21.8 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

WNBA WASHINGTON at ATLANTA

Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) off a loss against a division rival, in August or September games
155-42 since 1997. ( 78.7% 0.0 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% 0.0 units )

WNBA WASHINGTON at ATLANTA

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game)
402-258 since 1997. ( 60.9% 118.2 units )
19-13 this year. ( 59.4% 4.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters
139-87 run

15-4-1 run last 20 plays

pod LA ANGELS game under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB DIAMOND DOMINATOR

Money Line: Seattle Mariners -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 8.5 - Padres/D'Backs

50* Mariners -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Umpire Under Streakers

ATL / CLE U7.5 @ -123 (Joyce 7-0-1 L8)
COL / SF U9 @ +105 (Cooper 13-3 L16)
LAD / CHC U7.5 @ +105 (Danley 13-2-1 L16)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo playing favorites

Hondo, who had a victory in hand with the Royals, became the toast of the West Coast last night when the Cubs shocked Kershaw & Co. to lower the deficit to 1,335 bauers.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is trying for a three-fave night with the Yankees, Cardinals and Pirates — 20 units apiece on Kuroda, Wainwright and Morton, that old salt.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll Sports

2* Padres/Diamondbacks - Under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES

Soccer Champions League

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Pacos de Ferreira

Odds: Zenit -265, Paços de Ferreira +845, Draw +430, Over 2.75 -114

In my opinion this is a perfect example of a market overreaction after just one game, I remember that in the first leg of this series, the totals line market was heavily favoring the Under as Pinnacle Sports closed the totals line w/ Under 2.5 Goals @ -142 / 1.70 odds.

Eventually the game ended with Zenit winning 4-1 and because of that the oddsmakers were forced to put today’s total line is overvalued as we can get a 3-goals line at decent odds. I watched the first leg and I can say that the final score was a bit unfair for the Portuguese team because they didn’t play as bad as the final outcome would dictate. What happened was an inexperienced team trying to be pro-active on offense, pressuring high on the pitch but by doing that they were exposed on the back and because their individual talent isn’t good enough for this level of completion, Zenit just took advantage of such holes and scored 4 goals.

The Portuguese team as a new coach for this season (that was a “weird” choice given his inexperience) and things could not went worse in the domestic league with 2 losses in 2 games and no goals scored. They know that their chances to qualify dropped from slim to almost none (and I’m being optimistic in here) so their mindset for today’s game is quite simple to predict in my opinion: “just not be embarrassed”! In this scenario I’m not expecting them to go all out searching for a goal, instead they will be more prudent and cautious or else they will be humiliated.

On the other side, the Russian team will control the tempo of the game, the qualification is almost done so there is no need to rush things. They have a big domestic league game in this weekend against Lokomotiv Moscow so we can expect them to play slow and manage their effort. They won’t have the same scoring chances than they had in the first leg because Paços de Ferreira won’t be positioned that high in the pitch today.

This whole scenario makes the Under 3 Goals a valuable bet for today and I’m just taking advantage of a market overreaction.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 3 Goals @ -132

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The Factsman

Wednesday Video Pick

OVER 9.5 - Baltimore vs Boston
(B. Norris -R - J. Lackey -R)

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TMC Sports Advisors

EARLY BETS

Dodgers de los Angeles -220

Mon.4-1
Tue. 3-1

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bankroll full card

10* balt +1.5 -140
5* atlanta -115
4* Laa +16-
3* yanks/tor un 8.5
2* sd/ari un 8.5

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Tuesday with the Mets -$140/Fightin Phillies.

For Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes two the 2nd "Chalkest" game on the board the Dodgers -$230/Cubs and for $50 the Pirates -$160/Brewers.

"Mr Chalk" is 3-1 +$260 for the week 86-49 +$1085 for the 2013 MLB season.

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Jimmy Boyd

5* (MLB) Colorado Rockies ML -104

4* (MLB) St Louis Cardinals ML -153

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Power Play Wins

Today's Play Of The Day:

New York Yankees

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Kelso 15 Indians

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Teddy Covers

10* Royals

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moneymakers
under cards

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BookBreakers

3:10PM Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers
OVER 7.5 -120

7:05PM Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 +135

8:10PM Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros +200

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JR STEVENS/Smooth44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

MLB
(951) CHI-CUBS +210/RRL -1.5 +320
(966) SEATTLE -130/RL -1.5 +165

*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

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Denver Money

Free Play

1* Seattle Mariners -125

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Gill Alexander

3* LA Angels

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: New York Yankees at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +131 (moneyline) at Sportsbook.com

The New York Yankees have split a pair of games in Toronto, and the rubber game will take place tonight. The Yankees took yet another blow yesterday when their best player Robinson Cano was hit on the hand with a pitch, and will likely be missing from the lineup tonight. Hiroki Kuroda has had a big year for New York, but is off his worst start of the season his last time out. Todd Redmond has been very strong at home where he has worked 25 innings, recording 27 strikeouts, and posting a stellar 2.16 ERA. The Yankees stand at just 3-8 in Kuroda's last 11 road starts, and an overall 1-6 mark in his last seven within the division. The Yanks are just 1-7 in their last eight on the road to a total of 7 to 8.5, while Toronto is 7-2 in that same total range in their last nine. Take Toronto.

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Danny B

Dodgers OVER 7.5

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John Ryan

25* Cleveland

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CHRIS JORDAN

100 Dodgers run line

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Profitbets

UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE:
ZENIT -1.5 (*3)
AC MILAN OV 2.5 (*5)

ENGLAND CAPITAL ONE CUP:
CARDIFF Ov 2.5 (*10)
NEWCASTLE -1 (*5)
MILLWALL OV 2.5 (*5)
STOKE OV 2.5 (*4)

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Mitch Wilson

Dog of the day: Reds

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Youngstown Connection

Date: Wednesday August 28, 2013

MLB Play #1
#952 LAD -1.5 +105 310PM Eastern

Line from 5 Dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229)
Line as of 1155AM Eastern 8/28/13

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Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 28, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngL.A. Angels @ TAMPA BAY
L.A. Angels +156 over TAMPA BAY

We’ve said it over and over again in every sport that these “spoilers” are extremely dangerous. These teams that are playing out the string have nothing to lose. Wins and losses to these spoilers mean nothing, which allows them to play aggressively, not worry about mistakes and just go out there and try and make life miserable for the contenders. Every professional athlete will agree that the next best thing to being in contention is to defeat teams fighting for a playoff spot down the stretch. The Angels came in here last night and took the opener 6-5 and they have a much more favorable pitching matchup here. Chris Archer comes in with a 7-5 record and a nifty 2.93 after 16 starts. He’s also coming off a seven inning, four-hit gem against the Yankees, which has increased his stock even more. Archer flashed the second-highest average fastball velocity (94.9 mph) in July of any AL SP with at least 20 IP that month. With his top prospect upside and 0.73 ERA, 0.65 WHIP line in July, a lot of folks are going to feel comfortable backing him but we say otherwise. Keep in mind that Archer has been the beneficiary of this trifecta help in July and his last two August starts; 16% hit rate, 91% strand rate%, 2% hr/f. His base skills are league average with 32 walks and 66 K’s in 95 innings, a 45% groundball rate and just nine quality starts in 16 attempts. Archer is serviceable, no doubt but we can bank on inconsistency down the stretch and this is the perfect spot for that to occur.
Garrett Richards is back in the Angels' rotation after a four-month hiatus and has posted a 2.55 ERA in five starts since being re-inserted. He's flamed out as a starter twice in the past already so it’s hard to put much faith in such a small sample size but his skills tell us to keep riding him. Richards has made some key improvements this season. He struggled with control in 2012, which led to some disastrous starts (22%/22% quality start/disaster start). In eight total starts this year, with improved command: 90% quality start/10% disaster start. A groundball pitcher throughout his minor league career, Richards' groundball rate has spiked to extreme levels this season (65%), a sign that he's doing nice a job at keeping his heater down. Richards’ fastball has been consistently in the 95-96 MPH range. Garrett Richards is a pitcher that has paid his dues. He has some promising seeds and according to xERA, some nice room for growth. This combination of the Angels and Richards is very undervalued and absolutely worth a bet.


Our Pick
L.A. Angels +156 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.12)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngOakland @ DETROIT
DETROIT -1½ +121 over Oakland

Oakland belted out 14 runs over the past two days at this park and most of the damage was done against Justin Verlander and Anibal Sanchez. The A’s continue to defy logic with an average pitching staff and a below average offense, yet they continue to win games at the same rate as some of the best teams in baseball. You may have also noticed that we didn’t spot the 1½-runs the past two days with the Tigers because both Verlander and Sanchez have not been in great form. Enter Doug Fister. Pitching in the shadows of the aforementioned duo and Max Scherzer, this steady right-hander gathers wins, not headlines. While he’s not contending for a Cy Young award like Scherzer, Fister has done yeoman’s work, contributing an 11-6 record and 3.54 ERA. It’s not hard to see why Fister is thriving either. He has great control, as usual. While he doesn’t strike out a ton of batters, his command is basically unchanged the past three years. Fister’s groundball % has steadily increased over the past four years and it’s now at an elite 57% this season. While his fastball (average 88.5 mph) is nothing special, it works for him—he’s been at this level for years. A 69/15% dominant start/disaster start split is another measure of his success this year. Detroit has won seven of Fister’s last eight starts. In four of those eight games, Fister has allowed one earned run or fewer and has a great chance to do something similar here.
Dan Straily was rocked in his last start (3.1 IP, 6 ER) in Baltimore on August 23 and he faces a tougher test here against a Tigers squad in a foul mood. Straily now barely made it to the fifth inning in five of his past six outings and overall, the A’s have dropped six of his past seven starts. Over that seven game span, Straily posted a 5.04 ERA and 5.30 xERA and there are more disasters forthcoming. Straily’s control is eroding. He’s walked 14 batters over his past 25 innings and he also has a fly-ball bias profile of 36%/47% groundball/fly-ball. Straily’s WHIP over his past five starts is at 1.68. Let us also remind you that Straily made the jump last year as a rookie from Double-AA to the big leagues in August. After surviving his fly-ball profile in the minors, Straily’s first seven MLB starts had its ups and downs with two disasters. The league knew little about him then but they have caught up to him now and he’s a pitcher in trouble. Straily’s confidence is shot and these Tigers know a little about going in for the kill on a wounded prey.

Our Pick
DETROIT -1½ +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngKansas City @ MINNESOTA
Kansas City -114 over MINNESOTA

The Royals came in here last night and took the opener 6-1. K.C. has now won six of the past seven meetings against the Twins while outscoring Minnesota 52-25 over that span. The Royals are on a current 5-0 run in Minnesota this season while outscoring the Twinkies 33-16 over that span. Expect more of the same here. Southpaw Andrew Albers may be up for the rest of the season because Minnesota is running out of valid options on the farm. Albers has made four starts since being called up August 6 and comes into this one with a shiny ERA of 3.00. We’re not buying in because Albers has been aided greatly by a low hit rate and high strand rate. Fatigue might become an issue down over the last month, as Albers averaged just under 100 IP the previous 2 seasons and is already up to 162 innings this season split between the minors and majors. He’s also been whacked in back-to-back starts against the Tigers and White Sox and will face a Royals team that is fifth in the majors against lefties with a team batting average of .264. Albers’ 11 K’s in 30 innings at this level suggest that further correction in his 3.00 ERA is coming.
Put Danny Duffy high on your radar and expect to reap the rewards this season and into next. Duffy's 4.14 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in the minors this year is partly a result of being hit hard in six of his first seven outings coming off Tommy John surgery in June 2012. Duffy started the Triple-A phase of his return with 11 BB in 15.1 IP but he's improved greatly with 12 BB in his last 38 IP. Duffy then proceeded to strike out 19 batters over his final two minor league starts. In his first start this season after one relief appearance, all Duffy did was throw a six-inning, one-hitter against the Tigers. In 9.2 innings, he’s struck out 10 batters. In May of last year, we reported that Duffy’s average fastball was at a sizzling 95 MPH with movement. 14 months removed from TJS and feeling better than ever, Danny Duffy’s ceiling has reached new heights. This kid can pitch and against current Minnesota hitter’s he’s allowed just five hits in 24 AB (.208) and that was with a bad elbow. K.C. owns this team and we don’t see anything changing here.

Our Pick
Kansas City -114 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 1.75)

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Scott Spreitzer's MLB WEDNESDAY NIGHT WIPEOUT!

Detroit Tigers

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Cleveland Insider

MLB early
2* Rangers/Mariners under 7 (-110) 220/200

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LT Lock (This is Lance Taylor of Birmingham Radio Fame. Nothing to do with LT Profits)

Today's Play: Atlanta Braves +100

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 8/28
New York Yankees -139 over the Toronto Blue Jays

(System Record: 127-5, Won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 127-115

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BeatYourBookie
Daily MLB Baseball Plays for Wednesday

10* Play Tampa Bay -160 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB TOP PLAY)
7:00 PM EST
Los Angeles is 19-28 when playing in the 2nd half of the season
Los Angeles is 45-56 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs


10* Play Arizona -160 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)
9:40 PM EST
San Diego is 59-109 when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175
San Diego is 23-40 in road games this season

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Bob Balfe

NEW YORK YANKEES -145
(Huroda/Redman)

I can't say I love this line, but the Yankees are the better team in this spot tonight. We missed them the other night and of course they come back strong the next. I will take my chances with them at this mid-high price. They need to win these games if they are going to have any shot at the postseason. Take New York

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GoodFella

Wednesday Night MLB Team Total

DETROIT TIGERS OVER 4.5 RUNS (-125 @BOL)
A very nice weather pattern tonight in Detroit (sticky humid, baseball carries best in these conditions in the midwest) and the wind is blowing out to RCF 10 mph. No rain tonight in the forecast and Comerica Park will simply "play live" again tonight. Straily been beat up of late, and the Tigers love them some RH pitching, too. Short and sweet and to the point, and I really like this one to cash in for us, here.

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Winsportsnow

Wednesday Inner Circle
Under 8.5 - Bluejays
Phillies-150
Under 7.5 - Indians

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SB Professor MLB Late Picks

966. Seattle Mariners -116
962. Colorado Rockies - 106
976. Minnesota Twins +107
980. Atlanta Braves 100

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BookiesHunter

56-29 run

2* Cerrone (UFC)

1* Angels
1* Royals
1* Under 2.5 Kampmann/Condit (UFC)

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Arthur Ralph's Super Pk Tigers w/ Fister, Blue Ribbon Pirates w/ morton

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tom freese

bost

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TMC Sports Advisors

Rockies -110

Yankees -140

Tigers -1.5 +120

Pirates -150


Free Play

Washington -1.5 -110

Mon. 4-1
Tue. 3-1

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
1* Pirates ML (-158) 158/100
1* Brewers/Pirates over 7.5 (-120) 120/100
1* Rays ML (-174) 174/100
1* Angels/Rays over 7.5 (-120) 120/100
1* Twins +1.5 (-160) 160/100
1* Royals/Twins under 8.5 (-120) 120/100
1* Reds +1.5 (-170) 170/100
1* Reds/Cardinals under 7.5 (-120) 120/100

WNBA
4.5* Washington/Atlanta over 150 (-110) 495/450

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Seabass Report for Wednesday:
50 Yankees
50 San Francisco
100 OVER Mets

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Larry ness

10* Rockies
8* Pitt
8* Detroit
8* Tampa bay

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Jeff Benton Wednesday's Action

75 Dime winner going out for this Wednesday evenwng is the visiteing Cincinnati Reds with Bailey and the host St. Louis Cardinals with Wainwright to stay Under the posted total. At 9:00 am eastern time when I release this selestion, the total for this contest is 7 1/2o, -115 in Vegas and offshore. Both listed pitchers must start, or there is no action on this release.

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Sports Unlimited

cleveland

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Profitbets

YANKEES F5 ML (*5)
YANKEES ML (*10)


INDIANS ML (*4)

NATIONALS F5 -1.5 (*3)

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Michael Tang (Totalsforyou)

1* New York Yankees vs Toronto Bluejays (4:07pm PST)
Pick: New York Yankees ML @-150

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Tampa Bay Rays-167

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Strike Point Sports

Game of Year 7 units New York Yankees Money Line.

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Vegas Runner

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 27
Heavy TRUE Steam on:
J HEAD
H HIOKI
B TAVARES
R WHITTAKER
DOS ANJOS

Wiseguys/Betting Syndicates are Getting Down.

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JR STEVENS/Smooth 44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

NOTE: MIAMI ML IS MY PLAY OF THE DAY
MLB

(953) MIAMI +220/RRL -1.5 +365
(959) CINCINNATI +130/RRL -1.5 +205
(961) SAN FRANCISCO -105/RL -1.5 +160
(970) TORONTO +130/RRL -1.5 +245
(976) MINNESOTA +105/RRL -1.5 +21
(977) HOUSTON +220/RRL -1.5 +345
(980) ATLANTA +100/RRL -1.5 +205

*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

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Matt Fargo 10* Ultimate Underdog

Atlanta Braves