12-5-13

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::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Louisville at Cincinnati: What bettors need to know

Louisville Cardinals at Cincinnati Bearcats (+3.5, 51)

Cincinnati looks to keep its faint BCS bowl hopes alive Thursday when the No. 23 Bearcats host 16th-ranked Louisville, which has recorded back-to-back 10-win seasons for the first time in school history. Cincinnati's hopes of receiving the American Athletic Conference’s automatic bowl berth hinges on a win over Louisville and having Southern Methodist defeat Central Florida on Saturday. If that happens, the league’s bid will go to whichever team between Cincinnati and Central Florida is ranked higher in the final BCS standings.

Louisville appears headed for the Russell Athletic Bowl on Dec. 28 after having its BCS dreams dashed with a 38-35 loss to Central Florida on Oct. 18. The Cardinals have won four straight since the disappointing loss, and are eager to maintain control of the Keg of Nails rivalry trophy. “We’ll walk into a sellout and a hostile environment,” Louisville coach Charlie Strong said. “We need to control their crowd with our defense. We can't allow them to get out and have a fast start."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low 40s with a 59 percent chance of rain and winds blowing NNW crossfield at 7 mph.

LINE: Louisville opened -3.5 and has remained steady. The total opened as high as 51.5 and dropped to 51 points.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (10-1, 6-1 American Athletic Conference, 4-7 ATS): Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has been named one of 10 finalists for the Manning Award after throwing for 3,268 yards and 25 touchdowns, with only three interceptions. Louisville's defense, ranked second in the country while allowing 242.5 yards per game, forced its 24th turnover in a 24-17 victory over Memphis on Nov. 23. The unit is led by linebacker Preston Brown (team-high 83 tackles) and defensive end Marcus Smith, who leads the Cardinals with 12.5 sacks.

ABOUT CINCINNATI (9-2, 6-1, 6-5 ATS): The Bearcats are bowl-eligible for the seventh time in eight years and carry a six-game winning streak into Thursday’s showdown. Quarterback Brendon Kay recorded his fourth 300-yard passing game of the season Nov. 23, when Cincinnati posted 573 yards of total offense in a 24-17 victory at Houston. Defensive end Silverberry Mouhon has 8.5 sacks and linebacker Nick Temple has 11.0 tackles for a loss to lead the Bearcats, who rank eighth nationally in total defense at 302.4 yards per game.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Cincinnati.
* Favorite is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
* Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Louisville starting safety Calvin Pryor is expected to return Thursday after missing one game due to suspension for violating a team rule.

2. Cincinnati leads the series 30-22-1, but Louisville won last year’s contest 34-31 in overtime.

3. Louisville has outscored its opponents 82-6 in the first quarter.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA TNT doubleheader: Knicks at Nets, Heat at Bulls

New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets (-1, 189)

When the 2013-14 NBA schedule was released months ago, an early December meeting between the Brooklyn Nets and the New York Knicks looked like a sure bet to be a battle between two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Instead, the Knicks will look to snap a nine-game slide when they visit the disappointing Nets on Thursday. Brooklyn is fighting through a series of injuries and turmoil on the coaching staff while dropping eight of its last 10.

New York is just one loss away from matching the worst record in the NBA, and star Carmelo Anthony is not happy about it. “We are the laughingstock of the league right now,” he told reporters. “It’s nothing to hide. We are.” The Nets would be the laughingstock if not for the Knicks and are hoping to snap a five-game home losing streak on Thursday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Knicks (-2.7) - Nets (-2.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Nets +2.8

ABOUT THE KNICKS (3-13, 4-12 ATS): New York is without Tyson Chandler (broken leg) and is getting little from anyone other than Anthony. Coach Mike Woodson does not believe his players have quit on him and likes the way his team looks in practice. “Right now I think the spirits are still high,” Woodson told ESPN radio in New York. “Practice was spirited (on Wednesday). I think our guys are committed. They haven’t quit.” Anthony did not sound positively spirited when he told reporters, “Do I like being laughed at? Hell no. I don’t like that feeling.”

ABOUT THE NETS (5-13, 6-12 ATS): Brooklyn coach Jason Kidd played for the Knicks last season when the team won 54 games to take the Atlantic Division but is now wearing a suit on the sidelines and making some tough decisions about his staff, including demoting veteran coach Lawrence Frank. That move did not help much on Tuesday, as the Nets were blown out 111-87 in Denver with the former top assistant off the bench. Brooklyn is without Paul Pierce (broken hand), Deron Williams (ankle), Andrei Kirilenko (back) and Jason Terry (knee) while Kevin Garnett is averaging a career low in scoring (6.5 points) and Brook Lopez is seeing constant double teams.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Knicks are 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Brooklyn.
* Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.
* Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. New York rookie SG Tim Hardaway Jr. is 7-for-11 from 3-point range in the last two games.

2. The teams split the four meetings last season, with the margin of victory an average of 6.8 points.

3. Brooklyn G Joe Johnson is averaging 24 points on 17-for-30 shooting over the last two contests.

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls (+4.5, 189)

A meeting between the Miami Heat and the Chicago Bulls generally produces some sizzle, whether or not Derrick Rose is involved. But Rose’s latest injury has sent the Bulls into a tailspin, and they will be trying to win for just the second time in eight games when they host the Heat on Thursday. Miami had a 10-game winning streak come to an end on Tuesday and is opening up a four-game trip at Chicago that finishes with a stop at East-leading Indiana.

The Bulls remained one of the strongest defensive teams in the league with Rose out for the 2012-13 season but are struggling on that end since the latest season-ending knee injury to the former MVP. Chicago showed some fight in a 131-128 triple-overtime home loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday but were burned on the perimeter, where they allowed the Pelicans to knock down 11 3-pointers. “Our defense is not there,” Luol Deng told the team’s website. “Especially we are not covering the (3-point) line well. That’s hurting us.”

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT, Sun Sports (Miami)

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Heat (-14.5) - Bulls (-7.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Bulls +4.5

ABOUT THE HEAT (14-4, 9-9 ATS): Miami is among the league leaders in 3-point efficiency, knocking down 41.1 percent from long range, and rattled in 11-of-20 from beyond the arc in a 107-95 home triumph over the Bulls in the season opener on Oct. 29. The Heat were just 9-for-28 from 3-point range on Tuesday, however, as Shane Battier, James Jones and Chris Bosh combined to go 0-for-9. LeBron James is fighting through a back injury but is still shooting 57.8 percent from the field in his last three games.

ABOUT THE BULLS (7-9, 6-10 ATS): Despite the loss of Rose and the recent swoon, coach Tom Thibodeau is taking a positive approach. “I don’t see anyone hanging their head,” Thibodeau told ESPN Chicago. “(Rose’s) not going to be here, we know that. We’ve got more than enough here. Just concentrate on what we have to concentrate on.” Deng is stepping up with 27.4 points on 54.8 percent shooting in the last five games and Taj Gibson is coming off a career-best 26 points and 14 rebounds in Monday’s loss.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Chicago.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Heat G Dwyane Wade (soreness) sat out Tuesday’s game and is day-to-day.

2. Miami has taken five straight in the series going back to last spring’s Eastern Conference semifinals.

3. Chicago F Carlos Boozer is struggling to 7.3 points on 33.3 percent shooting in the last three contests.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Who's the worst NBA bet in New York: Knicks or Nets?

Considered to be an emerging rivalry, the New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets have quickly turned into two of the most disappointing teams in the NBA, both in terms of wins and success against the spread.

Brooklyn’s blowout loss at home to Denver Tuesday pushed the two franchises’ combined ATS record to a poor 10-14. Both are missing key starters and on and off-court drama is giving the New York media plenty of fodder to make things worse.

Before these two battle for Big Apple bragging rights Thursday night, we ask which team is the worst bet in New York: Knicks or Nets?

Bad at the Barclays, Mayhem at MSG

Brooklyn's new digs in the Barclays Center have proven no refuge for the Nets. They are a matching 2-5 in the win column and ATS. With the team falling further and further behind the pack, that home-court advantage the team was expecting with a rebrand may fade with a lack of excitement in the building.

The Knicks are even more pathetic at home, going 0-8 ATS. With the Knicks 4-4 away from Madison Square Garden, they’re at least treading water on the road. But both of these teams’ home records are head scratching.

Coaching chaos

Brooklyn faces a more uphill climb than the Knicks, based on their coaching situation. Head coach Jason Kidd has never coached and is just one year removed from playing point guard for the Knicks. He recently reduced former head coach Lawrence Frank's role after the two reportedly got into an argument.

While New York isn't short of its own drama with Carmelo Anthony spouting off in head coach Mike Woodson's huddle, they at least have the advantage of having a unit that has turned it around before.

Injuries

Both teams have lost their cornerstones to injury, with the Nets losing Deron Williams and Paul Pierce and the Knicks missing center Tyson Chandler.

While the Nets can use guys like Joe Johnson to bring up the ball, their lack of a primary playmaker on offense has them struggling, which is why they’re 3-6 ATS without Williams this season.

Meanwhile the Knicks are a much worse 3-9 ATS without Chandler, who has an history of being unhealthy. If he doesn't return to full strength at some point, New York’s season could get even uglier.

Verdict

Both N.Y. teams desperately need a season-defining win Thursday night to turn things around.

After a blowout loss at home, the Nets could turn it around in the first meeting between the two teams this season. Recent wins over the Grizzlies and the Raptors show that Brooklyn has what it takes while the Knicks have covered just once during a nine-game losing skid.

At the moment, if you’re going to pick your poison, the Nets seem to have more value.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

To the dogs: MAC title game provides best underdog value

Conference championships provide bettors with one last taste action before bowl season gets underway, and in certain conferences, the underdogs have yielded plenty of value.

Here's a quick look at the underdog ATS and game O/U records in title games by conference, listed in order beginning with the best underdog value:

Pac-12 Conference (2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U)

The brief history of the conference championship has been known for two things: impressive performances by the underdogs, and plenty of points - even by Pac-12 standards. The ninth-ranked Oregon Ducks, installed as 31-point favorites, rode three LaMichael James rushing touchdowns to a 49-31 shootout win over the UCLA Bruins. The following season, the No. 8 Stanford Cardinal needed a Jordan Williamson 36-yard field goal with 6:49 remaining to fend off the 16th-ranked Bruins, who entered as 9.5-point underdogs.

Mid-American Conference (9-6-1 ATS, 7-9 O/U)

It's fitting that a conference known for being an underdog in the overall NCAA landscape has produced the most value for dogs in the conference championships. The Chad Pennington-led Marshall Green Wave highlighted a stretch of four consecutive underdog covers in the late 1990's and early 2000's, but the favorites came on strong with successful covers in five of the next six years. Buffalo's stunning 42-24 win over 12th-ranked and previously unbeaten Ball State - which entered as a 15-point favorite - kickstarted another four-year stretch of underdog covers.

Southeastern Conference (9-9-2 ATS, 10-10 O/U)

Bettors haven't gained an inch betting the underdog in the last 20 years of SEC championship games. Underdogs went 5-2-1 in the eight title matchups from 1993 to 2000, but the favorites dominated the early 2000s - most notably the fourth-ranked Georgia Bulldogs, whose 237 passing yards and a touchdown from standout quarterback David Greene and two rushing scores from Musa Smith led to a 30-3 drubbing of the Arkansas Razorbacks, who went into the 2002 title game as a 9-point underdog. The over/under has also been an even split over the past 20 championships.

Atlantic Coast Conference (4-4 ATS, 4-4 O/U)

Like its SEC brethren, the ACC has seen the underdogs cover half the time. Florida State and Wake Forest won outright as dogs in 2005 and 2006, but were followed by four straight covers by the favorites. The most emphatic of those victories came in 2008, when Tyrod Taylor ran in a pair of scores to lead the Virginia Tech Hokies - 1-point faves - to a convincing 30-12 win over the Boston College Eagles. The underdogs have since returned to prominence the past two years, with both results landing Under.

Big Ten Conference (1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U)

The Big Ten has only held two championship games, but both provided great value to those willing to bet the Over. The Wisconsin Badgers, who entered as 9.5-point favorites, rode Russell Wilson's three touchdown passes and Montee Ball's three rushing scores to a thrilling 42-39 win over Michigan State in the inaugural conference title game in 2011. Ball was back at it the following year, leading the Badgers - then 3-point favorites - with three more rushing TDs en route to a 70-31 thumping of the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks

Houston at Jacksonville

The Jaguars host a Houston team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite. Jacksonville is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Jaguars favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (12/4)


Game 101-102: Houston at Jacksonville (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.312; Jacksonville 127.865
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks

Louisville at Cincinnati

The Bearcats host a Louisville team that is coming off a 24-17 win over Memphis and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in the previous game. Cincinnati is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bearcats favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (12/4)


Game 103-104: Louisville at Cincinnati (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 95.109; Cincinnati 97.040
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Two for Tuesday December 03, 2013 3:00 AM by GT Staff


2 for Tuesday by Richard Saber


1) Louisville -3½ vs. Cincinnati (NCAA fb)


The Bearcats have won six straight and are looking to avenge last year’s heartbreaking 34-31 loss at Louisville. Always fun seeing Teddy Bridgewater, but Cincy will be his River Kwai. CINCY.


2) Louisville vs. Cincinnati (51 total)


Pushing this “2 for Tuesday” to Thursday; it’s so good and we need a change in luck. Cardinals defense allowing less than 11 points in last four games. Plus the offense is struggling. UNDER.


Richard Saber: Last week 0-2 ATS; 2013 record: 47-45.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sports Nostradamus

Louisville -3 -120

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Chicago Syndicate

NFL Thursday Night Total of the Year

Texans/Jaguars Over 43

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Sixth Sense

Texans

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Maddux Sports

Texans -3

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Prediction Machine

NFL SIDE & TOTAL
Houston Texans -3 @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Covers 53.3%)
OVER 43 (Covers 55.6%)
ATS Play Type: Light
O/U Play Type: Half-Bet
The Vitals:
Projected Score: Houston 25.4 - Jacksonville 21.0
SU Pick and Win%: Houston wins 60.8%
Week 14 SU Confidence Rank: #6
ATS Pick and Win%: Houston Texans -3 covers 53.3%
Week 14 ATS Confidence Rank: #10
ATS Wager for $50 player: $10
O/U Pick and Win%: OVER (43) 55.6%
Week 14 O/U Confidence Rank: #8
O/U Wager for $50 Player: $34

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

Double Dime Jaguars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Heat won 10 of last 11 games; they're 5-2 vs spread on road.

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost last nine games (1-8 vs spread); Nets lost eight of last ten.
-- Clippers lost their last two games, by 5-10 points. Memphis is 1-3 in last four home games; they're 2-7 vs spread at home.
-- Bulls lost six of their last seven games.


Totals
-- Six of last eight New York games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Clipper-Memphis games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Chicago-Miami games went over the total.

Series records
-- Knicks won eight of last eleven games with Brooklyn.
-- Clippers lost their last five games with Memphis.
-- Bulls lost five of last six games with Miami.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Rangers are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Sharks won their last six games, outscoring foes 24-12. Penguins won seven of last nine.
-- Bruins won six of their last eight games. Montreal won seven of last eight.
-- Jets won three of their last four games.
-- Blues won last four games, scoring 20 goals.
-- Chicago won six of its last seven games.
-- Avalanche won five of their last six games.


Cold teams
-- Sabres lost six of their last seven games.
-- Toronto lost its last five games, outscored 23-11. Dallas Stars lost four of last six games.
-- Senators lost six of their last nine games.Tampa Bay lost six of last eight.
-- Panthers lost five of their last six games.
-- Islanders lost last seven games; they're 3-9 on road.
-- Predators lost last three games, outscored 9-3. Carolina lost six of its last nine games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- Edmonton lost nine of its twelve home games.

Totals
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Ranger games.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Toronto games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven San Jose games.
-- Under is 17-8-4 in Montreal games this season.
-- Seven of last eight Ottawa games went over total.
-- Four of last five Florida games went over the total.
-- Last four Islander games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Nashville games.
-- Seven of last ten Chicago games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Colorado games.

Series records
-- Rangers won six of last eight games with Buffalo.
-- Toronto won its last two games with Dallas, 4-1/4-3so
-- Sharks won five of last six games with Pittsburgh.
-- Canadiens won their last three games with Boston.
-- Lightning lost seven of last ten games with Ottawa.
-- Winnipeg won five of last seven games with Florida.
-- Islanders lost three of last four games with St Louis.
-- Predators won three of last four games with Carolina.
-- Wild lost seven of last nine games against Chicago.
-- Oilers won four of last five games with Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Chicago

The Heat travel to Chicago tonight looking to bounce back from their 107-97 loss to Detroit on Tuesday and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a double-digit defeat at home. Miami is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 501-502: New York at Brooklyn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.479; Brooklyn 116.573
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1; 189
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-1); Under


Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.040; Memphis 120.532
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 505-506: Miami at Chicago (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.000; Chicago 119.528
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

San Jose at Pittsburgh

The Penguins (19-9-1) host a San Jose team tonight that is 5-0 in its last 5 games against a team with a winning record. San Jose is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-105). Here are all of today's picks.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Dallas at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.981; Toronto 9.804
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 53-54: San Jose at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 13.677; Pittsburgh 12.475
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-105); Under


Game 55-56: NY Rangers at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.652; Buffalo 10.068
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-165); Under


Game 57-58: Boston at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.538; Montreal 11.853
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+105); Over


Game 59-60: Ottawa at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.605; Tampa Bay 10.812
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+120); Over


Game 61-62: Winnipeg at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 12.083; Florida 9.873
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-120); Under


Game 63-64: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.611; Minnesota 11.173
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-130); Under


Game 65-66: Carolina at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.219; Nashville 10.938
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115); Over


Game 67-68: NY Islanders at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 9.954; St. Louis 12.060
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-240); Over


Game 69-70: Colorado at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.891; Edmonton 11.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+120); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

West Virginia at Missouri

The Tigers play host tonight to a West Virginia team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games versus SEC opponents. Missouri is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 507-508: TCU at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 51.472; Mississippi State 54.896
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7 1/2)


Game 509-510: West Virginia at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 60.402; Missouri 71.591
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 11
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-5 1/2)


Game 511-512: Providence at Rhode Island (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 60.908; Rhode Island 56.294
Dunkel Line: Providence by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Providence by 7
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+7)


Game 513-514: Dartmouth at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 50.768; Northern Illinois 45.825
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 5
Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-1 1/2)


Game 515-516: Marshall at Vanderbilt (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 55.002; Vanderbilt 63.818
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 9
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 11
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+11)


Game 517-518: Mississippi at Kansas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 63.523; Kansas State 68.033
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-2)


Game 519-520: San Diego State at San Diego (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 65.784; San Diego 60.805
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 5
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+8)


Game 521-522: Eastern Kentucky at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 52.786; VCU 70.692
Dunkel Line: VCU by 18
Vegas Line: VCU by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-15 1/2)


Game 523-524: Rider at Monmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 50.360; Monmouth 46.001
Dunkel Line: Rider by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Rider by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-2 1/2)


Game 525-526: South Dakota at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 45.537; Air Force 56.156
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Air Force by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-2 1/2)


Game 531-532: LIU-Brooklyn at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LIU-Brooklyn 48.703; Seton Hall 57.601
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 9
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (+13 1/2)


Game 533-534: High Point at Georgetown (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: High Point 46.757; Georgetown 72.022
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 19
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-19)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Michigan State (-9 1/2) on Wednesday and likes the Nets on Thursday.

The deficit is 1470 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1137-863 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 62-38 this yr,NFL 38-30:

Free winner THURS:VCU -15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Avalanche -140

Miami Heat -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

NCAA Football
60 - 42 - 2 (+16.67u) 58.8%
Under Cincinnati 50.5 -105 (B)

NFL Football
38 - 23 - 3 (+11.60u) 62.3%
Under Jaguars 43.5 -110 (A)


NBA Basketball 30-28-1 (-5.65u)
Over Nets 189.0 -110 (B)

NCAA Basketball 16-24-2 (-7.71u)
#533 High Point +19.0 -110 (A)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win (4-2 +2.9 units LW) Thursday Night Football:

(GAME: 1*): Jaguars +3 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units)

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Fox Sheets for Thursday NFL

http://foxsheets.statfoxsports.com/images/PlayAgainst.gif - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game.
(30-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
http://foxsheets.statfoxsports.com/images/PlayOn.gif - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the second half of the season.
(39-9 since 1983.) (81.2%, +29.1 units. Rating = 4*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 14

Thursday's games

Texans (2-10) @ Jaguars (3-9)—Jax won three of last four games after an 0-8 start, but all three wins were on road; they upset Texans 29-27 (+11) for their first win in Week 10, recovering three Houston fumbles (+2 turnovers) in game where Texans converted 10-18 on 3rd down and were outgained by 148 yards. Jaguars won field position battle in last six games (+8 vs Texans) after losing it in first six; they’re 0-5 at home, with 27-14 loss to Arizona closest of five games. Houston lost its last 10 games, despite scoring 23+ points in four of last five; they’re 2-9-1 vs spread this year, 0-6 when favored. Texans lost last four road games after winning season opener at San Diego by a FG. Texans won five of last six series games, winning 24-14/27-7 in last two visits here. Series was swept in six of last nine years. Jags were -9 in turnovers their first five games; they’re +3 in last seven- road team covered their last seven games. Home teams are 1-5-1 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Four of last five Houston games, six of last eight Jaguar games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 over Houston Texans
(System Record: 40-4, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 40-41-1

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -125 over Minnesota
(System Record: 35-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 35-20

Basketball Crusher
Mississippi +2 over Kansas State
(System Record: 16-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 16-22-1

Soccer Crusher
Argentinos Juniors + Rosario Central UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 488-17, lost last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 488-425-72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Knicks Pk
100* Cincy +3.5
100* Providence -6.5
50* Dartmouth -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS
NCAA WEEK #15 - Free Member Play

15-UNIT "ZAXXON-HYDRA"
CINCY +4 (-120) vs Louisville

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB DARTMOUTH at N ILLINOIS
Play On - Road teams as an favorite or pick (DARTMOUTH) off a road win, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record
123-73 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.8% 42.7 units )

CBB RIDER at MONMOUTH
Play On - Any team (RIDER) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG), after a loss by 15 points or more
49-19 since 1997. ( 72.1% 25.6 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -2.0 units )

CBB LONG ISLAND at SETON HALL
Play On - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (SETON HALL) after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference
27-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.4% 19.3 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA MIAMI at CHICAGO
Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
63-30 since 1997. ( 67.7% 30.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

NBA NEW YORK at BROOKLYN
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
236-154 since 1997. ( 60.5% 78.2 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.4 units )

NBA MIAMI at CHICAGO
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) after 2 or more consecutive losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
211-131 since 1997. ( 61.7% 66.9 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NHL WINNIPEG at FLORIDA
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (WINNIPEG) after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 4 goals or more
97-63 since 1997. ( 60.6% 70.0 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.4 units )

NHL OTTAWA at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (OTTAWA) good power play team - scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
54-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.5% 39.7 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 1.5 units )

NHL OTTAWA at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Road underdogs against the money line (OTTAWA) good power play team - scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
55-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.3% 40.1 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 1.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Mississippi State* over TCU by 5
TCU has been a long way up to Alaska and back for this, but they recently regained
the services of 6’9”, 22 forward Amric Fields, who can give them a “16 and 7” these
bricklayers desperately need.
[B]MISSISSIPPI STATE, 62-57.

Missouri* over West Virginia by 11
The warning for potential home-chalk layers would be that Missouri has a little
revenge peeky-boo coming up on Saturday vs. UCLA.
MISSOURI, 76-67.

Providence over Rhode Island* by 3

Northern Illinois* over Dartmouth by 8

**PREFERRED
Vanderbilt* over Marshall by 18
Vandy is canning 8 treys per game, and they have some size to help keep Marshall’s
leading scorer, 6’9”, 245 Elijah Pittman, in check. If 6’10” Rod Odom is hitting from
the outside (he was 19 for his first 37 on three-pointers), then Pittman may have to
stray defensively. Other than Pittman, Marshall is a 6’4” to 6’6” team where the scoring
depth does not run too far down the roster.
VANDERBILT, 77-59.

Kansas State* over Mississippi by 2
Ole Miss won two games in Brooklyn last weekend with leading scorer Jarvis Summers
in foul trouble on neutral floors. That trend should continue in a true road game.
KANSAS STATE, 70-68.

San Diego State over San Diego* by 5
Rebounding is an issue for the host Toreros. Rebounding should not an issue for the
visiting Aztecs in this match-up, but their 3-point defense might be at risk against
Toreros guard Johnny Dee.
SAN DIEGO STATE, 78-73.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNINGPOINTS

PRO BASKETBALL

*Brooklyn over New York by 3
Both these teams entered December in dark places with the Knicks lacking a floor
leader, chemistry and interior defense minus Tyson Chandler. The Nets, though,
aren't going to be worth backing until Deron Williams gets healthy and veterans Paul
Pierce and Kevin Garnett prove they aren't washed-up.
BROOKLYN 99-96.

*Memphis over Los Angeles Clippers by 1
The Grizzlies usually are very strong at home, but not having reigning defensive player
of the year Marc Gasol severely impacts their defense leaving them open to Blake
Griffin's slam dunks. Chris Paul sustained a groin injury right before Thanksgiving so
his status needs to be monitored.
MEMPHIS 97-96.

Miami over *Chicago by 8
By now Kirk Hinrich should be settling in as the Bulls' point guard replacing Derrick
Rose, who wasn't having a good season before getting hurt. The Heat's offense trumps
Chicago's defense as the Heat came out of Thanksgiving ranked No. 3 in scoring and
leading in field goal percentage, the only team averaging better than 50 percent from
the floor. MIAMI 102-94.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton
80 DIME
AAC Total of the Year
Cin / Lou Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton
50 Dime
AFC South
Dead Mortal Lock
Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis
30 DIME
AFC South
Game of the Month
Jacksonville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

5* 10 Point Teaser

Texans +6.5
Patriots Pk
Broncos -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux basketball

Eastern Kentucky +15.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday's Consensus Picks December 05, 2013 6:51 AM by GT Staff

Our web site players are looking for more college hoops so we are going to give them our consensus plays from our very famous and popular Noland Parry’s NCAA Basketball Power Guide.

NCAA Basketball

513 Dartmouth -2: High scoring Dartmouth who also has won of the best defenses in the country go on the road to take on a sub par Northern ill team and according to the Power page Dartmouth should be a much higher price in the range of -9, so we will be making them one of our top plays today in college hoops.

517 Mississippi +2: Parry’s NCAA Basketball Power Guide looks to have Ole Miss as a three hoop favorite and we get to take a bucket, Mississippi is the play.

NHL Hockey

52 Toronto Maple Leafs (NL): This is one of our high percentage system plays as we get the Leafs at home sporting a five game losing streak.

61 Winnipeg Jets -115: Winnipeg hits the road and skates into Florida to face off with the Panthers who have a three game losing streak, we will follow the streak.

65 Carolina Hurricanes +115: The Canes will be playing in Nashville tonight and the Predators have been doing little predatoring of late as they have dropped three straight games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole:
Hou/Jax Under 43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers - NFLHouston @ JACKSONVILLE
Houston -3½ +100 over JACKSONVILLE

Proving the adage that there's no better deodorant that winning, the Jaguars have erased most of the negative feedback of their 0-8 start over the past month and seem to have a new energy about them. With three wins in four games including back-to-back road wins, the Jags are no longer the laughing stock of the NFL. That honor goes to the Houston Texans, who have the least amount of wins in the league (2) and have lost 10 straight. Combine the two and we have the Jaguars stock up and the Texans stock sinker lower, thus creating this cheap price on the visitor. Now, we’re usually not in favor of spotting road points, especially in a prime time games but we’ll confidently make an exception here. You see, the Jaguars are pure garbage. They have yet to win a game at home all season and their five home losses were by 26, 34, 18, 32 and 13 points, respectively. Don’t be fooled by the Jags recent run of success, as they won three of their past four games because the opposition figured all they had to do was show up. The Texans won’t have that mindset. No way.
Houston’s dignity is on the line here. This was a team that many figured a lock to make the playoffs with a true chance of winning it all. The Texans won their first two games and subsequently have dropped 10 straight. One of those losses occurred just two weeks ago when these same Jags went into Houston and defeated the Texans 13-6. Under the best of circumstances, it’s difficult for teams of equal talent to defeat the same team twice in a year. Thing is, these two aren’t equal. Now the inferior team will attempt to defeat the superior one twice in three weeks. A close look shows the Texans could easily be on a 6-0 run right now after a 1-point loss to KC, a 3-point loss to Indy, a three-point loss to Arizona, a five-point loss to Oakland, a 7-point loss to Jacksonville and a four point loss last week to New England. The Texans also have a 3-point loss to Seattle earlier in the year. So while the Jags were getting smoked by every team in the league and we do mean smoked, the Texans have been really unlucky without a single bounce going their way in the crucial final few minutes of any of those games. It should be noted that in last week’s four-point loss to the Patriots, New England was not flagged for even one penalty. How is that possible in this day and age of flag happy refs? That just further details the bad luck surrounding the Texans. Teams that play great defense do not lose 10 in a row and the Texans defense is ranked #3 in the NFL behind Carolina and Seattle. Combined, that pair is 20-4. What we also like here is that Case Keenum is a gamer. He hates to lose and injects energy into the entire team. Houston is not this bad and will prove so in their final prime time game of the year. Losing to the Jags twice in three weeks is not an option and what we expect to see from the superior Texans is 10 weeks of frustration being taken out on this wretched host.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Play of the Day December 05, 2013 7:10 AM by GT Staff


Louisville at Cincinnati at 4:30 p.m. PST


The Bearcats have been on a major roll since 10-5 loss at USF as they now have won six straight games including a big win at Houston as the dog two weeks ago. They had a week to prepare for their cross state rival the Louisville Cardinals and they come into this game with revenge on their minds from last years heartbreaking loss in Louisville 34-31.


104 Cincinnati +3½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc CBB

#524 Take Monmouth +3 over Rider (7 pm ESPN3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

HOUSTON (101) AT JACKSONVILLE (102)
Latest Line: Jacksonville +3.5; Total: 43.0

The Texans hope to wake up from a nightmarish 10 straight losses when they visit the upstart Jaguars on Thursday night. Houston is 3-7 ATS during its skid, but it has lost each of the past six games by seven points or less, falling 34-31 at home to New England last week. Since starting the season 0-8, Jacksonville is 3-1 (SU and ATS), with all three victories coming on the road, including last week’s 32-28 win in Cleveland. But at home, the Jags are 0-4 (SU and ATS) and losing by an average score of 29 to 6. Before the Texans lost 13-6 to the Jags two weeks ago, they had won five straight in this series (4-1 ATS).
Forecaster: Houston 23, Jacksonville 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard College Football GOY Cincinnati Bearcats +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot Shot Sports:


Missouri -5 ****
Vanderbilt -10 ****
Dartmouth -2 ***
Heat -5 ***

[Can'tPickAWinner]

California Sports

first card of season were given out for free

Vanderbilt -9.5 ****
Mississippi State -8.5 ***

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had the split's in soccer on Wednesday.

E&B lost his $100 wager on Stoke city +$110/Cardiff.

But won his $50 wager on the Draw +$240 for a $20 profit.

For Thursday E&B like Cincinnati +3.5/Louisville.

Ecks and Bacon is 1-2 -$35 for the week 21-27-2 -$998 in week six.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

100 Dime Football Winner #4 of 5
College Total of the Year

Louisville/Cincinnati Under 50.5

[golden contender]

Thursday Triple pack has 6* Highest Rated NCAAF American Athletic Conference play of the season + a Triple system NFL Play with 2 of the systems perfect and Specific to Thursday night games. in the NBA we have a 21-1 System Game of the week. Hump day cashes big. Free NCAAB Play below.


On Thursday the free NCAAB Play is on Dartmouth. Game 513 at 8:00 eastern. Dartmouth has won 3 straight and looks to be improved from last season. Tonight they travel onto Northern Illinois to take on a Huskies team that is 2-4 with the 2 wins coming against marginal teams as they still remain mediocre. Dartmouth has the 25th ranked scoring team in the country and a surprising 12th ranked road defense. They have won and cover their only 2 recent games as a road favorite of 3 or less. North Illinois is ranked 273rd in the nation in home scoring and have lost and failed to cover all 4 times as a home dog of 3 or less. When taking on winning teams these Huskies have no bite losing 23 of 26 overall. They have struggled vs non conference teams losing 27 of the last 32. Look for Dartmouth to get the win here tonight. On Thursday we have another Powerful card led by the 6* 22-0 American Athletic Conference Play of the Year and the Triple system NFL Play from 2 Thursday night systems that are perfect. In the NBA We had another big night nailing our top play. Tonight we have the 21-1 NBA Game of the Week. Jump on now and Cash all 3. For the free play take Dartmouth. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Game of the Year:

Cincinnati Bearcats

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Bettors like Texans, Over

A couple of also-rans take the national stage in the Week 14 edition of Thursday Night Football. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with Carbonsports.ag about the action coming in on this primetime matchup and where the odds could end up come kickoff Thursday night.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +2.5, Move: +3.5

The Jaguars are suddenly on a hot-streak as they've won three of their last four games overall and are 3-1 ATS over that stretch. Still, these teams are as bad as it gets in the grand scheme of things and have a combined record of 5-19.

As awful as the Texans have been, sportsbooks began writing Texans tickets as soon as lines became available.

"Early action has come in on Texans and we went to -2.5 (-115), then -2.5 (-120) and then we booked sharp action on the Texans, pushing us to that very key number of 3," Stewart tells Covers. "Last night we went to -3.5 (-105) /+3.5 (-115) and at that number we’ve booked two-way action."

Even though the Jags are hot, all three of their wins have come on the road and EverBank Field does not really strike fear into visitors.

"No question I believe we opened this game a bit short," says Stewart. "The Jags have no real home-field advantage and while they have the better overall record and ATS record, the Texans are still looked up by the betting public as the vastly superior team. So far 60 percent of the action is on the Texans."

The majority of wagering outlets opened the total at 43 and bettors have been backing the Over all week. The number has gone up slightly and Stewart believes it could move a bit more as kickoff approaches.

"As for the total, we opened 43 and pretty much all the early money was on the over," he says. "We went to 43.5 Wednesday morning and we’ve been dealing that total since. Nearly 75 percent of the money is on the over and I wouldn’t be surprised if we pushed it a tick higher to 44 as we get closer to game time."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tale of the Tape: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

The "battle" for the top pick in next year's NFL draft takes center stage Thursday night when the Houston Texans visit the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Houston has the upper hand in the race for the No. 1 selection, losers of 10 consecutive games and owners of the worst record in the league. Jacksonville is marginally better at 3-9, but has won two straight games and three of its last four - including a 13-6 triumph over the Texans on Nov. 24.

Check out the matchup in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

Despite being on a miserable losing skid, the Texans have actually been moderately productive on offense. The Texans come into Week 14 having generated the 10th-highest yardage total in the NFL (4,383), including an average of 248.5 passing yards. The rushing game has remained decent despite the absence of Pro Bowl running back Arian Foster, sitting 14th in the league in yardage (1,401) with six touchdowns - three of which were scored by Ben Tate last weekend.

The Jaguars have been a mess on offense, failing to sustain drives while dealing with an injury to starting quarterback Blaine Gabbert and a suspension to star-wide receiver Justin Blackmon. Jacksonville ranks 23rd in passing yardage, with just eight touchdowns through the air and 17 touchdowns - tied for the second-most in the league. The run game has been an abomination, racking up just 847 total yards on three yards per carry with seven touchdowns.

Edge: Houston

Defense

The Texans' defensive statistics against the pass are positively mind-boggling. While Houston has allowed just 2,255 yards through the air - the second-fewest next to Seattle - it has surrendered 20 touchdowns while snagging a league-low five interceptions and registering a paltry 28 sacks. Houston has struggled against the run so far this season, allowing the 13th-most yards (1,392) while surrendering 4.1 yards per carry and 10 touchdowns on the ground.

As with the offense, Jacksonville's defense has been tormented all season long. The Jaguars have surrendered 3,008 passing yards - 10th-most in the NFL - while giving up 23 touchdowns through the air against just seven interceptions. Jacksonville's 20 sacks are the fewest in the league through the first 12 games of the campaign, and they've permitted the fourth-most rushing yards (1,565) and second-most rushing touchdowns (16) to date.

Edge: Houston

Special Teams

Houston has had a strong kick return game so far in 2013, averaging the eighth-most yards per kickoff return (25.1) while ranking 23rd in punt-return average (8.1) but having recorded an 87-yard punt-return touchdown. The Texans have also allowed a punt-return score, while giving up the fourth-most average kickoff return yards (26). Kicker Randy Bullock has had one of the roughest seasons of anyone in his profession, missing on nine of his 29 field-goal tries.

Jacksonville is elite on kickoff returns - averaging 25.8 yards per attempt - but downright putrid when it comes to punt returns, managing a league-low 4.3 yards per attempt. Opposing teams have struggled against the Jaguars' special teams defense, averaging just 21.6 yards per kickoff return and 7.5 yards per punt return. Veteran kicker Josh Scobee hasn't been busy, but he has been solid when called upon, converting 17-of-19 field-goal opportunities.

Edge: Jacksonville

Notable Quotable

"It's a challenging day. I'm used to seeing competition and who's fighting for the ball and all that, and we've had to tone it back with no pads. it's been a challenge, but it's the right thing to do." - Jaguars head coach Gus Bradley on electing to have his players practice without pads for the short week

"We struggled to get the ball to anybody that day, it wasn't just Andre. We just really struggled in the passing game to execute and they did a great job against us, especially up front. I can say it just wasn't a very good performance on our part, it wasn't just about Andre." - Texans head coach Gary Kubiak on receiver Andre Johnson's struggles in the previous game against the Jaguars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

300♦ AFC South
Total of the Month
Over Houston/Jacksonville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

100 Dime Football Winner #4 of 5
College Total of the Year
Under Louisville/Cincinnati

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks

2* Cincinnati +3.5

1* Jacksonville +3.5

1* San Diego St -7.5

1* Miami -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

50 Dime Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA


Cincinnati +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob
2* Houston -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels
50 DIMER # 33 of 49
NBA Game of the Month
LA Clippers -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 Units Louisville -3.5
10 Units Texans -3
10 Units Texans/Jags OVER 43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

57-37 run

2* E. Kentucky +15.5

1* Hight Point +19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV wiseguys

LOU-3

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The Winners Circle

Thursday Football Plays

10* Play Cincinnati +3.5 over Louisville (TOP NCAA PLAY) 7:30 PM EST

Cincinnati has won 20 of the last 26 games coming off a win and they have also won 21 of the last 27 games when playing after the 1st month of the season. Cincinnati has won 6 consecutive games after gaining 325 or more passing yards in their last two games and they are only allowing 15 points a game on defense at home this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Winners Circle

THURSDAY BASKETBALL PLAYS

10* Play New York +1 over Brooklyn NBA TOP PLAY
10* Play Miami -4.5 over Chicago NBA TOP PLAY


10* Play VCU -15.5 over Eastern Kentucky NCAA TOP PLAY
10* Play Georgetown -19 over High Point NCAA TOP PLAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Duke

2* Louisville -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

Texans -3

Cincinnati +3

Eastern Kentucky +15.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI - Basketball

Take #505 Over 188 ½ Miami at Chicago

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bio Sports Picks

NFL: 41 - 30 YTD
Jaguars +3.5


CBB: 6-4 YTD
Missouri -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

Jacksonville +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Marshall +9½ over Vanderbilt (Spread Bet) (NCAA College Basketball)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power play wins

Houston Texans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* Jacksonville +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bell's Best Bets

NCF:
4* Louisville -2.5
1* Under total Lou/Cincy 50.5

NFL:
1* Under total Hou/Jax 42.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hampton Sports

Louis -3 NCAAF, Ole Miss +2.5, and Mia -5. 200* ea

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J Clifton
Cincy + 3 1/2 (b)
under 50 1/2 (c)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI
4* Jacksonville Jaguars
5* Missouri-6
5* Providence-6
5* Ole Miss+2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET
PRO FOOTBALL
*Houston 24 - JACKSONVILLE 17—With three wins in its last four, it’s too
bad Jax didn’t begin ascending a couple of weeks sooner, which might have
put the Jags in the "wild" AFC wildcard race. Which does not include
Houston, with no SU wins since baseball season and now holding a narrow
lead over Atlanta as the NFL’s most disappointing 2013 entry. But their nearmiss
vs. N.E. suggests the Texans have yet to throw in the towel, and Case
Keenum looks more like an NFL QB when helped by a ground force, which Ben
Tate provided with 102 YR vs. the Pats after missing most of the Nov. 24 loss
to the Jags with a rib injury. How long can Jax count on Chad Henne’s recent mostly error-free form? TV—NFL NETWORK

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
*CINCINNATI 28 - Louisville 26—Have utmost respect for nationallyranked
L’Ville, but prefer to take about a FG with sizzling Cincy, gunning for its
7th straight victory in this battle for a possible BCS bowl (if UCF loses at SMU).
Bearcats’ groovin’ 6th-year sr. QB Brandon Kay (70.3%; 2797 YP, 22 TDs)—
operating behind a stone-wall OL (only 11 sacks allowed on 392 pass
attempts!)—well-equipped to outduel Cards’ NFL-ready QB Teddy
Bridgewater, who has generated only 22 ppg his last two outings. Since
Cincy’s unsightly 45-17 setback at Illinois back in early Sept., the gangtackling
Bearcat defense (yielding only 3.0 ypc) has permitted a meager 15
ppg, which is comparable to Cards’ 12 ppg allowance. This is the toughest
road game (by far) for Charlie Strong’s overvalued squad, which is only 1-6
vs. spread last 7. Note, confident Cincy 9-3 as a home dog since 2004 (4-0
since 2007!). TV—ESPN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS
PRO FOOTBALL
Houston over *Jacksonville by 3
Since becoming the first team to win their first two games on the final play of each
game, the Texans haven't won since dropping 10 in a row. Statistic-wise, the
Texans should bury Jacksonville. But mistakes, turnovers and bad karma have made Houston the most disappointing team in the AFC. Just 11 days ago, the
Jaguars held the Texans to 218 yards and 11 first downs in a 13-6 victory. Now the
Jaguars make their only prime time appearance having won three of their last four.
These victories, however, have all come on the road. Jacksonville is 0-5 SU and
ATS at home with every defeat being by 13 or more points.
HOUSTON 23-20.

HISTORICAL TRENDS
Houston at Jacksonville – The Jaguars upset the Texans, 13-6, in Week 12.
The Texans are 5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS during the past six meetings.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Cincinnati* over Louisville by 1
Cincinnati took Louisville to overtime last year before succumbing 34-31. This
affair has the earmarks of another cliff-hanger. Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater is
potentially the top overall pick in next year’s draft, but Cincy counterpart Brendon
Kay has been Bridgewater-like during the Bearcats 6-game winning streak, completing
72 percent of his throws.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET
PRO FOOTBALL
• (101) HOUSTON (SU: 2-10, ATS: 3-9) at (102) JACKSONVILLE (SU: 3-9, ATS: 4-8)
Game Breakdown: The Texans hope to wake up from a nightmarish
10 straight losses when they visit the upstart Jaguars on
Thursday night. Houston is 3-7 ATS during its skid, but it has lost
each of the past six games by seven points or less, falling 34-31
at home to New England last week. Since starting the season 0-8,
Jacksonville is 3-1 (SU and ATS), with all three victories coming
on the road, including last week’s 32-28 win in Cleveland. But at
home, the Jags are 0-4 (SU and ATS) and losing by an average
score of 29 to 6. Before the Texans lost 13-6 to the Jags two
weeks ago, they had won five straight in this series (4-1 ATS).
Betting System:
Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more
points per game (6-30 ATS).
Play = HOUSTON against the spread
Series history – Last 5 Seasons:
JACKSONVILLE is 5-5 ATS (5-6 SU) vs. HOUSTON (2-3 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.)

StatFox Six Pack:
• JACKSONVILLE is 9-23 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons.
• JACKSONVILLE is 9-0 UNDER at home against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.
• JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS as a home underdog over the L2 seasons.
• HOUSTON is 5-17 ATS vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since
1992.
• HOUSTON is 38-21 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
• HOUSTON is 2-8 ATS in games played on a grass field this season

STATFOX FORECASTER
Houston 23
Jacksonville 16

STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS
• Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK JETS, JACKSONVILLE) -
pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points
per game.
• The situation’s record is 30-6 over the last 5 seasons (83.3%, +23.4 units).
Rating = 4*

COLLEGE FOOTBALL
• (103) LOUISVILLE (SU: 10-1, ATS: 4-7) at (104) CINCINNATI (SU: 9-2, ATS: 6-5)
Game Breakdown: Cincinnati can still play its way into a BCS bowl game with an impressive win
on Thursday night and a lot of help. Since an embarrassing loss at South Florida, they’ve won six
in a row SU, and they’ve also covered in four of five. A year ago at Louisville, the Cardinals
outgained Cincinnati 524-353 but needed overtime to beat the Bearcats, 34-31, in a wild finish.
The Cardinals have won four in a row since their lone loss, to UCF at home, but they’ve failed to
cover in their last three games while averaging only 25.0 PPG.
• Charlie Strong is 10-1 ATS away after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread at
LOUISVILLE.
• Tommy Tuberville is 3-13 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games.
• Tommy Tuberville is 0-7 ATS at home after gaining 325 or more passing yards in 2 straight
games.

STATFOX FORECASTER
Louisville 23
Cincinnati 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EAGLE EYE---Randy Rose
Your Pick: New York Knicks (-110)
Your Pick: Los Angeles Clippers +1 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd:
4* Missouri under 148.5
3* Cincy +3.5 (NCAA)
3* Grizzlies -1.5
3* Texans -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

Thursday Night NBA on TNT Team Total

MIAMI HEAT UNDER 97 POINTS

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s & p investors

xxx large.....nfl game of the year......jax +3.5 (buy the hook)

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Steve Budin

CALI-CARTEL

100 DIME
WINNER # 8 IN A ROW
Cincinnati

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes | NBA Money Line
Free pick
501 NYK (-105) Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).com vs 502 BrooklynAnalysis: NBA - 501 New York Knicks @ 502 Brooklyn Nets

This is a game between two ridiculous Eastern teams that had high expectations for this season. For tonight, I believe the Knicks have better conditions to pound the Nets than the opposite. Brooklyn have Brook Lopez back and he is the only consistent player on the team's offense, but he needs some time to get back into his top form after an injury lay-off. However, Brooklyn is forcing a lot to try to feed Lopez down low. This is why the Nets had 22.9% and 24.8% volume of post ups on their last two games. They had efficient numbers on this play, but their offensive flow keeps being awful.




This is actually good news for the Knicks' defense that is a nice post up defensive team by being #6 in the league with 0.76 PPP allowed. Andrea Bargnani isn't a weak individual defender, even though he is terrible on awareness and team help defense. The Knicks struggles on defending transition plays and they are coming from allowing 19 fast break points from the Pelicans, while their team help defense keeps struggling and so, they keep getting pounded by the opposing aggressive guards. However, they will be on a nice spot tonight, as Brooklyn is #29 in the league on fast break points with just 9.3 per game, while Deron Williams is still out and that will be a relief for the Knicks' guards.




On the other side, Brooklyn's perimeter defense has been awful and they are #30 on pick and roll defense and #28 on spot up defense. The Knicks have been inconsistent on outside shooting this season, but the Nets will give them enough conditions for them to a nice outside game tonight. Therefore, I believe the Knicks have the better matchups to win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 New York Knicks ML @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes | NBA Money Line
Free pick
501 NYK (-105) Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).com vs 502 BrooklynAnalysis: NBA - 501 New York Knicks @ 502 Brooklyn Nets




This is a game between two ridiculous Eastern teams that had high expectations for this season. For tonight, I believe the Knicks have better conditions to pound the Nets than the opposite. Brooklyn have Brook Lopez back and he is the only consistent player on the team's offense, but he needs some time to get back into his top form after an injury lay-off. However, Brooklyn is forcing a lot to try to feed Lopez down low. This is why the Nets had 22.9% and 24.8% volume of post ups on their last two games. They had efficient numbers on this play, but their offensive flow keeps being awful.




This is actually good news for the Knicks' defense that is a nice post up defensive team by being #6 in the league with 0.76 PPP allowed. Andrea Bargnani isn't a weak individual defender, even though he is terrible on awareness and team help defense. The Knicks struggles on defending transition plays and they are coming from allowing 19 fast break points from the Pelicans, while their team help defense keeps struggling and so, they keep getting pounded by the opposing aggressive guards. However, they will be on a nice spot tonight, as Brooklyn is #29 in the league on fast break points with just 9.3 per game, while Deron Williams is still out and that will be a relief for the Knicks' guards.




On the other side, Brooklyn's perimeter defense has been awful and they are #30 on pick and roll defense and #28 on spot up defense. The Knicks have been inconsistent on outside shooting this season, but the Nets will give them enough conditions for them to a nice outside game tonight. Therefore, I believe the Knicks have the better matchups to win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 New York Knicks ML @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - THURSDAY

2* = (NFL) HOUSTON
2* = (COLF) CINCINNATI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportbook guru

10 units cincinnati/louisville over 50.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 Units Missouri -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

9xsports

Jaguars
Hoyas
Blackhawk
Knicks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 12/5
NFL Football





Houston Texans / Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 43
(Total Points Bet)
Overall Record: 180-158

(System Record: 180-6, Won last game)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

Houston -3

Houston/Jacksonville Under 43

Knicks Pk

Heat -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EXECUTIVE

200 louisiville

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Thursday December 5, 2013
$20.00 NCAAB Play
#516 Vanderbilt -8.5 8PM Eastern
Line from Intertops
Line as of 545PM Eastern 12/5/13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

YourBookiesMoney

3* New York Knicks Pick em
2* New York Knicks 1st Half Pick em
2* L.A. Clippers +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Line Moves NFL
J'ville +3.5
J'ville over 42.5
Carolina +3ev

College Hoops
San Diego +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited passing tonight

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blackwell Call Swami Group
CFB
Under - Louisville/Cincy

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Hampton Sports
200* Louisville -3
200* Ole Miss +2.5
200* Miami Heat -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

N.C.

3 Late phone Louis under
Marquee Jack over

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Betting Line Moves
Eastern Kentucky +15

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Fairway Jay

10* Jaguars / Texans Under 43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella
3* UTAH ST. +3.5 (Saturday)
2* Cinci +3
2* Jags under 43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Randizzle
3* NBANYK M/L

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJ sports group

Nba
Heat-5

College basketball
Missouri-6.5
Ole miss +2.5

College football
Louisville-3

Nfl
Houston-2