8-30-13

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NCAA Football Game Picks



FRIDAY, AUGUST 30
Time Posted: 2:00 p.m. EST (8/23)


Game 149-150: Western Michigan at Michigan State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 77.866; Michigan State 97.121
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 19 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 27 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+27 1/2); Over


Game 151-152: Florida Atlantic at Miami (FL) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 64.085; Miami (FL) 99.430
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 35 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 32 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-32 1/2); Under


Game 153-154: Texas Tech at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 90.967; SMU 81.675
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 9 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 5 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-5 1/2); Under





OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Time Posted: 5:00 p.m. EST (8/26)


Game 319-320: Samford at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 60.429; Georgia State 55.451
Dunkel Line: Samford by 5
Vegas Line: Samford by 7
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+7)


Game 321-322: Morgan State at Army (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 37.295; Army 66.675
Dunkel Line: Army by 29 1/2
Vegas Line: Army by 32
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (+32)


Game 323-324: Southern at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern 40.702; Houston 84.138
Dunkel Line: Houston by 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 40
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-40)


Game 325-326: North Dakota State at Kansas State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 90.697; Kansas State 107.482
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 17
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-14)


Game 327-328: Northern Arizona at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 65.394; Arizona 93.741
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 28 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 35
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+35)

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Today's CFL Picks

Hamilton at BC

The Lions look to bounce back from their 39-38 loss to Montreal last week and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU defeat. BC is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: BC (-6). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 30
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (8/27)


Game 231-232: Hamilton at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 106.659; BC 118.827
Dunkel Line: BC by 12; 58
Vegas Line: BC by 6; 53
Dunkel Pick: BC (-6); Over

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NCAAF

Week 1

Friday's games
Michigan State won its last four games (3-1 vs spread) with Western Michigan, with three of four wins by 24+ points; last meeting was in 2010. Spartans were 0-6 as home favorites LY, are 20-30-1 in that role over last decade- they do have senior QB (13 starts) and four starters back on OL. Broncos are 8-13-1 as road dogs since ’08, 9-13-1 out of conference since ’07; they lost four starters on OL and have senior QB who has only eight career starts.

This will be Florida Atlantic’s Super Bowl, getting to play Miami week before ‘canes play Florida; teams haven’t met. Owls were 8-2 as dogs LY, after being 13-28-2 as road dogs from ’05-’11. Its certainly a road game but not a road trip for FAU, which has a new QB and three new starters on OL. Miami has senior QB (17 starts) and all five starters back on OL, so they’re looking for big things this year. ‘canes 5-5 as home favorites under Golden, 20-34 if you go back to ’03- they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 non-league games.

Texas Tech won last seven games with SMU, with six wins by 14+ points, but teams haven’t met since ’07; first game as Tech coach for former NFL QB Kingsbury, whose Red Raiders are 11-3-1 as road favorites since ’07, 8-4 out of conference since ’10. Mustangs have senior (25 starts) QB but three new starters on OL; they’ve covered six of last seven tries as home dog, with home side covering 12 times in last 16 games where SMU was an underdog. SMU is 11-8 in last 19 non-league games. Tech has new coach, new QB, three new starters on OL; road opener has to be at least a little dicey.

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RAS

Virginia +3
S Mississippi -7
New Mexico -3

Marshall/Miami Ohio Under 69
Washington St/ Auburn Over 60
Northwestern/Cal Over 57.5
Texas St/S Mississippi Under 56.5
UL Lafayette/Arkansas Under 59
Idaho/North Texas Over 56

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BookiesHunter

55-27 run

1* Texas Tech -4.5

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CKO

FLORIDA-ATLANTIC (+32) at Miami-Florida

”Huge” game for the Owls in their first meeting with the Hurricanes; Miami’s“huge” game is next week vs. the Gators.

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The Gold Sheet

*MICHIGAN ST. 34 - Western Michigan 17
*MIAMI-FLORIDA 39
SMU 35 - Texas Tech 34

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Power Sweep

2* Florida Atlantic (+) over MIAMI, FL
First meeting between these two schools whose campuses are only 47 miles apart. Miami is 24-3 SU/12-6-1 ATS in home openers while FAU is 3-6 ATS in road openers. The Canes were 5-1 ATS at home LY and have 18 ret st’rs and much better depth. FAU is in the 2nd year under Pelini and has 15 ret st’rs. They were 6-1 ATS as an AD LY including covers against #7 Georgia and #1 Alabama as a large dog. Miami does have a huge game on deck vs Florida and don’t draw very well at home in non-marquee matchups. This is UM’s best team in recent memory, however they have not been this large of a favorite over a FBS schl s/’07. Expect FAU to play w/a chip on their shoulders as many of their players were passed over by the bigger Fla schls while UM will be caught looking ahead to next week.

FORECAST: Florida Atlantic (+) MIAMI, FL by 21

2* SMU over Texas Tech -

SMU has dropped 14 straight in this series (6-8 ATS). This is the 6th time TT has been their ssn opener in the L11Y. In the last mtg (‘10) SMU trailed 34-14 then cut it to 8 (-13’) getting to the 50 on their final drive. TT has won their last 3 road openers by 43 ppg while SMU has won their L/5 home openers (2-3 ATS). Both tms have FCS teams on deck and TT returns 13 st’rs while SMU has just 11. Both teams run pass happy offenses and TT has a new HC Kingsbury who is the school’s #2 career pass leader. SMU is 6-1 ATS as a HD the L/4 yrs incl 3 outright upsets and we’ll call for them to get another here.

FORECAST: SMU by 1

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Power Plays

2★ WESTERN MICHIGAN 12 (+) MICHIGAN ST 32

4★ FLORIDA ATLANTIC 15 (+) MIAMI, FL 44

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Winning Points

SMU * over Texas Tech by 9
(Friday)
The Tommy Tuberville era at Texas Tech ended with a whimper. The Red Raiders
finished his tenure on an 0-5 ATS skid. (Tuberville left before the bowl game, a
narrow victory over Minnesota.) Enter 34-year old Kliff Kingsbury whose first
order of business was finding a replacement for Seth Doege, a multi-year starter
who completed 69 percent of his throws. The search was complicated when heir-
apparent Michael Brewer was shelved with a back ailment. At last glance, both of
Brewer’s back-ups were true freshmen. SMU QB Garrett Gilbert struggled to
assimilate June Jones’ offense after transferring in from Texas, but he settled down
as the season wore on. Gilbert was intercepted only twice in his last six starts as the
Mustangs advanced to 6-6 with an upset of Tulsa and then secured a winning sea-
son with a smashing upset of Fresno State. This will be Gilbert’s 28th career start
and he looks poised for a strong season. The Mustangs aren’t likely to be as oppor-
tunistic as last year when they had 37 takeaways, but enter the season on more sta-
ble footing than the club from Lubbock. SMU 33-24

Michigan State* over Western Michigan by 31
(Friday)
Michigan State has to replace Le’Veon Bell (his 382 carries led the nation) and the
QB picture is murky. However, the Broncos are a team in transition and C.J. Fleck
– the youngest head coach in D-1 – is as big a question mark as his unseasoned
offensive line. MICHIGAN STATE 41-10.



Miami Florida* over Florida Atlantic by 29
(Friday)

Whoever starts at QB for FAU – the position was wide-open heading into the final
week of practice – will be taking his first snap in a D-1 game. That’s a red flag, but
this isn’t the best spot for Miami which renews acquaintances with Florida next
week. MIAMI 42-13

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Playbook

SMU over Texas Tech by 6

After coaching Heisman winner Johnny Manziel last year, Kliff
Kingsbury returns to his alma mater and makes his head coaching
debut with the Red Raiders, taking on the fi rst of nine bowl squads
this season, when his troops tackle SMU. But it’s a rather ominous
place to start considering the Raiders are a dismal 2-15 SU and 5-12
ATS in road openers when facing a foe that won 7 or more games
the previous season. In addition, they fi nished 2012 by going 0-6 ATS
the fi nal six games of the campaign, emptying enough wallets to send
Tommy Tuberville skeedaddling to Cincinnati. Meanwhile in Dallas,
a 4-2 turnaround down the stretch of the regular season followed a
lethargic 2-4 start and saved the season for June Jones, landing the
Mustangs in a bowl for the fourth straight year (they crushed Fresno
State 43-10 in the Hawaii Bowl, familiar surroundings for the former
Rainbow Warriors coach). Jones has been a reliable underdog at home
in his college head coaching career, going 22-11 ATS, and his Ponies
are 4-0 ATS in regular season weekday games. We also see the Red
Raiders stumbling out of the gate, thanks to this revealing stat from
our powerful PLAYBOOK database: 1st-year head coaches are just 53-
71-6 ATS away in their opening games since 1990 (FYI: 20 of them were
favored and only 6 managed to bring home the bacon). No Johnny
Football sightings – or autograph signings – here! The Clincher: Jones
is 14-2 ATS as a home underdog when getting a TD or less

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Deutsche Bank Championship Golf Betting Preview & Picks
by Matt Fargo

The Deutsche Bank Championship takes center stage from TPC Boston in Norton, Massachusetts on this holiday weekend event that runs from Friday to Monday.

TPC Boston has been one of the easier stops in recent years and it won’t be any different this week. The 7,216-yard, Par-71 layout is fairly wide open but it’s the large greens that contribute to the low scores. Ideal weather conditions will only help. TPC Boston ranked 31st in difficulty with a scoring average of 70.647 last year and it was the fourth-easiest Par 71 on tour. Rory McIlroy, the 2012 winner, finished at 20-under and 50 of the 78 players making the cut were able to break par over the four days.

Since its inception in 2003, every winner here has carded a 14-under or lower with four of those resulting in 20-under or lower. Basically, this is a birdie paradise so it comes down to the best ball strikers and what putters are hot.

Round 1 of the FedEx Cup Playoffs is history as Adam Scott carded a final-round 66 to win by one shot over Tiger Woods, Graham DeLaet, Justin Rose and Gary Woodland to take the Barclays.

Scott moved to second in the FedEx Cup standings, trailing Tiger Woods by just 162 points. It was Scott's second win of the season and his third Top 5 in his last four starts. The field has been cut to the Top 100 for the second leg of the playoffs taking place this week.

The top 70 will advance to the third round of the playoffs which take place at the BMW Championship in two weeks. Current strong form is typically a big factor when looking for a winner, although past course success and good iron play also needs to be factored in. There are no tricks here, just a course ripe for the taking.

Tiger Woods (+650) is the favorite but his back has to be a concern. It was just a spasm that affected him last Sunday but it forced him to withdraw from the Notah Begay charity event Wednesday. While the Friday start will certainly help, there’s too much concern and not enough value to consider him this week.

Jason Day (+1,800) opened with a Thursday 66 at the Barclays but played the rest of the tournament at 3-over to never make a move. Still, it was his ninth Top 25 of the season and he has yet to miss a cut in 17 medal-play events, so he won't be leaving come Sunday. He seems to be in contention in the big events and that has been the case here with a T3 in 2011 and a T2 in 2010.

Webb Simpson (+2,500) made an early tournament run for us last week but a Saturday 74 took him out of contention and he had to settle for a T15. He’s been on a solid streak though, posting four straight Top 25s and he’s tied for 20th on tour in birdies made. He won this event in 2011 in a playoff over Chez Reavie and followed it up with a T18 last year.

Keegan Bradley (+3,000) will round out the three players on this week's card that we also took last week. A Friday 63 put him right in the mix at the Barclays but a 4-over weekend left him with a T33 finish. Now, he heads back home to New England where he will be a crowd favorite. He has not missed a cut in six straight stops with four resulting in Top 20s, including a T2. He finished T13 here last year.

Brandt Snedeker (+3,000) has fallen off the radar with two straight missed cuts following a T66 at the PGA Championship. This goes against the strong current form theory. However, if there’s a place where he can break his slump, TPC Boston is it. Last year, he finished solo sixth, 2011 finished T3 and 2010 finished T5. He’s considered one of the best putters on tour and if he gets hot, he will be right there.

With many big names playing, bettors get a ton of value with the other guys including Graeme DeLaet (+6,000). He’s coming off a T2 at the Barclays which came after two missed cuts, so he could be getting hot at the right time. That was his sixth Top 10 of the season and, while he missed the cut here last year, he’s a much better player this year. His rankings of first in total driving and first in ball striking proves that.

Recommended tournament win five pack at the Deutsche Bank Championship
(All for one unit)

Jason Day (+1,800)

Webb Simpson (+2,500)

Keegan Bradley (+3,000)

Brandt Snedeker (+3,000)

Graeme DeLaet (+6,000)

2012 Record to date after 36 events: +51.6 Units
2013 Record to date after 32 events: -45.4 Units

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Steve Golf Picks

Deutsche Bank Championship

Luke Donald
Charley Hoffman
Jason Day
Jordan Speith
Brandt Snedker
Jim Furyk

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Friday's NCAAF action: What bettors need to know

Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan State Spartans (-28, 44.5)

Michigan State’s offensive identity remains a mystery heading into its season opener on Friday against visiting Western Michigan, which was picked to finish fifth in the MAC’s West Division. Fortunately for the Spartans, their vaunted defense again should rank among the nation’s best this season. Even with an offense that’s a work in progress, Michigan State figures to be a difficult matchup for the Broncos and 32-year-old first-year head coach P.J. Fleck.

Spartans head coach Mark Dantonio held an open competition at quarterback before finally naming senior Andrew Maxwell as his starter on Tuesday, but sophomore Connor Cook also is expected to play in the season opener. Thanks to a forgiving early-season schedule, Michigan State has some time to figure out its offense before visiting Notre Dame on Sept. 21. The Spartans should be able to rely on their defense to get past Western Michigan, which faces three Big Ten teams in the first four weeks.

Key betting stat: Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last nine vs. Big Ten.

Florida Atlantic Owls at Miami Hurricanes (-31.5, 53.5)

With expectations on the rise, Miami looks to begin its season in impressive fashion when Florida Atlantic visits on Friday night. Al Golden, starting his third season as the Hurricanes’ coach, admitted this week that he has “a lot of concerns” about his team, even though Miami is the preseason favorite to win the ACC Coastal Division. Those concerns do not include senior quarterback Stephen Morris, who is coming off a terrific 2012 season.

Morris passed for 3,345 yards last year – the fifth-highest single-season total in Hurricanes history. In his final four games, Morris completed 60 percent of his passes for 1,131 yards with 11 touchdowns and no interceptions. In addition to Morris, Florida Atlantic will have its hands full with Duke Johnson, Miami’s electrifying running back who racked up 2,060 all-purpose yards as a freshman last season.

Key betting stat: Under is 42-19-1 in Hurricanes' last 62 home games.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at SMU Mustangs (+4, 59.5)

Texas Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury won’t be alone in making his debut in a high-profile role Friday at SMU. The Red Raiders are expected to rotate freshmen quarterbacks Davis Webb and Baker Mayfield as projected starter Michael Brewer is battling a back injury. Kingsbury, who guided Johnny Manziel to the Heisman Trophy as the offensive coordinator at Texas A&M last season, turned 34 earlier this month but remains the second-youngest active head coach in college football.

SMU will have an experienced quarterback operating its pass-heavy offense. Garrett Gilbert spent parts of three seasons at Texas - starting every game in 2010 - and is pegged to lead the Mustangs for a second straight year. Cutting down on turnovers will be key as Gilbert helps transition SMU into the newly formed American Athletic Conference. He committed five turnovers after taking over for injured starter Colt McCoy in the loss to Alabama in the 2010 BCS title game, was intercepted 17 times as the starter the following year and picked off 15 times last season.

Key betting stat: Mustangs are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Big 12.

North Dakota State Bison at Kansas State Wildcats (-13)

Kansas State briefly flirted with an undefeated season and a spot in the BCS Championship Game last season behind quarterback and Heisman Trophy finalist Collin Klein before settling for the Big 12 title. Klein is gone, along with most of the defensive front seven, giving the Wildcats a new look when they begin the 2013 campaign by hosting North Dakota State on Friday. The Football Championship Series power is trying to knock off an FBS school for the fourth straight season.

The Bison have claimed back-to-back FCS Championships and won at Kansas in 2010, versus Minnesota in 2011 and at Colorado State in 2012. The experienced squad takes on a Kansas State team that is going into the season unranked despite a BCS Bowl appearance in January. The Wildcats still are trying to settle on a starting quarterback as Jake Waters and Daniel Sams battle for the position.

Key betting stat: Over is 9-1 in Wildcats' last 10 home games.

Southern Jaguars at Houston Cougars (-40)

The Houston Cougars begin what they hope will be a bounceback season in the new American Athletic Conference when they host Southern University in the opener for both teams Friday at Reliant Stadium. After a 13-1 record and a TicketCity Bowl win in 2011, Houston stumbled to a 5-7 mark last year in head coach Tony Levine's first full season. However, the Cougars return 10 starters from an offense that averaged 32.4 points.

Junior quarterback David Piland is back for a third year under center after producing 2,929 passing yards and 16 touchdowns last season, the program's last in Robertson Stadium. He will lead a squad that will play its home games at three different locations before moving into a new stadium in 2014. Southern, which has not had a winning campaign since 2009, is entering its first full season under head coach Dawson Odums, who served on an interim basis for the final nine games in 2012.

Key betting stat: Over is 6-2 in Cougars' last eight Friday games.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona Wildcats (-34.5)

A pair of running backs will be in the spotlight when Arizona hosts Northern Arizona on Friday. Arizona junior Ka'Deem Carey led the nation in rushing yards (1,929) in 2012 and Northern Arizona senior Zach Bauman, a 2013 nominee on the Walter Payton Award watch list, is coming off his third consecutive 1,000-yard season. The Wildcats and Lumberjacks last met in 2011, with the Wildcats scoring an easy 41-10 victory in coach Rich Rodriguez's Arizona debut.

Both teams are replacing their starting quarterbacks. Cary Grossart, a two-year starter for Northern Arizona, leaves as the school's all-time leader in completion percentage (66.3). Arizona is in the process of finding a successor to Matt Scott, who ranked second in the Pac-12 in completions (301) and passing yards (3,620) last season.

Key betting stat: Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six Friday games.

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Friday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's American League games:

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees (-130, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Yanks starter CC Sabathia is 2-2 in five August starts and brings a 5.58 ERA in the month to the mound Friday.

Hot batting stat: Orioles OF Adam Jones is 15-for-50 (.300) with three homers and 11 RBIs in his career versus Sabathia.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with mostly clear skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-0 in Miguel Gonzalez's last six starts versus the Yankees.


Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays (-105, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Jays starter Mark Buehrle continues to pitch effectively for the club and is 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA in five August starts.

Hot batting stat: Royals DH Billy Butler has hit well against Buerhle throughout his career. Butler is 30-for-57 with three homers and 15 RBIs versus the Jays starter.

Weather: Due to a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in Toronto, the roof could be closed at Rogers Centre.

Key betting note: The Royals are 9-22 in the last 31 meetings in Toronto.


Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (-148, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers starter Rick Porcello is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in three starts versus the Tribe this season.

Hot betting stat: Tigers 1B Prince Fielder is 4-for-10 with a pair of doubles and four RBIs in his career versus Cleveland starter Zach McAllister.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of rain in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with wind blowing in from right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-0 in Tigers last nine Friday games.


Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox (-180, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: White Sox starter Hector Santiago is just 1-1 in August, but has a solid 3.00 ERA in five August starts. The Pale Hose are 4-1 in his starts.

Cold batting stat: The Red Sox roster owns a collective batting average of .120 in 25 at-bats versus Santiago.

Weather: Skies will be sunny and temperatures will be in the low-70s. Wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Boston.


Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers (-300, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers ace Yu Darvish is 3-0 with a 2.23 ERA in five August starts. The righty has 53 strikeouts in 36 1/3 innings pitched this month.

Hot batting stat: Rangers OF Alex Rios is 3-for-6 with two homers in his career versus Twins starter Liam Hendriks.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1-1 in Darvish's last nine home starts.


Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros (+100, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners prospect Taijuan Walker will be making his major league debut in Friday's start.

Hot batting stat: Mariners 3B Kyle Seager is 2-for-5 with a home run and two RBIs in his career versus Astros starter Brad Peacock.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-0 in Peacock's last four home starts.


Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland A's (+110, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays ace David Price is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in five August starts.

Hot batting stat: A's 2B Alberto Callaspo is 6-for-15 (.400) with one double in his career versus Price.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with clear skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-0 in Price's last five starts versus the Athletics.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 8:16 p.m. ET Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's National League games:

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (-115, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Roy Halladay gets the start for the Phils Friday. Doc had a decent outing on August 25 versus the Diamondbacks in his first start since May 5. He lasted six innings, allowing four hits and two runs in a 9-5 Phillies' victory.

Cold batting stat: Phillies SS Jimmy Rollins is 1-for-7 lifetime versus Cubbies starter Jeff Samardzija.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-2 in Samardzija's last 12 home starts.


New York Mets at Washington Nationals (-177, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Mets starter Dillon Gee is 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA in four starts versus the Nationals this season.

Cold batting stat: Nats 1B Adam LaRoche has struggled versus Gee. LaRoche has just three hits in 17 career at-bats versus the Mets righty.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with mostly clear skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The Nationals are 9-2 in Jordan Zimmermann's last 11 Friday starts.


St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-120, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Pirates' southpaw Francisco Liriano is coming off a rough start in San Francisco on August 24. Liriano lasted four innings and surrendered four runs on nine hits in a 6-3 loss to the Giants.

Cold batting stat: Bucs slugger Pedro Alvarez is just 1-for-8 with four K's in his career versus Cards starter Shelby Miller.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under clear skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Pittsburgh.


Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves (-137, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins star-rookie Jose Fernandez seems to get better as the year progresses. The 21-year-old righty is 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA in five August starts.

Cold batting stat: Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton is 0-for-5 in his career versus Braves starter Julio Teheran.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow from right field to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 5-1 in Fernandez's last six road starts.


Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies (+130, 10)

Hot pitching stat: Reds starter Bronson Arroyo tossed eight innings of four-hit ball in a 3-0 Reds win over the Rockies on June 3 - his lone start versus Colorado this season.

Cold batting stat: Reds OF Shin-Soo Choo is 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in his career versus Rockies starter Jeff Manship.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-2-3 in the Reds's last 14 versus the National League West.


San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks (-118, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Giants starter Tim Lincecum was shelled versus Arizona in his one and only start versus the DBacks this season. Lincecum gave up five runs on 10 hits in his five innings of work in the Giants' 9-6 win back on May 1.

Hot batting stat: Giants 1B Brandon Belt has been sizzling at the dish. Belt is batting .370 in August with five homers and 12 RBIs.

Weather: Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast, the roof could be closed at Arizona's Chase Field.

Key betting note: The Giants are 1-7 in Lincecum's last eight road starts.


San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers (-200, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu is coming off back-to-back losses and has an ERA of 5.11 over those two starts.

Hot batting stat: The Dodgers roster is batting a collective .341 with five homers and 11 RBIs in 88 at-bats versus Padres starter Erick Stults.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70ss with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Los Angeles.


Interleague

Los Angeles Angels at Milwaukee Brewers (+115, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Angels hurler Jered Weaver had a spectacular outing in his last trip to the mound. Weaver tossed eight innings giving up one earned run on three hits in a 7-1 victory over the Seattle Mariners on August 25.

Cold batting stat: Angels slugger Mark Trumbo will look to put a poor August behind him. Trumbo is hitting just .196 in 102 August at-bats seeing his average drop to .236 on the season. He has collected 21 RBIs for the month, however.

Weather: Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast, the roof could be closed at Miller Park.

Key betting note: The under is 12-3 in the Brewers last 15 home games versus a team with a losing road record.


* Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 8:11 p.m. ET Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Top 4: Playoff outsiders that just won't quit

The dream of a playoff berth may be over for the majority of major-league teams, but that hasn’t prevented some from playing like they belong in the postseason.

Here are four teams that haven’t quit despite having their playoff hopes dashed (results as of Thursday morning):

Philadelphia Phillies (61-72, -15.62 units)

Despite being out of the playoff chase for several weeks, the resurgent Phillies have ripped off eight wins in their last 11 games. Philadelphia has fared especially well as a favorite, winning seven straight. Luck has played a major role in the Phillies’ recent success, as they’ve won six consecutive one-run games - including five in a six-game span earlier in the month. And with 16 of their final 29 games against teams with losing records, the Phillies have an outside shot at passing Washington for second place in the National League East.

Chicago White Sox (56-76, -17.94 units)

Chicago’s recent surge may be the unlikeliest of all, at least from an odds standpoint. The White Sox are a distant fifth in the NL Central but have caught fire with 10 wins in their last 12 games, including a mind-boggling seven straight as an underdog - five at +150 or higher. Pitching has been the catalyst, with Chicago ranked fifth in the majors in ERA this month. A rejuvenated Adam Dunn has helped, as well. The towering slugger is batting .283 in August, putting him on pace to record his third straight month above .270.

Washington Nationals (67-65, -11.06 units)

No team is catching Atlanta in the NL East, but the Nationals have been providing fans with plenty of hope for 2014. Washington comes into Thursday’s action having won seven of its last eight, with all seven victories coming as the favorite. After languishing in the bottom half of the NL in runs for most of the season, the Washington bats have come alive with 48 runs over the last eight games. And with 17 straight games against teams behind them in the East, a sustained run is quite possible.

Kansas City Royals (68-64, +1.49 units)

The Royals still have a slim chance of making the AL playoffs thanks to a four-game winning streak during which they’ve allowed just seven runs. Consecutive quality starts from Jeremy Guthrie, James Shields and Danny Duffy have helped erase the sour memory of a seven-game skid earlier in the month. Kansas City has a favorable immediate schedule with series against the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners on the horizon. At the very least, an above .500 finish looks promising.

[golden contender]

On Friday the MLB System Play is on Boston. Game 972 at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a nice system that is 14-1 and plays on certain home favorites, like Boston that are off a loss and are playing an opponent like Chicago that comes in off a 5 or more run win as a home favorite at -140 or higher. Chicago this year is 1-8 on the road when they played at home in their last game and have lost 15 of 20 on Friday. The Red Sox are off a 1 run home loss to Baltimore but they are still averaging over 6 runs per game the past week and they are a perfect 9-0 at home off a home loss. We will back Boston with Dempster over Chicago and Santiago tonight. On Friday we have another superb card led by a 96% College Football Opening Week Dominator System. Football card went 5-1 last night. MLB Cashed 2 of 3 as Totals are on a 11-1 run. Tonight we have a 16-0 MLB Game Of The Week system a rare Never Lost dog system and an 11-0 Totals system that averages over 12 runs per game. There is also a Big 4 Day Labor Day Weekend Power pack available. Jump on now and See the Incredible Cutting edge Data we use in these games. For the Free Play Take Boston. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate Top Plays

MLB
Angels
Rays
Giants

CFB
SMU/Texas Tech Over 59
Kansas State -13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate Top Plays

CFB
Michigan State/Western Michigan Over 44.5

MLB
Phillies
Tigers/Indians Over 9
Blue Jays
White Sox/Red Sox Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo had a successful Fenway flight last night with the Orioles, who overcame the odds and beat the Sawx to lower the deficit to 1,385 skinners.

Tonight, it’s not Miller time, it’s Iron City time, so Mr. Aitch will plunge on the Pirates – 20 units on Liriano to cuff the Cards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Samardzija is 2-0, 1.59 in his last couple starts. Halladay allowed two runs in six IP in winning his first start back from the DL.
-- Liriano is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three starts. Miller is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two.
-- Gee is 2-1, 2.36 in his last five starts.
-- Fernandez is 5-0, 1.50 in his last eight starts. Teheran is 3-2, 2.36 in his last seven starts.
-- Arroyo is 4-0, 2.33 in his last four starts.

-- Weaver is 5-2, 3.25 in his last eight starts.

-- McAllister is 3-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Buehrle is 5-0, 2.20 in his last eight starts.
-- Santiago is 1-0, 2.92 in his last couple starts.
-- Peacock is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts.
-- Darvish is 3-0, 2.23 in his last five starts.
-- Parker is 4-0, 1.93 in his last five starts. Price is 5-0, 2.51 in his last eight.

Cold pitchers
-- Zimmerman is 3-4, 5.44 in his last eight starts.
-- Manship is 0-4, 6.86 in his last four starts.
-- Delgado is 0-1, 5.63 in his last four starts. Lincecum is 1-2, 7.71 in his last three outings.
-- Stults is 0-4, 5.95 in his last seven starts. Ryu is 0-2, 5.11 in his last two.

-- Peralta is 1-4, 6.40 in his last six starts.

-- Porcello is 2-1, 5.64 in his last four starts.
-- Santana is 0-1, 5.24 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-5, 7.41 in his last nine starts. Gonzalez is 0-3, 7.67 in his last five starts.
-- Dempster is 0-1, 7.40 in his last four starts.
-- Hendriks is 0-2, 6.41 in four starts this season.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Halladay 4-8; Samardzija 7-27 (1 of last 8)
-- Miller 5-24 (1 of last 11); Liriano 5-20
-- Gee 5-26 (1 of last 11); Zimmerman 5-26 (3 of last 6)
-- Fernandez 4-25 (0 of last 8); Teheran 8-25 (1 of last 11)
-- Arroyo 4-26; Manship 1-4
-- Lincecum 9-26 (0 of last 6); Delgado 3-13
-- Stults 9-27; Ryu 8-25

-- Weaver 3-19 (1 of last 15); Peralta 4-27 (0 of last 13)

-- McAllister 5-18 (0 of last 6); Porcello 5-24
-- Santana 11-27; Buehrle 6-27
-- Gonzalez 6-22 (1 of last 9); Sabathia 8-27 (3 of last 5)
-- Santiago 4-18; Dempster 8-24
-- Hendiks 2-4; Darvish 7-24 (2 of last 14)
-- Walker 0-0; Peacock 3-9
-- Price 6-20; Parker 7-26 (0 of last 5)

Totals
-- Four of last five Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last three St Louis road games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Washington games.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-0-2 in last nine Colorado games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six San Francisco games.
-- Four of last five San Diego games stayed under.

-- Seven of last nine Angel games stayed under the total. Eight of Milwaukee's last ten games went over.

-- Eight of last nine Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Kansas City games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Texas games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Seattle games.
-- Eight of last nine Oakland games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won six of their last nine games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight games.
-- Nationals won eight of their last nine games.
-- Braves won their last four games, allowing five runs.
-- Rockies won four of their last six games.
-- Arizona won five of its last six home games.

-- Angels won five of their last six games. Milwaukee won three of last four.

-- Royals won last five games, scoring 34 runs. Toronto won three of last four.
-- White Sox won eight of last ten games. Red Sox won four of their last five.
-- Rangers won their last three games, scoring 24 runs.
-- A's won four of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games.
-- Marlins lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Reds lost four of their last six games.
-- Giants lost seven of their last eleven road games.
-- San Diego lost five of its last seven road games. Dodgers lost three of their last five games.

-- Indians lost last three games, outscored 8-3. Detroit lost three of last four.
-- Bronx lost four of last six games. Orioles lost five of their last six road games.
-- Twins lost their last five games, scoring six runs.
-- Mariners lost six of their last seven games. Houston lost four of last five.
-- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1088-817 (57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner 6 in a row FRI: Tigers -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Orioles +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -115 over Philadelphia Phillies
(System Record: 72-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 72-74-2

Football Crusher
Samford -6.5 over Georgia State
(System Record: 5-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 5-5

Soccer Crusher
Atletico Goianiense + Oeste UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 447-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 447-386-59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Oakland

The Rays look to bounce back from yesterday's 2-0 loss to the Angels and build on their 5-0 record in David Price's last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Tampa Bay is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 30
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.287; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.679
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A


Game 953-954: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.550; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.331
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); Over


Game 955-956: NY Mets at Washington (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 14.690; Washington (Zimmermann) 16.060
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-180); Under


Game 957-958: Miami at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 16.062; Atlanta (Teheran) 15.209
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+120); Over


Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.205; Colorado (Manship) 14.769
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-145); Under


Game 961-962: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.604; Arizona (Delgado) 14.559
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Over


Game 963-964: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 16.572; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.543
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+180); Over


Game 965-966: Cleveland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 15.289; Detroit (Porcello) 16.661
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under


Game 967-968: Kansas City at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 16.701; Toronto (Buehrle) 14.622
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105); Over


Game 969-970: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.581; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.903
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under


Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 16.826; Boston (Dempster) 15.904
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+165); Over


Game 973-974: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 13.896; Texas (Darvish) 16.465
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-300); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-300); Under


Game 975-976: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Walker) 13.119; Houston (Peacock) 14.283
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+100); Over


Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.418; Oakland (Parker) 14.800
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Under


Game 979-980: LA Angels at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.539; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.579
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Indiana at New York

The Fever look to take advantage of a New York team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 home games. Indiana is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 30
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Indiana at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 110.683; New York 105.458
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-3 1/2); Over


Game 653-654: San Antonio at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 111.045; Tulsa 109.800
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 143
Vegas Line & Total: Tulsa by 6 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

SMU +5.5
Cubs -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI College Football

The Daniel Curry Index
Week 1 Scores/Predictions

Friday, August 30, 2013
FBS Non-Conference
Morgan State at ARMY, 7:00 pm ET ARMY 38.8, Morgan State 8.8
Samford at GEORGIA STATE, 7:00 pm ET Samford 32.0, GEORGIA STATE 15.5
Florida Atlantic at MIAMI (FLA.), 8:00 pm ET MIAMI (FLA.) 45.0, Florida Atlantic 14.8
Western Michigan at MICHIGAN STATE, 8:00 pm ET MICHIGAN STATE 38.9, Western Michigan 6.7
Texas Tech at SMU, 8:00 pm ET SMU 38.2, Texas Tech 35.3
Southern at HOUSTON, 8:30 pm ET HOUSTON 52.6, Southern 17.3
North Dakota State at KANSAS STATE, 8:30 pm ET KANSAS STATE 31.9, North Dakota State 16.6
Northern Arizona at ARIZONA, 10:00 pm ET ARIZONA 53.1, Northern Arizona 24.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo:
king system:
Central Florida
Alabama -11,5 in the first half
Alabama
Baylor
Georgia
Northwestern

Not from the system
Boston College
Syracuse
Oklahoma State
Washington
NC.State
Missouri
LSU

College Football Futures:
Air Force Falcons Under 6,5 wins
Georgia Tech Yellowjackets under 8,5 wins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastmen
SMU +5.5 [Aug. 30 Fri. 5pm PDT]
UNM -3 [Aug. 31 Sat. 5pm PDT]
USM -8 [Aug. 31 Sat. 4pm PDT]
NORTHWESTERN -5.5 [Aug. 31 Sat. 7:30pm PDT]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at BOSTON

Play Against - Any team (BOSTON) top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, playing on Friday
169-142 over the last 5 seasons. ( 54.3% 68.3 units )
33-35 this year. ( 48.5% 1.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at TEXAS

MINNESOTA is 33-24 (+19.3 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span this season.

The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA INDIANA at NEW YORK

Play On - Favorites (INDIANA) revenging a loss versus opponent, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
124-68 since 1997. ( 64.6% 49.2 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% 2.9 units )

WNBA INDIANA at NEW YORK

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a road loss
252-100 since 1997. ( 71.6% 0.0 units )
9-4 this year. ( 69.2% 0.0 units )

WNBA SAN ANTONIO at TULSA

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
12-9 this year. ( 57.1% 2.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SMU tries to end long losing skid to Texas Tech Friday
by Brian Graham

Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Texas Tech -5.5, Total: 59.5

A highly-entertaining offensive showcase will likely take place on Friday night when SMU hosts Texas Tech in the head coaching debut of 34-year-old Kliff Kingsbury.

The Red Raiders have tallied 14 straight wins over the Mustangs, prevailing by double-digits in all of those meetings with the exception of the most recent matchup. In that 2010 showdown, the Mustangs covered a 12.5-point spread in a 35-27 Tech home win. TTU’s high-octane offense has plenty of weapons, but starting QB Michael Brewer is doubtful with a back injury, leaving the job to one of two true freshmen, Davis Webb or walk-on Baker Mayfield. Whoever starts will need to light up the scoreboard as the Red Raiders defense allowed an average of 45.0 PPG in its final seven games last year. SMU’s defense is also suspect, with a weak secondary that will have its hands full behind an inexperienced front seven. Mustangs QB Garrett Gilbert, who went to the same Lake Travis High School (Austin, TX) as Mayfield, has talented receivers to target, and fellow Texas transfer RB Traylon Shead seems poised for a breakout season. Texas Tech is 5-2 ATS (71%) in non-Big 12 play over the past two years, while the Mustangs were 6-1 ATS (83%) at home last year and are 16-10 ATS (62%) as an underdog since 2009.

Both Webb (6-foot-4, 195 pounds) and Mayfield (6-foot-2, 220 pounds) have had an excellent camp for Texas Tech, and it's possible both signal callers could see some snaps if Brewer (7.8 YPA, 4 TD, 0 INT) can't go. Whoever is under center will likely be looking first to WR Eric Ward (1,053 rec. yds, 12 TD), then TE Jace Amaro (16.4 YPC, 4 TD) as a check-down option. However, Amaro will sit out the first half of Friday's game because of a suspension earned in last year's bowl game when he punched a Minnesota player after an on-field scuffle. Although this is a pass-heavy offense (356 passing YPG, 2nd in FBS; 140 rushing YPG, 88th in FBS), RB Kenny Williams (824 rush yds, 5 TD) is good enough to keep the SMU defense honest. Although Texas Tech allowed 31.8 PPG last year (92nd in FBS), the club gave up just 367 total YPG (38th in FBS), including a mere 192 passing YPG (15th in nation). The big problem was that the Red Raiders forced only 11 turnovers in their 13 games last season. Defensive coordinator Matt Wallerstedt will switch to a 3-4 that promises to blitz more off the edge. Although eight defensive starters return, the secondary still needs more experience.

SMU lost half of its starters from last year, but senior QB Garrett Gilbert (2,932 pass yds, 15 TD, 15 INT) is back, and became more comfortable with the run-and-shoot last year. The former Texas Longhorns quarterback who played in the 2010 national championship as a freshman, throwing for 186 yards, 2 TD and 4 INT in that loss to Alabama, faced the Red Raiders the following season. Gilbert led the 'Horns to a 24-14 road win that day, completing 21-of-36 passes for 227 yards, 2 TD and 3 INT. Gilbert once again has a pair of sure-handed receivers to feed in Jeremy Johnson (679 rec. yds, 3 TD) and Der’Rikk Thompson (535 rec. yds, 4 TD). Gone is top RB Zach Line and his 1,500 total yards and 13 TD from last year, but Texas transfer RB Traylon Shead had a huge spring and will likely carry Line's huge workload this year. SMU needs its pass defense (278 YPG, 113th in FBS) to improve greatly, as most of the front seven is gone. LBs Randall Joyner (93 tackles) and Stephon Sanders (5 PD) remain in the middle though. This was quite an opportunistic unit in 2012 though, generating the second-most takeaways in the nation (2.9 per game).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 10

Hamilton (4-4) @ BCLions (5-3)—BC swept series LY 39-36 (-8)/37-17 (-1.5), after being 2-5 in previous seven series games; TiCats won three of last four visits here, covering all four in series where underdog is 7-2 vs spread in last nine meetings, with last four played here going over total. Hamilton cleaned up on Eskimos/Bombers to win last three games and even record; they’re 0-3 when scoring less than 25 points, losing those games by 10-37-12 points. TiCats covered last three games, but are 1-3 as an underdog. Lions somehow lost in Montreal last week despite being +6 in turnovers in game they led 21-7 at half; they’re 4-0 at home, 3-1 as home favorites, winning by 8-10-7-4 points. BC allowed 44-38-39 points in its losses, an average of 16.4 in wins. Five of last seven TiCat games, three of four BC home games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitch Wilson

Dog of the day: Western Michigan +28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* SMU +5.5

50* Yankees -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Underdog POW - SMU +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ

North Dakota State +14 over Kansas State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters
140-88 run

16-5-1 run last 22 plays

pod white sox game under 9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* SMU +5.5

50* Yankees -130

1000* MLB Rays -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EAGLE EYE--Randy Rose
5* Mich St-28
5* Balt.Orioles+125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SamsWins

CFB
Game: Texas Tech @ SMU
Pick: SMU +4.5 (-110)
5 Units
SMU head coach June Jones has gone 6-1 ATS in his last seven games as a home underdog. That includes a 3-1 ATS home dog mark last season. SMU is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games. Texas Tech is going with a completely new system under rookie coach Kliff Kingsbury. Kingsbury is one of the youngest coaches in college football. This is his first game and it is on the road. SMU will be motivated to knock off a Big 12 team.

MLB
Game: Cleveland @ Detroit
Pick: Cleveland (+135)
5 Units

0-3 yesterday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Factsman

MLB Friday Video Pick

Cincinnati Reds
(B. Arroyo -R vs J. Manship -R)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* SMU over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BookiesHunter

55-27 run

1* Texas Tech -4.5

Plays added:

2* U9 bal/nyy
2* U8.5 mn/tex

1* O6.5 tb/oak
1* U9 chw/bos

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

9* Cleveland +1½ -155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee had the splits on Thursday winning with the Tigers -$180/A's and losing his Best Bet on Fresno st. -10/Rutgers for $50.

For Friday Mr Chalk like the Diamondbacks -$125/Giants.

"Mr Chalk" is 6-2 +$455 for the week 89-49 +$1280 for the 2013 MLB season.

Ben lee likes Chelsea +$350/Bayern Munich for $50.

Ben lee is 1-1 +$60

Ben lee is 0-1 -$55 for the 2013 College Football Season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges:
SMU +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

100 Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter

3* Seattle -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Machine

10* Tampa Bay Rays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Statpicks Daily
(8-30-13)

MLB: Detroit, Texas
WNBA : silver stars/shock over 147.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

All Sports Capper

5-0 MLB run last 3 days

20* Cincinnati Reds -155
10* Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers under 9 -105

10* SMU +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ats insiders club 8/30


Western Michigan +28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd 8/30 + 8/31

5*(NCAAF) Marshall -19.5

4*(NCAAF) Nevada/UCLA OVER 65.5

3*(NCAAF) SMU +5.5
3*(MLB) Pittsburgh Pirates ML -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Profitbets

CUBS ML (*5)

BAYERN/CHELSEA OV 2.5 (*25)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BookBreakers - 8/30


2:20PM Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies +123

7:05PM St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates -121

7:35PM Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves -136

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns MAIN EVENT

SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bankroll full card

10* ttech/smu over 60
5* redsox -1.5 +105
5* balt +120
4* mich st -28
3* sd/dodgers over 7
2* fau/mia under 53.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

top opinion and marquis play smu +5/5.5
top opinion -- tv play fla at +31.5

small college n. Ari +34

no star rated plays today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers CFL

Today's Free Picks for Aug 30, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_18.pngHamilton @ B.C. LIONS
B.C. LIONS -6 -108 over Hamilton

We’re always looking to buy-low and sell-high and this game fits that philosophy to a tee. Hamilton has won three straight while the Lions, as a 10-point favorite a week ago, lost outright in Montreal. Hamilton’s stock has greatly increased over the past month while the Lions’ stock continues to sink. Hamilton is now 4-4 on the year and just a game back of the Argonauts for first place in the East. What doesn’t show up in the standings is that Hamilton has three wins against Winnipeg and one against Edmonton. Combined, that pair is 2-14. Despite playing the CFL’s weakest schedule thus far, the Ti-Cats defense has allowed more points than every team except for Edmonton, Winnipeg and Montreal. The perception is that the Tiger-Cats are getting in gear and ready to compete with the upper-tier clubs. We couldn’t disagree more because Hamilton’s defense is awful and once they have to start playing catch-up, Henry Burris is very prone to making bad decisions. That will come into play here.
B.C. has not played well. They are an ugly 5-3 but they will come into this game with a big chip on their shoulders after an embarrassing loss in Montreal. The Lions have also been off since last Thursday, giving them two extra days of preparation for this one. Furthermore, the Lions are still 4-0 at home with wins over Toronto, Edmonton, Winnipeg and Calgary with the average margin of victory being by 7 points. B.C. is loaded with talent on both sides of the ball but has grossly underachieved. Taking a lot of heat in the press ever since last weeks’ loss to the Als and not blowing out any team this entire year, B.C. is primed to take out its frustrations on someone. In looking at these two teams, who appear headed in opposite directions, as a whole, this appears to be a lot of points to be spotting the Tiger-Cats. However, it’s been said for years that the CFL’s real season doesn’t start until Labour Day Weekend and that is now upon us. We’ll see how real the Lions are and it says here they flex their muscles against this very beatable intruder.


Our Pick
B.C. LIONS -6 -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

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Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 30, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngKansas City @ TORONTO
Kansas City -110 over TORONTO

The Blue Jays are coming off a hugely satisfying series win over the Yankees after New York made Toronto their whipping boys the entire year. The Jays don’t figure to as focused here and can now go back to their sloppy defensive play, poor managing and lousy starting pitching. Mark Buehrle needs no introductions. We all know he gets by on guile and experience but we also know that a blowup or a string of them is inevitable and can occur at any time. With pedestrian skills and numbers right across the board (4.08 ERA, .270 BAA, 1.32 WHIP), Buehrle walks a tight rope in almost every start. His strand rate over the past month is on the extreme side of lucky at 89%. He’ll now face a Royals team that is on fire in both the win column and at the plate.
K.C. has won five in a row. They’re batting .315 over that span and scored six runs or more in four of them. The Royals 34 runs over that span is second in the majors. Facing a lefty on the road is the best scenario for the Royals because they’ve have hit better on the road all season long and they’ve also hit better against lefties all year. Ervin Santana gets a strong rating here. Santana enters this matchup with a 3.21 ERA and 1.15 WHIP backed up by a solid overall skill set that includes 47% groundball rate. In 11 road starts this season, Santana has allowed 57 hits in 71 frames (.215 BAA) and only four of those hits left the park. This is a cheap line to lay on Santana when you when you consider his current form, overall elite numbers and the big edge he has over his counterpart.

Our Pick
Kansas City -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngL.A. Angels @ MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE +114 over L.A. Angels

The Angels are coming off a series win in Tampa but that was against a contending team with a chance to play spoiler. This is not and the Angels don’t figure to be as jacked up to play the Brewers as they were the Rays. L.A. favored in Milwaukee here is bordering on lunacy and once again we get an opportunity to fade one of the most overrated pitchers in the game. There is nothing in Weaver’s profile that says he’s worth backing. He has a 5.08 ERA over his past five starts. Over that span, covering 34 frames, Weaver has a line-drive rate of 28% and a fly-ball/groundball split of 46%/27%. Weaver’s combined fly-ball and line-drive rates is the majors worst combined percentage (73%) of any pitcher in baseball with at least 50 innings pitched this season. On the road, in nine games started, Weaver is 2-4 with an ERA of 4.47. Weaver has been fooling the pundits and oddsmakers for two years now. He’s consistently been able to stave off hit%, strand%, and hr/f regression over his career but his margin for error keeps getting smaller and smaller. Weaver’s fastball velocity has bottomed out at 86.6 MPH and at this park against this strong hitting line-up that plays very well at home, Weaver is likely in for another disaster or something pretty damn close.
Wily Peralta owns skills that have improved across-the-board since the All-Star Break. Since the break, Peralta’s strikeouts are up 1½ per game to 7 per 9 IP his walks are down 1 per game to 2½ per 9 IP and his groundball rate is up 8% to an elite 60% on the season. Also since the break, Peralta’s average fastball velocity is 94.7 MPH with a swinging strike rate of 10.3% (the league average is 8.8%). Peralta’s overall numbers or surface stats are the result of a brutal start in April and May. After his May 27 start, Peralta’s ERA was 6.35. His ERA today is 4.51. His ERA in July was 2.13 and while he’s likely to battle inconsistency, Peralta has the skills to thrive in any game. There is nothing but profit potential in the Brewers/Peralta combination and you can double those sentiments when said combo is playing at Miller Park. Wrong side favored here.

Our Pick
MILWAUKEE +114 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.28)





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngBaltimore @ N.Y. YANKEES
Baltimore +120 over N.Y. YANKEES

The Yankees are once again struggling at the plate with three runs or fewer in five of their past six games. That includes two games at the Rogers Center over the past three games, a venue that has been a haven for hitter’s the entire year. C.C. Sabathia has thrown 200+ innings each of the previous six seasons and he’s thrown 178 this year. Sabathia hit the DL twice (groin, elbow) last season and visited Dr. Andrews after the season. Sabathia is an “old” 33, much like a boxer that has been in too many wars at a young age. It’s not like Sabathia is in great shape either. Hide his face and he looks like Bartolo Colon out there. Has this heavy workload caught up to him? Sabathia’s xERA says he hasn't been this bad, but there are still huge warning signs. His velocity declined from 93.6 mph to 92.4 mph from '11 and '12, and he's lost another tick this season (91 mph). At the same time, he's throwing his slider less, so relying even more heavily on his depleted fastball (36% in '12 to 41% in '13) and his strikeout rate has taken a hit. Sabathia’s hr/f% hasn't regressed as expected but don’t be surprised to see some jacks allowed in the final month. Sabathia is also seeing a decreasing strand%. What's most troubling is Sabathia’s hard-hit balls %, which is at a career-high 34%, suggesting he's become more hittable (.273 oppBA confirms that fact). Sabathia's skills are in deterioration mode. This slide is to be expected from a player who's been a workhorse for so many years and his post-All-Star break skills leave us skeptical that things are going to improve. C.C. Sabathia is burned out and frustrated.
At age 29, Miguel Gonzalez is in his prime; what you see is what you get. While he’s not going to blow people away, he does well enough to serve as a solid, middle-of-the-rotation option. He remains a solid, if not overwhelmingly dominant, starter. He’s posted a 57%/7% quality start/disaster start split in 22 starts, compared to 47%/20% in 2012. He’s also been sharp over his last five starts with a 8/20 BB/K split over 24 frames. That said, this one isn’t about backing Gonzalez, although he’s reliable. It’s all about fading an overvalued Yankee squad with Sabathia on the hill against one of the deadliest offenses in the game. Definite overlay.

Our Pick
Baltimore +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)

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Sportswagers CFB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 30, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_2.pngWestern Michigan @ MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN STATE -28 -101 over Western Michigan

We usually avoid these types of games but this one warrants a play. The Broncos have a new coaching staff and lost several key personnel on both offense and defense. This was a defense that allowed almost 400 yards against and they are worse this season. Additionally, a weak offensive line also got weaker, as Western returns just one starter from that group. This is a Broncos team in transition that is going to need at least two or three games to get things in sync and function as a cohesive unit.
Meanwhile, Michigan State's offense returns virtually every key member except for All-Big Ten running back Le'Veon Bell. The Spartans went 7-6 last year but five of its losses came by four points or less, including two in the final seconds and one in double-overtime. They could have easily finished 11-2 and they’re primed to make an impact this season. Defensively, the Spartans ranked fourth in the nation last year by allowing a frugal 274 average yards per game and that group returns seven starters after allowing just 16.3 points per game. Offensively, MSU might be a bit more challenged than a year ago but that is not going to matter in this one and its offensive line is experienced and poised to manhandle the Broncos. Again, Western has a new staff and just suffered an injury to its best offensive weapon in camp. Big numbers like this can make underdogs seem appealing versus favorites without explosive offenses, but four touchdowns isn't all that much when the 'dog can't score. The Spartans have a debt to collect from last year’s many close calls and the Broncos will pay that debt off on opening night.

Our Pick
MICHIGAN STATE -28 -101 (Risking 2.02 units - To Win: 2.00)

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SB Professor NCAAF 3.0 picks

Friday 8/30
8 PM
153. Texas Tech -4

Saturday 8/31
12 PM
175. Purdue +11 (mostly 10.5's but system recommends 1/2 pt. buy)

3:30 PM
166. Northern Illinois +3

7 PM
177. Kentucky -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 8/30
SMU +4 over Texas Tech

(System Record: 127-5, Lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 127-117

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Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Friday, Aug 30 2013 8:00PM
154 SMU 6.0(-110) Hilton vs 153 Texas Tech triple-dime bet

Stephen Nover | CFB Total - Sunday, Sep 1 2013 6:00PM
217 Colorado / 218 Colorado St. OVER 49.0 Bookmaker.com double-dime bet

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TMC Sports Advisors

Pirates Pittsburgh -115

Boston -170

Kansas City -110

Baltimore +1.5 -170


Mon.4-1
Tue. 3-1
Wed. 3-2
Thu. 3-1

13-5 This Week

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9xSports

(NCAA Football) 8:00PM FLORIDA ATLANTIC+31.5

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GoodFella

Friday Night MLB Team Total

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS - OVER 4 RUNS (@BOL)

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Chicago Cubs

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RIVER CITY SPORTS SYNDICATE

CFB
Texas Tech Red Raiders at SMU Mustangs
8 PM EST – Gerald Ford Stadium
Current Line – Texas Tech -5.5

Both these teams are fairly young with TT returning 13 starters and SMU 11. TT likes to sling it and with new head coach Kingsbury, we expect that to continue. We just don’t know if he has the personnel to pull it off this early in the season. June Jones leads a Jekyll and Hyde club that last year was only 1-5 vs. eventual bowl teams in 2012 then rolled Fresno St by 33 in their bowl. So which team will show up in 2013 ? We really like home dogs in these situations, and SMU is 6-1 the last 4 years as a home dog and have won their last 5 home openers. The line continues to move to SMU. What do the Sharps say?
Sharps Play – 2 UNIT PLAY ON
SMU+5.5

2-0 yesterday

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Jason Sharpe

SMU +4.5

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Harry Bondi

Texas Tech -5

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Root

Millionaire SMU

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wise guy
braves

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Joe Gavazzi
4* West Mich +28

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Sports Unlimited

los angeles angels

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Michael Tang (Totalsforyou)

1* San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks (6:40pm PST)
Pick: San Francisco Giants ML +115


1* Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees (4:05pm PST)
Pick: UNDER 9 +100

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
4.5* Rays/A's over 6.5 (-110) 495/450
2* Reds/Rockies under 10 (-105) 210/200
1* Tigers/Indians under 9 (-105) 105/100
1* Mariners/Astros under 9 (-115) 115/100

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Vegas Runner

183 La.-Monroe 22.0 (-110) Hilton (http://www.pregame.com/en/main/sports-betting-lines-odds/?AflId=82068) vs 184 OklahomaAnalysis: œ**** CFB 3* TRUE STEAM GAME OF THE WEEK ****

UL-MONROE +22....(3*)

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SB Professor NCAAF 3.0 picks

Friday 8/30
8 PM
153. Texas Tech -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpire UNDER streakers

Barrett 15-4 L19 (PIT/STL),
Schreiber 13-4-2 L17 (NYY/BAL)

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Just Cover, Baby

1* SMU +4

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Mike Lineback

3* Kansas City Team Over 4

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INTPICKS

Today's Selections

Friday, August 30, 2013

College Football

8:00 PM ET

1 Star

Western Michigan @ Michigan State

Take Western Michigan +28

8:00 PM ET

2 Stars

Texas Tech @ SMU

Take SMU +4

MLB

1 Star

7:10 PM ET

Chicago White Sox @ Boston

Play UNDER 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner

Analysis: **** MLB 3* TRUE STEAM RUNLINE GAME OF THE MONTH ****

RANGERS -1.5 (RL) -150....(3*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo

9* NY Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT Lock

SMU +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi NCAAF (1-2 Sides, 0-3 Totals)

5% SMU/Texas Tech Over 59.5
4% Florida Atlantic +32

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael David:

Southern Methodist

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National Sports Service

5* Texas Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella
1* SMU

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From This Week's BEST BETS
STATFOX DAVE'S PICK

TEXAS TECH (153) AT SMU (154)
Latest Line: SMU +5.5; Total: 59.5
I'm going to grab the points here and back the home 'dog Mustangs. Texas Tech starting QB Michael Brewer looks to be sitting this game out with a bad back, leaving the team with a pair of true freshman signal callers to choose from. Also, the Red Raiders are replacing pretty much all of their defensive backs. SMU should score in bunches and if that happens, the team was 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when scoring 28 or more points last season. SMU win this game in a Hammertime rout!
PLAY ON: SMU +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Milwaukee (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee +115 (moneyline) at Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)

For the second straight season the potential of the LA Angels, considered to be a playoffs caliber team, has fallen short. The Angels will send their ace Jered Weaver to the mound for this one. Weaver has no doubt been one of the top pitchers in baseball in recent years, but there is a wide spread of what he has accomplished at home vs. on the road. Weaver is 81-31 at home, but a pedestrian 61-56 on the road, and just .500 the last seven seasons. He is also under .500 this year. The Angels have struggled as an interleague favorite as they carry the baggage of a 2-6 mark in their last eight into this contest. The Brewers have dominated weaker teams at home where they are a stunning 87-42 in their last 129 against them. The value goes to the home dog here, so play on Milwaukee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

​Kelso

100 Texas RL
10 SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Friday's NCAAF line moves

The college football kickoff continues with a smattering of games Friday. We talk with online book Bet365.com about the biggest line moves on the board.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at SMU Mustangs – Open: +6, Move: +4

Action on the home side has moved this Lone Star State showdown as many as two points off the opening spread, with Texas Tech starting a redshirt freshman at quarterback due to an injury to No. 1 Michael Brewer. But that’s not the only thing pushing this line.

“Line moved for team news on TTU, but sharp money is on SMU as a live dog regardless of the info,” Aron Black of Bet365.com told Covers.

The total for this game has moved, jumping from 58.5 to 59.5 points.

Florida Atlantic Owls at Miami Hurricanes – Open: -32.5, Move: -31

Money on FAU is trimming this massive spread. Miami doesn’t enter this season as a notable favorite to win the ACC, and that shows with just 56 percent of Covers Consensus backing the Hurricanes in Week 1. The Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan State Spartans – Open: -26.5, Move: -28

Michigan State money has constantly flowed in on the favorite, knocking this spread up 1.5 points. The Spartans will hand the ball to QB Andrew Maxwell but will likely mix in sophomore Connor Cook in Week 1.

“This one just looks like natural move to strong favorite,” says Black. “No real recent updates to indicate anything more than money on Michigan State.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

cashmyticket365

MICH ST under 45
pirates
Indians
Oakland a's

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College football betting weather report: Friday's forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Friday's matchups:

Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan State Spartans (-28, 45)

Forecasts in East Lansing are calling for a 42 percent chance of thunderstorms with wind blowing from sideline to sideline at 6 mph.

Florida Atlantic Owls at Miami (FL) Hurricanes (-31, 54)

There is a 20 percent chance of rain in Miami. Wind will blow SSE at 6 mph.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at SMU Mustangs (+4, 60.5)

It looks to be a hot one in Dallas for this matchup. Temperatures will be in the low-100s and skies will be clear and sunny over Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Arizona Wildcats (-34.5)

The forecast in Tucson is calling for a 48 percent chance of thunderstorms for this game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

wayne root Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) arizona dbacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' Club-80 Play-CFB (86% ATS s/2009)-Fri
My 9* Club-80 Play is on SMU at 8:00 ET.


Texas Tech has won the last 14 meetings with SMU but I’m calling for the Mustangs to come away with a SU win over the Red Raiders on Friday night. Tommy Tuberville left Lubbock for Cincinnati prior to the team's 34-31 Meineke Car Care Bowl win over Minnesota and the Red Raiders turned to Kliff Kingsbury, giving the former Texas Tech star QB his first head coaching job. Kingsbury has served as co-offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at both Houston and Texas A&M the last four years. He has mentored Case Keenum at Houston and was instrumental in helping Texas A&M's Johnny Manziel win the 2012 Heisman Trophy.


On the other sideline of this game will be SMU’s June Jones. Jones owns the kind of coaching ‘chops’ that Kingsbury can only dream of producing. He spent nine years at Hawaii, leading the Rainbow Warriors to SIX, nine-win (or better) seasons and SIX bowl berths, including the 2007 Sugar Bowl (after a 12-0 regular season). Jones moved on to SMU in 2008 and many asked why? SMU was given the “Death Penalty” in the mid-80s and after the school’s return to the field in 1989, the Mustangs produced just ONE winning season prior to Jones’ arrival.


Jones had no luck in his first year at Dallas, as SMU finished 1-11,. However, Jones has led the Mustangs to FOUR straight bowls from 2009-12, winning THREE of the four. SMU owns a HUGE edge of the coaching sidelines in this one and also one at the position of QB. Kingsbury will not have a Keenum or Manziel to work with in 2013. Sophomore Michael Brewer was (is) expected to replace Seth Dodge (70.2% / 4,205 yards / 39 TDs & 16 INTs) but a recent back injury will keep him out of this game. Both of Brewer’s back-ups are true freshmen.


In comparison, Jones owns a veteran QB in Garrett Gilbert. Here’s a guy who was a blue chip prospect coming into college at Texas but never “fit in.” He transferred to SMU. He struggled to assimilate June Jones’ offense but he settled down as the season wore on. Gilbert was intercepted only twice in his last six starts, as the Mustangs won FOUR of their last six regular season games to earn a bowl bid at 6-6. He then led the Mustangs to a 43-10 win over Fresno St in the Hawaii Bowl. Jones hired his old friend Hal Mumme to add elements of the Air Raid to the Run & Shoot and note that this will be Gilbert’s 28th career start at QB.


SMU is 6-1 ATS (86%) as a home dog since Jones arrived in 2009 and I say make it 7-1 ATS after Friday’s game, as the Mustangs end that 14-game losing streak to the Red Raiders.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4_SEASONS NCAAF Power Play of the Day
MICHIGAN ST. -27.5

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Umpire UNDER streakers

Gorman 9-2 L11 (OAK/TB)
Miller 11-3 L14 (ARI/SF)