1-19.14

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::clap::

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Steve Fezzik
1* Seattle under 39.5
2* prop. Sea/SF. Under 7.5 -125. 1rst qt.

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Root
Top play. Denver
Medium play. Seattle

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Carlo Campanella
10*Denver

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Freddy Wills
5.5* Patriots +5.5
3.3* SF/Seattle Under 39
1.1* SF +3.5

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Linebeaters
SF +3.5
Denver -5

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Mike O'Connor/ Dr Bobs Site
NFL
Seahawks

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Fat Jack Sports
NFL
49ERS
49ERS/Seahawks Over
Patriots/Broncos Under

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NFL Prop Shop: Championship Sunday

The postseason continues in the NFL with Championship Sunday. Why not spice things up with some player prop bets? Sean Murphy opens the doors of the NFL Prop Shop and gives you his favorite player prop picks for this weekend's action:

Most passing yards

Tom Brady (New England Patriots) vs. Peyton Manning (Denver Broncos)

I'm going to take the contrarian route - and the value that goes along with it - and support Tom Brady in this matchup of legendary quarterbacks.

The Patriots ran the ball early and often against the Colts last week. That was a wise gameplan considering how worn down the Colts defense was following their shootout win over the Chiefs a week earlier.

I don't expect the Pats to follow a similar path this Sunday, however. In fact, I won't be surprised if it's the Broncos that take a page out of New England's book. That's not to say Peyton Manning won't put up some big numbers, I simply feel the underdog value is too good to pass up with Brady against what I feel is a vulnerable Broncos secondary.

Take: Brady

Colin Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Russell Wilson (Seattle Seahawks)

While both of these young quarterbacks have taken on the role of game manager at times this season, I believe it's Colin Kaepernick that needs to step up and deliver a stronger performance through the air in order to win this game on Sunday.

You can be sure the Seahawks gameplan will involve feeding the beast at every opportunity. By the beast, I'm of course referring to Marshawn Lynch. If Russell Wilson stars in this game, I expect it to be more as a result of his mobility and decision-making with the football.

The Seahawks secondary is imposing to be sure, but I don't envision the 49ers scaling back their passing offense. They know that's an area they need to improve immensely in order to snap their losing streak in the Pacific Northwest.

Take: Kaepernick

Most rushing yards

Stevan Ridley (New England Patriots) vs. Knowshon Moreno (Denver Broncos)

Everyone knows about the success the Patriots enjoyed on the ground against the Colts last Saturday, but I don't think there's any question, they'll find the going a little tougher in that department this week.

If anyone is going to break through against the Denver run defense, it's likely going to be LaGarrette Blount, not Stevan Ridley. The versatile back hasn't exactly drawn the trust of head coach Bill Bellichick this season.

Knowshon Moreno might not be a huge factor in this game, but as the odds suggest, he should be enough of one to outrush Ridley.

Take: Moreno

Most pass receptions

Michael Crabtree (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Doug Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks)

Doug Baldwin made the biggest catch of the game in the Seahawks win over New Orleans last Saturday, but wasn't much of a factor otherwise, hauling in only two catches for 30 yards. Given Seattle's rather thin receiving corps, there's really nowhere for Baldwin to hide against an outstanding 49ers defense.

Michael Crabtree played second fiddle to Anquan Boldin last Sunday in Carolina, catching only three passes. He did have seven pass targets, however, and I expect him to see a similar workload this week - if not heavier. Crabtree has evolved into a big-game receiver, and I believe he's the x-factor for the 49ers this Sunday.

Take: Crabtree

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NFL injury report

Four injuries undervalued by oddsmakers

The Championship games are set where the winner of each moves on to the Superbowl.

In the AFC Championship game, New England travels to Denver where the Broncos are 5.5-point home favorite with the total at 56.

In the NFC Championship game, the 49ers travel to Seattle where the Seahawks are 3.5-point home favorites with the total at 39.

Here is one injury on each team that may affect the outcome of the game.

Percy Harvin, WR, Seattle Seahawks (Concussion, Questionable)

Harvin missed most of the regular season with a hip injury, but was deemed healthy enough to play in Seattle's divisional playoff win against the Saints. Harvin was injured once again after taking two big hits and is yet to be cleared to practice from concussion. The Seahawks have struggled passing the ball this season and if Harvin isn't cleared to play, the trend will likely continue. Seattle's passing game has been a concern during the postseason with Russell Wilson throwing for only103 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Carlos Rogers, CB, San Francisco 49ers (Hamstring, Questionable)

Cornerback Carlos Rogers has been out since the final game of the regular season. In the regular season, Rogers had 47 tackles and two interceptions. The 49ers travel to Seattle facing a Seahawks team that has had limited success in throwing the ball in the post season but have been dominant rushing the ball. If the 49ers are without Rogers again, the Seahawks passing offense may find the spark they have been missing through the air.

Ryan Allen, New England Patriots (Shoulder, Questionable)

In the regular season, punter Ryan Allen had 76 punts averaging 45.9 yards. He had 29 punts inside the 20 and a long of 65. If Allen is unable to start against the Broncos, the Patriots would be relying on Stephen Gostkowski to handle all of the kicking and punting duties. In a game that is predicted to be high scoring against two offensive heavyweights, field position really may come in to play and the Patriots may fall behind in special teams.

Chris Harris, CB, Denver Broncos (ACL, Out)

In the regular season Harris had 65 tackles and three interceptions, although he has not been statistically great in the postseason, That said, Harris has still been a key player in the Broncos secondary. Without the Broncos cornerback, the Patriots passing offense could take advantage of deep balls and passing plays. Harris has played more defensive snaps than any other Broncos player in the regular season and his versatility will be missed with the ability to play either side, outside or in the slot.

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INSIDER ANGLES

NFL Trends & Angles - Championship Game Round

Well, it was another great week for our NFL Trends & Angles in the Divisional Round of the 2013 NFL Playoffs as we officially went 8-2-4 ATS on a game-by-game basis, and those of you that got better than +8 on the New Orleans Saints went 12-2 ATS! That makes us officially 13-4-4 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs (17-4 ATS if you bet Saints late).

Remember that not all of the enormous volume on these NFL Playoff games will come from bettors that have been betting all season, as this is the time of year that brings out many novice bettors, and because of that the betting lines are more likely to change on "square" money at this time simply because of the sheer dollar amounts bet. Thus, as ironic as it sounds, post-season lines are sometimes not as sharp as the regular season.

That often leads to some vulnerable lines for sharper players, and as usual, underdogs are a nice place to start with many of the novice players eager to back the popular favorites. That same logic suggests to look at playing the 'under' first when playing totals, with fans of high scoring games, especially the aforementioned squares, usually over-betting the 'over'.

Note that because there are a grand total of only 11 post-season games every year, it is hard to get as large a sample size as we do during the regular season, when going back to the 2005 season suffices for our NFL Trends & Angles. Thus, our playoff angles have varying lengths basically out of necessity, and even with that, not all of them will have the larger sample sizes you are accustomed to seeing with our regular season trends.

So here are our NFL Trends & Angles for the Championship Game Round of the playoffs, beginning with two angles that we are using for the first time this season and followed by three angles we are bringing back from last week. Also note that these angles are based on closing lines, so for these purposes, the Seahawks lost ATS last week even though they were a 'push' vs. the Saints at the time we published.

We have specified the length of each Trends & Angle.

Play on any road playoff team that won on the road in the previous week
(22-12, 64.7% ATS since 2005):
It is supposed to be hard to win on the road during the playoffs, as road teams are the lower seed after all, but apparently once a team does win on the road it becomes easier to repeat the performance. That could be the reason why so many wild cards have made Super Bowl runs in recent years.
Qualifier: 49ers +3½.

Play the 'over' in any playoff game if a team is coming off of three ATS wins
(61-39. 61.0% since 1990):
Yes the old axiom is "Defense win Championships", but this nice angle that stretches all the way back to 1990 is evidence that teams that are playing well and usually advance in the playoffs are teams that can score points also. That is not to say that defense is not important, but teams have to be able to compliment those defenses with the ability to at least score some points if they want to reach the Super Bowl.
Qualifying 'over': Patriots vs. Broncos.

In playoff rematches of non-divisional regular season meetings, play on the team that lost the regular season meeting straight up
(43-25-1, 63.2% ATS since 2001):
A lot of non-divisional regular season matchups take place once every four years or so, which means that the teams are usually unfamiliar with each other when they take the field. However, if fate allows those teams to meet again in the playoffs, the team that lost now has some actual game tape to dissect and can make adjustments to either get revenge in the playoffs or at least make the game more competitive.
Qualifier: Broncos -5.

Play on any playoff underdog coming off of two straight up wins
(61-40-2, 60.4% ATS since 1999):
Obviously the favorites in the playoffs are usually the better team and the public loves to bet favorites, which becomes even more amplified in the playoffs with so much more novice money involved. That often leads to nice value on underdogs that are playing well while coming in on winning steaks.
Qualifiers: Patriots +5 and 49ers +3½.

Play against any playoff home team that lost its last game against the spread
(31-19, 62.0% ATS since 2002):
Way back in the day before there was internet, there used to be a popular playoff system that said to play on a team that failed to cover its last game, with the theory being that the team would be undervalued following a ATS loss yet was obviously still a good team since these are the playoffs after all. As so oftentimes happens with systems like that though, the public gets wind of it and all of a sudden, the contrarians become the mainstream. Nowadays, if a playoff team loses its last game ATS, it can be taken at face value as a sign that the team may be vulnerable, especially at home where it is usually asked to give more points (or it gets fewer points as an underdog).
Qualifiers: Patriots +5 and 49ers +3½.

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ANDRE GOMES

NFL Conference Round - 303 San Francisco 49ers @ 304 Seattle Seahawks
In normal conditions, I would have a lean in SEA-3.5 playing at home vs. any team in the league as I understand the “12th man advantage” for SEA, and their incredible home record in the last few season’s that includes two complete “beatings” vs. San Francisco in the last 2 h2h’s games at home.

However, this also creates an additional pressure to win for SEA, and this might turn against them especially vs. such experienced and road battled team like SF.

I really don’t trust SEA offense right now… in the last game, they could have put the Saints away already in the first half, but they settled for 3 FG’s in their 4 FH scoring drives. They were #2 in offensive penalties during the regular season – only OAK had more offensive penalties than them, and SEA’s running game isn’t that “strong” – Yes, they ran for 174 yds vs. NO last week but it was vs. the Saints rushing defense….enough said.

SF’s defense has been dramatically improving in the last weeks, especially since Aldon Smith returned to the team. Already in this postseason, SF has faced two great mobile QB’s in A. Rodgers and Cam Newton and they did a terrific job in slowing them down, and I expect them to be decent vs. R. Wilson.

The X factor IMO for this contest is related w/ matchup SF offense vs. SEA defense…

I won’t waste many words talking about SEA’s defense – they are awesome!!!

However, SF’s offense has now more weapons than SEA offense and this will make the difference especially in short/medium range plays. A. Boldin, M. Crabtree & V. Davis will dictate some extra attention from SEA defense and this will open up a bit the field for Gore’s & Kaepernick’s legs in the running game.

SEA’s thrives in creating Turnovers but they will have a hard time in doing that vs. SF that takes care of the ball – one TO in their last 5 games!

I really expect this contest to be a tight battle while the home court advantage won’t be that much a factor IMO for a SF team that already have won @GB in the cold and completely dominated CAR on the road in the last game, therefore, I’m taking SF+3.5 in here as my Single Dime Play.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 303 San Francisco 49ers (+3.5) @ -110

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DOC SPORTS

5 Unit Play #301 Take New England Patriots +5.5 over Denver Broncos (Sunday 3 pm CBS) NFL Playoff Game of the Year.
New England may be winning with smoke and mirrors, but they are nonetheless getting the job done and I just do not see them getting blown out in this game. In fact New England has not gotten blown out in any of their 4 losses this season (7 points was their biggest defeat). What America believes this game will come down to Tom Brady vs. Peyton Manning and it is hard not to side with Brady in this game. Brady has beaten Manning in 2 of their 3 playoff match-ups with the only loss by Brady coming by 4 points in a game New England led for most of the 60 minutes. Denver also lost a key player on defense with Chris Harris placed on injured reserve with a knee injury. Denver will have their moments in this game but unlike San Diego last week, New England will not be tentative in their play calling and I fully expect them to put up points in all 4 quarters. Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games. I expect this to be a field goal game and thus we will collect with our ticket with whoever comes out on top and advances to the Super Bowl.

3 Unit Play #303 Take San Francisco 49ers +3.5 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 6:30 pm FOX)
As a whole, I just believe that San Francisco is the better all-around team. Seattle has a great advantage when playing in the Emerald City. I just do not see Seattle winning this game unless they create turnovers and short fields. Russell Wilson is an outstanding leader but he is not going to beat you with his arm on a consistent basis. San Francisco has already won two road games in the playoffs this year and I just feel that this team is determined to get back to the Super Bowl in order to right a wrong. San Francisco is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Harbaugh is better than Carroll.

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SPORTS WAGERS NFL

DENVER -5½ -108 over New England

We could easily make a case for either side here, as it’s not difficult to get behind the combination of Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. Belichick is one of the greatest coaches this league has ever seen with one of the sharpest football minds in history. He is calm, he knows how to plug holes and he knows how to exploit the opposition’s weaknesses. The way in which New England systematically broke down the Colts last week was a sight that is still fresh in the minds of everyone who watched it, especially those that wagered on the Colts and ripped up their tickets. Indy never stood a chance and now this Patriot team is being offered up what seems like far too many points. At least that’s what we’ve been hearing all week…….“Oh man, you can’t give Brady this many points”. “Brady owns Manning”. “New England can win this game without the points”. “100%, you have to take the points”. That’s all we’ve been hearing since the number came out. In fact, this number came out at -7 for a brief few moments on Sunday and one oddsmaker was quoted as saying, “We put out a bad number”. Yeah, ok. Don’t believe that for a hot second. The oddsmakers don’t put out a bad number for a game that is going to be one of the most wagered on events ever. The only thing missing from that quote was the chuckle under his breath.

We’re not going to waste your time and break down the X’s and O’s. You’ve already seen it or heard it broken down enough times to make you puke already and you’ll get more of it on Sunday with Curly, Larry and Moe. If Shannon Sharpe takes the marbles out of his mouth, you may even hear him muffle out an opinion. In any event, there is not a crystal ball in the world that can predict all the intangibles that affect the outcome when two evenly matched teams hook up. That aside, one should never ignore what the line is telling us and when something looks this good (New England plus the points), red flags should go off in your head. Had this game been played before New England defeated Indy and Denver struggled against San Diego, the masses wouldn’t be on the pooch. The public’s over-reaction to last week’s results has us backing the team that the oddsmakers don’t want us on because that’s usually the right side. So, while New England was preparing for the Colts, Peyton Manning has probably spent 16 hours a day for two weeks preparing to face New England’s weak defense. Lay the points.

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ALLEN EASTMAN

NFL Playoffs - Conferences

4* NE +5.5
1* NE - Moneyline (+200)

2* Exact Superbowl matchup: NE & SEA (+300)

5-Unit NFL Game of the Week
SEA -3.5
411 System

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J Clifton

NFL Playoffs
Seattle
Denver
denver/ne - Over

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Prediction Machine

Lock Broncos
Seahawks & Over

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Today's NFL Picks

San Francisco at Seattle

The 49ers head to Seattle for the NFC Championship carrying a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points. San Francisco is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, JANUARY 19
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (1/14)


Game 301-302: New England at Denver (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 141.602; Denver 141.678
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Denver by 4 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: New England (+4 1/2); Over


Game 303-304: San Francisco at Seattle (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 142.597; Seattle 142.834
Dunkel Line: Even; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2); Under

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NFL Opening Line Report: Championship Game odds
By JASON LOGAN

NFL fans, bettors, sportsbooks, bar owners, television executives, and ole’ Roger Goodell have to be happy with the way the NFL playoffs have trickled down.

In the NFC Championship, the Seahawks and 49ers put on the gloves for Round 3 of their divisional grudge match, with exciting young quarterbacks pacing both sides. And in the AFC title game, we get one more chapter – perhaps the final one - in the Tom Brady vs. Peyton Manning debate. It’s a perfect Sunday blend of old and new.

We talk to Peter Korner, founder of Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, to get the story behind the odds for NFL Championship Sunday and where he expects those lines to move before kickoff:

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (-4.5, 54.5)

It didn’t take long for the betting public to voice its opinion on the AFC Championship, cutting the spread as much as 1.5 points. Early action on the Patriots from sharps and the public dropped Denver from its opening perch of -6.

Korner says Denver’s unimpressive showing versus the Chargers in the Divisional Round is driving this movement but admits that he thinks Broncos -6 is the right number and believes the betting market will come back on the home team and return this spread close its opener.

Another factor playing into this movement - one that will be puffed up by the media all week heading into Sunday’s showdown - is the Brady vs. Manning angle and the fact that Brady has gotten the better of his counterpart in recent years, including a come-from-behind win over Denver in Week 12. Brady is 10-4 SU and 7-5-2 ATS in head-to-head matchups with Manning.

“It’s the main underlying current heading into this game,” Korner says of the classic QB rivalry. “'Brady versus Manning' hasn’t been a big success for Manning and I think people see this and it plays into this initial action.”

As for the total for the AFC Championship, Korner’s group of oddsmakers sent out 55 points and most books are dealing something similar, with some markets moving up with action on the Over. The Patriots and Broncos played Over the 54-point total in Week 12.

“We use that (Week 12) game as a guide,” says Korner. “I think the fact that Denver didn’t show much punch Sunday and New England definitely doesn’t have the same offensive punch we’re used to, there could be interest in the Under. But we want to have a high total on this.”

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 39.5)

You’d be hard pressed to find two NFL teams that know each other better than the Niners and Seahawks. These NFC West rivals seemed destined to meet in the conference championship, and Korner and his crew had this spread pegged at Seahawks -3.5 – which is what most books are dealing Monday.

“Seattle is still the team to beat, despite how well San Francisco is playing right now,” says Korner. “San Francisco is gathering steam and will be a big play up north (Northern Nevada, due to close proximity to Bay Area), but Seattle is like the heavyweight champ and until they’re knocked out they won’t be treated differently otherwise. The 49ers can win this one and it won’t surprise me, but I have no problem with this going up Seattle -4. I’d rather be too high on favorites than too low on dogs.”

The Seahawks and 49ers split their two regular season meetings with the home team winning both games. However, Seattle covered as a 2.5-point underdog in San Francisco, losing 19-17 in Week 14 after thumping the 49ers 29-3 as a 3-point home favorite in Week 2.

Both games played Under totals of 43.5 and 41 points, prompting this Sunday’s number to come down from its opening of 40 to 39.5 points. Seattle and San Francisco each stayed Under the total in their Divisional Round matchups this weekend.

“There is a lot of firepower on both of these teams, and I don’t mind seeing money coming in on the Under earlier in the week,” says Korner. “It’s really depends on the weather. If it’s good, (the total will) go up. If it’s bad, it’ll go down. As long as there is an influence on the Under. You don’t want to get stuck with the favorite and the Over in these games.”

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Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady: Who's the better bet?

It's time for the Conference Championships which feature a pair of blockbuster matchups - but one clearly rises above the other as Peyton Manning and his Denver Broncos host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots for a showdown in the AFC Championship.

Manning and Brady will face off for the 15th time - and will do so with a spot in the Super Bowl on the line.

Here's a breakdown of the all-time matchup in a special Tale of the Tape:

Straight-up: Brady 10, Manning 4

Brady has dominated the head-to-head record between the future Hall-of-Fame QBs, winning the first six encounters - including the 2003 AFC Championship Game - and going 7-2 at Foxboro Stadium. Manning does have the most significant victory of the series, leading Indianapolis back from an 18-point deficit to prevail 38-34 in the 2006 AFC title game. It's the biggest comeback in conference championship history. Pats kicker Stephen Gostkowski booted a 31-yard field goal in overtime to give the Pats the 34-31 win when the two teams met in Week 12 this season.

ATS: Brady (7-5-2)

This matchup is much closer than the SU history, in part due to a series of closely contested games. Brady kicked off the tete-a-tete with a 5-0-1 ATS record - highlighted by a 44-13 rout of Manning's Indianapolis Colts in Brady's first career start - but Manning covered in each of the next four matchups. The Pats covered as 1-point faves in the Week 12 clash at Foxboro this season.

O/U: 9-5-0

With two of the best quarterbacks of a generation facing off, points are often scored in bunches - and the Brady-Manning encounters are no exception. The first meeting saw 57 points scored, kicking off a trend that saw the teams combine for greater than 50 points in five of the first seven showdowns. The high-water mark of 72 points was set in New England's 38-34 win in Week 13 of the 2003 season and equaled in the Colts' 38-34 win in the 2006 AFC title game. The teams combined for 65 points in Week 12, which finished Over the closing total of 54.

Passing yards: Manning 3,971, Brady, 3,403

Manning has edged out Brady when it comes to passing yardage, averaging a whopping 283.6 yards per game compared to Brady's mark of 243.1. Manning has a number of big yardage games against the Patriots on his career resume, including a 349-yard performance in the 2006 conference championship and a 326-yard effort in a 27-20 triumph over the Patriots earlier that season. Brady was hurt by a 168-yard showing in their first-ever encounter in 2001.

Touchdowns/interceptions: Manning: 29/20; Brady: 26/12

Known more as a gunslinger than his Patriots counterpart, it should surprise no one that Manning has more touchdowns and interceptions in the all-time series. Manning handed Brady his first victory as a starting quarterback, throwing three interceptions - two of which were run back for scores. He also has a place in history as the first quarterback to throw for four touchdowns against the Bill Belichick-led Patriots in 2003 - albeit in defeat.

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NFL betting: AFC title game line moves from -6 to -4.5

The line for the AFC Championship between the New England Patriots and the Denver Broncos may have opened a little too much in the home side Broncos' favor.

The Broncos opened at -6 at most books following the conclusion of yesterday's Divisional games, but have already been bet to -4.5.

According to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, early sharp money is the engine behind this early move, dropping Denver from -6 to -5 at their sportsbooks. Stewart says it’s been all action on New England, both spread and moneyline, with 82 percent and 88 percent of the action respectively on the road team.

Sharp play, combined with the way the Patriots are playing led to the line move at Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/), said oddsmaker Mike Perry.

"The reason for line move is that both sharp players and a heavy majority of our players were more impressed with what they saw from the Patriots than the Broncos this past week," Perry told Covers. "Both of these betting contingents likes the Pats, so that’s why the line moved as it did."

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Stephen Nover

NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 19 2014 3:00PM

302 DEN -4.5(-110) triple-dime bet

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JEFF CARSON SPORTS

AFC and NFC GOY's(6-1 playoffs)

50*DENVER-4.5
50*SAN FRANCISCO+3.5

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Greg Shaker

3* GOM San Fran -3.5

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Goodfella

3* GOM San Fran -3.5

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Goldsheet:

DENVER 38 - New England 27
San Francisco 20 - SEATTLE 18

PointWise:
Denver 31 - NEW ENGLAND 30
SEATTLE 23 - San Francisco 16

Sports Reporter:
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
NEW ENGLAND over *DENVER by 1

RECOMMENDED
SAN FRANCISCO over *SEATTLE by 6

WinningPoints:
NFL CHAMPIONSHIPS
*Seattle over San Francisco by 8 ( SEATTLE 24-16)

*Denver over New England by 10 ( DENVER 34-24)

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StatFox Forecaster:

Denver 32 NE 26

Seattle 21 SF 17

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Wunderdog Freebie

Game: New England at Denver (Sunday 1/19 3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: New England +6 (-115) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)
This game features two future Hall of Fame QBs with Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. It's the ninth time in the last thirteen years that at least one of these QBs has played on Championship Sunday. Expectations are high for a great game and I believe we will get one. The Patriots have had an injury-riddled season, losing Rob Gronkowski, Brandon Spikes, Tommy Kelly, Jerod Mayo and Vince Wilfork among others. That's on top of losing Aaron Hernandez and Wes Welker in the offseason. Despite those challenges, the Pats are 13-4 and one win away from another Super Bowl. It's a testament to Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. Next man up. Thanks to the departures and injuries, New England went through their first eight games with an offense that was a shell of their former selves and they were quite pedestrian, scoring just 22.4 points per game. Contrast that to a loaded Denver offense that started by averaging 42.8 points per game in first half of the season. But Denver's offense has cooled some with a big second-half decline of 11 points per game. While Denver has been going south, New England has been heading up. The Pats finished their last nine games averaging 34.2 points per game, actually besting the Denver second half of the season offense by 2.3 points per game. One can argue, based on the last nine games, the New England offense is playing better coming into this game. Bill Belichick has once again put an unknown player in a role to succeed as he has seemingly done since he first walked the sidelines. LeGarrette Blount most forget, was a 1000 yard rusher for Tampa Bay in 2009-10, generating 5.0 yards per carry. He then all but disappeared as an apparent one-year wonder, until resurrected by Belichick this year. Blount was given a big role vs. Buffalo in the season finale, where he delivered 334 total yards. He was also the difference maker in the playoff game vs. Indianapolis, running wild for 166 yards on 24 carries, and four touchdowns. His two-game combined rushing log reams 48 carries for 355 yards and six TDs. That is 7.4 yards per carry. Will he be the key this weekend? Maybe or maybe not. Heck, Belichick might have Brady throw it 40 times this game. The point is, it's unclear where New England will hit you, making defensive preparation difficult. Peyton manning started the season in invincible fashion. But, the Broncos' offense only topped the 37 point mark (6 points below their first half average) one time. I'm not trying to make the Denver offense sound bad. It set records this season. But, defenses have wised up to some extent and the last nine game average was 31.9 ppg, a full 11 points less. That's very good, but no longer in rarified air. Without the Tennessee game, it dips to under 30 per game over that stretch. Peyton Manning was passing for 8.77 yards per attempt in the first eight games to 7.70 in the last nine - a full yard plus less efficient. The Patriots are 45-26-3 ATS as a dog in their last 74 such games. In the Belichick era, they are 20-8 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points! They are also 29-13 ATS under the Hoody when the total is set in the 50s. Dating back to last season, the Pats are a perfect 6-0 vs. high powered offenses like Denver's (teams that average 375+ yards per game). And, Brady has bested Manning in 10 of 14 meetings. Manning owns a 10-11 mark in the playoffs while Brady is 18-7. Bill Belichick has always found a way to frustrate Manning and take him out of his comfort zone. I believe he will do that again in this game. Peyton Manning vs. Brady & Belichick getting points? Who you gonna trust? I'm taking the Pats.

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Brian Edwards

New England +5
49ers +3.5

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Norm Hitzges

DOUBLE PLAY: San Francisco +3 1/2 Seattle
SINGLE PLAY: Denver -5 1/2 New England

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Football Jesus Free pick : Seahawks to win NFC

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Maddux NFL

20* Denver
10* Denver over
10* Seattle Over

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Stephen Nover

NFL Total - Sunday, Jan 19 2014 3:00PM

301 NEP / 302 DEN OVER 56.0 triple-dime bet

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Patriots at Broncos What bettors need to know

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (-5.5, 55)

Peyton Manning is one win from advancing to his third Super Bowl, but he'll have to get past a longtime nemesis when the Denver Broncos host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in Sunday's AFC Championship Game. Manning shattered a number of passing records - including Brady's single-season touchdown mark - and is an overwhelming favorite to win an unprecedented fifth MVP award. Standing in his way is Brady, who is attempting to become the first quarterback to reach six Super Bowls.

It will mark the 15th overall matchup and fourth in the postseason for the two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks. Brady has dominated the rivalry with a 10-4 record against Manning, including a 34-31 overtime win in New England on Nov. 24 - a game in which the Patriots erased a 24-0 halftime deficit. “It’s the Broncos versus the Patriots,” Manning said. “Certainly Tom and I have played against each other a lot. But when you get to the AFC Championship Game, it’s about two good teams that have been through a lot to get there.”

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Broncos as big as 7-point home favorites and sharp money jumped on the Patriots, dropping the line as low as -4.5 with help from the public. Wiseguy action started showing on Denver and forced a move back up to -5.5. The total opened as low as 54.5 and was bet up as high as 56 points.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast is calling for clear skies with temperatures in the mid 50s and winds blowing west at 6 mph, from sideline to sideline.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-5.0) - Broncos (-7.0) + Home field (-3.0) = Broncos -5.0

KEY INJURIES: PATRIOTS: Kenbrell Thompkins WR - (Head) Questionable, Aaron Dobson WR - (Foot) Questionable, Tom Brady - (Flu) Probable. Ryan Allen P - (Shoulder) Questionable. BRONCOS: Rahim Moore S - (Leg) Questionable, Joel Dreessen TE - (Knee) Questionable, Chris Kuper G - (Ankle) Questionable.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "This is by far one of the more interesting games we’ve booked in recent memory, as the public is supporting the dog and the wiseguys are on the favorite." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "New England just doesn’t get blown out on the road, so it’s worth taking a long look at grabbing the points in what is shaping up as a field-goal game in Colorado. The Patriots are running the ball more than they ever have in the Brady-Belichick Era, and Belichick doesn’t mind playing in tight games in Denver." - Art Aronson.

WHY BET THE PATRIOTS (13-4 SU, 9-8 ATS, 10-7 O/U): New England rode a punishing running game led by LeGarrette Blount and Stevan Ridley, who combined for 218 yards and six touchdowns. The 250-pound Blount has been a monster down the stretch with 431 yards and eight scores in his last three games, including a sledgehammer 166-yard, four-TD performance a week ago. New England's defense, which allowed an average of 21.1 points during the regular season, registered four interceptions and three sacks against Colts QB Andrew Luck last week.

WHY BET THE BRONOCS (14-3 SU, 10-6-1 ATS, 11-6 O/U): Manning orchestrated the top offensive season in league history, throwing for 55 touchdowns and an NFL-record 5,477 yards as Denver became the first team to surpass 600 points. The Broncos are the first team in history to have five players score 10 touchdowns, including wideouts Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, ex-Patriot Wes Welker and tight end Julius Thomas, who missed the first matchup with New England but had six catches for 76 yards in last week's 24-17 win over San Diego.

TRENDS:
* Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Denver.

CONSENSUS PICK: Patriots +5.5 (60.28%), Over 55 (68.34%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

49ers at Seahawks What bettors need to know

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 38.5)

The San Francisco 49ers are riding an eight-game winning streak and have posted back-to-back postseason road victories, but a return trip to the Super Bowl will hinge on overcoming a bitter rival and a venue that has been a house of horrors. The 49ers will visit the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday in the NFC Championship Game, seeking to erase a pair of ugly defeats in their last two trips to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle has won the last two home matchups with the 49ers by a combined 71-16 score.

The Seahawks held off San Francisco to capture the NFC West title due in large part to their dominance at CenturyLink Field, where they are 16-1 over the past two seasons, including last week's 23-15 victory over New Orleans. The teams have split the past four meetings, with San Francisco prevailing 19-17 at home on Dec. 8 to avenge a 29-3 beating in Seattle in Week 2. “We’re ready to go,” 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick said. "We’re a different team than the last time we played them up there."

LINE HISTORY: Seattle opened as a field-goal home favorite and sharp action came in hard on the host, tacking a half-point hook on the line. The public money has sided with the red-hot Niners, however, and books are trying to stay at 3.5 by adjusting the vig on the Seahawks. The total opened at 41 points and action on the Under has pushed this number as low as 38.5. Books are bracing for wiseguys to come back on the Over if it continues to fall.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast is calling for mostly cloudy skies and a 14 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high 40s. Winds are expected to blow NNW, from corner to corner, but will only reach speeds of 1 mph.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: 49ers (-6.0) - Seahawks (-7.3) + Home field (-3.0) = Seahawks -4.3

KEY INJUIRES: 49ERS: Carlos Rogers CB - (Hamstring) Probable, Will Tukuafu FB - (Knee) Questionable. SEAHAWKS: Percy Harvin WR, (Concussion) Doubtful, K.J. Wright LB - (Foot) Questionable

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Our bettors have been all over the 49ers in the playoffs. We’ve seen sharp money support the Seahawks at home all season and unlike last week, they’ve gotten the money more times than not. So this game and the line movement has been somewhat predictable." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.

WHY SHARPS SAY: "It’s been four months since the Niners - disorganized at the time - went in to Seattle and got spanked. Since then, San Francisco has figured things out and playing on the road doesn’t seem to be all that much of an issue." - Art Aronson.

WHY BET THE 49ERS (14-4 SU, 12-6 ATS, 8-10 O/U): One difference from the first meeting is the presence of wideout Michael Crabtree, who has 30 receptions in seven games since returning to the starting lineup following Achilles' tendon surgery. Anquan Boldin had eight catches for 136 yards last week and tight end Vernon Davis caught his seventh touchdown pass in seven postseason games. Running back Frank Gore rushed for 110 yards against the Seahawks last month and has a pair of 200-yard games against Seattle.

WHY BET THE SEAHAWKS (14-3 SU, 11-6 ATS, 6-11 O/U): Seattle has the luxury of leaning on running back Marshawn Lynch, who piled up 140 yards and scored twice a week ago to give him five touchdowns and three 100-yard performances in his last five playoff games. The Seahawks' defense feeds off the raucous 12th Man crowd, ranking first in the NFL in points (14.4) and yards (273.3) permitted while also amassing a league-best 28 interceptions. The Seahawks have won six straight postseason home games, outscoring their opponents 174-109.

TRENDS:
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* 49ers are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.

CONSENSUS PICK: San Francisco +3.5 (61%), Under 38.5 (67%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches Championship Sunday

Each week, Jason Logan breaks down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are two of the biggest betting mismatches for the NFL Championship Sunday:

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (-5.5, 55)

Patriots’ pass rush vs. Broncos’ offensive timing

Lost in the Brady vs. Manning hoopla and the Patriots’ drastic shift in gears to the running game, is New England’s pass rush. The Patriots defense, specifically the guys bombarding the opposing quarterback, are playing their best football of the season.

New England has registered 11 sacks over the past three games, including three sacks on Colts QB Andrew Luck last weekend. The pass rush is throwing opposing offense’s timing off and has been the root cause for the seven passes the Pats’ have picked off in that span – four INTs versus Indianapolis.

Peyton Manning is a watchmaker at the line of scrimmage. Every cog must be perfectly set and timed in order for the offense to work with procession. The Broncos offensive line has done a good job keeping No. 18 clean, giving up just 20 sacks – best in the NFL.

However, in the only two games in which Manning failed to complete 60 percent or more of this passes – losses to New England (53.8%) and Indianapolis (59.2%) – Manning was sacked a total of six times. He also threw an interception in each of those games. Manning threw three picks versus Washington in Week 8 and was sacked twice in that win. Denver hasn’t faced a tough pass rush for a while either, pushing around the likes of San Diego twice, Oakland, Houston, and Tennessee in their last five games.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 39)

Wilson’s waning play vs. Niners’ knowledgeable defense

Russell Wilson was a dark horse NFL MVP candidate for most of the season. But, with his recent fall from form, questions have been raised about Wilson’s ability to get Seattle over the hump and into the Super Bowl. After averaging 210 yards passing per game on the year, Wilson has tossed for an average of only 127.6 yards over the last three games, including just 108 yards against the Saints.

He’s completed just 52 percent of his passes and lugs a 73.1 QB rating in that span – way off the pace of his 101.2 QB rating on the season. Wilson also isn’t getting the job done with his legs, rushing for just 47 total yards on 10 attempts in that span. If Seattle is going to win Sunday, it needs Wilson to be more than a game manager.

No defense in the NFL knows Wilson better than the Niners. Sunday will be the fourth time these teams will have played over the last 14 months, with San Francisco getting the best of Seattle’s QB in their most recent meeting.

The 49ers limited Wilson to 60 percent passing, held him to two yards rushing, intercepted him once and sacked him twice – including an early sack/fumble from LB NaVorro Bowman that made Wilson think twice about leaving the pocket again. San Francisco, which has limited opposing QBs to a 77.6 rating on the year, had five sacks and two picks versus Carolina last weekend and four sacks in the Wild Card win over the Packers.

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Sports Nostradamus

Playoff Game of the Year NFL 49ers +3.5

3 Team 10 Point Teaser 49ers +13.5 & 49ers/Seahawks Under 49.5 & Patriots +15.5

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EZWINNERS

5* San Francisco 49ers +3.5

5* San Francisco 49ers +170

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LA Syndicate

49ers +3.5

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Chicago Syndicate

Broncos -5
Under 57 Broncos/Patriots

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H&H Sports

Triple Dime Seahawks -3 (-120)
Double Dime Patriots

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NFL

Conference Championships

Patriots were favored in their last 11 playoff games; this is their first road playoff game since losing AFC title game 38-34 (+3) to Colts seven years ago. Patriots are 3-2 in road playoff games with Brady at QB, with only five of his 24 playoff tilts on foreign soil (3-2 in Super Bowls). Belichick is 5-2 in AFC title games, winning twice at Pittsburgh. Manning is 4-10 vs Brady's teams- Broncos (-2.5) got beat at Foxboro 34-31 in OT in Week 12, after leading 24-0 at half in sloppy game where Denver ran ball for 280 yards but turned ball over four times (-1). Patriots are 2-4 in last six road games overall, winning at Houston/Pittsburgh. This is only second time in last nine AFC title games the #'s 1-2 seeds played: NFL-wide, favorites are 4-3-1 vs spread in last eight conference title games between 1-2 seeds. Welker will have a big day against his old team, who unwisely let him walk.

49ers got crushed last two times they visited Seattle, 42-13/29-3; in two games vs Seahawks this year (Niners won rematch 19-17 at home), they scored 16 points in five red zone drives, one TD/four FGs- they'll need to do better here. Since 2000, #1 seeds are 3-3 vs spread when facing team in this round that didn't get first round bye; since 2001, #1 seeds are 6-9 overall vs spread in conference title games. This is third year in row 49ers are in this game, splitting last two, with road team winning both. 49ers didn't win a road playoff game from 1970 until LY, but now have won three in row; problem, this is now their 4th straight Sunday on road. Seattle is 5-4 as home favorite this year, with only SU loss to Arizona in Week 16. Harbaugh once beat Carroll's USC team as a 42-point underdog when he was at Stanford; no love lost between the two.

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Power Sweep Conf Championships

POWER SWEEP FORECAST: 3* New England (+) over DENVER


POWER SWEEP FORECAST: 2* UNDER 49ers/SEAHAWKS

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Football Crusher
New England +5.5 over Denver
(System Record: 55-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 55-50-1

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Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -153 over Boston
(System Record: 56-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 56-40-1

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Basketball Crusher
Bowling Green +6.5 over Western Michigan
(System Record: 35-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 35-46-2

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Soccer Crusher
Flamengo + Audax Rio UNDER 3
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 509-18, lost last game)
Overall Record: 509-441-75

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NBA

Hot teams
-- Raptors won four of last five games, covered nine of last ten.
-- Sacramento won four of last six games (5-1 vs spread). Thunder won three of last four games (covered last three at home).
-- Spurs won six of last seven games (0-3 vs spread last three).
-- Nuggets won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Lakers lost six of last seven games, but covered last three.
-- Orlando lost its last ten games (1-9 vs spread). Celtics lost 10 of last 11 games, covered last three on road.
-- Milwaukee lost its last eight games (2-6 vs spread).
-- Suns lost four of their last five games.

Series records
-- Lakers won seven of last ten games with Toronto (1-2 last three).
-- Celtics won their last ten games with Orlando.
-- Thunder won seven in row, 12 of last 13 vs Sacramento.
-- Spurs won seven of last eight games with Milwaukee.
-- Suns are 2-0 vs Denver this year, winning by 11-4 points.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Toronto home games went over.
-- 11 of last 15 Orlando home games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Thunder home games stayed under.
-- Over is 13-4-1 in Spurs' last 18 home games.
-- Last four Denver road games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Hurricanes won six of their last eight games.
-- Rangers won five of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Boston is 4-5 in its last nine games. Chicago lost three of last four on road.
-- Lightning lost three of their last four games.
-- Washington lost its last four games, scoring five goals.

Totals
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Carolina games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Rangers' last six games.

Series records
-- Chicago beat Bruins in six games in LY's Stanley Cup Finals.
-- Lightning won six of last seven games with Carolina.
-- Rangers are 8-6 in last 14 games with Washington, 1-2 this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - SUNDAY NFL

4* BEST BET = SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
3* = "UNDER" on SEAHAWKS/49ERS
2* = DENVER BROCOS

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World Class Capper

England soccer
3* Chelsea vs Manchester United - over 2.5 goals @ -106
Starts at 11:00 am est

Italy soccer
5* AC Milan vs Hellas Veronas - over 3 goals @ +106
Starts at 2:45 pm est

Spain soccer
3* Atletico Madrid -1.5 goal spread @ +100
Starts at 3:00 pm est

NFL
3* Broncos -5.5 point spread @ -110
Starts at 3:00 pm est

NFL
3* 49ers +4 point spread @ -123
Starts at 6:30 pm est

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Totals 4 You Regular Service Selections for Sunday, January 19th

2014 NFL Championships Totals Parlay of the Year!!!!!
New England/Denver under 56 1/2
San Francisco/Seattle under 40

January's NBA Western Conference Line-Crusher of the Month!!!!!
Denver/Phoenix under 219 1/2

NBA Best Bets
LA Lakers/Toronto under 204
Boston/Orlando under 195 1/2
Milwaukee/San Antonio under 198
Sacramento/Oklahoma City over 211

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2Halves2Win NFL Championship Picks:

(GAME: 1*): Patriots +5.5 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)


(GAME: 1*): 49ers +3.5 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lakers at Raptors What bettors need to know

Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors (-9, 203)

The Toronto Raptors look to sweep a season series from the Los Angeles Lakers for the first time in franchise history when the teams meet Sunday afternoon in Toronto. The Raptors are 8-26 all-time versus the Lakers, but claimed a 106-94 victory at Los Angeles on Dec. 8 and have won two of the last three meetings overall. The win in the first encounter last month was the start of Toronto's turnaround, as the squad entered the contest 6-12 but has gone 14-6 ever since.

Included in that run was a 94-89 win over Minnesota on Friday, the Raptors' sixth straight victory at home. The Lakers are coming off a dramatic comeback 107-104 win at Boston in an encounter that saw them erase a late eight-point deficit. Paul Gasol had perhaps his best overall stat line of the season with 24 points, 13 rebounds, six assists and zero turnovers in 36 minutes as Los Angeles ended a six-game losing streak.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, TWC SportsNet (Los Angeles), TSN (Toronto)

ABOUT THE LAKERS (15-25): While his team's season has continued to trend in the wrong direction, Gasol has done his best to keep the Lakers afloat. He is averaging 20.3 points, 11.8 rebounds and five assists this month and is 28-for-48 from the floor over his last three contests. Fellow big man Ryan Kelly filled in for the suspended Nick Young in Boston and produced a personal-best 20 points.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (20-18): Kyle Lowry scored 23 points and handed out eight assists in the meeting with Los Angeles in December, part of the veteran's career-best campaign that continued Friday versus Minnesota. Lowry nailed a season-high six 3-pointers en route to a team-high 24 points, improving to 20-for-35 from long distance over his last five games. He has also produced 23 assists against five turnovers in the last three contests, and still ranks first among Eastern Conference point guards with a 3.43 assist-to-turnover ratio.

TRENDS:
* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Toronto.
* Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last four Sunday games.
* Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Johnson is eligible to return after serving the suspension for throwing a punch in a game at Phoenix on Wednesday.

2. Toronto is nearing the end of a stretch in which it plays seven straight games against losing teams.

3. Lakers PG Kendall Marshall has posted four straight double-doubles, averaging 13.8 points and 13.3 assists in that span.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL betting: Inside Harbaugh vs. Carroll betting numbers

San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh and Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll will meet on the field for the 10th time Sunday - the seventh time in the NFL plus three times in the NCAA at Stanford and USC respectively.

We look back at the nine meetings between the two coaches over the years, dating back to Stanford's 24-23 win over USC in 2007 - the first time the two met.

Saturday, Oct. 6, 2007: Stanford 24 @ USC 23 - Stanford +39, U 57
Saturday, Nov. 15, 2008: USC 45 @ Stanford 23 - Stanford +24, O 48.5
Saturday, Nov. 14, 2009: Staford 55 @ USC 21 - Stanford +10.5, O 57.5
Sunday, Sept. 11, 2011: San Fran 33 vs. Seattle 17 - San Fran -6, O 38
Saturday, Dec. 24, 2011: San Fran 19 @ Seattle 17 - San Fran -1, U 37.5
Thursday, Oct. 18, 2012: San Fran 13 vs. Seattle 6 - Seattle +7.5, U 37.5
Sunday, Dec. 23, 2012: Seattle 42 vs. San Fran 13 - Seattle -2.5, O 40
Sunday, Sept. 15, 2013: Seattle 29 vs. San Fran 3 - Seattle -3, U 43.5
Sunday, Dec. 8, 2013: San Fran 19, vs. Seattle 17 - Seattle +2.5, U 42.5

SU count: Harbaugh 6, Carroll 3
ATS count: Harbaugh 5, Carroll 4
Over/Under count: 4-5 O/U

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Denver at Phoenix

The Nuggets come into Phoenix tonight with a 7-3-1 ATS record in their last 11 games versus the Suns. Denver is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, JANUARY 19
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: LA Lakers at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 107.879; Toronto 126.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 19; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 204
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9); Over


Game 803-804: Boston at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.798; Orlando 109.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-2); Under


Game 805-806: Milwaukee at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.379; San Antonio 123.131
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 193
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 16; 199
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+16); Under


Game 807-808: Sacramento at Oklahoma City (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.483; Oklahoma City 126.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 211
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-8); Over


Game 809-810: Denver at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.482; Phoenix 117.344
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3; 224
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Iowa

The Hawkeyes host the Golden Gophers, who come into the contest with a 3-10 ATS record in their last 13 road games. Iowa is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawkeyes favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-9). Here are all of today's games.


SUNDAY, JANUARY 19
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 811-812: Rutgers at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 56.834; Houston 59.571
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 5
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+5)


Game 813-814: Wright State at Cleveland State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 53.215; Cleveland State 63.177
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-5)


Game 815-816: Minnesota at Iowa (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 64.660; Iowa 79.580
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 15; 153
Vegas Line: Iowa by 9; 142
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-9); Over


Game 817-818: Louisiana Tech at Southern Mississippi (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 70.047; Southern Mississippi 64.296
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 6
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+3)


Game 819-820: WI-Green Bay at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 62.898; Illinois-Chicago 49.783
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 13
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-10 1/2)


Game 821-822: Bowling Green at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.141; Western Michigan 54.155
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 3
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+6 1/2)


Game 823-824: Towson at College of Charleston (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 54.056; College of Charleston 54.284
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+3)


Game 825-826: Virginia Tech at Notre Dame (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 52.582; Notre Dame 71.186
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 18 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 10 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-10 1/2); Under


Game 827-828: Oregon at Oregon State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 71.656; Oregon State 61.307
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 10 1/2; 167
Vegas Line: Oregon by 2; 161
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-2); Over


Game 829-830: Canisius at Monmouth (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 53.420; Monmouth 53.580
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Canisius by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (+3 1/2)


Game 831-832: Siena at Iona (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 54.150; Iona 57.214
Dunkel Line: Iona by 3
Vegas Line: Iona by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+10 1/2)


Game 833-834: Hofstra at SMU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 43.194; SMU 69.151
Dunkel Line: SMU by 26
Vegas Line: SMU by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-17 1/2)


Game 841-842: Bucknell at Army (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 51.256; Army 51.676
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Army by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (+3)

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Cappers Access

Patriots +5.5
Seahawks -3.5

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free winner Sun Over 56 Pats/Denver

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Tampa Bay Lighting -115

Rangers -150

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NCAAB

Sunday, January 19

Houston is 5-7 in its last dozen games after losing by 39 at Louisville in last game Thursday; Cougars are 9-1 vs teams outside top 150, losing to San Jose at home Dec 7. Four of their last six games were decided by 4 or less points. Rutgers is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 3-6-20 points; they're 7-4 vs teams ranked outside top 100. AAC single digit home favorites are 3-6 vs spread.

Wright State swept Cleveland State by 16-9 points LY, after losing six in row to Vikings before that; Raiders lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 9-5-19-22 points. Horizon home favorites are 12-7 vs spread, but 3-6 if number was less than six points. Wright lost by 10 at home to Green Bay Friday, just their second loss in last eight games. Cleveland State won both its Horizon home games, by 10 points each.

Minnesota is 3-2 in Big Dozen, with four of five games decided by 3 or less points or in OT; Iowa won three of last four games with Gophers, with three of four decided by 4 or less points. Minnesota lost last two visits here by 4-21 points. Iowa is 3-1 in league, winning by 10-26-10 points; their only loss was by 4 at Wisconsin, when McCaffery got two T's when Iowa led. Big Dozen single digit home faves are 1-9 vs spread.

Louisiana Tech won its last seven games, with an OT win at Oklahoma; Bulldogs force turnovers 22.9% of time, have #11 eFG% defense in US,. are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, 11-0 if they allow less than 70 points, 4-3 if they allow 70+. Southern Mississippi is 7-0 at home, 1-1 vs teams in top 100. winning by point at North Dakota State, losing at Louisville by 31. C-USA home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-8 vs spread.

Green Bay won four of last five games with Ill-Chicago; home teams are 8-1 in last nine series games- Phoenix lost three of last four visits here, losing by 7-2-3 points. Green Bay won its last nine games; this is their fourth road game in row, beating Wright State Friday. Horizon favorites of 6+ points are 10-1 vs spread this season. UIC lost its last nine games, losing last two conference games by total of nine points.

Bowling Green beat Western Michigan last two years by 24-10 points; Falcons lost four of last five games, with three of four losses away from home- they're turning ball over 22.5% of time, and are 1-4 on road, with three losses by 12+ points. MAC single digit home favorites are 3-6 vs spread. WMU scored 37 points in loss to Eastern Michigan last game, after they scored 83+ points in winning previous four games.

Charleston won five of last six games; they're turning ball over 20.4% of time; their eFG% is #253 in US. Cougars are shooting 49% from arc in CAA play, only 38% inside it. Towson won its last four games, winning first two CAA games by 8-12 points; they're forcng 3rd-least turnovers in US, but their eFG% defense is #34. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 0-6 vs spread.

Notre Dame is struggling without leading scorer Grant, losing last three games since upsetting Duke at home; Irish are 3-5 in last eight games; all three wins were by 7 or less points. ACC double digit home favorites are 2-3 vs spread. Virginia Tech lost five of last six games, losing last two ACC games by total of 10 points. Hokies force 2nd-least turnovers in country, but they defend well, with the #41 eFG% defense.

Oregon won five of last six games with Oregon State, winning last three visits here by 4-1-13 points; Ducks lost last three games after starting year 13-0, giving up 92.7 ppg in losses. Pac-12 home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread. Both teams are 1-3 in Pac-12; Beavers' three losses are by 6-11-5 points. Three of Oregon's last six wins came in OT. State is 9-7 in spite of making 40.4% from arc, #17 in country.

Canisius (-10) beat Monmouth 87-67 last Sunday, making 14-30 from arc; Griffins lead MAAC with 6-1 record, winning by hoop in last game at Iona Friday after blowing 20-point halftime lead- they're 3-5 in true road games, with last two road wins by total of six points. Monmouth is 2-5 in its first year in MAAC; four of five losses were by 9+. MAAC home underdogs are 4-6 against the spread.

Iona (-3.5) won 87-78 at Siena last Sunday, making 15-30 from arc in a game they trailed by 3 with 7:12 left- they're 6-1 in last seven games vs Siena, winning last two here by 4-19 points. MAAC double digit home favorites are 5-6 vs spread. Gaels had 23-0 run Friday but still lost by 2 to Canisius Friday. Siena is 1-3 on MAAC road, with losses by 15-4-22 points; they turn ball over 22.3% of time, have #286 eFG%.

SMU won at Central Florida yesterday afternoon; they played five subs double digit minutes, no one more than 27 since they have makeup game here with Hofstra. Mustangs hold foes to 38.8% inside arc, best mark in US- this is their third game in five days and they've got league game vs Rutgers on Tuesday. Hofstra won last two games after a 4-11 start; they haven't played since Wednesday.

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Today's NHL Picks

Tampa Bay at Carolina

The Lightning come into Carolina today carrying a 5-0 record in their last 5 road games against the Hurricanes. Tampa Bay is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, JANUARY 19
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Boston at Chicago (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.891; Chicago 12.187
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-155); Under


Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.043; Carolina 10.413
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Over


Game 55-56: Washington at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.842; NY Rangers 10.705
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Under

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Intpicks
2* Denver -5
2* San Fran
1* Minnesota +9.5
1* Canisius -3.5
1* Toronto -9

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ATS football lock club

3u OVER 56- New England/Denver game

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Diamond Dog Sports
Over Broncos 56.6 -105 (1*)

Patriots +5.5 -110 (1*)

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Diamond Dog Sports

Over Broncos 56.6 -105 (1*)

Patriots +5.5 -110 (1*)
Over Suns 219.5 -110 (*1.5)

#841 Bucknell +2.5 -110 (*1.5)

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POINTWISE

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

KEY RELEASES
IOWA over Minnesota (Sun) RATING: 1

(1:00) HOUSTON 67 - Rutgers 61 (CBS) _____ _____

(1:00) CLEVELAND STATE 73 - Wright State 65 _____ _____

(1:00) IOWA 78 - Minnesota 62 (BIG10) _____ _____

(1:00) SO MISSISSIPPI 65 - Louisiana Tech 64 (FOX 1) _____ _____

(2:00) Wisc-Green Bay 68 - ILLINOIS-CHICAGO 66 _____ _____

(2:00) WESTERN MICHIGAN 73 - Bowling Green 71 _____ _____

(3:30) CHARLESTON 70 - Towson 66 (NBCS) _____ _____

(6:00) NOTRE DAME 76 - Virginia Tech 69 (ESPNU) _____ _____

(8:00) Oregon 77 - OREGON STATE 70 (ESPNU) _____ _____

BEST BETS
IOWA (1)
LOUISIANA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH
OREGON

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POINTWISE

NBA BASKETBALL

(1:05) TORONTO RAPTORS 104 - LA Lakers 93 _____ _____

(6:05) Boston Celtics 98 - ORLANDO MAGIC 90 _____ _____

(7:05) SAN ANTONIO SPURS 119 - Milwaukee 100 _____ _____

(7:05) OKLAHOMA CITY 90 - Sacramento Kings 87 _____ _____

(8:05) PHOENIX SUNS 106 - Denver Nuggets 105 _____ _____

BEST BETS
BOSTON (4)
SACRAMENTO

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA LA LAKERS at TORONTO
Play Under - Any team after going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games, on Sunday games
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

NBA BOSTON at ORLANDO
Play On - Any team vs the money line (ORLANDO) cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days
68-67 since 1997. ( 50.4% 45.2 units )
1-4 this year. ( 20.0% -0.5 units )

NBA BOSTON at ORLANDO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite, on Sunday games
119-65 since 1997. ( 64.7% 47.5 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -1.3 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB SIENA at IONA
Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (SIENA) revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a home loss
84-42 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% 37.8 units )

CBB RUTGERS at HOUSTON
Play Against - A favorite vs. the money line (HOUSTON) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 90 points or more
33-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 56.9% 27.2 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% -2.0 units )

CBB OREGON at OREGON ST
Play Against - Any team (OREGON) off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a winning record
50-21 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.4% 26.9 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

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XpertPicks

Sunday Football

Play New England +5 over Denver (TOP NFL PLAY)---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
3:00 PM EST
New England has won 18 of the last 21 games coming off two or more OVER the totals and they have also won 19 of the last 23 games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points. New England has won 21 of the last 26 games after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games and they have also won 16 of the last 20 games coming off game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

Play Seattle -3.5 over San Francisco (TOP NFL PLAY)---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
6:00 PM EST
Seattle has won 10 of the last 11 games when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have also won 20 of the last 25 home games. Seattle has won 12 of the last 14 games coming off a win against the spread and they have won 6 of the last 7 games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Minnesota at Iowa What bettors need to know

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes (-9, OFF)

It's not easy getting attention in the Big Ten sometimes. With Wisconsin, Michigan State and Ohio State garnering much of the national spotlight, teams like Iowa and Minnesota - which meet Sunday on the Hawkeyes' home court - can get lost in the shuffle. The Hawkeyes have claimed some attention after winning at Ohio State a week ago, moving up in the national rankings because of it, while the Gophers are still looking for that attention-grabbing win.

Beating the Hawkeyes would certainly help first-year coach Richard Pitino's national cred, but that won't be easy. Iowa's only losses this year have been to nationally-ranked Villanova, Iowa State and Wisconsin, and the Hawkeyes have won 19 straight at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Still, Pitino's squad took Michigan State to overtime on the road and is coming off its own win over the Buckeyes as well.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network

LINE: Iowa are currently 9-point home faves. The total is currently off the board.

ABOUT MINNESOTA (14-4, 6-8-1 ATS): One of the big — though not literally — weapons the Gophers have at their disposal is 5-9 point guard DeAndre Mathieu, who continues to improve at his position as he learns on the job. The junior college transfer has been the starter from the beginning of this season, and Pitino sees him as a valuable asset going forward as he continues to learn how to play. “He needs to stop trying to drive in amongst the trees when there's two or three guys in there,” Pitino told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. “He's got to be smarter about his attempts, and (against Ohio State), he was about to drive it, they backed up, he knocked down two or three open shots, which was big.”

ABOUT IOWA (14-3, 10-5 ATS): The Hawkeyes are hoping some home cooking can help lead them to a conference title. Iowa will host each of the top three teams in the league standings as well as Ohio State in the coming weeks, and with Carver-Hawkeye Arena scheduled to be sold out for each of them, the Hawkeyes should have quite an advantage. “We're just really excited that it's going to be like that,” Iowa coach Fran McCaffery told the Iowa City Press-Citizen. “I don't think there is any question we'd all agree that you're going to play better in that atmosphere.”

TRENDS:
* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meeting in Iowa.
* Minnesota is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Iowa.
* Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.

TIP-INS:
1. The Golden Gophers rank No. 1 in the Big Ten in both steals per game (8.4) and free-throw percentage (.755).

2. Iowa F Melsahn Basabe has posted a double-double in each of the Hawkeyes' last two games.

3. The Hawkeyes have gotten the better of the Gophers in this matchup, leading 54-40, including winning the last matchup by 21.

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Alex B. Smith Sports
NHL GOM - 2* on Boston Bruins (ML +135)

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Phil Steele Inside the PressBox

NEW ENGLAND 35 DENVER 34

SEATTLE 17 SAN FRANCISCO 16

No best bet in these games

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From The Platinum Sheet
STATFOX FORECASTER

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP:
NEW ENGLAND (301) AT DENVER (302)
Latest Line: Denver -5.5; Total: 56.5

Tom Brady's Patriots look to secure a sixth Super Bowl berth in the past 13 years when they visit Peyton Manning's Broncos seeking their first AFC Championship since 1998. Brady is 10-4 head-to-head versus Manning, including 2-1 in the postseason, but is just 2-4 SU all-time in Denver. New England overcame a 24-0 halftime deficit in a 34-31 win in Week 12 over the Broncos, as Brady threw for 344 yards and 3 TD, while Manning threw for a season-low 150 yards and 2 TD. The Pats are just 2-6 ATS (4-4 SU) on the road this year.
FORECASTER: Denver 32, New England 26

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J. Clifton hoops

Ncaab
oregon -2 1/2
southern miss -2 1/2

nba
phoenix pk

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The Sports Capper

5000* Patriots +5

1000* Seahwaks -3.5

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Brandon Lang

100 dime San Fran
50 dime New England

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Chase Diamond

10* Oregon St +3

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Winning Angle Football

Sunday

Play New England +5 over Denver (NFL) 3:00 PM EST



New England has won and covered the spread in 7 consecutive games vs. AFC West Division Opponents and they have also covered the spread in 24 of the last 32 games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in their last game. New England has covered the spread in 42 of the last 65 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they are averaging 28 points a game on offense this season.





Play Seattle -3.5 over San Francisco (NFL) 6:00 PM EST



Seattle has covered the spread in 24 of the last 35 games and they have also covered the spread in 18 of the last 25 home games. Seattle has covered the spread in 19 of the last 27 games vs. NFC Conference Opponents and they are only allowing an average of 13 points a game on defense at home this season.

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CHRIS JORDAN

600* Seahawks

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Paul Leiner:
2000* NFL 49ers +4
500* NFL Over 56 Patriots/Broncos
100* CBB Over 143 Rutgers/Houston
50* CBB Minnesota +9.5

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San Francisco vs. Seattle - January 19, 2014 - 6:30 PM

Pick: Your pick will be graded at sportsinteraction @ -3 -120 Seattle
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Jan 19 - 6:30 PM
Reason For Pick:
I’m playing on SEATTLE. These teams have a number of similarities. Both are from the NFC West. Both have dominant defenses. Both teams have an excellent running back. Both offenses are led by a talented and exciting young QB. Both teams are currently playing well.

With all those similarities, many are likely going to be temped to take the points. I believe that the Hawks' home field and scheduling advantage is going to prove significant though.

As you’re likely aware, the Hawks have been practically unbeatable here at home. Last week, they knocked off the Packers by eight points. The previous week, they completely dominated the Saints, winning 34-7. They’re 16-1 SU their last 17 games here, going 12-5 ATS.

True, the 49’ers have also been very tough on the road. They haven't fared too here though. The Seahawks won 29-3 when the teams met here in September. The previous meeting here saw the Hawks win 42-13.

While the 49’ers did limit Carolina to 10 points last week, they’d previously allowed 20 or more in three consecutive games. On the other hand, the Hawks haven’t allowed an opponent to reach the 20-point mark since mid-November.

While most will certainly be considering the venue, I believe that the Seahawks’ recent schedule will also play a pivotal role.

The Seahawks played here at Seattle last week. They played here at Seattle the previous week. Prior to that, they had a bye. Prior to the bye, they’d played two consecutive home games. In fact, their last road game was on 12/15, more than a month ago.

On the other hand, the 49’ers will be playing their fourth straight road game and their fifth road game since 12/15. Unlike Seattle, they didn’t have a bye during that time. This will mark the seventh consecutive time that they played at a different city than they played at the previous week.

Additionally, while likely less of a factor, it should be noted that Seattle has enjoyed an extra day’s worth of rest. The Hawks played on 1/11, the 49’ers played on 1/12.

While some may believe that Kaepernick gives the 49’ers an edge, I believe Wilson is every bit as capable.

Ultimately, I look for the Hawks’ edges to lead to a win and cover. 10*

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Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Seattle Seahawks -3½ (buy half point to -3) over the San Francisco 49ers (Spread Bet) (NFL Football) - Game Starts at 6:30 PM EST

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MTI Sports

4.5* Denver over 56.5
4.5* San Fran +3.5

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Al DeMarco

15 Dime Broncos

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River city sharps- Pretty interesting game here today with two of the best teams in C-USA. Over the past several years, La tech has been an ATS darling, going 38-18 ATS in road games in January since 1997 and an even more interesting trend is the fact that Tech is 13-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons. La Tech comes into this game on a 7-game winning streak while Southern Miss comes off an impressive win over Rice. Tech scores 85 ppg while So Miss is scoring 73 points per contest. While So Miss may be a slightly better teams defensively, we don't think they can keep up with Tech offensively here today. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - LOUISIANA TECH (+2.5)

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SPORTS WAGERS NHL

N.Y. RANGERS -½ +113 over Washington

Regulation only. These are two teams that are not equal and that are going in opposite directions. Washington’s decline started just before Christmas but anyone with a sense of hockey knowkledge could see it coming long before that. In 15 games since the 17th of December, the Caps have four wins in 15 games. One of those victories occurred against these Rangers in a game in which the Caps were bombarded with 40 shots on net and they were second best team on the ice. The Caps have dropped four in a row and over that span they have scored six goals while surrendering 13. Washington has also allowed nine goals against in its last two contests. There is a big correlation between losing and shots on net allowed. Washington has allowed the second worst shots on goal average per game in the NHL, ahead of only the Maple Leafs. The Caps are a team in peril because of a weak defense and just one producing line.

The Rangers have won two in a row and five of their past six. Their one loss over that span occurred against Tampa Bay in a game they ran into a super-hot Ben Bishop and lost 2-1. The Rangers have picked up points in seven of their past eight games and they have been outplaying, outshooting, out-chancing and out-working each team along the way. New York is a legit contender that is playing their best hockey of the season and its chances of defeating the vastly inferior Caps in regulation is much greater than 50%, (thus, the value) especially after losing the past two to the Caps this season. In this league, inferior teams seldom defeat superior one’s three games in succession. The Rangers will not be denied this time around.

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SPORTS WAGERS NFL

SEATTLE -3 -120 over San Francisco

3½-points seems like an awful lot of points to be spotting a team that has been going as good as the 49ers have been (-3 -120 at Sportsinteraction) been. After all, the 49ers are on a seven game winning streak and are 8-2 on the road this year. San Fran’s offense has looked much sharper than the Seahawks recently but we keep going back to the same question. Why did the Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)s add the hook to this game? Surely they could have made it a -3 and “even” things out a little bit in terms of action. That extra half-point in a game that almost everyone figures to be close looms large in the minds of all those on the fence in this contest. We’re not as convinced. The venue is the critical intangible in this game since both the teams play each other at least twice a year and home field has always been critical in winning. Add in the Seahawks being so dominant each time they play at home and it is hard to see just how the 49ers are going to score much. The Seahawks allowed only 12 points on average over their last eight games and they whacked San Fran, 29-3 in this year’s contest in Seattle. Colin Kaepernick only passed for 127 yards and no scores in the first meeting in Seattle and had three interceptions in that disaster. Vernon Davis was held to only 20 yards on three catches since the defense focused on him and Michael Crabtree was not playing. Anquan Boldin was held to only one catch for seven yards. Frank Gore ran for only 16 yards on nine carries. It was a complete failure in all facets and the lowest point of the season for the 49ers.

The Seahawks bring in a dominating defense but one that lost CB Brandon Browner in December. This is still a very formidable unit that is even better at home. Since the week 12 bye, the defense is only allowing about 10 points per game. The offense has been better in home games as well but has been held under 28 points in each of the last five weeks. So, while one must respect what the 49ers have accomplished, fading the Seahawks when they are home cannot be recommended. Russell Wilson has been under some criticism lately and this time of year it becomes an issue that is extremely overstated and over-exaggerated. Wilson makes plays in critical situations and figures to be up to the challenge here. Remember, all these outlets that cover the NFL don’t have 16 games to talk about all week. They have two and everything is blown out of proportion. What you won’t hear about is how the 49ers will be playing their fifth road game in six weeks and third in a row after playing in Carolina last week. Incidentally, they also got every call last week from the refs that killed any momentum the Panthers had the entire first half and into the third quarter. All that travel since Week 15, two tough road games in the playoffs, including one in frigid Green Bay has to take a toll and these are the things that the oddsmakers consider when posting a number while the television folks never mention it. Yeah, it’s tempting and maybe even enticing to take the 3½-points being offered but in terms of all the intangibles, the Seahawks have a big edge and that’s the way we’re playing it.

NOTE: Depending on where you shop there are different lines for this game everywhere. We still recommend playing Seattle @ -3½ if you can't get on for -3.

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PREDICTION MACHINE

Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

302 3:00 PM @DEN "Lock" vs NE -5 7.9 57.3%
304 6:30 PM @SEA vs SF -3.5 5.1 54.2%

Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

302 3:00 PM @ DEN NE 31.4 23.5 67.8%
304 6:30 PM @ SEA SF 23.7 18.6 62.6%

Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

304 6:30 PM SF @ SEA 39.5 42.3 Over 55.0%
302 3:00 PM NE @ DEN 56 54.9 Under 51.5%

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Best Weekend Wagers with Weekend Warrior January 19, 2014 7:06 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football Conference Playoffs

303 San Francisco 49ers / Seattle Seahawks UNDER 40: Both teams are grinders that like to use the clock. With Gore and Lynch expect a battle won in the trenches with limited long plays. Plus both defenses are strong.

NBA Basketball

805 Milwaukee Bucks / San Antonio Spurs OVER 198: San Antonio is 8-1-1 to the OVER in last 10 matchups against Eastern Conference teams.

807 Sacramento Kings / Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 210½: Sacramento is 7-1 to the OVER in its last eight road games.

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NHL Hockey Play of the Day January 19, 2014 7:03 AM by GT Staff

Washington Capitals at New York Rangers (Total 5½) at 4:35 p.m. PST

King Henrik is playing lights out in goal for the Rangers. Even with the threat of Ovechkin the amped up MSG crowd should see a defensive battle.

55 Washington Capitals / 56 New York Rangers UNDER 5½

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Members Area
PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit New England +6 (WISEGUY)
5 unit Seattle -3 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-10)

5 unit New England +5.5

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Ioa -9

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

69% Den/NE under 67.5

Iceman
(1-3)

1 unit Carolina -115

Genius
(1-10)

6 unit Rutgers +4.5

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-5)

3 unit New England +5.5

3 unit New England over

The Sports Report
(1-10)

5 unit Seattle -3

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Town Sports
2* Minnesota, Coll of Charleston,

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GamingToday's Consensus Picks January 19, 2014 6:56 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football Conference Playoffs

302 Denver Broncos -5: The Patriots need to run the ball in order to have a shot at beating Denver and that won’t happen against this defense as it's ranked 5th in rush defense allowing just under 100 yards per game and that won’t get the job done today. The Pats are 3-12 SU and 4-11 ATS at Mile High.

303 San Francisco 49ers +3½: The Niner’s have something to prove after beating the Seahawks by just 2 points in San Fran but getting blown out in Seattle in their first meeting. The Seattle QB Wilson has gone down hill in his last five games not being able to pass for 200 yards in none of them, look for a battle royal with one of these teams winning by a late field goal.

NBA Basketball

802 Toronto Raptors -8: It’s Sunday, well Lakes have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four Sunday games and the Raptors have gone 4-0 ATS vs. the Lakers in their last four meetings.

NCAA Basketball

814 Cleveland State -5½: Parry’s NCAA Basketball Power Guide has Cleveland 12 points better in this spot.

826 Notre Dame -10: The Power Guide has the Irish winning by 19 points.

NHL Hockey

53 Tampa Bay Lightning / 54 Carolina Hurricanes UNDER 5½ Goals: Last five meetings have all been under 5½ goals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rainman

5 - Seattle
1 - New England
1 -Over New England/Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer CBB Rivalry Wipeout

Oregon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spreitzer Championship Smackdown 3 Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

Patriotas +5.5

Patriots/Broncos Under 57

Seattle -3.5

San Francisco/Seattle Over 40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FRANK SANTILLI
LATE INFO VIP PLAYS
NFL Seattle -3½
NFL New England +5

200* NFL New England UNDER 57
200* NFL Seattle UNDER 40½
200* NBA Boston OVER 195
100* CBB Rutgers OVER 143
100* CBB Oregon St +2½
75* CBB Rutgers +4½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI Sports

4.5* New England at Denver OVER 56.5 - When referring to this game, Broncos executive vice president of football operations John Elway said "It's going to a barnburner." We agree.
There are many interesting stats from last week's game that indicate a breakout game from the Broncos here. Demaryius Thomas caught eight passes but NONE were for ten-plus yards. Is this a ploy to get the Patriots' DB to play closer to the line of scrimmiage? Well. In franchise history, the Broncos are a perfect 9-0 OU at home after a game in which Demaryius Thomas caught at least one pass, but had none that were 20-plus yards. The SDQL text is:

H and Broncosemaryius Thomas:longest reception<20 and Broncosemaryius Thomas:receptions>0

The Broncos have gone over the total by an average of 13.8 ppg in this spot

Also, The Broncos are 17-0 OU since late in Moreno's first season in the league with more than three days rest when they are off a game in which he had at least 15 yards rushing and less than 25 receiving yards. The SDQL text is:

Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:rushing yards>15 and Broncos:Knowshon Moreno:receiving yards<25 and rest>3 and date>=20091220

Note that each of their last seven in this spot have gone over by more than a TD and the Broncos have gone over by an average of 17.0 ppg over the 17 games. Wow.

Last week the Broncos rushed the ball 34 times and averaged 3.9yards per carry. Since Manning joined the Broncos in 2012, they are 8-0 OU after any game in which they rushed the ball more than 32 times and averaged better than 3.5 yards per attempt. With the Broncos, their rushing attack is a decoy for their passing game.

The Patriots scored 43 points last week and Tom Brady had NO touchdowns. Neither Ridley or Blount caught a pass out of the backfield. New England is The Patriots are 8-0 OU (+13.25 ppg) after a game in which Stevan Ridley had fewer than 1 receptions and 6-0 OU (+9.42 ppg) after a game in which LeGarrette Blount had fewer than 10 receiving yards.

Finally we have the classic duel between Manning and Brady. These two have faced each other 14 times in their careers. When Brady was the dog, they are a perfect 7-0, eclipsing the total by an average of 16.7 ppg. The average final score has been Brady 34.7, Manning 29.7 with the average OU line at 47.7.

We can't imagine these two great quarterbacks spending the afternoon handing the ball off. Take the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI Sports

4.5* San Francisco +3.5 over SEATTLE - The Seahawks allowed 409 yards of offense and 25 first downs last week against the Saints and these are both season-highs for a regulation game. Playoff teams that just allowed a lot of yardage at home have not been a good investment. In the playoffs, not including the Super Bowl, teams that are off a game in which they allowed at least 100 more yards than their season-to-date average are 0-11 ATS losing every game straight up. The SDQL text is:
playoffs=1 and week<22 and p:H and po:TY-tA(po:TY) >=100 and date>=20030112

Note that six of the eleven were favorites.

In addition, since the start of the 2005 season, a home favorite in the playoffs that allowed 300-plus passing yards and forced fewer than five punts in their last game is 0-7 ATS, falling short of the linesmakers' expectations by an average of 16.1 ppg. More importantly, they lost EVERY game straight up. The SDQL text is:

playoffs=1 and HF and po:PY>=300 and p:W and season>=2005 and pounts<5

The player-based trends reveal that the 49ers are 6-0 ATS on the road after a game in which Gore had 50-plus yards rushing and fewer than two receptions, as evidenced by this SDQL text:

A and Fortyniners:Frank Gore:receptions<2 and Fortyniners:Frank Gore:RY>=50 and season>=2012

Note that they won every game straight up, bettering the line by an average of 13 points. The only game they did not win by double-digits was one in which they were the underdog. Also, the Niners are 6-0 ATS after a win in which Vernon Davis had fewer than three receptions, covering by an average of 11.1 ppg. Check it out with this SDQL text:

Fortyniners:Vernon Davis:receptions<3 and p:W and date>=20130101

Finally, it is worth mentioning that playoff teams that have been winning on the road have been very tough recently. In the playoff, road teams are 6-0-1 ATS when they won their last two road games.

In last week's game, the Saints missed a field goal and fumbled deep in their own territory in the first quarter and fell behind 13-0. At that point, they were mentally beaten and the Seahawks simply featured Marshawn Lynch the rest of the way. The Niners have played regularly in Seattle and they are more mentally tough than the Saints. Seattle will have a hard time coming from behind against the Niners. The Seahawks' offense is not good enough to be laying 3.5 to the San Francisco. Grab the points.

MTi's FORECAST: San Francisco 24 SEATTLE 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEVE CORSI
50* NFL Seattle/49ers UNDER 40½
50* NFL New England/Denver UNDER 57
40* NBA OKC UNDER 212
40* NBA Orlando +2½
40* CBB Rutgers OVER 143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Boxer Championship Sunday Playoffs (11-3-1)

49ers @ Seahawks UNDER 39.5 ( 4*)

Seahawks -3.5 ( 3* ) added

Cant see more then 30 in this game. Seattle D will shut down 49ers and the way Seattle has been playing O 49ers will shut down them as well. Special teams will win this game.

final: seahawks - 22 49ers - 13

Broncos pending @ -3.5 under ( 5* ) @ -5.5 to -4 ( 4* ) @ -6 ( 3* )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA
20* NFL New England +5
20* NFL Seattle -3½
20* NFL New England UNDER 57
10* NFL Seattle UNDER 40½
10* CBB Iowa OVER 148½
10* NBA Lakers UNDER 204

[Can'tPickAWinner]

B.A. Sports (bob akmens)

NFL Playoffs 3W - 7L

Denver vs New England Total Ov. 57

Seatle Seahawks -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

CBB
Southern Miss -2.5
college of Charleston -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline

20* Denver

15* Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Stylze Sports

NFL
Denver -4.5
SF +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso 50 Clev St

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Hot Shot Sports

4* Toronto Over
4* Phoenix
3* Toronto
4* Wright State
4* Minnesota
3* Oregon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

3* MAX Bet: 49ers +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Young Gun Sports

4* Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Stoffo

Seahawks

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Acupicks

4* Oregon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer NBA Total Sun, 01/19/14 - 7:05 PM

double-dime bet - 808 OKL / 807 SAC - UNDER 211.0
The Thunder are off a 127-121 win in which they shot 58% from the field with Kevin Durant scoring a career-high 54 points while shooting 5-of-9 from the arc. This has been a huge UNDER spot for the Thunder. Oklahoma City is 0-12 OU as a favorite after a home win in which Durant shot better than 50% from the arc. The SDQL text is:

Thunder:Kevin Duranthttp://www.cappersmall.com/forums/images/smilies/tongue.gif:TPP>50 and p:HW and F and date>=20130210

Note that the Thunder have stayed under by an average of 15.83 ppg in this spot and they are 0-6 OU in this spot THIS season.

As a team, Oklahoma City is 0-8 OU after a home game in which they shot at least 55% from the field, falling short of the number by an average of 17.81 ppg. All three of their qualifying games from this season stayed under by double-digits. The SDQL text is:

team=Thunder and p:H and 55<=p:FGP and date>=20130210

Kings' head coach Michael Malone is a staunch supporter of the man-to-man defense and the Kings have had a lot of trouble with it over the first couple of months of the season. Over the three weeks from December 18th through January 7th, Sacramento allowed triple-digits in ten straight games. However, in their last five games, they had performances in which they allowed 83, 80 and 91 points.

Let's go UNDER this number.

MTi's FORECAST: OKLAHOMA CITY 97 Sacramento 95

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

3* New England


Opinions NE Over, SF Under, San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BANKROLL SPORTS

10* 49ers @ Seahawks Over 40 (NFL)
5* Denver Broncos -5.5 (NFL)
4* Patriots @ Broncos Under 56.5 (NFL)
3* San Francisco 49ers +3.5 (NFL)
2* Houston Cougars -3.5 (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play wins
NFL Den -5
NFL SF +3.5
NBA OKC -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo 37-24 NFL 2013-14

3* Seattle -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Godfather:

Minnesota +9

free play 7 point teaser Pats/niners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels
100 dimer: Denver

[golden contender]

Sunday card has 6* 28-0 NFL Playoff Payoff Game of the Month system in NFC and a 5* AFC Triple system side. In The NBA A 14-1 Dominator system and the PAC 12 Power Play in the Oregon at Oregon St. Game. Free NBA System Play below.



On Sunday the free NBA System Play is on the Boston Celtics. Game 803 at 6:05 eastern. The Celtics have won the last 8 in the series vs Orlando and a win here earlier in the year as a 5 point dog against an Orlando team that was playing much better than they are now. Rondo is back and that should give the Celtics some shock value enthusiasm for a few games. There is a solid system in this game that plays against rested home dogs like Orlando that are off a home dog loss and failed to cover while scoring 100 or more and allowing 110 or more, vs an opponent off a home spread loss while also scoring 100 or more. These home teams are 2-9 straight up and to the spread. The Magic are on a 10 game losing streak and are 1-14 off a loss of 10 or more points, 2-12 after allowing 105 or more and they have lost 21 of 27 when playing with revenge. Look for Boston to get this one. On Sunday we have a Powerful Card that has the 6* NFL Playoff Game of The Month from a Tremendous 28-0 System. We also have a Triple system 5* in the AFC Game. In Hoops we a 14-1 NBA Dominator system and the PAC 12 Power Play. Don't miss out. End the week big. Jump on and Cash out as we Continue to be TOP ranked on several NBA Leader Boards. For the free Play take Boston. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EXECUTIVE NFL

500 seattle

EXECUTIVE HOOPS

250 rutgers

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Treypickswins

6** NFL 2 Team 7 Pt. Teaser San Fran +10.5 & New England +12.5
4* NFL New England +6
4* NHL Chicago/Boston UNDER 5.5
4* NCAAB Towson +4
3* NCAAB Siena/Iona OVER 158.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

5***denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mysystempicks
3*Broncos -4.5
3*Seahawks -4

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Norms Clubhouse

STRONG PLAYS: Denver -5 New England
San Francisco +3 1/2 Seattle


REGULAR PLAYS: Denver--New England OVER 56
Seattle---San Francisco OVER 39 1/2


NORM'S LATE THOUGHTS: I fully agree on the two double plays listed above and would recommend part of your SF wager be on the Niners on the money line (+140 or +150). Of the totals plays I lean to the Denver game OVER but really have no opinion about the Seattle total. Good luck. Enjoy the games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz Sports

Parlay: Patriots & 49rs

Late phone lock: 49rs

Pay after win: magic
Pay after win: patriots under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NORTHCOAST
3* marquee SEA UNDER
2* marquee DENVER OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

Added

CBB Double Dime Over Iona

NBA Double Dime Suns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate

Added

NBA
Under Celtics

CBB
Under Iowa
Under Bowling Green

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate

Added

CBB
Oregon (ML)
Under SMU

NBA
Over Kings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian 01-19-14



3* BOMBS: 122-93-6 STREAK

1/19/2014
Game: 49ers vs Seattle
Pick: Seattle -4 (-110)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
3.3 Units

Pick Write-Up





1/19/2014
Game: Wright St. vs Cleveland St.
Pick: Wright St. +5 (-110)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2.2 Units

Pick Write-Up





1/19/2014
Game: Kings vs Thunder
Pick: Kings +8.5 (-110)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2.2 Units

Pick Write-Up





1/19/2014
Game: Minnesota vs Iowa
Pick: Minnesota +8.5 (-110)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2.2 Units

Pick Write-Up





1/19/2014
Game: Bucknell vs Army
Pick: Army -3 (-110)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2.2 Units

Pick Write-Up





1/19/2014
Game: Oregon vs Oregon St.
Pick: Oregon St. +3 (bh) (-120)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2.4 Units

Pick Write-Up





1/19/2014
Game: Rutgers vs Houston
Pick: Rutgers +4.5 (-110)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)
2.2 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

3* Patriots
Top Opinion Seahawks UNDER (marquee triple)
Top Opinion 48ers
Regular Opinion Patriots OVER (marquee double)

The only rated late phone play is the side on New England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Stylze Sports

Added

Iowa -8.5 CBB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer

2 Units Take #810 Phoenix 'Pk' over Denver (8:05 p.m., Sunday, January 19)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


5-Unit Play. #816. Take Iowa -8.5 over Minnesota (Sunday @ 1pm est).

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

3-Unit Play. #805. Take Over 197.5 Milwaukee vs. San Antonio (Sunday @ 7:05pm est).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

45-28 run
2-0 in Divisional round

3* GOY Patriots +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

all 1*

manning under 325 yards passing

gostkowski under 9.5 -150

NE to call first timeout -130


2nd half to out score first half. -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 1/19
NFL Football





New England Patriots / Denver Broncos OVER 56
(Total Points Bet)



Overall Record: 205-177

(System Record: 205-8, Won last 2 games)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas Sports Wire

Patriots & Over
Over 49ers

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NEVADA SPORTS EXPERTS

4 Unit NFL Playoff Game of the Week
Seattle Seahawks -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso
40 Den
40 SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco

7* Seattle
4* Denver Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton

100 dimes play: Denver Broncos -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Rosica
100 dimes: Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AC Dinero

Siena +10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley:“2 UNIT” COLLEGE BASKETBALL PRIMETIME INTANGIBLE (Hofstra +17 at SMU in a 7:05 eastern tipoff that can be viewed on-line at ESPN3.com): These two teams were supposed to face each other early in the month of December but due to inclement weather the tilt was “pushed up” to this evening which in turn creates a very rare handicapping situation for a “regular season” tilt as SMU is not forced to play on back-to-back days. Participating in contest on back-to-back days is normal for conference and postseason tournaments where travel is NOT involved. However the Mustangs yesterday both won-and-covered on the road at Central Florida and had to make a quick turnaround to “travel” back for this home game. Hofstra has not played since Wednesday when sharpshooter Zeke Upshaw nailed SEVEN different three-pointers from behind the arc which tied an all time school single game record. While SMU is led by Hall of Fame head coach Larry Brown, the current mentor for Hofstra is also a veteran. From 1998-through-2013 Joe Mihalich coached at Niagra (265 wins) where his team made a pair of NCAA and three NIT postseason appearances. Mihalich coached teams are known for an UP TEMPO style of play and in the past decade have averaged a healthy 70 points per contest. That style of play works “against” unrested SMU. Not only is Hofstra 8-2 ATS this season as an underdog, they are also a dazzling 12-3 ATS/ROAD the past three years versus winning teams when “getting” points from the oddsmakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

On Saturday E&B had four future wagers for NFL Championship Sunday.

First player to score in the AFC Championship game.

Broncos

(1) Wes Walker 10-1

(2) Knowshon Moreno 8-1


Patriots

(1) Julian Edelman 10-1

(2) LaGarrette Blount 8-1


The four wager's are for $20 each.

For NFL Championship Sunday in the AFC Championship game E&B like

(1) Patriots +5.5/Broncos


For the NFC Chamionship game E&B like

(2) 49's +3.5/Seahawks.

Ecks and Bacon is 1-2 -$60 for Week Twelve and 43-51-2 -$1231.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA's Pick Pack
NFL Sunday Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: New England at Denver
Time: 3:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Denver (-4.5 -110)
Line Source: Cantor
Posted on: January 15, 2014 @ 6:19:48 PM EST

Denver (-5.5) over New England - 2:00 PM CST
This is the second meeting of the year for the Broncos and Patriots after they met in New England on November 24th. The Broncos took early control of the game and had a 24-0 halftime lead. Denver turned the ball over four times in the 2nd half and overtime that allowed New England to steal the three point victory at home. Denver basically handed them the game as New England's last five scoring drives traveled distances of 32 yards, 65 yards, 30 yards, 34 yards, and 0 yards. Peyton Manning completed just 52.8% of his passes that day for 150 yards (both season lows) with 2 TD and 1 INT. Since that loss, Manning has 21 TD & just 4 INT over a six game span where Denver is 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS. New England's defense hasn't been great this season. It ranks 26th in total defense, 18th against the pass, and 30th against the run. They had an extremely favorable matchup against the Colts last week, making them look a lot better than they actually are. They caught Indy off of that huge 28-point comeback in the Wild Card round over KC and were able to take advantage of a mistake-prone Andrew Luck and a porous defense. The Pats rushed for 234 yards and six touchdowns while finishing +4 in turnover ratio. The Broncos absolutely have better skill position players on offense and the more explosive potential. They also have the definite advantage of playing at home here. They are 8-1 and have a positive scoring differential of +15.9 PPG at home this season. All indications point to a big win for Denver here. Take the Broncos minus the points at home.

Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: San Francisco at Seattle
Time: 6:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Seattle (-3 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: January 15, 2014 @ 6:02:19 PM EST

We are playing on Seattle at home minus the points over San Francisco. This is a really, really bad scheduling situation for the Niners as they are playing their 4th straight road game and their 5th roadie in 6 weeks. Meanwhile the Seahawks are home again where they have won 16 of their last 17 games and have an 8-2 lifetime SU record in the Playoffs. Seattle is also playing just their 4th game in a 5 week span all of which have been at home. Everyone knows about Seattle's home field advantage and what the "12th Man" can do to opposing teams including the 49ers. San Francisco has lost their last two visits here by a combined score of 71-16. In the first meeting of the season between these two teams here the Seahawks defense held the Niners to just 207 total yards of offense and 3 points. In this season's rematch in San Francisco the 49ers needed a field goal with .26 seconds left in the game to win by 2-points. Both teams have outstanding defenses, great running games and backs (Lynch and Gore) and young dynamic QB's in Kaepernick and Wilson but Seattle's rested and at home. In the games the Seahawks have won at home this season they've done it by an average of 17PPG. Don't be fooled by San Francisco's two playoff wins as they came against an average Packer team with a bad defense and an over-rated Caroline team with a bad offense. Easy call for us here with Seattle!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

1. 2*. Sea/SF under 7.5 1rst qt

2. Gore under 69 yards 1*

3. Wilson under 196 pass yards 1*

4. Total FGS over 3.5 1*

5. sea to win race to 10 points 1*

6. SF to call first timeout 1*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HONDO

Broncos 41-27

Seahawks 24-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs

8* Denver Broncos

10* SF 49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Advantage
Charlotte Sports
Denver-4 (-120) 2.4 units


@big_east
Denver-5 (-110) 1.1 units
Seattle (ML -170) 1.7 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runners


3* Max- Seahawks
2* Broncos
2* Broncos/ Patriots Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi
4* sea
3* NE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oc dooley...........5* n dame -10.5 big play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Falco

Under Broncos
Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sebastian: 400* over Denver-NE
100* under SF-Seattle

**If Denver wins straight up, 200* SF ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Highrollerplays wise guy play
Broncos -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harvino Sports Bets
NFL Game: San Francisco @ Seattle
Pick: San Francisco +4 (-110)
5 Units
CBB Game: Oregon @ Oregon State
Pick: Oregon State +2.5 (-110)
5 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan
NFL TRIPLE GAME OF THE YEAR!
Seattle Seahawks
Free pick: 304 SEA / 303 SFX - UNDER 39.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsProfitSystem
NFL
Take Denver Broncos at -5 spread against New England Patriots
risking 2%
Take Seattle Seahawks at -3.5 spread against San Francisco 49ers
risking 2%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE GAVAZZI
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
San Francisco at Seattle (-3-/38-) 6:30 PM EST
4* Seattle -3
4* UNDER 40
Huge situational edge for the Seahawks in this one. San Francisco is playing on the road for a
fourth consecutive week following back to back road wins in west to east travel games at Green
Bay and Carolina. Seattle is playing their fourth consecutive home game on a field where under QB
Wilson they have outscored opponents by an average margin of 29-13, good for a record of 16-1
SU, 12-4 ATS, extending their recent dominance at Century Link to 23-10 ATS. That includes the
most recent two meetings on this field, where the Seahawks last year defeated the Niners 42-13,
and in week 2 of this year by a count of 29-3. Plenty of love for the fact that the Niners enter
with the longest winning streak of any remaining playoff contender. That is 8 straight victories,
running their closing rush to 13-3 SU, 12-3 ATS. They have outrushed their last 6 foes by an
average of 154-81, to make the running game a statistical push against the ground oriented
Seahawks. Last week, the Niners outrushed Carolina 126-93 and profited from a +2 in the
turnover margin for a 23-10 road victory that avenged an earlier 10-9 loss at Carolina. QB
Kaepernick also features a playoff experience edge against counterpart Wilson. Kaepernick is 4-1
SU in the post season, including 3-0 on the road. Last week, Seattle outrushed New Orleans 174-
108 and with the benefit of a +1 in the turnover column, emerged with a 23-15 victory, failing to
cover only because of the success of a 2-point conversion by the Saint. In an old style NFL
football game featuring defense and running games, must give the slightest of edges to the
Seahawks in what figures to be a low-scoring tussle

4* Sacramento Kings (+8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
playoff total of year
denver over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaires
playoff game of year
seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preferred picks
5* denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

Denver -4.5
Seahawks -4 Half unit on each of the favorites.

828 Oregon St +2.5***
830 Monmouth +4.5***

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy Football
4* NFL under 56.5 Den/NE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd's Pick Pack
NBA Daily Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: Sacramento at Oklahoma City
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Sacramento (+8.5 -110)
Line Source: Wynn
Posted on: January 19, 2014 @ 1:57:36 AM EST

3* No Doubt Rout on Sacramento Kings +

Oklahoma City is playing in a letdown situation after coming off two big wins over Houston and Golden State. There is also a good chance they will be looking ahead to their matchup with Portland, so I expect a poor performance from the Thunder in this game. The Kings are playing well right now having won four of their last six games, and they have covered the spread in five of those six matchups. The Kings are on a scoring binge right now. They are averaging 104 points per game over their last five games. They have also been dominating the rebounding margin with a +8 figure during that stretch. I think the fact that Oklahoma City has won back-to-back games against tough opponents has caused the oddsmakers to overvalue the Thunder in this matchup. With the Kings playing as well as they have recently, they are an easy call getting so many points in this game. This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the Kings. You should play on road teams like Sacramento when they are averaging 98 to 102 points per game, and they are playing against a poor defensive team that surrenders 98 to 102 points per game when they are coming off a loss by six points or less. Sacramento suffered a single point loss to Memphis in their last outing. This system is 45-18 (71%) against the spread over the last five seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT ATS
5-2-1 in playoffs

Denver -4.5 1 unit
San fran +3.5 1 unit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed Sports Pick
NFL
San Francisco+4