9-2-13 [Archive] - Investwithsports.com Sportstalk and Gambling forum

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:43 PM

FSU at Pitt: What bettors need to know

Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh Panthers (+10.5, 49.5)

Florida State is steadily working its way back to perennial contender status and begins the 2013 campaign ranked No. 12 despite losing three first-round NFL draft picks and a slew of other contributors. The Seminoles begin their defense of the ACC Championship by visiting Pittsburgh Monday. The Panthers are making their ACC debut after coming over from the remains of the Big East.

Quarterback EJ Manuel and defensive end Bjoern Werner are the two biggest losses on either side of the ball for Florida State, which has named redshirt freshman Jameis Winston the new starting quarterback after a strong spring. The Seminoles will ease Winston into the job with an experienced offensive line and a running game led by juniors Devonta Freeman and James Wilder Jr. Pittsburgh is breaking in its own new quarterback, though senior Tom Savage does have some experience.

Savage was a two-year starter at Rutgers before a pair of transfers stalled his career. The Springfield, Penn., native threw for 2,732 yards and 16 touchdowns at Rutgers in 2009 and 2010 and will be dealing with two first-year starters on the offensive line when he makes his Panthers' debut on Monday. Pittsburgh got rolling at the end of the 2012 season, going 4-2 in its last six regular season games, and returns eight starters from a standout defense.

Key betting stat: The under is 7-2 in the Seminoles last nine road games.

Weather watch: Forecasts in Pittsburgh are calling for a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms for this game. Temperatures will be in the low-70s

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:43 PM

Eskimos at Stampeders: What bettors need to know

Edmonton Eskimos at Calgary Stampeders (-7.5, 56.5)

Frustration is starting to set in for the Edmonton Eskimos, who sit at the bottom of the West Division after dropping their last four games by a combined 12 points during a six-game losing streak. Edmonton will try to snap out of its funk when it visits the rival Calgary Stampeders on Monday for the first half of a home-and-home series. Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly has thrown for 814 yards and six touchdowns over the last two games and will need to continue connecting with his receivers if Edmonton hopes to overcome the struggles of its injury-plagued defense, which has surrendered a division-worst 235 points.

Injuries have not slowed the Stampeders, who defeated the Toronto Argonauts last week without team rushing leader Jon Cornish or slotback Nik Lewis - the receiving yards leader. Jonathan Williams replaced Cornish and ran for 82 yards on 18 carries in his CFL debut, while Marquay McDaniel did his best impersonation of Lewis, catching seven passes for 106 yards and one touchdown. Veteran quarterback Kevin Glenn, who has played most of the season in place of injured starter Drew Tate, passed concussion tests after leaving the game late against Toronto for precautionary reasons, further showcasing Calgary’s resilience.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (1-7): Injured linebacker JC Sherritt could return to the lineup Monday if he has the pin removed from his broken thumb. Sherritt set a CFL record last season with 130 tackles, but has missed the last two games. Cornerback Aaron Grymes also missed two weeks with an internal injury suffered during practice and will likely miss Monday’s contest. Defensive end Odell Willis - with a team-leading five sacks - is day-to-day with a shoulder injury suffered in the first half of last week’s loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Slotback Fred Stamps leads the league with 684 receiving yards and has caught six touchdown passes.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (6-2): Cornish was on pace for a career-high in rushing yards before his injury and could return to the lineup Monday to continue that pursuit, while Lewis will be sidelined for the rest of the season. Defensive linemen Cordarro Law and Charleston Hughes share the team lead with five sacks apiece. Tate remains out with a soft tissue injury around his right elbow and the solid play of Glenn has allowed Calgary to take precautions with Tate’s recovery. Kick returner Larry Taylor is second in the league with 964 combined return yards.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the West.
* The over is 8-1-1 in the Eskimos' last 10 road games.
* The Stampeders are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games.
* The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Calgary is 3-0 at McMahon Stadium, while Edmonton is 0-4 against West Division opponents.

2. Edmonton holds a 123-91-3 advantage in the regular-season series against their provincial rival, but Calgary has won the last five meetings.

3. The Eskimos and Stampeders meet again in Edmonton on Friday to close out their home-and-home series.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:44 PM

Monday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's American League games:

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (-166, 9)

Hot pitching stat: White Sox left-hander Jose Quintana has posted three straight quality starts, allowing just eight runs while racking up 22 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Yankees OF Alfonso Soriano is a .270 career hitter with 18 homers and 42 RBIs in 285 at-bats against the White Sox.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 65 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Chicago has won just seven of its past 24 visits to New York.

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-132, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Doug Fister is 1-4 with a 5.20 ERA in seven career starts against the Red Sox.

Hot batting stat: Detroit DH Victor Martinez is 10-for-24 with three walks lifetime against Red Sox starter John Lackey.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 65 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 22-5-1 in Lackey's last 28 starts.

Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals (+123, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners ace Felix Hernandez has lost three straight decisions for the first time since last December, surrendering 16 runs over 14 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Royals 1B/DH Billy Butler is a .336 career hitter with eight home runs and 33 RBIs in 44 games against Seattle.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-2-2 in Kansas City's last 14 games against teams with losing records.

Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros (+104, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Astros right-hander Paul Clemens fared well in his first career major-league start Tuesday, limiting the Chicago White Sox to a run on four hits over six innings.

Cold batting stat: Houston OF Chris Carter has just five hits in 46 career at-bats against Minnesota.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Houston is 3-13 in its last 16 games against teams with losing road records.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (+114, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers left-hander Derek Holland was at his best in his previous encounter with the Athletics nearly a month ago, limiting them to four hits over eight shutout innings while striking out 10.

Hot batting stat: Athletics C Kurt Suzuki is 7-for-20 with a pair of home runs against Holland.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Rangers have won nine straight Monday games.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians (-128, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Orioles right-hander Bud Norris is 7-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 98 1/3 career innings in September.

Hot batting stat: Cleveland OF Nick Swisher has 24 career home runs against Baltimore, his most versus any major-league team.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 25 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow in from left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 11-1-1 in Cleveland righty Justin Masterson's last 13 starts against teams with winning records.

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels (+105, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Chris Archer dominated the Angels five days ago, limiting them to a run on five hits over seven innings of a 4-1 win.

Cold batting stat: Entering Sunday's action, Los Angeles 1B/OF Mark Trumbo is a career .198 hitter in September.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

** Odds courtesy BetOnline (http://www.wagerweb.com).com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 4:20 p.m. ET Sunday.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:44 PM

Monday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Monday's National League games:

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-230, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mets right-hander Daisuke Matsuzaka is 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA in two starts since joining the club.

Hot batting stat: Braves OF B.J. Upton batted .269 in August, his best monthly mark of the season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with a 40 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in Atlanta's last eight series openers.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-124, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright was trounced by the Reds in their previous encounter five days ago, tagged for nine runs on eight hits while lasting just two innings.

Cold batting stat: St. Louis SS Pete Kozma batted .063 with 13 strikeouts in 48 August at-bats.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Reds have won right-hander Mat Latos' last six Monday starts.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (+124, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Charlie Morton limited Milwaukee to an unearned run over 6 2/3 innings last time out, and has put together five consecutive quality starts.

Hot batting stat: Pittsburgh OF Pedro Alvarez has five homers and 11 RBIs in 14 games against the Brewers this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh has won nine of its last 54 games in Milwaukee.

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs (-167, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs left-hander Travis Wood is 1-2 with a 10.93 ERA and five home runs surrendered in 14 career innings against the Marlins.

Cold batting stat: Marlins SS Adeiny Hechavarria batted just .196 with 20 strikeouts in 102 at-bats in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-0 in Miami's last seven road games against teams with losing records.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-172, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Giants left-hander Barry Zito has lost back-to-back starts, allowing 11 runs over 7 2/3 innings in that span.

Hot batting stat: Padres OF Chris Denorfia is 7-for-19 with a homer and five RBIs against Zito.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings in San Diego.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies (+200, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw is 5-2 with a 1.07 ERA and just two home runs surrendered in eight second-half starts.

Cold batting stat: Los Angeles SS Hanley Ramirez batted just .254 with a .293 on-base percentage in 19 games in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers have won Kershaw's last six road starts against teams with losing records.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (-104, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg went the distance on a four-hit shutout - the first of his career - in his last meeting with Philadelphia back on Aug. 11.

Cold batting stat: Phillies SS Jimmy Rollins is just 2-for-16 in his career versus Strasburg.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 55 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: Philadelphia is 19-7 in starter Cole Hamels' last 26 meetings with the Nationals.

Interleague

Toronto Blue Jays at Arizona Diamondbacks (-168, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Brandon McCarthy is 2-1 with a 0.93 ERA over his last four home starts.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays 3B Brett Lawrie finished with 37 hits in August, the highest single-month total of his career.

Weather: Temperatures will exceed 100 under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 35-15-2 in Arizona's last 52 interleague home games against right-handed starters.

** Odds courtesy BetOnline (http://www.wagerweb.com).com

** Odds, probable starters, stats and weather forecast as of 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:44 PM

The Gold Sheet

*Florida St. 22 - PITTSBURGH 17—The post-EJ Manuel era begins at FSU,
and those who wonder about touted RS frosh replacement Jameis Winston
should know that Nole OL coach Rick Trickett told his QB son Clint to transfer
after spring work (which Clint did, to WVU) because he was not going to play
much in Tallahassee. But this is still Winston’s first start, and Jimbo Fisher’s
team failed to cover all five chances with Manuel as visiting chalk LY. Pitt sky-
high for ACC debut, and camp reports positive on new (and ex-Rutgers) QB
Tom Savage.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:44 PM

Winning Points Newsletter

Florida State over Pittsburgh* by 10

FLORIDA STATE 30-20

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:44 PM

Inside The Pressbox Newsletter (Phil Steele)

FLORIDA ST 31 PITTSBURGH 17

These two last met in ‘83, a 17-16 FSU loss. Pitt is 13-3 in home openers. Second year HC Chryst has 13 ret st’rs vs just 11 for FSU which has a first time starting QB on the road. Pitt is a bowl team playing their first ACC game and will be fired up for the national spotlight of a Monday night game. However, FSU has huge edges on offense as well as ST. The Noles despite losing a record 11 players to the draft are still one of the more talented teams in the country and will use this spotlight game to prove they are back as a perennial National Title contender.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:45 PM

The Winners Circle

Monday Football Plays

10* Play Pittsburgh +10.5 over Florida State (TOP NCAA PLAY) 8:00 PM EST

Florida State has lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing as a road favorite and they have also lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of September.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-01-2013, 07:54 PM

northcoast

4 star late phone

florida state-10

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:12 AM

STATFOX

PLATINUM SHEET

Stat Fox Forecaster:
Florida State 28
Pittsburgh 21

• Jimbo Fisher is 21-11 UNDER as a favorite as coach of FLORIDA ST.
• FLORIDA ST is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games.
• The total has gone UNDER in 7 of FLORIDA ST’S last 9 games on the road.

Game Breakdown: FSU and Pitt haven’t played in 30 years. The Noles hope new starting QB Jameis Winston can live up to his potential—he’ll be surrounded by playmakers in the receiving corps. RBs Devonta Freeman and James Wilder combined for 1,300 rushing yards and 19 TDs last year. FSU is replacing their D-line in front of an impressive back seven.

Pitt’s offense is a mess, with transfer Tom Savage under center, no experience at RB and a dicey line. The Panthers nasty D returns nine starters, and should be a strength in 2013.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:13 AM

Norm Hitzges

Single Play

Florida St. -10 1/2 Pittsburgh

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:14 AM

Pittsburgh enters ACC on Monday vs. No. 11 FSU
By: Brian Graham

Kickoff: Monday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Florida State -10, Total: 49.5

Pittsburgh will make a loud entrance into the ACC when it hosts No. 11 Florida State on during Monday's Labor Day holiday.

FSU and Pitt haven’t played in 30 years with the Seminoles having lost three straight to the Panthers since beating them in 1980. Florida State believes redshirt freshman QB Jameis Winston can live up to his potential, as he’ll be surrounded by playmakers in the receiving corps. He'll also have a great ground game to rely on, as RBs Devonta Freeman and James Wilder combined for 1,300 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns last year. FSU has an impressive back seven, but is replacing its entire defensive line. Pitt’s offense is a mess, with Rutgers and Arizona reject Tom Savage replacing Tino Sunseri under center, no experience at running back and a dicey offensive line. However, the Panthers' nasty defense returns nine starters, and should be a strength in 2013. Florida State really struggled last year, both away from home (1-6 ATS) and in the favorite role (5-9 ATS), and is just 13-21 ATS (38%) in ACC play since 2009. In the past two seasons, Pittsburgh has been a strong home wager (9-5 ATS) and has also enjoyed the underdog role (8-4 ATS).

FSU tallied 39.3 PPG last season, good for 10th in the nation. Last year's QB EJ Manuel, who is now playing in the NFL, won’t be easy to replace, but some people think QB Jameis Winston (13-of-15, 205 yds, 2 TD in spring game) could eventually be even better than Manuel. FSU’s best WR Rashad Greene (741 rec. yds, 6 TD) is also a star punt returner (15.4 avg, 3rd in FBS), while WRs Kenny Shaw (532 rec. yds) and Kelvin Benjamin (495 rec. yds, 4 TD) are both very reliable. Green has been bothered by an injured finger, but he is expected to play on Monday night. The ‘Noles will remain run-heavy (206 YPG, 24th in FBS) with junior RBs Devonta Freeman (660 rush yds, 8 TD) and James Wilder Jr. (640 rush yds, 11 TD) rumbling behind an experienced offensive line. New defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt did a fantastic job coaching Alabama’s secondary, and has plenty of talent in the back seven, such as DBs Lamarcus Joyner and Terrence Brooks (51 tackles each), and LB Christian Jones (95 tackles). The Seminoles led the nation in pass defense (162 YPG), finished second in total defense (254 YPG), third in rushing defense (92 YPG) and sixth in scoring defense (14.7 PPG). But FSU lost top CB Xavier Rhodes plus all four D-Line starters, including ACC sack leaders Bjoern Werner and Cornellius Carradine. This is not a team that forces too many turnovers, tying for 90th in FBS with a mere 1.5 takeaways per game.

Pittsburgh enters its first ACC campaign with an offense in shambles. The team's top two offensive players, QB Tino Sunseri and RB Ray Graham, both graduated. Then over the summer, highly-touted RB Rushel Shell, who this offense was supposed to revolve around, transferred to UCLA. After feeling homesick and wanting to be closer to his twin children, he asked to return to Pittsburgh, but wasn't accepted back so he landed with West Virginia. Not all is dire though, as WR Devin Street (975 rec. yds, 5 TD) is a star, and he will be catching passes from 23-year-old senior QB Tom Savage (16 TD, 10 INT at Rutgers) who hasn't played a down in almost three years. Unproven junior RB Isaac Bennett (87 carries, 4.3 YPC in career) should get the bulk of the carries. The nation’s 17th-best defense (331 YPG) is in great shape for new defensive coordinator Matt House, as nine starters return. House oversaw Pitt’s excellent secondary last year (194 pass YPG, 20th in FBS). DT Aaron Donald (18.5 TFL) is a beast, MLB Shane Gordon (6 PD) does it all, and S Jason Hendricks rarely makes mistakes (90 tackles, 6 INT).

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:14 AM

Double Dragon Sports

Florida State

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:15 AM

Z Money Sports

Florida State

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:36 AM

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Latos is 3-2, 1.73 in his last five starts.
-- Morton is 2-0, 1.26 in his last two starts. Thornburg is 0-0, 1.50 in three starts this season.
-- Kershaw is 3-1, 1.21 in his last four starts.
-- Hamels is 2-0, 2.00 in his last six starts. Strasburg is 1-0, 2.60 in his last five.

-- White Sox won last three Quintana starts (1-0, 3.80).
-- Duffy is 2-0, 0.00 (12.2 IP) in his last two starts.
-- Masterson is 1-0, 2.13 in his last two starts. Norris is 1-0, 2.20 in his last three road starts.
-- Clemens allowed one run in six IP in his first '13 start.
-- Holland is 1-0, 2.18 in his last five starts.
-- Archer is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts. Angels won four of five Richards home starts (2-0, 3.90).

Cold pitchers
-- Matsuzaka is 0-2, 8.68 in two starts this season. Maholm is 0-3, 8.03 in his last five starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-3, 4.89 in his last seven starts.
-- Miami lost last five Alvarez starts (0-2, 5.74). Wood is 1-3, 4.42 in his last six starts.
-- Bettis is 0-3, 6.60 in six starts this season.
-- Zito is 0-4, 10.27 in his last six starts. Kennedy is 1-1, 6.19 in his last three.

-- Rogers is 0-3, 10.42 in his last five starts. McCarthy is 1-4, 5.47 in his last five starts.

-- Hughes is 0-4, 7.23 in his last five starts.
-- Lackey is 1-5, 3.93 in his last eight starts. Fister is 1-2, 5.70 in his last four.
-- Hernandez is 0-3, 10.29 in his last three starts.
-- Albers is 0-1, 7.11 in his last two starts.
-- Straily is 1-4, 5.32 in his last seven starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Matsuzaka 1-2; Maholm 6-22
-- Wainwright 8-28 (4 of last 8); Latos 9-27 (1 of last 8)
-- Morton 2-14 (0 of last 6); Thornburg 1-3
-- Alvarez 1-10; Wood 4-27
-- Zito 8-23; Kennedy 9-26 (0 of 5 with SD)
-- Kershaw 2-28 (0 of last 8); Bettis 4-6
-- Strasburg 6-26 (1 of last 8); Hamels 4-28 (0 of last 7)

-- Rogers 5-15; McCarthy 6-16

-- Quintana 9-27; Hughes 8-25 (3 of last 4)
-- Fister 6-27 (! of last 9); Lackey 10-24 (4 of last 7)
-- Hernandez 4-28 (1 of last 15); Duffy 1-3
-- Albers 1-4; Clemens 0-1
-- Norris 10-27 (3 of last 4); Masterson 5-28
-- Holland 4-27; Straily 5-22
-- Archer 3-17; Richards 2-11

Totals
-- Nine of last eleven Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six St Louis road games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Milwaukee games.
-- Six of last eight Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Last three games at Coors Field went over the total. Four of Dodgers' last five games stayed under.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Washington games.

-- 15 of last 20 Toronto games stayed under the total.

-- Nine of last thirteen White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Boston games went over the total.
-- Last four Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games, seven of last eight Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last twelve Oakland games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Angel games.

Hot teams
-- Atlanta won six of its last seven games. Mets won three of their last four.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last twelve games. Rockies won six of their last nine games.
-- Nationals won nine of their last twelve games.

-- Arizona won six of its last nine home games. Toronto won five of last seven.

-- Bronx won nine of its last fourteen games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last eight games; Detroit won three of last four.
-- Royals won six of their last eight games.
-- A's won seven of their last nine games; Texas won four of last six.
-- Angels won eight of their last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost six of their last nine games. St Louis lost three of last four.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last seven home games. Pirates are 3-5 in their last eight games overall.
-- Marlins lost ten of their last twelve games. Cubs lost eight of last twelve.
-- San Diego lost five of its last six games. Giants are 6-8 in their last 14.
-- Phillies lost three of their last four games.

-- White Sox lost their last three games.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games. Houston lost six of last eight.
-- Indians lost five of their last six games. Orioles lost seven of their last nine away games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last eight games.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:37 AM

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at LA Angels

The Rays look to snap a four-game losing streak and take advantage of an Angels team that is 0-7 in its last 7 home games against a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 2
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: NY Mets at Atlanta (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 14.649; Atlanta (Maholm) 16.133
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); Over

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.217; Cincinnati (Latos) 15.408
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.663; Milwaukee (Thornburg) 15.711
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+110); Under

Game 907-908: Miami at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.137; Cubs (Wood) 15.534
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-150); N/A

Game 909-910: San Francisco at San Diego (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 14.389; San Diego (Kennedy) 15.784
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155); Under

Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.932; Colorado (Bettis) 16.366
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+170); Over

Game 913-914: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 14.100; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.132
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 14.909; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.581
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over

Game 917-918: Detroit at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 16.365; Boston (Lackey) 15.321
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under

Game 919-920: Seattle at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.747; Kansas City (Duffy) 14.375
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over

Game 921-922: Minnesota at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Albers) 14.082; Houston (Clemens) 15.156
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+105); Over

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Cleveland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 14.604; Cleveland (Masterson) 16.085
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-140); Under

Game 925-926: Texas at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 16.179; Oakland (Straily) 15.014
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-110); Under

Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.514; LA Angels (Richards) 15.207
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Over

Game 929-930: Toronto at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 13.957; Arizona (McCarthy) 15.374
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-150); Under

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:38 AM

WNBA Basketball Picks

Los Angeles at Atlanta

The Sparks look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is coming off an 85-68 loss at Chicago and is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games following a SU defeat. Los Angeles is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 2
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: Los Angeles at Atlanta (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 116.541; Atlanta 112.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 155
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2); Over

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:40 AM

Today's CFL Picks

Edmonton at Calgary

The Stampeders look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 September games. Calgary is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 21. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-8). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 2
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (9/1)

Game 235-236: Edmonton at Calgary (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 106.793; Calgary 127.646
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 21; 53
Vegas Line: Calgary by 8; 57
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-8); Under

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:42 AM

Cappers Access

(CFB) Pittsburgh +11

(MLB) Royals +120

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:43 AM

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1089-819(57 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner 7-2 run MON: College Pittsburgh + 11 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:45 AM

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Red Sox -140

Kansas City -115

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:49 AM

CFL

Week 10

Edmonton (1-7) @ Calgary (6-2)—Stampeders were 4-0 vs provincial rivals LY, with three wins by 3 or less points; they’re 12-3 in last 15 series games, winning seven of last nine played here, with five of those seven wins by 23+ points. Eskimos lost last six games but covered last two, pair of losses by FG each; they’re 2-2 as road dogs this year, losing on foreign soil by 10-5-3 points, with win at Hamilton. Calgary is 3-0 as home favorite this year, winning by 12-11-15 points (3-0 as home favorites); dogs are 5-4 vs spread in last nine series games played here. Five of six Stampeder wins this year are by 11+ points; they’re +9 in turnovers the last four weeks, with seven takeaways in last two games. Four of last five series games went over total, as did seven of eight Edmonton games this season.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:52 AM

MLB

Monday, September 2

September good/bad month pitchers

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of September.

On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in September team starts, winning 33 percent or less of their efforts.

To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each September over the last three years.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Homer Bailey (11-5)

If Cincinnati is going to catch Pittsburgh or St. Louis in the NL Central or host the Wild Card game, they will need Bailey to close strong like he has in other September’s in the past. Bailey is at his best when he is focused and gets his arm in the right slot, which adds speed to his fastball and improves his cutter.

Joe Blanton (11-2)

Has been taken out of the starting rotation after compiling a 2-14 record and 6.12 ERA.

Trevor Cahill (12-3)

The right-hander has largely been ineffective all year (5-10, 4.39 ERA) and it is difficult to imagine he will make many positive contributions to Arizona in the final month of the season in spite of his past.

Doug Fister (10-5)

Except for a rough period in early July, Fister has been consistent, giving the Detroit offense a chance by keeping his team in games. When he’s on, Fister’s two-seam sinks, the big curveball breaks downward and the change-up fades from right-hand hitters.

Yovanni Gallardo (12-4)

Having the worst year of his career due to losing 2-3 MPH on his fastball. After four straight years of 200+ strikeouts, sitting at 114 entering this month playing on a mediocre club.

Freddy Garcia (7-3)

On August 23 was traded from Baltimore to Atlanta. Most likely mop-up duty for the Braves, if and when he sees the mound.

Gio Gonzalez (12-4)

After a 21-win season a year ago, Gonzalez has come back to career norms. If the left-hander is to finish with a flourish, he will have to do better than have a 1.94 difference in road/home ERA like he has this year.

Mark Guthrie (10-4)

Since his complete game back on August 5, Guthrie has allowed 38 hits over 24 innings and has not fooled many batters. Needs to get back on track where his pitchers were sinking consistently in the strike zone in the first part of the season.

Roy Halladay (11-4)

After missing three and half months, Halladay has started twice and seen his ERA sink to a still unsavory 7.94. At 36 with continued shoulder and arm miseries the past few years, hard to imagine he turns into the pitcher of the past, nonetheless, he knows how to throw, which gives Harry (real first name) Halladay a chance.

Jason Hammel (7-3)

Pitched August 29 in minor stint and is hoping for comeback for the DL to help Baltimore in a return to the postseason.

Derek Holland (11-5)

A dependable starter who has a 2.78 ERA in his past 10 outings and is a true four-pitch starter. Besides a low to mid 90’s fastball, Holland ruins foes' bat speed with a quality curve and changeup. Also does one of the better Harry Carry impersonations.

Phillip Hughes (8-4)

Having a miserable campaign at 4-13 and body language suggests he lacks confidence. Nothing more than a two-pitch starter and opposing hitters sit on one pitch or the other. Might need a change of scenery unless he finds magic late.

Ian Kennedy (11-4)

After a 21-4 campaign in 2011, Kennedy is under .500 since and was dealt from Arizona while they were still in the wild card race. Has been permitting about a hit an inning the past two years after being in the 0.835 range of base knocks per three outs the previous two years. He is tough to hit when commanding both sides of the plate.

Cliff Lee (11-4)

Lack of run support has caused this veteran lefty about four wins in 2013. Lee turned 35 in late August and can still dominate on occasion, just not quite as often. Could have helped a playoff contender, instead, stuck in Philly, though he likes it there.

Rick Porcello (9-4)

Porcello lacks a real “out” pitch and has to rely on his fielders to help him. Playing in Detroit assures him of run support, but for the most part, he keeps the Tigers in games and provides them an opportunity to win.

David Price (14-3)

Price has been right since coming off the DL and has a 2.45 ERA in his past 10 starts. He owns batters in the left side of the box, who are hitting .190 against his tosses. Oddly, has an ERA almost one run lower on the road than at home which explains his bulldog intensity.

Justin Verlander (12-4)

Not having a typical year, with punch-outs down and opponents hitting a slightly slower fastball with less movement. If the Tigers are near or clinch the AL Central in the latter stages of September, might not be a bad idea for manager Jim Leyland to have Verlander miss a start.

Jered Weaver (11-4)

The Angels might be playing golf in early October; nonetheless, every five days until the end of the season, they will have a chance to win with Weaver climbing the hill. Incredibly reliable.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Bruce Chen (5-11)

After being very effective out of the bullpen, manager Ned Yost needed a fifth starter and returned the veteran Chen to the rotation. He pitched well for several starts, yet recently has been batted around of late and might be tiring and have similar late season results.

Jeff Francis (2-10)

Doing one-inning stints every five to seven days since being called up by Colorado at the end of July.

Luke Hochevar (4-9)

Has worked out of the Kansas City pen almost all year and might have found a niche with a 1.86 ERA for the year.

Travis Wood (3-10)

Has pitched better than 8-10 record indicates and has 3.09 ERA, which is certainly respectable. The opposition is hitting only .214 against him; however, playing on another bad Chicago Cubs squad will not help Wood’s record no matter how well he throws.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:54 AM

NFL line watch: Bucs fans should jump on line now

Spread To Bet Now

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) at New York Jets

If you're a Tampa Bay fan, you may want to jump on this line now as I believe it could climb a bit higher (note that it did open at 2.5), as the public backs the Bucs due to the QB issues surrounding the Jets.

New York's starting QB Mark Sanchez suffered a deep right shoulder bruise and has been deemed unlikely to play in the opener. That of course means that rookie Geno Smith is going to get his shot. So if Sanchez is in fact sitting, the Jets offense will be a scaled-back version with Smith under center.

With the public backing the veteran pivot, this line climbs a bit higher come gameday.

Spread To Wait On

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars

If you're a Jacksonville Jaguars fan, I'd recommend waiting a bit closer to game time to wager as I expect this line to climb a bit with the public jumping on the new look Chiefs (note this line opened at 3 and has since climbed to 4).

The Jags won 20-16 in Atlanta in their final warm up, coming into the regular season with some confidence and a tiny bit of momentum. Jacksonville was just 2-14 last year and needs a quick start with two "winnable" games to open the season. That said, WR Justin Blackmon will sit the first four games and the first team offense and line have yet to play together at the same time this preseason.

New Kansas City QB Alex Smith looks pretty enticing to bettors in this matchup; expect this line to creep a bit higher.

Total Watch

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (48.5)

These division opponents actually played three times in 2012. New York won 31-14 on January 1 (total stayed "under" 48). Dallas won 24-17 on October 5th (total stayed "under" 45.5). New York won 29-24 on November 28th (total went "over" 47.5). The Giants were 1-3 in the preseason, scoring 71 total points, while the Cowboys were 2-3, mustering just 78. This line is currently higher than any set in 2012. With each team's offense struggling coming into the 2013 campaign, and with a recent history of playing to tighter, lower-scoring affairs, this number is likely to drop a bit. Get down now if you like the "under", or wait if you're going to play the "over".

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 08:54 AM

College football odds: Week 2 opening line report

Beginning Thursday and finishing up Monday, Week 1 has been filled with the brand of excitement we have come to expect from NCAA ball.

But let's look ahead to Week 2 of the season. A week which boasts a few big-time matchups.

Here’s an early look at several important games, with help from Peter Korner, founder of the Las Vegas oddsmaking firm The Sports Club.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Bulldogs (-6)

Georgia (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) suffered a tough 38-35 loss to Clemson as the Bulldogs opened the season on the wrong foot. Mark Richt and Co. will look to right the ship in the home opener in Athens in Week 2, but things won't get easier with the South Carolina Gamecocks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) in town.

"This is going to be a great game obviously," Korner told Covers. "We've got five guys that do the numbers and our range was pretty good. We were all between 5.5 and 6.5 Georgia and I put it at 6."

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)

The Irish (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) head into the Big House following a fairly lackluster performance at home against the Temple Owls. The Irish defense was not overly sharp as the Owls tallied 25 first downs and 362 total yards, running the ball effectively.

"Notre Dame had a good game, but it wasn't something that overwhelmed us," says Korner. "We did have a variety of numbers anywhere from a pick 'em to Michigan -6. That -6 kind of stood out there a little bit too far and I threw the pick 'em and the 6 away and the rest of us were at 2, 2.5 and 3.5 so we'll put it at Michigan -2.5."

Florida Gators (-2.5) at Miami Hurricanes
Florida (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) RB Mack Brown led the assault on Toledo as he rushed for 112 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the 24-6 victory over the Rockets to open the season. The competition gets ramped up a notch in Week 2 as the Gators face a tougher test versus in-state rivals The U.

"We had ranges from 1.5 up to 6.5 on Florida," said Korner. On the road here we put it just below the 3 and we've got it at Florida -2.5 and it's going to be a really competitive game. Not necessarily a high-scoring game, but it should be a 26-24 or 24-21 type of game."

West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma Sooners (-19)
The Sooners (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) beat up on an overmatched UL Monroe squad. The Sooners defense pitched a shutout and looked like a well-oiled machine versus an experienced Warhawks offense. That's a very promising performance for Sooners fans.

"We had this as low as 14 and as high as 21," claims Korner. "The guys that had the higher numbers had the best arguments and I like the high end of this. We put out Oklahoma -19 and, basically, they shouldn't have any problem with this game."

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:34 AM

bookiemonsters

141-90 run

17-7-1 run last 25 plays

pod braves under 8.5

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:35 AM

Beat Your Bookie

10* Play Atlanta -200 over NY Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)
1:00 PM EST
Atlanta is 84-55 in day games the last three seasons
Atlanta is 35-18 when playing in the 2nd half of the season

10* Play San Diego -150 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY)
3:30 PM EST
Barry Zito is 2-11 when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher
Barry Zito is 0-8 in road games this season with an ERA of +100 or higher

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:35 AM

Beat Your Bookie

10* Play Pittsburgh +10 over Florida State (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
8:00 PM EST
Florida State is 17-28 ATS when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Florida State is 11-19 ATS when playing in the 1sttwo weeks of the season

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:35 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO

Play On - Home teams (SAN DIEGO) with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
78-35 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.0% 36.0 units )
9-7 this year. ( 56.3% 0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB SEATTLE at KANSAS CITY

SEATTLE is 15-7 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

The average score was: SEATTLE (4.9) , OPPONENT (4.1)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:36 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA LOS ANGELES at ATLANTA

Play On - Home teams (ATLANTA) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games
34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% 21.9 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -2.3 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at ATLANTA

Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) in a game involving two average defensive teams (40.5-43.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game)
83-41 since 1997. ( 66.9% 0.0 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at ATLANTA

Play Against - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LOS ANGELES) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games
118-64 since 1997. ( 64.8% 47.6 units )
8-1 this year. ( 88.9% 6.9 units )

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:37 AM

Baseball Crusher
Boston Red Sox -125 over Detroit Tigers
(System Record: 73-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 73-76-2

Football Crusher
Pittsburgh +10.5 over Florida St
(System Record: 8-0, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 8-5

Soccer Crusher
Belgrano + Atletico Rafaela UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 448-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 448-388-59

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:41 AM

Paul Leiner

100* Pirates -130

50* Rangers -115

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:44 AM

JOE WIZ Free Play

Monday... In Baseball play Over 7 runs Tampa Bay and L.A. Angels

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:50 AM

XpertPicks

Monday Football

Play Pittsburgh +10 over Florida State
8:00 PM EST

Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 9 of the last 14 home games and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 14 games vs. conference opponents. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 4 of the last 6 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points and they averaged 36 points a game on offense at home last season.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:58 AM

College football odds: Week 2 opening line report

It's certainly good to have college football back in the fold.

Beginning Thursday and finishing up Monday, Week 1 has been filled with the brand of excitement we have come to expect from NCAA ball.

But let's look ahead to Week 2 of the season. A week which boasts a few big-time matchups.

Here’s an early look at several important games, with help from Peter Korner, founder of the Las Vegas oddsmaking firm The Sports Club.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Bulldogs (-6)

Georgia (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) suffered a tough 38-35 loss to Clemson as the Bulldogs opened the season on the wrong foot. Mark Richt and Co. will look to right the ship in the home opener in Athens in Week 2, but things won't get easier with the South Carolina Gamecocks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) in town.

"This is going to be a great game obviously," Korner told Covers. "We've got five guys that do the numbers and our range was pretty good. We were all between 5.5 and 6.5 Georgia and I put it at 6."

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)

The Irish (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) head into the Big House following a fairly lackluster performance at home against the Temple Owls. The Irish defense was not overly sharp as the Owls tallied 25 first downs and 362 total yards, running the ball effectively.

"Notre Dame had a good game, but it wasn't something that overwhelmed us," says Korner. "We did have a variety of numbers anywhere from a pick 'em to Michigan -6. That -6 kind of stood out there a little bit too far and I threw the pick 'em and the 6 away and the rest of us were at 2, 2.5 and 3.5 so we'll put it at Michigan -2.5."

Florida Gators (-2.5) at Miami Hurricanes

Florida (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) RB Mack Brown led the assault on Toledo as he rushed for 112 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the 24-6 victory over the Rockets to open the season. The competition gets ramped up a notch in Week 2 as the Gators face a tougher test versus in-state rivals The U.

"We had ranges from 1.5 up to 6.5 on Florida," said Korner. On the road here we put it just below the 3 and we've got it at Florida -2.5 and it's going to be a really competitive game. Not necessarily a high-scoring game, but it should be a 26-24 or 24-21 type of game."

West Virginia Mountaineers at Oklahoma Sooners (-19)

The Sooners (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) beat up on an overmatched UL Monroe squad. The Sooners defense pitched a shutout and looked like a well-oiled machine versus an experienced Warhawks offense. That's a very promising performance for Sooners fans.

"We had this as low as 14 and as high as 21," claims Korner. "The guys that had the higher numbers had the best arguments and I like the high end of this. We put out Oklahoma -19 and, basically, they shouldn't have any problem with this game."

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 09:59 AM

Clemson's win over UGA shuffles BCS Championship odds

The Clemson Tigers’ big Week 1 victory over the Georgia Bulldogs has shuffled the ACC power’s BCS Championship futures odds, moving Clemson from 25-1 to 15-1 at the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas.

The Tigers defeated the Bulldogs 38-35 as 1.5-point home underdogs Saturday night. Georgia, which opened the season among the BCS favorites, plummets from 12-1 to 30-1 to win the national title.

Alabama, the two-time defending national title winner, had its futures trimmed after a convincing 35-10 win over Virginia Tech in Week 1. The Crimson Tide moved from +250 to +225, with Georgia’s loss sending ripples through the rest of the SEC. Texas A&M (15-1 from 12-1), LSU (25-1 from 20-1) and Florida (30-1 from 25-1) all had their odds go up a tick with Alabama’s closest competition now all but out of the national title running.

Michigan was among the more notable adjustments to the BCS futures following Week 1. The Wolverines had their priced chopped in half, jumping from 50-1 to 25-1 following a 59-9 blasting of Central Michigan on the weekend.

Oregon State came into the season as a 100-1 long shot to win the BCS title but a loss to FCS Eastern Washington knocks them to 9999-1. The same goes for Kansas State, which opened 300-1 but is now 9999-1 after falling to FCS kings North Dakota State.

Here’s a look at the full list BCS futures heading into Week 2 (courtesy of the LVH Superbook):

ALABAMA 9-4
OREGON 6
GEORGIA 30
TEXAS A&M 15
OHIO ST 9-2
LSU 20
SOUTH CAROLINA 20
FLORIDA 30
CLEMSON 15
TEXAS 15
OKLAHOMA ST 25
STANFORD 15
NOTRE DAME 40
MICHIGAN 25
USC 60
UCLA 50
FLORIDA ST 20
OREGON ST 9999
ARIZONA ST 100
NEBRASKA 30
OKLAHOMA 25
LOUISVILLE 30
BYU 9999
VIRGINIA TECH 1000
TEXAS TECH 500
ARIZONA 1000
BOISE ST 9999
MICHIGAN ST 100
UTAH 1000
TCU 500
BAYLOR 100
NORTH CAROLINA 9999
ARKANSAS 1000
WISCONSIN 60
NORTHWESTERN 300
WASHINGTON 100
FRESNO ST 200
CINCINNATI 200
VANDERBILT 9999
MISSOURI 500
OLE MISS 100
AUBURN 200
TENNESSEE 500
NORTH CAROLINA ST 1000
KANSAS ST 9999
GEORGIA TECH 1000
MISSISSIPPI ST 5000
IOWA 9999
WEST VIRGINIA 2000
FIELD 50

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:29 AM

North Coast

Monday Night Marquee - Under Pitt/Florida St

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:30 AM

Jimmy Boyd

4* (NCAAF) Florida State -10

3* (MLB) Detroit Tigers ML +120

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:30 AM

CHRIS JORDAN 100 Pitt Panthers

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:30 AM

CHASE DIAMOND

8* KILLER CLUB

Baltimore vs. Cleveland
Money Line: Cleveland-133

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:31 AM

ATS Insiders Club

CFB
Florida St./Pittsburgh - under 49

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:32 AM

TheSportsCapper Football

MONDAY

100* Play Calgary -8.5 over Edmonton (CFL TOP PLAY)

Edmonton has lost 19 of the last 28 games when playing as an underdog and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games when playing in the month of September. Edmonton has lost 16 of the last 24 road games and they are allowing an average of 29 points a game on the road this season.

50* Play Pittsburgh +10.5 over Florida State (NCAA BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:32 AM

The Winners Circle

Monday Football Plays

10* Play Pittsburgh +10 over Florida State (TOP NCAA PLAY) 8:00 PM EST

Florida State has lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing as a road favorite and they have also lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of September.

5* Play Calgary -8.5 over Edmonton (BONUS CFL PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 10:33 AM

The Winners Circle

MONDAY BASEBALL PLAYS

10* Play Atlanta -200 over New York Mets MLB TOP PLAY

Daisuke Matsuzaka has lost 8 consecutive games when pitching as an underdog of +150 or higher and he has lost 7 of the last 9 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Daisuke Matsuzaka has lost 5 consecutive games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 0-2 in all starts this season with an ERA of 8.68.

5* Play Arizona -150 over Toronto MLB TOP PLAY
5* Play NY Yankees -155 over Chicago White Sox MLB TOP PLAY

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 11:09 AM

9xSports

(MLB) 1:10PM ST.LOUIS CARDINALS+101

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 11:27 AM

The Philly Godfather

My Moves

CFB [219] FLORIDA STATE -9½-115: 200

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 11:29 AM

cashmyticket365

PITT +11
PITT ML

Indians
Rangers
Rays

golden contender

09-02-2013, 12:23 PM

Labor Day Monday card has 5 Big Plays, 4 in MLB and the 100% College Football totals play. MLB Top plays are a 5* Blowout system that is Perfect and Wins by 5 runs per game. There are also 90% road warrior and Early Double system sides and a 91% Totals system. Sunday card cashes big. Free MLB System Play below.

On Monday the free MLB System Play is on Arizona. Game 930 at 4:10 eastern. This game applies to a nice 13-2 system for Arizona and all home favorites that lost their last game by 5 or more runs as a home favorite while scoring 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits and are now taking on an opponent off a home loss that scored 4 or less runs. Toronto has lost 5 of the last 6 on the road off a home loss. Arizona is averaging 5.7 runs the past week and have won 10 of 13 as a home favorite from -150 to -175. Arizona B. McCarthy has better number than Toronto starter M. Redmond who has struggled on the road. Look for Arizona to take the opener and come away with a Labor day win. On Monday we have a superb card with the 100% College Football Totals Play and 4 Big MLB Selections, One is a 5* Blowout System that has won by an average 5 runs per game. The other is a 90% road warrior system and also a Double System Early Winner. In Totals action we have a 91% System an MLB Totals have cashed near 80% the last 8 weeks. Cashing another 5* Total on Sunday and winning with Louisville in NCAAF Jump on now and start the week and Month Big. For the free play take Arizona. GC

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:32 PM

Goodfella

Monday MLB Team Total

PITTSBURGH PIRATES OVER 4.5 RUNS (@BOL)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:33 PM

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Sunday with the 2nd "Chalkest" game on the board the Braves -$225/Marlins.

For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Cubs -$150/Marlins.

"Mr Chalk" is 90-51 +$1000 for the 2013 MLB season.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:34 PM

bookieshunter

2* balt/clev under 8.5
2* lad -1.5
1* cincy ml

1* florida st -9.5 (cfb)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:35 PM

Pablosky

N.Y. Yakees -1.5 (+135)
Minnesota - Houston under 8.5
Dodgers - Colorado under 9

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:36 PM

Michael Tang
Totals4you
Moneygang

1* (10:05am PST)
New York Yankees ML @-160
Risk $1,600 to win $1,000

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:38 PM

Bryan Leonard MLB Money Line Mon, 09/02/13 - 4:05 PM

double-dime bet - 925 TEX (-105) vs 926 OAK
Derek Holland goes into this start against the Oakland A's with a lot of confidence. He'll be opposed by Dan Straily, who has been very inconsistent for the Athletics this season. Holland is 5-0 with a 2.25 ERA over his last nine starts against the A's. His Rangers are on a tear, winning 13 of their last 14, to overtake the A's for the AL West crown. Holland has pitched in big games before, while this is a high-pressure situation for Straily. Holland is having the bounceback season that most people expected and owns a 2.82 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in eight starts since the All-Star Break.

Dan Straily was 0-5 with a 5.20 ERA over seven starts before his team gave him 14 runs of support in his last start. Straily was able to scatter 10 baserunners over six innings for his first win since being recalled from Triple-A. Since he's unlikely to get that kind of run support against Holland, a lot of pressure will be on Straily, who owns a 5.63 ERA in three starts against Texas in his career.

We like what Holland has done against the Athletics and we're not sure what kind of start to get out of Straily, which makes the Rangers an attractive play here in a very big spot for both teams.

PLAY: TEXAS

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:40 PM

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals - MARINERS -1.5 (+160)
Listed Pitchers: Hernandez vs Duffy
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.20 units)

2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers - UNDER 8.5 RUNS (+105)
Listed Pitchers: Morton vs Thornburg
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.10 units)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:42 PM

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Seattle at Kansas City (2:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Kansas City -103 (moneyline) at Bookmaker

The Kansas City Royals are a young team on the climb. For the fist time in a long time, they will be playing meaningful games to start September. They are catching a poor Seattle team with their ace, Felix Hernandez, struggling. Hernandez has dropped his last three starts none of which were uglier than his last one where he yielded 9 runs on 11 hits, lasting just three innings. Danny Duffy has given the Royals' rotation a lift at 2-0 with a 1.10 ERA, and has not yielded a single run in his last two starts. Hernandez is not only struggling in the moment, he has an extended stretch of struggling when facing a winning team where the Mariners are just 5-16 in his last 21. The Royals own a 7-0 mark behind Duffy in his last seven starts vs. a losing team. Go with Kansas City.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:43 PM

Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

ST. Louis Cardinals

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09-02-2013, 12:44 PM

MajorCovers

Florida State -10.5

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09-02-2013, 12:46 PM

baseball33

MLB

Colorado Rockies +2

Detroit Tigers +1

New York Yankees -1

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09-02-2013, 12:47 PM

SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks - 9/2

Pittsburgh +11.5

no play for SBP 3.0 NCAAF

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:50 PM

TMC Sports Advisors

Mets / Braves Under 8.5

Oakland -105

Cubs Chicago -150

San Diego Padres -150

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 12:53 PM

Hondo

Hondo: Buc’s the system

Hondo, fresh off a pair of 2-1 heartbreakers Saturday night with the Twins and Pods, bounced back beautifully yesterday with the Royals, who brought down the Blue Jays to lower the debt to 1,385 faces.

Today, Mr. Aitch will try to brew up a winner in Milwaukee with the Pirates — 20 units on Morton, that old salt.

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 01:08 PM

Profitbets

CROATIA:
Lok Zagreb Ov 2.5 (*3)

PORTUGAL:
Estrolli ML (*5)

YANKEES ML (*4)

PIRATES ML (*4)

NATIONALS ML (*3)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 01:08 PM

Matt Fargo 10* Enforcer

Florida State

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09-02-2013, 01:36 PM

Sam Martin RL Demolition

LA Dodgers -1.5

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09-02-2013, 01:36 PM

Matt Fargo 10* Ultimate Underdog

Philadelphia

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09-02-2013, 01:37 PM

Scott Spreitzer Afternoon Annihilator

Cleveland

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09-02-2013, 01:37 PM

EAGLE EYE--Randy Rose
Wash Nationals-122
Florida St / Pitt Over 49
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09-02-2013, 01:38 PM

Erin Rynning 20 MLB GOM D'Backs

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09-02-2013, 01:38 PM

Root: Pittsburgh Millionaire

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09-02-2013, 01:39 PM

BIGFELLA
Spittin-Winners

CFB

8:00p

$2 PITTSBURGH PANTHERS +350 ML $200/$700

$3 PITTSBURGH PANTHERS +10½ $330/$300

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 01:42 PM

SportsCashSystem

free picks:

Milwaukee Brewers +116 over the Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB Baseball)

Detroit Tigers +119 over the Boston Red Sox (MLB Baseball)

Cleveland Indians / Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8 (Total Runs Scored in Game) (MLB Baseball)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 01:44 PM

Umpire UNDER streakers 72-24-8 (75%)

Cooper 13-3-1 L17 (BOS/DET)

West 10-2-2 L14 (HOU/MIN)

Danley 14-3-1 L18 (KC/SEA)

Can'tPickAWinner

09-02-2013, 01:49 PM

BIG AL

BASEBALL 3-GAME PACKAGE!
At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Red Sox[/B] over the Detroit Tigers. Righthander Doug Fister has been very good for the Tigers most of the time this season however once or twice a month, Fister throws in a clunker. And when Fister is off, he's really off. There's little middle ground for the 29-year-old, as in his last start when he stunk it up pretty good against the A's, allowing seven runs on 13 hits in just five innings in 14-4 drubbing. Then there was the last time Fister faced tonight's opponents when on June 21, Fister suffered his worst loss of the season, surrendering six runs on 11 hits in just 3 1/3 innings. That one was at home and today he has to venture into Fenway and his team has to face a pretty good pitcher in righthander John Lackey, and they probably will face him without their top player as MVP Miguel Cabrera continues to have an abdominal issue and will probably sit out this afternoon. Lackey's been the victim of very little run support, but most of that has been on the road as the Red Sox have scored just three runs in his last three starts away from Fenway. At home, they've been much more productive, plating a total of 15 in Lackey's last three in Beantown. Lifetime vs. Detroit, Lackey is 6-2 with a 3.87 ERA. Take the Sox.

At 2:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Cubs[/B] over the Miami Marlins.
Travis Wood has been quite a find for the Cubs this season. The young southpaw came to Chicago in an off-season trade with Cincinnati at the end of 2011 that hardly anyone noticed and he didn't do much last year in his first season in a Cubs uniform, winning just six times in 26 starts with a 4.27 ERA. But if you looked a little closer, you would have noticed a WHIP of just 1.2 as Wood allowed just 133 hits in 156 innings indicating a possible breakout was on the horizon, and break out is exactly what Wood has done this year. He's still in search of a winning record with an 8-10 ledger in 27 starts, but Wood has lowered his ERA more than a run to 3.09 and he's even improved on that solid WHIP with a 1.10 mark so far. Wood ended August on a positive note with a win against the Dodgers in his last start. He gave up one unearned run over seven innings and struck out six but perhaps most impressively, Wood actually out-pitched the best lefthander in the league (many would say the best pitcher period), Clayton Kershaw in the process. The Cubs are 5-1 in the last six meetings with Miami. Take Chicago.

At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks[/B] over the Toronto Blue Jays. Righthander Brandon McCarthy struggled quite a bit coming off of the DL, but in his last start, the veteran that the D-Backs signed in the off-season finally looked like pitcher Arizona figured they were getting when they signed him to a two year deal. McCarthy tossed seven innings of near-flawless ball, allowing one runs (zero earned) on five hits in a 6-1 victory at home last Monday over the Padres. Time is running out on the D-Backs who are almost a dozen games back in the NL West and falling out of Wild Card contention as well, but at least if McCarthy can turn things around in the last month it will bode well for this team next season. Here is a great opportunity to make it back-to-back strong outings as the Blue Jays are without four offensive starters right now as Jose Bautista, Melky Cabrera, Colby Rasmus, and Maicer Izturis are all on the DL. After looking like a major find earlier in the season finishing the month of June with a 3.12 ERA, Toronto righthander Esmil Rogers has completely imploded since then, going 0-4 in his next ten starts and seeing his ERA rise all the way to 5.03 after his last outing which was out of the pen due to his struggles. Oddly, that 5.03 ERA is exactly the same mark that McCarthy has coming into this afternoon, but clearly these are two pitchers heading in very different directions. Take the D-Backs.