9-14-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences
By DOC'S SPORTS

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to watch: Rice Owls

This week: -6.5 vs. Kansas

Rice kicked off its season with a tough road date at Texas A&M, but it accounted itself relatively well by pinning 31 points on the Aggies and covering the 28-point spread in a 52-31 loss. The Owls were even better last year against Kansas, going into Lawrence as 12-point underdogs and coming away with a 25-24 win.

Are the Jayhawks in line for some revenge? Maybe not. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against C-USA opposition. Rice is 4-0 ATS in its last four overall, 5-0 ATS in its last five out of conference, and 5-0 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records.

Team to beware: New Mexico State Aggies

This week: +6.5 vs. UTEP

It’s not like New Mexico State scheduled Texas and Minnesota to begin its season in order to get battle-tested for conference play. After all, the Aggies are independent. So it’s hard to see anything good having come from those two contests. New Mexico State lost at Texas 56-7 and to Minnesota 44-21. The Longhorns rushed for a bloated 359 yards and the Golden Gophers racked up 342 yards on the ground.

The Aggies are going up against a UTEP squad that gained 280 yards on 46 carries in a 42-35 loss last weekend. UTEP is 4-0 (3-1 ATS) in the last four season’s against New Mexico State. The Aggies’ own trends are not encouraging, either. They are 0-6 ATS in their last six overall, 0-5 ATS in their last five non-conference contests, and 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

Total team: Troy Trojans

This week: 66.5 at Arkansas State

Quarterback Corey Robinson, who has surpassed 3,000 yards through the air in each of his first three seasons, is already up to his old tricks. Through two games of 2013, Robinson has completed a ridiculous 47 of 51 passes for 499 yards and five touchdowns without throwing an interception. Troy also rushed for a combined 419 yards in victories over UAB and Savannah State.

The over is 8-1 in the Trojans’ last nine overall, including 2-0 this year (they beat UAB 34-31 and Savannah State 66-3). Four of their last five non-conference games have gone over the total. Troy is facing an Arkansas State team that is averaging 547 yards per game, including 329.5 on the ground, in 2013.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Baylor Bears (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)

I said that Baylor deserved to be in the Top 25 last week and I took some criticism from readers who noted that the Bear's victory in Week 1 came against an FCS team. Now, they did beat Wofford by a score of 69-3, and this is the same Terriers team that played a relatively close game losing to South Carolina 24-7 just nine months prior.

For those that weren't convinced by Baylor's Week 1 performance, perhaps a 70-13 win over the Buffalo Bulls will raise some eyebrows. Note that the Bulls played Ohio State in Week 1 and, trailing by just 10 points in the third quarter, a penalty nullified a touchdown that would have narrowed the gap to just a field goal.

Most overrated Top 25 team: TCU Horned Frogs (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)

There’s no shame in losing to LSU, but the Horned Frogs didn't come away with a lot of positives in that game. Their offense is struggling and losing starting quarterback Casey Pachall certainly won't help.

TCU defeated the South East Louisiana Lions in Week 2, but prior to this game the Lions had never scored more than 10 points against a BCS team. They had 14 points at halftime and trailed by just a field goal. Winning 38-17 was not an impressive result for a team that’s supposed to be one of the Top 25 in the country.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Northern Illinois Huskies (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

The Huskies only lost once last season and they avenged that loss with a win over Iowa Week 1. Looking at their schedule, they could be favored to win in each of their remaining 11 games. Jordan Lynch threw for 275 yards and three touchdowns in the season opener and his speed makes him tough to defend.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

My $$$ again on 'Money' Mayweather at MGM Grand Garden

After months of promoting and speculating, the mega-fight being labeled “The One” is now only days away.

MGM Grand Garden Arena plays host to what is arguably the most highly anticipated boxing match in recent years this Saturday night. Floyd Mayweather Jr. (44-0, 26 KO’s) looks to defend his WBA (Super) Light Middleweight title against Saul Alvarez (42-0-1, 30 KO’s), who simultaneously defends his WBC and Ring Magazine Super Middleweight titles.

When all the dust has settled, one man will emerge as the undisputed king at 154 lbs. Yet strangely enough, the bout is being contested at a “catch-weight” of 152 lbs. This was a stipulation agreed upon by “Canelo” for a shot at fighting the unquestioned top pound-for-pound boxer on the planet, “Money” Mayweather.

Oddsmakers installed Mayweather Jr. as a -250 betting favorite and Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)s have had to steadily adjust by increasing the price to as high as -300 here in Las Vegas. Most believe that trend will change in the days ahead as fans who are attending the event, going to one of the dozens of viewing parties here in town, or watching live via pay-per-view all around the globe, begin to place their wagers.

The phenomenon that takes place in boxing, unlike most other major sports, is that casual fans historically bet the underdog in an attempt to win a lot of money for a lesser amount, as opposed to backing the favorite and being asked to lay a lot to make a little. Couple the fact most mega-fights are so well marketed, ultimately making them appear much more competitive than they eventually end up being, and it’s no surprise casual fans and bettors alike gravitate toward the underdog.

In the case of “The One,” Alvarez also has built an extremely loyal fan base and with Mexican Independence Day weekend being chosen for this event, rest assured the books are about to receive an influx of money on the underdog. This late betting will not only offset the early “sharp” money on Mayweather, but when all is said and done, many books I’ve spoken to expect to be heavy on the Alvarez side.

For Canelo, who is currently ranked No. 10 pound-for-pound on Ring Magazine’s list, the question is whether he can handle the weight cut and be as effective. Simply put, there’s no argument one can make to support he’ll be fighting at his ideal weight, but the pay day and opportunity were too much to pass up.

Come fight night, like in most of his bouts, Alvarez will be the bigger man in the ring and bring with him that one-punch power that can change the complexity of any bout.
The weight-cut will begin to become more of an issue as the fight wears on for Alvarez, especially against one of the most elusive fighters of all time in Mayweather. So look for Alvarez to try and take the fight to Mayweather and keep it in close quarters where he can land some big punches.

For Mayweather, he’ll need to not only survive the early barrage from Alvarez, but also show the youngster that along with being the most efficient defensive fighter of all time, he’s also got some pop of his own. To do this, Mayweather will use that patented shoulder roll to remain at a distance where he can land that straight right hand.

If Mayweather is able to frustrate Alvarez, he’ll most likely resort to landing pot-shots and continuing to get out of harms way, while piling up rounds with the judges.
Floyd has proven to be one of the most intelligent boxers ever, knowing how to systematically break opponents down rather than putting himself in positions where he has to absorb unnecessary punishment.

Floyd had no problem at all making a fight “boring” by avoiding risk and using his superior boxing skills to coast to a unanimous decision victory. If you’re the top ranked CompuBox fighter statistically, when it comes to the percentage of punches landed compared to your opponents, why not apply your trade and box your way into the record books?

Finally, throughout his career Mayweather and his handlers have been masters at choosing the right opponents and the right time…and I believe they’ve done that with Alvarez.
Bottom line, “Canelo” just hasn’t acquired the necessary experience to pose much of a threat to Mayweather yet. Even though his record reflects 42 professional fights, at 23 years of age, rest assured the majority of those were “confidence” building bouts against opponents who posed very little to almost no threat at all.

There’s absolutely no doubt in my mind he has never faced anyone with the technical advantage Mayweather will have over him. On the flip side of that same coin, I also believe there is absolutely nothing Alvarez can bring into this fight Floyd hasn’t seen yet, not a thing.

Above all else, I made my True Line on this fight Mayweather -400…making it a very easy bet to make in favor of the world’s No. 1 pound-for-pound.

PICK: MAYWEATHER JR.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sports Syndicate

Mississippi St. Bulldogs at Auburn Tigers
Saturday 7:00 PM – Jordan Hare Stadium
Current Line – Auburn (-6)

Both of these teams cruised last week against inferior foes and now it’s time to get into SEC play. Auburn HC Malzahn has the Tigers off to a very nice start, especially offensively. The Tigers are averaging 34.5 points in their two wins while only surrendering 16.5ppg. MSU QB Tyler Russell, who was knocked out of last week’s game with a concussion, is expected to start for the Bulldogs against a less than formidable secondary. The Tigers offense is led by QB Nick Marshall, who was efficient going 10-17, 147 yds and two scores. This should be a pretty good defensive battle and Bulldog HC Dan Mullen knows this is important for their postseason chances, even this early in the season. We thing that Miss State is going to hang very close, might even sneak out of Jordan hare with a victory. The Sharps say…
2 UNITS ON….MISSISSIPPI ST BULLDOGS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS

Marshall -6.5

Middle Tenn St -4.5

South Florida -10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Early Bird POW - Florida St. -32

Underdog Play - Kansas +6.5

Power Play - Colorado +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi Free Pick

NOTRE DAME (-20.5)[/B] over Purdue
8:00 p.m. ET Saturday Sept. 14th

We look for the Fighting Irish to bounce back big against a Purdue team that can't score or stop anybody. Boilermakers had 1 offensive touchdown versus Cincinnati in week one and one versus Indiana State last week!! Purdue D a sieve allowing 33.8 points per game in their last 12 games so the big spread is not an issue. Look for the Irish D to pitch a shutout and for "Tommy Turnover" to get back on track. Take the Irish on Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves

Virginia Tech -7 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks



SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 11:00 p.m. EST (9/11)


Game 111-112: Eastern Michigan at Rutgers (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 67.399; Rutgers 87.051
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 19 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 27 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+27 1/2); Over


Game 113-114: Stanford at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 107.951; Army 69.619
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 38 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Stanford by 28 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-28 1/2); Under


Game 115-116: Georgia State at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 50.815; West Virginia 95.367
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 44 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 38 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-38 1/2); Over


Game 117-118: Louisville at Kentucky (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 92.430; Kentucky 81.035
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 11 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Louisville by 14; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+14); Under


Game 119-120: Marshall at Ohio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 85.057; Ohio 75.112
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 10; 73
Vegas Line: Marshall by 7 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-7 1/2); Over


Game 121-122: Akron at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 63.533; Michigan 109.944
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 46 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Michigan by 37; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-37); Under


Game 123-124: Bowling Green at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 83.477; Indiana 88.559
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 5; 58
Vegas Line: Indiana by 2 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2 1/2); Under


Game 125-126: Virginia Tech at East Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 89.950; East Carolina 80.296
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 9 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 7 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-7 1/2); Over


Game 127-128: Maryland at Connecticut (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 88.671; Connecticut 76.810
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 12; 52
Vegas Line: Maryland by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-6 1/2); Over


Game 129-130: New Mexico at Pittsburgh (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 66.706; Pittsburgh 92.046
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 25 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 21; 52
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-21); Under


Game 131-132: UL-Monroe at Wake Forest (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 75.359; Wake Forest 80.802
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-3); Over


Game 133-134: Western Kentucky at South Alabama (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 79.289; South Alabama 66.401
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 13; 49
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-10); Under


Game 135-136: Fresno State at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 89.839; Colorado 82.766
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 7; 70
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 9 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+9 1/2); Over


Game 137-138: Nevada at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 83.189; Florida State 105.779
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 22 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Florida State by 34; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+34); Under


Game 139-140: UCLA at Nebraska (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 97.993; Nebraska 104.566
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 6 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 4 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-4 1/2); Under


Game 141-142: Georgia Tech at Duke (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 103.473; Duke 83.795
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 19 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 8 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-8 1/2); Over


Game 143-144: Tennessee at Oregon (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 86.561; Oregon 120.820
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 34 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Oregon by 27 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-27 1/2); Under


Game 145-146: Mississippi at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 93.736; Texas 104.139
Dunkel Line: Texas by 10 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-2 1/2); Over


Game 147-148: Boston College at USC (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 80.543; USC 100.228
Dunkel Line: USC by 19 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: USC by 14; 43
Dunkel Pick: USC (-14); Over


Game 149-150: Iowa at Iowa State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 88.429; Iowa State 84.020
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Iowa by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-2 1/2); Under


Game 151-152: Alabama at Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 114.944; Texas A&M 115.742
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 1; 66
Vegas Line: Alabama by 7 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+7 1/2); Over


Game 153-154: Northern Illinois at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 95.165; Idaho 54.962
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 40; 56
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 28; 62
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-28); Under


Game 155-156: Mississippi State at Auburn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 91.033; Auburn 99.198
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Auburn by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-5 1/2); Over


Game 157-158: Washington vs. Illinois (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 93.355; Illinois 88.404
Dunkel Line: Washington by 5; 58
Vegas Line: Washington by 10; 62.5
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+10); Under


Game 159-160: Central Florida at Penn State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 91.475; Penn State 101.800
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 10 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Penn State by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-5 1/2); Under


Game 161-162: Ball State at North Texas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 77.416; North Texas 76.303
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 1; 68
Vegas Line: Ball State by 3 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+3 1/2); Over


Game 163-164: Memphis at Middle Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 68.108; Middle Tennessee State 72.245
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7); Over


Game 165-166: Southern Mississippi at Arkansas (12:21 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 67.290; Arkansas 93.751
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 26 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 22; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-22); Under


Game 167-168: Vanderbilt at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 95.228; South Carolina 104.957
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 14; 51
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+14); Under


Game 169-170: Tulsa at Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 79.721; Oklahoma 108.679
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 29; 56
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 24; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-24); Over


Game 171-172: Ohio State at California (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 100.807; California 88.044
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 13; 71
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 15 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: California (+15 1/2); Over


Game 173-174: Massachusetts at Kansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 57.835; Kansas State 107.482
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 49 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 38 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-38 1/2); Under


Game 175-176: Florida Atlantic at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 65.932; South Florida 86.755
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 21; 49
Vegas Line: South Florida by 12; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-12); Over


Game 177-178: Kansas at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 76.456; Rice 81.031
Dunkel Line: Rice by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Rice by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+7); Under


Game 179-180: Kent State at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 82.926; LSU 106.007
Dunkel Line: LSU by 23; 59
Vegas Line: LSU by 37 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+37 1/2); Over


Game 181-182: Notre Dame at Purdue (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 101.889; Purdue 87.670
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14; 43
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 20 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+20 1/2); Under


Game 183-184: UTEP at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 68.241; New Mexico State 65.709
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: UTEP by 5 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+5 1/2); Under


Game 185-186: Western Michigan at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 61.375; Northwestern 104.717
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 43 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 30 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-30 1/2); Over


Game 187-188: TX-San Antonio at Arizona (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 68.040; Arizona 102.778
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 34 1/2;
Vegas Line: Arizona by 25 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-25 1/2); Under


Game 189-190: Oregon State at Utah (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 90.547; Utah 100.446
Dunkel Line: Utah by 10; 62
Vegas Line: Utah by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-3); Over


Game 191-192: Central Michigan at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 68.861; UNLV 78.955
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 10; 51
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7; 56
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-7); Under


Game 193-194: Wisconsin at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 101.700; Arizona State 100.058
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+5 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS

123 b green ov 61
161 ball st under 63-
177 kansas over 57-
193 wisc over 52

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Factsman Saturday:
South Florida -12.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Books, bettors expect Miller to be in Buckeyes lineup
By JASON LOGAN

The Ohio State Buckeyes are holding their breath on the status of star QB Braxton Miller for Saturday’s road showdown with the California Golden Bears.

Miller suffered a sprained ligament in his left knee during the Buckeyes’ 42-7 win over San Diego State last weekend and is not yet cleared to return. However, he has undergone treatment and OSU head coach Urban Meyer is optimistic about Miller’s return.

"It's not as sore, it's an MCL so it's a little unstable," Meyer told the media. "He's got to get used to that brace."

Some sportsbooks are keeping the Ohio State-Cal game off the board while others are expecting Miller to play, and their odds reflect that. The Buckeyes opened around a two-touchdown road favorite and have since been bet up to as high as -16.5 as of Thursday morning. Betting limits have been lowered for these odds until Miller's status is confirmed.

“The spread reflects Miller starting,” says Russ Candler, head of trading at UWin.com. “The line touched 14 at one point but is now back to 16, which suggests he’s on course for the start.”

The Golden Bears are also dealing with injuries and have a laundry list of ailments on both sides of the ball heading into Week 3, namely leading tackler LB Michael Barto and starting FS Michael Lowe. Cal was nearly knocked off by FCS Portland State last weekend, squeaking out a 37-30 win as a 31-point favorite.

Kenny Guyton stepped in for Miller versus SDSU, throwing for 152 yards and two touchdowns while adding another 83 yards and one score on the ground.

“Even if (Miller) doesn’t start, Guyton showed enough with his arm and his legs to think that the line won’t be affected that much – especially with Cal banged up as well,” says Candler.

The total for Saturday’s Big Ten-Pac-12 showdown opened at 64.5, climbed to 66.5 and is now down to 65.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside the stats: Don't bet against a vengeful Nick Saban
By MARC LAWRENCE

Covers Expert Marc Lawrence digs deep into his stats machine to bring you the best betting numbers, trends and records for this week's football action in NCAAF and the NFL.

You killed my team, prepare to die

Alabama’s only loss of the 2012 season occurred at home in a 29-24 setback to Texas A&M.

The question is will the Tide extract their revenge or will the weight of being the defending national champion hold them down?

If you like Nick Saban, you’ll like knowing he shines in games when seeking revenge, going 32-17 SU and ATS in his college career – including 11-0 SU and 8-3 ATS when favored by more than seven points.

Saban is also an eye-opening 20-4 SU and 17-6 ATS in games involving a pair of undefeated teams, including 15-1 SU and 11-5 ATS with Alabama.

Granted, the Aggies are a jaw-dropping 35-4 straight up at home in games in which they are undefeated since 1984, but Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin is 0-6 ATS in his career against .666 or greater foes with revenge.

Remember, it was Gandhi who said, “An eye for an eye will only make the whole world blind.”

Somehow, we think Nick Saban could care less.

Taking an early blow

In the majority of cases, rest is considered advantageous for most college football teams, especially late in the season.

An extra blow not only helps heal tired bodies but also gives coaches a chance to better study an opponent’s game film in greater detail. However, rested teams during the opening month of the season tend to develop dichotic personalities.

A week of rest right out of the box in a new season can either help or hinder a team – depending on their previous effort and venue.

In college football, teams in Game 2 playing off a loss with a week of rest are just 58-73 ATS since 1980, including 29-44 ATS when on the road. This week we find Boise State, Navy (away), Southern Miss and UAB (away) in this not-so-desirable role.

On the other side of the coin, college football teams in Game 2 playing off a win with a week of rest are 121-86-4 ATS since 1980, with Oregon State in this role next week.

When playing foes with wobbly defenses (allow 27 or more PPG on the season), these rested winners improve to 40-14 ATS, including 19-4 SU and ATS when playing away. Beware of the Beavers next week.

Phony baloneys

As we commonly allude to in this column, phony football teams manage to wins games on the scoreboard while losing in the stats.

While there wasn’t the usual amount of “inside-out” wins on the football front last weed, here are teams this week that were last week’s stat winners and losers…

Won the game, lost the stats: Akron, Fresno State, Tennessee and Purdue.

On the flip side, these are teams that lost the game but won the stats: Western Kentucky and Western Michigan.

On the NFL front, last week’s stat winners and losers included:

Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys, Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins and the St. Louis Rams – all won the game but lost the stats.

Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, New York Giants and the Oakland Raiders – all lost the game but won the stats.

Note: The New York Giants were triple-digit yardage winners, while Akron and Dallas were triple-digit yardage losers.

NFL total discovery

With no-huddle, quicker-pace play, and lots more offensive snaps per game being the new wave in the NFL these days, totals are expected to reach new heights.

Not so during Week 1, however, as over/unders evened out at 8-8 last week.

Interestingly, six of the seven games that did go Over involved the seven teams that had the most offensive plays in their contests, namely: Baltimore, Denver, Detroit, Dallas, San Francisco and Philadelphia – in that order.

Keep an eye on this evolving trend.

Stat of the Week

Atlanta Falcons head coach Mike Smith is 15-0 ATS in games off a loss of six or more points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Three best ways to bet Mayweather vs. Alvarez
By EVAN KORN

The promotional drumbeat has echoed far and wide throughout the sporting world for Floyd Mayweather’s latest foray into the ring. He takes on undefeated 23-year-old Mexican superstar Saul "Canelo" Alvarez at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas Saturday night.

The fight will be contested at a catch weight of 152 pounds - two pounds below the junior middleweight limit, the division in which Alvarez holds two world titles. Mayweather, 36, will be fighting above the welterweight limit for the third time in a storied, 44-fight career. This is a classic matchup of old vs. young, big vs. small and defense-first tactician vs. steady offensive force.

In preparation for the promotion titled “The One,” here are the three best bets:

Decisions, decisions, decisions

Mayweather is a -280 favorite (Alvarez is +220), although the better play is Mayweather by decision at -160.

I’ll usually recommend taking the moneyline to hedge against a stunning knockout or disqualification. Mayweather, though, has knocked out only two of his past nine opponents, with both of those knockouts coming against opponents (Ricky Hatton and Victor Ortiz) who had recently moved up to welterweight from junior welterweight.

Alvarez is a stout 154-pounder with the frame of a middleweight. A Mayweather KO is highly unlikely, so if you’re putting your money on “Money,” take him by decision.

“Yes, if I had to make a play on Mayweather, I think win by decision is the best play,” Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com (http://www.sportsbook.ag/) told Covers.com. “You’re laying -160 and Mayweather rarely goes for the quick win.”

Considering the late money generally pours in on the underdog (and historically has gone against Mayweather), waiting until Saturday to wager on Mayweather might be the best play.

Draw

Granted, it’s anticlimactic to hope for a draw, but the odds (25-1, down from 28-1 Wednesday) are too enticing to pass up.

Even if Mayweather wins in the eyes of the public, he’ll still need to convince two of the three judges. One of the judges assigned to Saturday’s fight, C.J. Ross, was one of the two blind mice that gifted Timothy Bradley with an egregious split decision victory over Manny Pacquiao last year.

A draw, controversial or otherwise, sets up a megabucks rematch. And a rematch benefits everybody - from the fighters to the casinos that rake it in on a big fight weekend. Even if you have Mayweather by decision, a small hedge bet on the draw is advisable.

"People are betting the draw at prices as low as 18-to-1,” boxing oddsmaker Joey Oddessa told Covers.com. “I think it’s more of a reflection of their lack of faith in the competence of the judges than the bout itself. I'd be surprised if Canelo wins four rounds total or any two rounds after round six."

Points spread

Mayweather is a 9.5-point favorite (-130, up from -115 Wednesday), meaning if the fight goes to the scorecards, he’d have to be ahead by a combined 10 points on the three judges’ scorecards.

If Mayweather wins an eight rounds-to-four-type decision, 116-112 across the board, you win the bet. In a close fight, all it takes is one inept judge with a scorecard of 118-110 or 119-109 to shift the prop in your favor. A knockout, TKO or DQ would also get the job done.

Betting the judges is a treacherous proposition, but Mayweather should win handily enough to make it worth your while.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES

English Premier League

Arsenal @ Sunderland (Saturday 3:00PM BST / 10:00AM EST)
Sunderland's coach Paolo Di Canio continues having the same bad temper that he used to showcase as a player. On the team's last game at Crystal Palace and after watching forward Ji Dong-Won failing a great scoring chance, Di Canio made fun of him and replaced him at halftime. Then, after team's captain John O'Shea had a critical error that cost the team a penalty kick to Palace and got O'Shea sent off from the game, Di Canio said the following on the flash interview:

"Our leader didn't react in the way he should. That is terrible because it was a crucial game for us," said Di Canio. "The penalty didn't come from a dangerous situation. It's absolutely poor and not acceptable. It was difficult to see this goal at this level. John O'Shea did something really wrong but he is an experienced footballer. It is not just with John O'Shea, but with a few players and there is not the right desire," added the Italian. "I cannot change the heart of my players."

This isn't the best way to manage a team and the truth is that Sunderland has just one point after three games, even though they had a quite accessible schedule, where they faced Fulham, Southampton and Crystal Palace.

On the other side, Arsenal bounced back quite well after losing against Aston Villa on their league debut. They defeated Fenerbahçe twice on Champions League qualifying, while they also easily defeated Fulham on the road and defeated Tottenham at home by 1-0, in a game where they had a better offensive flow than Tottenham, while their defense was also able to do a serviceable job. On trade deadline, Arsenal managed to sign Mesut Ozil from Real Madrid with a club record fee of 42M pounds. Ozil will help Arsenal in being an even better offensive team and certainly few teams in this league can match Arsenal's offensive flow and creativity in the front.

The problem is that Arsenal continues being far from being a top class defensive unit and Arsene Wenger didn't spend anything on trying to improve his team on this area. Depth might also become a short-term problem for them, as they are currently facing a number of injury concerns with Tomas Rosicky, Abou Diaby, Thomas Vermaelen, Mikel Arteta, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Lukas Podolski and Yaya Sanogo all sidelined. However, coach Wenger said that most of these injuries aren't worrying at all:

"We have lost Rosicky and everybody else should be available. I haven't decided but there is a possibility Özil could start."

For this game, I expect Arsenal to take control of the game, while Sunderland should struggle on defense without their suspended captain John O'Shea, while Wes Brown is also doubtful for this game. On their last two games, Sunderland allowed Southampton to have 67% ball possession and 17 total shots, while they allowed Crystal Palace to have 18 total shots on their last game. If Di Canio's team struggled so much against these two teams, things will only get much worse against a top offensive team like Arsenal. Therefore, I expect Arsenal to score some goals on this game, allowing them to pick up an easy win in here. I'm taking Arsenal on this contest.

NOTE: I expect Arsenal to be a public team on this contest, so this is why I'm already releasing this Saturday play!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Arsenal (-0.75) @ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

saturday

pod eastern michigan game over 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz Saturday Football

Free Play Florida Atlantic +14 South Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

9* CFB ROAST

East Carolina+7½/-105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alabama at Texas A&M: What bettors need to know

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies (+7.5, 60)

The two-time defending national champions take on the Heisman Trophy quarterback who nearly derailed their title defense a year ago when top-ranked Alabama travels to No. 6 Texas A&M for a Southeastern Conference showdown Saturday afternoon. Star quarterback Johnny Manziel and the Aggies put their nation-best eight-game winning streak on the line against Alabama's vaunted defense in one of the most-anticipated matchups of the season. Last year in Tuscaloosa, Ala., Manziel's Heisman campaign hit high gear when he orchestrated a 29-24 upset of the undefeated Crimson Tide.

Coach Nick Saban has had two weeks to prepare for Manziel and the Aggies' high-powered offense, as the Crimson Tide had a week off following a 35-10 win over Virginia Tech in the opener. Alabama hasn't lost a road or neutral-site game since Nov. 6, 2010, a span of 15 games - the longest active streak in the nation. It's the first trip to College Station, Texas, for the Crimson Tide since a 30-10 victory in 1988.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low 90s with partly cloudy skies and a 10 percent chance of rain. Winds blowing ENE at 6 mph.

LINE: Alabama opened as a 6-point favorite and was bet up as high as -9.5 before coming down to -7.5. Total opened at 56 and was bet up as high as 63 before coming down to 60 points.

ABOUT ALABAMA (1-0, 1-0 ATS): The Crimson Tide were dominant on defense and special teams against the Hokies but experienced the growing pains associated with an inexperienced offensive line. Three of Alabama's five touchdowns in the opener were produced by the defense and special teams, and Christion Jones accounted for three of the scores with a 74-yard punt return, a 93-yard kickoff return and a 39-yard touchdown catch. The non-traditional scores helped mask a lackluster offensive effort, as Alabama managed only 206 total yards.

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (2-0, 1-1 ATS): Coach Kevin Sumlin's team continues to put up huge offensive numbers, averaging 58.5 points and 600 yards through two games, but the defense has been susceptible even against inferior opponents. After being suspended for the first half of the opener against Rice, Manziel came off the bench to throw three touchdown passes, and he rolled up 462 total yards and four scores (three passing) last week against Sam Houston State. The Aggies might need more eye-popping numbers from Manziel this week, as the defense has surrendered 29.5 points and 449.5 yards per contest.

TRENDS:

* Crimson Tide are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games.
* Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games.
* Alabama head coach Nick Saban is 32-17 SU and ATS in revenge spots during his college career – including 11-0 SU and 8-3 ATS when favored by more than seven points.
* Texas A&M head coach Kevin Sumlin is 0-6 ATS in his career against .666 or greater foes with revenge.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Since the start of the 2008 season, Alabama is 41-0 when it has fewer turnovers than its opponent and 51-0 when rushing for at least 140 yards.

2. Texas A&M is 1-4 all-time at home against top-ranked teams. Alabama is the first No. 1 team to visit College Station since the Aggies upset Oklahoma 30-26 in 2002.

3. The Aggies have surpassed 400 total yards in 14 consecutive games. Alabama has not allowed an opponent to reach 400 yards since Texas A&M did so last season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Books brace for Texas A&M money

Alabama isn’t the only group waiting to sink its teeth into Texas A&M this weekend.

College football bettors have been counting down the days to this SEC showdown ever since Johnny Manziel and the Aggies spoiled the Crimson Tide’s undefeated season with a 29-24 win in Bryant-Denny Stadium last November.

This spread was up as early as June when the Golden Nugget in Las Vegas opened Texas A&M as a 6-point home underdog. The LVH Superbook posted a similar line in July, tacking on a half-point hook.

With kickoff only days away, and a summer full of drama for “Johnny Football” in the past, sportsbooks are currently dealing Alabama as a 7.5-point road favorite. We talk to oddsmakers to see how the betting action has been so far, and where they expect the line to move before the 3:30 p.m. ET start.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies – Open: +6, Move: +9.5, Move: +7.5

This line jumped significantly before the season started with rumors that Manziel could be suspended for his role in an autograph scandal, in which he was allegedly paid for signing memorabilia during last year’s BCS Championship weekend.

The spread, which was pulled from the board at many books, went up as high as Alabama -9.5 before the NCAA served up a slap on the wrist and only suspended the reigning Heisman winner for the first half of Texas A&M’s opener versus Rice. Since then, nerves have calmed and money has moved this back down around a touchdown.

The Crimson Tide are still the more popular pick among bettors, with about 67 percent of the total handle on the defending national champs. Since moving down, most books have drawn pretty solid two-way money but know the majority of the action will come Friday and Saturday.

“It’s a bit back and forth on juice, but the number is steady,” says Aron Black of bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/).com. “So far we are just shy of 3-to-1 Alabama ATS money to Texas A&M. Bama will be a banker for the parlays and some heavy-hit singles, but I expect to see some dog money on Texas A&M straight up Saturday.”

The Aggies are currently +240 moneyline underdogs after opening as high as +270 with Alabama coming back as a -300 road favorite to win SU.

The total opened at 54.5 at the Golden Nugget in June and has since climbed as high as 63 points before being bet down over the past week. Action on the under has driven the number to 60.5, with Alabama’s defense expected to prevail over the Aggies' high-flying offense.

Last year’s game played under the 54.5-point total. Texas A&M has topped the number in its first two games of the season while Alabama pushed with the 45-point total in its opener against Virginia Tech.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Texas San Antonio at Arizona (Saturday 9/14 10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona -24.5 (-110) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)

The Texas San Antonio Roadrunners played Oklahoma State to a 21-point game on the road last week as a 33.5 point underdog. But, the Cowboys are not the team they were the last few years. The Wildcats have it going on both sides of the ball, and have won their first two games by a total of 80 points, and this one does not look to be much different. Arizona has a punishing running attack which has ground-out 730 yards in two games. And, UTSA simply does not have the team speed or depth to handle it. Oklahoma State put up 610 yards on them last week, and Arizona is going to put up similar numbers. The difference here is that the Wildcats have a stronger defense, so the distance between these teams is going to show up early and often - especially on the scoreboard. An offense in motion tends to stay in motion in college football, and Arizona has covered four straight after topping the 40-point mark. Play on Arizona in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prosportshandicappers

(1unit) take UNDER 62 Alabama/ Texas A&M

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Winners Circle

Saturday Football Plays

10* Play Texas A&M +8.5 over Alabama (TOP NCAA PLAY) 3:30 PM EST

Texas A&M has won 10 of the last 12 games coming off a win by 17 points or more in their last game and they have also won 13 of the last 16 games after scoring 37 points or more in their last game. Texas A&M has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games when playing as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points and they are averaging 58 points a game on offense this season.


10* Play Florida Atlantic +10.5 over South Florida (TOP COLLEGE PLAY) 7:00 PM EST

South Florida has lost 7 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they have also lost 7 of the last 8 games coming off a road loss in their last game. South Florida has lost 6 consecutive games after scoring 14 points or less and they have lost 18 of the last 26 overall games.


10* Play Oregon State +3 over Utah (TOP NCAA PLAY) 10:00 PM EST

Oregon State has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games when playing as a road underdog of three points or less and they have also covered the spread in 17 of the last 24 games after gaining 300 or more passing yards in their last game. Oregon State has won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 games when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they are averaging 39 points a game on offense this season.


5* Play UCLA +4.5 over Nebraska (BONUS COLLEGE PLAY)
5* Play Oregon -27.5 over Tennessee (BONUS COLLEGE PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action

We give a quick look at all of Saturday's Top 25 afternoon betting action from Week 3 of the college football schedule:

Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky Wildcats (+13.5, 59.5)

Teddy Bridgewater looks to build on his early-season productivity when No. 7 Louisville visits in-state rival Kentucky on Saturday. The junior quarterback passed for 752 yards and nine touchdowns in the Cardinals’ first two victories and completed 19-of-21 passes in Louisville’s win over Kentucky last season. The Wildcats are transitioning under first-year coach Mark Stoops and the offense rolled up 675 yards in last Saturday’s 41-7 rout of Miami (Ohio).

Kentucky had 413 passing yards and 262 on the ground against Miami in the second game under new offensive coordinator Neal Brown to rack up the third-most yards in program history. The Wildcats rotated sophomore quarterbacks Maxwell Smith and Jalen Whitlow in the first two games and now face a rugged Louisville defense that allowed just seven points in each of two victories. The explosive Cardinals rank fifth in passing offense (406.5), tied for 16th in scoring offense (46.5 points) and 18th in total offense (545.0).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies over Commonwealth Stadium in Lexington.
LINE: Louisville opened as 11.5-point road faves and is as high -14 at some books. The total is 59.5.
TRENDS:

* The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* The over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 road games.
* The Wildcats are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.

Akron Zips at Michigan Wolverines (-37, 56.5)

The last time Michigan secured a home victory against Notre Dame, it struggled initially against a downtrodden Mid-American Conference opponent before recovering en route to a 6-0 start. The 12th-ranked Wolverines look to avoid another early letdown Saturday when they host Akron. Michigan, which defeated the Fighting Irish 41-30 in its last home game between the two longtime rivals, followed up a dramatic victory against Notre Dame in 2011 with a sloppy 31-3 win over Eastern Michigan.

While Eastern Michigan went on to finish 6-6 that year for its only non-losing season since 1995, the Zips - who are coming off a 1-11 campaign - don’t appear to be a team capable of trading blows with the Wolverines. Akron, which is in its second season under former Auburn coach Terry Bowden, has dropped 27 consecutive road contests. The Zips have won only one game in each of the previous three seasons and are coming off a 35-33 home win over James Madison last Saturday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with clear skies. There is a small five percent chance of rain in the forecast.
LINE: Michigan opened as 36.5-point home faves and is now -37. The total is 56.5.
TRENDS:

* The Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus the MAC.
* The Zips are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* The under is 8-1 in the Zips last nine games overall.

UCLA Bruins at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-4.5, 70)

UCLA will be playing with heavy hearts this week following the death of walk-on wide receiver Nick Pasquale, who was hit by a car while walking in his hometown on Sunday. The 17th-ranked Bruins attempt to put that pain behind them when they visit No. 15 Nebraska on Saturday. UCLA had extra time to prepare after an opening destruction of Nevada on Aug. 31 and a bye week.

The Cornhuskers are searching for revenge against the Bruins, who rolled up 653 total yards in a 36-30 home win over Nebraska last season. That marked the second-most yards ever allowed by a Cornhuskers defense, and the loss threw an early wrench into their BCS bowl plans. UCLA used that triumph as a springboard to a strong campaign and hopes to turn the same trick in 2013.

WEATHER: Temperatures in Lincoln will be in the high-60s with a 24 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from the south at 12 mph toward the north end zone.
LINE: Nebraska opened as a 4.5-point favorite. The total is 70.
TRENDS:

* The Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win.
* The over is 4-0 in the Bruins' last four road games.
* The Cornhuskers are 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

Tulsa Golden Hurricanes at Oklahoma Sooners (-24, 51)

Quarterback Blake Bell will make his first career start when No. 13 Oklahoma hosts in-state foe Tulsa on Saturday. Starter Trevor Knight suffered a bruised right knee late in the first half of the Sooners' 16-7 victory over West Virginia last week and left the game after three quarters in favor of Bell with Oklahoma ahead 13-7. Knight is expected to miss up to two weeks, but could miss only one game as the Sooners are off next week prior to their showdown at No. 21 Notre Dame on Sept. 28.

It may not matter who plays quarterback for Oklahoma as its defense has yielded seven points in two games - the fewest allowed by an FBS school that has faced two FBS teams. The Golden Hurricane, voted to win the Conference USA West Division in the preseason poll, were headed for an 0-2 start before rallying from a 10-point deficit in the fourth quarter to defeat Colorado State 30-27 last week. Julius Caesar (Trey) Watts III, son of former Sooners star quarterback and U.S. Congressman J.C. Watts, is responsible for 251 of Tulsa's 700 yards and should attract the majority of Oklahoma's attention.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field from the east at 6 mph.
LINE: The Sooners opened as 24.5-point home faves at most books and are currently -24. The total opened at 49 and is up to 51.
TRENDS:

* The Golden Hurricane are 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus the Big 12.
* The Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
* The favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Stanford Cardinal at Army Black Knights (+28.5, 51)

Fourth-ranked Stanford looks to extend its winning streak to 10 games when it travels to Army on Saturday in the first meeting between the schools since 1979. The Cardinal picked up where they left off in 2012 by trouncing San Jose State last weekend 34-13. It gave coach David Shaw a 24-4 mark since taking over at Stanford, including wins in his first three season openers, making Shaw the first Cardinal coach to do that in almost 80 years.

It has been nearly 41 seasons since Army knocked off a ranked opponent and almost 51 years since the Black Knights hosted a team ranked in the top five nationally. Army enters on a sour note after suffering a 40-14 loss at Ball State last weekend. The Black Knights turned the ball over three times and gave up 325 passing yards.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with partly cloudy skies before clearing up later in the game. Wind will blow from the NW at 6 mph.
LINE: Army opened as 28.5-point home dogs. The total opened at 52 and has moved down to 51.
TRENDS:

* The Cardinal are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
* The Black Knights are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
* The under is 6-1 in Black Knights last seven games overall.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Florida State Seminoles (-33.5, 65.5)

One game into his much-anticipated college career and the bar has already been set impossibly high for Jameis Winston, who will look to build on a scintillating debut when No. 9 Florida State hosts Nevada on Saturday. Winston shattered the school's single-game completion percentage and posted an FBS-best passer rating of 252.2 as the Seminoles dismantled Pittsburgh on Sept. 2. Florida State has an extra week to prepare, but it is 1-2 coming off a bye the last three seasons.

Nevada, the alma mater of San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick, will be playing a ranked team on the road for the second time in three weeks after getting overwhelmed by UCLA 58-20 in the season opener. The Wolf Pack could be forced to play without dual-threat QB Cody Fajardo, who suffered a sprained right knee in last week's 36-7 victory over UC Davis. Fajardo is listed as day-to-day for Nevada, which went 5-1 on the road last season.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 41 percent chance of thunderstorms in Tallahassee.
LINE: The Seminoles opened as 32-point home faves and are currently -33.5. The total is 65.5.
TRENDS:

* The Wolf Pack are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win.
* The Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.
* The under is 12-2 in Seminoles last 14 non-conference games.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies (+7.5, 60)

The two-time defending national champions take on the Heisman Trophy quarterback who nearly derailed their title defense a year ago when top-ranked Alabama travels to No. 6 Texas A&M for a Southeastern Conference showdown Saturday afternoon. Star quarterback Johnny Manziel and the Aggies put their nation-best eight-game winning streak on the line against Alabama's vaunted defense in one of the most-anticipated matchups of the season. Last year in Tuscaloosa, Ala., Manziel's Heisman campaign hit high gear when he orchestrated a 29-24 upset of the undefeated Crimson Tide.

Coach Nick Saban has had two weeks to prepare for Manziel and the Aggies' high-powered offense, as the Crimson Tide had a week off following a 35-10 win over Virginia Tech in the opener. Alabama hasn't lost a road or neutral-site game since Nov. 6, 2010, a span of 15 games - the longest active streak in the nation. It's the first trip to College Station, Texas, for the Crimson Tide since a 30-10 victory in 1988.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.
LINE: Most books opened with the Crimson Tide as 7.5-point road faves. The total opened at 62 and has come down to 60.
TRENDS:

* Crimson Tide are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games.
* The Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* The over is 4-1 in the Aggies last five home games.

Tennessee Volunteers at Oregon Ducks (-27.5, 71)

It’s safe to say the transition from Chip Kelly to Mark Helfrich has been seamless as No. 2 Oregon hosts Tennessee on Saturday in the third game of the post-Kelly era. The high-flying offense hasn’t missed a beat by scoring an average of 62.5 points (third nationally) and ranking second in total offense (664.5) and second in rushing offense (425.0). Tennessee has allowed just 20 points in two games, ranks 29th in total defense (302.0) and has forced nine turnovers.

The Volunteers’ gaudy defensive statistics will be tested by the high-powered Ducks as the first two opponents – Austin Peay and Western Kentucky – lacked the weapons Oregon possesses. First-year Tennessee coach Butch Jones said his team needs to prevent the quick long-yardage scores the Ducks are known for and make them drive the field for points. Oregon is averaging a stellar 9.5 yards per play after opening the Helfrich era with routs over Nicholls State (66-3) and Virgina (59-10).

WEATHER: Skies will be clear and temperatures will be in the high-70s at Autzen Stadium.
LINE: Oregon opened as a 27-point home fave and has been bet up to -27.5. Most books opened to total at 70 and it is currently 71.
TRENDS:

* The Volunteers are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win.
* The Ducks are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* The over is 26-8-1 in the Ducks last 35 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

3* Maryland -5.5 GOM
3* Arizona St. -4
3* Mayweather wins by decision

2* Louisville -13.5
2* Colorado +9.5

1* Mississippi St. +6.5
1* UCLA +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob

3 Utah

2 Arkansas
2 Colorado

opinions

Texas tech
Under Arizona
North texas
Rutgers
Bowling green
Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves
Virginia Tech -7 -115 Released Monday
Texas -2.5
rice over 58.5
arizona Under 63.5
Purdue Under 49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

University of Colorado officials Friday called off the football game against Fresno State scheduled for noon Saturday at Folsom Field due to the effects of the flooding in Boulder, according to CU officials.

"Even though the weather is improving, Boulder is still designated as a national emergency site," Chancellor Philip P. DiStefano said in a statement. "Our community is hurting. Many of our students are displaced from their homes, including many of our student-athletes. This is not an appropriate time for us to hold a game that would put pressure on the community, both in terms of security/emergency personnel, but also in diverting attention from people in need."

DiStefano also said that "ensuring the safety of CU affiliates and fans has always been the No. 1 priority."

The Fresno State team had been scheduled to fly out Friday afternoon but that flight was delayed as school officials awaited word on whether the game would be played. No makeup date has been set.

CU head football coach Mike MacIntyre said his players are supportive of the decision.

From denver post

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JIMMY BOYD

4* Alabama -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDER ANGLES

NCAA Football Trends & Angles - Week 3
September 13, 2013

We have already reached Week 3 of the 2013 NCAA Football season, and there are many more conference games on the slate this week as many conferences continue to be their schedules earlier than they did just a few years ago with bigger "superconferences" gaining popularity, necessitating earlier starts because of the sheer size of the leagues.

Another factor is many conferences now having championship games at the end of the year, forcing them to start at least one week earlier than in the past so that those games are not too close to the beginning of the bowl season.

The bottom line of all this is that there are now more September conference games than ever before, and with this in mind, all of our Trends & Angles in Week 3 will pertain to conference games only or more specifically to September conference games only. We will then transition to season-long angles in the first week of October.

Please note that all records are for the last 13 seasons since the 2000 season, plus the first two weeks of this year.

Bet against September home conference favorites coming off a loss
(112-61-5, 64.7% ATS):
Bettors often tend to excuse teams coming off of a loss if the team is home, thinking that the home crowd will inspire the team to a better performance and the fact that they are favored must mean they are the better team. What bettors don't consider is that these teams could just as easily be overvalued, as one loss does not change a team's power rating much when perhaps it should, at least early in the season. Qualifier: Vanderbilt +13½ at South Carolina.

Bet on September road teams in conference games coming off an 'under'
(139-90-8, 60.9% ATS):
Many bettors like to bet flashy teams that score boatloads of points, and teams coming off an 'under' are often the very antithesis of that. However, these "boring" teams often play good defense also, which naturally gives them more value than the scoring machines that are often overvalued. Qualifier: Oregon State +3.

Bet on September conference road underdogs coming off a win (143-96-11, 59.8% ATS): This is yet another angle that has to do with perception as bettors that are unaware of the strengths and weaknesses of each team early often rely on the oddsmakers to "tell" them who the better team is and then knee-jerk to the favorite. The problem there is that the lines are the softest early in the season and conference underdogs coming off a win may simply be undervalued at this early stage. Qualifiers: Mississippi State +6, Oregon State +3 and Vanderbilt +13½.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Economy Club - Maryland -6.5

Big Dog Play - Florida Atlantic +13.5

Big Twelve Play - Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

117 Louisville -13.5
123 Bowling Green +3
135 Fresno State -9.5
139 UCLA +4.5
141 Georgia Tech -8.5
150 Iowa State +2.5
169 Tulsa +24.5
178 Rice -6.5 TWO UNIT BEST BET
189 Oregon State +3.5
249 Cal Poly +9.5
269 Southern Utah +22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Delphi Soccer Plays:

English Championship: Watford v Charlton - over 2.5 Goals @ -120 (10am EST)
English Premiership: Everton v Chelsea - Chelsea win @ +135 (12:30pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUG UPSTONE

Northwestern-30

For Saturday, PLAY ON home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Northwestern, an excellent offensive team averaging 6.2 yards per play, against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards a play in two consecutive games.

This incredible college football system is 22-3 ATS, 88 percent the last 20 years, with the average margin of victory 34.8 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Saturday Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: Bowling Green at Indiana
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Bowling Green (+3 -110)
Line Source: TopBet.com
Posted on: September 13, 2013 @ 12:11:48 AM EDT

>Play On: Bowling Green (Game 123). Note: Fool me once, Hoosiers – shame on you. But after last week’s debacle we’ll be looking for a repeat of that lackluster performance against a very good 18-returning starter Bowling Green team that has posted a 10-2 SUATS record in its last 12 road games as a favorite or dog of less than 6 points. Indiana is just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five home games versus MAC opposition and 1-6 ATS over the last seven in the role of non-conference chalk. Of course, they’re not the only ones: our database confirms that home favorites off a SU home loss when laying double digits are just 2-10 ATS in this role since 2000 when playing off exactly one loss. As is often the case, the well-oiled machine will often toss us a reliable counterpoint: 2-0 SUATS road dogs in Game Three are 24-11 ATS when facing a .500 or greater opponent. The clincher: single-digit non conference home favorites off one loss-exact as a favorite are 1-18 ATS when facing an opponent off a win provided the favorite lost to the spread by more than 13 points in the loss. With that we recommend a 3-unit play on Bowling Green. Thank you and good luck as always.
Marc's Famous College Football False Favorite Game of the Month plays are documented 31-9, with 20 straight-up underdog winners. Get this huge 4* play now and learn a trio of amazing Awesome Angles inside the game that have each never lost the money, going 24-0 ATS. You know what to do!
Matchup: Fresno State at Colorado
Time: 2:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Colorado (+9.5 -110)
Line Source: Mirage-MGM
Posted on: September 13, 2013 @ 12:11:48 AM EDT

>Play On: Colorado (Game 136). Note: Much of the Fresno State preseason hype this year was centered around all-MWC QB Derek Carr, and though he did throw for 470 yards against Rutgers, he managed a less-than-impressive 208 yards in the win over Cal Poly-SLO. Meanwhile, the Buffs have been so bad for so long (4-21 SU since leaving the Big 12 for the Pac-12) that their 2-0 start – both SU and ITS (In The Stats) – has gone largely unnoticed. First-year head coach Mike MacIntyre did not mince words while sweeping away remnants of the previous regime, publicly stating that last year’s Buffs were one of the most poorly-prepared teams he had ever seen. But after transforming San Jose State from a 1-win team to a 11-2 bowl winner in just three seasons, we expect to see MacIntyre quickly turn around Colorado’s football fortunes. This looks like a good opportunity as Fresno has struggled to a weak 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS effort versus previous Pac-10/12 opponents. In addition our database notes that undefeated non-conference home dogs of 10 or less points with a winning record that scored 35 or more points in each game are 13-0 ATS when facing a winning opponent not off a win of 20 or more points who allows 14 or more PPG since 1980. We recommend a 3-unit play on Colorado. Thank you and good luck as always.
Marc's Famous College Football False Favorite Game of the Month plays are documented 31-9, with 20 straight-up underdog winners. Get this huge 4* play now and learn a trio of amazing Awesome Angles inside the game that have each never lost the money, going 24-0 ATS. You know what to do!
Matchup: Boston Col. at Southern Cal
Time: 3:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Southern Cal (-13.5 -110)
Line Source: Bookmaker
Posted on: September 13, 2013 @ 12:11:48 AM EDT

>Play On: USC (Game 148). Note: Despite the Trojans stunning home loss last week, all is not lost. The Trojans enter today's fray owning an 11th-ranked ‘D’ allowing a mere 230 YPG, and did not allow an offensive TD in the loss to the Cougars (held Mike Leach to his lowest output ever in a conference game). The stat sheet shows Boston College trekking to the left coast with a 2-0 SU record in tow but the Eagles must overcome a ton of negative ATS roles if they expect to ring the register here. BC is 0-5 ATS in its first road trip, 0-3 ATS versus the Pac-12 and our database reminds us that new coaches in their first road game are just 4-14 ATS when facing a foe off a SU favorite loss. The Trojans fare much better, posting a 6-1 ATS mark in the second of three straight home games, plus they’re 12-7 ATS in games off a SU favorite loss. The most encouraging news for Lane Kiffin and his warriors: 2-0 road teams in Game Three off a SUATS win are 0-15 ATS when facing a non conference host off a home loss that has won 8 or more of its previous 22 games provided the road team did not beat the spread by 18 or more points in its last game. Lay the points with the value-laden Trojans. We recommend a 3-unit play on USC. Thank you and good luck as always.
Marc's Famous College Football False Favorite Game of the Month plays are documented 31-9, with 20 straight-up underdog winners. Get this huge 4* play now and learn a trio of amazing Awesome Angles inside the game that have each never lost the money, going 24-0 ATS. You know what to do!
Matchup: Central Florida at Penn State
Time: 6:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Central Florida (+6 -110)
Line Source: CarbonSports
Posted on: September 13, 2013 @ 12:11:48 AM EDT

>Play On: Central Florida (Game 159). Note: And, right on cue, here come the underdog Knights. UCF has opened 2-0 SUATS versus a pair of pancakes in Akron and FIU but the level of competition increases dramatically this week against a Penn State squad that just mauled Eastern Michigan, 45-7. Still, our database likes dogs that were favored by 3 or more TDs the last game, especially when they’ve won 10 of their last 12 games (with the losses coming by only 5 and 6 points). These Knights protect the ball like it’s the Holy Grail, committing just one turnover this season after ranking 16th in the FBS last year in turnover margin. And with head coach George O’Leary’s 7-2 ATS dog collar when his team is undefeated means the large throng at Happy Valley likely won’t intimidate the visitors. Can’t say enough about what a great job Bill O’Brien has done at State College since the passing of Joe Pa but the Lions have traditionally struggled in this role: just 1-7 ATS at home off a previous homer versus an unbeaten foe – including 0-5 ATS the last five outings. UCF has a habit of playing to the level of its competition (last 11 SU defeats came by an average of just over 7 PPG), a characteristic that sometimes causes foes to underestimate their talent level. O’Brien won’t fall into that trap but we don’t think it’s going to matter, not when he takes on his former boss O'Leary (assistant at Georgia Tech). The clincher: road dogs off a shutout road win are 17-3 ATS since 1980 when facing a non-conference opponent, including 12-0 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win and facing a .333 or greater opponent. Grab the points. We recommend a 3-unit play on Central Florida. Thank you and good luck as always.
Marc's Famous College Football False Favorite Game of the Month plays are documented 31-9, with 20 straight-up underdog winners. Get this huge 4* play now and learn a trio of amazing Awesome Angles inside the game that have each never lost the money, going 24-0 ATS. You know what to do!
Member Plays
Matchup: Virginia Tech at East Carolina
Time: 12:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: East Carolina (+8 -110)
Line Source: Heritage (http://www.heritagesports.eu)
Posted on: September 13, 2013 @ 12:11:48 AM EDT

>Play On: East Carolina. Note: Apparently, this line is based purely on name and reputation. The truth is these two teams are heading in opposite directions and the oddsmaker can do little about it. The Pirates have won 7 of their last 8 regular season contests while the Hokies have dropped 6 of their last 10. In addition, the Techsters were favored on the road four times last season, going 0-4 ATS while losing three of those games straight-up. Yes, we realize the Hokies are 13-1 SU in the state of North Carolina during the regular season since 2004, but this game is hardly a ‘must-win situation’ and these aren’t the same Beamer Boys we’ve come to love in the past. On the flip side, we’ve been predicting a breakout season for Ruffin McNeill’s squad and a victory here would be a huge step in that direction. However, Bud Foster’s defense made Alabama’s young offensive line look silly at times in the season opener, so an outright win is a difficult proposition. Still, keep in mind that the Pirates are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five games of this series, and that home underdogs of 7 points or less in Game Three coming off back-to-back home wins are 11-3 ATS since 1993. Finally, Mike Leach disciple McNeill is 13-0 SU and 8-2-1 ATS at home against opponents with a record of .500 or worse. In this case, it’s better to receive than to give. We recommend a 1-unit play on East Carolina. Thank you and good luck as always.
Marc's Famous College Football False Favorite Game of the Month plays are documented 31-9, with 20 straight-up underdog winners. Get this huge 4* play now and learn a trio of amazing Awesome Angles inside the game that have each never lost the money, going 24-0 ATS. You know what to do!
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Mississippi at Texas
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)

Play: Mississippi (+3 -110)
Line Source: CarbonSports
Posted on: September 13, 2013 @ 12:11:48 AM EDT

>Play On: Mississippi (Game 145). Note: It wasn't long after the Texas defense was eviscerated for an unimaginable 550 rushing yards by BYU that Longhorns head coach Mack Brown hit the panic button and fired defensive coordinator Manny Diaz, marking the first time ever in his college career that Brown dismissed a coach in mid-season. Enter former Syracuse HC Greg Robinson as the new DC. Robinson was working as a TV analyst when he got the call. As if that’s not enough for Brown to worry about, starting QB David Ash is likely out for this game with a head and shoulder injuries. Case McCoy will step in, making his eighth appearance as a quarterback with the Longhorns. In those games - five in 2011, two in 2012 - McCoy had a TD-INT ratio of 8-7 with an average raw QBR of 43.4. Texas went on to lose five of the seven contests. Regardless of who's behind center, the ‘Horns are still in a rotten role here: as single-digit home favorites off one loss exact are a weak 19-40 ATS versus a foe off a win. Bevo hasn’t had much luck with the SEC either, going 2-6 ATS the last eight meetings and posting a dismal 4-10 ATS mark as overall non-conference chalk of 11 or fewer points. Our database backs a play on the visitors, too, noting that SEC teams are 4-0 ATS versus Big 12 foes off a SU favorite loss – and that Mississippi HC Hugh Freeze is an eye-popping 10-0 SU and 8-1 ATS versus an opponent off a loss, including 7-0 SUATS against teams off a SUATS loss. Add to that this beauty from our database: non-conference home favorites of 20 or less points off a SU road favorite loss of 9 or more points are 0-11 ATS since 1980 when facing a foe off a win with revenge. The clincher: Brown is 18-33 ATS in his career versus undefeated opponents, including 0-6 SUATS in games after having allowed 34 or more points in his previous contest. FYI: he was in this same exact role last year as a 7-point home favorite against West Virginia and managed to lose the whole game, 48-45. Look for the royally pissed Rebels to avenge last year’s 66-31 thrashing at Oxford in a major payback as the money-burning continues in Austin tonight. We recommend a 4-unit play on Ole Miss. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SweetJones55

Marshall Thundering Herd -6.5 (x1)
Pittsburgh Panthers -21.5 (x1)
Texas Longhorns -6.5 (x1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Playersbet 7 unit CFB Saturday Play

7 Unit Play. #127 Take Maryland Terrapins -6 over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN3.com)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine's
NCAAF lock Rice -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo's
Stanford (-29) over Army
FIRST HALF: Take #113 Stanford (-16.5) over Army
Ohio State (-15.5) over Cal
Ohio (+8) over Marshall
Kansas (+7) over Rice
West Virginia (-39.5) over Georgia State
Georgia Tech (-8.5) over Duke
Maryland (-6) over Connecticut
Oklahoma State (-47) over Lamar
Arizona State (-5) over Wisconsin
Alabama (-7.5) over Texas A&M
Central Florida (+5.5) over Penn State
Louisville (-13.5) over Kentucky
TEASER: Take #157 Washington (-2.5) over Illinois (6 p.m.) AND Take #176 South Florida (-5.5) over Florida Atlantic
Ball State (-3) over North Texas
Utah State (-36) over Weber State
Utah (-3) over Oregon State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman
Colorado (+9.5) over Fresno State
Vanderbilt (+13.5) over South Carolina
Utah (-3) over Oregon State
Kansas (+7) over Rice

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza (VSI)'s
Louisville -13 ½ over Kentucky
Take Under 61 Alabama at Texas A&M
Arizona St -5 over Wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
Arizona State (-5) over Wisconsin
Ball State (-3.5) over North Texas
Washington/Illinois 'Over' 62

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

#155 Mississippi State +6 over Auburn

#157 Washington -9.5 over Illinois


#128 Connecticut +6.5 over Maryland

178 Rice -6.5 over Kansas

USC -13.5 over Boston College

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC’S SPORTS

4 Unit Play. #117 TakeLouisville Cardinals -13.5 over Kentucky Wildcats (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) TheGovernor's Cup is on the line in this annual meeting between Louisville andKentucky. The Cardinals have won five of their last seven games in Lexington,and they have a much better team this year than does Kentucky. The Wildcatsalready lost to WKU, a team that got pounded by a middle-of-the-pack SEC teamin Tennessee. Louisville not only needs to win games, but they must do it inconvincing fashion in order to get noticed and move up in the polls. They winthis game by 20+ points, and we collect along with them. Louisville is 16-5 ATSin their last 21 road games. Kentucky just has not handled prosperity well,going 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a victory in their previousouting.

7 Unit Play. #127 TakeMaryland Terrapins -6 over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN3.com)Non-Conference Game of the Year. Revenge will be best served onthe field tonight in Storrs. Maryland suffered numerous injuries last season,especially at the quarterback position, and every team was able to kick themaround. But that will not be the case this season. Maryland is loaded onoffense, and expect them to light up the scoreboard all night long against ateam that has quit on their coach in 2013. Nobody was real excited about thehiring of Paul Pasqualoni when current Maryland Coach Randy Edsall leftConnecticut. Things reached an epic low in week 1 of this season when they lostto Towson State by double-digits. The Huskies had a strong defense last season,but that is not the case in 2013 as four players off of the 2012 defensivesquad were NFL Draft picks.
Thisgame is all about Coach Randy Edsall as he struggled through some tough gamesin his first two years, including a loss at home to Connecticut in 2012. He isstill angry about that game and will not let off the gas for 60 minutestonight, wanting to show the crowd why he is the all-time winningest coach inUCONN history. UCONN is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games overall.Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. Expect Maryland tohave a great scouting report since Towson State's head coach used to work withCoach Edsall. The Maryland coach does not just want a victory in this game, hewants to make a statement, and he will by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. #151 TakeAlabama Crimson Tide -7.5 over Texas A & M Aggies (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) Theplayers for Alabama will never admit it publically; however, they want revengein a big way against Texas A & M. They want to shut up Johnny Manziel andknock his team out of the national championship picture. I expect them to do itin a big way as the fact remains that Johnny Football just does not have theoffensive line or the playmakers around him to compete this year. I expect himto try and do too much and thus turn over the football and give Alabama a shortfield. The Crimson Tide are coming off a bye week and did not perform very wellon offense against Virginia Tech in their opener. I expect AJ McCarron to havea big bounce-back week as he likely has more draft potential than JohnnyFootball. A & M is the most overrated team in the country this season, andit will show today as they suffer the first of many losses this season bydouble-digits. Alabama is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games.

4 Unit Play. #173 TakeUMASS Minutemen +39 over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 7 pm) UMASSis a terrible team that is just getting used to FBS play. However, the Wildcatsare rebuilding this year, and I do not believe that they are good enough to belaying this many points to anybody. They already have a loss on their 2013resume to a FCS team in North Dakota State. The Minutemen lost to a much betterWisconsin team by 45 points, and I believe they will be able to score on KansasState. That means the Wildcats will likely have to score over 50 points tocover this spread. Kansas State is 11-23 ATS in their last 34 nonconferencegames. I see Kansas State winning this game by 28-32 points, giving us thecover.

4 Unit Play. #182 TakeUNDER 49 in Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Purdue Boilermakers (Saturday 8 pm ABC)For some reason, this game gets prime time billing even thoughPurdue is one of the worst teams in the Big Ten and maybe the country. TheIrish could not stop Michigan last week but should have a much easier time withPurdue in Week 3. Purdue has scored just 27 points in two games this season.Notre Dame has gone under the posted total in 18 of their last 26 games (onepush). Purdue has gone under the posted total in their last three games againstNotre Dame. Play the under and do not worry if Notre Dame can cover thisspread.

4 Unit Play. #184 TakeNew Mexico State Aggies +4.5 over UTEP Miners (8 pm) The Minerscomplete their New Mexico two-step playing the Aggies after facing the Lobos intheir opening game. UTEP lost to New Mexico, giving up 42 points, and yet theyare favored in this game on the road. The fact remains that UTEP is not a goodteam and that they have been terrible of late when it comes to ATS. They were3-9 last year and now have a new coach in Sean Kugler. The Miners have coveredjust four of their last 18 games. NMSU is nothing to write home about, but theyalso have a new coach in Doug Martin and are playing as an independent thisseason. That being said, they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teamswith a losing record. The Aggies win their home opener straight up, and wecollect big in the process as well!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Check out quick-hitting betting notes for Saturday's evening college football Week 3 action:

Washington Huskies at Illinois Fighting Illini (+9.5, 62.5)

*Game to be played at Soldier Field in Chicago.

No. 23 Washington seeks to prove its season-opening thrashing of Boise State wasn’t a fluke and Illinois looks to start 3-0 for only the second time in 12 seasons when the teams meet Saturday at Soldier Field in Chicago. The Huskies shot into the national rankings after their convincing 38-6 win in their opener but went 3-10 away from Seattle over the previous two seasons. Illinois is playing at Soldier Field for only the second time.

The Fighting Illini brought in former Western Michigan coach Bill Cubit to revamp the offense, and the results were favorable in victories over Southern Illinois and Cincinnati. Illinois is averaging 43.5 points and 493 yards and has posted 17 plays of 20-plus yards after having just 34 last season. The Huskies will have All-American tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins (69 receptions, 850 yards in 2012) back on the field after he was suspended for the Boise State game due to an offseason DUI charge.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies over Chicago's Soldier Field.
LINE: Washington opened as a 10-point road favorite and is currently -9.5. The total is 62.5.
TRENDS:

* Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
* The over is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 non-conference games.

Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks (-13.5, 51)

Vanderbilt is trying to climb into the upper echelon of the Southern Conference's Eastern Division while No. 14 South Carolina is trying to stay there. The Commodores enter Saturday's road game with 14 straight losses to division powers Florida, Georgia and South Carolina and 14 consecutive losses to ranked opponents. South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier expressed concerns about his defense - which has been strong against Vanderbilt recently - after a dismal showing in a 41-30 loss to Georgia.

"There's nothing embarrassing about losing as long as you play smart and play with a lot of effort," Spurrier told the media Tuesday. "We didn't do those two things." The Gamecocks' defensive frustrations were evident on the sideline during that loss when two assistant coaches got into an argument and after the game when junior defensive end Jadeveon Clowney complained about how he was used. "Very frustrating," Clowney told ESPN after the Georgia game. "I told the coaches you got to put me somewhere else - in the middle if you want to - somewhere I can make some plays (to) help my team get in position to win. But (Georgia) took me right out of the game."

WEATHER: Skies will be partly cloudy to start and should clear up by the second half and temperatures will be in the low-70s.
LINE: Most books opened with the Gamecocks as 13.5-point home favorites. The total is currently 51.
TRENDS:

* The Gamecocks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
* The under is 5-1 in the Commodores last six games in September.
* The under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.

Ohio State Buckeyes at California Golden Bears (+15.5, 65)

Heisman Trophy candidate Braxton Miller is expected to be available Saturday when Ohio State looks to extend the nation’s longest winning streak to 15 games against California. The junior quarterback exited last week’s 42-7 victory over San Diego State in the first quarter with a sprained left knee, but he’s hoping to return against a California team that tested Ohio State in Columbus last season before falling 35-28. If Miller isn’t cleared to play, senior Kenny Guiton will get the start.

The Golden Bears followed their season-opening loss to Northwestern with an uninspiring 37-30 win over FCS opponent Portland State last week. Ohio State allowed a season-high 512 yards against California in last year’s matchup, and the Golden Bears’ offense is even more explosive this season under new coach Sonny Dykes. California’s running attack has struggled early, but freshman quarterback Jared Goff has been a revelation with 930 passing yards in his first two games.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s and skies will be clear in Berkeley. Wind will blow from SW at 11 mph across the field.
LINE: Cal opened as a 14.5-point home dog and that line is currently +15.5. The total is currently 65.
TRENDS:

* The Buckeyes are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 versus the Pac-12.
* The Golden Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* The over is 5-0 in the Golden Bears last five versus the Big Ten.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Louisiana State Tigers (-37, 55)

The Golden Flashes averaged 33.1 points in 2012 en route to an 11-3 record and were led by a dominant rushing attack that piled up an average of more than 225 yards. That ground game has yet to find its footing in 2013 without starter Dri Archer, who was hurt three carries into the season opener against Liberty and is day-to-day with an ankle injury. Archer piled up 1990 yards from scrimmage in 2012 and averaged nine yards per carry.

The Tigers opened things up in the passing game under new offensive coordinator Cam Cameron and quarterback Zach Mettenberger. The senior set a school record with five touchdown passes in a 56-17 demolition of Alabama-Birmingham last week thanks in part to a strong connection with junior wide receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry. Beckham is averaging 251.5 all-purpose yards and had 331 last week - the eighth-best mark in SEC history.

WEATHER: There is a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for Baton Rouge. Skies will be cloudy and temperatures will be in the mid-80s.
LINE: The Tigers opened as 37.5-point home faves and have moved to -37. The total is 55.
TRENDS:

* The Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus the SEC.
* The over is 5-1 in Tigers last six home games.
* The over is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last five games in September.

Lamar Cardinals at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-46, 61.5)

Oklahoma State will try to return to making news on the field Saturday when the No. 11 Cowboys host Lamar in their home opener. Oklahoma State is the subject of an ongoing series in Sports Illustrated that alleges numerous NCAA violations from 2001-11, including payments to players. “We're all committed to playing by the rules and doing things the right way,” said athletic director Mike Holder, adding that “for people to say that is not what's happening is very disturbing.”

Lamar WR Jordan Edwards has stepped up with seven catches for 164 yards and three touchdowns through the first two games, giving quarterback Caleb Berry two deep threats against Oklahoma State. Size could be a problem on defense, however, as Lamar's leading tackler is 5-8, 175-pound defensive back Tyrus McGlothen.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the high-70s. Wind will blow from SE across the field at 6 mph.
LINE: Oklahoma State opened as a 46.6-point favorite and is currently -46. The total opened at 60.5 and is up to 61.5.

Mississippi Rebels at Texas Longhorns (-3, 65.5)

Mississippi will try to avenge an embarrassing loss from last season when the 25th-ranked Rebels visit reeling Texas on Saturday. Texas whipped Ole Miss 66-31 on the Rebels' home field last year, but the Longhorns enter this contest in disarray. Texas gave up 550 rushing yards in a 40-21 loss at Brigham Young last week, prompting coach Mack Brown to replace defensive coordinator Manny Diaz with Greg Robinson. Starting QB David Ash (head) did not practice Tuesday and the Longhorns could call on backup Case McCoy get the start.

The Rebels will pose a stiff test for Robinson as they are averaging 35 points behind quarterback Bo Wallace (471 passing yards, 2 TDs) and running back Jeff Scott (10.4 yards per carry). This is Ole Miss’ first trip to Austin since 1925 and it marks the start of a three-game road swing, with visits to Alabama and Auburn next. With a win over Texas, Ole Miss will improve to 3-0 for the first time since 1989.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from the east across the field at 6 mph.
LINE: The Longhorns opened as 2.5-point home favorites and have since been bet up to -3. The total is 65.5.
TRENDS:

* The Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
* The over is 4-0 in Longhorns last four games overall.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Purdue Boilermakers (+20.5, 49)

This year's Notre Dame defense isn't as good as the one that propelled the Fighting Irish into last year's BCS National Championship game. But the 41-30 loss at Michigan won't force Irish coach Brian Kelly to make drastic changes before the No. 21 Irish travel to Purdue on Saturday. "We're not a finished product," Kelly said during an early-week press conference. "We got some work to do."

The Boilermakers are ranked 116th out of 123 FBS teams in total offense (255 yards) and tied for 113th in points (13.5) and have just four scores (two touchdowns and two field goals) in seven red-zone trips. Purdue lost junior safety Landon Feichter to a broken leg and sophomore Anthony Brown will likely take his place. The Boilermakers' schedule doesn't get any easier with three ranked teams in the next five games (No. 18 Wisconsin, No. 15 Nebraska and No. 3 Ohio State) after Notre Dame.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for clear skies and temperatures in the low-60s.
LINE: Notre Dame opened as a 20.5-point road fave. The total opened at 50 and has moved to 49.
TRENDS:

* The Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
* The under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.
* The Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Purdue.

Western Michigan Broncos at Northwestern Wildcats (-30.5, 59)

No. 16 Northwestern goes for its 15th straight non-conference home win when it hosts Western Michigan on Saturday in the teams’ first-ever meeting. The Wildcats averaged 46 points and 544.5 total yards in beating California and Syracuse with quarterbacks Kain Colter and Trevor Siemian both playing at a high level. Kolter, who suffered a concussion in the opener, is listed as questionable but expected to suit up again like he did last week.

The Broncos are staggering after a 27-23 home loss to FCS opponent Nicholls State. First-year coach P.J. Fleck knew he was in for a rebuilding job as the team returned just 10 starters, two on offense. Senior quarterback Tyler Van Tubbergen has thrown four interceptions without a touchdown pass.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with wind blowing from the south towards the north endzone at 6 mph.
LINE: The Wildcats opened as 31.5-point home favorites and are currently -30.5. The total opened at 59.5 and has since moved to 59.
TRENDS:

* The Broncos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus the Big Ten.
* The Wildcats are 9-0 ATS in their last nine home games.
* The under is 4-0 in the Broncos last four games overall.

Wisconsin Badgers at Arizona State Sun Devils (-5.5, 54.5)

Arizona State will host its first ranked opponent of the season in No. 18 Wisconsin on Saturday. The Badgers are coming off two blowout road victories against Massachusetts and Tennessee Tech and are preparing for their first true test of the season in the Sun Devils. Arizona State lost a heartbreaker to then-ranked No. 11 Wisconsin in 2010 - the last time these teams met - after a blocked extra point resulted in a 20-19 win at Camp Randall Stadium.

Defense will play a pivotal role in this matchup as the teams rank first and second nationally in yards allowed with Wisconsin giving up just 162.5 and Arizona State only 167. The Sun Devils will need that second-ranked defense to stop a trio of running backs in James White, Melvin Gordon and Corey Clement, who have rushed for more than 100 yards apiece in each of the last two games for the Badgers. Saturday's matchup will also feature two quarterbacks that have thrown for more than 300 yards and five touchdowns in Arizona State junior Taylor Kelly and Wisconsin sophomore Joel Stave.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with clear skies. Wind will blow from the west across the field at 5 mph.
LINE: The Sun Devils opened as 5.5-poin home faves. The total opened at 52.5 and has moved to 54.5.
TRENDS:

* Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last five versus the Pac-12.
* The over is 11-4 in the Sun Devils last 15 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

190 Utah -3.0 (-120) BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) vs 189 Oregon St.
Analysis:
"PAC-12 Conference GOM" 3* on UTAH -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 14 2013 3:30PM
151 Alabama-7.5(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 152 Texas A&M double-dime bet

Analysis:Sure revenge is huge. Texas A&M dealt Alabama its only loss last year. But revenge is factored into the line. I like the Crimson Tide for other less obvious reasons besides them being the superior team.


Johnny Manziel snuck up on people last season. This is the second time the Crimson Tide are facing him. They know what to expect. They won't be ambushed like last year.

The timing also is much better for Alabama. If you recall, the Tide had to play the Aggies the week after a tough 21-17 road win against LSU in a rematch of the 2011 national title game. This time Alabama comes into the matchup against Texas A&M following a bye.

The Crimson Tide is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 road contests. The Crimson Tide also has covered 70 percent of its last 20 September matchups.

Nick Saban has a tremendous record in revenge games winning 15 of 17 times (88 percent) at Alabama and LSU in same season or next season revenge spots.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 14 2013 12:00PM
123 Bowling Green 3.0(-115) BetOnline vs 124 Indiana triple-dime bet

Analysis:
There are reasons why Indiana hasn't played in a bowl game si „nce 2007. The Hooisers just aren't very good.

Bowling Green is a very solid team - on both sides of the ball. The Falcons have won nine of their last 10, including beating Kent State on the road by 19 and Tulsa at home by 27 this season. The Falcons return 18 starters and very well could be the class of the MAC.

Indiana doesn't deserve to be favored with its lack of defense. The Hooisers rank 110th in scoring defense and 119th in run defense. They surrendered 35 points to Indiana State, a FCS team, and 41 points to Navy. Bowling Green is far superior to those teams. Indiana has now lost to Navy two consecutive years. The Midshipmen controlled the game from the start leading all the way while piling up 444 yards on the ground in beating the Hoosiers, 41-35.

Bowling Green has held eight of its last 11 foes to 14 points or less. The Falcons have won and covered in their last four away matchups.

The Falcons will be highly motivated to play in this non-conference game taking on a Big Ten team. The Hooisers, on the other hand, have a bigger matchup the following week when they host Missouri of the SEC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 14 2013 3:00PM
148 Southern Cal -13.5(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 147 Boston College double-dime bet

Analysis:
Now that the whole world is down on USC and Lane Kiffin this is the time to back the Trojans.

It's easy to focus on the Trojans' struggles throwing the ball, but their defense has been top rate. The Trojans are in a desperate spot. They are at home and catch Boston College traveling cross-country while stepping up in class after playing Villanova and Wake Forest.

USC entered this week No. 1 in rushing defense and had the most sacks with 11. The Trojans also were 11th in total defense and 19th in scoring defense holding foes to less than 12 points per game.

The Trojans can run the ball, play great defense and have perhaps the top wi ƒde receiver in the country, Marqise Lee. Kiffin has had enough of Max Wittek, who was splitting quarterback duties with Cody Kessler. That should mean more downfield throws to the magnificent Lee.

Boston College is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 September games. The Eagles also have failed to cover during their past six road contests.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Sheet Extra

COLORADO over Fresno State...What a change for the better in Boulder as the arrival of new HC Mike MacIntyre has immediately lifted the fortunes of the Buffs, 2-0 for the first time since 2008. Note that “Coach Mac’s” San Jose State and CU teams are 15-2-1 their last 18 spread decisions and 12-1 their last 13 as a dog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Sheet

Key Releases

MARYLAND by 19 over Connecticut
NORTHERN ILLINOIS by 38 over Idaho
AUBURN by 18 over Mississippi State
VANDERBILT Plus over South Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE RED SHEET


RICE 48 - Kansas 27 - (7:30 EDT) -- Line opened at Rice minus 4½, and is now minus 6½. Owls got the much needed
bye week, after chasing Johnny Manziel over the 2nd half of their opener. Fact is that Rice topped
500 yds in that one, now averaging 37.7 ppg over its last 5 games, & is a profitable 119½ pts ahead
of the spread in its last 8 outings (7-1 ATS, with only miss by scant 4 pts). An overland force for what
seems forever, the Owls also move it overhead behind McHargue, & should penetrate always vulner-
able Jay secondary. KU is a pronounced road flop, currently allowing 49.8 ppg in its last 5 ventures
away from Lawrence. LW, Jays managed their 1st TD catch by a WR since 10-22-11. Still not there.
RATING: RICE 89


Maryland 34 - CONNECTICUT 14 - (7:30) -- Line opened at Maryland minus 7, and is still minus 7. We originally laid off
placing this one as a rated play, due to UConn's covering 29 of its last 44 home games, including a
sparkling 14-3 line log in the host dog role. However, since the departure of Edsall to Maryland, the
Huskies stand at just 6-6 ATS at home, losing their last HD setup by 12½ pts. Averaging just 16 ppg
in their last 11 games, & lost opener to Towson, 33-18. The Terps are healthy for the 1st time in 2
years (QB Brown is back), & thus far have shown that they have the potential to become true force.
Edsall wants this one more than any, & with the heart of UConn "D" depleted, he should get it in style.
RATING: MARYLAND 89


Stanford 55 - ARMY 13 - (12:00 - CBSC) -- Line opened at Stanford minus 30, and is now minus 29. Yes, we have a
triad of heavy chalks gracing this week's edition, but as can be seen, the foes of our choices could
hardly expect any more respect. Last week's Cadet wipeout loss to BallSt was typical Army, namely
piling up impressive overland stats, only to be on the wrong end of a lopsided final score (368 RYs,
but a 40-14 setback). In '12, Knights led the nation in rushing (370 RYpg); result: a 5-7 log (4-7 ATS).
Card has been golden over past few years, & run "D" rock-ribbed as usual (#5 rush "D" in '12).
RATING: STANFORD 88


FLORIDA STATE 56 - Nevada 14 - (3:30) -- Line opened at FloridaSt minus 34, and is now minus 32. Yet another play
that was passed over earlier in the week, due to the 'Noles penchant for a bit of a letdown following a
romp victory. However, the Sems have had 12 days since that rout of Pitt, & have BethuneCookman
up next. Thus, pity the 'Pack, as FSU will be fully focused for this. Loss of Manuel at QB hasn't hurt,
with Winston an awesome 25-of-27 for 356 yds & 4 TDs. And that against a Panther "D" which
ranked 17th in the land yr ago. Nevada allowing 38.3 ppg in its last 10 lined tilts, & won't contain 'em.
RATING: FLORIDA STATE 88


Northern Illinois 48 - IDAHO 7 - (5:00) -- Line opened at NoIllinois minus 25½, and is now minus 28. As we told you,
top heavy chalks dominate our college releases this week. This one is yet another case of a highly
productive offense taking on a sieve defense. All things must come to an end, but from here, the
oddsmakers don't seem to be able to post a high enough number, when the Vandals take the field, as
they're allowing 45.8 ppg in their last dozen lined affairs (1-10-1 ATS). Reached the redzone twice at
Wyoming last week. Huskies the opposite, behind QB Lynch: 40+ pts in 23 of their last 38 lined tilts.
RATING: NORTHERN ILLINOIS 88

NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Oregon, OleMiss, Alabama, Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor

NCAAF Original Picks

12 PM
126. East Carolina +8.5

3:30 PM
142. Duke +9

7 PM
175. Florida Atlantic +13

Rest Of Games
136. Colorado +6
152. Texas A&M +7.5
162. North Texas +3
150. Iowa St. +2
158. Illinois +10
128. Connecticut +6
120. Ohio +8
163. Memphis +8.5
191. Central Michigan +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor

NCAAF 3.0 Picks

8 PM
184. New Mexico St. +4.5

Rest of Games
189. Oregon St. +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2

CFB

1* UCF +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard ACC GOM

Ga Tech -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RATINGS AND WRITE UPS FOR

ROBERT FERRINGO

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

3-Unit Play. Take #113 Stanford (-29) over Army (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 14)

3-Unit Play. FIRST HALF: Take #113 Stanford (-16.5) over Army (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 14)
Note: These are both KING System Plays.
This game is men against boys. Stanford has a host of future pro players along the offensive line and throughout their front seven. Army's option attack will not rattle this bunch because, frankly, that is the style of football that the Cardinal wants to play. Stanford has only played one game so they will be rested and ready. And they did enough things wrong against San Jose State that David Shaw will have cracked the whip this week. Army lost to Ball State by 26 points last week and I think that it should be even uglier in this one. There isn't really much to say here. Stanford should flex its muscles and I can see them taking this one by 40 or more.

3-Unit Play. Take #171 Ohio State (-15.5) over Cal (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
Note: This is a KING System pick.
There has been some uncertainty about this line because of the status of Ohio State quarterback Braxton Miller. I don't think that he will play and I don't even really care. Backup Kenny Guiton isn't some doe-eyed freshman. He gained experience last year and has already thrown for three touchdowns this season. He'll be fine. Cal is horrible right now. They are in the middle of a major rebuilding job and the cupboards are bare. They needed a late comeback against Portland State last week and in Week 1 they were overmatched by Northwestern, losing by 14. Urban Meyer is going to have his team focused for this road game, no matter who it is against. But I think the key here will be the Buckeye defense containing Cal's overmatched freshman quarterback. The key here is that Ohio State is loaded in the secondary so they won't be caught off guad by the ?Bear Raid? offense that Sonny Dykes has in place. Cal put a scare into Ohio State last year so they won't take this game lightly. And Meyer is a healthy 32-9 ATS in his last 41 nonconference games. If Miller were healthy and in form - and remember, he still may play and be fine - I thought that this line would be around 22 or 23. I think Ohio State takes this one somewhere in the 40-10 neighborhood.

3-Unit Play. Take #120 Ohio (+8) over Marshall (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
Note: This is a KING System pick.
I really think that this is a game that Ohio can win outright. These two teams played even last year, with Ohio pulling off the road upset as a six-point favorite. If they won last year on the road they can certainly beat Marshall this year at home. These two teams used to be conference rivals and Ohio really dominated the series, going 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings dating back to 2000. That includes five straight ATS wins by Ohio when hosting. The Bobcats are the same core that went to Penn State and won last year. They have some guys that can play. And Tyler Tettleton and Ohio's running game will do a good job playing keep away and will try to keep Rakeem Cato off the field. Marshall has scored 107 points in the first two weeks. But both of those games were at home against inferior competition. Marshall lost at ECU, at UAB and at Purdue last year. They also barely beat a bad Rice team. And going back to 2011 they were pretty bad on the road as well (including a 44-7 loss at Ohio). This is one of the few games this year Cato may not be the best quarterback on the field so I will take the points and look for a high-scoring shootout.

3-Unit Play. Take #177 Kansas (+7) over Rice (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
Note: This is a KING System pick.
I know this sounds ridiculous, but this is a big game for Kansas. Charlie Weis is trying to rebuild this program. He brought in a bunch of transfers and is trying to mold them into something useful and at least competitive in the Big 12. I think that he finally has his system in place and now he will have at least a little talent to work with. It starts with former BYU quarterback Jake Heaps. He at least gives the Jayhawks something to work with under center and he will be better after an ugly first game. A big factor at work here is that Kansas has revenge in this game. They lost at home at the buzzer on a 45-yard field goal last year, and that was a humiliating defeat. Yes, they are on the road here. But this is also a better Jayhawk squad and they will play with some purpose here. Rice lost at Texas A&M two weeks ago and they have Houston on deck. I think their focus will be more on those two bigger in-state rivalry games than here on Kansas. I like the Jayhawks to snap their 19-game road losing streak and take this one outright.

2-Unit Play. Take #116 West Virginia (-39.5) over Georgia State (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 14)
The Mountaineers almost lost to William & Mary at home in their opening game. Do you think that Dana Holgorsen will allow his team to be unprepared for this game against feeble Georgia State? I say no way. Georgia State lost by 28 points against Tennessee-Chattanooga this year. They also lost by 38 at Tennessee last season and 56-0 at Houston back in 2011. This game is just a paycheck for this team. For Holgorsen it is a chance to spread wings on offense and to put some points on the board to placate a restless fan base. WVU's defense played tough in Oklahoma last week. I was impressed. And I think that they will have their way with the Georgia State attack. This one is a paycheck game. But we'll cash in on this meeting as well.

2-Unit Play. Take #141 Georgia Tech (-8.5) over Duke (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
The time to bet on Georgia Tech is when no one is talking about Georgia Tech. Well, no one is talking about the Jackets right now and I think that they are headed for a blowout here. Tech has won nine straight meetings and they are 7-3 ATS against Duke. Georgia Tech won by 18 points at home in this game last year and they outgained the Blue Devils by 175 yards. This is a better Tech team and a worse Duke team, so that thsould more than offset the change in venue. The Jackets have also won by seven, 10, 39, 27, 17, 28, 25 and 17 points when these two play. Duke covered for us against Memphis last week. But they were never able to separate in that game. That's not a good sign. I like Paul Johnson's crew to control this tempo and to put on a clinic against a young Duke defense.

2-Unit Play. Take #127 Maryland (-6) over Connecticut (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
I always thought that it was a mistake that Randy Edsall left Connecticut. And he may or may not work out at Maryland. (I am leaning toward him not.) But right now there is absolutely no doubt who has the better program. Let's remember: UConn football used to be a joke before Edsall got there. And it is kind of a joke now that he's gone, with the Huskies losing to FCS foe Towson in their lone game this year. Connecticut has had two weeks to stew on that loss and they simply can't feel that good about themselves. Maryland has been beating up cream puffs. But that's still more than the Huskies can hang their hat on. This is a revenge game for Maryland after losing to Connecticut at home last year. I absolutely think that the Terps want to win this one for their coach. Connecticut has perhaps the worst quarterback situation in the entire country and their offense won't have enough pop if/when Maryland get a lead. And that is all but certain after seeing Towson light up that allegedly solid Huskies defense for 33 points in the opener.

2-Unit Play. Take #260 Oklahoma State (-47) over Lamar (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
So, apparently Oklahoma State's program is filled with sex-crazed, drug-addled cheaters. Tat is if you believe what has been printed in Sports Illustrated's five-part series about Ok. State this week. If this story had broke in the middle of conference play it might be a distraction. But breaking just before Lamar gives the Cowboys the opportunity to go out and make a statement against a completely overmatched opponent. Last year Lamar lost 40-0 to Lafayette and 54-2 at Hawaii. It's safe to say this is a whole different animal. I am pretty sure that Mike Gundy wants to make a statement here. He is going to turn this week's story into some prime motivation for his club and I don't expect Gundy to call off the dogs in this one. I will be surprised if Oklahoma State doesn't threaten 70 points in this one and I think that it will be an absolute bloodbath.

2-Unit Play. Take #194 Arizona State (-5) over Wisconsin (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
This fits into one of my favorite systems: we have an unranked team favored against a ranked opponent. That is a huge red flag and I think that Arizona State is going to come to play in this one. The Badgers lost at Oregon State last year in nonconference play and I think that Arizona State can score another win for the Pac-12. Wisconsin has covered the number each of the past two weeks, but those wins have come against pathetic competition. Arizona State is a team that can score quickly and in bunches. And if they get a lead they should be able to put a lot of game pressure on the visitors. The Sun Devils were very good at home last year, winning by 57, 31, 30, and 39 points. I think that the travel and especially the heat will play a factor against the Badgers. The public is all over the ranked Badgers. But you know this is a huge game for Arizona State before conference play and I think they will go bonkers at home in this one.

2-Unit Play. Take #151 Alabama (-7.5) over Texas A&M (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
Note: This is our Pick-A-Play Game.
I am going with the revenge-minded Crimson Tide in this one. There is a lot of drama in this game. But the fact of the matter is that Alabama can get stops and A&M can't. I don't trust this young Texas A&M defense and I felt like this Aggies team was overrated coming into the season. They were not as good as their ranking suggested last year and now they have a big bull's eye on their back. Alabama has had two weeks to prepare for this one and I think that they will take advantage. They dominated Virginia Tech, but did so in a way that left Nick Saban with plenty of things to work on leading up to this week's action. A&M lost at home to Florida and LSU last season. They are not unstoppable in College Station. And I just think that everything surrounding this game - all the hype and circus and drama surrounding everyone - is going to be too much for A&M. Alabama is used to playing in these games. A&M is used to failing in this games. Alabama will impose its will and they will take care of business, winning by at least two touchdowns.

2-Unit Play. Take #159 Central Florida (+5.5) over Penn State (6 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
I really think that Central Florida has a chance to win this game. Penn State has two nice wins so far this year. But it took them a little while to pull away from a bad Eastern Michigan club last week. Central Florida is one of the best mid-major programs in the country. They are in the AAC now and they are more than capable of playing Big Boy football. Last year the Knights went to Columbus and gave Ohio State everything it could handle. And that Buckeyes team was better than Penn State's unit this time around. The public is predictably pouring their money onto Penn State in this one. But I see plenty of reasons why the visitors can stay competitive this one and take it into the final minutes.

2-Unit Play. Take #117 Louisville (-13.5) over Kentucky (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 14)
This one fits into one of my bigger themes of nonconference football this year: the SEC is overrated. These SEC teams are not better than the other quality teams in top conferences throughout the country. And we've seen that to this point, with teams like Georgia and Florida losing games outright and several other SEC teams failing ATS. Louisville is extremely motivated for this game, not just because it is a rivalry game but also because it is a chance for them to flex their muscle against an SEC squad. Hey, who cares that it isn't a ?real? SEC school. The fact is that Louisville is one of the best teams in the country and Kentucky is an afterthought. What would this spread be if Kentucky - which lost to Western Kentucky, by the way - was hosting Alabama or Florida? It would be in the 20's. Home field advantage hasn't meant much in this series, as the road team has won three of the last five meetings. Also if you look back at the series the favorite has dominated when there was a wide separation between the teams. The chalk is 5-2 ATS in this series when one team was favored by 10 or more points. I think Louisville lays the wood.

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #157 Washington (-2.5) over Illinois (6 p.m.) AND Take #176 South Florida (-5.5) over Florida Atlantic (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play. Take #161 Ball State (-3) over North Texas (4 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play. Take #268 Utah State (-36) over Weber State (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play. Take #190 Utah (-3) over Oregon State (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RATINGS AND WRITE UPS FOR

ALLEN EASTMAN

6-Unit Play. Take #136 Colorado (+9.5) over Fresno State (2 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
This is my College Game of the Month.
This spread is starting to come down. There are a lot of guys making moneyline bets on Colorado. And I think that is a great value because I think that the Buffaloes can win this game. Fresno State is a very good team. They have a really good quarterback in Derek Carr, David Carr's brother. But Fresno State is overrated. They barely beat Rutgers at home in the opening game, winning 52-51. The Fresno defense gave up 25 points to Cal Poly last week. I know Fresno rested starters in the second half. But the Bulldogs are 0-3 ATS in their last three games going back to their blowout bowl loss to SMU. I think that this team is not as strong as the public thinks. Colorado has revenge in this game. They lost 69-14 last year. But that gives the home team revenge. This is a proud Buffaloes team. Mike MacIntyre is trying to build this program back up and trying to give them a new attitude. This team upset Mountain West foe and rival Colorado State in the opener. They are 2-0 under MacIntyre and the Colorado offense has been potent. I think that Colorado will put a scare into the visiting Bulldogs. I think that Colorado will have a chance to win this one and the points will be good. Take Colorado here.

4-Unit Play. Take #167 Vanderbilt (+13.5) over South Carolina (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
South Carolina is disappointed about their loss in the big game at Georgia last week. They have some problems off the field and in the locker room. And they are facing a very tough Vanderbilt team. This is not your dad's Vanderbilt team. This is a strong program and the Commodores have had South Carolina's number in recent years. Vanderbilt is 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings. They upset South Carolina in 2007 and 2008. They only lost by 4 in 2009 and they only lost by 4 in 2012. I think that this is great value on the underdog. This is a very experienced Vanderbilt team. They have South Carolina letting down here. I think that this is a one-score game and I will take the points. Play Vanderbilt.

4-Unit Play. Take #190 Utah (-3) over Oregon State (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
This spread opened with Oregon State -3 and now the spread has gone six points the other way to Utah -3. That tells me all I need to know! The sharp money is on the home team in this one. Utah beat a very good Utah State team at home this year and they blew out Weber State 70-7 last week. Kyle Whittingham is ready to have his team compete in the Pac-12. And they need to win games like this to do that. Utah won 27-8 against Oregon State at home in 2011. I think they can do the same thing here. The Beavers lost to Eastern Washington and did not cover against Hawaii. The Beavers are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games and they are 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 September games. Utah is 6-1 ATS at home and I like the Utes to get the job done.

3-Unit Play. Take #177 Kansas (+7) over Rice (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
I am taking a chance with Kansas here. They have revenge after losing to Rice last year at home 25-24. I think that this Kansas team can be better. They are still learning under Charlie Weis. They have lost 19 straight road games but I think that they can snap the streak here. Rice has a very good quarterback in Taylor McHarque. But he is the only player on the offense that is on a Big 12 level. I think that the Kansas defense will have more success against McHarque this year. They saw this same team and this same offense last year. They will be more prepared. Weis knows he needs to win this game. And Kansas needs this win if they want to have any shot at a bowl game. They will get the job done. Take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RATINGS AND WRITE UPS FOR

JASON SHARPE

5 Unit Take #155 Mississippi State +6 over Auburn (7:00pm est):
Not sure what most folks are looking at in this one as Mississippi State should at worst be priced around even for this game here at Auburn. The Bulldogs hammered Auburn last season by a 28-10 score. They quietly posted a very solid 8-4 regular season record with their four defeats coming at the hands of Alabama, Texas A&M, LSU and against a revenge minded state rival in Ole Miss who wanted that game badly. It doesn't get any tougher for a team in CFB than a group like those four opponents. Outside of a hard fought road win at Troy by six, Mississippi State won all of their games by double digit points last season.

Auburn comes in off two wins to start off the Gus Malzahn era. I am not as enamored with this Auburn squad as most other folks are right now. The Tigers still look to be a year away from any serious talk and are still a half a notch behind a solid program like Mississippi State right now. It wasn't just that the fact they lost to the Bulldogs last year that makes me feel this way but instead it has more to do with how badly they were beaten, allowing over 170 more yards in the game. The Tigers have covered just one of their last six conference games overall coming into this one.

Take Mississippi State and the points here in this game.

4 Unit Take #157 Washington -9.5 over Illinois (6:00pm est):
Every year the goal of a college football bettor is to try and find a team who you feel is undervalued heading into a season, a team that you have ranked much higher than the general public does. The Washington Huskies look to be that team for me this year. This team is loaded and has a top notch quality quarterback running the show in Keith Price. The Huskies hammered a good Boise State team in week one as Price was magnificent in that contest. Price played exceptionally well in that game and did so without the services of his top weapon in tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins who should be playing here in this game. Sometimes it's hard for teams to come back following such an emotional victory like the win over Boise State but that shouldn't be the case at all here as Washington had a bye last week and with two weeks to prepare, they should be more than ready for this game. This is a very experienced team as it was ranked number four in all of CFB on Phil Steele's experience chart coming into the season.

Speaking of teams having to come back off of emotional victories, this Illinois team qualifies for that here in this game. The Illini pulled off maybe the biggest shocker of week two by winning last week at home in convincing fashion over what's suppose to be a decent Cincinnati Bearcats squad. Despite the big win I still feel this Illinois team is at the very bottom of the Big Ten this season. They were a very ugly 2-10 last season including getting trounced in their one game versus a Pac-12 opponent (45-14 at Arizona State). Combine that loss to their 28 point home defeat against Penn State, 17 point loss at Wisconsin, 45 point loss at Michigan, 30 point loss at Ohio State and 36 point loss at Northwestern. Added all up and the Illini loss by an average of 31 points in their six games last season against teams at the caliber of this Washington team that they face here in this one.

I am expecting an extremely focused Huskies team in this one. Lay the points and take Washington here.

3 Unit Take #128 Connecticut +6.5 over Maryland (7:30pm est):
These two teams faced off almost a year ago to the day last season with UConn winning by three points in that one on the road and doing so as a road favorite.

Maryland won their first game over arguably a bottom three FBS team at home versus Florida International. It was pure dominance from the start of the game but keep in mind FIU was hammered just as bad the following week as well. The Terrapins came back in their 2nd game against another bad team and had no problems with them. Sure those were nice wins for this Maryland program that badly needed some confidence following last season's miserable campaign but let's not lose sight of the fact how bad those teams were. Even though there were a ton of excuses last season on why Maryland won just four games overall, they were just a 2-10 team the year before that.

UConn comes into this game a furious football team. They dropped their opener to an FCS opponent to start the season but that loss came to a Towson squad that is rated as one of the better FCS teams in the country and as we have seen a lot this year so far, this isn't as uncommon of an outcome as it used to be in past year's. UConn has had two long weeks to think about that defeat and to also prepare for this game here against Maryland. The Huskies are in year three of the Paul Pasqualoni program and though they were just 5-7 last season, four of those seven defeats came by just a touchdown or less.

With two weeks to prepare and coming off a bad loss this is a nice spot to back the home underdog. Take Connecticut in this game.

3 Unit Take #178 Rice -6.5 over Kansas (7:30pm est):
The Kansas Jayhawks are still in rebuilding mode as they enter year two of the Charlie Weiss era. This is a team that won just one game last season, their opener against FCS opponent South Dakota State. The Jayhawks led off this season last weekend with a 17 point win over yet another FCS foe beating South Dakota 31-14. Kansas has very little experience back on what is already a bad football team as just nine starters from last year's squad were listed back for this season.

The Rice Owls opened up their regular season with a hard fought battle against a very what is a strong Texas A&M squad. The Owls were outmanned in that game but they stayed within the point spread and lost by just 21 points. I love where this program is going as it comes into this season off a winning season last year and a nice bowl victory as well. They are loaded with returning starters and come into this contest with an extra week to prepare for it also as they were off last week with a bye.

Rice beat Kansas last season and did so while on the road as well. A year later the Owls program has taken a couple steps forward while Kansas has stayed right where they were at, a bottom feeder type of team. Lay the points and take Rice in this one.

3 Unit Play Take #148 USC -13.5 over Boston College (3:00pm est):
This one is all about buying low here with USC. Lost in last week's ugly loss to Washington State was the fact that WSU has looked pretty impressive and much improved in their first two games so far this season. USC did put up 30 points in a road win at Hawaii in their opening game the week before. The Trojans also dropped a couple of passes that could have gone for possible touchdowns in that game also. For as bad as the USC offense has been thus far look at how strong they have been on the defensive side of the football as they held a high powered WSU offense out of the end zone in that game and look to be a top caliber defense this season.

Boston College travels way out west for this one which is never an easy spot for any team. The Eagles come in off an emotional Friday night national television win the week before against Wake Forest. They struggled a bit against FCS foe Villanova in their opener the opening week.

I like the fact that the Trojans have finally settled on a quarterback for this game and won't go with the two headed monster they have been attempting to go with early on this season. They need this game badly and I expect a big time showing here from a team with a ton of talent. It's way too early in the season for a team to have quit on their season and the Trojans sound like a team with some fight still left in them. Were getting an awfully cheap price in this one, way too cheap too pass on. This line would have been around -24 just two weeks ago. Take USC in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RATINGS AND WRITE UPS FOR

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

6-Unit Play. #194 Take Arizona State (-5) over Wisconsin (10:30 p.m., Saturday, September 14)
Game of the Month
This game breaks down in my eyes fairly similar to last week's 7-Unit winner behind Miami over Florida. Similarly to the Gators, Wisconsin is overrated in the polls and perhaps just given the rating by name alone. The only difference is here, oddsmakers have installed the Sun Devils as clear favorites despite being unranked. This time the line is spot on. ASU should be favored. What has this Badgers team done to prove itself? The Badgers enter the season with no real proven commodity at quarterback and even more importantly (and rare for the program) without someone to speak of carrying the ball. Like I said, I feel like Wisconsin's ranking is based purely on tradition and not on current skill or quality on this year's roster. And let's be honest about this: first year head coach Gary Anderson has given this team zero identity, further backing up my point this is not the Wisconsin that earned their credit years ago. Now to our team who I absolutely love this season. Arizona State is a dynamic sleeper in the Pac 12 with the likes of Oregon and Stanford eating up all the press and hype. Watch quarterback Taylor Kelly. People will be throwing his name around as a legit NFL prospect in about two to three months. Last year as a sophomore Kelly accounted for 29 touchdowns and I think he is going to have a wonderful season in Tempe. I'm even higher on the Sun Devil defense, who led the country in 2012 in tackles for a loss and were second in sacks. That's going to show here with some immense and consistent pressure in the Badgers backfield. And also note that Wisconsin doesn't travel well out west. Each of the previous three seasons the Badgers have played a game on the west coast and were 0-2-1 ATS in these games. Also throw in three straight losses in the last three bowl games to west coast teams as well. Arizona State has covered three of its last four non-conference games and gone 6-1 ATS vs. the Big Ten. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in their last eight outside league play and also just 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. the Pac 12 conference. Sun Devil stadium is a difficult place to play and without proven leaders on offense, Arizona State's swarming defense will be the difference here. Behind the best player on the field in quarterback Taylor Kelly, a strong defense and a big home field advantage, ASU proves to be too much. Sun Devils win, 31-21.

4-Unit Play. #161 Take Ball State (-3.5) over North Texas (4 p.m., Saturday, September 14)
Pricing out Ball State as a road favorite here confirms this wager for me. The Cardinals probably slide under the rug for the casual bettor and for line to be pushed their way tells me the guys in Vegas took time to get this one correct. 91 points combined in their first two games of the season, Ball State is going to continue pounding the scoreboard and their opponents. Both wins also came via double-digit covers as the clearcut favorite, and here they do on the road. Ball State have now gone 7-2 ATS in their last nine games dating back to last season and I really can't see any reason to stay away from them here and hop on their momentum. There's not much else that really convinces me here besides wagering on the better team from a better conference.

3-Unit Play. Take Washington/Illinois - 'Over' 62 (6 p.m., Saturday, September 14)
I see points, points and points with these two power conference teams colliding on Saturday. The Huskies and the Illini have both shown early on in season they can score in bunches. UW rang up 38 points on Boise State in their opener, so I would not be surprised in they matched that against an Illinois program that hasn't proven itself as anything really. Likewise for U of I, as the home team has scored 40+ in each of its first two games and did well to bounce some confidence prior to hosting Washington in Solider Field in Chicago. And I think the line sort of lends itself to suggesting the 'over' if I can be so presumptuous. Oddsmakers are certainly expecting UW to throw its weight around if they installed the Huskies as double digit road chalk. But see this game offering more scoring than only the favored road team. Illinois have gone 'over' the number in each of their past four non-conference games. They'll have to keep up on the scoreboard if they don't want this one to be a one-sided affair. I think they do enough and play their part in playing 'over' the total in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RATINGS AND WRITE UPS FOR

CHAD MATTHEWS

6 Unit Play. ROT# 117 Louisville Cardinals (-13.5) over the Kentucky Wildcats (Saturday Sept 14, 12PM ET)
The Louisville Cardinals head to Kentucky this weekend in a big rivarly match. Typcially I am not a fan of laying points on such a rivarly match however the Cardinals just bring to much to the table for the Wildcats to handle. Heisman trophy candidate Teddy Bridgewater just has to many options to go to in this match up completing 76% of his passes this season alone. Returning veterans to this years Cardinals squad are Damian Copeland, Eli Rogers, Devante Parker and Ryan Hubbell which pose as a big offensive threat to any team ranking 5th this year in the passing department. The Wildacats are not even on the same level as this years Cardinals squad. The Cardinals limited Ohio and Eastern Kentucky to a single touchdown in their first two games this season and I expect a similiar result this weekend as well. This line has no business being at -13.5. Take the Cardinals and the points at -13.5 and expect the Cardinals to cruise to an easy blow out victory.

3 Unit Play. ROT# 193 Wisconsin Badgers (+5.5) over the Arizona State Sun Devils (Saturday Sept 14, 10:30PM ET)
This will be Wisonsin first true test of the season heading into Sun Devil Stadium to take on Arizona State. The Badger have not given up a single point to an opponent in the first two weeks of the season thanks to its stellar defensive line. The Badgers defense have only allowed their opponents to cross midfield four times in the past 25 drives this season! Even though Arizona State has a great defense this year I still expect the Badgers to move the ball at ease with the likes of Corey Clement, James White and Melvin Gordon on the offensive side. The Badgers are a team that loves to run the ball and regardless of how good the opposing teams defense is the Badgers can run against any defense with success. I expect this game to be a close one to the end and not sure why the Sun Devils are favored by so many points at -5.5 against the 20th ranked team in the nation. Expect a tight one and possibly an outright win by the Badgers. Take Wisconsin and the points at +5.5 and be ready for a nail biter

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA
5* Washington
4* Utah
3* Bama
3* Notre Dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Saturday: What bettors need to know

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Edmonton Eskimos (-4.5, 53)

After snapping a seven-game losing skid with their first victory at their new home field, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers head to Edmonton to face the struggling Eskimos on Saturday. Winnipeg’s defense played its best game of 2013 to defeat the Saskatchewan Roughriders and quarterback Justin Goltz continued to be unconventionally effective on offense, rushing for two more touchdowns, which puts him in a tie for the league lead with eight. A visit to the Eskimos - the one team with a worse record than Winnipeg - could be the perfect opportunity for the Blue Bombers to post consecutive victories.

Edmonton faltered in a home-and-home series against the Calgary Stampeders as its losing skid hit eight games. A roster shakeup on the offensive line failed to quell the pressure on quarterback Mike Reilly, who is completing 60.5 percent of his passes and has thrown 10 interceptions in his first year as starter. Reilly also leads the team with 417 rushing yards - an example of how the Eskimos lean on a pass-heavy offense - but Edmonton’s offensive line will have its hands full with a Blue Bombers' defense that recorded eight sacks on Roughriders quarterback Darian Durant.

TV: 6:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-8): Defensive back Demond Washington and kick returner Will Ford were named CFL players of the week for their performances against Saskatchewan. Washington recorded a game-high seven tackles along with one sack and one fumble recovery, while Ford returned a kickoff 98 yards for a touchdown to earn special teams player of the week. Goltz has a completion percentage of 56.7 and has thrown two touchdowns to six interceptions, but has eight of Winnipeg's 15 rushing TDs with Chad Simpson recording six.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (1-9): Offensive lineman Simeon Rottier returns to Edmonton’s lineup after being benched against the Stampeders. In addition to Rottier’s return, the Eskimos will also receive some help on defense with the probable return of defensive end Odell Willis and linebacker J.C. Sherritt. Willis - the team leader with five sacks - and Sherritt, who set a league record in tackles last season, were practicing with the first team for the first time since suffering their respective injuries.

TRENDS:

* The Blue Bombers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* The Eskimos are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
* The Blue Bombers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* The under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Winnipeg, which is last in the league with 217 points, has scored 15 rushing touchdowns, but just five passing touchdowns.

2. Edmonton SB Fred Stamps leads the league with 765 receiving yards.

3. The Blue Bombers traded QB Buck Pierce, who began the year as starter, to the BC Lions in exchange for Canadian wide receiver Akeem Foster.


Toronto Argonauts at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-9, 55)

The Saskatchewan Roughriders looked human in their loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, failing to reach the end zone for the first time all season. Saskatchewan is hoping a return home will erase the sting of last week’s setback when it hosts the Toronto Argonauts on Saturday. Roughriders quarterback Darian Durant was sacked a season-high eight times by the Blue Bombers, but combined with league-leading running back Kory Sheets for 158 rushing yards and should have an easier time against Toronto’s less-imposing defense.

The Argonauts maintained their East Division lead and avoided a three-game losing skid thanks to backup quarterback Zach Collaros, who completed 30-of-43 passes for 336 yards, two passing touchdowns and one rushing score against the Montreal Alouettes. Toronto was struggling on offense without starters Ricky Ray and Chad Kackert, and losing star slotback Chad Owens prior to last week was not a promising sign, but four interceptions by the Argonauts' defense and a nine-catch, 91-yard performance by wide receiver Dontrelle Inman showed Toronto might have enough depth to weather their midseason injury storm.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (6-4): Prior to last week, Toronto had recorded 16 points in seven-plus quarters after losing Ray early against the Calgary Stampeders. Collaros has thrown for 1,267 yards and is completing 69.7 percent of his passes, while also trailing Kackert for the team rushing lead by 2 yards. Toronto traded offensive lineman Marc Parenteau to Winnipeg for running back Anthony Woodson in an attempt to shore up its running game as running back Curtis Steele has been ineffective of late.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (8-2): Linebacker Renauld Williams, who has a team-leading 42 tackles and seven sacks along with one interception return for a touchdown, will miss the remainder of the season after tearing his ACL against the Blue Bombers. Saskatchewan announced the news in a tweet Wednesday. Center Dominic Picard was fined an undisclosed amount by the league following an incident in in Week 11 in which he threw a punch. Sheets leads the league with 1,214 rushing yards - 274 more than anyone else.

TRENDS:

* Argonauts are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Roughriders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Argonauts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Saskatchewan.
* The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Roughriders defeated the Argonauts 39-28 at Toronto in Week 3.

2. Owens is considered doubtful for Saturday. Ray hopes to return by mid-October as he recovers from a knee injury.

3. Saskatchewan is 4-0 at home. Toronto is 2-3 against West Division opponents.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's MLB National League betting cheat sheets

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Saturday's National League games:

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (+156, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Homer Bailey has won his last five decisions and has allowed just two runs over his previous three starts.

Cold batting stat: Brewers OF Carlos Gomez has just two hits - both singles - in 18 career at-bats against Bailey.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Reds are 2-6 in Bailey's last eight meetings with the Brewers.

Miami Marlins at New York Mets (Game 1) (+100, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Henderson Alvarez stymied the Mets in their last encounter July 31, allowing two runs on six hits over 7 1/3 innings en route to a 3-2 victory.

Hot batting stat: Miami OF Giancarlo Stanton has a solo home run in two at-bats against New York starter Daisuke Matsuzaka.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Marlins are 1-5 in Alvarez's last six starts against the National League East.

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals (-144, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cole Hamels is 14-6 with a 2.52 ERA and 185 strikeouts in 27 career starts against the Nationals.

Hot batting stat: Philadelphia 1B Darin Ruf is 3-for-7 with a home run and four RBIs lifetime against Washington starter Gio Gonzalez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Phillies are 20-6 in Hamels' previous 26 starts against Washington.

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates (-185, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Gerrit Cole hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last five starts.

Cold batting stat: Pittsburgh C John Buck is just 3-for-16 with eight strikeouts in his career against Cub starter Scott Baker.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The under is 6-2 in Cole's last eight starts as a favorite.

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves (-185, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Braves right-hander Kris Medlen is 2-2 with a 1.33 ERA and zero home runs allowed in 20 1/3 innings against the Padres.

Hot batting stat: San Diego C Nick Hundley has doubled twice and driven in a pair of runs in two at-bats against Medlen.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with clear skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Atlanta is 15-2 in Medlen's last 17 home starts against teams with losing records.

Miami Marlins at New York Mets (Game 2) (-128, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Jacob Turner has allowed eight runs over 9 2/3 innings in back-to-back starts.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Miami roster are hitting a collective .133 in 15 at-bats against Mets starter Carlos Torres.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with clear skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Marlins are 1-7 in Turner's last eight starts as an underdog.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (-170, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Roy Oswalt has surrendered five runs in three of his five outings this season, while allowing opponents to hit .363 against him.

Cold batting stat: Diamondbacks INF Martin Prado is just 2-for-13 in his career against Oswalt.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0 in Oswalt's last four starts.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-165, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Ricky Nolasco is 7-0 with a 1.89 ERA and just four home runs allowed in 10 second-half starts.

Cold batting stat: Los Angeles 1B Adrian Gonzalez is 9-for-47 with zero home runs, one RBI and 16 strikeouts against Giants starter Tim Lincecum.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 11-1 in the Dodgers' last 12 Saturday games.


Interleague

Seattle Mariners at St. Louis Cardinals (-230, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Michael Wacha hasn't allowed a run in his last five outings, spanning 19 2/3 innings.

Hot pitching stat: Mariners lefty James Paxton won his major-league debut a week ago, limiting Tampa Bay to two runs over six innings of a 6-2 triumph.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-0 in Wacha's last four starts as a favorite.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable starter as of 10:39 p.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's MLB American League betting cheat sheets

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Saturday's American League games:

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-163, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees starter CC Sabathia's 4.62 career ERA in 26 starts versus Boston is more than a run higher than his career mark (3.60).

Cold batting stat: Boston DH David Ortiz is hitting just .228 with 15 strikeouts in 57 career at-bats against Sabathia.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Red Sox have won their last seven Saturday games.

Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers (-152, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Bartolo Colon is 19-8 with a 3.61 ERA and 172 strikeouts in 32 career starts against Texas.

Cold batting stat: Oakland OF Yoenis Cespedes has struck out seven times in 11 at-bats all-time against Texas starter Yu Darvish.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 9-1-1 in Darvish's last 11 home starts.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (+133, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Orioles right-hander Chris Tillman was sensational in his previous start, allowing two runs on four hits while striking out nine over seven innings of a 4-2 win over the New York Yankees.

Hot batting stat: Members of the Baltimore roster are hitting a collective .326 against Toronto starter Esmil Rogers.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Orioles are 8-2 in Tillman's last 10 starts against division foes.

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (-153, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Doug Fister struggled in his previous start against the Royals, allowing five runs on eight hits over 6 1/3 innings in a 5-2 loss six days ago.

Hot batting stat: Royals DH Billy Butler is 11-for-33 with five RBIs all-time against Fister.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Tigers are 13-3 in Fister's last 16 starts as a favorite between -151 and -200.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox (+133, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Indians right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez is 1-3 with a 6.10 ERA and 24 walks allowed in 38 1/3 career innings against the White Sox.

Cold batting stat: White Sox DH Adam Dunn has struggled mightily against Jimenez, going just 5-for-29 with 16 strikeouts all-time.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with clear skies. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians have won eight consecutive games with umpire Jeff Kellogg behind home plate.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros (+146, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Angels right-hander Jered Weaver is 17-9 with a 3.24 ERA in 35 career September starts.

Cold batting stat: Astros OF Chris Carter - the only Houston player to have faced Weaver - is 0-for-4 with three strikeouts against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 8-1 in the Angels' last nine games against left-handed starters.

Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins (+151, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rays left-hander Matt Moore is 2-0 with a 2.10 ERA in four starts since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: The Twins' present roster is hitting just 6-for-35 with zero home runs against Moore.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 50 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 13-3 in Tampa Bay's last 16 Saturday games.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable starters as of 10:35 p.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Great Lakes Sports Handicapper Selection
Date: 9/14/2013
Here we go with a Huge College Football Winner for this Saturday. It's our 9* College Football Game Of The Year that will knock your man silly for only $30.00 and it's all on a pay after you win basis. This 9* beauty is a perfect 19-0 ATS (100%) combined record in our favor, so checkout the reasons why behind this 9* beauty by checking out all of Great Lakes Sports award winning selections and "Dr 9/13/2013

Great Lakes Sports rates their selections 1* to 10* with 10* being our highest rated selection, as we will use a 10* for a game of the year.

College Football Selection:

Kansas at Rice 7:30PM EST Play on: College Football Game Of The Month: 9* (178) Rice Owls

The Rice Owls will host the Kansas Jayhawks in this key non-conference showdown. The Owls are an improved squad with their high power offense and will have no trouble putting points on an inexperience Jayhawks defense which only have four starters returning. The Rice Owls are a perfect 5-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record and the Rice Owls is also a perfect 5-0 ATS when playing their last nine games against non-conference opponents. The Rice Owls are a stellar 5-0 ATS their last five games following a straight up loss of more than twenty points, and they have been on fire winning their last four game against the spread. We look for the Rice Owls to blow out the Kansas Jayhawks and grab the home win & cover this Saturday. TAKE: College Football Game Of The Month: 9* (178) Rice Owls

[Can'tPickAWinner]

English Breakfast Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

Curse those international breaks!

The Premier League is back this weekend after a brief hiatus for the World Cup qualifiers. The transfer window is no more and clubs can now focus on integrating new stars to the league.

We talk to Aron Black at bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/) to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Manchester United v Crystal Palace (-500, +650, +1600)

Why bet Manchester United: It hasn't been the best of start for David Moyes at United. The Red Devils currently sit sevent in the table after collecting a win, draw and loss through the first three games. United will look to make this one a statement game and look to bag goals after a 0-0 draw with Chelsea followed by a 1-0 defeat to Liverpool prior to the break.

Key players out/doubtful: Darren Fletcher, Wayne Rooney, Rafael, Phil Jones

Why bet Crystal Palace: Palace's last match before the break was a 3-1 victory over Sunderland which bagged the club's first points of the season. You can probably expect the same starting XI in this one, but the side has major injury concerns so the depth just won't be there.

Key players out/doubtful: Glenn Murray, Yannick Bolasie, Jonathan Parr, Lewis Price, Patrick McCarthy, Jonathan Williams, Jack Hunt, Jerome Thomas

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: The last newly-promoted club to win at Old Trafford in the Premier League was Bolton Wanderers (2-1 inn 2001-02).

Aston Villa v Newcastle (+115, +240, +280)

Why bet Villa: All things considered, the Villains have had a nice little start to the campaign. Yes, the side has lost back-to-back games, but that was away to Chelsea and home to Liverpool. And those games were close. Villa started the season in fine form by thrashing Arsenal 3-1 at the Emirates and the side is performing well for boss Paul Lambert. Plus, Christian Benteke is climbing the ladder of "most feared strikers in the league".

Key players out/doubtful: Charles N'Zogbia, Nathan Baker

Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies are coming off a very important victory over Fulham last time out. The side needed the three points and, more importantly, needed the goal. Hatem Ben Arfa's game winning goal is still the side's only goal of the season, but perhaps the predominantly French squad is starting to get on the same page.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor, Michael Williamson, Jonás Gutiérrez, Gabriel Obertan

2012-13 fixture result: Aston Villa 1, Newcastle 2

Key betting note: Newcastle have just two wins, seven draws and 12 losses in its last 21 Premier League away matches.

Where the action is: "The road has not been nice to the Magpies, with a 4-0 kicking at Man City, and although Villa are not as imposing as the Citizens, it’s a price that at odds against is getting weighed into. The draw sees some support, but Newcastle are rather friendless in the betting."

Fulham v West Brom (+115, +240, +280)

Why bet Fulham: Fulham need goals after a slow start to the season and West Brom could be just what the doctor ordered. The Cottagers have scored 15 goals in their previous five home matches against West Brom, so at least history is on their side. Martin Jol's side should have more bite in an attack that features Dimitar Berbatov, Darren Bent, Bryan Ruiz and Adel Taarabt, so they'll be looking for goals Saturday.

Key players out/doubtful: Kieran Richardson, Fernando Amorebieta, Aaron Hughes, Maarten Stekelenburg

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies will do what they can to climb up the table and get out of that dreadful 20th spot in the table. An area that needs to be addressed is shots on target, of which the Baggies have just four through three games. They should get a lift from some of the club's new signings, namely Stephane Sessegnon and Scott Sinclair, who should improve the Baggies attack, or lack thereof. They are the only side that have yet to register a goal this season.

Key players out/doubtful: Zoltán Gera, Ben Foster, George Thorne, James Morrison, Steven Reid, Matej Vydra

2012-13 fixture result: Fulham 3, West Brom 0

Key betting note: West Brom have not scored a goal in five of its last seven away games in the league.

Hull v Cardiff (+140, +230, +230)

Why bet Hull: The Tigers looked fairly good against Manchester City in the club's last match. Though they did take the 2-0 loss, it's something that can be built upon. Plus, Cardiff could be exposed at the back as centerback Steven Caulker and keeper David Marshall will both be ruled out.

Key players out/doubtful: Allan McGregor, Abdoulaye Faye, George Boyd, Yannick Sagbo

Why bet Cardiff: Cardiff has gotten off to an excellent start to the season, posting a victory over Manchester City and a draw with Everton. Striker Frazier Campbell was a revelation against City, as the 26-year-old tallied a pair of goals, including the winner, in the historic 3-2 victory.

Key players out/doubtful: Steven Caulker, David Marshall, Andreas Cornelius

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Hull has scored at least two goals in six of its last seven matches versus Cardiff in all competitions.

Stoke v Manchester City (+450, +300, -143)

Why bet Stoke: Low and behold, the Potters sit fifth in the table after a pair of wins in their first three matches. New manager Mark Hughes bolstered the squad on the final day of the window adding Marko Arnautovic, Oussama Assaidi and Stephen Ireland and all three will compete for starting spots.

Key players out/doubtful: Charlie Adam, Glen Whelan

Why bet City: Man City are one of the favorites to win the league but a loss to Cardiff threw a wrench into the early part of the schedule for new manager Manuel Pellegrini. City will be in for a tough match, as the Brittania Stadium is a tough place to play, but will look for a big rebound after the loss. City boast so much attacking depth and we may see the introduction of ex-Fiorentina hitman Stevan Jovetic. City's attack will give Stoke plenty of headaches, even though playmaker David Silva could miss this one.

Key players out/doubtful: Vincent Kompany, David Silva, Micah Richards, MartÃ*n Demichelis

2012-13 fixture result: Stoke 1, Man City 1

Key betting note: Since the start of the 2012-13 Premier League season, no club has had more clean sheets than Man City with 20.

Where the action is: "Currently, City's back four are and team in general are without captain Vincent Kompany, and they have had their first loss already at a very game Cardiff side. The money and the odds say Mark Hughes will be conceding the three points to a side he used to manage."

Sunderland v Arsenal (+475, +300, -150)

Why bet Sunderland: Paolo Di Canio has brought many new faces to Sunderland, but has not gotten the results thus far. The Black Cats have just one point, but are a side that will need to time to see results. In all, there are 14 new players in the side and the Italian manager has pillaged Serie A for the bulk thereof. Even though Arsenal is dealing with a plethora of injuries, it will be a tough ask for Di Canio to stop the Gunners attack.

Key players out/doubtful: Craig Gardner, Phillip Bardsley, Lee Cattermole, Connor Wickham, John O'Shea

Why bet Arsenal: After a tough loss to Aston Villa to open the campaign, the Gunners have settled in nicely winning both matches since. One of those victories was against noisy neighbors Tottenham, which was closely followed by potentially the best transfer signing of the window, Mesut Özil. The majestic German playmaker should slot right in behind goalscoring dynamo Olivier Giroud and to the left of the underappreciated Santi Cazorla.

Key players out/doubtful: Tomas Rosicky, Abou Diaby, Per Mertesacker, Mikel Arteta, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Lukas Podolski, Yaya Sanogo

2012-13 fixture result: Sunderland 0, Arsenal 1

Key betting note: The Black Cats have just one home victory in their last nine visits from Arsenal in the Premier League.

Tottenham v Norwich (-222, +350, +750)

Why bet Tottenham: Tottenham finally confirmed the sale of their star-winger Gareth Bale to Real Madrid and have replaced him with young, skilled players such as Erik Lamela and Christian Eriksen. That aforementioned duo must orechestrate some attacking for Spurs as they have yet to score a goal from open play in the league. Tottenham suffered a tough 1-0 defeat away to Arsenal last time out, so perhaps the international break couldn't have come at a better time.

Key players out/doubtful: Etienne Capoue, Aaron Lennon, Emmanuel Adebayor, Vlad Chiriches, Gylfi Sigurdsson

Why bet Norwich: Norwich is another side that has welcomed many new faces. The Canaries opened the campaign with a draw against Everton and went into the break with a victory over Southampton. New striker Ricky van Wolfswinkel opened his account in home draw to Everton and now with Swedish international Johan Elmander in the mix, Norwich could prove to be a handful for Spurs.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett, Gary Hooper, Ryan Bennett

2012-13 fixture result: Tottenham 1, Norwich 1

Key betting note: Spurs have lost just one of their previous 14 home matches, winning 10 and drawing three.

Everton v Chelsea (+240, +230, +135)

Why bet Everton: Everton has started life under Roberto Martinez with three draws in three matches, but the last two were scoreless draws. They haven't scored since the opening 2-2 draw versus Norwich and the side will now have to adjust to life without Marouane Fellaini. They did, however, manage to hold onto LB Leighton Baines and will welcome the addition of young midfielder James McCarthy. Obviously, goalscoring has been a problem and striker Nikica Jelavic is slowly falling out of favor. They landed Romelu Lukaku on loan from Chelsea, but he will be unavailable to face his parent club.

Key players out/doubtful: Antolin Alcaraz, Darron Gibson, Romelu Lukaku

Why bet Chelsea: Chelsea will look to seize control of the top spot in the table with all three points in Sunday's late match. The last time we saw Chelsea in the league, they were finishing off a dull 0-0 draw away to Man United. But manager Jose Mourinho looks like he's never left Stamford Bridge. The side features a "who's who" of young talent and a smattering of the old guard that won the league under the Portuguese manager. Dating back to last season, the Blues have remained unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League matches.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

2012-13 fixture result: Everton 1, Chelsea 2

Key betting note: There have been under 2.5 goals in Everton's last six Premier League home matches.

Where the action is: "The most action we are seeing so far for an away side this weekend is Chelsea."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CFB W MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN

Play On - Home favorites (NORTHWESTERN) excellent rushing team (>=4.8 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

CFB OLE MISS at TEXAS

Play On - A home team vs. the money line (TEXAS) after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning
59-36 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.1% 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

CFB VANDERBILT at S CAROLINA

Play On - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (S CAROLINA) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 5 or more straight wins, top level team from last season who won 80% or more of their games
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -1.3 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WRITE UPS FOR

TEAM DOC SPORTS

4 Unit Play. #117 Take Louisville Cardinals -13.5 over Kentucky Wildcats (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) The Governor's Cup is on the line in this annual meeting between Louisville and Kentucky. The Cardinals have won five of their last seven games in Lexington, and they have a much better team this year than does Kentucky. The Wildcats already lost to WKU, a team that got pounded by a middle-of-the-pack SEC team in Tennessee. Louisville not only needs to win games, but they must do it in convincing fashion in order to get noticed and move up in the polls. They win this game by 20+ points, and we collect along with them. Louisville is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games. Kentucky just has not handled prosperity well, going 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a victory in their previous outing.

7 Unit Play. #127 Take Maryland Terrapins -6 over Connecticut Huskies (Saturday 7:30 pm ESPN3.com)
Non-Conference Game of the Year.
Revenge will be best served on the field tonight in Storrs. Maryland suffered numerous injuries last season, especially at the quarterback position, and every team was able to kick them around. But that will not be the case this season. Maryland is loaded on offense, and expect them to light up the scoreboard all night long against a team that has quit on their coach in 2013. Nobody was real excited about the hiring of Paul Pasqualoni when current Maryland Coach Randy Edsall left Connecticut. Things reached an epic low in week 1 of this season when they lost to Towson State by double-digits. The Huskies had a strong defense last season, but that is not the case in 2013 as four players off of the 2012 defensive squad were NFL Draft picks.

This game is all about Coach Randy Edsall as he struggled through some tough games in his first two years, including a loss at home to Connecticut in 2012. He is still angry about that game and will not let off the gas for 60 minutes tonight, wanting to show the crowd why he is the all-time winningest coach in UCONN history. UCONN is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games overall. Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. Expect Maryland to have a great scouting report since Towson State's head coach used to work with Coach Edsall. The Maryland coach does not just want a victory in this game, he wants to make a statement, and he will by double-digits.

4 Unit Play. #151 Take Alabama Crimson Tide -7.5 over Texas A & M Aggies (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) The players for Alabama will never admit it publically; however, they want revenge in a big way against Texas A & M. They want to shut up Johnny Manziel and knock his team out of the national championship picture. I expect them to do it in a big way as the fact remains that Johnny Football just does not have the offensive line or the playmakers around him to compete this year. I expect him to try and do too much and thus turn over the football and give Alabama a short field. The Crimson Tide are coming off a bye week and did not perform very well on offense against Virginia Tech in their opener. I expect AJ McCarron to have a big bounce-back week as he likely has more draft potential than Johnny Football. A & M is the most overrated team in the country this season, and it will show today as they suffer the first of many losses this season by double-digits. Alabama is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games.

4 Unit Play. #173 Take UMASS Minutemen +39 over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 7 pm) UMASS is a terrible team that is just getting used to FBS play. However, the Wildcats are rebuilding this year, and I do not believe that they are good enough to be laying this many points to anybody. They already have a loss on their 2013 resume to a FCS team in North Dakota State. The Minutemen lost to a much better Wisconsin team by 45 points, and I believe they will be able to score on Kansas State. That means the Wildcats will likely have to score over 50 points to cover this spread. Kansas State is 11-23 ATS in their last 34 nonconference games. I see Kansas State winning this game by 28-32 points, giving us the cover.

4 Unit Play. #182 Take UNDER 49 in Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Purdue Boilermakers (Saturday 8 pm ABC) For some reason, this game gets prime time billing even though Purdue is one of the worst teams in the Big Ten and maybe the country. The Irish could not stop Michigan last week but should have a much easier time with Purdue in Week 3. Purdue has scored just 27 points in two games this season. Notre Dame has gone under the posted total in 18 of their last 26 games (one push). Purdue has gone under the posted total in their last three games against Notre Dame. Play the under and do not worry if Notre Dame can cover this spread.

4 Unit Play. #184 Take New Mexico State Aggies +4.5 over UTEP Miners (8 pm) The Miners complete their New Mexico two-step playing the Aggies after facing the Lobos in their opening game. UTEP lost to New Mexico, giving up 42 points, and yet they are favored in this game on the road. The fact remains that UTEP is not a good team and that they have been terrible of late when it comes to ATS. They were 3-9 last year and now have a new coach in Sean Kugler. The Miners have covered just four of their last 18 games. NMSU is nothing to write home about, but they also have a new coach in Doug Martin and are playing as an independent this season. That being said, they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Aggies win their home opener straight up, and we collect big in the process as well!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Red Sox friday.

Saturday it's Alabama.The deficit is 1192 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco

5 Dime Road Rout of the Year

Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

5* UNLV-6.5 bought half point Golden Nugget

Mayweather-270 large. MGM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Saturday, September 14th

2013 College Footbball Non-Conference Total of the Year!!!!!
UCLA/Nebraska over 69 1/2
You Win or we'll email you Tonight's Report absolutely 100% Free of Charge!!!Early Best Bets
Louisville/Kentucky under 60
Louisiana-Monroe/Wake Forest under 51
Southern Mississippi/Arkansas over 49 1/2
Tulsa/Oklahoma under 49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Bailey is 3-0, 1.53 in his last five starts.
-- Hamels is 3-0, 1.95 in his last eight starts. Gonzalez is 3-0, 2.08 in his last three outings.
-- Baker threw five shutout innings in his first '13 start.
-- Medlen is 3-0, 1.33 in his last three starts. Erlin is 1-0, 2.38 in his last two.
-- Nolasco is 7-0, 2.29 in his last eight starts. Lincecum is 3-0, 3.60 in last four.

-- Wacha is 2-0, 1.50 in his last four starts. Paxton won his first start, giving up two runs in six IP.

-- Tillman is 2-1, 2.96 in his last four starts.
-- Lester is 3-1, 1.96 in his last five starts.
-- Jimenez won his last two starts, allowing one run in 13 IP.
-- Weaver is 2-1, 2.33 in his last four starts.
-- Moore is 7-0, 2.15 in his last nine starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hellweg is 1-3, 12.06 in four starts this year.
-- Alvarez is 1-3, 6.84 in his last five starts. Turner is 0-3, 6.82 in his last six. Torres is 1-3, 7.84 in his last four starts. Matsuzaka is 0-3, 9.00 in 4 starts.
-- Cole is 0-2, 3.72 in his last three starts.
-- Miley is 0-2, 4.98 in his last four starts. Oswalt is 0-4, 6.23 in four starts, last of which was July 7.

-- Rogers is 2-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-2, 5.06 in his last four starts.
-- Colon is 1-3, 6.35 in his last five starts. Darvish is 0-3, 4.34 in his last three.
-- Fister is 1-2, 5.89 in his last three starts. Santana is 0-3, 5.10 in his last five.
-- Rienzo is 1-1, 7.47 in his last three starts.
-- Oberholtzer is 4-2, 2.11 in seven starts this year.
-- Albers is 0-2, 5.72 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Bailey 3-29 (0 of last 11); Hellweg 2-4
-- Alvarez 2-12; Turner 5-17 (4 of last 7); Matsuzaka 2-4 Torres 2-6
-- Hamels 5-30 (1 of last 9); Gonzalez 8-29
-- Baker 0-1; Cole 5-15 (3 of last 5)
-- Erlin 2-6; Medlen 8-28 (0 of last 9)
-- Oswalt 1-4; Miley 10-29 (4 of last 6)
-- Lincecum 10-29 (1 of last 9); Nolasco 6-29 (0 of last 7)

-- Paxton 0-1; Wacha 1-6

-- Tillman 7-29 (3 of last 6); Rogers 5-17 (0 of last 4)
-- Sabathia 10-30 (4 of last 6); Lester 8-20 (0 of last 6)
-- Colon 7-27; Darvish 8-27 (1 of last 6)
-- Santana 12-29; Fister 6-29 (1 of last 11)
-- Jimenez 6-28 (1 of last 13); Rienzo 0-8
-- Weaver 3-22 (0 of last 5); Oberholtzer 1-7
-- Moore 7-23 (1 of last 9); Albers 2-7

Totals
-- Five of last seven Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Washington games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- mia-ny
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Milwaukee games.
-- Six of last nine Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 15 San Francisco games stayed under.

-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six St Louis games.

-- Seven of last nine White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit home games went over.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Baltimore games.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Bronx games.
-- Six of last eight Texas games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Angel games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Minnesota games went over total.


Hot teams
-- Pirates won four of their last five games.
-- Washington won nine of its last ten games. Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee won four of its last six games.
-- Padres won five of their last seven games.
-- Giants won four of their last five games.

-- Cardinals won six of their last seven games.

-- Indians won seven of their last ten games.
-- Bronx won four of its last six games. Red Sox won eight of their last ten.
-- Kansas City won four of its last six games. Detroit won its last three games, allowing four runs. .
-- A's won six of their last seven games.
-- Houston won its last four games, scoring 34 runs. Angels won six of their last nine games.


Cold teams
-- Cubs are 11-20 in their last 31 games.
-- Miami lost six of their last seven games; Mets lost six of their last eight.
-- Braves lost six of their last nine games.
-- Reds lost three of their last four games.
-- Colorado lost seven of its last ten games. Arizona lost four its last five.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.

-- Mariners lost their last five games, allowing 31 runs.

-- White Sox lost 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Toronto lost last five home games, allowing 31 runs. Orioles lost four of their last six games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games. Twins lost seven of last nine. .
-- Texas lost seven of its last eight games.

Umpires
-- Cin-Mil-- 13 of last 18 Hernandez games went over total.
-- Mia-NY-- Six of last eight Bellino games went over the total. Four of last five Basner games went over.
-- Phil-Wsh-- Under is 11-1-1 in last thirteen Joyce games.
-- Chi-Pitt-- Eight of last ten Demuth games went over total.
-- SD-Atl-- Seven of last nine Hallion games stayed under.
-- Col-Az-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Gonzalez games.
-- SF-LA-- Underdogs won 11 of last 15 Knight games.

-- Sea-StL-- Under is 14-5-1 in last 20 Johnson games.

-- Blt-Tor-- Underdogs won seven of last nine Bucknor games.
-- NY-Bos-- Home side won eight of last nine Dimuro games.
-- A's-Tex-- Under is 11-5-1 in last seventeen West games.
-- KC-Det-- Five of last seven Hirschbeck games stayed under.
-- Cle-Chi-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Cooper games.
-- LA-Hst-- Six of last seven Wegner games went over the total.
-- TB-Min-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Layne games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - FREE PLAY SATURDAY

3-UNIT STRONG OPINION
N. ILLINOIS -28 (-130) (2pm) - FREE PLAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1095-825(57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat: Washington -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Arizona -24

Marshall -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Nebraska -3
Alabama -9
Mississippi St +7
Purdue +20-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 3

Saturday's games
Top 13 games

Lousiville is 8-5 in last 13 games with Kentucky, winning 24-17/32-14 in last two meetings; Cardinals won last two visits here, with last couple of wins by seven points each. Since '09, Wildcats are 5-8-1 as home dogs- they're 15-11 vs spread in last 26 non-league tilts. U of L is 3-3 as road favorite under Strong- they've got 10 starters back on defense and have one of best QBs in country (22 starts). Kentucky has QB with 5 starts, OL with only 49 combined starts, but that matters less in home games.

Indiana gave up 444 rushing yards to Navy's option offense last week in disappointing 41-35 home loss, after giving up two defensive TDs week before to I-AA Indiana State; since '08, Hoosiers are 4-8 as home faves, 8-11 in non-league games. Bowling Green won first two games by 19-27 points, running ball for 219-233 yards; they're 20-11 as road underdogs since '06, 11-7 under Clawson. For team with 19 returning starters, IU is off to bad start. MAC teams are 5-7 as non-league road underdogs. Big Dozen non-league favorites are 9-5, 7-5 at home.

Since 2004, East Carolina is 15-6-1 as home dogs, 5-3 under Ruffin; they are 10-17-1 vs spread in last 28 non-league games. Pirates are 1-6 in last seven games with Virginia Tech, losing last three played here by average score of 26-14. Hokies were 0-3 as road favorites LY, after being 20-8-1 in that role from '04-'11; they outgained Alabama 212-206 in neutral field opener, but gave up a defensive TD and two special teams TDs. Tech completed 20-35 passes last week vs I-AA foe, after being dismal 5-26 in dome week before, not what you expect from a senior QB.

Coach Edsall left UConn for Maryland, so this game has extra meaning; Huskies had last week off after hideous home loss to I-AA Towson in opener (TY 393-290). UConn (-2.5) won 24-21 at Maryland LY-- they outrushed Terps 153-96. Since '05, UConn is 15-3 as home underdogs. Maryland has thrown ball for 600 yards in first two games; they're 1-4 as road favorites since '06- this is first time they're been favored on road since '10. Neither team has much experience at QB, but at least Terps aren't playing a linebacker there this year. UConn's OL has edge here in experience. First road game for Maryland, with West Virginia on deck.

Fresno State (-15) gained 665 yards in 69-14 humiliation of Colorado at home LY; since '09, Bulldogs are 8-2 as road favorites. Colorado's new coach MacIntyre came from San Jose State, whose main rival in WAC was Fresno. San Jose (+6.5) upset Bulldogs 27-24 in last meeting in '11, after losing 33-18 previous year, MacIntyre's first with Spartans. Buffs are just 3-6 as home dogs last decade, but this also best coaching they've and in Richardson, Colorado has one of best WRs in country. When you lose game 69-14, you circle the rematch on the calendar. I'm just sayin'.

UCLA (+5) upset Nebraska 36-30 at home LY, gaining 653 yards, 344 on the ground; Bruins are 2-0 as road dogs under Mora, after being 11-18 in that role from '05-'11. UCLA had last week off after crushing Nevada in its opener; they're 4-1 in non-league games under Mora. Cornhuskers had defensive issues in 37-34 opening win over Wyoming- they scored coupel defensive TDs in rout of hapless Southern Miss last week- they are 8-2 in last 10 games as home favorites. Both teams have quality QB and similar amount of experience (80-88 starts) on OL.

Texas fired DC Diaz after giving up 550 rushing yards to BYU in 40-21 loss last week; not sure how that helps this week, facing Ole Miss squad they crushed 66-31 in LY's meeting (-10). Since '08, Rebels are 10-5 as road dogs- they already have road win 39-35 (-3) at Vandy, when they ran for 206 yards, passed for 283 with no turnovers. Ole Miss' QB has 15 starts, its OL 92 starts, so they can move ball. Since '09, Longhorns are 9-14 as home favorites- they covered only nine of last 26 home tilts and opening Big X play next week, they're headed in wrong direction.

USC lost 10-7 at home to Washington State last week despite Wazzu not scoring offensive TD; Soph Kessler gets third start after playing 1st half last week- Trojans' longest pass play last week (11-21/54) was just eight yards. Natives are restless with Kiffin; USC is 7-4 in last 11 games as home favorites, but with scholarship numbers down due to probation typical Trojan depth isn't there. Boston College is was 0-5 as road dog LY, after being 18-7 in that role from '03-'11; Eagles held Wake Forest to 246 yards in 24-10 win last week after struggling to beat I-AA team the week before. BC has had five different OC's in last 2.5 years.

Iowa-Iowa State split last six meetings in intense rivalry, with Cyclones' wins by 3-3-2 points, Iowa's by combined total of 87-15. Underdogs are 9-3 vs spread in last 12 series games; Hawkeyes lost five of last seven visits here, with dogs 4-2 vs spread in last six played in Ames. Since '10, Iowa is 2-5 as road favorites; they've got young QB and after losing at home to Northern Illinois in opener, had smallest home crowd in decade last week, so their program is sliding. State had last week off after dismal loss to I-AA Northern Iowa- they're 6-8-1 as home dog under Rhodes.

Texas A&M (+13) won 29-24 at Alabama LY, with +3 turnover margin huge stat in game where TY was 431-418, Bama. A&M is new to SEC, so Crimson Tide hasn't played here- since '08, they're 15-6 as favorites on road, but Bama's OL is inexperienced (44 starts) which showed in its opening win vs Va Tech, a misleading 35-10 win where Tide scored pair of special teams TDs and another on defense. TY in that game was just 212-206, VT. Since '05, Aggies are 9-6-1 as home dogs. Both teams are well-off at QB, Bama has revenge motive, Aggies have home field. LY, Alabama won national title; despite losing to A&M.

Washington (-4.5) waxed Boise State 38-6 in opener, gaining 592 yards as they avenged LY's bowl loss to Broncos, but over last decade, U-Dub is just 12-41 SU on foreign soil, 4-5 as road favorite- this isn't true road game, being played at Soldier Field not Champaign. Illinois had big 45-17 win over Cincinnati last week, with 210 rushing yards, 312 passing, so having veteran QB (28 starts) helps. Washington had last week off; their senior QB Price (27 starts) gives Sarkisian mobility. Illini covered four of last five tries as a home underdog. Interesectional road favorites: 11-8 so far in this young season.

South Carolina won 11 of last 13 games vs Vanderbilt, winning last four by unlikely average score of 18-8, with underdogs 7-4 vs spread last 11 years, 4-1 in last five played here. As Franklin has improved program at Vandy, they've played Carolina tough, outgaining them 276-272 LY in a 17-13 home loss (+6.5), but they haven't won. Gamecocks lost 41-30 at Georgia last week; under Spurrier, Carolina is 16-12-2 vs spread coming off a loss- they're 11-5 in last 16 games as home favorite. Since 2004, Vandy is 24-12-1 as a road dog- they lost opener at home to Ole Miss after leading 21-10 at half. These games have been defensive struggles.

Wisconson upgraded at HC when Anderson replaced Bielema, who ran off to Arkansas; Anderson was 14-2 vs spread as road underdog in his time in Logan. Badgers are 3-1 as road dogs last three years- they went out west in September LY, lost 10-7 (-7) at Oregon State. Arizona State is 18-12 as home favorites last five years, 4-1 under Graham; ASU has 70 starts back on OL and QB with 14 starts. Badgers have 58 starts on OL and new QB. Neither team has been tested yet, playing combined three stiffs. Teams met in 2010; Badgers (-12) won 20-19 in Madison, but since both teams changed coaches since then, it doesn't mean much.

Rest of the Card; notes on rest of the games

-- Eastern Michigan is 2-5 in last seven games as a road dog. Over last four years, Rutgers is 5-9 as a home favorite.
-- Stanford covered 12 of last 14 as a road favorite. Army covered five of last seven tries as a home underdog.
-- Home team covered eight of last 11 Marshall-Ohio games. Bobcats are 8-4 vs spread in last dozen non-conference games.
-- Since '08, New Mexico is 12-16 as a road underdog. Since '09, Pitt has covered 11 of 20 games as a home favorite, under three different HCs.

-- Wake Forest covered seven of last nine non-ACC home games. ULM is 7-6 in last thirteen games as a road underdog.
-- Western Kentucky is 4-0 vs spread as a road favorite; they turned ball over five times in six plays in 52-20 loss at Tennessee last week.
-- Georgia Tech won 15 of last 16 games (9-7 vs spread) vs Duke, which lost starting QB Boone last week. Tech is 2-4-1 as a road favorite.
-- Tennessee is 5-13 vs spread in last 18 games as an underdog. Oregon is 6-8-1 as a home favorite the last 2+ years.

-- Road dog won previous two Northern Illinois-Idaho games. Vandals covered twice in their last eight games as a home underdog.
-- Auburn won 10 of last 12 games vs Mississippi State, which failed to cover its last five tries as a road underdog.
-- Penn State is 6-1 as home favorite under O'Brien, who worked seven years as an assistant under UCF coach O'Leary. Knights are 16-11 as a road underdog the last few years.
-- Ball State covered 18 of last 27 games. North Texas lost to Ohio U of MAC last week, outgaining Mean Green 447-299.

-- Arkansas is 14-9-1 vs spread in its last 24 games as a home favorite. Southern Miss had 18 consecutive winning seasons until they went 0-12 LY- Golden Eagles are 1-6 in last seven games as a road dog.
-- Oklahoma won its last six games with Tulsa, going 4-1-1 vs spread. Blake Bell gets start at QB for injured starter Knight.
-- Cal Bears covered twice in last ten games as road dog. Over last four years, Ohio State is 2-6-1 when laying points on the road.
-- South Florida is 4-13 in last 17 games as home favorite- their QB was 6-26 passing last week. Oy. FAU covered both its games this season.

-- Rice (+11) upset Kansas in Lawrence LY, 25-24; their QB was once the starter at BYU. Owls are favored over BCS team for first time in 12 years- since '08, they're 8-2 as a home favorite.
-- Notre Dame won its last five games with Purdue by average of dozen points; Irish is 5-4 vs spread under Kelly when coming off a loss.
-- UTEP won its last four games vs New Mexico State (3-0-1 vs spread) Aggies allowed 100 points in first two games, vs Texas/Minnesota.

-- Arizona covered eight of last 11 non-league games. UISA has a win at New Mexico, but they're in over head here, vs team that won 58-13 last week at UNLV.
-- Home team won all four Oregon State-Utah games, covering three of the four games. Beavers covered 16 of last 22 games as a road dog.
-- Central Michigan beat I-AA New Hampshire 24-21 on final play last week, not exactly a great sign/ Chippewas are 1-9 as a road underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

3* Duke

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Kansas City at Detroit

The Royals look to build on their 4-1 record in Ervin Santana's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.774; Milwaukee (Hellweg) 15.830
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+160); Over


Game 903-904: Miami at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.645; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 13.801
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-115); Under


Game 905-906: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 14.374; NY Mets (Torres) 13.462
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over


Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Washington (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.672; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.931
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under


Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Baker) 14.993; Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.660
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+165); Under


Game 911-912: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 14.720; Atlanta (Medlen) 16.277
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-190); Over


Game 913-914: Colorado at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Oswalt) 13.804; Arizona (Miley) 15.285
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-180); Under


Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.779; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.817
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+145); Over


Game 917-918: Baltimore at Toronto (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.797; Toronto (Rogers) 15.850
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Over


Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.432; Boston (Lester) 17.062
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Under


Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.518; Texas (Darvish) 16.199
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Under


Game 923-924: Kansas City at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 15.522; Detroit (Fister) 14.588
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135); Over


Game 925-926: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.675; White Sox (Rienzo) 14.173
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-155); Over


Game 927-928: LA Angels at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.772; Houston (Oberholtzer) 16.662
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under


Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.376; Minnesota (Albers) 13.934
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under


Game 931-932: Seattle at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 15.361; St. Louis (Wacha) 14.808
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+200); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Tulsa at Seattle

The Shock look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Western Conference opponents. Tulsa is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.967; Minnesota 125.125
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 160
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Under


Game 653-654: Tulsa at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 112.237; Seattle 112.670
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 4 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks

Toronto at Saskatchewan

The Roughriders look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games in September. Saskatchewan is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (9/12)


Game 293-294: Winnipeg at Edmonton (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.448; Edmonton 109.952
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+4 1/2); Over


Game 295-296: Toronto at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.193; Saskatchewan 120.227
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 11; 59
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 8; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Essential Betting Tidbits for Week 3 of College Football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for Saturday's early college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

-Some big line moves for the 12 p.m. ET games as of late Friday morning:
Tulsa-Oklahoma -27 to -24.5
Stanford-Army +27.5 to +30
UCLA -Nebraska -7.5 to -3.5
Georgia State-West Virginia -37 to -40
Louisville-Kentucky +10 to +14
Akron-Michigan -35.5 to 37.

-More special teams gaffes from Tulsa last week. Fumble on a punt return, two missed field goals from short range (a problem going back to last season), and a punt return TD against. This has become a key betting factor for Tulsa games. +24.5 at Oklahoma.

-Virginia Tech easily beat FCS Western Carolina last week but QB Logan Thomas had 5 pass progression errors in the game. Not good considering Thomas, who loves to run, has had his had his running plays limited this season. -7.5 at ECU

-Blake Bell will start at QB in place of the injured Trevor Knight. This could actually be a good thing for the Sooners after Knight struggled with passing accuracy against West Virginia (10-of-20).

-The average weight of Stanford's offensive line outweighs Army's defensive line by 70 pounds. The defensive line outweighs the Black Knights' O-line by 40 pounds on average. Stanford +30 at Army.

-Stanford has 25 straight games with at least one takeway, longest streak in the nation.

-Keep in mind it could feel like 9 a.m. (Pacific Time) to the Cardinal when they play Army Saturday at noon ET at West Point.

-Seven players on Nebraska's front seven have made their college debuts over the past two weeks. They're in tough against a UCLA team that put up 653 yards on the Huskers last year. Nebraska -3.5

-UCLA has the No. 3 offense in the country so far with 647 yards per game.

-Kentucky freshman wide receiver Ryan Timmons told Kentucky.com he expects a high-scoring game against Louisville on Saturday. The total was at 60 late Friday afternoon.

-Brady Hoke has doughnuts coming for the first 5,000 students to go to the game vs. Akron on Saturday. He calls noon games "doughnut games" because he used to buy a doughnut before he played football at that time as a youth player. He says the Wolverines love these games. Michigan is -37.

-Bowling Green is one of 18 FBS teams who have started the year at 2-0 ATS. +3 at Indiana.

-You might want to look at first half wagers for Oregon this season. "Oregon has an FBS-high 60 TD drives that lasted 2 minutes or less since the start of last season. 40 of those 60 came in the first half" according to ESPN's stats & info.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
144-52 since 1997. ( 73.5% 57.2 units )
15-8 this year. ( 65.2% 0.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX

CLEVELAND is 31-14 (+18.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.

The average score was: CLEVELAND (5.6) , OPPONENT (4.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
113-61 since 1997. ( 64.9% 45.9 units )
8-4 this year. ( 66.7% 3.6 units )

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
128-59 since 1997. ( 68.4% 0.0 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws
294-183 since 1997. ( 61.6% 92.7 units )
20-12 this year. ( 62.5% 6.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharpwins

CFB
UL Monroe +3 over Wake Forest
The game kicks off at 12:30pmET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff white

Bama/ A&M under 62 1u
Oregon-27 1u
Game of week 2u under 51 Vandy/SCarolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Friday with the Diamondbacks -$150/Rockies.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes two the Braves -$185/Padres and the Dodgers -$165/Giants both for $100.

"Mr Chalk" is 5-2 -$10 for the week and 95-58 +$567 for the 2013 MLB season.


For Saturday Ben lee (Ecks and Bacon) likes

*Arizona St -5/Wisconsin (Best Bet)

Illinois +10.5/Washington

Texas A&M +8.5/Alabama


For Saturday's fight between Saul Alvarez/Floyd Mayweather Ben lee likes under 11.5 rounds +$250 for $50.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROCKY WINNERS CIRCLE NEWSLETER

CFB BEST BET
WESTERN KENTUCKY –10 at South ALABAMA
If it wasn’t for bad luck last week, Western would have had none at all in their loss at
Tennessee last weekend, turning the ball over in 5 consecutive snaps from center, in a
scenario you couldn’t even begin to “make up”….and that doesn’t count their turnover
going in from the UT 3 yard line either—7 turnovers in all. Won’t happen this week
against a South Alabama team that gave up 39 points to Tulane last weekend, they
just don’t have the talent or athletes to keep this competitive for long. This one could
and should be covered by halftime.—call this one WESTERN KENTUCKY 40-17

Teaser
SO CAROLINA –2.5
USC –3
OREGON –15
ILLINOIS +21
VIKINGS +17
UCLA +15

* NEWSLETTER GAME OF THE WEEK
OREGON –25 over TENNESSEE
so why buck an offensive juggernaut against an offensive tinderbox that needed WK
last week to shoot themselves in the foot 7 times in order to pull away and win?
Tennessee not close to being in the same class as these DUCKS and so what if UT is
from the SEC? Big deal, so what. Can’t compare apples and oranges and no way can
Volunteer defense slow down the QUACK ATTACK, let alone travel a couple of time
zones over to the West Coast for a rare appearance, and are going to be up against
it vs an Oregon team looking to make a severe statement against the hyped up SEC.
Lay the lumber as Oregon won’t take foot off gas pedal in this affair.
OREGON ROLLS HERE 55-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE THE PRESS BOX / PHIL STEELE

BEST BETS

Louisville
Maryland
Ohio St.
LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Confidential
Kick-Off
11 STANFORD over *Army
Late Score Forecast:
STANFORD 52 - *Army 9
(Saturday, September 14)

10 BOSTON COLLEGE over
*Southern Cal
Late Score Forecast:
BOSTON COLLEGE 17 -
*Southern Cal 19
(Saturday, September 14)

10 BALL STATE over *North Texas
Late Score Forecast:
BALL STATE 40 - *North Texas 27
(Saturday, September 14)

10 *RICE over Kansas
Late Score Forecast:
*RICE 36 - Kansas 23
(Saturday, September 14)

10 *ARIZONA over Detroit
Late Score Forecast:
*ARIZONA 34 - Detroit 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWERSWEEP KEY SELECTIONS

4* Louisville over KENTUCKY
FORECAST: Louisville by 21 over KENTUCKY

3* AUBURN over Miss St
FORECAST: AUBURN by 13 over Miss St.

3* Alabama over TEXAS A&M
FORECAST: Alabama by 16 over TEXAS A&M

OTHER SELECTIONS

2* KANSAS ST over UMass
FORECAST: KANSAS ST by 45 over UMass

2* Western Michigan (+) over NORTHWESTERN
FORECAST: Western Michigan (+) NORTHWESTERN by 21

UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK
NEW MEXICO ST (+6') over UTEP
FORECAST: NEW MEXICO ST by 1 over Utep

TECHNICAL PLAY OF THE WEEK..........AUBURN
REVENGE PLAY OF THE WEEK.............ALABAMA
SITUATIONAL PLAY OF THE WEEK.......FLORIDA ST.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINE CHANGERS

CFB

Utah -3 (5 UNITS)

Ga Tech -8 (3 UNITS)

MLB

Orioles (3 UNITS)

Angels (3 UNITS)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Missanelli:
Rice

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

CFB
Ole Miss +3 over Texas

QB David Ash is out for Texas and this is not a good defensive football team. Rumors are swirling that Mac Brown is on his way out of town after this season. Ole Miss has paid their dues in the SEC and are a team to be reckoned with. There is no flaws on this football team and they have size and power on offense. Texas is yesterdays news and needs to rebuild. Take Ole Miss

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs

Bowling Green vs. Indiana (NCAAF) - Sep 14, 2013 12:00 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play Title 4* Money-Maker
Play Selected Point Spread: 3.0/-110
Taking BOWLING GREEN here. I like this bunch. I think they can win the MAC. They have 18 returning starters. This is a big game for them. Last year they went on the road and faced Florida in week 1 and lost 27-14. They won't be intimidated coming here. This is football, not hoops! They have a gimme on deck vs Murray State so you know they will focused here. Indiana on the other hand has a SEC clash with Missouri up next. Will grab the small dog here. 4* Money-Maker BOWLING GREEN

New Mexico vs. Pittsburgh (NCAAF) - Sep 14, 2013 12:30 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play Title 4* Money-Maker
Play Selected Point Spread: -21.5/-110
Taking PITT here. Last time we saw the Panthers they were being picked apart on ESPN by Florida State. They have had an awful long time to prepare for this battle. I am sure they will be looking to wipe that taste out of their mouth. This is a hefty number, but I have zero confidence in New Mexico crossing time zones. 4* Money-Maker PITT PANTHERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's BEST BETS
STATFOX BRIAN

LOUISVILLE (117) AT KENTUCKY (118)
Latest Line: Louisville -13.5; Total: 60.5

I realize that Louisville doesn't always blow out inferior opponents, but I can't overlook the fact that Kentucky is 0-9 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points in the past three seasons. Also, Cardinals head coach Charlie Strong is 12-4 ATS (75%) on the road and 8-1 ATS (89%) following an ATS loss since coming to Louisville. His quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater, has been dominant this year (46-of-60, 752 yds, 9 TD, 1 INT) and completed 19-of-21 passes versus Kentucky last season. Also, Strong is well aware that his team plays such a soft schedule, that to be in the national title discussion, he needs to run up the score all year to impress the pollsters. Louisville wins by 30 on Saturday.
PLAY ON: LOUISVILLE -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

9X Sports

12:00PM
Juventus+106
(Italy Soccer) Side

3:30PM
Florida State @ Nevada - OVER 64.5
(NCAA Football) Total

7:10PM
LA Angels @ Houston - OVER 8
(MLB) Total

10:05PM
Seattle Storm-4.5
(WNBA) Side

10:00PM
Elvis Mutapcic-110
(World Series Fighting) Side

Bonkman's Play of the Day (NCAA Football) 7:30PM MARYLAND-6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Mets -135 gm 2

100* Mississippi State +6.5

50* Over 59.5 - Kansas/Rice

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll Sports

3* Washington Huskies -10

2* Louisville/Kentucky - Under 60

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atslocks

Indiana -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vincent rizzo sports

utah-3

[bhn2bill]

anyone have ats lock club triple crown

[Can'tPickAWinner]

North coast marquee

kansas
And
duke

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
Pinnacle
UCONN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

BOWLING GREEN +2.5

Big 10 football usually overpowers the MAC Conference, but like the Kentucky's in the SEC there are a few teams in these major conference that are not great football teams. Bowling Green is legit. This is a great football team on both sides of the ball and is very capable of playing with anyone in this country. Navy did not punt the ball once against Indiana. Now I know Navy runs a totally different offense, but the confidence of this Hoosier team is at an all time low. To make matters worst they have quarterback issues. With no go to pure starter this team is a mess. Take Bowling Green.


OKLAHOMA -24.5
OKLAHOMA/TULSA OVER 50

This is a rare side and total play. This is based on the fact Tulsa has no returning starts on the defensive line from last year and two new cornerbacks. This defense is thin. They let Colorado State run all over them and hit them on special teams. Oklahoma is on a whole different level and should run the ball all over this team. Tulsa has enough talent on offense to put points up on the board to help us with this total, but I am looking for a complete blowout today. Take Oklahoma and the Over.


CENTRAL FLORIDA +5.5

This freshman QB from Penn State is good, but 2 for 26 on third downs this year is flirting with major disaster. This will be a tough game for Hackenburg under the lights at home in what is sure to be a packed crowd. I think Penn State can win this game, but this is a generous line for us here. Central Florida is a team that always flies under the radar and they have a very dangerous QB in Blake Bortles who can beat teams both in the air with his arm and with his feet on the ground. On a side note google "Blake Bortles girlfriend". This guys is doing alright for himself. This UCF coach O'Leary has been around a while and actually mentored PSU Coach O'Brien. Take UCF.


MISSISSIPPI +3

David Ash is out for Texas and this is not a good defensive football team. Rumors are swirling that Mac Brown is on his way out of town after this season. Ole Miss has paid their dues in the SEC and are a team to be reckoned with. There is no flaws on this football team and they have size and power on offense. Texas is yesterdays news and needs to rebuild. Take Ole Miss.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINE CHANGERS

2 CFB Added Plays

Middle Tennessee -8.5 (5 UNITS)

South Florida -11.5 (5 UNITS)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness SEC goy- Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insidesportsreport

5* Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOHN RAINEY (RAINMAN)

CFB

Georgia Tech
Oregon
Rice
Washington
Maryland
UCF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIKE WILLIAMS

4* SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BET ON FLORIDA ATLANTIC +13

I'm backing the Florida Atlantic Owls on the road vs. the South Florida bulls. Both teams are sitting at 0-2 on the season, the Owls have are the much better 0-2 team. FAU are 2-0 ATS so far this season and lost a tough game on the road to East Carolina last week out gaining ECU in yardage and time of possession. The Bulls have looked down right awful this season they lost to McNeese State by 32 points in week one, the Bulls were a 21 point favorite that game. South Florida players are learning a new system with new head coach Willie Taggart and the struggles with his team to learn are glaring. The Bulls are only scoring an average of 13.5 points per game and give up 37 points. I expect the FAU to keep this game close against a in state foe Saturday. Take FAU Saturday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MajorCovers 9/14

Ecu +8
Gt -8.5
TENN-Org U 72.5
WKent -7.5
Nevada +35.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

5* (NCAAF) Rice -6

4* (NCAAF) Alabama -7.5
4* (NCAAF) Notre Dame/Purdue UNDER 49

3* (NCAAF) Bowling Green/Indiana OVER 62.5
3* (NCAAF) Ball St -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

400 Pitt -23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ats insiders club

Illinois +10
Rutgers -27.5
New Mexico +23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wiseguys Sports Betting 9/14

Michigan -37.5
Minnesota -24
Texas am +8
Navy -16.5
Ball St -3
Wyoming -26.5
N Illinois -27.5
Lsu -36.5
Maryland -6.5
W Kentucky -7
Rice -6.5
Notre Dame -20.5
Northwestern -30.5
Utah -3.5
Wisconson +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpire UNDER streakers

Joyce 9-1-2 L12 (WAS/PHI)

Layne 7-1 L8 (MIN/TB)

Cooper 13-2-2 L17 (CWS/CLE)

Hallion 10-2 L12 (ATL/SD)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

marc lawerence
key releashes

3*g tech
4*usc
5*ucf

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Boss
Rare 5* play on Indiana

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast comps
9/14 comps #3 play of day #125 Virginia Tech and
#9 totals play #193 Wisc/ASU over 54.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges - late plays

September 14, 2013


VERY STRONG: NONE


STRONG: Mississippi +2 1/2 Texas
Boston College +14 USC


REGULAR: Michigan -37 Akron
Alabama -7 1/2 Texas A&M
Colorado +8 Fresno
W. Kentucky -9 1/2 S. Alabama
Arizona -24 UTSA
Oklahoma -24 1/2 Tulsa
Utah -3 Oregon St.
Central Florida +5 1/2 Penn State
UTEP---New Mexico St. OVER

NORM'S LATE THOUGHTS: I believe the Middle Tennessee St. program's far more advanced than that of Memphis. The Blue Raiders can really move the ball and I think they'll eventually pull away for the Tigers. So:
Middle Tennessee St. -9 Memphis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges - picks of the pole (from his radio show)

September 13-16, 2013Last week's record was 10-11 giving us a season record of 27-23


NCAA
Double Plays

Oklahoma -24.5 vs Tulsa
Louisville -14 vs Kentucky
No. Illinois -28.5 vs Idaho
Auburn -6 vs Mississippi St

Single Plays

Stanford -30 vs Army
Bowling Green +2.5 vs Indiana
Maryland -6.5 vs UConn
Colorado +8 vs Fresno State
Oregon -28 vs Tennessee
Alabama -7.5 vs Texas A&M
Central Florida +5.5 vs Penn State
Kansas State -39 vs UMass
Arizona State -5 vs Wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Dogpound GOW

UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT Lock

Bowling Green +2-
UCF +5
N. Texas +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo 10* Ultimate Underdog


North Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness 10* Goin Over Total

Boston College/USC Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

Vanderbilt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin 9*

Illinios

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alatex 20* UCLA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure Lock
Regular W. Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks
Saturday Football



· Play East Carolina +7.5 over Virginia Tech (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
12:00 PM EST

Virginia Tech has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread coming off a non-conference game and they have also lost 9 of the last 12 games against the spread when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Virginia Tech has lost 16 of the last 21 games against the spread when playing on a Saturday and they have lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread after allowing 14 points or less in their last game.



· Play Florida Atlantic +12.5 over South Florida (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:00 PM EST



South Florida has lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have also lost 10 of the last 13 home games against the spread. South Florida has lost 6 consecutive games against the spread after scoring 14 points or less in their last game and they have lost 10 of the last 14 games against the spread coming off a loss in their last game.


· Play Mississippi +2.5 over Texas (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:00 PM EST

Texas has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread coming off two or more OVER the totals and they have also lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Texas has lost 7 of the last 10 games against the spread after gaining 300 or more passing yards in their last game and they have lost 8 of the last 12 games against the spread after committing one or less turnovers in their last game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Donn Wagner's Famous Penn State Report Sat Sep 14th, 2013 6:00pm EDT
5 Unit Total Play · Under [159] Central Florida Golden Knights vs. [160] Penn State Nittany Lions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

10* Texas Rangers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

MLB
4.5* Mariners/Cardinals over 7.5 (E) 450/450
3* Rangers ML (-167) 501/300
2* Orioles/Blue Jays over 9 (-105) 210/200
2* Indians/White Sox over 8 (-115) 230/200
1* White Sox +1.5 (-120) 120/100
1* Twins +1.5 (-105) 105/100
1* Rays/Twins over 7.5 (+105) 100/105

CFB
1* Akron/Michigan under 59.5
1* Georgia State/West Virginia under 58
1* New Mexico/Pittsburgh under 50.5
1* Georgia Tech/Duke over 58
1* Tennessee/Oregon under 73.5
1* Northern Illinois/Idaho over 62.5
1* Central Florida/Penn State over 50.5
1* UMass/Kansas State over 56
1* Florida Atlantic/South Florida over 45
1* Kent State/LSU under 55
1* UTEP/New Mexico State under 57
1* Marshall/Ohio over 68.5
1* Western Michigan/Northwestern under 59
1* Oregon State/Utah under 57.5
1* Central Michigan/UNLV under 54
1* Wisconsin/Arizona State over 55.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Real Animal Sports

Saturday free play is 2* Stanford -30
We started off last Saturday 3-0 and leading the way was 4* Ball State over Army. The Cadets scored first on a 71-yard run by Larry Dixon. Dixon ended up with 107 yards on 14 carries. So that meant he had 13 carries for 36 yards the rest of the game or less than three-yards per attempt. QB Angel Santiago was 3-of-11 for 49 yards. The problem for the Cadets is Stanford will dare them to pass and load up the box to stop the run. I mentioned last week how small the Army offensive line is averaging 249 pounds per man and that it would be an adjustment playing without 4-year starter Steelman behind center. Last week San Jose State had 35 rushing yards on 23 carries. Meanwhile QB David Fales, who is very good, was 29-of-43 for 216 yards with a pick. Its going to be tough for Army to move the ball on the ground and especially score points. The Stanford defense last year allowed just 17.2 points per game. Thats incredible considering they played in the pass-happy Pac-12 conference. The Cardinal will have an enormous edge in the trenches. But will they be interested considering they have a showdown with Arizona State next week? The answer is yes. Stanford is 12-2 ATS as a road favorite the last three years. Some Stanford defensive players were not happy with their performance, allowing just 251 total yards. I thought we played average at best; said linebacker Trent Murphy, who recorded two sacks. Keep in mind Army was just +95 in total yards against Morgan State in week #1. I read this on Friday night and found it somewhat amusing: Stanford QB Kevin Hogan is 6-4 and 228. That means hes bigger than all but two of the front seven Army defense. The Cadets have allowed 40 or more points six times since the start of last season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

CFB
Louisville (-13-) at Kentucky Noon ET ESPN
4* Kentucky +13

Love is pouring forth for a veteran Louisville team led by 16 RS including Heisman candidate QB Bridgewater who has averaged 406 PYPG in the Cardinals home field romps against outmanned Ohio and E. Kentucky, 93-14. But the competition stiffens today against SEC Kentucky who after their week 1 embarrassment against W. Kentucky got a feel- good 41-7 bounceback win against outmanned Miami, Oh in which they outgained the Red Hawks 675-122. That included 413 PY by the new Kentucky Air Raid. Now, first year HC Stoops must translate some of that offensive success in at least staying competitive against what is quickly become the states best FB program. Look for a huge effort by the avenging home dog who has outgained 373-280 in a 32-14 defeat last season. Cards get the victory but we get the money with this very contrary value laden side.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS Lock Club

8* Maryland
8* Iowa
8* Ball State
6* Central Florida
5* East Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TJ Fillingham 7-1
7* Duke
7* Florida State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas Sports Wire 8-2
5* Utah
3*Bowling Green

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gator 3-0
South Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dolphin 5* Central Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cowtown 3* N-Illinois

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Moore

4* Auburn -6

[golden contender]

Saturday card has 5 Perfect College Football system Plays, 8 in all, one is the 6* Non Conference Game of the Year. College is off to a fast start and was 5-1 last week and 27 games over .500 the past 3+ seasons, we also have a 37-2 MLB Diamond Cutter system. College System club Play of the week


On Saturday the NCAAF system Club is On Northern Illinois. Game 153 at 5;00 eastern. NIU is playing game 2 off a bye week and that sets them up in a tremendous system here that has won 26 of 30 times and plays teams that are off a bye week after game one and vs an opponent who has lost at least once. If the line is -18 or more and less than 30 these teams move to 20-2 ats, these teams have been Tremendous Money makers. Northern Illinois can name the score against a dismal Idaho team that looks like they will be blowout victims week in and week out regardless of the venue. Another interesting nugget that fades Idaho here is new coaches in their 1st home game in game 3. These teams are 6-22 ats long term. Look for Northern Illinois to win big in this one. Don't miss out on the Tremendous Saturday card which has 8 Selections and 5 have systems that are Undefeated. One is the 6* Non Conference Game of the Year + there are two 5* Plays and a 37-2 MLB Diamond cutter system. College Football moved to 27 games over .500 after Last Weeks 5-1 performance. Jump on and cash out all day and night as we continue to use cutting edge Material you Wont see any where else. For the Free NCAAF System Club Play take Northern Illinois. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Triple Threat Sports

Texas A&M

[Can'tPickAWinner]

kelso 100*(gow) notra dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW Early Phones 5*Maryland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ocal sports -

(5) Wisc @ Ari St. Over 54.5
(4) Vandy/ South Carolina Under 51.5
(4) Ball State -3
(4) Kansas +7 -120
(4) Maryland -6.5



(5) Saints -3
(5) 49ers +3
(5) Mia /Ind Under 42.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

100 western Kentucky
100 notre dame
50 maryland
15 bama
10 Louisville
5 tenn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aarons Analysis 9/14


ucla

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lines2win

Sat 9/14 NCAAF

UCLA +3 (1.5 Units) - Ucla coming off rest usually a good thing.

Georgia Tech -8 (2 Units) - Not happy about the 8 but this should be a lopsided game.

Maryland -6.5 (1.5 Units) - Tough game, but Uconn looks really bad early.

Central Mich/Unlv over 54 (2.5 Units) - Horrible defenses enough said.

Notre Dame -18.5 (3 Units) - Late money coming in on Purdue, don't buy it. Notre Dame blowout.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preferred Picks 9/14


mississippi
central florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 9/14

Bet Level 2: USC -13.5 over Boston College



(System Record: 137-5, Lost last game)
Overall Record: 137-122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

College Football



12:00 PM ET

1 Star
Stanford @ Army
Take Stanford -30

2 Stars
Louisville @ Kentucky
Play UNDER 60

3:30 PM ET
1 Star
Alabama @ Texas A&M
Play UNDER 61
(play down to 60)

2 Stars
Tennessee @ Oregon
Take Oregon -28

5:00 PM ET
3 STARS
Northern Illinois University @ Idaho
Take NIU -28
(play up to -29.5)

7:30 PM ET
3 STARS
Maryland @ Connecticut
Take Maryland -6
(play up to -7)

10 PM ET
2 Stars
UTSA @ Arizona
Take Arizona -24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ats triple crown

8* maryland
8* iowa
8* ball st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael David

Louisville
Alabama
Mississippi
Arizona State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited

arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoopsgooroo

117 Louisville -14.5
121 Akron +37
170 Oklahoma -24.5
165 S. Mississippi +23
143 Tennessee +28
151 Alabama -8
150 Iowa St. +2
157 Washington -10
160 Penn St. -6
167 Vandy +14
172 Cal +15
128 UConn +7
177 Kansas +7
181 Notre Dame -21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler CFB Side Sat, 09/14/13 - 6:00 PM

double-dime bet - 150 Iowa St. 9.5 (-130) vs 149 Iowa
Analysis: Teasing these guys w/Toledo. Could add Toledo in a parlay (ML) too, but couldn't get it out before enough books had a line.

Two team, seven point teaser:

Iowa State +9.5 to Toledo -.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NC TOTALS
3.5 iowa under
3 kansas state under
3 georgia tech under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NC

4*s Louisville and Fla Atlantic
3*s Bama and Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo 10* Supreme Annihilator

USC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NC

4*s Louisville and Fla Atlantic
3*s Bama and Auburn

Totals

3'* Under Iowa
3*s Under Vandy
Under UMass
Under G-tech

Small Col

3* Minnesota

TV play Ohio St
TV total Over Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

EARLY BETS


Yankees / Boston Over 8.5

Oakland A's +1.5 -140

Cincinnati Reds -180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
4 arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday

CENTRAL FLORIDA
Maryland
Stanford
Oklahoma
Rice

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

CFB
Bowling Green +2.5

3 Team Action Parlay
Texas A&M +9
Tennessee +28 1/2
Ole Miss +2 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Baltimore at Toronto (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +127 (moneyline) at BetOnline

The Toronto Blue Jays made a lot of off-season moves that had them expected to contend, but injuries and a division that features the four other teams still battling for a playoff spot, and a schedule of 107 games vs .500 or better teams, was just too much to overcome. They can be a spoiler by knocking off Baltimore here. Esmil Rogers gives them a great chance here, as he has found the groove and has not allowed a run in each of his last two starts. Rogers is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in seven relief appearances against Baltimore, and certainly puts the Jays in a winnable spot here as a valued dog at home. Baltimore, having issues on the road where they are just 4-9 in their last 13, is a woeful 12-39 in their last 51 over the border against the Jays. Play on Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Statpicks

Today's PICKS

MLB: Toronto (+126), Oakland (+147)

NCAAF
Bowling Green +2.5
Kansas State -38
Tennessee +28
South Florida -11.5
Cal-Poly +7.5
Penn State -4.5
Nevada +35
Texas A&M +8.5
Washington -10.5
Pittsburgh -22
Rice -6
Michigan -37
Texas -2
Arkansas -24
Kent State +35.5
Purdue +18.5
Arizona -24

WNBA: shock/storm - under 144

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim hurley

upsetter: Texas a&m

[Can'tPickAWinner]

marc lawrence: "false favorite game of the month:

Mississippi

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

3-Unit Play Take Under 7 - San Francisco at Los Angeles (NL) (9:10 p.m., Saturday, September 14)
Tim Lincecum and Ricky Nolasco have both been pitching well lately and I think they will limit the offense's tonight. Nolasco has won seven straight decisions and is 4-0 with a 0.63 ERA in his last four outings. He will most likely not have Hanley Ramirez and Andre Ethier behind him who are dealing with nagging injuries. Lincecum has won his last three starts and is 3-1 against the Dodgers in his last four starts with an ERA under two. The last five times these teams have faced each other they have scored under 7 runs combined and I think that will happen again. The under is 6-0-1 in the Giants last 7 road games versus a right handed starter and the under is 4-1 in Nolasco's last 5 home starts with the total set at 7-8.5. These two teams don't like each other and I think it will be a competitive low scoring affair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

3 Unit Play. #915 Take Under 7 -105 San Francisco at LA Dodgers (9:10p.m., Saturday September 14)
What can I say about Ricky Nolasco! He has been on fire going a perfect 3-0 in his last 3-starts with an ERA of 0.87. Tim Lincecum has ben great as well in his last couple of starts and with these two guys on the mound this game stays under. San Francisco is 1-9-1 O/U on their last 11 road games against a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 1-11 O/U when playing on Saturday's and the Dodgers are 1-5 O/U following a SU loss.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN

4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.0 Miami at New York Mets (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
This is a play in Game 2. The starting pitchers should be Turner and Torres. I like both of these pitchers today. These are two teams with nothing to play for. They don't have big offenses anyway. So I think that Turner and Torres will dominate this one. This is the second game of a doubleheader so a lot of the regulars will be tired. And I expect both managers to give a lot of guys the second game off and play most of the bench players. The 'under' is 8-2 when the Mets are listed as a favorite. The 'under' is 21-10 when the marlins face a righty and the 'under' is 15-5 in Florida's last 20 road games.

3-Unit Play Take #901 Cincinnati (-1.5, -115) over Milwaukee (1 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)
The Reds lost the first game of this series. They need to bounce back if they want to stay in the race with the Cardinals and Pirates for the division. Homer Bailey is on the mound for the Reds. He is peaking right now. His ERA in his last three starts is under 1.00 and he has had some success against the Brewers. Milwaukee is going with rookie John Hellweg. He has struggled. His home ERA is 7.88 and Hellweg is just back from another stint in the minors. The Reds are 31-14 on Saturday and they are 7-1 in Bailey's last eight starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play Take #901 Cincinnati (-1.5, -105) over Milwaukee (1 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play Take #910 Pittsburgh (-1.5, +110) over Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play Take #916 L.A. Dodgers (-155) over San Francisco (9 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play Take #916 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, +140) over San Francisco (9 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play Take #927 L.A. Angels (-160) over Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play Take #927 L.A. Angels (-1.5, +100) over Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play Take #929 Tampa Bay (-155) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

1-Unit Play Take #929 Tampa Bay (-1.5, -110) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

Today's Totals

2-Unit Play Take 'Under' 8.0 Kansas City at Detroit (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

2-Unit Play Take 'Under' 7.5 San Diego at Atlanta (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

2-Unit Play Take 'Under' 7.5 Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

2-Unit Play Take 'Under' 7.0 Philadelphia at Washington (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.0 L.A. Angels at Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

2-Unit Play Take 'Over' 7.5 Seattle at St. Louis (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 14)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS

3-unit Play Take #921 Oakland A's (+145) over Texas Rangers (1:05pm EST) The Oakland A's have been playing excellent baseball winning 15 of their last 20 games. They dealt a big blow to the chances of the Texas Rangers yesterday to open their three game series as they won 9-8 to extend their lead in the division to 4.5 games with just two weeks remaining. The A's are a complete team with no glaring weaknesses and no big superstars taking over the limelight. They don't look like much on paper, but they have a lot of underrated players. One of those guys is today's starting pitcher Bartolo Colon. He isn't considered a great pitcher anymore, but his numbers are among the best in baseball this season. He comes in at 15-6 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 27 starts this season. He has pinpoint control and rarely misses his spot, evidenced by his 1.4 walk rate per innings. He'll face a Texas lineup that has really struggled to score runs this season. They are high in rankings for several offensive categories, but they play in one of the best hitter's parks in baseball. The A's have a much better offense, but they get overlooked. Yu Darvish will get the ball for Texas today. His numbers are similar to Colon's, but he hasn't looked quite as sharp over the last month or so. He may be tiring with the 186+ innings he's already thrown or it could be a mechanical issue. He's also dealt with some cramping issues in his legs. Either way, the Rangers haven't been able to win very much recently with him on the mound, so today is going to be a challenge. Texas is just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall and they are in danger of not even making the playoffs now. The A's are the better team and the price on this game is just too high. Take Oakland.

3-unit Play Take #931 Seattle Mariners (+210) over St. Louis Cardinals (7:15pm EST) We typically stay away from teams that have nothing to play for this late in the season. However, the Seattle Mariners are one of the most underrated teams in baseball and the line on today's game is just too high given the starting pitchers on the mound. Two relatively unknown commodities in James Paxton and Michael Wacha will square off in this contest. I don't think there is too much difference between these two, and I think Paxton will have an easier time of it coming from the left side. The Cards have struggled with southpaws at times this season and they've never seen Paxton. The Mariners have a better offense than the numbers indicate and they should be able to put some runs on the board against Wacha. But the bottom line is we just don't know much about these starting pitchers. They could pitch well or get bombed and it wouldn't be a surprise either way. Usually when there is this much uncertainty the underdog is a great place to look. And with the line above +200, there is plenty of value with the Mariners today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Key Club : Kansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday

CENTRAL FLORIDA
Maryland
Stanford
Oklahoma
Rice

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gameday

5 star gatech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

executive 400 miss st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaires club
lock
arizona state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game day
5 arizona state
4 georgia tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers NCAAF

Today's Free Picks for Sep 14, 2013





http://sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_2.pngLouisville @ KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY +15½ -110 over Louisville


12:00 PM EST. All the hype here is on the Cardinals. This is by far the biggest public play on the board today because Louisville is ranked #7 in the country and they’re coming off two blowout wins while outscoring the opposition 93-14. The Cardinals also destroyed the Wildcats last season and their upset win over Florida State in last year’s Sugar Bowl is still somewhat fresh in the minds of bettors. Louisville is primed and picked to reach a BCS game and they also have one of the early Heisman favorites at QB in Teddy Bridgewater. The Cardinals are in the spotlight and everything written about them so far has come true. They’ve been flawless in their first two games. However, Louisville also has played two complete marshmallows in Ohio and Eastern Kentucky. They probably have the easiest schedule in the entire country and it would be shocking to see them lose a single game this season. The Cardinals will be favored in every game by two or three TD’s and when you’re expected to win in such easy fashion, it’s not a positive thing. These Louisville players may be feeling a bit too complacent right now. The Wildcats were projected to be an SEC bottom feeder and that’s actually not so bad when you consider the power in that conference. But this isn’t the same old Wildcats. The team brought in offensive coordinator Neal Brown and he’s as good as they come. Kentucky has nothing to lose here. They are a young and very talented squad with a great coaching staff that will be well prepped for this rivalry game. Kentucky isn’t likely to win four games this year but they have an incredibly tough schedule and they are only going to get better under this new regime. This is truly a buy-low, sell high opportunity on the Wildcats. Week 3 is known for its big upsets over the years and that’s because most power schools schedule its first handful of games against what they figure to be easy prey. Kentucky is not nearly as talented or deep as the Cardinals but they’re not easy prey and they are being offered a generous spot here in a game that means everything to this program. The entire betting world is on the favorite here and that’s always a huge red flag. This one is no exception and if it’s close after the first quarter, expect Kentucky to hang around the entire afternoon.


Our Pick
#118 KENTUCKY +15½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)




http://sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_2.pngOregon State @ UTAH
UTAH/Oregon State over 57½ -110


10:00 PM EST. Both of these teams are having nothing but trouble running the ball so we don’t expect either of them to try to establish something that has very little chance of success. What that means is an aerial show between two offenses that are lighting it up early. The Utes have scored 100 points in the first two weeks while Oregon State was carved up for 49 points by Eastern Washington in the most shocking upset of the young season so far. Last week the Beavers allowed another 14 points at home to Hawaii and while it may not seem like much, it actually was when you consider that the Warriors rarely had possession. Both the Beavers and Utes have huge issues in their secondary and both don’t figure to get right-sided against two QB’s that have put up some healthy numbers. Oregon State’s defense is a train wreck right now and it’s not going to be corrected until they have time to go over all the issues. That’s not going to happen until after the bye in Week 6, leaving this guest extremely vulnerable to big chunks of yardage and many scores. Utah is getting nothing from the back end of its defense and the only shot OSU has here is to air it out and hope to score more in a shootout. That’s going to lead to this one soaring over this number and we’re on it.


Our Pick

#190 UTAH/Oregon State over 57½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)




http://sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_2.pngAlabama @ TEXAS A&M
TEXAS A&M +9½ -110 over Alabama


3:30 PM EST. This game needs no introduction, as it’s the marquee game on today’s schedule and the college football world has been talking about it since the Aggies defeated Nick Saban and the Tide 10 months ago. Nick Saban vowed revenge and most people are eating that up because Saban is 7-1 in revenge games when losing to a team the previous year. All the so-called experts are quick to point out that if the Aggies surrendered 31 points to Rice and 28 points to Sam Houston State in their first two contests, ‘Bama should score twice that. Well, it’s not that easy. Those two games were warm-ups for the Aggies. They were dealing with several issues, including suspensions to key personnel on defense but A&M gets back Gavin Stansbury, Steven Jenkins, the teams’ leading tackler from last season and De'Vante Harris, the club’s top corner. That’s big for the Aggies and makes a huge difference. A&M is not as good as they were a year ago because several players left for the NFL but they were ready for the Tide and they’ll be ready again this season. Besides, Alabama isn’t as good as they were last year either. ‘Bama won its opener over Virginia Tech 35-10 but that score is misleading, as the Tide was actually outgained in that contest by a count of 212-206 with the time of possession being near equal. The Crimson Tide also scored two TD’s on punt returns in the game against the Hokies and it’s a good thing they did because the offense couldn’t move five yards. Alabama’s offensive line is a question mark and there is no question that they also have the inferior QB in this contest. Most are suggesting that Alabama’s defense will be licking their chops to get at Johnny Manziel and while that may be true, nobody has been able to stop him yet, including Alabama’s heralded defense from a year ago when the Aggies stormed out to a 20-0 lead. QB AJ McCarron was shut down by the Hokies in the first game of the season two weeks ago. In fact, the Crimson Tide did not look sharp at all in that contest. Some will point out that they were gearing up for this game but that’s an argument we’re not buying. It was the first game of the year and every team gets jacked up to get back on the football field. When you wager on the top ranked team in the country, you are always going to pay a premium to do so. That rarely comes recommended. What we see here is that we’re getting 9 points at home with the nation’s best QB and the 6th ranked team in the country. So, forget the lame revenge angle. It means nothing. Alabama has not created an identity for its offense yet and while they are likely to put up some points here, so too will Johnny Football and it wouldn’t surprise us one bit if Manziel and the Aggies put up more points than McCarron and the Tide. Don't pay for the hype folks.


Our Pick
#152 TEXAS A&M +9½ -110 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 1.85)




http://sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_2.pngOhio State @ CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA +14½ -102 over Ohio State


The Buckeyes are 2-0 after defeating Buffalo and San Diego State and that’s the problem with the #2 ranked team in the country. There is a price to play for scheduling games against cupcakes and it’s something the Buckeyes do every season in their non-conference schedule. The Buckeyes hate to risk a loss and when they scheduled this game, they figured they were in for an easy time against a Golden Bears squad that went 3-9 a year ago and lost its final five games. However, Cal made some changes by bringing in offensive guru Sonny Dykes (Louisiana Tech) to run the show. In his third and final season with the Bulldogs, Dykes oversaw the No. 1 offense in the country, as Louisiana Tech averaged a staggering 578 yards per game en route to a nine-win campaign. The players bought in right away to Dykes system and now the Golden Bears lead the nation in passing yards with an eye-opening 472 yards per game. One of those games came against #22 Northwestern. Cal’s defense is another story and it’s the main reason they are getting 14½ points here. They have a long way to go to be able to stop a potent offense like the Buckeyes potentially have. However, this is the Buckeyes first road game. They have not been battle tested yet with two easy games against two rather weak squads, especially the Aztecs. OSU’s starting QB Braxton Miller is likely sitting this out with a knee sprain and even if he does suit up, he’s not likely to play 60 minutes. Perhaps overlooked with the spotlight shining so brightly on Miller's knee is the fact Ohio State is dealing with another injury concern on the other side of the ball. The groin problem for defensive end Adolphus Washington actually might be a more pressing issue. Considering the youth in the front seven for the Buckeyes and Cal's up-tempo, aggressive style with the football, removing Washington from the lineup could be a significant blow up front. Ohio State isn’t looking to blow away Cal. They are likely going to run the ball as much as possible to keep the Golden Bears offense off the field but this is too many points to be spotting on the road to this capable offense. In fact, it’s a distinct possibility that California scores the first TD and then you’re looking at a 21½-point spread. OSU is almost always overpriced, especially in the early going when they’re coming off big wins but the Buckeyes are not in as easy as they would like here and we give the Golden Bears a fighting chance to pull this upset.


Our Pick
#172 CALIFORNIA +14½ -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)




Range
W
L
P
+/- (Units)


Yesterday
0
0
0.00
0.00


Last 30 Days
6
6
0.00
+2.12


Season to Date
6
6
0.00
+2.12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johny Detroit

Oregon St.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers MLB Sep 14 2013

Philadelphia @ WASHINGTON

Philadelphia +135 over WASHINGTON


There is no chance that we are passing up an opportunity to take back a tag like this on Cole Hamels. Hamels comes in with a 7-13 record, which is the most misleading W/L record in the majors. Hamels had a pretty decent first half but he's been outstanding in the second half with a skills supported 2.18 ERA from July to now. Over his last five starts, covering 36 innings, Hamels has walked just four batters while whiffing 37. Furthermore, since his first start in July, Hamels line-drive rate of 15% is the lowest in the game of any starting pitcher with at least 20 innings. Cole Hamels is a true ace in every sense of the word. The more important number to know about Hamels this year is 10—the number of losses he's suffered with his offense providing two or fewer runs of support. With only a little more luck, he could have 15 wins. His 13 losses is a complete farce, resulting in this preposterous take back. Gio Gonzalez is coming off a complete game, one-hit shutout over the Mets. That near-no-hitter lasted into the seventh inning and a performance like that one often suffers a serious letdown the next time out. We see it with no-hitters and the same can be applied to a near ho-hitter. Additionally, Gonzalez has shown some inconsistencies this season. He’s been whacked in three of his past eight starts, allowing 26 hits and 22 runs over 12.1 innings against Detroit, Kansas City and these same Phillies in those three starts. That’s some serious disasters there and the reason is in the under the hood numbers. Gonzalez has an alarming 34% line-drive rate over his past six starts. His groundball rate has dramatically decreased from 44% on the season to a low 30% over that same span. Gonzalez appears to have dominated the past three games but it’s all smoke and mirrors, as every hard hit ball, and there were plenty of them, was hit right at someone. Gonzalez is showing serious signs of fatigue but it’s all under the surface, allowing us to take full advantage of this exceptionally overpriced favorite.


Our Pick
Philadelphia +135 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.70)


http://sportswagers.ca/graphics/icons/logo_5.pngChicago @ PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH -1½ +132 over Chicago


Give the Cubbies some credit for making life difficult on both the Reds last week and the Pirates in the first two games of this series. Chicago won four of those five games with only loss occurring against Pittsburgh in the opener of this series but that all changes here. Scott Baker’s start will be his second of 2013, having been sidelined since 2011 with elbow issues. Baker’s first start was a beauty at home against Milwaukee with the winds blowing in at Wrigley. In that game, he struck out one batter, allowed two hits and was very efficient with just 55 pitches thrown. Baker will be on a strict pitch-count again here because the Cubbies have him in their plans for next season. Even if he throws a quality game, he’s not likely to go past five innings and at that point we expect the Pirates to be up a run or two. Baker has 963 career innings on his résumé. He’s always had a good combination of command, control and strikeouts but he’s been prone to giving up the long ball with his career fly-ball bias profile. Two years removed from his last extended playing time at this level, Baker is too rusty to come out and dominate like he did in his first start. He was a slightly above average pitcher in the past and he’s a long way from being anything more. Then there’s Gerrit Cole. If you have not seen this guy pitch yet, do yourself a favor and watch him work. Cole has played a key role in the Pirates banner season, especially in the second half. Cole needed a few starts to get his feet wet but he's been as good as anybody since the beginning of July with 74 IP, 7.8 K’s per nine innings, a 2.82 ERA and a 50% groundball rate. Cole is getting stronger with each start. He’s coming off one of the best pitching performances of the year in Texas when he threw a 7-inning, three-hit shutout and struck out nine. He did it with such ease too and needed just 92 pitches to get through seven. Cole has some of the nastiest breaking pitches in the league and he’ll now face a Cubs team that is last in the majors with a .228 road batting average and 28th out of 30 teams in runs scored on the road.


Our Pick
PITTSBURGH -1½ +132 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.64)







Range
W
L
P
+/- (Units)


Yesterday
2
1
0.00
+3.16


Last 30 Days
32
41
0.00
-3.71


Season to Date
214
219
0.00
+73.70

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

washington
Florida Atlantic
kent State
Uconn
ole Miss

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed Sports Picks

CFB

WKU -7
GT -8
Washington -9.5
Kent State +38
Rice -6.5
NIU -28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

Pinnacle SHOCKER "GAME OF THE YEAR" - UCONN +pts

Inner Circle "FAVORITE GAME OF THE MONTH" - ARIZONA ST - pts

No Limit - C. FLORIDA +pts

Millionaire - VANDERBILT +pts

Invincible RICE -pts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Each pick is rated from 0.5 to 2.5 units (read about units (http://www.wunderdog.com/units-explained.html)). Risk 1% of your total bankroll per unit and never risk more than a few percent of your bankroll on any pick.
Game: Bowling Green at Indiana (Saturday 9/14 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Bowling Green +3 (-115) at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.87)
Bowling Green is going to be a top team in the MAC this season, thanks in large part to an improved offensive. And once again they will be a force on the defensive end with almost everyone that matters back from a top-stop unit from a year ago. They were a bit lethargic to start the Kent State game last week, but they still rallied for a 19-point win. Indiana came up big offensively with a 73-point explosion vs. FCS opponent Indiana State in their opener. But, at home last week they coughed up 41 to a suspect Navy team as a 12.5 point favorite. This will be a new challenge for their offense, and I think that the Hoosiers will have trouble both moving, and hanging onto the ball. Bowling Green's offense should have their way vs. a Hoosiers team that has allowed 38 points per game to a pair of teams that aren't very dominating on offense. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 on field turf, and the Hoosiers are just 1-for-6 ATS in their last six Sept ember tilts. Bowling Green takes this one.

Game: Akron at Michigan (Saturday 9/14 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Michigan -37 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.43)
This Akron Zips program has been feeling its oats for the last few years, but this does not look like the turnaround year. The Zips enter this contest winless in their last 33 games vs. FBS opponents, and now they have to try and compete with a monster in the Big House. Michigan has already dispatched with Central Michigan here by 50 points. And, Akron is a few notches below that club. Michigan's win over Notre Dame has this team believing that they can be a BCS Bowl game team this year, and they won't let up in this one. The Michigan offense generated 59 points vs. Central Michigan and 41 vs. Notre Dame, and are well armed to score big enough here to take down the big number. In his coaching career, Brady Hoke is 13-4 ATS in September games. All Michigan in this one.

Game: Tulsa at Oklahoma (Saturday 9/14 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Oklahoma -24 (-110) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
After the Sooners' lack of offense in a 16-7 win vs. West Virginia last week, many will wonder how they can manage enough points to cover this big number. Well the answer might lie in the fact that the Golden Hurricane gave up 34 points to Bowling Green, and 27 to Colorado State. Those teams combined to average 22 points per game a year ago. The problem for Tulsa is going to be finding the end zone at all, as they managed just 7 points against Bowling Green. Their offense lacks firepower, while the defense isn't ready to handle the resulting workload. The Golden Hurricane has not fared well venturing into the Big-12, where they are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven. The Sooners have risen to the occasion after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game by going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 in that situation. Under Bob Stoops, Oklahoma is 45-31 ATS after an ATS loss and 12-4 ATS following a game in which his team committed 4+ turnovers. Sooners roll.

Game: Georgia State at West Virginia (Saturday 9/14 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on West Virginia -39.5 (-110) at Bookmaker (http://wunderdog.com/idevadman/click.php?id=21&action=4) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Every team needs a sacrificial lamb on their schedule, and Georgia State is it for West Virginia. Last year the Panthers went 1-10, and this year they are off to an 0-2 start. This is a team that lost their last game to Chattanooga at home 42-14. They aren't just an FCS team... they are one of the worst. West Virginia was not good down the stretch a year ago, but played well at Oklahoma. They are in desperate need to vent and get a feel-good, so I think this one has huge blowout potential. The Mountaineers will not likely have starters in this game much after halftime, but Georgia State is so bad that the second and third units for West Virginia should not only hold the lead - they should expand it. This is a high line for sure, but not high enough. Play on West Virginia.

Game: Southern Mississippi at Arkansas (Saturday 9/14 12:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Arkansas -23 (-110) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
After a decade and a half of solid seasons, the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have fallen on hard times. Southern Miss went through a painful season a year ago where they did not taste the thrill of victory, finishing the campaign at 0-12. While there is nowhere to go but up, the Eagles have yet to sniff a win again this year through two games, despite a very winnable game at home to open the season vs. Texas State. Southern Miss has already committed 10 turnovers on the season. They now have to try and go into the SEC and be competitive vs. Arkansas. This is not going to happen. The Razorbacks are 2-0 after a pair of soft touches, but this one gets even easier. The Golden Eagles' lack of team speed has shown up on field turf where they are a woeful 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12. The Razorbacks have a huge edge at home where they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26. This one should be ugly, so play on Arkansas.

Game: New Mexico at Pittsburgh (Saturday 9/14 12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Pittsburgh -21.5 (-110) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
New Mexico has won just 13 of 63 games over the past five seasons. They managed one of those wins last week over UTEP, but that success will be short lived. This week they get Pittsburgh, a team that is in dire need of a good outing after a 13-41 embarrassing loss to Florida State in their opener. Pittsburgh has had two weeks to prepare for this one and there is no look ahead with Duke on tap and the sting of that opener loss still strong. Big home favorites of more than three TDs coming off a byte hit at 59% ATS in college football. I expect that trend to play out here. Take Pitt.

Game: Boston College at U S C (Saturday 9/14 3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Game Total UNDER 43 (-110) at BetPhoenix (http://www.betphoenix.com/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Lane Kiffin is taking a lot of heat at USC, as he should be. He could be the first coach to go this season after his team inexplicably lost to Washington State at home last week as a 16-point favorite. In that game the Trojans could score all of 7 points. This is the same Washington State team that allowed 31 points to an Auburn team that won all of three games last season. Washington State had given up 30 points or more in 14 of their last 22 games, and the Trojans went for under 200 total yards. USC also managed just 364 yards vs. a bad Hawaii team the week before. This is not an offense, it is a train wreck. The good news is that the Trojans have allowed just 23 points in their first two games, and Boston College is no better offensively than what they have seen to this point. BC scored 24 against both Villanova and Wake Forest, and USC is much better on the defensive side than both of those squads. The Eagles are 36-14-1 to the UNDER in their last 51 gam es, including 20-6 to the UNDER outside the conference. They are also 10-1 UNDER as a road dog the past three seasons. USC is 15-6 UNDER in the Kiffin era following an ATS loss including 9-1 UNDER after back-to-back losses. Play this one UNDER the total.

Game: Nevada at Florida State (Saturday 9/14 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Florida State -33.5 (-110) at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Jameis Winston is already a household name thanks to his 25-for-27, 356 yard, four touchdown performance on national TV two weeks ago. The crazy thing is that people that know what he can do say they weren't really surprised. News flash: This kid is good. He should feast on a Nevada team that allowed 647 yards and 58 points to UCLA in their opener. The Wolfpack really struggle vs. high-octane offenses. In nine games over the past year with a total set at 63 or more, Nevada is 1-8 ATS. This one should get ugly early. Take Florida State here.

Game: Tennessee at Oregon (Saturday 9/14 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Oregon -27.5 (-110) at Bookmaker (http://wunderdog.com/idevadman/click.php?id=21&action=4) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Chip Kelly may be gone as coach at Oregon, but the Ducks' offense is still making its presence felt. Oregon has not skipped a beat, putting up 125 points in their first two games this season. The most impressive of the two was 59 points at Virginia last week. The Cavaliers are a solid defensive club, but were no match for the fast-paced, high-octane offense of Oregon. Tennessee is in big trouble here, as their offense lost a star QB to graduation, and they simply don't have the firepower to get enough points to even stay close. The Vols' first two games have come against soft touches, and they will be ill prepared to be ready for the speed and power of Oregon. The Ducks enter a perfect 8-0 ATS after rushing for over 200 yards in their previous game, while Tennessee is 0-7-1 ATS following an ATS win, and this is not the place to reverse those numbers. All Oregon in this one.

Game: Washington vs. Illinois (Saturday 9/14 6:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Illinois +10 (-110) at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Illinois lost their last nine games last year and did not break into the win column in Big-10 action all season. They have opened 2-0 this year. Their win over Illinois State was expected, but they also put together their best performance in over a year when they shocked Cincinnati 42-17 at home as an 8-point dog. The Fighting Illini scored 17 points or less in seven of their last eight games, but have become vastly improved. They have put up 42 points in each of their first two games this season. Washington made a statement of their own by taking down Boise State 38-6 in their opener. The question, however, remains - was that a huge win or is Boise State down lower than they have been in over a decade? The answer probably lies somewhere between the two. Regardless, the Illini are flying high while the Huskies could be a bit hungover from their big win. This team is, after all, just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a home blowout win by 28+ points. Illin ois can keep this one close and I think they do. Take the points and play on Illinois.

Game: Kent State at L S U (Saturday 9/14 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on L S U -36.5 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.43)
LSU has always had a strong defensive presence, especially at home. But their first two games have shown an encouraging sign on offense, as they have delivered 93 points. They take on a Kent State team that allowed 41 points to Bowling Green last week. Kent looks to be in a heap of trouble here under the lights in Baton Rouge - one of the most intimidating atmospheres in the country. This may look like a huge number to crack, but consider the fact that since 1989 the Bayou Bengals have gone 20-12-1 ATS when taking on a line of -30 or more. The Golden Flashes have done little in their out-of-conference games where they are 5-15 ATS in their last 20, and often finding themselves over-matched. LSU has ridden the wave of momentum as they are 9-2 ATS when following a win of more than 20 points. This one is a major blowout, so play on LSU.

Game: Western Michigan at Northwestern (Saturday 9/14 9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Northwestern -30 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.95)
Northwestern got a big monkey off their backs a year ago by winning a Bowl Game. This is a program that has risen from the ashes of the Big-10 basement, to have now gone to five straight Bowl Games. They won 10 games last season, and are 16-5 in their last 21, including a 2-0 start this season vs. a pair of BCS Conference teams, putting up nearly 1,000 yards of offense in the process. Make no mistake - this team has arrived. This will be their first cupcake, and Northwestern just isn't the type of team to let up. As a result, they could find themselves covering by halftime. Western Michigan has lost a lot from a year ago, and are going to struggle this season in the MAC, let alone playing a team that could find itself in the top 10 by season's end. The Broncos have been over-matched in the Big-10 where they own a sour 2-8 ATS mark in their last 10. Northwestern is a cover machine at 17-4 ATS in their last 21, including 11-0 ATS after gaining 450+ yards. Under Pat Fitzgerald, the Cats know how to use momentum as this team is 13-5 ATS after back-to-back ATS wins. Go with the Wildcats.

Game: Texas San Antonio at Arizona (Saturday 9/14 10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Arizona -24.5 (-110) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
The Texas San Antonio Roadrunners played Oklahoma State to a 21-point game on the road last week as a 33.5 point underdog. But, the Cowboys are not the team they were the last few years. The Wildcats have it going on both sides of the ball, and have won their first two games by a total of 80 points, and this one does not look to be much different. Arizona has a punishing running attack which has ground-out 730 yards in two games. And, UTSA simply does not have the team speed or depth to handle it. Oklahoma State put up 610 yards on them last week, and Arizona is going to put up similar numbers. The difference here is that the Wildcats have a stronger defense, so the distance between these teams is going to show up early and often - especially on the scoreboard. An offense in motion tends to stay in motion in college football, and Arizona has covered four straight after topping the 40-point mark. Play on Arizona in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
7* central florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game day
5 arizona state
4 georgia tech

FYI:

Gameday 5* ppd due to line change.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

mike rosen

rice -6 1/12
louisville -13 1/2
auburn -6
bama -7
stanford-29
maryland -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin

50 Dime

Oregon -28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

SATURDAY, September 14, 2013

College Football -- 10:00 pm ET
3 Units (MAX BET)
[192] UNLV -7.5

Central Michigan got blasted by 50 points at Michigan in their opener (lost
QB Cody Kater & RB Zurlon Tipton to injuries), then struggled to beat New
Hampshire last weekend. Now they travel west off that narrow home win
against an inferior opponent & have to play against a UNLV team that has
more talent & will be very hungry coming off a pair of embarrassing losses
to start their season. The Rebels went into Minnesota in their opener & got
drilled by a Gophers team that was out to prove that the close game they
played the season prior was a fluke. But that final score was misleading as
UNLV gave up TDs on an interception return, blocked FG return & a kickoff
return. The Rebels were simply outclassed last weekend in their home opener
against Arizona. Now at 0-2 & off a pair of embarrassing defeats, I expect
the Rebels to go all-out for the full 60 minutes and take their frustration
out on an inferior Central Michigan team. I have the Rebels winning this
one by 20, making UNLV a 3-Unit MAX BET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner

3* gom uconn
2* vandy
2* mayweather
2* matthysee Said u can par the boxers for about even money

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports Smart Money Moves

western kentucky
central florida
mississippi
louisville (second half)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Boss

North Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass Report-Final:
100 Maryland
100 Utah
100 OVER Ohio State
100 UNDER UMass
200 Arizona state
600 Western Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS BANK
500 VANDERBILT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

double play sports
over twins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather locks:
5000 arizona st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL's RED-HOT NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH --
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Oregon State, as Utah falls into several of my best 'momentum' systems off their win over Weber St last week (70-7). In that game, Utah piled up 628 yards vs. just 205 for the Wildcats. I look for another huge game for the Utes on Saturday, as home favorites off a game in which they scored 50 or more points, and held their opponent to less than 10 points the previous week are 141-73 ATS since 1980. Oregon State probably wishes it could start its season over. After all, it opened up 2013 with an ignominious loss at home to Eastern Washington (as a 27-point favorite). And for this game, it will have to play without several of its best players, including the starters on the right side of its offensive line. Given that Oregon State's ground game has been dismal this season (2.8 ypr), having to work with a makeshift offensive line definitely won't help matters. That doesn't bode well against a Utah squad which is coming off its best offensive outing since it routed UTEP in 1973, 82-6. Lay the points with the Utes.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GODFATHER LOCKS

CFB

5000* Arizona St.

1000* Central Florida

1000* Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi

W Kentucky
Rice
Marshall
Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Z Money Sports 9/14

S. Florida/FlA under 45 1/2
Maryland -6
Marshall - 7 1/2
Wisconsin/Ariz under 56 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside Sports Report

4* Maryland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

CFB Late Night Top of the Ticket
Oregon St. (-3-) at Utah 10:00 ET FS1
10* Utah -3

Must play this momentum situation as the linemaker has refused to make an adjustment for the divergent ATS starts of these 2 teams. Its not unusual for the Beavers to start slowly under 13th year HC Riley. Last year, was the first time in the last decade that Oregon St. had a greater than .500 ATS record after the first 4 games. This year has reverted to that type of negative start despite 17 RS, 60 lettermen, and a tandem of starting signal callers in Mannion and Vaz. Nonetheless, the Beavs lost opening night as -27 home chalk, 49-46 to E. Wash. who dropped 625 TY on their host. Last week in an obvious bounceback spot on their home field v. outmanned Hawaii , the Beavers could not cover the 26 pt. impost in a 33-14 victory in which they were outrushed 69-57. Thats 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS with a -37 AFP. This bureau expected positive returns under 9th year Utah HC Whittingham. The Utes suffered a rare losing season, at 5-7 SU, 5-6 ATS LY, when they averaged only 324 YPG and allowed 25 PPG. Enter new OC Erickson, aided by former Ute QB Johnson. They have teamed with QB Wilson for a game 1 comeback victory v. a still quality Utah St. team, and a game 2 no let down win v. Weber St. 70-7 in which the Utes put up 628 yards. That is 2-0 SU ATS with a +43 AFP. Yet, nary a move by the linemaker. Riding the Utes till further notice.