10-28-13

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::handshake::

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Today's NFL Pick

MONDAY, OCTOBER 28
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (10/23) Game 231-232: Seattle at St. Louis (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 138.973; St. Louis 125.491
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 13 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10 1/2); Under

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r.a.w. Football
3* = seattle

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NFL

Week 8

Seahawks (7-1) @ Rams (3-4)—Kellen Clemens gets first Ram start under center with Bradford (knee) out for year, not exactly what is needed vs Seattle team that is 14-2 in last 16 series games, though they did lose two of last three visits here, with average total in their last three visits here, 28.7. 4th road game in five weeks for Seattle, with all four games in domes; Seahawks are 5-2 vs spread this year, 3-1 on road, with wins on foreign soil by 5-3-12 points and 34-28 loss at Indy (led 12-0 early). Popular wisdom is that Rams will try to run more with backup QB, but defenses will load up box and make Clemens try and beat them; Rams are 0-4 this year when scoring less than 27 points. On their first drive of game, St Louis has run 26 plays for 70 yards (2.7 ypp) for no points- they’ll need to get ahead early, to keep smallish crowd engaged. If Game 5 of World Series is going on couple of blocks away, this could be a very small crowd. Five of last six Seattle series wins are by 10+ points. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 6-3 vs spread this season. Four of last five Seattle games, six of seven St Louis tilts went over the total.

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College football odds: Week 10 opening line report

Is the state of Florida the 'King of Football' once again?

One thing is for certain, Week 10 of the college football schedule will bring us a matchup to determine who the king in the Sunshine State actually is when the Miami Hurricanes visit the Florida State Seminoles.

Both of these programs boast 7-0 records but it's the Seminoles who come in as the sexier team.

Another blowout victory, this time a 49-17 triumph over North Carolina State, has the Seminoles (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) opening as huge home faves over the Hurricanes (7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS).

The 'Canes keep winning, but not in the same, dominant fashion which their in-state rivals do.

They escaped Wake Forest as 24-21 victors, but were far from covering the daunting 26-point spread that oddsmakers installed.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says he and his team of oddsmakers are fully aware of the quality and talent on both sides, but sent out a big number of FSU -20 nonetheless.

"We sent out -20 but only see this number going higher. Florida State warrants it," Korner told Covers. "They're the 'it' team right now and they're looking better and better each week. Miami is good but they're facing a buzz saw this weekend."

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)

Another classic in-state battle has the Michigan Wolverines (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) traveling to face the Michigan State Spartans (7-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS).

The visitors are coming off a bye week after putting up 63 points against offensive-oriented Indiana. It was a good bounceback game after suffering their first loss of the season to Penn State on Oct. 12.

The Spartans posted an impressive 42-3 victory over a slumping Illinois team for their fourth-straight victory.

Michigan backers have felt stung in the previous meetings between the two programs as the Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.

"Our range went from MSU -1.5 to -4.5 and settled at -3.5," Korner says. "It's a good rivalry game in which our numbers reflect a competitive contest. Michigan State should take care of business but the hook may grab some dog players early in the week."

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators (+1.5)

The 2013 edition of the "World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party" is set to go Saturday and both Georgia and Florida sport identical 4-3 records.

Both teams are coming in cold, however, having lost two straight games.

The Georgia Bulldogs (1-5-1 ATS) have severely cooled off since a great victory over LSU in Week 5. Their ATS record is dreadful and places near the bottom of the standings.

Coming off a much-needed bye week, the Gators (2-5 ATS) will look to capture their first Okefenokee Oar trophy since 2010.

"We were all on Georgia's side but between a PK and -2," Korner said. "We sent out GA -1.5 knowing this number can swing to Florida's side. Either one of these teams can win straight up so the number looks to be in the PK zone all week. We don't feel this number will take off either way."

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders (+3)

The Red Raiders (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) suffered their first loss of the season against the Oklahoma Sooners in Week 9. Many felt their 7-0 record was potentially smoke and mirrors as it is and their competition in Week 10 is another power in the Sooner State.

After a shocking loss to West Virginia in Week 5, the Cowboys (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) have rattled off three-straight victories, including a 58-27 thumping of Iowa State in Week 9.

Korner and his team like the Cowboys as field goal faves and are confident the number will swing throughout the week.

"We sent out Oklahoma State -3 and though we saw the offshores swung their number over to Texas Tech's side, we're not falling for it. Oklahoma State is the better team and that number will come back our way come kick off."

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Mighty Quinn

Seattle

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LINEBEATERS

Seahawks -11

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Monday Night Football betting: Seahawks at Rams

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (+11.5, 42.5)

Having lost their starting quarterback for the season and whiffed on an attempt to lure Brett Favre out of retirement, the St. Louis Rams are facing the unenviable task of solving one of the league's most ferocious defenses in a prime-time matchup. Former No. 1 overall pick Sam Bradford suffered a torn ACL in last week's loss to Carolina, putting Kellen Clemens in the line of fire when the NFC West-leading Seattle Seahawks visit the Rams on Monday night.

The Seahawks have won two straight since their lone defeat at Indianapolis and hold a one-game lead over San Francisco atop the division. Seattle's calling card is a unit that is second in total defense (282.1 yards per game) and interceptions (11) and third in the league in points allowed with an average of 16.6 per game. Although the teams split a pair of narrow decisions last season, the Seahawks have won 14 of the last 16 against St. Louis.

TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: The Rams opened as 10-point home dogs and are now +11.5. The total opened 42.5.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (6-1): While Seattle's defense receives a ton of attention, the offense has been efficient behind second-year quarterback Russell Wilson and wrecking-ball running back Marshawn Lynch, who is second in the league in rushing with 578 yards. Wilson has thrown for 11 touchdowns versus four interceptions while awaiting the return of marquee wide receiver Percy Harvin, who returned to practice this week after undergoing hip surgery in preseason. The Seahawks are tied for second in turnover differential at plus-7 and have forced at least two in each game.

ABOUT THE RAMS (3-4): St. Louis' modest two-game win streak came to a crashing halt last week at Carolina, a defeat magnified by the loss of Bradford. Clemens, a former second-round pick of the New York Jets who is in his third season with the Rams, has only 12 starts and 31 career appearances on his resume, posting a completion percentage of 51.8 and passer rating of 62.2. Clemens will be relying on a pair of the team's first-year players - wideout Tavon Austin leads all rookies with 29 receptions while running back Zac Stacy is averaging 70 yards rushing in his past three.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* Over is 4-0 in Rams last four games overall.
* Seahawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Monday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Lynch has rushed for 100 yards in three straight against St. Louis.

2. The Rams are 30th in the league in rushing defense at 126.4 yards per game.

3. Wilson is seeking his sixth straight win against an NFC West opponent.

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Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets

Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

For the week of Oct. 21-27.

Hot team

Minnesota Wild (3-0 SU)

The Wild had a great week as they posted victories over the Nashville Predators, Carolina Hurricanes and the Chicago Blackhawks. Minnesota has been paced by stellar goaltending from both Josh Harding and Niklas Backstrom. We'll see how strong the Wild are as the the 'Hawks come to town with revenge in mind Tuesday night.

Cold team

Detroit Red Wings (0-3 SU)

The Winged Wheel got off to a great start, typical of the stellar franchise. That went pear shaped quickly as the Wings have dropped four-straight games and lost all three efforts this past week. Even worse, the three losses came at home against San Jose, Ottawa and the New York Rangers.

Best Over play

Phoenix Coyotes (3-0 O/U)

The Coyotes are a young and exciting team and strong defensively. Supposedly. You'd think a blue line featuring Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Keith Yandle and Mike Smith between the pipes would keep scorelines low. Apparently not so. The 'Yotes sit 25th in the league with 3.17 and gave up seven to the Kings earlier this week.

Best Under play

Buffalo Sabres (1-2 O/U)

The lowly Sabres are the best Under play on the season at 3-9 O/U and have played under the total in back-to-back games heading into the new week. Buffalo is having huge problems lighting lamp and are dead-last in the league averaging 1.46 goals per game. On the flip side, goalies Ryan Miller and Jhonas Enroth were extremely good throughout the week. There's a good chance they could appease Under bettors this upcoming week as they face fellow low-scoring teams like the Dallas Stars and New York Rangers.

Surveying the schedule

- The Boston Bruins are a perfect 4-0 on the road and have two big road games this upcoming week. They are at the Pittsburgh Penguins Wednesday and at the New York Islanders Saturday evening.

- The Vancouver Canucks have been a dominant 5-2-1 against Eastern Conference opponents this season. The Canucks begin a a three-game road trip Monday night at Washington and then travel to Detroit Wednesday before facing the Leafs at Toronto Saturday night.

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NHL betting: Despite rule changes, Unders cashing in

Even with the expectation that goalscoring would increase (which it still may, of course) due to size restrictions on goalie equipment, NHL Unders are hitting at 55.26 percent in all games and 57.01 in non-overtime games heading into Sunday's action.

The new rule restricts the size of a goalies' pads, making them shorter and exposing a bit more of the five hole.

Another rule change, one that kind of slid under the radar, is the decrease in the size of the net. Due to this, there is more room behind the net, thus more space to set up and make pass, or even attempt a wrap around.

There are a number of teams that have posted excellent records skewing to the Under side to start the season.

The Buffalo Sabres (3-9 Over/Under), Montreal Canadiens (3-8 O/U), Philadelphia Flyers (2-7 O/U), Chicago Blackhawks (3-8 O/U), Minnesota Wild (3-7 O/U) and Boston Bruins (2-6 O/U) are the top under plays in the league at the moment.

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Dr. Ed Meyer (MTI Forcasting)| NFL Side pick232 STL 12.5 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) vs 231 Seattle

Analysis:
This has been a solid spot for the Rams. They were inexplicably undisciplined and sloppy last week against the Panthers. Coach Fisher is an excellent head coach and should have them ready here. St Louis is 7-0 ATS as a dog vs a divisional opponent that has a better record, as can be seen with this SDQL text:

team=Rams and D and DIV and WP<o:WP and date>=20120101

In addition, the Rams are 6-0 ATS when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30, with the SDQL text:

team=Rams and oA(passes)<30 and date>=20120101

and a perfect 6-0 ATS as a dog when their opponent is on a 2+ game winning streak. The SDQL text is:

team=Rams and D and o:streak>=2 and date>=20120101

Regarding the Seahawks, they are playing very well and are being mentioned in debates on which is the best team in the league. The spot they are in, however, activates them for a strong play-against system. It reads, " TD-plus road favorites are 0-17 ATS when they had at least three sacks as a favorite in each of their last two games and they are not off a bye." The SDQL text is:

A and line<=-7 and 3<=p:sacks and 3<=pp:sacks and p:F and pp:F and date>=20051101 and NB

We first used this system in 2010, when it was just 0-10 ATS and it has been perfect since then. Note that these big road favorites are only 4-4 straight up their last eight. Historical results indicate that the points are the way to go here.

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LA Syndicate
World Series Game #5 Top Play - St Louis Cardinals

Chicago Syndicate
World Series Game #5 Top Play - Cardinals/Red Sox Under 7

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Today's MLB Picks

Boston at St. Louis

The Red Sox look to follow up their 4-2 win last night and build on their 10-1 record in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. Boston is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, AUGUST 28
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 959-960: Boston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 17.122; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.569
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Under

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MLB

Lester is 5-1, 2.11 in his last seven starts, 2-1, 1.40 in three playoff starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six starts.

Wainwright is 5-0, 1.25 in his last six home starts, 2-2, 2.89 in his last four in playoffs. Cardinals scored once in his last two starts, but four of his last five starts went over the total.

Boston is 6-3 in its last nine games; they're 4-3 on road in playoffs.

St Louis won eight of last 12 games; they've allowed 13 runs in their nine postseason wins, 33 in six losses. Cardinals are 13-2 in their last 15 games at home- four of their last six games went over the total.

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Minnesota won its last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Canucks won their last three games, all in OT/SO. Washington won three of its last four.

Cold teams
-- Buffalo lost 11 of its 13 games. Dallas Stars lost five of their last seven games.
-- Penguins lost their last three games, scoring four goals. Carolina lost five of its last seven.
-- Canadiens lost three of their last four games. First home game for 3-6 Rangers, after they remodeled Madison Square Garden.
-- Chicago lost three of its last five games.

Series records
-- Dallas Stars lost five of their last six games with Buffalo.
-- Penguins won six of their last seven games with Carolina.
-- Rangers lost their last three games with Montreal, outscored 8-1.
-- Blackhawks won six of last eight games with Minnesota (lost 5-3 Sat).
-- Canucks won four of last five games with Washington.

Totals
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Four of five Carolina home games stayed under the total.
-- All four Montreal road games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Chicago road games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Vancouver home games stayed under the total.

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Today's NHL Picks

Dallas at Buffalo

The Sabres look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is coming off a 2-1 shootout loss against Winnipeg and is 1-6 in its last 7 games after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Buffalo is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+110). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, OCTOBER 28
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Dallas at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.872; Buffalo 11.714
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+110); Over


Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.971; Carolina 10.440
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under


Game 55-56: Montreal at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.262; NY Rangers 11.301
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Over


Game 57-58: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.211; Minnesota 10.831
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-120); Under


Game 59-60: Washington at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.078; Vancouver 12.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-150); Under

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Cappers Access

Seahawks -11

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1118-843 (57% ) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Mon NHL Dallas

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Canadians -120

Seahawks/Rams over 43.5

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Football Crusher
Seattle Seahawks + St. Louis Rams OVER 42.5
(System Record: 29-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 29-24

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -116 over Minnesota Wild
(System Record: 14-0, won last 9 games)
Overall Record: 14-4

Soccer Crusher
Estudiantes LP + Quilmes UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 475-17, lost last game)
Overall Record: 475-409-66

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS

5-Unit Play. Take #231 Seattle (-11) over St. Louis (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 28)
This Seahawks team is just too good for the St. Louis Rams. I actually wish that Sam Bradford was playing as the line would be a bit smaller and it wouldn't make a difference. Nonetheless it doesn't matter as Seattle wins this matchup by two touchdowns or more. I could care less where this game is being played as the Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. This Seattle teams just wears their opponents down and eventually pulls away. The worse thing someone could try and come up with would be don't lay the heavy points as Seattle won't take the Rams seriously and not give their full effort. No chance that is the case. This is a Division game and the Seahawks have the Bucs, Falcons, and Vikings on their schedule for their next three games. No look ahead, no letdown, no worries. This one is going to be a bloodbath. Seattle is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games versus the NFC and 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games overall. The Rams meanwhile, are a lousy 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four Monday Night Football Games. Lay the big number in this one as it gets out of hand.

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ROBERT FERRINGO

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTION

2-Unit Play. Take #231 Seattle (-11) over St. Louis (8:40 p.m., Monday, Oct. 28)
St. Louis stinks. And Seattle will not take it easy on a division rival. Not on Monday Night Football and not with revenge for a loss here last season. Sam Bradford is done for the year. I know people like to rag on Bradford. But unless you watched every Rams game, as I have, over the last few years you can't truly appreciate how good he is and what he does for this team. St. Louis has absolutely zero offensive weapons. Their skill players are just terrible. And new quarterback Kellen Clemens is a journeyman, career backup for a reason. He's not elevating anyone's play. Not against the best secondary in football. The Rams back seven on defense is putrid and they were physical beaten down by Carolina last week. Seattle has a few extra days of prep time after playing on Thursday night and because this is a night game the time difference isn't going to be a factor. St. Louis cares a lot more about the Cardinals in the World Series than it does the Rams on MNF. The Rams know they are second-tier and they are set to get pummeled in this one.

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Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee had Np on Sunday.

For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Cardinals-$120/Red Sox.

"Mr Chalk" is 113-73 +$25 for the 2013 MLB season.

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MLB

Monday, October 28

Red Sox at Cardinals: What bettors need to know

Boston Red Sox at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7)

Series tied 2-2.

The first four games of the World Series have been won by the team that makes the fewest mistakes. Both the St. Louis Cardinals and the Boston Red Sox will attempt to take control of the series when the former hosts Game 5 on Monday. The big mistake of Game 4 was a high sinker to Jonny Gomes, who deposited it beyond the left-field wall to give the Red Sox a 4-2 win.

St. Louis became the first team in history to end a World Series game on a pickoff when its other big mistake came back to bite it on Sunday. Rookie Kolten Wong was nabbed at first base to end the game with Carlos Beltran at the plate representing the tying run. That marks two straight series games ending in historic fashion after Boston made the big mistake of Game 3 on an obstruction call at third base.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Temperatures in high 50s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing ESE at 4 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox LH Jon Lester (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (0-1, 5.40)

Lester dominated in Game 1, striking out eight and scattering five hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings. The 29-year-old has not allowed a run in 13 1/3 career innings in the World Series and is dominant in the 2013 postseason with five runs allowed in 27 total innings. Lester’s worst start of the playoffs was his lone road turn, when he surrendered two runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings at Detroit.

Wainwright did not get a lot of help from the defense behind him in Game 1 and ended up being charged with five runs (three earned) on six hits in five innings. That made two straight losses in the postseason for Wainwright, who came out on the bad end of a 3-0 shutout at Los Angeles in the National League Championship Series. Wainwright got the win in each of his two postseason starts at home, yielding two runs on 11 hits in 16 combined innings.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in St. Louis.
* Red Sox are 5-2 in their last seven during Game 5 of a series.
* Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight during Game 5 of a series.

UMP TRENDS - Bill Miller:

* Under is 36-17 in Miller's last 53 interleague games behind home plate.
* Under is 42-20 in Miller's last 62 games behind home plate.
* Home team is 6-2 in Miller's last eight interleague games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Red Sox have committed errors in five straight games.

2. St. Louis 3B David Freese, who is the 2011 World Series MVP, is 1-for-12 with four strikeouts in the set.

3. Boston DH David Ortiz is playing 1B in the NL park and has reached base safely in each of his last seven trips to the plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced Sports Investments
JEFF
NFL
08:40PM Seattle Seahawks vs St. Louis Rams
OVER 43 -110

MARC
NHL
07:05PM Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres
UNDER 5.5 -135

PERRY
SOCCER
03:45PM Watford (ENG-Cham) vs Brighton (ENG-Cham)
UNDER 2.5 -109

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PAUL LEINER
100* Redsox -105
50* Under 7 - Redsox/Cardinals

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JOE WIZ
MLB Monday... Play Under 7 runs bet. Boston and St.Louis

[golden contender]

Monday card has 5* Monday night Triple System Play. MNF Plays are 7-1 this season. In MLB We have the Game 5 World Series Historical Power system Winner. Free NHL Play below.


On Monday the free NHL Play is on the NY. Rangers. Game 56 at 7:35 eastern. The Ranger return home win the momentum of big road dog win at Detroit on Saturday as they started the season with the first 9 games on the road. Tonight they take on the Montreal Canadiens in the home opener. Montreal is 0-6 after a game where they were a home dog, 6-12 on the road when the total is 5 or less. They come in off a loss and are just 6-21 off a loss by 2 or more goals. The Rangers are 29-13 at home when the total is 5 or less. Look for the Rangers to roll as a live dog here in NHL Action. Start he week big in Bases and Monday night Football as we have two Top Plays backed with Big systems. Congrats to those who jumped on the Big 6* AFC Winner on Sunday. Message to Jump on and cash out on Monday. For the free play take the NY. Rangers. GC

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Bob Balfe
Monday Free Pick
​Boston +105 over St. Louis
Lester/Wainwright
This game probably will decide this year’s Champion. This is a crucial game for the Cardinals to win, but in reality as bad as Boston can be with their bats they have 9 innings to put up a crooked number inning. This team is amazing of doing nothing all night and when they get that one shot they put the game away with one swing of the bat. I believe this will be exactly like last night’s game. The Cardinals don’t hit left handed pitching very well so the odds are stacked against them tonight. Take Boston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports
Under Rams 43.0 -105

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Sean Higgs

10* Seattle Seahawks

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THE GOLD SHEET
PRO FOOTBALL
*Seattle 31 - ST. LOUIS 16—After watching Russell Wilson (11 TDs, only
4 ints., 323 YR TY) dismantle the quality Arizona defense last week, one
wonders how much more he can improve. One area worth attention is his five
fumbles, two of which set up easy points last week for Arizona. He’s likely to
correct that this week vs. the Rams, who might be without QB Sam Bradford
(knee last week; check status). St. Louis beat Seattle on this field LY, and later
hung tough at CenturyLink. However, with RB Marshawn Lynch well-rested and
in full “beast mode” lately, and with Pete Carroll’s defensive front getting
healthy, can’t feel good about recommending the Rams, especially if it’s Kellen
Clemens at QB. CABLE TV—ESPN

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PLAYBOOK / MARC LAWRENCE
PRO FOOTBALL
Seattle over ST. LOUIS by 14
Oh, oh. Forgive the pundits who insist this looks to be a Monday Night massacre but with star Rams QB Sam Bradford done for the season
(ACL), and his backup Kellen Clemens now under center, our best guess
is this number will likely run into another stratosphere before kickoff.
After all, Clemens’ last three starts in the NFL were losses in 2011 with
the Rams as he is now 4-8 as a starter in this league with 7 TDs and 13
INTS while completing just 51.8 percent of his passes. Yes, St. Louis is a
stout 8-0 ATS in games against .666 or greater opposition off a win, but
they are also 0-4 ATS on Monday and 3-12 ATS as division home dogs of
4 or more points. And speaking of Monday night division home dogs,
there have been only three of them in the history of our database that
took 11 or more points. All three lost the money while scoring just 19
points combined. However, with the surging Seahawks 4-0 ATS in their
last four Monday night appearances, there is really only one way to
look here, and it’s not to the Arch.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE
PROFESSIONAL
FOOTBALL PROPHECY
Seattle 34 - ST LOUIS 17 - (8:40 - ESPN) -- Sky seems the limit for Seahawks,
who shook off pair of ATS setbacks (1-1 SU), with dominating win at Arizona. Wilson: 3/0 (11/4 for the season), & Lynch now at 578 yds. One up on Niners, &
on an impressive 28-9-1 ATS run, with a 413-208 pt edge in their last 13 outings.
Rams won 19-13 here LY, but that was prior to Seattle's super run. StLouis: from
36 ppg in its previous 2 games to 15 at Carolina, & now there is major concern
over Bradford's knee. Up-&-coming powers usually shine on MondayNight, &
Seahawks are 7-1 ATS as DD chalks. We buck Monday home division dog here

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAYS
PRO FOOTBALL
SEATTLE vs ST LOUIS
The Rams lost Sam Bradford (torn left ACL) for the year and will be turning to Kellen Clemens who
hasn’t started a game since Bradford was hurt in 2011 avg 182 ypg (53%) with a 2-1 ratio albeit
at the end of the year with a roster that finished 2-14. Without knowing how much the line will rise over the course of the week and seeing what
adjustments Fisher will make this is a No Play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWERSWEEP
PRO FOOTBALL
Seattle at St Louis
The Seahawks came into this season 0-4 as an AF under Carroll while the Rams finished last
season covering 6 straight as a dog. The opposite holds true this season as STL is 1-4 ATS as a
dog while SEA is 3-1 ATS as an AF. As we often see when a team is becoming elite they pay the
price of inflated lines and Seattle has won exactly ONE road game by over 6 points and that was
last Thursday on another div road game were they were out FD’d. Can the Rams pull a second
straight upset at home vs the Seahawks?

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WINNING POINTS
PRO FOOTBALL
Seattle over *St. Louis by 11
St. Louis' 3-4 record may look semi-respectable, but its victories have come against
the Cardinals, Jaguars and Texans. The combined ATS record of those teams is 5-
15. The Seahawks have been as good as advertised. Jeff Fisher should have the
Rams at a fever pitch for this nationally televised division matchup, but is facing a
severe handicap with backup quarterback Kellen Clemens against Seattle's No. 2
ranked defense. The Rams defeated the Seahawks at home last year. They'll need a
career performance from running back Zac Stacy to repeat that upset. Fisher's
teams historically have done well in a 'dog role, but the Rams are 1-4 ATS when
taking points this season. SEATTLE 27-16.
HISTORICAL TRENDS
Seattle at St. Louis – The teams split last season with the Rams winning 19-13 at home and
losing 20-13 on the road. The under has cashed in five of the last six meetings

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From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

SEATTLE (231) AT ST. LOUIS (232)
Latest Line: ST. LOUIS +11.0; Total: 43.0

The Rams start life without QB Sam Bradford (torn ACL) when they host the Seahawks in divisional play on Monday night. Seattle has forced 2+ turnovers in all seven games this year and has held opponents to 229 total YPG during a two-game win streak. QB Kellen Clemens takes over for Bradford looking to improve on a 4-8 career record as a starter where he's completed only 52.6% of his passes with 7 TD and 9 INT. Seahawks QB Russell Wilson has 262 total YPG, 9 passing TD and just 3 INT in his past five games. Although the teams split last year, Seattle is a dominant 14-2 SU (11-5 ATS) in this series since 2005.
Forecaster: Seattle 28, St. Louis 17

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Matt Rivers
500K
St Louis Cardinals

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Ats Insiders Club

Seattle /St. Louis over 43.5

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Northcoast
2* Seattle
marquee Over

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Where the action is: Books "made a big mistake" with MNF line

The NFC West is featured in the Week 8 finale, with the shorthanded St. Louis Rams hosting the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, about the action coming in on this game and where the odds could end up by kickoff:

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams – Open: +10.5, Move: +14

The Rams were going to be sizable home underdogs to the Seahawks before QB Sam Bradford was lost for the season. But without their top offensive weapons, bettors piled on the road team and have pushed this spread as many as 3.5 points.

Books admit that they underestimated just how much this line would swing and have themselves in a tough spot, rooting for a punchless St. Louis side to bail them out after a terrible Week 8 in which favorites are already 8-4 ATS.

Stewart notes that all three of Sunday’s double-digit favorites went 3-0 ATS and also played Over the total, capped off by Green Bay’s win over Minnesota in the Sunday night game. With that in mind, CarbonSports.ag, pushed the line past -13.5 and “can't stop the bleeding nor the Seahawks support” with the spread at the key number of Seattle -14.

“We won't be going any higher than that because we just can't risk getting middled,” Stewart tells Covers. “We're already opening ourselves up by going to 14, but at this point we had to because the liability is just that severe. Bottom line: We made a big mistake with our opening number as this game should have been opened Seahawks -13. Regardless, every bookmaker in the world is rooting for the Rams tonight.”

As for Monday’s total, the number opened at 42 and has been moved to 43.5 with action on the Over. The public loves to play the Over in standalone games and is banking on Week 8’s 8-4 O/U record heading into Monday’s finale.

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Today's Best Bets

5* Seattle -12.5

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Winning Angle Sports

Seahawks -11.5

Red Sox +120

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Baseball's best Under ump behind home plate for Game 5

Umpire Bill Miller will be behind home plate for Game 5 of the World Series in St. Louis Monday night, putting MLB totals bettors on red alert.

Miller is among the best Under umps in the majors this season, with his games going 10-24 O/U during the regular season – a winning percentage of 70.5 for the Under in those contests.

Last season, Miller’s games as home ump posted a 13-20 O/U record and going back to 2008, Miller has produced a 75-124 O/U count (62% Unders) when set as the home plate umpire.

While Miller’s lone 2013 postseason game calling the balls and strikes topped the total, the 16-year veteran ump is 20-42 O/U in his last 62 games as home plate ump. Miller is also 17-36 O/U in his last 53 interleague contests behind home.

Monday’s total for Game 5 is set at 7 runs, with ace pitchers Jon Lester and Adam Wainwright taking the mound. During the regular season, games with totals of seven or less runs went 3-8 O/U when Miller was making the calls. The Under is a perfect 4-0 in the last four starts for Lester with Miller behind home plate.

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Tale of the Tape: Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams

The Kellen Clemens Era begins in St. Louis as the Rams entertain the Seattle Seahawks in a Monday nighter between NFC West foes.

The Seahawks come in tied with the New Orleans Saints for the best record in the conference, led by a formidable defense allowing just 16 points per game. Clemens gets the start after regular quarterback Sam Bradford suffered a season-ending knee injury last week.

Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

Second-year quarterback Russell Wilson has bolstered the Seattle offense lately after opening the season with a thud. Seattle is averaging a modest 214 passing yards per game, but has 12 touchdowns and should receive a significant boost with the imminent return of star wide receiver Percy Harvin. The Seahawks have excelled in the running game, sitting among the league leaders with 154.4 yards per contest while racking up seven touchdowns on the ground.

For all the flak Bradford was taking from fans, he had actually guided the Rams to a passable aerial attack. St. Louis finds itself just below the middle of the pack in passing yards per game (228), but has 14 passing touchdowns against just four interceptions through its first seven games. The Rams are averaging just 70.6 rushing yards per contest, but are encouraged by the progress being made by first-year running back Zac Stacy.

Edge: Seattle

Defense

The vaunted Seattle defense doesn't do opposing offenses any favors, and Clemens should expect plenty of resistance Monday night. The Seahawks have limited the opposition to just under 92 rushing yards per game and four touchdowns on the ground, forcing six fumbles in the process. The pass defense has been even more sensational, ranking second in the NFL in fewest yards allowed per game (191) with six TDs against and 11 interceptions.

St. Louis once had a defense to be feared, but hasn't been able to live up to that reputation so far in 2013. The Rams are allowing 247 yards per game with 12 touchdowns and just five interceptions. The opposition's quarterback rating of 103.4 is among the worst in the NFL. Teams have also been able to run all over St. Louis, gashing it for better than 126 yards per outing with seven touchdowns.

Edge: Seattle

Special Teams

The Seahawks have one of the Top 10 kickoff return games in football, averaging 26.1 yards per attempt. The punt-return game is far less impressive; Seattle has run back six punts for a total of eight yards, easily the fewest in the NFL. Kicker Steven Hauschka has been one of the most accurate kickers in the league to date - connecting on 16-of-17 field-goal attempts - and made both of his kicks in last week's 34-22 triumph over the Arizona Cardinals.

St. Louis finds itself in the middle of the pack when it comes to kick return yardage, averaging 24 yards per attempt. Like the Seahawks, the Rams have been dreadful on punt returns, racking up just 31 yards on 15 attempts. Veteran kicker Greg Zuerlein is a perfect 11-for-11 on field-goal attempts in 2013, including makes for 28 and 42 yards in last weekend's 30-15 defeat at the hands of the Carolina Panthers.

Edge: Seattle

Notable Quotable

"I don't think he's better throwing the football or any of those things ... it's just his command of what we're asking him. He's just more comfortable. This is a kid that really can utilize a deeper understanding of what we're doing because he can act on it. I think, probably as much as anything, he's helping other guys play better around him." - Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll on Wilson

"I've been working on my pass-catching. It was kind of hard, coming in a loss, but it's still a good milestone. That touchdown in that game didn't mean a whole lot, but hopefully there will be more in my career that I'll be able to celebrate." - Stacy, who scored his first career receiving TD in the loss to Carolina.

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Brandon Lang Monday

My 40 Dime selection is a 2-team 6 1/2 point teaser on the Seahawks and the Under.

The current line on this game is -13 1/2 and 44 in Vegas and offshore. Lang wants you to take Seattle down to -7 and the total up to 50 1/2 and going Under.

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Kelso 35 Seattle , 10 under Seattle, 5 unit parley sea and under . 10 redsox

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Anthony Redd

75 Dime NFC Monday Night Total of the Year

Under Rams

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BeatYourBookie


Daily MLB Baseball Plays for Monday


10* Play Boston +120 over St. Louis (MLB TOP PLAY)

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Playersbet

3* Bos/Cards Under 7

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Intpicks

3* Seahawks

1* Cardinals

Freeplay Over Red Sox

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Goodfella

Monday Night Football Team Total

ST. LOUIS RAMS UNDER 15 POINTS

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Bryan Leonard | MLB Total pick960 STL / 959 BOS Under 7 BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)Analysis:
BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS

Double Dime - Under Red Sox/Cardinals

With the series tied 2-2, both teams turn to their aces to try and a lead before the series heads back to Boston. Jon Lester gets the ball for the Red Sox. In four postseason starts, he has posted a 1.67 ERA and opposing batters are hitting just .204 off of Lester. What's nice for Lester is that he was able to throw some relatively stress-free innings in Game 1 as the Red Sox jumped out to a big lead. He'll also be pitching on regular rest and that's always nice at this stage of the season. The Cardinals ranked 27th against left handed pitching in batting average, 26th in OPS, and 26th in wOBA this season. Allen Craig, possibly the team's best hitter against southpaws, probably won't play since he appears unable to play the field. That should help Lester.

Adam Wainwright looks to bounce back from a terrible Game 1 start. His defense didn't help him much, but Wainwright fought with his command on the big stage. Pitching in front of the home crowd should be a big boost to Wainwright. This postseason, even with his lackluster start in Game 1, Wainwright has a 2.25 ERA over four starts and has a 12/1 K/BB ratio. Wainwright was shaky on too much rest for Game 1 and he'll be back on his regular turn here.

Home plate umpire Bill Miller is 174-117 in unders for his career behind the plate. That's nearly 60% unders. With two pitchers that throw a lot of strikes, it would seem that Miller is a pitcher-friendly umpire and that will make it a very difficult night for the hitters.

PLAY: BOS/STL UNDER

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Vegas Runner
Triple Dime - Under Rams
Triple Dime - Cardinals
Also Leaning Rams +14.5

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LT Lock

Under Rams

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ATS Lock Club

Seahawks

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Ivey Walters
Monday Night Football...What You Need to Know plus Coach's analysis

Seattle at St. Louis

Line Report: This line opened at Seattle -10 but with the news that St. Louis quarterback, Sam Bradford is out for the year, it has risen to 13.5. It seems it’s only going to continue to soar with some offshore books having the line as high as 14,5. I expect the public to continue to pound Seattle up until kickoff.


•Kellen Clemens will take over at quarterback for the Rams tonight. He hasn’t started a game since 2011 and is just 4-8 as a starter in the NFL.
•Clemens has thrown just 7 touchdowns against 13 interceptions while completing just 51% of his passes in his career.
•Clemens will likely struggle against a Seattle defense that is ranked second in the NFL.
•Everyone got to see Russell Wilson in action last week on Thursday night against Arizona where he carved up the Cardinals defense. Wilson has 11 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions.
•Wilson, a dynamic running quarterback, has had problems with holding onto the football as he has fumbled 5 times this year. That will be a big key in determining whether or not Seattle can cover the big number. Turnovers can crush a team laying double digits, especially on the road.
•St. Louis beat Seattle last year at home and played them tough in Seattle. However, this will be a much different game with Clemens at quarterback instead of Bradford.
•This Rams team is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 Monday Night games and are 3-12 against the number as home underdogs of 4 points or more in division tilts.
•There have been just three Monday Night division home underdogs of 11 points or more and all three came up losers against the spread.
•Those three teams scored just 19 points combined!
•Seattle, meanwhile, is 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday Night games.
•Seattle is 28-9-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall.
•The Seahawks have dominated their competition, outscoring their opponents by 205 points in their last 13 outings.
•Seattle is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a double digit favorite.
•Seattle is 5-2 SU and ATS verse the Rams since 2009.
•St. Louis is 3-4 SU this year but their wins have come against Arizona, Jacksonville, and Houston. Those teams are a combined 5-15 ATS this season.



Coach’s Take:

There is no way I could back Kellen Clemens against one of the top defenses in the league. I expect him to struggle mightily as he hasn’t started a game since 2011 and has struggled throughout his NFL career. But laying 13.5 points on the road is not enticing, especially in the NFL. Seattle is the better team in all areas and should dominate the game. Their defensive front is getting healthier and stronger each week and will pose problems for running back, Zac Stacey who will be relied on to take the pressure off Clemens. I really don’t see St. Louis moving the ball much tonight. Everything points to Seattle but I just can’t get myself to lay this many points on the road in a Monday Night game. I expect Seattle to dominate and certainly lean towards them in this contest but it is not a high percentage bet in my opinion, laying all those points.

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BeatYourBookie Football Plays

Monday

10* Play Seattle -11 over St. Louis (NFL TOP PLAY)
8:30 PM EST

Seattle is 13-4 ATS vs. NFC Conference Opponents the last three seasons
Seattle is 12-2 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points

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bookiemonsters
163-121-3 run
39-38-4 run last 81 plays

POD canucks under 5.5

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J clifton nhl pitt
mlb redsox
nfl rams and over

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 10/28
St. Louis Cardinals -126 over the Boston Red Sox

(System Record: 162-5, Lost last game)
Overall Record: 162-138

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Double Dragon

12 Unit Hydra - Seattle

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The Duke's Sports

1.5 Units Seattle -13

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DHayes2

R Wilson under 229.5 Passing Yards

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Cleveland Insider

NHL
1* Chicago/Minnesota under 5

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Mike Neri
7pt Teaser
Seattle and Over

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Denver Money
NHL Period Plays
Dallas Stars @ Buffalo Sabres
1st Period: Dallas -125 (Official play)
2nd Period: Buffalo +120
3rd Period: Dallas -150
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Carolina Hurricanes
1st Period: Carolina +125
2nd Period: Pittsburgh -165
3rd Period: Pittsburgh -145 (Official play)
Montreal Canadiens @ New York Rangers
1st Period: Montreal -105
2nd Period: New York -115
3rd Period: Montreal -110
Chicago Blackhawks @ Minnesota Wild
1st Period: Minnesota -105 (Official Play)
2nd Period: Chicago -120 (Official Play)
3rd Period: Minnesota +100
Washington Capitals @ Vancouver Canucks
1st Period: Washington +120
2nd Period: Vancouver -140 (Official Play)
3rd Period: Over 1.5 -150
Only having one premium play today for long term clients. I thought I would go ahead and put out my thoughts on every period of every game today!
I did a side on all periods, only exception is on the Vancouver 3rd period cause really don't like a
side there.
** I did note what plays I am officially playing today myself.

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spartan MLB Money Line Mon, 10/28/13 - 8:05 PM
dime bet - 959 BOS (+115) vs 960 STL

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Carlos Salazar / Betoncarlos
NFL
Level I - Seattle -13.5

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JOE GAVAZZI
NFL
Seattle (-11-) at St. Louis 8:40 ET ESPN
4* St. Louis +11
This a very contrary MNF Divison home dog opinion on a St. Louis team who will start replacement
QB Clemens for departed starter QB Bradford (knee). Clemens will be leading the St. Louis team
who has been badly beaten at the point of attack this season. To date, St. Louis has been
outrushed 126/4.2 to 71/3.2. Much the opposite is true of a Seahawk team who is dominating the
line of scrimmage. Seattle is running an average of 34 times/game in outrushing the opposition
154/4.5 to 90/3.7. The Seahawks clearly have the superior defense allowing just 17 PPG, 281
yards and 4.8 YPP (yards per play) among the best in the NFL. The Seahawks have turned around
their road chalk mark standing 3-1 ATS in that role this season including last week’s 34-22
Thursday night win at Arizona. That extra rest should be helpful as Arizona proved on Sunday. In
fact, teams who played the previous Thursday night are now 10-3 ATS the following week. The
lack of a running game for St. Louis has impeded their success in their once profitable underdog
role. In fact, the Rams are now just 1-4 ATS as underdog including a 35-11 loss on this field to
Division rival San Francisco. In that game, against a team comparable to Seattle they were only a
3 point home dog. Thus, it is the opinion of this bureau that at the current price point of this
game, the value lies with a St. Louis team who actually beat Seattle on this field last season and
lost to the Seahawks by only 7 points in Seattle.
Opinion only on the MNF Divisional home dog.

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Seabass:
50 UNDER Red Sox
50 Chicago Black Hawks
No football

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RTG Sports

2-Team 6-Point Teaser ***

Seattle Seahawks -8

Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams Under 49.5

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jack jones
20* Seahawks/Rams ESPN Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 43

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Marco Deangelo double dime St Louis baseball

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Guaranteed Sports Picks
NFL
STL Rams+14

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Sports Unlimited passing on football game.