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Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 06:09 PM
::clap::

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 06:09 PM
Northcoast

Early Bird - Indianapolis Colts -5½

Power Play - Atlanta Falcons -6

NFL Totals Pow- Jets / Panthers Under 40½

Economy Club - New Orleans Saints -6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 06:10 PM
NFL Opening Line Report Oddsmakers Padding Postseason Pushes
by Jason Logan

This point of the NFL season can be especially tricky for books and bettors, with teams in pursuit of the playoffs either bursting with added motivation or crumbling under the postseason pressure.

There can be good value spotting a team going all out down the stretch, which is why oddsmakers aren’t ashamed to say their padding the lines for those must-win games.

“As we go into the final few weeks, we really want to hedge higher on those teams fighting for the playoffs,” says Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club. “This is time of year we admit to adding a couple points to those teams that really need a win.”

There are plenty of games on the Week 15 schedule with postseason implications.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (+2)

The Patriots will be without star tight end Rob Gronkowski for the remainder of the season after he shredded his knee in Sunday’s thrilling win over Cleveland. According to Korner, Gronkowski is worth as much as two points to New England’s spreads.

“He’s a big hit to take and we’ve seen that already this year, with how poorly the Patriots played without him,” Korner says of Gronkowski. “He’s a point in a half, maybe even a two full point bump right off the bat. We’ve seen this offense struggle without him.”

Korner’s oddsmakers brought spread of New England -2 and -3 to the table, so they sent out the Patriots as 2.5-point road favorites in Miami.

“This is going to be a big dog play with the public,” he says. “Miami does need this game and could win straight up. Bettors are looking at how New England stalled versus Cleveland and needed a lucky hometown call to win the game. I just think dog players are going to be all over this one.”

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (N/A)

The Packers continue to play the waiting game on star QB Aaron Rodgers. Korner says they sent out Dallas -2.5 with Rodgers in the lineup and would suggest Dallas -8.5 or -9 if he is ruled out again while recovering from his broken collarbone.

“He’s a full six or seven points,” Korner says of Rodgers impact on this spread. “Green Bay is trying to stay in the mix and they want to play him if they can. He wants to play if he can. The line somewhat depends on how Dallas does (Monday). But with that game in the cold on the road, it may not matter much overall.”

Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions (-6)

Both the Ravens and Lions played in crazy snow games this past Sunday, but will nice and warm inside Ford Field on Monday Night Football.

Korner is expecting a heated primetime clash between two teams in the playoff hunt and sent out Detroit as a 3.5-point home favorite while offshores posted a bigger number at Lions -6.

“This is a must-win for both teams, so we sent it out pretty much at the pick’em when you factor the home field,” he says. “With weather not being a factor and them playing on a fast track indoors, we’ll see the true colors of both teams."

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 06:10 PM
NFL Line Watch Colts backers should act fast

Each week during the pro football season, Art Aronson looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-6)

If you like the Colts to bounce back from their 42-28 drubbing in Cincinnati last week and hand the Texans a 12th straight loss, I'd recommend jumping on this line as soon as possible. As of Monday afternoon, there is still a -6 available but 6.5's have already started to become the predominate number, with even a 7 on the board as well.

Indianapolis beat Houston 27-24 back in Week 9, a contest in which it was trailing 21-3 heading into the break. Interestingly, that was the game that ex-Texans head coach Gary Kubiak collapsed at half time with the heart issues (Kubiak of course was sacked after last week's 27-20 setback at Jacksonville).

The end of the season can't come quick enough now for Houston which has clearly thrown in the towel, with games at home versus Denver next week and at Tennessee to finish the year.

Spread to wait on

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5)

As mentioned above, Cincinnati had little trouble with Indianapolis last week, thrashing it 42-28. Pittsburgh though would stumble last Sunday, losing 34-28 to Miami in the closing moments, which was on the heels of a hard-fought 22-20 loss at Baltimore in Week 13.

This line opened at +2.5, but sharps have been quick to jump on the high-flying visitors, with +3 pretty much the predominating number now. If you think the home side can stop its two game slide and avenge a 20-10 setback at Cincinnati in Week 2, then I'd recommend waiting a bit closer to kickoff before getting involved.

And if you're a Bengals backer, just keep in mind that playing on the road has been their Achilles' heel for bettors for the last few seasons, coming into this contest at just 2-5-1 ATS their last eight away from friendly confines.

Total to watch

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (46)

Under bettors would be wise to get on this number right now. It opened at 46, which is still being offered at some books, but 45.5 has for the most part been taken over the board.

Whenever these divisional foes get together it has been a battle, as evidenced by the fact that the total has finished Under the number in five of their last six in the series. That wasn't the case back in Week 9 when the Colts stormed back for a 27-24 victory. Indianapolis scored 24 points in the second half, 15 in the fourth quarter.

But the firing of Kubiak is a clear signal that the visitors are planning for next year, and while the home side has locked up the division, there's no question that it will be looking to atone for the dismal defensive effort in Cincinnati last Sunday. Expect this number to continue to fall as the week goes on.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 06:11 PM
Number of Points Produces 11-5 NFL 'Over/Under'

Throw everything you know about handicapping winter weather out the window – if you don’t mind opening the window in this kind of cold.

Old Man Winter ravaged a number of Week 14 games but couldn’t freeze out the NFL’s red-hot offenses, with 90 touchdowns being scored during Sunday’s 14 games. Add to that Jacksonville’s 27-20 win over Houston Thursday and Chicago’s 45-28 blowout over Dallas Monday and there were 859 total points scored – the most in any week in NFL history.

All those points added up to an 11-5 'Over/Under' record for Week 14.

The only games that played Under the total were Tampa Bay’s 27-6 win over Buffalo, Green Bay’s 22-21 victory versus Atlanta, Arizona’s 30-10 win against St. Louis, San Francisco's 19-17 win over Seattle and New Orleans’ one-sided 31-13 victory over Carolina Sunday night.

The Packers’ home win was the only game of those five that was played in the cold but didn’t see nearly as much snow as games played outdoors on the East Coast. Detroit, Washington, Baltimore and Pittsburgh all had substantial snow fall before and during the games, but all tipped the total. Those four games combined to score 226 total points.

Denver Broncos head coach John Fox, who had to battle the chilly Mile High weather but no snow Sunday, told the media that the slippery conditions don’t handicap an offense but actually help it. The winter weather helped kick returners give coverage the slip, with five return touchdowns scored in those snow games Sunday.

"Some people don't understand that," Fox told USA Today. "That's why you saw a lot of those long touchdowns, particularly in the kicking game, as well, as when guys can't get their footing, they miss tackles, and that creates explosive plays."

That eruption of offense in Week 14 hasn’t done much to sway the oddsmakers’ methods for setting the NFL Over/Under in Week 15. Only a handful of totals are sitting in the 50s with a few dropping as low as 40.5 points.

And the weather is a little better for Sunday’s action. Only two games – Chicago at Cleveland and Seattle at New York – have snow in the forecast.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 06:11 PM
Football lines that make you go hmmm...
by Jason Logan

Albert Einstein was no big NFL bettor, but his definition of insanity was doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. By that logic, Einstein is getting down on the Indianapolis Colts -6 against the Houston Texans while the gettin’ is good in Week 15.

Sportsbooks continue to give credit to the Texans week after week, despite not wining since Week 2 of the schedule and losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars last Thursday. That primetime spanking cost Houston head coach Gary Kubiak his job, leaving defensive coordinator Wade Phillips at the wheel in the final week of the season.

Houston was a 3-point road favorite in Jacksonville last week, and outside of a valiant effort against the Patriots in Week 13, hasn’t done anything to warrant the respect books continue to give the Texans. They are just 3-10 ATS and are likely looking ahead to the NFL Draft, where a No. 1 overall pick would hand them the QB of their choice.

But for now, Houston rides out the final games of 2013 with Case Keenum as the team’s elected starter and Matt Schaub backing him up. The biggest issue is that Keenum was Kubiak’s guy. The two worked very closely when Schaub went down with a leg injury and the young QB could be rattled without his corner man.

The Colts clinched the AFC South despite losing to Cincinnati Sunday but head coach Chuck Pagano says he won’t rest his players. He’s not happy with their current form – splitting wins and losses in their last six – and told reporters they have plenty to work on before the postseason begins.

New Orleans Saints at St. Louis Rams (+5.5, 46.5)

The difference in the Saints’ play at home and away is about as glaring as the difference between Tara Reid circa 1999 American Pie and Tara Reid circa 2013 Sharknado: Smoky-voiced blonde bombshell vs. Dog-chewed leather slipper.

However, books have taken this home/away split a little too far in Week 15, setting New Orleans as a 5.5-point favorite in St. Louis.

Football bettors have watched Drew Brees and New Orleans stall on the road in outdoor venues like Seattle, New York, Chicago and Tampa Bay but won’t be battling the elements inside the Edward Jones Dome Sunday.

The Rams defense was keeping the team competitive but has cracked the last two games, allowing 53 points in losses to San Francisco and Arizona. St. Louis’ dreaded pass rush had just one sack on slow-motion QB Carson Palmer this weekend. Brees has been sacked just 26 times all season.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:13 PM
Vikings' Peterson won't need surgery, unlikely for Week 15

Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson avoided serious injury and won't need surgery on his sprained right foot, but is unlikely to suit up in Week 15 versus the Philadelphia Eagles, sources said.

ESPN reported, Peterson, who sustained the injury in the second quarter of Sunday's game against the Baltimore Ravens, went through a bevy of test on Monday. X-Rays came back negative and an MRI showed no structural damage. But when the results of a CT scan came back it was determined that the reigning MVP would have to spend some time in a walking boot.

The Viking (7-6 ATS), are currently 4.5-point home dogs against the high-flying Eagles, who have won five in a row (4-1 ATS in that span). So keep an eye on the spread, because if Peterson is officially ruled out this week look for that number to jump even more in the Eagles favor.

Minnesota is now 3-9-1 and are officially eliminated from the playoffs, so they may not have much reason to rush Peterson back.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:14 PM
Which Super Bowl sleeper is the next Ravens, Giants, Packers?
by Chase Ruttig

With three weeks left until the NFL playoffs begin, now is the time to start looking for value when it comes to Super Bowl futures.

Out-of-nowhere Super Bowl winners like the New York Giants, Green Bay Packers, and Baltimore Ravens have been the trend recently, as the NFL becomes more and more about who is hot in January.

Here are some underdogs that might make you look smart at your Super Bowl party this year as you have them to win the big game with tasty odds to boot:

Kansas City Chiefs (10-3, 1st in AFC Wild Card): +3,000 to win Super Bowl

The Kansas City Chiefs may have lost three times to AFC West opponents in 2013, but they are still the second best team in the AFC in what is a down year in the conference.

Playing on the road will be a challenge for the Chiefs. But with one of the best running backs in the league in Jamaal Charles, a steady veteran QB in Alex Smith and a quality defense, the Chiefs could be dangerous if they get rolling heading into the Wild Card.

Cincinnati Bengals (9-4, 1st in AFC North): +1,200

Don't look now but the Bengals are red hot heading into December. A win in Week 14 gave them their third straight win and got Cincinnati another step closer to clinching the AFC North title. With the Patriots banged up and history going against Peyton Manning (the last QB who won the Super Bowl at Manning's age was John Elway), there is a very good chance we see another Ravens-like run in the AFC.

Cincy won't give you great odds at 12/1 which is a drawback, but it might be the best bet outside of the big favorites thanks to one of the most talented teams in franchise history. In a down year where everyone is hurt, it could finally be the Bengals’ year.

Arizona Cardinals/Philadelphia Eagles (8-5 2nd in NFC Wild Card), 30/1 (8-5 1st in NFC East): +6,000/+2,500

In a playoff pool that will have the Seahawks or Saints likely playing two games at home on their way as favorites to the NFC Championship, a dark horse is much less likely to emerge from the pack and topple those rock-solid home teams. Mix in the 49ers and the Panthers and it would take a miraculous effort to make a run to the Super Bowl.

If you are going to take a non-favorite in the NFC you might as well go long and you can't go wrong with two teams with electric wide receivers who have been dangerous when things have been going well this season.

Chip Kelly has Philly playing to its level that was shown at the start of the season and Nick Foles appears to be the right fit at QB while Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald have turned back the clock to keep Arizona floating in the tough NFC West. The Eagles are the safer bet of the two (moved from 60/1 to 25/1 after Dallas' loss Monday), but the Cardinals have shocked the world with the help of Fitzgerald before. At 60/1 it’s worth a look, but it’s the long shot of the bunch.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:15 PM
Inside the stats NFC vs. AFC continues to play Over
by Marc Lawrence

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards.

Coaching down the stretch

The final four weeks of the NFL season are tantamount to the stretch run of a Graded Stakes horse race. It’s where all big races are won and lost.

It’s been said that if you don’t have the horse, you won’t win the race. For the most part, this adage is right on the money. More often than not, though, the ride the horse gets by his jockey is what puts the team in the winner’s circle. It’s why good jockeys are almost always atop quality horses in big races.

The same holds true for head coaches in the NFL. They too are the pilots, guiding their team to the wire, with game plans designed for success or failure - whichever the case may be.

From a profit and loss standpoint, listed below are the best and worst current head coaches and their NFL career ATS records during Games 13-16 – minimum four occurrences (current team in parenthesis) heading into the 2013 season. All results are ATS (Against The Spread).

BEST:

Home: Rivera (Car) 4-1
Away: Frazier (Min) 5-1
Favorite: Fox (Den) 16-9-1
Dog: McCarthy (GB) 7-0

WORST:

Home: Garrett (Dal) 2-4
Away: Jim Harbaugh (SF) 1-4
Fav: Garrett (Dal) 1-5
Dog: Reid (KC) 2-4

Pennzoil play

Football teams who have been out gained in each of their last three games are considered to be “leaking oil” when installed as favorites.

These “leaking oil” favorites now stand at 29-33 ATS overall this season, including 21-23 in NCAAF and 8-10 in the NFL.

According to our findings, this week’s only play would be against the Indianapolis Colts in the NFL.

Passing fancy

Here is a list of the league’s Top 10 best passing offenses and worst passing defenses.
Play accordingly.

Best Pass Offenses
Denver 341.2
New Orleans 302.8
Detroit 296.5
San Diego 288.7
Chicago 276.8
Atlanta 267.8
Pittsburgh 266.8
New England 265.9
Green Bay 265.5
Cleveland (surprise) 260.4.

Worst Past Defenses
Philadelphia 285.3
Minnesota 281.9
Denver 274.3
Washington 256.7
Jacksonville 256.5
Detroit 255.8
NY Jets 254.9
Oakland 250.2
St. Louis 248.9
Green Bay 246.8

Red Rover, Red Rover

Despite the Sunday snowstorms in the NFL last week, they did it again.

We’re talking about the wildly successful Over plays on the pro football card with 11 of the 16 games exceeding the total.

The games went Over by an average of 8.9 points. It was easily the highest-scoring week of the season as there were 85 touchdowns on Sunday (an average 6.1 TDs per games).

Last week’s four non-conference game produced a 3-1 winning tally for Over players, moving the season-to-date record to a mind-blowing 44-14 O/U in these games, including 23-4 O/U the last seven weeks.

This week’s 'Over' achievers would be:
Arizona at Tennessee
Chicago at Cleveland
N.Y. Jets at Carolina
Baltimore at Detroit (Monday night) game.

Stat of the Week

Texas Tech was 0-5 SU/ATS against fellow bowl teams this season.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:15 PM
Marco D'Angelo

5 NFL Plays On Sports X Radio

Washington Redskins+6

Oakland Raiders+4.5

Buffalo Bills-2

Houston Texans+6

St. Louis Rams+5.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:16 PM
NFL's biggest betting mismatches

Week 15

Each week, Jason Logan breaks down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 15:

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (+7, 41.5)

Seahawks’ early rise vs. East Coast

The Seahawks internal clocks won’t know what hit them when they take the field at MetLife Stadium Sunday. Seattle and New York are scheduled to kick off at 1 p.m. ET, which is 10 a.m. ET back home in the Emerald City. The Seahawks have been able to overcome the time difference this season, going 3-1 SU and ATS in 1 p.m. ET starts but are just 4-4 SU and ATS in those early games over the past two seasons, which says a lot for a team that is 20-9 ATS during that span.

Not only does Seattle need a couple cups of coffee Sunday morning but it will also have to bundle up. Temperatures in East Rutherford are expected to dip below freezing and snow is in Sunday’s forecast. The Seahawks may be used to the rain and warmer winters on the West Coast but didn’t fare well in their last foray in the snow, losing 35-24 to Chicago in the divisional round of the NFC playoffs in 2011.

Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (Pick, 45)

Bears’ fourth-quarter scoring vs. Browns’ fourth-quarter collapses

Jay Cutler. Josh McCown. It may not matter who’s under center for the Bears with the way the Browns are buckling in the final frame. Cleveland has failed miserably at closing out games, as evidenced by its letdown loss to New England last Sunday. Granted, the Browns were burned by a terrible pass interference call but there’s no denying the 35 total points allowed in the fourth quarter over their last three games – an average of 11.7 points over the last 15 minutes.

Chicago isn’t slamming the door with defense either, but is managing to offset that with a strong sprint to the finish line on offense. The Bears are fourth in the league in fourth-quarter scoring, averaging eight points in the final frame this season. Chicago didn’t let up on Dallas Monday, tacking on another 10 points in the fourth. Da Bears are also fourth in time of possession percentage in the final 15 minutes, holding on to the pigskin 54.20 percent of the quarter. Cleveland’s 44.91 percent is fourth lowest in the NFL.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5, 41.5)

Bengals’ QB Andy Dalton vs. Steelers’ stigma and primetime jitters

If Andy Dalton is going to get his team back to the playoffs, where they could be a very dangerous Super Bowl sleeper, he’s going to have to overcome two things that have plagued is short career in Cincinnati: the Steelers defense and the primetime spot light.

According to Yahoo!Sports, Dalton has been well below his bar versus Pittsburgh. His 53 percent completions and 67.8 passer rating in five games against the Steelers fall short of his career tallies of 60.8 percent and 85.1. Add to that a 2-3 SU record in primetime games – Cincinnati is 3-11 SU all-time on Sunday Night Football – and Dalton could be walking into a perfect storm in Pittsburgh Sunday night.

Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions (-6, 48)

Ravens’ LB Elvis Dumervil vs. Lions’ turnover troubles

This mismatch could swing to either side, depending on the ankle of Dumervil, who sat out last week’s thriller against Minnesota. Baltimore’s pass rush has been toothless without their newest addition to the linebacking corps. It failed to record a single sack against the Vikings, allowing Matt Cassel to throw for 265 yards and two TDs Sunday, and has just three sacks total in the past three games. Dumervil, who leads the team with 9.5 sacks, is questionable but holding out hope for a return in Week 15.

Without their top sack master, the Ravens may not be able to get to Lions QB Matt Stafford. Stafford has been at the center of Detroit’s three-game losing skid, throwing six interceptions during that skid. He had a clean sheet in last Sunday’s snow ball with the Eagles, but only threw the ball 25 times – his fewest attempts all season – and didn’t face any pass rush in that blizzard. If Dumervil is ready to go, that pressure could force more mistakes from Stafford.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:16 PM
NFL Betting Week 15 Preview Hot bets and moving odds

Sports Interaction betting analyst Frank Doyle previews Week 15’s NFL action.

All odds current as of noon ET, Dec. 12.

The old saying that you can’t lose your starting spot because of an injury is being tested as we head into Week at the quarterback position.

In Washington, Robert Griffin III has been shut down for the rest of the season after he came back from last year’s ugly knee injury. He won’t admit it, but It’s pretty clear he’s lost a step or two because of the injury and has been a sitting duck behind a rotten offensive line all season. Now, second-year pro Kirk Cousins gets his shot. In turn, Washington moved from a 6-point underdog to a 7-point pup this week at Atlanta.

In Chicago, word has it that Jay Cutler has been cleared to practice and will likely start over Josh McCown if he’s healthy enough to play Sunday at Cleveland. That’s despite the fact that McCown has posted significantly better numbers this season than Chicago’s “franchise quarterback.” For now, all bettors and Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)s can do is wait for Chicago’s QB confirmation to set a line for the game.

Same thing with the Packers heading to Dallas. If Aaron Rodgers returns from his broken collarbone, you might see the Packers as 3-point underdogs on the road, but if he isn’t cleared, Dallas may be favored by at least a touchdown.

Other odds on the move

After a short hiatus, bettors are back in love with the Denver Broncos and in turn, the over. Denver was bumped from the top of our Super Bowl futures board by Seattle last week, but firmly regained the favorite spot this week at +236. That’s what happens after Peyton Manning throws four TDs in sub-zero conditions. This week bettors are expecting Denver to be in another shootout with the Chargers on Thursday Night Football. The total opened at 54 for this one but is already up to 57.5. About 69 percent of SportsInteraction (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliate.%3Ca+href%3D).com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_4851b_701&aid=" target="_blank">Sports Interaction’s handle sides with the Broncos.

Kansas City is another team bettors are buying into this week. The Chiefs snapped a three-game skid by hammering Washington in Week 14 and opened as 3.5-point favorites on the road for this Sunday’s game in Oakland. Kansas City is now up to -4.5 and almost 96 percent of our bets are coming in on the Chiefs.

This week’s most popular bets

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers may have saved some face this season with four wins in their last five games, but most bettors don’t give them much of a shot this week when they host San Francisco. The 49ers, who have won three straight, are seeing 93 percent of our action.

Meanwhile, almost 95 percent of our bettors are looking for the Seattle Seahawks to bounce back from last week’s loss to the 49ers. The Seahawks visit the Giants as 6.5-point favorites on Sunday.

And finally, with Adrian Peterson limping, nobody wants any part of the Minnesota Vikings this week. About 94 percent of our action is coming in on Nick Foles and the visiting Philadelphia Eagles.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:17 PM
Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

NFL
6pts Teaser
Oakland
Detroit

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:17 PM
NFL Prop Shop Week 15's Best Player Prop Bets

Sean Murphy isn’t satisfied with just betting spreads and totals. He’s opening the door to the NFL Prop Shop, giving you his best player prop picks for Week 15.

Most passing yards

Tom Brady (New England Patriots) vs. Ryan Tannehill (Miami Dolphins)

Tom Brady was held to only 116 passing yards in the first meeting between these two teams this season, and while we can expect him to improve on that number here, I'm not convinced that he'll outgun Ryan Tannehill.

The Dolphins second-year quarterback has thrown for at least 200 yards in six consecutive games, and the majority of his best performances have come at home this season - most recently racking up 310 passing yards against the Panthers in Week 12.

The Patriots defense has regressed lately, allowing well north of 12 yards per pass play over their last three games. This isn't an ideal matchup for them to 'get right'.

Take: Tannehill

Alex Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Matt McGloin (Oakland Raiders)

The Chiefs offense has been rolling along lately, but I won't be surprised if they face some resistance in the Black Hole on Sunday afternoon.

Kansas City scored a whopping 45 points in last week's win over the Redskins, but QB Alex Smith threw for only 137 yards. This is still a run-first team, and that gameplan isn't likely to change against a Raiders defense that has allowed 4.4 yards per rush over its last three games.

Raiders QB Matt McGloin has thrown for 260, 255, and 245 yards in his last three games. As strong as the Chiefs 'D' has been for most of the season, it has struggled recently, allowing 14.4 yards per pass play over the last three games.

Take: McGloin

Most rushing yards

Frank Gore (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Bobby Rainey (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Frank Gore is coming off one of his best performances of the season, rushing for 110 yards on 17 carries last Sunday against Seattle. Given the fact that he had topped out at 48 rushing yards over his previous three games, I'm not expecting a repeat effort here.

Note that Gore has been held to 71 yards or less on the ground in the 49ers last four road contests.

Bucs RB Bobby Rainey has been a dominant force at home, gaining 290 yards on 52 carries over his last two games in Tampa. The 49ers defense will obviously pose a significant challenge, but I believe Rainey will be up to the task.

Take: Rainey

Most pass receptions

Doug Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks) vs. Hakeem Nicks (New York Giants)

I simply feel that Hakeem Nicks will be given more opportunities than Doug Baldwin on Sunday, and can't ignore the plus-money return being offered.

Baldwin had only four pass targets and three catches in last Sunday's game in San Francisco. He's had more than five catches in a game on only two occasions this season. This week, I'm expecting the Seahawks to show a stronger commitment to the run.

Nicks burst back onto the scene for the Giants last Sunday, catching five passes for 135 yards. He's been fairly consistent this year, hauling in at least four catches in eight of the 12 games he's appeared in.

Take: Nicks

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:18 PM
Where the action is: Sunday's NFL line moves

It's hard to believe, but we are in Week 15 of the NFL season. A couple of quarterback changes have nabbed headlines this week and have predictably had a major impact on lines.

We talk to Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag, about the action coming in on some of Sunday's matchups and where the lines could close come kickoff:

Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons - Open: -4.5, Move: -7

Things couldn't have gone much worse for these two NFC teams. The Washington Redskins have turned to backup QB Kirk Cousins and sharp bettors backed the home fave as soon as lines were opened.

"Less than an hour after we opened our NFL lines, we got sharp bet on Atlanta so moved to -5.5," Perry tells Covers. "Monday afternoon, we got another wiseguy play on the Falcons so moved to -6. On Tuesday, another sharp play on Atlanta -6, caused us to move to current number of 7. Can see why the sharpies like Atlanta, as the Redskins are an absolute mess right now and the Mike Shanahan relationship with RGIII is something out of a bad soap opera."

Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns - Open: -2, Move: +1

The Bears are another team with some changes under center in Week 15. Despite playing incredibly well, Josh McCown will be holding the clipboard as Jay Cutler returns to run Marc Trestman's offense.

"On Wednesday, we got sharp play on Chicago +2 so moved to Browns -1," Perry says. "Then on Thursday, when it was announced that Cutler would start, the line moved two points to Bears -1. Seventy-nine percent of cash is backing Chicago."

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins - Open: +3, Move: +1

While the Patriots can clinch the AFC East crown with a victory in Miami, there still remains questions about just how good they actually are. Add to that the fact that TE Rob Gronkowski is out for the rest of the season and sharps have come in to back the home Dolphins.

"They (Patriots) have won a couple of close, controversial games, and now are without Gronk," Perry said. "On Wednesday afternoon, we got sharp play on the Fins +3, so moved to Pats -2. Thursday another sharp play game on Miami, so moved to current number of NE -1. Sixty percent of cash is on the Patriots."

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:19 PM
English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

League leaders Arsenal were shellacked 6-3 to Manchester City and the gap at the top of the table has shrunk. Sunday's fixture list is highlighted by a pair of clubs that will look to move closer to the Gunners as seventh-placed Tottenham host fifth-placed Liverpool.

We talk to Aron Black of Bet365 about the action coming in on some of Sunday's hottest fixtures.

Norwich v Swansea (+180, +230, +175)

Why bet Norwich: With the way they have played, it's hard to believe that a win versus Swansea could put the Canaries in the top 10 (depending on Aston Villa's result). The side has been playing reasonably well and is coming off a very good 2-0 away-victory over West Brom.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett, Robert Snodgrass, Alexander Tettey, Anthony Pilkington

Why bet Swansea: With seven points in their last four matches, we are beginning to see the Swans play up to the standard we've expected the past couple of seasons. They currently sit 10th in the table but are the top club in terms of possession. The Swans hold the ball at a fantastic rate of 59.7 percent.

Key players out/doubtful: Angel Rangel, Leon Britton, Álvaro

2012-13 fixture result: Norwich 2, Swansea 2

Key betting note: Swansea and Norwich have played over the 2.5 goal total in their last five meetings (all competitions).


Aston Villa v Manchester United (+375, +275, -120)

Why bet Aston Villa: The Villains were playing well, but suffered an embarrassing 2-0 loss to Fulham at Craven Cottage last time out. The side has been erratic from the outset, but still sit just three points behind Sunday's opponent. History is certainly not on their side, however, as Villa has won just once in the last 35 league matches with the Red Devils.

Key players out/doubtful: Fabian Delph, Charles N'Zogbia, Jores Okore

Why bet Manchester United: Wayne Rooney is back after a suspension, but Robin Van Persie will miss about one month with a thigh injury. Rooney has excelled playing in the slot behind the striker, but will more than likely lead the line for United here. Shinji Kagawa could feature in the No. 10 role, but if United is to collect three points, it will be Rooney who is key.

Key players out/doubtful: Robin van Persie, Michael Carrick, Darren Fletcher

2012-13 fixture result: Aston Villa 2, Manchester United 3

Key betting note: United have scored at least two goals in its last four Premier League matches away from Old Trafford.

Where the action is: "The pressure on David Moyes is showing, and he finds himself having to defend all sorts of criticism, but this is the job he took, and this is the reality of a big club like Man United’s expectations. At the prices, its hard to see how Man United are odds on faves, however, many would look to the adage that United have only ever lost 3 games in a row in the prem 3 times, and not since 2001, so most are taking the view that backing Unitedd is worthy given that stat. Action is largely two-way, with Villa seeing some good support at +375, but United is seeing more than six times that at -120. Rooney leads the First Goalscorer market at +350, and To Score Anytime at +105, with Christian Benteke priced at +600 and +188 respectively. Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals sees mostly over action at -118."


Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool (+145, +250, +200)

Why bet Tottenham: Spurs are back in decent form after posting back-to-back losses to Newcastle and Manchester City. They've drawn one and won twice in their last three matches and this matchup versus the Reds at White Hart Lane could tell us just what this Spurs team is all about. They seemingly have Liverpool's number at the Lane recently, posting six victories in seven matches on home turf.

Key players out/doubtful: Jan Vertonghen, Younes Kaboul, Emmanuel Adebayor

Why be Liverpool: After Man City, nobody scores more than the Reds. They've won their last two games by a combined scoreline of 9-2 and superstar Luis Suárez is playing some of the best football on the planet. The Uruguayan has 15 goals in just 10 Premier League appearances this season and each goal seems to be of the highest quality. The Reds will be well rested with no European football this season and despite Tottenham's success versus the Reds at White Hart Lane, Spurs are not very good at home this season. They have just 11 points from seven home games on the campaign.

Key players out/doubtful: José Enrique, Steven Gerrard, Daniel Sturridge

2012-13 fixture result: Tottenham 2, Liverpool 1

Key betting note: 17 of Liverpool's previous 20 away matches have gone over the 2.5 goal total.

Where the action is: "The day's marquee game sees a Spurs side who were struggling somewhat a few weeks ago, but have since had a good draw against Man United and wins at both Fulham and Sunderland to put them back in the race for the top 4. Action is pretty split down the middle for either side to win, with bits and pieces on the Draw. Goalscorer markets are firmly siding with Suarez to continue his amazing 15 goal tally from only 10 Premier League games, although Liverpool are underdogs for the match, Suarez is leading the betting to be First Goalscorer at +450 and To Score Anytime at 13/10. For Spurs, with his recent Hat Trick, Roberto Soldado also sees action at +500 First and +150 Anytime."

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:20 PM
Mark Lawrence NFL

4* Pittsburgh

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:20 PM
Indian Cowboy
7-Unit Play. #305. Take Washington Redskins +7 over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm est).

3-Unit Play. #316. Take Cleveland Browns +1.5 over Chicago Bears (Sunday @ 1pm est).

3-Unit Play. #334. Take Detroit Lions -6 over Baltimore Ravens (Monday @ 8:40pm est).

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:21 PM
IveyWalters

Best Bet for Sunday

3% Arizona Cardinals -2.5 (-120)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:22 PM
NFL Weather Report Sunday's Forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your NFL bets for Sunday's matchups:

*** Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (+6.5, 41.5)

There will be a 25 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph. Temperatures will be in the high-30s.

*** Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (Pick, 44)

There is a 47 percent chance of snow in the forecast with temperatures in the mid-20s. Wind will blow toward the NE endzone at 16 mph.

*** Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5, 43)

There is an 89 percent chance of rain in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with wind blowing across the field at 11 mph.

*** New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (+1, 45.5)

Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 25 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 8 mph.

*** San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5, 41)

Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 52 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow across the field at 8 mph.

*** Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (41.5, 4.5)

Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.

*** New York Jets at Carolina Panthers (-11, 40.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-40s with clear skies. Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 7 mph.

*** Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans (+2.5, 41.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with partly cloudy skies.

*** Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5, 41.5)

Temperatures will be in the low-20s with a 22 percent chance of snow. Wind will whip across the field at 13 mph.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:22 PM
Seahawks at Giants What bettors need to know

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (+6.5, 41.5)

The Seattle Seahawks take a second stab at wrapping up the NFC West crown when they visit the New York Giants on Sunday. Seattle had a seven-game winning streak snapped by division rival San Francisco last weekend and can also move closer to clinching home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with a win over the Giants. New York is a disappointing 5-8 and was eliminated from playoff contention when it was routed by San Diego last Sunday.

Giants defensive end Justin Tuck has seven sacks over the past three games and is insisting he and his teammates won’t be wallowing in despair with nothing to play for against the Seahawks. “The last thing you want to be is embarrassed,” Tuck said after Wednesday’s practice. “And this is a team that, if you’re not ready to play, they will embarrass you … and then laugh at you about it.” Seattle will be missing a couple key defensive pieces as linebacker K.J. Wright broke his right foot in the loss to the 49ers and cornerback Brandon Browner (groin) will sit out for the fourth consecutive game.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Seattle opened as a 7-point road fave and is now -6.5. The total opened 41.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-30s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field at 14 mph.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (11-2): Seattle was hoping receiver Percy Harvin (hip) might play for the second time this season but it is looking unlikely. “He just hasn’t quite gotten over the hump,” coach Pete Carroll said on Wednesday. “He has a lot of new movement in that hip that he hasn’t had before and he’s trying to become accustomed to that.” Quarterback Russell Wilson (23 touchdowns, seven interceptions) is excelling and standout running back Marshawn Lynch ranks fifth in the NFL with 1,042 yards. Star cornerback Richard Sherman (four interceptions) hasn’t picked off a pass since Oct. 28 against St. Louis.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (5-8): Quarterback Eli Manning (3,254 yards, 16 touchdowns) shares the NFL interception lead of 20 with rookie Geno Smith of the Jets and has gone eight consecutive games without reaching 300 yards. He’s also painfully aware that his struggles are a big part of the reason why New York will miss out on the postseason for the second straight campaign. “I thought we were prepared to have a big year and do some good things,” Manning said. “It was just tough. We had some opportunities to win some games that we didn’t – that were very close and definitely within reach in the fourth quarter and we didn’t take advantage of those opportunities.”

TRENDS:
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Seahawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. NFC.
* Over is 6-2 in Giants last eight home games.

EXTRA POINTS:
1. Seattle is tied for second with 28 takeaways, while New York has committed an NFL-high 34 turnovers.

2. Giants WR Victor Cruz had eight receptions for 161 yards and a touchdown when the teams met in 2011 – a game the Seahawks won 36-25.

3. The Seahawks rank first in total defense (287.1) and second in scoring defense (15.8).

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:23 PM
Patriots at Dolphins What bettors need to know

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (+1, 45.5)

The New England Patriots will begin life without Rob Gronkowski for the second time this season as they attempt to clinch their fifth consecutive AFC East title and 10th in 11 years on Sunday when they visit the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots have rallied in each of their last three contests to post a dramatic victory - including last week's stirring 27-26 triumph over Cleveland despite seeing their star tight end suffer a gruesome season-ending knee injury. New England also played the comeback card in the first meeting with Miami, overcoming a two-touchdown halftime deficit en route to a 27-17 victory on Oct. 27.

The lone hiccup in the Patriots' divisional dominance came in 2008, when the Dolphins seized the title. Fast forward to the present, Miami has won two in a row and four of six to keep pace with Baltimore (7-6) for the AFC's final postseason berth - although the Ravens won a head-to-head contest earlier in the season. The Dolphins eclipsed the 30-point plateau for the first time in last week's 34-28 victory over Pittsburgh.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Miami opened +2.5 and is now +1. The total opened 45.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 25 percent chance of rain.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (10-3): Coach Bill Belichick was matter of fact when discussing the loss of Gronkowski, saying that "We've played a lot more of this season without him than with him." New England's offense sputtered a bit as it adjusted to his initial absence, which lasted the first six weeks of the campaign following offseason surgeries on his forearm and back. Tom Brady will likely need to continue to lean on wideout Julian Edelman (team-leading 76 receptions) as well as Shane Vereen and the running game to counteract the loss of his Pro Bowl tight end.

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (7-6): Despite being sacked a league-high 47 times, Ryan Tannehill has steadily improved and matched a career best with three touchdown passes last week versus the Steelers. Versatile tight end Charles Clay reeled in two to extend his team lead to seven in that department and has seven catches in each of the last two contests. Clay, who had five receptions against New England in the first meeting, has 678 yards receiving for the second-best total by a Miami tight end since Randy McMichael (791, 2004).

TRENDS:
* Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Patriots last six vs. AFC East.

EXTRA POINTS:
1. Miami RB Lamar Miller cleared the league's concussion protocol and is line to play versus New England. Miller rolled up 89 yards on 18 carries in the teams' first meeting.

2. The Patriots have won seven straight against the Dolphins, but just seven of their last 13 meetings in South Beach under Belichick's watch.

3. Miami speedy WR Mike Wallace will likely be matched up with New England CB Aqib Talib, who is nursing a hip injury.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:23 PM
Essential Betting Tidbits for Week 15 of NFL football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Sunday's NFL action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- Seattle's ballhawking defense will be licking its chops Sunday. The Seahawks are tied for second in the league with 28 takeaways, while their opponent - the New York Giants - lead the league with 34 turnovers.

- The Chicago Bears have troubles traveling to Cleveland. They've lost their last four visits at the Browns.

- In his last four games, Browns WR Josh Gordon has registered a mind-boggling 774 yards receiving.

- The Indianapolis Colts will look to keep the tradition of beating the Houston Texans at home. The Colts have are 11-0 all time against the Texans.

- Wade Phillips tipped Case Keenum to start versus Indy despite being pulled against the Jags. Keenum threw for a career-high 350 yards and three TDs versus the Colts in the previous meeting.

- The Jacksonville Jaguars have won three-straight games and have stopped turning the ball over. The Jags were minus-7 in the turnover department during their 0-8 start but are plus-five over the last five games.

- Courtesy of @ATSstats - When the Buffalo Bills played as a road fave in the month of December, they are 8-2 SU since 1996. Buffalo is -2.5 at Jacksonville Sunday.

- The Patriots have won seven straight against the Dolphins, but just seven of their last 13 meetings in South Beach under Belichick's watch.

- Dolphins RB Lamar Miller has struggled all season long, but had one of his best games in the first meeting with New England. jiller rushed for 89 yards on 18 carries in the 27-17 loss.

- Sunday's matchup between the Eagles and Vikings features two of the most talented backs in the NFL in Adrian Peterson and LeSean McCoy. Peterson (who is questionable) rushed for only 13 yards before exiting the game versus the Ravens last week, while McCoy rumbled in the snow for 217 in the 34-20 win over the Lions.

- Kirk Cousins will start at QB for the Redskins. The second-year pro is 12-of-25 for 107 yards and two picks in two appearances this season.

- Falcons QB Matt Ryan should look to TE Tony Gonzalez Sunday. Gonzalez had 13 catches for 123 yards and TD in last years meeting with the Redskins.

- The 49ers have cashed in for bettors while on the road this season. The Niners are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games (5-1 ATS on the road this season). San Fran is a 5-point road fave at Tampa Bay Sunday.

- Bucs linebacker Lavonte David is the only player in the league with at least 100 tackles, five interceptions and five sacks.

- The Oakland Raiders have the best rushing attack in the AFC with 134.4 yards per game.

- The Raiders host the Chiefs Sunday, where the Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings. Sunday's total is currently 41.5.

- Carolina's defense is tough. But at home is on another level. The Panthers have allowed just five touchdowns in six home games this season.

- Such stats do not bode well for the poor New York Jets and QB Geno Smith. Smith has thrown for a combined 230 yards and five interceptions in his last two road games.

- Since Oct 1., Packers RB Eddie Lacy ranks third in the NFL with 836 rushing yards.

- The Cowboys are 11-4 in the last 15 matchups with the Green Bay Packers and are 6.5-point faves at home Sunday.

- New Orleans averages just 18.8 points on the road compared to 32.9 at home. Saints are 6.5-point faves at St. Louis Sunday.

- The Rams offense has been feeble of late, scoring just 23 points during a two-game losing skid.

- The Arizona Cardinals are tied for the best ATS record in the NFL at 9-4. They are tied with fellow NFC West teams Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers.

- The Titans are looking to avoid their first five-game home losing streak since 1996, when the franchise was still based in Houston.

- Bengals QB Andy Dalton has a QB rating of just 67.8 in five games versus the Steelers.

- The Steelers are 3-1 ATS against AFC North teams this season. They are 1.5-point home dogs against Cincy Sunday night.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:23 PM
Bio Sports Picks

NFL
3* Dolphins (pk)
3* Steelers +2
4* Ravens +6 (Monday)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:24 PM
Today's NFL Picks



SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (12/12)


Game 305-306: Washington at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.047; Atlanta 126.751
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 7; 51
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Over


Game 307-308: San Francisco at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 142.470; Tampa Bay 131.314
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 11; 37
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5; 41
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-5); Under


Game 309-310: Arizona at Tennessee (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 132.556; Tennessee 132.635
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Over


Game 311-312: New Orleans at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 134.416; St. Louis 140.301
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6; 51
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+6); Over


Game 313-314: Seattle at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 142.642; NY Giants 130.535
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 12; 36
Vegas Line: Seattle by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7); Under


Game 315-316: Chicago at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 132.426; Cleveland 126.851
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 5 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 1; 45
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1); Over


Game 317-318: Houston at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.312; Indianapolis 131.029
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-5 1/2); Under


Game 319-320: Buffalo at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 123.571; Jacksonville 128.856
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+2); Over


Game 321-322: New England at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 139.322; Miami 134.553
Dunkel Line: New England by 5; 42
Vegas Line: New England by 2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-2); Under


Game 323-324: Philadelphia at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 138.210; Minnesota 127.647
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 10 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 4 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-4 1/2); Under


Game 325-326: NY Jets at Carolina (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 127.040; Carolina 134.622
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Carolina by 11 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+11 1/2); Over


Game 327-328: Kansas City at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 136.353; Oakland 124.880
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 11 1/2;
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 4; 41
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-4);


Game 329-330: Green Bay at Dallas (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 125.583; Dallas 130.491
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 5; 54
Vegas Line: Dallas by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+7); Over


Game 331-332: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 138.329; Pittsburgh 134.436
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4; 36
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-2 1/2); Under





MONDAY, DECEMBER 16
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (12/12)


Game 333-334: Baltimore at Detroit (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.418; Detroit 133.189
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Detroit by 6; 48
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+6); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:25 PM
Prediction Machine
Indy -6 58.3
Cle -1 57.7
Phi -4.5 57.3

Oak o41 57.7

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:26 PM
Sixth Sense

Chargers +10
Texans +6
Vikings +4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:26 PM
Pointspreadpros
Week 15 TOP Plays (12-7-1 last 8 weeks, 20-22-1 YTD)


CAROLINA -11
Baltimore +6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:26 PM
NC Power Sweep Newsletter selections:


College
2* under Army/Navy


NFL
4* Kansas City by 13 over OAKLAND
3* CAROLINA by 17 over New York Jets
2* Arizona by 7 over TENNESSEE


Power Rating Play - INDIANAPOLIS over Houston
Angle Plays (all 3 angles) - San Francisco, ATLANTA, CAROLINA, INDIANAPOLIS


Totals:
3* over Washington/ATLANTA
3* under New York Jets/CAROLINA
3* over Arizona/TENNESSEE
2* under Seattle/ NY GIANTS
2* under Kansas City/OAKLAND


Note: CAPITAL letters indicate home team

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:27 PM
Alex Smart

San Fran-5
Houston/Indy over 45.5
Jacksonville+2
Kansas City-3.5
Arizona/Tennessee over 41.5
Cinci/Pittsburgh over 40.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:27 PM
Phil Steele Inside the Pressbox NFL Best Bets [Note: nowhere as good as CFB they are 4-5-1 YTD]

Arizona
New England
Eagles
Carolina
Kansas City

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:27 PM
Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Arizona at Tennessee (Sunday 12/15 4:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 41.5 (-110) at bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/)

The Arizona Cardinals are a surprising 8-5, and although Carson Palmer takes some heat for a too many errant throws, he has added a bundle to the offense on this team. Last season, the Cardinals produced 20 points or more in a game just one time in their last 12 contests. This season they have done so 11 times through 13 games, including each of the last nine. Ryan Fitzpatrick has started the last five games for the Titans, and has produced 23 points or more in four of them, so I think the low total here is in considerable jeopardy. Both of these teams appear to be destined for 20 points or more, and Arizona is an amazing 66-29-1 in their last 86 after gaining over 350 yards in their previous game. The Titans are 7-0 to the OVER after allowing 350 or more in their previous game. Make the play on the OVER.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:27 PM
Goodfella

3* Miami Dolphins

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:28 PM
Betting Line Moves

J'ville Over 43

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 07:28 PM
Jimmy Boyd:

5* Bills -1
4* Colts -5.5
3* Eagles -4.5
3* Panthers -11
3* Bengals -3
3* Lions -6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 09:55 PM
2Halves2Win:

(GAME: 1*): Bills -3 (+100: Risking 1.00 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
(GAME: 1*): Browns PK (+100: Risking 1.00 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
(GAME: 2*): Bears-Browns o43 (-110: Risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
(GAME: 1*): Dolphins PK (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 09:56 PM
Point Train's NFL Best Bet - Sunday, December 159-Unit-#323 Philadelphia (-5.5) over Minnesota– 12:00 PM CST

The Eagles are in must-win mode. They have a one game lead on the Cowboys in the NFC East with Dallas owning the tie-breaker (one game remaining with the Cowboys) so staying ahead of the Cowboys is at the utmost importance right now. Philly’s offense has caught fire over the 2ndhalf of the season in Chip Kelly’s scheme. The Eagles have won five straight games, averaging 31.6 PPG and +13.6 average margin of victory (4-1 ATS). This will be this speedy offenses first game in a dome this season and we’re excited to see what this offense can do on a fast turf. That’s a huge advantage for RB McCoy (NFL’s leading rusher) and speedsters DeSean Jackson and Riley Cooper at WR. Expect a lot of fireworks from this offense on Sunday. Minnesota star RB Adrian Peterson will not be able to go in this game. Peterson was averaging 127 rush YPG over the last five (with four touchdowns) before injuring his foot against Baltimore last week. Backup RB Gerhart has looked good in relief duty for Peterson, but he is a major step down in overall talent and even he is nursing a hamstring injury (questionable for Sunday’s game). If neither can go, Matt Asiata will get the start. Asiata has just three rushing attempts in his two year career. That’s going to put a lot of extra pressure on QB Matt Cassel – who will start in place of Christian Ponder. Cassel has completed just 52% of his passes the last two weeks against Chicago and Baltimore – two defenses not known for their pass defense this year. More bad injury news for the Vikings: starting TE John Carlson and both starting CB’s are both questionable for Sunday. Philly’s high-octane offense has been on fire lately and it should see a ton of big plays against this already porous defense without two starting CB’s. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU & ATS in road games this year while the Vikes are 3-3 SU & ATS at home – so there’s no real homefield advantage here for Minnesota. Take Philly on the road minus the points.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 09:56 PM
Maximum Football -
Sunday 15* NFL Over/Under Game of the Year - Dec. 1515* #309/310 'OVER 41.5' Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans 4:25 PM CT

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 09:57 PM
BEST Football - Sunday, Dec.1510* Philadelphia -5 over Minnesota

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 09:57 PM
Nelly's Football - Sunday NFL - Dec. 151* #308 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 over San Francisco 49ers 12:00 PM CT1* #310 Tennessee Titans +3 over Arizona Cardinals 3:25 PM CT1* #312 St. Louis Rams +6.5/+7 over New Orleans Saints 3:25 PM CT(+7 is available at some outlets, you may consider waiting for the line to potentially rise to +7 if it is not currently available to you as we'll likelybe in the action minority on this game).

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:03 PM
Players NFL *8* Sunday OVER in Atlanta on 15 DecemberScott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Atlantavs. Washington @ 1:00 p.m. ETThe Atlanta Falcons host the Washington Redskins Sunday afternoon. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on OVER in Atlanta with his Five-Factor Analysis: 1. The Redskins have bailed on their season, and their head coach is trying to get fired. Nothing says Washington is trying to finish strong or save face on defense. 2. Washington allows 256.7 yards passing per game, and meets Falcons QB Matt Ryan, who is trying to finish a disappointing season on a high note. 3. The Redskins have benched Robert Griffin III and will close out the schedule with Kirk Cousin under center – not necessarily a bad thing. Griffin has been terrible this season and Cousins is a better pocket passer who could spark the offense. 4. Atlanta is a much different team inside the Georgia Dome, averaging 22.7 points and posting a 4-2 O/U record at home. 5. The Redskins still have a potent ground game behind RB Alfred Morris. He should bully the Falcons defense Sunday, with Atlanta allowing 133.6 yards rushing per game – 30th in the NFL.Play on OVER in Atlanta as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.Good luck,


Scott.Players NFL *10* Sunday OVER in St. Louis on 15 DecemberScott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* (Top Play) OVER in St. Louisvs. New Orleans @ 4:25 p.m. ETThe St. Louis Rams host the New Orleans Saints Sunday afternoon. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on OVER in St. Louis with his Five-Factor Analysis: 1. New Orleans has one of the most potent offensive attacks in the NFL, scoring 26.4 points per game. While the Saints production has dropped away from the Big Easy, they aren’t facing the elements in St. Louis. Instead, playing on the fast turf track of the Edward Jones Dome. 2. St. Louis is one of the best Over bets in the NFL, going 9-4 O/U including a 5-1 O/U record at home. 3. While everyone focuses on the Saints home/away difference on offense, they overlook the drop in defensive production. New Orleans is giving up 22.5 points per road game, compared to only 15.4 points per home stand. 4. St. Louis is also a big home/road split, scoring 24 points per home stand against just 20.7 on the road. The Rams managed to score a combined 23 points their last two games – both on the road – but hung 42 points on the Bears in their most recent home game. 5. The Over has paid out in seven of the last nine meetings between the Rams and Saints.Play on OVER in St. Louis as a 10* Top Selection Sunday.Good luck,



Scott.Players NFL *8* Sunday OVER in Tampa Bay on 15 DecemberScott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Tampa Bayvs. San Francisco @ 1:00 p.m. ETThe San Francisco 49ers cross the country to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on OVER in Tampa Bay with his Five-Factor Analysis: 1. San Francisco has been at its best offensively on the road, where it scores 26.3 points per road game – fifth highest in the NFL. 2. The Niners will not be taking the Bucs lightly, after Tampa Bay picked up its fourth win in the past five games over Buffalo last weekend. San Francisco will come at the Bucs with everything they’ve got. 3. Rookie QB Mike Glennon has led the Buccaneers offense to average 28.5 points in each of those four wins, however, needed help from RB Bobby Rainey, who has stepped up as a threat on the ground. 4. The Bucs have leaned toward the Over when facing NFC completion, posting a 5-2 O/U count in their last six conference games. 5. Tampa Bay will have star WR Vincent Jackson back in action after he missed practice with a hamstring injury this week. Jackson has over 1,000 yards receiving and six TDs catches on the year.Play on OVER in Tampa Bay as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.Good luck, Scott.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:25 PM
From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030). 500K AFC South Lock/Year
the Indianapolis Colts -5 over
the Houston Texans
Best Bets
the Jacksonville Jaguars +2½ over
the Buffalo Bills
the NY Giants +7 over
the Seattle Seahawks
the Cleveland Browns +1 over
the Chicago Bears
the New England Patriots Pk over
the Miami Dolphins
Back After 11:00AM On Monday

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:26 PM
From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030).
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the San Francisco 49ers -5 over
the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Back After 11:00AM Monday

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:26 PM
From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030). 500K Sunday Night Parlay
the Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ over
the Cincinnati Bengals
the Cincinnati/Pittsburgh Game OVER
the Total Of 41½ Points
Best Bets
the Oakland Raiders +5 over
the Kansas City Chiefs
the New Orleans Saints -6 over
the St Louis Rams
the Dallas Cowboys -6½ over
the Green Bay Packers
Back After 11:00AM Monday

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:26 PM
From Platinum Plays (http://www.therxforum.com/handicapper.asp?serviceID=8030). PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Carolina Panthers -10 Over
the NY Jets
Back After 11:00AM Monday!!

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:45 PM
Sunday's NFL Week 15 betting cheat sheet: Early action

Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons (-7, 49.5)

Robert Griffin III will be on the sidelines Sunday afternoon when the Redskins visit the Atlanta Falcons. The quarterback has been benched for poor play - and while much of the focus has been on Griffin's shortcomings in his sophomore season, and the 38 sacks the once-mobile quarterback has taken, the defense has been a much bigger problem. Washington is tied for 22nd in total defense and last in the league in scoring, allowing 31.3 points per game.

Atlanta's precipitous fall from NFC South champion to conference bottom-feeder can be blamed on its play in the trenches - the Falcons rank 30th in the league in rushing offense and rushing defense. They've topped 100 yards on the ground only three times while allowing triple digits in 10 straight games. Ryan (3,677 yards, 21 TDs) is in line for his third straight 4,000-yard season but also his lowest quarterback rating since 2009.

LINE: Atlanta opened as a 6-point fave, but has been bet up to -7. The total is down 1.5 points to 49.5.
WEATHER: N/A.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Washington (+7.5) - Atlanta (+5.5) + home field (-3.0) = Falcons -5
TRENDS:

* Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.
* Over is 6-2 in Atlanta's last eight home games.


Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (EVEN, 43)

The Chicago Bears will have their starting quarterback in the lineup when they visit the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. Jay Cutler was cleared to practice at full speed on Wednesday and coach Marc Trestman on Thursday announced that he will start against Cleveland. He'll take over for Josh McCown, who threw for 348 yards Monday in a performance that earned him NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors.

Cleveland was on the verge of snapping its losing streak last Sunday before allowing two touchdowns in the final 61 seconds en route to a 27-26 loss at New England. The setback, their seventh in eight games, assured the Browns of their sixth consecutive losing season. Quarterback Brandon Weeden (concussion) practiced on Wednesday but remains questionable to serve as Jason Campbell's backup on Sunday.

LINE: The line has held steady at even-money, with the total down to 43 from the opening 45.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with a 45 percent chance of snow and wind blowing out of the west at 14 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Chicago (-1.5) + Cleveland (+6.0) - home field (-3.0) = Bears -4.5
TRENDS:

* Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing fewer than 150 passing yards in their previous game.
* Browns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Over is 11-2 in Chicago's last 13 Sunday games following a Monday nighter.


Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-5, 45.5)

Houston quarterback Quarterback Case Keenum was one of those who appeared to be bothered by the pressure in a lackluster performance against the Jaguars that saw him benched in the third quarter, but the second-year pro was given the nod by interim head coach Wade Phillips to end the season under center. Keenum threw for a career-high 350 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions in the prior meeting.

The Colts gave up 155 rushing yards against the Bengals last week and rank 29th overall in run defense, a troubling scenario for a team that hopes to have success in the postseason. Coupled with an inability at times to get off the field on third down - opponents are successful 40.5 percent of the time - Indianapolis has struggled to control the clock, also ranking 29th in time of possession.

LINE: Indianapolis has dropped a point to -5, while the total is also down a half-point to 45.5.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Houston (+6.5) + Indianapolis (-1.0) + home field (-3.0) = Colts -10.5
TRENDS:

* Texans are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games.
* Colts are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.


New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (+1, 45.5)

The New England Patriots will begin life without Rob Gronkowski for the second time this season as they attempt to clinch their fifth consecutive AFC East title and 10th in 11 years. New England's offense sputtered a bit as it adjusted to his initial absence, which lasted the first six weeks of the campaign following offseason surgeries on his forearm and back. Tom Brady will likely need to continue to lean on wideout Julian Edelman (team-leading 76 receptions).

Despite being sacked a league-high 47 times, Ryan Tannehill has steadily improved and matched a career best with three touchdown passes last week versus the Steelers. Versatile tight end Charles Clay reeled in two to extend his team lead to seven in that department and has seven catches in each of the last two contests. Clay has 678 yards receiving for the second-best total by a Miami tight end since Randy McMichael (791, 2004).

LINE: Miami is a 1-point dog after opening at +2.5. The total is set at 45.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with cloudy skies and wind blowing across the width of the field at 6 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New England (-5.0) + Miami (+0.5) - home field (-3.0) = Patriots -2.5
TRENDS:

* Patriots are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. AFC opponents.
* Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Miami's last eight games vs. AFC East foes.


Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings (+5.5, 51)

The Eagles did not score a single point during the fourth quarter in any of the first four games of their five-game winning streak, but they erupted for 28 fourth-quarter points against the Lions last Sunday. Nick Foles (NFL-leading 120.0 quarterback rating) threw for a touchdown and rushed for another last week, but his near-record run ended at 19 touchdowns before throwing his first interception of the season.

Minnesota and Baltimore exchanged leads six times in the fourth quarter, including five lead changes in the final 2:05, before the Vikings fell on Joe Flacco's touchdown pass to Marlon Brown with four seconds left. Minnesota has allowed the third-most passing yards in the NFL, although defensive end Brian Robison has done a nice job pressuring the quarterback of late, recording six sacks in his last six games.

LINE: Minnesota has dropped to a 5.5-point dog after opening at +4. The total is down a half-point to 51.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Philadelphia (-4.0) + Minnesota (+5.0) - home field (-3.0) = Eagles -6
TRENDS:

* Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Week 15 games.
* Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.


Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (+7, 41.5)

Seattle was hoping receiver Percy Harvin (hip) might play for the second time this season but it is looking unlikely. “He just hasn’t quite gotten over the hump,” coach Pete Carroll said on Wednesday. Quarterback Russell Wilson (23 touchdowns, seven interceptions) is excelling and standout running back Marshawn Lynch ranks fifth in the NFL with 1,042 yards. Star cornerback Richard Sherman (four interceptions) hasn’t picked off a pass since Oct. 28.

Quarterback Eli Manning (3,254 yards, 16 touchdowns) shares the NFL interception lead of 20 with rookie Geno Smith of the Jets and has gone eight consecutive games without reaching 300 yards. He’s also painfully aware that his struggles are a big part of the reason why New York will miss out on the postseason for the second straight campaign.

LINE: The Giants are holding as a 7-point dog, with the total set at 41.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the width of the field at 14 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Seattle (-8.0) + New York (+2.0) - home field (-3.0) = Seahawks -7
TRENDS:

* Seahawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the NFC.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.


San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5, 41)

Defense has keyed the turnaround for San Francisco, which allowed an average of 28 points in its first three games but has yielded 13 per game while going 8-2 over its last 10. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick continues to put up modest numbers, but he has been picked off only once in his last three games and has his top wideout back in Michael Crabtree, who has six catches in his first two contests since returning from an Achilles injury.

Tampa Bay forced five turnovers against the Bills to overcome an ugly performance by rookie quarterback Mike Glennon, who threw for a season-low 90 yards and two interceptions. With their top two running backs out for the season, Bobby Rainey rushed for 127 yards and a touchdown last week - although most of it came on an 80-yard scoring run - and Vincent Jackson hauled in his sixth TD reception of the season.

LINE: Tampa Bay has remained a 5-point dog. The total is down a half-point to 41.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 45 percent chance of showers.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: San Francisco (-6.5) - Tampa Bay (+4.0) - home field (-3.0) = 49ers -7.5
TRENDS:

* 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. teams with losing records.
* Buccaneers are 13-28-1 ATS in their last 42 home games.
* The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.


Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5, 42.5)

Buffalo boasts one of the top rushing games in the league with Fred Jackson (645 yards, seven TDs) and C.J. Spiller (678 yards, two TDs) sharing the load. Quarterback play has been an issue thanks to injuries and the inconsistent performance of rookie EJ Manuel, who hit bottom with four interceptions last week. The defense has given up a lot of yardage, but the front four is strong and has led Buffalo to an NFL-best 44 sacks.

Jacksonville has outgained only one opponent all season and the offense ranks last in total yards and scoring, but a resurgent ground game has led an improved effort during the winning streak. That progress could be in jeopardy with star running back Maurice Jones-Drew (hamstring) looking like a game-time decision and unproven Jordan Todman in line to start in his place.

LINE: Jacksonville opened as a two-point dog and is now +2.5, with the total down from 43.5 to 42.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 69 percent chance of rain.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Buffalo (+5.0) - Jacksonville (+5.5) + home field (-3.0) = Jaguars -2.5
TRENDS:

* Bills are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
* Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. the AFC.
* Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:46 PM
Sunday's NFL Week 15 betting cheat sheet: Late action

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+4.5, 41.5)

Kansas City has turned in four straight solid offensive performances, averaging 384.5 total yards over that span, but the banged-up defense struggled during the three-game skid. The defense returned to form with a dominant effort against Washington and could get linebacker Justin Houston (11 sacks) back from an elbow injury this week. Despite the three-game hiccup, the Chiefs allow an AFC-best 17.2 points per game.

Oakland is sticking with Matt McGloin at quarterback as the undrafted rookie has compiled a respectable 88.7 rating with 957 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions in four games as the starter. The Raiders likely will mix in some plays for quarterback Terrelle Pryor, who adds another element to the AFC's best rushing attack at 134.4 yards per game.

ODDS: Oakland opened as a 3.5-point dog but has been bet down to +4.5. The total is up a half-point to 41.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Kansas City (-2.5) + Oakland (+5.5) - home field (-3.0) = Raiders -5
TRENDS:

* Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Raiders are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.
* Under is 8-1-1 in Oakland's last 10 home games.


New York Jets at Carolina Panthers (-10.5, 40.5)

Rookie quarterback Geno Smith appeared headed for a benching after a wretched three-game stretch in which he threw zero touchdowns and six interceptions, but he bounced back with a solid effort in the win against Oakland, posting his highest passer rating since Oct. 7. Running back Chris Ivory is averaging 81.8 yards and has rushed for three TDs in the past five games.

Although Panthers quarterback Cam Newton threw for only 160 yards last week - his lowest total since the season opener - he provides a dual threat with an average of 57.3 yards rushing in the past four. Greg Hardy leads a defense that is fourth in the league with 41 sacks. The Panthers can clinch a playoff berth with a win and losses by San Francisco, Arizona and Dallas.

ODDS: Carolina has held steady as an 11-point fave, with the over/under set at 40 1/2.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New York (+4.5) + Carolina (-4.5) + home field (-3.0) = Panthers -12
TRENDS:

* Jets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
* Panthers are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs. teams with losing records.
* Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.


Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5, 49)

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers' status is up in the air for this weekend's clash in Dallas, although Packers backup Matt Flynn could expect to have some success against the Cowboys, given how Dallas' defense has played of late. Green Bay could be in for a long day against Dallas running back DeMarco Murray, as the Packers rank 25th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed.

Tony Romo has thrown more touchdowns than interceptions in each of his last six games, racking up 12 scores and two picks during that stretch. Surprisingly, standout tight end Jason Witten only has 10 total receptions over the last four games and has surpassed 53 receiving yards just once in his last eight contests. The Cowboys are 1-2 against the NFC North this season.

ODDS: The Cowboys opened as 6.5-point faves. The total opened at 49.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Green Bay (+5.3) + Dallas (-2.0) + home field (-3.0) = Cowboys -10.3
TRENDS:

* Packers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 December games.
* Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. teams with losing records.
* Favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.


New Orleans Saints at St. Louis Rams (+6.5, 47.5)

Saints quarterback Drew Brees (4,107 yards, 33 touchdowns) went over the 4,000-yard passing mark for the eighth consecutive season during a standout performance against the Panthers in which he passed for 313 yards and four touchdowns. What stood out more to Brees when he dissected his recent strong play with reporters this week is that he has thrown just one interception over the past five games.

St. Louis has scored just 23 points during a two-game losing streak after scoring 80 in two victories that preceded the setbacks. Running back Zac Stacy (721 yards) has exceeded expectations and needs a strong finish to join Eric Dickerson (1983) and Jerome Bettis (1993) as the only rookies in franchise history to record 1,000-yard seasons. Defensive end Robert Quinn ranks second in the NFL with 13 sacks.

ODDS: The Rams opened +5.5, but the line has been bet up a point to 6.5. The total is up 1-point to 47.5.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New Orleans (-6.0) + St. Louis (+3.5) - home field (-3.0) = Saints -6.5
TRENDS:

* Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games on turf.
* Rams are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. teams with winning road records.
* Over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in St. Louis.


Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans (+2.5, 41.5)

Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer did not practice leading up to last week's game versus St. Louis, but he overcame an ailing elbow to throw for 269 yards and a TD in the 30-10 rout. Palmer has curbed his turnover-prone ways in the past four games, throwing for eight touchdowns against two interceptions despite a running game that ranks 26th at 90.2 yards per game.

Tennessee surrendered an NFL-worst 471 points last season and the defensive woes have resurfaced in the past month, with opponents averaging 33 points in the past four defeats. Backup Ryan Fitzpatrick threw five touchdowns passes and zero interceptions in his first three games since Locker went down, but has been picked off four times in the past two games.

ODDS: The Titans are 2.5-point dogs after opening at +3. The total is steady at 41.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s with partly cloudy skies.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Arizona (-3.0) + Tennessee (+3.0) - home field (-3.0) = Cardinals -3
TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. teams with losing records.
* Titans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 December games.
* Over is 8-2 in Tennessee's last 10 games vs. teams with winning records.


Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5, 41.5)

Bengals QB Andy Dalton is enjoying his best season and is coming off a three-touchdown, no-interception performance in last week’s 42-28 victory over the AFC South-leading Indianapolis Colts. Dalton is getting plenty of help from the two-headed running attack of BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Giovani Bernard, who combined for 147 yards on the ground last week while adding to the passing game as well.

Pittsburgh nearly pulled off a spectacular victory over the Miami Dolphins last week with a series of laterals on the final play that ended with Antonio Brown in the end zone. Replays revealed that Brown had nicked the sideline on his way to the goal line, leaving the Steelers with a 34-28 setback and a very hard road to the playoffs. Brown needs 10 catches to become the second receiver in Pittsburgh history to reach 100 in a season.

ODDS: The Steelers are installed as 1.5-point dogs, with the total up one point to 41.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-20s with mostly cloudy skies and wind blowing across the width of the field at 10 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cincinnati (-4.5) + Pittsburgh (+1.0) - home field (-3.0) = Bengals -2.5
TRENDS:

* Bengals are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games.
* Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 22-7 in Cincinnati's last 29 December games.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 10:50 PM
NFL betting: NFC West is the ATS king

The NFL's three best teams ATS this season all hail from what used to be considered the doormat division of the NFL, the NFC West.

The Seattle Seahawks, the San Francisco 49ers and the Arizona Cardinals are all sporting 9-4 records ATS this season. That is quite a turnaround considering just a few years ago the Seahawks won the division with a 7-9 record.

These three teams are all favored Sunday, with the Seahawks as 7-point faves at the New York Giants, the 49ers as 5-point faves at Tampa Bay and the Cards as 2.5-point faves at Tennessee.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 11:29 PM
Total Talk - Week 15
By Chris David


Week 14 Recap

Last week’s NFL action had some of the wildest finishes I’ve ever seen and if you bet totals, you saw some really bad losses. Next week, VegasInsider.com will be publishing its annual “Bad Beat” piece and we’ll touch on a couple of these. Those of you who bet the ‘under’ in the Minnesota-Baltimore and New England-Cleveland matchups, we extend our apologies. To those of you who won, nice job!

Bettors saw 90 touchdowns scored on Sunday alone in Week 14, which helped the ‘over’ go 11-5. On the season, the ‘over’ holds a 111-93-2 edge.

Non-Conference Overs

After a 3-1 week, this trend is up to 45-14 (76%) on the season. We have four more matchups (AFC vs. NFC) on tap in Week 15, which includes the Monday battle.

Arizona at Tennessee
Chicago at Cleveland
New York Jets at Carolina
Baltimore at Detroit

Systems & Trends

We hope you all took advantage of the last week’s “Total System Play” on the Tennessee-Denver matchup. I’ll be sure to keep you informed if it presents itself in the playoffs. As I mentioned last week, I found this system in a message board and it’s been profitable. Another way I find out information is through emails from VegasInsider.com users. Last week, I received a great angle from a VI user who prefers the moniker Agent-86.

According to his analysis that I’ve verified, any team that has played at home on Thursday this season has watched the ‘over’ go 12-2-1 in their next game, regardless of the venue.

Let’s simplify this for you with last week's examples. On Thanksgiving, the Lions, Cowboys and Ravens all hosted games in Week 13 which means the above trend would call for ‘over’ plays in Week 14. Sure enough, Detroit, Dallas and Baltimore all saw their games go ‘over’ last weekend.

Check out our Thursday Night results page and you'll be able to see which teams played in the mid-week matchup this season.

For Week 15, you would look at the ‘over’ in the Jacksonville-Buffalo matchup since the Jaguars played at home on Thursday in Week 14.

Next week, the situation would call for an ‘over’ in the Denver-Houston game since the Broncos played at home this past Thursday.

As I’ve written before in my TT installments, I do believe all trends usually balance out and it should part of your handicapping not the "Be-all and End-all" of your selections. Even if the ‘under’ cashes the next two weeks, you’re still looking at a season total trend that has produced profits of 75 percent.

If anybody else has anything to share, shoot me an email.

Line Moves

The Line Moves went 4-2 last week, pushing the season numbers to 39-29-1 (67%). Listed below are this week’s matchups that have had a total move by 1 ½ points or more at CRIS’s opening lines, which were sent out Sunday evening.

Buffalo at Jacksonville: Line opened 44 and dropped to 42
Green Bay at Dallas: Line opened 47 and jumped to 49
Baltimore at Detroit: Line opened 46½ and jumped to 48

Divisional Angles

New England at Miami: The Patriots defeated the Dolphins 27-17 at home on Oct. 27. Including this results, the ‘under’ is on a 3-0 run in this series.

Houston at Indianapolis: The Colts earned a 27-24 road victory over the Texans on Nov. 1 and the combined 51 points jumped ‘over’ the closing number of 42. Prior to this game, the ‘under’ had cashed in the last five encounters between the pair.

Kansas City at Oakland: When these teams meet, low-scoring affairs usually occur. The ‘under’ is on an 8-1-1 run in the last 10 encounters, which includes the Chiefs 24-7 home win over the Raiders on Oct. 13.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: (See Below)

Under the Lights

Thursday’s primetime schedule concluded this past week as the Chargers defeated the Broncos 27-17. The ‘under’ hit (57) in this contest but the ‘over’ connected at a 67 percent (10-5) clip in the mid-week contest this season. On SNF, the ‘over’ owns an 8-6 mark but the ‘under’ is on a 3-1 run the last four weeks. MNF saw a high-scoring affair (45-28) last week between the Bears and Cowboys. Overall, the ‘over’ owns a 25-19 (57%) record in primetime games.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: The Bengals and Steelers have seen the ‘under’ cash in five straight and six of the last seven meetings. Cincinnati defeated Pittsburgh 20-10 at home in a MNF battle in Week 2 and the total closed at 40. For this week’s rematch, the number is hovering between 41 and 42 points. The Bengals have exploded for 83 points in their last two home games but just 34 in their previous two road contests. Pittsburgh has been involved in its fair share of shootouts lately, which has helped the ‘over’ go 3-1 in its last four.

Baltimore at Detroit: Detroit’s offense is averaging 31.7 PPG at Ford Field this season, which has helped ‘over’ go 5-1 and that record could easily be 6-0. Baltimore has been a clear-cut ‘under’ (5-2) at home but the ‘over’ is 3-2-1 on the road due to a defense that’s allowed 26.8 PPG in six games. The total has already been steamed from 46½ to 48 points and it will probably get higher by kickoff. If you’re looking for an ‘under’ angle in this spot, you might see some conservative play-calling since both teams need a win to help their playoff pushes. The ‘over’ has gone 4-1 in the last five meetings between this pair but they haven’t met since 2009.

Fearless Predictions

The bankroll is up to $260 after a 3-1 week, with the teaser failing to connect. Three weeks of regular season action left and looking to finish strong. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: New England-Miami 45
Best Under: Chicago-Cleveland 43
Best Team Total: Under Cincinnati 20½

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over 36 New England-Miami
Over 38½ New Orleans-St. Louis
Under 50½ Cincinnati-Pittsburgh

Can'tPickAWinner
12-14-2013, 11:33 PM
Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Navy (-12 1/2) on Saturday and likes the Bills on Sunday.

The deficit is 1495 sirignanos.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:30 AM
Alex Smart

NFL-
San Fran-5
Houston/Indy over 45.5
Jacksonville+2
Kansas City-3.5
Arizona/Tennessee over 41.5
Cinci/Pittsburgh over 40.5

CBB-
Villanova-13.5
Chicago State+14
Charleston-10.5
Wright State-1.5
Syracuse-4

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:32 AM
WAYNE ROOT

NO LIMIT----OAKLAND.....NFL DIVISION RIVALRY GAME OF THE YEAR
On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs will roll into the Coliseum to take on the Oakland Raiders. The Chiefs hit a rough patch in which they lost three games in a row. The win against the Skins is what they needed to get them back on the winning side of things. The Raiders are coming off of another disappointing loss. This time at the hands of the New York Jets. The good news is they were able to put up 27 points in that game. Throw the records out in this AFC West rivalry, last 13 meeting the underdog has prevailed ATS. Look for Oakland to play much better as they get HOT RB Jennings back from missing last week with concussion. Even better Kansas City has nothing left to play for they can't improve their top wildcard spot that they already have locked up. Raiders pull big upset as the Black Hole will finally have something to cheer over. TAKE OAKLAND
________________________________________
INNER CIRCLE---NY GIANTS....NFC UPSET OF THE YEAR
The Seattle Seahawks will travel across the country to take on the New York Giants. The Seahawks will definitely be traveling with a bad taste in the mouth after losing to the San Francisco 49ers in a divisional showdown with great implications. Even with that tough loss, the Seahawks still have the Best Record in the NFC. The Giants are currently 5-8 and still mathematically alive for the playoffs. The chances of them actually making the playoffs are not very high but then again they play in the NFC East. The Giants may not win outright but there are plenty of ways to cover this spread in that one last huge effort by Eli Manning and troops. The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC. TAKE NY GIANTS
_______________________________________
PINNACLE---ST LOUIS....THE NFL GAME OF THE YEAR
The New Orleans Saints will storm into the Edward Jones Dome to take on the St. Louis Rams. The Saints are currently 10-3, as they come off of an impressive win over their division rivals, the Carolina Panthers. In this game, Drew Brees was the precise passer that he has become known for – throwing for 313 yards and four Touchdowns. The Rams are coming off of a tough loss to the Arizona Cardinals. This was a game that the Rams were simply not able to get into. This is the tale of the home/road dichotomy and will come into play in this game.It's a dangerous trap spot for the New Orleans Saints. After the big win last week against Panthers it would be easy to overlook a 5 win Rams team. Saints fans should be concerned as Saints have not been great away from home going 3-3 straight up and 1-5 ATS. Rams on the other side have been solid at home going 3-3 straight up and ATS. Rams get an ATS winner and have shot late to pull off outright win. TAKE ST LOUIS

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:33 AM
NHL

Hot teams
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Panthers won four of their last five games. Montreal won six of last eight.
-- Flames won five of last seven games, with last three wins all 2-1 in OT.
-- Los Angeles won its last six games, allowing seven goals. Chicago won three of last four.
-- Ducks won their last four games, allowing seven goals.


Cold teams
-- Flyers lost three of their last four games.
-- Detroit lost its last four games, scoring total of five goals. Lightning lost fiver of their last seven games.
-- Rangers lost last four games, outscored 16-7.
-- Edmonton lost three of its last four games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Philly games went over the total; five of Washington's last seven games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Montreal games.
-- Last seven Calgary games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Chicago games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Anaheim games.

Series records
-- Flyers won five of last seven vs Washington; they lost 7-0 to Caps Nov 1.
-- Lightning beat Detroit twice this season, once in OT, once in SO.
-- Canadiens won last three games with Florida, outscoring them 10-3.
-- Rangers won last two games with Calgary, 2-1/3-2ot.
-- Kings lost six of last eight with Chicago; LA lost in five games to Hawks in playoffs LY.
-- Ducks won 14 of their last 16 games with Phoenix.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:33 AM
NBA

Hot teams
-- Rockets won three of their last four games.
-- Portland won/covered seven of its last eight games.
-- Thunder won/covered their last five home games.
-- New Orleans won five of its last seven games.
-- Suns won/covered six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Kings lost eight of last ten games, are 4-10 vs spread at home.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last nine games. Memphis lost four of five.
-- Pistons lost three of last four games, are 5-8 vs spread at home.
-- Magic lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Denver is 2-3 in last five games; they're 3-6 vs spread at home.
-- Warriors lost four of their last six road games.

Totals
-- Nine of eleven Houston road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota games went over the total; under is 15-3 in last eighteen Minnesota-Memphis games.
-- Eight of last nine Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-4 in Oklahoma City home games.
-- Five of last six Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Phoenix games went over the total.

Series records
-- Rockets won nine of last eleven games with Sacramento.
-- Grizzlies won last eleven t games with Minnesota (9-2 vs spread).
-- Pistons lost eight of last ten games with Portland.
-- Thunder won last four games with Orlando by 8-3-13-8 points.
-- Pelicans lost last three visits to Denver by 13-18-15 points.
-- Warriors won their last six games with Phoenix.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:34 AM
Aaron's Analysis


332 PITTSBURGH STEELERS plus 2 1/2 over Cincinnati Bengals



The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-8) host the Cincinnati Bengals (9-4) on Sunday Night Football. The Steelers are coming off of two heartbreaking losses, losing to Miami last week 34-28. and to Baltimore the previous week, 22-20. Against the Dolphins, Steeler receiver Antonio Brown came up short as time expired in a wild last ditch effort. The week prior, they missed out on overtime as their two point conversion failed. Despite the loss last week, the Steelers outgained the Dolphins 412-360. Steeler QB Ben Roethlisberger managed to pass for 349 yards and 3 TDs and Brown caught five passes for 137 yards and 1 TD. As a result of those two consecutive losses the Steelers have no chance of making the playoffs, and will not end up with a winning season. The Bengals are currently sitting comfortably at the top of the AFC North, with a two game lead over the Ravens. They have won three games in a row, and are coming off of a 42-28 victory over Indianapolis last week. Despite a perfect 6-0 record at home, the Bengals are only 3-4 on the road, with two of those three victories coming by a mere margin of three points each. Behind the arm of Roethlisberger the Steelers are ranked #7 passing the ball, with an average of 266.8 yards per game. In addition to last week’s effort versus the Dolphins as mentioned above, Ben and the Steelers have managed to pass for an even better 290 yards per game over their last four contests. This week they should be able to take advantage of a Bengal secondary who has been struggling as of late, allowing an average of 252.7 yards over the last three games (222.4 on the season). On the season Roethlisberger has passed for 3,724 yards, with 64% completions and a solid 24 to 10 TD to INT ratio. In their previous meeting this year in Cincinnati in the second week of the season, the Bengals won 20-10. Roethlisberger managed to pass for 251 yards and 1 TD in that one. At that point early in the year, not only were the Steelers minus running back Le’Veon Bell, but also were minus Ben’s ”safety blanket” on offense, tight end Heath Miller. Entering the lineup in the third game, Miller has caught 49 passes for 524 yards and 1 TD since. Leading all receivers for the Steelers has been Antonio Brown, catching 90 passes for 1,240 yards and 7 TDs. The other two leading wideouts are also quite competent, as Emmanuel Sanders has caught 58 passes for 661 yards and 5 TDs and Jerricho Cotchery, 41 passes for 571 yards and a team leading 9 TDs. Versatile running back Le’Veon Bell has gained 936 yards from scrimmage to go along with 5 TDs in just ten games this season. Over the last two games he has 225 yards in total offense, with 1 TD and an improved 4.3 yards per carry. Defensively, the Steelers have been quite sound, as they rank #7 in the league versus the pass, allowing an average of just 221.8 yards per game. Prior to allowing 181 yards rushing to Miami last week in snowy conditions, the Steelers were allowing just 82.8 yards per game on the ground in their previous four contests (120.2 on the season). Prior to the Bengals putting up 275 yards passing versus the Colts last week, QB Andy Dalton had been struggling, as the Bengals averaged just 184 yards through the air over the three games prior. Although the Bengals may very well put up some decent numbers passing versus the Steelers with Dalton and receivers A.J. Green and Marvin Jones, a solid Steeler defense should be able to keep them in check. Roethlisberger, Brown, Sanders, Cotchery and Miller should be able to get it done in the passing game versus the Bengals secondary, and Bell should keep the Bengal defense honest as he pounds away on the ground. As mentioned above, the Bengals have been a poor road team this year. Although the Steelers are out of the playoffs, they look to play the role of spoiler in this one, and would love nothing better than knocking off their division rival, and I forecast they’ll be able to come out of this one with an upset victory.


STEELERS 24-17 (3 Units)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:35 AM
Aaron's Analysis


326 CAROLINA PANTHERS minus 10 over NY Jets



The Carolina Panthers (9-4) host the New York Jets (6-7) on Sunday in Charlotte. The Panthers are coming off of a disappointing 31-13 loss at New Orleans last week, ending their eight game winning streak. That loss also put them one game behind the Saints in the NFC South. The Jets are coming off of a 37-27 victory at home over Oakland, putting an end to their three game losing streak. Despite the victory, they were outgained 383-352. As a result of that victory, the Jets still cling to hopes of making the playoffs. Playoffs? By simply reading that you cannot hear the emphasis, as I was trying to imitate what Coach Jim Mora said in an interview years ago. The Panthers have won five consecutive games at home, with their loss prior coming at the start of the season versus the now 11-2 Seattle Seahawks. Throwing out a tough 24-20 victory over the always tough 10-3 New England Patriots, the Panthers have dominated their other four opponents at home with a combined score of 129-31. During that five game span, Panther QB Cam Newton has had a passer rating of 100.2, 65.2% completions, 1,148 yards and 10 TDs versus 5 INTs, with an additional 223 yards and 3 TDs rushing. While the Panthers are #1 in the league allowing just 14.5 points per game, the Jets are #31 in scoring, averaging just 17.4. The Jets have managed to go just 1-5 on the road this season, with their lone victory being versus 3-10 Atlanta. Throwing out that victory, the Jets have been outgained on the road by the combined score of 156-49, averaging just 9.8 points per contest. While the Jets have a decent rushing attack, their offense is one dimensional as they rank #30 passing with an average of just 181.4 yards per game. Recently they’ve seemed to have gotten even worse with QB Geno Smith, as they have averaged just 137.5 over the last six games. The Jets offense should find both points and yards hard to come by this week versus the stingy Panther defense, a defense who has allowed just 79.4 yards rushing per game (#1, 62.3 last three games) to go along with 216.8 versus the pass (#5). Offensively the Panthers rank #9 in rushing, with a solid average of 129.2 yards per game (142.3 last three games). Although the Jets rank #2 versus the rush, they’ve shown vulnerability over the past two games, as they have allowed a combined 275 yards rushing to Oakland and Miami. The Panthers should be able to move the ball on the ground versus the Jets with the likes of backs DeAngelo Williams (833 yards from scrimmage, 2 TDs) and Mike Tolbert (475 yards from scrimmage, 6 TDs). Jonathan Stewart will be out with a torn MCL in his right knee. Contributing 495 yards and 6 TDs rushing is QB Cam Newton. Newton has passed for 2,776 yards, 62% completions, and a solid TD to INT ration of 20 to 11. Behind Newton the Panthers have averaged a decent 191.7 yards per game through the air. Newton and the Panthers should be able to take care of business through the air in this one, as the Jet secondary has allowed a staggering average of 290 yards per game over the last six games, with a season average of 254.9 yards, which ranks them #24. The Jets may also be without Antonio Cromartie (concussion). Newton has a talented group of receivers, with the likes of the ageless Steve Smith (60 catches for 681 yards and 4 TDs), tight end Greg Olsen (58 catches for 651 yards and 5 TDs), Brandon LaFell (45 catches for 553 yards and 5 TDs) and Ted Ginn, Jr. (31 catches for 474 yards and 4 TDs). The Panther defense allows just a total of 296.2 yards per game (#2). They should be able to handle Smith and the Jet offense. As mentioned above, the Panthers have been successful at home, and that should continue here versus a Jet team who struggles on the road. As a result of the Jets winning and the Panthers losing last week, there’s some line value in this one. Panthers should be able to dominate and get back on track here.


PANTHERS 35-14 (3 Units)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:35 AM
Irish Mike Moran

Wash+7
TB+5.5
Ten+3
CHI O44
NE-PK
Min+5.6
SEA U42(2x)


Dal-PK+CAR-4+KC O34 Teaser (2x)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:36 AM
MTI's O/U Play Of The Year

5-Star Washington at Atlanta OVER 50
-- In last week's 22-21 loss in Green Bay, Atlanta Harry Douglas caught two passes for a total of 20 yards. This points to the over, as the Falcons are 7-0 OU in franchise history after a road loss in which Harry Douglas did not have a catch of more than 18 yards. The SDQL text is:
0 Note that these game have flown over by an average of 15.3 ppg.

Kirk Cousins have been put in this spot for a reason. The Redskins are not going to get rid of RGIII, but there are a lot of NFL teams that are desperate for a QB and would be willing to give up a lot for Cousins. He is starting here because the Falcons have allowed 67.14% completions this season (31st in the league) and they have only six interceptions on the season (also 31st in the league). Their defense has forced only 3.85 punts per game this season (30th in the league) and thehave allowed a third down conversion percentage of 46.0% -- worst in the entire league. In addition, their best player in the secondary, Thomas DeCoud, is out with a concussion. Kirk Cousins is obviously being showcased -- there's a reason why they didn't start him vs the Chiefs -- and will be let loose here.

We have a league-wide system that supports the OVER as well. Road dogs by more than six points are 19-0 OU when facing a team that has forced fewer than four punts per game season-to-date. The SDQL text is:

A and line>6 and oA(ounts)<4 and date>=20111114

The reasoning is obvious. As a big road dog vs a team with a terrible passing defense, would you run the ball?

As a team, the Redskins are 9-0-1 OU +10.70 ppg) after a home game in which they had a least 1 receiving touchdown. Washington has allowed 24-plus points in 12 of their thirteen games this season. Their defense was on the field for 34:10 last week. Both of these teams should get to 30-plus points here. Take the OVER.

MTi's FORECAST: Washington 34 ATLANTA 31

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:37 AM
LA Syndicate

Bucs
Cardinals (ML) & Over
Giants
Chiefs
Steelers

NBA
Over Kings
Over Pistons
Over Nuggets

CBB
San Diego (ML)
Wyoming

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:39 AM
Chicago Syndicate

Cardinals (ML)
Browns
Over Colts
Dolphins
Steelers

NBA
Over Grizzlies
Over Pistons

CBB
Syracuse
Missouri
UAB

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:40 AM
Sports Nostradamus

CBB
Syracuse
Missouri
Fairfield
DePaul

NFL
Over Titans
Browns
Bills (ML)
Steelers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:41 AM
2Halves2Win - added picks:


(GAME: 1*): Giants-Panthers o41 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
(GAME: 1*): Raiders +5.5 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
(GAME: 2*): Cardinals-Titans o42 (-110: Risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
(GAME: 2*): Rams +7 (-110: Risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
(GAME: 1*): Packers +7 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:42 AM
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle from Tim Donaghy's Ref Picks site

Sunday Free Pick (Direct from Our NCAAB Member Ticket): 1 Unit Charleston Cougars -9/-130 over Marist Red Foxes (2PM ET)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:47 AM
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1139-871 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 65-38 this yr,NFL 41-31:

Free winner Sun NE Pats PK

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:48 AM
Cappers Access

49er's -5
Cowboys -6.5
Steelers +2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 07:50 AM
Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

San Diego -1 (ncaa bb)

Denver (ncaa bb) -3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:08 AM
Bob Balfe

December 15th 2013

Sunday NFL Comp Pick & Dolphins 70/1

Dolphins -1 over Patriots

The Patriots might be the best coached team in the history of the NFL. This roster is not good at all. This is a team that has had miracle comebacks this year. Let’s not forget they have been down and out to some bad teams only to come back and win in dramatic fashion. Not only do I think the Dolphins are the better team, but I also think this team at 70/1 is a great future bet to win the super bowl. This defense is as good as it gets when they are on their A game and that signature win in Pittsburgh is just the start this team needs to get on a huge roll at the end of the season. Take Miami

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:23 AM
Today's NBA Picks

New Orleans at Denver

The Nuggets look to bounce back from their 103-93 loss to Utah on Friday as they host a New Orleans team that is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 road games. Denver is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: Houston at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.963; Sacramento 113.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 9; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6); Under


Game 803-804: Minnesota at Memphis (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.970; Memphis 120.236
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3); Over


Game 805-806: Portland at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.676; Detroit 124.260
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4; 207
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+4); Over


Game 807-808: Orlando at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.009; Oklahoma City 132.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 23; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-13); Under


Game 809-810: New Orleans at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.824; Denver 125.145
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6; 205
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6); Under


Game 811-812: Golden State at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.641; Phoenix 122.912
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:25 AM
NCAA Basketball Picks

LaSalle at Villanova

The Wildcats host a LaSalle team today that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 non-conference games. Villanova is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by 22. Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-13). Here are all of today's games.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 813-814: Syracuse at St. John's (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 70.690; St. John's 68.534
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+4 1/2)


Game 815-816: Wright State at Miami (OH) (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 54.752; Miami (OH) 50.310
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-1 1/2)


Game 817-818: LaSalle at Villanova (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 56.802; Villanova 78.685
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 22
Vegas Line: Villanova by 13
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-13)


Game 819-820: UC-Santa Barbara at San Diego (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 60.758; San Diego 59.560
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 1
Vegas Line: San Diego by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+1)


Game 821-822: Troy at Kansas State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.339; Kansas State 66.336
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 20
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-14 1/2)


Game 823-824: Western Michigan at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 53.426; Missouri 65.907
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 15
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+15)


Game 825-826: Pepperdine at Washington State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 47.610; Washington State 65.025
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-9 1/2)


Game 827-828: Northeastern at Fairfield (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 54.847; Fairfield 53.826
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 1
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+3 1/2)


Game 829-830: Marist at College of Charleston (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 41.868; College of Charleston 56.461
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-10 1/2)


Game 831-832: Manhattan at NC-Wilmington (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 55.867; NC-Wilmington 54.994
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 1
Vegas Line: Manhattan 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+4 1/2)


Game 833-834: Bowling Green at Morehead State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 52.302; Morehead State 54.058
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+6 1/2)


Game 835-836: Drexel at Davidson (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 60.529; Davidson 57.673
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 3
Vegas Line: Drexel by 1
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-1)


Game 837-838: Wyoming at Denver (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.989; Denver 58.853
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1
Vegas Line: Denver by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+3 1/2)


Game 839-840: UC-Irvine at Eastern Washington (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 59.737; Eastern Washington 55.333
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-1)


Game 841-842: Montana State at Portland (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.493; Portland 60.054
Dunkel Line: Portland by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-14 1/2)


Game 843-844: Georgia Southern at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 47.975; UAB 60.772
Dunkel Line: UAB by 13
Vegas Line: UAB by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+15 1/2)


Game 851-852: Chicago State at DePaul (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago State 47.095; DePaul 57.812
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: DePaul by 14
Dunkel Pick: Chicago State (+14)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:28 AM
NFL

Week 15

Redskins (3-10) @ Falcons (3-10)— Washington will start Cousins here- they've shut RGIII down for year. How is Atlanta favored by six points over anyone? They’ve lost six of last seven games, haven’t won game by more than 8 points all year. Falcons are 2-4 at home, 2-2 vs spread when favored, but last time they were favored was Week 7. Atlanta’s last three games were all decided by 4 or less points; last week they became first team (1-3-1) to lose to Rodgers-less Packers. Redskins lost last five games while allowing average of 30.8 ppg. Skins allowed two special teams TDs in snow at home last week; they’ve scored 12.3 ppg in last four games, with five TDs on last 48 drives, with 20 3/outs- they allowed five TD drives of less than 50 yards in last three games. Washington is 0-2 on carpet this year, losing by 15-7 in domes at Dallas/Minnesota. Falcons won last three series games by 10-14-7 points; last time they lost to Redskins was 2003. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 9-6-1 vs spread, 8-2-1 at home. NFC East underdogs are 5-10, 4-7 on road. Three of last four Washington games stayed under the total.

49ers (9-4) @ Buccaneers (4-9)—Niners pulled out slugfest with Seattle last week, still lead race for second Wild Card spot; they’ve won last three games, giving up 12 ppg (3 TDs on 33 drives). 49ers were held to 9 or less points in three of four losses, with only exception 23-20 loss in Superdome. Bucs won four of last five games, covered five of last six; they won last three home games, after losing first four, two which were by 2-3 points. Tampa was even in turnovers in each of first six games; in seven games sice, they’re+13, with 19 takeaways in last six games- they won at Detroit, led 21-7 at half in Seattle, so they’ve improved, but last week was first time in last nine games they held team under 19 points. 49ers won field position in nine of 13 games and lost three of four teams they did not- they’ve won 16 of 21 series games, hammering Bucs 48-3 in last meeting two years ago; this is their first visit to Tampa since 2004. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 14-5-1 vs spread, 6-1 on road. NFC South underdogs are 9-8 vs spread, 2-3 at home. Last five 49er games, last three Tampa Bay games stayed under total.

Seahawks (11-2) @ Giants (5-8)—Super Bowl is in Swamp Stadium in seven weeks; Seahawks need to keep winning to wrap home field edge thru NFC playoffs so they can get back here then, and their home edge is significant. While Seahawks are 5-2 SU on road, their wins are by 5-3-12-5-23 points, with losses at Indy/SF- they’re 4-2 as road favorites, but just as easily could’ve lost to Texans/Rams/ Falcons on road, all non-playoff teams. Giants had won four in row after 0-6 start, but Week 12 loss to Dallas burst their bubble; in last two weeks, they fell behind Redskins 14-0 but rallied to beat dysfunctional Skins, then got blasted by Chargers last week, KO’ing them from contention. Giants are 2-4 vs spread as underdogs this year, 3-3 SU at home, with losses by 18-15-3 points- they’ve given up 283 rushing yards in last two games, bad news vs Lynch.. Seattle is 4-6 overall vs Giants, winning 36-25 in last visit here in ’11; they’ve lost six of eight visits to play Big Blue in Swamp. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 14-5-1 vs spread, 6-1 on road; NFC East underdogs are 5-10 vs spread, 1-3 at home. Three of last four Seattle games stayed under the total.

Cardinals (8-5) @ Titans (5-8)—Two teams going in opposite directions: Arizona won five of last six games (4-1-1 vs spread) with last three wins all by 13+ points, Titans lost seven of last nine games after 3-1 start- they’ve lost last four home games, with last two (vs Jags/Colts) by combined margin of five points. Arizona is just 2-4 SU on road, winning by FG in Tampa, by 13 in Jax; since they close out with games vs Seattle/49ers, they’d best win here, to stay within game of 49ers so Week 17 showdown stays important. Titans lost last four home games, by 9-14-2-3 points, but three of four teams that beat them will make playoffs; they’re 1-4-1 vs spread in last six games as an underdog. Cardinals were underdogs in first seven games this year, are 4-0-1 vs spread when favored (1-0 as road fave). Titans were +8 in turnovers in first six games; they’re -8 in last seven. Tennessee won four of last six series games after losing first three; Cardinals lost 20-17 in ’09, their only visit to Music City. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 14-5-1 vs spread, 6-1 on road; AFC South underdogs are 8-14-1 vs spread, 2-7 at home. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Tennessee games.

Saints (10-3) @ Rams (5-8)—New Orleans averaged 18.8 ppg in splitting first six road games, with wins by 2-8-4 points, and losses at Swamp/Foxboro/Seattle- they average 31.4 ppg at home. Lousy St Louis team ambushed Saints 31-21 here two years ago; while I doubt Saints will take Rams lightly, they’re in Carolina sandwich, having beat Panthers at home Sunday night, with potential division-clinching rematch in Charlotte next Sunday. Rams play hard on defense but are deficient on offense with Clemens at QB; they’ve scored five TDs on defense/special teams in last three wins, lost last five games when they didn’t score on defense/ST. St Louis scored 27+ points in all five of its wins; they’re 3-3 at home, with losses by 24-5-7 points. Rams are 4-7 vs spread as underdogs this year, 2-2 at home; they’re +14 in turnovers in five wins, -7 in eight losses. NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 7-6-1 vs spread, 2-1 at home. NFC South favorites are 9-6-1 vs spread, but 1-4 on foreign soil. Last four New Orleans games stayed under total; Rams are 5-4 SU this season when game goes over total, 0-4 when it stays under.

Bears (7-6) @ Browns (4-9)—Chicago travelling on short week after pummeling Dallas Monday night; Bears allowed 20+ points in every game this year- they’re 1-5 vs spread in game following a win, 2-4 SU on road, beating Steelers/Pack (night Rodgers got hurt). Chicago ran ball for 135-199 yards in last two games, but Browns’ run defense has been stout, allowing 112 or less yards on ground in last five games. Cleveland gagged in Foxboro last week, blowing 26-14 lead in last 2:00 of brutal 27-26 loss, their 4th loss in row while allowing 31.8 ppg; Browns are 2-4 at home, with only wins over divisional rivals Bengals/Ravens. Will Cleveland stick to run, taking advantage of Bear rush defense that allowed 204.1 ypg over their last seven games? Campbell had 398 yards, no picks in air last week; most yards they’ve run for this year is 126, vs Lions in Week 6. Home side won all three meetings since Browns were revived in ’99; Bears lost 20-10 in only visit here, in ’05. NFC North non-divisional underdogs are 4-8 vs spread, 3-7 on road; AFC North favorites are 8-9, 6-5 at home. Three of last four Chicago games, five of last six Cleveland games went over the total.

Texans (2-11) @ Colts (8-5)—Indy clinched division last week despite losing, now they’re playing for seeding; Colts are 4-2 SU at home, 1-3 as home favorites, winning by 4-6-5-8 points, with losses to Miami/Rams. Indy is 3-0-1 vs spread in game following a loss this year. Houston fired coach Kubiak after second loss to Jags in three weeks, so Wade Phillips is interim coach rest of way. Texans lost last 11 games, now their play caller is gone with a first-time QB, so that’s not good; they’re 1-5 SU on road despite being favored three times- they’re 1-1-1 as road dogs, losing away games by 21-31-1-3-7 points, with win at San Diego in opener. Colts trailed 21-3 at halftime at Reliant when Kubiak had stroke; Indy rallied to win 27-24, but are just 4-4 in last eight games after 4-1 start, getting outscored 114-24 in first half of last six games. Houston had 483 yards in first meeting, outrushing Colts 143-69. Texans have only one takeaway (-5) in their last four games. Home teams are 2-5-1 vs spread in AFC South divisional games, 1-3 if favored. Five of last six Houston games, six of last seven Colt games went over total.

Bills (4-9) @ Jaguars (4-9)—Not sure why Buffalo is favored in this game, but they are. Jax won four of last five games, impressive spurt after 0-8 start; they’ve scored six TDs on 27 drives last two games, after scoring total of six TDs in previous seven games. Jags ended 0-5 schneid at home last week, beating Texans for second time in three weeks despite getting outgained 406-281- all nine of their losses this year are by 10+ points. After turning ball over 19 times in first ten games, Jags have only one giveaway (+5) in last three. Jax gave up 221 rushing yards in Week 8 loss, then had its bye; since then, they’ve allowed average of only 70.8 yards/game on ground. Buffalo lost five of last six games; they’re 1-5 on road, with losses by 7-13-18-13-21 points- only win was 23-21 at Miami in Week 7. Home team is just 5-7 in this series, with Bills 3-2 in five visits here; Jags lost 34-18 at Buffalo LY, but both sides had different coaches. AFC East non-divisional favorites are 6-4 vs spread, 1-1 on road; AFC South underdogs are 9-14-1, 2-7 at home. Six of last nine Buffalo games, five of last six Jaguar games went over total.

Patriots (10-3) @ Dolphins (7-6)—New England won last three weeks by total of seven points; they’re first team since ’00 Chiefs to win three consecutive games, when they trailed by 10+ points in all three. In last four games, Pats were outscored 57-10 in first half, then outscored foes 105-55 after halftime, but now Gronkowski is done for year; his presence revitalized their passing game. Pats trailed Texans/Browns by double digits last two weeks, two poor teams; Brady’s heroics are camouflaging a very ordinary supporting cast. Miami won three of last four games; they’re 3-3 at home this year, with all six games decided by 4 or less points. Fish are 6-3 vs spread as an underdog; they’re +5 in turnovers in last six games, and haven’t lost a fumble in last five (Miami/Jax only teams to do that). Dolphins won field position in last three games by 7-16-10 yards. Patriots won last seven series games, with five of seven wins by 10+ points; they’ve won last three visits to Miami by 27-14-7 points. Underdogs covered five of six AFC East divisional games, with home dogs 3-0. Six of last eight Patriot games went over total; under is 5-1-1 in last seven Miami games.

Eagles (8-5) @ Vikings (3-9-1)—Minnesota is still competing, losing bizarre 29-26 game in Baltimore last week (five TDs scored in last 2:05) after playing deep into OT previous two games; they’ve covered five of last six games, winning last two home games (scoring 34-23 points) after losing first three. Vikings are 6-4 as an underdog this year. Philly is hot, winning last five games (4-1 vs spread) while scoring 31.6 ppg; this is only their second game on carpet all season, having won 36-21 in Swamp back in Week 5. After plodding thru six inches of snow in win over Detroit last week, they should feel very fast in a dome. Eagles are 5-1 SU on road, with only loss at 11-2 Denver; they’ve run ball for 180.3 ypg in last four games. In their last four games, Vikings have only four TDs, seven FGs on 13 red zone drives, which cost them in these close games- they would’ve lost to Bears in OT had normally reliable Gould not missed 46-yard FG. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 9-10 vs spread, 3-3 on road; NFC North underdogs are 4-8, 1-1 at home. Five of last seven Philly games stayed under the total; 11 of 13 Minnesota games went over.

Jets (6-7) @ Panthers (9-4)—Carolina had 8-game win streak snapped last week; they’re in a Saint sandwich, facing Rob Ryan’s defense last week/next, Rex Ryan’s defense this week. Panthers won/covered last five home games, winning by 38-15-24-4-21 points; they didn’t have turnover last week, which is worrisome vs Jet team that is +1 in turnovers in its six wins, -19 in its seven losses. Carolina was even in turnovers in each of its last three games. Jets are 1-4 vs spread in games following a win, losing by 3-25-13-40-23 points; they’re 2-3 as road underdogs this year- this is only their second game on grass all year- they lost 38-13 (+3.5 at Tennessee in Week 4. Home teams won four of five series games, with four of five games decided by 11+ points. Jets lost two of three visits here, losing by 11-27. Six of nine Carolina wins are by 15+ points; they held last three opponents to 62.3 rushing yards/game, doubt Geno Smith is beating this defense with his arm. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 11-13 vs spread, 3-10 on road. NFC South favorites are 10-6-1, 9-2-1 at home. Five of last seven Jet games went over the total; last five Carolina games stayed under.

Chiefs (10-3) @ Raiders (4-9)—KC righted ship with dominant special teams game in snow last week, scoring on both punt/kick return as McClusker looked like Gale Sayers in snow; Chiefs haven’t swept Raiders since ’06, as series was split four of last six years, but they’ve won eight of last ten visits here and spanked Oakland 24-7 (-9) at Arrowhead in Week 7, sacking Pryor ten times and scoring a defensive TD, while its two scoring drives were just 55/23 yards. Chiefs are 5-1 on road, 4-0 as road favorites, winning away games by 26-10-9-10-35 points; they’ve had TD on defense/special teams in all five of their road wins. Oakland lost three in row, five of last six games; ; they’re 3-3 at home, 2-3 as home dogs, losing in Coliseum by 10-29-4 points- they’ve given up special teams TD in three of last five games and allowed 144-143 rushing yards in last two games- their lack of depth due to salary cap hell has been exposed in recent weeks, as has their uncertainty at QB, where undrafted McGloin is playing over 1st-round pick Pryor. Favorites are 5-2 vs spread in AFC West divisional games this year. Last three Chief games went over total; over is 5-0-1 in last six Oakland games.

Packers (6-6-1) @ Cowboys (7-6)—Dallas is 5-1 SU at home this year, 3-2 as home favorites, winning by 5-24-15-4-7 points; Pokes are on short week after dismal 45-28 loss Monday night when Bears never punted, second time (out of 3 NFL-wide) that’s happened to Cowboys this year. Green Bay is now 1-4-1 without Rodgers after 22-21 win over 3-10 Falcons last week; they lost 27-13/40-10 in two road games he didn’t start, are 0-4 vs spread as underdogs this year. Dallas will move ball/score points; they converted 12-23 on 3rd down in last two games; not sure Packers have enough weapons to take advantage of Cowboys’ depleted defense that allowed 27 plays of 20+ yards in its last four games. In their last six red zone drives, Pack has two TDs, three FGs. Home teams won 13 of last 14 series games; Packers lost last nine visits here, with last win in ’89- teams haven’t played since ’10, Green Bay hasn’t been here since ‘07. NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 4-10 vs spread, 4-7 on road; NFC North favorites are 5-11-2 vs spread, 3-7-2 at home. Seven of last ten Packer games stayed under total; last six Dallas games went over.

Bengals (9-4) @ Steelers (5-8)—Bengals won last three games to hold its division lead, but they’re only 3-4 on road, with wins by 3-3-7 points- they’re 1-3 as road favorites, as home teams are 10-2-1 vs spread in their games this season. Pitt lost tough games by 2-4 points last two weeks to slide out of contention; they lost 20-10 (+7) at Cincy in Week 2, getting outrushed 127-44, turning ball over twice (-2). Steelers won three of last four home games, covered last three tries as an underdog; they’re +8 in turnovers in their five wins, -12 in losses, with red flag 1-2 record in games where turnovers were even. Bengals scored 40+ points in last three home games but have 20-17-17 in last three on foreign soil; Dalton hasn’t been sacked in his last three games (86 PA). Pitt allowed 181 rushing yards to Miami last week, are -15/-10 in field position last two weeks. Series was swept five of last six years; Bengals’ only sweep since ’98 was four years ago, but they did split last four visits here. Home teams are 7-2 vs spread in AFC North divisional games, 2-0 if home dogs. Last three Bengal road games stayed under total; three of last four Pittsburgh games went over.

Ravens (7-6) @ Lions (7-6)—Detroit continuously shoots itself in foot, turning ball over 20 times in last six games (-15); they’ve lost three of last four games, are big disappointment considering they’re only NFC North team whose QB stayed upright all year. Lions are 3-3 as home favorites, winning at home by 10-8-1-30 points, with big win vs Rodgers-less Packers. Ravens won last three games to stay in contention, surviving bizarre game last week where lead changed hands five times in last 2:05. Baltimore is 1-5 on road, with four of six games decided by exactly three points; they’re 3-2-1 as underdogs this year- this is only second time they’ve been a dog in their last seven games. Lions lost in blizzard last week despite having KR/PRs for TDs; they were outgained 478-228. Home side won all three Raven-Lion games, with Baltimore crushing Detroit 48-3 in last meeting four years ago. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 8-5-2 vs spread, 5-3-2 on road; NFC North favorites are 5-11-2 vs spread, 3-7-2 at home. Six of last eight Detroit games, three of last four Raven games went over the total. Both teams will be glad for dome setting after playing in snow last week.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:49 AM
Dave Essler

double-dime bet
322 MIA 8.0 (-110) vs 321 NEP
Analysis: Two team tease:
Jacksonville +8 to Miami +8

double-dime bet
328 OAK 4.5 (-110) vs 327 KAN

double-dime bet
323 PHI / 324 MIN UNDER 51.0

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:49 AM
LARRY NESS' 10* NFL WEEK 15 GOIN' OVER TOTAL =Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans OVER

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:55 AM
Stephen Nover

321 NEP vs 322 MIA double-dime bet

309 ARI / 310 TEN OVER 41.5 double-dime bet

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 08:56 AM
Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Chicago

The Kings head to Chicago following a 5-2 win over Ottawa yesterday and look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Los Angeles is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+125). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Philadelphia at Washington (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.492; Washington 11.848
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under


Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at Detroit (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.024; Detroit 10.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+110); Over


Game 55-56: Florida at Montreal (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.784; Montreal 12.429
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-200); Under


Game 57-58: Calgary at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.660; NY Rangers 9.191
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+165); Over


Game 59-60: Los Angeles at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.666; Chicago 11.450
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+125); Over


Game 61-62: Edmonton at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.935; Anaheim 12.569
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-210); Under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:03 AM
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CBB UC-IRVINE at E WASHINGTON
Play On - Any team (E WASHINGTON) revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season
61-28 since 1997. ( 68.5% 30.2 units )

CBB PEPPERDINE at WASHINGTON ST
Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PEPPERDINE) good 3 point shooting team - making >=37% of their attempts, in December games
232-56 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.6% 81.6 units )
18-7 this year. ( 72.0% -0.2 units )

CBB MANHATTAN at UNC-WILMINGTON
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (UNC-WILMINGTON) after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% 36.2 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:04 AM
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA PORTLAND at DETROIT
Play Against - Home underdogs (DETROIT) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NBA MINNESOTA at MEMPHIS
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team
143-66 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% 55.1 units )
7-5 this year. ( 58.3% -1.1 units )

NBA GOLDEN STATE at PHOENIX
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:05 AM
River City Sharps (47-29-1/62% YTD)

4 Unit Diamond Play Philadelphia Eagles -5
3 Units Indianapolis Colts -5
3 Units Cincinnati Bengals -1
3 Units Chicago Bears Pick

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:07 AM
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NHL EDMONTON at ANAHEIM
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (EDMONTON) vs. division opponents, off a road loss against a division rival
198-185 since 1997. ( 51.7% 91.4 units )
4-11 this year. ( 26.7% -5.2 units )

NHL LOS ANGELES at CHICAGO
Play On - Home teams against the money line (CHICAGO) after allowing 4 goals or more against opponent after 4 straight wins by 2 goals or more
22-9 since 1997. ( 71.0% 20.4 units )

NHL LOS ANGELES at CHICAGO
Play Against - Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (CHICAGO) very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored
51-28 since 1997. ( 64.6% 30.3 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -0.8 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:17 AM
ATS football lock club

7u KC -5
7u Pitt +2-
7u Az -2-

1u round robin parlay the previous 3 back.

6u Jville +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:17 AM
DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS
- NFL WEEK #15 - Free Member Play

15-UNIT "ZAXXON-HYDRA"
PANTHERS -9.5 (-120) vs jets (10am)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:21 AM
Intpicks

2* Miami+1
1* Indiana -5
1* Philadelphia -6
1* Carolina -10
1* Arizona/Tennessee Over 41
1* Pittsburgh +2.5
1* Syracuse -4
1* Golden State/Phoenix Over 209.5

Free Pick
Washington/Atlanta Over 49.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:21 AM
R.A.W. FOOTBALL - SUNDAY

4* BEST BET = PITTSBURGH
3* = MIAMI
2* = TAMPA BAY
2* = ST. LOUIS
2* = DETROIT (Monday Night)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:34 AM
CHASE DIAMOND

9* CFB Customer Special
Philadelphia vs. Minnesota
Point Spread: +7/-115 Minnesota

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:43 AM
Panthers favored heavily over Jets on Sunday
by Brian Graham

Kickoff: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
Line: Carolina -11, Total: 40.5

After being beaten soundly last week, the Panthers look for a big bounce-back effort Sunday versus the Jets.

New York scored a season-high 37 points in a 10-point win versus Oakland last week, but is just 1-5 SU (2-4 ATS) on the road this year, where it has been outscored by an average of 31 to 13. Carolina fell 31-13 in New Orleans last Sunday night, but has destroyed its past five visitors by an average score of 31 to 10, outgaining them by 431 total yards with a +8 turnover margin. The Jets have the worst turnover margin in the NFL at minus-18 with rookie QB Geno Smith producing 24 miscues (20 INT, 4 FL). New York holds a 3-2 SU edge all-time in this series, but the Panthers are 3-0 ATS at home versus the Jets. Most of the betting trends points towards Carolina, like its 9-1 ATS record (90%) in the past two seasons after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games, or its 55-22 ATS mark (71%) versus bad defenses (24+ PPG allowed) since 1992. But New York is 3-1 ATS (75%) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points over the past three seasons, including 2-0 ATS this year. The Jets could be missing both top CB Antonio Cromartie (concussion, questionable) and WR Stephen Hill (knee, doubtful), while the Panthers will be missing RB Jonathan Stewart (knee).

The Jets' offense has been pretty miserable with the league's second-fewest points (17.4 PPG) and third-fewest yards (308 YPG). Their inefficiency in both the red zone (47% touchdown rate, 28th in NFL) and on third down (35%, 24th in league) has not helped the cause. QB Geno Smith has had a few strong games in his rookie year, but still has more than twice as many interceptions (20) as touchdowns (9), completing only 55% of his passes for 2,475 yards (7.0 YPA). He's also been sacked 39 times, but has been able to score four rushing touchdowns. In his six road games, Smith has thrown for only 1,091 yards (182 YPG, 6.7 YPA) with 4 TD and 12 INT, while taking 23 sacks. No New York receiver has scored more than three touchdowns through the air, and WR Jeremy Kerley's pedestrian numbers lead the team in both receptions (32) and receiving yards (388). The Jets have stayed in the playoff hunt due to a quality ground game that ranks 11th in the league in rushing yards (126 YPG) and 13th in yards per carry (4.3 YPC). Smith ran for 50 of the team's 143 yards last week on just five carries, while bruising RB Chris Ivory picked up 76 yards on 18 attempts (4.2 YPC) with a touchdown. Ivory (639 rush yards, 4.4 YPC, 3 TD) has been more effective than speedier RB Bilal Powell (530 rush yards, 3.8 YPC, 1 TD) which is why he gets the bulk of the rushing workload. Although New York's defense is allowing 25.9 PPG (T-23rd in NFL), a lot of that is due to poor field position that the turnover-prone offense has put the unit in. The Jets rank 11th in the league in total defense (338 YPG) and 10th in yards per play (5.1), and have been nasty to opposing ball carriers with 83 rushing YPG allowed (2nd in league) on an NFL-best 3.1 YPC allowed. They have also gotten key stops in both the red zone (49% touchdown rate, T-5th in league) and on third down (35%, 8th in NFL). New York has done this despite forcing only 10 turnovers for the season (2nd-fewest in league).

Carolina has been excellent at home, going 5-1 (SU and ATS) and outscoring opponents by a hefty 16.2 PPG, with 26.7 PPG scored and just 10.5 PPG allowed. But overall, the offense hasn't been great, ranking 29th in passing offense (192 YPG), 27th in yards per play (5.0) and 26th in total offense (321 YPG). But the Panthers have been able to score a respectable 22.9 PPG (17th in NFL) because they rank fourth in the league in both red-zone efficiency (63% touchdown rate) and on third downs (46%). QB Cam Newton has posted average passing numbers (62% completions, 2,776 yards, 6.9 YPA, 20 TD, 11 INT), but has been able to make big plays with his legs all year, helping his team control the football for 33:06 (2nd in NFL). His 495 rushing yards (5.6 YPC) and six touchdowns have contributed greatly to his team's 129 rushing YPG (T-8th in league). With RB Jonathan Stewart (180 rush yards, 3.8 YPC) out, the bulk of the rushing workload will go to RB DeAngelo Williams (662 rush yards, 4.0 YPC, 2 TD) and bruising RB Mike Tolbert (313 rush yards, 3.9 YPC, 4 TD). This ground-heavy attack has kept turnovers to a minimum, as the team has committed only seven giveaways in its past nine games. The Panthers defense didn't have many answers for Drew Brees and the Saints last week, but this unit is still among the best in the NFL, leading the league in scoring defense (14.5 PPG allowed), rushing defense (79 YPG) and first downs allowed (16.8 per game). It is also tied for first in red-zone defense (39% touchdown rate), second in total defense (296 YPG) and fifth in both third-down defense (34%) and passing defense (217 YPG). This unit has also been effective in taking the football away, forcing multiple turnovers in nine of 13 games this season.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:44 AM
THE GOLD SHEET

COLLEGE BASKETBALL
★★★Syracuse 76 - ST. JOHN’S 60—It’s too bad this is no longer a Big
East game, but at least the rivalry lives. While Steve Lavin is still searching for
the right lineup combinations at St. John’s, Jim Boeheim’s ‘Cuse shifted gears
in the recent Maui Classic, with the emergence of frosh G Tyler Ennis (scored
17 ppg over a 4-game stretch before encountering foul problems against
Binghamton on Dec. 7) sparking the ascent. Now that jr. G Trevor Cooney (15.3
ppg & 49% triples) has assumed the designated gunner role that graduated
James Southerland filled a year ago, the Orange are now spacing the floor and
allowing more room for nimble F C.J. Fair (17.3 ppg) to do his thing. At only
32.8% beyond the arc, Lavin’s Red Storm will have its usual problems vs. the
Boeheim zone. 12-SYR -13' 77-58

Wright St. over MIAMI-OHIO by 5 to 7—12-WSU -7' 67-59

VILLANOVA 81 - La Salle 60—Payback for ‘Nova vs. Big Five rival La Salle
after the Explorers scored a 77-74 win last season at Tom Gola Arena. That was
a better La Salle side, however, as this season’s Explorers seem to be missing
the contributions of graduated G Ramon Galloway, not only a prolific scorer but
also the sort of 3-point threat that La Salle (a subpar 29.5% from tripleville)
currently lacks. Situation might be better for Jay Wright’s Wildcats, especially
since Rice transfer Dylan Ennis (10.3 ppg) is smoothly adjusting to his role as
a “Villanova guard,” complementing on-court pilot Ryan Arcidiacono and
explosive 6-6 James Bell (17.8 ppg). 12-LAS -3' 77-74 (OT)

UC Santa Barbara over SAN DIEGO by 1 to 3—12-UCSB -3 57-39

★★★Troy 71 - KANSAS ST. 73-—We’ll admit we’re not a big fan of KSU’s
second-year mentor Bruce Weber, who has a way of sometimes squelching his
squad’s offensive rhythm & flow. And with the Wildcats (only 10 of 20 vs. South
Dakota on Tuesday) shaky from the FT line, the high price is worth taking with
gritty, senior-laden Troy, playing tougher on the stop end for 1st-year HC Phil
Cunningham (12-year assistant at Miss. State before spending LY at Western
Kentucky) than it did for predecessor Don Maestri in his final few terms. With
the Trojans’ 6-8 juco F Kevin Thomas (Canadian was a former Texas signee;
12.9 ppg, 9.0 rpg) doing business down low and with sr. G duo of Antoine Myers
(13.6 ppg, 3.7 apg) & Hunter Williams (10.1 ppg, 3.7 apg) dishing and scoring,
Troy adds to its 9-2 vs. spread its last 11 as an underdog away from home,
including DD covers at Ole Miss & UAB in November. 12-DNP

MISSOURI over Western Michigan by 5 to 7—12-DNP CABLE TV—
ESPNU

WASHINGTON ST. 66 - Pepperdine 63—Pep has been a bit erratic, but its
best efforts suggest the Waves can hang around in the Palouse. The
emergence of frosh G Jermey Major (15 ppg last five games) and juco
backcourt mate Malcolm Brooks (scored 16 in recent win over UCI) providing a
nice complement to frontline workhorse 6-6 soph PF Stacy Davis (16.2 ppg &
57% from floor). Meanwhile, Pac-12 sources report that Wazzu HC Ken Bone
is still trying to shore up a PG position that was depleted when expected starter
juco Danny Lawhorn left the team in preseason practice. The Cougs (only one
cover their first five on the board) now relying heavily upon G DaVonte Lacy
(21.8 ppg), the only Wazzu player scoring more than 10 ppg. In their current
state, not sure revenge angle for last year’s 2-point OT loss in Malibu is enough
reason to support the Cougs.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:44 AM
WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Syracuse over St. John’s* by 2
Steve Lavin rebuilds St. John’s brick, by brick, by brick. Oh, that 100-point game by
St. John’s vs. Fordham? Ha-ha. Won’t see that again this season. But don’t take our
word for it. Take Lavin’s word for it: "I doubt we'll play a game like this the rest of the
year." There you go. Actually, expect both sides to be less than stellar offensively
because Syracuse’s only serious perimeter threat has been Trevor Cooney. No more
‘neutral’ refs, with Syracuse in the ACC. Look out, Orange.
SYRACUSE, 56-54.

***BEST BET
Wright State over Miami-OH* by 22
The Raiders of Wright State complete a stretch of four consecutive road games. But
it’s not really a stretch. The first three were out of state, five days apart. They lost all
three. Big deal. This is in-state, 35 miles apart, with a week between games. They beat
Miami-OH home last season despite shooting only 34% from the field, and they’d like
to do it again. Miami-OH has played only 6 games. They’re 1-5, scoring only 65 ppg.
Wright State has played 11 games. Their current leading scorer, 6’10”, 245 center A.J.
Pacher, did not play in last season’s win. He’s no superstar and probably won’t be their
leading scorer two months from now, but he is a guy with size who can help them do
even better in the rebounding battle than they did in last year’s game (38-24).
WRIGHT STATE, 78-56.

Villanova* over Lasalle by 25
Villanova is peaking in December!

VILLANOVA, 86-61.

San Diego* over Cal-Santa Barbara by 7
UCSB’s 6’7” forward Alan Williams could be the best post player on the West Coast.
But true road games bring the possibility of foul trouble for Williams, and stagnated
offense for the Gauchos.
SAN DIEGO, 74-67.

Kansas State* over Troy by 17

Missouri* over Western Michigan by 20

Washington* over Pepperdine by 10

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:45 AM
THE GOLD SHEET

PRO BASKETBALL

Houston 117 - SACRAMENTO 105—High-scoring Houston leads the
league in scoring, and Sacramento has rarely been accused of spending too
much of its energy on defense the past few seasons. However, the Kings have
covered 3 straight as a home dog. Interestingly, newly acquired King F Rudy
Gay scored 29 points for the Raptors when they lost a double-OT decisions
against Houston earlier this season. The punch line is he made just 11 of 37
shots. Rockets have won and covered 9 of last 11 against the Kings (5-1 at the
Sleep Train Arena). 12-SAC +6' 117-111 (218), Hou -4 112-102 (218), HOU -
10' 121-100 (218)

MEMPHIS 103 - Minnesota 95—First meeting this season in a series
dominated by Memphis. The Grizzlies have won 11 straight against the Twolves,
covering 9 of those meetings. Memphis has been extremely
disappointing at home this season, however, dropping 10 of 13 pointspread
decisions at the FedEx Forum. Minny similarly disappointing on the road of late,
with a 2-5 spread mark last 7 as a visitor. Only 3 teams shoot worse than the
Timberwolves, and don’t think Minny C Nikola Pekovic will get the best 7-0
Greek C Kosta Koufos inside. 12-MEM -9 105-88 (184), MEM -13 92-77 (183),
Mem -4 99-86 (184)

Portland 107 - DETROIT 98—Detroit lost and failed to cover 7 of last 10
home games prior to hosting Brooklyn on Friday, and Pistons’ defense went
south as they yielded 114 ppg in their last 3 through Dec. 12. Portland has been
a high-percentage play, logging 18-3 SU & 16-5 spread marks since dropping its
opener. Blazers played last night, but Portland covered 5 of 6 games when
unrested this season. Blazers more reliable choice, especially considering
Pistons haven’t covered as a home dog this season (0-3). 13-POR -4' 109-103
(199); 12-DET +1 108-101 (192), POR -10' 112-101 (200)

OKLAHOMA CITY 113 - Orlando 94—This will be a real challenge for
Orlando side that’s 1-7 SU last 8 on the road and has scored just 87 ppg in its
last 4 away from home. Explosive Oklahoma City (105 ppg at Chesapeake
Energy Arena this season and 108 ppg there LY) has been a solid winner at
home, with a 33-18 spread mark the last 1+ seasons. Orlando SF Arron Afflalo
is the go-to scorer for the Magic, but he can’t measure up to Kevin Durant
(literally, as he is 4 inches shorter than Durant, who’s 6-9 and extra-long). 12-
OKC -17 117-104 (207), Okc -13' 97-89 (208)

DENVER 106 - New Orleans 104—The home team has won and covered 5
straight when these two play, but this might be the spot to look for a reversal in
that string. New Orleans has covered 3 of 4 as a road dog, and Denver has had
a very sluggish start laying points at the Pepsi Center (1-4 as home chalk). First
chance N.O. PG Jrue Holiday has to square off against Ty Lawson since
Holiday moved to the Pelicans from Philly. N.O. F Ryan Anderson, who’s
having his best season (22 ppg) scored 20 ppg and shot 46% on his triples
against the Nuggets last season. 12-DEN -10 102-84 (194), DEN -7 113-98
(204), NO +7 110-86 (197)

Golden St. 110 - PHOENIX 102—Golden State has won the last 6 against
Phoenix, covering 5 of those meetings. Phoenix started 4-0 SU and against the
points at US Airways Arena this season, but Suns have dipped 2-3 in last 5 and
are going to have a bit of a matchup problem in backcourt. Not sure if Sun Gs
Goran Dragic and Eric Bledsoe can keep a lid on counterparts Stephen Curry
and Klay Thompson, and Warrior frontline featuring rugged F David Lee and
underrated SF youngster Harrison Barnes (15 ppg last 10) will be an issue as
well for Channing Frye and P.J. Tucker. And clock might’ve struck 12 on Sun
C Miles Plumlee (8 ppg, 7 rpg last 5 after averaging a double-double in first 8
games). 12-Gs

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:45 AM
WINNING POINTS

PRO BASKETBALL

Houston over *Sacramento by 3
Sacramento was just 3-9 ATS at home through last Sunday, but it's difficult to lay
many points with the Rockets on the road when Dwight Howard isn't blocking shots
and there's a cluster injury problem.
HOUSTON 109-106.

***BEST BET
*Memphis over Minnesota by 15
Minnesota has yet to get over the hurdle of beating the Grizzlies. The Timberwolves
have dropped 11 straight to Memphis, losing by an of 15 points during three
matchups last season. After a fast start, Minnesota had failed to cover seven of its last
nine games through this past Monday. Memphis has held four of its last six foes to
under 98 points through last Sunday.
MEMPHIS 102-87.

Portland over *Detroit by 4
The Pistons became the first team to hold LaMarcus Aldridge under 20 points, but
still lost 109-103 at Portland on Nov. 11.
PORTLAND 106-102.

*Oklahoma City over Orlando by 8
Oklahoma entered the first weekend of this month on a 62-win game pace, but so far
haven't dominated like last season. The Thunder were covering just 40 percent when
laying six or more points through this past Monday.
OKLAHOMA CITY 105-97.

*Denver over New Orleans by 5
With Al-Farouq Aminu filling in nicely, the Hornets have been sailing under-the-radar
since losing their best player, Anthony Davis, beating the 76ers, Knicks and Bulls in
their last three road contests. This is the beginning of a five-game road swing for the
Pelicans.
DENVER 107-102.

Golden State over *Phoenix by 2
While the Warriors have a number of name players such as Stephen Curry, David Lee
and Andrew Bogut, the scrappy Suns were ranking among the best teams against the
spread going 14-5-1 through their first 20 games. Golden State, though, went 4-0
against the Suns last season, although three of the games were tight.
GOLDEN STATE 105-103.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:45 AM
Norm Hitzges

NFL
TRIPLE PLAY:
San Francisco -5 Tampa Bay

DOUBLE PLAYS
Carolina -11 NY Jets
Miami +1 New England
Detroit -6 Baltimore

SINGLE PLAYS
Atlanta -7 Washington
Arizona -3 Tennessee
Seattle -7 NY Giants
Indy -5 1/2 Houston
Jacksonville +2 Buffalo
Cincy -2 1/2 Pittsburgh

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:47 AM
Fezzik

| NFL Total Sun, 12/15/13 - 4:25 PM
double-dime bet ARI / 310 TEN Over 41.5 Bookmaker.com (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=8?AflId=36247)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:47 AM
JASON SHARPE

5 Unit Play Take #316 Cleveland +1.5 over Chicago (1:00pm est):
The Chicago Bears were in the perfect spot last Monday night at home as they played in their biggest game of the entire NFL season. The Bears took advantage of this huge primetime game and looked very great in the process against what is an overrated Dallas Cowboys squad. We nailed that play as well and in a big way making it our December NFL Game of the Month. Now that's all behind them and there is a very good chance that they will also be pulling red hot starting quarterback Josh McCown for Jay Cutler here in this one. The Bears are only 2-4 on the road this season with both wins being somewhat flukes as they were outplayed by the Pittsburgh Steelers but won the turnover battle by a plus five and also beat Green Bay when the Packers lost Aaron Rodgers for that game very early on.

The Cleveland Browns would love nothing more than to send their fans home for the season with a win in their home finale. The Browns have a top ten defense in the NFL but an offense that is still a work in progress. The Browns lost a heartbreaker last week in New England in a game they had no business losing to the Patriots as they had a nice lead throughout. This was a team that was once 3-2 on the season but then lost games to Detroit, Green Bay (with Rodgers), Kansas City, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville and New England over their next seven games overall. That's a very good group of teams to have to face week in and week out over a two month stretch.

The Bears are not a good football but instead they are just very averaging at best and with a defense that rated towards the bottom of the NFL. Take Cleveland in this one.

3 Unit Play Take #325 New York Jets +11 over Carolina (4:05pm est):
This isn't an easy spot for the Carolina Panthers who enter this game in the middle of a New Orleans Saints sandwich. The Panthers lost last week in a big game at New Orleans and then will face the Saints next week in a big revenge spot. This game screams a look ahead spot.

The New York Jets run a 3-4 defense, this is the same type of scheme that Arizona, San Francisco and New Orleans run. Those teams held Carolina to just 9.6 points per game this season. Keep in mind also Jets head coach Rex Ryan is the brother to Saints defensive coordinator Rob Ryan, the guy who just beat the Panthers last weekend.

Look for the Jets to keep things close here. Take New York and the points in this one.

3 Unit Play Take #328 Oakland +4.5 over Kansas City (4:05pm est):
These are the type of games late in the season where the betting public always piles on one side. We are seeing it again in this one as the highest percentage of bettors look to be on the Chiefs this week which creates some nice value to bet against them.

I have not impressed by this Kansas City team this year. They did get a much needed win last week as it looked like Washington had no interest playing in the cold. Now they are being asked to travel to the other side of the Unites States and play this week in Oakland. The last time these two teams went at it this season, the Raiders outgained them on the road but lost the game. Despite their differences in records they are both gaining about 20 yards less per game than they are allowing for this season.

The Raiders have got solid play out of their new quarterback the last month. This isn't a bad football team at all despite a 4-9 record on the season. Look for them to keep things close here. Take Oakland the points.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 09:48 AM
Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

NFL
Arizona @ Tennessee
Tennessee+2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:03 AM
Al DeMarco

17-Point Burial Blowout of the Year


15 Dimer: Carolina

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:11 AM
Goldsheet


★★★CAROLINA 27 - NY Jets 6—Meeting the angry Panther defense, in
Charlotte, is the nightmare scenario for the turnover-prone New York offense.
While QB Geno Smith (54%, 10 TDs, 21 ints.) ended his slump last week with his
first TDP in six games, facing the stone wall that has become the front seven of
the Panther defense (yielding only 10 ppg at home) does not figure to go well for
the rookie. Smith’s supporting cast is one of the weakest in the NFL.
Meanwhile, the big-play speed of WR/KR Ted Ginn Jr. has boosted the Carolina
passing game, easing the pressure on Steve Smith and Cam Newton. Panthers
bounce back from their loss in the Big Easy.


★★★INDIANAPOLIS 33 - Houston 17—After losing 11 straight (it’s
amazing how close it is to 13 in a row!) and after playing so poorly that owner
Bob McNair would rather entrust the rest of the Texans’ regular season to Wade
Phillips instead of the just-dismissed Gary Kubiak, it’s hard to make a serious
case for sloppy Houston. Which, on top of various negatives, also
accumulated as many penalties (14) as the old Broad Street Bully Philadelphia
Flyers in last week’s loss at Jacksonville. Indy is not exactly ramping up to the
postseason in consistent form (a byproduct, perhaps, of key WR Reggie
Wayne’s absence), but the Colts can usually be trusted to bounce back from a
SU defeat, covering their last nine in such situations!
(13-Indy 27-HOU. 24...H.22-17 H.33/143 I.14/69 H.20/34/0/350 I.18/40/0/245 I.0 H.0)
(12-HOU. 29-Indy 17...H.23-19 H.32/178 I.25/124 H.23/31/0/239 I.13/27/0/148 H.0 I.1)
(12-INDY 28-Hou. 16...19-19 H.20/102 I.33/81 H.24/36/2/250 I.14/28/0/184 I.0 H.0)
(13-Indy -2 27-24; 12-HOUSTON -10 29-17, INDY +6' 28-16…SR: Indianapolis 19-4)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:19 AM
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
6 Unit Play. #323 Take Philadelphia -4 ½ over Minnesota (1:05p.m., Sunday, Dec 15)
(Game of the Month)
One team that is heading to probably the playoffs and streaking hot and another team that is
struggling and their franchise RB is out! The surprising Philadelphia Eagles still have yet to lose a
game that Nick Foles has started at QB and Sunday on the road in Minnesota I don't see it
happening. Eagles QB Foles has thrown 1 INT in his last 255 pass attempts and that 1 INT was
last week's blizzard at home. The Vikings defense has been questionable all season long and they
have given up over 20 points in every game this year. I see Nick Foles and LeSean McCoy having
big games in the Dome and the spped on the Eagles offense should have a field day against
Vikings defense. Philadelphia has won 4-STRAIGHT road games by double-digits and if Minnesota
can't put pressure on Foles early this game could get ugly. Vikings will struggle to score if this
becomes a scoring toe-to-toe match and not because RB A. Peterson will be out but mentally this
team is just struggling to keep it together. Philadelphia wins another game, another road game,
and inches closer to the division crown. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings against
the Vikings and Minnesota is 3-12-1 ATS in Week 15.

2 Unit Play. #327 Take Kansas City -4 ½ over Oakland (4:05p.m., Sunday, Dec 15)
Lately Kansas City against good teams not good but against bad teams with bad Qb's
outstanding. That is pretty much what I'm looking at in this game. Look for the KC defense taking
control of this game early and if Alex Smith stays in control and makes no mistakes the Chiefs win
by a touchdown or more. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and the Raiders are 3-
7-1 in their last 11 games in December

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:19 AM
DOC

7 Unit Play. #310 Take Over 41.5 in Arizona Cardinals @ Tennessee Titans (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) NFL Game of the Year. The Titans got lit up last week by Peyton Manning, and we expect another high-scoring affair Sunday in the Music City. The Titans have gone over today's posted number in five of their last six games, and I really believe that both teams will reach the 20s in scoring. Tennessee has gone over the posted total in their last five home games. Tennessee has also gone over the posted total in eight of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

Not much bad can be said about the Cardinals as they are in the playoff hunt and have a great offensive mind as a coach in Bruce Arians. The Cardinals have gone over the posted total in 38 of their last 54 games when allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. The Redbirds will be without the Honey Badger for this game, and that weakens their secondary a great deal. We will not worry about who wins this game and just focus on the total.

4 Unit Play. #314 Take New York Giants +7 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Giants were officially eliminated from the playoffs with their loss last week at San Diego, but no reasonable people believed in them making a run after they lost to Dallas a couple of weeks ago. That being said, I do not expect them to throw in the towel, and thus they will be competitive at home against Seattle. This is the second straight road game for the Seahawks, and this is a cross-country flight into New Jersey. Seattle is coming off back-to-back games against playoffs teams from the NFC, and I just do not believe that they will be up for this game. The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against NFC teams. This is an early start for a West Coast team, and I believe they will not be ready to play.

4 Unit Play. #321 Take Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 over Minnesota Vikings (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Vikings have played well down the stretch despite being out of the playoff hunt for quite some time. That being said, they are running into a buzz saw playing Philadelphia. The Eagles put forth a great performance in the second half last week against Detroit, the team that leads the NFC North. Minnesota will likely be without their only playmaker on offense for this game, and that will be a burden too big to overcome. The Eagles are 6-0 in games that QB Nick Foles starts and finishes. Minnesota's defense has allowed 29 touchdown passes this year, and expect QB Foles to add to this total. Philadelphia has covered four straight road games. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games played during Week 15.

4 Unit Play. #327 Take Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) This is a big public play as many of the football newsletters that come out early in the week are all on Kansas City. The Chiefs just beat a dysfunctional team on the road last Sunday, and they will get another chance this Sunday. Oakland has shown signs of being competitive this season, but they have been struggling of late, losing three straight games and five of their last six. The Chiefs just match up well with the Raiders as the Chiefs has a strong defense and Oakland just does not get many big plays from the passing game. Andy Reid always has a knack for beating bad teams when his teams are strong, and today will be no different. Oakland is allowing 26 points per game. I do not see a huge blowout by the Chiefs like last week against Washington, but I do see a double-digit victory. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. 84% of the bets are coming in on KC, and we will get in on the action as well. Oakland is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during December.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:21 AM
RxPops69
DEC 15-8-1


Manhattan -4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:25 AM
Pick Addict

Carolina Panthers -10

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:44 AM
Joe Gavazzi NFL

Joe Gavazzi Sides (21-12 Run)
4% San Francisco -5
3% Arizona -2.5
4% Indianapolis -4
4% Philadelphia -6.5
3% Kansas City -4.5
2% Opinion Cincinnati Bengals

Gavazzi Totals (20-11 Run)
4% Atlanta Over 50
3% Arizona Over 42
4% Cleveland Over 42
4% Minnesota Over 50.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:45 AM
Root: Upset Club. Cleveland, Minnesota, Millionaire Tampa Bay

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:46 AM
CKO

Confidential Kick-Off

10 SAN FRANCISCO over *Tampa Bay
Late Score Forecast:
SAN FRANCISCO 28 - *Tampa Bay 13
(Sunday, December 15)

10 *MIAMI over New England
Late CKO score forecast:
*MIAMI 30 - New England 23
(Sunday, December 15)

NINE-RATED GAMES:
DENVER (-11½) vs. San Diego [Thursday Night]—Cold? What cold?; Practically Perfect Peyton lays 51 on Tennessee, passing for 397 yards while wearing a glove on his throwing hand...
PITTSBURGH (+2) vs. Cincinnati—Key Steeler RB Le’Veon Bell and TE Heath Miller missed the first
meeting between these two due to injury; Bengals only 2-4-1 vs. the spread on the road.

TOTALS:
UNDER (39; est.) in the New York Jets-Carolina Game—Both teams feature strong defenses, but the Jets will be lucky to even be going forward vs. the Panther front seven...
OVER (51½) in the Philadelphia-Minnesota Game—The Vikes’ banged-up secondary will have a hard time deciphering Chip Kelly’s deceptive offense, with its play-action and excellent TEs; Minnesota has gone “over” 11 of 13 games this season (“over” 4 of 5 at home).

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:52 AM
ALLEN EASTMAN

3-Unit Play Take #323 Philadelphia (-4.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
The Eagles should be able to get this road win in Minnesota. The Eagles are feeling good after their big win at home last year in the snow against Detroit. The Vikings lost in the last second at Baltimore. They lost Adrian Peterson to injury. This team has nothing to play for. The Eagles are playing to win their division and won't take this game for granted. Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the favorite is 5-2 ATS the last seven times these teams have played.

2-Unit Play.[/COLOR] Take #313 Seattle (-7) over New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
This one should be all the way of the Seahawks. They are coming off a rare loss last week to San Francisco. This team is still in a race for home field advantage and the NO. 1 seed in the NFC> They will need this win. The Giants are a team with nothing to play for. Their season is over. The Giants were blown out last week by the Chargers. They are turning the ball over too much and that will hurt them against a team with a tough defense like Seattle. The Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games against the NFC. Seattle is 9-2 ATS on the road. Lay the points.

4-Unit Play[/COLOR]. Take #318 Indianapolis (-5.5) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
The Colts are coming off a bad loss at Cincinnati last week. They will bounce back at home. Houston just fired coach Gary Kubiak. This team is ready to quit on the season. They have lost 10 straight games and are just 3-7 ATS in those games. They have not been good enough to beat teams like the Jaguars and the Raiders. Indianapolis has won and covered three of the last four meetings. The home team has won six of the last seven meetings. Andrew Luck and the Colts should have an easy time against this failed Texans team.

7-Unit Play Take #326 Carolina (-11) over New York Jets (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
AND
3-Unit Play Take First Half #326 Carolina (-6) over New York (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
This is my NFL Game of the Month.
The Panthers are going to win this one in a blowout. I thought that this spread would be around 14.5. The Panthers had their winning streak snapped last week in New Orleans. They will not be happy and will want to get another big win here on Sunday. The Panthers won their last home game 27-6. They have been a double-digit favorite one other time this year. They were -10 against the Falcons and won 34-10 over Atlanta. The Jets have been a terrible road team this year! They lost their last three road games 19-3, 37-14 and 49-9. They also lost 38-13 on the road earlier this year to Tennessee. Carolina is just too tough for the Jets. I expect the Panthers defense to dominate this game against rookie quarterback Geno Smith. I think that this will be another game where the Jets get blown out by at least three touchdowns and this one should be all Panthers from start to finish.

4-Unit Play Take #327 Kansas City (-4) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
This play is from the NFL 411 System.
The Chiefs are one of the best teams in football. They should blow out their rivals this weekend on the road just like they did to the Redskins last week. This series has been dominated by the road team. The visitor is 21-7-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. The Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games out in Oakland. The Raiders were blown out last week against the Jets. They have lost three straight and they have lost five of their last seven games. This team is really struggling. Kansas City will get the job done. The books have had to move this line in some places so bet it now before it comes off four.

3-Unit Play Take #311 New Orleans (-6) over St. Louis (4:25 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
The Saints are the much better team in this game. They won another blowout last week over Carolina. They are ahead in the division and won't want to slip up here. The Saints are not a great road team. But they are playing in a dome this week and that should benefit them. The Rams have been blown out each of the last two weeks. They have lost two of their last three home games. The Rams are just 2-7 ATS against the NFC and the Rams are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 15. New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games in December. Lay the points.

4-Unit Play Take #311 Cincinnati (-2) over Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
This play is from the NFL 411 System.
The Steelers lost another heartbreaker last week. That is two straight games that they lost in the final seconds. Those two losses have ruined their season and any hope for the playoffs. The Bengals are going to the postseason. They are a tough team that won in a blowout last week against the Colts. Cincinnati beat the Steelers by 10 points in the first meeting this season. The road team has done well in this series and is 5-3 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Bengals have much better numbers on defense and Cincinnati's offense is improving. The Bengals have won and covered the spread in three straight and five of their last seven. They are favored for a reason. They will get a hard win over their hated division rival.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:54 AM
STRIKE POINT SPORTS

6-Unit Play Take #313 Seattle (-7) over New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, December 15)
The New York Giants do one of two things towards the end of an NFL Season. They either A) go on a tear and finish the regular season strong and make the playoffs, or B) get destroyed in their last four or five games. They set the tone for the latter with their atrocious effort last weekend in their double-digit loss to the San Diego Chargers. This Giants squad is going to lay down and die over the last few weeks of the season and that is going to be extremely evident in this match up with the Seahawks. Seattle has a ton to play for as home field advantage is their ticket to the Super Bowl. With a one game lead on the Saints, they will want to do everything they can not to let any games slip through their fingers. The weather is supposedly going to be bad in New York/New Jersey this weekend but that won't hinder Seattle's game plan. Russell Wilson and his supporting cast know how to play in bad weather and they will be just fine moving the ball both on the ground and through the air. Seattle's defense will put the clamps on Eli and his cast as once the Seahawks get up, they will take advantage of the Giants turnovers that we all know are coming. Seattle is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. The Seahawks are 3-0 ATS in their last three games in which they outrushed their opponent. I see that happening again this Sunday as the Giants won't be able to move the ball through the air versus the Seahawks solid pass defense. Not only are the 3-0 ATS but they have won those three games by an average of nearly 21 points a game. Take the road team in this one as the Giants are going to give up in front of their home crowd.

3-Unit Play Take #323 Philadelphia (-4.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, December 15)
I have absolutely no idea why Vegas continues to give the Eagles short lines? This Philadelphia team is playing great football and they know that the NFC East is theirs for the taking. They will be focused and ready each and every Sunday and they can accidentally win/cover this game. Philly has quietly done everything that Carolina has done over the last month but no one is talking about the Eagles. Philly has won seven of their last nine games S.U. and has won six of those seven wins by at least eight points (including five by at least 11 points). Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Minnesota, and the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games between the two teams. Take Philly here as they win this game by double figures as the Vikings try to figure out how to move the ball with either Toby Gerhart or an really banged up Adrian Peterson.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:55 AM
MTI's Two Team Teaser

MTi's 2-team, 6-point teasers

4-Star Tennessee +9, Pittsburgh +8.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:56 AM
Championship Football Picks

San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Bucs
Championships Pick: over 41 for 3 units

New York Jets at Carolina Panthers
Championships Pick: under 41 for 3 units

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys
Championships Pick: under 50 for 3 units

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:56 AM
Cooper Wins

Regular plays

Game #1: New England @ Miami

Miami -2

Game #2: Kansas City @ Oakland

Kansas City -5

Game #3: Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 10:58 AM
From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

CINCINNATI (331) AT PITTSBURGH (332)
Latest Line: Pittsburgh +2.0; Total: 41.5

The red-hot Bengals seek their fourth straight win when they visit a rival Steelers team with two straight painful defeats. Cincinnati has outscored its past three opponents 100 to 58, but is just 2-4-1 ATS on the road this year with a mere 19.3 PPG. After losing by two points to rival Baltimore on Thanksgiving, Pittsburgh allowed 10 points in the final 3:02 of a 34-28 home loss to the Dolphins last week, dropping it to 3-3 (SU and ATS) at home. Although Pittsburgh holds a 10-4 edge (SU and ATS) in this series recently, the Bengals have won two straight, 13-10 at Heinz Field last year, and 20-10 at home in Week 2.
FORECASTER: Cincinnati 24, Pittsburgh 21

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:00 AM
King Creole:
5* Minn/Philly OVER 50.5
3* NO/STL OVER 47
2* AZ/TN OVER 41.5
2* Chi/Cle OVER 43.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:02 AM
Fezzik

NFL Total Sun, 12/15/13 - 4:25 PM
double-dime bet ARI / 310 TEN Over 41.5 Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437).com

NFL Side Sun, 12/15/13 - 1:00 PM
double-dime bet 316 CLE 0.0 (-100) 5dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229) vs 315 CHI

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:05 AM
RAS

Wright St -2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:07 AM
Chad Matthews

7-Unit play #327 Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 over the Oakland Raiders (Dec 15 @ 4:05pm ET)
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Oakland Raiders clash in a division rivalry game this Sunday in Oakland. The Chiefs finally got back on the winning track destroying the Redskins last week 45-10 in the nation's capital. Prior to last weekend's win the Chiefs were on a three game skid losing twice to Denver and once to San Diego. The Raiders are in a downward spiral losing five of their past six games . The Raiders who's only offense comes from the run game has reported that both running backs Darren McFadden and Rashad Jennings are both questionable to play this weekend. Even if these two running backs are to play they are still playing banged up and against a Chiefs defense that is ranked 16th in the league in run defense. The Chiefs should be ranked lower in this category but during their three-game skid their running defense was exposed dropping them to 16th respectively. The Chiefs still have their sights on the Broncos despite losing to them twice this season to try to capture the AFC crown and expect them to be on their A game this weekend against a weaker Oakland team. The Chiefs need a win this weekend or a Miami loss to claim playoff territory but the Chiefs have their minds set on a bigger goal in trying to capture the AFC and get home field advantage throughout the playoffs and I don't see Oakland getting in their way at all. The Raiders are 0-5 against teams with winning records this season and the Chiefs are 8-2 against the spread their last eight games played in Oakland. Take the Chiefs at -4.5 here

2-Unit play #307 San Francisco 49ers -5 over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Dec 15 @ 1pm ET)
The San Francisco 49ers head to Tampa Bay to take on the streaking Buccaneers. The 49ers are coming off of a gruesome win at home last week against Seattle in a very well fought contest, now they have to travel across states to Florida to take on the Buccaneers who have now won four of their past five games. The only loss the Bucs have suffered came to the Carolina Panthers as they got shut down 27-6. The 49ers defensively are well rounded and Tampa Bay has shown this season they do not play well against defensive minded teams. The 49ers are ranked 4th in defending the run and ranked 10th in the league in protecting the pass. The 49ers defense shows up again this weekend and puts a halt to this lower than average Bucs team. Take the 49ers at -5 here.

3-Unit play #323 Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 over the Minnesota Vikings (Dec 15 @ 1pm ET)
The soaring Philadelphia Eagles and the injured plaque Minnesota Vikings meet up this Sunday at the Metrodome in Minneapolis. The Eagles have been the story of the NFC East this season storming out of nowhere to become the pack-leader of their division. The Eagles started off this season with all kinds of drama at the quarterback position as they were bogged down by Michael Vick, and as usual Vick got injured and played poor as well. Now starting Eagles quarterback Nick Foles has stepped in big as the Eagles have won their past five straight games and I do not see the injured Vikings team stopping them. Eagles quarterback Nick Foles, who leads the NFL with a 120.0 passer rating should be able to go deep whenever he wants against this Vikings defense that have given up the most deep passes in the league this season. The Vikings could be without all-star running back Adrian Peterson as he went out with injury last weekend against the Ravens. Both of these teams are playing in different directions with the Eagles being the much hotter team and with the blow to the Vikings run game without Peterson out there I expect the Eagles to roll em up here this weekend at the Metrodome. Take the Eagles at -4.5 here.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:10 AM
Diamond Dog Sports

NCAA Football
62 - 46 - 2 (+14.49u) 57.4%

Next Play Bowls

NFL Football
42 - 25 - 3 (+13.00u) 62.7%

Redskins +6.0 Even Money (A)
Under Dolphins 45.5 -105 (A)
Titans +3.0 -115 (A)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:11 AM
RAS

San Diego -1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:12 AM
Power play wins

SF Niners

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:13 AM
Bill Hilton- Gameday

3-Dallas
2-Philly
2-Houston

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:16 AM
NCAAB

Sunday, December 15

Syracuse won last eight games with St John's, with five of last six wins by 19+ points; Orange also played Big East tourney here every March, so this familiar site in first non-league meeting. First true away game for Syracuse, which won three games on Maui by 8-11-7 points. St John's is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11 to Wisconsin, by 7 to Penn State.

Wright State won last three games with Miami by 8-2-15 points; they're 0-6 on road, losing last two games to teams outside top 250. Teams are making 49.1% behind arc vs Miami this year, best % vs any team in US. Miami is 1-5 but has three top 60 losses; #182 Raiders are lowest-rated team they've played this year. Horizon road favorites are 2-3 vs spread; MAC home underdogs are 6-5.

LaSalle beat Villanova 77-74 in OT LY after being down 11 in 2nd half, ending decade+-long losing series skid; Explorers lost last four visits here by 7-18-13-41 points. LaSalle is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 9-8-7 points- they're making 29.5% behind arc. 9-0 Villanova is 6-0 vs teams outside top 100, with all six wins by 15+- they're forcing turnovers 23% of time, #16 in country.

UCSB beat San Diego by 4-18 points last two years, holding Toreros to 39 points LY; Gauchos are 3-3 vs D-I teams despite having #1 eFG% in US, making 43.9% (#7) behind arc- they're 1-2 on road, winning by 21 at UNLV, losing at Colorado by 8, UCLA by 13. USD lost its two top 100 games by total of 8 points, losing to New Mexico by 7, Aztecs by 1.

Pepperdine forced 20 turnovers (+6) in 58-56 OT win vs Washington St LY, after losing by 11 to Coogs year before; Waves are 3-0 in true road games, winning by 3-17-6 points- they're 2-2 vs teams in top 150, with losses by 3-8 points to only top 100 foes. Wazzu lost four of its last six games, beating local Idaho by point in last game eight days ago, in game they trailed by 10 with 13:49 left.

Northeastern is 2-7 playing #25 schedule in US, losing last five in a row since upsetting Georgetown on neutral floor; six of Huskies' losses are by 9 or less points. Fairfield lost last eight games, losing by 4-11 in first two MAAC tilts- they're turning ball over 21.8% of time, making 41.9% inside arc. MAAC underdogs are 20-18 vs spread, 4-2 at home. CAA road favorites are 3-0.

Marist is 0-9 under new coach, with 83-74 loss at Iona only one of four road losses by less than 16 points; Red Foxes are making 25.5% on arc (11th-worst in US), 39.8% inside arc (13th-worst). Charleston won by 10 at Marist LY; this is first D-I game in two weeks for Cougars, who are 4-4 vs D-I teams, with last three wins all by 13+ points. Favorites from Southern Conference are 1-4 vs spread at home.

7-2 Manhattan is 15-5 in last 20 games dating back to LY, winning last three games while allowing 61.3 ppg; Jaspers are 5-0 on road- they force turnovers 20.3% of time. NC-Wilmington won last two games, is 4-5 vs D-I teams, despite making just 25.2% from arc (6th-worst in US)- they won three of four home games, with only home loss to SF Austin 60-55.

First game in 11 days for Morehead State, which turns ball over 24.3% of time, makes just 29.9% behind arc, but is 6-4 vs D-I teams, probably because they force TOs 22% of time. Eagles are 2-0 at home, defeating Marshall/Wright State. Falcons are 0-3 on road, but they were all top 50 opponents; BG is shooting 25.3% behind arc, 8th-worst %age in USA.

First game in 8 days for 6-2 Drexel squad that won consecutive games in triple OT couple weeks ago; Dragons won by 8 at Illinois State, by 11 at Rutgers after losing first true road game at UCLA by 5, but Lee's injury made them thinner. Davidson is 4-6 vs #32 schedule; they lost by 11 at poor Niagara team Wednesday.Wildcats have 7th-worst eFG% defense in country- teams are making 40.3% from arc against them.

Wyoming is 7-2, losing by 5 at Colorado, 15 at Ohio State in true away games; home side won Cowboys' last 11 games with Denver. Wyoming lost its last five visits here- they're making 41.4% from arc this season. Denver had terrific win at Colorado State after splitting pair of OT tilts before that. Pioneers are 1-1 at home, losing to Stanford, winning in OT over Southern.

UC-Irvine (-8) made 11-19 from arc, hammered Eastern Washington two weeks ago, 81-58 (was 43-22 at half); Anteaters lost to Cal/Pepperdine in last two games- they're 2-2 on road with win at Washington. EWU is 3-3 vs D-I teams, beating Seattle by 8 in only D-I home game; Eagles are making 39.5% from arc, just 62.9% from line. Big Sky home dogs: 1-5.

Montana State waxed Portland 83-64 LY, its only win against D-I team in 1-8 start; Bobcats were 27-39 on foul line in that game- they're 1-2 on road this year, losing by 5 at Riverside, 25 at Wyoming, with upset win at Central Michigan. Pilots are 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200; all five wins were by 14+- they won last three games, by 17-29-16 points.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:23 AM
CapperAdvantage

CharlotteSports
Browns +1
Redskins/Falcons Over 50
Texans +4.5
Bills -3
Dolphins ML

Big E
Redskins/Falcons Over 50

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:25 AM
Diamond Dog Sports

NBA Basketball 42-33-1 (+0.95u)
Under Suns 210.5 -110 (A)

NCAA Basketball 23-27-3 (-4.96u)
#829 Marist +10.5 -110 (A)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:28 AM
DOC SPORTS

4 Unit Play #813 Take Syracuse Orange -4 over St. Johns Red Storm (12 pm Fox Sports 1) This is not a conference match-up anymore but Syracuse loves playing at the Garden and they will be up for this game. St. Johns does not have the shooters to fare well against the Syracuse 2-3 Zone. Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. St. Johns is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take this short number with the much better team on Sunday. I see this game being close for 17 minutes before the Orange start to pull away late in the first half.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:28 AM
Wolkosky Milan

NFL: 51-43-4 (+270 Units)

1-2 last Sunday

20* NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +2½
20* PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -5
20* ST LOUIS RAMS +7
20* SAINTS / RAMS OVER 47
20* 49ERS / BUCCANEERS UNDER 41½
20* CARDINALS / TITANS OVER 41½

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:29 AM
Trev Rogers Dude is hot!
NFL *** TOTAL of the YEAR *** = EAGLES/VIKINGS OVER 50.5
Houston Texans +6-105
Oakland Raiders +6-115
NY Jets +11½-110
Total 41 under car-102

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:30 AM
BANKROLL SPORTS

Today's Premium Member Releases
(All Game Times Are Listed In Eastern Standard Time)

10* Bengals @ Steelers Over 41.5 (NFL)
5* San Francisco 49ers -5.5 (NFL)
5* New York Jets +10 (NFL)
4* Miami Dolphins -1 (NFL)
4* Packers @ Cowboys Under 49 (NFL)
3* New York Giants +7 (NFL)
2* Texans @ Colts Over 45 (NFL)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:30 AM
Best Weekend Wagers with Weekend Warrior December 15, 2013 6:00 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football

305 Washington Redskins +5½: No RG III, but let’s remember that the Falcons are just as bad and giving a big number here.

326 Carolina Panthers -10: Geno Smith is back to being the Bad Geno against a tough Panthers defense. Expect turnovers to make this one a laugher.

329 Green Bay Packers +6½: With Aaron Rodgers missing another game not many are giving the Packers a shot. We believe they keep things simple, run a lot and keep it close.

Results

NFL (0-0-0) Overall Record: 20-30-0



NCAA Basketball

818 Villanova -13½: Big Five matchup which is always intense. Nova off to a great start and like UMass on Saturday has not gone unnoticed in the big line

Results

NCAA BK (Sat 1-0-0) Overall Record: 3-1-0

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:31 AM
NCAA Football Play of the Day December 15, 2013 6:10 AM by GT Staff

Houston Texans +5 at Indianapolis Colts at 10 a.m. PST

The Texans will go all out in a meaningless game to win one for Wade Phillips who replaced the fired Gary Kubiak.

317 Houston Texans +5

Results

2013-14 NFL (0-0-0) Overall Record: 20-11-0

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:31 AM
GamingToday's Consensus Picks December 15, 2013 6:20 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

305 Washington Redskins +6: The Skins in bad shape but may find a way to rebound on the road as they have gone 9-0 ATS as dogs if 4 or more points when facing a team under .500 that is not in their division.

310 Tennessee Titans +3: Titans have stunk in division play but when playing outside of the AFC South the have gone 5-0 SU and ATS.

311 New Orleans Saint -6: Saints one of the best on the road in the NFL as they have gone 15-5 when meeting a losing team.

320 Jacksonville Jaguars +3: The Jags are really playing much better and they catch the Bills who have gone 1-9 ATS as a road favorite when coming off a loss.

322 Miami Dolphins -1: We look for the fist to win this game straight up as they have gone 6-0-1 as a home dog in their last 7 in that situation.


Results

2013-14 NFL (0-0-0) Overall Record: 55-48-6

NCAA Basketball

814 St. Johns +4: Huge game for the Johnnies as they take on No. 2 Syracuse on Fox, they have struggled in the early gong even with their top five scorers from last season returning, they will put it all together on Fox today.


Results

2013-14 NCAA BK (Sat 2-1-0) Overall Record: 21-12-0

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:38 AM
ROBERT FERRINGO

SUNDAY FOOTBALL SELECTION

3-Unit Play Take #313 Seattle (-7) over N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

2-Unit Play Take #323 Philadelphia (-4.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

2-Unit Play Take #305 Washington (+7) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take #307 San Francisco (-5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take #316 Cleveland (+1.5) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take #310 Tennessee (+3) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take #325 N.Y. Jets (+11) over Carolina (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take #327 Kansas City (-4) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

This Week's Totals

7-Unit Play Take 'Over' 42.5 Buffalo at Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
Note: This is our NFL Total of the Year
I know, this one seems a bit random. But when bad teams get together late in the year like this, chaos generally ensues. Look no further than Jacksonville's game at Cleveland two weeks ago, which was a scoring bonanza (32-28). I think that this one could be a similar result. Since its bye, the Jaguars have been a different team. They have been tough over the last five weeks, winning four games. They have also gone over the total in five of their last six games. Chad Henne isn't playing particularly well right now. But he's working the offense and proving to be a capable veteran hand. And the Jaguars are doing some nice things on that side of the ball. They have averaged a solid 23 points per game in their last five games and 30 points in their last two games. They are scoring. And I think that can continue. They are No. 31 in the NFL in yards per point at 18.4 YPP. That number is an outlier and should normalize a bit over the last three weeks. (The league average is around 15.5.) And to do that will require some games like last week when they posted a 10.4 YPP.

It's a similar story with the Bills. They should have gone 'over' the total last week in that game against Tampa Bay. They posted a YPP of 35.5, which is comical. E.J. Manuel was having problems with an expanded playbook so they are going to simplify things for him this week. And I think that the Bills will be a lot more focused and productive. Buffalo has been doing good work on that side of the ball, scoring a combined 68 points in their two games prior to last week's six-point dud. Further, the Bills have played one of the most difficult schedules, in terms of opposing defnees faced, of any team in the NFL this year. Just about every week they have been going up against a team ranked in the Top 10 or Top 12 in total or scoring defense. And they have handled themselves pretty well, scoring 20 or more points in seven of their last 11 games. And this week should feel like being let out of jail having to go up against a Jaguars defense yielding nearly 30 points per game.

2-Unit Play Take 'Under' 45.5 Houston at Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

2-Unit Play Take 'Over' 50.5 Philadelphia at Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

2-Unit Play Take 'Over' 41.5 Arizona at Tennessee (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take 'Over' 49.5 Washington at Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take 'Over' 41.0 Kansas City at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

1-Unit Play Take 'Over' 41.0 Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:39 AM
Northcoast GOY

5 CAROLINA

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:40 AM
psychicsportspicks

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

4 unit New England +1 (MAJOR)
5 unit Cleveland Pk (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-20)

10 unit Atlanta -6
12 unit Buffalo -3
18 unit over 41 Seattle-NYG (NFL total of the year)
19 unit Oakland +5 (NFL rivalry game of the year)

JT WALKER
(all units same)

5x normal San Francisco -5 (NFL game of the Year)

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

89% over 42 Bills-Jaguars
77% Green Bay +6.5 (bonus NFL side)

Iceman
(1-3)

1 unit Florida +170
2 unit over 5.5 TB-Detroit +124

Genius
(1-10)

3 unit Oklahoma City -13.5
3 unit St. Johns +4
6 unit Minnesota -2.5

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-5)

4 unit Tennessee +2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:41 AM
kelso

100 K.C.
50 Dall

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:42 AM
Joe Nelson

Rams 6.5
tampa bay Bucs 6

Guaranteed Play

titans 3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:42 AM
Delawarian

3* Cleveland
3* Tennessee +3 (buy the hook)
2* Washington +6
2* U 42 1/2 Buffalo
2* Green Bay
2* Pittsburgh +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:43 AM
Beat The Odds -Vegas Davis Picks

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts
4 units on Houston Texans +5

Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars
4 units on Buffalo Bills -2

New York Jets at Carolina Panthers
3 units on New York Jets +10

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:44 AM
TMC Sports Advisors

Kansas City -4

Miami +1.5

Indianapolis -5.5

Pittsburgh +2.5

Carolina -10

Free Pick

New Orleans/Saint Luis Over 47.5

NBA

Trailblazers -2.5

Kings +6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:45 AM
Hot Shot Sports:


Syracuse -6 ****
Missouri -15.5 ****
Timberwolves -3 ***

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:47 AM
Sunday Night Football betting: Bengals at Steelers

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5, 41.5)

The Cincinnati Bengals are on the verge of clinching their second straight AFC North title and third straight postseason berth. All they need to do is get a little help and knock off the stumbling Steelers when they visit Pittsburgh on Sunday night. The Bengals are riding a three-game winning streak and need another victory and a loss or tie by either the Baltimore Ravens or the Miami Dolphins to lock up a postseason slot.

Pittsburgh is technically still alive in the AFC, though at three games below .500 it would require three straight wins and lots and lots of help. “We understand the ramifications of what happened (to our playoff chances), but it really doesn’t change our plan of what we want to do this week - defeat the Cincinnati Bengals,” Steelers coach Mike Tomlin told the media. Pittsburgh dropped its last two games by a combined eight points against teams fighting for postseason spots and can look back at missed opportunities in each.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE:The Steelers opened +2.5 and are now +1.5. The total opened 40.5 and is up 1-point.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-20s with a chance of snow. Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (9-4): Cincinnati could wind up with a first-round bye if it can clinch the division and make up a game on the New England Patriots in the last three weeks. Andy Dalton is enjoying his best season and is coming off a three-touchdown, no-interception performance in last week’s 42-28 victory over the AFC South-leading Indianapolis Colts. Dalton is getting plenty of help from the two-headed running attack of BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Giovani Bernard, who combined for 147 yards on the ground last week while adding to the passing game as well.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (5-8): Pittsburgh nearly pulled off a spectacular victory over the Miami Dolphins last week with a series of laterals on the final play that ended with Antonio Brown in the end zone. Replays revealed that Brown had nicked the sideline on his way to the goal line, leaving the Steelers with a 34-28 setback and a very hard road to the playoffs. With Pittsburgh on the way down and the Bengals on the way up, some Steelers players are taking shots at Cincinnati. “I don’t think there’s a lot of respect for the Pittsburgh Steelers in Cincinnati,” Steelers safety Ryan Clark told the Bengals media. “I don’t think they necessarily understand the history, or know the history, nor care about it.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Pittsburgh.
* Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in December.
* Under is 13-4 in Steelers last 17 home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Bengals have taken each of the last two meetings, including a 20-10 triumph in Week 2.

2. Brown needs 10 catches to become the second receiver in Pittsburgh history to reach 100 in a season (Hines Ward, 112).

3. Bernard leads all AFC rookies with 1,023 yards from scrimmage.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:52 AM
mysystempicks

2.5 Bills -3
2.0 Browns +1
2.0 Vikings +6
1.5 Dolphins -2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:53 AM
Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 12/15
NFL Football





Philadelphia Eagles -6½ (buy half point to -6) over the Minnesota Vikings
(Spread Bet)
Overall Record: 184-163

(System Record: 184-6, Won last game)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:54 AM
Kevin O'Neill

Tampa Bay
Cleveland
Jacksonville
Oakland

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 11:59 AM
ASA

9* total of year Arizona over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:01 PM
EZWINNERS

2* Bucs +4
2* Giants +7.5
2* Jaguars +3
2* Raiders +5
2* Titans +2.5
2* Rams +6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:04 PM
Mike O'Connor
Clev
Buff
-------
Nyg
Nyj

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:04 PM
killer move
trailblazers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:05 PM
Alex Smart

NFL-
San Fran-5
Houston/Indy over 45.5
Jacksonville+2
Kansas City-3.5
Arizona/Tennessee over 41.5
Cinci/Pittsburgh over 40.5

CBB-
Villanova-13.5
Chicago State+14
Charleston-10.5
Wright State-1.5
Syracuse-4

NBA-
Denver/New Orleans over 204.5
Portland/Detroit over 205.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:05 PM
Big Al
AFC Game
Miami

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:06 PM
Computer Crushers NFL Play

326 Carolina -10 4:05 EST

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:07 PM
Marco D'Angelo

NFL GOY Bills

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:10 PM
NorthCoast

4 det
3 ne
3 sf

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:10 PM
Brady Kannon

Tenn
NO
Hou
Minny
Caro
Oak
Pit
DET
GB

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:11 PM
Mike O'Connor W/ Ratings

3* Browns

3* Bills

2* Giants

2* Jets

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:14 PM
Oilers at Ducks: What bettors need to know

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks (-201, 5.5)

The Anaheim Ducks attempt to continue their recent dominance of the Edmonton Oilers when the Pacific Division rivals face off at Honda Center on Sunday. Anaheim has won 14 of the last 16 meetings between the clubs, including all three matchups last season. The Ducks have won their last four overall games and remained unbeaten in regulation at home (12-0-2) by posting a 2-1 triumph over Minnesota on Wednesday.

Edmonton kicked off its four-game road trip with a 4-0 loss at Vancouver on Friday. The Oilers have scored two goals or fewer in three of four contests since erupting for eight in a victory over Colorado on Dec. 5. Ilya Bryzgalov (head/neck) could get the start against his former team, as he was activated from injured reserve on Saturday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, RSN West (Edmonton), Prime Ticket (Anaheim)

ABOUT THE OILERS (11-20-3): With Bryzgalov back, Edmonton parted ways with Jason LaBarbera, sending the journeyman to Chicago for future considerations. The 33-year-old went 1-3-0 with a 3.28 goals-against average in seven games after spending the previous four seasons with Phoenix. Edmonton has scored fewer than three goals in each of its last 10 meetings with Anaheim.

ABOUT THE DUCKS (22-7-5): Anaheim boasts two of the hottest players in the league in Corey Perry and captain Ryan Getzlaf. Perry enters with a seven-game goal-scoring streak and has collected at least one point in nine contests. Getzlaf officially is riding a 13-game point streak (10 goals, 12 assists), although he has landed on the scoresheet in each of his last 15 contests.

TRENDS:

* Oilers are 2-5 in the last seven meetings in Anaheim.
* Ducks are 4-0 in their last four overall.
* Oilers are 4-12 in their last 16 games playing on one days rest.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Ducks last four vs. Pacific.

OVERTIME:

1. Oilers LW Taylor Hall has failed to record a point in his last two games after registering five goals and three assists over his previous four contests.

2. Anaheim RW Teemu Selanne and C Daniel Winnik are suffering from the flu and are questionable.

3. Ducks D Francois Beauchemin (upper body), C Mathieu Perreault (lower body) and RW Jakob Silfverberg (hand) have been taking regular shifts in practice and could return soon.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:15 PM
Syracuse at St. John's: What bettors need to know

Syracuse Orange at St. John's Red Storm (+4)

Syracuse no longer resides in the Big East, but the Orange made a point to schedule a couple of their former rivals during their first season in the ACC. The first part of that trip down memory lane begins Sunday when the third-ranked Orange travel to Madison Square Garden to take on St. John's. The Orange are undefeated, while the Red Storm only have one regulation loss - a neutral-site defeat to No. 6 Wisconsin in their season opener.

"It's a natural annual rivalry game," St. John's coach Steve Lavin said. "It engages both Syracuse and St. John's fans. It's a matchup that's going to create national buzz as well." The Orange lead the all-time series 50-37, including a 19-point win at the Carrier Dome last season. “It’s different, but it’s still a good rivalry,” Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim said. “I think it’s a good game for both teams. It’s an excellent game. That’s (what) you play in December, games that will help you. This will help both teams.”

TV: Noon ET, Fox Sports 1

ABOUT SYRACUSE (9-0): While the Orange have won all nine of their games - including a 28-point victory over Binghamton their last time out - they don't rank highly in any major offensive category, placing 88th in the nation in points (77.7), 170th in rebounding (36.3), 100th in assists (14.2) and 126th in field-goal percentage (45.9). Sophomore guard Trevor Cooney has been a tremendous surprise for Syracuse, averaging 15.3 points on 48.4 percent 3-point shooting to rank second on the team in scoring, behind senior forward C.J. Fair (17.8). Sophomore big man DaJuan Coleman looks to build off his season-high 13-point performance - which he complemented with a season high-tying 10 rebounds - in the win over Binghamton.

ABOUT ST. JOHN'S (6-2): The Red Storm have won back-to-back games since an overtime loss to Penn State, with JaKarr Sampson shooting 11-of-13 during the last two contests. Sampson is one of three double-digit scorers for St. John's, led by D'Angelo Harrison at 18.9 points and followed by Sampson (12.4) and Phil Greene IV (10.4). The Red Storm haven't played in eight days since setting a season high for points in a 104-58 triumph over Fordham - a game in which they made 17 straight shots at one point to surpass 100 points for the first time in almost 14 years.

TRENDS:

* Orange are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Red Storm are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.

TIP-INS:

1. This is the 32nd straight season that Syracuse has played at least one game at Madison Square Garden. All-time, the Orange are 92-47 at "The World's Most Famous Arena."

2. St. John's F Orlando Sanchez made 8-of-10 shots en route to a team-high 19 points against Fordham after entering the game with 31 points on the season.

3. Cooney has made five 3-pointers in four of his last five games.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:15 PM
Timberwolves at Grizzlies: What bettors need to know

Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies (+3, 196.5)

The Memphis Grizzlies attempt to stretch their winning streak against Minnesota to an even dozen when they host the Timberwolves on Sunday. The Timberwolves haven’t defeated the Grizzlies since the middle of the 2009-10 campaign and have also lost eight consecutive visits to Memphis. Minnesota will be hoping for another huge outing from Kevin Love, who poured in a season-high 42 points and made 8-of-9 3-pointers in Friday’s loss to the San Antonio Spurs.

Both teams are among the five teams with a losing record in the tough Western Conference. The Timberwolves can get back to the .500 mark with a victory over the Grizzlies, while Memphis is a disappointing two games below the break-even point. The Grizzlies have been hurt by the loss of center Marc Gasol to a knee injury but also haven’t had the same on-court chemistry they enjoyed under former coach Lionel Hollins while losing seven of their last 10 games.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FSN North (Minnesota), FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee)

ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (11-12): Love was on fire against San Antonio and scored 19 points in the third quarter alone when he made five 3-pointers. He was highly dejected afterward that the performance wasn’t enough to slay the Spurs. “There are certain nights when you just feel it,” Love said. “I was just hoping it’d be for a win. That was a little disheartening, but they’ve got a few Hall of Famers on their team and a Hall of Fame coach. … If we play like that, we’re going to beat a lot of teams.”

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (10-12): Third-year forward Jon Leuer has gained more playing time with Gasol and Quincy Pondexter (foot) sidelined and is taking advantage of the opportunity. Leuer scored 19 points in Friday’s loss to the New Orleans Pelicans and is averaging 16.8 points and eight rebounds over the past four games. Leuer went through an eight-game stretch in November in which he was called on just once – for three minutes – but a breakout 23-point game against the Phoenix Suns on Dec. 3 earned him more time and now he’s a key member of the rotation.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Memphis.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Timberwolves are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. NBA Northwest.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Memphis swept last season’s three meetings by an average of 15 points.

2. Timberwolves G Kevin Martin is averaging 9.5 points on 5-of-21 shooting over the last two games.

3. The Grizzlies have lost seven of their last nine home games and are just 5-8 overall.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:17 PM
Jack Jones

25 Totals GOY Packers/Cowboys OVER

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:17 PM
Derek Hayes

4* Buf -3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:19 PM
SB Professor Orignal NFL


Seahawks -7


Lost Last 3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:21 PM
Robert Ferringo
3-Unit Play. Take #829 Marist (+12) over Charleston (2 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
3-Unit Play. Take #822 Kansas State (-14) over Troy (6 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
Note: This should be a 4-Unit Play. This is my top play of the day. Under my old system it
would've been 3.5 but might as well go for 4.0.
2-Unit Play. Take #815 Wright State (-4) over Miami, OH (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
2-Unit Play. Take #842 Portland (-14.5) over Montana State (5 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
2-Unit Play. Take #852 DePaul (-13.5) over Chicago State (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #834 Morehead State (-1) over Bowling Green (2 p.m.) AND Take
#837 Wyoming (+8.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 15)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:23 PM
Vegas Sports Informer
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY
2 Unit Play. Take #835 Drexel -1 over Davidson (2:00p.m., Sunday, Dec 15)
The Drexel Dragons are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and the Davidson Wildcats
are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.

2 Unit Play. Take #837 Wyoming +3 ½ over Denver (4:00p.m., Sunday, Dec 15)
Wyoming is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and the Denver Pioneers are a horrible 0-5 ATS in their
last 5 home games

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:24 PM
Teddy Covers
20* Arizona

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:24 PM
HONDO Best Bets

Saints
Eagles
Lions (MNF

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:25 PM
Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had the splits on Saturday in soccer losing with Hull City -$180/Stoke City for $100 and winning with $100 on the draw +$212 for a profit of $32.

E&B are going to the NFL on Sunday with a 3 team 10 point teaser

(1) Jaguars from +3 to +13/Bills

(2) Patriots from -1 +9/Dolphins

(3) Panthers from -10 to Pk/Jets


E&B are on the pitch and like Tottenham +$125/Liverpool for $50 and a play on the draw +$236 for $50.


Ecks and Bacon is 5-4 +$317 for the week and 27-34-2 -$1061 so far in week seven.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:28 PM
Northcoast
Sunday Night Marquee
Cin / Pitt Under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:28 PM
Chad Matthews
2-Unit Play. #824 Missouri Tigers -15 over Western Michigan Broncos (Dec 15 @ 7pm ET)
The Western Michigan Broncos head to Mizzou Arena to take on a Missouri Tigers team that is the
last undefeated SEC team and is looking for its third 10-0 start in the last thirty-two years. The
Tigers are led by Clarkson and Brown combine as they combine an average of 39.6 points per
game and have a reliable third option in swingman Earnest Ross, who is 19-for-36 over the past
three games. The Tigers are coming into today's game after coming off a credible win last
weekend against UCLA. Mizzou is playing excellent ball this year as their undefeated record show
and this will be Western Michigans most difficult task this season without a doubt on the road.
Mizzou is just to loaded with back court talent for the Broncos to hang around long. Take the
Tigers at -15 here.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:29 PM
Sports Unlimited/Marco

20 GOY Buffalo
5 New England
5 Oakland

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:30 PM
Ben Burns Breakfast Club

Seattle

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:30 PM
Bondi
4* Carolina
3* Tenn
3* Indy

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:30 PM
North Coast:


Panthers -10 *****
Lions -4 ****
Patriots +2.5 ***
49ers -4.5 ***
Saints -6/Marquee
Steelers/Bengals ↓43/Marquee
Packers/Cowboys ↑49.5/Top Opinion
Cardinals/Opinion
Chiefs/Opinion
Eagles/Opinion

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:32 PM
Vegas Runner

2* NFL Wash +6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:33 PM
Executive

650 goy new eng
400 buff
300 jets

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:33 PM
Scott Sprietzer Underdog Knockout GOM

Tenn

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:34 PM
Sportsboss

Redskins
Niners
Rams
Titans

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:34 PM
John Ryan AFC TITAN

Oakland

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:36 PM
Brad Diamond

Titans

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:38 PM
Underdog

JACKSONVILLE

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:42 PM
Brady Kannon NFL Side Sun, 12/15/13 - 4:25 PM
double-dime bet - 310 TEN 3.0 (-120) vs 309 ARI
Analysis: The Arizona Cardinals have one of the best records against the spread in the NFL this
season, including 4-straight ATS wins. They are now not only being noticed by the bookmakers
but also the general public as a real contender. My feeling is that this has created some inflation
in today's line at Tennessee. The Titans are a decent team with a very good defense, and we get
them at home, where not long ago they were a 4-point underdog to The 49'ers. Is Arizona only 1-
point different than San Francisco? I don't think so.. so again, I feel the 3-points gives us some
line value. My overall numbers actually make this game Pick 'Em or even Tennessee favored by a
point. Furthermore, The Cardinals are 0-and-5 ATS as a road favorite off of a SUATS win. The
Titans, by contrast, are 5-and-0 SUATS when playing off of two straight losses and matched
against a non-division opponent. Finally, with playoff implications on the line, The Cardinals are
well aware that next up they have Seattle and San Francisco - while Tennessee gets Jacksonville
and Houston and a chance to finish with a .500 season. Situation, line, and numbers point to The
Titans today in the music city. Grabbing the field goal is the tune we are singing.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:43 PM
red suit
Colts/Texans over 47

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:45 PM
Brandon Lang
150 DIME
MAX WAGER
ODDSMAKER ERROR
GAME OF THE YEAR
Cardinals

75 DIME
3-TEAM TEASER
#5 IN A ROW
3 team 10 point tease on Bengals, Chiefs and Panthers

25 DIME
3-TEAM PARLAY
Bucs, Eagles, Dolphins

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:50 PM
budin

50 dimer on colts

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:52 PM
3G Sports

10* BROWNS
4* TITANS

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 12:57 PM
Anthony Redd

75 dime bears

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 01:01 PM
Vegas Runner

3* Over Pitt/Cin
3*KC
2* Wash
2*Nyj

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 01:14 PM
Cleveland Insider

NFL
2* Chiefs/Raiders under 45
1* Bears/Browns over 44
1* Saints/Rams over 47.5

NBA
4.5* Rockets/Kings under 215.5
2* Warriors/Suns under 209.5
1* Blazers/Pistons under 209
1* Magic/Thunder under 205.5
1* Pelicans/Nuggets under 206

NHL
4.5* Tampa Bay/Detroit over 5.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 02:04 PM
Chase Diamond's Sunday Night Play is 10 star on Pittsburgh Steelers + 3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 02:06 PM
River City Sharps

This looks like the perfect spot to back Charleston at home. They have played a really tough schedule so far this season and now get an 0-9 Marist team coming to town. No need to overthink this one too much. Marist shoots an unbelievably bad 35.3% from the field and is only scoring 58.4 ppg. Charleston has also struggled offensively, but not close to the depths seen by Marist! All of our systems have an easy win and cover for Charleston, so we want to get this out early. Another BIG PLAY for the Sharps this Sunday. The Sharps say...

4 UNIT DIAMOND PLAY - COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON (-11.5)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 02:06 PM
Andre Gomes | NBA Total
pick
806 DET / 805 POR Over 209.5 Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).comAnalysis:

NBA - 805 Portland Trail Blazers @ 806 Detroit Pistons

Play #4

This will be a fun game to watch between two teams with completely different styles but with the matchup favoring both offenses.

The Blazers are playing an incredible fluid offensive basketball right now. They are the best 3pts shooting team in the league w/ 41.9%, and last night they torched the 76ers w/ 21-37 3pts & 41 assists - that's what happened when the Blazers is playing against poor perimeter defensive teams and guess what… the Pistons are a terrible perimeter defensive team: ranked #26 defending 3pts% w/ 37.8%. This isn't a surprise at all if we take in account that their frontcourt of Smith + Monroe + Drummond is so big and slow to rotate, so their opponents are torching them from the outside.

However, on the other side, the Pistons huge frontcourt will just pound the Blazers poor interior defense that is ranked #26 allowing 45.8 points in the paint per game. The 76ers scored 52 pts paint last night and I expect DET to score +50 pts paint as well today.

In the first h2h game of this series, I went w/ OVER for an easy winner as the game ended w/ 212 points w/ DET scoring 60 points in the paint & POR hitting 11 treys. I expect a similar outcome for today and therefore I'm taking the Over in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 805/806 Over 209.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 02:07 PM
Andre Gomes | NBA Total
pick
802 SAC / 801 HOU Over 213.5 Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).comAnalysis:
NBA - 801 Houston Rockets @ 802 Sacramento Kings

Play #1
Playing the OVER with the Kings has been one of my favorite plays as of late and for today we have another good matchup that ultimately will lead to a shootout contest.

The Kings' perimeter defense has been awful for quite some time since rookie Ben McLemore and Derrick Williams were promoted to the starting lineup, then Isaiah Thomas replaced Vasquez as the full time PG, and finally we have now Rudy Gay as their starting SF. We are talking about a nice collection of bad individual defensive players so the team's outcome couldn't be any different.

I had a play w/ Phoenix (-6) in their last game as I expected Bledsoe and Dragic to completely destroy the Kings bad defense and indeed that happened:

Eric Bledsoe, 11-16 FG, 4-4 FT, 28 points & 8 assists

Goran Dragic, 10-14 FG, 5-7 FT, 29 points & 3 assists

The Suns scored 20 fast break points, they were efficient from the outside w/ 12-24 3pts and they also scored efficiently down low w/ 48 points in the paint! The Rockets will offer a similar matchup as they have Harden/Lin to attack them off the dribble, they are a good 3pts shooting team and obviously they are one of the best transition teams in the league as well so I don't the Kings defense will be able to slow down the Rockets offense.

On the other side, the Kings have now a pretty decent offensive team w/ Isaiah Thomas running the show. They are attacking the rim as well and I didn't like the way the Rockets defended the rim in their last game @GSW - they allowed GSW to score 66 points while allowing 27-38 FG in that area!

I expect this contest to be a run and gun game with both offenses having the edge vs. defense.

NOTE: I recommend to play the OVER @ max 215 points line

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 213.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 03:16 PM
Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

3-Unit Play. #823. Take Western Michigan +15 over Missouri (Sunday @ 7pm est).

Western Michigan led by Steven Hawkins is a sound team. They are 6-3 straight up and have done well on bounce-backs this year such as beating Oakland by 11 coming off a loss, beating Tennessee State by 11 coming off a loss and now they come off their worst loss of the year in a couple ways scoring just 35 points to a Northwestern team that can drag you into their style of half court play. This team will likely bounce-back in a positive and definitely offensively today. They have face a solid Missouri team who is 9-0 but who comes off a big win against UCLA and in for a let down today. Missouri has played a series of teams in the 250 range and they have not blown them out necessarily winning in the 10-15 range and they face a WMU team who I have as a top 200 team. Taking into account of Whittington and Brown, you have a pair of seniors that will allow Western Michigan, coming off a loss and a 35 point performance to be a top 150 possibly for this one contest. With WMU off a loss, a poor loss at that, getting up to play Missouri and with Missouri coming off a big win against UCLA with possibly sleep walking on a Sunday evening here against WMU - and a good public fade on Sunday Night, WMU is the classic selection that fits into our mold this evening.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. #810. Take Denver Nuggets -6 over New Orleans Pelicans (Sunday @ 8:05pm est).

This line will probably stay steady. The Nuggets have found a good coach and they will eventually stabilize going forward with the new system that it's in place. Though it is unfortunate as I'm a big George Karl fan. It seems Coach of the Year's don't mean anything because it is conducive to getting fired these days such as Karl, or Del Negro when he was the Clippers. The Nuggets lost by 24 to this team last year and some of these players remember that loss. It was a road loss and it was unfortunate as it was a blowout. Now, the Nuggets face them again at home as they come off a surprising 10 point loss to Utah a game in which they were favored by 10.5 points. With a 20.5 turnaround like that, my models normally expect an above .500 team to rebound in a positive way and -6 is not that bad of a line to lay. I have the Nuggets bouncing back for the win by 9 this evening. With New Orleans coming off a nice win against Phoenix, I can see them having a bit of a let down though note that they have done very well on the road lately. New Orleans is 4-5 on the road overall, 1-5-1 ATS when facing a team with a straight up winning record and the Nuggets to their credit are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 contests coming off an ATS loss. I like Denver for the bounce-back today after the surprising Utah loss to return motivated and focused.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey

3-Unit Play. #51. Take Under 5.5 Philadelphia vs. Washington (Sunday @ 3pm est).

The last time these two teams met, Philadelphia was unfortunately routed 7-0. I'm sure that sits heavy on this team as they face Washington this afternoon. The last time they gave up 7 goals was against Chicago in which they bounced-back the next contest winning 2-1 against Montreal. This is a revenge game and a defensive bounce-back for this team coming into today. Washington also comes off a 2-3 loss to Florida in overtime and will look to step up more focused on the ice as well. With most of the public on Washington, a decent fade here with Philadelphia being an active dog (the basketball theory and football active dog theory that I have does not work the same way for hockey - its a bit of an exception). The Under is 9-3 for the Flyers when they face a team with a winning record and the under is 4-1 for the Capitals when they face a team with a losing record (possibly because other teams get up to play Washington and so are more sound defensively). Look for this game to be competitive from start to finish with it likely going under the 5.5 total.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 03:45 PM
Dr Bob
Orlando
portland

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 03:46 PM
SBP Original NBA 12/15

811. Golden State Warriors -1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 03:54 PM
LA Syndicate

Adds - NBA Nuggets

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 04:23 PM
Where the action is: Sharps back Steelers

With the NFL season hitting it's home stretch, books have to look at the fact that some teams are already gearing up for the playoffs, while others are making a final push just to get in. And for AFC North rivals, the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers, that just happens to be the case when they meet Sunday night.

Covers talked to Mike Perry from Sportsbook.ag about all the action coming in for Sunday night's matchup.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers - Open: +3, Move: +2.5

The Bengals need to keep winning if they hope to grab one of the two byes to the divisional round of the playoffs. While the Steelers are still desperate just to get back into the postseason picture, no matter how slim their chances. Sportsbook.ag opened with the Steelers +3, but that number saw plenty of sharp action, Perry told Covers.

"This is a much more important game for the Steelers than Bengals, as they are fighting for their playoff lives," Perry said. "Friday afternoon got sharp play on the dog, so we moved to Bengals -2.5."

The action has been pretty even on both sides since then, Perry said, with 57 percent of the money coming in on the home side Steelers. The total currently sits a 43.5.

Bengals running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis and linebacker James Harrison are both battling an illness, but are listed as probable to play.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 04:24 PM
Tale of the tape: Bengals at Steelers
By MONIQUE VÁG

The Steelers are paying the price for starting the season 0-4. After their bye week, they went on to win five of their last nine, but it is way too late. The Bengals look to improve on their 9-4 record.

Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

The Steelers offense is 19th overall in points scored with an average of 22.4. They are ranked seventh overall in passing yards averaging 266.8 a game and fourth overall in receptions of 20 or more yards (54). The Steelers have struggled scoring touchdowns and rank 22nd with 31 total - five rushing touchdowns (tied for 30th) and 24 receiving (tied for 9th). Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 3,724 yards with a 24-to-10 TD to INT ratio. Even though the Steelers don't have much of a shot at making the playoffs, Roethlisbeger has still connected to Cotchery for nine touchdowns and Antonio Brown for 90 catches for 1,240 yards and seven touchdowns.

The Bengals are averaging 25.7 points per game and are 10th in the league in total yards with 368.8. The Bengals rank 12th in passing yards with 252.9 and 15th in rushing yards with 115.8. Of the Bengals 41 touchdowns, 11 are rushing touchdowns and 25 are receiving. Although these stats seem one sided, the Bengals possess one of the most balanced offenses in the NFL with their ability to run the ball or lean on the pass. A.J. Green is tied for first with eight receptions of 40 or more yards. At the quarterback position, Andy Dalton has a 25-to-16 TD to INT ratio.

Edge: Cincinnati Bengals

Defense

The Steelers have been a team for many years that pride themselves on an exceptional defense, however in 2013 this has not been the case. Last year, the Steelers were first overall in yards per game giving up a measly 275.8. They were first against the pass and second against the rush. In 2013, the Steelers have slipped drastically, ranked 22nd against the rush allowing 120.2 yards per game and seventh against the pass, giving up 222.4 yards per game. The Steelers defense have struggled to force takeaways, they are second-last in the AFC in two categories, interceptions and sacks.

The Bengals defense has allowed the sixth-fewest points per game with 18.8. They have been great at stopping the pass (ranked ninth) and fifth in stopping the rush. The Bengals defense has been exceptionally good at preventing third and fourth down completions with opponents only completing 36% of their third down attempts (68/191) and 30 percent of fourth down attempts (3/10). Linebacker Vontaze Burfict is one of the best tacklers in the league ranking first in the NFL with 139 combined tackles. Alongside Burfict, defensive end Carlos Dunlap has been a solid pass rusher with seven sacks and is tied for second overall with four forced fumbles.

Edge: Cincinnati Bengals

Special Teams

Steelers kicker Shaun Suisham is having an excellent year making 24/26 field goals. He is 7/7 for field goals between 20-29 yards and 7/7 for field goals between 40-49 yards. The Steelers have been good on punt returns ranking 11th overall in average yards returned (10.8). Felix Jones has returned 18 kicks for 427 yards. On the punt return, Antonio Brown has 269 yards, including a long of 50 yards. He has three returns of 40 or more yards on the year.

On the kick return, Brandon Tate has 27 returns for 701 yards. He has two returns of 40 or more yards and one fumble on the year. On the punt return, Tate has 29 returns for 274 yards with one return of 40 or more yards. Mike Nugent has made 16-of-20 field goals making 3/4 from 50 or more yards.

Edge: Pittsburgh Steelers

Notable Quotable

“We want to make them one-dimensional. They can sometimes catch defenses off guard because they have a north-and-south runner (Green-Ellis) and an edge runner (Bernard) who helps in the pass game, as well." - Cameron Heyward on slowing down the Bengals.

“If you have a number of guys who can help you, we should never have a guy say he's tired. We can sub guys in and out, and guys can be fresh and playing fast.” - Jay Gruden on managing a balanced offense and keeping players fresh.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 04:26 PM
Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Arizona Cardinals -2½ over the Tennessee Titans (Spread Bet) (NFL Football) - Game Starts at 4:25 PM

Can'tPickAWinner
12-15-2013, 04:27 PM
Burns MAIN EVENT Steelers

gohersy254
12-17-2013, 12:38 PM
nice all post.