9-21-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS

Syracuse -13

Kansas -9

Memphis +7

Maryland -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gaming Today
Mark Mayer
North Texas +33 @ Georgia North Texas
Western Michigan +17 @ Iowa Western Michigan
Wake Forest -3 @ Army Army
Purdue +24½ @ Wisconsin Wisconsin
North Carolina +4½ @ Georgia Tech North Carolina
Utah +7 @ BYU Utah
Arizona State +7½ @ Stanford Arizona State
Colorado State +39½ Alabama Colorado State
Missouri -3 @ Indiana Indiana

Richard Saber
North Carolina +5½ @ Georgia Tech Georgia Tech
Wyoming -2½ @ Air Force Wyoming
Utah +6½ @ BYU BYU
Rice +2½ @ Houston Houston
Kansas State +6½ @ Texas Texas
La-Monroe +27 @ Baylor La-Monroe

Doc’s Sports Service
U Mass +31½
Maryland -5
Texas -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 21
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (9/18)


Game 307-308: North Texas at Georgia (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 76.712; Georgia 106.214
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 29 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Georgia by 33; 67
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+33); Under


Game 309-310: Florida International at Louisville (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 58.433; Louisville 103.193
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 45; 62
Vegas Line: Louisville by 41 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-41 1/2); Over


Game 311-312: Western Michigan at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 72.152; Iowa 86.479
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 14 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Iowa by 17; 50
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+17); Over


Game 313-314: Vanderbilt at Massachusetts (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 95.228; Massachusetts 59.835
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 35 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 32; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-32); Under


Game 315-316: Tennessee at Florida (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 86.561; Florida 106.134
Dunkel Line: Florida by 19 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Florida by 16 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-16 1/2); Over


Game 317-318: Wake Forest at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 71.342; Army 74.174
Dunkel Line: Army by 3; 44
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+3); Under


Game 319-320: Pittsburgh at Duke (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 86.193; Duke 86.228
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+4 1/2); Under


Game 321-322: Michigan at Connecticut (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 106.944; Connecticut 76.810
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 30; 57
Vegas Line: Michigan by 17 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-17 1/2); Over


Game 323-324: Purdue at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 77.608; Wisconsin 104.810
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 27; 44
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 24; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-24); Under


Game 325-326: Ball State at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 78.165; Eastern Michigan 69.621
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 8 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Ball State by 11; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+11); Over


Game 327-328: Kent State at Penn State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 77.775; Penn State 101.800
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 24; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 20; 54
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-20); Under


Game 329-330: Marshall at Virginia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 85.057; Virginia Tech 90.909
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 6; 58
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 9 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+9 1/2); Over


Game 331-332: Cincinnati at Miami (OH) (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 97.151; Miami (OH) 62.816
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 34 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 22; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-22); Under


Game 333-334: North Carolina at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 95.316; Georgia Tech 97.401
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 2; 64
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 6 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+6 1/2); Over


Game 335-336: West Virginia at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 84.502; Maryland 93.740
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 9; 47
Vegas Line: Maryland by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-6); Under


Game 337-338: San Jose State at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 87.246; Minnesota 84.838
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 5; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+5); Over


Game 339-340: Troy at Mississippi State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 78.914; Mississippi State 90.566
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 11 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 14 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+14 1/2); Over


Game 341-342: UL-Monroe at Baylor (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 77.523; Baylor 111.867
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 34 1/2; 70
Vegas Line: Baylor by 28 1/2; 74 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-28 1/2); Under


Game 343-344: Wyoming at Air Force (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 79.416; Air Force 82.848
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 3 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 4; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+4); Over


Game 345-346: Utah at BYU (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 97.446; BYU 94.761
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10; 58
Vegas Line: BYU by 7; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-7); Under


Game 347-348: Hawaii at Nevada (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 68.665; Nevada 84.227
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 15 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Nevada by 10 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-10 1/2); Under


Game 349-350: Utah State at USC (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 99.042; USC 91.784
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 7 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: USC by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+7); Over


Game 351-352: SMU at Texas A&M (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 80.809; Texas A&M 115.742
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 35; 74
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 28; 79 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-28); Under


Game 353-354: Rice vs. Houston (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 86.613; Houston 75.929
Dunkel Line: Rice by 10 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+3); Over


Game 355-356: Michigan State at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 94.267; Notre Dame 97.861
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+7); Over


Game 357-358: Kansas State at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 96.476; Texas 104.139
Dunkel Line: Texas by 7 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas by 4 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-4 1/2); Under


Game 359-360: Arkansas State at Memphis (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 77.014; Memphis 76.140
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+4 1/2); Under


Game 361-362: Louisiana Tech at Kansas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 67.368; Kansas 80.414
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 13; 56
Vegas Line: Kansas by 10; 50
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-10); Over


Game 363-364: Colorado State at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 77.509; Alabama 113.944
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 36 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Alabama by 40; 52
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+40); Under


Game 365-366: Arkansas at Rutgers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 87.616; Rutgers 88.524
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 1; 47
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+1); Over


Game 367-368: Arizona State at Stanford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 100.485; Stanford 110.951
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 10 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-7); Over


Game 369-370: UL-Lafayette at Akron (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 78.789; Akron 75.935
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 3; 58
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 7 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+7 1/2); Under


Game 371-372: Idaho at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 56.890; Washington State 81.750
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 25; 52
Vegas Line: Washington State by 31 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+31 1/2); Under


Game 373-374: Middle Tennessee State at Florida Atlantic (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 73.237; Florida Atlantic 76.088
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 54
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 4 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+4 1/2); Over


Game 375-376: Tulane at Syracuse (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 80.778; Syracuse 91.633
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 11; 51
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 14 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+14 1/2); Under


Game 377-378: Toledo at Central Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 86.364; Central Michigan 67.950
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 18 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Toledo by 13; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-13); Over


Game 379-380: Texas State at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 71.559; Texas Tech 101.036
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 29 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 26 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-26 1/2); Over


Game 381-382: Oregon State at San Diego State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 90.547; San Diego State 90.458
Dunkel Line: Even; 50
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 11; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+11); Under


Game 383-384: Auburn at LSU (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 84.301; LSU 108.892
Dunkel Line: LSU by 24 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: LSU by 17; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-17); Under


Game 385-386: TX-San Antonio at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 74.009; UTEP 71.133
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 3; 63
Vegas Line: Pick; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio; Over


Game 387-388: Missouri at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 92.760; Indiana 94.048
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3; 71
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Under


Game 389-390: New Mexico State at UCLA (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 61.583; UCLA 100.606
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 39; 70
Vegas Line: UCLA by 43; 65
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+43); Over





OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (9/18)


Game 431-432: Jacksonville State at Georgia State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 65.146; Georgia State 51.752
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (-10)


Game 433-434: Savannah State at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savanna State 35.378; Miami (FL) 91.008
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 60
Dunkel Pick: Savannah State (+60)


Game 435-436: Bethune-Cookman at Florida State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 71.162; Florida State 113.731
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 40
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-40)


Game 437-438: Maine at Northwestern (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maine 67.129; Northwestern 100.849
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 28
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-28)


Game 439-440: Florida A&M at Ohio State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida A&M 50.866; Ohio State 106.210
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-49 1/2)


Game 441-442: VMI at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 37.330; Virginia 85.226
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 48
Vegas Line: Virginia by 44
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-44)


Game 443-444: South Dakota State at Nebraska (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 77.187; Nebraska 94.141
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 17
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (+20 1/2)


Game 445-446: Austin Peay at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 42.938; Ohio 80.630
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 30
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-30)


Game 447-448: Northwestern State at UAB (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 56.715; UAB 69.047
Dunkel Line: UAB by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 16
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern State (+16)


Game 449-450: Murray State at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 58.514; Bowling Green 81.958
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 26
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+26)


Game 451-452: Idaho State at Washington (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 38.572; Washington 105.170
Dunkel Line: Washington by 66 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 49
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-49)


Game 453-454: Morgan State at Western Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 40.880; Western Kentucky 70.976
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 30
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (+34 1/2)


Game 455-456: Eastern Illinois at Northern Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 78.197; Northern Illinois 95.052
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 17
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 14
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-14)


Game 457-458: Western Illinois at UNLV (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 57.903; UNLV 67.574
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+12 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

337 San Jose +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sweetjones55
Louisiana Tech/Kansas Under 51.5 Points (x1)
Louisville Cardinals -41.5 (x1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz Saturday Football

Free Pick Football Notre Dame/Michigan St Over 40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

IveyWalters

Double Dime 2% Michigan State +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharps

Western Michigan Broncos at Iowa Hawkeyes

Saturday Noon – Kinnick Stadium

Current Line – Iowa (-16.5)

Let's just start with the fact that Iowa shouldn’t be favored by 16.5 over anyone! This is an improved team with HC Kirk Ferenz, but WMU has had success against Iowa (2-0 SU) and against Big 10 teams. WMU played Northwestern tough last week before falling 38-17 and one concern we have is the turnovers from the QB position as VanTubbergen has 5 picks to only 2 TD’s. Iowa beat their in-state rival Iowa State 27-21 last week and is 2-1 on the season, but we think that WMU has the experience and offense to stay close with Iowa. The challenge for the Broncos will be stopping RB Weisman for Iowa, who is averaging 5.0 yds per carry. If the Broncos can keep the turnovers to a minimum, they will be in this game in the 4th quarter. The Sharps say…

The FREE Sharps Play is 2 UNITS ON….Western Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2

San Jose St +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CFB SMU at TEXAS A&M

Play On - Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (TEXAS A&M) quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

CFB LA LAFAYETTE at AKRON

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game
146-83 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.8% 0.0 units )

CFB ARKANSAS at RUTGERS

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 off a home win by 17 points or more, in the first month of the season
89-45 over the last 10 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% -1.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

power sweep

ncaafb:
4* kansas
3* houston
3* wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLBettingPicks

Kevin

CFB week 4 picks

We're looking for our first big week with our college football system picks. It has been a tough start, but it's a long season. Things should turn around soon.


Sat Sept 21st - San Jose State @ Minnesota - [338] MINNESOTA -4.5 (-102)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.96 units)


Sat Sept 21st - Oregon State vs San Diego State - [382] SAN DIEGO STATE +10.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)


Sat Sept 21st - Wyoming @ Air Force - [343] WYOMING -4 (-108)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

Early Bird CFB False Favorite Best Bet

2* San Jose St +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine College Week 4

Between 57 and 60 are considered normal plays

386 UTSA +1
362 Kansas -10
354 Rice +3
381 Oregon State -11
388 Indiana +4
337 SJSU +5
343 Wyoming -4
326 E. Michigan +10.5

Totals
338 SJSU under 51
346 Utah under 61.5
326 Ball State over 55
380 Texas state over 58.5
328 Kent State under 54
352 SMU under 79.5
374 MTS over 47.5
362 La Tech over 49.5

lock is UTSA +1 (they have UTSA winning by 7.9)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob

3* Georgia Tech

2* Penn State

2* Maryland

Strong Opinions
Georgia
Washington State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Points:
NCAA BEST: San Jose St, Syracuse (said 14-3 college picks)
Preferred: Wyoming, Toledo, San Diego St., LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan
Triple Star on Missouri -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard | CFB SideSat, 09/21/13 - 12:20 PM *†
double-dime bet
307 North Texas 33.0 (-110) Hilton vs 308 GeorgiaAnalysis: 307 North Texas at GeorgiaInspiring come from behind victory last week for the Mean Green who used the southern heat to their advantage in the second half against Ball state. Now sitting at 2-1 on the season without being beat up by superior competition, this Dan McCarney squad could be a surprise money maker for backers the rest of the way. Since McCarney took over the program in 2011 the Mean Green have been road underdogs at BCS programs three times, cashing each game. As a 27 1/2 point dog to #15 ranked Kansas State they easily covered 35-21. As a 44 point underdog at #3 LSU North Texas lost 41-14, another easy spread cover. In 2011 they played at #2 Alabama and easily covered the spread without scoring a point in a 41-0 defeat. That's three covers against ranked opposition by pointspread margins of 13 1/2, 17 and 6. North Texas won't fall victim to the Georgia heat here and with a bye on deck the Bulldogs get their full attention.
Georgia is coming off a bye but with this game sandwiched between Clemson, South Carolina and LSU we can see the Bulldogs using that extra prep time for the Tigers next week. Last year Georgia was a home favorite of 30 or more three times, failing to cover the number in each game by margins of 4 1/2, 5 1/2 and 15 points. Mark Richt hasn't distinguished himself in the home favorite role overall or hosting non-conference opposition. Georgia has permitted 34 ppg against Clemson and South Carolina along with allowing 5.2 yards per carry on the ground, North Texas has the ability to move the football here. With only LSU and Florida left on the schedule to boost the Bulldogs in the polls, we fully expect Georgia to overlook the Mean Green.
PLAY NORTH TEXAS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Factsman Saturday:
Wake Forest / Army Over 48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's

4 Unit Play. #26/#314 Take UMASS Minutemen +32.5 over Vanderbilt Commodores (Saturday 12 pm ESPNNEWS) We used the Minutemen last week on the road in a hostile environment in Manhattan and will ride them again this week at home against Vanderbilt. UMASS has a decent defense, relatively speaking, and playing at home will allow their offense to move the football a little bit and enough to keep this game under a 30-point deficit. The Commodes are coming off a hard loss to South Carolina last Saturday. In this game they were down big early but made it only a 10-point game in the second half. I do not expect them to be pumped for this game, and thus they will just go through the motions and win this game by 21-25 points. Vanderbilt allowed 284 yards passing and three touchdowns to a so-so South Carolina passing attack, and I believe that UMASS will put up the highest point total of the season thus far. The SEC is overrated, and we will go against the conference again in this nonconference game.

4 Unit Play. #78/#322 Take Connecticut Huskies +18 over Michigan Wolverines (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Yes Michigan had their look ahead performance last Saturday against Akron coming off a big victory over Notre Dame the previous week. But that being said, I just do not believe that Michigan is good enough to be laying this many points on the road to a BCS Conference team (Yes the AAC is a BCS Conference). UCONN is terrible on offense, but they do have a decent defense and thus I see Michigan winning this game by 10-14 points. Michigan has holes and UCONN will find a few of them to keep this game somewhat respectable.

4 Unit Play. #16/#336 Take Maryland Terrapins -4.5 over West Virginia Mountaineers (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN U) We used Maryland as our big play last week and won the game despite a terrible performance on offense. Even though Maryland moved the football at will against a strong UCONN defense, they were just bitten by the turnover bug. This team put up over 500 yards of offense but had 3 turnovers and was just 4 for 15 on third-down conversions and 0-2 on fourth-down conversions. If they can clean up these things, they will pound West Virginia, a team that is in complete rebuilding mode. Maryland players are sky high at the moment as they are 3-0, and this is a must win game for them to keep their magical ride going. West Virginia is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against ACC teams. Maryland is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Maryland wins this game by double digits in Baltimore.

5 Unit Play. #31/#343 Take Wyoming Cowboys -5 over Air Force Falcons (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN U) Top College Play of the Weekend. Much like our top play last week, revenge will be served on the field as we side with the more balanced team on Saturday night in Colorado Springs, CO. Coach Christensen was upset at how the game ended last year, a 28-27 victory for Air Force, and you can be sure his team will be ready to make a statement on Saturday night. But this play just comes down to Air Force not being able to stop the passing attack. They have no pass rush whatsoever, having accumulated just 1 sack on the season. Boise State and Utah State just picked this team apart, with QB Southwick going 27 for 29 and Chuckie Keaton going 32 for 40 with 5 touchdowns. Bad weather kept the Falcons closer to the Broncos last week, but we have a short number to work with backing the road favorite tonight. Wyoming is completing 63% of their passes and throwing for over 316 yards in just three games, and one of them came against Nebraska, a team expected to challenge for the Big Ten title. Wyoming is up-and-coming team that will be bowl eligible this season. They have covered 4 straight against the Falcons and will win this game by double digits. Wyoming is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games. Air Force really fell apart last year toward the end of the season, and they are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Air Force goes down tonight in Colorado Springs.

4 Unit Play. #44/#356 Take Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4.5 over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 3:30 pm NBC) Michigan State has been the side to play in this series over the years. However, the Irish have pounded the Spartans the last two years. That includes a 20-3 victory in East Lansing last year despite Notre Dame being a 6-point underdog. Michigan State did not have an offense last year but did have a really good defense. I just do not see the Spartans being that improved on offense this year to threaten the suspect Irish defense. Notre Dame can score points, and I just do not believe that Michigan State will be able to keep pace with them. Michigan State is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. The Irish shut down the Spartans offense, take care of the football, and win this game comfortably.

4 Unit Play. #64/#374 Take Florida Atlantic Owls +3.5 over Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (Saturday 12 pm) This is a battle of two teams not expected to challenge in Conference USA, and thus we will side with the home underdog. This will be FAU's only home game in their first six games this season, and thus expect the home crowd to be behind them in a big way. They picked up a surprising victory against USF last week, and they have a strong defense that returns most of their talent from 2012. They have not been giving up big numbers on the road, with opposing teams scoring just 25 points per game. Expect that number to go down since they are at home this week. MTSU has not looked that impressive thus far in 2013 despite a strong offense as they got pounded by North Carolina and struggled to beat a terrible Memphis team at home last Saturday. MTSU is 3-7 ATS in their 10 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. FAU is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

4 Unit Play. #18/#376 Take Syracuse Orange -16 over Tulane Green Wave (Saturday 12:30 pm ESPN 3) The Orange are ready to pound another mid-major, a team that has a familiar name at quarterback in Nick Montana (son on Joe Montana). Syracuse appears to have a much more potent offense since they made a quarterback change to Terrel Hunt as he threw three touchdowns against Wagner last week. Tulane is better than in year's past, but they are still a bottom-feeder team in a bad conference. Syracuse showed signs against both Penn State and Northwestern and dominated last week against a lesser opponent. Tulane has lost 11 of their last 12 road games. Tulane is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a victory in their previous game. Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate

Early Top CFB Release

Marshall +9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

3* Under Arkansas State
3* Memphis
3* Wyoming

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Early Bird - Cincinnati -21

Underdog POW - Duke +4

4'* Power Play - Hawaii +11.5

Economy Club - Penn St. -20.5

Big Dog - San Diego St. +11 +365 ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

9* CFB Customer Special
Southern Methodist vs. Texas A&M
Point Spread: +29/-110 Southern Methodist

9* CFB Customer Special
Texas State vs. Texas Tech
Point Spread: +27½/-110 Texas State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phil Steele ESPN Insider

Each week during the 2013 college football season, I will offer up my picks and scores for the biggest games in addition to a handful of other key matchups.

Week 3 is in the books and my picks went 7-2, giving me an overall record of 19-8.

While this week's slate of games looks like a bit of a letdown after last week's Alabama-Texas A&M thriller, there are some intriguing conference matchups along with some longtime nonconference rivals squaring off. I tried to find games that could offer a lot of split opinions.

No. 23 Arizona State Sun Devils at No. 5 Stanford Cardinal
Saturday at 7 p.m. ET
This week's only game involving two ranked teams takes place in the Pac-12 as the Sun Devils, fresh off a controversial 32-30 win over then-No. 20 Wisconsin, travel to take on the defending Pac-12 champion Cardinal, who are off to a 2-0 start after last week's 34-20 win over Army.

These two conference foes have not met since 2010, but Stanford is going for three straight wins in the series for only the second time (1999-2001).

Insider PickCenter
PickCenter Wondering which side to take? Check out PickCenter and do your research before making that critical decision.
PickCenter

After two wins over overmatched foes in San Jose State and Army, this will be the first legitimate test for the Cardinal. Last week's relatively close game can be excused when you consider the Cardinal were traveling across the country, playing at 9 a.m. PT time. Plus, Stanford had to face Army's option offense.


Quarterback Kevin Hogan is now a perfect 7-0 as a starter, and last year had four wins over ranked teams. On the other side, prior to last week's win over the Badgers, the Sun Devils' only win in the Todd Graham era over a team with a winning record came in last year's bowl game over Navy.

This will be the best defense that the Sun Devils have faced in two years. On the other side, I look for the Cardinal's excellent offensive line to wear down a relatively undersized Arizona State front seven that allowed 231 rush yards last week.

Pick: Stanford 31, Arizona State 20

Michigan State Spartans at No. 22 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
After going just 3-9 against the Spartans from 1997-2008, the Fighting Irish have now won three of the past four games over MSU, including two straight for the first time since 1993-1994. Last year's 20-3 win also ended Michigan State's 15-game home winning streak.

Last week, the Irish were in a flat spot against Purdue and found themselves down 17-10 into the fourth quarter before they scored three touchdowns in a span of 3:30 to make it 31-17. Quarterback Tommy Rees has thrown for more than 300 yards in all three games this year, but the Irish's ground game has averaged just 94 yards per game (YPG) the past two weeks. It will not get any easier for the Irish this week as they go up against a Spartans D that ranks No. 1 in the country in total defense, allowing just 177 YPG, albeit against poor competition.

On the other side, the Notre Dame defense has been a disappointment but will face a Michigan State offense that had struggled mightily prior to last week's 55-17 win over Youngstown State. After throwing four touchdown passes in Week 3, MSU quarterback Connor Cook will be making his first career road start in South Bend, where the Irish have won nine straight home games, their longest streak since 1997-1999.

Nine of the past 13 meetings between these teams have been decided by single digits, and I expect more of the same Saturday with the Irish winning their third straight.

Pick: Notre Dame 23, Michigan State 17

Auburn Tigers at No. 6 LSU Tigers
Saturday at 7:45 p.m. ET, ESPN
Both teams come in a perfect 3-0. Last week Auburn capped off an 88-yard drive with a touchdown pass with 10 seconds left to beat Mississippi State 24-20. Quarterback Nick Marshall continues to improve each week and connected on 6 of 8 passes on the game-winning drive. However, he will be making his first career road start in one of college football's toughest settings: a night game at Death Valley.

LSU QB Zach Mettenberger continues an impressive season to date under the tutelage of new offensive coordinator Cam Cameron. He has completed 66 percent of his passes the past two weeks (albeit against UAB and Kent State), and has a 9-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the season.

While LSU does have a huge game against Georgia on deck, you have to think Auburn left it all on the table last week and will have no answer for an LSU attack that features a one-two punch at wide receiver in Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham, who are averaging a combined 316 all-purpose YPG this year.

Pick: LSU 38, Auburn 21

Tennessee Volunteers at No. 19 Florida Gators
Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
The Gators have won eight in a row in this series by an average of 16 points. Last year, Tennessee led 14-10 at halftime, but Florida, true to form in the Will Muschamp era, made adjustments at the break and outgained the Vols in yardage to the tune of 399-109 in the second half in its 37-20 win.

Jeff Driskel
Kevin Liles/US PRESSWIRE
Jeff Driskel and the Gators are looking to bounce back after losing to Miami in Week 2.
This year, Florida comes in off a bye after a disappointing 21-16 loss to Miami. The Gators had a 22-10 first-down advantage and 413-212 yard edge in the game, but inefficiency in the red zone was the issue as they had two turnovers and also were stopped on downs. Quarterback Jeff Driskel threw for a career-high 291 yards but now has 12 turnovers in his past seven starts. On the bright side, the Gators defense ranks among the best in the country despite returning only three starters from last year.

Tennessee comes in off its worst loss since 1910; after leading Oregon 7-0 early, it was all downhill from there in the Vols' 59-14 loss to the Ducks. Quarterback Justin Worley, despite having a 5-1 TD-INT ratio, is averaging just 124 YPG and the Vols overall are getting outgained by 49 YPG.

Look for the Gators to shut down the Volunteers offense and, as long as Florida can clean up the turnovers in the red zone on offense, it should come away with a two-touchdown win.

Pick: Florida 30, Tennessee 16

Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs
Friday at 9 p.m. ET, ESPN
The Broncos have dominated this series, winning seven straight games and, prior to last year's 20-10 win, had won the previous four games by an incredible 42 PPG.

Boise State has piled up 28 wins in its past 31 road games, but it was steamrolled at Washington earlier this year 38-6 and will be facing a Fresno State team that is a perfect 8-0 at home under coach Tim DeRuyter. The Broncos have won two straight games since that disappointing opener, and last week quarterback Joe Southwick had the highest passing efficiency total in Broncos history after completing 27 of 29 passes.

Southwick's counterpart, Derek Carr, is averaging 331 passing yards with an 8-1 TD-INT ratio as the Bulldogs have not played a game in two weeks because of the postponement of the Colorado game.

In my preseason College Football Preview, I picked Fresno State as my top non-AQ team and a win here will further validate that prediction. Look for the Bulldogs to finally end their series losing streak, but they may have to see the Broncos again here in the inaugural Mountain West championship game in December.

Pick: Fresno State 38, Boise State 34

Quick hitters
Utah State Aggies at USC Trojans
Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN 2
Utah State quarterback Chuckie Keeton deserves Heisman consideration as he is averaging 308 pass YPG to go with a 12-1 TD-INT ratio. However, he will be facing a USC defense that is allowing just 212 YPG and 10 PPG this year. Last week, the Trojans offense finally kicked into gear as quarterback Cody Kessler completed 15 of 17 passes for 237 yards. In the end, the Trojans get their second straight win before a showdown with Arizona State next week.

Pick: USC 30, Utah State 20

Arkansas Razorbacks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Arkansas is off to a 3-0 start under new coach Bret Bielema and its offense looks much like Wisconsin's in recent years as running backs Jonathan Williams and Alex Collins have each topped 100 yards in the first three games. While both Arkansas QB Brandon Allen and Rutgers signal-caller Gary Nova were hurt in last week's games and are questionable this week, I think the Hogs have the better supporting cast and will move to 4-0.

Pick: Arkansas 24, Rutgers 18

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Longhorns
Saturday at 8 p.m. ET, ABC
I had extremely high expectations for Texas this season but clearly the Horns have disappointed. They come in reeling after back-to-back losses and now face a Kansas State team that has beaten them five straight times despite the Wildcats getting outgained in all five of those games by an average of 96 yards. Sooner or later, the Horns will play up to their talent level. Plus, earlier this week Gary "the Gut" Galante went with Texas and I always stick with "the Gut."

Pick: Texas 34, Kansas State 28

Utah Utes at Brigham Young Cougars
Saturday at 10:15 p.m. ET, ESPN 2
Utah and BYU have been playing the "Holy War" since 1896, but this is just one of many longtime rivalries that looks to be going by the wayside because of conference realignment. The Utes have now beaten the Cougars three straight years; however, this year BYU has the situational edge coming off a bye week after its impressive win over Texas while Utah comes in off a tough overtime loss to Oregon State. The Cougars get revenge and bragging rights until they meet again in 2016.

Pick: BYU 34, Utah 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges

NCAA
Double Plays
· Auburn +17 vs LSU

Single Plays
· Syracuse -16 vs Tulane
· Washington St.-31 vs Idaho
· Michigan -18 vs UConn
· Maryland -5 vs West Virginia
· Utah +6 vs BYU
· Kansas -10.5 vs LaTech
· San Diego St. +9 vs Oregon St
· Florida Atlantic +3.5 vs Middle Tennessee
· Indiana pick vs Missouri
· Hawaii +9 vs Nevada
· North Texas +33 vs Georgia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JIM FEIST

GAME OF THE YEAR WINNER'S CIRCLE EARLY!
9/21 3:30 PM EST CF (335) WEST VIRGINIA VS (336) MARYLAND
Take: (336) Non-Conference Game of the Year: Maryland.
Maryland is on a 5-0 ATS run, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Randy Edsall can coach, with his Maryland team now 3-0. The offense has been great, 40.7 points per game with exceptional balance, including 262 yards rushing per contest (21st in the nation). Senior QB C.J. Brown (6 TDs, 1 INT) leads an attack that returns 7 starters, including 3 on the offensive line. They take on a West Virginia team (2-1) that has problems on both sides of the ball. They were awful on defense last season and allowed 435 yards to Oklahoma despite losing only 16-7. And the offense has been in transition, 4 TOs in that game, and Coach Dana Holgorsen has rotated QBs Paul Millard and freshman Ford Childress, the latter who is now starting after playing in only 1 game. After torching defenses the last two years, they are averaging just 24 ppg. The Mountaineers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. the ACC and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Terrapins hold all the cards.
Play Maryland!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

College Football Plays

4-Unit Play. #375 Take Tulane (+16) over Syracuse (12:30 p.m., Saturday, September 21)
I like this Tulane team. We backed them in their lone loss to a surprising South Alabama team in a close loss. Here, despite the heavy underdog label, I think the points will be good. The Green Wave have the offensive punch to score enough points against the Orange to not only cover but also compete for an outright victory. I can't remember Syracuse being this big a favorite over a team that wasn't a complete cupcake. Well, I can tell you Tulane is no walkover and I feel good about the points and the dog in this match-up. Outside of a 52-0 win over a horrible Wager team, Syracuse has lost its only two games this season, and I don't think they should be this big of chalk. Grab the points and the small conference team in this match-up.

4-Unit Play. #336 Take Maryland (-4.5) over West Virginia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 21)
Equal parts fade the Mountaineers and back the home Terps. I basically think this WVU squad is nothing to write home about. Graduating Geno Smith will catch up with them sooner than they will get over not having their do-it-all quarterback from a season ago. Maryland has some nice momentum with a 3-0 start and get a modest home line if I can say so as well. West Virginia has won each of the past three games in College Park, however this season the Terps are the better team. I was assuming this line would be around a touchdown in favor of the home team, so it's a value pick of sorts. Let's go with Maryland to continue their strong start to their 2013 season.

4-Unit Play. #387 Take Missouri (-1) over Indiana (8 p.m., Saturday, September 21)
It's all well and good for the Hoosiers to put up points in bulk against the likes of Indiana State, Navy and Bowling Green. However the SEC's Mizzou is a whole different opponent. Granted the Tigers aren't a legit Top Ten team or anything, however I think Missouri is in a class well beyond Indiana. I see this being another 30-point performance by Mizzou's high tempo offense as well as a win and a cover. Not trying to think too much on this one because I think Missouri is clearly the pick here. Go with the SEC over the Big Ten.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt youmans colo st.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

CFB Game: Louisiana Monroe at Baylor (Saturday 9/21 4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baylor -29 (-110)

Before RGIII put the Baylor Bears on the map, they had trouble getting the type of athletes to compete in the rugged Big-12. That has all changed now. Upon his departure, most thought the offense would leave with him but Nick Florence had something to say about that. Last year he led the Bears' offense to more yards and more points per game than RGIII di. That shows the fact that the Bears are now getting better athletes. It is now Bryce Petty's turn and all he has done is throw for an unthinkable 16.3 yards per attempt, as the Bears are running and passing to even greater heights. UL Monroe scored 0 at Oklahoma and just 21 points at Wake Forest. They will be hard pressed to produce enough to even make this remotely close. They had a good team last year and gave Baylor fits at home, but the Bears won't be caught off guard this time, and they have them in their house this time. This one looks like a colossal blowout. The Bears are 20-8 ATS in all games the past three seasons including 13-2 ATS at home and 10-1 ATS at home with a total set at 63 or higher. Under head coach Art Briles, Baylor is 19-8 ATS as a favorite and 11-3 ATS in expected shootouts (games with totals set at 63 or higher). Lay the points with Baylor.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate Top CFB Plays

2 Early CFB Top Plays Released Mid-Week
San Jose State +4
USC -6.5

Adds
Baylor/UL Monroe Over 75
Wyoming -4
BYU -6.5
Over Hawaii
Houston -2.5
Stanford/Arizona St Over 52.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate Top CFB plays

Early Top CFB Releasen Mid-Week
Marshall +9.5

CFB Game of the Month - Missouri (moneyline)

Adds
Army +3
Michigan -18.5
Troy/Mississippi St Over 60
UL Lafayette -6
Tulane +17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

3* Wyoming-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Saturday Edge -
GoSooners (http://www.saturdayedge.com/13949/gosooners-2013-cfb-picks-week-4/)
342 Baylor -29 (1 unit)
353 Rice +3 (1 unit)
350 USC -6.5 (1 unit)
333 North Carolina +6.5 (1 unit)
Maggiore

Pezgordo (http://www.saturdayedge.com/13862/pezgordo-2013-cfb-picks-week-4/)
345 Utah +7 (1 unit) & .25 units ML (225)
350 USC -6.5 (1 unit)
367 ASU – 368 Stanford UNDER 51 (1.5 units)
6 – Team ML Parlay -102 (1 unit)
SabertStxVii
303 Clemson -13.5 (2 units) – LOSER
336 Maryland -4 (3 units)
315 Tennessee +17 (2.5 units)
321 Michigan -17.5 (3.5 units)
324 Wisconsin -23.5 (1.5 units)
362 Kansas -10 (1 unit)
307 North Texas +33 (1 unit)
Trentmoney (http://www.saturdayedge.com/13638/trentmoney-2013-cfb-picks-week-4/)
[COLOR=#0F0C0C][FONT=Verdana]383 Auburn – 384 LSU OVER 55 (3 units)
384 LSU -17 (2 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling with Paramount sports
The Florida gators -16
The auburn tigers +17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff White

Ga tech -5.5
Maryland -4
San Jose st +4
Michigan st +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sweetjones55
Louisiana Tech/Kansas Under 51.5 Points (x1)
Louisville Cardinals -41.5 (x1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action

We give a quick look at all of Saturday's Top 25 afternoon betting action from Week 4 of the college football schedule:

Florida International Golden Panthers at Louisville Cardinals (-43, 56.5)

Louisville will try to avoid a letdown Saturday at home when it hosts Florida International, a team that has given the Cardinals fits the last two years. Louisville is coming off a 27-13 victory at Kentucky in its first road game last Saturday, which vaulted the Cardinals to the No. 6 spot in the country. Teddy Bridgewater threw for 250 yards and a touchdown as Louisville won for the 14th time in its last 16 games.

The Golden Panthers had two turnovers and committed seven penalties in a 34-13 loss at home to Bethune-Cookman last weekend. More notable was the fact that they were outgained on the ground by a 311-73 margin, which does not bode well against a Louisville rushing attack that found its groove at Kentucky. Sophomore quarterback Jake Medlock threw for a season-high 149 yards and had his first passing touchdown in the loss.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 13 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Louisville opened as a 42-point favorite and is currently -43. The total has held firm at 56.5.
TRENDS:

* The Golden Panthers are 0-6 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
* The Cardinals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 versus CUSA.
* The Under is 5-1 in the Cardinals last six games overall.

Florida A&M Rattlers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-50)

The Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference representatives will be hard-pressed to keep pace with the explosive Buckeyes after mustering just nine first downs and 219 yards of total offense last week. Junior Damien Fleming has struggled mightily, throwing five interceptions while rolling up only 383 yards this season. Florida A&M has scored 54 points combined in its three games this season, which sits just nine better than Ohio State's average.

Ohio State anticipates the return of Heisman Trophy candidate Braxton Miller on Saturday to conclude the non-conference portion of its schedule. Sidelined with a sprained knee ligament, Miller expects to get the kinks out on Saturday afternoon as the third-ranked Buckeyes tune up for Big Ten play by hosting FCS representative Florida A&M. Senior quarterback Kenny Guiton didn't miss a beat last week as he threw for four touchdowns - including a school-record 90-yard scoring strike to Devin Smith on the team's second offensive play - in Ohio State's 52-34 triumph over California last week.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s and a 56 percent chance of rain is in the forecast.
LINE: Ohio State opened as a 50.5-point favorite and is currently -50.
TRENDS:

* Rattlers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* Rattlers are 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games.

North Texas Mean Green at Georgia Bulldogs (-33.5, 67)

The Mean Green battled back from a 27-9 second-quarter deficit to earn a 34-27 win over Ball State last week behind a pounding running attack that churned out 231 yards. Quarterback Derek Thompson is part of that running game and led North Texas to 1,395 yards of total offense - the most for the school in its first three games since 1951. The Mean Green are getting plenty of help from their defense, which forced 11 turnovers in the first three contests.

The Bulldogs remade much of their defense in the offseason and believe they once again can return to an elite level on that side of the ball. While the defense gets settled, the offense has the ability to keep the team in the win column behind Aaron Murray, who threw for four touchdowns in a 41-30 victory over South Carolina on Sept. 7, and running back Todd Gurley.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 96 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.
LINE: Georgia opened as a 31.5-point favorite and is currently -33.5. The total opened at 67.
TRENDS:

* Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week.
* Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 9-3 in Bulldogs last 12 home games.

Idaho State Bengals at Washington Huskies (-49)

The Bengals rolled up the yardage against the two Division II opponents with junior quarterback Justin Arias (868 yards) topping 400 yards in each game and senior receiver Cameron Richmond making a combined 21 receptions for 301 yards. Arias is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for four touchdowns but will be hard-pressed to come close to a high-yardage output against a Pac-12 defense. They have lost 18 consecutive games against FBS opponents.

Huskies tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins had just three receptions for eight yards against the Fighting Illini after missing the opener due to a suspension, while sophomore wideout Jaydon Mickens has been highly productive in the first two games with 17 receptions. Junior defensive end Josh Shirley has three sacks, while junior middle linebacker John Timu (team-high 18 tackles) is questionable after bruising his right rotator cuff against Illinois.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 58 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Washington opened as a 49-point favorite.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Bengals last four road games.
* Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Bengals last four non-conference games.

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5, 42)

Spartans QB Connor Cook threw for four first-half touchdowns and 202 yards overall to seize the starting job. Running back Jeremy Langford has scored four touchdowns and is averaging 4.5 yards per carry but coach Mark Dantonio termed him a player that can "pop a big one." Still, the onus will fall on Michigan State's defense, which ranks fifth nationally with an average of 126.7 passing yards against but has yet to face a high-powered offense.

Tommy Rees threw two scoring passes to DaVaris Daniels during a 21-point blitz in a span of 3 1/2 minutes against Purdue and can become the first Notre Dame QB to open a season with four consecutive 300-yard games. The more pressing concern for the Irish is plugging the holes in a defense that has surrendered 65 points in the last two games - one fewer than it allowed in the first seven contests last season.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s and wind will blow at 12 mph toward the south end zone.
LINE: Notre Dame opened as a 6.5-point favorite with the line now -5. The total opened at 40.5 and is up to 42.
TRENDS:

* Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Notre Dame.
* Road team is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

Maine Black Bears at Northwestern Wildcats (-28)

The Black Bears, from the FCS Colonial Athletic Association, knocked off an FBS school in Massachusetts already this season and displayed a tight defense in their two road victories. That defense needs to find a way to contain the Wildcats’ running game, which is piling up an average of 249 yards. That ground game is supplemented by a two-quarterback system featuring Trevor Siemian and Kain Colter, who is also one of the team’s most effective runners.

Northwestern is getting used to strong starts under coach Pat Fitzgerald and 2013 is no exception. The 16th-ranked Wildcats are averaging over 500 yards of offense and already own wins over a pair of major-conference opponents as they gear up for the start of Big Ten play. Northwestern will get one more chance to pad its record before diving into the heart of the Big Ten when it hosts Maine on Saturday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s and wind will blow toward the south end zone at 10 mph.
LINE: Northwestern opened as a 28-point home favorite.
TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
* Wildcats are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (-16.5, 47)

The Volunteers have put up solid numbers on the ground - mostly in their first two contests - with running back Rajion Neal (257 rushing yards, 4 TDs) leading the way, but the passing game has left something to be desired. In fact, offensive coordinator Mike Bajakian told reporters Wednesday that junior quarterback Justin Worley is competing with freshmen Nathan Peterman, Joshua Dobbs and Riley Ferguson and "the process could go all the way into pregame warm-ups."

Florida ranks third in the nation in total defense (208.5 yards per game), but the offense was plagued by five turnovers against Miami. Quarterback Jeff Driskel's inconsistency has been emblematic of the Florida offense, as the junior passed for a career-high 291 yards against the Hurricanes but also threw two interceptions and lost a fumble.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with partly cloudy skies and a 19 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Florida opened as a 14.5-point favorite and is currently -16.5 The total opened at 47.
TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Volunteers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week.

UL Monroe Warhawks at Baylor Bears (-30, 75.5)

Baylor held on to beat the host Warhawks in last year’s meeting 47-42 and Louisiana-Monroe returns Kolton Browning at quarterback. He was named Sun Belt Conference Offensive Player of the Week after throwing for 315 yards and three touchdowns last weekend in a 21-19 victory at Wake Forest.

Baylor has outscored its first two opponents by a combined total of 139-16, so quarterback Bryce Petty hasn’t logged many second-half minutes. Still, he has connected on a nation-leading 80 percent of his passes and contributed four touchdowns through the air without an interception. Baylor running back Lache Seastrunk had just one carry when these teams last met, but has since reeled off six straight 100-yard games dating to last season.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow across the field at 9 mph.
LINE: Baylor opened as a 27-point favorite and is currently -30. The total opened at 74.5 and is up to 75.5.
TRENDS:

* Warhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.
* Over is 6-0 in Bears last six games in September.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Saturday: What bettors need to know

Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-8, 52.5)

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are used to playing home games away from home this season, but they will travel a lot further than Guelph on Saturday when they host the Montreal Alouettes in Moncton. The Tiger-Cats have been playing home games at the University of Guelph’s Alumni Stadium while Tim Hortons Field is built in Hamilton, making them the perfect team to host the third regular-season game to be played in the Maritime town. Moncton could be a prime candidate for future expansion.

Montreal could use a change of scenery since the team appears to have lost any momentum gained from Tanner Marsh’s comeback victory over the BC Lions. The Alouettes have dropped two straight games and Marsh was replaced by Josh Neiswander after a lacklustre first half against BC last week. Veteran quarterback Anthony Calvillo is likely out for the rest of the season, meaning either Marsh or Neiswander will need to seize the starting role if Montreal is to make a playoff run.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (4-7): Quarterback Troy Smith also took a couple snaps last week as general manager/head coach Jim Popp searches for a solution under center. Smith signed with Montreal in August and is still adjusting to the CFL after failed attempts to crack the rosters of three NFL teams. Uncertainty at quarterback is an unusual situation for the Alouettes, who had two starters - Tracy Ham and Calvillo - since 2006. “We heard a lot of complaining about not seeing anybody else,” Popp said. “Now you're seeing other people and there's complaining that you're seeing three quarterbacks in a game. You're never going to make everybody happy. We're trying to give these guys a chance - to see what they can do.''

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (5-6): Quarterback Henry Burris leads the league in passing yards by a substantial margin, recording 3,589 - 802 more than any other quarterback - as he tries to top his career-best total of 5,367 set last season. Eight hundred of those passing yards have been to wide receiver Greg Ellingson, who has six touchdown catches. Running back C.J. Gable surpassed 400 rushing yards after dealing with injuries to start the season. Linebacker Jamall Johnson leads the team with 42 tackles and has three sacks.

TRENDS:

* Tiger-Cats are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Under is 8-2 in Alouettes last 10 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 6-1 in Tiger-Cats last seven home games.
* Alouettes are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The last time the Tiger-Cats played in Moncton - 2011 - Burris was a member of the Calgary Stampeders, who lost 55-34 to Hamilton in that game.

2. Montreal LB Chip Cox leads the league with 78 tackles.

3. Burris surpassed 50,000 career passing yards last week.


Toronto Argonauts at Calgary Stampeders (-7.5, 55.5)

The Toronto Argonauts’ road-warrior status will be put to the test against a fellow division leader when they visit the Calgary Stampeders on Saturday. The Argonauts are 4-1 on the road, but the Stampeders stand 5-0 at home and have ridden a four-game winning streak to the top of the West Division. East Division-leading Toronto has won two straight despite missing top offensive players such as quarterback Ricky Ray and slotback Chad Owens, moving into second in the CFL power rankings behind Calgary.

The Stampeders are no stranger to battling through injuries. Even though Calgary lost top slotback Nik Lewis for the season and is still without starting quarterback Drew Tate, third-string quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is making a strong case to start more games with a completion rate of 70.3 percent and 10 touchdown passes to just three interceptions. Mitchell completed 4-of-6 passes in limited action during Calgary 35-14 victory in Toronto in Week 9, but he and young Argonauts quarterback Zach Collaros will take center stage Saturday in a game Ottawa Redblacks scouts would be smart to watch.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (7-4): Coach Scott Milanovich said Owens is doubtful for Saturday, marking the second straight game last season’s Most Outstanding Player will miss. Running back Chad Kackert returned from injury last week but left after a helmet-to-helmet hit in the first half and his status for Saturday is uncertain. Jerious Norwood ran for 73 yards and one touchdown replacing Kackert. Linebacker Robert McCune leads the team with 60 tackles.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (9-2): Defensive linemen Charleston Hughes and Cordarro Law set the tone on Calgary’s defense, accounting for 21 of the team’s 41 sacks. Defensive back Fred Bennett has a team-leading three interceptions. Running back Jon Cornish reached 1,000 rushing yards for the second straight season last week against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats. Mitchell is second on the team with 145 rushing yards.

TRENDS:

* Argonauts are 6-0 ATS in their last six Saturday games.
* Over is 8-1 in Stampeders last nine home games.
* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Calgary.
* Argonauts are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Three of Toronto’s four losses have come against West Division opponents.

2. Calgary might not get Tate back until the 2014 season, raising big questions over whether to protect him or Mitchell for the Redblacks’ expansion draft after the season.

3. Toronto WR John Chiles has caught seven touchdown passes in his last seven games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Saturday's matchups:

Toledo Rockets at Central Michigan Chippewas (+13, 56.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-50s but there is a 40 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-6.5, 58.5)

Temperatures will be in the low-70s, but there is a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

Florida A&M Rattlers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-50, OFF)

Fans should expect a 55 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high-60s.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Virginia Tech Hokies (-10, 51.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 95 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

North Texas Mean Green at Georgia Bulldogs (-33.5, 67)

Fans at Sanford Stadium will see temperatures in the mid-70s, but with a 95 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils (+3.5, 50.5)

The forecast calls for temperatures in the low-70s with a 55 percent chance of showers.

Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan Eagles (+9.5, 57.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 30 percent chance of showers and wind blowing diagonally from north to south at 12 mph.

Northwestern State Demons at UAB Blazers (-15.5, OFF)

Fans at Legion Field face a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures in the low-70s.

Idaho State Bengals at Washington Huskies (-49.5, OFF)

Temperatures at Husky Stadium will be in the low-60s with a 60 percent chance of showers

Murray State Racers at Bowling Green Falcons (-26, OFF)

There is a 25 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures expected to be in the mid-60s. Wind will blow diagonally from the northwest end of the field at 11 mph.

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (-15, 47)

Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

West Virginia Mountaineers at Maryland Terrapins (-5, 53)

Fans at M&T Bank Stadium face a 90 percent chance of showers with temperatures in the low-80s.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Penn State Nittany Lions (-22, 54)

There is a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms at Beaver Stadium with temperatures in the low-60s and wind blowing diagonally across the field at 11 mph.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-2.5, 44)

Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

VMI Keydets at Virginia Cavaliers (-44, OFF)

Fans face a 90 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures expected to be in the low-70s.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Baylor Bears (-30.5, 75)

Temperatures at Floyd Casey Stadium will be in the mid-80s with a 20 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms and wind blowing diagonally out of the northeast at 10 mph.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles (-39.5, OFF)

The forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with a 60 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide (-39, 51)

Temperatures will be in the low-70s with persistent rain expected to fall throughout the game.

SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies (-28.5, 78)

Temperatures at College Station are expected to be in the mid-70s with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms tapering off throughout the night.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

There is a 40 percent chance of showers at Stanford Stadium with temperatures in the high-60s and wind blowing across the field from west to east at 10 mph.

Troy Trojans at Mississippi State Bulldogs (-13.5, 61)

Temperatures at Scott Field will be in the low-70s with a 40 percent chance of showers.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-16.5, 55)

Fans at LSU Tiger Stadium face a 100 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms and temperatures in the mid-70s.

Michigan Wolverines at Connecticut Huskies (+18.5, 51)

There is a 40 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms with temperatures in the low-60s and wind blowing across the width of the field at 10 mph.

Utah Utes at BYU Cougars (-6.5, 62)

Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 20 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms and wind blowing from north to south at 13 mph.

Idaho Vandals at Washington State Cougars (-31, 58.5)

Fans at Martin Stadium will be treated to temperatures in the low-50s and a 20 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.

** Odds and weather forecast as of 7:10 p.m. ET Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Essential betting tidbits for Week 4 of college football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- The North Carolina Tar Heels and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets played in the highest scoring game in ACC history last November. The Jackets won 68-50 and the teams combined for 1,085 yards of total offense and 16 touchdowns. Total is 59.5 for Saturday's matchup.

- The Florida International Golden Panthers are 0-3 and have been outscored 115-23 in the process. The Panthers travel to Papa John's Cardinal Stadium to face No. 6 Louisville and are 42-point underdogs.

- The UMass Minutemen have just 21 first downs on offense but have allowed 106 this season. The Minutemen are 31-point home dogs to Vanderbilt.

- The San Jose State Spartans will be without star-WR Noel Grigsby (10 rec, 106 yards, 2 TDs) who injured his knee at practice Wednesday and did not travel to Minnesota. The Spartans are 4-point dogs Saturday.

- The Virginia Tech Hokies are on a seven-game winning streak against Marshall. Hokies are 10-point home faves Saturday.

- The Toledo Rockets are 0-9 O/U in their previous nine games. Total is 56.5 at Central Michigan.

- The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against Florida Atlantic. Raiders are 3.5-point road faves Saturday.

- The Western Michigan Broncos face their third Big Ten program in four weeks as they travel to Iowa. They are 0-2 SU but 2-0 ATS having covered at Michigan State and at Northwestern. Iowa is a 16-point home fave.

- The Kansas Jayhawks are currently riding a 22 game losing streak against Bowl Subdivision schools. 10.5-point faves with Louisiana Tech in town Saturday.

- Army hosts the ACC's Wake Forest Demon Deacons Saturday. The Deacons are 5-0-1 O/U in their last six versus ACC opponents. Saturday's total is 49.5.

- The North Texas Mean Green have lost 34 straight games to ranked opponents. They are 33.5-point road dogs as the face No. 10 Georgia Saturday.

- After starting QB Anthony Boone broke his collarbone against Memphis on Sept. 7, Brandon Connette is back under center for the Duke Blue Devils. He was 15-of-28 for 122 yards in his first start one week ago, which was a 38-14 loss to Georgia Tech. Duke is a 3.5-point home dog with Pitt in town.

- Syracuse will give QB Terrel Hunt his first career start versus Tulane. Six of the Orange's last seven starting quarterbacks have lose their first game.

- Eastern Michigan will play host to Ball State Saturday. The Over is 4-0 in the previous four meetings and 6-1 in the last seven between the two schools. Total is 57.5 for this matchup.

- Houston WR Markeith Ambles will likely make his debut versus Rice Saturday. The WR transferred from Arizona Western Community College after beginning his career at USC. Houston is a 3-point fave.

- Michigan State is No. 12 in the country in points against (12.0). Spartans are 5-point road dogs at Notre Dame.

- The last time Kent State played Penn State was in 2010. Penn State's defense pitched a shutout in a 24-0 victory. Nittany Lions are 22-point home faves.

- Tennessee has not fared well in its recent meetings with Florida. The Volunteers are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings with the Gators. Florida is a 16-point home fave.

- Wisconsin is No. 5 in the country averaging 337 rushing yards per game and Badgers RB Melvin Gordon is second in rushing yards with 477. The Purdue defense allowed Cincinnati to rumble for 221 rushing yards back in Week 1. Wisconsin is favored by 22 points at home.

- The Arkansas Razorbacks are tough down the stretch. They have outscored their first three opponents 21-0 and outgained them 308-78 in the fourth quarter. The Razorbacks are 2.5-point road dogs as they travel to Rutgers.

- Maryland is one of three teams in the country that has compiled 500-plus yards of total offense in the first three games of the season. The other two are Oregon and California. Maryland is a 5-point fave against rivals West Virginia.

- Utah State QB Chuckie Keeton is third in the country with a 78.1 completion percentage (82-of-105). Keeton has 12 TD passes and just one pick. Utah State is a 6.5-pont road underdog at USC Saturday.

- The Miami (Ohio) RedHawks are dead last in the nation with just 16 first downs. The RedHawks are 23-point home dogs with Cincinnati in town.

- Baylor defeated UL Monroe 47-42 last season. The Bears are 30.5-point faves and the total is 75 in this season's meeting.

- The Arkansas State Red Wolves have converted 26-of-47 third-down opportunities (55.3 percent), while Memphis has converted just 30.3 percent (10-of-33). Memphis is a 4-point home dog.

- The Akron Zips are 0-5 ATS and 1-4 SU in their last five home games. The Zips are 6-point home dogs with the UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns in town.

- The Arizona State Sun Devils have not fared well in recent trips to Stanford posting a 1-5 ATS mark in the last six meetings there. The Cardinal are 5.5-point home faves.

- The Texas A&M Aggies haven't lost a non-conference home game to a Texas school since 1954 (Texas Tech). -27.5 home faves with SMU in town Saturday.

- Alabama head coach Nick Saban faces his former offensive coordinator Jim McElwain who is the new head coach at Colorado State. Saban and the Tide are 39-point home faves.

- Texas State will have a tough test as they are away to Texas Tech Saturday. But the Bobcats are ranked No. 4 in the country allowing just 9.0 points against thus far. Tech is a 27.5-point home fave.

- San Diego State has lost 20 of its previous 21 games against the Pac-12. The Aztecs are 8-point home dogs as they host Oregon State.

- Troy's QB Corey Robinson is the NCAA's active leader is passing attempts, completions and yards. Troy is a 13.5-point road dog against Mississippi State Saturday.

- The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between LSU and Auburn. LSU is a 16.5-point home favorite Saturday evening.

- UConn is expecting a record crowd at 40,000 capacity Rentschler Field as the Huskies play host to Michigan. UConn is an 18.5-point home dog.

- The Kansas State Wildcats are on the road to face the Texas Longhorns. The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings and are 6.5-point road dogs Saturday.

- The Indiana Hoosiers average 50.0 points per game through their first three games and host the Missouri Tigers, who are averaging 48.0 ppg. The total is currently 71.

- The UTSA Roadrunners are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall and are 2.5-point road dogs at UTEP Saturday.

- Most shops opened the line in the Hawaii at Nevada game with Nevada as a 12.5-point favorite. That line has been coming down all week and is currently Nevada -7.

- It's an all Utah affair as BYU hosts Utah Saturday night. BYU is a 6.5-point home fave, but the underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

- Wyoming is one of nine programs to begin the season 3-0 ATS. The Cowboys are 4-point road faves at Air Force Saturday night.

- The UCLA Bruins have outscored their opponents 72-7 in the second half of their first two games. The Bruins are 42-point home faves against New Mexico State.

- The Idaho Vandals lead the country with eight fumbles lost. +31 at Washington State Saturday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

There might not be as many marquee matchups on the college football Week 4 board but that doesn’t mean the action is any less intense. We talk to sportsbooks about the betting patterns, sharp and public money, and where they see the lines ending up come kickoff Saturday:

Kent State Golden Flashes at Penn State Nittany Lions – Open: -18.5, Move: -22

The Golden Flashes have a slew of injuries on defense and have allowed an average of 32 points per game so far this season. Some spots had this line opened as low as PSU -14 but with the public behind a rebounding Nittany Lions squad, this line has rocketed in favor of the home team.

“With the injuries to Kent State, it’s easy to see how the line has moved to (PSU),” Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Money has been more Penn State, but luckily for us at higher numbers.”

North Carolina Tar Heels at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets – Open: -5, Move: -6.5

This ACC rivalry has seen one-sided money on the Yellow Jackets, according to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag, who says 90 percent of the handle is riding on Georgia Tech.

“Tuesday, we got sharp action on the favorite, so we moved to the current number of -6.5,” says Perry.

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Open: -7, Move: -4.5

The early action took this spread from a touchdown to as low as Notre Dame -4.5. The Spartans offense is still finding its stride but the Irish haven’t been able to turn away opponents in the first four weeks, allowing 259.3 passing yards per game.

“Money is split on this game, which is obviously one of the marquee games of the weekend, but as I’m sure it is the same with most places,” says Black. “Early money liked +7 and the later money is starting to come back on Notre Dame, leaving a possible middle or siding on this game for us.”

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide – Open: -41, Move: -39.5

A week after escaping College Station with a big win over Texas A&M, Alabama is giving a boat-load of points to the visiting Rams. Sharp money took the road team at the opening number and books have trimmed this spread under 40 with 55 percent of the action on CSU.

“Could be a case where (Alabama coach Nick) Saban calls off the dogs late in the fourth quarter against the Rams,” says Perry. “One of Saban's former disciples is CSU head coach Jim McElwain, who was offensive coordinator at Alabama from 2008-11.”

San Jose State Spartans at Minnesota Golden Gophers – Open: -5.5, Move: -3.5

Injuries to the Gophers’ skill players have bettors siding with SJSU coming to Big Ten Country. Minnesota QB Philip Nelson is questionable and RB Donnell Kirkwood is nursing an ankle injury, slowing down the Gophers’ ground game. That’s good news for the Spartans, who have allowed 197 yards rushing in a loss to Stanford.

“A loss at Stanford is no shame and this is a hard cross-country trip to follow that up,” says Black. “Sharp money likes San Jose State plus the points.”

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal – Open: -9, Move: -6

The ultra-competitive Pac-12 headlines the late games Saturday, with money on Arizona State moving this spread past the key number of a touchdown and down to two field goals. According to Perry, 55 percent of the action is on the visiting Sun Devils.

“This is likely the game of day, and the sharps seem to like the dog,” says Perry. “The Cardinal opened -9 and wiseguy action came on Thursday to move the game to Cardinal -7.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter

3* purdue/wisconsin over 47.5 (total of the month)
3* maryland -4.5
2* missouri -1
2* wyoming -3.5
1* ga tech -6
1* arkansas st/memphis over 52.5
1* utsa -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves

Boise State +4

ULMonroe +28
Cincy -22
Wvirg +5.5
Utah State +6.5
Utah +7
Florida Atlantic +4
Iowa over 49.5
florida Under 47.5
eastern Michigan Over 55.5
stanford Under 51.5
San Diego State Under 54.5
UTEP Over 59.5
Wake Forest -2.5
Ball State -9.5
Nevanda -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI

CFB
North Texas at Georgia (-33) 12:20 ET
Horrible situation for home standing Georgia.
The Bulldogs have had 2 weeks to get fat after rebounding from the week 1 loss at Clemson with a 41-30 home victory over S. Carolina. Surely their focus has been on next week’s Marquee Matchup with LSU. Though the N. Texas offense will not be confused with either of Georgia’s first two opponents, it must be noted that the 3 RS on the Georgia defensive side of the ball have allowed 34 PPG and 461 YPG. Tough to lay this number in this situation against a veteran Mean Green team who has 17 RS and quality leader in 3rd year HC McCarthy. The Green will enter with great confidence. After trailing Ball St. at home 27-9 last week, the Green scored the last 25 points for a 34-27 victory. Technical support abounds. North Texas is 5-0 ATS taking 23 or more points of late, while Georgia HC Richt was 0-4 ATS laying 20 or more last year.

Pittsburgh (-4-) at Duke 12:30 ET
Following the MNF debacle against Florida St., the Panthers rebounded, with a week of rest, for a 49-27 win against outmanned New Mexico, a game they led 42-6. Now they must take to the road for their first ACC game. They won’t like the hospitality in Durham. This is a Blue Devil team that is changing for the better under 6th year HC Cutcliffe. No longer is this a Duke team who relies on the passing game to come through the back door for a cover. This year the Devils have one the most veteran OL’s in the nation resulting in an improved ground game that averages 187/4.4. Despite being torched by the GT Option last week, you will note that Duke is still firmly entrenched on our list of Defensive Dandies. QB Connette improving with each week as a replacement for QB Boone, must believe the wrong team is favored as we side with the better running game and defense as home underdog.

LA Monroe at Baylor (-29-) 4:00 ET FS1TV
Last year at this time, the Warhawks were taking the nation by storm with a 34-31 upset of Arkansas, a narrow 3 point loss at Auburn, and a 47-42 loss to this Baylor team, a game in which they outgained the Bears 560-549. With 17 RS, including QB Browning, and the reigning Sun Belt COY Todd Berry, LA Monroe is at it again. In the week 1 loss to Oklahoma, they were surprised by the Sooner ground game. Last week, however, they returned to upset form in outgaining Wake 424-315 in a 21-19 win as +3. Meanwhile, Baylor has blown the doors off Wofford and Buff to enter today averaging 70 PPG, 737 YPG and 9.7 YP play. The result is this week’s biggest -77 AFP DIFF favoring the Warhawks at a price that is 3 TDs more than opening week and 3 TDs more than last year. Lots of value with this big dog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

3-Unit Play. Take #316 Florida (-16.5) over Tennessee (3:30 p.m.)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
This is a really tough spot for the Volunteers. They had to travel to Oregon last week and take a 59-14 thrashing home with them. Now they are heading to Gainesville to face a rested Florida squad. The Gators have had to chew on their 21-16 upset loss to Miami for two full weeks. This team should be angry and motivated. And I expect a better offensive performance (although they can't get much worse). They actually outgained Miami by 200 yards in that game and were stymied by turnovers and penalties when it came time to get some points. Tennessee won't put nearly the same amount of defensive pressure on the Gators in this one. Florida has dominated this series lately, winning the last six meetings by an average of 19 points per game. Butch Jones is still sorting through a mess in Knoxville and this Vols team isn't that talented. Florida went up to Tennessee and hammered a better Vols team 37-20 last year on the road. I think they can do even better playing at home and facing a tired opponent.

3-Unit Play. Take #319 Pittsburgh (-3.5) over Duke (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
Duke is in for a long season. These guys climbed the mountaintop (for them) last year by making it to a bowl game. They had one of the most experienced teams in the country last year and now all those guys are gone, leaving a typical Duke team behind. That is not a good thing. The Blue Devils have been struggling in the passing game and they aren't going to outmuscle this Pittsburgh team. The Panthers aren't great. But these Big East teams that moved to the ACC are definitely underrated. Don't be fooled by the final score in their last game against New Mexico; Pitt was up 42-6 midway through the third quarter and gave up some garbage scores. Pitt has the advantage of a fifth-year player at quarterback in Tom Savage, and he really brings some stability to this offense. Paul Chryst is feeling more settled in his second year and the bottom line is that the Panthers just have a lot more talent to work with than Duke, and the Panthers will want to make up for their opening ACC loss (to FSU) with a win in their first ACC road game.

2-Unit Play. Take #333 North Carolina (+6.5) over Georgia Tech (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 21)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
This is a big game for North Carolina. And I think that they are up for it. Georgia Tech has gotten off to a nice start to the season. But they have also just faced Elon and Duke. The Tar Heels have lost four straight against the Jackets. But they had a bye week so they have had two weeks to prepare for Tech's option attack. UNC also saw the Jackets dominate Duke last week and I am sure that put a little motivation into them. That, on top of the revenge factor, should equal a competitive effort from the visitors here. Georgia Tech doesn't own a huge home field advantage playing in Atlanta. And they struggled in games against Miami and BYU at home last year. I mentioned Tech has won four straight in this series. But UNC had a lead at halftime before all hell broke loose in the third quarter with Tech scoring 30 points. The two games before that Tech won in the last few minutes. The underdog is 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings and I'm counting on a big game from Bryn Renner in this one.

3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 54.5 - Arkansas State at Memphis (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
Note: This is a KING System Play.
Memphis isn't quite as bad as they seem. They can put a scare into a team or two and they have beefed up for their move to the AAC. The result is a pair of tailbacks that will tote the ball 40-plus times in this game and a defensive front seven that can hold its own. Arkansas State is not the same offensive team they were last year with Gus Malzahn running the show. They are off a big Thursday night win against Troy last week and they have a trip to Missouri on deck. In between is a trip to Memphis to take on a team that they don't respect. This is a very experienced home team. And this is a game they can win. And they will try to get there by dragging ASU into the muck and turning this one into an ugly, slow, grinding game. I don't see either team cracking 30 points and I think that this one stays 'under'.

3-Unit Play. Take #458 UNLV (-12.5) over Western Illinois (9 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
I think that this is a great spot for the Runnin' Rebels. This is a very experienced team in Bobby Hauck's fourth season and this was a team that had the potential to get the UNLV program to its first bowl game in 14 years. Yes, the Rebels got off to an 0-2 start that included two blowouts. But those games were ones UNLV was supposed to lose. The Minnesota game was a rematch and Arizona started the year as one of the most underrated teams in the country. UNLV actually outgained Minnesota in that game and the Rebels are not as bad as their finals have shown. This is absolutely a must-win game for UNLV if they want a shot at six wins. And this veteran team will be focused. They got their first W of the season last week so some of the pressure if off and now they can just settle in and do their thing. This is a terrible spot for Western Illinois. These FCS teams can get up for a game against a BCS opponent. Especially a regional team like Minnesota, which WIU hung around with last week before losing 29-12. Western Illinois actually had a third quarter lead in that game. But they were outmanned and outmuscled and lost. Well, now they have to try to gear back up for another BCS foe. But they also have to travel across country to a climate that is completely foreign to them and play this one. I don't see it. WIU went 2-14 the last two years and had gotten crushed any time they stepped up in class. I think UNLV will open it up this week and should win by at least 20.

3-Unit Play. Take #444 Nebraska (-20.5) over South Dakota State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
This game reminds me a little bit of our winner with Oklahoma State last week. After a week of controversy surrounding the coach and program this team should be ready to play. I think that all the nonsense will galvanize Nebraska more than it will be a distraction. Pelini has been horrible as a big favorite in Lincoln - and he's not a very good coach in general - but even he is not pathetic enough for his team to not hammer a completely overmatched team from the Dakotas. If you look back, Nebraska has some serious blowouts on their resume the last few seasons, beating teams like New Mexico State (31), Florida Atlantic (46), Louisiana (55), Western Kentucky (39), Chattanooga (33) and Southern Miss (29) in convincing fashion. We're a month into the season. There is no catching the Huskers off guard. Nebraska has a bye week following this and they are pissed off after blowing their game against UCLA. The Pelini nonsense is just the clincher. South Dakota State won last week despite getting outgained by 160 yards. The Huskers win this one by at least five touchdowns. And if they don't, they really should think about getting rid of Pelini because it would be pathetic if they don't win this one in a rout.

2-Unit Play. Take #361 Kansas (-10) over Louisiana Tech (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 21)
We got screwed last week with our play on Kansas and I am going right back to them. The Jayhawks are horrible. But they are still not as bad as Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs lost just about their entire team and their entire coaching staff from last year and they are totally rudderless. Charlie Weis is one of the worst coaches in college football. But he knows he needs to do something fast if he wants to keep his job in Lawrence. And a blowout win over a terrible Tech team would go a long way. La. Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games and if they can lose by nine at home to Tulane they can lose by 14 on the road at Kansas.

2-Unit Play. Take #439 Florida A&M (+50) over Ohio State (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 21)
I know, I know: Florida A&M? But hear me out with this one. A trip to California is a big deal for a college kid. The Buckeyes just flew cross-country to play Cal, beat the tar out of the Golden Bears, and now sit back at home after that marquee nonconference win (be it as it may). Next week the Buckeyes have a huge game with Wisconsin. Smack in the middle is a game against Florida A&M. Do you think Ohio State cares at all about this game? They don't. This is a glorified scrimmage for them and I expect Urban Meyer to get some key guys some rest late in this game. The Buckeyes defense is not as strong as it was last year. They let Buffalo move the ball, they let a terrible Cal team score 24 against them. A&M is going to have some athletes and have some speed. I think that they can score seven or 10 points, and I think that will be enough. There is no motivation for Ohio State to win by 60 and if you look back at A&M's history they have been able to at least be competitive (hang within 40) of most of their BCS opponents. I'll take the points.

2-Unit Play. Take #336 Maryland (-4.5) over West Virginia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
I said in a radio interview at the start of the season that I felt Maryland was going to get off to a great start to the season. I had them sweeping this revenge tour over Connecticut and West Virginia and so far, so good. The Mountaineers are completely rebuilding this year and they are terrible. They can't stop people on defense and they don't have the tools to run Dana Holgersen's offense properly. The Terps should be feeling pretty good about themselves after last week's convincing road win. And you can't underestimate the momentum factor. Maryland is motivated and they have momentum, and I think that will carry over into a blowout win in this spot for them.

2-Unit Play. Take #387 Missouri (+1) over Indiana (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
Big position being taken by a lot of bettors on Indiana here. And I get it. Missouri was terrible last year and they have been horrendous in road openers in their history. But I think that Indiana is a little overrated right now. Who was the last team of consequence that they have beaten? And what have they done to deserve to be favored in this game? I think that Gary Pinkel has an underrated team this year in Missouri. And I think that the Tigers have the much better defense in this matchup.

1-Unit Play. Take #325 Ball State (-10.5) over Eastern Michigan (1 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #351 SMU (+28.5) over Texas A&M (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #376 Syracuse (-16) over Tulane (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #343 Wyoming (-4.5) over Air Force (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #354 Houston (-3) over Rice (3 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take #385 Texas-San Antonio (-3) over UTEP (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

This Week's College Totals

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 51.0 - Michigan at Connecticut (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.0 - Michigan State at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS

7 Unit Play. #323 Take Over 48 - Purdue at Wisconsin (3:30p.m., Saturday, Sept 21 ABC)
(Total Game of the Year)
Some people might see this play and say that Purdue won't be able to score on the Badgers defense. Agree it will be a challenge but I'm sure the same people said the same thing last week when Purdue was playing Notre Dame and the Boilermakers scored 24 points on the Irish defense. Wisconsin gets this game at home and they will be pissed off after how they lost to Arizona St so actually I feel sorry for the Purdue defense because Wisconsin is going to score and score often. I thought this would be around 53-54 so when I saw this total posted under the 50 mark I knew this would be my TOTAL Game of the Year. The Boilermakers defense has been a time their weak spot giving up 42pts to Cincinnati and 31 points last week to Notre Dame so I see Wisconsin scoring in the mid-40's Saturday afternoon at home. RB Melvin Gordon had a huge game against Arizona St rushing for 193 yards with 2 touchdowns and I see the same results Saturday as the Boilermakers defense is not even close to the ASU defense. Purdue is 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games when playing a team with a winning record and Wisconsin is 4-0 O/U following a SU loss and 5-1 O/U when playing a team with a losing record.

2 Unit Play. #336 Maryland -4 ½ over West Virginia (3:30p.m., Saturday, Sept 21 ESPNU)
Can't believe I'm getting ready to type this but Maryland is seeking for a 4-0 record for the 1st time since 2001. How you ask? Not their tough turtle defense but their offense has been outstanding as of late this season. Maryland Sr. QB C.J. Brown has been explosive and he will be the key to another turtle victory. Maryland defense will put pressure on the freshman QB of West Virginia and turnovers by the freshman will be the big key as well.WVU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and Maryland is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.

4 Unit Play. #343 Take Wyoming -5 over Air Force (10:15p.m., Saturday, Sept 21 ESPNU)
So the Air Force defense has given up 47ppg in their last 2 games and the Wyoming offense has been rolling with QB Brett Smith. The only trouble I see Smith having is that he makes mistakes when being pressured but the Air Force defense will not give him the trouble. Normally Air Force wins their games by the running game but with but QB Jaleel Awini needs to be able to throw the ball in this matchup as the Cowboys will be lined up to stop the rushing attack. Wyoming has covered 4-straight games and is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins. While Air Force on the other hand is coming back-to-back double-digit losses which again have given up 94 points in 2 games. Wyoming is 6-0 ATS when playing a team with a losing record and Air Force is a horrible 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK CLAYTON

College Football 3-Pack Attack Trifecta and CA$H 3 times Saturday!

12:30 PM CF (355) MICHIGAN STATE (356) NOTRE DAME.
Take: (355) MICHIGAN STATE.
Shocker of the Month: Michigan State.
This is a balanced Michigan State (3-0) offense with a ferocious defense, one of the best in the nation. The Spartans were rebuilding last season on offense but still had a fine year, losing five games by four points or less. 8 starters are back on offense and the offense doesn't have to be explosive because 7 starters return to the Big 10's best defense, one that allowed 16.3 ppg (9th in the nation). They ranked fourth in the nation in yards allowed and return senior DT Micajah Reynolds, junior NT James Kittredge to a powerhouse front and LB Max Bullough. They face a Notre Dame team that is 2-1, with a loss to Michigan and a close game with Purdue Saturday, 31-24, as a huge favorite. This is an evenly matched game and a big rivalry, so grab the dog with the awesome defense. Play Michigan State

05:00 PM CF (357) KANSAS STATE (358) TEXAS
Take: (357) KANSAS STATE.
Think Texas has some defensive problems? The Longhorns (1-2) have been awful, giving up 40 to BYU and 44 to Ole Miss in this two game skid. Their only win was over New Mexico State. The Longhorns couldn't stop Jeff Scott from blistering them on the speed option to the outside and No. 25 Ole Miss rolled over reeling Texas 44-23 on Saturday night. Scott ran for 164 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries and also scored on a 73-yard punt return. Bo Wallace passed for two touchdowns and ran for another and the Rebels' defense dominated the second half. Mississippi is just the latest visiting team to wallop Texas on its home turf. The Longhorns are 11-10 at home since 2010, including seven consecutive losses to ranked opponents. Into town comes K-State, on a two game win streak, with a great coach in Bill Snyder. The D is allowing 19 ppg and the offense is potent and balanced, averaging 35 ppg. The wrong team is favored in this Big 12 showdown; Play Kansas State!

04:00 PM CF (367) ARIZONA STATE (368) STANFORD
Take: (367) ARIZONA STATE.
You can't run at this Stanford D-line, but you can pass over them. (2-0) ASU Coach Todd Graham ignited the offense last year (38.4 ppg) and has 14 starters returning, so expectations are high. Junior QB Taylor Kelly (29 TDs, 9 INTs in 2012) led an offense that averaged 259 yards passing, 205.4 rushing and is loaded with talent, off a big win over Wisconsin. Star DT Will Sutton opted to return for his senior year, joined by speedy senior LBs Carl Bradford and Chris Young. Sutton (13 sacks, 23.5 tackles for a loss) is one of the best defensive lineman in the country. This team is on an 8-5-1 ATS run Last week: Beat Wisconsin (32-30) with edge in yards 468-441. QB Taylor Kelly hit 29 of 51 passes -- many of those on back-shoulder throws along the sideline -- for 352 yards and a touchdown for the Sun Devils. This is a tough situational spot for Stanford, home from a 3,000 mile road trip to Army last week, failing to cover in a 34-20 win, so grab the talented dog. Play Arizona State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

3-Unit Play. Take #360 Memphis (+4) over Arkansas State (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)

AND

3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 54.5 - Arkansas State at Memphis (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
This game is not on many people's radars. But I really like the home underdog. Memphis is 0-2 but played better than their record. They lost to Duke and Middle Tennessee State but were close in both of those games. Memphis is playing strong on defense and has only given up 45 points in its two games. This is a physical front seven. Arkansas State has not been as impressive. They won against Troy in a really tough game and scored a late touchdown to move to 2-1. Now they have to go on the road against a team they are going to take lightly. Memphis has revenge in this game after losing to Arkansas State in 2011 and 2012. Memphis nearly beat the Redwolves last year, losing 33-28 as a 23-point underdog. This line ha changed a lot since last year. The home team has won four straight in this series. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six. Memphis has beaten Arkansas State six oft the last 10 meetings and Memphis is 3-1 ATS in the last four. I think that they spring the upset in this game and I think that it will be a low scoring game.

3-Unit Play. Take #343 Wyoming (-5) over Air Force (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 21)
This line is on the move! Bet this one now! Wyoming is going to win in a blowout! These two teams don't like one another. Last year Air Force won 28-27 and the coaches had words after the game. Both teams remember that one. Air Force was accused of faking injuries to get that win. I think that this is a better Wyoming team. And the road team has won three straight and six of eight in this conference series. Wyoming is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Air Force played last Friday night and lost by 22 at Boise State. They are just 1-7 ATS in their last seven games going back to last year and the Falcons only win this year came versus Colgate. Wyoming almost won at Nebraska this year so I think that they can go to Air Force and get a win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!

CFB

Marshall @ Virginia Tech 12:00 PM EST
Play On: 3* (#329) Marshall +10

The Marshall Thundering Herd travel to Virginia Tech to take on the Hokies on Saturday afternoon. Both teams come in with identical 2-1 records on the season. Marshall is 5-1 ATS last 3 years as a road underdog of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Virginia Tech is 3-10 ATS last 3 years as a home favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Virginia Tech is 8-20 ATS last 3 years in all games. Virginia Tech is 6-17 ATS last 3 years as a favorite. Marshall has a high powered offense scoring 46 points per game overall this year. Marshall is allowing only 16 points per game on defense this season. Virginia Tech is 2-9-2 ATS last 13 non-conference games. Virginia Tech is 2-12 ATS last 14 games after allowing 20 points or less in their previous game. Virginia Tech is 1-7 ATS last 8 games after a SU win. Marshall is led by quarterback Rakeem Cato where he has completed 68 out of 107 passes this year for a 63.6 completion percentage. Steward Butler leads the team in rushing with 282 yards on the season and he is averaging a very nice 9.1 yards per rush. Tommy Shuler is the kid go to guy at receiver where he has caught 23 passes for 247 yards so far this season. Marshall could easily upset Virginia Tech here. We'll play Marshall for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ScLiveDogs

Why we like the Phillies on Saturday at -105...this game could turn into a very valuable fade against Dillon Gee and the New York Mets. When we take a look at these two pitchers most recent starts, we see that Dillon Gee comes in with a 2.18 era over his last 20 innings of work where he allowed just 3 BBs on 18 Ks & 2 HRs. On the other hand, when we look at Tyler Cloyd's numbers for the Phillies, we can see that he comes in with a whopping 10.93 era over his last 14 innings (3 starts) where he allowed 27 hits on 1 BB, 11 Ks & 2 HRs. With that being said, one would think that the opening line on this game should favor the Mets much more than -115...When we dig a bit deeper into this game and specifically its matchup, we notice something very interesting regarding Dillon Gee and his starts against the Phillies IN Philadelphia. When we look at Gee's last five starts IN Philadelphia dating back to 2011, we can see that he carries a 14.82 era where he has allowed 28 earned runs on 36 hits through 17 innings on 8 BBs, 14 Ks & 8 HRs. Gee has also shown little success against the Phillies as a whole where the Phillies have a combined 100 ABs off of Gee with a .310 average and 3 HRs. We understand that Tyler Cloyd of the Phillies has hit a rough patch as of late, but he may have a few things going for him. Cloyd has allowed 12 runs on 19 hits through his last 8 innings of work (two starts) but it changes his routine a bit as he has posted pitch counts of 73 and 64 in those last two starts which may play to his advantage. Another plus for Cloyd is that the Mets are yet to see him 2013. When we look back to 2012 which were the only two starts that he has against the Mets, Cloyd allowed 4 runs through 14 innings of work on 10 hits 2 BBs & 11 Ks. Offensively, the Phillies are playing the better ball at this point in the season as they are averaging close to 6 RPG over their past 7 games which should play to their advantage against Dillon Gee and the Mets. Play on the Phillies at -105.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Check out quick-hitting betting notes for Saturday's evening college football Week 4 action:

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida State Seminoles (-40)

The Wildcats have wins in three straight games to start a season for the first time since 2010 and have won 10 of their past 11 contests. Bethune-Cookman's defense has been stout, holding opponents to less than 10 points per game and has also managed three defensive touchdowns. Senior linebacker Jarkevis Fields leads the team with 23 tackles and had a game-high six in the win over Florida International.

The Seminoles have been firing on all cylinders on offense, passing the century mark in points through their first two games for the second consecutive season, with nine different players scoring touchdowns. Against Nevada, Florida State compiled 617 yards and 59 unanswered points, coasting to a 62-7 victory. Junior Nick O'Leary has hauled in three touchdown catches, trailing only Indiana's Ted Bolser among FBS tight ends.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 43 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Florida State opened as a 40-point home fave.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last four games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* Over is 3-0-1 in FSU's last four games after totaling more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Seminoles last four games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 40 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Stanford opened as a 7-point home fave but is now -5.5. The total opened at 49.5 and is up to 51.5.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Colorado State Rams at Alabama Crimson Tide (-39, 51)

The Rams are 39 1/2-point underdogs against the Crimson Tide, who have gone 27-3 against nonconference opponents under coach Nick Saban, including 20 straight victories. Rams coach Jim McElwain was Alabama's offensive coordinator from 2008-2011 before leaving for Colorado State last season.

Heisman Trophy candidate AJ McCarron, who had a career-high 334 passing yards and four touchdowns in last week’s win over the Aggies, could be in for a short night on Saturday if the Crimson Tide take control early. The rebuilding Rams, who are 2-11 all-time against SEC opponents, lost their first two games to Colorado and Tulsa before defeating Cal Poly 34-17 last Saturday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 90 percent chance of rain.
LINE: Alabama opened as a 38-point home favorite and is now -39. The total opened at 51.
TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0-1 in the Crimson Tide's last five games overall.
* Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win.
* Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

SMU Mustangs at Texas A&M Aggies (-28.5, 78)

Southern Methodist's visit to old Southwest Conference rival Texas A&M on Saturday could be a high-scoring affair. The ninth-ranked Aggies and the Mustangs have two of the most productive offenses in the country and struggling defenses. But the Mustangs have had little success recently against Texas A&M, going 0-11-1 in their last 12 meeting, including three straight losses since the SWC ended in 1995.

The Aggies — ranked 112 out of 123 FBS teams in total defense (489 yards allowed) and 115th in run defense (260 yards) — allowed 11 plays of 15-plus yards to Alabama. "We're going to have to defend the whole field — vertically and sideline to sideline — because (the Mustangs) are going to stretch us out to make us play in space," Sumlin said Tuesday.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: Texas A&M opened as a 28.5-point favorite. The total opened at 79.5 and is down to 78.
TRENDS:

* Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. SEC.
* Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. loss.
* Over is 4-0 in Aggies last four home games.

Savannah State Tigers at Miami Hurricanes (-60)

The Tigers, who have registered only one victory in each of the previous three seasons, won for the first time since defeating Edward Waters 42-35 in October 2012. Savannah State was outgained 425-243 against the Wildcats and has mustered only 573 yards of total offense thus far. The Tigers have been particular woeful on the ground (rushing for a total of 52 yards this season, including no more than 21 in any contest) and holding onto the ball, committing 10 turnovers.

The Hurricanes were far from dominant in their win over the Gators, as they were outgained 413-212 and gave up more than twice as many first downs (22-10). One area on offense Miami has thrived is scoring quickly – all eight of its drives have taken less than three minutes.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies.
LINE: Miami opened as a 59.5-point favorite and is currently -60.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last five games following a bye week.
* Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.
* Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-16.5, 55)

Death Valley has long been a hostile environment for opponents, but the month of September has proven to be every bit as difficult. No. 7 Louisiana State, which hosts Auburn in a battle of two 3-0 SEC teams, is 26-1 over its last 27 home games - but has rolled off a FBS-best 28 consecutive victories in September since a 2006 setback against Saturday’s foe. LSU has blended its usual stout defense with a resurgent offense led by first-year offensive coordinator and former NFL coach Cam Cameron.

Auburn is coming off last Saturday’s dramatic 24-20 home victory over Mississippi State, which snapped its 10-game losing streak within the conference. Auburn will have its hands full in its first game away from home as it tries to end its seven-game road losing streak in a venue in which it has not won since 1999.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with an 83 percent chance of thunderstorms.
LINE: LSU opened as a 16-point fave and is currently -16.5. The total opened at 56 and is now down to 55.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.

Michigan Wolverines at Connecticut Huskies (+17.5, 51)

A week after defeating rival Notre Dame in an emotional affair, No. 14 Michigan needed a goal-line stand in the final seconds to hold off an upset bid from Akron. Following a mass exhalation, the Wolverines travel to Connecticut looking to wrap up the non-conference portion of their schedule unbeaten. Michigan won the only meeting in the series 30-10 in 2010.

For UConn, a nationally televised date with Michigan is truly a step onto the big stage but the timing couldn't be worse. Not only are the Huskies winless but limp into the contest with many questions, especially on the offensive side of the ball. A few years after boasting one of the nation's best rushing attacks, UConn enters next-to-last in the nation at 59 yards per game.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 21 percent chance of rain.
LINE: The line opened at UConn +17.5. The total opened at 52 but has moved down to 51.
TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 4-0 in Huskies last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Huskies are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss.

New Mexico State Aggies at UCLA Bruins (-42, 66.5)

After scoring 38 consecutive points to beat Nebraska 41-21 last week, 15th-ranked UCLA returns home Saturday to face winless New Mexico State. The Bruins are 42-point favorites over the Aggies, who have lost their first three games by a 93 combined points.

The Aggies are allowing an average of 47.3 points and scoring 16.3 per game under first-year coach Doug Martin. Bruins sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley entered the Heisman Trophy discussion with his play last week when he threw for 294 yards and three touchdowns and rushed 19 times for 61 yards.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s and wind will blow toward the north end zone at 6 mph.
LINE: UCLA opened as a 40-point home fave and is currently -42. The total opened at 66 and is up to 66.5.
TRENDS:

* Over is 7-0 in Aggies last seven games overall.
* Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Pac-12.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michigan State at Notre Dame: What bettors need to know

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4.5, 42)

An unblemished regular season in 2012 is a distant memory for No. 21 Notre Dame, which needed a spectacular comeback last week to avoid taking a losing record into Saturday's home matchup with 24th-ranked Michigan State. It marks the third consecutive Big Ten Conference opponent for the Fighting Irish and the first road test for the Spartans, who debuted in the Top 25 this week. Notre Dame turned in a suffocating defensive effort in a 20-3 win at Michigan State last season.

The matchup provides an intriguing contrast in styles: The Irish are averaging 29.7 points behind an outstanding passing game while the Spartans lead the nation with an average of 177 total yards allowed. "When you're talking about the No. 1 defense, there's a reason for it,” Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly said. "It's personnel-driven and certainly there's scheme. So you have to be aware of both." The Spartans are 11-2 in non-conference play since 2011 - with both losses coming to the Irish.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Notre Dame opened as high as -7.5 and has been bet down to -4.5. The total has moved from 41 to 42 points.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing NW at 11 mph.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (3-0, 1-2 ATS): The Spartans have been waiting for someone to emerge from a crowded quarterback competition and sophomore Connor Cook did just that in last week's 55-17 rout of FCS foe Youngstown State, throwing for four first-half touchdowns and 202 yards overall to seize the starting job. Running back Jeremy Langford has scored four touchdowns and is averaging 4.5 yards per carry but coach Mark Dantonio termed him a player that can "pop a big one." Still, the onus will fall on Michigan State's defense, which ranks fifth nationally with an average of 126.7 passing yards against but has yet to face a high-powered offense.

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (2-1, 0-3 ATS): The biggest concern entering the season was how to replace suspended quarterback Everett Golson (academics), but Tommy Rees has allayed any doubts by throwing for 969 yards in the first three games. He threw two scoring passes to DaVaris Daniels during a 21-point blitz in a span of 3 1/2 minutes against Purdue and can become the first Notre Dame QB to open a season with four consecutive 300-yard games. The more pressing concern for the Irish is plugging the holes in a defense that has surrendered 65 points in the last two games - one fewer than it allowed in the first seven contests last season.

TRENDS:

* Spartans are 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Notre Dame.
* Road team is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Spartans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
* Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Notre Dame is 25-2 in games in which it has outrushed its opponent under Kelly.

2. Cook is the first Michigan State player to throw four TD passes in a half since Drew Stanton in 2005.

3. The Irish are seeking their 10th consecutive win in South Bend.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arizona State at Stanford: What bettors need to know

Arizona State Sun Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-5.5, 51.5)

Arizona State is coming off a thrilling yet controversial win, but the Sun Devils have no time to celebrate as they face a tough challenge with Saturday’s road game against Stanford. The 23rd-ranked Sun Devils emerged with a 32-30 victory over Wisconsin last week when the Badgers mismanaged the clock and failed to get off a last-second field goal. Arizona State was fortunate to defeat Wisconsin, but a matchup with No. 5 Stanford should provide another stiff test in what easily could be a Pac-12 title game preview.

The Cardinal have three matchups with ranked teams in the next five weeks, so they will need senior running back Tyler Gaffney (236 yards, three touchdowns in 2013) to be on top of his game. Of course, they won’t be getting any sympathy cards from the Sun Devils, who are in the midst of a six-game stretch that includes four ranked opponents. Arizona State has a standout running back of its own, as Marion Grice rushed for four touchdowns in the bizarre win over Wisconsin.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Stanford opened as a 7.5-point home favorite and has been bet down as low as -6. The total has moved from 48.5 to 51.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with a 40 percent chance of showers and winds blowing west at 9 mph.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (2-0, 1-1 ATS): “This is the game our players have looked toward all offseason,” said Arizona State coach Todd Graham, who added that Saturday’s showdown “is a great opportunity for us to take a step forward as a program.” For that to happen, the Sun Devils will need improved play out of a rushing offense that, despite Grice’s touchdown production, ranks just 85th in the nation with 137.5 yards per game. On the bright side, Taylor Kelly set a career high with 352 passing yards against Wisconsin and has thrown for at least 300 yards in both games this season.

ABOUT STANFORD (2-0, 0-2 ATS): The Cardinal defense, which statistically was the best in the Pac-12 last season, returns eight starters from 2012. However, Stanford has won its first two games on the heels of a dynamic offense led by Gaffney and junior Kevin Hogan, who has five passing touchdowns on the season, two of which have gone to Ty Montgomery. The Cardinal have scored exactly 34 points in each of their first two games – wins over San Jose State and Army – though it’s their pass defense (seventh nationally) that has really turned heads through the season’s first two weeks.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Sun Devils are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in Stanford.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Cardinal and Sun Devils have not faced each other since 2010, when Andrew Luck led Stanford to a fourth-quarter comeback win at Arizona State.

2. Stanford is 8-2 at home against ranked opponents since 2009.

3. Arizona State’s All-American DT Will Sutton has had a quiet start to the season (three total tackles) after leading the Pac-12 with 23.5 tackles for loss in 2012.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Saturday features six matches in the Barclay's Premier League including leaders Liverpool who host a spirited Southampton side with Top 10 aspirations.

We talk to Aron Black at Bet365 to find where action is on some of the hotter fixtures.

Norwich v Aston Villa (+140, +240, +220)

Why bet Norwich: The Canaries have no real injury concerns and will look to field their strongest XI with the tricky Villains in town. Carrow Road is a tough place to play for visitors as Norwich lost just four games their last season and have one win and one draw in two home matches this season.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett

Why bet Aston Villa: Last season, Villa was the only side to get more points on the road than at home and left Carrow Road with a full three points.

Key players out/doubtful: Charles N'Zogbia, Jores Okore

2012-13 fixture result: Norwich 1, Villa 2

Key betting note: In 11 matches in all competitions versus Aston Villa, Norwich have just one victory (five draws, five losses).


Liverpool v Southampton (-167, +300, +550)

Why bet Liverpool: The Reds are on top of the table with 10 points and this fixture represents the last test without star-forward Luis Suárez as he serves the last of his 10-match ban. Striker Daniel Sturridge has picked up the goalscoring legwork and is joint-top scorer in the league with four goals.

Key players out/doubtful: Luis Suárez, Philippe Coutinho, Sebastián Coates, Aly Cissokho, Glen Johnson

Why bet Southampton: Liverpool is riddled with injury and the absence of playmaker Philippe Coutinho will be noticeable. Southampton will be waiting for the match when Rickie Lambert and Pablo Osvaldo get on the same page. If/When it does happen, it will be a formidable attacking duo.

Key players out/doubtful: Daniel Fox

2012-13 fixture result: Liverpool 1, Southampton 0

Key betting note: Southampton has only managed four goals in its last nine league matches.

Where the action is: "The action so far loves the home team, but smart money likes the under 2.5 goals at +100. A game like this is one where a side like Southampton would take the draw from the off, and its very possible that this game is more of a war of attrition than a spectacle of good football"


Newcastle v Hull (-125, +260, +425)

Why bet Newcastle: Manager Alan Pardew will be able to field the same starting XI that defeated Villa 2-1 last time out. Tricky winger Hatem Ben Arfa is playing arguably his best football since joining the Magpies as he has notched a pair of goals in four matches and leads all players with 13 attempts from open play.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor, Jonás Gutiérrez, Gabriel Obertan, Shola Ameobi

Why bet Hull: Striker Yannick Sagbo is back after serving a 3-match ban and could replace Danny Graham in the starting XI. Hull has had a predictably slow start to the campaign on just four points, but are coming off a decent draw versus Cardiff.

Key players out/doubtful: Robert Koren

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Hull is undefeated in its previous five matches versus the Magpies in all competitions.


West Brom v Sunderland (+105, +240, +310)

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies sit 19th in the table, while the visitors Sunderland sit 20th. Not the most enticing matchup of the day. If anything, West Brom playing at home yields the only advantage. Sunderland has mustered a pathetic five shots on target in its two away matches this season.

Key players out/doubtful: George Thorne, Ben Foster, Zoltán Gera

Why bet Sunderland: So perhaps the Paolo Di Canio experiment has failed? Sunderland spent money in the window (Jozy Altidore, Emanuele Giaccherini for example) but just can't seem to find a finished a product. This is a talented side on paper, but the clock must be ticking on Di Canio. This team needs a victory more than anyone.

Key players out/doubtful: Phillip Bardsley, Wes Brown

2012-13 fixture result: West Brom 2, Sunderland 1

Key betting note: The Baggies have six wins and one draw in their last seven matches against Sunderland.


West Ham v Everton (+230, +230, +140)

Why bet West Ham: The Hammers have not scored a goal in three matches and with big Andy Carroll out for some time, goalscoring struggles could continue. Even with their scoring woes, the Hammers are 10th in the table and have allowed just one goal. Their defense can't carry them all season, however. It's time for somebody to step up and score.

Key players out/doubtful: Andy Carroll, Alou Diarra, Joe Cole, Stewart Downing

Why bet Everton: It was slow out of the gates for Roberto Martinez and the Toffees, but a huge 1-0 win over Chelsea will have Everton flying high. Young attacker Ross Barkley has been excellent in his four appearances and Seamus Coleman has been a perfect fullback opposite the much-celebrated Leighton Baines.

Key players out/doubtful: Antolin Alcaraz

2012-13 fixture result: West Ham 1, Everton 2

Key betting note: West Ham has just six shots on target thus far, lowest in the league.


Chelsea v Fulham (-333, +475, +1100)

Why bet Chelsea: World class players all over the pitch. The "Chosen One" back at Stamford Bridge to return the club to its glory days. The deep pockets of Roman Abramovich. All this and the Blues lost at home to a nifty Basel side in Champions League and an away loss to Everton in the league. Fulham is a great opponent to right the ship.

Key players out/doubtful: Tomas Kalas

Why bet Fulham: Three of Fulham's four points have come on the road as they defeated Sunderland to start their campaign. The Cottagers should have had all three points versus West Brom, but were robbed cruelly at the death in their last match to come out with just one point. Fulham has shown little going forward as striker Dimitar Berbatov is not at his best.

Key players out/doubtful: Maarten Stekelenburg, Bryan Ruiz, Aaron Hughes

2012-13 fixture result: Chelsea 0, Fulham 0

Key betting note: Chelsea manager Jose Mourinho has never lost a Premier League home game (48 wins, 14 draws).

Where the action is: "Chelsea, at the price, are one of the bankers for the weekend. Money so far loves the home team, and the big price on Fulham is seeing bits and pieces as well."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's MLB American League betting cheat sheets

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's American League games:

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Rays right-hander Alex Cobb was sensational in his previous start, allowing two runs over eight innings while striking out 10 in a 6-2 victory over the Texas Rangers.

Cold batting stat: Orioles sluggers Chris Davis and Adam Jones are a combined 3-for-14 with five strikeouts against Cobb.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The over is 6-1 in Cobb's last seven starts on four days' rest.


Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics (-230, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Jarrod Parker was roughed up last time out, charged with eight runs - seven earned - on 11 hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 12-1 loss to the Los Angeles Angels.

Hot batting stat: Twins C Ryan Doumit is 3-for-7 with a pair of walks in his career against Parker.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with a 55 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow out to center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 16-4-2 in Oakland's last 22 Saturday games.


Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians (-255, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Indians left-hander Scott Kazmir is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in two career starts against Houston.

Hot batting stat: Astros 2B Jose Altuve is 3-for-3 with a double lifetime versus Kazmir.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 65 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow in from center field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Cleveland is 7-1 in Kazmir's last eight starts as a home favorite.


Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-140, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Rick Porcello has won back-to-back starts, allowing just two runs over 15 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Detroit CF Austin Jackson has struggled mightily against White Sox lefty Chris Sale, going just 2-for-27 with 12 strikeouts in his career.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with a 20 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Detroit has won 11 of Porcello's previous 12 starts against Chicago.


Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander Clay Buchholz has allowed just an unearned run on five hits in two starts since returning from the disabled list.

Hot batting stat: Boston DH David Ortiz is a career .343 hitter with two home runs and 13 RBIs in 70 at-bats against Toronto left-hander Mark Buehrle.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 40 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: Boston has won 10 of its last 11 games against a lefty starter.


Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals (-104, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Royals right-hander Jeremy Guthrie has been sensational at home in 2013, going 9-4 with a 4.37 ERA in 15 starts.

Hot batting stat: Kansas City DH Billy Butler is 8-for-20 with three doubles in his career against Rangers right-hander Matt Garza.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The Royals have won 22 of Guthrie's last 26 home starts.


Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (-165, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners left-hander Joe Saunders is just 3-7 with a 6.90 ERA in 12 second-half starts after going 8-8 with a 4.24 ERA in the first half.

Cold batting stat: Angels OF Mike Trout has just two hits in nine at-bats against Saunders.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-1-1 in Los Angeles' last 11 games against a left-handed starter.


Interleague

San Francisco Giants at New York Yankees (-155, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: New York right-hander Ivan Nova is 6-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 11 starts and one relief appearance at Yankee Stadium this season.

Cold batting stat: Yankees 1B/DH Mark Reynolds is a .212 career hitter with 85 strikeouts in just 199 at-bats against San Francisco.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Yankees have won Nova's last five interleague starts.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:05 p.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's MLB National League betting cheat sheets

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Saturday's National League games:

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Braves right-hander Kris Medlen has won four consecutive starts, allowing just three runs in 27 2/3 innings over that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Atlanta OF Justin Upton is 3-for-10 with a homer and four RBIs lifetime against Cubs starter Travis Wood.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Atlanta is 27-4 in Medlen's previous 31 starts against teams with losing records.


Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (-114, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Homer Bailey is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA and .224 opposition batting average in 11 second-half starts.

Cold batting stat: Cincinnati OF Jay Bruce has just three hits with eight strikeouts in 21 at-bats versus Pittsburgh starter A.J. Burnett.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with showers expected throughout the evening. Wind will blow out to center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 6-0 in Burnett's last six starts against teams with winning records.


New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (-101, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Mets right-hander Dillon Gee has struggled against the Phillies in his career, going 2-3 with a 7.66 ERA in eight starts and one relief outing.

Hot batting stat: Philadelphia SS Jimmy Rollins has eight hits in 16 career at-bats against Gee.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 65 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to center field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-1 in Gee's last seven starts against Philadelphia.


Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-295, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Nationals righty Stephen Strasburg has been fantastic at home, going 5-4 with a 1.55 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 93 innings.

Hot batting stat: Washington OF Jayson Werth has a pair of hits, including a homer, in three lifetime at-bats versus Miami starter Tom Koehler.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with a 90 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1-1 in Koehler's last seven starts on five days' rest.


St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (+126, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Yovani Gallardo has been terrible against the Cardinals, going 1-10 with a 6.78 ERA in 16 starts.

Hot batting stat: Members of the St. Louis roster has 12 home runs in just 170 at-bats versus Gallardo.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s under sunny skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The home team is 8-1 in umpire Alfonso Marquez's last nine games behind home plate.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (-117, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: Trevor Cahill is 4-0 in his last seven starts, while allowing more than three runs just once in that span.

Cold batting stat: Rockies OF Michael Cuddyer has just three hits in 21 career at-bats against Cahill.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: Arizona has won its last five Saturday games.


Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (+161, 6.5)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw was tagged for four runs over six innings in his previous start against San Diego - one of only four times Kershaw has allowed more than three runs in a game this season.

Hot batting stat: San Diego C Nick Hundley is a .346 hitter in 26 all-time at-bats against Kershaw.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under overcast skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Los Angeles is 14-2 in Kershaw's last 16 Saturday starts.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:11 p.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Total - Saturday, Sep 21 2013 10:15PM
345 Utah / 346 BYU UNDER 61.5 Bookmaker.com (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=8) double-dime bet

Analysis:Big rivalry game with lots of emotion. That often can favor defense. There were just 46 points scored in last year's game won by Utah, 25-21.

I see lots of running in this game, which eats clock. BYU ranks 111th in passing. Cougars Taysom Hill is a running quarterback. He's a good runner, but is just 22-for-66 throwing for 304 yards with more interceptions than touchdown throws.


The Utes should be better prepared for Hill having already faced Chuckie Keeton, one of the better dual threat quarterbacks in the country. The Cougars scored 40 against Texas, but previous to that had put up just 16 points against Virginia.

BYU ranks 36th in defense. The Cougars are holding foes to 3.0 yards per rush with a veteran defensive front and four good linebackers. Utah quarterback Travis Wilson can make big plays with his arm, but he also is still learning to read defenses better. He was picked off three times in the second half during last week's game against Oregon State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2013 7:00PM
368 Stanford -7.0(-115) 5Dimes (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=4) vs 367 Arizona St. triple-dime bet

Analysis:Arizona State was fortunate to beat Wisconsin. Thanks to the officials, the Sun Devils held on at the end to nip the Badgers at home.

Now, though, Arizona State goes on the road to play Stanford. The Cardinal plays physical like the Badgers with a tough defense and strong ground attack, but are a better team. Stanford is off an easy early Saturday afternoon win against Army, while the Sun Devils had to exert a lot of energy in the desert to get past the Badgers in a late Saturday night game.


I don't see the Sun Devils being able to step up their game, which they need to do. Arizona State is 16-33-3 ATS against foes who own a winning home record.

The Cardinal have won 10 consecutive games dating to last season, the second-longest active streak behind Ohio State’s 15 in a row.

Stanford has covered in five of its last six home contests versus Arizona State. The Cardinal won at Oregon last season so they know how to defend against no-huddle option offenses. Stanford held the high-scoring Ducks to only 14 points. Oregon scored at least 35 points on every other opponent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 21 2013 10:15PM
343 Wyoming -3.5(-110) Hilton (http://www.pregame.com/en/main/sports-betting-lines-odds/) vs 344 Air Force double-dime bet

Analysis:Wyoming's Brett Smith is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the nation. He can generate a lot of points against a battered Air Force defense that has allowed an average of 47 points in its last two games and suffered more injuries last week in a 42-20 loss to Boise State.


Air Force couldn't stop Utah State at home two weeks ago giving up 52 points. Smith already has thrown for nine touchdowns. Air Force has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 76.6 percent of their throws.

Wyoming has covered 19 of its last 26 games, including going 6-0 ATS the past six times versus opponents with a losing record.

The Cowboys know they need to pile up wins early as the back end of their schedule is very difficult. The Cowboys also have revenge for a one-point home loss to Air Force last season. Smith didn't play in that game.


Falcons sophomore quarterback Jaleel Awini is learning on the job. He's no match against Smith right now.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

N. Carolina +6.5
Notre Dame -6
Rutgers -2
LSU -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

College Football


12:00 PM ET
2 Stars
Marshall @ Virginia Tech
Take Marshall +10

1 Star
Louisiana Tech @ Kansas
Take Kansas -10

3:30 PM ET
2 Stars
W Virginia @ Maryland
Take Maryland -5

4:00 PM ET
3 STARS
UL Monroe @ Baylor
Take Baylor -30
(play up to -30.5)

2 Stars
Cincinnati @ Miami OH
Take Cincinnati -23

7:30 PM ET
1 Star
Troy @ Mississippi State
Take Troy +14

8 PM ET
3 STARS
Michigan @ Connecticut
Take Michigan -18.5
(play up to -19.5)

10:15 PM
1 Star
Wyoming @ Air Force
Take Wyoming -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDL SPORTS PICKS

5* Baylor-27
3* Phillies
3* Texas A&M -28

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW early phones
5* Wyoming
3* Kansas St
2* San Diego St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappersadvantage
BigEast
LSU Under 57 -120
Arkansas St -3 (-130)
Michigan St + 7(-115)
Charlottesports
North Texas + 33 (-105)
Marshall +10 (-120)
Michigan -17 (-120)
LSU -17 (-120) 2.4 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Medlen is 4-0, 0.98 in his last four starts. Wood is 2-1, 2.33 in his last four.
-- Bailey is 4-0, 1.91 in his last six starts.
-- Gee is 2-1, 2.22 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 3-0, 2.22 in his last seven starts.
-- Gallardo is 3-0, 2.52 in his last six starts. Lynn is 0-0, 2.19 in his last two.
-- Cahill is 2-0, 3.57 in his last four starts.
-- Smith is 1-0, 1.50 in two starts this month.

-- Minnesota won last four Hernandez starts (1-0, 4.35).
-- Sale is 2-1, 3.41 in his last four starts. Porcello is 2-0, 2.31 in his last couple home starts.
-- Buchholz is 3-0, 1.64 in his last four starts.
-- Cobb is 3-1, 3.25 in his last seven starts. Gonzalez is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Guthrie is 2-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
-- Williams is 3-0, 4.19 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Burnett is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Cloyd is 0-3, 10.93 in his last three starts.
-- Koehler is 0-2, 4.76 in his last four starts.
-- McHugh is 0-2, 7.07 in three starts this season.
-- Kershaw is 1-2, 4.38 in his last four starts.

-- Vogelsong is 0-1, 6.23 in his last four starts. Nova is 0-1, 7.71 in last three.

-- Parker is 1-1, 5.79 in his last four starts.
-- Kazmir is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts. Clemens is 0-1, 3.78 in his three starts this season.
-- Buehrle is 0-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 0-4, 6.44 in his last five starts.
-- Saunders is 1-5, 5.61 in his last eight starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Medlen 8-29 (0 of last 10); Wood 6-30 (3 of last 5)
-- Bailey 3-31 (0 of last 12); Burnett 6-28 (1 of last 10)
-- Gee 6-30; Cloyd 4-9
-- Koehler 7-21 (1 of last 5); Strasburg 7-29 (1 of last 5)
-- Lynn 8-31; Gallardo 7-29
-- Cahill 4-23 (0 of last 11); McHugh 2-3
-- Kershaw 3-21 (1 of last 11); Smith 2-5

-- Vogelsong 6-17 (1 of last 7); Nova 6-18

-- Hernandez 2-10 (0 of last 5); Parker 9-30
-- Clemens 1-3; Kazmir 9-29 (5 of last 10)
-- Sale 8-29 (0 of last 6); Porcello 5-28 (0 of last 6)
-- Buehrle 7-31 (1 of last 8); Buchholz 2-14
-- Gonzalez 6-26 (0 of last 8); Cobb 4-20
-- Garza 2-23; Guthrie 9-30
-- Saunders 11-31 (4 of last 6); Williams 6-23 (1 of last 9)

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Philly games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Pittsburgh games. Five of last six Cincinnati tilts went over.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight San Diego games.

-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Bronx games.

-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland games.
-- Five of last seven Sale starts went over the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Tampa Bay games; six of last seven Baltimore games stayed under the total. Teams played 18 inning game that ended after 2am last night, less than 11 hours before first pitch of this game.
-- Four of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Texas games.
-- Five of last seven Williams starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Oakland games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won their last two games, scoring 14 runs.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Phillies won four of their last six home games. Mets won four of their last six games overall.
-- Reds won five of their last six games.
-- Milwaukee won four of its last six games. Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Colorado won its last two games, scoring 16 runs.
-- Padres won six of their last seven games.

-- Giants won five of their last seven games.

-- Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
-- Indians won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tigers won five of their last six games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Kansas City won five of their last six home games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten games.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Marlins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Arizona lost nine of its last thirteen road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.

-- Bronx lost five of its last seven games.

-- Orioles are 5-7 in their last twelve games.
-- Astros lost their last seven games, outscored 34-11.
-- White Sox lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Blue Jays lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Rangers lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Mariners lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Twins lost eight of their last ten games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Chi-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Conroy games.
-- Cin-Pitt-- Home team won six of last seven Davis games.
-- NY-Phil-- Three of last four Ripperger games stayed under.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Culbreth games.
-- StL-Mil-- Home side won eight of last nine Marquez games.
-- Az-Col-- Over is 12-4-1 in last seventeen Kellogg games.
-- LA-SD-- Last four HGibson games stayed under the total.

-- SF-NY-- Favorites won last fifteen Nauert games.

-- Min-A's-- Eight of last eleven Hudson games went over total.
-- Hst-Clv-- Home team won seven of last eight Baker games.
-- Chi-Det-- Seven of last nine Winters games stayed under.
-- Tor-Bos-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Gonzalez games.
-- Blt-TB-- Eight of last twelve Everitt games stayed under.
-- Tex-KC-- Under is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Wolf games.
-- Sea-LA-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Drake games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Milwaukee

The Cardinals look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is 0-6 in Yovani Gallardo's last 6 home starts against St. Louis. St. Louis is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 21
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 15.547; Cubs (Wood) 14.256
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.341; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.229
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Over


Game 955-956: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 14.581; Philadelphia (Cloyd) 14.279
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Over


Game 957-958: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 13.330; Washington (Strasburg) 16.393
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-300); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-300); Under


Game 959-960: St. Louis at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.548; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.033
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under


Game 961-962: Arizona at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 14.898; Colorado (McHugh) 13.776
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over


Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.166; San Diego (Smith) 13.765
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-175); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-175); Under


Game 965-966: Minnesota at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hernandez) 15.106; Oakland (Parker) 14.473
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+200); Over


Game 967-968: Houston at Cleveland (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Clemens) 14.361; Cleveland (Kazmir) 15.637
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-260); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-260); Over


Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.174; Detroit (Porcello) 15.225
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under


Game 971-972: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.153; Boston (Buchholz) 16.983
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 973-974: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.835; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.442
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 975-976: Texas at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Garza) 15.488; Kansas City (Guthrie) 16.634
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+100); Over


Game 977-978: Seattle at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Saunders) 14.584; LA Angels (Williams) 16.634
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-175); Under


Game 979-980: San Francisco at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.641; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.912
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-155); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Los Angeles at Phoenix

The Sparks look to bounce back from their loss in Game 1 and take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 7-21-1 ATS in its last 29 home games. Los Angeles is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 21
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 659-660: Atlanta at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 104.384; Washington 116.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 12 1/2; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2 1/2); Over


Game 661-662: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 116.327; Phoenix 114.163
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 161 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+1 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Selections for Early Saturday, September 21st

2013 ACC Coastal Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
North Carolina/Georgia Tech under 58 1/2Early Best Bets
Marshall/Virginia Tech under 49
San Jose State/Minnesota under 51
Rice/Houston under 64 1/2
Louisiana Tech/Kansas over 50 1/2

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Totals 4 You Selections for Afternoon Saturday, September 21st

2013 SEC East Division Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Tennessee/Florida under 46 1/2

Afternoon Best Bets
Purdue/Wisconsin over 48 1/2
Utah State/Southern California over 51 1/2
Michigan State/Notre Dame over 42 1/2
Arkansas/Rutgers under 44

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Totals 4 You Selections for Late Saturday, September 21st

2013 PAC 12 Conference Primetime Total of the Year!!!!!
Arizona State/Stanford over 51 1/2Late Best Bets
Colorado State/Alabama over 51
Auburn/Louisiana State under 54
Kansas State/Texas under 59
Utah/Brigham Young under 62

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1099-828 (57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat Cinci Bearcats -21

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Atslocks

Wake Forest -3

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Guaranteed Sports Picks

CFB

Maryland - 4
Tenn + 17 1/2
Mich - 17 1/2

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Sports Betting Professor Original NCAAF
Games with an * next to them are the strict system bets.

1 PM
326. Eastern Michigan +10*
7:30 PM
382. San Diego St. +8.5*

Rest of Games
318. Army +2.5
329. Marshall +10
361. Louisiana Tech +10.5
370. Akron +6
347. Hawaii +7
386. UTEP +3
388. Indiana +2.5
344. Air Force +5

2013 Sports Betting Professor NCAAF Original System
System (3-gm chase): 6-1
Overall picks: 17-18-2, -2.8 units
System Plays straight up: 6-8, -2.8 units
'Other Plays straight up: 11-10-2, +0.0 units
Fade all plays straight up: 18-17-2, -0.7 units

2012 Sports Betting Professor NCAAF Original System
System (3-gm chase): 29-4
Overall picks: 96-104-6, -18.4 units
System Plays straight up: 29-30, -4.0 units
'Other Plays straight up: 67-74-6, -14.4 units
Fade all plays straight up: 104-96-6, -1.9 units
Fade System Plays straight up: -1.9 units
Fade 'Other Plays straight up: +0.3 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT

Play On - Any team (DETROIT) terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, in September games
174-105 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% 58.8 units )
42-45 this year. ( 48.3% -7.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at OAKLAND

MINNESOTA is 57-46 (+32.4 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span over the last 2 seasons.

The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX

Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game
202-121 since 1997. ( 62.5% 68.9 units )
27-15 this year. ( 64.3% 10.5 units )

WNBA LOS ANGELES at PHOENIX

Play Against - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LOS ANGELES) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games
63-29 since 1997. ( 68.5% 0.0 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at WASHINGTON

Play Against - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ATLANTA) an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good offensive team (72-76 PPG), after allowing 70 points or more in 4 straight games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll Sports

2* Pittsburgh/Duke - Over 51 (CFB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINE CHANGERS

CFB

5* San Jose State +4.5
5* Maryland -4
3* Michigan -19
3* LA Lafayette-6
1* Marshal +9.5
1* Wisconsin -22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

CFB
Pittsburgh -4.5 over Duke
Gamblers will look back to week 1 when the Seminoles and their freshman QB threw all over this Pitt Defense which actually is pretty good. People soon found out that is no ordinary freshman under center for FSU. Duke is a young football team that is now on their backup quarterback only 3 games into the year. Pitt has weapons on offense and they have a very capable quarterback. Again, this is a Duke team in a rebuilding year and the loss of Boone is going to slow things up. Take Pittsburgh.

Michigan -20 over UConn
You can breakdown Michigan’s close win against Akron as much as you would like. They simply just thought they had to show up to win that game and it almost cost them. UConn is not balanced. They are last in the nation at running the ball. This Huskies team has a couple decent receivers, but again when the defense knows the ball is going in the air it’s a different story. Simply put Michigan has too good of a coach to play down to the competition two weeks in a row. This is a statement game. If they are not covering this spread by the end of the half I would be shocked. Michigan will not let off the gas in this game. Take the Wolverines

Maryland -6 over West Virginia
WVU has owned Maryland in the past so why are the Terps a decent size favorite? Simple. They are the better team. Maryland gets after the QB and in fact has the most sacks in the nation. This is WVU offense that is in rebuild mode to begin with and the WVU defense is below average. Today is the day Maryland gets to beat their rival at home in front of their home fans. They have to win this game. The Terps have 5 or 6 running backs who are having very good seasons so far. They have the more dominate offensive weapons on the field and by far are the better defense. Take Maryland.

New Mexico State 42.5 over UCLA
UCLA has been on an emotional rollercoaster the last few weeks. They had a player pass away and came out flat in Nebraska only to turn it on and dominate that game the final 3 quarters. They now are back home and will be playing their first home game since their player’s death. It will be emotional and simply put this is a classic letdown game parlayed with UCLA probably allowing their freshman to get a lot of playing time If they do get a big lead they will pull their starters. There is no reason to run up the score today. New Mexico State will be going with a QB change today, but they really are not that bad in the air. This defense is brutal. I expect UCLA to run away with this early, but I think this point spread is just a little too high. Look for UCLA to run a basic vanilla offense just to get out of the game injury free. If New Mexico State can score a touchdown at some point I think they cover. Take New Mexico State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting As A Business

San Diego St. +8 / Oregon St. 7:30 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON San Diego St.)

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Ben Burns Breakfast Club Blowout

Georgia Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Dog Pound GOW

San Jose State

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RightSideValuePlays

Free play CFB

Ball St -10

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Matt Fargo 10* Ultimate Underdog

Airforce

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ATS Lock Club
7 units Penn State
7 units Cincinnati
1 unit parlay-Penn State/Cincinnati
6 units Texas
5 units Oregon st
5 units Troy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

rice
colo st
sdst

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XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL

· Play Los Angeles Dodgers -160 over San Diego (TOP MLB PLAY)
8:40 PM EST

Clayton Kershaw has won 16 of the last 20 games when pitching on a Saturday and he has won 53 of the last 81 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. Clayton Kershaw has won 57 of the last 89 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has an ERA of 1.94 in all starts this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL -Saturday

4* Best Bet = MARYLAND
3* = BAYLOR
3* = SYRACUSE
2* = San Diego State
2* = Wyoming

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex B. Smith Sports

2* on Northern Illinois (-14.5) vs Eastern Illinois (Best Bet)
2* on Alabama/Colorado State OVER 52 (Best Bet)
2* on Maryland (-4.5) vs West Virginia (Best Bet)
1* on Syracuse (-14.5) vs Tulane
1* on San Jose State (+4) vs Minnesota
1* on Mid Tenn State (-4.5) vs Florida Atlantic
1* on Nebraska (-21.5) vs South Dakota State
1* on Kansas (-10.5) vs Louisiana Tech
1* on Michigan State (+5) vs Notre Dame
1* on Michigan State (ML +235) vs Notre Dame
1* on UT-San Antonio (-1.5) vs Texas El-Paso
1* on UTSA/UTEP UNDER 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

148-100-2 run

24-17-3 run last 44 plays

pod louisville game under 56.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure Lock

UTSA -2

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SB Professor NCAAF 3.0 Picks - 9/21


Saturday 9/21
12:30 PM 376. Syracuse -17
8 PM 287. Missouri -2
Rest of Games
317. Wake Forest -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Texas San Antonio -145 over UTEP
(System Record: 17-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 17-9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Lierse + Kortrijk UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 459-15, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 459-394-61

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Colorado Rockies -122 over Arizona Diamondbacks
(System Record: 80-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 80-89-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

"Pinnacle" Underdog "GOY"
SAN DIEGO ST + pts.


"Inner Circle" Favorite of the Month - TEXAS - pts

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Brian Edwards

Maryland
Stanford
Wisconsin over
LSU

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The Gold Sheet

Key Releases

WISCONSIN by 35 over Purdue
WYOMING by 14 over Air Force
UTAH by 4 over BYU
MICHIGAN STATE by 3 over Notre Dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA
5* San Jose St +4

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Paul Leiner

100* Cardinals -135

100* Michigan State +6

50* Marshall +10

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CKO

11 *TEXAS A&M over Smu
Late CKO Score Forecast:
*TEXAS A&M 57 - Smu 17


10 *FLORIDA over Tennessee
Late CKO Score Forecast:
*FLORIDA 38 - Tennessee 13


10 CINCINNATI over *Miami-Ohio
Late CKO Score Forecast:
CINCINNATI 45 - *Miami-Ohio 13


10 KANSAS STATE over *Texas
Late CKO Score Forecast:
KANSAS STATE 31 - *Texas 26

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

INDIANA
AIRFORCE
UTAH STATE

are the other three plays to make the root trust

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones

2 Units: Virginia Tech -9.5 12:00 PM EST
2 Units: Colorado State +39 7:00 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ats insiders club

Army +2.5
Ball St. -9.5
Massachusetts +30

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony redd

75 dime hawaii

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace adams

2000 lock ul monroe

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Northcoast totals

3'* under 67 Wyoming
3'* under 50' La tech
3* over 58 north carolina
3* under 57 hawaii

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad wilton

50 dime mich st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan rosica

80 Dime Winner
LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff benton

50 dime maryland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al demarco

5 DIME DOUBLE-DIGIT DESTROYER
baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Edwards

Maryland
Stanford
Wisconsin over
LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve budin

100 dime penn st

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JMR Consultants

Southern Methodist +28

North Texas +33

Connecticut +21

Florida Gators UNDER 45-

Purdue Boilermakers UNDER 48-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club Selections 21/09/2013
CFB:
#315 Tennessee +16
#329 Marshall +10.5
#375 Tulane +17
25* #368 Stanford -6.5
#353 Rice/Houston OVER 65
#325 Ball State/Michigan OVER 57

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Each pick is rated from 0.5 to 2.5 units (read about units (http://www.wunderdog.com/units-explained.html)). Risk 1% of your total bankroll per unit and never risk more than a few percent of your bankroll on any pick.
Game: Clemson at N C State (Thursday 9/19 7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on N C State +14.5 (-110) at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
Clemson has eyes on a BCS National Championship appearance, and they cleared their first hurdle in week one when they took down a strong Georgia team 38-35. That game was at home. And, they were out-gained. But, thanks to a +1 turnover advantage, they escaped. The Tigers have two big hurdles left with Florida State and South Carolina, providing they don't get tripped up elsewhere. No one can question the offense, but the defense allowed 411 yards per game a year ago, ranked #76. Georgia put up 545 yards against them at home, so it looks to still be an issue. Now they take to the road laying two touchdowns. NC State is also 2-0, but have yet to be tested. The Wolfpack have been one of the best teams as a home dog the last few seasons, and held their own on the road vs. Clemson a year ago, losing by 14, getting the cover. They beat Clemson here two years ago as a +7.5 dog by 24, and beat Florida State here outright as a +17 point d og. NC State is 7-1 ATS here in their last nine as a home dog, winning five of those straight-up. Not a single team in this role has beaten them by more than 11 points in the time frame. They are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 at home vs. a team with a winning road record, and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after a bye. Take the points and play on NC State.

Game: Marshall at Virginia Tech (Saturday 9/21 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Virginia Tech -7.5 (-110) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Frank Beamer has certainly had better offenses in his long tenure at Virginia Tech, but his teams have also been more about other parts of the game. They excel on defense and special teams and therefore there are a lot of hidden points in the line that usually go their way. He has himself an impressive defense, one that held Alabama to 206 yards. What was equally impressive was the fact that they held East Carolina, a very good offensive team, to 204 total yards. Over their first three games the Hokies are allowing less than 200 yards per game. Marshall has been impressive offensively, piling up 138 points in three games. But, don't be fooled as they have yet to play even an average defense, and they are not going anywhere in this game. The Herd has met with disaster frequently on the road where they are just 17-35-3 ATS in their last 55 games. The Hokies come in at 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 after scoring less than 20 points in their previous contest. Unde r Beamer, this team is 39-24 ATS as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range. Take Virginia Tech.

Game: North Carolina at Georgia Tech (Saturday 9/21 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Georgia Tech -6 (-110) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
When Paul Johnson came over from Navy, everyone scratched their heads, and said the option would not work in a power conference. Well guess what? They were dead wrong. All they have done is pile up 356 yards per game on the ground this season and sophomore QB Vad Lee has led the way. Lee is not only the leading rusher, but he finally gives the Jackets someone that can throw the ball as Tech has almost as many scores through the air (6), as they have on the ground (7). Carolina gave up over 400 yards to Middle Tennessee at home, as well as 26 first downs, and they are going to struggle against this more balanced Tech attack. Tech went for 68 points last year, and piled up nearly 600 yards, and their offense has improved more than the Heels defense has this season. The Heels are just 12-32 ATS in their last 44 after throwing for 280+. Play on Georgia Tech.

Game: North Texas at Georgia (Saturday 9/21 12:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Georgia -33 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.43)
Most don't know that prior to 1979, North Texas was a division-1 program. But, then athletic director Hayden Fry left the athletic program with so much debt, they were demoted to div-1AA. It wasn't until 1995 when a bunch of donors bought big blocks of seats, that allowed them to rejoin the division-1 ranks, now known as the FBS. The program joined the Sun Belt Conference, and proceeded to win four straight titles. Darrell Dickey was the coach then, but following a 5-18 run over two years he was fired in 2006. It may now be a regretful decision, as the Mean Green have since gone 17-55 winning just 27% of their games. How do we take advantage? Since the wins are so elusive then the first place to look is what happens to this team after a win. Do they gain confidence? Or are they so thrilled, that they suffer a letdown in their next game? The answer: Following their last 23 wins, North Texas has gone 0-23 straight up and 4-19 ATS. Despite the average line in these games being +9.1, the Mean Green have been out-scored 835-396 or by 19.1 points per game. So, on average they are not just failing to cover, they are doing so by a whooping 10 ppg. While they have allowed better than 36 ppg, they have only reached that total once themselves (37). This Saturday they will try to break free from the streak, but playing between the hedges in Georgia will make that very tough. This will be their first trip into SEC territory with the streak active, so those Bulldogs may be ready to run them off the field. Under Mark Richt, the Dogs are 36-25 ATS off a home win. Georgia big.


Game: Tulane at Syracuse (Saturday 9/21 12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Syracuse -15.5 (-110) at BetPhoenix (http://www.betphoenix.com/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
The end of the Big East creates a new beginning for the Syracuse Orange. In their first season in the ACC, the Cuse will host Tulane. Syracuse suffered heavy key losses on offense this season. but, they have moved the ball well thus far in 2013 vs. a pair of excellent Big-10 schools in Penn State and upstart Northwestern. Tulane had what looked like an upset win vs. Louisiana Tech last week, but ell short. That loss shows just how far the Techsters have fallen from a year ago. They lost almost everyone from a high-octane offense, as they managed only 27 points vs. Lamar. What might be more telling is the fact that Tulane, who won all three of their games the last two seasons vs. FBS schools, lost already this season at home to South Alabama while surrendering 41 points. The Green Wave is just 6-16 ATS following a spread win in their last 22. The Orange have been 5-0-1 ATS in their last six at home, and have an easy one here. Take the Orange.

Game: Houston vs. Rice (Saturday 9/21 3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Rice +3 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.95)
The Houston Cougars have had a pair a big-time college QBs in recent years that put them on the map (Kevin Kolb, Case Keenum), but they have been fighting their way through since Keenum's departure. This season they have opened the season at 2-0, and look to have something going. But, it's hard to get too excited after a big win vs. Southern in their opener, and Temple looked like a pretty decent win until last week when the Owls fell to FBS Fordham at home 30-29. Rice not only held their own vs. Texas A&M, they actually out-gained the Aggies by producing over 500 total yards in the game. The Owls followed with another win over a BCS Conference team in beating Kansas by 9 at home. The Owls have something going, and won their last five a year ago, including a surprise Bowl bid as they cruised past Air Force 33-14. This is a team that hasn't competed for a while, but they have a lot of quality athletes and are experienced and confident right now. Th e Owls are still under the radar and are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. a winning team. They are also a 13-2 ATS under head coach David Bailiff in close games with a line set between -3 and +3. Play this one on the home team and back Rice.

Game: Arkansas at Rutgers (Saturday 9/21 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Game Total UNDER 45 (-110) at Sportsbook.com (http://www.sportsbook.ag/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
Last week was very telling for Arkansas. They should have destroyed a weak Southern Mississippi team that is winless in 15 straight games. But when Brandon Allen went down with an injury, the Razorbacks threw the ball just six times. Overall they ran the ball 56 times against a defense that is highly suspect and did not do it very well, gaining just 4.6 yards per carry. Allen is out this week, so the Razorbacks' offense that is not that great to begin with is going to be worse. The good news is that their defense has allowed just 38 points in three games and comes in ranked #6 best in the country in the early going. Rutgers had a fluke in their opener that saw them lose 52-51 at Fresno State, but they managed just a total of 66 points vs. Norfolk State and Eastern Michigan combined - a pair of extremely weak defensive teams. Rutgers is always good against the run, and even though Fresno hung a 52 on them, they ran for just 3.5 yards per carry on 23 attempts. The Scarlet Knights are now 21-7 to the UNDER in their last 28 including 7-0 to the UNDER following an ATS loss. The defenses are far superior to the opposing offenses here, so take the UNDER.

Game: Louisiana Monroe at Baylor (Saturday 9/21 4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Baylor -29 (-110) at Bookmaker (http://wunderdog.com/idevadman/click.php?id=21&action=4) (risk 1.50 to win 1.36)
Before RGIII put the Baylor Bears on the map, they had trouble getting the type of athletes to compete in the rugged Big-12. That has all changed now. Upon his departure, most thought the offense would leave with him but Nick Florence had something to say about that. Last year he led the Bears' offense to more yards and more points per game than RGIII di. That shows the fact that the Bears are now getting better athletes. It is now Bryce Petty's turn and all he has done is throw for an unthinkable 16.3 yards per attempt, as the Bears are running and passing to even greater heights. UL Monroe scored 0 at Oklahoma and just 21 points at Wake Forest. They will be hard pressed to produce enough to even make this remotely close. They had a good team last year and gave Baylor fits at home, but the Bears won't be caught off guard this time, and they have them in their house this time. This one looks like a colossal blowout. The Bears are 20-8 ATS in all games the past three seasons including 13-2 ATS at home and 10-1 ATS at home with a total set at 63 or higher. Under head coach Art Briles, Baylor is 19-8 ATS as a favorite and 11-3 ATS in expected shootouts (games with totals set at 63 or higher). Lay the points with Baylor.

Game: Arizona State at Stanford (Saturday 9/21 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Stanford -5.5 (-110) at Bookmaker (http://wunderdog.com/idevadman/click.php?id=21&action=4) (risk 1.00 to win 0.91)
There simply is not a lot of high-profile games this week, but this one qualifies as the closest thing. Stanford brings in their top 5 ranking to face Arizona State who comes in at #23. One big difference between these teams is that Sun Devils expended a lot of energy and emotion last week, as they won at home by 2 against Wisconsin on a failed 2-point conversion. Stanford had a much easier game vs. Army that finished looking closer than it was as Army scored with :17 seconds to go to turn 34-13, into a 34-20 final. The biggest problem for Arizona State is going to be stopping the explosive running game of the Cardinal. Last week, Wisconsin went for 7.2 yards per carry against them. Arizona State has struggled for a long time on the road especially vs. good teams as they are 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning home record. The Cardinal have been a superb cover team at 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53. Since David Shaw took over here, Stanford is an incredible 17-5 ATS following a win. Go with the home team.

Game: Colorado State at Alabama (Saturday 9/21 7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.0 unit on Alabama -39 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.00 to win 0.95)
Last week Alabama sought and got revenge in their rematch with Texas A&M- the only team that beat the Tide a year ago. I think most expect Alabama to come out as flat as a pancake vs. a soft opponent in Colorado State. I heard a few interviews with players addressing exactly that issue. The response was this week is our first home game of the year, and it will be exciting, and you can't be flat with 100,000 cheering for you. Nick Saban doesn't let down. Under his guidance Alabama is 31-19 ATS after back-to-back wins and 24-12 ATS after gaining 6.25+ yards per paly last game including 10-2 ATS after gaining 7.25+ ypp. Let's put things in perspective here. The last seven times a team came here as a FBS opponent, but was not a BCS Conference opponent, the Tide has won by a total score of 314-24. That is an average score of 45-3. This may be the most offensive Tide team of all, so 60 points is not out of the question here. And none of those team s in the past scored more than 7 points. Colorado State is just 7-17 ATS on the road in their last 24. This is a ton of points, but it's not going to be enough. Take the Tide.

Game: Hawaii at Nevada (Saturday 9/21 8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Hawaii +10 (-115) at Sportsbook.com (http://www.sportsbook.ag/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.30)
It doesn't usually pay to run the score up against a team that you will see again and again. Last year Nevada went to the Big Island and smacked the Warriors silly to the tune of 69-28. That included 35 second half points. So, this Hawaii club is going to be up for revenge here, and whatever their "A" game is it is likely to come out here. They aren't the first team to have to come into a game off an opponent that rolled it up on them in their last meeting, but we can learn something vital from those that proceeded them. Underdogs that saw their opponent score 69 or more points against them in the previous meeting come roaring back, as they are 60-34-1 ATS since 1980. You know what they say about payback....so play on Hawaii.

Game: Idaho at Washington State (Saturday 9/21 10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 1.5 units on Washington State -30.5 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.50 to win 1.43)
The Idaho Vandals have made a u-turn from the win column. Since the start of the 2011-12 season, they are 2-24 against FBS teams. If your wondering if Washington State can put enough points up in this game to take out a huge number, consider the fact that their last 12 losses have seen Idaho's opponent score 48.1 points per game. All of their three opponents have topped the 40-point mark this season. Washington State has not had a lot of success, so they may be taking a bigger punch at Idaho here than a team normally would as they have taken enough of their own. The Cougars are an improved team that will play hard here as they have new hope with Mike Leach at the helm - a very high quality coach. The Vandals have been beat up even worse outside of their conference (first year as an independent), as they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12. They are also 10-25 ATS in their last 35 games vs. teams like Washington State that complete 62%+ passing. All Cougs here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Boss

San Jose St.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

357 Kansas St. 6.0 (-110) SportsInterAction vs 358 Texas
Analysis: ›
2* on KANSAS ST. +6


Pick Made: Sep 20 2013 1:16PM PST

349 Utah St. 7.0 (-110) bodog (http://sports.bovada.lv/) vs 350 Southern Cal
Analysis: ›
"PAC-12 GOW" 3* on UTAH ST. +7


Pick Made: Sep 20 2013 1:24PM PST

333 North Carolina / 334 Georgia Tech OVER 50.5 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: ›
(2*) Two Team CFB 7 pt Teaser (-130)

#333/#334 NORTH CAROLINA/GEORGIA TECH OVER 50.5 to #337 SAN JOSE ST. +11.5

325 Ball St. (-122) BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) vs 326 E. Michigan
Analysis: ›
(2*) Two Team CFB $$line Parlay

#325 BALL ST. $$line to #368 STANFORD $$line


Note: IF Ball St $line wins for us, we will have the option to come back and go for the "middle" on Arizona St. this evening.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday's Consensus Picks September 21, 2013 6:27 AM by GT Staff

NCAA Football

307 North Texas +33: The Mean Green catch the Bulldogs in a perfect situation as Georgia is off big win over South Carolina and they get LSU next week.

319 Pittsburgh -4: The Panthers are an improved team this year with a real good passing attack, Duke has gone 0-6 ATS as a dog the last six times in this situation.

325 Ball State -11: The ball will be in the air in this game and Eastern Michigan is a lowly 6-12-1 ATS at home under HC Ron English.

332 Miami Ohio +23: Miami gets home after two weeks on the road and had a week off to get things in order, they get the cover in this one off a big effort.

334 Georgia Tech -5½: We look for both teams to go up and down the field but the Yellow Jackets get the nod in a high scoring affair in front of a huge crowd.

333 North Carolina / 334 Georgia Tech OVER 60

338 Minnesota -4½: Good spot for the Golden Gophers as they look to go 4-0 for the second straight season we think they get the job done and get the cover.

355 Michigan State +7: Notre Dame is not as good as people think and Michigan State fits the same bill, these two will slug it out in a very close game which will come down to a field goal.

357 Kansas State +6: The theme in Austin is what is going on with our program as it is in dissaray, the theme in Manhattan is we own the Longhorns as the Wildcats have beaten Texas 5 straight since 2003.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Play of the Day September 21, 2013 6:45 AM by GT Staff

Michigan State at Notre Dame at 1:30 p.m. PST

Sparty could pull off the outright upset. Irish struggled to beat a weak-to-mediocre at best Purdue.

355 Michigan State +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Weekend Wagers with Weekend Warrior September 21, 2013 7:02 AM by Mark Mayer

NCAA Football

311 Western Michigan +16½: Figure Hawkeyes to come in flat.

333 North Carolina +6½: Tar Heels had two weeks to get prepared.

345 Utah +7: We’ll take a touchdown in the Holy War.

363 Colorado St. +38½: Roll Tide but by less in first post Manziel game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLBettingPicks
Kevin

CFB week 4 picks

Added play

Sat Sept 21st - Wake Forest @ Army - [317] UNDER 48 (-107) *Added*
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MMA Professor Picks 9/21

Brendan Schaub (even) over Matt Mittrione

[Can'tPickAWinner]

60 percent guaranteed

sat. Sept. 21

Wisconsin -23
Penn st . -22
Mizz -2
Stanford -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MajorCovers 9/21

UNC at Georgia Tech Over 58.5
Marshall +10
Maryland -5
Utah St. at USC Under 50
Kansas St at Texas Under 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

200 Iowa/Western Mich under 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UFC 165 betting: Do MMA stats back up Jones' big odds?
By MMAODDSBREAKER

For the first time ever, Jon Jones is going to pick on someone his own size when he puts the UFC light heavyweight belt on the line against Swedish contender Alexander Gustafsson at UFC 165 Saturday.

The champ is currently a -900 favorite over Gustafsson at +600. That’s a big spread, even for a title fight where the lines have a tendency to run away when there’s a popular favorite. Let’s see if the numbers justify the 9-to-1 odds that Jones keeps his belt.

Tale of tape:

Gustafsson recently divulged his real reach is actually 81 inches, contrary to what the UFC has been reporting for years. Even if we take his word for that, despite being slightly taller, Gustafsson will still be at a reach disadvantage.

The more interesting twist for both fighters is that they are finally facing a high-caliber opponent who is the same age. Both fighters have enjoyed running through some older opponents, but there will be no youth advantage for either.

The last variable of note is speculative, and that’s Jones’ stance. He has shown an ability to switch his stance frequently during fights. So while they are both listed as Orthodox, Jones could mix in some southpaw work depending on his fight strategy.

Overall, there’s still a slight edge to the champion, supported by his shorter layoff and far greater big-fight experience.

Striking:

It will definitely be an interesting start to the fight when these two try to establish range. Gustafsson is accustomed to controlling the standup with a high pace and dominant cage control. However, there’s a hole in his game that is worth noting. For a long fighter, his jab accuracy is actually below average and his head striking defense is downright bad.

He may have a better reach than we thought, but that just makes me interpret his historical stats with even more skepticism. A rangy fighter should normally show good jab accuracy and striking defense, but Gustafsson doesn’t.

Jones, on the other hand, has been very accurate with his jab and his defense is excellent. If these two get into a strike-and-fade battle for points, Jones should land more often. The counter point here is Gustafsson’s big power, which comes out to a knockdown rate that is twice as high as Jones’.

Jones will have more versatile attacks while Gustafsson will be head hunting per usual. These are light heavyweights, so if either lands something clean it could be over. If that happens though, it would be a first as both fighters have shown stout chins and have yet to be knocked down.

In the clinch is where things get interesting. Both fighters have used this position to attempt takedowns, and Jones should have the advantage here. So if either fighter closes the distance, it probably won’t be a striking matchup for long.

Grappling:

The ground game more heavily leans towards Jones. Both fighters attempt takedowns at an average pace, but Jones has more success at landing them. On defense, Gustafsson has been good at defending takedowns, but Jones has been perfect. Once on the ground, Jones has never been put on his back, while Gustafsson has spent approximately a third of his time there.

Despite the submission attempt rate favoring the challenger, there’s no doubt that Jones is the greater submission threat. He has secured a variety of submission finishes, including impressive taps and naps from high level BJJ black belts. Gustafsson, on the other hand, has secured two rear naked chokes against opponents with questionable grappling skills.

Jones is more likely to get top control on the ground and once there, he’s shown the ability to work very effectively from guard using strikes. The versatile attack he can mount on the ground all points to a big advantage for Jones, where he can end the fight with submissions or strikes.

Final analysis:

I think Jones will win here, but the straight victory line of -900 is too ridiculous to touch. Jones “inside the distance” is a far more reasonable play at -205, especially considering he has five full rounds to get a stoppage.

Also consider that the Over play of 2.5 rounds is a nearly even return at -120. I wouldn’t be surprised if the two take some time to feel each other out on the feet.

While I think Jones has all the finishing instinct necessary to submit or finish Gustafsson on the ground, the fight may take some time to develop. Two of his title fight submissions have come in the fourth round, bucking the usual trend of late-round submissions getting more difficult to secure.

So even if the fight gets to the third round, Jones is still a big finishing threat. An Over bet could hedge the inside the distance play and if Jones gets a late finish they’ll both hit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Youngstown Connection

Florida Atlantic +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Rays on Friday and likes Arkansas on Saturday.

The deficit is 1518 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo rolling with bama

Fresno State was heroic for Hondo Friday night as Carr wrecked Boise State to lower the accounts payable to 1,860 bryants.

Saturday night: Mr. Aitch is no homer, but nevertheless will drop 20 units on Bailey and the Reds. Also, he expects 'Bama to beat the massive number against Colorodao State - 20 units.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

5*(NCAAF) Michigan -17.5

4*(NCAAF) Maryland -5
4*(MLB) Pittsburgh Pirates ML -114

3*(NCAAF) Ball St -9.5
3*(NCAAF) Texas St/Texas Tech OVER 58
3*(NCAAF) Wyoming -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

CFB
2* Vanderbilt/UMass over 55
2* New Mexico State/UCLA under 67.5
1* Wake Forest/Army over 49
1* Cincinnati/Miami (OH) over 53.5
1* Oregon State/San Diego State over 54.5
1* Michigan/UConn under 52.5
1* Kansas State/Texas under 59.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheSaturdayEdge

Maggiore
michigan -20, 3u

ND/MSTate o42.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

5 unit USC-6-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang:

30 Dimes - Kansas St +6.5
10 Dime Parlay - Wisconsin -23, Col St +39 and Mich St +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Charlie Sports
500* North Carolina/Georgia Tech Over

500* North Carolina

500* Marshall/Virginia Tech Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

5* USC -6'
4* Arkansas +2'
4* Maryland -3'
4* ULL -6
3*duke +4
3* Michigan -18'
3* fAU +3'

[golden contender]

Huge Saturday card has 6* Non Conference Game of the Year with 100% Indicator system, we also have a 5* 100% Big Blowout system and the 97% College Dog of the Month,+ the College Total of the Week, 4-0 this year on totals. All plays with Systems that are Perfect or hitting well over 90% since 1980. College Football on an 11-3 run and 29 games over .500 the last 3+ Seasons. There is also Big 29-2-5* MLB System. Free NCAAF System Club Play below.


On Saturday the free NCAAF System Club is on Miami Ohio +23. Game 332 at 4:00 eastern. I expect the Red Hawks to play much better in this one.as they return home off a pari of road losses. Miami Ohio is one of the worst teams in the country on both sides of the ball. So why on earth would we back them? Simply because they are off a bye week and are getting an over adjusted line. They fit a solid week 3 system that plays on teams that lost back to back games by 10+ points if they have revenge and scored less than 9 points in their last game. These teams are nearly 90% if the lost that last game by 4+ touch downs. They also fit a home dog with rest and revenge system we use when opponent are off a win by 7 or more. Cincy has not really played that tough a schedule and will win here but this one is a classic win and no cover for the favorite. On Saturday we have a Tremendous card backed with the 6* Non Conference Game of the Year with a 100% Indicator and several solid angles. We also have the 5* 97% Dog of the month, the Total of the week which is on a 4-0 run and a Big Perfect system Blowout. MLB Power system play also on the card. College Football is 29 games over .500 the past 2 weeks and 29 games over .500 the last 3+ seasons. message me to Jump on Now and put the Power of this Exclusive Data on your side. For the free NCAAF System Club Play Take Miami Ohio + 23 points. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoopsgooroo 9/21


329 Marshall +9
326 E. Michigan +10
316 Florida -16
335 WVU +4
350 USC -7
356 Notre Dame -5
332 Miami OH +24
369 UL Lafayette -6
381 Oregon St. -7
384 LSU -17
321 Michigan -19
358 Texas -7
387 Missouri -3
345 Utah +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant | CFB Side Sat, 09/21/13 - 8:00 PM غ
triple-dime bet 321 Michigan -19.0 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) vs 322 Connecticut Analysis:
3 Units (MAX BET)

[321] MICHIGAN -19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SabertStxVii
303 Clemson -13.5 (2 units) – LOSER
336 Maryland -4 (3 units)
315 Tennessee +17 (2.5 units)
321 Michigan -17.5 (3.5 units)
324 Wisconsin -23.5 (1.5 units)
362 Kansas -10 (1 unit)
307 North Texas +33 (1 unit)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lines2win

NFL heating up after a 2-1 (+3.35 units) last Sunday 5-2 (+10.15 Units) overall. Ncaaf went 3-2 last week but for a small lost (-1.05 Units). Overall NCAAF is 7-7 (-1.15 Units).

Utah st +7 (2 units) - Utah st very tough, gonna be much closer in the end.

Michigan -21 (3 units) - Last week was a wake up call, Michigan gonna show up to play

Maryland -6 (2 units) - Tough game but Maryland's defense should prevail and get the win.

Stanford -7 (2 units) - Stanford is the better team here.

Kansas State +7 (3 units) - Texas can't stop the run

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley

4-UNITS on Tennessee +16 (Best Bet side) (3:35) (#315)

3-UNITS on Tulane/Syracuse OVER 54' (12:30 et) (#375)

2-UNITS on Rice +3 (3:05 et kickoff on Fox-Net) (#353)

2-UNITS on Miami-Ohio +24 (4:05 et kickoff) (#332)

2-UNITS on Missouri -1' (8:05 et kickoff) (#387)

2-UNITS on Maine +28 (add on special) (3:30)(#437)

2-UNITS on Twins +220 (baseball underdog) (4:05 et start)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS

Added

ohio -30 (446)
uab -14 (448)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Real Animal Sports

Saturday CFB free play is Florida Atlantic +3 1/2

I was shocked Middle Tennessee State struggled so badly last week with Memphis at home before barely winning 17-15. At the time I figured turnovers were the culprit. But the box score reveals a 350-284 edge for Memphis on the road. That is unheard of. The Tigers lost the previous week to Duke at home 28-14. Entering the game at Middle Tennessee State, Memphis was 9-41 SU in their previous 50 games including 2-22 on the road. Their defense last year allowed 33 points or more in their first five road games. So it was shocking to see the Blue Raiders only put up 17-points at home. Now MTSU is a 3 ½-point road favorite at Florida Atlantic? The Owls are 3-0 ATS despite starting out on the road for three games. Last week they got their first win as a 12-point underdog in convincing fashion with a 28-10 upset over South Florida. MTSU is 0-3 ATS so far this year and in the last two weeks have been exposed defensively. They allowed 377 passing yards at North Carolina and in their last two games have yielded 314 rushing yards including a 180-60 deficit on the ground against Memphis at home. Something is up with this team because although they finished 8-4 last year, the Blue Raiders were outscored 28.0-26.6 on average and didnt get to a bowl game. MTSU QB Logan Kilgore has a 2-4 ratio of touchdowns to picks in three games. FAU under Coach Carl Pelini is now 11-2 ATS in their last 11.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe CFB Side Sat, 09/21/13 - 3:30 PM
dime bet - 355 Michigan St. 5.0 (-110) vs 356 Notre Dame

Michigan State takes to the road for the first time after 3 wins over lower tier competition to start the season. Notre Dame is 2-1 but has faced much tougher competition that includes a loss at Michigan and a tougher than expected struggle at Purdue. The Spartans and Irish have a long tradition of tight games dating back decades with 6 of the last 10 meetings decided by a TD or less. Both teams appear to be stronger on defense than on offense this season which makes taking significant points the attractive option. MSU is playing with double revenge and has had success at Notre Dame over the past decade (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS). Scheduling dynamics favor the Spartans who have a Bye next week while Notre Dame will be hosting revenge-minded Oklahoma. MSU is well coached with Dantonio 54-28 SU in 6+ seasons. The Spartans are also a solid 7-2 ATS as underdogs since 2011.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley:“1 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV SYSTEM TOTAL (Arkansas at Rutgers UNDER 44 in a 3:30 eastern kickoff televised nationally on ESPN): It was a little more than one year ago when the Arkansas program was put into a sudden tailspin after former head coach Bobby Petrino became embroiled in an off-the-field controversy that forced the school administration to go against the will of the fans fire him. With a new leader on the sidelines 2012 became forgetful for the Razorbacks who suffered a myriad of upset losses including one versus today’s opponent. Rutgers gained a whopping 525 yards in last year’s upset which has had the Hogs DEFENSE circling this particular encounter on the calendar. For those that watch this late afternoon ESPN televised encounter keep an eye out for Arkansas senior defensive end Chris Smith who has a share of the national lead with 4-and-a-half SACKS of opposing signal callers already. Smith is part of an Arkansas stop-unit that has a current NUMBER SIX national ranking in total defense (with the help of last week’s gem where the Hogs allowed only “three” points). Adding to the luster of this total is that both QUARTERBACKS are dealing with injury. The status of Rutgers signal caller Gary Nova (concussion) is up in the air while Arkansas leader Brandon Allen (shoulder) has been listed as “doubtful”. Here is a 73-PERCENT SYSTEM (43-16 the past decade with a total between 42’-and-49 points) which plays teams like Arkansas after allowing 125-or-less rushing yards in three consecutive games UNDER the total, against an opponent who just gained at least 5-and-a-half yards per rush in the prior outing. Here is an UNDEFEATED three-year totals angle (money line between +3/-3) which sees Rutgers “8-0” UNDER the total

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves

kansas -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Chicago Cubs +130 (moneyline) at Bookmaker

The Atlanta Braves won here yesterday, but most of their damage this season has come at home where they are 52-22 on the season. Despite the win last night, they remain under .500 when taking to the road. That winning percentage on the road does not get much better vs. a losing team where they are just 21-18 as a road favorite, and a negative return on the season. Cubs' starter, Travis Wood, has out-pitched Kris Medlen this season. The Braves have not been answering the bell lately when facing good pitching, as they are just 1-4 in their last five vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15. This dog has some legs, and a bite as well. Play on the Cubs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso 100 vandy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Richard Saber
Gaming Today

College Football

Saturday, Sept. 21

UNC +5½ at GT: This pointspread fits into my new system play perfectly, and we get the Yellow Jackets on a 20-12-1 ATS run. They returned eight starters on defense and have a new defensive coordinator in Ted Roof. His defense is much better this year. Look for GT to get the big win and run their SU/ATS to 3-0 for the season. GEORGIA TECH.

Wyoming -2½ at Air Force: The Cowboys’ lone loss so far was at Nebraska when losing 37-34. They have covered all three of their games so far and look to get revenge from last year’s home loss to the fly boys, 28-27. Wyoming QB Bret Smith is NFL caliber. WYOMING.

Utah +6½ at BYU: The Cougars could be 2-0 this year but suffered a bad loss at Virginia in a driving rain storm. They look for revenge from last year’s 24-21 loss in Salt Lake and the -6½ fits. BYU.

Rice +2½ at Houston: The Houston offense is very explosive but their defense last year was sorry to say the least. It’s much improved this year and the offense may even be better with 10 starters back led by junior QB David Piland. They had little problem with Rice last year winning 35-14. The Cougars have too much fire power for the Owls to handle. HOUSTON.

Kansas St. +6½ at Texas: Would I dare take the messed up Longhorns with their horrible defense and no pride? Well, I must give them one last shot as they do fit nicely into my system. They will be in big revenge mood after losing last year in Manhattan 42-24 as a -10 ½ point chalk. TEXAS.

LA-MONROE +27 at Baylor: Last year’s Sun Belt coach of the year Todd Berry goes big time in their second road game coming off a huge win for the Belt beating Wake Forest last week 21-19. The Warhawks stayed in the game last year against Baylor, losing 47-42, and may catch the Bears looking ahead in two weeks to WVU – a team that beat them last year 70-63. LA-MONROE.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO

7-Unit MLB Total of the Year!

UNDER 7 - Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

*1500 Maryland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Analyzer

Red sox UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Early Seabass:
200 Toledo
200 San Jose State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael David:

San Jose state
michigan state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Ticket

Arizona State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass;
100 UNDER Wake Forrest

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' 10* 30-Club Play -CFB ('signature' release)
Houston Cougars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sweetjones55
Added
Kansas Jayhawks -10 (x1) Game is at 12pm et.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 9/21

Bet Level 1: Michigan State / Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 (Total Points Scored in Game)(NCAA College Football)
(System Record: 142-5, Won last game)
Overall Record: 142-124
Also, listed below is your bonus extra picks for today:
Rutgers -2.5 (buy half point to -2) over Arkansas (NCAA College Football)
Michigan -19.5 (buy half point to -19) over Connecticut (NCAA College Football)
Missouri -2 over Indiana (NCAA College Football)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HAMMER the books



NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
9/21/2013: 5-UNIT NAIL: WISCONSIN BADGERS -22 1/2 vs PURDUE BOILERMAKERS (Released Sat., 9/21 @ 10:29 AM)


9/21/2013: 5-UNIT NAIL: CINCINNATI BEARCATS -23 1/2 @ MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS (Released Sat., 9/21 @ 10:29 AM)


9/21/2013: 7-UNIT DRILL: MARYLAND TERRAPINS -4 1/2 vs WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (Released Sat., 9/21 @ 10:29 AM)


9/21/2013: 7-UNIT DRILL: WYOMING COWBOYS -4 @ AIR FORCE FALCONS (Released Sat., 9/21 @ 10:29 AM)


9/21/2013: 7-UNIT DRILL: TEXAS A&M AGGIES -27 1/2 vs SMU MUSTANGS (Released Sat., 9/21 @ 10:29 AM)


9/21/2013: 10-UNIT HAMMER LOCK BUST YOUR BOOK: ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES -3 @ MEMPHIS TIGERS (Released Sat., 9/21 @ 10:29 AM)


9/21/2013: 10-UNIT HAMMER LOCK BONUS PLAY: TEXAS SAN ANTONIO ROAD RUNNERS -2 1/2 @ UTEP MINERS (Released Sat., 9/21 @ 10:29 AM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

MLB
1* Minnesota/Oakland under 8

MLS
1* Vancouver/Montreal over 2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

Today's Play Of The Day

Stanford -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

All 2*

Tulane/Cuse over 54.5
Baylor/La Mon Over 74.5
Oregon St/ San Diego St over 54.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Philly Godfather

My Moves



CFB [324] TOTAL u49-110 (PURDUE vrs WISCONSIN) 100:

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports Smart Money Moves

wyoming
san diego st
texas san antonio

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo Big 12 GOY

10* Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Sprietzer Blockbuster blowout

Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS UNLIMITED
early small plays
middle tennessee
san jose state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS BANK
500 SAN JOSE STATE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee won on Friday with the A's -$230/Twins.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Red Sox -$200/Blue Jays

"Mr Chalk" is 7-1 +$570 for the week and 100-60 +$792 for the 2013 MLB season.

Ben lee likes three games in college football on Saturday each for $50.

(1) Utah St +7/USC

(2) Michigan St +5/Notre Dame

(3) San Jose St +4/Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive plays:
400 BYU
250 W Va
250 Az St.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Remainder of Seabass Plays:
100 Penn State
100 West Virginia
100 Michigan State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaires club
large
arkansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline --- Notre Dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Top Play:

Indiana

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vegas-runner | CFB Side Sat, 09/21/13 - 8:00 PM
triple-dime bet 358 Texas -6.0 (-110) bodog (http://sports.bovada.lv/) vs 357 Kansas St.
Analysis: **** CFB 3* TRUE STEAM GAME OF THE WEEK ****


TEXAS -6....(3*)












**** UFC 165 MMA 3* FIGHT OF THE WEEK ****




1..) M.R. DOS PRAZERES +125....(3*)






** Bonu‘s UFC 165 MMA 2* PREMIUM PLAY **


2.) K. NURMAGOMEDOV -240....(2*)

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Aaron's Analysis 9/21

michigan st
nevada

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GAMEDAY
4 notre dame
3 utah
2 tennessee
2 maryland

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Big al elite

marshall thundering heard

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Joe Gavazzi

CFB
Tennessee at Florida (-16-) 3:30 ET CBS
5* Florida -16-

The Florida offense in no way resembles the explosiveness of the Oregon attack unit that demolished Tennessee last week. In the Vols 59-14 decapitation, the Flock gained 687 yards. Now Tennessees problem is on the opposite side of the ball, where Defensive Dandy Florida will neutralize the veteran OL of the Vols much like last year. In the 37-20 Florida beatdown in 2012, the Gators won the line of scrimmage with a 336-83 overland advantage. Florida has had 2 weeks to seethe following a Miami loss in which they outgained the rival Hurricanes 413-212. The -4 net TO advantage by Miami was the major difference in that game. Combined with the Vols +6 net TO margin for the year, it gives us our biggest net TO DIFF advantage of the week, a situation that most always points out a winner. QB Florida Driskel and a trio of OL injured v. Miami, all should be at 100% for this bounceback effort by the Gators. Florida has won 8 straight v. Tennessee, covering 6 of those, with the last 6 by double digits. Lone reason for caution is the 1-8 ATS record of HC Muschamp when laying double digits. This week the TOs turnaround and Florida wins going away.

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ExNFLPlayersPicks

3:30 et Florida -15
7:00 et SMU-Texas A&M UNDER 78.5
8:00 et Connecticut +20

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Steve Fezzik
Big 10 Blowout
324 Wisconsin -22.5 (-110)

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UFC 165 betting: Gustafsson no match for Jones

UFC 165: Jon Jones (-900) vs. Alexander Gustafsson (+700)

Jones (18-1) is the best mixed martial artist in the world and he is the reigning and defending UFC light heavyweight champion.

Currently riding a nine-fight win streak since a controversial DQ loss to Matt Hamill in 2009, Jones can break the record for 205-pound title defenses if he gets through Gustafsson this weekend. And the 26-year-old American really should, as he’s just a more complete fighter than Gustafsson at this point in time with his unique mix of unorthodox strikes, crafty submissions, and a ridiculous reach that makes it nearly impossible for opponents to hit him.

Against Gustafsson, Jones will be taking on the tallest opponent of his career and the UFC is marketing the fight on the strength of that angle, but it doesn’t matter how tall Gustafsson is because Jones is just that damn good.

Gustafsson (15-1) is one of the top light heavyweights in the sport and earned his title shot with wins over the likes of Mauricio “Shogun” Rua, Thiago Silva and James Te Huna.

The 26-year-old has good boxing, he circles very well in the cage with his top-notch footwork, and he also has a nifty submission game. He’s big, strong and young and he trains alongside Phil Davis — the only man to ever defeat him — which has really helped improve his wrestling.

But against Jones, Gustafsson is walking into a trap, because outside of a fluke punch or an in-fight injury to Jones I don’t think he has what it takes to dethrone the champion. Although I am a big fan of “The Mauler,” I really believe this is a terrible matchup for him and I don’t think he has what it takes to win. But we’ll see on Saturday night if he does.

Jones will take the fight to the ground and then he will beat Gustafsson’s face in with his elbows, possibly even opening up the cut that caused the Swede to miss his fight against Gegard Mousasi earlier this year.

I think eventually he’s going to get the submission win, but it wouldn’t surprised me if he wins by TKO either. Regardless, Jones will win this fight, and it will be bloody.

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Kelso

100 cinn bearcats
50 rice
5 Wyoming

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Vegas Runner

CFB Leans/Steam :

TENNESSEE
WISCONSIN
MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST
PENN ST
ARKANSAS
LSU
UNDER - AUB/LSU
Used in exotics/courtesy bets.

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Larry Ness' 10* Non-Conf Rivalry G.O.Y. (85% since 2009)
My 10* Non-Conference Rivalry G.O.Y. is on BYU at 10:15 ET.


The Utes opened the 2013 season with THREE straight home games. They escaped with a 30-26 win over Utah State (kicked a ‘covering’ FG with 19 seconds left), despite allowing 487 yards, then manhandled overmatched Weber St, 70-7. However, the third time was NOT the charm, as in Utah’s Pac-12 conference opener, the Utes lost 51-48 in OT to Oregon St. Now let’s throw out the Weber St game and note that the Utah defense has allowed 77 points and 978 yards in just two games. Utah St ran for 173 yards on the Utes plus QB Keeton threw for 314 yards with two TDs and not a single INT. As for the Beavers, they didn’t bother running, as QB Mannion threw for 443 yards with five TDs and no INTs.


Utah now heads out on the road with a pass D, that in two games vs FBS schools, has allowed 757 yards, seven TD passes and zero INTs in 85 pass attempts (OUCH!). Awaiting Utah is hated rival BYU, in a series which first began in ‘96 (that’s 1896!). Think the BYU faithful will be “up” for this contest? Considering Utah has said it is ending the ”Holy War,” I think it’s safe to say the answer is a resounding YES! The two schools were competitors in the same conference for 113 years, before the Utes moved to the Pac-12 in 2011 and BYU became an Independent.


Now historically, BYU has been known for its passing offense and QBs but just two Saturdays ago, the Cougars gashed Texas for 550 yards rushing in a 40-21 win, eclipsing a 55-year-old team record. It was also the most yards rushing Texas has ever allowed. BYU was led by QB Taysom Hill in the Texas game, as he ran for 259 yards, the second-most rushing yards for any player in BYU history.


Utah has beaten BYU three straight times and with the announcement it is ending the series, BYU head coach Bronco Mendenhall may be willing to amend his claim (not that I believed him anyway), that he does not believe in getting his team higher for one game over another and treats them all the same (give me a break!). Here’s what I do know from a little research. Mendenhall is as good as it gets when his team has extra preparation time. Going back to the beginning of the 2009 season, in season-openers, games off a bye week (like here) or in bowl games, Mendenhall’s BYU teams are 13-1 SU and a MONEY-MAKING 11-2-1 ATS, an 85% winning rate. Lay the points!

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Phil V

nevada

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Vinice taylor

Miss St

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Fred Callahan

Ucla

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RTG Sports

Late Afternoon CFB Teaser

4-Team 13-Point Teaser -120*

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns +6

Texas A&M Aggies -15.5

Oregon State Beavers +6

Missouri Tigers +10

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Steve kendel

Auburn over

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9xSports

MLB REDS-105

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Sean Higgs

Taking WYOMING here. Cowboys 4-0 ATS last 4 in the series and 6-1 ATS last 7 trips into Air Force. The underdog is 5-0 ATS last 5. Simple truth is that AF has won 6 of the last 7 SU. Wyoming 6-1 ATS last 7 overall, 11-5 ATS last 16 in conference and 19-7 ATS last 26 on the road. AF 0-4 ATS last 4 at home, 1-7 ATS last 8 overall and 1-4 ATS last 5 in conference. The AF defense is one of the worse in the land ranked 110th and the offense not much better ranked 98th. Wyoming brings an offense in ranked 19th averaging over 37ppg and 500+ yards per game. Wyoming gets revenge from last years 28-27 home loss here. 10* Money-Bomb WYOMING COWBOYS