11-9-13

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::clap::

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College Football odds

Week 11 Opening Line Report

Offensive fireworks will come early in Week 11.

A pair of Thursday night games feature the two highest-scoring offenses in the land in each tilt.

The first of which is a huge Pac-12 affair between the Stanford Cardinal (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) and the unbeaten and explosive Oregon Ducks (8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS).

The Ducks are second in the nation averaging 55.6 points per game and are yet to be tested. Lost amid the flurry of hype around the offense, is a very solid defensive unit that is seventh in points against at 16.9.

They are coming off a bye week and disposed of UCLA with relative ease 42-14 on Oct. 26.

The Cardinal are in the midst of a great season in their own right, with just one hiccup at Utah along the way.

They too are coming off a bye week after taming Sean Mannion and the Oregon State offense with a 20-12 victory on Oct. 26.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, knows that despite the high-octane offense, Oregon will be tested by a tough Cardinal defense.

"Stanford has the defense but can only hope to slow Oregon down here and there," Korner. "Our range was from Oregon -10.5 to -15. We had requests for this game last week and we put out Oregon -14. After looking at it again, we kept the same number."

Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears (-16)

The "other" Thursday matchup featuring a score-at-will offense is this Big 12 tilt in Waco, TX.

The Bears (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS) boast the highest-scoring offense around, tallying an astronomical 63.9 points per game.

Not just another team coming off a bye week, but a team that put up a massive victory in their last effort. The Bears rocked the Kansas Jayhawks 59-14 on Oct. 26.

Save for a disappointing loss in the Red River Rivalry, the Sooners (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) have put together an excellent season. The Sooners haven't been kind to their backers of late, however, as they are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games.

"When it comes to Baylor, I usually just go with the highest number. This time I settled for Baylor -16," says Korner. "As always, you're asking any team Baylor plays to pick up their scoring. Because Oklahoma can compete (and win straight up), we do have some respect for them."

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines (-6)

A tough loss for Wolverines (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) on the weekend as in-state rival Michigan State easily outplayed them en route to the 29-6 victory.

Nebraska (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) bounced back from a loss at Minnesota on Oct. 26 with a victory over Northwestern. The Huskers should count their blessings, however, as the win came as a result of a Hail Mary as the clock hit zeroes. It was the second-straight game which the Huskers failed to cover.

Korner and his team of oddsmakers were all on the same page for this bringing similar numbers to the table.

"We had a range from Michigan -5 to -7 and that made it easy to stick a -6 as our send out," confirms Korner. "This game could go either way and we don't suspect a lot of movement with this line from where it opens."

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-14)

The top defense in the nation will be tested by one of the more potent offenses in the land in this batle of SEC heavyweights.

This will be a test for 'Bama (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) as a win here puts them on the cusp of an unbeaten season heading into the Bowl games. They have a pair of easy games (Mississippi State, Chattanooga) before closing the season at the Auburn Tigers.

LSU (7-2 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) would love to play spoiler for the Tide's unbeaten aspirations. At 40.2 points per game, the Tigers are 16th in the nation in scoring, but both of their defeats have come on the road this season.

Korner and his team all brought double-digit spreads to the table and settled on -14.

"We had Alabama -12, -14 and -16 so we put out -14, right in the middle," states Korner. "'Bama fans will think that's too low and LSU fans should drool with two TD's to start."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football Line Watch Auburn Backers Act Now

Each week during the college football season, renowned Las Vegas wiseguy and Expert Bruce Marshall looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to Bet Now

Auburn Tigers (-7.5) at Tennessee Volunteers

Never mind the tick over a key number, because by the end of the week, we suspect that Auburn backers might have to be worrying about the next pivot number up the ladder at 10.

There has already been some appetite in the marketplace for the Tigers, who opened a solid 7 at most outlets for this SEC clash at Knoxville.

With six-straight wins and spread covers, and improving by the week, Gus Malzahn’s team is starting to attract lots of attention, and the public can be expected to keep betting up the new “it” team on the college football map.

Outscored 76-13 the past two weeks by Bama and Mizzou, Tennessee is not going to get a lot of support from the sports book patrons.

Grab the 7.5 now with Auburn before the price challenges the next key number resistance point at 10 later in the week.

Spread to Wait on

USC Trojans at Cal Golden Bears (+17)

Though Cal has quietly covered two games on the trot after dropping 12 straight on the board from mid 2012 to mid-October 2013, Golden Bear support headed to the Sierras long ago.

Enduring the worst season in Berkeley since Tom Holmoe’s last campaign in 2001, Cal is hardly a public team these days. And the sharps stopped paying attention to Cal (unless as a go-against) long before HC Sonny Dykes arrived on the scene.

USC, however, can quickly rally its legion of followers with efforts such as last Friday’s 31-14 romp past Oregon State, which has revived hope that the Trojans can salvage a decent bowl bid out of what has already been a disrupted season featuring HC Lane Kiffin’s dismissal.

Further, it has been one-way traffic in this series over most of the last decade, with SC winning the last nine meetings outright, and covering 7 of the last 8, mostly by significant margins. The Golden Bears are also 1-8 vs. the line in their last nine in Strawberry Canyon.

We suspect Cal backers can get a few more points, perhaps close to the next key numbers up the scale at 20 or even 21, by waiting until later in the week. The Bears’ recent spread-covering efforts at least suggests they are still playing hard, and Cal might offer decent value at the higher price.

Total to Watch

BYU Cougars at Wisconsin Badgers

We are very curious to note where the oddsmakers will place the total in this fascinating November intersectional at Madison.

Both BYU and Wisconsin are 5-3 to the Under this campaign, and perceptions of the two teams might suggest a suppressed total at Camp Randall Stadium.

The Cougars, however, have accelerated their offensive pace in recent games behind emerging soph QB Taysom Hill, and have scored 31 or more in five straight outings.

The extra angle is the coaching matchup between BYU’s Bronco Mendenhall and Wiscy’s Gary Andersen, both defensive experts by trade.

Last season, when Andersen coached at Utah State, the Cougs and Utags played one of the best defensive wars of 2012, with BYU prevailing 6-3, one of the easiest Unders of last season.

We will be curious to see if the oddsmakers respect the reputations of these coaches and recent defense-oriented nature of the respective programs, or bend to the current reality of potent offenses each way and post this total well into the 50s.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football lines that make you go hmmm...
by Jason Logan

NCAAF

We were in this same spot last week with Missouri, thinking that 11-point spread at home to Tennessee was a touch too thin. And, as it would happen, the Tigers stomped the Volunteers 31-3.

Books are still selling Mizzou short, having posted the Tigers as two-TD chalk in Lexington this Saturday. Kentucky isn’t as bad as past seasons, but the Wildcats have yet to pick up an SEC win and are coming off a cupcake blowout over FCS Alabama State.

Missouri is sticking with Maty Mauk under center this weekend, even though No. 1 QB James Franklin could be ready to play for the first time since suffering a shoulder injury in mid October. That’s not a bad thing considering Mauk passed for three touchdowns and tacked on 114 yards rushing in the win over Tennessee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences
By DOC'S SPORTS

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to watch: Utah State Aggies (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS)

This week: -13.5 at UNLV

Utah State quarterback Chuckie Keeton is out for the season, but backup Darell Garretson is doing just fine, especially after getting one start under his belt. In his last two games, the freshman has completed 43 of 64 passes for 514 yards and four touchdowns with just one interception. The Aggies beat New Mexico and Hawaii by a combined score of 92-20 in those two contests.

On the other side of the ball, Utah State starts seven seniors and three juniors. The lone sophomore of the experienced unit, Kyler Fackrell, earned Mountain West Defender of the Week honors for his performance against Hawaii. UNLV head coach Bobby Hauck praised his opponents' defense for disguising its formations and throwing off quarterbacks with different looks.

The Aggies are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six against the Rebels.

Team to beware: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-6 SU, 1-7 ATS)

This week: +17 at East Carolina

The Golden Hurricane have scored 22 total points in their current two-game slide. Head coach Bill Blankenship apologized to fans after last week's dreadful 34-15 Homecoming loss to Texas-San Antonio. Tulsa linebacker Trent Martin is questionable after missing the last two games due to a knee injury. Despite playing in five of eight games he is still third on the team with 4.5 tackles for loss.

Tulsa is 1-7 ATS in its last eight overall and 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. The Golden Hurricane may have a hard time reversing those trends because this doesn’t look like a great matchup for them. Taking to the ground is their strength on offense but they are going up against an East Carolina defense that is giving up just 85.3 rushing yards per game.

Total team: UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (6-2 SU, 5-3 O/U)

This week: 67.5 vs. Troy

Louisiana-Lafayette is averaging 43.7 points per outing in its current six-game winning streak. It scored 35 in the second half of last week's 49-35 win over New Mexico State and running back Alonzo Harris ran for five touchdowns. Troy, Thursday's opponent, may be without stud safety Camren Hudson, who will be a game-time decision. For ULL, linebacker Chris Hill (sixth leading tackler on the team with 30, including three for loss) missed last week’s game against New Mexico State due to a concussion and is questionable.

The over is 6-0-1 in UL Lafayette's last seven home games. It is 14-2 in Troy's last 16 overall, 4-1 in its last five on the road, and 8-2 in its last 10 conference games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Michigan State Spartans (8-1 SU, 5-3-1 ATS)

The Spartans defeated their rivals Michigan in East Lansing by a score of 29-6 Saturday. They own the nation's third-ranked defense, allowing just 11.6 points per game. Connor Cook has settled in at quarterback and, while he doesn't put up impressive numbers, he's doing enough to give them a chance to win.

The Spartans close out the season with games against Nebraska, Northwestern and Minnesota, and all of those are very winnable games. Michigan State might just have a shot at the Big Ten title.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS)

The Red Raiders have made my list before, as the most overrated team in the Top 25. After starting the season with seven straight wins, they've now dropped back-to-back games against ranked opponents (Oklahoma and Oklahoma State).

They host Kansas State this week, and the Wildcats defense has really been impressive lately. Only a fourth-quarter fumble deep in their own territory prevented them from pitching a shutout over Iowa State last week. It figures to be a tough game for the Red Raiders and a loss will surely see them drop outside the Top 25.

Unranked team that should be ranked: Mississippi Rebels (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)

The Rebels have lost three games to Alabama, Auburn and Texas A&M. Two of those losses came in close games, and all three of those teams are near the top of the rankings.

This week they host Arkansas and the Razorbacks have collapsed, losing six in a row. They'll face Troy the following week and if they can put together back-to-back wins, they should get back into the rankings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

5* - [199] LSU +12.5 -110 vs Alabama

5* - [197] UCLA -1 -110 vs Arizona U

4* - [140] Minnesota U -2.5 -115 vs Penn State

4* - [170] Michigan -7 -105 vs Nebraska

3* - [194] Tennessee U +7.5 -110 vs Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks



SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 9
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (11/6)


Game 119-120: Iowa at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 92.458; Purdue 74.002
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 18 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Iowa by 14 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-14 1/2); Under


Game 121-122: Western Kentucky at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 73.317; Army 76.966
Dunkel Line: Army by 3 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+7); Over


Game 123-124: SMU at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 81.275; Cincinnati 84.336
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 69
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+9 1/2); Over


Game 125-126: NC State at Duke (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 80.436; Duke 94.175
Dunkel Line: Duke by 13 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Duke by 9; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-9); Under


Game 127-128: Tulsa at East Carolina (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 69.268; East Carolina 92.557
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 23 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 17 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-17 1/2); Over


Game 129-130: Illinois at Indiana (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 81.348; Indiana 95.556
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 14; 72
Vegas Line: Indiana by 10; 76 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-10); Under


Game 131-132: TCU at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 86.559; Iowa State 83.250
Dunkel Line: TCU by 3 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: TCU by 7 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+7 1/2); Over


Game 133-134: Florida State at Wake Forest (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 122.665; Wake Forest 84.680
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 38; 50
Vegas Line: Florida State by 34 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-34 1/2); Under


Game 135-136: UAB at Marshall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 66.043; Marshall 82.383
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 16 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Marshall by 23 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+23 1/2); Over


Game 137-138: Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 87.376; Miami (FL) 100.274
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 13; 38
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-6 1/2); Under


Game 139-140: Penn State at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 87.837; Minnesota 96.193
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-2 1/2); Under


Game 141-142: Syracuse at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 80.549; Maryland 89.916
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 9 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Maryland by 6; 53
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-6); Over


Game 143-144: Missouri at Kentucky (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 108.372; Kentucky 83.215
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 25; 52
Vegas Line: Missouri by 14; 56
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-14); Under


Game 145-146: Virginia at North Carolina (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 80.655; North Carolina 88.068
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 7 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 14; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+14); Over


Game 147-148: Vanderbilt at Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 87.300; Florida 103.463
Dunkel Line: Florida by 16; 38
Vegas Line: Florida by 10; 43
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-10); Under


Game 149-150: Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 56.477; Eastern Michigan 59.168
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 2 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 3; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+3); Over


Game 151-152: Tulane at TX-San Antonio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 82.226; TX-San Antonio 74.024
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 8; 56
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 9; 51
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9); Over


Game 153-154: Fresno State at Wyoming (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 92.894; Wyoming 71.030
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 22; 73
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 9; 79
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-9); Under


Game 155-156: Kansas State at Texas Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 99.531; Texas Tech 96.466
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 3; 65
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 3; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+3); Over


Game 157-158: BYU at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 101.560; Wisconsin 111.408
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 10; 51
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 7 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-7 1/2); Under


Game 159-160: Arkansas at Mississippi (12:21 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 83.089; Mississippi 95.934
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 13; 59
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 16 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+16 1/2); Over


Game 161-162: Nevada at Colorado State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 73.445; Colorado State 90.591
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 17; 62
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 9; 65
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-9); Under


Game 163-164: Colorado at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 73.957; Washington 106.238
Dunkel Line: Washington by 32 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Washington by 28; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-28); Over


Game 165-166: Texas at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 101.691; West Virginia 87.777
Dunkel Line: Texas by 14; 52
Vegas Line: Texas by 6 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-6 1/2); Under


Game 167-168: Arizona State at Utah (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 112.666; Utah 95.943
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 16 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 7; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-7); Under


Game 169-170: Nebraska at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 102.644; Michigan 98.195
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 4 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Michigan by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+7); Over


Game 171-172: Hawaii at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 72.556; Navy 80.491
Dunkel Line: Navy by 8; 59
Vegas Line: Navy by 17; 53
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+17); Over


Game 173-174: UTEP at North Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 60.322; North Texas 89.564
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 29; 52
Vegas Line: North Texas by 25; 57
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-25); Under


Game 175-176: Kansas at Oklahoma State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 76.940; Oklahoma State 101.405
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 24 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 31; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+31); Over


Game 177-178: USC at California (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 105.737; California 79.475
Dunkel Line: USC by 26 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: USC by 16; 56
Dunkel Pick: USC (-16); Under


Game 179-180: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 94.145; Pittsburgh 92.170
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 5; 51
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+5); Over


Game 181-182: Mississippi State at Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 89.462; Texas A&M 110.904
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 21 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 19; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-19); Under


Game 183-184: Boston College at New Mexico State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 86.841; New Mexico State 55.508
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 31 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Boston College by 24; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-24); Under


Game 185-186: Utah State at UNLV (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 90.030; UNLV 79.746
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 10 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Utah State by 13 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+13 1/2); Over


Game 187-188: Florida International at Middle Tennessee State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 56.469; Middle Tennessee State 77.704
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 21; 42
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 18; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-18); Under


Game 189-190: Arkansas State at UL-Monroe (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 74.170; UL-Monroe 74.204
Dunkel Line: Even; 64
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 6; 57
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+6); Over


Game 191-192: Southern Mississippi at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 49.907; Louisiana Tech 71.385
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 21 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 14 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-14 1/2); Under


Game 193-194: Auburn at Tennessee (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 100.102; Tennessee 95.882
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Auburn by 7 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+7 1/2); Over


Game 195-196: Houston at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 97.509; Central Florida 98.279
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 1; 68
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 10 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+10 1/2); Over


Game 197-198: UCLA at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 99.597; Arizona 101.762
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 52
Vegas Line: UCLA by 1 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+1 1/2); Under


Game 199-200: LSU at Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 102.583; Alabama 121.506
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 19; 50
Vegas Line: Alabama by 12; 55
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-12); Under


Game 201-202: San Diego State at San Jose State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 79.043; San Jose State 82.314
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 3 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+7); Over





OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (11/6)


Game 241-242: Appalachian State at Georgia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 59.822; Georgia 98.595
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 39
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 243-244: Tennessee-Martin at Memphis (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 66.224; Memphis 79.092
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 13
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 245-246: Old Dominion at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 74.300; Idaho 58.164
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 16
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate

Top CFB Plays

Over Wyoming
Over Texas Tech
Wisconsin
North Texas
Over California
Utah State
Over Houston
Over Arizona
Over San Jose State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate

Top CFB Plays

Over Army
Over Tulsa
Indiana
Virginia Tech
Over Penn State
Wisconsin
Texas
Over Michigan
Over Navy
Texas A&M
UL Monroe
Over UCF
Over Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Beat Your Bookie

SATURDAY

10* Play Vanderbilt +10 over Florida (NCAA TOP PLAY)
12:00 PM EST

Vanderbilt is 7-1 ATS when playing in the month of November
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points


10* Play BYU +7 over Wisconsin (NCAA TOP PLAY)
3:30 PM EST

BYU is 9-0 ATS when playing as an underdog the last three seasons
BYU is 11-3 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season


10* Play Houston +10.5 over Central Florida (NCAA TOP PLAY)
7:00 PM EST

Houston is 7-1 ATS in all games this season
Houston is 17-7 ATS when playing after the 1st month of the season


10* Play LSU +13 over Alabama (NCAA TOP PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

LSU is 5-0 ATS when playing as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
LSU is 17-6 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards in their last game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday Edge




SabertStxVii 35-26 57.38% +11.70















Early Plays:

2.5* Units, Missouri Tigers – 14 vs Kentucky Wildcats
3.5* Units, Iowa -15 vs Purdue
2* Units, Arizona State -6.5 vs Utah
1* Unit, USC -16.5 vs California

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday Edge

GoSooners

1 Unit Kansas State +3 (-110)
1/2 Unit KSU/Texas Tech over 59 (-120)
1 Unit OSU/Kansas over 53.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday Edge

Pezgordo

197 UCLA -1 (1 unit)
157/158 BYU – Wisconsin UNDER 55.5 (1 unit)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al

5* NCAA CONF. GAME OF THE YEAR!
Game Date/Time: 11/9/13 7:00 pm
Our Selection: Louisiana-Monroe Opponent: Arkansas St. Line: -4.5 Rating: 5*
Analysis: At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks minus the points over Arkansas State. The Warhawks are a half-game behind Sun Belt leader La-Lafayette in the Conference standings, but control their own destiny, as they will play at La-Lafayette in three weeks. This will be Monroe's last home game of the season, and they fall into two "Last Home Game" systems of mine that have records of 110-61, 82-51 and 82-48 ATS since 1980. This will be a tough task for Arkansas State, as La-Monroe had a couple of extra days to rest and prepare, as their last game was Thursday (a 49-37 win at Troy), while Arkansas St. had to play last Saturday (a 17-16 upset win at South Alabama). Those extra two days of rest are important, as teams that play in mid-week games do significantly better the next week vs. foes that are coming off a weekend game, including 59% (125-88 ATS) if our 'play-on' team is off a straight-up win. Additionally, since 1980, road underdogs off an upset win at a conference foe are a dreadful 42-78 ATS vs. conference foes off a win. And, since Nov. 2002, Sun Belt Conference underdogs of +3.5 or more points, off an upset win, are 0-18 SU and ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win. That doesn't bode well for Arkansas St. on Saturday. And neither does the fact that QB Kolton Browning has been spectacular since returning from a quad injury. Against Georgia St., he was 30-of-44, for over 300 yards, and four TDs. And last week, he completed 21-of-32 for 354 yards and five touchdowns. Look for the Sun Belt's top QB to lead the Warhawks to a blowout win. Lay the points with Louisiana Monroe.

5* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH!
Game Date/Time: 11/9/13 8:00 pm
Our Selection: LSU Opponent: Alabama Line: +12.5 Rating: 5*
Analysis: At 8 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide roll into this game undefeated, with an 8-0 record, after their 45-10 victory over Tennessee (as a 28-point favorite). Now, they'll look to win their 3rd straight game in this series. Last year, Alabama was out-statted by Les Miles' Tigers, who outgained the Tide 435 to 331, but Bama survived to win 21-17 as 7-point dogs. This year, the Tigers are 7-2, but each of those losses were by a field goal (to Georgia and Ole Miss). Here, LSU is catching almost two touchdowns, and it must be noted that it's been over 12 years since the last time LSU was this big of an underdog (Oct. 6, 2001 vs. Florida). Even Alabama rarely wins by double-digits vs. LSU, as it's defeated the Tigers just once by that margin in the last 11 meetings (The BCS Championship Game two seasons ago). Admittedly, Alabama's been impressive since "only" winning by 7 points at Texas A&M. But the Tide was favored by 26+ points in all but one of their last six games, so their recent foes weren't exactly 'Murderer's Row.' This is a huge step-up in class from what the Tide has faced recently (Tennessee, Arkansas, Kentucky, Georgia St.), and 'Bama falls into a negative 24-58 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams that are stepping up in class after a string of 'Cream Puff' opponents. Even worse for Alabama: it falls into a nasty 0-25 ATS system of mine. What we want to do is play against any undefeated team in the regular season with a record of 8-0 or better, if it covered by 6+ points in its last game, and is favored by 3+ points against a team which lost the previous meeting in the series, and whose win percentage is between .630 and .880. Take LSU plus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

CFB
MISSISSIPPI ST @ TEXAS A&M
Mississippi St.+pts

CFB
ILLINOIS @ INDIANA
Indiana-9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzick

3*CFB SHOOTOUT OVR GAME OF THE YEAR

OVER - Nevada/Colorado St.

Bonus play - West Virginia+7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ted Holmlund
21-9 70%

CFB
Texas A & M
Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Atrain Sports

Auburn -7

Minnesota -2

Missouri -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob

3* West Kentucky

3* Marshall

2* Hawaii

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Early Bird - Texas A&M -19

Underdog POW - San Diego State +6½

Powerplay - 4* Arizona +1

Economy Club - Tulane +8½

Big Dog - Houston+10 & +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

LSU (199) AT ALABAMA (200)
Latest Line: Alabama -11.5; Total: 55.0

Alabama has beaten LSU in both meetings since the teams' 9-6 classic during the 2011 regular season. But after a dominating win in the '11 BCS title game, the Tide had their hands full in Baton Rouge last November. Alabama scored a go-ahead touchdown in the final minute of a 21-17 win, in which LSU missed two field goals. The Tigers outgained the Tide 435-331 in that game. Both teams were off last week. Bama has covered in three straight, while LSU suffered an upset loss, at Ole Miss, in its last SEC game.
FORECASTER: Alabama 33, LSU 22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges Picks of the Pole

November 8-11, 2013

Last week: 13-9 Season: 125-119
COLLEGE

DOUBLE PLAYS:


Virginia Tech +6 1/2 Miami Fla.
USC -16 1/2 Cal
Kansas St. +2 1/2 Texas Tech
No. Texas -25 UTEP



SINGLE PLAYS:



Florida -10 Vandy
Missouri -13 1/2 Kentucky
Mississippi -17 Arkansas
Marshall -24 UAB
Colorado St. -8 1.2 Nevada
Alabama -12 1/2 LSU
Utah State -14 1/2 UNLV
Texas A&M -19 Mississippi St.
SMU +8 1/2 Cincy
Colorado St--Nevada OVER 65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointspread prognosis Joe Gavazzi
Saturday, November 9, 2013
North Carolina St. at Duke (-9) 5:00 ET ESPNU
First year NC St. HC Doeren, former HC at N. Illinois, is not used to these kinds of struggles. While his former team is again averaging over 44 PPG with an all-league QB, Doeren’s new team the Wolfpack, is struggling at 23 PPG with ample problems at the signal caller position. Last week, NC St. blew a 10-0 lead against rival NC in an eventual 27-19 loss. As a result, it is quite unusual to see a 3-5 SU ATS Wolfpack on a 4 game losing streak, looking up in the standings at 6-2 SU ATS Duke who is on a 4 game winning streak. The Blue Devils last victory clinched a Bowl invitation with a 13-10 win at VA Tech. With 2 weeks to rest, Duke is plenty pumped to break a 6 game series stranglehold by State and extend their record of 6-1 ATS as home chalk.

Florida St. (-35) at Wake Forest Noon ET ABC
Wake Forest lost their best offensive player last week when WR Campanaro left the game with what appears to be a season ending injury. Final: Syracuse 13-0 in a game where Wake Forest was outrushed 183-40. Such does not bode well for a Deacons team who lost 52-0 to Florida St. last year. Following the rivalry win vs. Miami FLA, the Seminoles may at first be considered a perfect letdown candidate in this spot. Until one considers, they are both a 200 CLUB MEMBER and DEFENSIVE DANDY, have an average win margin of 38 PPG, and will be looking for every style point they can get in their battle with Oregon for the No. 2 spot in the BCS.

PERCEPTION/REALITY GAME
Virginia Tech at Miami, FL (-7) 8:00 ET ESPN
No one is going to want VA Tech in this spot. The thinking is that Beamer ball is long outdated with their 22 PPG offense. The last two weeks, Tech has lost as 13 point home favorite to Duke, 13-10, and as 4 point road favorite at Boston College, 34-27. A closer inspection of those contests shows that the Hokies committed 4 TOs each of the last 2 weeks, yet outgained those 2 opponents by an average of 173 YPG. With a record of 11-26 ATS of late, and 1-9 ATS away, players will be running for the hills as they back Miami FL to bounce back from their loss to rival Florida St. Nothing could be further from the truth, as we are eager to suit up with this DEFENSIVE DANDY in Virginia Tech as TD underdog. The Miami FL issues began 3 weeks ago with injuries to two of their most dynamic players WR Dorsett and RB Johnson. Though Johnson returned for the following game, he was reinjured last week and both will miss this contest. Since the injuries to both, Miami has gone 0-3 ATS failing to cover by 41 points in narrow victories by 4 over NC, 3 over Wake and last week’s 27 point loss to FSU. At this point in the season, undefeated letdown (1st loss after starting 7-0 SU) is a far greater probability than bounceback. In one of today’s shocking upsets, do not be surprised if it is the Hokies who get the bounceback.

Penn St. at Minnesota (-2-) Noon ET ESPN
Last week, we had strong plays on both Penn St. and the OVER. We lost both. Up and down the field they went with Penn St. outrushing Illinois 251-89 (72% chance to cover as double rusher) and adding 240 yards through the air to become a 200 Club member (an 81% chance to cover). Add 322 air yards by the Illini, for over 900 yards of total offense, and it is a head-scratching result that Penn St. won just 24-17. Now this young Penn St. team takes to the road where they have gone 0-4 ATS recently including a 49 point loss at Ohio St. and 20 point loss at Indiana this year, in which they allowed at combined total of 103 points. With Minnesota HC Kill (seizures), looking on from the press box, the Gophers have responded to the on-field guidance of HC Claeys, the former defensive coordinator. The Gophers have pulled 3 consecutive upsets over Northwestern, Nebraska and Indiana covering by 48 points. Yet, this line has barely been adjusted to reflect such success. In last week’s victory against Indiana, the Gophers rolled up 573 yards. Quite a confidence boost. Let’s play the momentum of the home team to continue against a Penn St. team who has proven to be a poor traveler.

Missouri (-14-) at Kentucky Noon ET ESPNU
First reports this week are that veteran QB Franklin will be able to return sooner than expected. That may not be necessary, as in his absence, QB Mauk has performed with aplomb. When the Tigers did not suffer undefeated letdown in their 31-3 victory at home vs. Tennessee last week, many prognosticators assume the Tigers will Super surge through their schedule, win the SEC East, and meet Alabama in the SEC title game for the opportunity to potentially play for the National title. That, however, is a big leap with regular season games at Mississippi and vs. Texas A&M still remaining. That leaves THIS WEEK AS THE LETDOWN SPOT after facing Vandy, Georgia, Florida, South Caro and Tennessee in the last 5 weeks. Kentucky might not be much, but they played Louisville to within 14, South Caro within 7 and Miss St. within 6. After a confidence building 48-14 non con victory last week, this is just the spot that a momentum home dog could bite an unsuspecting visitor.

Virginia at North Carolina (-13-) 1:30 ET
Loss of veteran of QB Renner for N. Carolina not as great a loss as first anticipated. HC Fedora has been successfully operating a 2 QB system with Marquise Williams who now figures to take the controls on a full-time basis. In a battle of 2 teams headed opposite directions, we are eager to back the Tarheels in this one. After a heart breaking 27-23 defeat to Miami FL, on this field 3 weeks ago, it looked like Carolina was road kill at 1-5 SU. Since, they have easily disposed of BC 34-10, then, trailing rival NC St. 10-0, rebounded for a 27-19 victory to save their season. Now, they enter with great momentum knowing that with this Virginia team, a trip to Pittsburgh followed by home games with ODU and Duke that a winning season is still in their grasp. This may be the easiest of those, in a series that has seen N. Carolina win and cover each of the last 3 meetings, by counts of 37-13, 28-17, and 44-10. For, now it is Virginia that looks like road kill. The Cavs enter on negative runs of 5-16-2 ATS including 2-7 ATS this season. Virginia is on a 6 game losing streak after being slaughtered by Clemson last week, 59-10, being outgained 610-277. They now must take to the road at 2-7 SU ATS following 3 consecutive home games to play for their 8th consecutive week. CAN YOU SAY TOWEL TOSSER? In the last 5 weeks, the Virginia defense has allowed an average of 41 PPG and 513 YPG. Tarheels, 7-3 ATS as home chalk under Fedora, roll to victory.

Vanderbilt at Florida (-10) 1:00 ET ESPNU
Never easy to lay double digits with a Florida offense that is averaging just 21 PPG and 335 YPG. Ravaged by injury, this 11-2 SU team from last season enters at 4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS on a 3 game losing streak to LSU, Missouri, and Georgia (all away from home). Despite the losing streak, they have remained a Defensive Dandy allowing just 17 PPG, 291 YPG and 4.9 YP Play. That is far better than a Vandy team whose defense is allowing 30 PPG. The Commodores have been trounced in a 32 point loss to A&M and a 23 point loss to Missouri in which they allowed a combined 107 points. I will back the bounceback here. Believing that Florida has reached the nadir of their discontent with a recent 3-11 ATS mark, must show a bit of caution with the knowledge that HC Muschamp is 1-9 ATS following a defeat.

Fresno St. (-10) at Wyoming 11:15 ET ESPN2
The undefeated 8-0 SU mark of Fresno, which has seen them score 35 or more points each game, is what is propping up this line for a team that is 2-6 ATS. Repeatedly, teams have come through the back door against them. That includes Nevada last week. In Fresno’s 41-23 win, no cover, they allowed the Wolfpack to run and pass for at least 206 yards. Hard to imagine a team that allows 29 PPG being an undefeated 8-0 SU. But that is also the reason why they are 2-6 ATS. One thing we know for sure is that Fresno will certainly not be a fan of the 7,000 ft. altitude and probable wind-chill factor on the high plains of Laramie Saturday. Though 4-4 SU ATS, Wyoming presents much the same profile behind QB Smith. Wyoming is a member of the 200 Club, with a defense allowing 32 PPG. So frustrated was Wyoming’s HC Christensen with the defense, that he fired DC Tormey after their last game, a 51-44 defeat at San Jose. With Fresno QB Carr matching Smith throw for throw, it is flying footballs into the wee hours of Sunday morning with the back door swinging wide open, at the worst for home underdog Wyoming.

UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE DAY
Kansas St. at Texas Tech (-3) 1:00 ET ABC
Following a 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS start against Hart, Schaffner, and Marx, first year TTRR HC Kingsbury got caught looking in the mirror and reading press clippings. In the last 2 weeks, against real teams Oklahoma and Oklahoma St., the Red Raiders lost by 8 and 18 points allowing 45 PPG. With Kansas St., Baylor, and Texas remaining on the schedule, those endorsements may have to wait for Kingsbury. It sure won’t get any easier this week, when he goes up against the old master, Kansas St. HC Snyder. Snyder may have created the blueprint for countering these high-profile spread teams. Just like 2 weeks before, Oklahoma St. outrushed TTRR 281-124 in their resounding victory. After a 3 game losing streak, a rebuilding Kansas St. team stood 2-4 SU on the brink of disaster. Since that loss to Baylor, the Wildcats have pounded the rock in beating WVU and ISU, 76-19. Snyder has a record of 19-9 ATS as dog, L4Y and 19-5 ATS vs. Big 12 foes when his Wildcats are not playing at home. Make these Cats your Dog of the Day.

BYU at Wisconsin (-7-) 3:30 ET ESPN
How about this? You are 6-2 SU for the year, 6-1 ATS, but you are laying less points at home than you would have opening day to a team that is 5-3 ATS. Hello, Wisconsin! BYU has become a flavor of the year. The Cougars enter on a 20-8 ATS run with an up-tempo, balanced 200 Club offense that is averaging 259/4.7 overland, 252/7.3 through the air, and running 90 plays a game. Quite a dichotomous style to the ground and pound style of Wisconsin who rambles overland for 287/6.7 and runs just 68 plays per game. Does the 3.7 rush defense of BYU slow the Badger? I think, not. I’m guessing there is reason for this odd, late season intersectional. You see, Wisconsin HC Andersen is a Utah guy. That includes coaching Utah St. Aggies in recent seasons. Last year, Utah St. lost 6-3 to BYU, one of Andersen’s 2 losses last season. This is his revenge game. At both Utah St. and Wisconsin, Andersen is now on an 18-3 ATS run including 7-1 ATS this season. Andersen has extended the dominant way in which the Badgers record their victories. In fact, 28/32 Wisconsin recent victories have come by 10 or more points.

Nevada at Colorado St. (-9) 3:30 ET
We pay a price to back the positive momentum of Colorado St. in a battle of teams headed opposite directions. Long time Nevada HC Ault retired after last season leaving the Wolfpack in the hands of 1st year HC Brian Pollian, who had never been a HC prior to this season. Can you say Peter Principle? For it appears that Pollian has reached beyond his grasp. For the first time in 10 years, the Wolfpack will not be Bowling. Major problem is a defense that allows 37 PPG, at least 255 yards both running and passing, and 7.1 YP Play. They are one of 6 such Defensive Duds. The Pack has lost 4 straight games, to fall to 3-6 SU. QB Fajardo and whatever remains of the pistol under OC Rolovich is all that remains. Under 2nd year HC McElwain (former OC Alabama), the Rams are a team on the move. Following a 4-8 SU maiden voyage, McElwain’s Rams now stand 4-5 SU following a 42-30 loss to Boise last week. Major take from that game, however, is that Colorado St. outgained Boise with a balanced 626 yards to 437 for the Broncos. This is an emerging offensive team who has averaged 41 PPG in their last 5 outings. As such, these Rams will gouge the Wolfpack on every possession. Colorado St. has done their best work on this field where they have averaged 38 PPG and 549 YPG. This level of favoritism well deserved with an offense that should have their way all afternoon.

Texas (-6-) at West Virginia 8:00 ET FOXTV
Among our favorite situational plays in CFB is to fade home dogs who return following an outright road victory as double digit dog. Such is the case with these Mounties this week, who upset TCU 30-27. Despite being outgained, WVU profited from 4 critical TCU TOs to come away with the victory. Now, they return home where they are on overall runs of 5-12 ATS and 3-7 ATS on this field, dragging a defense that has allowed 564 YPG L5 games. They face a Texas team who will not lack for motivation. The Longhorns well remember being upset 48-45 as 7 point favorites against WVU last year. And, they are forewarned by the Mounties victory last week. With the Texas season on the verge of collapse, HC Brown fired DC Diaz and replaced him with veteran DC Robinson. Now, Texas enters on a 5 game winning streak keyed by a far improved defense that has recorded 18 sacks in those 5 wins. Longhorns know, this is a must win in their hopes for the Big 12 crown. With revenge as extra motivation, they record this double digit victory in style.

Nebraska at Michigan (-7) 3:30 ET ABC
Favor the concepts of home road dichotomy, revenge, and recent events for this ATS winner. Michigan HC Hoke is 19-0 SU on this field. Nebraska HC Pelini is 1-9 ATS away. Michigan is playing off a loss, an embarrassing 29-6 defeat at the hands of “little brother”. Hoke is 6-1 ATS/loss. Nebraska won last week 27-24 on a Hail Mary pass to end the game. Finally, Michigan well remembers last year’s results which saw them on the short end of a 23-9 score. Those 3 factors are the major difference between a pair of team who enters this contest at 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS.

Notre Dame (-4-) at Pittsburgh 9:00 ET NBC
Last year, Pitt came very close to spoiling the undefeated regular season of the Irish. As 16 point underdog in South Bend, the Panthers had plenty of chances to win the game that resulted in a 29-26 Fighting Irish victory. That contest epitomized this series which has seen the last 5 games decided by a total of 18 points with the underdog getting the Alpo in each contest. This is far from a vintage Notre Dame team of recent seasons. Though 7-2 SU and on a 4 game win streak, both the offense and defense are down a notch resulting in a 3-6 ATS log. Last week, they were fortunate to hold on for a 38-34 win vs. Navy who rushed for 331 yards against the Irish defense. The Pitt running game presents no such threat. We won our STEAMROLLER GOY against them last week with Georgia Tech (-10-) 21-10. In that game, the Yellowjackets went overland against the Panthers 276 to (-5). What Pitt does have, however, is a strong armed signal caller in QB Savage and a pair of dynamic receivers in Boyd and Street. Last week, we faded the Panthers because the left side of their offensive line missed the game with injuries. This week, both are expected to return allowing QB Savage to pick apart a Notre Dame defense allowing over 200 PYPG. Underdog history extended in another barn burner.

Mississippi St. at Texas A&M (-19) 3:30 ET CBS
At 4-4 SU, Miss St. must pick their battles if they hope to get to 6 wins. That will probably not be this week or next, at A&M and hosting Alabama. Chances are far better for the last 2 weeks of the season at Arkansas and hosting Ole Miss. State enters on an 0-4 ATS slide and is 1-8 ATS as conference road dog of late. HC Sumlin and QB Manziel have averaged 49 points and 583 yards. Miss. St. will not slow them down. But, as always, impossible for this bureau to lay points with confidence against a 30 PPG A&M defense who allows 200 YPG both running and passing.

Utah St. (-13-) at UNLV 4:00 ET ESPNU
This is a battle of 5-4 SU teams seeking the 6th victory for Bowl eligibility. QB Garretson is an ever improving signal caller in his effort to replace injured QB Keeton, the best signal caller in the league. He is ably supported by a veteran Aggie defense allowing just 19 PPG and 342 YPG. Therein lies the major difference between these two, as UNLV’s stop unit allows 34 PPG and 463 PPG. UNLV’s strong home field record of 18-7-1 ATS, including 10-5 ATS as home dog, is offset by Utah St.’s road ability which finds the Aggies 9-2 ATS away. Lay a value price now that QB Garretson is stepping up.

Arkansas St. at LA Monroe (-4-) 7:00 ET
Ark St. is the 2 time reigning Sun Belt Champion under emerging coaches Freeze and Malzahn. Such excellence will not be achieved in the 1st year under new HC Harsin (Boise, Texas Asst.). The Red Wolves are clearly a notch below at 4-4 SU. They have been overpriced from previous success with a 2-6 ATS record. Snapping a 2-4 SU, 0-6 ATS run, with a 17-16 victory at S. Alabama last week, does not emit any warm and fuzzy feelings. The real deal is LA Monroe. Team leader QB Browning (quad) was thought to be lost for the year. He surprisingly emerged 2 games ago leading the Warhawks to a 38-10 victory vs. Georgia St. followed by a 49-37 win at Troy (we were right there!). Today we ride that momentum of QB Browning, who has passed for 9 TDs in those 2 games. 45-23 revenge against the defending champ is further motivation while the situation is in our favor as well. Ark St. plays consecutive road games, while Monroe has extra rest having played Thursday night last week.

STEAMROLLER PLAY OF THE WEEK
Auburn (-7) at Tennessee 1:00 ET ESPN
Under 1st year HC Jones, the Vols are struggling at 4-5 SU ATS with losses in their last 2 games to Missouri and Alabama by combined counts of 76-13. Now they go out of the frying pan and under the STEAMROLLER. Frosh QB Dobbs is learning under fire as a replacement for injured QB Worley. But the biggest concern for the Vols in this one, is their 200 Club defense that is allowing 202/5.1 overland. Each year in CFB, there is a team that emerges from nowhere to make a big splash. Three years ago, 1st year HC Malzahn mentored QB Newton in Auburn’s championship series. Two stops later, Malzahn is at the helm of the Tigers who enter today’s action with 4 consecutive wins and a record of 8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS. Combined with his work last year, Malzahn is a profitable 15-6 ATS. First year QB Marshall runs a dynamic offense with a trio of RBs in Mason, Grant, and Artis-Payne. They run for an average of 306/6.3. Just imagine what they will do to that Tennessee defensive front.

Houston at C. Florida (-10-) 7:00 ET ESPN2
This is going to run against the grain of a lot of handicappers who will kneejerk toward the 9-1 ATS run of Houston. These Cougar backers certainly were not scared off by the 6 point move on their Cats last week. But it cost them, as Houston settled for a 12 point victory, in their first ATS loss of the season. I see a second one coming today. While Houston’s toughest opponent (by far) was BYU, a 47-46 home loss. UCF has been far more battle tested. This team has won at Penn St., lost by only 3 at S. Carolina, and came from 21 down at Louisville to hang 38 on the tough Cardinals defense in a 3 point victory. After a 62-17 buffer on this field vs. UConn two weeks ago, the Knights are well refreshed in this battle for AAC superiority. Bright House Stadium is a tough venue where the Knights are 17-8 ATS as home chalk and veteran HC O’Leary is 15-8 ATS laying double digits. Love the experience and accuracy of QB Bortles at the helm for UCF. That greatly offsets the TO forcing machine that is the Houston defense. In the end, however, it is a UCF defense on the verge of Defensive Dandy status, that along with the explosive offense, keys this easier than expected victory.

UCLA (-1) at Arizona 11:00p ET ESPN
Arizona RB Carey, a force with which to be reckoned, leads an Arizona ground game that averages 275/5.6. But, it is the return of RB James for UCLA that allows the Bruins to have the more balanced offense in this one. That is a key edge in a contest between 6-2 SU teams who have each tasted ATS defeat only 3 times. UCLA has the experience of playing at tough venues as they have already been victorious at Nebraska and Utah, while having experienced road games at Stanford and Oregon (their only 2 defeats). Arizona has played a far lighter slate having lost to Washington and USC, the 2 toughest teams they have played. Favor UCLA who has played the more difficult schedule, has established road ability, and has a more balanced offense.

LSU at Alabama (-13) 8:00 ET CBS
In the marquee matchup last week, double digit favorite Florida State, pulled away in the 2nd half for what appeared to be an easy cover. Such will not be the case in tonight’s primetime matchup. After 6 weeks of statistical dominance, No. 1 Alabama now qualifies as both a member of the 200 Club and Defensive Dandy. That 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS run in which the Tide has allowed 26 total points, has come against Colorado St., Ole Miss, GA St., Kentucky, Arkansas, and Tennessee. None of those teams has the offense comparable to that of LSU. For that opponent on the Alabama schedule, we must go to game 2, a 49-42 Alabama escape, when Johnny Football lit them up in consecutive seasons. LSU QB Mettenberger does not have the same mobility as Manziel, but he is every bit as accurate, the quality that makes Manziel such a dual threat. What LSU does have is two of the best WRs in the country in Beckham and Landry to give the Crimson Tide secondary (now playing without Sunseri) total fits. The point is, we don’t’ really know if this is an Alabama defense that is as good as the last two National championship editions. But, we sure will find out tonight. Series history certainly points to the LSU side. Saban is only 4-3 SU vs. Miles, while LSU is 5-1-2 ATS in this series at this site. With a pair of losses of 3 points each at GA and Ole Miss, the Tigers have removed themselves from National Championship contention. It means, they play this one fast and loose and in the role of spoiler that HC Miles must relish. This impost way too much in this fierce SEC-West rivalry. LSU the percentage side.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Boston

CFB
Va Tech +7
Nevada +9
Utah +6.5
Syracuse +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella

PAC-12 3* TRIPLE DIME GAME OF WEEK

Arizona Wildcats +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Sports

CFB
LSU +13 over Alabama
BYU +7.5 over Wisconsin
Houston +10.5 over Central Florida
UNLV +13.5 over Utah State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob

Opinions

San jose st
Utsa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine Totals


122
12:00 PM
WESTKY @ ARMY
57.5
70.5
Over
60.6


140
12:00 PM
PSU @ MINN
47.5
55.2
Over
60


182
3:30 PM
MISSST @ TEXA&M
66.5
74.4
Over
58.6


128
3:45 PM
TULSA @ ECU
52.5
45.7
Under
58.5


152
2:00 PM
TULANE @ UTSA
51
44.4
Under
58.5


142
3:30 PM
SYR @ MD
53
44.1
Under
57.9


198
10:00 PM
UCLA @ ARI
56.5
66.3
Over
57.8


120
12:00 PM
IOWA @ PURDUE
45
40
Under
57.7


148
12:00 PM
VANDY @ FLA
43
38.6
Under
57.6


124
12:00 PM
SMU @ CIN
64
55.6
Under
56.8


144
12:00 PM
MIZZOU @ KTY
56
61
Over
56.4


194
12:00 PM
AUBURN @ TENN
55
60
Over
56.3


166
7:00 PM
TEX @ WVU
56
62.5
Over
56.2


132
12:00 PM
TCU @ IAST
46.5
41.3
Under
56.1


174
3:30 PM
UTEP @ NORTX
57
61.9
Over
55.7


168
4:00 PM
ARIST @ UTAH
64.5
58.1
Under
55.2


150
1:00 PM
WESTMI @ EASTMI
58.5
63.2
Over
55


200
8:00 PM
LSU @ ALA
55
58.9
Over
55


154
10:15 PM
FRES @ WYO
79
72.4
Under
54


172
3:30 PM
HAWAII @ NAVY
53
48.7
Under
54


180
8:00 PM
ND @ PITT
51
46.9
Under
54


146
12:30 PM
UVA @ UNC
51.5
47.7
Under
53.7


162
3:30 PM
NEVADA @ COLOST
65
70.6
Over
53.6


190
7:00 PM
ARKST @ UL-MON
57
60.8
Over
53.6


178
3:00 PM
USC @ CAL
55.5
59.1
Over
53.1


134
12:00 PM
FLAST @ WAKE
54
50.9
Under
52.7


156
12:00 PM
KANST @ TXTCH
59.5
56.7
Under
52.5


184
3:30 PM
BC @ NMST
60.5
63.7
Over
52.4


138
7:00 PM
VATECH @ MIA-FL
44
42.2
Under
51.9


192
7:00 PM
SOUMIS @ LATECH
52
53.5
Over
51.8


176
4:00 PM
KANSAS @ OKST
53.5
55
Over
51.5


186
8:00 PM
UTAHST @ UNLV
56.5
54.7
Under
51.4


164
8:00 PM
COLO @ WASH
60.5
61.9
Over
51.2


136
12:00 PM
UAB @ MARSH
67
65.8
Under
51.2


160
12:21 PM
ARK @ MISS
53.5
54.3
Over
51.1


126
4:00 PM
NCSU @ DUKE
56.5
55.6
Under
50.7


188
4:00 PM
FIU @ MIDDTN
48.5
48.8
Over
50.4


130
3:30 PM
ILL @ IND
76.5
76.9
Over
50.3


158
3:30 PM
BYU @ WISC
55.5
55.2
Under
50.3


202
10:30 PM
SDSU @ SJSU
55.5
55.7
Over
50.2


170
3:30 PM
NEB @ MICH
57.5
57.4
Under
50.2


196
7:00 PM
HOU @ UCF
64
63.8
Under
50.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine


126
4:00 PM
@ DUKE Lock of the Week
NCSU
-9
17.9
59.4


198
10:00 PM
@ ARI Upset Watch
UCLA
1.5
7.5
57.6


193
12:00 PM
AUBURN
@ TENN
-7.5
12.3
57.3


145
12:30 PM
UVA
@ UNC
14
-8.6
57


127
3:45 PM
TULSA
@ ECU
17.5
-12.3
56.7


134
12:00 PM
@ WAKE
FLAST
35
-28.5
56


147
12:00 PM
VANDY
@ FLA
10
-6.6
56


152
2:00 PM
@ UTSA
TULANE
-8.5
12.2
55.8


158
3:30 PM
@ WISC
BYU
-7.5
11
55.4


153
10:15 PM
FRES
@ WYO
-9.5
15.6
55.4


170
3:30 PM
@ MICH
NEB
-7
10.5
55.3


189
7:00 PM
ARKST
@ UL-MON
5
0.6
55.2


178
3:00 PM
@ CAL
USC
17
-12.5
55


165
7:00 PM
TEX
@ WVU
-6.5
11
54.9


199
8:00 PM
LSU
@ ALA
12.5
-8.9
54.6


129
3:30 PM
ILL
@ IND
10
-6.4
54.5


141
3:30 PM
SYR
@ MD
6.5
-2.5
54.1


137
7:00 PM
VATECH
@ MIA-FL
7
-3.7
53.6


160
12:21 PM
@ MISS
ARK
-16
18.8
53.6


162
3:30 PM
@ COLOST
NEVADA
-9.5
13.4
53.4


184
3:30 PM
@ NMST
BC
24
-20.3
53.2


124
12:00 PM
@ CIN
SMU
-9
11.8
53.2


201
10:30 PM
SDSU
@ SJSU
6.5
-3.2
53.1


139
12:00 PM
PSU
@ MINN
2.5
-0.2
53.1


188
4:00 PM
@ MIDDTN
FIU
-18
19.6
52.2


192
7:00 PM
@ LATECH
SOUMIS
-15.5
17
52


156
12:00 PM
@ TXTCH
KANST
-3
4.9
52


120
12:00 PM
@ PURDUE
IOWA
15
-13.9
51.8


181
3:30 PM
MISSST
@ TEXA&M
19.5
-17.9
51.4


174
3:30 PM
@ NORTX
UTEP
-25
26.4
51.3


143
12:00 PM
MIZZOU
@ KTY
-14
14.9
51.2


175
4:00 PM
KANSAS
@ OKST
31
-29.7
51.1


180
8:00 PM
@ PITT
ND
4.5
-3.5
51.1


121
12:00 PM
WESTKY
@ ARMY
-6.5
7.5
51


186
8:00 PM
@ UNLV
UTAHST
13.5
-12.8
50.8


149
1:00 PM
WESTMI
@ EASTMI
-2.5
3
50.6


196
7:00 PM
@ UCF
HOU
-10.5
11
50.6


168
4:00 PM
@ UTAH
ARIST
7
-6.5
50.5


132
12:00 PM
@ IAST
TCU
7.5
-7.2
50.4


164
8:00 PM
@ WASH
COLO
-28
28.1
50.1


136
12:00 PM
@ MARSH
UAB
-23.5
23.6
50.1


171
3:30 PM
HAWAII
@ NAVY
17
-17
50

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE THE PRESSBOX / PHIL STEELE
CFB BEST BETS
#119 Iowa
#151 Tulane
#165 Texas
#198 Arizona
#201 San Diego St. - "Upset POW"
"HIGH SCORING POW"
#123 Smu - Cincinnati

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CKO
11 MISSOURI over *Kentucky
Late Score Forecast:
MISSOURI 41 - *Kentucky 13
10 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA over
*California
Late Score Forecast:
SO CALIFORNIA 38 - *California 10
10 *LOUISIANA-MONROE over
Arkansas St.
Late Score Forecast:
*LA.-MONROE 38 - Arkansas St. 20
10 *LA TECH over Southern Miss
Late Score Forecast:
*LA TECH 36 - Southern Miss 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET
♦♦♦♦♦ KEY RELEASES ♦♦♦♦♦
TULANE by 3 over Utsa
MICHIGAN by 17 over Nebraska
TEXAS A&M by 31 over Mississippi State
AUBURN by 18 over Tennessee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PLAYBOOK / MARC LAWRENCE

5★ BEST BET
Virginia Tech over MIAMI FLA by 10
Frank Beamer was like money in the bank when playing the
Hurricanes during the Larry Coker/Randy Shannon years, going
8-1 ATS, but Al Golden has covered two straight against the
Beamster since taking over at Miami in 2011. However, if the Noles
didn’t expose every Miami weakness in that ‘Bubble Bursting’ loss
on Saturday night, the Canes have certainly been diminished by
the loss of star RB Duke Johnson to a broken ankle. The Hokies
have plenty of weaknesses themselves, most recently at QB as
Logan Thomas has tossed 6 interceptions en route to back-to-back
losses against Duke and BC, bringing a 6-game winning streak
to an abrupt halt. Still, this becomes an extremely important
game for Tech, as an upset would put them in the driver’s seat
for the ACC championship game, equaling Miami at 4-2 in the
conference while owning the tie-breaker against both the Canes
and Georgia Tech. Also, the Gobblers fall squarely into the
SMART BOX this week, a good thing for November considering
they have outstatted all but one of their opponents this season.
This looks promising for Beamer as Miami has now allowed over
500 yards in consecutive weeks. Our well-oiled machine adds its
two cents: ACC conference favorites are just 3-9 ATS after facing
Jimbo Fisher’s Seminoles, including 0-5 ATS when facing a .400 or
greater opponent.

4★ BEST BET
Kansas St over TEXAS TECH by 8
Despite the disparity of the W-L records, this is a very even matchup.
The Red Raiders have dropped back-to-back games after a 7-0 start
and their wobbly defense has allowed foes season high – or 2nd
high – yards in their last three games. Tech is also 0-3-1 ATS as
favorites in the fi rst of back-to-back home games and 2-6 ATS as
conference home chalk of 7 or less points. On the fl ip side, wily
veteran Bill Snyder now rivals Steve Spurrier with a spread record of
106-64-1 in conference games, including 26-9 as a pick or dog of 7 or
less points. Snyder’s Wildcats currently stand 6-1 ATS as conference
road dogs of 7 points or less while also sporting a 9-1 ATS mark in
road tilts following back-to-back home games. In addition, KSU is
starting to hit on all defensive cylinders now, having held its last
four foes to season low – or 2nd low – yardage marks. With Marc’s
‘ONLY THE GOOD DIE YOUNG’ angle from the 2009 Black Book
also at work here, it makes Grandpa’s work that much easier. The
Clincher: The Red Raiders are in a ‘Double Bubble Burst’ role
and 94% angles defi nitely tend to pique our interest. See
this week’s AWESOME ANGLE

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
Michigan is 5-13 SU and 1-16-1 ATS in its last eighteen games when looking to avenge a
conference loss.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
PLAY AGAINST any college football favorite of 20 or less points from Game Six out off two losses
exact if they were undefeated prior to the losses – provided they won 9 or fewer
games last season and their fi rst loss of the season was by 12 or less points.
Play AGAINST: TEXAS TECH
ATS W-L Record Since 1992:15-1(94%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTWISE
COLLEGIATE
FOOTBALL PROPHECY
BAYLOR over Oklahoma RATING: 1 - (W)
ARIZONA STATE over Utah RATING: 1
SO CALIFORNIA over California RATING: 2
TEXAS A&M over Mississippi State RATING: 3
EAST CAROLINA over Tulsa RATING: 4
ALABAMA over Lsu RATING: 4
MISSISSIPPI over Arkansas RATING: 5
MISSOURI over Kentucky RATING: 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS REPORTER
BEST BETS
BYU over *WISCONSIN by 6
SMU over *CINCINNATI by 3
*TENNESSEE over AUBURN by 7
BOSTON COLLEGE over *NEW MEXICO STATE by 37
RECOMMENDED
*EAST CAROLINA over TULSA by 25
*NAVY over HAWAII by 26
*CENTRAL FLORIDA over HOUSTON by 20
SAN DIEGO STATE over *SAN JOSE STATE by 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS
****BEST BETS
ALABAMA* over LSU by 31
WYOMING* over FRESNO STATE by 7
PREFERRED
Texas Tech* over Kansas State by 14
Texas over West Virginia* by 19
Michigan* over Nebraska by 17
Pittsburgh over Notre Dame by 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RED SHEET
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Missouri 45 - KENTUCKY 17 - (12:00 EST)
RATING 89: MISSOURI
ALABAMA 38 - Lsu 13 - (8:00 - CBS)
RATING 89: ALABAMA
Southern California 48 - CALIFORNIA 13
RATING 88: SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
MICHIGAN 44 - Nebraska 24 - (3:30 - ABC)
RATING 88: MICHIGAN
Auburn 51 - TENNESSEE 24 - (12:00)
RATING 88: AUBURN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAYS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
4.5* MINNESOTA 30 PENN ST 17
4.5* NORTH CAROLINA 38 VIRGINIA 15
4.5* COLORADO ST 43 NEVADA 27
4* MISSOURI 36 KENTUCKY 15
4* FLORIDA 26 VANDERBILT 12
4* TULANE 24 (+) UTSA 28
4* TEXAS 35 WEST VIRGINIA 24
4* NORTH TEXAS (if -24 or less) 42 UTEP 11
4* ARIZONA 28 UCLA 26
4* ALABAMA 38 LSU 17
3* IOWA 26 PURDUE 8
3* DUKE 33 NC STATE 19
3* MARSHALL 50 UAB 24
3* ARIZONA ST 38 UTAH 26
3* USC 34 CAL 12
3* TEXAS A&M 48 MISSISSIPPI ST 26
2* FRESNO ST 44 WYOMING 32
1* NEBRASKA 32 (+) MICHIGAN 37

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWERSWEEP
KEY SELECTIONS
4* FLORIDA over Vanderbilt

3* Texas over WEST VIRGINIA -
3* Virginia Tech over MIAMI, FL

2* Nebraska (+) over MICHIGAN
2* MARYLAND over Syracuse

UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK
Play:SMU +10 over CINCINNATI
TECHNICAL PLAY OF THE WEEK ........VIRGINIA TECH
REVENGE PLAY OF THE WEEK ...........TCU
SITUATIONAL PLAY OF THE WEEK .....MARYLAND

[Can'tPickAWinner]

aturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action

Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+35, 55)

As national title talk for the Seminoles goes, so goes Heisman Trophy chatter for quarterback Jameis Winston. The redshirt freshman leads the ACC in total offense (331.9 yards per game), passing average (312.8), pass efficiency (201.1) and passing touchdowns (24). Winston's 2,502 passing yards is already the sixth-highest total among ACC freshmen all-time and he is on pace to become the most prolific freshman quarterback in conference history.

Michael Campanaro, the Demon Deacons' all-time leading receiver with 229 receptions for 2,506 yards, is expected to miss 4-to-6 weeks with a broken collarbone. Sherman Ragland III will be leaned on in Campanaro's absence and the sophomore performed well against Syracuse, stepping up to set career bests by grabbing 10 receptions for 91 yards. Quarterback Tanner Price ranks fourth in the ACC with 1,956 passing yards,

LINE: The Seminoles have held steady as 35-point favorites, with the total currently 55.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies.
TRENDS:

* Seminoles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.
* Demon Deacons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Under is 13-3 in Wake Forest's last 16 games on fieldturf.

Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats (+13.5, 56)

Redshirt freshman QB Maty Mauk has kept the Tigers' high-powered offense on track with James Franklin (shoulder) sidelined, and he had his best game yet in a 31-3 win over Tennessee last week. Missouri rolled up 339 rushing yards against the Volunteers and ranks second in the SEC with 237.2 yards per game on the ground. The defense has been overshadowed somewhat but Missouri ranks fourth in the SEC in scoring defense (20.6).

The Wildcats have struggled in coach Mark Stoops' first season, but they've been close to pulling off a quality win with narrow defeats at South Carolina and Mississippi State. The offense was impressive last week, albeit against Alabama State, as Whitlow rushed for 101 yards and two touchdowns and threw for two more scores. Kentucky has faced trouble stopping the run, allowing 197.6 yards per game.

LINE: The Tigers opened -14 and are now -13.5, with the total set at 56.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing across the field at 11 mph.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an SU win.
* Over is 18-7-1 in Kentucky's last 26 games following an ATS win.

Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers (+7, 55)

The Tigers feature the nation’s sixth-best rushing attack (306.2 yards per game), led by running back Tre Mason, who rushed for 168 yards and four touchdowns last week to earn SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Auburn did not know if quarterback Nick Marshall would start last week because of a shoulder injury, but the junior finished with 177 yards of total offense and is expected to be completely healthy against Tennessee.

The Volunteers have to shore up their run defense after allowing a season-high 339 yards on the ground against Missouri. Tennessee has allowed 76 points the past two weeks in losses to Alabama and Missouri. Dobbs completed 26-of-42 passes against Missouri and is the third freshman to start at quarterback for Tennessee in the past four years.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 7-point fave, while the total opened at 55.
WEATHER: Partly cloudy skies are in the forecast with temperatures in the high-50s.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 5-0 ATS against teams with losing records.
* Volunteers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Over is 9-4 in Tennessee's last 13 conference games.

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5, 59.5)

Former walk-on defensive end Ryan Mueller was named Big 12 Defensive Player of the Week after posting seven tackles (including two for loss) and one sack. Sparked by Mueller’s effort, the Wildcats allowed only one offensive snap inside their 20 and held Iowa State to 249 total yards, narrowly missing out on its first shutout in a conference game since 2003.

Despite being the focal point of the Cowboys’ defense last Saturday, Jace Amaro set career highs with 15 catches and 174 receiving yards – becoming the first Red Raider since Michael Crabtree to record at least eight receptions in eight straight games. Amaro also logged his fourth consecutive 100-yard game, the most by a Texas Tech player since Crabtree posted seven in a row in 2007.

LINE: Texas Tech opened as at 2.5-point favorite and the total opened at 59.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures are expected to be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 8 mph.
TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. teams with winning records.
* Red Raiders are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit home loss.
* Over is 23-9 in Texas Tech's last 32 games.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies (-19, 66.5)

The Bulldogs are on pace to break a 31-year-old school-record for total offense, averaging 447.1 yards, and Prescott is the catalyst. He has rushed for 100 yards or more three times and has accounted for 17 touchdowns. The Bulldogs' secondary was shredded against LSU and Auburn but has allowed only 312 passing yards over the past two games.

Aggies quarterback Johnny Manziel has put on quite an encore after his Heisman Trophy campaign as a redshirt freshman, and he ranks fifth in the nation with 2,867 passing yards to go along with 564 rushing yards and accounting for 34 touchdowns. He has one of the nation's top receivers in Mike Evans, who needs 61 receiving yards to surpass Ryan Swope's school record of 1,207 in 2011. D

LINE: Texas A&M is a 19-point favorite after opening at -18. The total has held steady at 66.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under partly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games on grass.
* Under is 9-3 in Texas A&M's last 12 games following an ATS win.

Brigham Young Cougars at Wisconsin Badgers (-8, 55.5)

Outside linebacker Kyle Van Noy leads the Cougars’ defense, ranking second among active FBS players in career sacks with 26. Hill is a dangerous dual threat, passing for 339 yards and three touchdowns in BYU’s 37-20 victory over Boise State on Oct. 25. The sophomore is sixth in the nation averaging 357.5 yards of total offense per game, and has completed 65.4 percent of his passes during the Cougars’ five-game winning streak.

White scored two touchdowns in last week’s 28-9 victory over Iowa, and leads all active FBS players in career rushing touchdowns (41) and total touchdowns (43). The Badgers average 7.26 yards per play, leading the Big Ten and ranking seventh in the nation. The Wisconsin defense gets particularly tough in the red zone, leading the country in holding opponents out of the end zone 61.9 percent of the time.

LINE: Wisconsin opened -7.5 and is now -8. The total is currently 55.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with wind blowing across the width of the field at 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games.
* Badgers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games.
* Under is 16-5 in BYU's last 21 games against teams with winning records.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-31, 53.5)

No. 11 Oklahoma State knows it can't overlook visiting Kansas on Saturday, even though the Jayhawks enter with a five-game losing streak and haven't won a Big 12 Conference game since 2010. Kansas quarterback Jake Heaps needs 84 passing yards to reach 5,000 for his career and could have receivers Tony Pierson (concussion), Rodriguez Coleman (leg), Josh Ford (concussion) and Andrew Turzilli (ankle) back this week.

First-year defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer has the Cowboys ranked in the top 20 in several categories, including third-down defense (ninth, 30.2 percent), red-zone defense (14th, 71.4 percent) and rushing defense (18th, 122.9 yards per game). The Cowboys, who have created at least one turnover in 16 straight games, are tied for fifth nationally with a plus-10 turnover margin.

LINE: Oklahoma State is a 31-point favorite after opening at -30.5. The total has held steady at 53.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with wind blowing across the length of the field at 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* Jayhawks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games on fieldturf.
* Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Kansas is 2-8 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes (+6.5, 63.5)

No. 24 Arizona State visits Utah for a Pac-12 Conference matchup on Saturday. The Sun Devils have defeated the Utes by a lopsided margin in each of the last two meetings, with the most recent occurring in Tempe. Taylor Kelly passed for 326 yards and three scores in last season's meeting as the Sun Devils scored 37 points on the Utes with 512 yards of total offense.

Coming off a 55-21 blowout of Washington State, the Sun Devils own a one-game lead in the Pac-12 South, and a win against Utah will only get them closer to a spot in the conference championship. The Utes are no strangers to upsets, having done just that to then-No. 5 Stanford earlier this season, but the offense potentially could be without Travis Wilson. The standout quarterback suffered a sprained finger late in the first half against Arizona.

LINE: ASU opened -7 and is now -6.5. The total opened 64.5 and is down to 63.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s and wind blowing diagonally out of the SW at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Sun Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.
* Utes are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following an SU loss.
* Over is 18-4 in Arizona State's last 22 games following an ATS win.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes (-7, 44)

Logan Thomas posted a career-high 429 yards of total offense against Boston College to give him 9,463 for his career, moving him past Tyrod Taylor for the most in school history. Thomas also committed two of the Hokies’ four giveaways and has turned the ball over 31 times since the start of the 2012 season – the third-highest individual total in FBS over that span.

Miami's Duke Johnson – the second-leading rusher in the conference – will miss the rest of the season after he broke his right ankle against Florida State. Dallas Crawford, who replaced an injured Johnson during the team’s Oct. 17 victory over North Carolina with 137 yards rushing and two scores, will be one of three backs to fill the void of a player who posted an ACC-high 1,393 all-purpose yards.

LINE: Miami opened as a 6.5-point fave, but has been bet up to -7. The total is unmoved at 44.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers.
TRENDS:

* Hokies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
* Under is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

Houston Cougars at Central Florida Knights (-10.5, 64)

No. 21 Central Florida looks to claim its fourth consecutive victory when it hosts Houston with first place in the American Athletic Conference on the line. The Knights, who have scored 100 total points in their last two games, bring a dynamic offense led by quarterback Brian Bortles. With 15 touchdowns and four interceptions on the season, Bortles has proven both efficient and lethal through seven games.

The Cougars, too, have one lone slip-up fading farther into the rearview. They're coming off conference wins against Rutgers and South Florida, and boast the 12th-best scoring offense in the country at 41.4 points per game. Freshman John O'Korn provides an equal, if not stronger match for Bortles having thrown for more yardage, 2,121 yards, and touchdowns, 22, with just four interceptions.

LINE: The Knights opened -11.5-point but are now -10.5. The total is set at 64.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing diagonally out of the NE at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Cougars are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. teams with winning home records.
* Knights are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
* Under is 7-2 in Houston's last nine games following a bye week.

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-13, 55)

Running back Jeremy Hill faces a tough test against the stout Alabama run defense, but he collected 107 yards and a score in last year’s 21-17 loss to the Crimson Tide - and he’s averaging 7.2 yards per carry this season with 12 touchdowns. Wide receivers Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry have eight touchdown receptions apiece, but quarterback Zach Mettenberger has struggled over his last three games (four TDs and five interceptions).

Quarterback AJ McCarron, who is 33-2 as a starter, has entered the Heisman Trophy discussion by completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns with two interceptions over the last seven games. Alabama’s offensive line hasn't allowed a sack since the third quarter against Ole Miss on Sept. 28, and running backs T.J. Yeldon and Kenyan Drake have combined for 17 rushing touchdowns this season.

LINE: Alabama has seen a sharp bump in the odds from an opening of -11 to -13. The total is 55.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
* Crimson Tide are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
* Under is 7-3-1 in Alabama's last 11 home games.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Pittsburgh Panthers (+4, 51)

No. 25 Notre Dame has made a habit of doing just enough to win lately, which also sums up how its recent meetings with Pittsburgh have gone. The Fighting Irish have won four in a row entering Saturday’s road contest against the Panthers, including three by four points or fewer after a 38-34 victory over Navy last weekend. Notre Dame’s last five games against Pittsburgh have been decided by an average of four points.

The Fighting Irish are the only FBS team with five wins by seven points or fewer this season. The Panthers, who have dropped three straight in this series, have lost two straight and three of four overall after falling 21-10 at Georgia Tech last Saturday. Despite the loss, defensive tackle Aaron Donald had a day to remember with 11 tackles (including six for losses – the most by a player in FBS in 2013), two forced fumbles and a sack.
LINE: The Irish opened as 5-point faves, but the line has moved to -4. The total has held steady at 51.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with partly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last seven November games.
* Panthers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following an SU loss.
* Under is 5-1 in Pittsburgh's last six games against independents.

UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats (-1.5, 56)

In addition to the return of rushing leader Jordon James to full health, the Bruins are also expected to have linebacker Eric Kendricks in the starting lineup against Arizona. Kendricks, who is fifth in the Pac-12 at eight tackles a game, did not play versus Colorado due to a shoulder injury. The Bruins enter the game sixth in the conference in total defense, one spot behind the Wildcats.

Arizona's B.J. Denker is the second-lowest rated quarterback in the Pac-12, although he has posted seven touchdown passes and one interception in the last four games. The Wildcats don’t have a receiver with more than 21 catches. Denker has scored 11 rushing touchdowns this season, two more than any previous Arizona quarterback.

LINE: What opened as a pick has shifted to Arizona -1.5. The total has risen slightly from 55.5 to 56.
WEATHER: Wind will blow south across the length of the field at 7 mph with temperatures in the mid-60s.
TRENDS:

* Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
* Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. teams with winning records.
* Over is 7-3 in Arizona's last 10 home games.

Fresno State Bulldogs at Wyoming Cowboys (+9, 79)

Bulldogs quarterback Derek Carr ranks second nationally in both passing (382.6 yards per game) and touchdown throws (28), and the trio of wide receivers Davante Adams, Josh Harper and Isaiah Burse has combined for 195 catches. Carr threw for 268 yards and three touchdowns in a 42-14 home victory over Wyoming last season, while Harper had a school-record 17 catches last week for 253 yards and two scores.

The Cowboys have struggled defensively all season, but their up-tempo offense could cause trouble for Fresno State. Running back Shaun Wick gained 234 yards on 17 carries against San Jose State, and underrated quarterback Brett Smith ranks eighth nationally in total offense at 349.8 yards per game. Fresno State’s explosive offense thrives on the big play, which could mean trouble for the Cowboys defense.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened -11 and are now -9. The total is currently 79.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s with wind blowing diagonally out of the SW at 9 mph.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games.
* Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Under is 11-4 in Wyoming's last 15 games following an ATS win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Projected BCS bowls spreads: Buckeyes bound for title snub
By MATT FARGO

Each week, Covers Expert Matt Fargo will give his projected matchups and spreads for the five BCS Bowls. Auburn and Michigan State enter the picture and with some huge matchups this week, big changes could be coming if any upsets take place:

BCS Championship: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oregon Ducks

Projected line: Alabama -3

Alabama has seen its margin shrinking but should it run the table, the Tide will be guaranteed its third straight BCS Championship invite. A visit from LSU will tell us a lot this coming Saturday.

Florida State is actually in the No. 2 spot right now but that won't last after this week, should Oregon win at Stanford Thursday. Unfortunately for Florida State, the remaining schedule is not strong enough to jump back over Oregon. An undefeated season would still keep it out of the BCS Championship.

Oregon has relatively tough games remaining against Arizona and Oregon State plus the Pac-12 Championship after its game against the Cardinal. It’s hard to see the Ducks losing but we said the same thing last year and they lost after a 10-0 start to Stanford at home.

Fiesta Bowl: Baylor Bears vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Projected line: Baylor -19

There’s no change here. Baylor has been close to untouchable but it has still yet to play anyone. That changes shortly. The Bears close the season against Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State and TCU but they are still the team to make the biggest run at this point.

Fresno State was projected by many to be a BCS buster and, so far, the Bulldogs are holding up their end of the bargain. While a couple tests remain, they should be able to win out. Fresno State has to finish ahead of at least one conference champion which comes from an AQ conference and right now that looks like the AAC. Should the Bulldogs lose, Northern Illinois would sneak in here. Should the Huskies falter as well, Central Florida will be coming.

Orange Bowl: Florida State Seminoles vs. Michigan State Spartans

Projected line: Florida State -13

While the Seminoles currently sit in the No. 2 spot in the BCS standings, it’s by a very slim margin and it won’t last should Oregon win Thursday. So for the sake of not making another shuffle, Florida State will be going to the Orange Bowl as the ACC Champion.

The Orange Bowl gets the first at-large selection after the other bowls make their replacement conference affiliation choices and right now that looks like Michigan State. The Spartans are undefeated in the Big Ten and are likely to play Ohio State in the championship game. If the Spartans lose to the Buckeyes and Wisconsin wins out, the Badgers could be in line for this spot so the Orange Bowl would have to decide which team is more attractive.

Rose Bowl: Stanford Cardinal vs. Ohio State Buckeyes

Projected line: Stanford -1

The Rose Bowl matchup remains the same as Stanford would be chosen over a higher-ranked team based on the affiliation with the Pac-12. The Cardinal have a home date with Oregon Thursday and a win there will restructure everything. That may be too much to ask though.

The Buckeyes’ lone roadblocks to an undefeated season are a game at Michigan and the Big Ten Championship, which looks to be against Michigan State. The only way Ohio State can get to the BCS Championship is if Oregon and Florida State both lose. The Buckeyes could be the first team ever from a BCS conference to go undefeated two straight seasons and not have a shot at the BCS Championship either time.

Sugar Bowl: Auburn Tigers vs. Central Florida Knights

Projected line: Auburn -6

The Sugar Bowl would get Central Florida because, as an AQ, it has to go somewhere and the Sugar would likely grab the Knights over Fresno State or Northern Illinois. But if the Bulldogs and Huskies don’t make it into the Top 12, a more attractive option would be taken. Clemson and UCF would end up in the Fiesta Bowl, which has the fourth at-large spot.

Last week, we had Texas A&M here but Auburn made a solid jump up this week as it continues to win and win big. The Tigers would have to beat both Tennessee and Georgia as a loss to Alabama will likely not take them out of the Sugar as long as they win those prior two games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik Golden Nugget Contest

2nd Round- the #2 overall seed, 5-2 first round

1. Tulane Under 51
2. Hawaii +17
3. Michigan Over 57.5
4. Nevada/Col St Over 65
5. Wyoming +10
6. SDSU/SJSU OVER 56.5
7. Chargers +7.5 BEST BET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football Betting Weather Report Saturday's Forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Saturday's matchups:

*** TCU Horned Frogs at Iowa State Cyclones (+7.5, 46)

Temperatures will be in the low 50s with a cross-field wind blowing west-to-east at 13 mph.

*** Iowa Hawkeyes at Purdue Boilermakers (+14.5, 45)

Temperatures will be in the low 50s with with a 15 mph wind blowing across Ross-Ade stadium.

*** Western Michigan Broncos at Eastern Michigan Eagles (+2.5, 58.5)

Temperatures will be in the low 50s with a 20 mph wind blowing across the field.

*** Penn State Nittany Lions at Minnesota Golden Gophers (-2.5, 48)

Temperatures will be in the low 40s with a cross field wind blowing at 15 mph.

*** SMU Mustangs at Cincinnati Bearcats (-9, 65.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid 50s with a 13 mph win blowing towards the NE endzone.

*** Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines (-6.5, 57.5)

At Ann Arbor, the temperature will be in the low 50s with a 16 mph cross field wind.

*** BYU Cougars at Wisconsin Badgers (-8, 55.5)

Temperatures will be in the high 40s with a cross field wind of 13 mph.

*** Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas A&M Aggies (-19, 66.5)

There is a 17 percent chance of rain at College Station with temperatures in the low 70s.

*** Virginia Tech Hokies at Miami Hurricanes (-7, 44)

There is a 40 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph.

*** Colorado Buffaloes at Washington Huskies (-28, 60.5)

There is a 41 percent chance of rain, which increases to 71 percent later in the game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Minnesota Golden Gophers a Statistical Anomaly

According to Phil Steele of Phil Steele's College Football Preview, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are a major statistical anomaly.

"Since 1992 (21 yrs) only TWICE has a team pulled 3 straight upsets as a TD plus underdog. Arizona in 2006 and Minnesota the last 3 weeks!

The Gophers started with a 20-17 victory at Northwestern as a 12.5-point dog on Oct. 19.

Next, the Gophers defeated Nebraska 34-23 as 10.5-point home dogs.

Finally, last week, the Gophers defeated the Indiana Hoosiers 42-39 as 7.5-point road dogs.

The Gophers host the Penn State Nittany Lions this weekend and are 1.5-point home faves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI

Saturday College FB
North Carolina St. at Duke (-9) 5:00 ET ESPNU
4* Duke

First year NC St. HC Doeren, former HC at N. Illinois, is not used to these kinds of struggles. While his former team is again averaging over 44 PPG with an all-league QB, Doeren’s new team the Wolfpack, is struggling at 23 PPG with ample problems at the signal caller position. Last week, NC St. blew a 10-0 lead against rival NC in an eventual 27-19 loss. As a result, it is quite unusual to see a 3-5 SU ATS Wolfpack on a 4 game losing streak, looking up in the standings at 6-2 SU ATS Duke who is on a 4 game winning streak. The Blue Devils last victory clinched a Bowl invitation with a 13-10 win at VA Tech. With 2 weeks to rest, Duke is plenty pumped to break a 6 game series stranglehold by State and extend their record of 6-1 ATS as home chalk.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' 10* Conference Total G.o.y.
Over Kansas / Oklahoma St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LSU at Alabama: What bettors need to know

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-13, 55)

Top-ranked Alabama’s bid for its third consecutive national championship continues Saturday when the Crimson Tide host rival Louisiana State, which has won five of the last six meetings in Bryant-Denny Stadium. The 12th-ranked Tigers have fallen out of the national title race, but Alabama-LSU games are invariably worth the high price of admission. The last six regular season meetings have each been decided by less than 10 points, with an average margin of victory of just 5.3.

The Crimson Tide hope to begin November where they left off after allowing a total of 20 points while scoring 45 or more in all four games last month. LSU is 2-10-1 all-time against No. 1-ranked teams, but coach Les Miles and his players are eager to snap the Tigers’ two-game losing skid against Alabama. “This is a chance to showcase our talent,” LSU defensive tackle Ego Ferguson said. “It's like an Ali-Foreman fight every time we play. The intensity level is like no other game.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: 'Bama opened -10.5 and is now -13. The total opened at 55.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with mostly cloudy skies.

ABOUT LSU (7-2, 3-2 SEC): Running back Jeremy Hill faces a tough test against the stout Alabama run defense, but he collected 107 yards and a score in last year’s 21-17 loss to the Crimson Tide - and he’s averaging 7.2 yards per carry this season with 12 touchdowns. Wide receivers Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry have eight touchdown receptions apiece, but quarterback Zach Mettenberger has struggled over his last three games (four TDs and five interceptions). Linebacker Lamin Barrow has a team-high 64 tackles for the Tigers, who are ranked third in the SEC in total defense.

ABOUT ALABAMA (8-0, 5-0): Quarterback AJ McCarron, who is 33-2 as a starter, has entered the Heisman Trophy discussion by completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 15 touchdowns with two interceptions over the last seven games. Alabama’s offensive line hasn't allowed a sack since the third quarter against Ole Miss on Sept. 28, and running backs T.J. Yeldon and Kenyan Drake have combined for 17 rushing touchdowns this season. The nation's best scoring defense (9.8 points per game) includes safety Landon Collins, a New Orleans native who ranks second on the team with 34 tackles.

TRENDS:

* The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Tigers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in Alabama.
* Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.
* Crimson Tide are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games in November.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Tigers FB J.C. Copeland is expected to start after missing the last two games with a concussion.

2. The Crimson Tide are 70-3 when leading at halftime under coach Nick Saban.

3. Mettenberger is eight yards shy of becoming the first player in LSU history to throw for 2,500 or more in back-to-back seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Auburn at Tennessee: What bettors need to know

Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers (+7, 55)

Auburn’s season of redemption rolls into Knoxville on Saturday as the 10th-ranked Tigers face a Tennessee squad that has dropped five of its past seven. One year after going 3-9 and finishing winless in the SEC, Auburn sits one game behind SEC West leader and top-ranked Alabama, with the Iron Bowl looming large Nov. 30. But the Volunteers are 4-1 at home, with the loss coming to Georgia in overtime.

Freshman Joshua Dobbs makes his second start at quarterback for Tennessee in place of the injured Justin Worley. Dobbs presents a dual threat for the Tigers’ defense, throwing for 240 yards and running for 45 in last week’s 31-3 loss at Missouri. The Tigers downed Arkansas 35-17 last week and have averaged 43.4 points during their five-game winning streak.

TV: 12 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Auburn opened as a 7-point fave. The total opened at 55.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s. Wind will blow across the field at 10 mph.

ABOUT AUBURN (8-1, 4-1 SEC): The Tigers feature the nation’s sixth-best rushing attack (306.2 yards per game), led by running back Tre Mason, who rushed for 168 yards and four touchdowns last week to earn SEC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Auburn did not know if quarterback Nick Marshall would start last week because of a shoulder injury, but the junior finished with 177 yards of total offense and is expected to be completely healthy against Tennessee. The Tigers are third in the SEC in scoring defense (20.1) and have surrendered 17 points or less in three of their past four contests.

ABOUT TENNESSEE (4-5, 1-4): The Volunteers have to shore up their run defense after allowing a season-high 339 yards on the ground against Missouri. Tennessee has allowed 76 points the past two weeks in losses to Alabama and Missouri. Dobbs completed 26-of-42 passes against Missouri and is the third freshman to start at quarterback for Tennessee in the past four years.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Over is 10-4 in Volunteers last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Tennessee ranks last in the SEC in rushing defense, allowing 201.7 yards per contest and 5.1 yards per attempt.

2. Auburn has beaten Tennessee five consecutive times dating to 2003.

3. The Tigers mark the seventh ranked team the Volunteers have faced this season, and third consecutive top 10 opponent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

This weekend marks the last in the Premier League before yet another break for International competition. Liverpool will be hungry for points after being blanked 2-0 by leaders Arsenal at the Emirates last time out.

We talk to Aron Black of bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/) about some of the action coming in on Saturday's fixtures.

Aston Villa v Cardiff (+105, +240, +310)

Why bet Aston Villa: Prior to last week's scoreless draw at West Ham, the Villains suffered a pair of tough home losses to Spurs and Everton. The side will be desperate for points, currently sitting 14th and in danger of reaching the relegation zone.

Key players out/doubtful: Andreas Weimann, Jores Okore, Charles N'Zogbia, Gabriel Agbonlahor

Why bet Cardiff: Cardiff, the city and club, will be buzzing after winning the first ever Welsh derby in top-flight football. Steven Caulker's 62' goal against Swansea will go down in the history books and could be a huge motivation factor for the Bluebirds moving forward.

Key players out/doubtful: Andreas Cornelius

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Aston Villa has not scored in its previous four matches in the Premier League.

Chelsea v West Brom (-350, +500, +1100)

Why bet Chelsea: The Blues suffered a big letdown last week after their 2-0 defeat away to Newcastle. They did bounce back in fine fashion midweek with another convincing win over Schalke in Champions League. The Blues had won three straight (and four of five) prior to the Newcastle loss. Plus, they're at Stamford Bridge, where Jose Mourinho never loses.

Key players out/doubtful: Fernando Torres, Marco van Ginkel

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies bounced back from a 4-1 loss at Liverpool with a 2-0 victory over league doormat Crystal Palace. They are capable of defeating Chelsea, having won two of the last three versus the London club, but those came during home fixtures.

Key players out/doubtful: Zoltán Gera, Ben Foster, Billy Jones

2012-13 fixture result: Chelsea 1, West Brom 0

Key betting note: The Blues have scored at least two goals in their last 10 League matches at Stamford Bridge.

Where the action is: "Chelsea are taking the bulk of action for the FT result, but at -350 it’s a very steep, though justified price and is mainly a parlay banker for the weekend. Samuel Eto’o sees the bulk of the goalscorer action at +450 First Goalscorer and To Score Anytime at +120."

Crystal Palace v Everton (+550, +300, -163)

Why bet Crystal Palace: Palace has one league victory. That victory came at home. So there's that.

Key players out/doubtful: Adlène Guédioura, Patrick McCarthy, Jonathan Williams

Why bet Everton: Everton had a two match winning streak snapped with a stale 0-0 draw against visitors Tottenham. They'll look to secure a full three points against relegation-bound Palace. If Romelelu Lukaku plays after picking up a slight knock following a collision with Spurs keeper Hugo Lloris, the big Belgian will look to dominate the ball and the scoresheet.

Key players out/doubtful: Arouna Koné, Darron Gibson

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Crystal Palace has lost seven-straight League matches.

Liverpool v Fulham (-400, +550, +1400)

Why bet Liverpool: The Reds will continue to fight toward the top spot in the table after losing at Arsenal one week ago. Goalscoring-duo Luis Suarez and Daniel Sturridge will look to dominate here much like they did against a helpless West Brom two weeks ago.

Key players out/doubtful: Iago Aspas, José Enrique

Why bet Fulham: The Cottagers had a really good two-game stretch where they posted victories over Stoke and Crystal Palace. It was short lived, however, as they have no lost back-to-back efforts. They need to find a good stretch of form or else will be in the market for a new manager.

Key players out/doubtful: Sascha Riether, Matthew Briggs, Hugo Rodallega

2012-13 fixture result: Liverpool 4, Fulham 0

Key betting note: Liverpool has kept Fulham off the scoresheet in six of the last seven matches (all competitions) at Anfield.

Southampton v Hull (-175, +290, +650)

Why bet Southampton: The Saints own the league's stingiest defense, having allowed just four goals on the season. One of which was last week's incredibly lucky goal by Stoke keeper Asmir Begovic. Still, Southampton is one of the better stores of the season and haven't lost since a 1-0 defeat away to Norwich on Aug. 31.

Key players out/doubtful: Guly

Why bet Hull: After a pair of back-to-back losses, the Tigers put a notch in the winning column with a 1-0 victory over Sunderland. They currently sit a very respectable 10th in the table and have played very disciplined football - at home at least. Nine of the Tigers 10 goals conceded have come in road games.

Key players out/doubtful: James Chester, Sone Aluko, Allan McGregor

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Southampton has kept a clean sheet in its last four Premier League home games.

Where the action is: "The FT result market sees apparent value in the Saints at -175, but a midweek away game at Sunderland is definitely built into the price which on another week would prob be closer to -200. With goals most likely at a premium, Over 2.5 goals is available at +120, with the Under at -154."

Norwich v West Ham (+163, +230, +190)

Why bet Norwich: We keep waiting for the Canaries to turn for the better, but it just hasn't happened. Norwich was throttled 7-0 by Manchester City one week ago and nothing seems to be going right for the club. No better place to reverse fortunes than at home where they've collected five of their eight points.

Key players out/doubtful: Alexander Tettey, Elliott Bennett

Why bet West Ham: The Hammers may be sitting 15th in the table, but are eighth in away form. West Ham has earned six points in five away matches, but have suffered just one defeat away from Upton Park.

Key players out/doubtful: James Collins, Andy Carroll, Ricardo Vaz Te, Alou Diarra

2012-13 fixture result: Norwich 0, West Ham 0

Key betting note: There has been Under 2.5 goals scored in five of West Ham's previous six away matches.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UFC Fight Night 32 betting: Late rounds could spell doom for Vitor

Adam Martin writes for MMAOddsbreaker.com. Follow him on Twitter @MMAdamMartin.

UFC Fight Night 32: Vitor Belfort (-235) vs. Dan Henderson (+195)

The main event of UFC Fight Night 32 is an incredible light heavyweight match-up between legends Vitor Belfort and Dan Henderson.

Despite Belfort’s recent impressive performances and Henderson looking very average as of late, there hasn’t been a ton of action going Belfort’s way and I can totally understand it as Henderson is an extremely tough out and he definitely has a chance of pulling off the upset.

When the fight was first announced, I circled Belfort down on my calendar as a future bet to make, especially since he has been sitting in the low -220s at the sportsbooks for the last few months. After all, Belfort has been a money train so far in 2013, taking out Michael Bisping and Luke Rockhold in highlight reel fashion at Pick ‘em prices in both fights.

Obviously he’s a bit of a higher favorite here coming off of those two dominating victories, but I was still liking Belfort a lot for a bet up until this week at -200. But for whatever reason I am now really feeling like this fight with Henderson is much more dangerous than I first thought and I am going to pass on a bet on Belfort on the moneyline.

The thing is, even though Belfort should be too fast for Henderson and should be able to rock Hendo with strikes, Henderson has arguably the greatest chin in the history of the sport (he has never been knocked out in MMA) and if Belfort can’t finish him off with his early flurry, he could be in trouble as the fight goes into the later rounds.

Remember, this isn’t a three-round event, it’s five rounds. Even though Henderson doesn’t have the best cardio in the world, Belfort’s is actually worse and if he can’t get the finish in the first two rounds I don’t know if he’ll be able to finish the job. In fact, I believe that if Belfort can’t get the knockout in the first 10 minutes of the fight, he himself is going to be at great risk of being knocked out.

Obviously Henderson has one of the most powerful right hands in the sport, and even though he hasn’t been able to knock anyone out in his return to the UFC, consider he badly hurt Mauricio “Shogun” Rua and rocked Rashad Evans in those fights, and those are two of the top guys in the division. In the case of Rua, that’s a testament to the Brazilian’s chin that he was able to survive all five rounds with Henderson, while in the fight with Evans it was more about Henderson’s inability to pounce on Evans when he knocked him down with a jab (from his left hand actually) that cost him.

And remember, Henderson went to a razor-close decision with Lyoto Machida earlier this year, and even though Machida isn’t as aggressive as Belfort is, he is just as dangerous and Henderson was able to survive the full 15 minutes.

Although many are assuming Belfort will stand and bang with Henderson, I have a feeling that he may take the fight to the ground and try to use his underrated BJJ to get a submission win, perhaps via rear-naked choke (one of the ground moves Henderson has been unsuccessful at defending in the past). Because if he stands with Henderson, he may be at a disadvantage in a firefight since he will have the weaker chin of the two fighters.

I’m still going to pick Belfort here, but I’m going to pass on a bet at the current moneyline and instead bet a prop. In fact, I think the best bet one can make on this fight is “the fight does not go the distance” at -250. I just can’t see this fight lasting the full five rounds given both of these fighters’ gas tanks aren’t the greatest, and this prop offers great protection in case of a Henderson upset, so this is my play for tomorrow night’s main event.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

136 Marshall -23.5
139/40 Penn State/Minnesota Over 47
140 Minnesota -2.5
143 Missouri -13.5
162 Colorado State -8.5
185 Utah State -13.5 Best Bet Two Units (now 14.5, so got a good price)
193 Auburn -7
198 Arizona pk
197/98 UCLA.Arizona Over 56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J Clifton
SATURDAY * ALL TIMES EASTERN
USC - 17 - 3 PM
VIRGINIA TECH +7- 7 PM
ARIZONA STATE - 7-4PM
TULANE +9 - 2PM
LA TECH - 16 - 7 PM
LOUISIANA MONROE - 3 1/2 - 7 P
AUBURN -7 12 PM
MISSOURI -13- 12 PM
MICHIGAN - 6 1/2 - 330 P

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JMCovers - radio picks
Favorite game - Marshall
Fav game - Washington
fla
aub
ole ms
lsu

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CFB SOUTHERN MISS at LOUISIANA TECH
Play Against - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (LOUISIANA TECH) after allowing 14 points or less last game against opponent after trailing their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

CFB W MICHIGAN at E MICHIGAN
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (E MICHIGAN) after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games, with 8 offensive starters returning
25-10 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.4% 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.0 units )

CFB HAWAII at NAVY
Play Against - Home favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (NAVY) after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs
89-45 over the last 10 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% 0.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

4 Unit Play. #11/#113 Take Oregon Ducks -10.5 over Stanford Cardinal (Thursday 9 pm ESPN) If you have been reading my Fourth Down and Inches articles, you will know that I have went into great detail about how Stanford and Coach Shaw have been way to conservative this season in their play calling, especially against inferior opponents. That will not be the case tonight as they will be running into a buzz saw taking on the high-powered Oregon Ducks. I will not hesitate to lay the points on the road, especially since Stanford is banged up on the defensive line. Oregon can score points at will, and they want to make a statement in this game to move up to No. 2 in the country. The last time Oregon was in Palo Alto, they knocked off Andrew Luck by a score of 53-30, and I see a similar margin of victory in this game. Oregon is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. Take the chalk on Thursday night.

4 Unit Play. #26/#130 Take Indiana Hoosiers -9 over Illinois Fighting Illini (Saturday 3:30 pm BTN) Granted, Illinois played well last week against Penn State and should have beaten the Nittany Lions, but Indiana is not Penn State. The Hoosiers are explosive on offense, and thus they will be able to cover this medium-sized number. The Hoosiers are 10th in the country scoring at 42 points per game, and Illinois has not won a conference game since 2011. Out of those 13 straight losses, Illinois has covered just two of those games. Neither one of these teams will make a bowl game. However, Indiana has an identity, and they are a lot farther along than Illinois is.

6 Unit Play. #82/#140 Take Minnesota Golden Gophers -1.5 over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) This is a case of name recognition of these two teams keeping this line much lower than what it should be. Minnesota continues to be underrated, and Penn State continues to be overrated. This is not the same offensive team as Penn State was in 2012, and this team has been blown out in both of their true road games this season (Indiana and Ohio State). Yes, the same Indiana team that Minnesota beat last year beat Penn State by 20 points on Oct. 5. Minnesota has been an underdog three straight weeks, and they have not only covered the spread in these games, but they have also won each game straight-up.

The difference between these two teams is that Minnesota has an identity of running the football and playing strong defense, and Penn State does not have an identity on offense or defense. Christian Hackenberg is just a freshman, and playing on the road is typically where you see young quarterbacks struggle. He has thrown four interceptions in his last three games, and this team was lucky to beat Illinois last week in overtime at home. This is the same Illinois team that has not won a conference game since 2011. Granted, Indiana had a chance to beat Minnesota last week (they were favored by 10 points), but the Gophers created a turnover down the stretch, and Penn State is nowhere near as explosive as Indiana is on offense. For whatever reason, this team has really responded to their new coach Tracy Claeys, and this is a magical season where Minnesota has a chance to make a New Year's Day Bowl Game. Minnesota is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games played during the month of November. Penn State is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last four road games. Play the home chalk on Saturday!

4 Unit Play. #58/#154 Take Wyoming Cowboys +10 over Fresno State Bulldogs (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) We believe that the first four games Wyoming team will show up for this game. The Cowboys are just as explosive on offense as is Fresno State, it is just their defense that has question marks. They have tried to address this by firing their defensive coordinator, and I do expect better results tonight, especially since they are playing at home. Fresno State is undefeated, but they are not a world-beater by any stretch. This is especially true on the road, where they struggled to beat Hawaii and should have lost to San Diego State. Fresno State is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. QB Brett Smith and company keep this game close for 60 minutes.

4 Unit Play. #70/#156 Take Texas Tech Red Raiders -2.5 over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 12 pm ABC) The Red Raiders have come back to earth after a 7-2 start to open the season. But now they return home to face the Wildcats, a team that just does not have the talent to complete against the top teams in the Big 12 this season. This is just the third road games that the Wildcats have played this season, and this will also be their third straight road loss. Texas Tech will throw the football all over the field, and I just do not believe that K-State will be able to match their offensive firepower. Texas Tech is 10-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home in their previous game. K-State is not OK State, and thus if Texas Tech scores in the high 30s, they will not only win but cover the spread as well.

8 Unit Play. #92/#159 Take Wisconsin Badgers -7.5 over BYU Cougars (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Big 10 Game of the Year. Wisconsin just does not lose many games at Camp Randall, and that is especially true during nonconference games. This Badger team is starting to get healthy on defense with Chris Borland probable for this game, and this game has great significance for Coach Gary Anderson as he has significant ties to the Utah area. BYU has the better quarterback in Taysom Hill, but he is more of a running threat than he is a passing threat, and Wisconsin is more than capable of stopping the run. Wisconsin should also have a great scouting report since his former team Utah State already played BYU this season. BYU won that game, but the Aggies suffered an injury in the first quarter to their all-everything quarterback Chuckie Keaton. If Coach Anderson has a chance to run up the score, you can be sure that he will do that like he did last week against Iowa with a late touchdown with less than minutes to play in a game that was already decided. That is the type of coach we like for a big play. BYU should be undefeated at this point in the season, but they have a pair of shaky losses, one at Virginia and one at home against Utah. This is the same Virginia team with only two wins on the season, and their other victory came against VMI. Wisconsin is in the Top 21 teams in the country in both points scored and points allowed. BYU is a poor man's version of Wisconsin, and thus I see them losing this game by double-digits. Wisconsin has not played at home since Oct. 12, so you can be sure the fans will be ready for this game. Wisconsin has covered the spread in seven of their last eight games (one push). Teams in the West just do not have the size and stretch to matchup with strong running teams from the Midwest, and that will be the case on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. #44/#160 Take Ole Miss Rebels -16.5 over Arkansas Razorbacks (Saturday 12:21 pm ESPN 3) Arkansas is terrible, and now it is the Rebels turn to pound this team and record their sixth victory on the season. Arkansas has lost sixth straight games, and their last four losses have been over today's posted number. The fact remains that Coach Bielema cannot wait for this season to end and get better personnel into the program that better fits his system. He is pulling out all the stops, going for it on fourth down, on-side kicks, and fake punts, but nothing is working. Ole Miss and Bo Wallace will pick apart this team in what is truly a get-healthy game for the Rebels. Arkansas is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games. Ole Miss is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.

4 Unit Play. #109/#206 Take UNDER 47 in Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The spread on this game Monday afternoon was Green Bay -9, but with the injury to QB Aaron Rogers the line on this game has been lowered close to a ?pick'em?. QB Seneca Wallace did not play well in relief on the all-world quarterback, but I expect a better performance in this game from him since he has a week of practice under his belt. That being said, the Packers will have to alter their gameplan to be effective in this game and rely on their running game to keep the Eagles off the field. Nothing bad can be said about the Eagles and QB Nick Foles after their record-setting performance last week in Oakland. But there is just no way they will be able to duplicate that performance again on Sunday. Green Bay has gone under the posted total in four of their last five home games.

5 Unit Play. #125/#225 Take Dallas Cowboys +7 over New Orleans Saints (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) The Cowboys are just 5-4 on the season but they have not been blown out in any of their four losses and thus getting around a touchdown is too good to pass up in this game. New Orleans is a completely different team when they play at the Superdome but they still have major holes on defense evident by their performance last week against the Jets. The Jets have one of the worst offenses in the league and Dallas has a good run/pass option and should be able to move the football on the Saints. New Orleans can light up the scoreboard put I fully expect a shootout and a cover by the Cowboys. Dallas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

3 Unit Play. #175 Take Over 53 ½ - Kansas at Oklahoma St (4:00p.m., Saturday, Nov 9 FS1)
This play is all on the offense of the Cowboys of Oklahoma St. The last 2 games the Cowboys have played they scored 110 points and both of those games were on the road. The Kansas defense has been horrible and their 'D' is giving up an average of 41.8ppg. Oklahoma St QB Clint Chelf will have a big game threw the air and I see the Cowboys having no trouble scoring Saturday night. Kansas is 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Oklahoma St is 7-3 O/U in their last 10 conference games.

3 Unit Play. #179 Take Under 51 ½ - Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (8:00p.m., Saturday, Nov 9 NBC)
Yes I know Navy scored 34 points against Notre Dame but I know the Irish watched the film and I'm sure the defense practice hard after watching that tape. Pittsburgh at times can struggle and in 3 games out of 5 two of them they scored under 20 points. If Pittsburgh struggles on offense like they did against Georgia Tech this game will fly under and the Notre Dame defense will dominate. Notre Dame is 3-14 O/U in their last 17 ACC games and the Irish are also 3-9-1 O/U in their last 12 road games. Pittsburgh is 0-5 O/U in their last 5 games and the Panthers are 1-6 O/U in the month of November.

5 Unit Play. #201 Take Over 55 ½ - San Diego St at San Jose St (10:30p.m., Saturday, Nov 9 CBSC)
(Total Game of the Week)
Can someone please tell me why this total is not 58-59? San Jose St get this game at home and the Spartans will look to extend their winning streak to 5 games. To me seems like San Jose St can score over 30 points at will and their offense is averaging 39ppg in their 4-game winning streak. San Diego St defense is pretty mediocre and last week SDSU let New Mexico score 30 points on the road. Shocking! The Aztecs defense is allowing 32.2ppg and if Spartans RB Jarrod gets off early he will rush easily over 100 yards and the Spartans offense will have no trouble scoring. San Jose St is 6-2-1 O/U in their last 9 conference opponents. San Diego St is 8-2 O/U in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. San Diego St will need to go toe-to-toe on offense Saturday night to stay in this game and if I can get 20 plus points from the Aztecs I believe this game flies over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN

NCAAF - Week 11

6-Unit College Football Game of the Month ---- Pittsburgh

4* WIS -7.5

2* MIN -2

3* STANFORD +10 - (W)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

William Holloway / halloffamepicks

CFB
Tulane(+8.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Essential betting tidbits for Week 11 of college football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- Vanderbilt has scored at least 24 points in 14 straight games, a school record. Vandy plays Florida Saturday with a total of 42.

- TCU has won 16 of its last 20 conference road games, but is 0-3 (1-2 ATS) this season. The Horned Frogs are 7.5-point road faves at Iowa State Saturday.

- Mizzou ranks second in the SEC with 237.2 yards per game on the ground. The Kentucky Wildcats rank 99th in the land, allowing 204.6 rushing yards per game. Missouri is a 13.5-point road fave Saturday.

- The Minnesota Golden Gophers have covered three-straight games as dogs of a touchdown or greater. The Gophers are 2.5-point faves Saturday.

- Red-hot Florida State can clinch a second straight ACC Atlantic Division title and a third berth in the conference championship the last four seasons with a win over Wake Forest.

- The Southern Methodist Mustangs have allowed 294 points, more than double the 144 surrendered by the Cincinnati Bearcats.

- Iowa’s four losses have been to teams with a combined 32-3 record (Northern Illinois (9-0), Michigan State (8-1), Ohio State (9-0) Wisconsin (6-2). Hawkeyes are 14.5-point faves at 1-7 Purdue.

- Tennessee ranks last in the SEC in rushing defense, allowing 201.7 yards per contest and 5.1 yards per attempt.

- The Texas Tech Red Raiders are the top Covers consensus home pick at 74.89 percent. The Raiders are 2.5-point home faves against Kansas State.

- Arkansas RB Alex Collins leads all NCAA freshmen with 889 total rushing yards, and his average of 98.8 rushing yards a game is fourth in the SEC and 26th in the nation.

- Bryn Renner, the most accurate quarterback in North Carolina history, suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in the Tar Heels’ 27-19 win over North Carolina State last weekend. Redshirt sophomore Marquise Williams, who started against Virginia Tech earlier this year, will take full-time command under center for North Carolina. The Heels are 13-point home faves against Virginia Saturday.

- The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan. Saturday's total is currently 59.

- California’s top defensive player is ailing – LB Khairi Fortt, a Butkus Award semifinalist with a team-best 64 tackles, is batting a biceps injury. Cal is a 16.5-point home dog with USC in town.

- Maryland had last week off to regroup following back-to-back losses to Wake Forest and Clemson. The Terps are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a bye week.

- Michigan has won 19 straight home games - the longest active streak among BCS conference teams. The Wolverines are 6.5-point home faves versus Nebraska Saturday.

- The Wisconsin Badgers have not lost a nonconference home game since Sept. 13, 2003, a streak of 28 straight wins. The Badgers are 8-point home faves with BYU visiting.

- The New Mexico State Aggies have lost three previous games against BCS Conference teams by an average of 39.3 points. They are 24.5-point home dogs versus Boston College.

- Illinois and Indiana rank 10th and 12th in the conference, respectively, in points allowed. Saturday's total is currently 78.

- The Arizona State Sun Devils have beaten the Utah Utes in each of the last two seasons, covering the spread both times.

- The Kansas Jayhawks haven't score more than 20 points in the last seven games. The Oklahoma State Cowboys have scored more than 20 points in 47 straight games.

- The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between FIU and Middle Tennessee.

- The NC State Wolfpack has scored less than 20 points in 5 of the last 6 games. Saturday's total versus Duke is set at 57.

- In the past four seasons, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in meetings between Arkansas State and UL Monroe. The Warhawks are 3.5-point faves.

- The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between Virginia Tech and Miami. Saturday's total is 44.

- The Texans Longhorns have scored at least 31 points in the last five games. The under is 4-1 in that span.

- The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between Houston and Central Florida. Saturday's total is 64.

- The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are winless this season and 1-7 ATS during the campaign. They are 16.5-point road dogs at Louisiana Tech Saturday.

- LSU QB Zach Mettenberger is eight yards shy of becoming the first player in LSU history to throw for 2,500 or more in back-to-back seasons. LSU is a 13-point road dog at 'Bama Saturday.

- The last six regular season meetings between LSU and Alabama have each been decided by less than 10 points, with an average margin of victory of just 5.3.

- The Aggies and Rebels average a combined 66.2 points per game and Saturday's total is set at 55.5.

- The Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense allows 23 points per game. Pittsburgh has been under the total the last 5 weeks. Saturday's total is currently 51.

- In the last seven games coming off a bye week, the Washington Huskies are 6-1 ATS. Saturday's line is currently Huskies -28.

- The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings between UCAL and Arizona. UCLA won 66-10 at home last season.

- Fresno State is ranked No. 8 in scoring offense, but are only 4-4 O/U this season. Saturday's total at Wyoming is currently 79.

- In their last games nine after a straight up win, the San Jose State Spartans are 8-1 ATS. The Spartans are 6.5-point faves with San Diego State visiting.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Advantage

CharlotteSports

CFB
Texas-5
Arizona St-7
San Diego St+7
Houston+12
Tulane+9
Virginia+14
Iowa-14
NC State+10
Nebraska+7
Kansas St+3
Penn St+3
Virginia Tech+7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nebraska at Michigan: What bettors need to know

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan Wolverines (-6.5, 57.5)

Nebraska used a last-second touchdown pass to keep its hopes of a spot in the Big Ten championship game alive last week. Michigan, which hosts the Cornhuskers on Saturday, failed to do the same and ended up sliding behind Nebraska in the Big Ten Legends Division. The Wolverines saw their high-powered offense grind to a halt against Michigan State and will try to open things back up against Nebraska.

The Cornhuskers used their third-string quarterback to heave a pass toward the end zone as time expired against Northwestern last week, and somehow Jordan Westerkamp came down with the tipped ball in the end zone to keep the Rose Bowl dream alive. Walk-on quarterback Ron Kellogg III threw the pass but is expected to slide back to the No. 2 spot at Michigan, with Tommy Armstrong Jr. getting the start. The Wolverines can be difficult on any opposing quarterback at home, where they are 5-0.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: The Wolverines opened -7 and are now -6.5. The total has held at 57.5 since open.

WEATHER: Wind will blow across the field at 19 mph. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s.

ABOUT NEBRASKA (6-2, 3-1 Big Ten): The Cornhuskers are without starting quarterback Taylor Martinez due to a number of injuries, and redshirt freshman Armstrong will make his fifth straight start despite being pulled on the final drive last week. “Yeah, that’s fine with me,” said Kellogg. “I’ve been fine with it the entire season. I understand the whole status of it.” Michigan State sits atop the Legends Division and visits second-place Nebraska next week in what will be a big game if the Cornhuskers can sneak past the Wolverines.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (6-2, 2-2): The Wolverines squandered their own chance to gain the upper hand on the Spartans with a 29-6 road loss last week, totaling 168 yards (minus-48 on the ground) a week after piling up 751 in a 63-47 triumph over Indiana. Michigan scored at least 40 points in three straight before falling to Michigan State. “This was not the way you want to start a five-game stretch on the meat of your schedule,” coach Brady Hoke said. “It is something that we’re all disappointed with and everything that we do from a coaching standpoint and a playing standpoint is evaluated.”

TRENDS:

* Cornhuskers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
* Wolverines are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Over is 7-1 in Wolverines last eight home games.
* Over is 6-2-1 in Cornhuskers last nine vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Michigan has won 19 straight home games - the longest active streak among BCS conference teams.

2. Nebraska took last season’s meeting 23-9 at home behind 101 yards and a touchdown from RB Ameer Abdullah.

3. Wolverines QB Devin Gardner was sacked seven times last week and sat out the last possession after spending some time on the ground, but returned to practice this week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

20* Marshall. -23

10*'s. Hawaii. +18
Utah St. -13.5
San Jose St -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Pittsburgh at St. Louis The Blues look to build on their 5-2 record in their last 7 home games versus the Penguins. St. Louis is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 9
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Edmonton at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.949; Philadelphia 9.753
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135); Over


Game 53-54: Florida at Ottawa (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.463; Ottawa 11.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 2 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-200); Under


Game 55-56: Toronto at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.425; Boston 12.892
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-190); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-190); Under


Game 57-58: Tampa Bay at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.968; Detroit 11.018
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115); Over


Game 59-60: Minnesota at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.866; Carolina 10.319
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Under


Game 61-62: NY Islanders at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.541; Columbus 10.103
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+110); Over


Game 63-64: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.362; St. Louis 12.848
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under


Game 65-66: Chicago at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.646; Dallas 12.572
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+120); Over


Game 67-68: Washington at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.478; Phoenix 13.975
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-150); Under


Game 69-70: Vancouver at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.040; Los Angeles 11.513
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitch Wilson

Texas -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Ottawa won its last two games, both by 4-1 scores.
-- Toronto won four of its last five games.
-- Lightning won six of its last seven games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight games. Carolina won its last two games, allowing just one goal.
-- Blues won five of last six games. Pittsburgh won four of last five.
-- Dallas Stars won last three games, two in SO, one in OT. Blackhawks won four of their last five games.
-- Coyotes won seven of their last nine games. Washington won last four games, outscoring foes 19-6.
-- Los Angeles won six of its last nine games. Canucks won six of last eight.


Cold teams
-- Oilers lost six of their last seven games. Philly lost four of last five.
-- Panthers lost last seven games, fired their coach this week.
-- Bruins lost four of their last six games.
-- Red Wings lost six of their last nine games.
-- Columbus lost last five games, outscored 19-8. Islanders lost six of last nine games.

Totals
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Edmonton games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Florida games.
-- Four of last five Toronto games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay-Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Islander games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five St Louis games.
-- 10 of last 15 Chicago-Dallas games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Washington-Phoenix games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Vancouver games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Flyers lost four of last five games with Edmonton.
-- Senators won 11 of last 13 games with Florida.
-- Bruins beat Toronto in seven games in LY's playoffs, rallying from three goals down in last 11:00 in Game 7 to force OT.
-- Detroit won six in row over the Lightning, scoring 27 goals.
-- Carolina won four of last five games with Minnesota.
-- Home side won four of last five Islander-Columbus games.
-- Penguins won three of last five games with St Louis.
-- Chicago won last four games with Dallas, outscoring them 20-4.
-- Coyotes won three of last four games with Washington.
-- Kings are 7-4 in their last 11 games with Vancouver.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

College of Charleston at Louisville

The Cardinals begin defending their national title against a Cougars team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games. Louisville is the pick (-22) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 24 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-22). Here are all of today's early games.


SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 9
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 719-720: Ball State at Indiana State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 53.627; Indiana State 60.294
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+14 1/2)


Game 721-722: College of Charleston at Louisville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 51.066; Louisville 85.395
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 22
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-22)


Game 723-724: Temple at Penn (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 65.620; Penn 51.668
Dunkel Line: Temple by 14
Vegas Line: Temple by 5
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-5)


Game 725-726: Northern Iowa at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 61.494; Ohio 60.652
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1
Vegas Line: Ohio by 1
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+1)


Game 727-728: Drake at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 59.403; Illinois-Chicago 56.646
Dunkel Line: Drake by 3
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+1 1/2)


Game 745-746: Manhattan at LaSalle (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 57.001; LaSalle 69.277
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 6
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-6)


Game 747-748: Tennessee Tech at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 47.285; South Florida 58.817
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+13 1/2)


Game 749-750: Iona at Cleveland State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 56.861; Cleveland State 54.311
Dunkel Line: Iona by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+2)


Game 751-752: Niagara at Seton Hall (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 54.715; Seton Hall 61.827
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 7
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 13
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+13)


Game 753-754: IPFW at Dayton (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 53.164; Dayton 65.755
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 17
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+17)


Game 755-756: South Dakota at St. Bonaventure (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 46.998; St. Bonaventure 64.652
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-10 1/2)


Game 757-758: Northern Arizona at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 41.859; TX-San Antonio 53.909
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 12
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (-7 1/2)


Game 759-760: Eastern Illinois at Northwestern (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 47.677; Northwestern 58.230
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+13 1/2)


Game 761-762: CS-Fullerton at Montana State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 47.775; Montana State 47.658
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Montana State by 3
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Brooklyn

The Pacers look to follow up last night's 91-84 win over Toronto and build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games when playing wih 0 days rest. Indiana is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: Utah at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.191; Toronto 121.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 8; 188
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+8); Under


Game 703-704: Orlando at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 108.732; Atlanta 119.226
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 199
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6); Over


Game 705-706: Indiana at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 122.124; Brooklyn 118.248
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Under


Game 707-708: Philadelphia at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 110.212; Cleveland 120.303
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-7 1/2); Over


Game 709-710: Boston at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.058; Miami 127.514
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 14; 195
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+14); Under


Game 711-712: LA Clippers at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 119.241; Houston 127.513
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 713-714: Golden State at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.983; Memphis 127.340
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 715-716: Dallas at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.951; Milwaukee 117.669
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 717-718: Portland at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 110.088; Sacramento 120.786
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 10 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-1 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Medal Club CFB Selections 09/11/2013
25* 134 Wake Forest +35
25* 138 Miami -6.5
# 162 Colorado State -8.5
# 168 Utah +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
San Diego State +6.5 over San Jose State
(System Record: 33-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 33-29

Hockey Crusher
Phoenix Coyotes -135 over Washington Caps
(System Record: 23-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 23-7

Basketball Crusher
Northern Iowa +1 over Ohio
(System Record: 5-2, lost last 5 games)
Overall Record: 5-9-1

Soccer Crusher
Estudiantes LP + Rosario Central UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 478-17, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 478-415-69

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Purdue +14.5
Wisconsin -8
Michigan -6.5
Pittsburgh +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1123-850 (57% ) over the last 5 1/2 years College Fball 47-29 this yr, NFL 27-20:

Free winner Sat Kansas ST + 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Utah State -14.5

Oklahoma State -30.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS
- NCAA - Saturday, Nov. 9th
Free Member Play

12-UNIT "ZAXXON-HYDRA"
MIZZOU -14 at kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CBB W MICHIGAN at HAWAII
Play On - A favorite (HAWAII) first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight ATS losses, team that had a winning record last season
64-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.4% 29.9 units )

CBB CS-FULLERTON at MONTANA ST
Play On - Any team (CS-FULLERTON)[/B] team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses
21-8 since 1997. ( 72.4% 17.9 units )

CBB NIAGARA at SETON HALL
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (SETON HALL) with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% 28.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA PHILADELPHIA at CLEVELAND
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season
78-38 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.2% 36.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NBA ORLANDO at ATLANTA
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
118-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.7% 51.8 units )

NBA ORLANDO at ATLANTA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 off 2 or more consecutive home wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Purelock

vanderbilt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aaron's Analysis

hawaii
virginia tech
wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco

7* early release on Penn State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - SATURDAY COLLEGE

4* BEST BET = WISCONSIN
3* = MINNESOTA
3* = PITTSBURGH
2* = MISSOURI
2* = ALABAMA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PittViper Sports
Saturday NCAAF
· ROT# 134 – 12:00pm - Wake Forest +34.5 (-110)
· ROT# 136 – 12:00pm - Marshall -24 (-110)
· ROT# 156 – 12:00pm - Texas Tech -2.5 (-115)
· ROT# 171 – 3:30pm - Hawaii +15.5 (-110)
· ROT# 195 – 7:00pm - Houston +11.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

Iowa Over 44.5
Tulsa Over 51.5
TCU Over 45.0
Virginia Tech +7
Maryland Over 56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

CFB-
9* BYU+7.5 -110
9* Utah+7 -110
9* Florida International+18 -115
9* SMU+9.5 -115
9* Army+6 -110
9* Southern Mississippi+15.5 -110
9* Tulane+9 -115
8* Kentucky+14.5 -115
9* ABU+23.5 -110
9* Navy-15.5 -110
10* Nevada+8.5 -110
8* Kansas+31 -110
9* Auburn+7.5 -110
9* Wake Forest+35 -110
9* Syracuse+6.5 -110
9* Arkansas State+4.5 -110
9* Arkansas State+3.5 -110
10* West Virginia+6 -110
9* LSU+13 -110
9* LSU+10.5 +120
10* UNLV+14.5 -110
8* Wyoming+10.5 -115
9* San Jose State-6.5 -110
9* Arizona-1.5 +110 (alternative when was at +1)

NHL-
9*Ottawa in reg -120
9*Minnesota in reg +130
9*Chicago in reg +120

NBA-
10* Philly+8 -110
10* Brooklyn-1.5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

40-21 run

3* Wisconsin -7.5
3* Arizona pk

2* SDST +7
2* Minnesota pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters
171-125-3 run
POD NHL Blues under 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Pacers / Nets Over 185.5

100* Purdue +14.5

50* BYU +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

Jazz +8 -110
Pacers / Nets Over 186.5

Ball St. +14.5
E Illinois +13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheSportsCapper NCAA Football Plays for Saturday

100* Play LSU +13 over Alabama (NCAA TOP PLAY)
LSU has covered the spread in 5 consecutive games when playing as a road underdog of ten
points or more and they have also covered the spread in 17 of the last 23 games after gaining
275 or more rushing yards in their last game. LSU has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10
games after allowing 225 or less total yards in their last game and they are averaging 40 points a
game on offense this season.

100* Play Houston +10.5 over Central Florida (NCAA TOP PLAY)
Houston has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games and they have also covered the spread
in 17 of the last 24 games when playing after the 1st month of the season. Houston has covered
the spread in 3 of the last 4 games when playing as a road underdog and they are averaging 41
points a game on offense this season.

100* Play Kansas State +2.5 over Texas Tech (NCAA TOP PLAY)
Kansas State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 road games and they have also covered
the spread in 18 of the last 22 games vs. conference opponents. Kanas State has covered the
spread in 16 of the last 22 games coming off a win against the spread in their last game and they
are averaging 32 points a game on offense this season.

100* Play BYU +7.5 over Wisconsin (NCAA TOP PLAY)
BYU has covered the spread in 9 consecutive games as an underdog and they have also covered
the spread in 11 of the last 14 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. BYU has
covered the spread in 5 consecutive games after gaining 325 or more passing yards in their last
game and they are averaging 40 points a game on offense over the last three games.

100* Play Wyoming +12.5 over Fresno State (NCAA TOP PLAY)
Wyoming has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games after scoring 50 points or more in their
last game and they have also covered the spread in 15 of the last 18 games after gaining an
average of 7.25 or more yards a play in their last game. Wyoming has covered the spread in 6 of
the last 7 games after having lost two of the last three games and they are averaging 36 points a
game on offense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux adding

10*
San Jose St over 55

Free play AZ -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 9 2013 8:00PM

Alabama -12.0(-110) double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

#158 10-Star Wisconsin (-8) over BYU
#140 4-Star Minnesota (-2.5) over Penn State
#170 4-Star Michigan (-6.5) over Nebraska
#168 3-Star Utah (+7) over Arizona State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NCAAF Picks

3.0 -

12:21 PM
160. Mississippi -16.5

7 PM
195. Houston +11

Rest of Games
146. North Carolina -13.5
149. Western Michigan -2.5
168. Utah +6.5

Original -

12 PM
147. Vanderbilt +10.5

4 PM
125. North Carolina St. +10

8 PM
199. LSU +13



Rest of Games
122. Army +5.5
123. SMU +8.5
132. Iowa St. +7.5
194. Tennessee +7.5
151. Tulane +9
129. Illinois +9
157. BYU +8
161. Nevada +8.5
168. Utah +6.5
166. West Virginia +6
195. Houston +11
154. Wyoming +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, November 9

Hot teams
-- Magic won three of its last four games.
-- Indiana won first six games, covering four of last five.
-- 76ers won four of their first six games.
-- Celtics won last two games, covered three of four as a road dog. Heat won its last three games, by 10-9-5 points.
-- Rockets started season 4-2, but lost last game to Lakers by point.
-- Golden State won three of its last four games. Grizzlies won two of their first three home games.
-- Portland won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Jazz starts season 0-6 (0-4 vs spread in last four). Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- Hawks are 2-3 in last five games, but won only home game by 7.
-- Nets are 2-3 this season, but won both their home games.
-- Cavaliers lost four of their last five games.
-- Clippers lost last two games, by 8-5 points.
-- Mavericks are 0-3 on road, losing by 8-14-8 points. Milwaukee split its first four games (1-1 at home).
-- Sacramento lost last four games, by 9-11-5-13 points.

Series records
-- Jazz won eight of its last nine games with Toronto.
-- Hawks won their last ten games with Orlando (8-2 vs spread).
-- Nets won their last four games with Indiana.
-- 76ers won nine of last ten games with Cleveland.
-- Heat won five of last six games against Boston.
-- Clippers beat Houston by 19 Monday, their fifth win in last six games against the Rockets.
-- Grizzlies won their last nine games with Golden State.
-- Mavericks won last three visits to Milwaukee by 2-11-7 points.
-- Trailblazers lost three of last four visits to Sacramento.

Totals
-- Four of last five Utah games stayed under the total.
-- All five Atlanta games went over the total; last three Orlando games stayed under the total. Under is 15-1 in last sixteen series games.
-- Five of six Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Cleveland-Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Miami-Boston games went over total; under is 5-1 in Celtic games this season.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Clipper-Houston games.
-- Last four Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Five of six Dallas games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Portland games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, November 9

Clippers at Rockets: What bettors need to know

Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets (-3.5, 212.5)

There wasn’t a lot of defense played when Los Angeles and Houston played on Monday, and it figures to be another high-scoring affair when the Rockets host the Clippers on Saturday. Los Angeles posted a 137-118 victory in the first meeting, making 15 3-pointers and receiving 23 points and 17 assists from point guard Chris Paul. The Clippers matched a franchise record with 78 first-half points in that victory but have since lost back-to-back games to Orlando and Miami.

Rockets star James Harden has been hobbled by a foot injury but still managed a monster performance of 35 points, nine rebounds, five assists and four steals in Thursday’s 99-98 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. Houston lost the contest when Steve Blake drained a late 3-pointer for the Lakers. Paul is off to a great start with averages of 22.5 points and 12.5 assists and has recorded a double-double in each game. Clippers forward Blake Griffin stood out in Thursday’s loss to Miami with 27 points and 14 rebounds.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), CSN Houston

POWER RANKINGS: Clippers (-12.5) - Rockets (-12.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Rockets -3.5

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (3-3, 4-2 ATS): Paul typically takes over games in the fourth quarter but he acknowledged that he should have acquiesced more to Griffin in the loss to Miami. Griffin made 11-of-15 shots while Paul was only 3-of-11. “That’s another thing that is on me,” Paul said. “We have to go to Blake more. Like I said, I’ll do better. I have to give Blake more touches and get that ball out of my hands.” Griffin is averaging 21.7 points and 11.3 rebounds and already has four 20-point, 10-rebound outings.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (4-2, 3-2-1 ATS): Harden’s ability to get to the free-throw line and Howard’s presence means Houston will get numerous attempts from the line all season. The Rockets were just 33-of-52 in the loss to the Lakers, marking the second time already that they have attempted more than 50 free throws. Houston hadn’t shot 50 free throws in a game since Nov. 24, 2010, prior to this season. Howard was the biggest culprit by making just 5-of-16 against the Lakers. “It wasn’t just Dwight,” said coach Kevin McHale, apparently not recognizing the other Rockets combined to make 77.8 percent. “We didn’t shoot free throws very well and that doesn’t help the cause.”

TRENDS:

* Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. NBA Pacific.
* Over is 7-2 in Clippers' last nine overall.
* Under is 14-4 in Rockets' last 18 home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Los Angeles has won six of the past seven meetings.

2. The Rockets allowed 16 3-point baskets against the Lakers -- one shy of the record by a Houston opponent.

3. Paul has made 34 consecutive free throws and is 45-for-46 on the season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Saturday, November 9

Indiana State beat Ball State 68-48/57-50 last two years; Sycamores are expected to contend in MVC this year, with four starters back from LYs 18-15 team. Cardinals have three starters back from 15-15 team that was #3 in country at getting to foul line LY, but #296 at making foul shots. Ball State hit just 32% from floor in LY's loss to Indiana State.

Defending national champ Louisville is loaded; they forced 27 turnovers in humiliating Charleston 80-38 LY (was 36-16 at half). Cougars move up to CAA this year, have four starters back from team that wound up 24-11- they brought in six freshman to bolster roster. Louisville lost two starters from LY (Siva/Dieng); their early schedule isn't very hard.

Temple won its last six games with Big 5 rival Penn, but last two were by 7-6 points; Owls lost four starters from LY's 24-10 team that finally won an NCAA tourney game for former Quaker coach Dunphy. Penn has whole team back from LY's 8-22 nightmare (6-8 in Ivy). Owls are picked 7th out of ten teams in new AAC, ranked #4 league in USA.

Ohio U lost four starters from LY's 24-10 team that was #7 in country at forcing turnovers; Bobcats have to replace stellar PG Cooper, tough to do. Northern Iowa lost three starters from 21-15 team that beat Toledo in OT LY, its only game against a MAC opponent.

Drake has new coach, three new starters after going 15-17, 7-11 LY, ar e picked to finish 8th in MVC, even with Creighton's departure weakening league somewhat. Ill-Chicago has three starters back from 18-16 team that was 9-1 early, before stumbling to 18-16 finish, losing eight of their last twelve games.

South Dakota State lost three starters from LY's 25-10 team, including star G Wolters, who is now with Milwaukee Bucks; Jackrabbits lost by 4 at San Diego last night, shooting just 43% from floor. LMU won by 3 in its opener over Grand Canyon Friday; star G Ireland played only 22 minutes due to foul trouble.

New Mexico State has three starters back from 24-11 team, but they got beat 70-64 by Western Michigan Friday, shooting 35% from floor, 1-11 on arc and missing 15-40 foul shots. Tennessee State lost three starters from 18-15 team; they got crushed 85-55 at host Hawai'i last night- they were down 21 at half, shot 1-15 outside arc.

Manhattan has four starters back from team that finished 8-3 after 6-15 start LY; they're picked to win 11-team MAAC. Jaspers were 1-2 vs A-13 teams LY, losing to Dayton by 8, GW by 12, beating Fordham, the worst team in league. LaSalle has four starters back from 24-10 team and is picked to finish 3rd in A-13- they made it to Sweet 16 last March.

Iona has three starters back from 20-14 team that lost by 25 to Ohio St in NCAAs LY; Gaels are better on offense, playing #8 pace in country LY while not forcing lot of turnovers. Cleveland State has four starters back from 14-18 team that lost six of last eight games. Iona lost by 5 to UIC of Horizon League last season.

Niagara has new coach, two new starters after Mihalich took Hofstra job after going 19-14/13-5 LY; he will be missed. Eagles lost to Notre Dame by 22 LY, its only game vs a Big East team. Seton Hall has four starters back from 15-18 team that went 3-15 in league; they were in bottom 15 in country in protecting ball LY, but they brought in two new PGs.

Northern Arizona lost its best returning player three days ago when he announced he was transferring to greener pastures, brutal blow for NAU squad that was 11-21 LY, 8-12 in Big Sky. UTSA lost three starters on LY's 10-22 team and picked 13th in first year in 16-team C-USA, so it is two rebuilding teams meeting here.

Chris Collins coaches first game for Northwestern that will finally play a little faster after being stuck in Princeton-offense rut for decade-plus and never making NCAAs. Wildcats have three starters back from 13-19 club that went 4-14 in Big Dozen. Eastern Illinois lost three starters from an 11-21, 6-10 team- their eFG% LY was 334rd in country, really bad.

Cal State-Fullerton has new coach, two new starters after going 14-18 with interim coach LY- they lost last five games, were terrible defensive team that was 4th-worst in country in 2-point FG%. Montana State has three starters back from 13-17 team that went 10-10 in Big Sky- they are picked to finish 5th this season in an 11-team league.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Kansas State +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast totals
4* over 52 hawaii
4* over 57 ucla
3* under 61' boston college
3* under 61 Kansas state
3* over 55 San Diego st

small college
idaho +14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Conference Dog Pound GOM

Wyoming

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer College Football Saturday Smash

Virginia Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MajorCovers
NCAAFB
Houston +12
Mizzou -13.5
LSU +14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole CFB Side Sat, 11/09/13 - 12:00 PM
dime bet - 193 Auburn -7.0 (-110) vs 194 Tennessee
AUBURN TIGERS minus the points vs Tennessee / 12:00pm ET - 9:00am PT / #193
Game One:
Both of these games have lines in which the FAV is laying -7 to -8.5 points. The first game is the
SEC battle between a very HOT Auburn team against a Volunteer team that's reeling. The visiting
Tigers are on a current SIX game ATS winning streak that's the hottest in all of College Football.
hey come in with the nation's SIXTH best rushing attack, with 306 ypg averaged on the ground.
They've been wearing opponents out with a Top 20 offense averaging 495 total ypg. Average
winning margin during their current 5-game winning streak has been +24.8 ppg. Not bad
considering that they are laying less than 10 points on Saturday. This is also a SEC series in
which the visitor has dominated, going 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
The host Volunteers are certainly going thru some growing pains with a TRUE freshman (Joshua
Dobbs) at QB. They've gone 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. And they've really s**t the bed in
their last two... losing by 31 and 35 points... and getting outscored by a combined 76-13 deficit.
Tennessee has won only ONE 'stat-war' all season, and that was by only SEVEN yards against a
woeful South Alabama team. This is a team that can't pass (#111) and is ranked #98 nationally in
total offense. And in regards to the Tigers strength (rushing) we note that Tennessee is ranked
#103 in rushing YPG allowed. That's a BAD sign. The Vols have gone 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19
games against WINNING (> .500) teams... 1-5 ATS in November... 3-9 ATS after allowing 180 <
passing yards... and 2-7-1 ATS as conference home dogs of 4 > pts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks
3*Missouri -13.5
3*Texas A&M -19

2*Marshall -24
2*N Texas -25
2*ECU -16.5
2*San Jose St U Over55

1* Auburn -7
1*Houston +11.5
1*Philadelphia - Cleveland Under 202.5
1* E Kentucky -6.5 -(NCAAB)

Free Pick
Nevada - Colorado St Over 66
Arizona -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob's Best Bets:
3* WKU -6
3* Marshall -23.5
2* Hawaii +17.5
2* UT-San Antonio -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

100 Iowa
50 navy
15 Utah st
10 north Texas
10 Kansas st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BANKROLL SPORTS

Today's Premium Member Releases
(All Game Times Are Listed In Eastern Standard Time)
Note: Date of Releases Noted in Top Right Panel of Page
10* Texas Longhorns -6 (CFB) / 7:00pm
Current Line @ 5 Dimes - Get an Exclusive 50% Match-Play Bonus By Clicking Here!
(50% Match Play Bonus - 5 Dimes Has Shown The Ability To Offer Very Fast Payments)
5* Michigan Wolverines -6.5 (CFB) / 3:30pm
5* Alabama Crimson Tide -11.5 (CFB) / 8:00pm
4* BYU Cougars +7.5 (CFB) / 3:30pm
4* Arizona Wildcats -2 (CFB) / 10:00pm
3* TCU Horned Frogs (CFB) / Noon
2* SMU Mustangs +7 (CFB) / Noon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Platinum Plays

500K Big10 Lock/Year

the Michigan Wolverines -6½ over
the Nebraska Cornhuskers

Best Bets

the Utah Utes +6½ over
the Arizona St Sun Devils

the Auburn Tigers -7 over
the Tennessee Volunteers

the Wisconsin Badgers -8 over
the BYU Cougars

the Texas Tech Red Raiders -2½ over
the Kansas St Wildcats

500K Saturday Night Parlay

the Fresno St Bulldogs -9 over
the Wyoming Cowboys

the Texas Longhorns -6 over
the West Virginia Mountaineers

Best Bets

the San Jose St Spartans -6½ over
the San Diego St Aztecs

the Pittsburgh Panthers +4 over
the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

the Arizona Wildcats -1½ over
the UCLA Bruins



PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK

the USC Trojans -16 over
the California Golden Bears

the Alabama Crimson Tide -12½ over
the LSU Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Biff Group / Members





Today's Picks:






Kenty+14.5* (Mizzou) 12, N or BN (14.5), AN, GN, VB, BHT* DBL units





BYU+9.5/9 (Wisc) 330, GT or BN, BM, OPBC, 1.5 units



Penn State+3/2.5 (Minn) 12, GT or +3 (BN), OTGTBTFV, 1.5 units



Ark+17 (Ole Miss) 1230, N or +17 (BN, or BUP-120), VB, BVBDG, 1.5 units





Fla-10 (Vandy) 12, N, GN, OTRDG, GPS (51/49 split), SNGL





LSU+13/12.5 (Bama) 8, GT, MVB, OPBC, 1.5 units



AZ-1* (UCLA) 10, N, UHFART, LNC, RLM, OPBC, DTF, DBL units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Psychic

Major: Nebraska +7
Major: WV +4.5

Wizard

18 unit - Penn St. +2.5
15 - Vandy +10.5
10 - Texas San Antonio -8.5
10 - Ohio -1
10 - Temple

JT Walker
Pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 Units North Texas -25

[golden contender]

Saturday card has the 6* NCAAF TV Game of the year with a 17-0 System and 4 more Powerful 5* system sides all cashing 92% or higher. We also have NBA and College Hoops. Football overall continues to be at or near the top of several leader boards. In NBA Action there are two 5* Perfect system sides. Free 3 unit College football Power Angle Play below.


On Saturday the free 3 unit College Football Power Angle play is on Western Michigan. Game 149 at 1:00 eastern. This game is a battle of 2 pathetic Mac conference schools who both play little or no defense. In game 10 when we have two teams that have one exact win and one of the teams is off a win that team has lost just one to the spread long term. The Visitor in this series has covered 8 of 11. Eastern Michigan has the 3rd worst defense in the country and Western Michigan has double revenge Western Michigan has been more competitive and did emerge with a road dog win in their last game. Today they make the short trip into Eastern Michigan to take on an Eagles squad that has allowed 42+ points in 6 straight games. Perhaps the biggest reason we will Play Against Eastern Michigan is due to the Power angle Below that shows Eastern Michigan as a terrible 1-18 straight up and to the spread at home off a road loss. Look for Western Michigan to take this one. On Saturday we have a Tremendous card led by the 6* 17-0 College Football TV Game Of the Year, and 4 More 5* Power Systems all cashing 92% or higher and 2 are Perfect. Two 100% BIG 5* NBA Sides and NCAAB Also on the card. Football overall continues to be at or near the top of Several Major Leader boards. Jump on now and Cash out big today and all weekend. For the free Play take Western Michigan. GC

SU: 2-17-0
ATS: 1-18-0

Date Day # Season Team Opp Site Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Nov 24, 2006 Friday 12 2006 EMCH NIL home 0-27 7.5 44.0 -27 -19.5 -17.0 -18.2 1.2 L L U 0
Sep 08, 2007 Saturday 2 2007 EMCH BALL home 16-38 5.5 44.0 -22 -16.5 10.0 -3.2 13.2 L L O 0
Nov 09, 2007 Friday 11 2007 EMCH BOWL home 32-39 4.5 58.0 -7 -2.5 13.0 5.2 7.8 L L O 0
Sep 13, 2008 Saturday 3 2008 EMCH TOL home 17-41 -1.5 56.5 -24 -25.5 1.5 -12.0 13.5 L L O 0
Sep 27, 2008 Saturday 5 2008 EMCH NIL home 0-37 6.0 51.5 -37 -31.0 -14.5 -22.8 8.2 L L U 0
Oct 18, 2008 Saturday 8 2008 EMCH AKR home 35-42 4.5 53.0 -7 -2.5 24.0 10.8 13.2 L L O 0
Nov 28, 2008 Friday 12 2008 EMCH CMCH home 56-52 10.0 64.0 4 14.0 44.0 29.0 15.0 W W O 0
Oct 03, 2009 Saturday 4 2009 EMCH TEM home 12-24 6.5 44.5 -12 -5.5 -8.5 -7.0 -1.5 L L U 0
Oct 17, 2009 Saturday 6 2009 EMCH KEST home 6-28 6.5 50.0 -22 -15.5 -16.0 -15.8 -0.2 L L U 0
Nov 14, 2009 Saturday 10 2009 EMCH WMCH home 14-35 13.0 59.0 -21 -8.0 -10.0 -9.0 -1.0 L L U 0
Sep 18, 2010 Saturday 3 2010 EMCH CMCH home 14-52 10.5 47.5 -38 -27.5 18.5 -4.5 23.0 L L O 0
Oct 02, 2010 Saturday 5 2010 EMCH OHU home 17-30 10.0 50.5 -13 -3.0 -3.5 -3.2 -0.2 L L U 0
Oct 30, 2010 Saturday 9 2010 EMCH TOL home 7-42 11.5 56.0 -35 -23.5 -7.0 -15.2 8.2 L L U 0
Oct 01, 2011 Saturday 5 2011 EMCH AKR home 31-23 -8.5 47.5 8 -0.5 6.5 3.0 3.5 W L O 0
Sep 08, 2012 Saturday 2 2012 EMCH ILST home 14-31 -3.5 -17 -20.5 L L
Oct 06, 2012 Saturday 5 2012 EMCH KEST home 14-41 3.5 48.5 -27 -23.5 6.5 -8.5 15.0 L L O
Nov 10, 2012 Saturday 10 2012 EMCH CMCH home 31-34 2.5 63.0 -3 -0.5 2.0 0.8 1.2 L L O
Sep 21, 2013 Saturday 4 2013 EMCH BALL home 20-51 11.0 59.0 -31 -20.0 12.0 -4.0 16.0 L L O
Oct 19, 2013 Saturday 7 2013 EMCH OHU home 28-56 16.5 56.5 -28 -11.5 27.5 8.0 19.5 L L O
Nov 09, 2013 Saturday 10 2013 EMCH WMCH home 2.5 58.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges Late Selections



Late Selections Notice
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November 9, 2013

Basketball....Friday: 4-2....Season: 12-7

NBA

Cleveland -7 1/2 Philly


FOOTBALL---CONSENSUS PLAYS:

VERY STRONG: None

STRONG: Wyoming +8 1/2 Fresno
Missouri -13 1/2 Kentucky

REGULAR STRENGTH:

N. C. State +10 Duke
Tulane +9 UTSA
W. Kentucky -5 1/2 Army
Houston +12 UCF

There's also general agreement supporting our choices of Va. Tech and Kansas St.

NORM'S LATE THOUGHTS: Virginia's program continues to sink deeper and deeper. They've now covered only 5 of their last 23 games and coach Mike London's almost certainly gone at season's end. One hates to lay a sizable spread with a team that's just 3-5 like North Carolina. But at least they have shown some spunk and competitiveness unlike the Cavaliers. So:
Take North Carolina -12 1/2 Virginia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

late phones
4* Texas -5'
4* SMU +7'
4* virginia tech +6
3* Florida -10'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

budin 100 dime EAST CAROLNA

BENTON 100 DIME HOUSTON

DEMARCO 15 DIME UL MONROE

ROSICA 100 DIME LSU

ANTHONY REDD 100 DIME LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns
Tennessee
Wake Forest
Kentucky

10* Texas San Antonio

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph SUPER PICK - Missouri

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cooper WinsGAME #1: Arizona State @Utah

Arizona State -6.5

Utah is just out classed in this one. Arizona State's offense is gaining 515yards per game while Utah defense gives up 400 yards per game so Arizona Statewill score at will in this one. Arizona State has a good D-Line that will shutdown the Utah running attack that gains 175 yards per game on avg. Just outclassed.
This is a regular play. Arizona State -6.5.

GAME #2: Kansas State @ Texas Tech

Texas Tech -2.5

This will be a high scoring game but Texas Tech's offense will be to much forthe Wildcats on Saturday. This is a regular play. Texas Tech -2.5.

GAME #3: UCLA @ Arizona

Arizona -1

Same as the Texas Tech game. Look for a high scoring game. I think UCLA isoverrated and Arizona will put this one out. This is a regular play. Arizona -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Irish Mike Syndicate

Iowa U45
Iowa-15
SMU+9(2x)
FLA-10(2x)
FSU U54
Marshall -24(2x)
VT+7(3x)
Minn-2.5(2x)
MD-6
NEB O57.5(2x)
Tenn+7.5
Tulane+9(2x)
UNC-13.5

(.25x 5-TM parlay)
TEX-6.5
AZ+1
ColSt-9.5
ILL O77
Miss st O66.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine
NBA
Milwauke +4 59.3
Memphis +1 57.7
Utah Over 187.5 61.9
Indiana Over 186 60.5
Portland Over 199 59.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's FOOTBALL BEST BETS
STATFOX SCOTT

NOTRE DAME (179) AT PITTSBURGH (180)
Latest Line: Pittsburgh +5.0; Total: 51.0

Only once in the past eight meetings between these schools has the home team come away with an ATS victory. Notre Dame is 3-1 both SU and ATS at Pittsburgh during that span, and the Panthers come into this game with just one SU win and one ATS win since the end of September. The Irish, meanwhile, enter this game having scored 37 or more points in three of their past four games. Pittsburgh is 1-10 ATS when allowing 28 or more points over the past three seasons, and there's little reason to believe that Notre Dame won't surpass that plateau with relative ease. This has all the makings of a double-digit win for the Irish.
PLAY ON: Notre Dame

[Can'tPickAWinner]

larry ness 30 club: la monroe

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Metric
Penn State/Minn O47.5
Missouri/Kentucky O56.5
UTSA/Tulane O51
Navy/Hawaii O53
BC/NMSU U60.5
Tulsa/ECU O52.5
Texas/WVU O56

HOU/UCF O64.5
Utah State/UNLV O56
UCLA/Arizona O56

Fresno St/Wyoming U79

San Diego St/SJSU O55.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The TICKET from the swami-- GOY vanderbilt +10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole:
3* OVER OF THE WEEK:
SMU/Cincy OVER 65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Edwards 20*

Missouri

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

300 cincy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
upset
arizona
unlv
pittsburgh panther

millionaire
Wyoming

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV wiseguys

2 = 0 friday now 36 = 17

today

N texas = 26

michigain =6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

golden contender

Saturday card has the 6* NCAAF TV Game of the year

BAMA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost his Best Bet of the week in College Football Louisville -27/Connecticut. (Best Bet's now 4-7 -$185 for the year)

"Desperate times call for Desperate measures"

For Saturday E&B is wagering $100 on a three team 10 point teaser.

Alabama -12/LSU down to Alabama-2/LSU.

Duke -9/NC St down to Duke +1/NC St.

Vanderbilt +10.5/Florida up to Vanderbilt +20.5/Florida.


So for Saturday your three team teaser for $100 from E&B is

Alabama-2/LSU,Duke +1/NC St and Vanderbilt +20.5/Florida.

Ecks and Bacon is 2-4 -$115 for the week and 4-11 -$400.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

200 Grand Slam 50 Neb VT LSU Ariz

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pat Hawkins

Pittsburgh +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Early Sebastian:
100 Vanderbilt
200 OVER SMU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Added

CFB-
9* Vanderbilt+12 -110

NBA-
10* Indiana/Brooklyn over 187.5 -102
10* Orlando/Atlanta over 199 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant
2*Texas San Antonio
2* Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exec 600 - Maryland
exec 300 - San Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vr goy - lsu +11.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gameday-Bill Hilton

5-Alabama
3-Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Realswoop NCAA

Early Picks

136 Marshall -24 (12:00ET)

143 Missouri -14 (12:00ET)
140 Minnesota -2.5 (12:00ET)
158 Wisconsin -9 (3:30ET)
182 Texas A&M -19 (3:30ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Original Underdog
Eastern Mich +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2
CFB Saturday
2* Arizona St -7
1* Colorado St -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline --- Wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VR

2* WestVirginia +6
2* Virginia Tech +6 -
3* Under Bama-LSU 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Other small plays/suggestions

Executive 150 - Arizona
Executive 100 - Arizona St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes




CFB




4 Va Tech +6


2 Kansas St +2.5


2 Arizona St -7 -120


1 Colorado St -8.5


1 TCU -6.5


1 Cal +17


1 San Diego St +6.5




CBB


2 Cleveland St. -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROOT
Pinnacle goy utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

60 Percent Guaranteed

Missouri -14.5

Kansas State +2.5

Mississippi -17

Wyoming +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Linebeaters
Saturday NBA
Hawks -6
Clippers +3.5
Blazers +1.5
*
Saturday NCAAF
Illinois +9.5
Missouri -13.5
*
Saturday NCAAB
Eastern Illinois +13.5
*
Saturday NHL
Blackhawks -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ats Insiders Club

Texas San Antonio -8.5
East Carolina -17
Minnesota -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
500 arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports unlimited

10* virginia tech
2* maryland
2* ariz

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HARRY BONDI
7 LSU
4 byu
3 ucla
3 kansas state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter

5* Maryland/Syracuse Under 55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam

10* Syracause

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo
CBB
5* Northwestern -13
2* Northern Iowa +1
2* San Diego-14
1* Seton Hall-13
1* Eastern Kentucky -13
1* llinois Chicago pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

one on one
usc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports
Take #58 Detroit Red Wings (-130) over Tampa Bay Lightning (7:05pm EST)

Take #65 Chicago Blackhawks (-130) over Dallas Stars (8:05pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner
Bonus UFC PLAY :
1.) VITOR BELFORT -240

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Remainder of Sebastian:
50 Miami Heat
100 OVER Texas A&M
100 UNDER West Virginia
100 Virginia Tech
100 Pittsburgh
200 Colorado State
400 Houston
600 LSU
100 LSU on Money Line
$20 money line parlay with Pittsburgh, Houston and LSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NBA Picks
3.0 -

7:30 PM


709. Boston Celtics +13



Rest of Games
713. Golden State Warriors +3
715. Dallas Mavericks -2.5

Original -


7:30 PM
709. Boston Celtics +13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports-Junkie



NBA: Dallas vs Milwaukee (8:35 pm est.)


$500 NBA Play: Milwaukee +3 (bh) (Bovada) vs Dallas <---- (Pending)


Key TRENDS for this game:
Mavericks are 21-47-1 ATS in their last 69 vs. NBA Central.

Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Mavericks are 6-16 ATS in the last 22 meetings.

Underdog is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings.

Mavericks are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Milwaukee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso Cbb 50 loyola marymount