11-21-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday Night Football betting: Saints at Falcons

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (+10, 53)

The New Orleans Saints are riding high after another comeback victory, and they hope to continue that momentum as they travel to Atlanta to face the struggling Falcons on Thursday. The Saints booted three fourth-quarter field goals to edge San Francisco 23-20 on Sunday and maintain their NFC South lead. They might not need a late rally against the Falcons - the Saints have won five of the last six meetings and 12 of the last 15, including a 23-17 home victory in Week 1.

The Falcons have lost four straight for the first time since 2007 - also the last time they finished with a losing record - but coach Mike Smith and general manager Thomas Dimitroff received a vote of confidence from owner Arthur Blank after Sunday's 41-28 loss to Tampa Bay. "It's a tough business. We've had a lot of injuries, and issues on top of the injuries," Blank told reporters. "These guys are proven leaders and proven by success. … They'll do the work that has to be done with my full support." A win over the Saints would go a long way in backing up that faith, but that's a long shot against a New Orleans team that ranks in the top five in the NFL in total yards and scoring on both sides of the ball.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: The line opened with the Falcons as +7 home dogs and have been bet to +10. The total has been steady at 53.

WEATHER: N/A

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New Orleans (-6.0) + Atlanta (+5.5) + home field (-3.0) = New Orleans -8.5

ABOUT THE SAINTS (8-2, 6-4 ATS): New Orleans might be the most complete team in the league with Drew Brees directing the potent pass-heavy attack and
defensive coordinator Rob Ryan's revamped unit continuing to play well. Injuries are mounting on the defensive side, though, with cornerback Jabari Greer suffering a gruesome knee injury Sunday and rookie safety Kenny Vaccaro still questionable after missing the past two games. The Saints are far more susceptible on the road, where they've lost to New England and the New York Jets and survived close contests at Tampa Bay and Chicago.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (2-8, 2-8 ATS): Atlanta's defense was shredded by a rookie quarterback and a running back making his first NFL start versus Tampa Bay, so the Falcons might be in big trouble against Brees and the Saints' high-powered attack. The offense has been far too one-dimensional, ranking 31st at 73.1 rushing yards per game, which doesn't bode well against the Saints' third-ranked pass defense. Atlanta's defense is getting closer to full strength with linebacker Sean Weatherspoon back, but the unit continues to struggle and has allowed more than 400 total yards in two straight games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Atlanta.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last four overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brees (49,288) needs 38 passing yards to move past Warren Moon for fifth in NFL history. John Elway is fourth at 51,475.

2. Atlanta QB Matt Ryan's 14 interceptions match his career high set in 2009 and tied last season, and his 89.2 rating is his lowest since an 80.9 mark in 2009.

3. The Falcons are the only team since 2009 to hold Brees without a touchdown pass, as he threw five interceptions without a TD in a 23-13 loss at Atlanta last season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tale of the Tape: New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

The New Orleans Saints look to add to the misery of a division rival as they face the host Atlanta Falcons in the Week 12 Thursday nighter.

New Orleans has reeled off back-to-back victories to remain one game ahead of the hard-charging Carolina Panthers in the NFC South. The Falcons are immersed in their own position battle - specifically, looking to stay out of the division basement as they bring a six-game losing streak into this one.

Read the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

The Saints continue rolling along on the offensive side of the football, sitting third in total yards (4,191) on the strength of a passing game that ranks behind only the Denver Broncos in terms of efficiency. Quarterback Drew Brees is on pace for his fourth career 5,000-yard passing campaign, with 26 touchdown throws against just eight interceptions. The rushing game hasn't been nearly as effective, ranked 23rd in the NFL at 97.2 yards per game with just seven TDs.

Atlanta was built to compete offensively with a team like the Saints, but injuries have limited its ability to do that in 2013. Quarterback Matt Ryan has had to do without top receivers Julio Jones (foot, out for season) and Roddy White (hamstring) for major chunks of the season, resulting in the Atlanta passing offense ranking eighth in total yards after going into the year as a consensus top-3 unit. The running game is dreadful, recording the second-fewest yards in the NFL.

Edge: New Orleans

Defense

New Orleans hasn't traditionally been equated with shut-down defense, but times have changed. New Orleans comes into Thursday's game having allowed the second-fewest passing yards in football (1,914) - behind only the Houston Texans - and its 11 passing touchdowns against is tied for the fourth-fewest in the league. New Orleans is allowing 4.9 yards per carry, but has faced just 234 attempts - third-fewest in the NFL - as teams try to keep up with its pass offense.

The Falcons' punchless offense isn't doing its defensive unit any favors. Atlanta ranks 21st in passing yards against (2,492) with 21 touchdowns against - third-most in football - and just six interceptions. Teams have also run at will against the Falcons, racking up the third most opponent yards in the league (1,327) while scoring eight touchdowns; the Falcons are the only team in football ranked 30th or lower in both offensive and defensive rushing yardage per game.

Edge: New Orleans

Special Teams

The Saints have fared well on kick returns so far in 2013, averaging the ninth-best rate in the league (24.5 yards); things haven't been as good on punt returns, where they're just 30th (6.4). New Orleans is allowing the sixth-highest kick-return average (25.2) but has limited opponents to 6.7 yards per punt-return attempt. Kicker Garrett Hartley had made just two of his previous six field-goal attempts entering Week 11, but went 3-for-3 in the win over San Francisco.

Atlanta's kick-return game has been solid, as it's averaging 24.3 yards per attempt - one spot behind New Orleans in the rankings. It sits 24th in punt-return average (7.3). Opponents have had virtually identical numbers against the Falcons, averaging 24.1 yards per kick-return attempt and 7.6 yards per punt-return try. Kicker Matt Bryant has been as good as they come this season, connecting on 13-of-14 field goal attempts - including two in last week's loss to Tampa Bay.

Edge: Atlanta

Notable Quotable

"We're equal-opportunity. Whoever's getting open, whoever's got the matchup, whoever's got the hot hand. We kind of feel that and see that as the game is going on. Guys kind of know that if it's not this week or next week, it might be the following week." - Brees

"There's times when it's going to be humbling. You learn from everything, the good the bad - and sometimes more from the bad than the good. I think everybody's trying to learn from it, apply it to themselves, find ways to get better, find ways to use it as motivation and just keep going forward." - Ryan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday's NCAAF action: What bettors need to know

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Central Florida Knights (-17.5, 57.5)

Central Florida looks to follow up a remarkable road victory and stay unbeaten in the American Athletic Conference when it hosts Rutgers on Thursday. The No. 20 Knights' remarkable run through the league slate continued Saturday with perhaps the game of the weekend in college football as standout quarterback Blake Bortles led his team to 10 points in the final 1:06 to steal a 39-36 victory at Temple. Late drama is nothing new to Central Florida, which has won five games by seven points or less, four during its five-game winning streak.

While the Knights may eventually eye a conference crown and an automatic BCS berth, the Scarlet Knights still have plenty to play for as well. They remain one win shy of bowl eligibility for the eighth time in nine years. Rutgers also had a three-point win against Temple before it suffered a 52-17 loss to Cincinnati on Saturday, its third setback in four games.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: Central Florida opened as low as 16.5 and jumped to 17.5. The total is set at 57.5 points.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s with a 27 percent chance of rain early on. Winds blowing NNE at 6 mph.

ABOUT RUTGERS (5-4, 2-3 AAC): Although it has a shot at gaining that bowl eligibility, a once-promising season has taken a bad turn for the Scarlet Knights, whose 1-3 slide has coincided with an allegation by a former player of bullying by a coach and an embarrassing home loss to the Bearcats. Gary Nova's touchdown pass late in the first quarter Rutgers cut Cincinnati's lead to 10-7, but the Bearcats responded with six straight touchdowns. Nova threw two interceptions and has nine picks against five touchdowns in the last four games.

ABOUT CENTRAL FLORIDA (8-1, 5-0): Many who had not heard of Bortles prior to the Temple game are now well aware of his exploits. In the comeback win over the Owls, the junior threw for a career-high 404 yards, leading Central Florida to 657 total yards, the most the program has amassed in a game since it joined the FBS ranks in 1996. Bortles ranks seventh in FBS in passer efficiency (168.6).

TRENDS:

* Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games.
* Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 11-5 in Scarlet Knights last 16 road games.

Rice Owls at Alabama-Birmingham Blazers (+19, 63.5)

Rice looks to keep its chances at the Conference USA West Division title alive Thursday night as it visits Alabama-Birmingham. The Owls fell to division co-leader North Texas two weeks ago but bounced back in its previous game, rolling past Louisiana Tech 52-14 on the strength of Charles Ross' conference record-tying five rushing touchdowns. The Blazers have dropped four straight games and have surrendered a whopping 119 points in their last two defeats.

The Owls have built much of their success on a potent running game - and after struggling to gain much real estate in the loss to the Mean Green, they atoned with a sensational performance against the Bulldogs. Ross racked up 215 of Rice's 415 rushing yards, and the Owls finished with six scores on the ground to improve to 5-1 in conference play. UAB has been feasted on all season, allowing more than 42 points per game.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
LINE: UAB is installed as a 19-point dog after being as low as +20. The over/under is set at 63 1/2.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow northwest across the width of the field at 6 mph.

ABOUT RICE (7-3, 5-1 Conference USA): Ross has been the centerpiece of one of the best rushing attacks in the country, surpassing the 1,000-yard plateau for the season last time out while leading the conference with 11 rushing scores. Quarterback Taylor McHargue has had an up-and-down season to date, throwing for 1,751 yards with 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He has also run for 359 yards, but had just one in the victory over Louisiana Tech.

ABOUT UAB (2-8, 1-5): Austin Brown and Jonathan Perry have formed a competent quarterback tandem for the Blazers, combining to throw for nearly 2,100 yards with 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Perry threw for a season-best 210 yards in last week's loss to East Carolina but was picked off twice - one of which was returned by Kyle Tudor for a 50-yard touchdown. Darrin Reaves (827 yards, nine TDs) and Jordan Howard (826 yards, two TDs) pace the run attack.

TRENDS:

* Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. teams with losing records.
* Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games.
* Over is 7-0 in UAB's last seven games vs. teams with winning records.

UNLV Rebels at Air Force Falcons (-1, 61)

The UNLV Rebels look to get their season back on track as they visit Colorado for a showdown with the Air Force Falcons. The Rebels have lost three of their last four games - including back-to-back home defeats to San Jose State and Utah State - to spoil what had been a solid start to the year. The Falcons have struggled all season long but have been better of late, defeating Army at home before dropping a 45-37 shootout against host New Mexico.

The Rebels may be in for a struggle Thursday as they bring a shaky run defense into Falcon Stadium. UNLV ranks eighth in the 12-team Mountain West Conference in rushing yards allowed per game (234.5) while surrendering 22 touchdowns on the ground and 5 1/2 yards per carry. If Air Force has done one thing well this season, it's running the ball - the Falcons are second in the conference and 11th in the FBS in rushing yards per game at 277.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU
LINE: Air Force is listed as a one-point fave, down slightly from a 1 1/2-point open. The over/under has held at 61.
WEATHER: Snow is in the forecast at Falcon Stadium with temperatures in the mid-teens and wind blowing across the length of the field at 13 mph.

ABOUT UNLV (5-3, 3-3 Mountain West): Thursday's X-factor could be Rebels senior quarterback Caleb Herring, who will look to solve a Falcons pass defense that ranks fourth in the conference in yards against per game. Herring has thrown for more than 250 yards in three straight games, with seven touchdowns and just three interceptions over that span. His performance could ultimately determine whether feature back Tim Cornett (970 yards, 11 TDs) has room to run.

ABOUT AIR FORCE (2-8, 0-6): Solving the Falcons' offense isn't difficult - Air Force has run the ball an unfathomable 538 times so far in 2013, while attempting just 141 passes. But stopping the Falcons' ground attack is a much harder task; they're averaging better than five yards per carry with 26 rushing touchdowns spread out among nine different players. Eighteen different Falcons have at least one carry, led by Anthony LaCoste with 111 for 781 yards and six scores.

TRENDS

* Rebels are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss
* Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

A look at the Chicago Bulls' recent circus road trip history

It's never a good time for the Chicago Bulls to spend two weeks away from the United Center, but this year's edition of the circus road trip couldn't have come at a worse point in the season.

Chicago will embark on its annual circus voyage, when the circus kicks the team out of town for a few weeks, with just one win in its first four road games. Compare that to a perfect 5-0 mark in their own building and it's easy to see why the Bulls might prefer to send Barnum and Bailey packing this year. That said, the Bulls have actually fared better during the road trip in recent years - making them an intriguing play over that two-week stretch.

Chicago opens this extended away stretch as 1-point road favorites in Denver Thursday night.

Here's a look at how the Bulls have fared on their most recent circus road trips:

2003-04 to 2006-07: 5-20 SU, 11-14 ATS

Chicago was trounced in five straight games in 2003-04 but actually covered in three of the five defeats. The Bulls went 1-6 SU the following year, but only covered three times. The 2005-06 trip saw a decent turnaround - the Bulls went 3-3 SU and ATS - but was followed by a 1-6 trek the next season, a stretch in which the Bulls covered just twice. That included losing by 10 to the L.A. Lakers as a three-point dog, and dropping a 15-point decision in Philadelphia despite being installed as a 1 1/2-point fave.

2007-08 to 2009-10: 5-14 SU, 7-12 ATS

After carrying on the tradition of struggling on the circus trip - going 1-5 SU and ATS in 2007-08 - Chicago fans had high hopes when the Bulls went on to use the first pick in the 2008 draft on standout point guard Derrick Rose. The circus trip results improved - but only barely. The Bulls went 3-4 the following season - while actually finishing 4-3 ATS - but regressed in 2009-10, losing the final five games of the six-game trek while covering just twice. Four of the five defeats were by a margin of 15 points or more.

2010-11 to 2012-12: 6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS

The most recent Bulls seasons don't provide as much value when trying to assess the team's performance during the lengthy trip. For one thing, there was no trek during the lockout-shortened 2011-12 season; the schedule didn't kick off until well after Barnum and Bailey had vacated the arena. Additionally, Rose suffered a knee injury at the end of that campaign and sat out all of 2012-13. The results do, however, tell bettors that this edition of the Bulls was far more formidable than in years past. The team went 4-3 SU and 6-1 ATS in 2010-11, and was a ho-hum 2-3 SU and ATS last season.

Summary

It's difficult to know how the Bulls are going to perform. But given the steady roster improvement over the past few seasons, the fact that the roster is relatively healthy and that Rose continues to show improvement in his recovery from major knee surgery, Chicago should be a difficult opponent for all six teams it faces on its annual circus road trip. And you certainly couldn't have said that nine or 10 years ago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Blues won six of their last eight games. Boston won six of last seven.
-- Toronto won last four home games, allowing six goals. Predators won their last two games, 2-0/7-2.
-- Flyers won four of their last five games.
-- Blackhawks won five of their last seven games. Winnipeg won four of last five at home.
-- Dallas Stars won six of their last seven games.
-- Coyotes won eight of their last ten games.
-- Florida won three of its last four games. Oilers won last two games, 4-2/7-0.
-- Devils won four of last five games (only loss 2-0 to LA). Los Angeles won its last four games, outscoring foes, 11-4.
-- San Jose won three of its last four games.


Cold teams
-- Sabres lost four of their last five road games.
-- Red Wings lost their last seven games, five in SO/OT. Carolina lost eight of last twelve.
-- Rangers lost three of their last four games.
-- Avalanche lost three of their last four games.
-- Lightning lost three of its last four road games.

Totals
-- Three of last four St Louis-Boston games went over total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Nashville games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Philly games.
-- Five of last six Carolina-Detroit games went under total.
-- Four of last five Chicago-Winnipeg games went over total.
-- Last three Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Edmonton games.
-- 11 of last 12 LA-New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Tampa Bay games went over the total; three of Sharks' last four stayed under. .

Series records
-- Bruins won three of their last four games with St Louis.
-- Maple Leafs won three of last four games with Nashville.
-- Flyers won seven of last nine games with Buffalo.
-- Red Wings won four of last five games with Carolina.
-- Blackhawks won their last six games with Winnipeg.
-- Rangers lost four of last six games with Dallas.
-- Coyotes won 10 of last 13 games against Colorado.
-- Oilers won six of their last seven games with Florida.
-- Kings won five of last seven games with New Jersey.
-- Home team won last four Lightning-Shark games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA


Hot teams
-- Clippers won five of their last six games. Thunder won six of eight.
-- Bulls won their last five games, allowing 81.6 ppg.

Cold teams
-- Nuggets lost last two games, allowing 118.5 ppg, but they've won last three home games, by 2-12-4 points.

Totals
-- Five of last six Thunder games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under the total; six of last seven Denver games went over.

Series records
-- Seven of last eight Clipper-Thunder games went over total.
-- Nuggets won six of last seven games with Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks

Rutgers at Central Florida

The Knights put their 3-1 home record on the line against a Rutgers team that is 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 road games against a team with a winning home record. Rutgers is the pick (+17 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knights favored by only 14. Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+17 1/2). Here are all of this week's lined games.


THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 21
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 109-110: Rutgers at Central Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 83.125; Central Florida 97.394
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 14; 62
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 17 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+17 1/2); Over


Game 111-112: Rice at UAB (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 86.380; UAB 60.541
Dunkel Line: Rice by 26; 59
Vegas Line: Rice by 18; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-18); Under


Game 113-114: UNLV at Air Force (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 77.731; Air Force 71.205
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 6 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Air Force by 2; 60
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+2); Over





OTHER GAMES:
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (11/21)


Nicholls State at SE Louisiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 48.068; SE Louisiana 88.834
Dunkel Line: SE Louisiana by 41

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks

New Orleans at Atlanta

The Saints look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 5 games against the Falcons. New Orleans is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-9). Here are all of this week's picks.


THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 21
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 107-108: New Orleans at Atlanta (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 140.250; Atlanta 124.251
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 16; 57
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 9; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-9); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

LA Clippers at Oklahoma City

The Clippers continue their road trip tonight against an Oklahoma City team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 home games. LA is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 21
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.019; Oklahoma City 125.243
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+5 1/2); Over


Game 703-704: Chicago at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 124.028; Denver 120.456
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Saints -9.5 over Falcons
(System Record: 38-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 38-33-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -155 over Winnipeg Jets
(System Record: 28-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 28-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher
Chicago Bulls (PK) over Denver Nuggets
(System Record: 10-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 10-16-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Libertad + Lanus UNDER 2
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 482-17, won last game)
Overall Record: 482-420-71

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1133-853(57% ) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 58-34 this yr, NFL 34-23:

Free winner 12-4 run THURS Rice -18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Toronto Maple leafs -160

Phoenix Coyotes -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Saints -9
UNLV +2.5
Bulls -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI

CFB
UNLV at Air Force (-1) 9:30 ET ESPNU
5* Air Force
In late October, UNLV recorded their 5th win of the season against Nevada. It left the Rebels 1 win short of qualifying for their first Bowl Game since 2000. Excitement ran high for UNLV backers in Sin City. Since that time, however, the Rebs have dropped a pair of home games to San Jose and Utah St. Now, the pressure mounts with this road trip to Air Force and a home game against surging San Diego St. still on the agenda. Pressure packed times for HC Hauck. Remember, this is a guy who coached the Rebels to a record of 5-16 ATS as road dog. The Air Force has struggled through an injury-plagued season that has left them 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS and winless in league play. But, we know this team will never give up. Their nightmare season has resulted in a reduction of this line by at least 10 points since opening week. On recent runs of 6-17 ATS and 5-15 ATS as home chalk, we back the bounce from an Air Force team who has reached the nadir of their discontent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA CHICAGO at DENVER
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.9 units )

NBA CHICAGO at DENVER
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
59-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.2% 30.4 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.0 units )

NBA CHICAGO at DENVER
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DENVER) an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less
77-38 since 1997. ( 67.0% 35.2 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB NEBRASKA at MASSACHUSETTS
Play On - Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (MASSACHUSETTS) an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG), after scoring 80 points or more
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

CBB UNC-WILMINGTON at W KENTUCKY
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (W KENTUCKY) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games
151-88 since 1997. ( 63.2% 62.9 units )

CBB THE CITADEL at WAKE FOREST
Play Against - Road underdogs of 11 or more points vs. the first half line (THE CITADEL) poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 3 or more points/game, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NHL CHICAGO at WINNIPEG
Play On - Road teams against the money line (CHICAGO) after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game
48-21 since 1997. ( 69.6% 27.1 units )

NHL NASHVILLE at TORONTO
Play On - Road underdogs against the money line (NASHVILLE) off a road win where they shut out their opponent, with a losing record in the first half of the season
45-40 since 1997. ( 52.9% 36.3 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 1.0 units )

NHL NASHVILLE at TORONTO
Play On - Road teams against the money line (NASHVILLE) off a road win where they shut out their opponent, with a losing record in the first half of the season
53-45 since 1997. ( 54.1% 38.0 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -1.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

CBB
Wofford at Minnesota
Richard Pitino has Minnesota playing really good basketball in his first-year, as evidenced by the Gophers 15-point victory at Richmond earlier this season. The Gophers come into the game with a 4-0 mark while Wofford has a 1-2 record, including a 20-point loss at Georgia to open the season and a 21-point loss at Iona. This is not your typical Minnesota team like we have seen over the past several years under Tubby Smith. True to his HOF Dad's teaching, the younger Pitino wants his team to defend full court, shoot a decent amount of 3's and get up and down the floor. Wofford is only averaging 63.3 ppg while Minnesota is scoring over 80 ppg and giving up just under 63. The real story in this game will be on the glass, where Minnesota has a 12 rebound per game edge. In addition, they also shoot FT better than Wofford. All in all, we feel like this is a game where Minnesota, which is feeling good about themselves, continues that feel good story. The Sharps say....

3 UNITS - MINNESOTA (-17.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced Sports Investments

CBB
1X 731 Temple +2.5
1X 753 S Dakota St +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS

PRO BASKETBALL

*Oklahoma City over Los Angeles Clippers by 5
Bad blood was spilled when these teams met at Staples Center eight days ago with
Serge Ibaka and Matt Barnes getting thrown out. The Thunder seek revenge for that
111-103 defeat.
OKLAHOMA CITY 107-102.

*Denver over Chicago by 3
Chicago has done nothing defensively on the road to ensure confidence surrendering
an average of 97.7 points away from United Center.
DENVER 102-99.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA doubleheader: Clippers at Thunder, Bulls at Nuggets

L.A. Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 210)

Chris Paul is setting NBA records as he drags the Los Angeles Clippers to the top half of the Western Conference. Paul will look to notch his 13th straight points-assists double-double to begin the season when the Clippers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Paul scored 16 of his 20 points in the fourth quarter and handed out 11 assists on Wednesday to guide Los Angeles past the Minnesota Timberwolves in the opener of a two-game trip.

The Thunder will be looking for some revenge after suffering a 111-103 defeat to the Clippers in Los Angeles on Nov. 13. Oklahoma City fell again the next night but took its last two, including a 115-113 victory over Denver on Monday that kicked off a six-game homestand. That win left coach Scott Brooks and star Kevin Durant upset about the defensive effort. “We’ve got to do a better job of being a defensive team,” Brooks said. “We have to play better defense.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT.

LINE: The Thunder opened as -5 home faves and have been bet to -5.5. The total opened at 211.5 and have move down to 210.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: L.A. Clippers (-12.6) - Oklahoma City (-12.4) + home court (-3) = -3.2 Oklahoma City

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (8-4, 7-5 ATS): Paul was the best player on the floor in the final minutes at Minnesota, scoring 13 in a row for Los Angeles at one
point in the last four minutes to spark the team to a 102-98 victory. Paul went for 14 points and 16 assists in the first meeting with the Thunder but was overshadowed by teammate Matt Barnes, who got into a shoving match with Oklahoma City forward Serge Ibaka that left both ejected and was followed by some profane tweets from Barnes in the locker room. Barnes will not be a concern on Thursday, as he did not travel with the team on the road trip after suffering an eye contusion on Monday.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (7-3, 4-6 ATS): That skirmish between Barnes and Ibaka ended up being much worse for Oklahoma City, which squandered a nine-point halftime lead. Ibaka had been 6-for-6 from the floor in that first half before being tossed with six seconds left in the second quarter, and the team is increasing his role in the offense as it works in a smaller lineup. Ibaka is shooting 60.3 percent from the floor over his last five games but was held to six points on 3-of-7 shooting against the Nuggets on Wednesday.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Clippers are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Thunder are 1-8 ATS in their its last nine home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Oklahoma City had a three-game winning streak in the series before falling last week.

2. Durant has scored 33 or more points in four of the last six games.

3. Paul’s 12 straight double-doubles to start the season surpasses Magic Johnson’s 11 from the 1990-91 campaign.

Chicago Bulls at Denver Nuggets (+1, 107)

The Chicago Bulls typically have trouble in Denver but bring a five-game winning streak into Thursday’s matchup against the Nuggets. Denver has won each of its last six home games against Chicago dating back to the 2005-06 season and is averaging 112.3 points during a three-game home winning streak. The Bulls, who are beginning a six-game road trip, are playing terrific defense and allowing an average of 81.8 points during their winning streak.

Derrick Rose continues to search for his MVP form in his comeback season and he will need to be on top of his game to deal with Denver point guard Ty Lawson, who is averaging 22 points and 8.6 assists. “Obviously, that’s a matchup that a lot of people want to see,” Nuggets coach Brian Shaw said. “Ty’s playing at a high level. Derrick Rose, we know what he’s capable of as well as a former MVP.” Rose is averaging just 15 points and 4.5 assists while shooting 34.4 percent from the field.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, WGN (Chicago)

LINE: The Nuggets have held steady as +1 home dogs. The total opened at 196 and has been bet up to 197.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chicago (-10.0) - Denver (-5.5) + home court (-3.0) = Chicago -1.5

ABOUT THE BULLS (6-3, 4-5 ATS): Versatile Jimmy Butler will miss the road excursion after an MRI exam revealed he suffered a sprained right big toe in
Monday’s victory over Charlotte. Butler is averaging 11.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.8 steals and either Mike Dunleavy or Kirk Hinrich will move into a starting role. “It’s part of the game,” Chicago coach Tom Thibodeau said prior to Wednesday’s practice. “But we have more than enough. I’ve been pleased with our bench play. So the guys that are called upon, they have to be ready.”

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (4-6, 5-5 ATS): Guard Nate Robinson is ailing with a wrist injury at the worst possible time – with a game against Chicago arriving.
Robinson was a playoff standout for the Bulls last season while Rose was sidelined and he desperately wants to play against his former teammates. “I play through all injuries if I can,” Robinson said. “I love the game too much.” Robinson scored 24 points in his Denver debut but has reached double digits just twice since and has scored only 25 total points in the Nuggets’ last six games.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Denver.
* Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
* Bulls are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Denver.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Denver has won 12 of its last 13 home meetings with Chicago.

2. Chicago ranks second in the NBA in scoring defense at 89 per game.

3. The Nuggets missed 18 free throws in Monday’s 115-113 loss to Oklahoma City.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Reguar Service Selections for Thursday, November 21st
2013 Thursday Night Pro Football Total of the Year!!!!!
New Orleans/Atlanta under 53
You Win or we'll email you Friday's College Football Report Free of Charge!!!College Football Best BetsRutgers/Central Florida under 57 1/2
Rice/Alabama-Birmingham over 63 1/2
UNLV/Air Force under 60 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, November 21

Miami won last three games, vs teams ranked outside top 200, after OT loss to #192 St Francis in opener; Hurricanes made 7-11 from arc in its 70-54 win at Charleston Monday. Central Florida made just 5-22 behind arc in 72-50 loss to Miami last year; UCF is turning ball over 21.5% of time in 2-1 start, with only loss 80-68 at home to Florida State.

Florida has injury/suspension issues; they've still forced turnovers on 22.8% of time. Gators beat Middle Tennessee 66-45 LY, shooting 58% from floor, pulling away from 29-26 halftime lead. Blue Raiders are 4-0 but are on road for first time- their best win was 80-73 vs Akron. SEC home favorites are 10-4 vs spread. C-USA road underdogs are 9-7.

Gonzaga beat Washington State 89-81/71-69 last two years, after losing to Coogs year before that; this has become bigger game for State, since Zags became mational program. Gonzaga made 45.7% of 3's in 3-0 start, winning by 24-32-15 points. Wazzu allowed 60 ppg in winning its first two games vs stiffs. WCC home favorites are 13-6 against the spread.

Kansas State won its last two games by 8-13 points after losing opener to Northern Colorado; Wildcats are shooting 25.9% from arc, 61.5% on foul line. Charlotte blew 16-point halftime lead and lost to Charleston by point- they beat couple stiffs by 5-14 points. Big X home favorites are 9-5 against the spread. C-USA road underdogs are 9-7 vs spread.

Georgetown hasn't played in 8 days since beating Wright State by 18, in first game after they got back from Korea (lost to Oregon by 7). Hoyas made 29.7% behind arc in first two games. Northeastern lost first couple games to America East teams (Boston U by 3, Stony Brook by 7), beat Central Connecticut by 7 last game. CAA underdogs are 7-5 vs spread.

Michigan made just 8-29 from arc in 77-70 loss at Iowa State Sunday, its first loss after wins by 27-34 over stiffs. Long Beach State is young and in trouble against this non-league schedule, losing three games by 34-1-13 points, after beating an NAIA team. Big Dozen favorites are 12-9 vs spread. Big West road underdogs are 4-10 against the spread.

VCU forced turnovers on 29% of possessions in winning its first three games by 38-3-21 points; Rams won by 3 at Virginia of ACC in its only road game. Florida State scored 86.7 ppg in winning its first three games by 24-12-28 points, but they've turned ball over 24.3% of time. FSU is #4 in country at forcing turnovers, getting one on 27.3% of possessions.

Nebraska won its first three games by 24-15-26 points; Cornhuskers are forcing turnovers 24.3% of time, making 41.9% of 3's, but UMass will be step up in competition, having already beaten Boston College, LSU while scoring 89 ppg. Minutemen have four starters back from a 21-12 team. A-13 favorites are 8-11 vs spread. Big Dozen underdogs are 1-2.

New Mexico scored 98.5 ppg in winning first two games vs stiffs; hard to tell much from that, but Lobos have four starters back from 29-8 club to go with its new head coach, former assistant Neal. UAB won its first two D-I games, beating Rutgers/Troy while scoring 80 ppg. Blazers are turning ball over 20.3% of time, but they killed Rutgers/Troy on boards.

Georgia split its first two games, losing 80-71 at home to Ga Tech in last game Friday. Davidson allowed 87.3 ppg in losing first three games, by 34-4-13 points; teams are shooting 62% inside arc, 41% from arc against them. SEC teams are 2-4 vs spread away from home; SoCon teams have covered only three of 20 games, two of 16 as an underdog.

Clemson allowed 48.3 ppg in winning first three games, beating its rival South Carolina 71-57 Sunday, holding SC to 35.4% from floor. Temple lost four starters from LY, lost to Kent State/Towson last couple games while allowing 78 ppg and forcing turnovers only 11.4% of time. ACC favorites are 14-8 vs spread. Big East underdogs are 0-2 against spread.

Indiana scored 92 ppg in winning first four games, all at home, but their 1-point win over LIU is little bit of red flag; Hoosiers held its first four opponents to 25.8% behind arc. Washington scored 88-92 points in its two wins, but also lost by 14 at home to Cal-Irvine. Long trip east for Huskies. Pac-12 underdogs are 2-2. Big Dozen favorites are 12-9.

South Dakota State lost its first three D-I games by 8-9-4 points, with win over NAIA team since then; Jackrabbit opponents are making 61% of shots inside arc. Texas Tech beat three stiffs, lost by 7 at Alabama in its only road game; Red Raiders are making 59.3% of shots inside arc, but also only 59.3% from line. Big X favorites are 9-6 against spread.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

Saints / Falcons Over 52.5

UAB +18.5

Bulls / Nuggets Under 196

Washington +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks

2* Rice -18.5
1* Rutgers
1* New Orleans -9.5
1* Connecticut -9.5
1* Clippers/ThunderOver 210

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Chase Diamond

9* Denver +1½

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Paul Leiner

100* Florida -13

100* Rice -18

50* Central Florida -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella | NBASides - Thursday, Nov 21 2013 10:35PM
704 DEN 1.0(-110) Bookmaker.com (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=8) vs 703 CHI triple-dime bet


3* on DENVER NUGGETS +1

Quite simply we are getting outstanding 'value' on these Denver Nuggets at HOME tonight & on National TV (TNT). The crowd will be electric with this game being on TNT, and IMO the wrong team is favored here. D Rose is still finding his way back & the team in general is still 'gelling' with Rose back, too. The Bulls are just (1-3 SU) on the ROAD this season, and this team has simply been much much stronger when they play at HOME the last couple years, too. On the flip side we have a rested Nuggets team who EXCEL at HOME and flat out Denver has one of the NBA's best home court edge & have been of the league's best HOME teams the ¥ last few years. We're also getting value on this game due to the Bulls "5 game win streak", however if you take a closer look at who they have played, 4 of the 5 wins were over league doormats (Cleve, Charl, Tor, Utah). Like I stated above, I believe the wrong team is favored and I have this game (Denver -2.5) and we are all over the DENVER NUGGETS in this 'spot' tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Great Lake Sports:

Indiana -8.5 ****
Connecticut -9.5 ***

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Play of the Day November 21, 2013 6:53 AM by GT Staff

Rice at UAB at 4:30 p.m. PST

Rice has gone 7-3 SU and ATS this season and look to win out their last two games and get a good bowl game. UAB has won just two games one against North Western State and the other against lowly Florida International who has just one win, they have been blown out in their last two games by a total of 119 to 28.

111 Rice -18


Results: 2013-14 NCAA FB (0-1-0) Overall Record: 15-15-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday's Consensus Picks November 21, 2013 6:36 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

107 New Orleans Saints -9: This is just a bet against the Atlanta Falcons who were blown out by Tampa Bay on Sunday losing their eighth game of the season and they have lost their last four SU and ATS. The Saints beat the Falcons in game one of the season 23-17 and have gone 10-1 ATS when facing a division team on the road when that team has revenge.

Results: 2013-14 NFL (0-0-0) Overall Record: 42-39-5

NCAA Football

114 Air Force -2: In the last eight games of this series the home team has gotten the moola eight straight times and the Rebs will not be accustomed to the cold weather they will be facing in this game.

113 UNLV / 114 Air Force UNDER 60: It will be a cold and rainy night at Falcon Stadium in Colorado Springs and the fly boys will be running, running and running controlling the clock.

Results: 2013-14 NCAA FB (Thursday 0-1-0) Overall Record: 67-34-3

NCAA Basketball

716 Colorado -14: Cal Santa Barbara has been hit with injuries losing three players in this young season, Colorado has been on a tear scoring in high numbers. We will lay the lumber.

732 Clemson -2½: The Tigers have a swarming defense giving up just 48 points a game while scoring 66 while going 3-0 so far this season.

Results: 2013-14 NCAA BK (Thursday 2-0-0) Overall Record: 3-2-0

NHL HOCKEY

62 Dallas Stars -120: Dallas has been on a roll winning three straight games, we think they can make it four.

Results 2013-14 NHL (Thursday 1-0-0) Overall Record: 29-24-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

NBA OKC -5.5

[golden contender]

Thursday card has the 5* 100% NFL Totals System play + NBA undefeated system and a College Football play that has 8 angles 3 are perfect. NBA Cashes big again on Wednesday with Miami. Free NCAAB Play below.

On Thursday the free NCAAB Play is on Colorado. Game 716 at 8:00 eastern. Colorado has now won 4 straight after an opening game loss to Baylor. They have been an offensive machine scoring 90+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. When they are a home favorite of 13 or more they are 5-0 straight au and 4-1 to the spread. Tonight they will take on a Cal Santa Barbara Team that is dropping like flies. They have lost 3 players over the past week. Center Alan Williams is the latest injury and is said to be doubtful for this game. Also missing the game will be forward Mitch Brewe and Guard John Green. USCB will be thin on the front line. They have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 November games and are 1-13 straight up and 4-10 to the spread as a road dog from +12.5 to +15. They followed a huge 9 point dog win at UNLV with a home loss to Utah St in their last game. This is a bad spot for them at a tough BIG 12 Venue like Colorado. Lau the points with Colorado here tonight. On Thursday we have another Powerful card led by the 5* NFL 100% Totals System and an NBA Perfect system beauty. NBA Has been on big tear. We also have a solid NCAAF Power Angle play that has 3 Perfect indicators.Thursday card is 50% off. Jump on and cash out on Thursday. For the free play Take Colorado in College Hoops. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

NEW ORLEANS (107) AT ATLANTA (108)
Latest Line: Atlanta +9.5; Total: 53.5

The Falcons try to end a long losing skid when they host the division rival Saints on Thursday night. New Orleans remained perfect at home with a 23-20 win over the 49ers Sunday, but is just 1-3 ATS (2-2 SU) on the road this year. Atlanta has lost four straight (SU and ATS) by an average of 18.5 PPG. The Falcons were three yards away from a Week 1 road win over the Saints, but Matt Ryan was intercepted in the end zone in the game's final minute. Although QB Drew Brees is 12-3 with 4,635 passing yards and 31 TD in this series since arriving in New Orleans, he threw 5 INT in last year's visit to Atlanta, a 23-13 loss.
Forecaster: New Orleans 31, Atlanta 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Colorado at Phoenix (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Colorado +116 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

The Colorado Avalanche have been playing a lot better than most expected. This team is 15-5 and has done a great job on the road where they own a 6-2 record. They snapped a three-game losing streak with a huge win at home vs. Chicago, and should have their heads on right heading to Phoenix. Phoenix is 9-0-1 to start the season so it is likely the Avalanche come in hear with full focus. Colorado has been at their best off of a win where they are 12-3 in their last 15. The Coyotes are just 3-7 in their last 10 vs. an opponent that scored 5+ in their previous game. Take Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play Take #726 Massachusetts (-4) over Nebraska (12:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

2-Unit Play Take #705 Central Florida (+8) over Miami (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

2-Unit Play Take 712 Western Kentucky (-9) over UNC-Wilmington (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play Take #716 Colorado (-14.5) over UC-Santa Barbara (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play Take #722 Michigan (-15.5) over Long Beach State (5 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play Take #729 Georgia (-1) over Davidson (5:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play Take #733 North Texas (+4) over Columbia (5 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play Take #739 Western Carolina (+10) over Kent State (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

1-Unit Play Take #746 Boston College (+10) over Connecticut (7 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPick

Thursday Football Plays

· Play Atlanta +9 over New Orleans (TOP NFL PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST

New Orleans has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing on a Thursday and they have also lost 12 of the last 21 road games against the spread. New Orleans has lost two of the last three overall games against the spread and they have lost 25 of the last 43 games against the spread vs. New Orleans.


· Play UNLV +1 over Air Force (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
9:30 PM EST

Air Force has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread coming off a bye week and they have also lost 9 of the last 10 home games against the spread when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points. Air Force has lost 7 of the last 10 games against the spread when playing in the month of November and they have lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread coming off a game where they forced no turnovers.

================================================== ====================

· Play Central Florida -17.5 over Rutgers (BONUS NCAA PLAY)---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
· Play Rice -18 over UAB (BONUS NCAA PLAY)---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheSportsCapper

Thursday

100* Play Central Florida -17.5 over Rutgers (NCAA TOP PLAY)

Rutgers has lost three consecutive games and they have also lost 17 of the last 18 games when playing as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points. Rutgers has lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they are allowing an average of 42 points a game on defense in road games this season.



100* Play Rice -18 over UAB (NCAA TOP PLAY)

UAB has lost 21 of the last 25 games when playing as an underdog and they have also lost 17 of the last 23 games coming off a loss in their last game. UAB has lost 14 of the last 20 games when the total posted is greater than 63 points and they are allowing an average of 42 points a game on defense this season.

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50* Play UNLV +1 over Air Force (BONUS NCAA PLAY)
50* Play Atlanta +9 over New Orleans (BONUS NFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

CFB
Rice (-18) at UAB 7:30 FS1
4* Rice

The Owls as nearly 3 TD road chalk. Are you kidding? But, it is warranted. For these are truly two teams headed opposite directions. With 4 consecutive losses, including 63-14 last week at E. Carolina in which they allowed 625 yards, the Blazers have now lost 4 consecutive games, stand 2-8 SU on the season, and have tossed the towel. They are 5-12 ATS on the run and have a 43 point defense. Rice is still in the hunt for the CUSA West title. With one of the most experienced teams in the nation, the Owls are 7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS and 5-1 SU in CUSA play. That makes their total run currently 13-4 ATS. At the beginning of the season, this game would have been at a “Pick” range. As a result, the adjustments have been made, but not to the point where one should consider backing UAB.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J Clifton

NCAAB
UMASS -4
KENT STATE - 9 1/2
NORTH TEXAS + 4
UC SANTA BARBARA + 14 1/2
WAKE FOREST - 21

NBA
DENVER + 1 1/2
DENVER/CHICAGO OVER 196

NFL
FALCONS + 10

NCAAF
UCF - 17 1/2
AIR FORCE -1
UAB/RICE OVER 63 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Freese NHL

20* Dallas

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Teddy Covers

10* Florida State +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sweet Jones 55

Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Half -3 (x1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo NHL

Take Under (5.5) Chicago at Winnipeg (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21st)
Take #62 Dallas (-1.10) over New York Rangers (8:35 p.m, Thursday, Nov 21st)
Take #66 Edmonton (-130) over Florida (9:35 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21st)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI NHL GOY

Take #2564 Phoenix -130 over Colorado (9:05 p.m., Thursday November 21)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
Western Carolina +9.5 over Kent State (7:30pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

1* Air force -1

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Scott Spreitzer Thursday Night Knockout

Atlanta Falcons

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R&R Totals


*** 3:00 PM ET Start ***

CB #728 UN 155.5 N Mex

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ATS Consultants Football Lock Club

3 unit play on UNLV +2- in college football

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King creole:
2* rice/uab over 63.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Justice
CBB
Northridge -8


Minnesota -17.5

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Ben Burns

9* Falcons
10* Under Clippers
10* UAB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J Clifton
Football
NCAAF
UCF - 17 1/2
AIRFORCE -1

NCAAF
UAB/RICE OVER 63 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS Lock Club
3* - Under 59.5 Rutgers/Cent Fla

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Todays Best BBets
3* - [109] Rutgers +17.5 -107 vs Central Florida
4* - [108] Atlanta Falcons +9 -113 vs New Orleans Saints
4* - [114] Air Force -1 -118 vs UNLV

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

Oklahoma -5.5

Boston College +9.5

Washington +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ats Insiders Club
CFB
Rice -17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Early Sebastian:
50 Georgetown(in progress)
50 OVER New Mexico

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart


CBB-
9* UAB+10.5 -110
9* Montana State+10 -110
9* Minnesota-17 -110
9* Miami Florida-7.5 -110
9* South Dakota State+10.5 -110
9* Western Kentucky-9 -110
9* Gonzaga-15.5 -110

CFB-
9* ABU+18 -110
9* UNLV+2.5 -110

NBA-
9* Denver-1.5 +110
9* Chicago/Denver over 196 -112

NHL-
9* Nashville/Toronto under 5.5 -125
9* New Jersey/Los Angeles under 5 -130

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Northcoast
MARQUEES+ top opinions-1 star plays


central florida-17-
new Orleans-9


regular opinions-half a star plays


new Orleans under 53
central florida over 57-




unlv+2
over 61- same game-unlv
these are regular opinons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker CBB Total - Thursday, Nov 21 2013 7:00PM
745 UConn / 746 Boston Col OVER 151. double-dime bet

Greg Shaker NFL Total - Thursday, Nov 21 2013 8:30PM
107 NOS / 108 ATL UNDER 53 single-dime bet

Greg Shaker CBB Sides - Thursday, Nov 21 2013 8:00PM
731 Temple 3.5 (-110) vs 732 Clemson single-dime bet

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Cleveland Insider

CFB
1* Rice/UAB under 64

NBA
4.5* Bulls/Nuggets under 199.5

NHL
1* NY Rangers/Dallas over 5
1* Tampa Bay/San Jose over 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN
4-Unit Play. Take #726 Massachusetts (-3.5) over Nebraska (12:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)
This game is part of the Charleston Classic. I like the matchup for the Minutemen. Tey have been
playing very well early in the season. Chaz Williams is one of the top guards in the country for the
Minutemen and he is averaging 21 points per game. Massachusetts has had some success in early
season tournaments the last few years. Nebraska is still rebuilding under Tim Miles. They lost a lot
of scoring punch from last year and will struggle again in the Big Ten. I don't see them getting a
win here.

3-Unit Play. Take #733 North Texas (+4) over Columbia (5 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 21)
This is an interesting game. But I think that North Texas will win this game. They have a lot of
experience back from last year's team. This team has revenge from an early season tournament
two years ago. Columbia won that game 72-57 and there are still some players on the Mean Green
that remember. Columbia falls in this one but take the points just in

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS
3-Unit Play. #732 Take Clemson (-2) over Temple (8 p.m., Thursday, November 21)
Both of these teams entered the season with essentially new teams due to graduation, but
Temple lost so much more to the tune of nearly 50 points per game worth of scoring. Clemson has
shown perhaps it is a bit more ready to cope with their young roster by opening the schedule 3-0. With not one senior on their squad this season, Clemson will have to grow up prior to jumping into
a very difficult ACC league schedule. That being said, they'll keep up their fast start and improve
to 4-0 with a win here over Temple. I don't think the Owls are equipped to make up for the losses
of 20-point scorer Khalif Wyatt and the rest of Temple's lost starters. They've begun the season
1-2 for a reason. ACC over American in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
3 Unit Play. Take #732 Clemson -3 over Temple (8:00p.m., Thursday, Nov 21 ESPNU)
The Clemson Tigers are a perfect 3-0 and their defense has given them the reason why they are
perfect. The Tigers 'D' is holding opponents 48.3ppg and if Temple struggles to score tonight this
game will be over quick. The Temple Owls sstruggled to score against in the 2nd half and I'm
pretty sure the Clemson defense is better then Towson. Look for another big game from K.J.
McDaniels for the Tigers and we will see him grab another double-double. The Tigers are 7-2 ATS
in their last 9 non-conference games.
2 Unit Play. Take #732 Under 169 - Indiana Washington (9:30p.m., Thursday, Nov 21 ESPN2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JASON SHARPE
4 Unit Play Take # Western Carolina +9.5 over Kent State (7:30pm est): Western Carolina comes in one of the more experienced teams in CBB ranking in the top 50 teams.
They have faced a few tough teams in tough places to begin their year. This is school that
posted four straight winning seasons before last year. Things look to be back to those levels
again this year with this veteran squad.
Kent State has come out of the gates playing well this year with a big upset of Temple on the
road and then taking Seton Hall to the limit as well. Decent mid-level program laying close to
double digits here just seems to be way too much in my eyes.
Take Western Carolina and the points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Betting System


Thursday's NCAAB System Releases:
UMASS -3
NIAGARA +4
WESTERN CAROLINA +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

114 Air Force double-dime bet

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Brandon Lang

My 50 DIME selection is a 3-Team 10-Point Teaser on Central Florida, Saints and the Over . The current line on these games is -17 1/2, -9 1/2 and 53. I advise taking UCF down to -7 1/2, Saints to +1/2 and the total down to 43 and go over. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

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Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Florida State +8 over Virginia Commonwealth (NCAA College Basketball)

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Where the action is: Books rooting for Falcons

It's an NFC South battle as the Atlanta Falcons host the New Orleans Saints in Thursday Night Football. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with Carbonsports.ag about the action coming in on this primetime matchup and where the odds could end up come kickoff Thursday night.

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons - Open: +8, Move: +10

This week's Thursday night game is all about two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum. The rivals opened the season against one another with the Saints winning 23-17 at home and covering as 3.5-point faves.

Depending on the wagering outlet, the Saints opened anywhere from -7 to -9.5 and action had come flooding in on the road fave.

According to Stewart, even saying "flooding in" is a bit of an understatement.

"Literally every single bet wrote at 8 was on the Saints and we quickly went to 8.5, which really didn't stop the bleeding so early Monday morning we went to Saints -9," Stewart told Covers. "At that price we started to see a bit of Falcons money but certainly not enough to overcome our liability on the Saints."

Sharps have come in to take the points at the current number, but according to Stewart, 70 percent of the action coming in is on the Saints.

"There's no way we'll go to 10.5 in this game as we'd really open ourselves up to being middled," Stewart says. "I'm sure our sharper bettors are waiting for that but it's not going to happen."

Stewart and his book opened the total at 53.5, which has produced solid two-way action.

"We literally can't lose money on the total at this point," Stewart said. "We've written a ton of Saints to over parlays, so if that's the result tonight then we're going to get crushed. But as it stands this morning, we're going to be rooting hard for the Falcons to stay within a TD of the Saints tonight."

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al demarco

5 dime - central florida

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Ed Meyer's Pick Pack
NFL Thursday Picks

Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: New Orleans at Atlanta
Time: 8:25 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Over (52.5 -105)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 7:41:46 AM EST

The key to handicapping this total is the degree to which the Falcons will put up a fight. Are the going to adopt the strategy of running the ball in an attempt to minimize the time that the Saints’ offense is on the field or are they going to throw the ball in an attempt to outscore the Saints? If the coaching staff is smart, they should realize that their best chance of winning is taking risks. We like the OVER.
Atlanta ran for 152 yards and had 420 yards of offense last week against the Bucs. They had 24 first downs and converted only ONE third down. This means that they were moving the ball down the field quickly with chunks of yardage, moving the chains on first and second down. Nine different Falcons caught passes, although Roddy White only had three for a total of 36 yards. Their rushing stat qualifies them for a nice system that states, “Home dogs are 71-30 OU in the history of the database when they are off a loss in which they rushed for 150-plus yards. The SDQL is a compact:
HD and p:L and p:RY>=150
This system is 5-1 OU this season with the lone loss the Dolphins – Bengals game that finished at 22-20 on a safety in overtime with the OU line at 43.
As a team, Atlanta is 6-0 OU (+11.17 ppg) as a home dog when facing a team that has passed the ball on at least 60% of their offensive plays season-to-date and 8-0 OU as a dog after road game in which they allowed at least 8 points more than their season-to-date average.
It is also worth mentioning that the Falcons are 7-0 OU after a game in which Roddy White didn't have reception for more than 20 yards, going over by an average of 11.2 ppg. The SDQL text is:
Roddy White:p:longest reception<=20 and date>=20130101
The Saints are 6-0 OU (+13.25 ppg) after beating the 49ers and 8-0 OU after a home game in which Darren Sproles had positive receiving yardage, but did not have a 20-plus yard reception. The SDQL for the latter of these two is:
Darren Sproles:p:longest reception<20 and p:H and Darren Sproles:p:receiving yards>0 and date>=20111030
Note that the length of Sproles’ longest catch at home in their previous game has been a perfect predictor of the Saints’ OU result, as the Saints are 0-7 OU (-9.36 ppg) after a home game in which Darren Sproles had a reception of MORE than 20 yards. The SDQL for this one is:
Darren Sproles:p:longest reception>20 and p:H and Darren Sproles:p:receiving yards>0 and date>=20111030
Note the reversed greater than/less than symbol in the first query.
If the Falcons lose here, they will go down fighting by throwing the ball aggressively. They might fake a punt, go for it on fourth down, try a flea-flicker. Their defense has allowed 34, 33 and 41 over the past three weeks to the Panthers, Seahawks and Bucs and they were on the field a long time last week. Atlanta is allowing an NFC worst 67.1% completion rate and they are dead last in the entire league in scores per possession, allowing their opponents to score points on 54.55% of their possessions! They can’t possibly be thinking that they are going to hold the Saints to something like 24 points. Atlanta must be aggressive on every offensive possession and this should get it over this number.
MTi’s FORECAST: New Orleans 35 ATLANTA 31

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BANKROLL SPORTS

Today's Premium Member Releases
(All Game Times Are Listed In Eastern Standard Time)
Note: Date of Releases Noted in Top Right Panel of Page
10* Saints @ Falccons Under 53 (NFL) 8:25pm ET
Current Line @ 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) - Get an Exclusive 50% Free Play Bonus By Clicking Here!
(5 Dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) Sportsbook & Casino Been Accepting High Limits & Making Fast Payments)
5* Central Florida Golden Knights -17.5 (CFB)
4* Oklahoma City Thunder -5 (NBA)
4* Florida Gators -13 (CBB)
4* Washington Huskies +8 (CBB)
3* Florida State Seminoles +7.5 (CBB)
2* Niagara Purple Eagles +4 (CBB)

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LV wiseguys

UNLV 3.5

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CKO Newsletter
Top Play C.Fla. 42 to 15

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Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost on Wednesday with the Flames -$118/Blue Jackets.

For Thursday E&B like Central Florida -17/Rutgers.

Ecks and Bacon is 0-4 -$214 for the week and 11-18-2 -$373.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

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Alex Smart


CBB-

ADDED:
9* Middle Tennesse State+11.5 -110


CFB-

ADDED: 9* UNLV/Air Force under 60 -105

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Sports Junke

NBA: Bulls vs Denver (10:30 pm est.)

$500 NBA Play: Denver +1 (5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229)) vs Bulls

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Gold sheet Newsletter

New Orleans 36
Atlanta 20

C.Fla 42
Rt 17

Rice 48 to 23

A.F44 to 38

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SBP Original NBA

10:30 PM

703. Chicago Bulls -1

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Joey Cassano

Falcons +8.5

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SabertStxVii 2013 CFB Picks – Week 13

.5* Units, UNLV ML +120 vs Air Force
.5* Units, UNLV/Air Force OVER 60
3* Units, Duke -5.5 vs Wake
1.5* Units, Wyoming -6.5 vs Hawaii
More to come…
.5* Units, UNLV ML vs Air Force
.5* Units, UNLV/Air Force OVER 60
Don’t have much to say about this one. 2 of the worst defense in NCAA so this one is going over. UNLV is used to playing the option from their New Mexico game. Air Force is just bad. Don’t think they have a win in them, and UNLV is playing for bowl eligibility the next two games. I think that the cold could be bad for the Vegas boys, but I see them pulling out a win here.
Final Score
UNLV 41, AF 31

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Pezgordo 2013 College Football Picks – YTD: 32-26 (+4.18 units)
114 UNLV – Air Force OVER 60 (0.50 units)
Will attempt to make up our bad beat MAC loss from Tuesday. Two of the worst D’s in the MWC will face each other in Colorado Springs tonight. UNLV is allowing 42, 37, 38, 22, 34 & 38 in MWC play (36.78 ppg overall vs teams that avg 30.17 ppg = +6.60)
Air Force is allowing 52, 42, 56, 45, 27 & 45 in MWC play (40.89 ppg overall vs teams that avg 30.16 ppg = +10.73.
If offense wins the day tonight, both of these teams will score in the mid to upper – 30′s. Cold and light snow are in the forecast, and 59 is a key number, so I will keep this one a 1/2 unit wager and hope we can enter the weekend 1-1 .
Air Force 37, UNLV 35

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GoSooners CFB Picks Week 13 YTD: 37-30 (+4.00 Units)
1 Unit UCF/Rutgers over 57.5 (-110)
UCF/Rutgers over 57.5
The best total that I’ve seen in these weekday games. UCF giving up a little over 24 ppg against their BCS competition. Rutgers averaging a little over 29 ppg on offense. Granted they’ve had their share of injuries this season, but it seems to be affecting their defense more than their offense, where they are still averaging a little over 400 total ypg in their last 3 games. They scored 17 on Cincy last week. And keep in mind that Cincy is now just about 100% healthy on defense, and other than Louisville is probably now better than any team in the conference on that side of the ball. I expect Rutgers to have more success moving the ball this week. Nova should have plenty of success against a UCF defense giving 240 ypg passing. And UCF should have no problem moving the ball against a depleted Rutgers pass D giving up a whopping 361 YPG. UCF coming back home with a short 5 day rest after playing a full 60 minute highlight reel game against Temple in which they gave up 518 yards on defense. I’ll be surprised if they can follow that game up with a strong defensive effort tonight . I look for a mini-shootout 38-24 ish type of game.

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RKapper
NBA

OKC/LAC 1H Over 107
Chi/Den Over 99 1H

FB
N.O. -9
Rice/UAB Over 63
Rutgers +17.5

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Sebastian:
200 OVER UAB
200 OVER UNLV
100 UNDER in Arlanta in NFL
100 Atlanta in same game
100 Denver in the NBA

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Sportsboss

Falcons
UCF
Florida St.
Washington

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R.a.w. Football - thursday


2* = "over" central florida/rutgers

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EXECUTIVE 200

cent fla

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trophy club
colorado

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red suit
Falcons super bowl tonight play over53

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Nelly

UAB +19.5

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Joe Williams's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Thursday Picks



Premium Plays



Matchup: Rice at UAB
Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Over (63.5 -105)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:58:44 AM EST

Rice has posted 45 or more points in three of its past four games, with two overs to show for it. The over has cashed in three of the past four for UAB, thanks mostly to awful defense, giving up 52 or more points in three of the past four.

The over is 8-2 overall for the Blazers this season, including 2-1 at home. Look for Rice to run roughshod over UAB in tonight's game, with the Blazers providing some late offense for an over in the fourth quarter.






Member Plays



Matchup: Rutgers at Central Florida
Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Rutgers (+17.5 -107)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:58:44 AM EST

Rutgers heads to Orlando looking to derail UCF on its trek for a BCS bowl game. That trek was nearly ruined in Philadelphia last weekend, but the Knights escaped Temple with a last-minute victory.

Looking at the numbers, Rutgers is 1-4 ATS in their past five games overall. However, they had been playing without RB Paul James, arguably their best offensive talent, due to a four-game suspension. He returned last weekend and gave the team a solid performance on the ground. That added dimension will keep Gary Nova from having to do too much at the quarterback position.

UCF is clearly the better overall team, and they're 7-3 ATS in their past 10. However, they were laying a similar number last week, and nearly choked the game away outright. They will win this game, but this is an awfully big number to cover against a team still fighting for bowl eligibility.






Guaranteed Plays



Matchup: UNLV at Air Force
Time: 9:30 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: UNLV (ML +115)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:58:44 AM EST

This UNLV team is a bit underrated, and they're paying for what other teams have done in the past in Colorado Springs. That's why the 5-5 Rebels are underdogs to a 2-8 Falcons team.

Yes, UNLV is 0-5 ATS in the past five meetings with Air Force. And yes, the home team has covered eight straight meetings in this series. But when most of those games were happening, most of these kids were in high school, or even middle school! Don't be fooled by the historical trends. True, sometimes they have credence when players are the same, but in this case, they're not.

These recent trends are more telling: UNLV is 6-2 ATS in their past eight games overall, and Air Force is 7-19 ATS in their past 26 home games. The Falcons are 5-16 ATS in their past 21 overall, and 2-7 ATS in their past nine conference tilts. And USAFA is 0-4 ATS in their past four following a bye, while UNLV is 5-1-1 in their past seven Thursday games.

Don't be afraid to pull the trigger on UNLV, who is fighting for bowl eligibility, while Air Force has long since been eliminated from that picture.

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Joe Nelson's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Thursday Picks



Guaranteed Plays



Matchup: Rice at UAB
Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: UAB (+19.5 -110)
Line Source: SouthPoint
Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:09:10 AM EST


The Owls needs some help in the Conference USA West race but it will be another bowl season for Rice. Rice has scored 45 or more points in three of the last four games but this has not been an overly impressive statistical team. Rice has won and covered in four of five road games this season and this week they face a 2-8 UAB squad that has lost four in row while being outscored 195-80 in those games. UAB allows over 503 yards per game with 7.7 yards per play allowed, the worst mark in the nation. Rice allows 175 rushing yards per game however as this is not a great defensive team and the Owls caught some breaks last week with four turnovers going their way to create a somewhat misleading final. The Owls do have three road wins this season but they were soundly out-gained in two of those games, winning in overtime at Tulsa and winning by just six at Texas-San Antonio. Next week’s home date with Tulane will be a bigger game for the Owls and there could be a homecoming letdown after last week’s win. UAB has been a terrible team but this is just the fourth home game on a very tough road heavy schedule. The Blazers are 2-1 ATS at home this season and historically UAB is on a 20-9-2 ATS run as a home underdog since 1999. UAB actually features a superior yards-per-play offense than Rice, gaining 5.9 yards per play compared to just 5.6 for Rice. The home/road splits displays that disparity even further and the UAB defense has played much better at home, allowing a more respectable 6.1 yards per play and feature an even net yards per play margin. The home team has covered in the last four meetings in this series and value is certainly with UAB when comparing the spreads on common games these teams have played. Those numbers project Rice as only 8-11 points better than UAB where as this spread suggests a three touchdown difference.

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Hondo
best bets
21-14 59%

=Tonight Ucf
Pitt
Mich St

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Guaranteed Sports Picks
NFL Thursday Night
UNDER 53

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Rocky's Lock Club


10 NHL Chi -141

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Pure Lock




CB Wake -21

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Brad Wilton
60 Dime
Conference USA Total of the Year
OVER - Rice-UAB

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Kelso 20 Atl 20 Under 10 parlay
ADD 25 RUTGERS

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Prediction Machine
NFL
Lock of the week: Washington +5.5
Strongest Play Sunday: Arizona -2.5
Tonight: New Orleans -9

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Sammy P
20* NHL Power Play Game of the Month
Detroit Red Wings ML