1-24-14

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::clap::

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Aussie Open betting tidbits, Nadal v Federer

Nadal versus Federer. It's the best rivalry in the modern era of tennis, even though it has been a bit one-sided, but as two of tennis' all-time great meet for the 33rd time, we dug up some essential betting tidbits for what we hope is an epic Australian Open semi final.

Rafael Nadal (1) v Roger Federer (6)

- Nadal leads the all time head-to-head match up 22-10.

- Nadal has won the the last four meetings.

- Nadal holds an 8-2 advantage in Grand Slam meetings.

- Nadal is 2-0 versus Federer at the Australian Open.

- Nadal has been on the court in the last two rounds for almost seven hours.

- Federer has hit 215 winners to only 133 unforced errors in the tournament.

- Nadal is playing with a large blister on his left hand.

- Both have only played one match that went longer than three sets.

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Advanced Sports Investments

Tennis
PJ's tennis plays
january 24th
atp - australian open @ melbourne, australia
1x- R Nadal -155 R Federer (330am)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brenton Ayton

Soccer
Kasimpasa (Turkey SuperLiga) 1.75

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The Factsman

FRIDAY IN THE MAAC

833 Quinnipiac+6

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NBA

Hot teams
-- Atlanta won three of last four at home (6-1 HU). Spurs won seven of their last nine games (11-5 AF).
-- Thunder won/covered their last five games.
-- Brooklyn won/covered eight of its last nine games. Dallas is 6-1 vs spread in game following last seven losses.
-- Bobcats won three of their last four games.
-- Clippers won six of their last eight games. Chicago won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Houston won six of last seven games. Grizzlies won five of their last six games.
-- Wizards won seven of their last nine road games. Suns won three of their last four games overall.
-- Indiana won/covered five of its last six games.
-- Minnesota won its last two games, by 26-15 points.

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost 12 of its last 13 games. Lakers lost eight of their last ten games, but covered last six.
-- Philly lost six of its last eight games overall. Raptors lost their last four road games.
-- Celtics lost 15 of their last 18 games (4-2 last six HU).
-- Cavaliers lost three of last four games. Bucks lost nine of last ten games, covered three of last four.
-- Pelicans lost nine of last ten games, covered three of last four. Detroit lost nine of its last twelve.
-- Knicks lost last five games (0-6 vs spread last six).
-- Kings lost three of last four games, covered six of last nine.

Series records
-- Lakers lost six of their last nine games with Orlando.
-- 76ers lost three of last four games with Toronto.
-- Spurs won nine of last ten games with Atlanta.
-- Thunder won five of last six games with Celtics, winning three of last four visits to Boston.
-- Nets lost six of last eight games with Dallas.
-- Cavaliers won three of last four games with Milwaukee.
-- Pelicans won their last three games with Detroit.
-- Knicks lost three of their last four games with Charlotte.
-- Clippers won last three games with Chicago; they won 121-82 in first meeting this season at Staples.
-- Rockets are 2-0 vs Houston this year, winning by 7-8 points.
-- Wizards beat Phoenix twice LY, after losing previous seven games to the Suns.
-- Pacers won seven of last ten games with Sacramento.
-- Warriors won their last seven games with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Last five Laker road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Toronto road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Atlanta home games stayed under; four of last five San Antonio road games went over.
-- Four of last five Boston home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Dallas road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- 12 of last 13 Detroit home games went over the total; four of last five Pelican road games stayed under.
-- Ten of last twelve Charlotte road games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Clipper road games stayed under.
-- Last four Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Phoenix road games went over total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Indiana's last six away games.
-- Under is 12-2 in last fourteen Minnesota-Golden State games

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Devils won last three home games, allowing two goals.
-- Colorado won four of its last five games. Florida won last two games, scoring nine goals.
-- Predators won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Washington lost its last six games, scoring seven goals.
-- Canadiens lost three of their last four games. Detroit is 1-7 in game following its last eight wins.
-- Flames lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Edmonton lost its last five games, outscored 19-9. Coyotes lost six of last eight games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Washington games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Detroit games. Last three Montreal games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1 in Colorado's last four visits to Miami.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Calgary's last eight games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Phoenix games.

Series records
-- Devils won six of last seven games with Washington.
-- Red Wings won four of last six games with Montreal.
-- Panthers won four of last six games with Colorado.
-- Predators won five of last six visits to Calgary.
-- Oilers lost 13 of last 16 games with Phoenix.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Colorado at Florida

The Avalanche look to bounce back from a 5-2 loss to Toronto at home and build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games following a home defeat of 3 or more goals. Colorado is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, JANUARY 24
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: Washington at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.003; New Jersey 12.063
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 5-6: Montreal at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.398; Detroit 10.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-105); Under


Game 7-8: Colorado at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.150; Florida 10.650
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Under


Game 9-10: Nashville at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.404; Calgary 9.916
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+100); Over


Game 11-12: Phoenix at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 10.123; Edmonton 11.064
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+110); Under

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Vermont at Stony Brook

The Catamounts visit Stony Brook tonight coming off a 57-40 win over New Hampshire and carrying a 4-1-1 ATS record in their last 6 games after holding an opponent under 50 points in the previous game. Vermont is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Vermont (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


FRIDAY, JANUARY 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 827-828: Detroit at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 53.951; WI-Milwaukee 54.834
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 1
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 4
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+4)


Game 829-830: Rider at Manhattan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 51.774; Manhattan 60.267
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 8 1/2; 156
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 10 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+10 1/2); Over


Game 831-832: Marist at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 52.597; Niagara 49.535
Dunkel Line: Marist by 3
Vegas Line: Niagara by 2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+2)


Game 833-834: Quinnipiac at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 53.955; Iona 62.924
Dunkel Line: Iona by 9
Vegas Line: Iona by 6
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-6)


Game 841-842: Vermont at Stony Brook (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 60.995; Stony Brook 60.707
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Stony Brook by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vermont (+3 1/2)

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J. Clifton NBA

NETS
LAKERS
CLIPPERS

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Precision Picks - Jan. 24th, 2014

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics
- Under 198 (-105)

Toronto Raptors @ Philadelphia 76ers
- Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 (-110)

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Cappers Access

Raptors -6
Wizards +3

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free winner FRI: New Orleans + 4

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Nets -2

Bobcats +3.5

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WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Wisconsin-Milwaukee* over Detroit by 7
Host UW-M is a surprising 11-6-1 ATS heading into the week; Detroit, a less-thanmiddling
7-10 ATS. Milwaukee has double-revenge for 15- and 8-point losses last season.
None of Detroit’s guards averages more than 8.8 ppg. That’s probably not good.
Last year, they had a guard averaging 18 ppg, and another guard averaging 14 ppg.
That was good.
WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE, 79-72.

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WINNING POINTS

PRO BASKETBALL

*Orlando over Los Angeles Lakers by 3
This marks the Lakers' sixth of seven consecutive road contests. The Lakers were 4-5
ATS when playing in the second of back-to-back games. The Magic are hard to get
behind with Nikola Vucevic (check status) out of the lineup.
ORLANDO 105-102.

Toronto over *Philadelphia by 5
Michael Carter-Williams is on pace to become the only rookie besides Magic Johnson
to average 17 points, seven assists and five rebounds a game. However, the 76ers are
6-12 ATS at home, commit the most turnovers of any team and rank last in defense.
TORONTO 109-104.

***BEST BET
*Atlanta over San Antonio by 4
The Spurs are caught in a sandwich spot of marquee matchups having just hosted the
Thunder and playing at Miami in their next game. The Hawks don't have San
Antonio's stars, but have proven dangerous in Atlanta going 13-6 ATS through this
past Sunday.
ATLANTA 97-93.

*Cleveland over Milwaukee by 9
Cleveland's scoring has been way up since acquiring Luol Deng. The Bucks took the
Cavaliers to overtime when they last visited on Dec. 20 losing 114-111. But are 3-5
ATS away from home since then through last Sunday suffering blowout losses to the
Suns, Thunder and Raptors during this span.
CLEVELAND 109-100.

Dallas over *Brooklyn by 3
Dallas is playing in its third of three consecutive road games. The Mavericks, though,
opened their current road trip 38-15 ATS in their past 53 away matchups. The Nets
ranked last in 3-point defense and have been without their best player, Deron
Williams (check status).
DALLAS 106-103.

Oklahoma City over *Boston by 6
The Celts were buried by Oklahoma City, 119-96, less than three weeks ago. But the
Thunder were 6-6 ATS in their first 12 games since Russell Westbrook was injured
and have only two road covers during this span.
OKLAHOMA CITY 107-101.

***BEST BET
Charlotte at *New York by 7
Charlotte rolled past the Knicks, 108-98, when the Bobcats hosted New York 10 days
ago ending New York's five-game winning streak. The Knicks couldn't stop Al
Jefferson, who scored a season-high 35 points, despite having Tyson Chandler back in
the lineup. It was the fifth time in the last six meetings Charlotte has covered against
the Knicks. The Bobcats are a better team with Michael Kidd-Gilchrist back in the
rotation, although they could be missing Kemba Walker (check status).
CHARLOTTE 99-92.

*Detroit over New Orleans by 6
New Orleans was averaging eight fewer points per game since Ryan Anderson was lost
with a herniated disc. Brandon Jennings can go to town with Jrue Holiday out, too.
The Pelicans were 7-12-1 ATS in its first 20 road games.
DETROIT 108-102.

***BEST BET
Memphis over *Houston by 6
After initially struggling following Marc Gasol's injury, the Grizzlies have turned
things around. Mike Conley is having a career season, Zach Randolph still is a double-
double machine and Memphis entered the mid-point of the month ranked sixth
defensively. The Grizzlies were 7-2 ATS through last Sunday and have been idle since
Monday.
MEMPHIS 102-96.

*Chicago over Los Angeles Clippers by 1
The Clips crushed the Bulls, 121-82, back in November when Chicago was struggling.
Now the Bulls are playing better defense and will be catching LA playing in
their fifth road game in eight days and minus Chris Paul.
CHICAGO 97-96.

*Phoenix over Washington by 2
The Suns have been struggling without Eric Bledsoe, who ranked second on the team
in scoring and assists . The Wizards haven't been on the road in 11 days. They have
covered eight of their last 10 away matchups.
PHOENIX 104-102.

Indiana over *Sacramento by 7
The teams met just 10 days ago in Indiana where the Pacers halted the Kings' threegame winning streak with a 116-92 victory. This is Sacramento's first game back from a six-game, nine-day road trip that finished Wednesday night.
INDIANA 100-93.

*Golden State over Minnesota by 7
While Minnesota ranked 29th in defensive field goal percentage, the Warriors have
tightened their defense ranking in the top 10 in fewest points per game and defensive
field goal percentage. The Warriors were 8-4 ATS when hosting a foe with a losing
road mark.
GOLDEN STATE 119-112.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA SAN ANTONIO at ATLANTA
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
7-6 this year. ( 53.8% 0.4 units )

NBA LA LAKERS at ORLANDO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (ORLANDO) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games
70-33 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% 33.5 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% -0.8 units )

NBA SAN ANTONIO at ATLANTA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games
60-27 since 1997. ( 69.0% 30.3 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB MARIST at NIAGARA
Play On - A road team (MARIST) after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two bad teams (20% to 40%)
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% 36.2 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% 4.0 units )

CBB MARIST at NIAGARA
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (MARIST) after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record
139-158 since 1997. ( 46.8% 73.1 units )
7-2 this year. ( 77.8% 8.7 units )

CBB QUINNIPIAC at IONA
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (QUINNIPIAC) good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less
33-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% 20.9 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% -1.3 units )

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Paul Leiner

100* Niagara -1.5

50* Rider +10.5

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Football Crusher
no play
(System Record: 55-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 55-51-1

Hockey Crusher
Colorado Avalanche -110 over Florida
(System Record: 59-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 59-42-1

Basketball Crusher
Charlotte Bobcats +3.5 over NY Knicks
(System Record: 38-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 38-48-2

Soccer Crusher
Lokeren + Standard Liege OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 514-18, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 514-441-75

Here are the rest of his hockey and basketball plays for today...


Hockey
Detroit Red Wings +100 over Montreal
Phoenix Coyotes -115 over Edmonton
Nashville Predators +105 over Calgary


Basketball
Phoenix Suns -3 over Washington
Dallas Mavericks +2 over Brooklyn
Atlanta Hawks +4.5 over San Antonio

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Charlotte at New York

The Knicks have struggled at home (7-15 SU) and host a Charlotte team that is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Bobcats are the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Charlotte favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, JANUARY 24
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: LA Lakers at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 111.700 Orlando 110.943
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+1 1/2); Over


Game 803-804: Toronto at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.888; Philadelphia 113.705
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 205
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6); Over


Game 805-806: San Antonio at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.400; Atlanta 121.168
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 208
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5); Under


Game 807-808: Milwaukee at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.996; Cleveland 115.124
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+7 1/2); Under


Game 809-810: Dallas at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.860; Brooklyn 118.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+2 1/2); Over


Game 811-812: Oklahoma City at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.996; Boston 115.014
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7); Under


Game 813-814: Charlotte at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 115.803; New York 114.514
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+3 1/2); Over


Game 815-816: New Orleans at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.380; Detroit 118.471
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 5; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Over


Game 817-818: Memphis at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.620; Houston 127.272
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6); Under


Game 819-820: LA Clippers at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.913; Chicago 116.941
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2); Under


Game 821-822: Washington at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.193; Phoenix 121.344
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Under


Game 823-824: Indiana at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 125.775; Sacramento 121.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+10 1/2); Under


Game 825-826: Minnesota at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 120.908; Golden State 127.195
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-4 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Lakers/Orlando over 207
Mempis/Houston under 198.5

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BIGFELLA -SpittinWinners

NBA 7:35

OVER 202½ NO/DET


NBA 9:05

PHOENIX -3

[golden contender]

Friday card has 3 Powerful NBA Plays all from Perfect systems direct from the database. NBA Continues to rank at or near the top of several leader boards. Free NCAAB Play below.


On Friday the Free NCAAB Play is on Iona. Game 834 at 7;00 eastern. Iona comes in off a solid home favored win and cover vs Siena. Tonight they host Quinnipiac who defeated them a littler over 2 weeks ago by 12 points. Iona will have revenge on their mind here at home tonight and they are 10-0 with road loss revenge. As a home favorite from -3.5 to -6 they are 4-0 to the spread. Quinnipiac won an covered at home vs Niagara in their last game. However they have not played well in the second half of a season vs winning teams as they are 1-7 to the spread. Look for the Iona Gaels to emerge with a win and cover here at home tonight. On Friday we have three Big NBA Play all from Never lost systems and Several big angles and indicators. NBA Is top ranked on several leader boards. Jump on now and start the weekend big. For the free Play take Iona in College Hoops. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, January 24

Four NCAAB mid-major moneymakers

Mid-major money. Small conference cash. Every season in college basketball there are small schools that provide value ATS that are overlooked to bettors. Whether it be a lack of television coverage, or playing in a small conference with a lack of marquee names, these teams might not be thought of as quality bets despite churning cover after cover.

Today we look at four schools that have been killing it ATS this season and are worth a look for those interested in diversifying what conferences they bet on.

Wichita State (Missouri Valley Conference, 12-3-1 ATS)

Wichita State is actually one of the most consistent mid-majors in terms of success at the NCAA tournament and are currently an undefeated 19-0. The Shockers are also a very impressive 12-3-1 ATS. Led by Cleanthony Early (15.5 PPG) and a balanced group of returning players, the Shockers could very well finish the regular season undefeated. If spreads get inflated and teams start getting more and more motivated to end their undefeated streak we could see more ATS losses which is a concern. For now, the Shockers are the giants of the mid-majors on the court and against the spread.


New Mexico State (WAC, 7-2 ATS)

New Mexico State, most known for having 7'5" center Sim Bhullar and Johannesburg-born Tshilidzi Nephawe down low, have no problems using their size to dominate opponents in the WAC. With their only ATS loss in their last ten meetings being against the Arizona Wildcats, it is no secret that the Aggies' size creates value when they are facing smaller opponents. With Nephawe averaging 7.4 rebounds and Bhullar averaging 3.4 blocks per game, the Aggies are simply dominant in the post most nights. Add in Daniel Mullings 16.2 PPG and the Aggies have more than enough on the perimeter to support the interior defense and rebounding of their Twin Towers.


Air Force (Mountain West, 9-3 ATS)

Air Force has been a top underdog in the Mountain West in the opening month of conference play, covering four-straight spreads of 7.5 or more recently. Air Force has also covered while favored, covering as 9-point favorites against San Jose State. While the team is a pretty average 9-8 SU and is fairly pedestrian when it comes to statistics, they appear to stay in games and have three players averaging points in the double digits including scoring leader Tre Coggins who is averaging a steady 17.5 PPG. That "Big Three" is keeping them in games, and while handicappers keep them as underdogs there is value.


UTEP (C-USA, 10-3 ATS)

A betting scandal hasn't slowed down the Miners from being solid both in the C-USA and ATS. After stumbling in a loss to Charlotte and failing to cover against Western Illinois in the fallout of the scandal, UTEP has won and covered four of the last five. Holding teams to a 37.8 percent from the field and 28.7 percent shooting behind the arc, the Miners' defense has kept them in the C-USA race and as the best ATS team in the conference.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Memphis at Houston (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Memphis +6 (-105) at 5Dimes

The Memphis Grizzlies have put their backs to the wall with a horrible start, but they have finally started to play more like the team we saw late last season. Memphis has used a 5-1 run to get to .500, and they have actually played better on the road, than at home where they are 9-7 this season. They have double-revenge against Houston, who they lost to by 7 and 8 points this season, but are playing at a much higher level right now, and are 5-0 ATS in their last five off a loss. This is the first of a home-and-home vs. Houston, and the Rockets have San Antonio after that, so they may find themselves complacent here. Take the points on Memphis.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Betting Champ
NBA
Washington (A)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer
(6*) Take #826 Golden St -3 ½ over Minnesota (10:35 p.m., Friday, January 24 NBATV)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

7 Units Quinnipiac +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

10* Charlotte +3½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Washington Wizards +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezziks Focus
NBA
Lakers/Magic
First Half/Over 105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Capper Sports
Knicks -3
Thunder -7
Bucks/Cavs Over 194

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Betting Tips
Thunder -7
Spurs -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scooter McGee
Detroit +4
Stony Brook -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot Chicks Picks
Detroit/New Orleans Over 202

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dynamite insider

big play nets -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jr. Davis

NBA
Boston +7
Golden St.-3.5
Knicks-3
Washington +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns NHL

Calgary ML -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Ohio State (-10 1/2) on Thursday and likes Manhattan on Friday.

The deficit is 145 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blasscyk WINS

Lakers

Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Washington Wizards +3½ over the Phoenix Suns (Spread Bet) (NBA Basketball) - Game Starts at 9:05 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

david banks

January 24, 2014

San Antonio Spurs vs. Atlanta Hawks

The San Antonio Spurs (32-10, 21-21 ATS) will have to try and shake off yet
another home loss to one of the teams that they are battling for the top
seed in the West as they venture east to visit the Atlanta Hawks (22-19, 22-19
ATS) at Philips Arena Friday at 7:35 ET. Entering play on Thursday, the
Spurs were the second seeds in the Western Conference, one-half game behind the
Thunder and one game ahead of the third-seeded Trail Blazers. The Haws
meanwhile were the third seeds in the considerably weaker Eastern Conference,
although no threat to the top two trailing the top seeds from Indiana by 11
games and Miami by 7.

The Spurs may be 32-10, but while they have been beating up on the
lightweights of the league, they have had uncharacteristic difficulty with the
better teams. In fact, they lost here at home to the Thunder on Wednesday and to
the Blazers last Friday, as they were unable to get some separation from
those teams in two golden chances in their own building, thus now actually
falling behind Oklahoma City by virtue of Wednesday's loss. That loss also
leaves the Spurs at 7-9 this season vs. teams currently ranked in the Sagarin Top
10, while they are 25-1 against the rest of the league losing only to the
Knicks! Well, the Hawks are 14th on Sagarin, which bodes well for the Spurs.
What does not bode well is the recent play of the San Antonio defense, which
is allowing 100.4 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting over the last
five games. That is not encouraging while visiting an Atlanta team averaging
105.4 points on 47.0 percent shooting in that same five-game span. The Spurs
have been just fine offensively though, ranking sixth in the NBA this season
with their 104.8 points per game overall.

And the Hawks may not offer much resistance with a defense ranked 18th in
points against at 101.3 points per game overall and that has seen that
average rise to a distressing 107.6 points the last five games. The Hawks have
managed to win their last two games though despite that shoddy defense, first
upsetting the defending champion Heat here at home 121-114 in a game they
incredibly lead 71-70 at halftime for the highest scoring first half in the NBA
this season, and then following that up with a 112-109 road win at Orlando.
That brings the 'over' to 25-16-1 in all Atlanta games this season, which
is not surprising given the Hawks' offensive and defensive numbers.
Furthermore these teams went 'over' the first time they met this season in San
Antonio, and the San Antonio defense took a hit on Wednesday when Kawhi Leonard,
one of the team's best perimeter defenders, was lost for at least one month
with a fractured hand. The Spurs could feel that loss here vs. an Atlanta
club ranked eighth in the NBA in overall field goal percentage at 46.1 percent.

The 'over' is 18-7-1 in the Spurs' last 26 games following an ATS loss,
8-2-1 in their last 11 games vs. the Eastern Conference and 5-1 in their last
six road games. The 'over' is also 4-0 in the Hawks' last four games overall,
12-2 in their last 14 games after allowing 100 points or more in their
previous game and 8-2 in their last 10 games following a straight up win.

PICK: OVER 207.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Winners Circle

FRIDAY BASKETBALL PLAYS

10* Play Houston -6.5 over Memphis NBA TOP PLAY
10* Play Detroit -4.5 over New Orleans NBA TOP PLAY


10* Play Detroit +4 over WI-Milwaukee NCAA TOP PLAY
10* Play Quinnipiac +6 over Iona NCAA TOP PLAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ace Ace
5 Unit Game Of The Week
Bobcats + 4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3* Marist +2
6* Orlando -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

600* Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

leonard--

gom pacers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

marc lawrence

memphis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PICK ADDICT


2* NBA [814] New York Knicks -4 @ 7:30ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal sports
4* NBA Memphis Griz

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lang 20 Dime Selection is on Quinnipiac over Iona. The current line on this game is +6 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Leiner's 1000* is Knicks/Charlotte OVER 187

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes
Play: Single Dime Play on Over 194.5


Score: Play #1


Comments: NBA - 807 Milwaukee Bucks @ 808 Cleveland Cavaliers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd's Pick Pack
NBA Daily Picks

Premium Plays
Matchup: Memphis at Houston
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Play: Memphis (+5.5 -110)
Line Source: Caesars/Harrah's
Posted on: January 24, 2014 @ 2:05:04 AM EST

3* No Doubt Rout on Memphis Grizzlies +

The Memphis Grizzlies had a season's best win streak snapped in a three point loss against New Orleans in their last outing. I like the Grizzlies chance to get things back on track in this home-and-home series with the Houston Rockets. Houston is facing a well rested Memphis team that is playing just their second game in the past seven days. This will be the Rocket's fourth game during that seven-day stretch. Houston is playing through a lot of injuries right now, and I expect them to struggle with this tough Memphis defense. The Grizzlies are surrendering a mere 94.6 points per game on the road this season. Over their last five games the Grizzlies have held opponents to just 90 points per game. The Rockets on the other hand have a soft defense, and I think that is what will end up costing them in this matchup. They are allowing 103.8 points per game over their last five games. Memphis is 43-28 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, and they are 31-18 ATS against good shooting teams making over 46 percent of their shots. A big reason for their success against good teams goes back to their outstanding defensive play. The Grizzlies are not getting enough credit from the oddsmakers in this game. This matchup presents a perfect opportunity for Memphis to pull off an upset, so I like the Grizzlies chances of at least keeping this game within five or less points.
Matchup: Washington at Phoenix
Time: 9:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Play: Washington (+3 -110)
Line Source: The Greek
Posted on: January 24, 2014 @ 2:05:04 AM EST

3* Oddsmakers Error on Washington Wizards +

The oddsmakers may have favored the wrong team in this matchup. Washington has won four of its last six games, with their two losses coming by small single-digit margins. The offense is rolling right now, averaging 105.2 points per game over their last five games. They should score at-will against a Suns defense that has surrendered 105 points per game over their last five games. The Suns are coming off a big win over the Pacers, and I have them playing in a letdown situation in today's matchup with the Wizards. Phoenix has shot over 50 percent in their last two games, and that is a feat that is simply unsustainable. They have shot over 50 percent just three times in their last 19 games while shooting under 45 percent in nine of those games. The Suns are 45-74 ATS after two straight wins by 10 or more points. You should play on road teams like Washington when they average 98 to 102 points per game, and they are coming off a loss by six points or less and are facing a poor defense that is surrendering 98 to 102 points per game. This system is 45-19 (70%) ATS over the last five seasons.
Member Plays
Matchup: Dallas at Brooklyn
Time: 7:35 PM EDT (Fri)
Play: Brooklyn (-2 -110)
Line Source: Bookmaker
Posted on: January 24, 2014 @ 2:05:04 AM EST

Free Pick on Brooklyn Nets -

The Nets have really turned their season around since the start of the New Year. Brooklyn has won eight of its last nine games both straight up and against the spread. A big reason for Brooklyn's recent success has been its outstanding play on the defensive end of the court. Over their last five games the Nets have held opponents to a mere 94.2 points per game. They Mavericks on the other hand have allowed 110.6 points per game over their last five games. The Net's defense has really stepped up recently, and so has the offense. They are averaging 103 points per game over their last five games. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven games when being listed as a favorite by the oddsmakers. Brooklyn is facing a Mavericks team that has lost three of their last five games. The Nets are a streaky team, and have a 24-12 ATS record after two or more consecutive wins. Dallas is playing its third consecutive road game and their fourth game in the past seven days. With home court advantage the Nets should be able to cover such a small number in this game.
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Washington at Phoenix
Time: 9:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Play: Over (207 -110)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: January 24, 2014 @ 2:05:04 AM EST

5* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month on Wizards/Suns OVER

This total is set far too low given how well these teams have been playing on offense recently. Over their last five games the Wizards are averaging 105.2 points per game. The Suns have also been on a scoring binge averaging 113 points per game over their last five games. These teams have an 11-3 record in favor of the over in their last 14 games combined. Both offenses are playing great right now, but both of these defenses have been horrible. Washington has surrendered 101.2 points per game over their last five games, and I think that number will only get worse against a high scoring team like the Suns. Phoenix has had a notoriously bad defense all season, but somehow they have managed to play worse than average recently allowing 105 points per game over their last five games. The over is 13-2 in the Suns last 15 home games against opponents who attempt 18 or more three point shots per game. The over is also 13-5 when the Suns are playing against a team with a losing record this season. You should play the over when the total is 200 points or more and the road team is coming off a loss by three points or less and their opponent has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. The over has a 54-23 (70%) record in this situation

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 1/24
NBA Basketball





Memphis Grizzlies / Houston Rockets UNDER 198
(Total Points Bet)



Overall Record: 205-181

(System Record: 205-9, Lost last 5 games)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe NBA

5 Units Play Take Brooklyn -1.5 over Dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside the stats: Lakers are live dogs, especially vs. East
by Marc Lawrence

Let’s take a look at what’s happening on the hardwood as we enter this weekend. All results are ATS (Against The Spread) through January 22, unless noted otherwise.

Fire…

Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding hot streaks in games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results):

Air Force 6-1
Arizona 7-1
Kansas State 9-1
Old Dominion 6-1
SMU 7-1
St. Bonaventure 6-1
Syracuse 6-1
Tennessee 6-1
Utah 7-1
Virginia 6-1
Wichita State 6-1
Wisconsin Green Bay 7-1
Xavier 9-0

And ice

Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding cold ATS streaks in games versus fellow Division-1 opponents (minimum seven results):

Central Florida 1-6
Drexel 1-7
East Carolina 1-6
Fullerton State 1-7
Marquette 1-7
Marshall 1-8
Massachusetts 1-6-1
North Carolina 1-8
Oregon 0-7
Penn State 1-7
Rice 1-6
South Alabama 1-6
St. Johns 1-7
Texas State 1-7
Virginia Tech 1-6

Hot dogs

According to our database, these have been the best underdogs in most recent games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

Bowling Green 6-0
Cleveland State 5-1-1
Miami Ohio 6-0
Old Dominion 5-1
Wyoming 4-1-1

The worst underdogs in most recent games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

Cal Poly Slo 1-4-1
Central Florida 0-5
Colorado State 1-5
LaSalle 0-5
Loyola Marymount 0-5
Penn State 1-5
South Alabama 1-8
Texas State 1-7
USC 1-5

Chalk talk

According to our database, these have been the best favorites in most recent games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

Arizona 6-1
Arizona State 5-1
Harvard 7-1-1
Kansas State 8-1
Louisiana Tech 6-1
Pacific 6-1
SMU 5-0
Syracuse 6-1
Texas Tech 5-0
UCLA 7-1
UNLV 9-1
Virginia 5-0
Wichita State 6-1
Wisconsin Green Bay 7-1
Xavier 6-0

The worst favorites this season have been:

Bradley 0-4-1
Loyola Chicago 0-6
Notre Dame 1-7-1

Defense dominates

Once again, here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in defensive field goal percentage and rebounding margin. Look to “play on” these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:

Defensive Field Goal Percentage –

1. SMU 35.7
2. Arizona 37.0
3. San Diego State 37.1
4. Clemson 37.2
5. Florida State 37.6

Rebounding Margin –

1. Quinnipiac +14.2
2. Kentucky +12.3
3. Arizona +11.9
4. Indiana +11.3
5. Iowa +10.7

Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:

Scoring Defense –

1. Pacers 89.2
2. Bulls 92.5
3. Raptors 96.2
4. Grizzlies 96.6
5. Bobcats 96.7

Rebounding Margin –

1. Thunder +5.1
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Trailblazers +3.7
4. Bulls +3.3
5. Warriors +3.2

Cash for gold

After losing Kobe Bryant for most of the season this year, the Lakers have tanked in the standings, dropping to 16-27 in games thru January 23.

However, it’s been more like cash for gold for Laker backers in underdog roles this season with L.A. going 21-13-2 ATS when taking points.

That’s a stark comparison to the dismal 21-39 ATS mark the Lakers compiled as underdogs the previous two seasons.

Best role this season for the surfer dudes: 11-1 ATS as dogs in non-conference games.

Stat of the Week

The San Antonio Spurs are 12-1 ATS away in games after facing the Miami Heat. (Tuesday, 1/28).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Nostradamus

Vermont
Over Iona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chicago Syndicate

Over 76ers
Over Bucks
Under Pistons
Under Bulls

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LA Syndicate

Over Lakers
Clippers
Suns
Over Warriors

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

Double Dime Vermont

Double Dime Over Warriors

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Godfather
Vermont ML +130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BANKROLL SPORTS

10* Chicago Bulls +3.5 (NBA)
5* Wizards @ Suns Under 208 (NBA)
4* Milwaukee-Wisc Panthers -4 (CBB)
2* Boston Celtics +7.5 (NBA)
2* New Orleans Pelicans +3 (NBA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

NBA:
Spurs -5
Pacers -11.5

NHL:
Avs -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 Nets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks

2* Warriors
1* Over Pistons
1* Suns
1* Wisconsin Milwaukee

Free Play Hawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks


FRIDAY
TOP HOOPS PLAYS OF THE DAY


Play Rider +10.5 over Manhattan (NCAA)
7:00 PM EST


Rider has covered the spread in 19 of the last 27 games vs. conference opponents and they have also covered the spread in 16 of the last 22 games when playing in the month of January. Rider has covered the spread in 24 of the last 34 games coming off a road game and they are averaging 78 points a game this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Real Deal Sports Picks
500* Suns -3.5
100* Over 207.5 In The Suns Game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EXECUTIVE NBA 250

minn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes - 2* Magic

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

2* Boston +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rainman
Atlanta +5
Charlotte +4
Memphis +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan 10* Upset Alert Titan


Philly

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob
2*Toronto -7 or less

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WolfManWins
SPURS/HAWKS – VP PLAY – ATLANTA +6
LA CLIPPERS /CHICAGO BULLS - TAKE BULLS +3
NCAA HOOPS
DETROIT/ WISC MILWAUKEE - TAKE WISC MILW -3
MARIST/NIAGARA - TAKE NIAGARA -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jayson's Sports Picks
Free Pick – Bobcats/Knicks OVER 187

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang
20 DIME
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
UNDERDOG SHOCKER
Selection is on Quinnipiac over Iona. The current line on this game is +6 1/2 in Vegas and offshore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost in college basketball on Thursday with Houston +14/Memphis.

E&B have Np for Friday.

Ecks and Bacon is 3-1 +$95 for week Thirteen 46-57-2 -$1326

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted