9-4-13

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::clap::

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Wednesday's MLB American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's American League games:

Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros (-110, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Astros right-hander Jordan Lyles has surrendered five home runs over his last two starts.

Hot batting stat: Houston 2B Jose Altuve had as many hits in his first two games in September (seven) than he had in his final 11 games in August.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Twins are just 8-25 in their last 33 Wednesday games.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (+111, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers right-hander Yu Darvish is 4-2 with a 2.11 ERA and a league-leading 79 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: Athletics 3B Josh Donaldson hasn't been able to solve Darvish, going 1-for-8 with six strikeouts against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 13-3-1 in Darvish's last 17 starts.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians (OFF, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Indians right-hander Zach McAllister was shelled in his previous outing against Detroit, surrendering five runs on six hits over 3 2/3 innings of a 7-2 loss.

Hot batting stat: Orioles SS J.J. Hardy has three hits, including a double and a homer, in six at-bats lifetime against McAllister.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: Cleveland is 1-5 in its last six games against a left-handed starter.

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (-182, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Yankees left-hander C.C. Sabathia is 28-16 lifetime in September, while his 2.83 ERA is the lowest of any month.

Cold batting stat: White Sox DH Adam Dunn is just 5-for-32 with 12 strikeouts against Sabathia.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: New York is 8-2 in its last 10 games with umpire Bruce Dreckman behind home plate.

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-129, 10)

Cold pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander Ryan Dempster has struggled at Fenway Park in 2013, going 5-7 with a 4.93 ERA in 17 starts there.

Hot batting stat: Members of the Boston roster are hitting a sizzling .370 with two homers in 46 career at-bats against Detroit starter Rick Porcello.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Detroit is 8-2 in Porcello's last 10 starts.

Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals (-168, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Royals right-hander Ervin Santana is 0-2 in his last five starts while surrendering five home runs over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: Mariners 3B Kyle Seager is 3-for-19 against Santana.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-0 in Seattle's last seven Wednesday games.

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels (-133, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Jeremy Hellickson is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in three starts and one relief appearance against the Angels.

Hot batting stat: Tampa Bay sluggers Evan Longoria, Ben Zobrist and James Loney are all hitting better than .330 lifetime against Los Angeles starter Jered Weaver.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under clear skies, Wind will blow out to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 12-2-2 in Hellickson's last 16 starts against the American League West.

Odds, stats, probable starters and weather forecast as of 7:30 p.m. ET Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Wednesday's National League games:

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-160, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Dillon Gee limited the Braves to two hits over seven shutout innings in their last encounter back on July 22.

Cold batting stat: Braves 2B Dan Uggla has struggled against Gee over his career, recording just four hits while striking out five times in 26 at-bats.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 14-6 in New York's last 20 Wednesday games.

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs (-165, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija is 3-5 with a 4.70 ERA in 15 home starts.

Cold batting stat: Marlins OF Giancarlo Stanton is hitless in seven at-bats against Samardzija.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 11-2 in Samardzija's last 13 home starts.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-102, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Giants right-hander Tim Lincecum has dominated the Padres historically, going 12-6 with a 2.21 ERA and 192 strikeouts over 166 2/3 career innings.

Hot batting stat: Members of the San Francisco roster are hitting a combined .322 in 146 at-bats against Padres left-hander Eric Stults.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants are 3-13 in their last 16 Wednesday games.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (+119, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Jordan Zimmermann is just 2-5 with a 4.37 ERA in eight career starts against the Phillies.

Hot batting stat: Washington OF Bryce Harper has three hits, including a triple, in six career at-bats against Philadelphia right-hander Roy Halladay.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Washington is 20-7 in Zimmermann's last 27 starts against teams with losing records.

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-118, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Cardinals rookie right-hander Shelby Miller is 5-6 in 13 starts away from Busch Stadium, with a 4.43 ERA and 10 home runs allowed over 69 innings.

Hot batting stat: Reds 2B Brandon Phillips has already surpassed his previous career high in RBIs (98) set in 2009.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The road team is 8-1 in umpire Tim Timmons' last nine games behind home plate.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers (+140, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano silenced the St. Louis Cardinals in his last outing, holding them to two hits over eight shutout innings in a 5-0 victory.

Hot batting stat: Brewers OF Carlos Gomez has had Liriano's number, going 7-for-14 with a pair of homers lifetime against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 10-2 in Liriano's last 12 starts against teams with losing records.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies (-115, 10)

Hot pitching stat: Rockies left-hander Jorge De La Rosa has won his last five starts while allowing three or fewer runs in all of them.

Hot batting stat: Colorado C Wilin Rosario is 5-for-11 with a homer and seven RBIs against Dodgers starter Edinson Volquez this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 3 mph.

Key betting note: The Rockies are 1-10 in De La Rosa's last 11 starts against Los Angeles.

Toronto Blue Jays at Arizona Diamondbacks (-130, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Blue Jays left-hander Mark Buehrle is 6-1 with a 2.14 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: Diamondbacks 2B Aaron Hill has just four hits in 24 career at-bats versus Buehrle.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-100s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Arizona has won 13 of its last 16 interleague games against a left-handed starter.

Odds, stats, probable starters and weather forecast as of 7:45 p.m. ET Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football lines that make you go hmmm...
By JASON LOGAN

The term “Bulletin Board Material” has always stuck in my craw.

Why can’t a player be confident enough in himself and his team to say things like, “I don’t think they have anybody to stop me - for real” and not be held over the coals for it?

If I were a coach, I’d want my guys feeling like no one can stop them. And if I’m a bettor, I’d want my wager riding on a dude with that much bravado.

The above quote comes from Buffalo Bills WR Stevie Johnson, and the “they” he’s talking about are the New England Patriots.

Johnson might even be right. New England may not have anyone that can stop him. But the tricky thing about receivers is that they first need someone to throw them the ball. And that’s where Johnson’s comments and the 50-point total for Week 1’s matchup get a little confusing.

The Bills will hand the ball to a rookie passer versus the Patriots, either undrafted free-agent Jeff Tuel or dinged-up first-round pick E.J. Manuel, who is questionable with a knee injury. Neither player is striking fear in the cold, dark heart of Bill Belichick.

If these teams are going to top that 50-point total – the third-highest number on the Week 1 board – New England is going to have to do all the heavy lifting.

The Patriots were the best over bet in football last season but are without four of their top five receivers from 2012. And if the preseason is any indication, Tom Brady could have his work cut out for him this year.

Fifty-point totals could be a thing of the past for the Pats.

NFL

Perhaps the one Week 1 spread that has kept NFL bettors up at night the most is the 9.5-point line for Thursday’s season opener between the Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos.

It’s the exact same spread bettors tangled with when these two teams played in the AFC Divisional Round back in January, with Baltimore winning 38-35 in Denver.

Sure, the Ravens lost some key components and the magic from that Super Bowl could be all dried up, but a championship should buy a little respect from the bookmakers. Bettors certainly have had their say with the early line, taking it as low as a touchdown at some spots.

A let’s not forget the crappy offseason the Broncos had: Numerous black eyes for the front office, injuries to the offensive line, and a six-game suspension for the team’s top pass rusher.

If you don’t think these dark clouds can disrupt an entire season, talk to the New Orleans Saints.

NCAAF

The Northwestern Wildcats came back from a Week 1 trip to California with a lot more baggage, in the form of ice packs and crutches.

The Wildcats took an ugly 44-30 win over Cal last Saturday, needing two long INT-return touchdowns from Collin Ellis to overcome injuries to starting QB Kain Colter (concussion) and RB Venric Mark as well as CBs Matthew Harris and Daniel Jones, who is out for the year after suffering a knee injury.

Colter is questionable for Saturday’s home showdown with Syracuse but oddsmakers have still tabbed banged-up NU as a 12-point favorite in Week 2.

The Orange gave Penn State a good fight in Week 1, losing 23-17 but covering as 8-point dogs at MetLife Stadium, and looked solid on defense. This spread will surely move up or down depending on Colter’s status.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Washington Huskies (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

The Huskies showed signs of greatness last season, with upset wins over Top 25 teams Stanford and Oregon State. The season ended with a disappointing loss to Boise State in the Las Vegas Bowl. Washington avenged that loss in emphatic fashion in Week 1, blowing out the No. 19 ranked Broncos at Husky Stadium.

Bishop Sankey ran for 161 yards and a pair of scores on 25 carries and Keith Price completed 23 of 31 passes for 324 yards and a pair of touchdowns. If the Huskies continue to play like this, they are going to be tough to beat.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)

The Buckeyes won big over Buffalo in Week 1, but coach Urban Meyer wasn't happy with the way his team played in the second half. With OSU clinging to a 10-point lead in the third quarter, Braxton Miller fumbled on his own 1-yard line but fortunately for Ohio State, it was nullified by a penalty.

The Buckeyes are going to have to be better against tougher opponents and Urban Meyer knows it.

"And then we rough a punter, and we have a fourth down (play) we don't make and then we throw a screen and it goes the other way,” he told the media. “In a tight game, you're going to lose."

Unranked team that should be ranked: Baylor Bears (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

The Bears had the top offense in the country in 2012 (total yards) and they scored 69 points in a Week 1 blowout over Wofford. What's even more impressive is that their defense, which couldn't stop anyone a season ago, limited the Terriers to just three points.

The Bears have a light schedule through the next two months, with six straight games against unranked teams.

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LA Syndicate

Top Plays

MLB Game of the Year - Texas Rangers

Angels
Giants

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Chicago Syndicate

Top Plays

Cubs
Cardinals
Pirates
Rangers
Angels

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RAS CFB

1.5 unit Central Florida
1 unit Illinois
1 Washington State
1 Buffalo U.
1 South Florida

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bookiemonsters

141-92 run

17-9-1 run last 27 plays

pod tigers game under 10

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Baseball Crusher
Texas Rangers + Oakland Athletics UNDER 7
(System Record: 73-7, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 73-78-2

Soccer Crusher
Bahia + Cruzeiro UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 449-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 449-389-59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Gee is 3-1, 2.36 in his last six starts.
-- Samardzija is 2-0, 3.04 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 2.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Arroyo is 4-1, 3.86 in his last five starts.
-- Liriano is 3-1, 1.61 in his last four starts.
-- de la Rosa is 4-0, 3.42 in his last four starts.

-- Buehrle is 6-0, 1.92 in his last eight starts. Delgado is 0-1, 2.77 in his last two starts.

-- Lyles is 2-1, 3.54 in his last three starts.
-- Parker is 4-0, 2.23 in his last six starts. Darvish is 3-1, 2.51 in his last six.
-- McCallister is 3-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello is 7-1, 3.36 in his last ten starts.
-- Walker won his first MLB start, allowing one run in five IP.
-- Weaver won his last two starts, allowing one run in 14 IP.

Cold pitchers
-- Loe has started 47 big league games (Texas) but last one was in '07; he has a 33-42, 4.48 career record. He's allowed eight runs in 11 big league IP this year, and was 4-4, 3.07 in ten AAA starts this year.
-- Lefty Flynn is making MLB debut; he was 7-12 in minors this year, but his ERA was 2.63 (145 hits/161 IP).
-- Stults is 0-5, 6.04 in his last eight starts.
-- Zimmerman is 1-2, 5.76 in his last three starts. Halladay has a 5.73 RA in two starts since coming off the DL.
-- Miller is 1-2, 5.16 in his last four starts.
-- Peralta is 0-3, 5.02 in his last four starts.
-- Volquez was 1-2, 10.13 in his last four starts for San Diego; this is his first start for the Dodgers.

-- Hendriks is 1-2, 5.54 in five starts this season.
-- Sabathia is 3-5, 7.71 in his last ten starts. Johnson is making MLB debut; he was 12-3, 1.96 in 24 starts in minors this season.
-- Britton is 1-2, 4.76 in his last four starts, last of which was July 9.
-- Dempster is 1-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.
-- Santana is 0-2, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Hellickson is 0-5, 9.00 in his last six starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Gee 5-27 (1 of last 12); Loe 0-0
-- Flynn 0-0; Samardzija 7-28 (1 of last 9)
-- Lincecum 9-27 (0 of last 7); Stults 9-28
-- Zimmerman 5-27; Halladay 5-9 (4 of last 4)
-- Miller 7-25; Arroyo 5-27
-- Liriano 5-21; Peralta 4-28 (0 of last 15)
-- Volquez 10-27 (3 of last 4); de la Rosa 4-27 (1 of last 18)

-- Buehrle 6-28 (0 of last 5); Delgado 5-14

-- Hendriks 2-5; Lyles 7-21
-- Darvish 7-25 (0 of last 4); Parker 8-27 (0 of last 6)
-- Johnson 0-0; Sabathia 8-28
-- Britton 1-6; McCallister 5-19 (0 of last 7)
-- Porcello 5-25; Dempster 8-25 (0 of last 4)
-- Walker 0-1; Santana 12-28 (5 of last 10)
-- Hellickson 11-27 (3 of last 3); Weaver 3-20 (1 of last 16)

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven St Louis road games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Milwaukee games.
-- Seven of last nine Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine San Diego games stayed under total.
-- Last four games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Washington games.

-- 16 of last 21 Toronto games stayed under the total.

-- Four of last five Bronx games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota games, seven of last nine Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Last four Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Angel games.

Hot teams
-- Atlanta won seven of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers won 10 of their last 13 games. Colorado is 10-4 in its last 14 games at Coors Field.
-- Phillies won five of their last six home games.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.

-- Toronto won six of its last eight games.

-- Bronx won ten of its last fifteen games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games; Detroit won four of last five.
-- Royals won seven of their last nine games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost three of their last four games.
-- St Louis lost four of its last five games. Reds are 3-5 in their last eight.
-- Mets lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Milwaukee lost seven of its last eight home games.
-- Marlins lost ten of their last 13 games. Cubs lost nine of last 13.
-- San Diego lost five of its last seven games. Giants are 6-9 in their last 15.

-- Arizona lost four of its last five games.

-- White Sox lost their last four games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Twins lost six of their last eight games. Houston lost seven of last nine.
-- Indians lost six of their last seven games. Orioles lost seven of their last ten away games.
-- Rangers lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last nine games.

Umpires
-- Wsh-Phil-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Conroy games.
-- StL-Cin-- Last six Timmons games went over the total.
-- NY-Atl-- Home teams won last six Bell games.
-- Mia-Chi-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Hickox games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Reynolds games.
-- LA-Col-- Nine of last eleven Gorman games stayed under.
-- SF-SD-- Favorites won seven of last nine Baker games.

-- Tor-Az-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Layne games.

-- Balt-Clev-- Home teams won last seven Dimuro games.
-- Chi-NY-- Underdogs won five of last six Dreckman games.
-- Det-Bos-- Over is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Kellogg games.
-- Sea-KC-- Underdogs won 11 of last 15 Cederstrom games, with last three staying under the total.
-- Min-Hst-- Seven of last ten Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- TB-LA-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Tichenor games.
-- Tex-A's-- Six of last seven Kulpa games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at LA Angels

The Rays look to follow up last night's 7-1 win and build on their 18-6 record in Jeremy Hellickson's last 24 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tampa Bay is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: NY Mets at Atlanta (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.863; Atlanta (Loe) 14.920
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over


Game 903-904: Miami at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Flynn) 13.549; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.122
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+145); N/A


Game 905-906: San Francisco at San Diego (6:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Lincecum) 14.507; San Diego (Stults) 15.966
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over


Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 13.971; Philadelphia (Halladay) 14.861
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Under


Game 909-910: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.753; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.872
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); Over


Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.675; Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.199
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); Under


Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Volquez) 16.267; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.731
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Over


Game 915-916: Minnesota at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 13.479; Houston (Lyles) 14.258
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Under


Game 917-918: Texas at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.005; Oakland (Parker) 16.178
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Over


Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Johnson) 15.040; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.450
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-185); Under


Game 921-922: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 15.866; Cleveland (McAllister) 14.922
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Under


Game 923-924: Detroit at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.122; Boston (Dempster) 17.565
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Over


Game 925-926: Seattle at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Walker) 13.982; Kansas City (Santana) 16.140
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-170); Over


Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.862; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.858
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Under


Game 929-930: Toronto at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.649; Arizona (Delgado) 13.082
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Rangers -120
Giants -115

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1089-821(57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner WED: Cards w/ Miller

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Washington/Philly over 8

Angels -135

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Umpire UNDER streaker

Kulpa 6-1 L7 (OAK/TEX) 3:35 PM EST

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The hidden gem when betting double digit MLB totals in 2013

When totals are 10 or higher this season in Major League Baseball, the 'under' is cashing in at a 60.7 percent clip making for a big winning percentage.

Teams have combined to play in 117 games with double digit totals this season. Those teams have combined to play 'under' the total 71 times with a total of 10 or higher for a record of 71-40-6.

When looking at the previous six seasons, the over/under across the board is roughly 50-50 when the total hits double digits. The under has cashed in at a rate of 48.3 percent from 2007 through to 2012.

In 2012, for example, clubs combined for a total of 387 games with double digit totals. Teams tallied 180 games going 'over' the total, as well as 180 going 'under' the total.

Keep your eyes peeled for the next spot to capitalize on this glaring trend.

Note: Numbers updated as of Sept. 4.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB SEATTLE at KANSAS CITY

Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) with an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL)
212-85 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.4% 71.4 units )
35-24 this year. ( 59.3% -0.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND

BALTIMORE is 37-22 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.

The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.3) , OPPONENT (4.5)

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Indiana at Atlanta

The Fever look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games against a team with a losing SU record. Indiana is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 4
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Indiana at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 110.513; Atlanta 112.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 144
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); Over


Game 653-654: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 112.241; Minnesota 121.544
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 161
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7); Under

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA LOS ANGELES at MINNESOTA

Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 good shooting team - shooting >=44% on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% 2.7 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at MINNESOTA

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) after 1 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%)
71-19 since 1997. ( 78.9% 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA INDIANA at ATLANTA

Play Against - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) average defensive team (40.5-43.5%) against a poor defensive team (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-17.5 TO's)
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

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J.R. Stevens/SMOOTH44

TOP PICK FOR WEDNESDAY
(918) OAKLAND +115

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CHASE DIAMOND

9* MLB Perfect Play

Texas/Oakland Under 7

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PAUL LEINER

100* Diamondbacks -125

50* Indians -115

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Jimmy Boyd

4* (MLB) Detroit Tigers ML +117

3* (NFL) Baltimore Ravens +8

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EAGLE EYE---RANDY ROSE
Your Pick: Detroit Tigers (+105)
Your Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+107)

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Tuesday with the Brewers +$108/Pirates.

For Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Angles -130/Ray's.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-2 -$250 for the week 90-53 +$750 for the 2013 MLB season.

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The Winners Circle

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL PLAYS

10* Play Pittsburgh -150 over Milwaukee MLB TOP PLAY

Pittsburgh has won 16 of the last 21 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have also won 35 of the last 58 games vs. division opponents. Pittsburgh has won 66 of the last 111 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers and they have won 69 of the last 115 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.


5* Play Atlanta -160 over New York Mets MLB TOP PLAY
5* Play NY Yankees -180 over Chicago White Sox MLB TOP PLAY

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Teddy Covers

10* Blue Jays

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Hondo

Hondo’s on the briny

Hondo’s deficit took a turn for the worse last night when the Orioles failed their modest task in Cleveland, which caused the NRN (nasty red number) to grow to 1,385 drabeks.

Tonight, it’s back to Milwaukee where he hopes to patch together another win with the Pirates — 20 units on Liriano to outfox Wily and the Brewers.

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CHRIS JORDAN

100 Marlins +140 (list Flynn)

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River City Sharps

2 UNITS Los Angeles Dodgers +106

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The Factsman

MLB Wednesday Video Pick

OVER 8 - St. Louis - Cincinnati
(S. Miller -R vs B. Arroyo -R)

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Winning Angle Sports

Pittsburgh -150 over Milwaukee TOP PLAY
Kansas City -160 over Seattle
Atlanta -150 over NY Mets
Boston -130 over Detroit

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Umpire UNDER streakers 77-27-8 (74%)

Kulpa 6-1 L7 (OAK/TEX)

Layne 6-1-1 L8 (ARI/TOR)

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Pablosky

Cubs -1.5 (+140)
Phillies (+130)
Dodgers (+110)

[golden contender]

Wednesday card has Triple Perfect MLB Total of the week and a 94% MLB Dominator system. Both are evening games MLB Total are hitting at 78% the last 2 months. Tuesday top play cashes again. Free MLB System Play below.


On Wednesday the free MLB System Play is on the Kansas City Royals. Game 926 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals fit a nice system from the database tonight that has won 13 of 17 times and plays on certain home favorites off a home favored win vs an opponent like Seattle off a road dog loss, if both teams scored 4 or less runs and had 10 or more hits in their last game. KC has won 10 of 12 at home off a home win if they scored 4 or less runs. Seattle has lost 15 of 21 on Wednesday unfortunately putting them on the receiving end of Hump day. Ouch. The Royals have been solid as a home favorite in this range and have a nice pitching advantage with E. Santana who has a 3.15 home era over T. Walker for Seattle who is making just his 2nd start. Look for the Royals to get the win. On Hump day we will get on the "Giving End" with the Triple Perfect total of the week and another Powerful Dominator system. Totals are hitting 78% the last 2 months. Congrats to those who Jumped on Tuesday Big winner. For the free play take Kansas City. GC

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SB Professor MLB Early Picks 9/4


918. Oakland A's +110
930. Arizona Diamondbacks -115

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Billy coleman

4* angels
3 mets
3 Rockies

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Matt Fargo

Milwaukee

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Sam Martin 9* Pitching Mismatch

New York Yankees -1.5

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Gill Alexander

2* Oakland +115

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 9/4
Washington Nationals -141 over the Philadelphia Phillies (MLB Baseball)

(System Record: 130-5, Won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 130-118

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KYLE HUNTER



Sport
Date
Matchup
Book
Starts


MLB
Sep 04 '13
3:35p
Texas Rangers vs Oakland A's
Take: Total 7 un-101
http://www.sportscapping.com/lines/style/book_images/5dimes.jpg (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=af000123&mediaTypeID=633&Image=/tracking/banner/160x600/5dimes-MB-160x600v4.gif&AffUrlID=176)
in 4h


*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics have split the first two games of this critical three-game series in Oakland. Just one game separates these teams in the AL West standings, and game three of this series means a ton to both of these teams. Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Rangers while Jarrod Parker will be on the hill for the Athletics. Darvish has been superb all year, and he has been slightly better away from home (2.62 ERA). Parker started the year very poorly, but he has been a quality starts machine of late. In 20 of his last 21 starts, he has allowed 3 runs or less. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate calling balls and strikes, and he is one of my favorite under umpires because of his consistently large strike zone.

The under is 5-0 in the Rangers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts in game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in the Athletics last 4 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Parker's last 4 starts against Texas. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!

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DHayes

Under 9 Hou/Min -130

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RTG Sports

Oakland A's +114

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U.S. Open betting: Nadal vs. Robredo in all-Spanish showdown
By JAYPRIMETOWN

The U.S. Open is entering the late stages of the tournament with the contenders separating themselves from the pretenders. Day 10 of the tournament is highlighted by quarterfinal action.

Rafael Nadal (-3,300) vs. Tommy Robredo (+1,400)

This is an excellent quarterfinal between the hottest player in men's tennis Rafael Nadal and the man who knocked off Roger Federer, Tommy Robredo. In an all-Spanish affair, Robredo has a strong record at the US Open (30-12) but this is his first quarterfinal appearance in Flushing Meadows. Nadal dropped a set to Phillip Kohlschreiber, but has not lost a match on hard courts this year.

Robredo has proven to be a warrior and is very tough in five-set matches, but Nadal's form is at a different level right now. Nadal has won 48 of his last 50 matches on all surfaces. It would take the match of his life to beat Nadal Wednesday and that's not going to happen.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles +7.5 (-110) at Bookmaker

The Los Angeles Sparks need a win here to close to within a half a game of the Lynx. Minnesota has been just 5-4 in their last nine games, and despite winning their last four, those wins all came at the expense of losing teams. The fact is that Minnesota has only faced two winning teams in their last 17 contests - losing both. LA has been playing at the higher level at 9-2 over their last 11, and certainly have the personnel to hang tough or win here. Minnesota is also just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. a winning team. Take the points and play on Los Angeles.

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Mitch Wilson

Tigers

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Sportswagers MLB
Today's Free Picks for Sep 04, 2013





http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngN.Y. Mets @ ATLANTA
N.Y. Mets +134 over ATLANTA
12:10 PM EST. The Braves keep on winning but it’s not because of their offense. Atlanta has scored just 50 runs over its past 15 games. If you take away the 13 runs they put up in one game against Dice-K, that number drops to 37 runs in 14 games, which would the major’s worst mark over that 14-game stretch. The Braves have scored three runs or fewer in 11 of those past 14 games and many of them came against some very average starters. The Braves have been winning because of some outstanding starting pitching but they do not have that luxury today. Atlanta is Kameron Loe’s third team this season. He’s a 31-year-old career swingman that has appeared in 313 MLB games and has started just 47. This year he pitched for Seattle and the Cubbies before being shipped to the Braves and he’s appeared in just 13 games, all as a reliever. In 17.2 innings, Loe has been tagged for 28 hits (.467 oppBA) has walked seven and has posted a 1.98 WHIP. It’s a small sample size and Loe’s xERA was under 4 each of the three previous seasons so there's at least a possibility that he could give Atlanta some good innings. However, that possibility is not enough to warrant being this price against the Dillon Gee and the Mets. Atlanta is on cruise control, this is a day game after a night game and that usually means many veteran Braves’ hitters will get a day off here.
The numbers told us Dillon Gee was hideous in April and May and the Mets right-hander found himself on the waiver wire in many fantasy leagues but Gee has staged a 180-degree turnaround from June 1 on. The two-run drop in ERA from first to second half has a lot to do with things outside his control - hit% and strand%. Not only have fewer balls in play been dropping for hits, but fewer fly balls have been leaving the park. Gee possesses outstanding control, a decent strikeout rate, a groundball bias profile and a 2.31 ERA over his last five starts. This is a decent spot for he and the Mets to get out of town with one win in this series. Kameron Loe is grossly overpriced here because he throws for the Braves but Atlanta may not care much about this game with a seven-game trip on deck after this one.


Our Pick
N.Y. Mets +134 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.68)



http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngChicago @ N.Y. YANKEES
Chicago (5 inns) +167 over N.Y. YANKEES
After watching the White Sox blow a 4-1 lead in the eighth last night, we can’t feel comfortable playing them for the full game but we sure can feel comfortable taking back a price like this in the first five frames. For one, the Yankees have the Red Sox coming in tomorrow night for a season defining four-game set and that makes this one a look-ahead game. Additionally C.C. Sabathia is running on fumes. After years of consistent production, Sabathia has seen his ERA bloat above 4.00 for the first time since 2005 and close to 5.00 (4.91) over 183 innings. Sabathia’s skills have shown a serious deterioration over the past three months, which is highlighted by an unsightly 28% line-drive rate over that span. Another sign of trouble is that Sabathia walked just 38 batters in his first 145 frames this season but has walked 15 over his past 31 innings. C.C. Sabathia is a pitcher in trouble.
Erik Johnson has put up exceptional numbers in just his second full season and has been awarded a September call-up. He figures to be a significant competitor for a 2014 rotation spot and gets the call today in the Bronx against the Yankees. How’s that for one’s first major-league start? Johnson has only allowed more than two earned runs in one of his 24 starts this season coupled with a 131/40 K/BB ratio over 142 IP. He is a physical pitcher (6'3, 235) with a power build and aggressive demeanor and approach on the mound. Johnson has shown improvement in both his repertoire and pitch sequencing this year, and attacks hitters with a heavy 90-96 mph fastball, solid slider, curveball, and an improving change-up. He pounds the lower half of the zone inducing lots of groundballs, and his slider has become a reliable swing-and-miss out pitch. Johnson does not project as a #1 or #2 starter, but a very dependable #3 or #4 who can provide lots of innings with a good number of strikeouts and a solid ERA. Over 236.1 innings at the minor league level, Johnson posted a 2.21 ERA and averaged 8.3 K’s per 9 innings to go along with a stellar 1.08 WHIP. At Charlotte (AAA), Johnson started 10 games and went 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA and a .209 oppBA in 57.1 frames. He also allowed just one jack in those 57.1 innings. Backing a rookie always comes with risk but this rookie appears to have great poise and confidence and it sure doesn’t hurt that they Yankees have never seen him and have bigger fish to fry beginning tomorrow. Price and situation dictates this one.


Our Pick
Chicago (5 inns) +167 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.34)



http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngSan Francisco @ SAN DIEGO
San Francisco +101 over SAN DIEGO
Regardless of outcome, we’re absolutely going with the best of it here by backing Tim Lincecum and the Giants at a price against Eric Stults and the Padres. This one is actually a pitching mismatch and it’s not in the Padres favor. At the age of 32 last year, Stults went 8-3 with a 2.91 in 99 innings for the White Sox and Padres. A late bloomer? Not exactly says his 4.42 MLB xERA. Stults’ command was marginal and he benefited from favorable hit and strand percentages. This year is much of the same, only his xERA of 5.10 over his last 20 starts is even worse than his career xERA. Stults’ 3.81 ERA is all smoke and mirrors. His WHIP on the year is an acceptable 1.26 but over his last 20 starts it’s at an unacceptable 1.47 clip. Stults’ groundball rate isn’t even decent at just 37%. Eric Stults is like Barry Zito, Bartolo Colon and a few others that can get lucky from time to time and pick up some wins. Stults’ is just 8-12 this year with just 14 of his 28 starts being of the pure quality variety. The fact that he’s favored here over Lincecum is like Barry Zito being favored over Clayton Kershaw. Ok, well, maybe that’s a stretch but you get the picture.
Tim Lincecum took us back a few years with his dominating skill set in July: 12.4 K’s per 9 IP, 47% groundball rate and dominating start after dominating start. Only the skills of Matt Harvey were better than Lincecum’s in July. Lincecum's 4.50 ERA would have been a lot lower had he not been victimized by an extremely high 23% hr/f. We can no longer count on consistency from him because his last 10 months say so but let us say this. Lincecum is a free agent at the end of the year and this last month could go a long way in determining his market value. This last month is as important to Lincecum as pitching in the World Series so you can expect him to bring it all here. If this one loses, so be it but we’re suggesting you do not miss this one because it has a much greater chance of winning than it does of losing.


Our Pick
San Francisco +101 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.02)



http://www.sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngBaltimore @ CLEVELAND
Baltimore +114 over CLEVELAND
Be careful about betting Zach McAllister against the Orioles. There's a pretty wide gap between his surface ERA (3.81) and xERA (4.51) due to a low 6% hr/f on the season. Given McAllister's fly-ball tendencies (42% FB%), the long balls could be flying this time around against a Baltimore team leading baseball in HR’s. Earlier in the year, we mentioned that there could be something interesting about McAllister and an upside projection of a 3.50 ERA was noted. Even after missing six weeks with a finger sprain, McAllister has come close to that mark but hasn’t made many major gains at all. McAllister’s strikeout rate climb is over and outside of 2011, his control has been stagnant. His xERA shows he’s not really made any improvements; it's the high strand% and low hr/f that are deflating his 3.81 ERA. McAllister’s 41%/12% dominant start/disaster start split with a bunch of very “blah” performances in between reveal just how volatile and untrustworthy he really is.
Zach Britton is also risky. He’s made just six starts this year for the O’s and went 2-3 with a 4.76 ERA over 35 innings. Last year, Britton went 5-3 with a 5.07 ERA in 60 IP at Baltimore. Remnants of his 2011 shoulder injury shelved him until July last year and then he pitched brilliantly or dreadfully from start to start. This sinkerballer induces tons of groundballs, strikes out some and walks too many but has he ever been pain free? Health will define his value and right now he says he feels great. In any event, the big difference in this game is that the Orioles are a pooch and their offense is scoring a lot more runs than the Indians’ offense. Perhaps, just perhaps, Britton comes up with one of his gems. Overlay.


Our Pick
Baltimore +114 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.28)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Texas at Oakland (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland +122 (moneyline) at Bovada

When you look at these teams, it would be hard to decide that Oakland is the better team, but the A's continue to keep on, keeping on. Last season they needed a sweep of Texas to win the AL West in the last series of the season and got it done. Texas, prior to this series, had faced 24 straight games against teams below .500. The A's are one game out after last night's loss, but they have rebounded convincingly in this situation, and I like their chances to do so here today at home. Yu Darvish has shown some vulnerabilities of late, and the Rangers are just 3-9 in his last 12 when following a quality start in his last outing. The A's are winning the big ones as they are now 50-24 in their last 74 at home vs. a winning team. Take Oakland.

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tkwins

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL

4 units
Tex Rangers Y Darvish -r V/s OAK ATHLETICS J PARKER -R
u7-115

3 units
Pit Pirates F Liriano -l V/s MIL BREWERS W PERALTA -R
Pit Pirates F Liriano -l -149

3 units
La Dodgers E Volquez -r V/s COL ROCKIES DE LA ROSA-L
u10-105

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JR Stevens/Smooth44

ALL ARE TOP-RATED (5-STAR OR 5-UNIT)

MLB

(901) NY-METS +130/RRL -1.5 +205
(905) SAN FRANCISCO +100/RRL -1.5 +160
(910) CINCINNATI -115/RL -1.5 +180
(912) MILWAUKEE +140/RRL -1.5 +290
(918) OAKLAND +115/RRL -1.5 +240
(919) CHI-WHITE SOX +175/RRL -1.5 +255

*Play side and runline/reverse runline equally
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline

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dave price

Top play
rockies ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

MLB TOTALS WINNER!
Game Date/Time: 9/4/13 8:10 pm

Selection: Mariners/Royals 'under' Line: 8
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals 'UNDER' the total.
Righthander Jaijuan Walker made one of the most anticipated debuts of the year last Friday when he pitched his first MLB game for the Mariners in Houston and Walker lived up to the considerable hype. Although limited to 70 pitches on that night, we saw enough in five innings to know that the 21-year-old from Shreveport, Louisiana is one of the games brightest young talents as he limited the Astros offense to just one unearned run on two hits in a 7-1 victory. Walker will be on the road again tonight, this time in Kansas City facing an offense that has been almost as weak recently as the one he faced last time as the Royals have scored just 19 runs in their last six games. Of course, Walker's own offense has been pretty putrid as well as the Mariners - sans Michael Morse who they traded to the Orioles - have plated just seven runs in their last four games. With the 4-3 Royals win on Tuesday, the under is now 4-1-2 in the last seven meetings. Take the 'under.'

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Bob Balfe

LA Angels

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The Delawarian

BetThisPick

2* Boston/Detroit UNDER 9.5
2* Padres ML -103 vs Giants

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Great lakes

stl cards

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SB Professor MLB Late Picks

918. Oakland A's +110
930. Arizona Diamondbacks -115
906. San Diego Padres -108
908. Philadelphia Phillies 134
910. Cincinnati Reds -116
924. Boston Red Sox -118

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JMR Sports Consultants

Giants
Brewers
Over Braves
Over Rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Padres/Giants Over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

Angels los Angeles

Pirates Pittsburgh

Tigers Detroit/Boston Under 10

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
1* Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-115) 115/100
1* Mariners/Royals under 8 (-115) 115/100

WNBA
2* Los Angeles/Minnesota under 161 (-110) 220/200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard | MLB ML - Wednesday, Sep 4 2013 6:40PM
ML 906 SDP (-110) 5Dimes (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=4) vs 905 SFG double-dime bet

Analysis:SAN DIEGO v SAN FRANCISCO

The San Diego Padres are 9-4 when Eric Stults starts at Petco Park this season and that's the situation that we haveon Wednesday evening when the Giants and Padres wrap up a three-game set. Stults has been terrific at home this season with a 2.63 ERA, a 0.98 WHIP, and an opponent's batting average of .218. Stults has gotten unlucky of late, stranding just 62 percent of his baserunners after being around league average in the first half of the season. His strikeout and walk ratios have not changed much, but his batting average against has really shot u €p. His first half FIP was 3.30 and his second half FIP is 3.50, but his ERA difference is from 3.40 to 4.91. Stults is due for some improvement in the second half and that's what we expect to happen against a Giants lineup that has had trouble scoring runs most of the season.


Tim Lincecum cannot be counted on for any kind of consistency at this stage of his career and we certainly don't expect it here. Since throwing a no hitter against these Padres back in June, Lincecum has posted a 4.69 ERA over his last 48 innings. Petco Park has become less pitcher-friendly and Lincecum sports a 3-7 record with a 1.47 WHIP on the road this season. Lincecum probably won't get much support, as the Giants are just 18-26 against southpaw starters this season.


Stults has lost his last five decisions and doesn't have a win since July 14, so we expect a motivated effort from him and his teammates in a ballpark where he has pitched well and against an opponent that ranks 24th in wOBA and 23rd in OPS against lefties.


PLAY: SAN DIEGO

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

WEDNESDAY, September 4, 2013

MLB 6:40 pm ET
2 Units
[906] SAN DIEGO PADRES -109
List Lincecum & Stults

MLB 7:10 pm ET
2 Units
[909] ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +107
List Miller & Arroyo

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

30 Dime
OVER LAD/COLORADO

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner

MLB Leans/Steam

REDS
RED SOX & UNDER
ANGELS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso 100 Pitt